你知道,从生物学角度来说,我说——应该给大象吃多少LSD?
英文原文
ou know, biologically, I said- How much LSD shouldyou give an elephant?
(柔和的音乐)
英文原文
(mellow music)嗯,对于一个通情达理的人来说,正确的答案大概是一点都不给。
英文原文
Well, to a reasonable person,the correct answer is probably none.
但如果是为了科学实验必须这么做呢?
英文原文
But what if you needed to doit for a scientific experiment?
20世纪60年代,中央情报局正在进行一项名为“MKUltra”的绝密项目,其主要目标之一是查明如何利用像LSD这样的药物来改变人类行为。
英文原文
In the 1960s, the CIA was working ona top secret project known as MKUltra,
and one of their main
goals was to find out
how drugs like LSD could be
used to change human behavior.
大象就是在这个环节登场的,因为大象平时通常非常温顺,但有时它们会突然发狂。
英文原文
And this is where elephants come inbecause elephants are
normally quite docile,
but sometimes they just snap.
当时的一个假说是,这种行为变化可能是由它们大脑中天然产生的一种类似LSD的物质释放所引发的。
英文原文
And the hypothesis wasthat this change in
behavior might be triggered
by the release of an LSD-like substance
that naturally occurs in their brains.
所以,如果这是真的,那么给温顺的大象服用LSD或许就能重现这种行为。
英文原文
So if that's true, then administering LSDto a docile elephant might
reproduce that behavior.
因此,真正的问题是,你应该给大象服用多少LSD,才能使剂量既大到足以引起心理反应,又不至于大到造成伤害?
英文原文
So the real question washow much LSD should you give
an elephant so that the
dose is large enough
to cause a psychological reaction,
but not so large that it causes harm?
(柔和的音乐)
英文原文
(mellow music)研究人员当时并不清楚,以前从未给这么大的动物用过LSD,但他们确实知道猫的安全剂量大约是0.3毫克。
英文原文
Well, the researchers didn'tknow, LSD had never been given
to an animal that big,
but they did know that
the safe dose in cats
was around 0.3 milligrams.
由于大象的质量大约是猫的一千倍,他们琢磨着:那就给它一千倍的剂量。
英文原文
Now, since an elephant has arounda thousand times the mass of a cat,
they figured we'll give it
a thousand times the dose.
他们获准在塔斯科(Tusko)身上进行这项实验,它是俄克拉荷马州林肯公园动物园的一头亚洲象。
英文原文
They received approval toperform the experiment on Tusko,
an Indian elephant at the
Lincoln Park Zoo in Oklahoma.
在动物园里,他们给它注射了近300毫克的LSD。
英文原文
And there they injected himwith nearly 300 milligrams of LSD.
然而不到五分钟,塔斯科便大声嘶鸣、瘫倒、重重地倒在右侧,出现排便,并陷入癫痫持续状态。
英文原文
But within five minutes,Tusko trumpeted, collapsed,
fell heavily onto his
right side, defecated,
and went into status epilepticus.
他们尝试注射了几种其他药物来抢救它,但塔斯科不久后便死去了。
英文原文
They administered a few other drugsin an attempt to revive him,
but Tusko died shortly thereafter.
他们犯的错误是假定安全药物剂量与质量呈线性比例缩放。
英文原文
The mistake they made was to assumethat safe drug dosage
scales linearly with mass.
事实并非如此。
英文原文
It does not.而且事实证明,很多像这样的事物并不会按照你预期的方式进行缩放。
英文原文
And it turns out there area lot of things like this
that don't scale in the way you'd expect.
(柔和的音乐)
英文原文
(mellow music)心跳与生命周期的缩放律
例如,以按质量计最小的哺乳动物伊特鲁里亚鼩鼱,和最大的陆生哺乳动物非洲草原象为例。
英文原文
For example, take thesmallest mammal by mass,
the Etruscan shrew,
and the largest land mammal,
the African bush elephant.
你认为哪一个在整个一生中的心跳次数更多?
英文原文
Which do you think has more heartbeatsover the course of its entire life?
其实,一头非洲象一生的心跳次数大约在10亿次左右,而一只伊特鲁里亚鼩鼱一生的心跳次数也是10亿次。
英文原文
Well, an African elephant hasaround a billion
heartbeats in its lifetime,
and an Etruscan shrew also has a billion
heartbeats in its lifetime.
那沙袋鼠呢?也是10亿次。
英文原文
What about a wallaby?Also a billion.
二趾树懒?又是10亿次。
英文原文
A two-toed sloth?A billion again.
几乎每一种哺乳动物,无论它们生活在什么环境中、体型有多大,甚至无论它们是活1年还是活100年,从出生到死亡的那天,它们的心跳总数大约都在10亿次左右。
英文原文
Just about every mammal, no matterwhat environment they live
in, how large they are,
or even whether they live
for one year or 100 years,
they all get around a billion heartbeats
between the day they're
born and the day they die.
