为何我们现在就应该拥抱自动驾驶汽车 veritasium 2021-07-23

首次自动驾驶体验与公众认知

好的,我即将进行人生中第一次乘坐完全自动驾驶汽车的体验。哇,没有司机!

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All right, I'm about to go for my first ever ride in a fully autonomous vehicle. Whoa, no driver.

好的。

  • [电子语音] 早上好,德里克。这辆车完全由您掌控,前面没有司机。
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All right. - [Electronic Voice] Good morning, Derek. This car is all yours with no one up front.

我真的很喜欢完全自动驾驶汽车这个概念,但坐进一辆没有司机的车,然后完全信任它,感觉还是很奇怪。

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I really like the idea of fully autonomous vehicles, but it's weird getting into a car with no driver and just trusting the car.

我将回来报告这次乘坐的体验以及我的感受。哦,但完全披露一下,本视频由Waymo(Alphabet旗下的自动驾驶技术公司)赞助。

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I'm gonna report back how this ride goes and how I feel about it. Oh, but full disclosure, this video is sponsored by Waymo.

(车门咔哒声) (安全带咔哒声) 开始行程。 (汽车导航提示音) 哈哈!

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(car door clicking) (seatbelt clicking) Start ride. (car navigation chiming) Ha ha!

  • [电子语音] 请确保您的安全带已系好。 (德里克发出声音) 如有任何疑问,请按帮助按钮与乘客支持代理通话。
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- [Electronic Voice] Make sure your seatbelt is fastened. (Derek vocalizes) For any questions, press the Help button to speak with a rider support agent.

好的。现在我们来看看它会怎么开。它正在观察这辆驶来的车。它会怎么做?

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Okay. Now let's see where we go. It's looking at this car coming here. What's it gonna do?

哦,它非常平稳地跟在了后面。没有问题。没有贸然驶入车流。它等到车辆通过后才转弯。我喜欢这样。

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Oh, and it pulls in very smoothly behind it. No problems. Did not turn into traffic. Waited until the cars went, and then it turned. I like that.

我曾就自动驾驶汽车对YouTube观众进行过调查,其中一半人对此感到兴奋并准备好让它们上路,但超过40%的人认为这项技术还需要10年以上才能实现。

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I polled YouTube viewers about autonomous vehicles and half of you are excited and ready for them to be on the roads, but over 40% said you thought the technology was still over 10 years away.

对于这些人,我有一个消息,那就是,这辆车里没有司机。我目前正乘坐一辆完全自动驾驶汽车,在亚利桑那州凤凰城的一个郊区行驶。

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And for those people, I have news, which is that, well, there is no driver in this car. I'm currently inside a fully autonomous vehicle driving around a suburb of Phoenix, Arizona.

我知道在世界某些地方,道路维护得不够好,人们也不一定能保持在自己的车道上,因此计算机在那里驾驶会非常困难。但至少在良好条件下,这项技术目前是可行的。

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Now I get that in some parts of the world, like, the roads aren't well enough maintained and people don't stay in their lane necessarily, and so it'd be very hard for a computer to drive there, but at least under good conditions, the technology is currently functional.

(舒缓的音乐) (轻快的喜剧音乐)

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(downtempo music) (bright comedic music)

自动驾驶的历史与类比:从电梯到飞机

Waymo最初是Google(谷歌)的自动驾驶汽车项目,其产品可能是史上最可爱的汽车之一。

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Now Waymo started out as the Google self-driving car project with what is possibly one of the cutest cars ever made.

我正坐在这辆世界上第一辆完全自动驾驶汽车里。早在2015年10月,这辆车就驶上了公共道路,乘坐者是史蒂夫·曼(Steve Mann),他是一名残疾人,法定盲人,但他可以驾驶这辆被亲切地称为“萤火虫”(Firefly: Waymo早期开发的,没有方向盘和踏板的自动驾驶原型车)的汽车出行。

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I am inside the world's first fully autonomous vehicle. Back in October 2015, this car went on a public road, ridden by Steve Mann, who has a disability, he is legally blind, but he could get around in this thing, which is affectionately known as the Firefly.

