国际象棋大师马格努斯·卡尔森的商业智慧:从棋盘到投资的洞察 Norges Bank Investment Management 2024-08-07

开场与国际象棋的商业启示

大家好,欢迎收听“In Good Company”播客。

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hi everybody and welcome to in good company.

今天,我们非常荣幸地邀请到一位几乎无需介绍的嘉宾——国际象棋史上评分最高的棋手马格努斯·卡尔森。

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today we are incredibly honored to have a guest who needs very little introduction, Magnus Carlson, the highest rated chess player in history.

今天我们将讨论商业,或者更确切地说,我们将探讨作为投资者,我们可以从国际象棋和马格努斯身上学到些什么。

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and today we're going to talk about business or actually we're going to talk a bit about what we as investors can learn from chess and from humongus.

非常欢迎你。

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very welcome.

谢谢。

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thank you very much.

在第二次世界大战期间,英国几乎所有的国际象棋专家都被招募到Ultra项目(Ultra Project: 二战期间英国破解纳粹密码的秘密行动)中,该项目主要负责破解纳粹使用的密码。

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now um during um the second world war in uh Britain uh pretty much every chess expert were recruited to the ultra project which was basically cracking cods used by the Nazis.

因此,人们一直认为,杰出的国际象棋高手在任何事情上都表现出色,我只是想知道,你认为我们商界人士能从国际象棋中学到什么?

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and so there's been this assumption that uh brilliant chess minds are brilliant at everything and I was just wondering uh what do you think we in business can learn from chess?

你提到这个很有趣,因为我父亲的父母出生在战前,他们非常喜欢所有美国和英国的东西,因为他们认为这些国家是战争的胜利者。

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it's um funny you should mention that cuz um my uh father's parents uh they were born uh before the war they were very much into everything that's American and English because um that those were sort of what they saw as the victors of the war.

他们家里有一本书,很早的时候就推荐给我,叫做《K Ultra》,我想那是一本翻译成挪威语的关于他们如何破解Enigma密码(Enigma code: 纳粹德国在二战中使用的加密系统)的书。

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but one of the books they had at home which um they recommended to me at an early AG it was called uh K Ultra I think a translation for to Norwegian about how they cracked the Enigma code.

但我直到电影《模仿游戏》(The Imitation Game)上映时才知道,国际象棋棋手也参与了其中,所以那个角度我之前并不了解。

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but I didn't know until the time of the um imitation game movie that actually chess players were involved in that so that angle I didn't really know.

我还知道,在某个时候(我不知道具体是哪个时期),华尔街上至少有一家对冲基金(Hedge Fund: 一种采用多种投资策略,旨在获取超额收益的私人投资基金)积极招募国际象棋棋手,而且我认为至少有几个人因此获得了非常好的职业发展。

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um I also know that at some point I don't know exactly which but there was at least one hedge fund on Wall Street that was actively recruiting chess players and I think at least a couple of people made a really good career from from that.

但我认为,从小下国际象棋无疑能教会你在有限的时间内解决复杂问题。

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but I think playing chess at an early age certainly teaches you to solve complex problems in a limited amount of time.

如果只是一直下国际象棋,可能在商业上走不远,但我认为这是一个很好的开始。

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continuing to only play chess probably will not get you far in business but I think it's a it's a good it's a good start.

直觉与分析的平衡

当我们投资时,我们经常使用直觉,对吗?或者我们通常称之为模式识别。

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now um when we invest we use um intuition quite a bit right or we typically call it pattern recognition.

当情况复杂、我们经验丰富且见过类似情况时,我们发现它很有用,这与你在闪电战(Blitz: 国际象棋中每方只有极短思考时间的快棋赛)中的做法非常吻合。

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we we find it useful when the situation is complex when we have a lot of experience and when we've seen similar situations before so pretty much bang in line with what you are doing in in Blitz.

你如何看待直觉与分析之间的关系?你如何权衡或取舍?

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how do you look at your intuition versus analysis just how how do you think about the trade-off or E Trade of?

我认为国际象棋棋手,当你专业地、高水平地下棋时,你的大脑会真正地被训练去缩小搜索范围,并运用直觉。

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I think chess players when you've when you play chess professionally at a high level your brain is really trained to narrow the search uh and to use intuition because you know there is a limited amount of time.

因为你知道时间有限,所以你被训练去识别模式并做出这些快速决策。

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so you're trained to recognize patterns and sort of make these quick quick decisions.

我认为我就是那种更多地使用直觉的棋手。

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uh and I think I am very much the type of player who uses that more than than than others.

我当然也能计算,基于更深入的分析做出更深思熟虑的决定,但这不一定是我的强项。

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I can certainly calculate make deeper decisions based on deeper analysis but it is not necessarily my forte.

通常,当我输棋时,是因为对手深入研究了我凭直觉忽略的一些东西。

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usually when I lose games it's because people have looked deeply at something that I've intuitively sort of um discarded.

我想这在商业中也是一种获得优势的方式,毫无疑问。

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and I guess that's a way you can get an edge and in business as well for sure.

但是你是否会用直觉来判断哪些方向需要更深入地分析?

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um but do you use intuition to figure out which directions to analyze more or um?

绝对会,我使用我的直觉。

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absolutely I use my intuition.

那么你最终会得出多少种选择?你运用直觉后,会考虑多少种不同的替代方案?

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so how many do you end up with so you use your intuition you you then think about how many different Alternatives?

我可以说,通常情况下,如果我考虑超过三种替代方案,那我就束手无策了。

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I would say as a rule if I think about more than three Alternatives I'm clueless.

那样的话,我可能对任何一个都不满意。

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then I've uh then I've probably then I'm probably not happy with any of them.

通常我会考虑两种选择,并且通常会对其中一种有所偏好,但我会尽量消除这种偏见,努力客观地看待两种选择。

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um usually I think about two Alternatives of what to do and I usually have a bias uh towards one of them but I try and cut that out as much as I can uh and try and look at both Alternatives objectively.

如果两者都不能让我满意,我可能会考虑第三种。

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and then again if both of them don't satisfy me I might look at a third.

我听你以前说过,你觉得10到15分钟后你就不会增加太多价值了。

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I I heard you somewhere say that you you felt that you didn't add much value after 10 15 minutes.

我认为在10到15分钟之后,首先,我们的思维很难长时间保持所需的专注水平。

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I think after 10 15 minutes um that's when you first of all it's hard for our minds to to have the level of concentration that you need for much longer than that.

但通常你会开始广泛地寻找其他替代方案,有时它们可能会有所帮助,但通常不会。

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but I think you usually start looking pretty widely at diff at other Alternatives and sometimes they can load somewhere but usually they um they don't.

所以,是的,对于一次相当深入的思考,大约15分钟可能是一个合适的时间。

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so yeah I would say for for a fairly deep think about 15 minutes is probably is probably a good time.

我们经常看到人们过度分析情况。

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well we we we often see people who overanalyze situations.

那么,如果你在15分钟后继续思考,会发生什么?

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so if you were to go on after 15 minutes what would happen then?

15分钟后,我可能会扩大搜索范围,或者只是原地打转。

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after 15 minutes I'll probably be widening the search and or just end up going in circles.

所以在那之后我可能不会增加太多价值。

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um so I probably would not add too much value after that.

而且我可能会因为我的思维过程有点混乱,最终下出我之前考虑过但后来忘记了为什么不好的棋步,因为那是20分钟前的事情了,我的大脑在那之后处理了很多信息,所以我忘记了一个关键的细节。

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and um I might end up cuz my thought process is not that um it's a bit chaotic so I might end up um playing a move that I that I was considering earlier and then I forgot why it was not good because it's it was 20 minutes ago and my brain had just processed a lot of information that since that time so I forgotten a crucial um crucial detail.