- 为什么是10亿次?为什么不是100万次?为什么不是1000次?偏偏不是其他这些数字。
英文原文
- Why a billion?Why not a million?
Why not a thousand?
It's not these other numbers.
- 除了一种哺乳动物之外,所有哺乳动物都是如此。
英文原文
- That is every mammal except one.本视频在很大程度上基于杰弗里·韦斯特(Geoffrey West)所著的《规模》(Scale)一书。如果你想了解更多,我会在下方的简介里放一个链接。
英文原文
This video is in largepart based on the book
Scale by Geoffrey West.
If you want to learn more,
I'll put a link to it
down in the description.
更令人好奇的是,仅仅通过知道一种哺乳动物的质量,你就能预测出数量惊人的生物特征,从它的脉搏率和繁殖产出,一直到它的总寿命。
英文原文
What's even more curious is thatjust by knowing a mammal's mass,
you can predict a staggering number
of biological traits from its pulse rate
and reproductive output
to its total lifespan.
同样的规律也适用于城市。如果你知道人口和地理位置,就能让你预测从平均工资、专利申请量,到犯罪率、疾病患病率,甚至行人行走的字面速度等方方面面。
英文原文
The same pattern holds for cities.If you know the population and location,
that allows you to forecast
everything from average wages
and patent filings to crime
rates, disease prevalence,
and even the literal speed
at which pedestrians walk.
那么这怎么可能呢?嗯,为此我们必须回到大象塔斯科的案例上。
英文原文
So how is that possible?Well, for that, we have
to go back to the case
of Tusko the Elephant.
研究人员假定安全药物剂量与质量成正比。质量翻倍,剂量翻倍。
英文原文
Researchers assumed that safe drug dosageis proportional to mass.
Double the mass, double the dose.
但事实表明,动物处理化合物的速度并不直接取决于它的质量,它更多取决于它的代谢率,也就是它在给定时间内消耗的卡路里数。
英文原文
But it turns out that thespeed at which an animal
can process chemical compounds
doesn't depend directly on its mass.
It depends more on its metabolic rate.
That is the number of calories it uses
in a given amount of time.
- 你的身体里时刻在发生着很多事情。你的心脏在跳动,这需要能量;你在体内运送食物,消化需要能量;维持大脑运转需要能量,呼吸也是。你所做的一切都需要能量。
英文原文
- There's a lot going on in your body.Your heart is pumping, that takes energy.
You're moving food around.
Digestion takes energy.
Keeping your brain going
takes energy, breathing.
Everything that you do requires energy.
(柔和的音乐)
英文原文
(mellow music)代谢与散热:表面积定律
- [主持人] 就猫而言,单单一整天,它们就需要大约250千卡的热量,由它们数万亿个细胞共同消耗。
英文原文
- [Host] For a cat, for a single day,they require roughly 250
kilocalories of energy,
used by all of their trillions of cells.
但是猫的细胞并没有什么特殊之处。如果你取一些猫的细胞和大象的细胞放在显微镜下,你会发现它们大小相似,组成相似,并且执行着相同类型的功能。
英文原文
But there is nothingspecial about a cat's cells.
If you take a cat's cells
and an elephant's cells
and put them under a microscope,
you'll find they're a
similar size, similar makeup,
and they perform the
same sorts of functions.
对于其他动物也是如此。换句话说,动物的构成构件总大致是相同的。
英文原文
The same is true for other animals.In other words, the building blocks
of animals are always roughly the same.
因此,一头质量是一千倍的大象,拥有的细胞数量大约是一千倍。所以你会以为它需要一千倍的能量,即每天250,000千卡。
英文原文
So an elephant that hasa thousand times the mass
has about a thousand times as many cells.
So you'd expect it would need a thousand
times as much energy.
So 250,000 kilocalories per day.
但这正是你遇到麻烦的地方。
英文原文
But that is where you run into problems.- 那么这里的问题是什么呢?如果我是一个生物体,一整天都在燃烧能量,那么这部分能量就会以体热的形式辐射出去。因此,我们一直在通过体表、通过皮肤向环境中散失热量。
英文原文
- So what's the issue here?If I'm an organism
and I'm burning up energy all day long,
that energy is radiated out
in the form of body heat.
So we're constantly losing
heat through our surface,
through our skin, to the environment.
- 为了说明为什么这很重要,让我们简化这个问题,做物理学家标准的做法:假设我们的动物都是完美的球体。
英文原文
- To see why this matters,let's simplify the problem
and do the standard physicist thing.
Let's assume our animals
are perfect spheres.
需要澄清的是,这并不是论证成立所必需的,但它确实让一切变得容易理解得多。
英文原文
To be clear, this isn't necessaryfor the argument to work,
but it does make everything
a lot easier to follow.
