Z世代的世界观:无人拯救与财富追求
主持人: 大家好,各位《Odd Lots》(Bloomberg旗下专注于金融和经济的播客节目)的听众。
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Hello OddLots listeners. You are listening to another special episode of the podcast.
主持人: 你们正在收听播客的另一期特别节目,它于7月26日在纽约市录制。
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It was recorded in New York City on July 26th. In this uh conversation, we talked to Emily Sunberg of the FeedMe newsletter.
主持人: 在这次对话中,我们与《FeedMe newsletter》(Emily Sundberg的个人电子报)的Emily Sundberg进行了交流。
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We are talking about how Gen Z sees the world, how they think about capitalism, how they think about money, how they think about investing, how they think about spending it, and how they think about how nobody is coming to save them.
主持人: 我们讨论了Z世代(Generation Z: 通常指1990年代中期至2010年代初期出生的一代人)如何看待世界,他们如何看待资本主义、金钱、投资、消费,以及他们如何看待“没有人会来拯救他们”的观念。
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That's right. I don't think it's a secret at this point that Gen Z seems to love uh stock market investing and things like that, trying to make money. So, take a listen.
主持人: 没错。我认为现在Z世代似乎热爱股市投资以及类似的事情,努力赚钱,这已经不是秘密了。所以,请听。
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First question been on my mind the last couple of days. you have a very like young plugged in like sort of business capitalism audience. What percentage of your readers do you think voted for uh Zoron?
主持人: 过去几天我一直在思考的第一个问题是:你的读者群体非常年轻,对商业资本主义非常关注。你认为你的读者中有多少百分比投票给了佐伦?
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Um a young man, I think he was 19, a Yale student emailed me this morning and asked if I could put that poll in my newsletter and I I didn't. It felt a little late, but I should have. I'm guessing 65% cautiously like Yeah. Hm.
Emily Sunberg: 嗯,今天早上一个年轻人,我想他19岁,是耶鲁大学的学生,给我发邮件问我是否可以在我的电子报中加入那个投票,但我没有。感觉有点晚了,但我应该做的。我谨慎地猜测大概有65%的人会投。
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Can you maybe describe your sort of average reader just for people who might not be aware like what population are you plugged into here?
主持人: 你能描述一下你的普通读者是什么样的吗?对于那些可能不了解的人来说,你所接触的是怎样的一个群体?
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So, I don't know if any of you use Substack, but they don't give you these analytics. So, all of my data about my readership has been quite anecdotal from just looking at people's profiles in the comment section and seeing who shows up to my parties.
Emily Sunberg: 我不知道你们有没有人用Substack(一个允许作者发布电子报并向订阅者收费的平台),但他们不提供这些分析数据。所以,我所有关于读者群的数据都是相当零散的,来自于查看评论区的人的资料,以及看谁来参加我的派对。
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But, do any of you read it? Like if I do. Okay. So, some of that's some my audience.
Emily Sunberg: 但是,你们有人读过吗?比如,如果我读过。好的。所以,那一部分是我的听众。
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I like to say that my readership is everyone from bartenders to billionaires, but I would say like if you're paying $80 a year for a newsletter, then you're probably making a decent amount of money or you're at least interested in making money.
Emily Sunberg: 我喜欢说我的读者群涵盖了从调酒师到亿万富翁的各种人,但我想说,如果你每年支付80美元订阅一份电子报,那么你很可能收入不错,或者至少对赚钱感兴趣。
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And I think it's a mostly New York audience, 30 to 45ish.
Emily Sunberg: 我认为我的读者主要在纽约,年龄大约在30到45岁之间。
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But if you come to my parties, you'll see who else there is. But I I would say like people interested in in making money and somewhat interested in New York City business and culture.
Emily Sunberg: 但如果你来参加我的派对,你就会看到还有谁。不过我想说,我的读者是对赚钱感兴趣,并且对纽约市的商业和文化也有一定兴趣的人。
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So the first time several tries to get you on the podcast, but finally making it happen. And I wanted to talk about like Gen Z and capitalism because I feel like millennials and maybe Gen X, but millennials in particular like sort of had this lovehate relation, like sort of apologized for wanting money, sort of ambivalent about it.
主持人: 之前我们几次尝试邀请你上播客,但这次终于成功了。我想谈谈Z世代和资本主义,因为我觉得千禧一代(Millennials: 通常指1980年代初期至1990年代中期出生的一代人),也许还有X世代(Gen X: 通常指1960年代中期至1980年代初期出生的一代人),但尤其是千禧一代,对金钱有一种爱恨交织的关系,他们似乎为自己想要钱而感到抱歉,对此有些矛盾。
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And I get the impression that the younger generation is like much more comfortable with like, yeah, we want to make a ton of money.
主持人: 而我得到的印象是,年轻一代对此要坦然得多,他们会说:“是的,我们想赚很多钱。”
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And so I'm like curious. Yeah. So talk about if that's correct, this perception.
