---
author: The Ezra Klein Show
date: '2026-11-13'
guest: ''
layout: post.njk
source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1BjhYUxM_94
speaker: The Ezra Klein Show
tags:
  - left-wing-politics
  - electoral-politics
  - democratic-socialism
  - foreign-policy
title: 左翼主播哈桑谈民主党中期选举、通俗伯尼主义与巴以政策分歧
summary: 播客专访左翼网络主播哈桑，探讨民主党中期选举表现与党内综合。哈桑主张聚焦反腐与全民医保等经济民生议程，阐述其反犹太复国主义立场及对以施压诉求，并结合地方实践讨论社会主义市政治理与务实路线。
insight: ''
draft: true
series: ''
category: politics-society
area: society-thinking
project: []
people:
  - Hasan Piker
  - Donald Trump
  - Bernie Sanders
  - Zohran Mamdani
  - Brad Lander
companies_orgs:
  - Democratic Party
  - Democratic Socialists of America
products_models: []
media_books:
  - Mao, The Man Who Built China
  - Black Shirts and Reds
  - American Socialist, the Life and Legacy of Eugene V. Debs
status: evergreen
---
<!-- chunk 1/10 -->

### 播客主旨与嘉宾介绍

本周播客的构想，是希望听取民主党联盟内部关于民主党如何赢得权力以及如今应如何运用权力的不同视角。周二我们邀请了来自 Searchlight Institute 的亚当·詹特森（Adam Jentleson），他代表一种更偏中间派的视角。如果你还没听过那一期，我觉得你应该听听。

今天来自左翼的是哈桑（Hasan），他是一位网络主播，在 Twitch 上的账号是 HasanAbi。选举之夜他的直播峰值达到了20万人。但他也成为了这次选举中的重要人物，为美国民主社会主义者（DSA）及左翼候选人站台助选。他在密歇根州参议院初选中既非常重要又极具争议，在那场初选中他是阿卜杜勒·埃尔-萨耶德（Abdul El-Sayed）的盟友。

随后共和党人试图将他塑造成这次选举的“假想敌/大反派”。他在福克斯新闻（Fox News）上被谈论的频率甚至往往超过了共和党参议员候选人。他是乔希·戈特海默（Josh Gottheimer，较温和的民主党人）与迈克·劳勒（Mike Lawler，温和派共和党人）发起的一项国会决议中被针对的人选之一，该决议谴责了多位网络名人的言论。本雅明·内塔尼亚胡在联合国大会发表演讲时也提到了他。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
So the theory of the podcast this week,

I want to have on different perspectives inside the Democratic coalition on how Democrats won power and how they should now wield it. So Tuesday we had on Adam Jentleson from the Searchlight Institute, a more centrist perspective. If you haven't listened to that episode, I think you should.

Today from the left, Hassan is a streamer. He's on Twitch under HasanAbi. Selection night livestream topped out at 200,000 people. But he also became something of a major character in the selection, stumping with DSA and leftist candidates. He was very, very both important and controversial in the Michigan Senate primary where he was an ally of Abdul El-Sayed.

Then the Republicans tried to make him into the bogeyman of the election. He was often talked about on Fox News more than the Republican Senate candidates were. was one of the people targeted in a congressional resolution by Josh Gottheimer, a more moderate Democrat, and Mike Lawler, a moderate Republican, where they were condemning the rhetoric of various online personalities. He was mentioned by Benjamin Netanyahu during Netanyahu's UN General Assembly address.
</details>

>> 马姆达尼先生，自从您当选这座城市的市长以来，许多犹太人在纽约不再感到安全。这并不奇怪。您赞美那些因支持哈马斯而被定罪的罪犯。您把像哈桑这样声称“美国罪有应得遭遇9/11”的人当作朋友。美国罪有应得遭遇9/11。您可真有些好朋友。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Mr. Mamdani, since you were elected mayor of this city, many Jews no longer feel safe in New York. Now it's no wonder. You praise criminals convicted of supporting Hamas. You count as friends people like Hassan who said America deserved 9/11. America deserved 9/11. Some friends you have.
</details>

>> 他在共和党的广告中铺天盖地出现，甚至以一种非常奇特的方式出现在唐纳德·特朗普大型中期选举集会的大屏幕上。

而且他身上融合了一种有趣的特质，既有点激进又带着务实，就像一个自认的社会主义者，一个在很多方面确实试图超越资本主义的人。然后当你和他交谈或听他讲话时，有时听起来就像一个普通的自由派。在这次对话中让我感到震惊的是，他说的话和亚当·詹特森说的话在多大程度上基本上是一回事。

这种一致性终止的地方，也是他本人最具争议的地方，是以色列以及他针对以色列所发表的一些言论、所主张的一些观点。

所以我想和他谈谈这次选举，谈谈民主党今后应该如何行事，并深入探讨他的言论以及围绕以色列的更广泛政治议题——我认为这是最有可能撕裂这个联盟的议题之一。

哈桑现在加入了我们。哈桑，欢迎来到节目。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> He was all over Republican advertising and even in a very strange way all over the Jumbotron at Donald Trump's big midterm rally.

And is a sort of interesting mix of kind of radical and pragmatist, like a self-avowed socialist, somebody who really is in many ways trying to get past capitalism. And then you talk to him or you listen to him, and sometimes sounds just like a normal liberal. It is striking to me in this conversation how often what he is saying and what Adam Jentleson are saying are basically the same thing. The place where that ends and the place where himself is most controversial is Israel and some of the things he has said there, some of the things he has argued for there. So I want to talk to about the election, about how the Democratic Party should act going forward, and talk through both what he has said and the broader politics around Israel, which is one of the issues that I think has the most possibility of tearing this coalition apart. joins me now. Hasan welcome to the show.
</details>

>> 很高兴来到这里。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Great to be here.
</details>

### 中期选举胜选分析与党内综合

>> 我们距离中期选举过去了一周零几天，我想实际上刚好过了一周。带我了解一下你对这次胜利的看法。你从中总结出了什么？你认为民主党人应该从中吸取什么教训？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> So we're week and change, guess actually just a week off of the midterms. Take me through your view of the victory. What did you learn from it? What do you think Democrats should learn from it?
</details>

>> 就我个人而言，过去13年来我一直参与政治评论，呃，但在上一个选举周期之前，我从未如此深入地亲身参与竞选活动。

实际上这在周期之前就开始了。始于佐兰·马姆达尼（Zohran Mamdani）的初选。当时他处在一个竞争激烈的候选人阵营中，有人请我去和他们一起工作。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> So me personally, I've engaged in political commentary for the last 13 years, um but I was never as hands-on with campaigns until this last cycle. And it actually started before the cycle. It started with Zora Mamdani in his primary. He was in a crowded field and people had asked me to go and uh work with them.
</details>

>> 我记得你在某个午餐吧台前问过关于充裕（abundance）的问题。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I remember you asking about abundance at like a lunch counter somewhere.
</details>

>> 好吧，所以你一直提起充裕思维。你对充裕思维怎么看？我是说你总在提它。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Okay, so you keep bringing up abundance mindset. What do you what do you think about the abundance mindset? I mean you keep bringing it up.
</details>

>> 我自作自受，这真是我自找的。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I did this I did this to myself.
</details>

>> 是的。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah.
</details>

>> 我们面临的最大障碍之一是公共部门现存的低效率和不足。如果我们想让人们信任公共部门，我们就必须拿出他们未曾见过的成效。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> One of the greatest obstacles we face is the existing inefficiencies, inadequacies of the public sector. And if we want to get people to trust in the public sector, we have to deliver outcomes that they haven't seen.
</details>

>> 是的，我确实问了他这个问题。呃，事实上他最终成了一个相当坚定的充裕派（abundist）。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah. I I did. I did ask him about that. Um and he's turned out to be quite the abundist as a matter of fact.
</details>

>> 我们在这里正处在一个伟大的综合时代。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> We're in we're in a grand era of synthesis over here.
</details>

>> 而且，嗯，我认为这在某种程度上也是民主党所取得胜利的故事，但这确实奏效了。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> And well I think that's also kind of the story of the victory that the Democrats had, but it was effective.
</details>

>> 呃，所以我想谈谈这里向前推进的动态。走出这次选举的民主党是一个……一个民主党。它拥有一个大得多的左翼。我们提到了阿卜杜勒·萨耶德，但还有达里亚·丽莎（Daria Lisa）、克里斯·拉布（Chris Rabb）、克莱尔·巴尔德斯（Claire Valdez），特别是众议院迎来了一个庞大的 DSA 成员群体。

它同时也有一个大得多的温和派阵营。在参议院有了亚当·汉密尔顿（Adam Hamilton）、乔希·图里克（Josh Turick）和斯科特·科洛姆（Scott Colom）。作为众议院温和派党团的“蓝狗联盟”（Blue Dogs）规模扩大了一倍以上。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Uh so I want to talk about the forward motion here. Democratic Party coming out of this election is a a Democratic Party. It has a much larger left wing. We've mentioned Abdul Sayed, but Daria Lisa, Chris Rab, Claire Valdez, there's a big DSA cohort coming into the house in particular. It's also got a much larger moderate wing. Got Adam Hamilton and Josh Turick and Scott Colom in the Senate. The Blue Dogs have more than doubled in size, which is the moderate caucus in the house.
</details>

>> 是的，这也很有意思，因为还有像福尔·斯塔格（Four Stag）这样被认为是蓝狗成员的人。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah, that's also fascinating because you have Four Stag, who's like considered a Blue Dog.
</details>

>> 还有“伯尼狗”（Bernie Dogs），对吧？那些伯尼背书、蓝狗也背书的人。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> You have the Bernie Dogs, right? The people Bernie endorsed and the Blue Dogs endorsed.
</details>

### 通俗伯尼主义与经济议题转向

>> 没错。所以正如你所说，我们所看到的是一种令人着迷的综合。我的意思是，我认为伯尼·桑德斯2016年的竞选、他对希拉里·克林顿发起的挑战性竞选以失败告终，这并不是什么秘密，但我认为即便他输掉了那场战斗，我甚至可以说他赢得了整场战争。

我的意思是，呃，我的朋友们喜欢把这称为通俗伯尼主义（vulgar Bernieism）。呃，2016年的通俗伯尼主义在几乎每一次竞选中都表现得如此突出。每一个候选人，无论属于哪个派系，呃，都攻击亿万富翁，攻击企业腐败，攻击特朗普政府与大型科技公司的联盟，攻击数据中心，呃，甚至还顺应了许多人特别感受到的对人工智能的恐惧。

而这些全都是左翼民粹主义。看着这一切展开非常迷人。听到就连北卡罗来纳州的罗伊·库珀（Roy Cooper）这样的人也说……你知道：
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah. So that that was like like you said, it was a fascinating synthesis that we're seeing. I mean, I think uh it's not a secret that Bernie Sanders's 2016 run, his insurgent run against Hillary Clinton and did uh with a defeat, but I think even if he lost that battle, I would go so far as to say he won the war. And what I mean by that is uh the my friends like to call this vulgar Bernieism. Uh the vulgar Bernieism of 2016 was so prominent in virtually every campaign. Every single candidate, no matter what faction that they're a part of, um attacked billionaires, attacked corporate corruption, attacked the Trump administration's allegiance with Big Tech, attacked data centers, um and even uh leaned into the fears that many people were feeling about AI in particular. And that's all left populism. And it was fascinating to watch that unfold. It was uh very interesting hearing people like even uh a a Roy Cooper in North Carolina say, you know,
</details>

>> “今晚，大伙们，我们大声且明确地告诉华盛顿：北卡罗来纳州人将永远比亿万富翁和圈内人更重要。”
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Tonight, guys, we told Washington loud and clear that North Carolinians will always matter more than the billionaires and the insiders.
</details>

>> 这些腐败的亿万富翁正把他们的利益置于你们的利益之上。比如，我要为北卡罗来纳州而战，呃，而不是为了华盛顿特区。现在，在某些方面，你可以说这一直都存在，对吧？存在于民主党的信息传递中。但我认为这次有些不同，那种对强硬经济议程的专注，呃，以及通过地方议题在全国范围内定义我们这个政党，以及在某些对于地方利益显然很重要的事情上保持温和——比如塔拉里科（Tallarico）的转向，你知道，从可再生能源转向关注石油和天然气行业的利益。

这些都是可以理解的温和化表现，但总体的焦点都在经济上。这部分是因为美国经济受到破坏的本质，由于特朗普的腐败、关税战以及我们在伊朗陷入的泥潭而加速恶化。

但我认为，这几乎就像是在2024年惨败之后发生了某种转变，民主党人意识到：不，我们必须、我们必须把经济议程放在我们竞选活动的最前沿。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> These corrupt billionaires are placing their interests over your interests. Like I'm going to fight for North Carolina uh instead of, you know, Washington D.C. Now, in some respects, you could say that's always been there, right? In the Democratic Party's messaging. But I think it was a little different this time around where that uh hardline economic agenda focus uh and uh and and defining ourselves as a party nationally with local issues and and moderation on on certain things that are obviously important to to important to the to the local interests like Tallarico's pivot on uh you know pivot away from renewable energy to to focus on the oil and gas industry's interests. Like those are understandable uh instances of moderation, but like the the overall focus was on the economy. Part of that was because of the the devastating nature of the American economy accelerated through uh Trump's corruption, the tariff war, and then also uh the the quagmire we found ourselves in Iran. But I think it was almost like something shifted after the 2024 defeat where Democrats realized, no, we have to we have to put uh an economic agenda at the forefront of our campaigns.
</details>

### 阶级言论与后物质主义政治演变

>> 你这样表述真的很有意思，因为我很喜欢你的用词——我想也许你说过这是你朋友的用词——通俗伯尼主义。

所以，我并不觉得这种言论有多么不同，但看看2011年的奥巴马：
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> So it's really interesting the way you put that cuz I I really like your term. I guess maybe said it's your friend's term, vulgar Bernieism. So I don't find the rhetoric to be that different, but here's Obama 2011.
</details>

>> “当然，国会里的共和党人把这称为阶级斗争。你们知道吗？如果要求百万富翁缴纳与水管工相同的税率让我成为了阶级斗士、工人阶级的斗士，我接受。我会把这种指责当作荣誉勋章来佩戴。”
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Of course, the Republicans in Congress, they call this class warfare. You know what? If asking a millionaire to pay the same tax rate as a plumber makes me a class warrior, a warrior for the working class, I will accept that. I will wear that charge as a badge of honor.
</details>

>> 佩洛西2011年：
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Pelosi 2011.
</details>

>> “当我们成为多数党时，在最初的100小时内我们就通过了提高最低工资的法案，这是11年来的第一次。所以当他们想谈论阶级斗争时，正如沃伦·巴菲特所说，另一方才是阶级斗争，而且他的阶级打赢了。”
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> When we became the majority, the first 100 hours we passed the minimum wage increase, the first time in 11 years. So when they want to talk about class warfare as Warren Buffett said, the other was class warfare and his class won.
</details>

>> 阿尔·戈尔称布什的减税政策是代表亿万富翁利益的阶级斗争。

所以我不太确定自己是否认为这种言论有那么大不同，但我认为真正不同的是——我很好奇你对此有何体会——伯尼，尤其是2016年的伯尼。我把他的很大一部分论点理解为：民主党已经放弃了对阶级和经济议题的专注与优先排序，转而投向这种广泛的、后物质主义的……它最终演变成了人们所说的“觉醒”（wokeness）。希拉里·克林顿以此为由与他竞争，对吧？你知道的，“分拆银行并不能消除系统性种族主义”，或者诸如此类的话。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I'm Gore called Bush's tax cuts class warfare on behalf of billionaires. So I 'm not sure that I think the rhetoric was so different, but the thing that I think was really different, I'm curious how this lands for you, is Bernie, particularly 2016 Bernie. I take a big part of his argument that the Democratic Party had abandoned its focus and prioritization of of issues of class and economics for this kind of broad-based, post-material It kind of eventually becomes what people call wokeness. Hillary Clinton runs against him on this, right? You know, breaking up the banks won't end systemic racism or whatever the line was.
</details>

>> 那就是当时的原话。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> That was the line.
</details>

>> “如果我们明天拆分大银行——如果它们罪有应得、如果它们构成系统性风险，我就会这么做——那能消除种族主义吗？”
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> If we broke up the big banks tomorrow, and I will if they deserve it, if they pose a systemic risk, I will would that end racism?
</details>

>> “不能。”
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> No.
</details>

>> “那能消除性别歧视吗？”
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Would that end sexism?
</details>

>> “不能。”
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> No.
</details>

>> “那能消除对 LGBT 群体的歧视吗？那能让……”
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Would that end discrimination against the LGBT community? Would that make
</details>

<!-- chunk 2/10 -->

人们会在一夜之间对移民更加欢迎吗？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
people feel more welcoming to immigrants overnight?
</details>

>> 不会。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> No.
</details>

>> 而且在后通胀时代的民主党里，对吧？也就是在2024年因通胀而落败的民主党，大家认识到，扭转国家这种地域极化的方式，也许能让你在更多地方竞争的方式，就是在文化上温和，在经济上强硬。那就是伯尼过去的老公式，对吧？在佛蒙特州更加支持枪支，对吧？他在佛蒙特州表现优异。在我看来，这与其说是社会主义对抗自由派对抗温和派，不如说是把经济第一作为全党的团结纽带。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> And in the kind of post-inflation Democratic Party, right? The Democratic Party that got beat in 2024 on inflation, the recognition that the way you turn back the kind of geographic polarization of the country, the way maybe you can compete in more places is you moderate on culture and you go hard on economics. That's the old Bernie formula, right? More pro-gun in Vermont, right? He was an overperformer in Vermont. It didn't strike me as so much like socialist versus liberal versus moderate, but economics first as the uniting threat of the party.
</details>

>> 我百分之百同意这个判断，而且我认为事实恰恰就是这样。嗯，你是对的。你之所以提2011年的引文，而不是过去十年的，是因为我认为发生过一次相对近期的重大转向。

这次我们看到的摆动——特别是在你知道的昔日特朗普战场区以及非常安全的选区——最独特的因素之一，不仅是拉美裔选民的转变，而且也不仅是年轻选民的转变。这方面我们见得多了，那是预料之中的，是可以预测的。我觉得引人注目的是，农村选民也在转向民主党。有史以来第一次，感觉很多生活在农村地区、可能甚至没有大学学历的白人确实受到了经济的冲击，并且似乎有人在回应那些关切。我认为那才是真正重要的。这并不意味着我们应该背叛边缘群体，甚至像乔什·霍利那样做——我甚至都不知道公开站出来表态最终有多大效果。对，对，没错。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I 100% agree with that assessment, and I think that's precisely what happened. Um and you're right. The reason why you're bringing up quotes from 2011 as opposed to the last decade is because there was this big pivot, I think, that was relatively recent.