由于动物的体积与其质量成正比,我们这头3000千克重的大象的体积比我们3千克重的猫大一千倍。
英文原文
Since the volume of an animalis proportional to its mass,
our 3000 kilogram elephant
has a volume a thousand times
greater than our three kilogram cat.
因此它的半径必须大10倍。这是因为体积与半径的立方成正比。
英文原文
So its radius must be 10 times larger.That's because volume is
proportional to radius cubed.
但表面积的增长仅与半径的平方成正比。因此,大象的表面积仅仅增加了100倍。
英文原文
But surface area onlygrows as radius squared.
So the elephant's surface area
only increases by a factor of 100.
产生一千倍的热量,却只有一百倍的表面积来将其辐射散发出去,大象的结局将会非常悲惨。如果真是这种情况,它会被活活煮熟。
英文原文
Generating a thousand times as much heatwhile only having a hundred
times the surface area
to radiate it away would end very
poorly for the elephant.
If this were the case,
it would boil alive.
(柔和的音乐)
英文原文
(mellow music)因此在1838年,法国科学家提出了一种不同的缩放律。由于代谢产生热量,而热量通过表面辐射,所以代谢率即B,应该转而与表面积A成正比缩放。
英文原文
So in 1838,French scientists proposed
a different scaling law.
Since metabolism generates heat
and that heat is radiated
through the surface,
metabolic rate or B,
should scale in proportion
to the surface area, A, instead.
这被称为表面积定律。
英文原文
This became known as the surface law.现在,我们可以将其改写,看看代谢率是如何作为质量的函数进行缩放的。
英文原文
Now, we can rewrite this to seehow metabolic rate scales
as a function of mass.
表面积与半径的平方成正比,所以我们可以将其替换进来;如果质量与半径的立方成正比,那么半径必与质量的三分之一次方成正比。
英文原文
Surface area is proportionalto radius squared,
so we can swap that in,
and if mass is proportional
to radius cubed,
then radius must be proportional
to mass to the one-third.
将这代入R,我们发现代谢率应该与质量的三分之二次方成比例缩放。
英文原文
Plugging that in for R,we find that metabolic rate should scale
with mass to the two-thirds.
- 一个非常熟悉的例子来自烹饪的思考。
英文原文
- Really familiar example wouldcome from thinking about cooking.
(柔和的音乐)
英文原文
(mellow music)也许你想为感恩节做一只大火鸡。人们通常会表述为:每磅需要多长时间?但你会意识到这是线性思维。
英文原文
Maybe you want to make abig turkey for Thanksgiving.
People commonly phrase it as
how long do I need per pound?
But that you realize is linear thinking.
真正重要的其实是禽鸟或烤肉的厚度,因为热量是通过烤箱的传导进来的,必须在肉内部进行热扩散。
英文原文
The important thing is reallythe thickness of the bird
or the roast, because
the heat is coming in
by conduction from the oven
and it's got to do thermal
diffusion into the meat.
扩散所需的时间将与特征长度(在这种情况下就是肉的厚度)呈比例缩放。它会与尺寸的平方相关,而肉的体积则与长度的立方相关,且这与禽鸟或烤肉的重量成正比。
英文原文
The time for the diffusion will scalelike the characteristic length,
which in this case would be
the thickness of the meat.
It'll go like the dimension squared,
whereas volume of the meat is
going to be like length cubed,
and that's proportional to the weight
of the bird or the roast.
所以当你把这些结合在一起时,就会得出烤肉所需的特征时间与其质量的三分之二次方成正比。
英文原文
So when you put those things together,you'll get that the characteristic
amount of time needed
to cook the roast will go like its mass
to the two-thirds power.
- 那么如果我想烤一块重量是另一块烤肉两倍的肉,要多长时间?是2的三分之二次方倍的时间吗?
英文原文
- So if I'm thinking about cooking a roastthat weighs twice as much as
another roast, how much longer?
Is that two to the two-thirds the time?
- 对,如果你想让重量翻倍,那么你只需要多煮大约60%的时间,而不是100%。
英文原文
- Yeah, if you wantedto double the weight,
then you only have to
cook it about 60% longer,
not 100% longer.
- [主持人] 同样,根据这种缩放关系,一头重量是一只猫一千倍的大象,应该只多消耗一百倍的卡路里。也就是25,000千卡,而不是250,000千卡。
英文原文
- [Host] Similarly,according to this scaling,
an elephant that's a thousand
times as heavy as a cat
should only burn a hundred
times as many calories.
So 25,000 instead of 250,000.
那么对塔斯科而言,适当的LSD剂量本应只有30毫克。
英文原文
And the appropriate dose of LSD for Tuskowould've been just 30 milligrams.