主持人: 所以我很好奇。是的。那么,请谈谈这种看法是否正确。
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I think one thing that's very clear about Gen Z is that they've repeatedly been told nobody is coming to save you.
Emily Sunberg: 我认为关于Z世代有一点非常清楚,那就是他们被反复告知“没有人会来拯救你”。
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You're going to graduate into a job market that barely exists. And if you get a job, you might not even have a desk or an office to go into.
Emily Sunberg: 你将毕业进入一个几乎不存在的就业市场。即使你找到工作,可能连一张办公桌或一个办公室都没有。
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A lot of them were home during COVID and they're also seeing like shootings in schools all the time and they're seeing their capital getting sworn like they're it's nobody's coming to save them and it's sort of up to them to make the most of this world while it's still in existence.
Emily Sunberg: 很多人在新冠疫情期间待在家里,他们也经常看到学校枪击事件,他们看到自己的资本被侵蚀,就像没有人会来拯救他们一样,所以他们必须在这个世界仍然存在的时候,尽力利用它。
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And you hear this sense of like get the bag while the world is still here for you to make some money out of it. What was your question?
Emily Sunberg: 你会听到这种感觉,就像“趁着世界还在,赶紧赚钱(get the bag: 俚语,意为赚钱)吧”。你的问题是什么?
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No, that was basically it. Like that's like an overwhelming sentiment that I hear from from these people. Yeah.
主持人: 不,基本上就是这样。这正是我从这些人那里听到的压倒性情绪。是的。
Z世代的财富观:高薪渴望与创作者经济
主持人: 我想,有项调查问了所有世代的人:“你需要拥有什么才能过上好生活?”结果是,其他世代的人说是7万美元左右,而Z世代的人则说是50万美元的年薪,或者类似这样的数字。
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I think it was like some survey and they they asked all the generations like what do you need to have a good life? And it was something like $70,000 whatever and then Jenzie was like $500,000 salary or something like that. Yeah.
Emily Sunberg: 是的,我的意思是,你甚至可以看到,如果你是一个创作者,即使在高盛(Goldman Sachs: 一家全球领先的投资银行和金融服务公司)这样的地方工作,你通过制作“一天生活”的TikTok视频可能比你的工资赚得更多。
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I I mean you're even seeing like if you're a creator even at like Goldman Sachs, you're probably making more money as like making day in the life Tik Toks than you are from your salary.
Emily Sunberg: 而且,创作者经济(creator economy: 创作者通过在线平台直接向受众提供内容和服务并从中获利的经济模式)正在不断发展,你的榜样可能就是那些通过在网上“自嘲”每年赚取数百万美元的人。
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And like there's this growing creator economy and your role model might be somebody who's like made millions and millions of dollars a year from humiliating themselves online.
Emily Sunberg: 而且,进入创作者经济有各种可能性和工具。
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And like there's all these possibilities and tools from entering the creator economy.
Emily Sunberg: 我想彭博社上周发布了一篇报道,指出仅仅是创作者营销的市场现在就达到了330亿美元。它规模巨大。
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Like I think Bloomberg published a story last week that even just the market for creator marketing is like $33 billion now. It's massive.
主持人: 这种“没有人会来拯救你”的观念,我们之前在一期节目中也讨论过,它确实会转化为人们进行彩票式押注(lottery ticket type bets: 指风险极高但潜在回报也极高的投资行为)。
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This idea that no one's coming to save you. We've talked about this on an episode before, but it does feel like that kind of translates into people making these lottery ticket type bets, right?
主持人: 所以,我会投资加密货币(crypto: 一种使用密码学原理来确保交易安全及控制单位创建的数字或虚拟货币),或者进行荒谬的期权交易(options trade: 一种金融衍生品交易,赋予持有人在未来特定时间以特定价格买卖标的资产的权利,而非义务),希望自己能走运,从而拯救自己。
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So, I'll buy into crypto or I'll make a ridiculous options trade or something like that and hope that I just get lucky and save myself.
Emily Sunberg: 嗯,是的。我认为像加密货币这样的东西,也存在一种线上的体育精神和同志情谊。
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Mhm. Yeah. I I think like something with crypto, there's this online sort of sportsmanship and camaraderie around it as well.
Emily Sunberg: 所以,在赚钱方面,既有有趣的竞争,而且这一切也都是非常公开的。
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So there's like this fun competition and making the money and it's all very public as well to me.
Emily Sunberg: 比如,你看到你的同龄人赚了多少钱,赢了多少,你几乎可以看到他们每周带回家多少钱,这让人压力很大。
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Like you're seeing how much your peers are making and winning and you're almost like seeing how much they're taking home each week which is stressful.