One of the most unique factors of this uh swing that we saw, especially in, you know, former Trump battlegrounds and and and very safe districts, was not just the Hispanic votes shifting not And it wasn't just the youth vote shifting. We saw plenty of that. That was expected. That was predictable. I found it fascinating that rural voters were also shifting to the Democratic party. For the first time it felt like a lot of maybe even non-college educated whites living in rural areas were really impacted by the economy and someone was seemingly addressing those concerns. And I think that's what's really important. This doesn't mean we should betray marginalized identities and and and do what even Josh Hawley did and I don't even know how effective that was ultimately to to come out. Yeah yeah exactly.
</details>

>> 作为一个坐轮椅的孩子，我遭遇过不少霸凌。这就是为什么我相信任何爱荷华州人都不应该遭受歧视。作为一名残奥会运动员，我也知道遵守规则很重要。这就是为什么我反对男性参加女子体育竞技。这在爱荷华州已经是违法的了。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> As a kid in a wheelchair I faced my share of bullying. It's why I believe that no Iowan should face discrimination. As a Paralympian I also know it's important to have rules. It's why I oppose males competing in female sports. Something that is already illegal in Iowa.
</details>

### 文化议题与经济关注

>> 我认为对这类事情的任何关注都是一场注定失败的战斗，因为这是一个极少数群体。我经常指出的事情之一是，我的意思是特朗普采取的首批行政行动之一，就是禁止所有跨性别运动员参加NCAA比赛。

显然这根本没有改善任何人的物质条件，这纯粹是一个转移视线的把戏，而且甚至算不上一个多有效的转移视线手段，因为你知道，我经常会指着这件事对我直播间里涌入的大批年轻男性说：你们感觉好些了吗？你们的房租变得更负担得起了吗？现在特朗普做了这件事，杂货变便宜了吗？

如果没有，你们觉得他为什么要做这件事？你们觉得他为什么要这么聚焦于这个特定议题？在过去十年左右的时间里发生了一些转变，共和党人开始赢得文化战争的交锋。

我认为我们根本不需要参与那些交锋，我们需要直指其本质揭露出来，就像詹姆斯·塔拉里科非常有效地做的那样，他一直说这些是不必要的干扰。这不是左与右的对抗，而是上与下的对抗。我认为这是一种非常可靠、非常真实的讨论政治的方式。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I think any sort of focus on this stuff is is a losing battle because it's a it's a tiny minority and one of the things that I consistently point to is is the fact that I mean one of the first executive actions that Trump took was banning all transgender athletes from NCAA competitions.

And obviously this didn't improve anyone's material conditions at all and it was simply a distraction and it wasn't even that effective of a distraction considering that you know I would routinely point to that to say to a lot of young men coming into my audience like are you feeling better? You know is your rent more affordable? Are groceries cheaper now that Trump did this?

And if not why do you think he was doing this? Why do you think he was focusing so much on this particular issue? Something shifted in the last decade or so where Republicans started winning the culture war battles.

And I don't think we need to participate in those battles at all and we need to call it out for exactly what it is which is something that James Tallarico did very effectively where he kept saying like these are unnecessary distractions. It's not about left versus right it's up versus down. I think that is a very reliable and very truthful way of discussing politics.
</details>

>> 另一件在特斯特身上起效、你也能看到在亚当·汉密尔顿身上起效的事情是：很多人就是觉得民主党人不喜欢他们，瞧不起他们，不认同他们的信仰，不认同他们的——不是文化立场，而是文化语境。

在我看来，民主党人今年在候选人选拔方面做得很好的一点，就是推出了很多颠覆人们对民主党人既有印象的人，对吧？堪萨斯州的大型教会牧师，宾夕法尼亚州的消防员，对吧？德克萨斯州南部的特哈诺歌手，对吧？你知道的，身为神学院学生的特斯特，身为残奥会运动员的特斯特，玛丽·佩尔托拉带着她那种——那是什么来着？呃，鱼……
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> The other thing that worked for Tester, you saw it work for Adam Hamilton. A lot of people just think Democrats don't like them, look down on them, don't share their faith, don't share their kind of not cultural positions, but cultural context.

And one thing that it seemed to me Democrats did well in candidate selection this year was to run a lot of people who undermine the perception of what a Democrat is, right? A mega church pastor in Kansas, a firefighter, right? In um Pennsylvania, a Tejano crooner in South Texas, right? You You know, Tester who's a seminarian, Tester who's a Paralympian, Mary Peltola with her kind of What was it? uh fish
</details>

>> 鱼、信仰。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> fish faith.
</details>

>> 对，家庭、鱼、信仰。

那个……你看，我们总把温和当成一个纯粹的意识形态定位问题来谈论，但人们非常迅速就能感知到的——这也是你现在穿西装的原因之一——是你看起来像个什么样的人。你看起来像他们那一类人吗？

民主党某种程度上打破了“谁是民主党人”以及“他们是不是你那一类人”的认知，在我看来，这似乎为人们能够听进去所说的很多其他事情敲开了一扇大门。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah, family fish faith.

That You know, we all talk about moderation as a question just of ideological positioning, but what people apprehend really quickly, it's one reason you wear a suit now, is what kind of person you seem like. Do you seem like their kind of person?

And the Democratic Party kind of undermining the sense of who is a Democrat and whether or not they're your kind of people seems to me to have cracked open the door for people to be able to hear a lot of the other things that were being said.
</details>

### 油价、战争与选民反应

>> 是的，我在某种程度上同意这一点，但我确实认为这里真正的根本问题，归根结底是特朗普所做的事情，是特朗普带来的混乱。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah, I agree with that to a certain degree, but I do think that the real story here is uh at the end of the day what Trump was doing, the chaos of Trump.
</details>

>> 伴随着那个。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> with that.
</details>

>> 而且归根结底，嗯，你知道，通常不会有总统按下一个直接让汽油价格暴涨的按钮，但特朗普似乎就有这么个按钮，而且他一直按个不停。我认为那是主要原因之一。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> And And And ultimately it was um you know, you you normally don't have a president press a button that just explodes the gas prices, but Trump seemingly had that button and he just kept pressing it. And I think that was a major part of the reason.
</details>

>> 你见过他的支持率和汽油价格的图表吗？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Have you seen the charts of his approval rating and the gas price?
</details>

>> 见过，完全吻合。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah, exactly.
</details>

>> 基本上完全吻合。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> basically exactly.
</details>

>> 完全吻合。而且，嗯，我认为他是出于什么原因做这些也很重要。我的意思是，他们最初发动伊朗战争的过程耐人寻味，因为他们甚至根本没有试图去制造任何民意共识。事实上，在第一波攻势中他们公开声称：我们这么做是为了以色列。然后他们又改口说：不，实际上我们是为了自己。但那是一个特殊的时刻，因为美国人早已对美国无休无止地不断发动战争的外交政策感到厌烦，而这场战争从一开始就不受支持，并且在几个月内就成了美国打过的最不受欢迎的战争。

这是具有历史性意义的事件，对吧？所以我想，对于在经历了两年的混乱、两年的动荡以及白宫赤裸裸的腐败之后卷入这种行动的政府，当然会面临惩罚。特朗普的密友及其直系亲属在加密货币骗局中赚取数十亿美元，或者白宫内部正在发生的权钱交易行径——其中有些我们已经知晓，有些我希望随着即将展开的调查能了解到更多细节。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Exactly. And um I think for what reason he was doing this was also important. I mean, their initial roll out of the Iran war was fascinating because they didn't even try to manufacture any consent whatsoever. And as a matter of fact, on the first wave they came out and were like, we're doing this for Israel. And then they came and then they went back and were like, no, actually we're doing this for ourselves. But that was that was a unique moment because Americans were already frustrated with American foreign policy, constantly waging war endlessly and and they this was already unpopular from the start and it became the least popular war that America's waged in a matter of months.

This is historic stuff, right? So I think of course there were going to be punishments for the admin that was engaging in this in this action after two years of chaos, two years of instability and outright corruption from the White House, the close associates of Trump and his immediate family members making billions of dollars in cryptocurrency schemes or or or the the pay-to-play initiatives that were taking place in the White House, some of which we knew about and some of which I hope we will learn more about with these investigations that will unfold.
</details>

### 对新掌权民主党的展望

>> 那么现在即将掌权的民主党在国家层面上仍然是在野党。即便他们赢得了众议院和参议院，唐纳德·特朗普仍然身处白宫。你认为他们应该做些什么？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> So the Democratic Party that's coming into power now remains an opposition party at the national level. Donald Trump still is in the White House even if they've got the House and the Senate. What do you think they should do?
</details>

>> 我曾开玩笑地把这归结为：档案与审判、狠狠教训，以及希望能有一套明确民主党2028年定位的全面立法议程。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I've jokingly referred to this as um files and trials, belt the ass, and hopefully a comprehensive legislative agenda that is defining what the Democratic Party is for 2028.
</details>

>> 比第三项更重要。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> than the third.
</details>

>> 是的。嗯，第三项只是我个人的想法。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yes. Well, the third one is just for me.
</details>

>> 不过我们按那些分类逐一来看。那么先从叫什么来着，档案与……开始。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> But let's go in those in in in buckets. So let's start with the what's it called, files and
</details>

>> 与审判，爱泼斯坦档案。我觉得那是一个对对此感到非常沮丧的摇摆选民的表态。所以我觉得那是一个备受瞩目的事件。我知道那会让很多不关心政治的人或许多低投票倾向的选民去密切关注到底发生了什么。

但更重要的是，我认为审判是必不可少的，调查，查明克里斯蒂娅·弗里兰所做的事情，并揭露白宫内部正在发生的权钱交易网络，因为我们可能在美国历史上从未见过如此赤裸裸的腐败。我经常开玩笑说：看，我是土耳其人，我在土耳其长大。我知道埃尔多安非常腐败，比如俄罗斯的弗拉基米尔·普京也是如此，但至少他们还会藏着掖着。

而特朗普的腐败以及他对宏观经济的漠不关心，就这么明目张胆地摆在我们眼前。我是说，有太多次他直接说我不在乎通胀，我不在乎物价。呃，而且我的意思是甚至在你以前的同事罗斯做的《60分钟》采访中，他就有他自己的玛丽·安托瓦内特时刻，他当时说：嗯，你知道，我把钱投进股市赚了几十亿美元。他说你为什么不把钱投进股市呢？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> and trials, Epstein files. I feel like that's that is a a nod to the swing voters that were very frustrated about this. So I think like that is a high-profile incident. I I that that I know will cause uh many of the the apoliticals or or many of the low propensity voters to to pay close attention to exactly what's going on. But more importantly, I think it's the trials that are uh a necessity, investigations, uh identifying uh what Chrystia Freeland did um and exposing the network of of pay-to-play uh initiatives that were taking place inside of the White House cuz we've never seen outright corruption of this sort perhaps ever in American history. I I often joke and say like you know I'm look I'm Turkish I grew up in Turkey. I know Erdogan is very corrupt and so is Vladimir Putin in Russia for example, but at least they hide it.

And Trump was so in our faces with his uh corruption and with his lack of interest in in the overall economy. I mean there were so many instances where he just said I don't care about inflation. I don't care about the prices. Uh and uh I mean even with with your former colleague Ross uh on the on the 60 Minutes interview where he he was he he had his own Mary Antoinette moment where he was like well you know I made billions of dollars because I put money in the stock market. He's like why don't you put your money in the stock market?
</details>

>> 《福布斯》上有一篇报道提到你的净资产——可能最近随股市有所变动，但你的净资产增加了30亿美元，自从你……自从你回到……
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> There's a Forbes story that said that your net worth maybe it's changed with the stock market recently, but your net worth went up by $3 billion since you since you returned to
</details>

<!-- chunk 3/10 -->

>> 好，你准备好了吗？情况是这样的——
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Okay you ready? So here's
</details>

>> 各位，郑重声明，我的净资产可没有增加30亿美元。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Everyone's my net worth did not go up by $3 billion for for the record.
</details>

>> 股票。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> stock.
</details>

>> 我……我真该持有股票的。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I I should have I should have had stock.
</details>

>> 这感觉就像，嗯，这可算不上什么民粹主义者，对吧？对吧？他根本算不上什么平民百姓的代言人。

而且，呃，我认为我们必须揭露这一切。我认为民主党人必须全力以赴，确保民众彻底看清白宫内部正在发生的彻头彻尾的腐败。

呃，我们需要法律与秩序。我是一个讲求法律与秩序的民主党人。我相信问责。

呃，我们需要答案，我们同样需要惩处。而且我认为这是民众正在要求的。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> And it's like well that's not not exactly populist, is it? Right? He's not exactly the man of the people.

And um I think we have to expose uh all of that. I think the Democrats need to work hard to make sure that people fully grasp the the uh outright corruption that's taking place inside of the White House.

Uh we need law and order. I'm a law and order Democrat. I believe in accountability.

Uh we need answers and we also need punishments. And I think this is something that people are demanding.
</details>

### 社会主义者眼中的制度与反特朗普联盟

>> 跟您交谈挺有意思的，因为您的名声是个铁杆社会主义者。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> So it's funny talking to you because your reputation is as a hardcore socialist.
</details>

>> 嗯。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Mhm.
</details>

>> 这听起来倒有点像一场“拒绝君主”（No Kings）集会了。

所以，这就是你对接下来两年的预想吗，当你仅仅面对一个反对党的时候？

你是怎么考量的，比如你想让这个党、这个国家走上一条什么样的道路？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> This slightly sounds like a No Kings rally here.

So is this your theory of like the next two years when you're just dealing with an opposition party?

How do you think about the like what path you're trying to put the party, the country on?
</details>

>> 问得好。所以，我是的，我是个社会主义者，但我也坚信善治。我相信制度的力量，由我这样的人说出这番话非常有意思，即便我深知在历史上很多此类制度曾多次转向与社会主义者为敌。

但我认为它们需要存在。这跟警务背后的理念是一样的。

在这个国家警务运转得不是很好，这人尽皆知。现在可能不是说这话的最佳时机，因为如你所知，犯罪率下降了。即便在纽约市内，谋杀率也比以往任何时候都要低。

但我认为那些属于历史趋势……
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Great question. So I yes, I'm a socialist, but I also believe in good governance. I believe in the power of institutions, which is very interesting for someone like myself to say this, even though I understand that many of those institutions have turned on socialists historically at times.

But I think they need to exist. It's the same concept behind policing.

It's not a secret that policing doesn't work very well in this country. Now this is probably the worst time to say that because, you know, crime is down. Even in the city in New York City, the murder rate is lower than ever before.

But I think those are historic trends that
</details>

>> 杰西卡·蒂施（Jessica Tisch）式的社会主义者。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Jessica Tish socialist.
</details>

>> 我不是杰西卡·蒂施式的社会主义者。在那一点上我确实不同意那位优秀的市长。

话虽如此，话虽如此，我理解将警务作为一种制度的必要性。我不是主张废除警察的人，对吧？我希望警察……将警务作为一种制度来服务与保护，服务人民。

并且我也明白，我们必须利用这些制度来对抗那些腐败分子，对抗那些违法之人。而这届政府显然已经违法了。所以在过渡阶段，我与反特朗普联盟是完全步调一致的，因为那是绝对必须的。那是……那是我们重建社会结构、恢复美国文明与美国社会的必要之举，因为如果我们不这样做，接下来就是彻底的混乱。我担忧唐纳德·特朗普之后会出现什么样的法西斯式加速主义。

然后，最后但同样重要的是，我希望民主党人制定出一个可定义的、切实的2028年立法议程。

所以我认为有大量领域是民主党人应该……确立立场、明确插上旗帜表明这就是我们的主张。

我认为眼下可负担性危机中最严重的问题之一就是医疗保健。

保费已经彻底失控。作为“美丽大法案”（Big Beautiful Bill）的后果，为了给企业减税买单，医疗补助（Medicaid）将迎来极其严重的财政紧缩。这实际上现在正在发生。他们精心卡好了时间，让紧缩在中期选举之后立即生效，这样他们就不会为此受到惩罚，对吧？所以我们面临着这场迫在眉睫的重大危机。它会让价格急剧恶化，并且会导致很多其他乡村医院关闭。那是这个国家医疗领域中另一场独立的危机。

而且我认为解决这个问题的唯一办法就是单一支付方医疗体系。我相信全民医保（Medicare for All）。

根据凯撒家庭基金会（Kaiser Family Foundation）的数据，作为一项政策，它不仅迎来了史上最高的支持度——我相信达到了66%——而且我认为这也是正确的政策举措。当然，特朗普会否决它，这一点我明白。但我认为，用切实的、能够让民众产生认同感与联结感的经济政策来定义民主党，是至关重要的。

因为我在2024年就说过这点。这是卡玛拉最大的弱点之一，那就是她无法被清晰定义。她的立场游移不定。她有一些政策方案——有一些非常好的方案遭到了这个机构的严厉批评，比如打击哄抬物价。我认为那个方案传达得也很娴熟。她没有说是价格管制，她说的是她要打击杂货店的哄抬物价行为。那很受普遍欢迎。

但在政纲中并没有真正的医疗政策，至少在竞选中没有传达出来。而且我认为这也是一个重大失误，不仅仅是去补贴现有的市场。

我认为人们对此感到失望。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I'm not a Jessica Tish socialist. I do disagree with the wonderful mayor on that issue.