这两个截然不同的预测源于关于代谢率如何作为质量的函数进行缩放的不同假设。
英文原文
These two wildly differentpredictions come from different
assumptions about how metabolic rate
scales as a function of mass.
但请注意,在这两种情况下,它都只是与质量的某个幂次成正比。
英文原文
But notice in both cases,it's just proportional
to mass raised to some power.
幂律与克莱伯定律
这种关系被称为幂律,所有的幂律都有一个特殊性质。
英文原文
These kinds of relationshipsare called power laws
and all power laws have
a special property.
如果你对X和Y的值取对数,就会得到一条直线。
英文原文
If you take the logarithmof the X and Y values,
you get a straight line.
而这条直线的斜率等于幂律的指数。这使得识别不同类型的幂律变得很容易。
英文原文
And the slope of the line is equalto the exponent of the power law.
This makes it easy to identify
different types of power laws.
如果斜率是1,那就是日常的线性缩放。如果小于1,就像表面积定律那样,这被称为次线性缩放。如果大于1,则被称为超线性缩放。
英文原文
If the slope is one, that'sjust everyday linear scaling.
If it's less than one,
like the surface law,
that is called sublinear scaling.
And if it's larger than one,
that is known as superlinear scaling.
在近一百年的时间里,生物学家普遍赞同表面积定律的三分之二指数对于代谢率是正确的。
英文原文
For nearly a hundred years,biologists generally agreed
that the two-thirds exponent
of the surface law was the
correct one for metabolic rate.
但随后在1932年,瑞士生物学家马克斯·克莱伯(Max Kleiber)决定对此进行检验。
英文原文
But then in 1932, Swissbiologist, Max Kleiber,
decided to put it to the test.
他选取了从150克的小鸽子到680,000克的大阉牛等不同动物的代谢率,然后在双对数坐标图上将它们与各自的质量绘制在一起。
英文原文
He took the metabolic ratesof different animals from
a small dove at 150 grams
to a large steer at 680,000 grams,
and then he plotted
them against their mass
on a log log plot.
正如所预期的,所有的数据点确实落在了一条直线上。但斜率并不是三分之二,而是大约四分之三。
英文原文
And as expected, all the datadid fall on a straight line.
But the slope wasn't two-thirds.
Instead, it was about three quarters.
这后来被称为克莱伯定律。
英文原文
This became known as Kleiber's Law.它意味着,如果让动物的质量翻倍,代谢率大约会增加到1.68倍,增加了68%,而不是三分之二缩放律所预测的59%。
英文原文
It implies that if youdouble an animal's mass,
metabolic rate goes up by about 1.68,
an increase of 68% instead of the 59%,
which would be predicted by
the two-thirds scaling law.
因此,根据克莱伯定律,一头大象消耗的卡路里大约是一只猫的178倍,即大约45,000千卡。
英文原文
So according to Kleiber's Law,an elephant burns roughly 178 times
as many calories as a cat,
or about 45,000 kilocalories.
而塔斯科实际本应接受的LSD剂量是53毫克,大约是研究人员给它的剂量的六分之一。
英文原文
And the actual LSD doseTusko should have received
was 53 milligrams, which is
around a sixth of the dose
the researchers gave him.
这就解释了大象塔斯科身上的用药灾难。
英文原文
So that explains the dosing catastrophewith Tusko The Elephant.
(柔和的音乐)
英文原文
(mellow music)克莱伯最初的研究是基于一个较小的数据集,主要是由哺乳动物构成的。
英文原文
Kleiber's original work wasbased on a small data set,
primarily made up of mammals.
但如果你将更广泛的哺乳动物以及鸟类、爬行动物和鱼类等其他动物的数据绘制出来,你会发现它们都大致遵循相同的缩放关系。
英文原文
But if you plot the data fora larger range of mammals,
as well as for other animals
like birds, reptiles, and fish,
you find that they all follow
roughly the same scaling relationship.
由于温血动物的基础代谢率高于冷血动物,它们并非全都完美地落在同一条线上,但它们全都按照相同的幂律(质量的四分之三次方)进行缩放。
英文原文
Now, they don't all fitperfectly onto the same line
because the base metabolic rate
for warm-blooded animals is higher
than for cold-blooded ones,
but they all scale according
to the same power law,
mass raised to the three-quarters.
有人认为,这种关系一直延伸到单个细胞及其内部的分子机器。
英文原文
Some argue that this relationshipexpands all the way down
to single cells and the molecular
machines inside of them.
如果是真的,那么克莱伯定律所统治的生命跨越了超过25个数量级。
英文原文
If that's true, Kleiber's Law governs lifespanning more than 25 orders of magnitude.
