民主党紧张局势分析:竞选崩溃教训与政治策略反思 The Ezra Klein Show 2026-07-24

民主党当前的紧张局势与普拉特纳竞选的崩溃

Host: 民主党目前正处于一个紧张的时刻,格雷厄姆·普拉特纳(Graham Platner)在缅因州的参议院竞选活动的崩溃,已经成为这些紧张局势的焦点。

Original English

Host: The Democratic party's in a tense moment right now and the implosion of Graham Platner Senate campaign in Maine has become a focal point for those tensions.

News Anchor: 民主党人格兰特·普拉特纳(Grant Platner)表示,他将退出州参议院竞选。在此之前,他面临强奸和身体虐待的指控,但他否认了这些指控。

Original English

News Anchor: Democrat Grant Platner said he is dropping out of his state senate race. It follows allegations of rape and physical abuse, which he denies.

Graham Platner: 我只想澄清,这一切都是假的。

Original English

Graham Platner: I just want to make it clear this is all false.

Host: 经过数月关于普拉特纳突然崛起的经验教训的争论,现在全变成了关于他更加突然地倒台的教训。每一个派别都有自己的教训,并希望其他派别去学习。对民主党建制派来说,这显示了民粹派在审查候选人方面的失败。“你不能信任他们。看看普拉特纳在审查下是如何崩溃的。如果在缅因州民主党还可以选择新候选人的日期之后发生这种事会怎样?”民粹派则想保护普拉特纳在崩溃前似乎正在证明的东西:民主党建制派极其脆弱,脱离了选民。毕竟,普拉特纳在竞选崩溃前,击败了缅因州现任州长、查克·舒默(Chuck Schumer)钦点的候选人珍妮特·米尔斯(Janet Mills)。

许多愤怒的焦点都集中在政治咨询公司Fight Agency的策略师莫里斯·卡茨(Morris Katz)身上。你可能没听说过莫里斯·卡茨,但他是一位20多岁的顾问,所以他很年轻。他作为佐兰·姆达尼(Zoran Mdani)的核心政治顾问,随后作为普拉特纳的策略师突然闯入公众视野。但在此之前,卡茨是约翰·费特曼(John Fetterman)2022年竞选的广告制作人。他还是丹·奥斯本(Dan Osborn)2024年在内布拉斯加州以独立身份竞选参议员的核心策略师之一。所以,有一种具有工人阶级色彩的民粹主义竞选活动,卡茨已经成为其中的核心和定义性人物。

因此,这个以前大家都没怎么听说过的人,成为了今年最受媒体关注的两位民主党政客的得力助手。而现在,无论是在左翼还是中间派中,都有人对他拔刀相向。你会看到所有这些关于他如何草率地运作竞选的报道。DSA(美国民主社会主义者)甚至传阅了一封信,试图争辩说DSA不应该再与他合作。

我认为你可以从两个方面来看待这件事。卡茨犯了真正巨大的错误。非常有可能是因为未能有效地审查普拉特纳,可能使民主党在今年失去了参议院的席位。但卡茨也显然搞清楚了这个政治时刻的一些事情,而许多比他资深的策略师却没有。所以我想邀请他来上节目。既问问他显然做对了什么,也问问他同样显然做错了什么。和往常一样,我的邮箱是 esroclow@nytimes.com。莫里斯·卡茨,欢迎来到我们的节目。

Original English

Host: After months of debating what the lessons of Platner's sudden rise were, now it's all about the lessons of his even more sudden fall. And every faction has a lesson and wants the other faction to learn. To the Democratic establishment, it shows the failures of the populace to vet their candidates. You can't trust them. Look at how Platner fell apart under scrutiny. What if that had happened after the date when Maine's Democratic party could still choose a new candidate? The populace want to protect what Platner seemed to be proving before his implosion. That the Democratic establishment is intensely vulnerable, that it's out of touch with the electorate. Platner did after all beat Janet Mills, the sitting governor of Maine, Chuck Schumer's handpicked candidate before his campaign collapsed.

And a lot of the anger has focused on Morris Katz, a strategist at the political consulting firm Fight Agency. You may not have heard of Morris Katz, but he is a consultant in his late 20s, so he's young. And he sort of burst onto the scene as Zoran Mdani's key political adviser and then as Platner's strategist. But before that, Katz was the admaker for John Federman's 2022 campaign. He was one of the key strategists on Dan Osborne's independent run for Senate in Nebraska in 2024. So, there's been a certain kind of working class coded populist campaign that Katz has really become central and defining. So, here was this guy who people really hadn't heard of before and it was the right-hand man of the two Democratic politicians probably getting the most press this year.

And now among both the left and the center, the knives are out for him. You have all these stories about the slipshot way he was running the campaign. He had a DSA letter being circulated trying to argue that the DSA shouldn't work with him any longer. And I think you can really see this one both ways. Katz made genuinely huge mistakes. It is very possible that the failure to effectively vet Platner could have cost Democrats the Senate this year. Katz has also clearly figured something out about this political moment that strategists many years a senior have not. So I wanted to have him on the show. Ask him both about what he clearly has gotten right and what he just as clearly got wrong. As always my email esroclow@nytimes.com. Morris Katz, welcome to the show.

Morris Katz: 谢谢你邀请我。很高兴能来到这里。

Original English

Morris Katz: Thanks for having me. It's good to be here.

反思审查失败与错误

Host: 所以,我们是在格雷厄姆·普拉特纳的竞选活动因一项可信的强奸指控而崩溃之后进行交谈的。很多人对你感到愤怒,其中一些人曾与你共事,因为你没有好好审查普拉特纳,但我认为也因为你攻击了那些试图对他提出警告的人。那么,现在你已经有一些时间来消化发生的事情,你认为哪里出了问题?

Original English

Host: So, we're talking in the aftermath of Graham Platner's campaign imploding after a credible accusation of rape. There's a lot of people angry at you, some of the people you worked with for poorly vetting Platner, but also, I think, for attacking people who are trying to raise the alarm on him. So, now that you've had some time to digest what's happened, what do you think went wrong?

Morris Katz: 我认为很多批评和愤怒都是完全合理的,你知道,我过去经常对民主党建制派提出严厉批评。这些批评的根源并不是他们犯了错误。而是他们一遍又一遍地犯同样的错误,因为从这些教训中学习会对他们的权力构成威胁。而且我不想那样做。我认为这里面有很多已经被提出的批评是非常合理的,也有很多值得学习的东西。

你知道,我认为关于审查的讨论,没有一种标准的审查程序能够发现终结这次竞选的可信指控。你知道,埃里克·斯沃韦尔(Eric Swalwell)在众议院情报委员会任职了十年,然后也看到类似的指控终结了他的竞选。话虽如此,我认为事后看来,知道我们现在所知道的,仅仅是Reddit上的帖子可能就已经足够了,或者说应该足够了。那些纹身应该就足够了。《纽约时报》最初关于令人不安的行为的报道应该就足够了。

而且我认为这两件事可以同时存在:我们需要在政治舞台之外寻找不同类型的候选人,同时因为这是美国参议院,候选人应该被要求达到极高的标准。有很多不是政治圈内人的优秀人士,全国各地也有很多优秀的美国工人阶级,他们没有那些有问题的Reddit帖子,或者没有有问题的纹身,或者在他们的过去没有那种程度的争议。

Original English

Morris Katz: I think a lot of the critiques and and anger are are fully valid, you know, like I think I've been very critical of the democratic establishment frequently. And where those critiques come from is not that they make mistakes. It's that they make the same mistakes over and over again because learning from those lessons would pose a threat to their kind of power. Um, and I don't want to do that. And I think there are like things here, many of the critiques that have been made that are incredibly valid and things to learn from.

You know, I think the conversation around the vetting, uh, there is no standard vetting process that would have found the credible allegation that ended the campaign. You know, Eric Swallwell served on the House Intelligence Committee for a decade and then saw similar allegations end his campaign. That being said, I think in in hindsight, knowing what we know now, the Reddit posts alone probably should have been enough or should have been enough. Um, the tattoo should have been enough. The initial New York Times story on troubling behavior should have been enough.

And I think both things can be true that we need different kinds of candidates running outside of the political arena and that it's the United States Senate and candies should be held to an incredibly high standard. And there are a lot of incredible people who are not part of the political arena, a lot of incredible working-class Americans across the country who don't have those problematic Reddit posts or who don't have a problematic tattoo or don't have quite the level of um controversy in their past.

Host: 你一度将他的Reddit帖子描述为一项资产。

Original English

Host: You described the Reddit post for him at one point as an asset.

Morris Katz: 我认为曾经有一种信念,我现在仍然在努力消化,我认为在竞选过程中,令人非常鼓舞的一件事是,我认为在我们的政治中宽容太少了,给细微差别留下的空间太少了,感觉这开启了很多这样的对话。你知道,你看到人们展现出极大的宽容,敞开心扉,愿意去希望并相信,不仅我们可以改变我们的政治,而且人也是可以改变的。我认为那正是我们所需要的,我不希望失去它。我不希望人们从中得到的教训是,永远不应该给宽容留有余地。

我认为,有很多犯过错误或发表过争议性言论的人,我们希望赢得他们的支持,我们需要赢得他们的信任。但我也认为我错了。这并不是说每一个在Reddit上发表过争议性言论的人都会发生这样的事情。我觉得情况并非如此。但这确实意味着,当有这样的事情存在时,发生这种情况的风险会更高,而且风险太大,毕竟有那么多人没有这种潜在的包袱,而且,你知道,这是美国参议院。

Original English

Morris Katz: I think that there was a belief that I I am still kind of wrestling with of I think over the course of the campaign, one of the things that was really frankly inspiring to see I think we have so little grace in our politics and so little room for nuance and it felt like this opened up a lot of those conversations. You know, you saw people just extend such grace and open up their hearts and be willing to hope and believe in not just that we could change our politics, but that people could change. And I think like that was something we needed and I don't want to to lose that. I don't want people's lesson from this to be that there should never be room for grace.

And I think that there are a lot of there are a lot of people who've made mistakes or said controversial things who we want to win the support of, who we need to earn the trust of. But I also think I was wrong. And not it's not to say that everyone who has said controversial things on Reddit would then have things like this come out. Like that's I don't think that's the case. But it's to say that there's a higher risk there of it happening when there are things like that and there's too much at stake and there are so many people who don't have that potential liability and you know it's the United States Senate.

招募平民候选人的初衷

Host: 我想回到这一切的起点。这个故事多多少少已经被丹·莫罗夫(Dan Morov)讲述过了,但我还没有在公开场合听到你讲述过。那么你是怎么认识格雷厄姆·普拉特纳的?你是怎么找到他的?是什么过程让你找到了他?

Original English

Host: I want to go back to the the beginning of it. The story has been somewhat told by by Dan Morov but I haven't really heard you tell it in public. So how did you meet Graham Platner? How did you find him? What was the process that led you to him?

Morris Katz: 促成缅因州更广泛招募工作的最初因素是,人们对珍妮特·米尔斯成为推定提名人感到非常焦虑。你知道,她是全国最不受欢迎的州长之一,她将成为参议院历史上最年长的新任议员。嗯,而且她在缅因州工会、部落等关键组成部分中树敌众多。然后你知道,我们这个网络联系了不同的地方人士、劳工领袖、组织负责人,带着招募的愿景。

嗯,我认为这其中一个重要因素是,你知道,显然有很多关于这方面的批评,但许多人,我仍然相信这一点,许多最适合任职的人并不是那些会主动举手报名的人。因此,有很多讨论和思考集中在,你知道,能够赢得缅因州的候选人类型会是一位退伍军人,会是一个来自波特兰地区以外的人,你知道,一个特朗普赢过的社区的人,并且与在缅因州有特殊共鸣的行业有关。你知道,海滨行业是那里的一个主要因素,随之而来的是一个更广泛的过程和一系列会议,最终让人们找到了格雷厄姆。

Original English

Morris Katz: The initial kind of factor that led to the broader efforts of recruitment in Maine was uh a lot of angst around Janet Mills being the presumptive nominee. You know, this was someone who was polling as one of the least popular governors in the country, who would have been the oldest freshman member of the United States Senate in Senate history. Um, and who had made a lot of enemies out of key components of Maine labor unions. uh tribes and you know a network of us kind of connected with different local folks, labor leaders, organization leaders with a vision of recruitment.

Um and I think one of the important factors in that is you know there's been a lot of criticism obviously around it but many of the people and I still believe this who are best equipped to serve are not people who are going to raise their hand and sign up for it. And so there was a you know a lot of conversation thought around you know the kind of candidate who could win Maine would be a veteran would be someone from outside of the Portland area IDE you know a community in which Trump won and someone tied to an industry that has a specific resonance in Maine. You know the kind of waterfront industry was a leading factor there and that was then a a broader process and a series of meetings that led folks to Graham.

Host: 所以从某种意义上说,你是在寻找一个从事捕虾工作的人,一个经营牡蛎养殖场的人,一个渔夫,对吧?你几乎是在挑选一个候选人的角色。

Original English

Host: So you're you're looking in a way for someone in who's doing lobstering, who's an oyster farm, who's a fisherman, right? You're you're you're looking for you're almost casting a candidate.

Morris Katz: 我认为这是在倾听一个地区那种特殊性,以及该地区面临的问题的特殊性,看看谁是应该在华盛顿代表这些人的声音。谁应该在华盛顿为他们而战?谁最接地气?我认为在那一点上,我们遇到了一个问题,那就是有太多人的生活现实……

Original English

Morris Katz: I think it's listening to the kind of specificities of an area and the specificities specificities of the problems facing that area and seeing like who's the voice that should be representing these people in Washington. Who should be fighting for them in Washington? Who's most in touch? I think there we have a problem of like the lived realities of so many of the people

候选人脱节与提名特洛伊·杰克逊

Speaker A: 竞选公职的人与他们要代表的人民的现实生活如此脱节。这里面有一种无法调和的摩擦。那么,你如何克服这一点呢?你需要那些没有这种隔阂的人。所以,为什么不选择像特洛伊·杰克逊(Troy Jackson)这样的人呢,对吧?他现在看起来将成为提名人。我觉得这很有趣,因为如果你没记错的话,杰克逊是第五代伐木工。他的政治主张非常平民化,虽然没有那种光芒四射的个人魅力。我想可以公平地说,他做过州参议院议长,有一种合适的政治立场,但同时也是个局内人,一个在政界待了一段时间的人,这正是他没能成为让你们感到兴奋的人物的原因吗?

Original English

Speaker A: Who run for office are so disconnected from the lived realities of the people they're running to represent. There is a friction there that is impossible to reconcile. And so how do you overcome that? You need people who don't have that same gap. So why not somebody like Troy Jackson, right? Who's now going to be it looks to be the the nominee. And I I find this interesting because Jackson is somebody who, you know, I think fifth generation logger if I'm not wrong. Uh very very populist politics. Doesn't have platinum charisma. Just a like I think it is fair to say that has been a state senate president there has this kind of mix of like the right politics but also you know an insider a person who's been in politics for a while was that why he was not the sort of exciting figure for you guys?

Speaker B: 特洛伊当时真的致力于竞选州长。我认为如果特洛伊·杰克逊竞选参议员,就不会有后面那些招募过程了。

Original English

Speaker B: Troy was really committed to running for governor at the time I think if Troy Jackson was running for Senate there would not have been a process

接触格雷厄姆·普拉特纳

Speaker A: 当你第一次见到普拉特(Plat)时,你从他身上看到了什么?那次谈话是怎样的?

Original English

Speaker A: what did you see in plat when you first met him what was that conversation like

Speaker B: 我看到的是一个生活在他从小长大的同一条路上的人,他显然非常热爱缅因州。而且我认为他以一种强有力的方式表达了一个故事,这个故事既能捕捉到许多人对现状所感到的愤怒和焦虑,又对政府能做些什么有着积极的愿景。

Original English

Speaker B: I saw someone who lived on the same road he grew up on who clearly loved Maine a lot um and who I thought really articulated in a powerful way both a story that could capture the anger and angst um that so many people feel over the status quo but also had like an affirmative vision of what government could do about it.

Speaker A: 在最终选定普拉特纳(Platner)之前,你、Morph 和 Leanne 一共会见了多少人?

Original English

Speaker A: How many people did you and Morph and and Leanne collectively meet with before settling on Platner?

Speaker B: 有一些会议我并没有参加,但整个过程并没有限制。你知道,这是一个漫长的过程,最终落在了格雷厄姆(Graham)身上。

Original English

Speaker B: There were a number of meetings of which I was not a part of, but the kind of entire process was not limited. You know, it was an extended process that landed on Graham

Speaker A: 这也是一次努力去说服他的过程,对吧?我读到过,好像有三十多次试图去登门拜访他。

Original English

Speaker A: and it was a an effort to convince him, right? I I've read like there were like 30ome efforts to get off his lawn.

Speaker B: 是的。他在2020年就曾被州参议院试图招募过。我想这么多年来很多人都曾联系过他,说“你应该竞选公职,你应该竞选公职”,而他有一种……你知道的,他喜欢自己现有的生活,并且对是否有可能击败珍妮特·米尔斯(Janet Mills)表达了怀疑。所以,这是一个持续进行的过程。

Original English

Speaker B: Yes. Yeah. Um he he had been I think the state senate tried to recruit him in 2020. He had been I think a number of people had reached out over the years of you should run for office, you should run for office and he had a kind of you know he liked what his life was and articulated a skepticism of of uh it being possible to defeat Janet Mills and um so it was a running process.