Having said that, having said that, I understand the necessity for policing as an institution. I'm not a police abolitionist, right? I want police policing as an institution to serve and protect and serve the people.

And I also understand that we have to use these institutions against those who are corrupt, against those who are violating the law. And this administration clearly has. So in the interim, I am completely aligned with the anti-Trump coalition because that is an an absolute must. That is that is a necessity for us to to rebuild the the social fabric to restore uh American civilization, American society, because uh if we don't do that, then complete chaos. And I worry about what kind of fascist acceleration is comes after Donald Trump.

And then, last but not least, I want the Democrats to design a definable, tangible 2028 legislative agenda.

So I think there are uh numerous uh areas that Democrats should um lay a stake on, like just plant their flag and say this is what we're about.

So I think right now one of the biggest uh problems with the affordability crisis is healthcare.

Premiums are completely out of control. As a consequence of the Big Beautiful Bill uh in order to pay for the corporate tax cuts, uh there is tremendous austerity coming for Medicaid. That's actually happening right now. They they uh timed it so that it would uh hit right after the midterm, so they wouldn't get penalized for it, right? So we have this major crisis that's imminent. It's going to make prices far worse, and it's going to uh lead to many other rural hospitals shutting down. That's another separate crisis in healthcare in this country.

And I think the only solution to solve this problem is single-payer healthcare. I believe in Medicare for all.

Um not only is it the most popular it's ever been as a policy according to the Kaiser Family Foundation, it's 66% I believe.

Um but I think it's the the right policy initiative as well. Now, of course, Trump is going to veto it. I understand that. But I think it's important to define the Democratic Party with tangible economic policies that that people can identify with, that people can associate with. Um because I said this in 2024. This was one of Kamala's biggest weaknesses was that she was not definable. She was all over the place. She had some policy prescriptions. Uh, she had some very good ones that were critically panned by this institution like uh combating price gouging. I thought that was expertly communicated as well. She didn't say it's price controls. She said she's going to go after price gouging in grocery stores. That was broadly popular.

But there was no real uh healthcare policy on the on the platform that at least was communicated on the campaign. And I think that was a major mistake as well beyond just like subsidizing the existing marketplace.

Um, I think people are frustrated with that.
</details>

>> 如果您还不是《纽约时报》的订阅用户，我们有个消息要告诉您。在您使用《纽约时报》应用程序的首月期间，您现在可以完全不受任何付费墙限制免费浏览《纽约时报》。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> If you're not a subscriber to the New York Times, we have some news for you. You can now explore the Times for free without any paywalls at all during your first month in the New York Times app.
</details>

### 医保路线之争：单一支付方与改良方案

>> 所以我想在医疗保健问题上花些时间，因为我认为医疗保健领域体现了民主党的转变，以及一种综合折中方案的浮现。但是，我的描述方式会跟你的不同，所以我想看看我们在哪里存在分歧。

首先，我认为在《平价医疗法案》（Affordable Care Act）出台后的一段时间里，民主党——不是党内的伯尼（Bernie）派系，而是党内的主流派系——普遍持有一种观点，即我们已经解决医疗问题了。该去抓气候变化、抓学前教育、去抓别的事情了，或许还可以巩固一下奥巴马医改（Obamacare）的补贴，但我们已经搞定医疗了，是时候把政治资本花在其他地方了。

我认为在当下这已不再成立。其一，特朗普从很多不同维度架空了奥巴马医改，取消了强制参保要求，削减了补贴，个人市场上的医保保费正在飞涨。

其二，我认为在某些方面，奥巴马医改背后的一些设想并没有像人们预期的那样奏效。具有竞争性的商业保险市场最终并没能成为大家真正感到振奋的机制。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> So I want to spend some time on healthcare because I think healthcare is where you see the Democratic Party shifting and a kind of synthesis emerging. But but it I would describe it differently than you did, so I want to see where we disagree on it.

So one, I think for a while after the Affordable Care Act, the Democratic Party kind of had the view not the Bernie wing of the party, but the main wing of the party of like we did healthcare. It's time to do climate, time to do pre-K, time to do something else, maybe bolster Obamacare subsidies, but we already did healthcare, time to spend the political capital elsewhere.

I think at this point that's not true any longer. One is that Trump has gutted Obamacare in a bunch of different directions, taken out the mandate, cut the subsidies, you know, the um insurance premiums in the individual markets are spiraling.

The other is that I think in some ways just some of the ideas behind Obamacare didn't work as well as people hoped they will. Uh, competitive private insurance markets didn't uh end up being a thing people are really excited about.
</details>

>> 嗯。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Mhm.
</details>

>> 另一方面，党内主张废除商业保险的派系——这更多是党内的伯尼一派，人们在理论上喜欢全民医保，但一旦开始谈到剥夺他们的现有保险，他们就不喜欢了。

但我一直听到AOC，也听到埃尔-萨耶德（El-Sayed）在某种程度上开始从那种立场抽身。这更像是一个医保自选平台。

所以我认为最终会得出某种惠及更多人的医保（Medicare for more）综合方案。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> On the other hand, the abolish private insurance side of the party, this is more the Bernie side of the party where people like Medicare for all in theory, but you begin talking about taking away their insurance, they don't like that.

But I've been hearing AOC, I've been hearing El Sayed kind of walk away from that. It's more of a Medicare choice platform.

So I think you're going to end up with some kind of Medicare for more synthesis.
</details>

>> 是的，这就是民主党人一直在推动的所谓“美洲医保”（Medicare for America）概念。作为一项政策我是反对的，因为我认为它在那些必定会声称“这与我们的产品竞争太大了”的实体面前，同样是极不受欢迎的。商业保险公司绝不会赞成公共选择权（public option）或扩大联邦医疗保险范围。因此，既然我们不可避免要面对来自资方利益集团的阻力，我们倒不如一步到位。

保费之所以飞涨，完全是因为这是一项缺乏弹性的服务。你要么需要医疗，要么就死掉，对吧？

因此，我们有了这个不必要的中间人，这对GDP很有利，对保险业高管很有利，对这个行业很有利，但对消费者而言实际上是糟糕透顶的。甚至对医疗机构都不利，对医生本身都不利。

它只是保险公司赚钱的工具而已。

当然，这恰恰就是我们的医疗成本飙升的原因。因此我认为，取消它，总体上让它便宜得多，总体上让每一个美国人都更能负担得起；与此同时，仍然利用存在于所有这些不同市场中的那些中间人的现有架构，但基本上将其包装在某种公私合作的模式之下，才是恰当的行进道路。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah, this is the uh what is it called? The Medicare for America concept Democrats have pushed for. Um I am in opposition to that uh as a as a uh policy because I I see it as um also deeply unpopular by the same exact entities that are going to say this is far too competitive with our product. Private insurance is not going to be in favor of uh a a public option or an expansion of Medicare. So if we are going to have to face this inevitable resistance uh from moneyed interests, we might as well go all the way.

The reason why we have skyrocketing premiums is because it's entire this is an inelastic service. You need healthcare or you die, right?

And uh and therefore we have this unnecessary middleman that is great for the GDP, it's great for the insurance executives, it's great for this industry, but it's actually horrible for the consumers. It's not even great for the healthcare facilities, it's not even great for the doctors themselves.

It's just good as a money-making vehicle for the insurance companies.

And of course that is precisely the reason why our healthcare costs have skyrocketed. So I think that doing away with that and uh and making it much cheaper overall, much more affordable overall on every single American uh while still using the existing skeleton of those, you know, middlemen that exist in all these different markets, but uh basically packaging it under some kind of public-private partnership is the appropriate way to go.
</details>

>> 你有仔细研究过他们在佛蒙特州尝试搞单一支付方时发生的事情吗？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Have you looked much at what happened when they did tried to do single parent Vermont?
</details>

>> 呃，没有，我不太熟悉佛蒙特州的那项单一支付方计划具体是怎样的，但我想说的是——
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Uh no, I am not familiar with what uh the single payer initiative was in Vermont, but I will say this.
</details>

>> 我们聊聊这个吧，花一分钟聊聊这个很有用，因为我认为这触及到了这件事情可能会走向的结局。

几年前他们曾尝试搞过这个。显然，伯尼·桑德斯（Bernie Sanders）是来自佛蒙特州的参议员，并且当时民主党拥有彻底的三权全控（trifecta control）。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> let's talk it's useful to to chat about for a minute because I think it gets to where maybe I think this is going to end up.

So they tried to do this a couple years ago. Bernie Sanders, obviously being senator from Vermont, they had full democratic trifecta control.
</details>

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它崩溃了。导致崩溃的原因有几个。我现在在《纽约时报》以及之前在 Vox 的同事埃兹拉·克莱因（Ezra Klein）对此做了很多出色的报道。但是，当你试图将整个医疗体系纳入单一付款人制度时，发生的情况之一就是，目前所有这些隐性成本会立刻全部呈现在选民面前。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
It fell apart. And there are different reasons it fell apart. My colleague now at the Times and at Vox, Ezra Klein did a lot of great reporting on this. But one of the things that happens when you try to ingest the entire healthcare system into a single-payer system is all of these hidden costs right now become visible all at once to the electorate.
</details>

理论上，你原本会认为最希望推行“全民医保”（Medicare for all）的是雇主，对吧？因为如你所知，我的一大笔医疗支出是由雇主承担的。我自己看不到这笔钱。对于大多数没有纳入联邦医疗保险（Medicare）和联邦医疗补助（Medicaid）本身的美国人来说，情况都是如此。于是，雇主支付的一切都变成了一项税收。原本隐藏在税收减免中的一切，也都变成了一项税收。因此，在人们眼里，总体标价并没有变少，即便在国家预算层面上它可能变少了，因为目前的许多成本是隐藏起来的。所以你面临那个问题。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
In theory, the people you would think would want Medicare for all are employers, right? That you know, a huge amount of my healthcare spend is covered by an employer. I don't see it. That's true for most Americans who are not in Medicare and Medicaid itself. And so you get everything that the employer is paying becomes a tax. And everything that is kind of hidden in tax deductions becomes a tax. And so the price tag doesn't look less to people even though it might be less on the national budget because a lot of the costs right now are hidden. So you have that problem.
</details>

而另一个问题，我不知道你是否见过这个，是 Media Sones Group 和 Searchlight 做的一项民意调查。也就是涵盖了左翼和中间派的民调。人们想要全民医保，但接着当你问，你想让你现有的商业医疗保险被取消吗？他们说不。你信任政府胜过信任你的商业保险公司吗？他们说不。因此在我看来，即便你最终想要达成单一付款人制，你也必须处在一个建立信任的时期，循序渐进地推进。当阿卜杜勒·赛义德（Abdul El-Sayed）来我节目时，他谈到这就像攀登珠穆朗玛峰，对吧？你得先到达大本营，然后一步一步来。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
And the other problem, I don't know if you saw this, it was a poll by Media Sones Group and Searchlight. So you had a kind of left and centrist poll. And people people want Medicare for all, but then you're like, do you want to do you want your private insurance taken away? They say no. Do you trust the government more than your private insurer? They say no. And so it has seemed to me that you're even if you want to get to a single-payer, you have to be in a kind of trust-building period where you take it in pieces. When I had Abdul Sayed on the show, he talked about this is like climbing Mount Everest, right? You got to get to base camp and then a piece and then a piece.
</details>

所以首先我很好奇，对于那项政治分析，你不同意哪一部分？如果你并没有不同意，那么在你看来，朝着你所期望的目标迈进的渐进路径会是怎样的，而不是一口把它全吞下去？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
So first I'm curious which part of that political analysis you disagree with. And and if you don't, like what you see is a kind of like what would be a progression towards what you want as opposed to biting it all at once.
</details>

### 全民医保与医疗体制改革

>> 是的，我认为现在一口全吞下去并不是切实可行或可能做到的。但我认为将它作为我们立法的北极星去推进是有价值的。之所以存在这种差别，以及当告诉人们他们可能会失去商业医保时大家会感到沮丧、或者态度更加消极，是因为当下大家对良好治理缺乏足够信心。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah, I I don't think that biting it all at once is is something that is is feasible or possible right now. But I think there's value in advancing that as as um our our legislative north star. The reason why there is this distinction and and people get frustrated when you or people are more negative about Medicare for all when you tell them that they might lose their private health care is because there's not a lot of confidence in good governance right now.
</details>

我会说，这一直是后里根时代新自由主义时期的典型特征。但我认为眼下正在发生一些真正的改变，但这需要杰出的沟通者勤勉地与民众沟通，不要把他们当傻瓜，而是向他们解释摆在面前的局势。因为全民医保这些年来变得大受欢迎的原因，就在于医保保费高得令人难以置信。人们讨厌医保费用，人们痛恨自己的商业保险公司。他们喜欢自己的医疗服务提供者，喜欢自己的医生。他们不想失去自己的医生，但他们鄙视安泰（Aetna）和蓝十字蓝盾（Blue Cross Blue Shield），因为他们的体验……
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
And that has been I would say the defining feature of the post Reagan neoliberal era. But I think there's some real changes coming right now, but it requires great communicators to diligently talk to people, not treat them as stupid, but to explain to them the situation ahead because the reason why Medicare for all has become much more popular over the years is because healthcare premiums are unbelievably costly. People hate healthcare. People hate their private insurance companies. They love their healthcare providers. They love their doctors. They don't want to lose their doctors, but they despise Aetna and and Blue Cross Blue Shield because their experience
</details>

>> 这却让事情变得更难了，对吧？因为成本的来源——我的意思是，部分成本固然产生在商业保险公司那里，但成本首先且最主要是来自于医疗服务提供者。由于保险公司在与医疗服务提供者的抗衡中处于劣势，他们索性就不去抗争，只是把成本转嫁出去……
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> makes this harder though, right? Because the cost is coming I mean there's some cost that sits with the private insurer. But the costs are coming from the providers first and foremost and because the insurers lose when they fight the providers, they just don't fight the providers. So they just pass along the cost
</details>

>> 是的。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah.
</details>

>> 然后在此基础上抽成，接着我们就支出了巨额费用。如果以一种省钱的方式来推行全民医保，你所做的就是对医疗服务提供者实行价格管制，对吧？那正是节约资金的机制所在。管理层……
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> and then take a cut on top of that and then we spend a ton. You do Medicare for all in a way that saves money, what you're doing is price controls on providers, right? That is that is the mechanism of money saving. There's administrators
</details>

>> 想要这么做。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> want to do that.
</details>

>> 是的，但接着他们就会与你对抗，对吧？在医疗领域这向来是最棘手的部分——当医生们因为你削减他们的薪酬而冲着你来的时候。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah, but then they're going to fight you, right? That that's always been the hard part about healthcare when the doctors come after you because you're cutting their salaries.
</details>

>> 我完全清楚这一点，我认为这是不可避免的，也是必要的。但这也是为什么与其相配套的政策是大学免费教育。因为我觉得——我是说，你看，我在土耳其长大。我们有国有化的医疗体系，但在此之上我们也有商业保险。我们既有私立医院，也有公立医院，对吧？你可以一直享受免费的大学教育，直到医学院毕业。但作为获取医学博士学位的交换，政府随后会把你派往这些不同的地方去完成住院医师规培，而你对于规培地点并没有真正的决定权。在那之后，你想在哪个医疗机构工作都可以。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Fully fully aware of that and I think that that is an inevitability. It's a necessity, but that's also why the the complementary policy to that is also free college education because I think I mean look I I grew up in Turkey. We have a nationalized healthcare system, but then we also have private insurance on top of that. We have private hospitals and public hospitals, right? And you can get free college education all the way to medical school. But in exchange for getting your doctorate get uh getting an MD, then the government will send you to one of these different uh places where you have to do a residence and you don't really have a say on where that uh residence is. After that you can work in whichever facility you want to.
</details>

我认为那是一个公平得多的体系，而且讽刺的是，也是一个高效得多的体系，因为至少你从一开始就不会背负债务。当然，这对于我们目前的运作方式而言将是一场剧烈的转变。但是现在有一些由捐助人出资的项目，像纽约大学（NYU）以及许多其他院校，人们正试图专门为医学院免除学费。因此我认为，大家确实意识到了这里存在这种需求。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
And that I think is a much fairer system and much more efficient system ironically enough because like at least you are no longer saddled with debt uh right out of the gates uh and and um of course this would be a uh a a seismic shift in the way that we currently operate. But there are initiatives uh paid for by benefactors and places like NYU and many other colleges right now where people are trying to pay for medical school specifically. So I think there is uh there is uh definitely a need that people recognize that exists here.
</details>