这是一款非常简单的汽车。里面基本上什么都没有。没有方向盘,没有仪表盘。这辆车非常基础。没有空调,但有一个紧急停车按钮。

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This is such a simple vehicle. There's basically nothing in here. There's no steering wheel, no dashboard. This car is super basic. There is no AC, but there is an emergency stop button.

(按钮盖咔哒声) 那是我车里最喜欢的按钮。它让我想起了电梯。

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(button cover clicks) That's my favorite button in the car. It reminds me of elevators.

自动电梯必须设置的一个重要措施就是一个大大的红色停止按钮。你知道吗,在20世纪40年代之前,几乎所有的电梯都有司机。

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One of the important measures that they had to put in automatic elevators was a big red stop button. Did you know that before the 1940s, almost all elevators had drivers in them?

当人们开始安装无人驾驶电梯时,公众非常担忧,他们不想乘坐那些电梯。

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And when people started putting in driverless elevators, well, the public was very concerned, and they didn't wanna ride in those elevators.

有一个人说:“我不在乎余生是否要爬12层楼梯。我绝不坐那部电梯。”

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There was one guy who was like, "I don't care if I have to walk up 12 flights of stairs for the rest of my life. I'm not taking that elevator."

普及速度很慢。我的意思是,他们尝试通过广告来帮助人们理解它实际上是安全的,但最终,纽约市发生了一场电梯司机罢工,这真的惹恼了人们,并推动了自动化电梯的普及。

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And adoption was slow. I mean, they tried to advertise to help people understand that it was in fact safe, but, ultimately, there was an elevator drivers strike in New York City, and that really annoyed people, and it helped the adoption of automated elevators.

如果你今天在电梯里发现一个司机,你会想:“他们为什么会在那里?”

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If you found a driver in an elevator today, you would wonder, "Why are they there?"

你可能会认为电梯很简单,我的意思是,它实际上是一维运动,但飞机也广泛地由计算机驾驶。

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Now you might think an elevator is just so simple, I mean, it is effectively one dimensional motion, but airplanes are also flown extensively by computers.

(紧张的打击乐) 我看到了这次特殊的降落,一架飞机正在维也纳降落,雾非常大,飞行员几乎什么都看不见。

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(tense percussive music) I saw this particular landing where a plane is coming in into Vienna, and it's just so foggy that the pilots can see almost nothing.

我的意思是,这是驾驶舱的视角,然而,他们却做出了完美、教科书般的精准降落。

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I mean, this is the view from the cockpit, and yet, they make a perfect, a textbook landing right on target.

那么他们是如何做到的呢?答案是飞行员没有做到。那是一个CAT II autoland procedure(二类自动着陆程序:一种飞机在低能见度条件下由计算机自动完成着陆的技术)。

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So how do they do it? The answer is the pilots didn't do it. It was a CAT II autoland procedure.

飞机基本上是自己降落的。当然,飞行员很重要,他们会监控所有的仪表和控制,但实际上是飞机及其计算机让飞机正确降落。

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The plane just came in and landed itself essentially. Now, of course, the pilots are important and they're monitoring all of the instruments and controls, but it's actually the plane and its computer getting the plane to land appropriately.

我很惊讶地发现,人类在晴天更倾向于手动控制降落,比如2013年7月6日,韩亚航空214号航班(Asiana Airlines flight 214)在旧金山进行最后进近时。

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I was surprised to learn that humans are much more likely to take manual control and land on sunny days, like July 6th, 2013, when Asiana Airlines flight 214 was on final approach to San Francisco.

飞行员试图手动降落飞机时,不小心将油门置于零位,等到他们意识到并试图中止降落时,为时已晚。

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Attempting to manually land the plane, the pilot accidentally left the throttle at zero, and by the time they realized and tried to abort the landing, it was too late.

飞机撞上了跑道海堤并断裂成两截。事故发生后有三人死亡。

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The plane crashed into the runway seawall and split in two. Three people died in the aftermath of this accident.

我认为反直觉的是,我们期望人类在困难情况下表现更好,但当涉及到飞机时,如果天气恶劣,你实际上会希望飞机自动驾驶。

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I think the counterintuitive thing is that we expect the humans to be better, particularly in tough situations, but when it comes to airplanes, if it's bad weather, you actually want the plane flying itself.