AI恐惧与扁平化职业发展
主持人: “没有人会来拯救你”的心态中,有多少是源于人工智能恐惧(AI dread: 对人工智能可能带来的负面影响,如失业、社会变革等的担忧)?比如,我们所知的许多工作可能将不复存在。
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How much of the um nobody is coming to save you mentality is like AI dread. Like jobs as we know them might not exist.
Emily Sunberg: 我认为这占了很大一部分。
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I think a lot of it. Yeah.
主持人: 请详细说说。
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Say more.
Emily Sunberg: 我的意思是,回到这个想法:假设你上周在一个100华氏度的日子里大学毕业,你还没有找到工作,或者你确实找到了一份工作,但你进入的是一家非常扁平化公司(flat company: 组织结构层级较少,权力下放,员工有更多自主权的组织),没有明确的晋升阶梯。
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I mean, back to this idea that say you graduate from college last week on a 100 degree day and you don't have a job lined up yet, or maybe you do have a job lined up and you're entering a very flat company where there's not like a clear ladder for you to climb.
Emily Sunberg: 不仅你的职业生涯发展可能感觉相当平淡,而且最终,无论你是一名文案撰稿人还是从事金融工作,其结局都可能是被大规模裁员和人工智能取代。
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And not only is your timeline there, it probably feels somewhat flat, but the end is like whether you're a copywriter or if you're working in finance, there's like the end of it might be a replacement with mass layoffs and AI coming in to take that job.
Z世代与千禧一代:真实的代际差异
主持人: 我要问一个完全出于私心的问题,Z世代真的讨厌千禧一代吗?这是真的吗?
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I'm going to ask a completely self-interested question, but does Gen Z truly hate the millennial generation? Is that a real thing?
Emily Sunberg: 我不是Z世代。所以,我不是这个世代的代言人。我想我30岁了。
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I'm not Gen Z. So like I'm not like the speaker of the generation. I'm I guess maybe how I'm 30 so
Emily Sunberg: 但我从未认同自己是Z世代,我更认同千禧一代。
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but I never identified as Jenz I'm definitely identify more with millennials.
Emily Sunberg: 我不认为他们真的讨厌千禧一代。我不认为情况是这样。
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I don't think they truly hate millennials. I don't think that's the case.
Emily Sunberg: 我认为千禧一代身上有很多地方,有一种“矫情”的感觉,让人觉得有点尴尬,但这很公平。我同意。是的。
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I think that there's like a lot of parts about there's like this tweess to millennials that is like cringey, but that's fair. I agree. Yeah.
主持人: 我实际上一直在思考这种扁平化公司现象已经有一段时间了。
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I'm really actually um I've actually been thinking about this phenomenon of like really flat companies for a while.
主持人: 所以你刚才说的我觉得非常有趣,因为它真的感觉像是——我们最近和经济学家Ricardo Houseman(一位著名的经济学家,以其在经济发展和增长方面的研究而闻名)做了一期节目,他谈到公司的结构就是有很多不同的人才,但感觉很多公司并没有为普通人提供那种普通的职位。
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So I thought it was like really interesting that you said that because it really feels like and we actually did an episode recently with the economist Ricardo Houseman where he sort of talked about like companies their structure is just they have a lot of different people who are like the talent but it doesn't feel like they're just sort of normal jobs at a lot of companies for people who are just sort of normal to get.
Emily Sunberg: 是的,我在Meta(Facebook的母公司)工作了几年,那里你的职位旁边会有罗马数字(Roman numerals: 古罗马使用的数字系统),如果你是三级或五级,你就会知道公司里每个人赚多少钱。
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Yeah. I worked at Meta for a few years and there there were like these Roman numerals next to your position and you knew how much everybody at the company was making if they were like a three or a five and when you moved from a four to a five it was like $20,000 more like not life-changing like maybe you're taking an extra few Ubers like a year or something like that and it felt very flat like and it's also hard to look at somebody who you're working with who's two levels higher than you and necessarily aspire to that like you're not going to stay an extra 2 hours at night.
Emily Sunberg: 当你从四级升到五级时,大概会多2万美元,这并不是改变人生的数额,可能只是让你每年多打几次Uber(优步: 一家提供网约车服务的公司)之类的,感觉非常扁平。而且,你很难看着比你高两级的同事,就一定会向往那个职位,你不会为了那个多加班两个小时。
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It It's not inspiring.
Emily Sunberg: 这并不鼓舞人心。
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So, just going back to Mum Donnie. So, one of the theories about why he's kind of resonating with the younger crowd nowadays is this idea that, okay, they don't really have a stake in capitalism necessarily, like they don't feel like they're being rewarded by the capitalist system and so they're voting for change.
主持人: 那么,回到穆姆·唐尼。关于他为何在年轻人群中引起共鸣的理论之一是,他们不一定在资本主义制度(capitalist system: 一种以生产资料私有制和市场经济为基础的经济制度)中拥有股份,他们不觉得资本主义制度给予了他们回报,所以他们投票支持变革。
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Is that something you kind of observe in your day-to-day interactions?