### 能源法案与民主党内部权衡

>> 让我问问你，在民主党同时持有的各项优先事项之间可能产生更多冲突的地方，你会如何应用粗糙伯尼主义（vulgar bernieism）？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Let me ask you about how you apply vulgar bernieism to places where you can have more conflict within priorities that Democrats hold at the same time.
</details>

>> 好的。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah.
</details>

>> 比如目前国会正在推进一项审批改革法案，该法案让建设清洁能源和脏能源（dirty energy）都变得更容易。这是一项跨党派法案。有参与谈判的民主党人，也有参与谈判的共和党人。我不想过分深入探讨一项极其复杂的法案的细节。但是它目前给民主党人带来的挑战是：我认为各项研究表明，净效益上它对气候算是有适度的好处，但即便我们假定自己并不清楚，对吧？我们就以该法案的一个典型化假设版本来说。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> So right now there's a permitting reform bill making it easier to build both clean and dirty energy moving through Congress. It's a bipartisan bill. You have sort of Democrats who negotiated it, Republicans who negotiated it. I don't want to go super deep into the details of a super complicated bill. But the the challenge it is posing to Democrats right now is I think the study show it's on net kind of modestly good for climate, but let's even say we didn't know, right? Let's just like use a kind of stylized version of the bill.
</details>

如果你让建造脏能源变得更容易，而共和党人在2029年再次获胜，并且给予补贴之类的，你可能会迎来脏能源的大规模扩建。另一方面，它确实降低了能源成本，而民众对能源成本感到非常愤怒。当民主党最终面临这样一组问题时，对吧？如果你能让东西变得更便宜，但也许这意味着会建更多的天然气发电厂呢？也许你能让东西更便宜，但这意味着大企业更容易进行生产呢？你如何看待这类的权衡取舍？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
If you make it easier to build dirty energy and Republicans win again in 2029 and they kind of subsidize it whatever, you could get a big build out of dirty energy. On the other hand, it does reduce energy costs and people are mad as about energy costs and you know when the Democratic Party ends up facing this set of questions, right? What if you can make things cheaper, but maybe it means you get more natural gas plants? Maybe you can make things cheaper, but maybe it means it's easier for corporations to produce. How do you think about those kinds of tradeoffs?
</details>

>> 我对这些事情的态度是，作为起步，我们需要针对向这些公司提供的补贴索取更多回报。我认为那是拜登政府的一个巨大问题。我记得当俄罗斯入侵乌克兰发生第一次石油冲击时，拜登回过头去求那些石油和天然气巨头，基本上就是恳求他们增加供应。而石油行业站出来说：不，我们对股东负有信托责任，我们不会增加供应、也不会去缓解价格压力。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I mean, my attitude on this stuff is that we need to demand more in exchange for the subsidies that we offer to these companies to begin with. I think that was a huge issue with the Biden administration when I I remember when the first oil shock happened after Russia invaded Ukraine, Biden went back to the oil and gas giants and basically begged them to increase supply and the petroleum industry came out and said, no, we have a fiduciary responsibility to our shareholders. We're not going to we're not going to increase supply and and maybe ease prices.
</details>

我认为那是完全不可接受的，尤其是考虑到我们向这些公司提供的巨额补贴。我认为我会采取的方式，或者说民粹主义的应对方式是：在某些领域，我们完全可以对石油和天然气行业提出要求，在必要时甚至要求其增加供应并全面降低价格。但这不是——目前行事的方式、我们目前的做法全都是通过激励措施。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
I find that completely unacceptable, especially considering the the sheer amount of subsidies we offer these companies. And I think the way I would go about it is or rather the populist way of going about it is like there are areas where we could potentially make demands of the oil and gas industry to to at times even increase supply if necessary and and lower prices overall, but it's not the the current order of business, the current way that we go about it is is through incentives.
</details>

>> 但是，哪怕就在你这里选择的这个例子中，听起来你也是在说：把可负担性置于减少碳排放之上。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> But but it sounds even in the example you're choosing here, it sounds to me like you're saying prioritize affordability over emissions reductions.
</details>

>> 我认为有办法做到这一点，是的。我认为这再次回到了一个问题：我们对私营企业拥有多少控制权，我们对石油和天然气行业拥有多少控制权。而在我看来，目前我们毫无控制权。我的意思是，你看，我使用的例子还是回到挪威，对吧？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I think that there are ways of doing this, yes. I think again, this goes back to how much control we have over private enterprise, how much control we have over the oil and gas industry, and currently we have none in my opinion. I mean, look, example I use is again going back to Norway, right?
</details>

一方面，他们从石油和天然气中赚取了大量资金；但在另一方面，其中一部分利润又回流用于建设电网，专注于光伏、风能以及整体的可再生能源。我认为这也是我们在美国可以做到的事情。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
So on the one hand, they make a lot of money off of oil and gas, but also on the other hand, some of the profits go back to building out an electrif- uh an electrical grid that focuses on pho- photovoltaics and wind energy and renewable energy overall. And I think that is something we can do here in America as well.
</details>

>> 当你处理消费价格与本地生产之间的冲突时，你如何看待这类问题，对吧？也许这里一个简单的例子是：购买……会变得更便宜
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> How do you think about questions where you're dealing with a conflict between consumer prices and production here, right? So maybe a an easy example of this is it would become cheaper to buy
</details>

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如果我们允许中国电动汽车进入美国，而不对其征收毁灭性的关税，那么一辆电动汽车。但另一方面，这对美国汽车工业以及它所支持的那些地方的就业来说，可能会非常非常糟糕。那么你是如何看待这样的一种权衡取舍的？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
an electric vehicle if we allowed Chinese EVs into the country without ruinous tariffs on them. On the other hand, it could be really really bad for the American auto industry and the jobs in places it supports. So how do you think about a trade-off like that?
</details>

>> 嗯，我完全赞成保护国内制造业。听着，我是个社会主义者。我支持贸易保护主义。所以我认为某些关税是必要的，特别是考虑到无论如何我们这里实际上剩下的国内制造业并不多。所以，嗯，我不介意阻止中国电动汽车进入美国市场。

然而，我认为我们应该做的是把重点放在研发投资上，以确保我们拥有具有竞争力的电动汽车，也就是打造我们自己的一整套电动汽车产品线，并且我们有可能将其销售到世界其他地方；而不是像唐纳德·特朗普那样，去消除我们与其它国家之间出现的一些贸易顺差，然后强迫他们购买我们的 F-150 皮卡——那些车可并不完全符合其他市场的需求。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Um I am fully in favor of protecting domestic manufacturing. Look, I'm I'm a socialist. I I am in favor of trade protectionism. So I I believe that uh there are some tariffs that are necessary, especially considering that we don't really have a lot of domestic manufacturing that remains here uh anyway. So um I I don't mind uh shutting off uh Chinese electric vehicles uh from from entering the American market.

However, I think what we should be doing is uh focusing on investment in R&D to ensure that we have competitive electric vehicles, a fleet of electric vehicles that we create as well, that we could potentially sell to the rest of the world rather than uh engage in what Donald Trump is doing to to eradicate some of the tra- trade surpluses that we've seen with other countries and then I guess like forcing them to purchase our F-150 pickup trucks that are uh not exactly compliant with uh the the uh needs that other markets have.
</details>

### 民主党内部在以色列问题上的分歧

>> 我能想到许多民主党朝同一个方向努力的领域。但随后就会出现关于政治策略、能走多远以及权衡取舍的辩论。

我想探讨一个我认为对民主党联盟来说可能是最困难的问题，因为并非所有人都有着相同的信念方向，那就是以色列问题——特别是关于以色列能否以及是否应该作为一个犹太国家存在，以及这能否与巴勒斯坦人的自由和自决共存的问题。

那么让我换个方式来问：请告诉我你如何理解民主党阵营内部在这里存在的不同立场，然后在此之后，你把自己定位在什么位置。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> So I think of a lot of places where the Democratic Party is rowing in the same direction.

And then there are debates about political strategy and how far to go and trade-offs.

I want to go to the issue where I think it's going to be hardest for the Democratic coalition because not everybody believes things in the same direction, which is Israel, particularly the issue of whether Israel can and should exist as a Jewish state and whether that can coexist with freedom and self-determination for Palestinians.

So let me try it this way. Tell me how you understand the different positions here inside the Democratic camp and then sort of after you do that, where you place yourself.
</details>

>> 对。嗯，我的意思是，我是一个反犹太复国主义者，这显然意味着我希望以色列不再作为一个种族隔离国家、不再作为占领者存在。我希望最公正、最平等的解决方案是参与这场冲突的每一方都能达成一致的方案。那可以是一个所有人享有平等权利和代表权的单一世俗国家；也有可能是一种双民族承诺，或者两国方案——尽管考虑到约旦河西岸的占领以及那里不再有连贯的巴勒斯坦国家领土，两国方案看起来可能性较小。定居点项目几乎让这变得不可能。

在以色列问题上，民主党——或者至少是支持基础、选民本身——的分歧并不像政客们那么大。选民基本盘与政党立场之间显然存在分歧。我认为这里有几个不同的因素在起作用。显然，一个是……的腐蚀性影响。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah. Um I mean, I'm an anti-Zionist and uh uh that that obviously means that I I want Israel to no longer exist as an apartheid state, uh as an occupation. Uh and uh I hope that the most just and equitable solution is one that, you know, every party involved in this conflict can can agree on. Um that could be a single solitary secular state where everyone has equal rights and representation. Uh it could potentially be a binational commitment or a two-state solution, even though that seems less likely as a consequence of the the uh occupation in the West Bank and how there's no contiguous Palestinian statehood any longer. Uh and the settlement project has almost rendered that impossible.

Um the Democratic Party, or at least the base of support, the voters themselves are not in disagreement uh so much as the the politicians are on the issue of Israel. There's definitely uh a divergence between where the base is versus where the party is. And I think there's a couple different factors at play here. Obviously one is uh the the corrosive influence of
</details>

>> 想要先谈派系，对吧？我希望你描述一下你所理解的各种观点都是什么。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> want to go to the factions first, right? I I want you to describe what what you understand the various opinions to be.
</details>

>> 我的意思是，你有那些死硬的意识形态分子，比如极端犹太复国主义者，或者真正在这项意识形态工程中深度投入的犹太复国主义者。我会把拜登归入那个阵营。

嗯，从表面上看，出于某种原因——这非常有趣，因为他是爱尔兰天主教徒，而那可能是你最料想不到会对以色列工程如此投入的人群之一。但在我看来，他是属于极端犹太复国主义阵营的。

还有很多人，比方说，担心自己的连任，并且担心——至少在这一选举周期之前一直担心——美以公共事务委员会（AIPAC）以及其他许多以色列游说前沿组织向他们的竞选注入巨额资金，并有可能将他们赶下台。

然后还有一部分人——这是党内一个正在壮大的联盟，我支持的许多候选人都属于这一类——他们赞成追究以色列种族灭绝罪行的责任，并要求对以色列实施武器禁运；或者，我的意思是，我想还有其他形式，比如人们希望将《莱希法》（Leahy laws）一视同仁地适用于以色列，尽管这些限制本身存在局限性。

是的，我会说我最接近那个阵营：要求对以色列的所作所为进行问责的阵营，希望向以色列施压的阵营，因为我们拥有巨大的影响力。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I mean, you have the the die-hard uh ideologues like the ultra-Zionists or the Zionists that are uh legitimately invested in this ideological project. I would put Biden in camp.

Um, he seemingly uh for one reason or another, and this is very interesting cuz he's you know, Irish Catholic, and that's um probably one of the last demographics you would expect to be so um so invested in the um Israeli project. But he is in the ultra-Zionist camp in my opinion, and there are a lot of people who um are worried about their reelection, let's say, and are worried about at least up until this cycle, were worried about uh AIPAC and and numerous other uh Israeli lobby uh um front organizations dumping boatloads of money uh into their races and potentially unseating them.

And then you have people uh and this is a growing coalition within the party. Uh many of the candidates that I backed that are in favor of delivering accountability to Israel for its crimes of genocide uh and and demanding an arms embargo on Israel or um I mean I guess there's uh other versions of this where people want to apply the Leahy laws uh evenly to Israel, although there are limitations on those um restrictions.

And um yeah, I would say that I am closest to that camp, the camp that wants accountability for what Israel has done, the camp that wants to pressure Israel because we have profound amounts of influence.
</details>

>> 反犹太复国主义。或者至少并不全都是反犹太复国主义。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> anti-Zionist. Or at least not all of it is anti-Zionist.
</details>

>> 比如布拉德·兰德（Brad Lander），自称是自由派犹太复国主义者。我也会把他归入那个阵营。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Like Brad Lander, for example, is self-described liberal Zionist. Uh and I would put him in that camp as well.
</details>

>> 我想谈谈这个问题，这是你引发最大轰动争议的地方，所以我想播放一段我认为部分问题变得棘手的片段。这是你在去年的美国民主社会主义者（DSA）大会上与拉希达·特莱布（Rashida Tlaib）交谈：
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I I want to get to this is where you've become most kind of electrically controversial, and so I want to play a clip of of I think where some of this has become tricky. This is you talking to Rashida Tlaib at last year's DSA convention.
</details>

>> “犹太复国主义是一种建立在民族、民族宗教至上主义价值观之上的灭绝主义意识形态。所以当人们说‘噢，我是个自由派犹太复国主义者，我希望建立一个犹太……我希望有……我是个自由派犹太复国主义者。我希望建立一个犹太民族国家。’我就会觉得，好吧，你到底是什么意思？这就像在说你是一个‘自由派纳粹’一样。你想要一个雅利安人占多数的民族国家？你到底在说什么？那里有人生活着。”
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Zionism is an exterminationist ideology built around ethno ethno-religious supremacist values. So uh when when people say like, oh well, you you I'm a liberal Zionist, like I want there to be a Jewish I want there I'm a liberal, Zionist. I want there to be a Jewish ethno state. I'm like, okay, like what do you mean? It's like saying you're like a liberal nazi. You want a an Aryan majority ethno state? Like what are you talking about? There's people there.
</details>

>> 就在刚才，你还说你和布拉德·兰德差不多在一个阵营，他是来自布鲁克林的候任国会议员，也是一名自由派犹太复国主义者。而你在这里又在某种程度上说自由派犹太复国主义者就像自由派纳粹一样。请帮我把这两者结合起来解释一下。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> So a minute ago, you were saying you're sort of in the camp with Brad Lander, who's a liberal Zionist and coming congressman from Brooklyn. Um you're also kind of here saying liberal Zionist here like liberal Nazis. Put that together for me.
</details>

>> 好的，问得很好。

据我估计——而且我认为这总的来说正在成为一个更普遍的立场——犹太复国主义是一种种族主义意识形态。由于人们所受的社会熏陶不同，人们看待它的方式有所不同，但它最终造成的影响无可否认是种族主义的。它是一种灭绝主义意识形态，因为它导致了灭绝。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> All right, so great question. Zionism by my estimation and I think this is becoming a more popular position overall is a racist ideology. It it is it it it differs the way that people see it depending on their social conditioning differs, but its impact ultimately is is undeniably a racist one. It's an exterminationist ideology because it's led to the extermination.
</details>

>> 是一种灭绝主义。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> is an exterminationist.
</details>

>> 所以对于布拉德·兰德，我说他是这个联盟一部分的原因在于，我觉得他是一个非常迷人的人物，因为一方面他说自己是一个自由派犹太复国主义者，但另一方面他也承认种族隔离的存在。他承认占领的存在，并寻求结束这种种族隔离和占领。他承认种族灭绝，并希望追究责任。

我和布拉德·兰德产生分歧的地方在于，比方说，我非常赞赏他前往约旦河西岸，并在橄榄收获期间参与保护性巡守。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> So with Brad Lander, the reason why I say he's a part of this coalition is because I find him to be a fascinating figure because on the one hand, he says he's a liberal Zionist, but also on the other hand, he recognizes the apartheid. He recognizes the occupation and seeks out the end of the apartheid in the occupation. He recognizes the genocide and wants accountability. The areas of disagreement between myself and Brad Lander is when, for example, I love that he went out to the West Bank and wanted to do protective presence during the olive harvest.
</details>

>> “作为保护收获行动的一部分，我们本周来到了约旦河西岸。我们正在帮助巴勒斯坦农民采摘橄榄，而不是让他们从自己的土地上被种族清洗。”
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> We're in the West Bank this week as part of that protect the harvest effort. We're helping Palestinian farmers harvest olives rather than be ethnically cleansed from their land.
</details>

>> 我觉得那很棒，非常好。更多的政客应该这样做，特别是那些自称是自由派犹太复国主义者的政客也应该这样做。

但随后在经历那次事件期间，他被拘留了。我认为那更多是以色列政府试图保护那个群体，以免定居者攻击他们，从而演变成一场严重得多、血腥得多的事件。

但随后有人袭击了约旦河西岸的一个检查站。兰德站出来说，愿那些在检查站的以军士兵安息。我的期望并不是让布拉德出来对那些人说“活该被打垮”，但我的期望——我认为许多反犹太复国主义立场的人的期望——是去理解那些士兵出现在那里本身就是非法的。整个体制都是非法的。根据国际法，定居点项目完全是非法的。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I think that's great. That's wonderful. And more politicians should do that, especially politicians who are are self-described as as liberal Zionists should do that as well.

But then during that experience, he gets detained. I think that was more so the Israeli government trying to save that group uh that the the settlers didn't attack them and it became much worse uh and much bloodier affair.