那么下一个显而易见的问题是,你希望汽车也能如此吗?

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So the obvious next question is, would you want the same thing for cars?

(振荡音乐)

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(oscillating music)

自动驾驶等级与人类干预的风险

自动驾驶有各种不同的等级,所有L4级自动驾驶(Level 4 autonomy: 指在特定操作设计域内,车辆可以完全自主驾驶,无需人类干预)以下的等级都要求人类驾驶员负责并始终握住方向盘。

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There are all these different levels of autonomy, and everything up to four requires a human driver to be responsible and have the wheel at all times.

Google自动驾驶汽车项目的早期,他们有一辆尚未达到L4级的车辆,因此仍然需要人类驾驶员。

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In the early days of the Google self-driving car project, they had a vehicle that was not yet level four, so it still required a human driver.

他们让Google员工借用这些汽车,但他们仍然必须控制方向盘。志愿者被告知,他们始终对汽车负责,并且在车内时会一直被录像。

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They let Google employees borrow the cars, but they still had to be in control of the wheel. And the volunteers were informed that they were responsible for the car at all times and that they would be constantly recorded, like video recorded, while they were in the car.

但即便如此,在短时间内,工程师们就观察到驾驶员在包里翻找东西,查看手机,化妆,甚至在驾驶座上睡觉。

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But still, within a short period of time, the engineers observed drivers rummaging around in their bags or checking phones, putting on makeup, or even sleeping in the driver's seat.

所有这些驾驶员都过于信任这项技术,这使得几乎完全自动驾驶的车辆可能比普通汽车更危险,我的意思是,如果驾驶员分心或没有准备好接管。

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All these drivers were trusting the technology too much, which makes almost fully autonomous vehicles potentially more dangerous than regular cars, I mean, if the driver is distracted or not prepared to take over.

这就是为什么Waymo决定,唯一安全的做法是使用至少达到L4级自动驾驶的汽车。

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So this is why Waymo decided that the only safe way to proceed is with a car that has at least level four autonomy.

这是汽车不在路上时停放的车库。这里也是人们监控所有正在进行的行程的地方。

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This is the depot where the cars go when they're not on the road. And it's also where people monitor all the rides in progress.

  • 是的,我的团队就在那里。你基本上会看到三个团队。其中一个团队是我的车队调度员团队,他们主要负责确保每天分配的所有任务都能成功完成。
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- Yes, so that's where my team sits. You see three teams basically here. One of the teams is my team of fleet dispatchers, so basically making sure that all the mission are assigned every day and they are completed successfully on the road.

然后是接听电话的乘客支持团队。 (电子提示音)

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And then you have the Rider Support team that takes the calls. (electronic tone chiming)

  • [比尤拉(Beulah)] 感谢您致电Waymo乘客支持。我是比尤拉,今天有什么可以帮助您的吗?
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- [Beulah] Thank you for calling the Waymo Rider Support. This is Beulah, how can I help today?

  • 我刚刚完成了我的行程,但我不想下车。我只是想继续开车。有什么办法可以做到吗?
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- I just completed my ride, but I don't wanna get out of the car. I just wanna keep driving. Is there a way that I can do that?

  • [比尤拉] 目前,我没有看到有行程开始。请稍等片刻,我与我的团队合作一下,好吗?
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- [Beulah] Right now, I don't see a trip started. Give me one moment here while I partner with my team, okay?

  • 好的。 (咯咯笑)嗯,我把所有东西都落在车里了。我希望它能回来。 (汽车嗡嗡声)
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- Okay. (chuckling) Well, I just left all my stuff in the car. I hope it comes back. (car humming)

  • 我认为在信任车辆方面仍然存在很多阻力。他们会问你:“坐在没有司机的车里感觉如何?”
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- I think there's a lot of, still, resistance in terms of trusting the vehicle. And they ask you like, "How does it feel to be in a car without the driver?"

我是第一个在夜间进行完全无人驾驶公共道路行驶的人。我总是和他们分享经验。

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I was the first person to do public roads, fully driverless ride at night. I always share the experience with them.