背景审查与早期发现

Speaker A: 我知道当你们最终敲定他时,曾制作过一份背景审查文件。那份文件发现了什么?

Original English

Speaker A: So I know when you did settle on him there was a vetting document created. What did that document find?

Speaker B: 那份文件发现了一个 Reddit 账号。基本上,报告倾向于认为他在 Reddit 上有一些有问题的帖子,虽然没有完全达到后来曝光的严重程度,但那份文件能查到的就这么多。而且我认为,如果审查过程更加严格,可能会发现更多具体的 Reddit 评论,甚至可能会发现那个纹身。不过话说回来,标准的背景审查过程可能也查不出后来发生的那些事情。

Original English

Speaker B: The document found a a Reddit account. Essentially, there was uh the inclination that there were problematic posts on Reddit, not the full degree of what later came out, but that was the extent of what that document found. And I think like an even more robust process would have found more of the specific Reddit comments and potentially the tattoo. Um, but again, like a standard vetting process probably doesn't uncover most of the things that came after.

Speaker A: 其中普拉特纳(Platiner)以前在 Reddit 上关于性侵受害者的一篇帖子是这样说的:“天哪,这些人怎么不为自己负点责任,不要把自己搞得这么狼狈,以至于发生了他们本来无意的性行为?” 这是在2013年发的。你现在听到这些有什么想法?

Original English

Speaker A: So, one of Platiner's old Reddit posts regarding victims of sexual assault stated, "Holy [ __ ] how about people just take some responsibility for themselves and not get so [ __ ] up they wind up having sex they don't mean to?" So, that's from 2013. What do you think when you hear it now?

Speaker B: 我觉得这本应是一条不可逾越的红线。你知道,他谈到这是他最后悔说过的话之一,这反映了芬恩(Finn)生命中一段迷茫和愤怒的时期。这绝不能反映他的真实为人。当谈到公职人员需要一种不同的标准时,我认为我们可以接受这样一种标准:一个普通人如果在网上说了一些深深伤害和有害的话,如果他们已经改变了,如果他们正在努力改变,那么在日常生活中就不应该被社会所排斥。但这并不意味着他们就有资格担任民选职位。我是政治中宽容的坚定信徒,我认为我们需要为从政治家到选民的每个人创造足够的空间去改变。

Original English

Speaker B: I think it should have been a red line. I think, you know, we he talked about it being like one of the things he regretted saying the most that it was indicative of a time of Finn's life when he was lost, when he was angry. um and that it was in no way reflective of who he was. And I think when I, you know, when I talk about the need for a different kind of standard for public office, I think we can both have a standard of which a normal person can say something deeply hurtful and harmful online and not be exiled from society in day-to-day life if they're if they've changed, if they're putting the work to change. But also, that doesn't mean that they're entitled to a role in elected office. So I'm a big believer in grace in politics and I think that we need to create a lot of space for people to change everybody from politicians to to voters.

性丑闻与竞选团队的反应

Speaker A: 真正改变我对普拉特(plat)看法的,是一件你很早就知道的事情,那就是在他婚姻的早期,他曾与多达十二名女性发过色情短信。所以有一种说法,至少我对此非常开放:这是一个有着黑暗过去、艰难过去的人,他付出了很多努力并且已经改变了,他希望人们根据他的现在来评判他。但当这件事曝光时,它让我对他的现在产生了怀疑。具体来说,它从根本上让我怀疑他的诚实。但你知道,我们在公众层面有很长一段时间并不知道这件事。它是很早就通过他的妻子艾米(Amy)告知竞选团队的。当你得知这件事时,你是怎么想的?为什么结合其他的那些事情,比如骷髅头(Toten Coff)纹身和 Reddit 帖子,你没有开始更担心他所说的话是否真的值得信任呢?

Original English

Speaker A: One of the things that really shifted my thinking on plat though was something that that you did know early on which is about him sexing as many as a dozen women in the early days of his marriage. So there was this narrative that I found, you know, at least I was very open to it, which is this is a guy with a dark past, with a tough past who'd put in a lot of work and and changed and he asked to be judged on his present. So when that came out, it made me wonder about his present. And particularly what it made me wonder about fundamentally was his honesty. But you know, we sort of publicly didn't know that for quite some time. it was brought to the campaign early on through his wife Amy. What did you think when you learned about that and and why sort of combined with some of these other things, the Toten Coff, the Reddit posts, why did that not begin to worry you more about whether or not he could actually be trusted in what he was saying?

Speaker B: 我觉得这两件事确实让我更加担心,当时的一些担忧被艾米本人和格雷厄姆的沟通所缓解,他们说这是他们在婚姻中广泛解决过的问题,看起来像是一对已婚夫妇在真诚地共同解决一个难题,并且用大家在遇到这种事情时都会采用的方式去处理。我想,我希望尊重他们婚姻的隐私,而且我认为双方同意的色情短信与最终导致竞选终结的那些指控之间是有区别的。我当时试图同时容纳所有这些不同的事情。我认为这一切的挑战在于,作为一个深信宽容和细微差别的人,生活是复杂的,人也是复杂的,也许政治应该更多地反映这一点。这里有一种持续的权衡,即“多少才算过界”,你知道红线到底在哪里,而显然,我发现得不够早。

Original English

Speaker B: I I think it both did worry me more and some of those concerns at the time were eased by the communication from Amy herself and from Graham of that this was something that they worked through extensively in their marriage that seemed like a kind of good faith engagement of two married people working through a difficult thing and working through it together and handling it in all the ways that you know that one would handle something like that once it came up. Um, and I wanted to, I think, respect both the privacy of their marriage and that and also even like I think there's, you know, there's a difference between consensual sexing, uh, and the allegations that ended the campaign. And I think that there was I was trying to kind of hold room for all of those different things at once. And I think it does kind of I think the challenge of all of this was like as someone who does deeply believe in in grace and in nuance and the fact that people are complicated and life is complicated and maybe politics should reflect a little bit more of that. There was a constant weighing of like how much is too much and you know what's what is the red line and I think obviously I did not see it soon enough.

团队内部冲突与对公众的责任

Speaker A: 其他参与其中的人确实更早地看到了红线。珍妮·V·麦克唐纳(Jenny V. McDonald)曾是竞选团队的政治总监。她在2025年10月辞职了,当时她知道关于色情短信的事。她也知道那些 Reddit 帖子和骷髅头纹身。据报道,当你听说她向《华尔街日报》谈论普拉特纳的出轨行为时,你要求她收回她的话,让她发给你一段她向记者收回评论的录音,否则你就会指责她破坏竞选。你欠她一个道歉吗?你向她道歉过吗?

Original English

Speaker A: Other people who were involved did see a red line sooner. So Jenny V. McDonald was campaign's political director. She resigned back in October 2025 around a lot of she she knew about the sexing. She knew about the Red Posts, the toten cop tattoo. And so it's been reported that when you heard she was speaking to the Wall Street Journal about Platner's cheating, you demanded you retract her comments that she send you a recording of her talking to the reporters retracting her comments and if not sort of you would uh like attack her for sabotaging the campaign. Do you owe her an apology? Have you apologized to her?

Speaker B: 对那个描述的某些部分,我不太同意。在那个具体问题上,我所表达的是,我认为这是对艾米隐私的侵犯。你也知道,关于审查的所有讨论中,审查过程所要求的一部分就是候选人要有极大的诚实和透明度。当你作为一个团队去找他们,说“嘿,我们需要你告诉我们一切”时,在这次事件中没有奏效的地方就是缺乏完全的透明。而在那个具体事件中,艾米找到了她并且完全坦诚。但是看到艾米的信任被那样侵犯……看到让竞选活动得以运作并让我们达到诚实境地的那种准则被那样破坏,我认为这很令人沮丧。

Original English

Speaker B: So there are parts of that description that I would uh take some issue with. I think the thing on that specific issue that I was articulating was I believe that it was a violation of Amy's privacy and of you know part of the for all the conversation about vetting part of what the vetting process requires is a lot of honesty and transparency from candidates and when as a team you go to them and say hey we need you to tell us everything part of what didn't work in this instance is when there was not full transparency and in that specific instance you Amy came to her and was fully honest. And to see Amy's trust violated like that. Um, and to see that kind of practice that allows campaigns to operate and us to get to a place of honesty violated like that was I think frustrating.

Speaker A: 我想我能理解。但另一方面,我认为其中一个问题是,竞选团队对公众的责任是什么,对吧?候选人身边的人可能比公众了解得更多,坦率地说,这也是对党派或对更大的政治事业的责任。我的意思是,在我看来发生的事情是,随着时间的推移,有许多人从竞选团队中辞职了。作为局外人,我大概有这种印象。没有任何一件事对我来说足以取消普拉特纳的资格,直到最后的重磅爆料。但是,你知道,我不久前在一个播客里说过。这看起来有很多疑点,很多决定看起来都不对劲。你就会想,到底还有什么是你不知道的?而且,这个人究竟该不该在——

Original English

Speaker A: I think I can understand that. And on the other hand, I think one of the questions is what is the responsibility of a campaign to the public, right? the people around a candidate who maybe know more than the public knows or frankly to the party or to the larger project of the politics. I mean what seems to me to have happened I mean there are a number of people who resigned from the campaign over time. I sort of had this impression on the outside. No one thing until the final revelation was to me disqualifying for platiner. But, you know, I said this on a podcast a bit ago. It seemed like a lot of smoke, like a lot of decisions that didn't look right. And you just wondered like what is there that you don't know? And also, is this a person who should be in the

关于竞选内部审查与公众知情权的讨论

Interviewer: 揭露了在竞选中发生的事情,或者证实了那些通过内部审查不断浮出水面的事情。而另一方面,这就引出了一个复杂的问题:当竞选顾问掌握了那些也许公众应该知道的信息时,到底该怎么办?

Original English

Interviewer: revealing things that were in the campaign or confirming things and have been coming out in internal vetting. And on the other hand, there is this complicated question of what happens when the campaign consultants know things that maybe the public should know.

Interviewee: 我想就其中一点澄清一下,你知道,对于我们当时了解多少,外界一直有猜测。(Interviewer: 嗯。)关于后来那些更严重的指控,以及具体发生的时间,我们在那篇报道发表前一两天才知道,确实存在可信且严重的强奸指控。所以,我们当时掌握的仅仅是关于发色情短信、Reddit论坛和Tattoo Land纹身的事。而且我觉得正如你所说,如果孤立地看这些事情,它们中没有任何一件必然会让他失去竞选资格。此外,缅因州的选民当时有着极大的势头和热情,你知道,格雷厄姆(Graham)当时正在全州巡回竞选。竞选团队正在发起一场有成千上万志愿者参与的运动,把人们从旁观者变成参与者。我认为那种拉扯感——那种真的想要去相信的感觉,我经常对我的候选人说,我觉得很多候选人最大的优势往往也是他们最大的劣势。比如,你是个局外人,但你缺乏经验;或者你经验丰富,但你又是建制派的一部分;你知道,你可能是个政策专家,但又太容易陷入繁文缛节。我认为我个人的一个问题——我觉得这对普通人来说也是如此——就是我把我的工作看得很私人化,有时候可能有些天真,想要相信一种不同的政治是可能的。感受到那种拉扯:一方面意识到“是的,这里有很多疑点(lots of smoke)”,甚至有点被此弄得晕头转向;但另一方面,又看到政治可能性带来的狂喜——在特朗普赢下的地区,成百上千的人参加市政厅会议,讨论罗斯福新政和一种不同的民粹主义政治,对抗腐败。共和党人说他们受够了,独立选民说他们已经好几个选举周期没投票了,但这场竞选把他们吸引了出来。所有这些事情带来的拉扯感,我认为是非常强烈的。如果让我重新来过,我会采用很不一样的做法。但当时发生的情况差不多就是这样。

Original English

Interviewee: >> I think and just to like be clear on one of the points, you know, we did not know there there was there's been like speculation of what we knew. Mhm. >> around some of the more serious later allegations and when and we did not know until the day or two prior to that story coming out that there was a credible and serious allegation of rape. And so the kind of area we were in of the things we knew were sexing, Reddit, Tattoo Land. And I think to your point, none of those things alone in a vacuum was necessarily disqualifying. And also there was so much momentum and energy from the voters in Maine who you know Graham was traveling across the state. The campaign was building a movement of thousands and thousands of volunteers bringing people off the sidelines. And I think that friction of like of really wanting to believe and I say to my candidates a lot like I think a lot of candidates greatest strengths are their greatest weaknesses. um you know, you're an outsider but you're inexperienced or you're experienced but you're part of the establishment. Um you know, you're a policy wonk but then you're overly in the weeds or and I think one of my I think it's true for people in general. I think one of it is like I take the work that I do I think very personally and am maybe naive at times in the sense of wanting a different kind of politics to be possible and feeling that friction of sensing yes this is a lot of smoke and kind of being almost disoriented by that but then also the euphoria of seeing a politics of what could be possible of town halls of hundreds and hundreds of people in areas Trump won talking about the New Deal and a different kind of populist politics and taking on corruption and Republicans saying that they'd have enough and independents saying they hadn't voted for cycles but this campaign was bringing them up and the friction of all of those things um I think was was a lot and if I was doing it over again I would do a lot of it differently. Um but that was kind of what was happening.

Interviewer: 麦克唐纳(McDonald)说过的一件事是,她确实找过你,并且她开始尝试自己对普拉特纳(Platner)进行更多的背景审查。我们联系过她,但没能和她谈上,但 Fight 咨询公司,也就是你们,并没有兴趣在审查的道路上走得更远。她对此表达了极大的愤怒,我的意思是,财务总监辞职了,好像有很多人感觉到事情不对劲。我很好奇,从你们试图从中吸取教训的角度来看,当你回顾那些对话,回顾当时人们感觉到事情不对劲时,竞选团队的其他成员开始察觉到了什么,这些察觉最终被证明是真实的(即使他们不知道最终证明是真实的具体内容),而你和 Fight 公司却没察觉到?

Original English

Interviewer: One of the things that McDonald has said is that she did come to you and she started trying to vet platinum more herself. um we we reached out to her we weren't able to talk to her but that fight consultancy you all were not interested in going further down the vetting pathway and she's expressed a lot of anger about that and I mean the finance director resigned like there were people who felt something was going wrong and I wonder just in the sense of what you are trying to learn from this if you look back on those conversations if you look back on people sensing that something was up here what were these other members of the campaign beginning to that eventually proved out true even if they didn't know exactly what would prove out true eventually that sort of you and Fight didn't.

Interviewee: 好吧,我是这么看的,你知道,Fight 不是一家背景审查机构,这不是我们提供的服务。我们和竞选团队合作,而竞选团队和审查专业人士合作。我认为有一种合理的批评是,你知道,Fight 应该施加更多压力——我也应该对相关人员施加更多压力,以确保他们正在进行的审查过程是负责任且稳健的。我不记得吉纳维芙(Genevieve)所描述的那次对话了。我觉得在其中的一些决定中,混合了各种不同的人际关系动态,但我也认为,你知道,他们更早地感觉到有问题是对的。

Original English

Interviewee: >> Well, so I think like you know Fight's not a vetting agency like that's not a service we offer. Um we work with campaigns and campaigns work with vetting professionals. I think there's a fair critique of you know fight putting more pressure me putting more pressure on people to ensure that their vetting process taking place is responsible and robust and I don't recall that conversation that Genevieve is outlining. I think I think there was a mix of different kind of personal dynamics in some of those decisions but I also think you know they were they were right to feel that something was a miss earlier.

Interviewer: 普拉特纳的指控者之一是林赛·菲菲尔德(Lindseay Fifield),她曾是他的合伙人,《纽约时报》的报道中提到,她指控他在他们在一起时有身体暴力行为。她曾在保守派政治圈工作过。所以当时大家急于说这只是出于政治动机,说她只是一个试图毁掉他竞选的共和党人。[叹气] 她的故事真正让我感到不安的原因有两个:一个显然是暴力行为,但另一个是她同时期告诉别人的话,她说:“听着,这家伙告诉我他的纹身是一个骷髅头(totenkopf)。”我一直对纹身的说法相当怀疑。我不认为普拉特纳在任何方面是个反犹太主义者或纳粹分子,但我不太确定他是否真的不知道自己的纹身是什么。你现在对她的故事有不同的看法吗?你是否希望当初对那个故事做出不同的反应?

Original English

Interviewer: One of Platner's accusers was Lindseay Fifield who had been in partnership with him and accused him, it came out in the Times story, of being physically abusive when they were together. She's worked in conservative politics. And so there was a a real rush to say that this was just politically motivated. She was just a Republican trying to destroy his campaign. [gasps] Her story really bothered me for for two reasons. one obviously the the abuse, but the other was a contemporaneous um her telling other people like, "Look, this guy told me his tattoo was a toteen cop." I had always been pretty skeptical of the tattoo story. I didn't think Platinum was in any way an anti-semite or a Nazi, but I wasn't really sure he didn't know what his tattoo was. Do you see her story differently now and wish you' reacted to that story differently?

Interviewee: 是的,我认为,以我们现在所知道的情况来看,当那个故事刚浮出水面时,我们当时应该立刻给予它更多可信度。

Original English

Interviewee: Yes, I think uh knowing what we know now, there should have been more credibility given immediately to that story when it came forward.