思考太久确实会出很多问题。

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a lot of things can go wrong if you think for too long that's for sure.

我们在投资中经常看到,如果你花太多时间,你会变得更加确定,但决策质量并没有提高。

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well what we see often in inves thing is that if you spend too much time on it you become more certain but not it but the decision doesn't improve.

我认为这是一个非常好的说法。

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I think that's a very G good way to to put it actually.

确实如此,通常如果我不是国际象棋的完美主义者,我是一个实用的棋手。

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um and U that's that's true that often if I'm not a professionist in chess I am a practical player.

我希望取得尽可能好的结果,并且知道我的时间有限。

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I want to um I want to get as good result as possible and then know that I I have limited limited time.

但是你会看到很多完美主义者,他们思考45分钟,最终却下出了一个他们从一开始就肯定考虑过的明显棋步。

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uh but you see a lot of perfectionists they think for 45 minutes and they end up making an obvious move that they certainly considered from the from the get-go.

所以我认为这其中肯定有一些道理。

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so I think there is certainly something in that.

我只是有点个人化,我是说,你是世界排名第一的棋手,你已经把你的思维描述为混乱的,而且你也不是完美主义者。

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I'm just a slightly personal that I mean you you are the number one uh you know player in the world and you've already uh characterize your thinking as chaotic and uh you're not the perfectionist.

那么你是怎么解释的呢?

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so how do you how do you tell you this?

我想要学习,并且想在国际象棋上做到尽可能好。

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so I am I I want to learn and I want to get as good at chess as possible.

所以说我不是完美主义者有点不准确,但从某种意义上说,我不会为了确保不遗漏任何东西而扩大搜索范围。

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so I mean saying I'm not a perfectionist is slightly inaccurate it but it is in the sense that I will not sort of widen my search in order to make sure that I don't miss anything from from the get-go uh or at least I will rarely do that because I know it's not an effective usage of my time.

因为我知道那不是有效利用我的时间。

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I think for everything in life if if we had unlimited time to make decisions we would make them quite differently but there's always this element of yeah I I have to make a decision at some point.

我认为生活中的所有事情,如果我们有无限的时间来做决定,我们会有很大的不同,但总是有这个因素,是的,我必须在某个时候做出决定。

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now in investing we it's about uh long-term strategy and so on.

现在在投资中,我们谈论的是长期策略等等。

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how how long term how long term can you be how how far ahead do you think?

你能做到多长远?你会提前多远思考?

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so when you start out how many moves have you thought about?

当你开始时,你已经想了多少步棋?

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openings you usually have something something prepared but after that you have a general idea of what plants you want to you want to use what pawn structures are good what pieces would be good in those structures so with these patterns you can you can plan quite far ahead in in terms of what what do you want to achieve and where you eventually think you might um win the game so you always look far ahead but then you also have an opponent who constantly tries to ruin your plans so you have all the time you have both things in mind shortterm and long-term planning.

开局通常你会有一些准备,但之后你对你想使用的计划、好的兵结构(Pawn Structures: 国际象棋中兵在棋盘上的排列方式,影响战略布局)以及在这些结构中哪些棋子会表现良好有一个大致的概念,所以通过这些模式,你可以在你想要实现的目标以及你最终认为可能赢得比赛的地方,提前相当长远地规划。所以你总是看得长远,但你也有一个对手不断试图破坏你的计划,所以你总是同时考虑短期和长期规划。

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when when do you find chess easy and when do you find it hard?

你什么时候觉得国际象棋容易,什么时候觉得难?

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I find chess easy when I can sort of play with flow when when the first thought that comes into my head is usually the right one then that's that's when it's uh that's when it it when it's easy when I'm always when I'm not when I'm on the front foot when I'm not reacting to what my opponent is doing that's like that's really U really important like very sure sign of bad form is that you uh um you see um your opponent's threats sort of before you see your own response because they should be uh they should sort of come at the same same time but yeah CH it's just easy when I can play with intuition that's a simple simple answer.

当我能顺畅地发挥时,当我脑海中出现的第一个想法通常是正确的时候,我就觉得国际象棋容易。当我在进攻而不是被动应对对手的行动时,这非常重要。一个非常确定的状态不佳的迹象是,你看到对手的威胁先于你自己的应对,因为它们应该同时出现。但总的来说,当我能凭直觉下棋时,国际象棋就容易,这是一个简单的答案。

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now in in chess you have uh perfect information.

现在,在国际象棋中,你拥有完美信息(Perfect Information: 在博弈论中,指所有玩家都知道游戏的所有方面,包括其他玩家的行动和策略)。

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what do you think would have happened if uh you didn't have perfect information like in like in business?

如果你没有像商业中那样的完美信息,你认为会发生什么?

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so chess is unique in the sense that it's you have perfect information but it's still very difficult.

国际象棋的独特之处在于你拥有完美信息,但它仍然非常困难。

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so I sort of think about it in the way that we are well informed we all sort of have the same tools but it's about how you use those those tools and the information um that you have.

所以我把它看作是我们都消息灵通,我们都拥有相同的工具,但关键在于你如何使用这些工具和信息。

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so yes we do have perfect information but I I I sort of I I don't see it that way cuz uh you still cannot you still cannot calculate every um every possibility.

所以,是的,我们确实拥有完美信息,但我并不完全这么看,因为你仍然无法计算出所有的可能性。

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but you also play poker a bit uh I also yeah I I've played a bit of Poker for sure yeah um where there is an element of John uh uh yeah that's annoying part that's the annoying part of playing playing poker.

但你也玩一点扑克,是的,我也玩过一点扑克,当然,那里有约翰的元素,是的,那是玩扑克令人恼火的部分。

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um I think that games like poker are different are interesting in a in a different sense.

我认为像扑克这样的游戏在不同意义上很有趣。

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but what I feel is that the best players now they play in a different way so they play in a less uh exploitative style so they sort of treat the game as if everybody has the the same information rather than um they try and sort of create their game against uh as something that doesn't really depend on their um opponents in the in the in the end like they the game play is not that different I would say.

但我感觉现在最好的玩家以不同的方式玩,他们采用一种不那么剥削性的风格,他们对待游戏的方式就好像每个人都拥有相同的信息,而不是试图创造一种不真正依赖于对手的游戏,最终,我认为他们的游戏方式并没有那么不同。

风险管理:保守与激进

谈到风险,你什么时候决定保守下棋,什么时候更冒险?

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moving on to risk so um when do you decide to play conservatively and when do you play more risky?

我在比赛中的激进程度和冒险程度,很大程度上取决于比赛情况和我的对手。

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my level of aggressiveness risk taking in a game uh depends a lot on the tournament situation but also on my opponents.

面对更被动、稳健、规避风险的对手,我自然会承担更多风险,反之亦然。

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against more passive opponents people who play solidly who are risk averse I will naturally take more risks and vice vice versa.

如果我知道我面对的是一个非常激进的对手,我可能会采取更谨慎的方法。

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um if I know I'm playing a very aggressive opponent I might take a more cautious approach.

为什么?

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why?

因为我认为我不需要在比赛中制造不平衡,我的对手会制造这种不平衡。

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um because I think that I don't need to create imbalance in the game my opponent will create that balance imbalance.

我普遍认为,从长远来看,比赛中的不平衡对我有利。

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and I generally believe that imbalance in the game in the long run is it's good for me.

当然,短期内可能会很危险,但从长远来看,它会给我带来最好的结果,因为他们会失败。

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of course in the short term it can be it can be dangerous but um in the long run it's it's going to yield me uh the best results because they they will fail.