主持人: 这是你在日常互动中观察到的吗?
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Well, I work alone, so I'm not like observing many interactions from people, but like online, I think like the people who gravitated towards him the strongest felt more relig like hope like it it was like this idea of hope and something different and it was like a salve after such a rough beginning of the year with like Trump coming into the White House.
Emily Sunberg: 嗯,我独自工作,所以并没有观察到很多人际互动,但在网上,我认为那些最强烈地被他吸引的人,更多地感受到了一种希望,一种与众不同的东西,就像在特朗普入主白宫后,年初如此艰难之后的一种慰藉(salve: 慰藉、缓解)。
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But yeah, I I don't I think it was it felt more emotional and almost religious to me than like at least from like what I've been observing and and and why people attach themselves to that message so strongly.
Emily Sunberg: 但是的,我不认为——我觉得它对我来说更像是一种情感上的,甚至有点宗教性的东西,至少从我观察到的以及人们为何如此强烈地依附于那个信息来看。
Z世代的消费模式:同质化与“世界末日”心态
主持人: 那么,我们刚才谈到,你渴望赚钱,通过加密货币或其他方式进行“彩票式押注”。你认为这种心态会如何改变消费模式,以及储蓄的冲动?它会如何影响人们的购买行为?
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What about um we were talking about okay you have this desire to get the bag, make a bunch of money and like a lottery ticket metaphorically with crypto or whatever. How does this uh mentality how would you say it changes consumption patterns and like the impulse to just like save or like how does it affect what people buy?
Emily Sunberg: 这是一个好问题。我前几天和一位朋友聊天,她说她去西海岸(West Coast: 美国西海岸)参加她妹妹的毕业典礼,所有年轻女性都穿着Gucci(古驰: 意大利奢侈时尚品牌)凉鞋,这所湾区(Bay Area: 旧金山湾区,美国加利福尼亚州北部的一个大都市区)学校的所有人都这样。
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That's a good question. I was talking to a friend the other day who said that she was at her younger sister's graduation on the West Coast and all of the young women were wearing Gucci sandals like all of them at this school. It was in the Bay Area and she's 10 years older than her sister and she was like, "This is not something that I witnessed."
Emily Sunberg: 她比她妹妹大10岁,她说:“这可不是我当年看到的情况。”
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And it's not like everyone there is loaded to afford this this like specific sandal.
Emily Sunberg: 而且,并不是那里每个人都很有钱能买得起这种特定的凉鞋。
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And I know that a lot of you might have read that story in New York magazine a few weeks ago about the West Village and this sort of homogeneous looking young person in New York City.
Emily Sunberg: 我知道你们很多人可能几周前在《New York magazine》(纽约杂志: 一本美国周刊杂志)上读过那篇关于西村(West Village: 纽约市曼哈顿的一个街区)和纽约市这种看起来同质化的年轻人的报道。
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And I'm realizing that that's kind of a phenomenon across the whole country.
Emily Sunberg: 我意识到这似乎是全国范围内的一种现象。
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It's like everyone is wearing the same, buying the same, like fitting into this and millennials back to that.
Emily Sunberg: 就像每个人都穿一样的衣服,买一样的东西,融入这种模式。而千禧一代则不同。
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It's like everybody wanted to do their own thing and listen to their own music and and have their own style and have their own Tumblr, whatever. Like it was annoying. It was annoying, but it it it created like diversity of opinions and the ability to have like small shows that sold out and stuff and small brands that existed and small stores that existed, but and I haven't fully baked out the thought, but I started realizing it like a week ago, like the West Village thing has quickly turned into like if you live in the in a flyover state or you live in the West Village, you might be wearing the same exact outfit and be just as obsessed with like the matcha thing, whatever.
Emily Sunberg: 就像每个人都想做自己的事情,听自己的音乐,有自己的风格,有自己的Tumblr(一个轻博客平台),等等。虽然这很烦人,但它确实创造了意见的多样性,以及能够举办小型售罄演出、存在小型品牌和小型商店的可能性。我还没有完全想清楚,但大约一周前我开始意识到,西村的现象很快演变成了,无论你住在飞越州(flyover state: 美国中部和南部地区,通常被沿海居民认为在文化和经济上不那么重要)还是西村,你都可能穿着完全相同的衣服,并且同样痴迷于抹茶(matcha: 一种日本绿茶粉)之类的东西。
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So that's like definitely part of the consumption conversation. It's like you're checking off boxes of of like small things that you're buying, whether it's at Starbucks or Gucci to like kind of form this perfect life of what it means to be a 25-year-old.
Emily Sunberg: 所以这绝对是消费讨论的一部分。就像你在星巴克(Starbucks: 美国跨国咖啡连锁店)或Gucci购买小物件,就像在“打勾”一样,以构建一个25岁年轻人心目中的完美生活。
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And like, okay, now I'm happy I figured that out.