反思“局外人”候选人策略

Interviewer: 所以,我认为这开始触及更广泛的话题,因为这里出了很多问题。同时,也有一些事情做得非常成功。我的意思是,直到最后一刻,普拉特纳在初选中,你知道,彻底击败了缅因州的现任州长。你知道,在整个竞选过程中,你和你的许多盟友都在争论,民主党似乎只想让——用你的话说是“失败者”——那些从五年级起就想当总统的人来竞选,而这个党需要的是那种正常的“真实的人”,而真实的人都有着不光彩的过去(checkered pasts),为了拥有更真实的政治,这一点必须被接受。普拉特纳是一个非常不寻常的案例,因为这个策略同时既成功了又失败了。那么你现在如何看待同样的理论呢?

Original English

Interviewer: So, this I think begins to get to the broader topic because a lot went wrong here. Also, some things went really right. I mean, until the last moment, Platner was had, you know, wrecked the sitting governor of Maine in the primary. You know, throughout the campaign, you and many of your allies were arguing the Democratic Party sort of only wants to run uh your word was losers. Um who have wanted to be president since they were in fifth grade and that what the party needs is like normal real people and real people have checkered pasts and that that just needs to be accepted to have a more authentic politics. Platinum is such an unusual case because the strategy both worked and failed at the same time. So how now do you see that same theory?

Interviewee: 我认为真实的人确实会有不光彩的过去,但同时,也有很多很多真实的人并没有那种不光彩的过去。

Original English

Interviewee: I think real people have checkered past and also there are many many many real people who do not have that kind of checkered past.

Interviewer: 这似乎经常对那些被称为“真实的人”有点侮辱意味。

Original English

Interviewer: >> It often seem [clears throat] to be a little insulting to like what gets called real people.

Interviewee: 完全同意。我觉得,是的,像是……而且我认为在网上发帖的事是很普遍的,很多人都在网上发过帖,但我认为这些内容的尺度可能超出了大多数人的言论。我觉得我们可以在一定程度上进行细致入微的对话,探讨那些过着非为政治量身定制的生活的人,同时也可以对此设定更严格的标准。但是,甚至在《Politico》那篇报道发表两天后,也就是他宣布暂停竞选的那天,有一项民意调查显示,格雷厄姆(Graham)的支持率落后于苏珊·柯林斯(Susan Collins),但珍妮特·米尔斯(Janet Mills)的支持率依然落后格雷厄姆·普拉特纳五个百分点。我们在众议院要面对共和党的多数席位,在参议院也是共和党多数,白宫里还有一位共和党总统。我们没有一条可行的道路去获得一个明确执政的民主党多数。所以我觉得,如果在这里犯了错误,我们需要确保不再重蹈覆辙;但如果完全走向另一个极端,决定说,好吧,我们彻底放弃尝试不同的路径,我们彻底放弃在这个党内建制派、任何建制派和权力机构都极不受欢迎的时刻,引入局外人来竞选公职,这对我来说不像是为了达到我们需要的目标而做出的真诚努力。如果我们大家都认真想要获得一个强大的执政多数,那将需要一种不同的方法。这必须要触及人们感受到的那种愤怒和焦虑的程度,并且还要顺应人们对希望的深深渴望,我认为这场竞选正是激发了这些情感。

Original English

Interviewee: >> Exactly. I think it's a it's a Yes. like and I think the online stuff is fair of like a lot of people have posted online so I think the content of those goes probably a step beyond what most people have said um and I think there can there can both be room for some level of nuanced conversations about people who live lives not tailor made for politics and also more strict standards on it but like like even after the two days after the political story came out um there was a poll that had Graham down to Susan Collins, but had Janet Mills running five points behind Graham Platner even after the story, the day he suspended his campaign. We have a Republican majority in the House. We have a Republican majority in the Senate. We have a Republican in the White House. And we have no functional path to a clear governing Democratic majority. And I think if there were mistakes made here and they need to not be made again, but to go entirely in the other direction and decide, okay, well, we're not going to we're going to totally write off trying a different approach. We're going to totally write off bringing outsiders in to run for office at a moment in which the party establishment, any kind of establishment, institutions of power deeply unpopular. Does not feel like a good faith effort to me to get to the place we need to get to. And if we're all serious about [snorts] a powerful governing majority, then that is going to require a different approach. It's going to have to tap into the level of anger and angst that people are feeling and also this deep deep desire for hope that I think this campaign tapped into.

Interviewer: 对你来说,什么是“局外人”?我的理解是,你过去几年核心参与的一系列竞选名单包括约翰·费特曼(John Fetterman),你在他的竞选中我想主要负责了广告策略,而在他中风后,他非常依赖那个策略。还有丹·奥斯本(Dan Osborne),那位独立候选人,他之前竞选过,现在又在内布拉斯加州再次竞选,并且在该州的表现大幅超过了民主党人。算是个工会出身的人。当然还有大家现在都听说过的佐兰·姆达尼(Zohran Mamdani),他不需要过多介绍了。还有格兰特·普拉特纳(Grant Platner),还有在爱荷华州竞选参议员的内森·塞奇(Nathan Sage)。这些候选人中,有一些就是你可能称之为局外人的人,对吧?普拉特纳没有政治经验。我觉得,内森·塞奇也没有太多政治经验。费特曼曾是他所在州的副州长。你知道,奥斯本则稍微有些……

Original English

Interviewer: What is an outsider to you? My understanding of this sort of list of campaigns you've been centrally involved in in the past couple years is John Federman um where you were uh I think pretty centrally responsible for the ad strategy and after his stroke he was really reliant on that strategy. Is Dan Osborne the independent who um ran before and is running again in Nebraska and wildly overperformed Democrats in that state. Sort of a union guy. Um is of course Zoran Mdani who people have now heard of and needs no introduction. is Grant Platner is Nathan Sage who was running in Iowa uh for Senate. Some of these candidates are what you might call an outsider, right? Platner did not have political experience. Nathan Sage, I think, you know, did not have a lot of political experience. Federman was a lieutenant governor of his state. You know, Osborne was a little bit

政治“局外人”与权力核心的界定

Consultant: ……更广为人知的身份是某种主要的工会领袖。当你谈论这种策略时,对吧,什么是“局外人”?我认为问题的一部分内在原因在于,目前掌权并身处局内的人,其定义窄得令人难以置信。你要知道,现在我们国家的政治中,掌握权力、影响力和资源的只是一小撮极其有限的人,而我认为,任何身处于这个轨道之外的人都是局外人。而且我觉得这和当下关于阶级的讨论很相似。现在的情况就像是,绝大多数人都在工作,却不觉得他们拥有的足以过上他们本应能过上的生活。美国民众被深深地排除在外,无法获得资源,无法接触权力,也无法过上他们想要的生活。而那些处于这种处境的人,我认为应该去竞选公职。在很多地方,这应该呈现出不同的面貌。它包含了许多不同的面孔,许多不同的背景。但我认为,这就是我们应该努力实现的目标。

Original English

Consultant: better known as a sort of major union leader. When you talk about this strategy, right, what is an outsider? I think inherent in part of the problem is that the people who are insiders right now in positions of power are incredibly narrow definition. You know, it's an incredibly small group of people who have power and influence and resources in our politics in our country right now and anyone who's outside of that orbit I think is an outsider. And I think it's similar to like you get you know the discourse around class right now. It's like majority of people are working and do not feel like they have enough to live the lives that they should be able to. And there is such a profound exclusion of the American people from access to resources, from access to power, from access to the lives they want to be able to live. And the people who are in that category, I think need to be running for office. And that should look different in a lot of places. That has a lot of different faces, a lot of different backgrounds. But that I think is the is the goal that we should be coming to.

打破僵局:如何发掘具有突破潜力的候选人

Interviewer: 关于那份候选人名单,我真正注意到的一点是,它与那些在各自选举周期中获得最多关注的候选人名单相差无几。甚至连我交谈过的那些对你持批评态度的人也会这么评价你:作为一名广告制作人,作为一名讲故事的人,作为一个在一定程度上既帮助招募候选人又挑选候选人进行合作的人,你已经找到了一种方法,在这样一个极度、极度困难的时期,有意地打破僵局并脱颖而出。所以,有很多人都是局外人,但并不是每个局外人都会成为一个好候选人。嗯,不是每个局外人都会在社交媒体或算法推荐媒体上走红。当我在询问你是在哪里发现 Platiner 的时候,根据我所了解的故事,我感觉你有点轻描淡写的一件事,就是对他“选角”的考量,就像是在切实地寻找一位具有某种履历背景、充满魅力的候选人。当然,根据履历来寻觅人才并不是你的发明。华盛顿特区一直都在这么做。共和党人也一直都在这么做。但我确实觉得,你在寻找那些让人感觉与其履历高度契合的人,这有一点不同。我看过很多退伍军人参与政治竞选,他们给人的感觉就像是普通的候选人。而 John Fetterman,你知道,我得说他算是个局内人,一位副州长,像是一个为人熟知的政治人物,但在那次竞选中,你知道,凭借他的短裤和纹身,他身上有一种与众不同的美学气质,让人感觉他区别于其他候选人。那么,当你发现这些人、寻找他们,并与他们一起塑造属于他们的故事时,除了那种简单的“局外人与局内人”的区别之外,你还在寻找什么?你觉得什么东西能够突破重围,而什么又不能?

Original English

Interviewer: The thing that I really notice about that list of candidates is that's not far from a list of candidates who have gotten the most attention in their cycles. The thing that even your critics who I talk to say about you is that you as an admaker, as a storyteller, as somebody sort of both helping to recruit candidates or choosing candidates to work with have figured out a way to break through intentionally at a time when it's very very very hard to do so. So there are a lot of people who are outsiders, but not everybody who is an outsider is going to be a good candidate. Um, not everybody who is an outsider is going to be somebody who goes viral on social or algorithmic media. One of the things when I was asking about where you found Platiner that I I feel from the stories I know that you sort of underplayed is the casting dimension of him, like actually looking for a charismatic candidate with a kind of bio. Now, like you didn't invent looking for bios. Um, the DC has been doing that forever. The Republicans have been doing that forever. It does feel to me you look for people who feel like their bios, which is a little bit different. Um, I've watched a lot of veterans run in politics and they just feel like normal candidates. John Fetterman, you know, sort of an insider, I would say, a lieutenant governor, like a known political quantity, but certainly in that campaign, you know, with his, you know, shorts and his tattoos, like there was a a an aesthetic to him that felt different from other candidates. So, when you're finding these people, when you're looking for them, when you're framing their stories with them, what is it beyond that sort of simple outsider insider thing are you looking for? What do you feel like breaks through and what doesn't?

Consultant: 你知道,有时候在政治领域存在一种误解,认为要赢得一场选举,你就得像坐下来参加一场求职面试一样。但我认为,从选民目前的态度来看,他们觉得你在求职面试里说的每一句话都是谎言。他们就是不会相信。他们会觉得,哦,就因为你在州立法机构通过了某项法案,好吧,但在华盛顿你永远也办不成这事。哦,你说你要降低处方药的价格,那怎么什么动静都没有呢?你知道,也许你得花上 15 年才能搞定。所以实际上我们并不是在参与求职面试。我们正在参与的更像是一个相亲的过程,面对的是那些,你知道的,已经连续经历了一百次糟糕约会的人,他们只保留了极少的一点希望,觉得也许今晚会有所不同。那么,你要如何让那些已经有充分理由放弃爱情的人再次坠入爱河呢?我认为这非常、非常像爱情。这不是随机的,但它具有某种磁性。为了激发这种感觉,我认为你需要一位候选人和一场竞选活动,去讲述一个能够把那些完全有理由置身事外的人重新拉回来的故事。嗯,John Fetterman 的例子,这既是一个关于 Bradock(布拉多克,宾夕法尼亚州的一个自治市)的故事,也是一个关于他本人的故事。一个被遗忘的钢铁小镇,认为自己最辉煌的岁月早已在几代人之前逝去,但它依然值得人们为之奋斗,它不应该被抛在脑后。一份履历不仅仅是几个要点,更是一个要讲述的故事。而且我觉得,人们往往把“希望”谈论成某种政治工具或者一种抽象的概念,而不是它本身那种切实可感的东西。但我相信,“希望”中蕴藏着一种力量,哪怕仅仅作为一种人们能感受到的东西,毕竟现在每个人都过得如此艰难。我还认为,在我们的政治中确实存在一种 X 因素,对吧?就像你知道的,你可以让一个人去竞选,即使某个竞选总统的人和巴拉克·奥巴马(Barack Obama)拥有完全相同的政策立场,但巴拉克·奥巴马有一种让他独一无二的 X 因素。比尔·克林顿(Bill Clinton)也是如此,唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)也是,乔治·布什(George Bush)也是。在这个国家中,那些能够攀升至政治权力最高层的人确实拥有某种 X 因素,我们不能忽视这一点。而且我认为,在现代媒体环境中,你尤其不能忽视这一点,因为你已经无法仅仅依靠 30 秒的电视广告来运作一场竞选活动了。

Original English

Consultant: You know, there's a misconception sometimes in politics that to win an election, you're sitting down in a job interview. And I think right now where voters are, they believe that every single thing you're saying at a job interview is a lie. Like they're just not going to believe it. They be, oh, because you got some bill through the state legislator. Well, you're never going to get it done in Washington. Oh, you say you're gonna lower prescription drug costs. How come nothing's happened? you know, maybe you'll get it done in 15 years. And we're actually not engaging the job interview. We're engaging in something of a dating process with people who've been on, you know, a hundred bad dates in a row and are holding out a little bit of hope that maybe tonight's going to be different. And how can you make people who've been given every reason to give up on love fall in love again? And I think that that's much much like love. There's something not random, but there's something magnetic to it. And to shake that loose, I think you need a candidate and a campaign that is telling a story that can bring people who have every reason to be out back in. Um, John Federman was it was a story about Bradock as much as it was a story about him. A forgotten steel town that believed its best days were generations ago that still deserves to be fought for that doesn't deserve to be left behind. A bio isn't just bullet points but a story to tell. And I think people talk about hope as kind of a political tool or like an abstract thing, not a tangible thing in of itself. And I believe that there's a power in hope even just as a thing that people are feeling like everyone's having such a hard time. I also think there's there is an X factor in our politics, right? Like you know, you could run someone could run for president any if have the exact same policy positions as Barack Obama, but Barack Obama had an X factor that made him unique. So did Bill Clinton, so does Donald Trump, so did George Bush. The people who kind of rise to the highest ranks of political power in this country do have an X factor and we can't ignore that. And I think you uniquely can't ignore that in the modern media environment where you can't just run a campaign on 30 secondond television ads.

筹款能力 vs. X因素:民主党策略的反思

Interviewer: 这正是我想要重点探讨的地方,因为我认为,作为一家咨询机构,作为一个顾问,你很擅长发现人们身上的那种 X 因素。而我认为,民主党这个广泛联盟的策略崩溃的一个原因在于,他们看重的是筹款能力,而不是 X 因素。

Original English

Interviewer: So this is what I I want to zone in on because I think fight as a consultancy, you as a consultant are good at finding people the X factor. And one place where I think Democrats have the strategy of the broad coalition of the Democratic party has fallen apart is I think they were looking for the ability to raise money not the X factor.

Consultant: 我的意思是,我认为这种策略极其缺乏与时俱进,对吧?就像传统的,来拆解一下传统上的运作方式:假设有一个选区或一个州,那里有一场竞争激烈的选举,而该机构招募候选人的常规标准是,谁能在前 48 小时内筹集到最多的资金,这实际上就成了决定民主党建制派想要招募谁的决定性驱动因素。其内在的问题在于,当你问“谁认识最多的富人”时,那个人可能恰恰不具备以一个局外人的身份、令人信服地去对抗被操纵的经济体系的能力。而且我认为,咨询阶层的工作,也就是我现在之所以做我所做的事情的原因之一——我最早的一份工作是在北卡罗来纳州,嗯,为那里的一位名叫 Erica Smith 的候选人工作。她有一个令人难以置信的故事可以讲述。她也有一些属于她自己的问题,但非常具有感染力,你知道,她是一位牧师,来自该州的一个迅速衰落、几乎被政治建制派抛弃的农村地区,在那边民主党的势力正在崩溃。即使作为一名州参议员,她的选举记录也相当不错。她从小在同一个家庭农场长大,而她的家族曾在那片农场上被奴役过。这真的是一个关于北卡罗来纳州、关于克服艰难困苦的深刻故事,同时也充满愿景。我们在 100 天内横跨整个北卡罗来纳州,进行了覆盖 100 个县的巡回宣传。在那场竞选活动中,在那次巡回中,我看到了两件事。第一件事是,政治建制派并没有一种机制去发现:“这里有一位有着极具说服力的故事和极高天赋的候选人。我们该如何去建设,如何去全方位地保护她、支持她、提拔她,填补她的盲点并给予支持?”他们的反应仅仅是:“她筹不到钱,这不靠谱”,或者“从那个地方出来的人永远不可能进入政治权力核心。”

Original English

Consultant: I mean I think there's a deep lack of updating in the strategy, right? Like the traditional to kind of break down the way that this traditionally works is there's a district or a state where there's a competitive election and the institutional approach to recruitment there is who can raise the most money in the first 48 hours and that is literally the driving determining factor in who the Democratic establishment wants to recruit. inherent in that when when you're the question you're asking is who knows the most wealthy people that is probably someone illquipped to make a credible case as an outsider running against a rigged economy and I think it's the job of the consulting class one of the reasons I do what I do now one of my first jobs was in North Carolina um working for a candidate there Erica Smith who had an incredible story to tell you she she also had some like issues of her own but had a really power, you know, a pastor was from a rural part of the state that was rapidly falling behind and had been kind of left behind by the political establishment where Democrats were collapsing. She had a decent electoral record even as a state senator. She grew up on the same family farm that her family was enslaved on. Like a really profound story about North Carolina and overcoming hardship and a vision. And we did a 100 county tour in 100 days across all of North Carolina. In that campaign, in that tour, I saw kind of two things. One was the political establishment did not exist in a way to see there's a candidate here with a really compelling story and some really good talent. How do we build how do we wrap around her and protect her and lift her up and fill in the blind spots here and support it? It was she can't raise the money. It's unserious or someone from there can never rise into political power.