你大概需要两分钟就能完全忘记自己身处无人驾驶车辆中。如果系统真的能提供那种安全感,并且你看到几次操作,不到两分钟,你就会和旁边的人聊天,不再关注正在发生的事情了。

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It takes about two minutes for you to completely forget that you are in a driverless vehicle. If the system really provides that feeling that you're safe and you see a couple of maneuvers, in less than two minutes, you're talking to whoever is next to you and not paying attention to what's happening anymore.

人类驾驶的局限与机器的优势

哇,好的,它没有发出指示灯声音,所以我不知道它什么时候会转弯,但如果我看着地图,我就会知道。

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- Whoa, all right, it doesn't make the indicator sound, so I just don't know when it's going to turn, but if I was watching the map, I would know.

我认为我们有一种偏见,认为自己在某些任务上比实际表现更好,比如认为人们擅长驾驶。

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I think we have this bias to believe that we're better at certain tasks than we actually are, like thinking that people are good at driving.

调查显示,74%的人认为自己的驾驶水平高于平均水平。想想看。

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Surveys show 74% of people believe they are above average drivers. Think about that.

在20世纪,有6000万人死于道路交通事故。这基本上相当于又一场世界大战的死亡人数。我们真的只能怪自己。

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In the 20th century, 60 million people were killed on the road. That's basically an extra world war's worth of deaths. And we really have no one to blame but ourselves.

美国国家运输安全委员会(National Transportation and Safety Board: 负责调查民用运输事故的独立政府机构)已将人为错误确定为94%事故的原因。

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The National Transportation and Safety Board has identified human error as the cause of 94% of accidents.

这些错误中的大多数是机器不可能犯的。每年在美国,有多达200人在倒车出车道或停车位时丧生,其中经常是老年人或儿童,也就是司机的孩子。

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Most of these errors are impossible for a machine to make. Every year when people are backing out of driveways or parking spaces, in the U.S, up to 200 people are killed, and it's frequently older people or children, the children of the drivers.

这太可怕了。这归结于我们没有“后脑勺长眼睛”,即使是倒车摄像头也有盲区。

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It's awful. And it comes down to the fact that we don't have eyes in the back of our head, and even the backup cameras still have blind spots.

但如果你有一辆配备了LiDAR(激光雷达:一种通过发射激光束并测量反射时间来创建周围环境三维图像的技术)和雷达以及29个摄像头的车辆,你就不会撞到他们。

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But if you have a vehicle that has LiDAR and radar and 29 cameras, you're just not going to hit them.

在车顶最显眼的位置,有一个360度LiDAR。所以它可以看到汽车周围的一切。它可以通过LiDAR看到300米远的距离。

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Up here in the very prominent top, there is a 360 LiDAR. So it can see all around the car. It can see up to 300 meters away with a LiDAR.

LiDAR的工作原理是发射不可见的激光束,每秒扫描数百万次,然后检测反射,通过反射回来的时间来确定物体有多远。

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The way the LiDAR works is it shoots out invisible laser beams, scanning around millions of times a second, and then it detects the reflection, and how long it takes to come back allows you to determine how far it is to that object.

所以它正在做的是像绘制一幅世界的三维图像。这辆车周围有29个摄像头,为您提供360度全景视野。

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So what it's doing is like painting a 3D picture of the world. There are 29 cameras around this vehicle, which gives you full 360 vision.

它提供近距离视野,可以看到车旁边的情况,以及远距离视野,可以达到500米。这辆车可以在500米外探测到停车标志或行人。

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It gives you close range vision, what is right next to the car, and also long range vision, going out 500 meters. This car could detect a stop sign or a pedestrian 500 meters away.

我们中有多少人有这么好的视力?车顶还有一个麦克风,可以监听周围环境的声音,如果有警笛声,汽车就会靠边停车。

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How many of us have eyesight that is that good? There is also a microphone up on top to listen to what's happening in the environment, and if there are sirens, then the car will pull over to the side of the road.

