美国情报报告挑战特朗普政府对伊朗军事实力的论调
《纽约时报》的播报指出，秘密的美国情报评估显示，伊朗的军事实力远比特朗普政府（Trump administration）所宣称的要强大。尽管美国国防部长皮特·海格塞斯（Pete Hegseth）声称联合美以军事行动“摧毁了伊朗的军事能力”，特朗普总统（President Trump）也曾断言伊朗“在军事上已一无所有”，但解密情报却有力地反驳了这些说法。报告显示，伊朗仍保留了战前约70%的导弹储备，几乎恢复了其在霍尔木兹海峡（Strait of Hormuz）沿线的全部导弹发射点，以及约90%的地下导弹储存和发射设施。据《纽约时报》采访的官员透露，这在一定程度上归因于美国军方在战争初期的一个战术性权衡：由于精确制导弹药（bunker-busting bombs）供应有限，美军选择封堵而非彻底摧毁许多伊朗的导弹设施。总体而言，此次评估表明美国低估了伊朗的韧性及其恢复能力。
就情报内容，白宫发言人（White House spokesman）重申了特朗普关于伊朗军队已被“粉碎”的说法。代理五角大楼新闻秘书（acting Pentagon press secretary）则指责《纽约时报》等媒体充当“伊朗政权的公关代理”。
Original English
From The New York Times, it's The
[music] Headlines. I'm Will Jarvis in
for Tracy Mumford. Today is Wednesday,
May 13th. Here's what we're covering.
The Times has learned that secret US
intelligence assessments show Iran's
military remains much stronger than the
Trump administration has claimed. By any
measure,
Epic Fury decimated Iran's military and
rendered it combat ineffective for years
to come. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth
has said that the joint US Israeli
campaign obliterated Iran's military
capabilities. And President Trump has
claimed that Iran has, quote, nothing
left in a military sense. But the
classified intelligence sharply
undercuts that. It shows Iran still has
roughly 70% of its pre-war missile
stockpile. The country has also restored
access to almost all of its missile
sites along the Strait of Hormuz. And
Iran has access to roughly 90% of its
underground missile storage and launch
facilities. Officials The Times talked
to said that's in part because of a
tactical trade-off made by the US
military early in the war. It only had a
limited supply of bunker-busting bombs.
So it decided to try and just seal off
the entrances to many of Iran's missile
facilities instead of destroying them
completely.
Overall, the assessment suggests the US
underestimated Iran's resilience and its
ability to bounce back.
[music]
In response to questions about the
intelligence, a White House spokesman
repeated Trump's previous claims that
Iran's military has been crushed. And
the acting Pentagon press secretary
accused The Times and other media
outlets of acting as, quote, public
relations agents for the Iranian regime.
美国通货膨胀加速，民众经济压力增大
与此同时，随着战事持续，新的联邦数据（federal data）显示通货膨胀（inflation）已加速。美国消费者价格（Consumer prices）上月以三年来最快速度上涨，主要受能源价格（energy prices）推动。这不仅体现在汽油和机票价格上，也影响着任何需要通过柴油卡车或船只运输的商品，这意味着绝大多数商品的价格都将受到影响。当特朗普总统（President Trump）被问及美国民众的经济痛苦是否会促使他结束战争时，他直言“一点也不会”。他表示，唯一重要的是“关于伊朗，他们不能拥有核武器”，并称自己不考虑美国的财政状况，只考虑这一核心目标。
面对汽油（gas）、食品杂货（groceries）及其他必需品价格的上涨，越来越多的美国家庭不得不通过借贷（borrowing money）来维持生计，并纷纷申请新的信用卡（credit cards）。这一趋势在最近物价飙升之前就已经显现。截至几个月前，美国的信用卡余额已创下1.3万亿美元的纪录。
Original English
[music]
Meanwhile, as the war continues, new
federal data shows that inflation has
accelerated. Consumer prices in the US
rose last month at [music] the fastest
rate in 3 years. The increase was driven
largely by energy prices. People are
feeling that not just at the pump and
with airline tickets, but with any goods
that have to be transported by a
diesel-fueled truck or on a boat, which
is a lot of things. When President Trump
was asked yesterday about whether
Americans' economic pain was motivating
him to wrap up the war, he had a blunt
answer. Not even a little bit. The only
thing that matters is when I'm talking
about Iran, they can't have a nuclear
weapon. I don't think about
American financial situation. I don't
think about anybody. I think about
Facing the rise in prices for gas,
groceries, and other staples, more and
more American households are borrowing
money to get by and signing up for new
credit cards. That trend was already in
the works even before these latest
spikes. As of a couple months ago,
credit card balances in the US had
reached a record 1.3 trillion dollars.