Interviewer: 问题的关键是不是在于过去的方式与现在不同了?我的意思是,我一直以来的理解是,金钱曾经能够买到两样东西。金钱可以买到一定程度的关注度,比如通过购买邮寄广告,购买电视广告时段等等。金钱还可以买到一定程度的组织动员能力,你知道,比如花钱买庭院指示牌,派人去实地拉票。而如今这两种东西,在某种程度上变得更难用钱买到了。人们不再像过去那样观看电视广告了。而且(获取关注)也没有变得更容易或更直接。比如,如果你有热情,如果你是一个有吸引力的人,你的视频可能会突然走红,然后你们地区那些刷 TikTok 的人就会看到你,所以这种筹款模式,实际上是为过去某个时期还讲得通的情况优化的,而现在情况已经不同了?又或者,这仅仅是因为现在获取资金的方式变了,但金钱依然像过去一样重要,

Original English

Interviewer: Is the issue that it did work differently before? I mean, I always understand money as having been able to buy two things. Money could buy a certain amount of attention by buying mailers, by buying TV spots, that kind of thing. And money could buy a certain amount of organizing by, you know, paying for yard signs, by sending out people into the field. And that both of those things have gotten in a way harder to buy. People don't watch TV spots anymore in the same way they used to. um any easier or more straightforward to earn. Like if you have enthusiasm, if you're somebody compelling, all of a sudden your videos can go viral and people scrolling through TikTok in your area will see you that that that it actually was optimized for something that made sense at one time and that now that's no longer true or or is it just that you just get the money a different way? The money still matters just as much,

社交媒体时代的政治与透明度

Speaker B: ……但你获取它的方式不同。

Original English but you get it differently.

Speaker B: 我认为金钱依然极其重要,而且你获取它的方式也不同。但我确实认为,最主要的一点是你现在不能再躲在30秒的广告背后了。你知道,你不能只打一场基于付费媒体的选战。人们一直期望你进行沟通。而且我认为,在社交媒体时代,人们对透明度的标准已经提高了。就像我们现在对名人的事情了如指掌。勒布朗·詹姆斯(LeBron James)必须与公众互动的方式的标准,与迈克尔·乔丹(Michael Jordan)必须与公众互动的标准有着根本的不同。比如,如果勒布朗·詹姆斯每天都在赌场待到凌晨5点,关于他我们就会讲述一个截然不同的故事。而且我认为,政治中也有类似的情况,一切都在显微镜下。你随时随地都在被记录。你不能戴上一个30秒的假面具,并指望这就足够了。你需要竞选活动的每一个部分协同运作,去讲述一个无法人为虚构的完整故事,而且你无法掩饰候选人缺乏才干的事实。你知道,我认为候选人超常表现的最有说服力的指标依然是候选人的素质。我们可以进行所有这些不同的辩论,但我认为这依然是基本的事实。

Original English I think money still matters profoundly and you get it differently. But I do think the main thing is you can't hide behind 30 second ads anymore. You know, like you can't just run a campaign predicated on paid media. You are constantly expected to be communicating. And I think people's standards for transparency has risen in the social media age. Like we now know everything about our celebrities. The standard for the ways in which LeBron James has to interact with the public are fundamentally different than the standards for the way Michael Jordan had to interact with the public. Like if LeBron James was at casinos till 5:00 a.m. every day, we'd be telling a very different story about LeBron. And I think there's a similar thing in politics of everything's under a microscope. You're being recorded at any given moment. You can't put on a 30-cond facade and hope that that's enough. You need every part of a campaign working together to tell a complete story that can't be artificially constructed and you can't cover up for a lack of talent candidate. You [snorts] know, there still I think the most compelling indicator of candidate overperformance is candidate quality. And we can have all these different debates, but that just I think remains fundamentally true.

进步主义与民粹主义的区别

Speaker A: 那份名单上的候选人在意识形态上是有跨度的。费特曼(Fetterman)在竞选之后有了很大的改变,所以他在中风后算是一个有点不寻常的例子;但作为独立候选人参选的丹·奥斯本(Dan Osborn)是一位非常有民粹主义色彩的候选人,但在其他问题上又非常温和。他做过一个广告,也许是你制作的那个广告,说他想用自己的双手帮助在边境建墙。你还有更加进步派的候选人,比如身为民主社会主义者的佐兰·马姆达尼(Zohran Mamdani),以及介于两者之间的内森(Nathan)。你之前说过,对你来说,候选人不需要是进步派,他们需要是民粹主义者。这两者有什么区别?

Original English The candidates on that list have a an ideological range to them. Um, Fedman sort of changed a lot after the campaign, so he's a little bit of an unusual case here after the stroke, but Dan Osborne running as an independent was very populist candidate, but um very moderate on other issues. did a ad, maybe you made the ad about wanting to help build the wall on the border with his own hands. You have platin who's much more progressive, Zoran Mamani who's a democratic socialist, Nathan Sage who was sort of in between that. You said before that for you the candidates don't need to be progressive, they need to be populist. What's the difference?

Speaker B: 坦白说,我认为很大的区别在于公众赋予它们的标签。但是,我认为让我对民主党现状感到沮丧的是,我们有一个“大帐篷”政党,它却在不断地转变和重组,以排斥那些挑战其核心权力的人。很多时候——

Original English I think frankly a lot of the difference is in the labels the general public assigns to it. Um, but what I think frustrates me about the current state of the Democratic party is we have a big tent party that is constantly kind of shifting and rearranging to exclude people who challenge the powers at the heart of it [snorts] and a lot of

Speaker A: 请具体一点。你这是什么意思?

Original English be specific. What do you mean by that?

Speaker B: 我的意思是,我认为,你知道的,看着那些非常有影响力的人,比如像乔什·戈特海默(Josh Gottheimer)那样的人,他非常主张“我们需要一个大帐篷政党”,

Original English I mean, I think, you know, watching people who are like the big, you know, like a Josh Godheimr of the world, for example, who's someone who's very like, we need a big tent party,

Speaker A: 他是国会议员。

Original English member of Congress,

Speaker B: 他是国会议员,但他又觉得“任何美国民主社会主义者(DSA)的人都不应该被允许加入这个政党”。这就像是,好吧,那这就不叫大帐篷政党了。或者你看到,你知道的,那些人觉得,每当有人批评以色列时,“嗯,那不应该是民主党的立场。”而我感兴趣的是一个能够稍微反转这种局面的大帐篷政党,在这个政党里,我们被允许存在分歧,比如,人们在边境问题上有不同的政治观点,或者在全国各地的各种问题上有略微不同的处理方式,候选人和竞选活动能够反映出这些差异。但我们团结在一个信念中,那就是除非我们针对政治核心的腐败采取了严肃的措施,除非我们正在努力解决破碎的经济,否则我们甚至无法进行有诚意的对话。对我来说,这就是人们所处位置的一种基准。我们越是……我们需要越长的时间才能达到那个境界,成为一个体现对现状发起挑战的政党,而不是一个体现保护主义现状的政党,我们在这个荒野中迷失的时间就会越长。

Original English member of Congress, but but no one in DSA should be allowed in that party. It's like, well, that's not a big tent party, then. Or you see, you know, people who anytime anyone's critical of Israel, well, that's that's not who the Democratic party should be. And I'm interested in a big 10 party that kind of flips that a little bit where we're allowed to disagree on, you know, people have different politics on the border or slightly different approaches on a variety of issues across the country and candidates and campaigns can reflect those. But we are united in a belief that we are not even having a good faith conversation until we've done serious things about corruption at the heart of our politics and until we're working to address an economy that's broken. And to me, like that's the kind of baseline of where people are. And the more we're the longer it takes us to get to that place of kind of being a party that's embodying a challenge to the status quo rather than embodying a protectionist status quo, the longer we're going to be in the wilderness.

Speaker A: 你刚才有点回避了我关于进步主义与民粹主义对比的问题,所以让我把问题说得更尖锐一些。什么是民粹主义?

Original English You sort of dodged my progressivism versus populism question, so let me sharpen it. What is populism?

Speaker B: 我认为这是一种信念,即人民应该拥有更多的权力,这差不多就是我的理解,这是我非常个人的具体解释。但我认为存在这样一种情况,我经常思考权力的本质,即人们在多大程度上感觉自己在生活中掌握着权力。我认为我们的很多问题都源于一个事实,那就是我们正处于历史上的这样一个时刻,人们感到前所未有的无力。

Original English I think it is a belief that the people should have more power is kind of how I think about it and that's a very my specific interpretation but I think there's this I think a lot about the nature of power in terms of how people like how much people feel like they have it in their lives and I think a lot of the issues we have stem from the fact that we're at a moment in history that I think people feel more powerless than ever before.

奥巴马与大帐篷民粹主义

Speaker A: 奥巴马(Obama)是民粹主义者吗?

Original English Was Obama a populist?

Speaker B: 我相信他是。是的。我认为他的整个理论基础都深深地带有民粹主义色彩。他讲述了这样一个故事:这个国家属于每一个人,而这正是事情的核心;他讲述了这个故事,而且尤其是他的连任竞选,我认为人们并没有充分谈论到他的策略是多么具有民粹主义色彩。米特·罗姆尼(Mitt Romney)被描绘成一个华尔街的恶棍,他把我们的工作机会转移到了海外,他想为自己和他的华尔街朋友攫取更多的财富;而奥巴马则是一位与他们对抗的总统,他让经济复苏,他让那些同样的恶棍低下了头。我认为,这就是一个民粹主义允许建立“大帐篷”的例子。而那些批评它的人只是感到不爽,因为那触犯了他们自己的利益。

Original English I believe so. Yes. I I think his entire theory of the case is deeply populist. Um you he told the story of the country belonging to everyone and that that being at the heart of things and he told and particularly his re-election campaign I don't think gets talked about enough for just quite how populist the approach was. Mitt Romney was a Wall Street villain who had shipped our jobs away, who wanted more money for himself and his Wall Street friends, while Obama was a president who took them on, who brought the economy back, who stared down those same villains. Um, I think that's, you know, example where populism allows for a big tent. Uh, and the people who critique it are just upset because they don't it's against their own interests.

Speaker A: 我认为这也许不是你具体参与的,但你曾在汤姆·斯泰尔(Tom Steyer)竞选加州州长的活动中工作过。汤姆·斯泰尔是个亿万富翁。一个亿万富翁能成为民粹主义者吗?

Original English fight and I think this was not as much specifically you but worked on Tommy Styer's campaign for governor of California. Tommy Styer is a billionaire. Can a billionaire be a populist

Speaker B: 如果你是个阶级叛徒的话?我认为普利兹克(Pritzker)是另一个例子——

Original English if you're a class traitor? I I I think Pritskar is another example of like

Speaker A: 我认为他们是,他们在某种程度上的行为,他们的政策在某种程度上与亿万富翁阶层的利益是冲突的。我认为我想要表达的一点是,在你的理论中,即民主党在哪里出了问题的理论中,在你关于政治走向何方的理论中,是什么将那些能够做出你认为行之有效的吸引力的候选人,与那些不能这么做的候选人区分开来?听着,如果我——我个人不认识珍妮特·米尔斯(Janet Mills),但我敢肯定,如果我们把珍妮特·米尔斯请到这个演播室里,她也会说她同样相信更多的权力应该归于人民。她也会相信政治是腐败的,并且肯定不得不像任何州长那样做出妥协,就像佐兰·马姆达尼(Zohran Mamdani)作为掌权者必须做出妥协一样。但她可能会认为自己符合这个定义,属于这个范畴。大多数属于建制派民主党的人很可能也是如此,而他们经常受到你和你周围一些人的猛烈抨击。那么,这其中的界限到底在哪里?是点名指出恶棍的能力吗?

Original English I think they are they act in a way their policies in a way are in conflict with the interest of the billionaire class. I I think one of the things I'm trying to get at is in your theory of where the Democratic Party has gone wrong, in your theory of where politics is going, what separates the candidates able to make the kind of appeal that you think works um from the candidates who can't look, if I had I don't know Janet Mills myself, but I am certain if we had Janet Mills in this studio, she would say she also believes more power should go to the people. She also believes that politics is corrupt and has certainly had to like make compromises as any governor has as Zoran Mdani has to make compromises as people in power do. But she would probably see herself within that definition as fitting within it. So would many of the people most probably in the establishment Democratic party that comes in for pretty regular tongue lashings from you and some of the people around you. So So what is the line here? the ability to name villains.

Speaker B: 对,这件事简直快把我逼疯了。你知道,甚至所有那些开始解决可负担性问题的人。就像,你听到这些政客谈论这个问题,他们会说:“你知道,我们面临着一场可负担性危机,这就是为什么我在这里谈论可负担性,因为民主党人需要做的就是我们需要谈论可负担性。” 这就像是,你根本什么都没说。全国各地的每个人都在应对某种版本的可负担性危机。造成这种危机的恶棍在特定地方是特定的。在某些地方,是糟糕的维修权法案。在某些地方,是黑心的房东。在某些地方,是电力垄断企业。在其他地方,是特定的亿万富翁或企业。我不认为,像珍妮特·米尔斯这样的人会点名指出那些正在夺取权力并利用权力伤害劳动人民的人。

Original English Like it it drives me insane about that. You have these, you know, even uh all the people who've kind of taken on affordability. It's like, and you hear these politicians talk about it and they're like, you know, we have an affordability crisis, which is why I'm here talking about affordability because what Democrats need to do is we need to talk about affordability. It's like, you're not saying anything. Everyone is dealing with some version of an affordability crisis across the country. The villains of it are specific in specific places. In some places it's broken right to repair laws. In some places it's bad landlords. In some places it's electric monopolies. In other places it's specific billionaires or corporations. I don't think that like I don't think Janet Mills would name the people who are taking the power and using it to hurt working people.

民粹主义的方向与未来

Speaker A: 所以,这才是民粹主义的核心。它不仅仅是相信人民应该拥有更多权力,而是相信有一小部分人、企业或某种势力攫取了权力,而这正是需要被打破的,并且要清楚地阐明这种冲突。我的意思是,有这样一种说法,即民粹主义基本上就是一种指明矛头方向的政治。

Original English So So that's the point of populism. And it's not just believing the people should have more power, but it's believing that there is a small group of people or corporations or something that has collected the power and that's what needs to be broken and and and articulating that conflict clearly. I mean, I think there's a case to be made that's like basically populism is a politics that points

Speaker B: 而我们在共和党内部的崛起中看到的,是一种将矛头向下或向两侧指的民粹主义。比如针对跨性别群体,针对移民群体。而我们所倡导的,是一种将矛头向上的民粹主义。而且我认为,目前我们与许多民主党建制派之间的摩擦和斗争在于,他们有一种信念,认为我们并没有处于这个民粹主义时刻,或者认为我们只需熬过这个时刻,事情就会自行瓦解。让我如此强烈感到沮丧的原因是,我认为没有任何选举迹象表明这是真的。并且我认为,这个国家将迎来一个民粹主义的未来。问题是谁来掌控它。如果不是民主党,那么情况只会变得更糟。

Original English and what we have in the rising in the Republican party is a populism that points the finger down or to the side. uh targeting trans communities, targeting immigrant communities. And what we are advocating for is a populism that points the finger up. And I think the friction and the fight right now with a lot of the democratic establishment is there is a belief that we are not in this populist moment or that we can just kind of get through this moment and things will collapse. The reason that frustrates me so intensely is I don't think there is any electoral indication that that is true. And I think there is going to be a populist future in this country. It is a question of who's going to control it. And if it is not the Democratic party, then it is going to be the it is only going to get worse

政治的双重诉求:团结与指向性

Speaker A: 另一方面。因此,我们需要在身边空无一人之前,开始向上指引。你刚才提到了奥巴马2012年的竞选活动。奥巴马有两次截然不同的竞选活动。08年的竞选非常强调“希望与变革”,以及“我们大家可以团结在一起”;而12年的竞选则更加强硬,你知道的,更多的是关于官僚、亿万富翁、贝恩资本(Bain Capital)等等。而且我依然看到民主党在这两种路线之间摇摆不定,对吧?你知道,而且你也能在民调中看到这两种想法同时存在的理由。人们对政治分裂感到非常不满。他们希望政治的氛围能与现在有所不同,对吧?这是一个大帐篷政党,里面需要有形形色色的人。而在另一方面,你知道的,如果你去问人们:“你认为政治体系基本上需要被推翻吗?”他们会告诉你是的。所以,你是如何看待这种平衡的?公众既同时渴望一种具有指向性的政治,又渴望一种能团结人心、带有一种同袍情谊的政治。

Original English

Speaker A: on the other side. And so we need to start pointing up before there's no one left around. Uh you mentioned Obama's 2012 campaign before. Obama has these two campaigns that are different. You have the '08 campaign which is very hope and change and we can all come together and the 12 campaign which is hardered um you know more about bureaucrats and billionaires and Bane capital etc. And I still see the Democratic party sort of vibrating between those two approaches, right? You know, and you can see reasons to think about both in polls. People are very upset about political division. They want politics to feel differently than it does, right? It is a big 10 party that needs to have many kinds of people inside of it. And on the other hand, you know, you ask people like, "Do you think the political system basically needs to be burnt down?" And they tell you yes. So, how do you think about the balance of there's simultaneously a desire in the public for a politics that points and a politics that unites and has a kind of fellowship to it.

