加拿大极端主义威胁现状
Barbara Perry: 我认为我们正处于一个相当高的威胁水平。在过去的十年左右,我认为总共有五起大规模谋杀、大规模杀人事件,造成 24 人死亡,这些都与某种形式的右翼极端主义有关,无论是反穆斯林暴力、反原住民暴力,还是事实上,反政府暴力。我认为这种威胁仍在继续,因为活跃团体和活跃成员的叙事会煽动对目标社区的暴力,煽动对国家的暴力。所以,我认为我看到了这种威胁,而且我认为连 CSIS 也看到了这种威胁。
Original English
Barbara Perry: I think we're at a fairly high threat level. I mean, over the past decade or so, we've had, I think, a total of five mass murders, mass homicides, resulting in 24 deaths that have been associated with some variant of right wing extremism, whether it's anti-Muslim violence or anti-indigenous violence or, in fact, anti-authority violence as well. And I think the threat continues because of the narratives that are associated with the active groups and active members now that do promote violence against targeted communities, promote violence against the state. So I think I see that threat, and I think even CSIs has seen that threat.
极端主义的演变
Barbara Perry: 是的,我认为这是一个有趣的问题。我是说,我在 90 年代在亚利桑那州工作时就开始研究白人至上主义,然后在加拿大,大约在 2011 年左右开始研究这里的运动,当时焦点确实是受伊斯兰启发的极端主义,对极右翼的关注非常少。当时我甚至不确定是否存在极右翼威胁。所以我们发起了第一项研究,事实上,到 2015 年我们发表研究时,我们已经开始看到该运动出现了相当大的增长。我认为,政策制定者、利益相关者花了几年时间才认识到这一点。所以,直到 2018 年、2019 年,我们才开始在联邦层面关注它。但在那段时间里,威胁本身发生了巨大的转变,你知道,那种威胁,它真的不是国内威胁。它确实是你所看到的,即外国战斗人员,那些去其他国家打仗或参与叛乱的人。我们确实开始看到与极右翼相关的国内威胁有所增加。再次强调,可能是在 2016 年、2017 年左右,例如在唐纳德·特朗普崛起之后。
Original English
Barbara Perry: Yeah, I think it's an interesting question. I mean, I started looking at well, I started looking at white supremacy when I was working in Arizona in the 90s, but then in the Canadian context, started looking at the movement here probably around 2011 or so, when really the focus was on Islamist inspired extremism, very little attention being paid to the far right. I wasn't even sure if there was a far right threat at the time. So we launched the first study, and in fact, by the time we published in 2015, we were beginning to see quite a dramatic increase in the movement. Took some years, I think, for policymakers, for stakeholders to Recognize that. So it wasn't probably until 2018, 2019 that we started paying attention to it at the at the federal level. But during that period of time, the threat itself shifted quite dramatically from, you know, the, the threat of and, and it really wasn't a domestic threat. It really was exactly what you're seeing that is foreign fighters, folks going to fight wars or insurrections in other parts of the world. We really started to see that increase in the domestic threat associated with the far right. Again, probably around 2016, 2017, after the rise of Donald Trump, for example.
COVID-19 的催化作用
Barbara Perry: 是的,它确实是。我认为它是一个催化剂。正如我所说,我们已经在 2018 年、2019 年左右开始看到加拿大国内的右翼极端主义和反政府极端主义有所增加。而 COVID-19,我认为,确实点燃了反国家情绪和活动,但也点燃了反犹太主义和反亚洲情绪。这两个社区都因不同的阴谋论而被指责为 COVID-19 的原因。因此,在许多方面,它们也成为了右翼极端主义者以及街上其他人的目标。而且,我认为抗议活动也起到了作用,通过他们的不满、他们的恐惧和焦虑,将人们带入了这个运动,你知道,关于真实或潜在的工作损失,关于他们认为政府在疫苗接种和健康限制方面的过度干预。所以人们被带入了一个运动,这个运动在许多方面是由至少与极右翼叙事相邻,甚至深度嵌入其中的人策划的。
Original English
Barbara Perry: Yeah, it really was. I think it was an accelerator. As I say, we're already starting to see an increase in right wing extremism Anti-authority extremism in the Canadian context around 2018, 2019. And Covid, I think, really lit a fuse around, obviously anti-statist sentiment and activity, but also anti-Semitism and anti-Asian sentiment. Both of those communities were held accountable through different conspiracy theories for Covid. So they also became the targets of right wing extremists in many respects and, and others on the street. And I think the convoys also played a role in that, in bringing people into the movement through their grievances, through their fears and anxieties in terms of, you know, real or potential job loss, in terms of, you know, what they saw as government overreach with respect to vaccinations and, and health restrictions. So people were brought into a movement that was in many respects orchestrated by folks at least adjacent to, if not deeply embedded in far right narratives.