因为如果比赛更加不平衡,就会有更多决定性的比赛,平局会更少,既然我通常在这种情况下能做出更好的决定,我就会胜出。

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uh because um because if the games are more imbalance they will there will be more decisive games fewer draws and since I was generally make better decisions in those situations I will I will come up out on top.

如果你看到另一种情况,人们下得非常稳健,那么我可能不得不承担更多风险才能获得胜利的机会,有时我可能会过度冒险。

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um if you see another scenaria where people play really really solidly then I probably will have to take more risks in order to get chances to win and then I might sometimes overstretch.

所以我感觉那些非常稳健但又擅长反击、抓住机会的人,就像你一样,你不能在没有反击威胁的情况下保持稳健。

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so I I I I feel like people who are really solid but also are good at counterattacking taking their chances like you not you cannot be solid without the threat of Counterattack.

令人惊讶的是,有很多人很稳健但反击威胁很小,但那些反击者,我感觉他们是最危险的,毫无疑问。

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and it's it's a surprising amount of people who are solid but with little counter attacking threat but the counter attackers those I feel are are the most dangerous for sure.

你如何在赛前校准这些?你如何校准对手的风险承受能力?

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how can you calibrate this before the game how you how can you calibrate opponent's risk tolerance?

这很大程度上取决于开局选择,例如你是否想把比赛引入更平静的局面。

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it comes down a lot to opening choices um whether you want to steer the game into more quiet Waters.

有时,你希望计算机准备的元素持续多久。

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sometimes how long you want there to be an element of computer preparation maybe.

如果你面对一个规避风险的对手,你可能会在开局阶段就让他们“脱离书本”,迫使他们尽早做出困难的高风险决策。

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if you if you're playing a risk averse opponent you will take them out of book so to say from the from the from the opening stage to force them to make difficult High uh High leverage decisions as early as possible.

你对风险的态度随着年龄增长变化很大吗?

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has has your attitude to towards risk um changed a lot with age?

我认为我的态度没有太大改变。

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I think uh my attitude hasn't changed changed that much.

我可能在评估何时承担适当风险方面总体上有所提高,但你也会用年轻的冲劲来平衡这一点,这会让你承担更多风险。

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I probably gotten better in general at assessing sort of what is what is the appropriate amount of risk to take at times but then you also counterbalance that with sort of youthful um youthful Spirit which makes it Tak take a bit more risk.

我认为最终结果或多或少是一样的。

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and I I think it sort of ended up more or less in the same way.

我现在当然更清楚这些事情了,我努力更好地平衡它们,但我认为最终我还是处于或多或少相同的状态。

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I'm certainly more conscious of these of these things now um I try and balance them more but I think I end up in more or less the same spot.

团队协作与开局准备

谈到团队,你有一个团队帮你准备,对吗?团队是如何运作的?

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moving on to to teams so um you you have a you have a team who helps you prepare right um what uh how does a teamw work?

我现在没有一个大团队。

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uh so right now I don't have a big team.

过去我曾有不同的人为我工作,但现在我的主要教练是彼得(Peter)。

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I've had different people working for me in the past but now I have my main coach Peter.

他一直在帮助我,我认识他20年了,他现在担任我的主要教练已经11年了。

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um who has been helping me I've known him for 20 years and he's been my main coach now for 11.

对他来说,主要是计算机准备,寻找新的想法,这变得越来越困难。

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for him it's mainly about computer preparation finding new ideas which is becoming more and more difficult um and basically providing me with a bit of a choice so I can I can decide what to do against um certain opponents and and that I I could sort of take it in in um in different directions.

他基本上是给我一些选择,这样我就可以决定如何应对某些对手,并且我可以从不同的方向进行。

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so what happens so so let so a work day when do you when do you go to work?

那么,工作日你是怎么安排的?你什么时候开始工作?

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I honestly I don't do very much these days in terms of um preparation.

老实说,我最近在准备方面做得不多。

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I mainly play and prepare prepare for the games.

我主要就是下棋和为比赛做准备。

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I look at chess all the time in the sense that I'm always studying the uh the newest games and and playing for practice but I don't sit down in the morning and think I'm going to do this this and this.

我一直都在关注国际象棋,总是研究最新的比赛并进行练习,但我不会早上坐下来想我要做这个、那个和那个。

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that's sort of what my my coach does that he works on something new every day.

那是我的教练做的事情,他每天都在研究新的东西。

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um does he find that out himself or you steer him?

是他自己发现的,还是你引导他?

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uh sometimes I steer him sometimes he will start out working on something uh and then I will you know I will look at it see whether I like it or not.

有时我引导他,有时他会开始研究一些东西,然后我会看看我是否喜欢。

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but generally he's a lot better at this than I am uh and he also like he knows my preferences in general uh so he generally has an idea of of how to to do this.

但总的来说,他在这方面比我好得多,而且他也了解我的偏好,所以他通常知道该怎么做。

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but honestly I F I find the analysis opening analysis bit I don't find it that interesting it's more of a necessary thing to be able to to get uh new positions and to get situations where you can sort of prove your playing strength but I don't find it particularly interesting in itself so I'm really happy to to sort of delegate that in general.

但老实说,我发现开局分析那部分并不那么有趣,它更多是为了获得新局面和能展现自己棋力的情况的必要手段,但它本身对我来说并不特别有趣,所以我很高兴能把这部分工作委托出去。

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but when you say he's better at it than you are better at what?

但当你说他比你做得更好时,指的是什么方面?

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uh he's better at using at using computer engines to find new ideas basically using different engines um and comparing them um trying trying to go sort of a bit deeper in directions that the computer doesn't necessarily show at first trying to find ways that I can play where I sort of increase my opponent's risk more than than mine like where I can take risks but not not unacceptable risks but it is is is really getting it's really getting much more difficult.

他更擅长使用计算机引擎来寻找新想法,基本上是使用不同的引擎并进行比较,试图在计算机最初不一定显示的方向上深入挖掘,寻找我能下棋的方式,从而增加对手的风险而不是我的风险,也就是说,我能承担风险但不是不可接受的风险,但这真的变得越来越困难了。

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if we were talking about this 15 years ago his he was doing the same job 15 years ago but for Anan who was a world championship back then and I think he'll tell you that his job was a whole lot easier then um it's getting very very very difficult.

如果我们15年前谈论这个,他15年前也在做同样的工作,但当时是为世界冠军阿南德(Viswanathan Anand)工作,我想他会告诉你那时他的工作要容易得多,现在变得非常非常困难。

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what's what's getting more difficult to find New Alternatives?

什么变得更难了?寻找新的替代方案吗?

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yeah uh basically you have you can look at it in a in in the way that you have a market that's much better informed now and the people are using more or less the same tools um so it's much much harder to find to find an edge.

是的,基本上你可以这样看,现在的市场信息更加透明,人们使用的工具也或多或少相同,所以要找到优势变得非常非常困难。

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did you train differently and prepare differently let's say 10 15 years ago from about 14 to 11 years ago?

大约14到11年前,你和10到15年前的训练和准备方式有什么不同吗?

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uh I didn't really have a coach uh I was generally I had some I had training camps with people but I was mostly doing this stuff on on my own but it was not nearly as deep as what is being done now and I think also back then it was easier to get by with playing worse openings.

我当时并没有真正的教练,我通常会和一些人一起参加训练营,但我大部分时间都是自己做这些事情,而且深度远不及现在。我认为那时下差一点的开局也更容易过关。

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um basically now everybody sort of knows everything there have been new ways that have been discovered that makes it so much more difficult um to to get a game so uh I think I could get by then I could not get by now without um without proper analysis.

现在基本上每个人都知道所有事情,已经发现了新的方法,使得比赛变得更加困难,所以我想那时我还能应付,但现在如果没有适当的分析,我就无法应付了。

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was it more fun in the past the game?

以前下棋更有趣吗?