但接下来的问题是,如果一头大象拥有多得多的细胞,且每个细胞的大小与较小生物体内的细胞相似,然而它所消耗的能量却按比例更少——就好像它每磅、每千克或每个细胞的代谢率更低——这实际上是在说那些细胞在以少得多的能量运转。
英文原文
But then the question is,if an elephant has so many more cells
and each cell is a similar size
to a cell in a smaller creature,
and yet it's using
proportionately less energy,
like it's got a lower
metabolic rate per pound
or per kilo or per cell,
that's really saying that those cells
are functioning with much less energy.
- 好像体型大具有某种效率,但很难理解其中的原因。究竟是细胞在互相提供什么,以某种方式进行协作呢?
英文原文
- It's like there's someefficiency to being big,
and it's hard to understand why.
What is it that the cells
are providing to each other,
somehow cooperating in some way?
- 我刚才在计算器里输入了100的四分之三次方,所以如果你有一个体型大100倍的生物体,按照这个规律,代谢率只有31.6倍。所以这似乎是一笔巨大的节省。
英文原文
- I just put in my calculator100 to the three quarters,
so if you got an organism
that's 100 times bigger,
then according to this, only 31.6
times the metabolic rate.
So it seems like a big savings.
- 这是一个巨大的提升,对吧?这是一笔巨大的节省。这是一个生物学事实,但一个世纪以来,人们一直在争论究竟是什么导致了这四分之三。
英文原文
- It's a massive improvement, right?It's a big savings.
It's a biological fact,
but people have been
arguing now for a century
what accounts for this three quarters.
(柔和的音乐)
英文原文
(mellow music)- 在克莱伯提出这一观察后的几十年里,这个谜团只增不减。
英文原文
- In the decades followingKleiber's observation,
the mystery only deepened.
研究人员发现,大脑大小也大致按照质量的四分之三次方进行缩放,动物的生长速度以及每分钟泵出的血量同样如此。
英文原文
Researchers discovered thatbrain size also roughly scales
as mass to the three quarters,
and so does an animal's growth rate
and the amount of blood pumped per minute.
但并非所有属性都按质量的四分之三次方进行缩放。
英文原文
But not every property scalesas mass to the three quarters.
- 如果你问一个生物、一只哺乳动物能活多久,那往往与其质量的四分之一次方成正比。是四分之一,而不是四分之三。
英文原文
- If you ask how long acreature will live, a mammal,
that tends to be proportional to its mass
to the one quarter power.
One over four, not three over four.
- [主持人] 所以这意味着如果你把哺乳动物的质量翻倍,那么平均而言,它的寿命大约会长19%左右。同样,血液循环时间也按比例缩放
英文原文
- [Host] So that means if youdouble the mass of a mammal,
then on average, its lifespan
is around 19% longer.
Similarly, blood
circulation time also scales
大致与质量的四分之一次方成正比,而呼吸频率和心率则都与负四分之一次方成比例。它们并不全都是四分之三幂律,但它们都是四分之一的倍数。所以每个人心中的疑问都是,这些四分之一幂标度律到底是从何而来的?
英文原文
as roughly mass to the onequarter, while breathing rate
and heart rate both scaled
to the negative one quarter.
They're not all three quarters power laws,
but they are all multiples of a quarter.
So the question on everyone's mind was
where are these quarter power
scaling laws coming from?
- 20世纪90年代出现了一种流行的理论。
(悠扬的音乐)
布莱恩·恩奎斯特当时正在攻读生物学学士学位。
英文原文
- One popular theory emerged in the 1990s.(mellow music)
Brian Enquist was studying
for an undergraduate degree in biology.
- 你当时上的大多数生物学课程,都是学习三羧酸循环,然后你必须死记硬背花朵的所有不同组成部分,然后所有……对于每样东西他们都有一套不同的专业术语。
英文原文
- Most of the biologyclasses then that you take,
you learn about the Krebs Cycle
and then you have to memorize
all the different parts
of a flower and then all...
They have a different
terminology for everything.
- [Henry] 但后来有一天他上了一节动物学课,课上向他展示了那些四分之一幂标度图。
英文原文
- [Henry] But then one dayhe took a zoology class
where they showed him those
quarter power scaling plots.
- [Brian] 我简直不敢相信。我当时心想:“你一定是在开玩笑吧。”你看,这某种程度上就像是构成了生物多样性基础的核心本质。就在那一刻,我立刻意识到,我想放弃我那种专门化的植物生理学研究,去从事一些与标度相关的工作。
(悠扬的音乐)
英文原文
- [Brian] I just couldn't believe it.I was like, "You got to be kidding me."
You know, this is kind of
like something fundamental
that's kind of like underlying
biological diversity.
And there I knew immediately that I wanted
to kind of quit my specialized
kind of plant physiology research
and do something associated with scaling.