Emily Sunberg: 然后你会觉得,“好吧,我现在很高兴我明白了这一点。”
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Something else that I've been reading a lot about, I have some young readers and I do a lot of surveys in my newsletter, which is awesome that my readers are even willing to spend like 15 minutes on that cuz I wouldn't.
Emily Sunberg: 另外我最近读到很多关于这方面的内容,我有一些年轻读者,我在我的电子报中做了很多调查,很棒的是我的读者甚至愿意花15分钟来做这些,因为我可不会。
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There's a real sentiment of like the world is burning, so why shouldn't we enjoy the things that we can?
Emily Sunberg: 有一种真实的情绪是:“世界正在燃烧,我们为什么不享受我们能享受的东西呢?”
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And I I don't know what the savings accounts of these people look like or the or the credit card bills look like, but I know that a lot of these people are spending money that they do not have because I understand that the jobs that usually facilitate that are a lot they're paying a lot more than what these young people are making.
Emily Sunberg: 我不知道这些人的储蓄账户或信用卡账单是什么样子,但我知道很多人都在花他们没有的钱,因为我明白通常能支持这种消费的工作,其薪水远高于这些年轻人现在赚的钱。
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And I imagine there's a sense that I'm never going to make enough to buy a house or something like that.
Emily Sunberg: 我想他们有一种感觉,就是永远也赚不够钱买房子之类的。
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And then there's like the whole buy now pay later conversation which you can buy now pay later. You're seamless. Like that's crazy. Yeah.
Emily Sunberg: 然后还有“先买后付”(buy now pay later: 一种分期付款服务,允许消费者立即购买商品并在稍后分期支付)的讨论,你可以先买后付,无缝衔接。这太疯狂了。是的。
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So, I I think it's like you make the money, you spend the money, and and they're probably not even thinking about What about my kids?
Emily Sunberg: 所以,我认为他们是赚了钱就花钱,甚至可能不会考虑“我的孩子怎么办?”
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Because that's the dating apps don't even work. So, I don't know where the kids come in. Now, this is bleak. Yeah, this ble actually. No, but this it's I'm I'm enjoying this.
Emily Sunberg: 因为约会应用甚至都不管用。所以,我不知道孩子从何而来。现在,这很惨淡。是的,这实际上很惨淡。不,但我很享受这个过程。
城市吸引力与创业精神的转变
主持人: 我在伊利诺伊州(Illinois: 美国中西部的一个州)生活了很多年。我父亲是那里一所很小的大学的物理学教授。
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I lived for many years of my life in Illinois. My dad was a uh physics professor at a very small college.
主持人: 我总是觉得,他完全乐意搬到一个伊利诺伊州相对较小的城镇。当你提到“飞越州”时,是否存在这样一种渴望,就是你必须去大城市,比如纽约、洛杉矶或旧金山?
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And it it always strikes me like that he was totally fine moving to a fairly small large town in Illinois. When you said fly over states, is there this aspiration that like you have to get to one of the big cities that like you have to get to like New York or LA or San Francisco?
Emily Sunberg: 我认为这并不是什么新鲜事。
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I think as much as I don't think that's like a new thing. I think it's like we'll we'll get to the West Village like I I don't think that everybody there's like a new grind to do that.
Emily Sunberg: 我认为就像我们会去西村一样,我不认为每个人都有新的奋斗目标去这样做。
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I think that there's just as many young people in New York living with four roommates in a one-bedroom with like weird Home Depot walls everywhere as there were when I was young where they're working.
Emily Sunberg: 我认为现在在纽约,和四个室友住在一居室里,到处都是奇怪的家得宝(Home Depot: 美国大型家居建材零售商)墙壁的年轻人,和我年轻时一样多,他们都在工作。
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I mean, the three of us are all like in the creator economy. I'm sure that there's a whole micro group of young people doing the same trying to do the same thing. We are in the creator economy.
Emily Sunberg: 我的意思是,我们三个人都身处创作者经济中。我确信有一整个小群体也在做同样的事情,努力做同样的事情。我们都在创作者经济中。
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just on the Hey, there's a mic in front of you. This is What else are we doing? We're creating. Yeah, I did. Did I disagree? No. Okay, we're creators.
主持人: 就在……嘿,你面前有个麦克风。这是……我们还在做什么?我们在创作。是的,我做了。我不同意吗?不。好的,我们是创作者。
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Um, just on the West Village girl thing and the idea of homogeneity among fashion and consumerism. What do you think is driving that? Is that like a lack of community or I I don't know. Like that was one of the most shocking parts of the story to me.
