Many people aren’t long or short Google. They’re long or short the last 10% move.
This IC memo is not another target. It is a discipline for $GOOG
How to size, when not to sell, and when price action is mispricing instead of information.
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2025-12-03
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Full Alphabet IC memo (Gumroad):
Written for people who already know $GOOG is a core asset, but refuse to trade the tape like a mood swing.
It does three things:
-Pins scenario valuation ranges on GOOGL so +10% / -10% is context, not drama
-Ties those ranges to explicit assumptions and catalysts, so you know what has to be true
-Marks the zones where price and fundamentals decouple, which is where alpha lives, not comfort
Link:
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“Nvidia now, Google later” is a good headline Musk gave you.
I built the IC memo that underwrites it on cost of intelligence, not vibes.
Full Alphabet IC memo (Gumroad):
Written for people who already know GOOGL is a core asset, but refuse to trade the tape like a mood swing.
It does three things:
• Pins scenario valuation ranges on GOOGL so +10% / -10% is context, not drama
• Ties those ranges to explicit assumptions and catalysts, so you know what has to be true
• Marks the zones where price and fundamentals decouple, which is where alpha lives, not comfort
Link:
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这么久都没写一个介绍,简单写一个置顶🙏
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甚至可以说,这应该是目前为止 面向个人的最专业、最系统、最持续的宏观跟踪体系(之一),终端订阅者也不乏一些专家智囊、宏观首席,以及很多投资者和金融同业们
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