当前的极端主义团体
Barbara Perry: 有些是之前存在的团体的变体,有些是我们认为已经转入地下了。例如,“Proud Boys”被指定为恐怖实体,然后以“Canada First”的身份重新出现。他们仍在某种程度上活跃,但我认为我们现在真正担心的是所谓的“Active Clubs”。它们通常是加速主义者或新纳粹集体,如果你愿意这么说的话,它们受到种族主义、厌女症、反女性主义叙事的影响。它们通过强调健身来吸引人们加入运动,因此得名“Active Clubs”。所以他们以健身的名义吸引人们加入,他们通常是全男性团体。所以,我的意思是,我认为厌女症是根植于其中的,并逐渐将人们融入这些意识形态。我认为与他们有关联的是一个名为“Second Sons”的新团体,它在某种程度上是从“Diagolon”演变而来的,我们在 COVID 期间看到了“Diagolon”,由 Jeremy Mackenzie 领导。然后他创建了“Second Sons”,这是那个民族主义团体更具侵略性的变体,如果你愿意这么说的话。所以那是“冲击波”或“地面部队”。然后我们有一个名为“Dominion Society of Canada”的团体,也与 Mackenzie 和“Second Sons”有关,它在很多方面是政治分支。所以它是一个注册的非营利组织,试图影响政治政策和政治叙事。所以这些是我认为目前最显眼的团体。我的意思是,还有其他几个是它们的衍生品,但那些是我认为安全部门最密切关注的。
Original English
Barbara Perry: There are some that are variants, if you will, of previously existing groups, some that we thought were underground. So Proud Boys, for example, were designated as terrorist entities and re-emerged as Canada First. They're still active to some extent, but I think really what we're worried about now are what are referred to as active clubs. They're typically Accelerationists or Neo-Nazi collectives, if you will, that are informed by racism, by misogyny, by anti-feminist narratives. And they bring people into the movement through an emphasis on fitness, hence the name active clubs. So they bring people in through the in the name of fitness, they're typically all male groups. And so, I mean, I think the, the misogyny is, is embedded in them and slowly integrate people into the ideologies. I think affiliated with them are a new group, Second Sons, which emerged in some respects out of Diagolon, which we saw in during Covid days led by Jeremy Mackenzie. He then created Second Sons, which is a much more aggressive variant of that nationalist group, if you will. So that's sort of the shock troops or the or the feet on the ground. Then we have a group called also related to Mackenzie and related to Second Sons, the Dominion Society of Canada, which sort of is the political arm in many respects. So a registered, not for profit Organization that attempts to influence political policy and political narratives as well. So those are the sorts of groups that I think are really most visible right now. I mean, there are several others that are offshoots of those, but but those are the ones I think that security services are looking at most closely.
地缘政治事件的影响
Barbara Perry: 是的,我认为那些地缘政治事件确实会影响这里的运动,而且可能朝多个方向发展。我记得几年前以色列发生袭击事件后,你看到一些极右翼团体同时赞扬双方,既赞扬对以色列的袭击,也赞扬以色列随后对巴勒斯坦的袭击。我们也会看到这种情况。我的意思是,他们只是会利用它。他们非常善于利用和剥削这些危机来加强他们的信息,扩大他们的影响范围,并增加他们的成员。所以这肯定会对这里的运动产生影响,也会影响那些基于他们的反犹太主义或反穆斯林或反阿拉伯情绪采取行动的个人。
Original English
Barbara Perry: Yeah, I think that those sorts of geopolitical events do influence the movement here, and it can go in multiple directions. I remember after the attack in Israel just a couple of years ago, where you had, you know, some far right groups applauding both sides, both the attack on Israel, but also Israel's attack on subsequent forays into Palestine. And we're going to see that as well. I mean, they're just going to use it as. They're so good at leveraging and exploiting these kinds of crises to enhance their messages and to broaden their reach and to broaden their membership as well. So it's definitely going to have an impact here in terms of the movement, but also just individual actors acting on their anti-Semitism or acting on their anti-Muslim or anti-Arab sentiment.
对左翼极端主义的理解
Barbara Perry: 我认为左翼……极右翼很难定义。左翼甚至更难定义。它甚至更加混乱,如果你愿意这么说的话。它非常以议题为导向,你知道,我们的动物权利活动家,我们的左翼,你知道,我们的环保活动家,极左翼。真的很难定义他们在哪里。但就风险而言,当然,我们看不到同样的身体暴力威胁,针对个人的攻击,因为他们的身份。在加拿大,我们可能会看到一些财产犯罪,你知道,针对与特定组织或公司相关的建筑物或设施的袭击。但是,你知道,威胁要小得多。我认为我们可能会看到暴力的地方更多地在于与极右翼分子之间的互动和接触。所以在抗议活动中,你知道,我们会看到双方都有暴力。但我认为那是罕见的情况,我们会看到来自极左翼的身体暴力。
Original English
Barbara Perry: I think the far left is. Far right is hard to define. The far left is even more difficult to define. It's even more disorganized, if you will. An issue oriented very often, you know, our animal rights activists, our left, our, you know, our, environmental activists, far, far left. It's really hard to define where they are. But I think in terms of risk, certainly we don't see the same threat of, physical violence, attacks on individuals because of their identity. In the Canadian context, we may see some property crime and, you know, attacks on buildings or facilities, associated with particular, organizations or corporations. But, you know, the the threat is, is far less, I think where we see where we might see violence is more and that, interaction and engagement with far right actors. So it protests, you know, we'll see violence coming from, from both sides. But I think that's the rare instance where we'll see physical violence coming from the far left.