备受争议的“鳄鱼阿尔卡特拉斯”拘留中心即将关闭
《纽约时报》获悉，位于佛罗里达大沼泽地（Florida Everglades）中心的、备受争议的**“鳄鱼阿尔卡特拉斯”（Alligator Alcatraz）拘留中心即将关闭。该中心建于去年，设有多顶帐篷，以其孤立**（isolation）和恶劣环境（harsh surroundings）为特点，被宣传为独一无二。特朗普总统（President Trump）和佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯（Florida Governor Ron DeSantis）曾极力推广该中心的绰号，并表示其存在本身就能鼓励无证移民（undocumented immigrants）自行遣返（self-deport）。该中心还被视为联邦与州之间（federal-state）移民合作（cooperation on immigration）的典范，由佛罗里达州运营，联邦政府负责报销。然而，美国国土安全部（Department of Homeland Security）现已认定该偏远地点成本过高，并将予以关闭。据多位知情人士透露，佛罗里达州每天花费逾百万美元运营该中心，并仍在等待联邦政府偿还超过6亿美元的款项。在其短暂的开放时间里，该中心因条件恶劣而饱受批评，被拘留者描述为不卫生（unsanitary）和不人道（inhumane），帐篷漏雨、淋浴不频繁、缺乏药物获取途径。佛罗里达州官员则坚称这些说法“完全不实”。截至上个月，该中心约有1400名被拘留者，目前尚不清楚他们将被转移到何处，但预计将在下月初完成转移。
Original English
[music]
[music]
The Times has learned that Alligator
Alcatraz, the controversial detention
center in the middle of the Florida
Everglades, is shutting down. We're
surrounded by miles of treacherous
swampland, and the only way out is
really deportation. And
opened last year with tents spread
across an old airfield and was billed as
one of a kind, given its isolation and
harsh surroundings. Why would you want
to come through Alligator Alcatraz if
you can just go home on your own?
President Trump and Florida Governor Ron
DeSantis played up the site's nickname
and said that its very existence would
encourage undocumented immigrants to
self-deport. The center was also talked
up as an example of federal-state
cooperation on immigration, with Florida
operating the facility and the federal
government paying the state back. But
now, the Department of Homeland Security
has determined that the remote site was
too expensive, and Florida is going to
close it down, according to multiple
people familiar with the plans. Florida
has been spending more than a million
dollars a day to run the center, and
it's still waiting to get back more than
$600 million from the federal
government. In the short time that it
was open, the center faced criticism for
conditions there. Detainees described it
as unsanitary and inhumane. Rain leaking
into tents, infrequent showers, lack of
access to medication. Florida officials
have dismissed those claims as
completely false. As of last month,
there were about 1,400 detainees held at
the center. It's not clear where they
will go now, but they're expected to be
moved out by the beginning of next
month.
美国东南部野火季异常严峻，气候变化加剧风险
在美国东南部（southeastern US），消防员正处于灭火一线，紧急扑救多处火灾。该地区正经历异常提早且强度剧烈（unusually early and unusually intense）的森林火灾季（wildfire season）。大风（high winds）助长了火势，而弥漫的烟雾（smoke）笼罩了亚特兰大（Atlanta），导致空气质量恶化。佐治亚州（Georgia）和佛罗里达州（Florida）的大火，是由该地区肆虐的严重干旱（drought）驱动的。数月以来，该地区一直未能获得充足的降雨。
恶劣的气候条件（conditions）使得火势变得极其危险且难以控制，佐治亚州林业部门（Georgia forestry official）的一位官员形容火焰高达数十英尺。迄今为止，火灾已摧毁至少120所房屋，并导致一名消防员牺牲。东南部地区因其广阔的木材种植园（timber plantations）被称为“国家的木材粮仓”，如今其中一些也正在燃烧。
研究表明，该地区火灾（fires）日益频繁，科学家们怀疑这是气候变化（climate change）的结果。即使是过去不常发生火灾的区域，如湿地（wetlands），现在也开始着火。
Original English
[music]
Firefighters on the front lines urgently
racing to put out several blazes from
the ground to the air. In the
southeastern US, states are seeing an
unusually early and unusually intense
start to wildfire season. The embers
spread by high winds and the smoke now
draped over Atlanta, making the air
Large fires in Georgia and Florida are
being driven by severe, widespread
drought that's been gripping the region.
We have not seen the proper amount of
rain for months and months on end. Let's
take a look
conditions have made the blazes
extremely dangerous and harder to
contain, with one Georgia forestry
official describing flames dozens of
feet high. So far, the fires have
destroyed at least 120 homes and one
firefighter has been killed. The
southeast is known as the nation's wood
basket due to the sprawling timber
plantations there, some of which are now
burning.