主持人: 嗯,就西村女孩现象以及时尚和消费主义中的同质化观念而言。你认为是什么在推动这种现象?是社区的缺失吗?我不知道。对我来说,那是故事中最令人震惊的部分之一。
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Like I feel so silly. If there was one person in this room with the same exact outfit as me, I'd be like, "Wait a second." Right? What h how what happened? Like I thought I was putting something together. Two white pieces of clothing. But it is it's really weird. Like I don't know if you've ever been in one of those workout classes, but it's like they all have this set. It's I'm not sure what it is. I have to do some research because it's an extreme comfort with having the an identical
Emily Sunberg: 比如,我觉得太傻了。如果这个房间里有一个人穿的衣服和我一模一样,我就会想:“等等。”对吧?发生了什么?我以为我搭配了一些东西。两件白色的衣服。但这真的很奇怪。我不知道你有没有上过那种健身课,但他们都有一套固定的服装。我不太确定那是什么。我必须做一些研究,因为他们对拥有完全相同的东西感到极度舒适。
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And I think part of it is probably like the Amazon storefront and they're all following the same influencer who's promoting the same product and everybody buys it immediately.
Emily Sunberg: 我认为部分原因可能是亚马逊(Amazon)的店面,他们都关注同一个网红,这个网红推广相同的产品,然后每个人都立即购买。
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There was this piece of clothing. I guess it was a dress um from from Tori Burch a few weeks ago and I posted it because I saw like five people at the at different weddings on the same weekend wearing it and it's a very distinct like hot pink dress with mirrors all over it and I said this is going to be the wedding guest dress of the summer.
Emily Sunberg: 几周前,Tory Burch(汤丽柏奇: 美国时尚品牌)有一件衣服,我想是条裙子,我发了帖子,因为我看到同一个周末在不同婚礼上,有五个人穿着它,那是一条非常独特的亮粉色连衣裙,上面布满了镜子,我说这将是这个夏天婚礼宾客的专属裙子。
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Like this is going to be everywhere and it sold out the next day.
Emily Sunberg: 就像这件衣服会随处可见,结果第二天就卖光了。
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Like people were not like then I'm not going to buy it. Everyone bought it. Like everybody clicked the link and then bought it.
Emily Sunberg: 并不是说人们会因此就不买了。每个人都买了。每个人都点击链接然后购买了。
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Like there's this I think when you're all following the same people and the same brands and having the same excitement about the time people follow what time like clothing drops come out at these brands too like what time the sites get updated.
Emily Sunberg: 我认为,当你都关注相同的人和品牌,并且对这些品牌何时发布新品、网站何时更新感到同样兴奋时,你更有可能购买相同的东西。
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There's a lot more likelihood than that you're all going to buy the same thing. Yeah.
Emily Sunberg: 你们所有人购买相同东西的可能性就大得多。是的。
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That's really weird. Like you'd think okay people want to be distinct but I remember my wife and I went out to a comedy show a couple months ago and everybody was dressed the same and both of us were like sort of flabbergasted.
主持人: 这真的很奇怪。你可能会想,人们希望与众不同,但我记得几个月前我和妻子去看了一场喜剧表演,每个人都穿得一模一样,我们俩都惊呆了。
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Like what was the same? It was just like sort of black, like a sort of black shirt.
主持人: 哪里一样呢?就是那种黑色的,一件黑色的衬衫。
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I mean, you know, it's New York, so people have always worn all black, but it was really weird.
主持人: 我的意思是,你知道,这是纽约,所以人们总是穿全黑,但这真的很奇怪。
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There was no color in anyone's clothes in the entire audience that night, and it was um very strange.
主持人: 那晚整个观众席上,所有人的衣服都没有任何颜色,这非常奇怪。
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How much do those Gucci sandals cost?
主持人: 那些Gucci凉鞋多少钱?
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800? I don't know. I don't But um 8 like a lot of money for for a pair of shoes.
Emily Sunberg: 800?我不知道。我不知道,但是800美元对于一双鞋来说是很多钱。
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And then for everyone to feel comfort. I mean, we see it all the time with bags and stuff, but it is sort of funny when it's an entire wardrobe.
Emily Sunberg: 然后每个人都感到舒适。我的意思是,我们经常在包包之类的东西上看到这种情况,但当它变成一整套衣柜时,就有点好笑了。
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But I think Can you talk about the Birkin? What What part do you want to talk about? Just talk about it.
主持人: 但我想,你能谈谈铂金包(Birkin: 爱马仕旗下的一款奢侈手袋)吗?你想谈哪一部分?就谈谈它吧。
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Do people still buy Birkkins like as an investment? I don't know.
主持人: 人们还把铂金包当作投资来购买吗?我不知道。
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Bethany Frankle said she she's made like a ton of money on flipping her Birkens, but God flipped. Yeah, she's a flipper. She did she's bought some new houses, too.