(mellow music)
- [Henry] 于是恩奎斯特开始在詹姆斯·布朗教授手下攻读博士学位,布朗教授多年来一直在思考标度律。他们知道,当幂律出现时,底层系统中往往存在某种形式的自相似性。因此他们想知道,那种自相似性可能是什么?他们推测,这可能与资源在体内运输的方式有关,具体来说,就是负责这一功能的网络。他们拥有生物学直觉,但要获得一个完整的理论,他们需要一个正式的数学框架。换句话说,他们需要一位数学家或理论物理学家。
英文原文
- [Henry] So Enquist startedstudying for his PhD,
under Professor James Brown,
who had been thinking about
scaling laws for years.
So they knew that often
when power laws appear,
there's some form of self-similarity
in the underlying system.
So they wondered, what could
that self-similarity be?
And they suspected that it
might have something to do
with the way resources are
transported through the body,
specifically the networks that do this.
They had the biological intuition,
but to get a complete theory,
they needed a formal
mathematical framework.
In other words, they
needed a mathematician
or a theoretical physicist.
- 当时,吉姆与圣菲研究所有联系,他开始向周围打听:这里有谁对这些生物标度关系感兴趣吗?当时的主席说:“你猜怎么着?我认识一位物理学家,人在洛斯阿拉莫斯,他之前一直在谈论生物标度关系。”于是我们见到了杰弗里,那一瞬间的感觉就像是,我们就像是多年来一直在谈论同样的事情。就像是,你知道的,找到了一个一直讲着和你相同语言的人,而以前却没有人能听懂你。
英文原文
- And at the time, Jim was associatedwith the Santa Fe Institute,
and he started asking around with,
is there anyone up here
that's interested in these
biological scaling relationships?
And then the president at the
time said, "You know what?
I know of this physicist
who's up at Los Alamos
who was talking about biological
scaling relationships."
And so we met Geoffrey and
it was like immediately,
it's like we'd been talking
about the same things
for like years.
It's like, you know, finding,
someone who's been like
speaking your language,
but no one could understand you.
- [Henry] 于是韦斯特、布朗和恩奎斯特联手,试图为克莱伯定律寻找一个令人信服的解释。
英文原文
- [Henry] So West, Brownand Enquist teamed up
to try and find a compelling
explanation for Kleiber's Law.
WBE理论的三个前提与分形网络假设
- 他们首先假设了三个简单的前提。第一个前提是,分配资源的网络是空间填充的,因为它们需要到达体内的每一个细胞。第二个前提是,这些网络的末端单元,即输送系统外围最薄的管段,无论生物体的大小如何,都具有相同的宽度。也就是说,向大象皮肤细胞输送营养的最外层血管,其粗细程度与小鼠体内的血管大致相当。只是大象拥有的数量要多得多。第三个前提是,随着时间的推移,进化推动了这些运输网络走向高效的设计。那么,这样的网络应该是什么样子的呢?
(悠扬的音乐)
英文原文
- They started by assumingthree simple premises.
The first premise is that the networks
that distribute resources
are space-filling,
since they need to reach
every cell in the body.
The second premise is
that the terminal units
of those networks, the thinnest segments
on the outer periphery
of the delivery system,
have the same width regardless
of the size of the organism.
That is the outermost blood
vessels that carry nutrients
to an elephant's skin
cells are about as thick
as the ones in a mouse.
The elephant just has many more of them.
And the third premise is that over time,
evolution has driven
these transport networks
toward an efficient design.
So what should such a network look like?
(mellow music)
直观地说,为了尽可能高效地将燃料从一个地方运送到另一个地方,你会希望路径尽可能短。所以基本上就是一条直线。但由于燃料需要到达身体的每一个部位,你也会需要许多不同的路径。而随着生物体越来越大,内部的网络需要覆盖越来越大的体积。实现这一点的一种方法是拉长所有路径,以匹配动物的生长。在这种情况下,动物的体积应当与这些内部路径长度的立方成比例。或者换个形式表述,内部路径长度应该与体积的三分之一次方成比例,就像动物的整体身长一样。
英文原文
Well, intuitively, to getfuel from one place to another
as efficiently as possible,
you want the path to be
as short as possible.
So basically a straight line.
But because fuel needs to
reach every part of the body,
you would also need many different paths.
And as you go to larger
and larger organisms,
the networks inside need to
reach a larger and larger volume.
One way to do this is
to stretch all the paths
and match the growth of the animal.
In this case, the volume of the animal
should scale as these
internal path lengths cubed.
Or if we rearrange that,
internal path length should scale
as volume to the one-third,
just like the overall
length of the animal does.
但这种设计极具浪费性。以这两个区域为例。将血液输送到这里的两条血管在体内走过了几乎相同的路径,并且仅在到达目的地之前才分开。如果相反,我们在此之前只使用一根血管,仅在路径需要分叉时才将其分开,那么我们就可以用少得多的血管材料和少得多的充盈血管的血液来为这两个区域提供服务。当然,你可以将这个逻辑推广到体内的所有血管,最终得到一个分支血管的高效得多的设计。
英文原文
But this design is incredibly wasteful.Take these two regions.