But then someone attacks a checkpoint in the West Bank. Lander came out and said you know rest in peace to the uh to the IDF soldiers that were at this checkpoint. Now my expectation isn't for Brad to come out and be like get wrecked to those people but my expectation I think the expectation of many people on the anti-Zionist side is uh to approach the issue with the understanding that it is illegal for those soldiers to be there. The entire franchise is illegal. The settlement project is completely illegal under international law.
</details>

>> 描述的这部分我并不打算争辩。但你在这里描述的，我理解反犹太复国主义者和自由派犹太复国主义者之间存在差异，对吧？当你描述布拉德·兰德的信念时，你描述的正是当今自由派犹太复国主义者的信念：这是占领，这是种族隔离。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> describing here I'm not arguing with this part. What but what you're describing here I understand there's a difference between being an anti-Zionist and a liberal Zionist, right? When you described what Brad Lander believes you're just describing what liberal Zionists today believe. It's an occupation, it's an apartheid.
</details>

>> 我不会说所有的自由派犹太复国主义者都这么认为。是的。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I wouldn't say all liberal Zionists believe that. Yeah.
</details>

>> 种族灭绝这一维度是人们分道扬镳的地方。但你有好几次称自由派犹太复国主义者类似于纳粹，对吧？那是一件非常具体的事情，对吧？有时我会听到你为这个论点辩护，说犹太复国主义在其所有版本中都是民族民族主义，而我只是说我不……
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> The genocidal dimension is the part where people part. But a couple times you've called liberal Zionists akin to Nazis, right? That's a very specific thing, right? Sometimes I'll hear you defend the argument by saying well Zionism in all of its versions is uh ethno-nationalist and I'm just saying I don't
</details>

<!-- chunk 6/10 -->

比如单一民族民族主义。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
like ethno-nationalism.
</details>

>> 对。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah.
</details>

>> 纳粹之所以成为纳粹，是因为毒气室。直接来说就是这样，对吧？自由派锡安主义者，他们认为西岸存在种族隔离局势，认为加沙发生的是种族灭绝，或者至少是战争罪行，我真的无法理解为把他们称作类似于纳粹而进行的辩护。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> What made the Nazis the Nazis was gas chambers. Like just like straight, right? Liberal Zionists who believe there's an apartheid uh scenario happening in the West Bank, who believes that Gaza was a genocide or at least war crimes I don't really understand the defense of calling them akin to Nazis.
</details>

>> 这种说法确实带有夸张成分，但我之所以不太介意使用这个词，是因为它的历史意义。大屠杀研究背后的整个原则，就是要理解社会如何走向这样一个方向：人们能够对如此巨大的毁灭、对如此系统化的暴力形式、对这部死亡与毁灭的机器视而不见。它的价值在于通过了解它来让我们不重蹈覆辙。而眼下，显然它的程度并未达到大屠杀那样的规模，但眼下我们正在目睹一场种族灭绝的上演。所以我不介意使用这种煽动性的语言，希望能让人们真正明白局势已经变得何等毁灭性，并采取足够的应对行动来试图阻止它。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Now it's hyperbolic but the reason why I'm not so precious about the utilization of the term is because of its historic significance. The entire principle behind Holocaust studies is to understand uh how society could move in a direction where people could turn a blind eye to such devastation, to such systematized forms of violence, this machine of death and destruction. Um it's its utility is in learning about it so that we don't repeat those mistakes. And right now obviously it's not uh to the same degree as the Holocaust, but right now we are watching a genocide unfold. So I don't mind using this kind of incendiary language with the hopes that people understand exactly how devastating the situation has become and take the sufficient response against it to try and stop it.
</details>

### 两国方案与一国方案的可行性

>> 嗯，我认为大家对局势究竟有多糟糕是有共识的。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Well, I think I think there's agreement here on how bad the situation actually is. Um
</details>

>> 是的。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah.
</details>

>> 不过，我觉得相比刚进来时，我现在反倒对你在这场讨论中的立场更加困惑了。因为你在开场时说，看，只要能有一个公正和平等的成果，你并不真的在意是一国方案、两国方案、双民族方案还是邦联制，对吧？外面流传着所有这些不同的想法。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> but I guess I'm actually more confused about your position inside this conversation than I was coming in cuz when you said at the beginning look, you don't really care so long as you have a a just and equitable outcome, whether it's one state, two state, binational, confederacy, right? There's all these different ideas out there.
</details>

>> 嗯。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Mhm.
</details>

>> 我的意思是，两国方案就像是自由派锡安主义者的方案。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I mean the two-state solution is like the liberal Zionist solution.
</details>

>> 我只是觉得那不真诚。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I just don't think it's sincere.
</details>

>> 嗯，你觉得它不真诚，和你觉得它不太可能实现，这是两码事。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Well, you don't think it's sincere, you don't think it's likely. Those are different.
</details>

>> 我、我，嗯，两者都有。我认为那些说自己想要两国方案的人并没有真正把它规划出来。这看起来会是什么样？我们该如何处理生活在被占领的东耶路撒冷以及西岸的75万犹太定居者？而且他们其实根本不谈如何达成这一目标，也不谈这两个国家会是什么样子。这就是令人沮丧的地方。所以我觉得这只是一种轻描淡写地说“不，我想要两国方案”的方式——
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I I Well, both. I think that people that say they want a two-state don't actually map it out. What does this look like? What do we do about the 750,000 Jewish settlers that live in occupied East Jerusalem and also the West Bank? And um they don't actually talk about how to get there or what those two states look like. And that's what that's the point of frustration. So I feel like it's just a way to to simply say, no, I want a two-state
</details>

>> 想要一国方案的人有规划出来吗？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> who want a one state map it out?
</details>

>> 嗯，有些人有。我是说我肯定没有，而且一国方案也会经历潜在的双民族承诺，然后再以此为基础继续构建。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Um some people do. I mean I certainly haven't and at two at one state also goes through a potential binational commitment as well uh and then uh and then continue to build from that.
</details>

>> 但你在这里所描述的——我是说这也是我经常思考的处境——是从我们目前所处的位置来看，鉴于当前的局势状况，根本无法想象任何方案能够通过并再次维持下去。你不可能明天就转向一国方案，没有人有实现这一目标的路径，两国方案没有，邦联制也没有。

你其实是在怀疑那些相信某种他们自己都不太清楚如何实现的事物的人的真诚性。但在某种程度上，我认为你也相信某种你并不完全清楚如何达成的事物。我认为你并没有一套方案来解决目前以色列内部的问题：他们甚至无法想象如何将阿拉伯裔以色列人政党纳入执政联盟，而这些政党甚至都无法获得执政联盟的正式成员资格。这又如何能变成一个和平、多元族裔、世俗化、从河流到大海的一国呢？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> But what you're describing here and I mean this is a place I sit in a lot is the impossibility from where we sit right now of imagining any solution passing and holding again given what the situation looks like at the moment. You're not going to move to a one state tomorrow. Nobody's got a pathway to do that, not to a two state, not to a confederacy.

You're sort of you're doubting the sincerity of people who believe in something that they don't quite know how to get to. But in the way I would say you believe in something you don't quite know how to get to. I don't think you got a plan for how in Israel right now they can't even imagine how it would integrate Arab Israeli parties into a governing coalition when they're not even able to get coalitional like full coalitional membership. How that becomes a peaceable multi-ethnic one state secularized you know from the river to the sea.
</details>

>> 你确实意识到这里的阻碍并不是这些阿拉伯裔以色列人政党或者以色列的巴勒斯坦公民在这个既有政治联盟中占有一定份额，而实际上是整个社会态度。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> You do recognize the setback here is is not the fact that these Arab Israeli parties or the you know Palestinian citizens of Israel have some uh part of this political coalition that already exists but it's it's actually the societal attitudes.
</details>

>> 是的，我清楚。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yes, I do.
</details>

>> 所以那就是在过去几十年里不断恶化的、存在于以色列社会中未受制约的种族主义。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> So that is the the unchecked racism that exists in Israeli society that's gotten worse over the last couple of decades.
</details>

>> 种族主义和恐惧。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Racism and fear.
</details>

>> 是的。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah.
</details>

>> 我认为你经常低估的一点——
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I think the thing that you often under
</details>

>> 是恐惧。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> is fear.
</details>

>> 两者皆有，对吧？有时是恐惧，而且我认为恐惧推动了其中的很大一部分。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> it's both right? It's sometimes fear and I think fear drives a lot of it.
</details>

>> 问题在于，你觉得那种恐惧是合理的还是不合理的？我个人认为那种恐惧是不合理的，即便发生了10月7日那些骇人听闻的行径。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> The question is do you find that fear to be justifiable or not? I personally don't think that that fear is justifiable even in spite of the the horrific actions that took place on October 7.
</details>

### 词汇争议与政治表述的边界

>> 我并不认为以色列社会目前所陷入的境地在道德上或安全角度上是合理的。我认为从长远来看，这一切完全是自我毁灭性的。

我认为，以色列被迫去面对这样一个问题——即便就目前构成的以色列社会内部而言，究竟能否真正拥有一个多元化、多民族的执政联盟——这暴露出了以色列人可能更希望世人看不到的东西。所以我对此感到非常深切的绝望。

至于我们如何从现状走向我认为哪怕稍好一点的状态，走向某条路径，但如果在这种讨论中，认为支持两国方案——出于希望看到犹太人自决与巴勒斯坦人自决——就类似于现代纳粹，那么那个政治阵线是无法维系在一起的。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I don't think that the place Israeli society has gotten itself into is justifiable morally or from a security perspective. I think in the long run all of this is completely ruinous.

And I think that Israel being forced to confront the question of even within Israeli society as it is currently composed, can you actually have a pluralistic, multi-ethnic governing coalition is showing things that probably Israelis would have preferred the world not see. So like my despair over this is very deep.

Um and how we get from where we are now to something I consider even modestly better like on a path, but if the position here is to believe in a two-state solution because you want to see Jewish self-determination, Palestinian self-determination is akin to being a modern-day Nazi, like then you've got a that that coalition cannot hold together.
</details>

>> 不，我同意。就像我说的，如果根本论点围绕着对巴勒斯坦人的非人化，或者以任何形式将其合理化——例如作为安全关切的结果，或者以色列社会在构建一个犹太人单一民族国家（一个犹太人占多数的国家）时广泛存在的普遍人口结构关切——因为这才是根本问题所在。这就是为什么当佐兰说“噢，我认为以色列应该作为一个多元自由民主国家存在，每个人都拥有平等的权利和代表权”时，人们会说“等一下，但你没说它是一个犹太国家”。当那里存在不是犹太人的原住民时，它在性质上必须是一个犹太国家，这才是真正的问题。

而且我认为事实的真相是——我也明白为什么使用“纳粹”这个词会如此有杀伤力，对吧？因为归根结底，我们谈论的是一个犹太国家正在从事法西斯行为。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> No, I I agree. Um like I said, the if the underlying argument revolves around uh dehumanizing Palestinians or in any way shape or form justifying as a as a consequence of security concerns for example or the demographic concerns that Israeli society has broadly as a as it builds out a Jewish ethno state, right? A Jewish majority state cuz that is the the underlying problem. That's why uh when Zoran says, oh, I believe that Israel should exist as a, you know, pluralistic liberal democracy where everyone has equal rights and representation and people go, wait a minute, but you didn't say it's a Jewish state. It has to be a Jewish state in character when there are indigenous inhabitants there that are not Jewish, that is the real problem. And I think the reality of the matter is um and I understand why the the the deployment of Nazi as a terminology is is so powerful, right? It It cuz we're talking about um a a Jewish state engaging in fascist actions at the end of the day.
</details>

>> 跟你实际交流时，我分不清你是刚才用了一个挑衅性的词而现在不想收回，
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I can't tell if you just used a provocative thing, but you don't want to climb down from it. Like actually talking to you.
</details>

>> 嗯，它确实是法西斯主义的。我确实认为锡安主义就是法西斯主义。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Well, it is it is fascist. I do believe that Zionism is fascist.
</details>

>> 但纳粹不仅仅是法西斯，对吧？我们之所以不仅仅称他们为法西斯，是因为他们是纳粹。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> but Nazis were more than fascist, right? The reason we don't just call them fascist is they were the Nazis.
</details>

>> 我明白这一点。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I understand that.
</details>

>> 觉得你其实并不认为自由派锡安主义者就是同一回事，因为每次我追问你时，你似乎都不完全是那么认为的。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> think you think liberal Zionists are actually the same thing cuz even every time I push you, you don't quite seem to think that.
</details>

>> 在我看来，绝对存在自称自由派锡安主义者的人，他们对暴行视而不见，或者公然为其欢呼，并在以色列社会以及美国社会中要求更多的暴行。虽然——当然并非所有人都是如此。这里面有不同的程度。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> There are, absolutely, in my opinion, people who self-identify as liberal Zionist that have turned a blind eye to the atrocities or outright celebrated them and demanded more of it in Israeli society and in American society as well. Uh while while the No, of course not all of them. There's varying degrees here.
</details>

>> 但你有时对这里的人的描述确实非常非常宽泛，而且对他们来说非常具有冒犯性。我的意思是，通过我认识的犹太人非政治性地传到我这里的一件事，就是你把阿卜杜勒·赛义德在犹太选区的拉票员，描述成类似于在三K党社区鼓吹异族通婚的人。也许不妨放一下那个片段。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> But but you do sometimes describe people here in really really sweeping and and to them really offensive ways. I mean, one that came to me non-politically just through Jewish people I know, as when you described Abdul Sayed, canvassers in a Jewish district, as akin to people arguing for miscegenation in a KKK neighborhood. And and maybe it's worth just playing that clip.
</details>

>> 试图让人们相信埃尔-赛义德是合适的人选——
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Trying to convince people that El-Sayed is the right candidate is
</details>

>> 这绝对是有史以来最疯狂的挨家挨户敲门拉票行动。试图让也许是全美最支持锡安主义的选区——嗯，不是最支持，但也算是全美比较支持锡安主义的富裕选区之一——去投票给一个穆斯林反锡安主义者。

都是勇敢的战士，所有人都是。谢天谢地，他们大概都没枪，你懂的。

直截了当地说，这完全相当于——听着，我觉得这么说并不算不知轻重——这完全相当于去那种三K党社区，去为一个明确打着支持异族通婚旗号、或者主张废除反通婚法的黑人候选人助选。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> This has got to be the wildest door-knocking operation of all time. Trying to get perhaps the most Zionist district in the country. Well, not the most, but like one of the more Zionist wealthy districts in the country to vote for a Muslim anti-Zionist.

Brave soldiers, all of them. Thank God they don't probably own any guns, you know.

This is the equivalent, straight up. Look, I don't think this is insensitive to say. This is the equivalent of going to that like clan KKK neighborhood to stump for like a black candidate who's running expressly on a, you know, pro-miscegenation campaign or something like to abolish anti-miscegenation laws.
</details>

>> 我觉得把一整个你其实并不了解其立场的犹太人社区描述成类似于三K党成员，这太荒谬了。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I think it's crazy to describe an entire neighborhood of Jewish people whose positions you actually don't know as akin to KKK members.
</details>

>> 好吧。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Okay.
</details>

>> 比如我觉得除其他事情之外，我认为对于许多犹太人来说，这其中令人冒犯的地方就在于——去描述一个你其实并不知道那里的居民怎么想的选区。你不知道他们与以色列的关系是什么。就像在某些地方，你有时会非常强调去界定人们对以色列的看法（我认为这是可以进行政治辩论的）与单纯——
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Like I I think among other things, what is I think offensive to many Jewish people about this is just the like describing a district where you actually don't know what the people think. You don't know what their relationship to Israel is. Like that's where sometimes you'll talk very much about policing this boundary between what people think about Israel, which is I think up for political contestation, and just
</details>

<!-- chunk 7/10 -->

犹太教。我认为其中的问题之一，就是像消弭了那种界限。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
Judaism.

And among the things that I thought were a problem about that was like the demolition of that boundary.
</details>

>> 嗯。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Mhm.
</details>

是的。嗯，这是……呃，“Jews for Abdul”的拉票活动，嗯，当时走访的是外面插着“Democrats for Mike Rogers”标牌的人家。

嗯……而且从我的评估来看，我不认为……我的意思是，我们也发现有很多人并不觉得投票给一个穆斯林反犹太复国主义者是不可理喻的。所以完全不是那种情况。而且我……而且我也广泛谈论过，这种……这种……呃，这种虚假混淆以及对以色列的效忠在新闻中被夸大了多少；并且说来讽刺，在制造和煽动更多反犹主义方面，这有多么危险。

嗯，但这非常具体地关乎……嗯，那些在表面上且明确地敌视对以色列的任何批评的人。而且，是的，说到底，我认为这是源于种族主义。我……看，我住在一个非常……我住在一个非常支持以色列的社区。

而且，我从在这个阶段我已经认识了几十年的邻居那里听到的关于由于他们看到、听到的一切，如今在他们眼中我是什么样的人……这些言论真正令人震惊，并且是彻头彻尾的种族主义。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
Yeah. Um this was uh Jews for Abdul canvas um that was going to homes with Democrats for Mike Rogers signs outside of it.

Um and from my estimation, I don't think that I mean we also found out that there were plenty of people who did not find it unconscionable to vote for a Muslim anti-Zionist. So that that wasn't the case at all. And I and I have talked extensively about how much uh this this this uh false conflation and loyalty to Israel is exaggerated in the news and ironically enough how dangerous that is in terms of creating and fomenting more antisemitism.

Um but this is very specifically about um people who are like outwardly and expressly antagonistic to any criticism of Israel. And yeah, at the end of the day, I think it is coming from a racist place. I look I live in a very I live in a very pro-Israel neighborhood.