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yeah um so I think for improving chess players having access to all this information at an early age at an early stage is great it's great to get you at a higher level earlier.

是的,我认为对于进步中的国际象棋棋手来说,在早期就能接触到所有这些信息是非常棒的,它能让你更早地达到更高的水平。

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they used to say that back in the day like in order to learn a new opening that takes a month now even top players can just turn on their computer engine um by an opening course and within five hours like you can know like if of course if you like if you have the understanding and so on like you can you can pretty much know these things pretty well so um yeah it's just a it's just a different diff it's just a different age.

他们过去常说,学习一个新的开局需要一个月的时间,而现在即使是顶级棋手也可以打开他们的计算机引擎,购买一个开局课程,在五个小时内,如果你有理解力等等,你就能很好地掌握这些东西。所以,是的,这只是一个不同的时代。

人工智能对国际象棋的影响

我认为计算机引擎对于观赏国际象棋来说非常棒,但对于棋手来说,它让比赛变得更难了。

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I think computer engines have been great for spectating chess but for the players yeah it's made it more difficult.

这是否意味着未来在国际象棋领域表现出色的人会有不同的人格类型?你认为呢?

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does that mean that there are different types of personalities which will do well in chess going forward what do you think?

就目前而言,我把自己看作是混合一代,因为我确实是伴随着计算机长大的,但我并不依赖它们。

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so for now I consider myself kind of a hybrid generation since I did grow up with computers but I would I was not reliant on them.

我仍然花很多时间在棋盘和国际象棋书籍上。

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I was still using a lot of time with the chess board and chess books as well.

我认为我们现在看到的是第一代“纯计算机孩子”,他们下棋的方式不那么教条,更多地基于计算机。

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I think we're seeing the first generation now of like pure computer kids uh and they play chess in in a less pragmatic uh sorry less dogmatic um more sort of computer based way in that they are less intuition based and so much more um sort of Brute Force calculation um so it's going to be interesting to see if this sort of new type of chess player beats the the older ones um that are more like me that are more based on on uh on F.

他们的直觉较少,更多地依赖于暴力计算,所以看看这种新型棋手能否战胜像我这样更依赖直觉的老一代棋手会很有趣。

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do you you think would have implications for which countries dominate the game?

你认为这会影响哪些国家主导这项运动吗?

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I think we're already seeing uh a generation now of Indian players obviously there are huge individual differences but what most of them have in common is that their calculation is extremely good even those players who have zero understanding of the game and they're inter in or Z in zero understanding I'm generally mean that their intuition is not that good they calculates so well that with longer time controls they can still get by and give even people like me a really really hard time.

我认为我们已经看到了一代印度棋手,显然他们之间存在巨大的个体差异,但他们大多数人的共同点是计算能力极强,即使是那些对比赛完全没有理解的棋手(我通常指的是他们的直觉不那么好),他们也能计算得非常好,以至于在较长的时间控制下,他们仍然能应付自如,甚至给我这样的人带来非常大的麻烦。

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what about China?

中国呢?

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Chinese players are are a bit different it's it's hard to say I feel like there's a bigger variety within uh Chinese players.

中国棋手有点不同,很难说,我感觉中国棋手内部的多样性更大。

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you have some players who are a bit of the same as the uh as the Indians but you also have others who have completely different styles.

有些棋手和印度棋手有点相似,但也有一些棋手风格完全不同。

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you have the um world champion right now ding who's well he's not doing great at the moment but at his Peak he was like an incredible um intuitive Dynamic player uh so um yeah defin definitely um very different styles there.

现在有世界冠军丁立人(Ding Liren),他目前表现不佳,但在巅峰时期,他是一位令人难以置信的直觉型动态棋手,所以,是的,那里确实有非常不同的风格。

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any talent in this country?

这个国家有天赋吗?

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there are definitely a lot of people who are very en enthusiastic and about Chess and are talented as well in terms of whether anybody's going to become uh the new miners sort of or world champion one day that's probably going to be hard especially since we don't have the numbers that countries like India have um but I don't find that as important.

当然有很多人对国际象棋充满热情并且也很有天赋,至于是否有人会成为下一个马格努斯或者有一天成为世界冠军,那可能会很难,特别是我们没有像印度那样庞大的基数,但我认为那并不那么重要。

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I want people to um enjoy chess learn it at an early age so that you can have joy of it your life and if it can teach you other skills as well then that's even better.

我希望人们能享受国际象棋,从小学习它,这样你就能从中获得一生的乐趣,如果它还能教会你其他技能,那就更好了。

持续学习与应对挫折

谈到学习,你在2013年成为世界冠军后说:“我离真正了解国际象棋还很远,还有很多东西可以学习,还有很多我不懂。”

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moving on to um to learning so after um becoming World Champion in 2013 you said uh I'm still far away from really knowing chess really there is still much I can learn and there is much I still don't understand.

你现在对此有何感受?

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how do you feel about that now?

嗯,我希望我能说些什么,不,其实我并不希望,因为那会很无聊。

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well I wish I could say something no actually I don't wish because that that would be woring.

我会回顾我十年前的下棋方式,认为那时我在很多事情上都很天真。

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um I would look at the way that I played 10 years ago and think that I was coolest about a lot of things.

我认为我现在下得更好,但其他人也下得更好,所以我的成绩不一定更好。

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I I think I play better now but then also other people play better so my results are not necessarily better.

但我感觉我一直在学习。

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um but I feel like I'm still learning all the time.

我不认为我的职业生涯到了一个会彻底改变我下棋方式的阶段,但我确实觉得我对某些想法、某些局面的理解一直在发展。

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um I don't think I'm at a point in in my career where where I will drastically change the way that I play but I do feel that my understanding of certain ideas certain positions is always evolving.

在国际象棋方面,你从哪次挫折中学到最多?

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what was the setback you learned the most from when it comes to chess?

我一直非常乐观,几乎是盲目乐观。

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I've always been very optimistic almost blindly so.

所以我的国际象棋生涯中,我认为有两次半特定的时期,我停滞不前甚至有所退步。

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so I've had I think two like two and have specific periods of my chess career where I've stagnated or even gone a bit back.

它们都发生在19岁之前,在那些时期,我总是保持非常积极的心态。

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um they were all before the the age of 19 and during those times I always kept a very positive mindset.

我总是抱有相当妄想的想法,认为一切都会好转。

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I always had pretty much delusional idea ideas of what was going on.

我总是认为下一盘棋、下一次比赛就会好转。

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I always thought that this is going to turn around next game next tournament.

我可能获得了一个比我实际水平稍高的等级分,所以我非常努力地想达到那个水平。

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I probably gained a rating that was a bit higher than my actual level so I was like trying to push really hard um to play towards that level.

也许我承担了太多风险,有点强求,但我总是想:下一次,下一盘棋,下一次比赛。

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um and maybe I was taking I was taking too many risks I was forcing a bit but I always thought like next time next game next tournament.

然后突然之间,一切都好转了,每次都是这样。

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and then all of a sudden it turned around and that's what H happened every single every single time.

我只需要一个好的时刻,然后我就相信一切都会再次变得美好。

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that I just needed like one good moment and then I believed that everything was going to be going to be great again.

从那时起,我当然也经历过糟糕的比赛,也有过两三个月不怎么下棋的时期,但我大部分时间都保持着同样的心态,即总体来说我在这方面非常出色,一切都会好转。

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and ever since then I've certainly had bad tournaments I've had like two three months periods where I don't play but I've sort of kept the same mindset most of the time that overall I think I'm really good at this and it's going to turn around.

所以我在大型比赛或锦标赛中从未有过那种“这次需要一些时间才能恢复”的时刻,一切都出奇地顺利。

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um so I haven't really had that one moment in a big tournament in a in a championship where I'm thinking like this is going to take some time to recover from it's always gone like remarkably remarkably well.