Speaker B: 这是一个有趣的问题。我想——而且这可能对你提出的问题是一个稍微有些不同的回答——但我认为还有另一个层面的问题,我认为这其中存在一个可持续性的问题。这就好比存在着一种摩擦,你知道现任者——不仅是在美国,而是在全世界——更迭的速度有多快,因为你可以乘着这股民粹主义的浪潮上台,但之后又怎样呢?我认为我们需要一种民粹主义,它实际上,我猜,是为了迎合大众,同时与一种丰裕感(abundance)结合起来。[笑声] 我认为你同时也需要去恢复——另一种形容团结的说法,我认为是恢复对政府的信心。

Original English

Speaker B: It's interesting question. I think and this is a slightly different answer to the question you posed but like I think the other component I think there's a sustainability question with it like there's this kind of friction of you know how quickly incumbents not just America all over the world are turning over because you can ride this populist wave but then then what I think we need a populism that's actually I guess to to play to the crowd like married to a bit of an abundance [laughter] and I think you simultaneously need to restore another word for the kind of unity I think is a restoration of faith in government.

Speaker A: 嗯哼。

Original English

Speaker A: >> Mhm.

Speaker B: 嗯,因为我认为(对政府失去信心)造成了一个分裂因素,而且这种根深蒂固的犬儒主义是会导致分裂的。我认为,如果你将民粹主义与一种具有丰裕感的方式结合起来,即深信政府需要发挥作用,那么民粹主义就能充满希望。

Original English

Speaker B: >> Uh cuz I think that contributes to a dividing factor and kind of this baked in cynicism that's divisive. And I think populism can be hopeful if you marry it with with an abundance-esque approach of the deep belief that government needs to work.

Speaker A: 某种类似佐兰·马达尼(Zohran Mamdani)的路线。

Original English

Speaker A: >> The sort of the Zoran Mani approach.

Speaker B: 是的。而且你不能,你知道,我不认为这是一个可信的主张:如果我们甚至连100套房子都建不起来,我们怎么去把所有的权力和财富从亿万富翁阶层或者寡头手中夺回来?把这些事情结合在一起,我认为就开始讲述一个充满希望的民粹主义的故事,因为这就像是你可以去相信它。它在你的生活中是触手可及的,它是一种权力的重新洗牌,它是所有这些事物的结合体。我认为我们需要更多这样的东西。就像,当我们陷入诸如“你可以相信反垄断政策,或者你可以相信丰裕”这样的辩论时,这会让我感到沮丧。就像我——

Original English

Speaker B: >> Yes. Um, and you can't, you know, I don't think it's a credible claim that we're going to take back all this power and all this fortune from the billionaire class or from the oligarchy if we can't even build a 100 homes. And marrying those things together, I think begins to tell a story of a populism that's hopeful because it's like you can believe in it. It's tangible in your life and it's a reorientation of power and it's all of those things combined. And I think we need more of that. Like it it it frustrates me when we get into these debates over like, you know, you can believe in antitrust policy or you can believe in abundance. Like I

Speaker A: 我也觉得这些辩论很令人沮丧。[笑声]

Original English

Speaker A: >> I've also found those debates frustrating. [laughter]

Speaker B: 就像我,我认为我们可以大规模地削减那些让人们生活变得更加艰难的繁文缛节,我们也可以实施新的法规,保护人们免受掠夺性行为的侵害。同时,我也认为有很多人在这方面做得很出色,他们不再把矛头指向你的邻居,而是指向权贵阶层。这里可以有一个关于团结、希望和爱的故事。比如我想起,你知道,这想出这个点子的不是我。我不记得是谁提出来的了,所以我向那个人道个歉。嗯,这个理念就像,它是奥巴马的“我们”(we)和伯尼(Bernie)的“他们”(them)。就像,这是一个奥巴马式的联盟,具有包容性,我们都是其中的一员,当我们团结一致时,我们会更强大,同时我们在对抗伯尼·桑德斯(Bernie Sanders)版本的反派,那些反对我们的人。

Original English

Speaker B: >> Like I I think we can massively cut red tape that makes people's lives more difficult and we can impose new regulations that protect people from predatory actions. Also, I do I think there are a lot of people who are doing a compelling job of this in raising the finger from pointing to your neighbor to pointing towards the powerful. there can be a story of unity and of hope and of love. Like I think about, you know, I can't I did not come up with this. I can't remember who came up with it and so I apologize to whoever it is. Um the idea that like it's Obama's we and it's Bernie's them. Like it's this Obama-esque coalition that's inclusive and that we're all a part of and we're stronger when we're all in it together and we're taking on the Bernie Sanders version of the the villains who are opposing us.

民粹主义与工人阶级的重塑

Speaker A: 我想回到一些关于综合性的问题,但我想先在民粹主义这个话题上停留一下。刚才我们将我们谈论过的几位候选人联系起来的一点是,他们都是男性。嗯,对你来说,民粹主义和性别之间是否有联系?公众心目中对民粹主义和工人阶级的理解,与性别之间是否有联系?

Original English

Speaker A: I I want to come back to some of the synthesis questions, but but I want to stay in in populism for a minute. One thing that uh connects the candidates we've been talking about is they're all men. Um is there a connection for you between populism and gender and between what you think the public reads as populist and working class and gender?

Speaker B: 我觉得有一个,我认为公众倾向于更宽松地将这个词与男性联系在一起。嗯,我并不认为这特别准确。我认为,你知道,有很多候选人,比如我想到,你知道,在威斯康星州竞选的丽贝卡·库克(Rebecca Cook),她满足所有这些相同的标准。嗯,我甚至会想到像新泽西州的米基·谢里尔(Mikie Sherrill)州长(注:此处口误,其实是众议员),我认为她是一个例子,不一定像传统的民粹主义者,大概更像是一种技术官僚民粹主义的混合体。嗯,但她就是以这种方式进行竞选的,也是以这种方式执政的。嗯,我知道亚历山德里娅·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯(AOC)是这方面的一个例子。而且我认为人们使用“民粹主义者”这个词的方式,很多时候,呃,他们是在进行一种语码转换(code switching)。呃,如果某件事是进步派的,那就是选不上的,而“民粹主义”就成了“进步派”那个能选得上的、有胜算的版本。这不是我的解读。但我认为这进而导致了,人们害怕如果他们开始说 AOC 是一个民粹主义者,那么这就会削弱他们阻止她竞选总统或阻止她成为总统的论点。嗯,这就包含了这方面的因素。

Original English

Speaker B: >> I think there's a I think the public tends to more loosely assign that term to men. Um and I don't think it's particularly accurate. I think there's, you know, a lot of candidates like I think about, you know, Rebecca Cook running in Wisconsin who meets all of those same criteria. Um, I think about even like Governor Cheryl across in New Jersey who I think is example not like necessarily the traditional populist is probably something of a kind of technocratic populist hybrid. Um, but has campaigned in that way and has governed in that way. Um, I know AOC as an example of this. And I think I the way people use the term populist oftentimes is uh they're kind of code switching. Uh, if something's progressive, it's unelectable and populist becomes the electable electable version of progressive. That's not my interpretation of it. But I think that that then contributes to like where people I think people are afraid if they start saying AOC is a populist then it undercuts their arguments to keep her from running for president or to keep her from being president. Um, and then there's a kind of component of that.

Speaker A: 但这里是不是存在一种对工人阶级形象过时的刻板印象?

Original English

Speaker A: >> But is there an outdated idea of what the working class looks like here?

Speaker B: 是的。因为并非所有的候选人都是这样。这不符合马达尼(Mamdani)或者其他一些人的情况。但如果你看看内森·塞奇(Nathan Sage)或者费特曼(Fetterman)或者普拉特纳(Platner),嗯,丹·奥斯本(Dan Osborne),它带有一种这样的感觉,这种人可能是一个,你知道的,在牡蛎养殖场、龙虾船上、或者工厂里工作的人;然而你知道的,今天的工人阶级,以一种更具有代表性(modal)的意义来说,呃,可能是做家庭医疗护理员的移民女性,对吧?也就是我们的政治把工人阶级当成仿佛都是戴着安全帽去上班的人一样,这曾经是对你的一个批评,但大体上来说,我认为这已经成为对唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)、对伯尼·桑德斯(Bernie Sanders)、对现代政治中许多人的一个批评,即他们没有尝试过、或者没有设法提出一种更现代的视角去思考和呈现到底什么是工人阶级。

Original English

Speaker B: >> Yes. because there not all these candidates. It doesn't fit Mondani or or some of the others. But if you look at Nathan Sage or Federman or Platner, um Dan Osborne, it it has this kind of guy who could be a, you know, work on a on an oyster farm, on a lobster boat, in a factory when, you know, the working class today is, you know, almost like in a more modal sense, uh, immigrant working, an immigrant woman working as a home healthcare aid, right? that that there is this our politics treats the working class as if it goes to work in a hard hat and it has been a critique of you but it's broadly speaking been a critique I think of Donald Trump of Bernie Sanders of a lot of um people in modern politics that they have not tried or managed to come up with a more modern way of thinking about and presenting what it means to be working class

Speaker A: 我当然不能替唐纳德·特朗普发言,我也不能替桑德斯参议员发言,但我认为,我认为这里面的确包含一个因素,那就是这些事情被报道、被归类、被报道的方式,以及人们的认知。像贾马尔·鲍曼(Jamaal Bowman)这样的人是一个工人阶级候选人……

Original English

Speaker A: I I certainly can't speak for Donald Trump and I can't speak for Senator Sanders either, but I I think there's I think there is an element of it's the ways in which these things are written about and grouped and covered and the perception. Someone like Jamal Bowman is a working-class candidate

Speaker B: 关于他的报道常常倾向于忽略这样一个事实:他是一个来自工人阶级的局外人,因为比起接受这一点,顺应其他那些批判性叙事要方便得多;或者你知道的科里·布什(Cori Bush),你知道上一个周期中面临初选挑战的两位议员,而且因为他们不符合传统的定义,所以这个标签就没有贴在他们身上,这就进一步使这个循环延续了下去。那么,另一种表达方式,也是从另一个方向来看,甚至在普拉特纳退选之前的民调中,苏珊·柯林斯(Susan Collins)在缅因州没有大学学历的白人男性中也赢了相当多。其中,这似乎有两个维度的原因。有一个被充分记录的转变,那就是民主党已经变成了受过大学教育的人的政党。嗯,你在党内立场越靠左,在某些方面,这往往就越真实。例如,美国民主社会主义者(DSA)在拥有研究生学历、且在经济中挣扎的人群中表现非常出色。而且我听到的批评是,民主党赢回工人阶级的理论策略,一直是在某种程度上扮演(cosplay)工人阶级,而这不起作用的原因之一在于,其一,这不是那些真正的选民想要的。嗯,再举个例子,普拉特纳在拥有研究生学历的人群中表现非常好,所以这就产生了一种奇怪的冲突,即民主党对自身的自我认知,与真正在其中的人——不管你称之为民主党还是DSA——之间的冲突。你是怎么看这个问题的?

Original English

Speaker B: >> who the stories written about him were oftentimes tended to leave out the fact that this is a working-class outsider because it was more convenient to lean into other critical narratives than to embrace that or you know Cy Bush and you know two members primar last cycle and because they don't meet the traditional definition then that tag is not applied to them which then perpetuates the cycle. Well, another way of putting this and and a different direction from it is even in polls toward before Platner dropped out, Susan Collins was winning by quite a lot among um white men in Maine without a college degree. And one of there's sort of like two dimensions of this. There's been a like well doumented shift where the Democratic party has become the party of the college educated. Um the more left you go in the party in some ways like the more true that often is. So the DSA is doing incredibly well among post people with post-graduate degrees who have like struggled in the economy for instance and the the critique has been as I have heard it that the Democratic party's theory of how to win back the working class has been to sort of cosplay the working class and that one of the reasons that's not working is that one it's not what those actual voters want. Um, again, Platiner did very well with people who had postgrad degrees that there's some sort of weird conflict here between the Democratic Party's image of itself and whether you call the Democratic Party or the DSA, who's actually in it. How do you see that?

Speaker A: 我认为这不是我们在一次选举或者一场竞选中就能解决的问题。我认为这表明了一个巨大的品牌形象问题,嗯,现在只要你的名字旁边有个D(代表民主党人),甚至坦率地说,只要你的名字旁边没有R(代表共和党人),这个问题就会出现。我的意思是,它是非常根本性的,这听起来像是一段糟糕的政治演讲,但事实就是,一个工厂倒闭的密歇根州工人,和一个在得克萨斯州拿着仅够糊口的底薪工作的女服务员之间,有着更多的共同点,而不管他们的……

Original English

Speaker A: >> I think it is not a problem that we're going to solve in one election or with one campaign. I think is indicative of a massive brand problem um that now comes when you have a D next to your name or even frankly don't have an R next to your name. I mean, it's kind of foundational to it sounds like a bad political speech riff, but it's like it is fundamentally true that a worker in Michigan who's factory closed has more in common with a waitress in Texas who's working at the starvation wage as a minimum wage in Texas, regardless of their

阶级分化与民主党的反思

Speaker A:只是这种广泛的阶级侵蚀。而且我认为为了改变它,我们需要所有的人,我们需要很多这样的人站出来参与竞选。你知道,有些人会说,为了赢回这些人,我们需要的不仅仅是一个经济上的论点。我不认为那是不真实的。我得说,比如,我认为大规模的温和派路线是有替代方案的。我觉得,你知道,在某些事情上采取局部温和的态度是合适的。但我认为,作为这种民粹主义的一部分,我们需要讲述一个确实超越了纯粹经济学的故事。你寻找的候选人,到底在多大程度上必须是那种真切感受到自己被体制辜负的人?我认为“可信度”绝对是需要被纳入考量的因素之一。就像是,什么赋予了你提出这个论点的可信度,并让选民相信你?但同时我也觉得,有很多人并没有那么努力地提出这种批判。

Original English

Speaker A: just this kind of broad class erosion. And I think to change it, we need all of the we need so many of these people stepping up and running. You know, there are people who would say that we need more than just an economic argument to win back these people. I don't think that that's untrue. I would argue that like I think there alternatives to mass moderation. I think like you know localized moderations for things is is appropriate. But I think we need to be telling a story as part of this populism that does extend beyond just economics. How much is the kind of candidate you look for somebody who actually has to feel themselves failed by the institutions? I think the credibility thing is absolutely a component of what needs to be factored in. Like what gives you the credibility to make this argument and to have voters believe you? But I also think there are a lot of people who are not trying that hard to make this critique.

Speaker A:听着,我认为民主党内仍然有一整个群体相信,那个终极的、一切问题的根源就是唐纳德·特朗普。他们整个的批判都集中在唐纳德·特朗普一个人身上——我们面临的每一个问题都是唐纳德·特朗普造成的。我认为,如果我们不能承认在过去的12年,或者是过去的17年里,民主党一直掌控着白宫,那我们就是在掩耳盗铃。在那些时期里,我们多次掌控了参众两院,但人们的生活却变得更糟了。因此,我们不能简单地去告诉人们,唐纳德·特朗普是一切变得糟糕的原因,因为这些人在这整个时期都活着并且亲身经历了一切。显然,这里存在着一个系统性的问题,它超越了任何一位总统,或任何一个职位。然而,我们党内很多人,或者至少是党内掌权的人,并没有提出这样的批判。

Original English

Speaker A: Look, I I think that there's a whole segment of the Democratic party that still believes like the end- all beall problem is Donald Trump. The entire critique is one of Donald Trump. every problem we're facing is the result of Donald Trump. And I think our heads are in the sand if we can't acknowledge that for 12 last 17 years, Democrats have had the White House. Over those periods of time, we had control of both chambers multiple times and people's lives have gotten worse. And so, we can't just go and tell people Donald Trump is the reason everything's bad when they've been alive this whole time and experienced it. Clearly, there's a systemic issue here that extends beyond any one president or any one office. Yet a lot of our party or at least the people in positions of power in the party aren't levying that critique.

候选人的阶层跨越与“代码转换”

Speaker B:在民主党内,这种需求在多大程度上催生了那些能够进行“代码转换”(即在不同文化或阶级语言间自由切换)的候选人?党内一直存在一个非常有趣的论点,追溯到很久以前,对吧,诺曼·梅勒(Norman Mailer)曾写过这个。罗恩·布朗斯坦(Ron Brownstein)有一篇关于巴拉克·奥巴马的著名文章,讨论了民主党内的所谓“葡萄酒赛道”和“啤酒赛道”。但对于普拉特纳(Platner),人们对他发起了一种攻击,我觉得这有点不对。嗯,那是说,你知道的,他来自一个家境富裕的家庭。你知道,他父亲帮他买了他的房子,他上的是精英私立学校。但你在曼达尼(Mandani)身上也看到了类似的情况,他来自那样一个家庭,母亲是著名导演,父亲是学者。你也知道,唐纳德·特朗普自己就是一个亿万富翁。我们经常看到的是,那些最终取得某种成功的候选人,往往具备这种在不同世界之间游走运作的能力。[哼鼻音] 那么,这是你会寻找的特质吗?你认为这重要吗?比如,你怎么评估这种能力?