它必须能够响应紧急车辆。 (轻快的打击乐)

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It's gotta be able to respond to emergency vehicles. (light percussive music)

复杂场景处理与道德困境

我想看看它如何处理停车场,那里的人们以不寻常的方式驾驶,并且可能有行人在走动。

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What I wanna see here is, how does it handle a parking lot where there's people driving in unusual ways and possibly pedestrians walking around?

(汽车嗡嗡声) (轮胎吱吱声) 哇。

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(car humming) (tires squeak) Whoa.

那是一个突然的急停。汽车在那里急刹车。我想它看到了那个推着手推车的人正走上人行横道。

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That was a sudden stop. The car made a pretty hard stop there. I think it saw that guy with a cart coming up on a pedestrian crosswalk.

车辆一直在做的一件有趣的事情是,它不仅看到物体在哪里以及它们要去哪里,而且还预测它们可能去哪里。

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And one of the interesting things that the vehicle is always doing is not only seeing where things are and where they're going, but also making predictions about where they're likely to go.

所以这辆车不只有一个潜在的未来。它不断地想象:“嗯,他可能会在人行横道上过马路,”或者“他可能会继续走,”或者“他可能会左转,”所以它必须为所有这些不同的选择做好准备。

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So this car doesn't just have one potential future. It's constantly imagining, "Well, he might cross at the crosswalk," or, "He might keep going," or, "He might turn left," and so it has to be prepared for all of those different options.

它甚至会根据它认为他走人行横道、直行还是转弯的可能性来加权这些选项。你可以在他们的小模拟图形中通过线的粗细看到这一点。

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And it even weights the options of like how likely it thinks that he's gonna go on the crosswalk versus go straight versus turn. And you can see that with the thickness of the line in the little simulated graphic that they have.

(安全带咔哒声) 呼。

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(seatbelt clicking) Phew.

几年前,我想很多人都在讨论自动驾驶汽车必须在发生事故时决定撞谁,比如是选择孤儿还是修女?

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A few years back, I think a lot of people were talking about how autonomous vehicles have to figure out who to hit in case of an accident, like do the pick the orphan or the nun?

汽车应该撞戴头盔的摩托车手,因为他的受伤可能不那么严重,还是应该撞没有戴头盔的摩托车手,因为他没有妥善保护自己?

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Should the car hit the motorcyclist with the helmet on because his injuries might be less severe or should the car hit the motorcyclist who does not have a helmet on because he did not properly protect himself?

如果汽车被编程为撞戴头盔的摩托车手,那在某种程度上就意味着不戴头盔骑车会更安全。

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If cars were programmed to hit the motorcyclist with the helmet, that would mean that, in a way, it would become safer to ride without a helmet.

(异想天开的音乐) 但现实是99%的事故并非如此。

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(whimsical music) But the reality is that 99% of accidents aren't like that.

每年约有130万人死于道路交通事故,几乎所有这些事故都是由于人为错误造成的。

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Every year, around 1.3 million people are killed on the roads, almost all of them due to human error.

如果自动驾驶汽车能够减少这些死亡人数,那么真正的道德困境就不在于是否因为担心我们尚未完全弄清它们在极不可能的假设情景下如何反应,而不让它们尽快上路。

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If autonomous cars can reduce these fatalities, then the real moral dilemma is not getting them on the road sooner for fear we haven't worked out exactly how they'll react to extremely unlikely hypothetical scenarios.

我认为人类正在成为更糟糕的驾驶员,因为我们太容易分心了。 (轻柔沉思的音乐)

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I think humans are becoming worse drivers because we're just so prone to distraction. (light contemplative music)

想想汽车碰撞的主要原因:因为人们超速,酒驾,分心。我的意思是,这些问题自动驾驶汽车不会有。

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Think about the main reasons why cars crash: because people are speeding, they're under the influence, they're distracted. I mean, these sorts of problems, an autonomous vehicle would not have.

你不会遇到分心的司机。最终的问题,对吧,每个人都想知道,我也想知道答案的是,就这些车辆而言,

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You don't get a distracted driver. The ultimate question, right, that everyone wants to know, that I want to know the answer to is, as these vehicles stand,

(汽车电子蜂鸣声) 它们比普通人类司机更好吗?不是比最好的司机,只是比普通人类司机。

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(car electronic beeping) are they better than the average human? Not than the best human, but just like an average human.