And the things that I've heard from my neighbors that I've known for decades at this point about who I am from their eyes now because of what they've seen, what they've heard is genuinely alarming and is outright racist.
</details>

>> 但你难道不认为他们对你的一些看法，并非来自于你是反犹太复国主义者这一事实，而是可能因为你把他们描述成了3K党成员或纳粹分子？

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> But you don't think some of what they think about you comes not from the fact that you're anti-Zionist, but because maybe you describe them as KKK members or Nazis?
</details>

### 社区经历与指控

>> 我认为3K党成员与我在个人经历中描述的、我所见所闻的，以及我的……我的反犹太复国主义犹太朋友在……呃，在他们自己的谈话中谈到的内容之间，没有任何区别。我给你举一个例子。我去一个狗公园。

我的狗和另一位女士的狗经常在一起玩。

有一天，我的……呃，我再次在公园里，我的助手正……正……呃，在遛我的狗。我正在打篮球。

她走上前去对她说：“你怎么能为那个男人工作？”

她说：“什么？”

她说：“我知道你为谁工作。你怎么能为那个男人工作？”这个女人我……我见过很多次，有过长谈。

她说：

“他想让穆斯林强奸你，以及每一个……你知道的，我们所有的女儿。”

在过去两年左右的时间里，滋生了这种极其严重的伊斯兰恐惧症。

关于这件事情最滑稽的部分之一是，就像……

我作为一个社会主义者，这几乎就像是一种犹太传统。就像我所有最喜欢的思想家都是……都是激进分子，革命者全都是犹太人。而且……不仅如此，我所有最亲密的朋友都是犹太人。我住在一个非常犹太化的社区。所以，就像……

这……看到那些在其他方面非常进步、我……我已经认识了多年的人态度发生转变，是有点令人难过的。

而且……我的意思是，这很糟糕。而且……

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I think that there is no difference between a KKK member and what I'm describing in my personal experience and what I've seen and what I've heard and what my my anti-Zionist Jewish friends have uh talked about in in of their own conversations. I'll give you one example. I go to a dog park.

My dog and this other lady's dogs play all the time.

One day my uh I'm at the park again, and my assistant is is uh walking my dog. I'm playing basketball.

She comes up to her and says, how can you work for that man?

She says, what?

She goes, I know who you work for. How can you work for that man? This woman I've I've met many times, had long conversations.

She says,

he wants Muslims to rape you and every other, you know, all of our daughters.

There is this tremendous amount of Islamophobia that has grown in the last two years or so.

One of the funniest parts about this is like

I as a socialist, it's almost like a Jewish tradition. Like all of my favorite thinkers are are radicals, the revolutionaries are all Jewish. And and not only that, but all of my closest friends are Jewish. I live in a very Jewish neighborhood. So like

it's it's kind of sad to see the the attitude shift from people who are otherwise very progressive people that I've I've known for years.

And I mean, it sucks. And
</details>

>> 种族主义。存在伊斯兰恐惧症。我并不是……但那感觉像是一个有趣的话题转变，因为你在这里谈论的……

是没有对你或没有对你的助手说过他们相信穆斯林来这里是为了强奸他们所有……所有女儿的人。但我认为大概有很多那些“Democrats for Mike Rogers”的，你知道，家庭——甚至缩小到那个更有限的群体，而不是整个社区的犹太人。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> racism. There is Islamophobia. I'm not But that feels like an interesting shift in in in the topic there because what you're talking about here

are people who have not said to you or not said to your assistant that they believe Muslims are here to to rape all of their their daughters. But I think probably a lot of those Democrats for Mike Rogers, you know, homes to even narrow it to that more limited group rather than the whole neighborhood of Jewish people.
</details>

>> 你认为一个支持迈克·罗杰斯的民主党人、一个终身民主党人，是……呃，显然在做这样的盘算：他们从共和党那里看到的令人作呕的白人至上主义形式，其严重后果仍然远不如针对一个阿拉伯穆斯林？

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Do you think a Democrat for Mike Rogers that is a lifelong Democrat is uh obviously making the calculation that the odious forms of white supremacy that they're seeing from the Republican Party is still nowhere near as consequential as for an Arab Muslim?
</details>

### 安全关切与政治诉求

>> 不，我不认为……好吧，我不会说我知道他们心里怎么想，因为我同样认为你也不知道他们心里怎么想。但如果你……如果你以一种稍微更宽容的视角，或者我认为一种更直接的视角来看待这个问题，就像你所描述的那样——嗯，他们不想投票给一个穆斯林反犹太复国主义者，对吧？而且我想，大概其中的反犹太复国主义部分在其中相当重要。而我所认识的许多持有更偏向那种政治立场的犹太人所相信的是：

在以色列的犹太人处于危险之中；而且如果失去美国的支持，如果以色列失去了美国的支持，

在某个时候那里就会发生大屠杀，对吧？这可能与其他人正在做什么或相信什么无关。这是一种更加以安全为导向的观点，在10月7日之后大大恶化了。

你可能不同意这一点。我不是在要求你同意它。但是……但是暗示他们都相信正在发生的事情是——你知道的，你想强奸他们的女儿，我认为这是跳跃到了他们没有说过的事情上。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> No, I don't think Well, I'm not going to say I know what's in their heart because I also don't think you know what's in their heart. But if you if you hold this in a slightly more generous space, or I think a more straightforward space, the way you described it as um they don't want to vote for a Muslim anti-Zionist, right? And I would assume that it's probably the anti-Zionism part is pretty important there. And what a lot of the Jewish people I know who hold politics that look more like that believe

is that

the

Jews in Israel are endangered and that if it loses American support, if Israel loses American support,

that there will be mass slaughter there at some point, right? And it may not be about what anybody else is doing or believes. It is a much more security-oriented

view that was vastly worsened after October 7th.

And you may not agree with that. I'm not asking you to agree with it. But but suggesting that they all believe that what's going on is, you know, you want to rape their daughters is I think jump into something they haven't said.
</details>

>> 重点……好吧，首先，我之所以提起那个是……是……是个别案例，但我之所以提起那个是因为它事出有因，而且这显然非常明确地是我个人经历过的、我认识的许多人也反思过的一种风向转变。但我刚才想说的是安全的概念，

对吧？

纵观历史，从未有过发生暴行时，那些对暴行负有责任的人不提出安全理由的。

当然存在安全关切。我的意思是，纳粹也提出过虚假的安全关切论调。他们并没有说：“哦，我们要去杀犹太人，因为犹太人是邪恶的。”他们说犹太人是邪恶的，他们是……有组织的犹太人控制着银行，但也控制着工会。他们在搞社会主义。他们在扰乱，你知道的，德国人民和他们的善良本质。

我们不必去相信那些安全关切。而我的论点是，我不相信那些为继续支持以色列及其目前的交战形态辩护的安全关切。

我不同意那种观点，因为我认为占领军仍然控制着暴力的节奏和强度，既包括它让被占领人民承受的暴力，

也包括源于对种族隔离形式——这本身就是一种暴力体系——进行报复所产生的暴力。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> the point, well, first of all, the reason why I brought that up is is is anecdotal, but the reason why I brought that up is because it's coming from somewhere and it's obviously very clearly a a tide shift that I've personally experienced that many people that I know have also reflected on. But what I was going to say is the concept of security,

right?

There's never been a point throughout history where atrocities have unfolded, where those who are responsible for those atrocities have not made the security argument.

Of course, there are security concerns. I mean, the Nazis made a false security concern argument as well. They didn't say, oh, we're going to go out and kill Jewish people because Jewish people are evil. They said Jewish people are evil, that they're the organized Jewry is is in control of the banks, but also the labor unions. They're doing socialism. They're disrupting, you know, the the German folk and and their good nature.

We don't have to believe the security concerns. And my argument is I don't believe in the the security concerns that justify the continued support to Israel and its current belligerent form.

I don't agree with that because I think the occupying force still controls the pacing and the intensity of the violence, both the violence that it subjects the occupied people to,

but also the violence that is born out of the retaliation to the the form of apartheid, which is a system of violence.
</details>

### 和平运动与暴力循环

>> 你知道，有一件事我想知道你会作何回应：你经常说你觉得哈马斯比以色列政府好上一千倍。撇开比较的问题不谈，

以色列曾经存在过一场强大的、甚至是占多数的和平运动。现在，也许它不会走得像你希望的那么远，但它确实想要两国方案。它确实有政治家。以色列的政治在当时远没有今天这么右倾，而且那时似乎有更多的可能性。

而正是极长一段时间的自杀式炸弹袭击摧毁了那场运动，对吧？而那是本雅明·内塔尼亚胡及其政治的令人难以置信的催化剂，对吧？这正是他一次又一次竞选时明确依仗的口号，对吧？“利库德对哈马斯强硬”，对吧？那是竞选口号。

所以，我理解你对安全论调的批评，我也不是说你必须接受它，

但是，当我和以色列犹太人交谈时他们的看法、他们对我说的话是：

对你来说倒是容易，坐在你的播客演播室里，和哈桑混在一起——他们大概不会喜欢这一点。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> You know, one thing that I wonder how you respond to it is you've often said you find Hamas to be a thousand times better than the Israeli government. Putting aside the question of comparison,

there used to be a strong, even majoritarian peace movement in Israel. Now, maybe it wouldn't go as far as you would want it to go, but it did want two states. It did have politicians. Israeli politics was not nearly as far to the right as it is today, and much more seemed possible then.

And it was a very long period of suicide bombings that destroyed that movement, right? And that was an incredible accelerant to Benjamin Netanyahu and his politics, right? Is explicitly what he ran on again and again and again, right? Likud strong on Hamas, right? That was the campaign slogan.

And so I understand your critique of the security argument, and I'm not saying you got to buy it, but the view of Israeli Jews when I talk to them, what they say to me is

easy for you sitting in your podcast studio hanging out with Hassan which they're probably not going to love.
</details>

>> 最危险的人。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> the most dangerous man.
</details>

>> 对你来说很容易去说……

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Easy for you to say
</details>

>> 是的。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah.
</details>

>> ……为什么我需要去达成一个政治解决方案。

但我们就在这里，而我的侄子是在迪斯科舞厅的爆炸案中丧生的。在那个时期，我此前已经在那里的街头抗议、争取两国方案好多年了。

而且对方是有主观能动性的。我们根本不相信的是，如果我们放松镇压——对吧？占领——呃，我们会安全。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> why I need to figure out a political settlement.

But we're here, and it was my nephew who died in a bombing at a discotheque. And I had been out there in the streets protesting for a two-state solution for years at that point.

And that there is agency on the other side. And what we simply don't believe is that if we let up on the repression, right? The occupation, uh that we will be safe.
</details>

>> 是的。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah.
</details>

>> 哈桑也许相信我们会安全，但我不相信我们会安全。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Hassan might believe we're going to be safe, but I don't believe we're going to be safe.
</details>

>> 是的。

所以，处理这个问题的恰当方式是理解巴勒斯坦抵抗力量的策略多年来是如何转变的。显而易见，我认为针对任何平民群体实施……呃……呃，暴力行动是完全不可接受的，对吧？国际法不允许那样做。那显然是非法的。嗯，那是我们在很大程度上会认为是恐怖主义的事情，对吧？尽管这是一个模糊的定义。

嗯，但是……演变……

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah.

So the the the appropriate way to go about this is to understand how the Palestinian resistance's tactics has shifted over the years. Obviously, I think it's completely unacceptable to engage in uh uh in in violent actions against any group of civilians, right? Like international law does not allow that. That's obviously illegal. Um that is what we would largely consider to be terrorism, right? Even though it's a vague definition.

Um but the evolution
</details>

>> 也是恐怖主义。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> was terrorism too.
</details>

>> 绝对存在……曾经发生过战争罪行。我的意思是，那是……那是……呃，骇人听闻的。我从来，你知道的，我从未纵容过10月7日事件。尽管话虽如此，我理解10月7日展开的方式，它几乎真正变成了一种不可避免之事。而且……

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> There are absolutely there were war crimes that took place. I mean, it was it was uh horrifying. I've never you know, I've never condoned October 7. Having said that, I understand the the ways in which October 7 unfolded almost became an inevitability really. And
</details>

<!-- chunk 8/10 -->

这并不是多么有争议的观点。吉迪恩·莱维（Gideon Levy）也谈到过这一点。这是……对。这也是《国土报》（Haaretz）编辑委员会在10月7日之后的即刻观点。这也是我和奥弗·卡西夫（Ofer Cassif）——一位以色列议会议员——交流时，他警告过会发生的事情。辛贝特（Shin Bet）前局长们谈到对西岸巴勒斯坦人生存空间的挤压，正让来自加沙的巴勒斯坦抵抗运动不可避免地采取行动，因为他们正被彻底排除在这个等式之外。《亚伯拉罕协议》（Abraham Accords）显然也加速了这一进程。我为什么要谈论所有这些？因为巴勒斯坦人的抵抗……那句老话虽然有点陈词滥调，但说的是第一次大起义是用石头打的，而第二次大起义是用公交车爆炸袭击打的，对吧？

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
this is not that controversial of a perspective. It's one that Gideon Levy has also uh talked about. It's it's conversation that I Yeah. And it's it's the Haaretz editorial board's opinion immediately after October 7. It was one uh conversation that I had with Ofer Cassif, uh an Israeli minister of the Knesset, uh that that was warning about this happening. The former heads of the Shin Bet that talked about the the squeezing of the Palestinian uh existence in the West Bank was uh making it an inevitability that the uh the Palestinian resistance from Gaza was inevitably going to do something because they were getting written out of the equation in its entirety. Um Abraham Accords obviously accelerated this process as well. Why am I talking about all this? Well, because Palestinian resistance uh the the the age-old adage is a bit of a cliché is that the first intifada was fought with stones, and then the second was fought with bus bombings, right?
</details>

那么这一演变是如何发生的呢？巴鲁克·戈尔茨坦（Baruch Goldstein）以及那场大屠杀——29名在清真寺内祈祷的巴勒斯坦人被这名美籍以色列人残忍屠杀——是巴勒斯坦抵抗组织看到转折点、不可逆转之点的时刻。从他们的角度来看，这是绝望之举，但他们意识到没有其他解决办法。我认为那是错的。我不仅认为那在道德上是错的——我确实这么认为——而且我也认为那在战术上同样是错的。当时在抵抗组织内部有很多讨论，探讨他们是否应该采取这种方式，抑或这会使以色列的立场更加强硬。事实非常清楚，这使得以色列反对巴勒斯坦建国的立场更加强硬。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
So how did that evolution take place? Baruch Goldstein and the massacre um that took place where 29 Palestinians that were praying inside of a mosque were ruthlessly slaughtered by this American Israeli uh was when the Palestinian resistance saw a turning point, a point of no return. It's an act of desperation from their perspective, but they recognized that there was no other solution. I think it was wrong. I I don't just think that it's morally wrong, which I do, but I also think that it was tactically wrong as well. And there's uh uh there were a lot of conversations at the time amongst the resistance about whether they should pursue this or would this harden the Israeli position. And it's very clear that it hardened the Israeli position against Palestinian statehood.
</details>

所以说了这么多，理解这一演变是如何发生的非常重要，因为整个抵抗运动并不是源于对犹太教的敌视，而是源于对占领的敌视。即便是哈马斯本身——它是一个原教旨主义组织，对吧？在哈马斯的治理下，我大概过得不会太好，对吧？他们的民事治理存在很多问题，同样，其中许多问题依然源于占领。话虽如此，人们认为他们是被对犹太人的仇恨所明确驱动的。事实并非如此。如果以色列是一个基督教民族主义的族裔国家，那么暴力和这种态度看起来就会是反基督教的。它是一个民族解放阵线。他们唯一关心的就是结束占领。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
So having said all of that, it's important to understand how this evolution took place because the entire resistance is not born out of antagonism towards Judaism, but antagonism towards the occupation. There's a reason why even Hamas itself, which is a fundamentalist group, right? And I probably wouldn't do so well living under uh uh Hamas governance, right? And there's plenty of problems in their civil governance, which again, many of which is still born out of the occupation. Having said that, the attitude is that uh they are expressly animated by Jew hatred. That's not the case. If Israel was a Christian nationalist ethno state, then the violence and the attitude would look like it's anti-Christian. It is a national emancipatory front. That's all they care about is the end to the occupation.
</details>

我认为这是我们在西方媒体中讨论这一问题时的一个真实弊病。显然，将全体巴勒斯坦人口非人化，并宣称抵抗运动绝不以任何方式、形态或形式致力于正义的事业——如果我们认为结束占领是正义的——是有利可图的。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
Um and I think this is a a real issue in the way that we've discussed it in Western media. And and it's obviously uh beneficial to to dehumanize the entire Palestinian population and to say that the resistance is not in any way, shape, or form invested in something that is just if we are to consider the end of the occupation to be just.
</details>

### 安全关切与去殖民化视角

>> 所以我认为这个回答比“住在那个街区的每个人都类似于三K党成员”包含了更多的理解和背景；我也知道你有短切片和长切片。但在那个切片里，在我们没播放的一部分中，你说道：我知道这会被断章取义地截取，然后……

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> So I think that's uh an answer with more both understanding and context than the everybody who lives in that neighborhood is akin to a KKK member, which I recognize there's like your short clips and your long clips. But in this clip in a part we didn't play you're like, I know this is going to get clipped out of context and
</details>