积极心态与心理战

这很有趣,这种积极主义。你知道,积极的人也能赚更多钱。

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well this interesting this positivism you know positive people also make more money.

我一直认为,在国际象棋中,正确的平衡介于乐观和妄想之间,这就是你要去的地方。

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I always think I've always thought in chess that the right balance is somewhere between optimistic and delusional that's where you're going.

你说的“妄想”是什么意思?

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what do what do you mean by delusional here?

在国际象棋中,有些人是绝对妄想的乐观主义者,比如前世界冠军克拉姆尼克(Vladimir Kramnik)。

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uh you have people in chess who are like absolutely delusional optimists like uh former World Championship kramnick.

每当我下完一盘棋,他都会说:“你真是奇迹般地活下来了。”

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um whenever I um whenever I played a game uh he would say afterwards yeah it's a miracle you survived.

他对我以及其他所有人都会这么说,我不知道他是否完全相信,但他速度超快,会滔滔不绝地说出各种变着,说明他本来可以如何赢棋,如果他没赢,那通常就是奇迹。

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and H he would say again against me and and everybody else and I don't know like I don't know if he completely believed it but then like he would he's super fast so he would rattle off variation after variation how he could potentially have won if he didn't win it was just it was usually Miracle.

所以我可能更偏向乐观的一边,但我至少会稍微脚踏实地一些。

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so I'm probably more on the side that I'm on the optimistic side but I keep my my feet on the ground at least a little bit more more.

但这是一种有趣的生存机制。

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but it's an interesting kind of survival mechanism no.

是的,我确实这么认为。

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yeah I I do think I do think so.

如果你总是抱有稍微更乐观的态度,你就会抓住更多机会,你会看到更多机会。

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and if you always have a slightly more optimistic Outlook you will take more opportunities you you will see more opportunities.

你会承担更多风险,你会给对手施加更大压力。

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um you will take more risks you will put more pressure on your opponents.

所以我认为,是的,这是一件好事,据说也能让你更快乐,至少如果它能带来好结果的话。

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so I think it's um uh yeah it's a it's a good thing also makes you a happier person supposedly at least if it gives good results right.

但我的意思是,它让下棋变得更容易。

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but I mean it makes it sort of easier to um uh to to to play the game.

通常当我下得最好的时候,我会凭直觉走一步棋,然后立刻发现一个原因,比如“哦,我错过了那个,也许那是个错误”,然后我会想“不,其实不是错误,我确实错过了一些东西,但我的乐观心态让我凭直觉快速做出了正确的决定”。

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um often when I play the best I'll make a move based on intuition and then I'll I'll spot a reason right after like oh I missed that one maybe that was a mistake and I'll think no actually it wasn't wasn't a mistake I missed something but still sort of my optimistic mindset made me make the right decision quickly based on intuition.

如果你是个悲观的人,如果你想太多,你就不会那样做。

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and if you're a pessimistic person if you overthink you will not do that.

这能解释那些“连胜”吗?

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does any this uh explain the kind of happy streaks?

哦,是的,当然。

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oh yeah for sure.

我能回忆起那些连胜的时期,我只是不断赢棋,我觉得自己下得太棒了。

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um uh I I can recall like streaks where I just go on winning winning and I think I'm like playing Amazing.

然后我回头分析,发现其实并没有那么好。

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then I look back and analyze and it wasn't that great.

那么是什么解释了这些结果呢?

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so what explains the the results then?

因为我给对手施加了很大的压力,我的乐观和自信让他们失去了自信。

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because I put a lot of pressure on my opponents and my optimism and my confidence makes them less confidence.

这种心理在国际象棋中有多重要?

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how important is psychology these type of psychology in in chess?

我认为心理学非常重要。

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I think psychology is very important.

有很多人拥有相同的工具,很多人对比赛的理解至少与我相似。

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you have these all these people who have the same tools like you have a lot of people who understand the game at a level that is at least similar to what I do.

但只要他们没有正确的心态,他们就不可避免地不会承担足够的风险,他们会错失机会。

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um but as long as they don't have the right mindset they will inevitably um not take enough risks they will leave chances at the table.

也许有些人过于乐观,他们会承担太多风险。

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maybe others they are too optimistic they will take too many risks.

所以,拥有一个平衡的心态,知道何时该冒险,何时不该冒险,你显然不可能总是做出正确的决定。

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so like having a balanced mindset like knowing where to when to go for it when to to not like you're obviously obviously never going to always make the right decisions.

但是,如果你意识到这些事情,你最终会做出比对手更好的决定。

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but um yeah if you're conscious of these things like inevitably you're going to um to make better decisions than than your opponents.

你认为成功的国际象棋棋手与不那么成功的棋手处理失败的方式不同吗?

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do you think um successful chess players deal with failures differently than less successful players?

赢得比赛的关键有多少在于你如何处理失败?

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is how much of the winning recipe is in how you deal with failures?

我通常会尽量避免失败,而不是学习如何处理失败。

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I generally try to sort of avoid failures rather than rather than um sort of learn how to deal with it.

但我知道,我过去15年最好的成绩,我的古典等级分多年来一直在2880到2820之间波动,但我在输棋后的表现超过2900。

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but what I do know is that my best results over the last 15 years so my rating classical rating has oscillated between uh 20 2880 and 2820 for many years now but my performance right after a loss is over 2900.

所以显然我做得很好。

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so apparently I do do something really well.

我想我输棋后可能会承担更多风险,我认为这是我会在这种情况下给对手施加很大压力的一点。

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um I think I am probably likely to take a bit more risk after losing I think that's one thing that I will put a lot of pressure on my opponents in in such a situation.

但我认为更有趣的情况不是在古典国际象棋中,而是在快棋和闪电战比赛中,当你失败了,你未能赢得一个必胜的局面,或者你输掉了一盘痛苦的比赛,然后困难的部分就来了,你必须在同一天再下很多盘棋。

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but I think more interesting situation is not in classical chess but it's in Rapid and Blitz tournaments where you have a failure you fail to win a winning position or you lose um a painful game and then that's when a difficult part comes when you have to play a lot more games that very same very s same day.

那时你甚至会看到我自己,你试图做正确的事情,但你的思维就是无法平衡,所以你最终会陷入螺旋式下降。

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and that's when you can see even myself just you try to do the right things but your mind just cannot be balance so you end up sort of you end up sort of spiraling um and that's what I find really really difficult.

你输棋后会承担更多风险,这很有趣,对吧?

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it's interesting that you take more risks after losing right?

因为在生活中大多数情况下,人们输了之后会承担更少风险。

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because in most situations in life people take less risk after losing.

这取决于情况,但我认为平均而言,是的,我会承担更多风险。

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it will depend on the situation but I think on average yes I will take I will take more risks.

投资者通常在亏损后会承担更少风险。

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investors generally take less risk after losing.

是的,在我最近的比赛中,我早早输了一盘棋。

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yeah um in my most recent tournament um I did lose a game early on um and and that was I I made two draws and then I lost one so I was sort of minus one not a good score and then I was playing the number two player in the world and then I actually decided that I wasn't going to take any risks like I wanted to stop the bleeding which is not typical of me and this time it actually worked out great.

我下了两盘和棋,然后输了一盘,所以我是负一分,成绩不好。然后我正在和世界排名第二的棋手对弈,我当时决定不冒任何风险,我想止血,这对我来说不常见,但这次效果非常好。

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I sort of managed to steer the game into fairly Quiet Waters and then I sort of then I sort of started not taking risks but at least I didn't take like I had so many opportunities to steer the game towards the draw and and I and and I didn't.