比如用这些车辆替换街上随机的一辆车,这会使道路更安全吗?

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Like replacing some random car on the street with one of these vehicles, does that make the road safer?

  • 是的,会的。我认为如果我们不满足基本的安全框架,我们绝不会推出仅限乘客的服务。
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- Yes, it does. I think we would never launch a rider-only service if we did not meet that base safety framework.

  • 如果这是真的,那就意味着每一辆没有上路的车辆都算是一种更糟糕的情况,你明白我的意思吗?
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- If that's true, it means like every vehicle that's not on the road is kind of a worse situation, do you know what I mean?

  • 我们正在非常努力地将这项服务推广到更大的区域和新的区域,但我们需要有经验来向监管机构展示我们为什么认为它更安全,为此,你需要行驶大量的里程,一个让你在统计学上感到舒适的里程数。
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- We are really working really hard to launch this in larger areas and new areas too, but we need to have the experience to show the regulators why we believe it's safer, and, for that, you need to be driving miles, a number of miles that you feel comfortable with, statistically speaking.

数据积累与未来愿景

这些车辆比任何人类驾驶员都有更多的经验,因为它们已经在公共道路上积累了超过2000万英里的驾驶数据。

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- These vehicles have way more experience than any human driver because they've now accumulated data over 20 million miles of driving on public roads.

如果你是一个普通司机,你需要驾驶一千年才能积累到那样的经验。所有这些经验都可以用来训练系统,修复软件,并应用于车队中的所有车辆。

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If you were an average driver, you'd have to drive for a thousand years to accumulate that sort of experience. And all of that experience can be used to train the systems, to fix the software, and used across all the vehicles in the fleet.

2019年,Waymo发布了一项数据研究,涵盖了在亚利桑那州凤凰城都会区超过610万英里的自动驾驶里程。

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In 2019, Waymo released a study of its data, over 6.1 million miles of automated driving in the Phoenix, Arizona metropolitan area.

在研究期间发生的18起事故中,没有一起严重到足以预期造成重大伤害或死亡。

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Of the 18 total accidents that occurred during the study, none were serious enough to expect significant injury or death.

Waymo的安全报告中,他们发现某些类型的事故已被这种自动驾驶系统完全消除,比如汽车不会冲出道路,也不会撞到静止物体。

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In Waymo's Safety Report, they found some types of accidents have been completely eliminated by this autonomous driving system, like the car doesn't go off the road and it doesn't hit stationary objects.

人类,人类会做那些事情。如果你看看Waymo车辆在600万英里驾驶中发生的八起重大事故,所有八起都涉及另一辆车的人类驾驶员做了愚蠢的事情,比如逆行、闯红灯、闯停车标志、未能让行或超速20英里/小时。

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Humans, humans do those things. If you look at the eight significant accidents that happened with Waymo vehicles over the six million miles of driving, all eight of them involve a human driver of another vehicle doing something stupid, like driving on the wrong side of the road or running a red light or going through a stop sign or failing to yield or going 20 miles per hour over the speed limit.

有三起涉及Waymo车辆和行人的事件,但在所有三起事件中,Waymo车辆都是静止的,而行人、骑自行车者或滑板者撞上了车辆。

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There were three incidents involving Waymo vehicles and pedestrians, but in all three, the Waymo vehicle was stationary and the pedestrian or cyclist/skateboarder ran into the vehicle.

Waymo还会将一些真实世界的数据放入模拟中并进行调整。

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Waymo also takes some of that real-world data and they put it into simulations and they tweak it a bit.

所以他们尝试添加一个快速或慢速的骑自行车者,或者让汽车转弯更快或更慢。所以他们改变所有这些参数和变量,看看软件会怎么做。

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So they try adding like a bicyclist going fast or going slow, or they make the car turn faster or slower. So they change all these parameters and variables, and they see what the software will do.

他们已经在额外的200亿英里驾驶模拟中训练了软件,而不是在路上,这又是真实经验的一千倍。

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And they've trained the software on an additional 20 billion miles of driving, not on the road but in the simulation, so that's a thousand times more experience again.