>> 对。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah.
</details>

>> 感觉就像是，你在引人这么做。但就你在这里提出的实质观点而言，我实际上不大参与很多关于犹太复国主义的辩论的原因，是我觉得这个词本身已经过时了。现实中就是存在着这个叫做以色列国的国家。它存在着。国家不会自愿放弃领土完整或未来。而且这个国家内部有极其种族主义和至上主义的派系。它同样有很多人真正关心安全，有朋友、孩子或侄子死于10月7日或公交车爆炸袭击。他们是真正感到恐惧的。从我更了解的立场来看——这是难点之一，对吧？我去过西岸，但我的……我对巴勒斯坦政治的理解不如我对以色列政治的理解那么深。但除非你知道，如果你只是把安全问题斥为“每个占领者都认为他们是在为了安全而这么做”——这确实有其合理性，

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> it's like, well, you're you're inviting it. This reason to the point you're making here substantively though, the reason I actually don't get into a lot of debates about Zionism is I find the word itself outdated. There just is this state called the state of Israel. It exists. States do not give up their territorial integrity or their future willingly. And this state has factions in it that are highly racist and supremacist. It also has a lot of people in it who genuinely care about security and who had a friend die or a child die or a nephew die in October 7th or in a bus bombing. And they're genuinely scared. And the one of the hard things from the position that I know better, right? I'm less you know, I go to the West Bank when I go there, but I don't my understanding of Palestinian politics is not as strong as my understanding of Israeli politics. But unless you know, if you just said dismiss the security question as well, every occupier believes they are doing this on behalf of security, there's legitimacy to that,
</details>

>> 嗯。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Mhm.
</details>

>> 但也存在着……

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> but there's also the
</details>

>> 政治现实？

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Political reality?
</details>

>> 不，也存在着物理现实：

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> No, there's also the physical reality
</details>

>> 好。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Okay.
</details>

>> 你的朋友被屠杀、被炸死，或者你参加了葬礼，对吧？对那个人说“安全是一个抽象概念”——对他们来说安全不是抽象的，就像压迫对巴勒斯坦人来说不是抽象的一样。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> of your friend was butchered um or blown up or you were at the funeral, right? And saying to that person, security is an abstraction. It's not an abstraction to them just like oppression is not an abstraction to the Palestinians.
</details>

>> 嗯，这不仅仅是压迫，对吧？

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Well, it's not just oppression, right?
</details>

>> 因为我们谈了很多以色列的安全关切，但在这种对话中始终没有讨论的是，巴勒斯坦人如何能与那些屠杀了他们家人的人生活在一起？

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Cuz it's, we've talked a lot about Israeli security concerns, but what is always uh not discussed in this conversation is how can Palestinians live alongside those who have slaughtered their families?
</details>

>> 他们没有安全。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> they have no security.
</details>

>> 是的。这正是我一直以来的观点。我之所以诉诸历史类比，是因为除了海地革命之外，几乎从未有过新获得自由的群体真正进行“正义复仇”的先例。事实上，如果我们回到重建时期（Reconstruction），暴力往往来自那些想要恢复种族阶序的人；三K党（Ku Klux Klan）在重建时期的建立，正是大量暴力产生的根源。所以那就是……

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah. And that's that's my point always is the reason why I draw back to historical parallels is because with the exception of maybe the Haitian Revolution, there has never been an instance where the newly freed population has actually engaged in the act of righteous vengeance. As a matter of fact, if we go back to the Reconstruction period, the violence often comes from those who want to restore the racial pecking order, the Klan, the formation of the Ku Klux Klan uh during the Reconstruction period was was where a lot of that violence was coming from. So that's
</details>

>> 这很棘手，因为这是去殖民化的视角，它自有其合理性。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> tricky though, because this is the decolonization perspective, which has legitimacy to it.
</details>

>> 是的。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah.
</details>

>> 但对此的另一种视角——你从以色列人那里听得更多，而且在某种程度上更契合双方各有大约700万人的这种人口结构——在很多去殖民化的例子中，都有一个极小、极小的统治少数和一个极其庞大的本土多数。那就是南非，对吧？那就是你谈到的很多例子。在这里则不然。你面对的是700万人，而且有太多太多的例子——包括在该地区——破坏性的政治转型导致了极其毁灭性的内战。另一种内战的视角……我是说你看看近旁的叙利亚，成千上万的人死于非命。所以有时人们说“看看南非就行了”，而这里实际上并不像南非。我是说，对我而言这就是为什么非常艰难。我总是不开玩笑地说，我在这方面的意识形态是“变好”（better）。我相信能让事情变好的举措，采取一步一个脚印的方式。你喜欢中国政治的隐喻，那就是摸着脚下的石头过河。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> But the other perspective on this, and you hear it much more from Israelis, and it in some ways fits better the demographics where you have roughly 7 million people on each side, is a lot of decolonization examples. You have a very, very, very tiny governing minority and a gigantic indigenous majority. That's South Africa, right? That's a lot of the examples you're talking about. Here you don't. Um what you have are 7 million people and you have many, many, many, many, many examples including in that region of disruptive political transitions leading to uh absolutely devastating civil wars. And another, the civil war perspective, um I mean you can look right over there in Syria uh where, you know, hundreds of thousands died. So the idea that sometime people say like, oh just look at South Africa, well this doesn't actually look like South Africa. I mean this to me is why it's very hard. I always not joke, I always say that like my ideology on this is better. I believe in things that make it better and you take kind of one step at a time to you like Chinese politics metaphors, so you cross the river by feeling the stones underneath your feet.
</details>

>> 对。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah.
</details>

>> 而不是死守两国方案，或一国方案，或所有人共享一片土地（a land for all），抑或任何其他构想。因为你必须找到一条通往某种方案的道路，你必须一步、一步、一步、一步地建立信任，而不是直接对人们说：“嘿，在大多数去殖民化案例中……”我是说，以色列人不认为自己是殖民者。在那个时期确实存在殖民现象……

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> As opposed to being hard on a two-state solution or one-state solution or a land for all or any of the other ideas because you're going to have to find your way to something that you got to build confidence like step by step by step by step just saying to people hey in most decolonization instances, I mean the Israelis don't believe what they are colonizers. There was colonization in that period
</details>

>> 殖民者从来不会认为自己是殖民者。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> colonizer believes that though.
</details>

>> 没错，但他们也与这片土地有着自己的联系，而且他们不会离开去别的地方。他们不会搬回英国。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Right, but they also have a you know their own connection to the land and they're not leaving to go somewhere else. They're not moving back to Britain.
</details>

>> 嗯。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Mhm.
</details>

>> 就像，那就是……

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Like that is
</details>

>> 我能理解这一点。如果巴勒斯坦人能够与那些过去对大屠杀、对他们的死亡、对他们土地的破坏、对正在发生的生态灭绝以及对他们未来的毁灭负有责任的人共存并共同居住在这些空间中，那么我认为以色列人也能做到。然而，为了实现这一点，需要有外部伙伴提供激励，并且有时需要向那个方向推动。这就是我们作为美国纳税人，甚至作为生活在美国、与以色列有联系或有家人生活在以色列、虽然自己不想生活在以色列却认为这是表达对以色列支持的好方式的犹太复国主义者的切入点。我们应该竭尽全力，不仅在过渡期约束以色列，而且提供某种赔偿，以便我们有可能在那里建立一个真正的文明国家——一个为每个人提供平等权利和代表权的多元化民主国家。

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I I I do understand that. If Palestinians are capable of coexisting and cohabitating these spaces with those who were previously responsible for pogroms and and their demise and the destruction of their their land, the the ecocide that is taken place, the destruction of of their futures, then I think Israelis can do that too. However in order for this to happen there needs to be outside partners that incentivize and sometimes push in that direction. And that's where we come in as American taxpayers and as even you know Zionists living in America that have a connection or have family members that live in Israel that don't want to live in Israel but think this is a good way to show support to Israel. We should do everything in our power to not only restrain Israel in the interim but to to offer some kind of restitution so that we could potentially build a real civilization there that is pluralistic, a pluralistic democracy that offers equal rights and representation to everyone.
</details>

>> 你怎么看……会有什么样的……

<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> What do you think what would
</details>

<!-- chunk 9/10 -->

### 对以政策与施压手段

你乐见发生的、切实采取的行动是什么？毕竟民主党内存在的不同派系，都必须在这个问题上被拉到同一立场上来。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
 you

 be

 happy

 to

 see

 happen





the

 actual

 actions

 taken





given

 like

 the





different

 parts

 of

 the

 Democratic

 Party





that

 exist

 will

 have

 to

 be

 brought

 into





the

 same





fold

 on

 this.
</details>

>> 是的。嗯，立即切断所有援助、所有武器转让以及谅解备忘录，对以色列政府施加最大压力。

并且……并且向以色列政府提出要求：缓慢但坚定地，第一，全面撤出加沙；第二，建立一个……一个试图解决所发生事情的进程，一个问责机制，不可避免地建立一个真相与和解委员会；并且摆脱现有的占领结构，转向一个有望对每个人都更加公正和平等的结构。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah.

 Um,





shut

 off

 all

 aid,

 all

 arms

 transfers,





and

 the

 memorandum

 of

 understanding





immediately,





and





apply

 maximum

 pressure

 to

 the

 Israeli





government.





And

 And





uh

 make

 demands

 of

 the

 Israeli





government





to

 slowly

 but

 surely





uh

 one,

 retreat

 from

 Gaza





in

 its

 entirety,





and

 to

 to

 create

 a

 process

 of

 of





um





trying

 to

 address

 what

 happened,

 a





system

 of

 accountability,

 a truth

 and





reconciliation

 committee

 inevitably,

 uh





and

 and

 to

 move

 away

 from

 the

 the





current

 occupying

 structure

 that

 exists





to

 one

 that

 is

 hopefully

 uh

 more

 just





and

 equitable

 for

 everyone.
</details>

>> 你希望看到的美国施加的压力是制裁吗？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> is

 the

 pressure

 you

 want

 to

 see

 America





sanctions?
</details>

>> 我想……光是制裁的威胁，我认为就足以让以色列做出完全符合美国期望的反应。这正是为什么在拜登政府任内，我们拥有如此巨大的权力。现在有越来越多的报道揭示出，我们究竟是如何避免使用我们所掌握的施压点，以及我们对以色列拥有多么深远的影响力。

现在美国的很多人认为是以色列在统治这个国家，这……这显然充斥着反犹陈词滥调。顺着那种论调走得越远，人们谈论所谓“有组织的犹太人”之类的东西就越多。我的观点完全相反：我们才是老大，而以色列是一个帝国卫星国。长期以来，在这个资源丰富的地区，这对美国的利益、对美帝国的利益是相当有益的。

正因如此，以色列显然能够在立法议程上促成某些国内变革和国内诉求，这是我们在任何其他外国盟友或外国对手身上从未见过的。我指的当然是38个不同州的反BDS法律、美以公共事务委员会（AIPAC）此前在美国政治中的主导地位，以及游说团体及其在美国社会中存在的众多分支机构和倡导团体。

这形成了一种独特的关系。以色列和美国拥有非常特殊、非常独特的关系，因为以色列对美国在该地区的议程具有功用。但这意味着我们仍然掌握着所有的底牌。我们可以要求以色列保持克制，而且我认为我们必须要求以色列保持克制，以挽救剩余巴勒斯坦人的生命和生计，同时也为了防止以色列自我毁灭。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I want

 Well,

 the

 threat

 of

 sanctions





alone,

 I

 think,

 would

 be

 enough

 for





Israel

 to

 to

 react

 exactly

 how

 America





would

 want

 it

 to.

 This

 is

 precisely

 the





reason

 why

 under

 the

 Biden





administration,

 uh

 we

 had

 so

 much

 power.





And

 uh

 now

 there's

 more

 and

 more





coverage

 coming

 out

 about

 exactly

 how

 we





avoided

 using

 the

 pressure

 points

 that





we

 had





and

 the

 profound

 amount

 of

 influence





that

 we

 have

 over

 Israel.

 Many

 people

 in





America

 think

 now

 that

 Israel

 runs

 this





country,

 that

 uh

 and

 it

 it

 is

 is





obviously

 uh

 antisemitic

 tropes

 galore.





The

 the

 further

 you

 go

 into

 that





argument,

 the

 more,

 you

 know,

 people





talk

 about

 organized

 jury

 and

 whatnot.





I

 have

 the

 exact

 opposite

 perspective,





that

 we

 are

 the

 top

 dog

 and

 that

 Israel





is

 an

 imperial

 satellite.





And

 it's

 been

 quite

 beneficial

 for





American

 interests,





the

 interests

 of

 American

 Empire

 for

 a





very

 long

 time

 in

 this

 resource-rich





region.

 And

 as

 a

 consequence

 of

 that,





Israel

 has

 obviously

 been

 able

 to

 make





certain

 domestic





uh

 changes

 and

 and

 domestic

 demands

 at





the

 legislative

 agenda

 that

 we've

 never





seen

 from

 any

 other

 foreign

 ally

 or





foreign

 adversary.





Um,

 I'm

 of

 course

 referencing

 anti-BDS





laws

 in

 38

 different

 states,

 the

 the

 uh





former

 primacy

 of

 AIPAC

 in

 American





politics

 and

 just

 the

 uh

 the

 the

 uh





lobby

 and

 its

 uh

 numerous

 functions

 in





and

 advocacy

 groups

 that

 exist

 in





American

 society.

 This

 has

 a

 a

 unique





relationship.

 Israel

 and

 America

 have

 a





very

 special,

 very

 unique

 relationship





because

 of

 Israel's

 utility

 to

 the





American

 agenda

 in

 this

 region.





But

 that

 means

 we

 still

 hold

 all

 the





cards.





We

 can

 tell

 Israel

 to

 restrain

 itself





and

 I

 think

 we

 must

 tell

 Israel

 to





restrain

 itself

 to





save

 uh

 the

 the

 lives

 and

 and





livelihoods

 of

 the

 remaining





Palestinians,

 but

 also

 to

 save

 Israel





from

 itself.
</details>

### 实用主义与长远愿景

>> 你表述这件事情的方式让我感触颇深的一点是，你实际上确实在这个议题上看到了很大的结盟空间，对吧？我是说，你公开表示希望看到克里斯·范霍伦（Chris Van Hollen）而不是查克·舒默（Chuck Schumer）担任参议院多数党领袖。霍伦在这个问题上一直非常强硬，但他非常属于支持“两国方案”的那类人。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> One

 of

 the things

 that

 that

 strikes

 me





about

 the

 way

 you

 put

 this

 is

 that





you

 actually

 do

 see

 a

 lot

 of

 coalitional





room

 on

 this

 issue,

 right?

 I

 mean,





you've

 come

 out

 saying

 you

 want

 to

 see





Chris

 Van

 Hollen





be

 the

 Senate

 majority

 leader

 rather





than

 Chuck

 Schumer.

 Hollen

 is

 been

 very





strong

 on

 this

 issue,

 but

 is very

 much

 a





two-state

 solution

 kind

 of

 guy.
</details>

>> 嗯，我很务实。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Well,

 I'm

 pragmatic.
</details>

>> 你的言论一方面非常强硬，说实话，在自由主义犹太复国主义与纳粹的问题上，我觉得相当令人冒犯。但是，你知道，你希望看到那些能够推动问责、推动施压，以促使冲突朝着更公正的方向发展、迈向某种我们尚不清楚其形态的解决方案的政治家。我这样理解你的立场大体上准确吗？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> You

 have

 rhetoric

 that

 on

 the

 one

 end

 is





is

 very

 strong

 and

 and

 honestly

 I

 find





fairly

 offensive

 on

 the

 liberal





Zionism

 Nazi

 question.





But,

 you

 know,

 you

 want

 to see





politicians

 who





are

 going

 to





push

 for

 accountability

 and

 push

 for





pressure





to

 move

 the

 conflict

 in

 a

 more





just

 direction





towards

 some

 kind

 of

 solution

 that

 we





don't

 yet

 know

 its

 shape.





Like,

 is

 that

 me

 basically

 getting

 your





position

 right?
</details>

>> 是的。我是说，我有一个想要达成的目标，但任何朝着正确方向迈进、能够保全生命的步骤都是恰当且有益的，我都表示支持。

嗯，这就是……这就是我对一切事物的立场。这也是为什么我说我总体上是一个非常务实的人。比如我是个社会主义者，但是你知道，在过渡期，我希望美国实现适度的、名义上的社会民主。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah.

 I

 mean,

 I

 have

 a

 a

 a

 a

 goal

 that

 I





want

 to

 achieve,

 but





any

 step

 in

 the

 right

 direction

 that





preserves

 life





uh

 is

 is

 appropriate

 and

 good

 and

 I'm

 in





favor

 of

 it.





Um,

 that's

 that's

 my

 that's

 my

 position





on

 everything.

 That's

 why

 I say

 I'm

 a





very

 pragmatic

 person

 overall.

 Like

 I





have

 I'm

 a

 socialist,

 but

 I

 you

 know,





want

 modest,

 nominal

 social

 democracy

 in





America

 in

 the

 interim.
</details>

>> 在与过渡期相反的那个阶段，你想走向哪里？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Where

 would

 you

 want

 to

 go

 in the





whatever

 the

 opposite

 of the

 interim

 is?
</details>

>> 从长远来看？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> In

 the

 long

 term?
</details>

>> 从长远来看。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> long

 term.
</details>

>> 对……对以色列而言？还是泛指总体？对美国而言。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> For

 for

 Israel?

 Or

 just

 in

 general?