我设法把比赛引入了相当平静的局面,然后我开始不冒险,或者至少我没有抓住那么多机会把比赛导向和棋。

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but I think just in general like having that little fire in me that I normally have where I really really want to strike back in in classical chess like it's it's I don't know I I think it's just given me a fairly fairly good good balance.

但我认为总的来说,我内心通常有的那种小小的火焰,那种在古典国际象棋中真正想反击的欲望,我不知道,我认为它给了我一个相当好的平衡。

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also like I'm extremely focused after a loss because I don't want to don't want to lose another one so I probably like spend more energy on those games as well.

而且,输棋后我也会非常专注,因为我不想再输一盘,所以我可能也会在那些比赛中投入更多精力。

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do you have the same type of fire as you had when you were younger?

你现在还有年轻时那种激情吗?

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rarely but but sometimes.

很少,但有时有。

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um I had a tournament recently where uh I was um I had a good start but there was um a guy Wei Chinese guy uh who's ranked number 10 in world now he had a Tournament of his life.

我最近参加了一场比赛,我开局不错,但有一个中国棋手韦奕(Wei Yi),他现在世界排名第十,他打出了他职业生涯中最好的一场比赛。

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This was um a rapid and Blitz event and at some point I realized that like a good event is not going to be nearly enough for me like I have to win every single game now and that was my mindset.

这是一场快棋和闪电战比赛,在某个时候我意识到,仅仅打得好对我来说远远不够,我现在必须赢得每一盘棋,这就是我的心态。

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I I I like I was winning these games like purely on on will uh taking like risks here and there and I ended up winning 10 games in a row and I Won Won won the tournament.

我就是凭着意志赢下了这些比赛,偶尔冒点险,最终我连赢了10盘,赢得了比赛。

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um but it's I don't know you cannot always you cannot always do that.

但我不知道,你不能总是那样做。

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uh that was easier for me earlier like now I really I had to fire myself up for.

以前对我来说更容易,现在我真的需要激励自己。

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how do you get into that mental stage?

你是如何进入那种精神状态的?

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I think at that point you sort of have to treat every game as Do or Die really uh you're sort of told that you know you shouldn't do anything special like but I think in those situations a sort of a different mind like these things obviously could go horribly wrong but if you want to try and get on the streak where you just win every single game then yeah I think you just have to to take risks every single game and be like like Survival Mod like 100% for.

我认为在那个时候,你必须把每盘棋都当作生死攸关的比赛,你被告知不应该做任何特别的事情,但我认为在那种情况下,一种不同的心态,这些事情显然可能会出大错,但如果你想尝试连胜每一盘棋,那么,是的,我认为你必须在每盘棋中都冒险,并且进入100%的生存模式。

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but do you do self talk do you go into the bathroom look yourself in the mirror and said Magnus get your finger out sharpen up here?

但你会自言自语吗?你会走进浴室,照着镜子说:“马格努斯,振作起来,集中精神!”吗?

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I don't feel like I don't really need to do that because when I sit down at the board that's what I need to what what I need to do.

我觉得我不需要那样做,因为当我坐在棋盘前时,那就是我需要做的事情。

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but I I do know know that I I need to like put every inch of pressure on my my opponent and and yeah maybe go more from optimistic to solutional probably.

但我确实知道我需要给对手施加每一寸压力,是的,也许要从乐观转向更具解决问题的态度。

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how do you cleanse your mind after a a a loss after a bad game?

在输棋或糟糕的比赛后,你如何清理思绪?

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when I lose it kind of depends on how I lose.

我输棋时,这取决于我如何输。

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if I feel that I did a lot of things well but at a certain moment I didn't calculate deeply enough if I did something that I if I made a mistake that I I know that I can make and it's not a mistake necessarily of negligence then I'm sort of it annoys me but I'm sort of fine with that and and then my mindset is basically we move on.

如果我觉得我很多地方做得很好,但在某个时刻计算不够深入,如果我犯了一个我知道自己会犯的错误,而且这个错误不一定是疏忽造成的,那么我虽然会有点恼火,但也能接受,我的心态基本上就是继续前进。

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if I know that I've made avoidable mistakes if my mindset was wrong all of these things yeah then I I have to try and reset um completely like just take a minute to myself like focus on breathing try and be somewhere else for for a moment and uh and see if I can get it back.

如果我知道我犯了可以避免的错误,如果我的心态不对,所有这些事情,那么我必须尝试完全重置,比如给自己一分钟,专注于呼吸,尝试暂时置身事外,然后看看我能否恢复过来。

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but it's yeah it's it's at that moment is is not easy um if you don't have a day uh to recover then is usually hard to get back.

但,是的,在那一刻并不容易,如果你没有一整天的时间来恢复,通常很难恢复过来。

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if you make a bad move in your in your personal life do you manage to put it behind you quickly as well?

如果你在个人生活中犯了一个“臭棋”,你也能很快放下吗?

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well do you make bad Moves In C life?

嗯,你在生活中会犯“臭棋”吗?

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I think um I think um at times like I will make decisions sometimes like out of NE negligence I will not do the right thing and that's that can be a bit it can be annoying it can be embarrassing I think I experienc a lot of the same emotions that that everybody body does as other people like I find it also really hard to change to change patterns completely.

我认为,有时我确实会做出一些决定,有时是出于疏忽,我没有做正确的事情,那可能会有点烦人,也可能令人尴尬。我想我经历了很多和别人一样的感受,比如我也觉得彻底改变模式非常困难。

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in the fund we have this uh investment simulator where we analyze mistakes investment mistakes and you of course have your famous chess engine what do you what do you get out of that?

在基金中,我们有这个投资模拟器,我们分析投资错误,你当然有你著名的国际象棋引擎,你从中得到了什么?

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I do find it interesting to look at my games with engines after and I like I always do that um but it's very important to be able ident to identify what are sort of human mistakes and and what are um what are the mistakes that only like computers can identify because you cannot condition yourself to try and play like an engine or at least with my style I cannot.

我确实觉得赛后用引擎回顾我的比赛很有趣,我总是这样做,但非常重要的是要能够识别哪些是人类的错误,哪些是只有计算机才能识别的错误,因为你无法训练自己像引擎一样下棋,至少以我的风格来说是这样。

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um so at certain times like looking at games with engines like you have to be you have to try and understand what you did wrong even if the reason is non-intuitive um in order to learn but you cannot base you cannot base everything on that because your opponents they will continue to be human and make human um errors and also yeah make good and bad moves as as humans not as engin.

所以有时,用引擎看比赛时,你必须努力理解自己哪里做错了,即使原因是非直觉的,以便学习,但你不能把所有东西都建立在此基础上,因为你的对手仍然是人类,会犯人类的错误,也会像人类一样下出好棋和坏棋,而不是像引擎一样。

身体健康与人工智能在国际象棋中的演变

我听你谈论过身体健康以及它如何影响你的比赛,以及某种程度上你的心理健康。

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I've heard you talk about um physical health and how that uh impacts your games and and in a way your mental health just how how do you feel that they're Interlink?

你觉得它们是如何相互关联的?

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I mean you're you're a fit guy right?

我是说,你是个健康的人,对吧?

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I think for anything if your body is fit your mind is fit you're going to perform better.

我认为对于任何事情,如果你的身体健康,你的思维也健康,你就会表现得更好。

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I've probably been lazier in the last few years when it comes to when it comes to Fitness than than I was before.

在健身方面,我过去几年可能比以前更懒惰了。

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um wait how many how many times a week do you work out?

你一周锻炼几次?

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I've never had a schedule much so now nowadays I golf a lot so I do get um like my steps every single day.

我从来没有固定的日程,所以现在我经常打高尔夫,所以每天都能达到我的步数。

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I play a bit of paddle I do when I'm at home I probably do like once a week uh strength workout but I don't particularly like that.