Original English

Speaker B: >> To what degree does this demand in the Democratic party these candidates who can code switch? So one of the interesting uh arguments is made in the party going way back right Norman Mer wrote about this. There's a famous Ron Brownstein piece on Barack Obama about the sort of wine track and the beer track in the Democratic party. But Platner, an attack people launched at him, which I thought was sort of wrong. Um was, you know, he came from a family that had been well off. You know, his dad helped buy his home. He went to an elite um private school. But you see something like this with Mandani who comes from a a sort of family where his mother's a celebrated director, his father's an academic that you know Donald Trump himself is a billionaire that often times what you end up seeing in candidates who sort of succeed is this ability to operate across different worlds. [snorts] And so is that something you look for? Is that something you think is important? Like how do you rate that?

Speaker A:我不认为这是应该变得重要的事情。应该存在这样一种途径,让人们在没有获得沿海地区社区全盘支持的情况下,也能够成功当选。而且,即便如此,比如,还是有办法去挑战社会经济地位(SSE)的壁垒,还是有办法去克服它的。有来自草根阶层的资金,但你在某种程度上确实需要沿海社区的认可,才能真正达到传统上所需的那种竞选启动规模。

Original English

Speaker A: I don't think it's something that should be important. There needs to be a way for people to get elected without having kind of coastal communities getting all on board with them. And even still, like there are ways to challenge SSE, there are ways to overcome it. There's grassroots money, but you would to some degree need buyin from coastal communities to be able to really launch to the degree you traditionally have to.

Speaker B:那是因为你需要向他们筹集资金。

Original English

Speaker B: >> That's because you need to raise money from them.

Speaker A:金钱和媒体。我认为是金钱和媒体关注度的混合。嗯,这确实让事情变得困难得多。而且,我认为有一种说法是站得住脚的,那就是能够与各种不同的选民群体进行沟通确实具有某种政治实用性,这也应该是重要的。嗯,但我认为一旦你将其延伸到“哦,他们能让捐助者感到多舒服?”的时候,我们就已经不再是处于一个服务于“可当选性”目标的境地了。

Original English

Speaker A: >> Money and media. I think the mix of money and media attention. Um, and it's just a lot harder. Um, and I think there's there's something to be said for the like political utility in being able to talk to a variety of your constituents and that should be important. Um, but I think once you kind of extend into, oh, how comfortable do they make a donor feel? We're not in a place anymore that's serving an electability goal.

内森·赛吉的艾奥瓦州竞选案例分析

Speaker B:你曾参与过的、在艾奥瓦州未能成功起飞的那场竞选,候选人是内森·赛吉(Nathan Sage)。到底是哪里出了问题?

Original English

Speaker B: >> The campaign here that you worked on that didn't take off was Nathan Sage in Iowa. What went wrong?

Speaker A:所以,我的意思是,当我说这番话的时候,他就是我脑海中想到的那些人之一。所以我觉得,内森是一位非常不可思议的——曾经是一位非常不可思议的候选人,我认为他本可以赢得艾奥瓦州的美国参议院席位,他有着一段令人难以置信的故事。嗯,我相信他曾服役过三个轮次。他,嗯,在梅森城的一个拖车公园里长大,靠自己打工读完了高中,然后去服役,嗯,回来后在小镇的商会服务,并把小企业重新带了回来。而他对那些出卖了像他一样家庭的人的愤怒和蔑视,是深刻而真实的。当他在市政厅会议、在竞选活动现场与选民同处一室时,他也能与选民产生深刻的共鸣,但那有一点,比如我认为对于那些属于捐助者阶层的人来说,这感觉很抽象,或者他们无法完全理解,因为他们并没有经历过艾奥瓦州其他苦苦挣扎的家庭所过的那种生活。所以,这并没有以同样的方式实现突破。嗯,而且,向捐助者推销、向媒体推销,与向选民推销,需要的是截然不同的技巧。我认为,地方媒体的崩溃让这个问题变得严重得多。你知道,20年前,存在着深厚的地方媒体网络,它们能够——能够真正深入到基层细节中去。如果你对艾奥瓦州一家导致工人患癌的工厂感到非常愤怒,你可以去做五个关于那件事的采访,展示你对地方议题的了解,并以一种能让人们生活变得更好的方式展示你的热情。然而,如果你对全国性记者说,“嘿,我们要不要,你知道,你想不想写四篇关于艾奥瓦州一家导致工人患癌的工厂、以及一位对此感到极其愤怒的候选人的不同文章?”这并不是一个特别有吸引力的推销。

Original English

Speaker A: So I mean he was one of the people I had in mind when I was saying this. So I think like Nathan is an incredible was an incredible candidate who I think would have won the Iowa US Senate seat who had an incredible story. Um he served three tours I believe. He was uh grew up in a trailer park in Mason City, worked his way through high school, went to serve um came back then served his small town chamber of commerce and brought small businesses back. And his like anger and disdain for the people who had sold out families like his was profound and real. And he also connected deeply with voters when he was in the room with them at town halls, at campaign events, but it was a little it like I think to the kind of donor class, it felt abstract or they didn't quite see it because they weren't living the lives of other families struggling in Iowa. And so it didn't quite break through in the same way. Um, and it's a different skill to pitch donors and to pitch press than it is to pitch voters. The collapse of local media, I think, has made a this problem a lot worse. You know, 20 years ago, there's profound local media circuits that exist that can that are actually in the weeds. If you have really strong feelings about a factory that's giving workers cancer in Iowa, you can go and do five interviews about that and show your knowledge of local issues and show your passion in a way that's going to make people's lives better. It's not a particularly sexy pitch to national reporters of, hey, are we going to, you know, do you want to write four different articles about a factory giving workers cancer in Iowa and a candidate who's incredibly angry about it?

机构的衰退与媒体生态的转变

Speaker B:我认为,这同时也说明了当前民主党内的许多民主党候选人以及民主党本身所患的一种病症,那就是:这是一个在一个体制正在衰退的时代里,仍然热爱体制的人所组成的政党。让我对这种现象感到一丝同情的一个原因是,过去体制实际上是你获得关注的途径之一。我的意思是,有很大一部分的民主党派系,他们是为一个过去的时代而优化出来的:在那个时代,你需要去报纸社论委员会,并且必须赢得他们的支持。所以,问题不仅仅是你能否获得关注,而是你能否给编辑留下深刻印象?你能否获得当地公民团体的背书?而现在,在全国大部分地区,所有这些层级的力量都变得更加薄弱。工会密度下降了。拥有真正会员的公民团体变少了。地方报纸的数量减少了,而且他们,嗯,他们的社论委员会的分量也变轻了。因此,这意味着那些曾经非常重要的技能,现在变得不那么重要了。而那些曾经让你寸步难行的举动,对吧?报纸绝不会去报道一个既没有任何支持、又只是通过说些离谱的话来惹怒别人的人。但是现在,你知道,你可以在洛杉矶当个斯宾塞·普拉特(Spencer Pratt),然后,至少从作为一个这样的候选人来说,你的关注度就能一飞冲天。

Original English

Speaker B: >> It it also, I think, speaks to one to one of the pathologies of a lot of Democratic candidates in the Democratic party to me right now is that it is a party of people who love institutions at a time when institutions are failing. And one of the places where I'm sympathetic to that is that institutions were actually one of the ways you got attention. I mean, there's a huge amount of Democratic party just optimized for a period when you went to the newspaper editorial boards and you had to win them over. And so, it wasn't just could you get attention, it's could you impress the editors, could you get the endorsement of the local civic groups? And now all these layers are weaker across much more of the country. There's less union density. There are fewer civic groups that have real memberships. There's fewer local newspapers and their uh editorial boards carry less weight. And so it means skills that were once really important are less important. And skills that once like couldn't get you anywhere, right? The newspaper would not cover someone who both did not have any support and was just making people mad by saying sort of outlandish things. But now, you know, you could be Spencer Pratt in Los Angeles and like rock it forward in attention at the very least from being a a candidate like that.

Speaker A:我认为,你知道,编辑室和企业董事会与那些正在驱动选民的东西之间的鸿沟,从来没有像现在这样深刻过。而且我认为,在民主党内,这一情况被一种我视为是有问题的转变给加剧了——那是在2012年之后,那些温和派到共和党精英的人实质上亲自挑选了米特·罗姆尼(Mitt Romney),让他获得了提名,而奥巴马则凭借着针对他的民粹主义竞选赢得了一场令人畏惧的连任。然后你看到唐纳德·特朗普崛起,反对那个共和党建制派。紧接着,我认为你就看到了这样一种具有误导性的大批外流:从共和党流出的捐助者和体制内人物纷纷走向民主党,并说“我不能成为这种(特朗普主义)的一部分”。当然,他们被欢迎进了民主党的阵营,因为他们带来了资源,带来了历史上具有重大选举意义的平台。我们突然在一个民众对体制发起大规模反抗的时刻,因为某些原因认为我们正在建立一个支持体制的新联盟,这就变成了:我们把所有那些让共和党变得无法当选的人拉进了我们的阵营,并让他们影响我们的策略。我认为这是从根本上错误和破碎的。而且我认为,这里将会发生一场有趣的摩擦 [哼鼻音],那就是传统媒体在政治中的角色究竟是什么,我认为这与它曾经拥有的角色已经发生了根本性的不同。

Original English

Speaker A: >> I think the the gap between, you know, editorial rooms and corporate boardrooms and what is driving voters has never been more profound. And I think that's been exacerbated, I think, in the Democratic party by what I think was kind of a problematic shift after you had in 2012 the kind of moderate to Republican elites essentially handpick Mitt Romney and get him and he receives the nomination and Obama wins a daunting re-election on the populist campaign against him. And then you see Donald Trump rise up against that Republican establishment. And then I think you see this kind of misleading exodus from the Republican party of donors of institutional figures to the Democratic party saying I can't be a part of this. And of course they're welcomed into the tent because they come with resources and they come with platforms that have historically been of electoral significance. We suddenly at a moment in which there is a massive uprising against institutions because of think that we're building a new coalition that is pro-institution and it's we took all the people who made the Republican party unelectable folded them into our tent and let them influence our approach and I think it's fundamentally wrong and broken. And I think there is a interesting friction that's going to have to play out here [snorts] of what is the traditional media's role in politics which I think is fundamentally different than what it has

Political Disconnect and the Media

Speaker A: ……以前是这样。你知道,如果在 20 年前我告诉你,《纽约时报》编辑委员会会写一篇文章,实质上是告诉选民不要把票投给左兰·马姆达尼(Zohran Mamdani),然后那个人却在民主党初选中以 12 个百分点的优势获胜,那将是完全无法想象的。但这正是我们亲眼目睹的事情。我认为这其中存在着一种脱节。我认为这里面存在问题,就像是好奇心缺失的问题。我认为很多时候,我们并没有针对是什么在驱动这一切提出正确的问题。你知道,现在要赞扬一下《纽约时报》了。艾玛·戈德堡(Emma Goldberg)在选举后就此写了一篇很好的文章,谈论了获胜的纽约市候选人名单在可负担性方面的角度。但是,那真的是传统媒体中唯一一篇以此为核心内容的报道,而这些正是那些竞选活动主要关注的事情。所有的对话却都是围绕着与之无关的组成部分进行的,所以这里存在着这种脱节,我认为这其中存在着真实且巨大的摩擦。

Original English

Speaker A: been before. You know like it would have been unimaginable 20 years ago if I told you the New York Times editorial board is going to write a piece essentially telling voters do not vote for Zohran Mamdani and then that person was going to win the Democratic primary by 12 points. But that's what we saw happen. And I think there's just this this disconnect. And I think there's a problem like there's a curiosity problem. I think often times we're not asking the right questions about what is driving this. You know, there's a to now compliment um the New York Times. Uh Emma Goldberg did a good piece on this after the election talking about the affordability angle of the New York City slate that won. And but that was the only piece really written in a traditional media with that as the center point and those were the main things those campaigns focused on the main things those campaigns focused about but all of the kind of dialogue was around unrelated components of it and there's just this disconnect that I think is a there's a real real friction there.

Speaker B: 当你第一次见到唐尼(Donnie)时,是什么让你觉得他身上有一种魔力?

Original English

Speaker B: When you met Donnie the first time what what made you think there was some magic there?

Speaker A: 我认为,他深切而诚挚地相信,让事情变得更好是政府的职责,而且坦白说,将这种信念与一种愿景结合起来,是极其罕见的。本来不应该如此,但事实就是这样。有多少人在坐下来考虑竞选某个职位时,他们最初的回答会是,“我们面临着这场危机,我认为只要我们下定决心想去做,这个职位就能解决这场危机”。是的,我非常坚信,我认为竞选的胜利不在于战斗的内容本身。它们是在其发生的大背景下赢得的。如果我们将竞选置于这样一个背景下:我们为政府感到羞愧,我们不相信政府能做成任何事,我们对政府充满歉意,那么要说服人们把票投给那个主张更大政府规模的政党,将会非常困难。如果我们不能证明政府是人类历史上已知最伟大的行善工具之一,那我们还能做成什么呢?马姆·唐尼(Mam Donni)第一次引起我的注意,我想是因为一个关于清真食品通胀(halalflation)的视频。

Original English

Speaker A: I think his profound and earnest belief that it was government's job to be making things better and like the marriage of that with a vision is just frankly incredibly rare and it shouldn't be but it is like the number of people who sit down and say you're thinking about running for an office and whose initial answer is we have this crisis I think this office can address this crisis if we just decided we wanted to. Yeah, I'm a big believer in I think campaigns aren't won in the content of the battle. They're one in the context in which they're taking place. And if we're taking campaigns in a context in which we are ashamed of government, in which we don't believe government can do anything, in which we're apologetic about government, then it's going to be really hard to convince people to vote for the party that is the bigger government party. And if we can't prove that government is one of the greatest tools for good known to human history, then how are we going to do anything? The first time Mam Donni started coming on my radar I think was a halalflation video

Speaker B: 在那个视频里,他在各个清真食品餐车周围转悠,我想你也有参与其中,只是指出了食品变得有多贵。这并不像那种关于政府能做什么的宏大社会主义愿景。它非常具体。它就像是整个事情的一个微缩版,反复如此。现在好像每一个民主党人都想模仿马姆·唐尼的视觉语言,以及马姆达尼(Mumani)在竖屏视频上的统治力。但很少有人能做到。可以说是你们一起打造了那个模式。当人们来找你,想从中吸取经验教训时,你会告诉他们应该从中借鉴什么,又该避免什么呢?

Original English

Speaker B: where he was going around with the halal carts and just I think you're involved in this but just noting how much more expensive it had gotten and it wasn't like this grand socialist vision for what government could be. It was very specific. It was the the whole thing in miniature like repeatedly and like every Democrat now wants to copy the Mum Donnie visual language and the Mumani dominance of a vertical video. Very few are able to do it. You guys sort of built that together. When people come to you asking for lessons from it, what do you tell them to take from it and what you tell them to not take from it?

Speaker A: 我认为那个团队里有很多极具才华的人,从米尔·托德(Mil Todd)到安德鲁(Andrew)。我不认为——我觉得,无论我有多出色,无论他们有多出色,每个人坐在凯迪拉克里都会显得很拉风,而扎拉尼(Zarani)是一位跨时代的领袖,所以(哼笑)很难把功劳揽到自己身上。我认为,坦白地说,这里面要扮演的一个角色就是让路。我们有整个一个顾问行业和一个政党建制派,他们已经确立了自己的角色,那就是:哦,你有一个宏大的想法,那别那么做;你有一些会让你面临风险的东西,别那么做;你有一个广阔的愿景,把它缩小点;你想尝试一种新策略,在我们的眼皮底下可不行。而且我认为,之所以会这样,很大程度上是因为这非常特定于这位市长,你知道,他有愿景。他有一种自己擅长的独特沟通方式。我们大家齐心协力建立了一个系统,在这个系统中,他能够以能贴近民众真实处境的方式去沟通,同时还能重新构想选民群体可能是什么样子。我认为我们陷入的问题之一是,我们对一个固定不变的选民群体有一种虚幻的想象,而没有去重塑它的想象力。我认为这也说明了白人工人阶级的问题。我们在那里所面临的问题中,有多少是因为我们从主要由农村白人工人阶级组成的地区撤出了资源,所以他们在那里听不到任何声音;然后你把它和这些地区保守派媒体的崛起结合起来,他们听到的是一年 365 天从未被梳理纠正的叙事。仅仅用 8 周或 8 个月的时间去反击那是远远不够的,这需要全年的努力去接触那些人。你在市长身上看到的是一种信念:不,也许实际上如果我们与年轻人对话,并为他们提供一个他们能负担得起的城市的愿景,他们就会站出来并为此行动。也许如果你不逃避穆斯林身份,而是去拥抱它,穆斯林选民就会成群结队地出来支持那个愿景。我认为,去贴近民众真实的处境,并相信如果我们伸出援助之手,人们实际上会想要参与我们的政治,这是可以应用到任何竞选活动中的经验。

Original English

Speaker A: I think there were a lot of incredibly talented people on that team from Mil Todd and Andrew and I don't think I think as good as I might be as good as they might be everyone looks really good riding a Cadillac and Zarani is a generational leader and it's [snorts] hard to take any credit for that. I think one of the roles um that there is to play is frankly like getting out of the way and we have an entire consultant industry and a party establishment that has kind of built its role of being like oh you have a big idea well don't do that you have something that's going to expose you to some risk don't do that you have a broad vision scale it down you have a new tactic you want to try well not on our watch and I think the reason it is a lot of that was very specific to the mayor and he, you know, had a vision. He had a specific way he was good at communicating and we all worked to build a system in which he was able to do that that could meet people where they were and it also could reimagine what an electorate would look like. And I think that's one of the issues we get into is we have these like imaginary visions of a bakedin electorate with no imagination of reshaping. I think this speaks to like the white working class issue too. how much of the issues we face there are the result of the fact that we have pulled resources from the places that are predominantly rural white working-class areas and so there they are not hearing then you combine that with the rise of conservative media in those areas they are hearing a 365 day a year narrative that is going uncombed it is not enough in 8 weeks or 8 months to just fight back against that it takes a year round effort to reach those people what you saw at the mayor is a belief that no maybe actually if we talked to young people and gave them a vision for a city they can afford they will come out and show up for it. Maybe if you do not run away from Muslim identity but embraced it Muslim voters are going to come out in mass to support that vision. I think meeting people where they are and believing that people actually will want to take part in our politics if we extend a hand is something that can be taken to any campaign.