For

 America.
</details>

>> 让我们离开以色列的话题。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> us

 off

 of

 Israel.
</details>

>> 是的，我认为总体而言我们需要一个更强大的国家，它要远更能代表大众的利益。

我不像许多人那样担心指令性计划经济。我认为哪怕是为了与中国竞争，我们也必须采纳某些中国管理经济的形式。

我认为对资本流动实行更严格的控制可能是一件好事。我是说，这极其理想化，而且是非常遥远的未来的事。

但我认为，确保我们拥有一种更加注重实效的治理形式，这也不是个坏主意。更高的响应度是我觉得我们当前理论上的民主工程所欠缺的东西。

如果我们说要消除阿巴拉契亚地区的贫困，并且我们派出……你知道，我们派出我们的党代表前往该地区，他们就必须完成这项任务。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah,

 I

 think

 uh

 we

 need

 a

 stronger





state

 in

 general

 that

 uh

 is

 is

 far

 more





representative

 of

 the

 interests

 of

 the





masses.





Um,

 I

 am

 not





worried

 about

 a

 centrally

 planned





economy

 in the

 way

 that

 many

 are.

 I

 I





think

 that

 even

 in

 order

 to

 compete

 with





China,

 we

 have

 to

 adopt

 some

 of

 the

 uh





Chinese

 forms

 of

 of

 uh

 managing

 the





economy.





Um,

 I

 think

 having

 uh

 stricter

 controls





over

 the

 flows

 of

 capital

 could

 possibly





be

 a

 good

 thing.

 I

 mean,

 this

 is

 super





idealistic

 and

 and

 very

 far

 uh

 in

 the





future.

 But

 um





I

 think

 that

 uh making

 sure

 that

 we have





a

 more

 performance-focused





uh

 form

 of

 governance

 is

 also

 not

 a

 bad





idea

 either.

 More

 responsiveness

 is

 is





something

 that

 I

 feel

 like

 is

 lacking





from

 our

 current

 theoretical

 democratic





project.





If

 we

 say

 we

 want

 to

 eradicate

 poverty





in

 the

 Appalachian

 region,

 and

 we

 send





our

 our

 um

 you

 know,

 we

 send

 our

 our





party

 representatives

 to

 that

 region,





they

 have

 to

 accomplish

 that

 task.
</details>

### 技术官僚路线与市政社会主义治理

>> 此时此刻在纽约，让我觉得有趣的事情之一是，马姆达尼（Mamdani）当然是……在洛杉矶，妮蒂亚·拉曼（Nithya Raman）刚刚赢得了那里的市长职位，她参选所依据的理念，用我的话来形容就是非常类似于“建设型社会主义”……

对，“下水道社会主义”，但具体来说是搞建设，对吧？我是说，她早期的广告、她的很多竞选活动，都是关于她要多建多少东西。这其中有一点充裕论的意味，但我不会仅仅这样称呼它。

我在全美各个大城市的极左翼治理中，看到了这种高度技术官僚化、高度实用主义、高度管理主义的路径。我是说，你……这在不同地方表现各异，但西雅图、波士顿展示了他们的实际工作，被看到在做出努力。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> So

 one

 of the

 things

 I

 I

 find





interesting

 about

 this

 moment

 we're

 here





in

 New

 York

 is

 on

 Mamdani,

 of course,

 is





is

 mayor

 uh

 in

 Los

 Angeles,

 and

 Nithya





Raman

 has

 just

 won

 the

 the

 mayoralty





there





uh

 running

 on

 a

 very

 like

 a builder





socialism

 is

 the

 way

 I would

 describe





which

 is

 doing





Yeah,

 the

 sewer

 socialism,

 but

 but





specifically

 building,

 right?

 I

 mean,





her

 early

 ads,

 a lot

 of

 her

 campaign

 was





about

 how

 much

 more

 she

 was

 going

 to





build.





There's

 a

 bit

 of

 abundance

 in

 this,

 but





I

 wouldn't

 just

 call

 it

 that.





I

 am

 seeing

 this

 highly

 technocratic,





highly

 pragmatic,

 highly

 managerial

 sort





of approach

 in

 very

 left-wing

 governance





of

 you

 know

 various

 big

 cities

 across





America.

 I

 mean

 you





this

 is

 working

 out

 differently

 in





different

 places

 but

 Seattle,

 Boston





showing

 their

 work,

 being

 caught

 trying.
</details>

>> 是的。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah.
</details>

>> 我确实觉得这是眼下非常有趣的一个动向，因为我们可以整天谈论意识形态，但如果人们不信任政府，不相信政府会帮助他们，那么他们就不会让政府接管他们的医疗保健。他们不会让政府接管资本流动或任何你想做的事情。所以我很想听听你对这一点的思考，即现代社会主义市政治理中这种类似于技术官僚的倾向。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> And

 I

 do

 find

 this

 to

 be

 a

 pretty





interesting





movement

 right

 now

 because

 like

 we

 can





talk

 ideology

 all

 day





but

 if

 people

 don't

 trust

 the

 government





and

 don't

 believe

 it

 will

 help

 them

 then





they're

 not

 going

 to

 let

 it take

 over





their

 healthcare.

 They're

 not

 going

 to





let

 it

 take

 over

 capital

 flows

 or





whatever

 you

 might

 want

 to

 do.

 So

 I'm





I'm

 curious

 to

 kind

 of

 hear

 your





reflections

 on

 that,

 the

 sort

 of

 this





like

 technocratic

 bent





in

 modern

 socialist





um

 municipal

 governance.
</details>

>> 我觉得这太棒了。你一针见血。我是说，这是一个真正的问题。人们对治理缺乏信心，源于政府没有真正帮助到人们，或者更确切地说，即使政府在帮助人们，也是以非常隐蔽的方式在做，对吧？监管机构在不知疲倦地工作。我想是亚当·科诺弗（Adam Conover）由奥巴马担任监制的那部系列剧，叫作……是叫《政府大揭秘》（The G Word）吗？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I

 think

 it's

 it's

 great.

 Um

 you

 you





nailed

 it.

 I

 mean

 this

 is

 a

 real





problem.

 The

 the

 lack

 of

 confidence

 that





people

 have

 in

 governance

 is

 born

 out

 of





the

 government

 not

 really

 helping

 people





or

 rather

 when

 it

 is

 helping

 people

 it's





doing

 it

 in

 very

 invisible

 ways,

 right?





The

 regulatory

 agencies

 that

 are





tirelessly

 working.

 I think

 it

 was

 Adam





Conover's





series

 that

 was

 executive

 produced

 by





Obama,

 the

 the

 was

 it

 the

 G

 word?
</details>

>> 噢，是的。嗯。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Oh

 yeah.

 Uh-huh.
</details>

>> 我很喜欢那个。我喜欢那部剧，因为我认为非常重要的一点是，去准确理解政府是如何以我们根本无法想象或视作理所当然的方式运作的。我们只有在政府失灵时才会意识到它本该发挥作用，对吧？比如当FDA陷入瘫痪而发生召回事件时。

这是一个真正的问题，我认为我们必须重新树立对良好治理的信心，而社会主义者正在这样做。他们对人们的需求更加敏感，他们在寻找解决方案，而且还在展示每一步的进展、过程中的每一个步骤，并且至少在市政治理层面建立起一定程度的信任。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I

 I

 love

 that.

 I

 love

 that

 show

 because





I

 think

 it's

 very

 important

 to

 uh

 to

 to





understand

 exactly

 how

 the

 government





works

 in

 ways

 that

 we

 don't

 fathom

 at





all

 or

 take

 for

 granted.

 We

 only





recognize

 uh

 that

 the

 government

 is





supposed

 to

 be

 there

 when

 it

 fails,





right?

 When

 we

 have

 recalls

 for

 example





because

 the

 FDA

 is

 is

 falling

 apart.





That

 is

 a

 real

 problem





and

 I

 think

 we

 have

 to





uh

 reinstill

 confidence

 in

 good





governance

 and

 socialists

 are

 doing





that.

 They're

 more

 responsive

 to

 the





needs

 that

 people

 have





and

 uh

 they

 are

 seeking

 out

 solutions





and

 also

 showing

 every

 step

 of

 the

 way,





every

 step

 of the

 process





and

 and

 creating

 uh





a

 level

 of

 confidence

 in

 in

 uh





municipal

 governance

 at

 least.
</details>

>> 这正在倒逼他们在自身的联盟构建或政策制定、或者无论是何种执政方式上做出哪些改变？我的意思是，你比我更身处这个圈子内部。因此，当人们在讨论从这里面学到了什么时——比如过去哪些地方做得不好，现在哪些地方做得好；当你听到人们不仅在谈论应该从马姆达尼的沟通方式中学到什么（这似乎是民主党其余人想向他学习的），而且在谈论从他实际的执政方式中学到什么——真正的经验教训、原则是什么？如果说他是给社会主义者做的一份哈佛商学院案例研究，那么在那份研究中正在总结提炼出什么？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> What

 changes

 in

 their

 own

 approach

 to





coalition

 building

 or

 policy

 making,





whatever

 it

 might

 be,

 governing





is

 this

 forcing?

 I

 mean,

 you're

 much





more

 inside

 this

 world

 than

 I

 am.

 So





when

 people

 are

 discussing

 what

 is

 being





learnt

 here,

 like

 what

 was

 done

 poorly





in

 the

 past

 and

 what

 is

 being

 done

 well





now,

 when

 you

 hear

 people

 talking

 about





what

 they

 should

 learn

 not

 just

 from

 the





way

 Mandani

 communicates,

 which

 is

 what





like

 the

 rest

 of

 the

 Democratic

 Party





wants

 to

 learn

 from

 him,

 but

 the

 way

 he





actually

 governs,

 um





what

 are

 the

 what

 are the

 actual





lessons,

 the

 principles,





the

 if

 if

 he's

 a

 Harvard

 Business





Harvard

 Business

 School

 case

 study

 for





socialists,

 what

 what

 is

 being

 run

 up

 in





that

 study?
</details>

>> 我觉得……在选举层面，当他在竞选时，那五项明确的政策简直太完美了。这完全是我长久以来一直要求民主党人去做的事情，我非常高兴他能够做到这一点并取得胜利。嗯，然后当涉及到……
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I

 mean,

 I think

 um





on

 the

 election

 side

 when

 he was





campaigning,

 the

 the

 five

 definable





policies

 was

 perfect.

 It's

 exactly

 what





I've

 demanded

 Democrats

 do

 for

 the





longest

 time

 and

 I

 was

 so

 happy

 that

 he





was

 able

 to

 accomplish

 that

 and

 win.

 Um





and

 then

 when

 it

 came
</details>

<!-- chunk 10/10 -->

落实到治理层面，他很快就不得不——我想是做出某些决定来建立广泛的联盟，以确保这项议程至少有一部分能够得以实现。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
down to governance, he very quickly had to I guess make certain decisions to build a broad coalition in order to ensure at least some of that agenda was accomplished.
</details>

>> 非常、非常多元包容。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Very very pluralistic.
</details>

>> 是的。普惠托育是人们想要的、人们为之投票的眼前的、实实在在的改变，这最终也提升了他的形象，并让人们对政治进程稍稍多了一些信心，不仅是对良政，也包括对政治进程本身，因为我认为我们在政治中滋生了一种冷漠情绪……
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah. Universal childcare being the the immediate uh tangible change that that people wanted, people voted for that ended up boosting his profile as well and it ended up delivering a little bit more confidence in the political process, not just good governance, but also the political process as well because I think there's a there's a sense of apathy that we breed in our political
</details>

>> 通过了普惠托育。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> passed universal childcare.
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>> 他还没有，但他已经——是的，他已经开始推行它了。但同时他又在非常有效地对其进行宣传。所以人们对此也非常兴奋。但你说得对，这是一个试点项目，并且它预计要扩大，嗯，其中一部分显然是为它建立一个资金工具。所以在那方面，那是相当难以完成的。

但从广义上讲，我认为这——行政职位对社会主义者来说是一个极其艰难的职位。在这个领域里，你可以通过“成果主义”产生直接的影响并……这广泛的运动。

然而，这也是一个你必须建立这些联盟、因此不得不做出相当多妥协的领域。例如，杰西卡·蒂施（Jessica Tisch）仍然担任警察局长。战略应对组（SRG）仍未解散。我、我很确信……
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> He hasn't, but he's he's started yes, the implementation of it. But he's also again marketing it very effectively. So people are very excited about it as well. But you're right, it is a pilot program and it's supposed to expand um and a part of that is obviously creating a funding vehicle for it. So that on that front, that's been quite difficult to accomplish. But broadly speaking, I think it's a the executive role is an exceptionally difficult one for socialists. It's the one area where you can make immediate impact and an this broad movement with with with deliverism.

However, it's also an area where you have to build these coalitions and therefore compromise quite a bit.

Jessica Tisch remains the police chief, for example. The SRG is still not disbanded. I I'm sure that
</details>

>> SRG 是指？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> SRG is?
</details>

>> 战略应对组是纽约市警察局内部的这支反恐……这支反恐部队。他们最引人注目的行动是介入了哥伦比亚大学的学生抗议活动。他们参与了大量的监控活动，而这也是佐兰曾表示会寻求解散的部门，因为我确实认为我们的警察部队令人难以置信地军事化了，我认为那是一个真正的问题。

但他所做的每一件——他在纽约做得好的每一件事，都会对民主党的其他部分产生积极的震荡，对民主社会主义运动而言当然也是如此。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> The Strategic Response Group is this counterterrorism this counterterrorism group inside of the NYPD. They were most notably involved with the Colombia student protests. And there's a lot of surveillance that they engage in, and this is something that Zohran said he would seek to disband as well, because I do think that our police forces unbelievably militarize, and I think that is a real problem.

But everything that he does that that everything that he does well in New York has positive reverberations for the rest of the Democratic Party and certainly the Democratic Socialist movement.
</details>

### 书籍推荐

>> 我觉得这是个很好的收尾处。还有我们的最后一个问题：你向听众推荐哪三本书？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> I think that is a good place to end. Also, our final question, what are three books you recommend to the audience?
</details>

>> 好。

菲利普·肖特（Philip Short）写的《毛泽东传》（Mao, The Man Who Built China）。它内容厚重，有800多页，但我认为它在阐释他的发展、他的历程方面做得非常好，没有偏向国家宣传或类似的东西，但它也没有自动将他妖魔化。它只是把他看作一种历史力量，我认为这是一本引人入胜的书。

另一本甚至比那本更具争议——那本其实并不算很有争议——而且我想过我是否应该推荐这本，但我最近重读了它，迈克尔·帕伦蒂（Michael Parenti）的《黑衫军与红军》（Black Shirts and Reds）。他算是一个颇具争议的人物。他最近去世了。我认为《纽约时报》的读者尝试去对那些对我们而言如此陌生、如此格格不入的国家和体制建立一种不同的理解是有好处的。而且我认为……
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Yeah.

Mao, The Man Who Built China by Philip Short. It's dense, like 800 plus pages, but I think it does a very good job of explaining his his development, his history without without veering into like state propaganda or anything like that, but it also doesn't like automatically demonize him. It just looks at him as a historical force, and I think it's a fascinating book.

Another one that's even more controversial than that that one's not really controversial is and I thought about whether I should recommend this or not, but I recently reread it Black Shirts and Reds by Michael Parenti. He is somewhat of a controversial figure. He recently passed away. I think it's good for the New York Times readership to try to develop a different understanding of of countries and systems that are so foreign, so alien to us. And I think
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>> 能为不熟悉它的人描述一下是什么让它有争议吗？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> describe what makes up a controversial for people not familiar with it?
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>> 额，它……
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Um it
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>> 它是关于什么的？
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> What it's about?
</details>

>> 讲述法西斯主义和资本主义如何为相同的主子服务，并且它——我想说——对苏联、对共产主义治理形式采取了一种更具同情意味的态度。额，但我认为对于那些具有求知欲的人来说，去读一读这样的书，然后额，或许试着去理解在这种原本在我们看来像是反乌托邦式的、我们对其有着非常不同理解的治理形式中，存在过哪些积极的方面，这是有益的。

最后一本书也有些争议，因为我还没读完。额，但我认为这是一本非常切合时宜的书，嗯，是《美国社会主义者：尤金·V·德布斯的生平与遗产》（American Socialist, the Life and Legacy of Eugene V. Debs）。我觉得那是一本——它是一本最近刚出版的、非常切合时宜的书，关于最早的美国社会主义元老，一个在伯尼的个人思想历程中也产生过深远影响的人。我认为它切合时宜，是因为我们目前正在经历的美国社会主义的复兴。额，而在那时候，我的意思是，他们拥有的政治代表权远多于我们现在。尽管美国民主社会主义者组织额，我相信现在已经成为了这个国家历史上最大的社会主义政党或组织。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> talks about how fascism and and capitalism serve the same masters and that it has uh what I would say is a more sympathetic approach to the USSR, to communist forms of governance. Um but I think it's good for those who are intellectually curious to to read something like this and then uh perhaps try to comprehend what some of the the positives were within this this otherwise like dystopian form of governance that we have a a very different understanding of.

And the last book is also somewhat controversial because I haven't finished reading it. Um but I think it's very timely book is um American Socialist, the Life and Legacy of Eugene V. Debs. I feel like that's a it's a really timely book that just recently came out about the the OG American socialist, someone who was uh profoundly impactful in in Bernie's uh personal ideological journey as well. I think it's timely because of the American socialist resurgence that we're currently uh going through right now. Uh and uh back then, I mean they had far more political representation than we do now. Even though the Democratic Socialist of America has uh I I believe become the largest socialist uh party or organization in the history of this country now.
</details>

>> 这位是欧文·帕克（Owen Paker）。非常感谢你。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> That's Owen Paker. Thank you very much.
</details>

>> 感谢你们邀请我。
<details><summary>Original English</summary>
>> Thank you for having me.
</details>