我打一点板式网球,我在家的时候可能一周做一次力量训练,但我不太喜欢那个。

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um so I was definitely like fitter before when I was my in my early 20s I would win a lot of games purely on stamina because I was like physically stronger.

所以,我以前肯定更健康,在我20出头的时候,我很多比赛纯粹是靠耐力赢的,因为我身体更强壮。

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but yeah nowadays I find it find it difficult to to sort of be in that shape.

但现在,我发现要保持那种状态很难。

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how was your golf?

你的高尔夫打得怎么样?

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I started Golf last year uh and I really enjoy it um but I'm I'm not very good but it it's um it's a way for me to at least you know uh get some exercise every single day.

我去年开始打高尔夫,我很喜欢,但我打得不太好,不过这至少是我每天锻炼的一种方式。

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when we go back and look at your uh your history and I think yourself you say that you were at really at the top of your game in 13 and 19 what what stand out with those years?

当我们回顾你的历史,我想你自己也说你在2013年和2019年达到了巅峰,那些年份有什么突出之处?

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I think 13 14 um I was really fit I just started working with a new coach that helped a bit that I had some some ideas but it was not only that I think it was just at that time was sort of at my Peak like close to my Peak physically and mentally.

我认为2013年和2014年,我身体非常好,我刚开始和一位新教练合作,他给我带来了一些想法,这有所帮助,但不仅仅是这样,我认为那时我在身体和精神上都接近巅峰状态。

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and then 2019 I think I just had a period where I had like a lot of leftover preparation from the world championship in 2018.

然后是2019年,我认为我只是有一段时间,有很多2018年世界冠军赛的遗留准备。

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I couldn't really that 2018 um the match was all draws 12 games but they were extremely high quality so when I came to other games uh other tournaments later I wasn't n playing that one game guy all the time so uh I could use some of the preparation like other people were sort of more forgiving uh so I think that was like a very specific moment and also that was the start of AI in chess that that was the start of people working with uh with neural Nets so that gave some people an edge uh because some people learned how to work with them to find new ideas quickly uh and so like in in a few months time you could suddenly be ahead in the openings in a way you couldn't uh you couldn't be for years before that uh so I think that was like a very specific Moment In Time whether that would have carried on a bit in 2020 if it hadn't been for everything closing down I'm not sure but I think that was just a very specific moment in time cuz ever since then um I've had like ups and downs but my level has been quite consistently uh a little bit lower than in 2019.

我无法真正做到,2018年的比赛都是和棋,共12盘,但质量极高,所以后来我参加其他比赛时,我不是一直和那同一个人下棋,所以我可以使用一些准备,其他人也比较宽容,所以我认为那是一个非常特殊的时刻,也是人工智能在国际象棋中开始的时刻,人们开始使用神经网络引擎(Neural Network Engines: 基于人工智能神经网络的国际象棋引擎,能够通过学习而非编程来评估局面)工作,这让一些人获得了优势,因为有些人学会了如何利用它们快速找到新想法,所以在几个月内,你就能在开局方面突然领先,这是之前几年无法做到的,所以我认为那是一个非常特殊的时刻,如果不是因为一切都关闭,2020年是否会延续下去,我不确定,但我认为那只是一个非常特殊的时刻,因为从那时起,我虽然有起伏,但我的水平一直比2019年略低。

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um what do you feel about ai's involvement in chess?

你对人工智能在国际象棋中的参与有何看法?

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I think there was a very specific moment when AI was extremely exciting for players and coaches.

我认为有一个非常特殊的时刻,人工智能对棋手和教练来说极其令人兴奋。

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now it's still interesting to see especially if you compare uh neural Nets to uh traditional chess engines and also hybrid engines how differently they think but now everybody sort of has their same tools so working with them is definitely a lot less uh exciting and it's more the now they've probably um contributed to evening the playing field even more.

现在仍然很有趣,特别是如果你比较神经网络引擎和传统国际象棋引擎以及混合引擎,看看它们的思维方式有多么不同,但现在每个人都拥有相同的工具,所以与它们一起工作肯定不那么令人兴奋了,而且它们可能进一步拉平了竞争环境。

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what what has it added to your game the newer uh neural network engines?

新的神经网络引擎为你的比赛带来了什么?

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they've uh definitely contributed to um the way that I evaluate um sort of time and material I mean broadly um and also King safety uh my view on the importance of King safety shortterm and long term has changed and I think my understanding has improved so much since 2019.

它们无疑改变了我评估时间和物质的方式,广义上来说,还有王的安全。我对王的安全在短期和长期重要性的看法已经改变,我认为自2019年以来我的理解有了很大的提高。

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in what ways?

在哪些方面?

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you have more now of an understanding of how both like taking time to build a safe King sacrificing material to weaken your uh opponent's king or safeguarding your own king um these are things that humans are intuitively not very good at and it's a thing that engines used to be even worse at and now these neural Nets they understand it well they don't understand understand but they do it so well um that we're we're learning a lot from that and I've had to re-evaluate a lot of things for sure.

你现在对如何花时间建立一个安全的王,牺牲物质来削弱对手的王,或者保护自己的王有了更多的理解。这些是人类凭直觉不擅长的事情,而且引擎以前在这方面更差,但现在这些神经网络引擎做得非常好,我们从中学到了很多,我肯定不得不重新评估很多事情。

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what do you think is the most value aspect that humans can still add to this game?

你认为人类仍然能为这项运动带来最有价值的方面是什么?

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there used to be a thing called anti- engine chess I don't think that would work anymore uh supposedly like engines did not play well in closed positions that are more strategical less tactical that is less of the case anymore.

以前有一种叫做“反引擎国际象棋”的东西,我认为现在已经行不通了。据说引擎在更具战略性、较少战术性的封闭局面中表现不佳,但现在这种情况已经很少了。

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essentially humans can play chess and they can they can explain to other humans what the engines mean but I don't think we can do a lot more than that.

本质上,人类可以下国际象棋,他们可以向其他人解释引擎的含义,但我认为我们能做的也仅限于此了。

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I think for training purposes having a human touch is really good still but honestly like you can get really good at chess these days without any human input.

我认为出于训练目的,有人类指导仍然非常好,但老实说,现在你可以在没有任何人类输入的情况下,在国际象棋方面变得非常出色。

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and where do you where do you think this will take chess over the next decade?

你认为未来十年国际象棋会走向何方?

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I think chess will get faster and faster at a high level.

我认为在高水平比赛中,国际象棋会变得越来越快。

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I don't know if this is direction that we we were going to go but I'm very excited about the prospect of playing chess 960 um which is basically that the pieces on the first rank are being uh ran randomly chosen on before the game so you end up with playing without opening Theory and I find that extremely exciting to play.

我不知道这是否是我们会走的方向,但我对下国际象棋960(Chess960: 一种国际象棋变体,开局时第一排棋子的位置随机排列,以减少开局理论的影响)的前景感到非常兴奋,它基本上是开局前第一排棋子随机排列,这样你就不用依赖开局理论(Opening Theory: 国际象棋开局阶段的既定走法和策略)下棋,我觉得这玩起来非常刺激。

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if you're going to play with longer time controls I feel now with longer time controls the game is just a bit too easy and forgiving with all the preparation you have but overall yeah I think everything that's happening in chess with engines and preparation is just going to mean that we have to play faster chess in order for there to be enough room to both show your strengths and and weaknesses.

如果你要使用更长的时间控制,我现在觉得在更长的时间控制下,由于你所有的准备,比赛有点太容易和宽容了,但总的来说,是的,我认为国际象棋中所有与引擎和准备相关的事情,都意味着我们必须下更快的国际象棋,才能有足够的空间来展现你的优势和劣势。

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G given all the uh AI uh interference or uh uh involvement in chess are you surprised that it's still so popular and people find it so exciting?