Emily Sunberg: Bethany Frankle(美国电视名人、企业家)说她通过倒卖(flipping: 指以快速转手获利为目的的买卖行为)她的铂金包赚了很多钱,但天哪,倒卖。是的,她是个倒卖者。她也买了一些新房子。
创业模式的演变:从风投到自力更生
主持人: 我总是喜欢读你的电子报,其中一个原因是你总是在谈论新品牌、新餐厅等等。
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One of the re things that I always like reading in your newsletter is like you're always talking about new brands that are launching new restaurants etc.
主持人: 我们一直在谈论市场的波动性,以及贸易等因素带来的不确定性。你是否觉得,由于所有这些不确定性,新的创业尝试(entrepreneurial endeavors: 创业尝试)有所放缓?还是说人们只是在努力克服这些困难?
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There's been we talk about volatility in the market all this uncertainty due to trade and whatever else. Do you feel any slowdown at all in sort of new entrepreneurial endeavors on account of all this uncertainty that's going on or is it just like people just powering through it?
Emily Sunberg: 年轻人新的经济尝试有所放缓。
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A slowdown of new economic endeavors of like from young people. Yeah.
主持人: 是的,或者说新的商业启动。在你看来,在所有经济不确定性下,这是否有所放缓?
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or just like new like new business launches. Has that slowed down at all in your view with all the economic question marks?
Emily Sunberg: 不,我认为人们只是以不同的方式进行。
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No, I think people are doing it differently though.
Emily Sunberg: 我不认为人们像以前那样热衷于接受风险投资(venture capital: 投资于初创企业或高增长潜力企业的资金),他们更倾向于白手起家(bootstrap: 指不依赖外部资金,通过自身资源启动和发展业务)或与朋友合作,尝试一些事情,即使失败了也能悄悄地将其搁置,然后说:“我没有创办那个奇怪的伏特加公司(vodka company),我不再做那种事了。”
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I don't think people are as excited to take on like venture capital and they're more likely to like bootstrap or attach themselves to a friend and like try something and have it fail and sort of quietly brush it aside and be like, I didn't start that weird vodka company that it's like I don't do that anymore.
Emily Sunberg: 你知道,我认为我可以很好地谈论“女老板”(girl boss: 指在商业领域取得成功的女性,有时带有褒贬不一的意味)现象。
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you know, where I think like I can speak to the girl boss very well.
Emily Sunberg: 就像我20多岁时出现的“女老板”们,她们会从Forerunner或General Catalyst(这里指代泛指的风险投资机构)等公司获得巨额投资。
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Like the girl boss of of my of when I was like coming up in my 20s was like taking these huge checks from whatever forrunner or a general catalyst or whatever.
Emily Sunberg: 我从未真正考虑过其影响,然后我认为年轻人已经学会了这最终意味着什么,这意味着人们会想要一些回报,而他们往往得不到。
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I never really thought about the implications and then I think young people have sort of learned what that means at the end which means people are going to want some return and often they don't get it.
消费主义与社交压力:婚礼文化与礼仪危机
主持人: 我知道你本周在你的电子报中谈到了《New York Mag》(纽约杂志的简称)的另一篇文章,是关于汉普顿(Hamptons: 纽约长岛东端的一个富裕度假区)以及那里的富人对他们生活方式感到的那种存在主义压力,他们彼此之间存在竞争。
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So, I know you were talking in your newsletter, I think it was just this week, about another article in New York Mag, which was about the Hamptons and the sort of like existential stress, I guess, that rich people in the Hamptons feel about their lifestyle and they feel competitive with one another.
主持人: 我想你说人们有点不以为然,认为那不是什么大问题。但另一方面,你也写了关于婚礼的文章,以及现在每个人在婚礼上花费的金额,还有作为宾客参加婚礼是多么昂贵。
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And I think you said that people were kind of like batting that away and saying that's not so much of a thing. But then on the other hand, you also wrote about weddings and how much everyone is spending on weddings nowadays, how expensive it is to be a guest.
主持人: 我想我的问题是,在你看来,现在文化中哪些领域,无论是纽约还是其他地方,是最消费主义或最痴迷于财富的?
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I guess my question is like what pockets of the culture, whether it's New York or beyond, are are the most consumerist or wealth obsessed for you right now?
Emily Sunberg: 女性。
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Women. Um
Emily Sunberg: 问题是,这一切都在发生,摄像头总是开着的。
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the thing is it's all happening all the the cameras are always on.
Emily Sunberg: 所以,我们以婚礼为例。汉普顿是另一回事,那里的经济不同,有很多不同的方面。
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So like let's take weddings for example. Hamptons are a different story. It's like a different econom. There's so many different facets going on there.
Emily Sunberg: 至于婚礼,以前是关于新娘的,现在是关于婚礼上的每个人,以及他们拍的照片,还有照片最终会出现在哪里。
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With the weddings, it's like it used to be about the bride and now it's about every individual at the wedding and the photo that they're getting and where the photo is going to end up after.