The two vessels that
are bringing blood here
go through almost the
same path in the body,
and they only split up just
before they reach their destinations.
If instead we had just one
vessel up to this point
and split it only when the
paths needed to diverge,
we could serve the two regions
using a lot less vessel material
and a lot less blood to fill the vessels.
Of course, you can extend this logic
for all the blood vessels in the body,
and you end up with a
much more efficient design
of branching blood vessels.
但现在我们遇到了另一个问题,因为每个分叉点都为部分血液的反弹提供了机会,也就是反射。如果有许多次反射,那就意味着泵送血液需要在能量上有显著更高的消耗。因此接下来,他们主张自然界应当青睐使反射最小化的结构。事实证明,如果血管分叉前后的横截面积保持不变,这种情况就会发生。因此,如果主血管的横截面积为两平方厘米,那么两根分支血管各自的面积都需要为一平方厘米,至少对于大血管而言是这样。对于较小的血管,子分支可以稍微粗一些,以便血液减速并与所到达的组织交换资源。如果你在整个网络中不断重复这种模式,最终得到的就是这个:一个自相似的分形分支。如果你观察循环系统的实际形状,它就具备这种几何结构。因此,他们似乎切中了某些关键。
英文原文
But now we run into another issuebecause each branching point
provides an opportunity
for some of the blood to
bounce back, that is reflect.
If you have many reflections,
that would mean it
costs significantly more
energy to pump blood around.
So next, they argue that
nature should favor structures
that minimize reflections.
And as it turns out, this happens
if the cross-sectional area of the vessels
stays the same before
and after the branching.
So if you've got a cross-sectional area
of two centimeters squared
for the main vessel,
then each of the two
branches need to have an area
of one centimeter squared each,
for large vessels at least.
For smaller ones, daughter
branches can be a bit thicker
to allow blood to slow down
and exchange resources with
the tissue it's reaching.
If you keep repeating this
pattern across the network,
you end up with this, a
branching self-similar fractal.
And if you look at the actual shape
of the circulatory system,
it has this geometry.
So it seemed like they
were onto something.
豪斯多夫维度与四分之三幂律的推导
- 但你如何从这一点走向四分之一幂标度律呢?数学家费利克斯·豪斯多夫发现,自相似分形具有一个有趣的特性。
(悠扬的音乐)
以一条直线段为例。它是完全一维的,根本不是分形。豪斯多夫给这条线段赋予了1.0的值。但现在想象一下给它增加几处弯曲,并在这些弯曲上增加更多的弯曲。如果你一直这样做,这条线就会变得越来越像分形。最终,如果你持续施加合适形式的扭曲,那个一维线段就会填满二维平面的整个区域。豪斯多夫为这些空间填充的分形曲线赋予了2.0的值,对应于它们的维度。同样的思想也适用于二维表面。
英文原文
- But how do you get from thisto quarter power scaling laws?
Well, mathematician Felix
Hausdorff discovered
that self-similar fractals
have an interesting property.
(mellow music)
Take a straight line segment.
It's completely one-dimensional
and not a fractal at all.
Hausdorff assigned this
line segment a value of 1.0.
But now imagine adding a few bends
and more bends to those bends.
If you keep doing this,
the line becomes more
and more fractal-like.
Eventually, if you keep applying
the right kind of contortions,
that one-dimensional line segment fills up
an entire region of the 2D plane.
Hausdorff assigned these
space-filling fractal curves
a value of 2.0, corresponding
to their dimensionality.
The same ideas apply to a 2D surface.
- 试想一张纸,对吧?二维的。分形网络所做的全部事情就是揉搓那张纸,它实际上就填满了一个球体的体积。所以你现在可以把那张纸描述为一个球体,而不是一张二维的纸。
英文原文
- So think about a piece of paper, right?Two-dimensional.
All then the fractal network
is doing is crumpling up
that sheet of paper,
and it effectively fills
a ball of volume.
So you can now describe
that sheet of paper
as a sphere instead of a
two-dimensional sheet of paper.
- [Henry] 在越来越小的尺度上重复合适的折叠模式,一个二维表面就会填满越来越多的三维体积。在数学极限下,它变成空间填充的,其豪斯多夫维度为3.0。
英文原文
- [Henry] Repeat theright pattern of folds
at smaller and smaller
scales, and a 2D surface
fills more and more of a 3D volume.
In the mathematical limit,
it becomes space filling
with Hausdorff dimension of 3.0.
- [Brian] 你知道,从生物学上讲,我说:“那么,这意味着什么呢?”这使得给定大小的生物体能够塞入比预期更多的这种代谢表面积。正是由于这种类似分形的结构,使得你能够把所有这些褶皱和回旋叠合在一起塞进去,从而塞入数量巨大的膜表面。
英文原文
- [Brian] You know, biologically, I said,"Well, what does that mean?"