鉴于人工智能在国际象棋中的所有干预或参与,你是否惊讶它仍然如此受欢迎,人们仍然觉得它如此令人兴奋?

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the thing about Chess is that it's complicated but it's also it's also simple enough.

国际象棋的特点是它很复杂,但它也足够简单。

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I think people like that it's relatively easy to to not to understand but but to play.

我认为人们喜欢它相对容易玩,而不是容易理解。

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also I think it's as simple as the queen is a really strong piece uh people like like that the pieces are relatively powerful compared to other games.

另外,我认为它就像皇后是一个非常强大的棋子一样简单,人们喜欢棋子相对于其他游戏来说相对强大。

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and uh I I think it doesn't necessarily matter that much that we're so terrible at it compared to compared to engines.

而且,我认为与引擎相比,我们在这方面如此糟糕,这并不那么重要。

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um it's made the game less mysterious serous for sure.

它无疑让比赛变得不那么神秘了。

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chess players used to be magicians on the board were clearly not anymore uh since everybody can see now what we do right and what we do wrong but that's also the good thing it's made it more accessible.

国际象棋棋手过去是棋盘上的魔术师,现在显然不是了,因为每个人都能看到我们做对了什么,做错了什么,但这也是好事,它让比赛更容易接触了。

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chess used to be this mystery where nobody understood what was going on like humans sort of had to explain that but now humans only have to explain why um the engine which basically is very close to the truth why it's showing the score that it does and this means that people can follow the score and honestly like most people watch sports or games for entertainment they are not that interested in all the technical aspects they mostly want to watch the score to see what who wins and and if it's fast then then better so I think overall no I'm not particularly surprised that chess is still popular.

国际象棋过去是一个谜,没有人理解发生了什么,人类不得不解释,但现在人类只需要解释为什么引擎(基本上非常接近真相)会显示那样的分数,这意味着人们可以关注分数,老实说,大多数人看体育或比赛是为了娱乐,他们对所有技术方面并不那么感兴趣,他们主要想看比分,看看谁赢了,如果速度快,那就更好了,所以我认为总的来说,不,我对国际象棋仍然受欢迎并不特别惊讶。

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would if it have been as popular if it was invented now?

如果它现在才被发明,它还会这么受欢迎吗?

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I'm not sure but chess has such a rich historical background as well as modern to tools to follow it so I think um probably a lot of good things are still in store.

我不确定,但国际象棋拥有如此丰富的历史背景,以及现代的工具来追踪它,所以我认为,可能还有很多好事情在等着我们。

个人生活与未来展望

最后几个问题,你有没有经历过冒名顶替综合症(Impulser Syndrome: 又称冒充者综合症,指尽管有外部证据证明其能力,个体仍认为自己不够好或不配成功)?

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last few questions here do have you ever had the impulser syndrome?

我并不认为自己特别聪明、天才或智力超群,所以是的,我曾有过这样的时刻,我看到我认为比我聪明的人在国际象棋上表现更差,这真的让我有时怀疑自己是否真的这么好,是不是所有人都只是在愚弄我。

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I don't consider myself particularly brilliant genius or or that intelligent so yes I've had times where I've seen people whom I consider to be smarter than I am do worse at chess and it m really makes me wonder whether sometimes whether I'm actually this good are PE are everybody just fooling me?

最近这种感觉少了,我现在更多地接受了它,但我曾遇到过一些杰出的人,他们和我说话时好像我是房间里最聪明的人,这让我很不舒服,因为我把自己看作一个聪明但不算天才的人,只是碰巧找到了自己能做得非常好的事情。

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um less recently I've sort of accepted it more now but I've had brilliant people talk to me as if I'm the smartest person in the room and that really makes me uncomfortable because I see myself as an intelligent but not brilliant guy who happened to find the one thing that he can do really really well.

你认为这种心态是你如此成功的原因吗?

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do you think this mindset is the reason why you're being so successful?

我认为这种心态无疑让我保持了脚踏实地,我认为这对我的国际象棋生涯非常有益,但我不能说这就是原因,因为我不知道。

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I think this mindset has definitely kept me I kept me grounded and I think it's been really good for me in chess but I cannot say that this or that is the reason because I don't know.

有没有哪位导师或教练的建议让你铭记至今?

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is there a piece of advice from a mentor or coach that has stuck with you forever?

多年来我得到了很多好建议,但我认为最好的建议可能是我在很小的时候从西兰(C Lan)那里得到的。

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I've had a lot of good advice over the years but I think maybe the best advice that I got was from C Lan at a fairly early age.

他不是我的主要教练,但他可能每周或每两周会和我见面一次,取决于我是否参加比赛等等。

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he was not my main coach or anything but we would probably meet up once a week or every two weeks depending on whether I was playing tournaments and so on.

然后我们会回顾我的一些比赛,有一次他注意到我连续几盘黑棋都下了西西里防御(Sicilian Defense: 国际象棋开局中一种常见的防御策略)的同一个变着。

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um and then we would go through some of my games and once he noticed that for a few black games in a row I'd played the same variation of the Sicilian Defense.

他说:“我不在乎你认为这个开局是好是坏,如果你不去探索,你就不会学习。”

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and he said I don't care whether you consider this to be good or a bad opening if you're not going if you're not going to um explore then you're not going to learn.

所以他走到书架前,他和我一样,不是一个很有条理的人,他走到书架前,说:“这本书,这个开局,去学这个。”

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and so he said he just went to a shelf like he's he's like me he's not a very organized person he went to the shelf and he said said this book this opening learn this instead.

于是我学会了那个开局,在下一盘棋中尝试了,然后我又尝试了其他东西。

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and so I learned that open opening I tried that in the next game then I then I tried something tried something else.

这种始终保持好奇心,思考学习而不是墨守成规的心态对我来说非常重要。

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and that thing like always being curious thinking about learning rather than being um stuck in in sort of the same comfortable patterns has been has been really important to me.

除了高尔夫,你现在生活中还在尝试学习和探索其他什么东西?

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and in addition to to golf what are other things you're trying to learn and explore in your in your normal life these days?

我正在尝试学习西班牙语,因为过一段时间我将搬到西班牙。

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I'm I'm trying to learn Spanish um because I will be moving to Spain after a bit.

你为什么要搬到西班牙?

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why are you moving to Spain?

因为天气。

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because of weather.

我经历了很多挪威的冬天,但我感觉自己足够幸运,可以选择住在哪里。

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um I've I've had you know um I've had a lot of winters in Norway but I feel like I'm privileged enough that I can I can sort of choose more where to to live.

我仍然想在挪威度过一些时间,但我可能不想在这里度过六个月的冬天。

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I still want to spend time in Norway but I probably don't want to spend six months of winter here.

除此之外,我的生活乐趣相当简单。

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but apart from that I have fairly Simple Pleasures in in life.

去年我曾想过要尝试开辟一条新的职业道路,可以与国际象棋同时进行,但到目前为止我还没有真正找到,而且到目前为止我也没有因此感到不快乐。

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so I had times last year where I thought that I was going to try and carve out sort of a new career path that I could pursue at the same time as chess but so far I haven't really found it and also so far I haven't been any less happy because of it.

最后,你对年轻人有什么建议?

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now last thing um what is your advice to young people?

保持好奇心,学习,阅读,下国际象棋,但不要把它作为职业,除非你能成为世界第一。

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be curious learn read and play chess but don't pursue it as a career unless you're going to be the best in the world.

好的,马格努斯,你真是个魔术师,非常感谢你来到这里,非常感谢。

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all right good mag you are a real magician uh big thanks for for being here thank you so much thanks.

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