The Power of Storytelling in Politics

Speaker B: 关于你和马姆·唐尼,有一件事让我印象深刻,而且我在谈论注意力时,总是希望不要让人觉得我是在将政治立场单独剥离出来,或者说,你所推销的“产品”本身才是推销它最重要的部分。但我认为,对于在当下这个时刻,故事以及讲故事的方式是如何运作的,你们也有一种敏锐的触觉。马姆·唐尼的母亲是一位著名的电影导演。我了解到,你的教父是菲利普·塞默·霍夫曼(Philip Seymour Hoffman),对吧?我想你的父亲是一位制片人。此时此刻,对你而言,在这个时代拥有讲故事的能力是否处于核心地位,对吧?在你们俩的那场竞选活动中,是否有一些围绕这一点的东西?在我看来,这并非偶然。

Original English

Speaker B: One thing that was striking to me about you and mom Donnie and I always want when I'm talking about attention to not make it feel like I'm separating out political positions or right like the product you're selling is the most important part of selling it. But I think there's also something about having a touch for how stories and storytelling in this moment work. And mom Donniey's mother is a famed film director. Your godfather I learned was Philip Seymour Hoffman, right? that your father I think was a producer. it. Is there something right now for you actually just about the centrality of being able to storytell in this moment, right? Is there something in that campaign between the two of you around that? It seems to me not accidental.

Speaker A: 我想,你知道的,我们的政治中有一种东西,它与我们讨论过的一些其他事情有关,比如需要一种“信念的飞跃”(leap of faith),而那需要的不仅仅是一个论点,它还需要一个故事。

Original English

Speaker A: I think you know like uh there's something to our politics that relating to some of the other things we've talked about like the requirement of a leap of faith and that that takes more than just an argument but it takes a story.

Speaker B: 来自选民的信念飞跃。

Original English

Speaker B: A leap of faith from the voter

Speaker A: 来自选民的。嗯。(清嗓子)

Original English

Speaker A: from the voter. Mhm. [clears throat]

Speaker A: 我经常回想起,嗯,当我的教父,当菲尔(Phil)在出演《推销员之死》(Death of a Salesman)时,呃,在早期他刚开始谈论要演这部戏的时候,他形容它就像是史上写得最好的戏剧。他谈到了这部戏是如何开场的,你知道,这是一部令人难以置信的戏剧,但开场几乎什么也没发生。它以一声叹息开始。它的第一个舞台指示,或者说第一个可以听得见的舞台指示,是威利·罗曼(Willie Loman)的一声叹息。而在那声叹息中,你已经认识了一个被这种感觉打败的男人:无论他做什么,都不够。他没有通往希望、通往繁荣的道路。而在整部剧的进程中,我们看到的只是一个已经对生活感到绝望的人最终放弃了生命。我认为我们需要从根本上、在物质层面上以大规模、极其庞大的方式去改变人们的生活。但我们也必须认识到,现在有如此多的人,我认为那也就是他们正在经历的故事的一个版本。不一定在字面上完全相同,但就是这种深深的绝望。如果我们能讲述一个事情可以有所不同的故事,如果我们能讲述一个他们可以发挥作用的故事,如果我们能讲述一个他们很重要的故事,那么这同样也是一种彻底变革的行动。

Original English

Speaker A: I think a lot about um when when my godfather when Phil was doing Death of a Salesman uh early on when he was like first talking about doing it, he was describing like the best play ever written. And he talks about how it starts, you know, it's this incredible play, but barely anything happens. It starts with a sigh. It's the first stage direction or first audible stage direction is a sigh from Willie Lman. And in that sigh, you've met a man who's been defeated by feeling like no matter what he does, it is not enough. He has no path to hope, to prosperity. And over the course of the play, what we just see is someone who's already given up on life finally give up on life. And I think we need to fundamentally, materially change people's lives in massive, massive ways. But we also need to find there's so many people right now who I think that is a version of the story they're living. Not not necessarily literally, but just this deep hopelessness. And if we can tell a story that things can be different, if we can tell a story that they have a role to play, if we can tell a story that they matter, then that is an act of radical change, too.

Speaker B: 我曾经真的感到怀疑,这种竞选活动持续保持曝光度的方式,这种马姆·唐尼在竞选期间不断现身的方式,是否能转化为实际的治理。特朗普做到了这一点,但他通过不断地惹怒人们来做到这一点,对吧?通过愤怒、冲突和怒火来释放源源不断的能量。如果你在纽约的话,马姆·唐尼已经成功地保持了持续的存在感。可能如果你不在纽约也是如此,但如果你身在纽约,那绝对是这样。而且仅仅是,你知道,几乎独立于他正在做的具体事情之外——尽管他确实在做一些实事——你就是会觉得好像看到他一直都在为纽约做事,对吧?你打开手机,他就在那里。这对我来说确实感觉很新鲜。这是某种只有他能做到的事情吗?而且纽约是一个非同寻常的媒体市场。它很庞大。所有的媒体——虽然不是全部,但很多媒体都集中在这里。所以,他可以通过在这里,以一种独特的方式向外辐射他的影响力,也就是……

Original English

Speaker B: I was genuinely skeptical that the the way the campaign was constantly present, the way mom Donnie was constantly present during the campaign could translate into governing. Trump has done that, but he does it by constantly pissing people off, right? Unlocking constant energy through outrage and conflict and anger. Mom Donnie has managed to maintain a constant presence if you're in New York. Probably if you're not in New York too, but certainly if you are in New York and just the, you know, almost separate from what he is doing, though there are real things he's doing, you just kind of see him doing things for New York all the time, right? You turn on your phone and there he is. It's genuinely felt new to me. Is is that something sort of only he can do? And New York is an unusual media market. It's giant. All the media, not all, but a lot of the media is centered here. So, he can sort of project outward from being here in a way that it is

应对现代注意力周期与治理危机

Speaker A: 相比于波士顿,更不用说是比那更小的城镇了,这种做法显然会更加困难。或者说,这其中是否真的有什么值得借鉴的经验教训?

Original English

Speaker A: harder if you're in Boston or to say nothing of a smaller town than that. Or is there a genuine lesson there?

Speaker B: 我认为这其中有非常真切的经验教训。我想,首要的教训就是要选出那些对待治理抱有严肃态度的领导人,选出那些坚信必须以非常积极主动的方式进行治理的领导人。但在我看来,在某些方面,这就好像是事物的另一面。如果你要为《富足》(Abundance)这本书写一部续作,我觉得那将会是关于如何进行“沟通”的另一面。如果我们认为,目前人们对政府办事能力的信任存在着危机,那么我认为,我们不仅有义务去把事情做成,不仅有义务让做事变得更容易,更有一份义务去讲述我们是如何把事情做成的故事。在2023年或者2024年的时候,我开车经过密歇根州,在某个地方看到了一块标语牌,上面大概写着:“这条道路的铺设得益于两党公路法案。”但事实是,几乎没有任何共和党人对那项立法投了赞成票。而我们却在用这种方式来宣传它。我们为什么不能像民主党人那样,更加自信地挺身而出说“这[脏话]是我们干的”?抱歉,我不知道我刚才是不是爆粗口了。

Original English

Speaker B: I think there's a genuine lesson. I think the the first lesson is to elect leaders who are serious about governing and who believe in a very proactive approach for governing. But I think in some ways to me it's like the second side. If you if you wrote a sequel to Abundance, I feel like it would be there's like the communication side of it. And if if we believe that there's a crisis of faith in government's ability to do things, I think there's an obligation to not just do things, to not just make it easier to do things, but to tell the story of doing things. In 2023, 2024, I was driving through Michigan and there was a sign somewhere that was like, "This road is being paved because of the bipartisan highway bill." And it's like barely any Republicans voted for that piece of legislation. And that is how we are marketing it. Why wouldn't we be leaning in like Democrats [ __ ] did this? Sorry, I don't know if I cursed that.

Speaker A: 你确实爆粗口了。没关系,我是爆了粗口的,所以你也完全可以随意。

Original English

Speaker A: You I did. So, you're you're welcome to.

Speaker B: 好的。

Original English

Speaker B: Okay.

Speaker A: 嗯,[轻哼]。

Original English

Speaker A: Um, [snorts]

Speaker B: 老兄,我们这是在想办法吸引注意力啊。[笑声]

Original English

Speaker B: we're trying to get attention here, man. [laughter]

Speaker A: 这就是所谓的“注意力经济”。

Original English

Speaker A: Attention economy.

Speaker B: 嗯,所以我们要自信地挺身而出。我们需要以契合现代注意力周期的速度来进行竞选活动,同时我认为你也需要以契合现代注意力周期的速度来进行政府治理。现在有一种非常佛系、慢条斯理的做法,你知道的,就好像在说“这将在8年内逐步落实”,或者“这将在10年内建成”。这种做法根本无法满足民众目前所感受到的那种紧迫感。为了修复公众与政府之间的联系,政府的行动中必须体现出那种紧迫感。

Original English

Speaker B: um leaning in. We need to campaign at the speed of the modern attention span and I think you need to govern at the speed of the modern attention span and there is such a laidback approach to you know in 8 years this is going to be phased in in a decade this is going to be built like that does not meet the urgency people are feeling and to restore the bond between the public and government there needs to be that urgency.

民粹主义与积极的情感表达

Speaker A: 那么在情感层面又是怎么样的呢?佐兰·马姆达尼(Mam Donnie/Mamdani)让我感觉到他和你名单上的其他一些人、以及普遍意义上的民粹主义有所不同,其中一个方面就在于此。我认为普遍意义上的民粹主义,无论这种名声是否准确,它的名声往往是那种表现出相当愤怒的情绪。我并不是说马姆达尼没有那种情绪,他内心确实有真实的愤怒,而且这种愤怒是完全正当的,比如人们是如何受到伤害、如何被坑骗的,以及在这个城市里生活是多么让人负担不起。但第一点,他看起来总是非常享受治理工作的过程。比如,他看起来很喜欢自己的这份工作,而许多人在当选之后,似乎从那以后就表现得有些苦大仇深。这也算情有可原,因为这确实可能是一份让人非常痛苦的工作,但他看起来确实很享受。

Original English

Speaker A: What about at the level of affect? One way Mam Donnie feels different to me than some of the other people who have been on your roster and and populism in general. Popism in general I think has reputation rightly or wrongly as being pretty pissed off and I'm not saying Mam Donnie isn't like there is genuine anger in him correctly so about the ways people are harmed and ripped off and how unaffordable it is to live in this city. But one, he always looks like he's enjoying governing. Like he looks like he likes his job, which a lot of people, they get elected and then they seem kind of miserable from then on, which fair enough, it can be a pretty miserable job, but he looks like he enjoys it.

Speaker A: 嗯,但他身上还散发出一种非常积极的情感,比如一种我在民主党人身上通常不会联想到的阳光气质。我不会把它和特定的民粹主义者联系在一起,对吧?伯尼·桑德斯(Bernie Sanders)可不是以他的阳光气质而闻名的。我我只是在很多政治家身上都看不到这种特质。比如,在大多数政治家身上——虽然特朗普不是这样的,但大多数政治家都像是在以一种非常严肃、甚至沉重的方式在对待这份工作。

Original English

Speaker A: Um, but there's also a like a like a positive affect from him, like a sunniness that I don't associate with Democrats in general. I don't associate with populist and specific, right? Bernie Sanders isn't known um for his sunniness. I I just don't see it from that many politicians. Like I I can most politicians and Trump is not like this, but most politicians it's like they they treat the work pretty grimly.

Speaker B: 我认为这种东西你是装不出来的。我觉得这也是挑战之一。比如在政治中,有很多各种各样的东西你都可以去伪装。但你无法伪装出对一个地方以及你所代表的人民的真正热爱。而市长并没有伪装。我认为市长是真心地热爱每一位纽约市民的。比如,不管他们可能会怎么评价他,他就是纯粹地热爱这座城市,而且这种感情流露了出来。所以我认为,至少在左翼民粹主义的光谱上,在阐明“这是一项出于热爱的工作”这一点上,其实可以做得更好。我认为特朗普的支持者们非常享受这个过程,你知道的,他们确实乐在其中。这对我们来说可能有点抽象,但当他还在竞选的时候,那其中确实存在着一种快乐。你知道的,人们参与其中,这就好像是成为了一种文化现象,赋予了它更深层的意义。你戴着你的特朗普帽子,或者贴着你的特朗普贴纸,就像是佩戴着一枚荣誉徽章。我认为这确实有其价值所在,比如它能让人们为之感到自豪,能让人们在其中找到自己的影子,找到归属感。对我来说,这确实与人们感受到的那种权力因素有关。我认为这是一种混合了多种因素的结果,比如从全球化经济因素,再到社交媒体的影响力等等。人们觉得自己是如此的渺小,如果你能把他们带入到某个能让他们感到自己很强大的事物中——而这正是民粹主义在最佳状态下应该做到的——这个过程中就充满了快乐,而且这种快乐需要被反映出来。

Original English

Speaker B: I think there's you can't fake it. And I think that is one of the challenges. Like there are a lot of different things in politics you can fake. You can't fake a true love of the place and the people you're representing. And the mayor doesn't. The mayor loves I think the mayor truly loves every single New York City resident. Like regardless of what they may say about him, like he just loves this city and he lo and it comes through. And I think there's something I think there can be a better job done on the kind of at least on the left populist side of the spectrum of articulating that this is a labor of love. I think Trump supporters are having a very good time, you know, like they do. It's abstract to us, but there was a joy to that to when he was campaigning. You know, people are it's like almost a cultural phenomenon of what it means. And you're wearing your Trump hat or your Trump sticker, like a badge of honor. And I think there's something to that of like something people can take pride in, something people can see themselves in where they belong. And to me it does relate to the like to the power component of people feel I think a mix of factors from like globalization economic factors to then like the influence of social media um people feel just so small and if you can bring them into something that makes them feel big which is what populism should be at its best there's joy in that process and it needs to be reflected.

民粹主义力量与民主党建制派的博弈

Speaker A: 我认为马姆达尼做过的更激进的事情之一,就是利用他作为市长的这种声望(注:或者意为他的支持率/影响力),利用作为市长的影响力来发起一系列的初选挑战,要么是针对像丹·戈德曼(Dan Goldman)这样的现任议员,你知道的,要么是针对那种有现任支持、有建制派背景支持的政治家,从而将像布拉德·兰德(Brad Lander)或者瓦尔德斯(Valdez)这样的盟友送进国会。呃,这其中还有美国民主社会主义者(DSA)的因素。你曾在这些竞选活动中工作过,我认为这有点像是在通过马姆达尼来进行运作,并且这引发了大量的辩论和讨论,即民主党是否正处于一个分裂时刻的开端。那么你是这样看待的吗?比如,你如何理解马姆达尼、DSA、以及老实说像拉蒂默(Platiner/Latimer)竞选活动所代表的那些更为直接的力量建设努力?这种民粹主义的推动力与既有的民主党建制派之间到底是什么关系?

Original English

Speaker A: One of the more radical things I think Mdani has done has been to then use the kind of popularity as his mayor, the influences as mayor to launch a series of primary challenges of either incumbents like Dan Goldman um you know or sort of incumbentbacked establishmentbacked um politicians to to send allies like you know Brad Lander or Valdez to Congress. Uh there's also been a DSA component of this. you worked on these campaigns, I think sort of working through Mandani and it led to a lot of debate and discussion about whether or not the Democratic part is in like the beginning of a schisming moment. So is that how you see it? Like how do you understand the power building efforts that Mandani that the DSA that some of the more um frankly that the Platiner campaign represented? like what is the relationship of the sort of populist push and the established Democratic party?