政策与工具的有效性
Barbara Perry: 我认为我们没有合适的政策和工具来应对它。可能没有。在某些方面,如果我们考虑仇恨犯罪,我认为这是一个连续体,而且通常是一个政治决定,我们是否将某事标记为仇恨犯罪,或者我们是否将其标记为恐怖主义或极端主义,或者两者兼而有之。即使在仇恨犯罪方面,你知道,我们的工具非常有限,但我认为比我们拥有的工具更成问题的是它们的使用程度。我认为问题所在,在于执法方面。所以如果我们看仇恨犯罪立法,例如,它很少被援引,甚至恐怖主义相关的罪行,直到大约五年前,迈克尔·内斯比特的一项伟大研究表明,几乎所有被起诉的恐怖主义相关指控都围绕着伊斯兰主义或类似的运动和个人。没有针对任何与极右翼叙事有任何联系的人提起恐怖主义指控。这种情况已经改变。在过去三四年里,我们看到了一些案例。所以我认为我们终于看到,你知道,法院在一定程度上,以及检方和检察官正在跟上地面的威胁,通过起诉。
Original English
Barbara Perry: I think I know the answer to this question, just based off the the rise that we have seen, and in violent extremism over the years here in this country. But do we have the right policies in place and tools to deal with it? Probably not. And in some respects, if we think about hate crime and I think it's a continuum and it's a political decision, often whether we label something as a hate crime or whether we label it as terrorism or extremism or either, of the above, even in terms of hate crime, you know, we have very limited tools, but I think more problematic than the tools that we have is the extent to which they're used. There's where the problem lies, I think, is, is in terms of enforcement. So if we look at hate crime legislation, for example, very rarely, is it invoked and even a terrorism, related offenses, up until about five years ago, great study by Michael Nesbitt, that showed that virtually all of the terrorism related charges that have been brought to bear, were around Islamist or, or similar, sorts of, movements and individuals. No terrorism charges have been brought against anyone, connected in any way with far right narratives. That's changed. We've seen a handful of cases in the last 3 or 4 years. And so I think we are seeing finally, you know, the courts to some extent and crowns are and prosecutors are catching up to the threats on the ground with the charging
去激进化项目
Barbara Perry: 可供处置的工具之一是去激进化项目。我很好奇,它们有多成功?在阻止或减少威胁方面?嗯,首先,许多从事这个领域的人会说,我们不是在去激进化人们。第一步是让他们脱离,让他们脱离运动,让他们摆脱那些叙事。所以我们看到全国有许多项目,远远不够。你知道,它们主要集中在阿尔伯塔省,以及安大略省和魁北克省。但这取决于我们寻找什么。你知道,有一些退出策略,旨在将人们带出运动,一旦他们已经身处其中,它们通常涉及曾经是极端主义运动一部分的人。所以这种指导方法似乎非常有效。我们还看到一些对家庭和社区的支持,你知道,亲人或社区成员似乎正朝着这些运动发展。所以他们会进行早期干预,试图通过提供替代的、社会性的机会来阻止这种情况。我们在这里看到了一些成功。我认为,困难的挑战在于预防领域,我们试图,你知道,反击一些叙事,或者为教师和照顾者提供他们所需的工具来识别正在出现的问题,以便他们能够进行干预,以便他们知道自己在寻找什么。这些策略,你知道,我们落后了一点,而且显而易见,预防比应对更具挑战性。
Original English
Barbara Perry: one of the tools, that are that is at disposal is de-radicalisation programs. I am curious, how successful are they? In sort of preventing or decreasing the threat? Yeah. Well, first of all, many people who work in this space would say that, you know, we're not we're not necessarily de radicalizing people. The first step is to disengage them, to bring them out of the movement, to draw them back from from those narratives. And so we are seeing a number of programs, across the country, not nearly enough. You know, they're really clustered in Alberta and Ontario to some extent, Quebec. But it depends on what we're looking for. You know, there are exit strategies which are intended to bring people out of the movement once they're already in, and they often involve people who were part of, extremist movements themselves. So that mentoring approach seems to have been very effective. We're also seeing, some support for families, and, and communities where, you know, loved ones or members of the community seem to be moving down the garden path towards some of these movements. And so they will engage in sort of early intervention and try to stall that by providing alternative, sort of pro-social, opportunities, if you will. And, we're seeing some success there. The difficult challenge, I think, is in the prevention space, where we're trying to, you know, sort of counter some of those narratives or to provide teachers and caregivers with the tools that they need to identify a problem emerging, so that they're able to intervene so that they know what it is. They're looking for, those sorts of strategies, you know, we're a little more behind and it's more challenging, obviously, to, to prevent than it is to react.
Barbara Perry: 好的。感谢您的时间。
Original English
Barbara Perry: Okay. Thanks for your time.
📌 文中提及的人物和组织
公司/组织: CSIS