对我来说,问题是,什么时候踏入自动驾驶汽车会感觉和踏入电梯一样?

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The question for me is, when is stepping inside an autonomous car gonna feel the same as stepping inside an elevator?

因为我认为那个时刻可能比你想象的来得更快。

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Because I think that time may be coming sooner than you think.

我喜欢这项技术的理念,但老实说,刚上车时,我不太确定自己会有什么感觉。我有点不确定,但一旦我看到它如此自信地处理情况……

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I like the idea of this technology, but, honestly, getting in the car, I wasn't quite sure how I would feel. I was a little bit uncertain, but once I saw it just handles so confidently...

驾驶就是那种你无法隐藏自己是好司机还是坏司机的事情。就像是,“哦,当有停着的车、骑自行车的人或行人时会发生什么?”

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Like driving is one of those things that I feel like you can't hide whether you're a good or bad driver. It's just like, "Oh, what's gonna happen when there's a parked car or a cyclist or a pedestrian,"

而它只是以如此自信和轻松的方式处理所有这些情况,以至于我想我不再去想它了。

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and it just sort of handles all those situations with such confidence and ease that I think I stopped thinking about it.

  • 当它们通过你的一些心理测试后,你就会觉得:“我很好。”我想,再次,“我会没事的。”(咯咯笑)
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- After they pass a couple of your mental tests, you're like, "I'm good." I think, again, "I'll be okay." (chuckling)

  • 是的,是的,我也有同样的感觉。我认为很多人都错过了完全自动驾驶普及后可能实现的更大影响。
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- Yeah, yeah, I felt the same way. I think a lot of people miss the bigger implications of what is achievable once fully autonomous driving is commonplace.

残疾人、老年人和盲人可以更方便地出行。交通费用会变得更便宜。

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Riders with disabilities, seniors, and the blind can get around more easily. Transportation will get cheaper.

想想那些超过95%的时间都停着的汽车所浪费的价值。我们可以重新获得大量时间,并感到更快乐,因为通勤和堵车都很糟糕。

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Think of all the wasted value in the cars that spend over 95% of their time parked. We can regain a bunch of time and feel happier because commuting and being stuck in traffic sucks.

我们可以减少交通拥堵,因为车辆将更好地感知彼此。你可以想象有一天,当所有汽车都完全自动驾驶时,它们可以像跳美丽的芭蕾舞一样一起行驶。

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We can reduce traffic because vehicles will have better awareness of each other. You can imagine one day when all the cars are fully autonomous, they can execute a beautiful ballet driving together,

当那个时候到来时,我们可以取消停车场,为我们的城市增加绿地。最重要的是,自动驾驶汽车的广泛普及仅在美国就能防止数万人的死亡。

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and when that time comes, we can eliminate parking lots and add green spaces to our cities. And, most importantly, widespread adoption of autonomous cars could prevent tens of thousands of fatalities in the U.S. alone.

你认为这什么时候会成为现实,但显然它正在到来,但具体是何时?

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When do you think that this will be a reality, but clearly it's coming, but when?

  • 是的。如果你谈论的是大城市,我希望未来五年将是真正改变游戏规则的时期。
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- Yeah. If you're talking about big cities, I'm hoping the next five years will be really game changing.

  • [德里克] 我很期待看到它。
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- [Derek] I'm excited to see it.

  • 我也是,相信我。相信我。我只是不想再通勤上班了。我希望能坐在后座,在路上和回来的路上完成我的工作。(咯咯笑)
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- Me too, believe me. Believe me. I just don't want to commute to work anymore. I would love to sit in the backseat, do my work on the way there and on the way back. (chuckling)

  • [德里克] 或者做些有趣的事情,看电影。
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- [Derek] Or do something fun, watch a movie.

  • 或者睡觉,是的。(咯咯笑) (未来感十足的蜂鸣声) (频率音哨声)
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- Or sleep, yeah. (chuckling) (futuristic tones beeping) (frequency tone whistling)

📌 文中提及的人物和组织

人物: Derek

公司/组织: Waymo, Google

产品/模型: Firefly