Speaker B: 我觉得吧,我对此的观点是,你知道的,要么是政治家们可以做出改变,要么就是他们所代表的选民将会去改变到底是谁在代表他们。而且,这种认为任何人都能够成为党的“看门人”的想法,我觉得有点荒谬。我们的意图并不是去下定义。选民可以去下定义,而且我们,你知道的,每个人都可以在向选民阐述自己理念的过程中发挥自己的作用,向选民说明他们认为这应该是什么样的。这就好像是在问,我们为什么不去问问,达里娅·丽莎(Daria Lisa)做对了什么,才能激发出所有这些新人的活力,并把所有这些年轻选民都吸引进来?而且你可以保留这样的空间:我不同意任何各自的具体言论,但同时我也很好奇,也许这其中有什么值得借鉴的东西。抛开这一切的道德成分不谈,如果你相信的是一种“做减法”的逻辑,那这绝对是糟糕的选举数学。我们的工作应该是要把更多的人带进来。我们有初选,我们有正式选举。这就是整个体系的运作方式。至于这其中所谓“输不起的人”(sore loser)的那部分因素,我认为它并没有什么特别的建设性。而且我认为确实是这样的。我们应该对以下事实感到兴奋:有这么多新的年轻人在站出来投票;我们应该对那些几十年都没有投过票的人开始站出来投票感到兴奋;人们进行提前投票的速度变得更快了,因为他们更加迫切。就像这样,这里面(轻哼)确实正在发生一些好的事情。我认为,那些对此感到受到威胁的人,倒不如去拥抱它,这样反而能帮到他们自己。

Original English

Speaker B: I think like my perspective on it is, you know, either politicians can change or the voters for whom they represent are going to change who who's representing them. And it's not like the the idea that anyone gets to be a gatekeeper to the party I find kind of absurd. It is not our intent to define. Voters can define and we you know everyone can play their role in making the case to voters of what they believe it should be. And it's like why are we not asking the question what did Daria Lisa do right to energize all these new people and bring in all these young voters and you can hold room for I disagree with whatever respective comments but I'm also curious about maybe there's something here to offer. Putting aside the moral component of it all that it is bad electoral math to believe in subtraction. The job is to bring more people in. We have primaries. We have elections. That's how this works. And the sore loser component of it, I don't think is like particularly productive. And I think there is. We should be excited by the fact there's so many new young people showing up to vote. We should be excited by the fact that people who haven't voted in decades are shown to vote. That people are early voting faster because they're more eager. Like there is [snorts] something good here that's happening. And I think the people who feel threatened by it could do themselves a favor by embracing it.

Speaker A: 我从你可能正在谈论的那类民主党人那里听到的批评声音是,现在正在发生的情况是,在那些安全的民主党选区,党的路线正在向左转。而且那是……他们可能对这一点有任何他们自己的看法。但是他们对这方面的担忧,他们对围绕这方面的活力以及它从像我这样的人那里获得的媒体关注度的担忧在于,他们觉得这让民主党在像北卡罗来纳州或俄亥俄州这样的地方开展工作变得更加困难了。也就是说,他们认为全国性政党给人的印象正在变得更加社会主义化。你知道,有人对诸如“取消警察资金”或者“废除监狱”等话题发表了各种各样的评论。所以,我认为,作为一个确实在乎赢得选举的人——不仅是在像缅因州这样更加偏向深蓝色的地方,而且也是在像俄亥俄州和阿拉斯加州等这样的地方——你是怎么看待这种挑战的呢?这就好比,这庞大的民主党群体如何才能整合成一个能够在所有地方都具有竞争力的整体,不仅仅是在纽约市,而是,你知道的,在像印第安纳州和北达科他州这种民主党过去曾经能够获胜的地方?

Original English

Speaker A: The critique I hear from the sort of Democrats you're I think talking about there is that what's going on now is that in safe democratic areas the party is going left and that's they might have whatever view they have on that but their the their worry about it and their worry about the energy around it about the amount of media attention it gets from people like me is they feel that it makes the Democratic party's job in a place like North Carolina or Ohio harder that the the perception of the national party is that it's becoming more socialist. You know, you have people who made all kinds of comments about, you know, defunding the police or abolishing prisons. So, I think as somebody who does care about winning, not just in places like Maine, which is more blue, but in places like Ohio and Alaska, etc., how do you think about that challenge? like how does this mass of Democratic parties become one thing that can can compete not just in New York City but you know in places Democrats used to win like Indiana and North Dakota.

Speaker B: 对我来说,有两件事情似乎都是真实的。第一,民主党存在一个全国性的品牌问题,这是不可否认的。但在我看来,那个全国性的品牌问题,并不是源于在那些深蓝色地区代表们所提出的更加自由化的社会观点。它其实源自于一种非常切实的感受,即民主党已经脱离了选民们真正关心的事物。如果你,你知道的,去看看民意调查就会发现,伯尼·桑德斯的受欢迎程度其实要高于查克·舒默(Chuck Schumer)。而且这也是……我认为,正是这种对所谓的精英和权贵阶层的鄙视,在某种程度上加剧了民主党的品牌危机,而这正是我们需要去着手解决、去努力克服的问题。嗯……我认为另一个因素是,民主党人本身也有一种“内斗”或者“清理门户”的成分,这反而火上浇油,助长了这些争端。你知道的,所以这就好像你看到其中一些……

Original English

Speaker B: To me there two things are kind of true. One, there is a national brand problem that is undeniable. To me, that national brand problem does not come from more liberal social perspectives from representatives in deep blue places. It comes from a tangible feeling the Democratic party is out of touch with the things that voters care about. And if you, you know, look at polling, Bernie Sanders is more popular than Chuck Schumer. And there's it is a disdain of kind of the elites and the powerful that I think fuels the democratic brand issue and that is what we need to address to overcome that. Um I think the other component is Democrats have an eat their own component that fuels these flames. you know, so like you see some of

关于党派包容性与政治分歧的探讨

Morris Gats: 这些候选人赢了,但我们作为党派并没有去拥抱他们,没有说:“看,虽然我们在 A、B、C 等立场上存在分歧,但我们一致认同的是,你知道的,我们应该把纳税人的钱花在孩子身上,而不是炸弹上。我们一致同意的是我们需要更强大的工会来提升劳动人民的生活水平。” 现实却是:“是的,他们是一群[消音]激进分子。那不是我的党派。” 就像这样,好吧,

Original English

Morris Gats: these candidates win and instead of us wrapping our arms around them as a party, instead of it being like, look, we disagree with their positions on A, B, and C, but what we're all aligned on is that they're, you know, we should be spending our taxpayer dollars on babies, not bombs. We we all agree is that we need stronger unions to be able to lift up working people. We need There's like a, yeah, they're a [ __ ] radical. That's not my party. And it's like, well,

Host: 那你对建制派民主党人有那么友好吗?就像你要求他们对你那么友好一样?

Original English

Host: are you so friendly to the establishment Democrats in the way that you're asking they be friendly to you?

Morris Gats: [笑声] 嗯,我认为那些我批评的人,很多时候并没有带着善意来参与互动,就像他们批评我们时那样。我认为,当他们的立场因为他们所收受的金钱和他们需要听命的人而妥协时,这才是伤害我们党派形象的原因。然后他们居然还有脸为此把别人推出来当替罪羊。这就是缺乏诚意,这就是问题的所在。我……

Original English

Morris Gats: [laughter] Um, I think that they are not I think the people who I'm critical of often times are not engaging in good faith the way that they're critical of our like I don't think I think that when their positions are compromised because of the money they take and the people they're answering to and that that is what is hurting the brand and then they have the audacity to throw other people under the bus for it. It's bad faith and it's the problem. I

Host: 我只是说,其实我并没有……我是个支持“大帐篷”党派策略的人。我在这方面做了很多工作,而且我认为我已经证明了这一点。但我只是想说,有时候我发现双方都觉得对方,也就是对方认为自己愿意友善行事而另一方不愿意。就像,我会这样描述你刚才对我说的话:民主党,在这个概念还成立的范围内,它里面的精英阶层应该更加接纳克莱尔·巴尔德斯(Clare Valdez),并且应该认识到,即使他们和她有分歧,大家某种程度上也算是站在同一阵营的。但是呢,你的态度又像是:“看,他们的问题在于他们太腐败了”[笑声]。而且我认为,他们可能不会觉得,这种把他们一直以来的努力(即努力赢得多数席位)框架化描述的方式,显得很友善。

Original English

Host: I I'm just saying and I don't actually have I'm a big tent party guy. I've done a lot of work on this and and I think I've proven this out, but I am just saying that sometimes I I find that both sides feel the other one that that they're willing to play nice and the other one isn't. It's like you're the way I would describe what you are saying to me here is the Democratic like the Democratic party to the extent such a thing exists but the sort of elites of it should be more embracing of uh Clare Valdez um and should recognize that even if they have disagreements with her you know everybody's kind of on the same side um you know and you're like look the problem with them is that they're corrupt [laughter] and and I think they might you know not see that as such a friendly way to frame the the work they've been doing to say try to win a majority.

Morris Gats: 我,我的意思是,我……

Original English

Morris Gats: I I mean I

Host: 我甚至不是在说他们不腐败,但是……

Original English

Host: I'm not even saying they're not corrupt, but

Morris Gats: 是的,我,我认为他们是完全不同的两条路线……

Original English

Morris Gats: yeah, I I think they're two different lanes

Host: 并且,我想说,这实际上也是我听过的对你的批评之一。争论点在于:你会说他们是腐败的,但接下来你又会说,你知道,我其实挺喜欢汤姆·斯泰尔(Tom Steyer)的。但是,你知道,接下来的逻辑就像是,只要你是和“正确的”亿万富翁合作,那就没问题,对吧?只要你是和那些更偏建制派的“正确”候选人合作,比如纽约州第12选区的迈克尔·阿舍(Michael Asher)——我想你在那场竞选中也稍微参与了一点——那就没问题。似乎只要是自己人,任何人都可以;但如果他们属于另一边,那么,他们就可能是一个腐败的、背叛人民的叛徒。

Original English

Host: and and and I'll just say that this is like actually one of the critiques I've heard um of you a fight of it's like you'll say they're corrupt and then it's like you know I actually like Tom Star quite a bit but you know then you have it's like as long as you're working with the right billionaires it's fine, right? as long as you are um working with the right more establishment candidates like Michael Asher in New York 12, which I think you were a little bit involved in that race, it's fine that that there's a as long that anybody's fine as long as they're on our side and that, you know, if they're on the other side, then they're, you know, possibly a corrupt traitor of the people.

Morris Gats: 对于那种类型的候选人,我想说的是,他们中没有一个人拿过游说集团的钱。他们中没有一个……

Original English

Morris Gats: I mean, what I'd say about that spectrum of candidates, none of them take money from lobbyists. None of them

Host: 汤姆是个亿万富翁。他不需要拿别人的钱。

Original English

Host: Tom is a billionaire. He doesn't need to.

Morris Gats: 他们都没有接受企业政治行动委员会(PACs)的资金。他们所有人都对政府的角色及其应尽的职责有着深厚的信念。而且我认为,对于那些在特朗普支持率领先20个百分点(Trump plus 20)的地区竞选的人,我们应该给予很大的宽容度。让人感觉不那么一致的是,很多最严厉的批评者实际上并没有在那些特朗普领先20个百分点的地方竞选。比如你听到罗伊·库珀(Roy Cooper)和谢罗德·布朗(Sherrod Brown)向左翼发难的次数,要比你听到某些有线电视新闻频道的常客们少得多,那些人只不过是国会议员,在民主党领先10个百分点(D plus 10)之类的选区。所以,如果你看看那些真正有被证明过的超常表现记录的人,你会发现他们并没有采取那种(严厉批评的)策略。这并不是说他们和党派大局完全步调一致,但他们之所以能取得超出预期的成绩,靠的不仅仅是一味地迎合左翼,而是根据他们所在选区的独特性开辟出了独特的发展道路。

Original English

Morris Gats: None of them take money from corporate packs. All of them have a deep belief in government's role and what it should do. And like I I think we should give a ton of leeway for people running in Trump plus 20 places. What doesn't feel like it quite corresponds is a lot of the people who are like the harshest critics are actually not running in those Trump plus 20 places. Like you hear Roy Cooper and shared Brown punching left a whole lot less than you hear like you know the frequenters of certain cable news circuits who are just members of Congress and like D plus 10 seats or something you so it actually doesn't if you look at the people who really have proven records of overperformance it's not the tactic they're taking that's not to say they're like in lock step with the party at large and everything but they're not reaching those overperformances by just piling on to the left. They're just carving out unique things to their places.

关于候选人招募与未来政治的反思

Host: 那么,我想在最后把话题转回到普拉蒂纳(Platiner)身上。关于普拉蒂纳的故事,我认为最有趣的事情之一就是他是被招募来的——你们走出去,找到了一个你们认为适合缅因州的候选人。很大程度上,你们是对的。当然,这个计划在最后阶段崩溃了。 [倒吸一口气] 但是,那种认为在这个时代存在着不同类型的候选人能够胜任的想法,我认为人们不应该把这抛弃。所以,我想问你,老实说也是问那些可能想从你们在那里的尝试中学习的人:在如何寻找候选人方面,无论是好的经验还是坏的教训,你学到了什么?对吧?如果你想说民主党需要招募不同类型的人来竞选,但同时你又想认真对待这样一个事实,即那些没有从政经验、没有在政治圈内受过严格审查的人可能会带来更多的下行风险。那么下一次,你们的流程会是怎样的?

Original English

Host: So, I want to loop back to Platiner here at the end. One of the things I thought was just most interesting about the Platiner story was that he was recruited that that you all went out and found a candidate you thought would fit Maine. And to a large extent, you were right. Now, it fell apart at the end. [gasps] But that sense that there are different kinds of candidates out there who could work in this moment, I don't think that's something that people should throw overboard. And so, sort of my question for you and honestly for sort of like others who might want to learn from what you all at least were trying to do there is what have you learned both for good and bad about how to find candidates? Right? If if you want to say the Democratic party needs to recruit a different kind of person to run, but also you want to take seriously that that people who have not been in politics and have not been aggressively vetted in politics might come with more downside risk. What would be your what would be your process next time?

Morris Gats: 我认为,现在人们对一种不同类型的政治有着极度深切的渴望。人们对现状感到非常非常沮丧,而且我们现在看到的,并不是开国元勋们所设想的那种民主。你知道,它本应更像是一个农民去服役两个任期,然后解甲归田;或者一个小企业主去服役两个任期,然后回家。那种理念几乎就像是一座大教堂,代表着美国的社会结构。而我们现在离那个目标差得太远了。我认为这就是我们现在面临这么多问题的原因所在。国会中只有 2% 的人来自工人阶级。我认为这一切有许多方面是毁灭性的。但其中之一是,人们对此投入了太多的希望和信念,而那些原本已经对政治心灰意冷的人们又再次感到了鼓舞。我认为,当我们这样做的时候,我们对人们提出了很高的要求,让他们相信也许他们的生活真的会变得更好。也许政治真的可以成为向善的工具。我们不能让他们失望。这就意味着需要不同的标准。意味着需要一个,我认为,严格得多的审查过程。我想,这还意味着要引入更多的合作伙伴,进行更广泛的对话。但我认为这其中的利害关系太大,我们不能就此走开。而且很明显,事情照现在的样子是行不通的。[哼气] 嗯,我们需要,我们需要,我们需要找到一种方法,让更多的人参与进来。

Original English

Morris Gats: I think that there is a deep deep hunger for a different kind of politics. There is a deep deep frustration with the status quo and what we're seeing right now is not a democracy the way the founders intended it. You know, it was supposed to be something that looked more like a farmer going to serve their two terms than going home and a small business owner going to serve their two terms and coming home. And it was, you know, the idea of it being almost a cathedral representative of the fabric of America. And we are so far from that. And I think that is why we have so many of the problems we have. Only 2% of Congress is from the working class. I think there are many things that are devastating about all of this. But one of the many is the degree in which people have had so much put so much hope and faith into this and that it people who' kind of written politics all felt inspired again. And I think when we do that, we're asking for so much for people to believe that maybe their lives can actually get better. Maybe politics can actually be a tool for good. We can't let them down. And that's going to mean different standards. That's going to mean a far more robust vetting process. That's going to mean, I think, bring in more partners and larger conversations. But I think there there's too much at stake to walk away. And things are so clearly not working the way they are right now. [snorts] Um we we we need to find a way to bring more people in.

书籍推荐

Host: 最后我想问最后一个问题。你会向观众推荐哪三本书?

Original English

Host: And then I'll ask our final question. What are three books you'd recommend to the audience?

Morris Gats: 三本书。嗯,我会推荐瓦西里·格罗斯曼(Vasily Grossman)的《生存与命运》(Life and Fate)。我认为这是一部非常震撼的人性刻画作品,描写了那个整个时代大屠杀的余波。嗯,还有马肯娜·古德曼(McKenna Goodman)的《羞耻》(Shame),我认为这是一本非常美丽的书,探讨了孤独、梦想与焦虑之间的摩擦。我想,在某种程度上它完全不是一本政治书籍,但在我们正在进行的对话语境中,探讨现代社会对人的影响时,它又让人感觉具有政治意味。嗯,然后……我还没有读完,但我目前正在读丹尼尔·斯夸德伦(Daniel Squadron)的《第四分支》(The Fourth Branch),我非常喜欢这本书。我认为它对政治权力在哪里,以及我们如何能够塑造一个在日常基础上改善人们生活的政府,做出了非常敏锐的观察。

Original English

Morris Gats: Three books. Um, I'll do uh Life and Fate by Vaseli Gman. A really, I think, stunning kind of human portrayal um of the ramifications of the Holocaust in that entire era. Um, Shame by McKenna Goodman, a really, I think, beautiful book of of uh kind of the friction of isolation and dreams and anxiety. And I think in some way it's not at all a political book but feels political in the way of the conversation we're having of I think the results of modern society on people. Um and then um I have not finished it yet but I'm currently reading uh the fourth branch by Daniel Squadron and very much enjoying that and I think it's a really astute um observation of where political power is and how we can kind of shape a government that's on a day-to-day basis improving people's lives.

Host: 莫里斯·加茨(Morris Gats),非常感谢你。

Original English

Host: Morris Gats, thank you very much.

Morris Gats: 感谢你邀请我。

Original English

Morris Gats: Thanks for having me. Heat. Heat.

📌 文中提及的人物和组织

关键字: candidate-vetting political-strategy populism-theory establishment-vulnerability electoral-cycles