Emily Sunberg: 我是从一个纽约女性的角度来说的,我不知道是不是每个人都这样,但今天早上我和我丈夫发现的另一件事是,我认为对符合婚礼资格的“朋友”的定义也在扩大。
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I'm speaking from like the point of view of a of a New York woman who's like I don't know if this is the case for everyone, but something else that I identified this morning with my husband that I think is that I think that the definition of friend who qualifies for wedding is sort of like expanding as well.
Emily Sunberg: 所以,现在有一种奇怪的送礼文化,如果你邀请我,那么我也必须邀请你,我期望你也会邀请我参加你的婚礼。
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So, there's this weird gift culture going on where if I invite you, then I have to invite you and I'm expecting that you're going to invite me to yours.
Emily Sunberg: 我还认为,私信(DMs: Direct Messages,即私信)和群聊信息(group texts: 群聊信息)正在发生一些变化,人们更快地变得亲近,这也影响了婚礼宾客名单。
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And I also think that there's something happening with like DMs and group texts where people are getting closer faster and like that also affects the wedding guests lists.
主持人: 是的,这引起了共鸣。我记得最近有人在一个群聊里,现在他们要结婚了,我就想:“搞什么鬼?我怎么没收到邀请?我们可是在一个群聊里啊。”
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Yeah, this resonates. Someone in one I think someone in a a group chat recently now they're getting married and I was like what the heck? Why didn't I get an invite? We're in a group chat together.
主持人: 所以我完全能理解那种压力。
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So I could see like that stress totally.
Emily Sunberg: 我在两个月前我的婚礼之前和一个人谈论我的婚礼,他们问:“那我受邀了吗?”我当时说:“不,我只是在告诉你我目前生活中的一些事情。”
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I was talking to somebody before my wedding which was two months ago about my wedding and they were like, "So am I invited?" And I was like, "No, I'm just telling you something about my life right now."
Emily Sunberg: 但也存在一种礼仪危机(etiquette epidemic: 指社会上普遍存在的礼仪缺失或不当行为)。
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But there's also an etiquette epidemic.
主持人: 等等,那是什么意思?礼仪危机是什么意思?
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Wait, what does that mean? What does that mean? An etiquette epidemic?
Emily Sunberg: 比如人们不为你扶门。人们在你之前发布你婚礼的照片,诸如此类的事情。
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Like people not holding the door for you. People posting photos of your wedding before you do, like things like that.
主持人: 我想我们时间到了。
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I think we're out of time.
主持人: 那太棒了。真的,我喜欢你的电子报。我很高兴终于有机会聊天。
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That was so good. That was really I love your newsletter. I love finally getting a chance to chat.
主持人: 我想我们应该在某个时候再做一期更长的节目,专门讨论群聊经济。它有很多方面。
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And I think we at some point we should do another longer episode just on like the group chat economy. There were so many facets.
主持人: 非常感谢你,Emily。
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Thank you so much, Emily. Thank you.
Emily Sunberg: 谢谢。
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Thank you.
Tracy Alloway: 这是《Odd Lots Podcast》的又一集。我是Tracy Alloway。
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This has been another episode of the All Thoughts Podcast. I'm Tracy Aloway.
Tracy Alloway: 你可以在Tracy Aloway关注我。我是Jill Weisenthal。你可以在the stalwart关注我。
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You can follow me at Tracy Aloway. And I'm Jill Weisenthal. You can follow me at the stalwart.
Tracy Alloway: 关注我们的制作人Carmen Rodriguez(@Carmen Armanett atbot)和Kalebrooks(@Kellbrooks)。
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Follow our producers Carmen Rodriguez at Carmen Armanett atbot and Kalebrooks at Kellbrooks.
Tracy Alloway: 更多《Odd Lots》内容,请访问bloomberg.com/odlotss。
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For more OddLots content, go to bloomberg.com/odlotss
Tracy Alloway: 在那里我们有每日电子报和所有节目。你可以在我们的Discord(一个语音、视频和文字聊天平台)群组discord.gg/odlotss中24/7讨论这些话题。
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where we have a daily newsletter and all of our episodes. And you can chat about these topics 247 in our Discord, discord.gg/odlotss.
Tracy Alloway: 如果你喜欢《Odd Lots》,如果你喜欢我们进行这些现场录音,那么请在你最喜欢的播客平台给我们一个好评。感谢收听。
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And if you enjoy OddLots, if you like it when we do these live recordings, then please leave us a positive review on your favorite podcast platform. Thanks for listening.
📌 文中提及的人物和组织
人物: Tracy Alloway, Jill Weisenthal, Carmen Rodriguez, Kalebrooks
公司/组织: Bloomberg, Substack, Goldman Sachs, Meta, Home Depot, Starbucks
产品/模型: Odd Lots podcast
媒体/书籍: New York magazine