Overall, research has shown that fires
in the region are becoming more
frequent, which scientists suspect is a
result of climate change. Even areas
that haven't traditionally burned in the
past, like wetlands, are now catching
[music] on fire.
欧洲歌唱大赛因以色列参与引发争议与抵制
欧洲歌唱大赛（Eurovision SONG CONTEST）已于昨晚拉开帷幕。这场盛大的、充满闪耀（glittery）元素的年度赛事是全球观看人数最多的文化活动之一，吸引了30多个国家的歌手参赛，观众投票数以百万计。然而，政治争议笼罩了本届大赛，特别是关于以色列的参与（Israel's involvement）及其试图影响赛事的行为。去年，以色列在观众投票（popular vote）中获得第二名，曾出乎许多人意料，尤其是在一些反以色列情绪较高的国家。
《纽约时报》的调查揭示，以色列政府（Israeli government）曾试图利用欧洲歌唱大赛作为一项公关活动（PR campaign），以改善其在加沙战争（war in Gaza）引发的国际谴责（outcry）声中本国公众形象（public image）。去年的措施包括投入资金推广以色列的参赛者，其中部分资金来自总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡（Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu）领导的一个负责海外宣传（overseas propaganda）的办公室。报道称，这一行为打破了当时的常规，且通过获取部分国家的投票数据，发现影响欧洲歌唱大赛的结果“出奇地容易”。尽管过去其他国家政府也曾介入，但以色列去年的介入程度是前所未有的。
对于质疑，欧洲歌唱大赛总监（director of Eurovision）向《纽约时报》表示，以色列的行为“过度”，但否认影响了最终结果。今年，包括西班牙（Spain）、爱尔兰（Ireland）和冰岛（Iceland）在内的五个国家因以色列的参与而全面抵制（boycotting）本届大赛。据莫里斯（Morris）称，欧洲歌唱大赛正因此遭受打击，面临资金损失（losing money）和赞助商流失（struggling with sponsors），收视率（通常超过1.6亿人）也可能出现下滑。
Original English
And finally, Let the Eurovision SONG
CONTEST BEGIN! Eurovision kicked off
last night.
I CAN'T HEAR YOU.
THE campy glittery spectacle is the most
watched cultural events on the planet
with singers from more than 30 countries
competing and viewers casting millions
of votes.
You, you, you and you at home. All of
you can vote [music] and decide how this
evening unfolds.
It's supposed to just be about who has
the best song and the competition is
adamant that it has nothing to do with
politics, but a controversy over
Israel's involvement and what the
country has done to try and influence
the contest has engulfed Eurovision. So
when Israel came in second last year and
won the popular vote, it was surprising.
I was at a watch party at the time. I
remember people gasped audibly. You
know, some of these countries where
Israel won, anti-Israel sentiment was
actually quite high at the time. And so
we set out to understand how that could
happen. My colleagues Mara Vistendal and
Alex Marshall have been looking at how
the Israeli government tried to use
Eurovision basically as a PR campaign, a
way to try and shore up the country's
public image amid outcry over the war in
Gaza.
Last year that included throwing money
into marketing the Israeli contestant.
We found that some of that money came
from an office under Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu that's essentially
tasked with overseas propaganda.
It definitely broke norms at the time
and you know, you could ask, well, why
spend this much on social media ads and
do those ads really have an effect? But
we learned because we were able to
obtain vote data from some countries
that it's actually surprisingly easy to
influence Eurovision results. And you
know, other governments have gotten
involved in Eurovision in the past to
some degree, but nothing to the extent
of what we saw with Israel in our
reporting.
[music]
In response to questions, the director
of Eurovision told the Times that
Israel's actions were excessive but
denied that they affected the outcome.
This year five countries are boycotting
Eurovision entirely over Israel's
involvement including Spain, Ireland,
and Iceland. Morris says Eurovision is
taking a hit with all of this losing
money struggling with sponsors and it's
possible that viewership which usually
numbers over 160 million [music] people
could see a dip.
其他新闻与节目预告
最后，《纽约时报》播报的“头条新闻”部分结束。今日的“每日要闻”（what to know）节目将关注特朗普总统（President Trump）的中国之行，他将于今日早些时候抵达。听众可在**《纽约时报》App**（New York Times app）或任何播客平台收听。主持人威尔·贾维斯（Will Jarvis）表示，节目将在明日由特蕾西·蒙福德（Tracy Mumford）继续。
Original English
[music]
Those are the headlines. Today on the
daily what to know about President
Trump's visit to China [music] where
he's set to land this morning.
You can listen to that in the New York
Times app or wherever you get your
podcasts. I'm Will Jarvis. The show will
be back tomorrow with Tracy Mumford.
[music]