That enables an organism for a given size
to pack in more of these
metabolic surface areas
than would be expected.
And it's because of this
fractal-like structure
that enables you then to pack
in and have all of these folds
and convolutions and on top of each other
to pack in an enormous
amount of membrane surfaces.
- 结果就是,循环系统表面的豪斯多夫维度大致为3,这意味着它的表面积并非与其长度的平方成比例,而是与长度的立方成比例。既然代谢率取决于穿过该表面积交换资源的速度,那么它也必须与长度的立方成比例。但请记住,韦斯特、布朗和恩奎斯特想要解释的是克莱伯定律。因此,他们需要知道代谢率如何随质量成比例变化。
(悠扬的音乐)
既然每个细胞都需要由网络提供服务,这意味着网络周围的体积应该与动物的质量成正比。由于体积就是表面积乘以长度,而表面积与长度的立方成正比,这就意味着体积和质量都必须与长度的四次方成正比,这可以重新改写以表明长度与质量的四分之一次方成正比。如果你把这个代入代谢率的方程,你就会发现代谢率必须与质量的四分之三次方成正比,正如马克斯·克莱伯所发现的那样。韦斯特、布朗和恩奎斯特于1997年发表了他们的成果,很快根据他们姓氏的首字母被称为WBE理论。
英文原文
- As a result, the Hausdorffdimension of the surface
of the circulatory
system is roughly three,
meaning its surface area doesn't scale
as its length squared,
but it's length cubed.
And since the metabolic rate hinges on
how fast resources can be
exchanged across the surface area,
well, it must also
scale like length cubed.
But remember, West, Brown and Enquist
wanted to explain Kleiber's Law.
So they needed to know how
metabolic rate scales with mass.
(mellow music)
Since every cell needs to
be served by the network,
this means that the volume
around the network should be proportional
to the animal's mass.
And since volume is just
surface area times length
and surface area is
proportional to length cubed,
that means both volume and mass
must be proportional to
length to the fourth,
which can be rewritten to show
that length is proportional
to mass raised to the one quarter.
And if you plug that into the equation
for the metabolic rate,
you find that the metabolic rate
must be proportional to
mass to the three-quarters,
exactly as Max Kleiber had found.
West, Brown and Enquist
published their work in 1997,
and it soon came to be known
as WBE Theory, after their initials.
- 而且这个理论相当严格。它做出了非常具体的预测。这是严谨的科学。对吧?这是敢于承担风险,而且它是一个极其优美的理论。
(悠扬的音乐)
英文原文
- And the theory is quite rigid.It makes very specific predictions.
This is good science.
Okay?
This is sticking your neck out,
and it's an incredibly beautiful theory.
(mellow music)
- [Derek] 看看杰弗里·韦斯特书中这张表格。这些是WBE理论所预测的标度指数,包括许多不是四分之一倍数的指数,但都源自同一个理论。例如,动物主动脉的半径应该与其质量的八分之三次方(即0.375)成比例。它的肺部面积应该与质量的十二分之十一次方(即约0.92)成比例。这张图表总共做出了26个不同的预测。现在,这些是观察到的数据。主动脉半径,0.36。肺面积,0.95。
英文原文
- [Derek] Take a look at this tablefrom Geoffrey West's book.
These are the scaling
exponents WBE theory predicts,
including many that are
not multiples of a quarter,
but all follow from the same theory.
For example, the radius
of an animal's aorta
should scale with its mass
to the three-eighths or .375.
And the area of its lungs
should scale with mass
to the 11-12ths or about 0.92.
In total, this chart makes
26 different predictions.
Now, these are the observed data.
Radius of the aorta, 0.36.
Lung area, 0.95.
- [Steven] 这就是他们所做的事情真正令人震惊的地方。他们有一张包含大约20或30个奇异指数预测的表格,而那正是你在数据中真实看到的。所以这一个理论不仅解释了代谢的四分之三次方,还解释了生物学家所测量的切实数十种其他事物。
英文原文
- [Steven] That's the really shocking thingabout what they did.
They had a table with
something like, I don't know,
20 or 30 predictions of exotic exponents,
and that's what you
really see in the data.
So this one theory accounts not only
for the three-quarters
power of metabolism,
but for literally dozens of other things
that biologists have measured.
从代谢率推导心率与寿命
- 一旦你得到了代谢的四分之三定律,其中一些标度律就很容易解释了。以哺乳动物的心率为例。心率等于血流速率除以每次心跳的血量或容积。
(悠扬的音乐)
人们发现每搏输出的血量与动物的质量成正比。所以那就是M。那么血流速率呢?记住,代谢关乎营养如何在全身分配。因此大多数生物学家都认同代谢率与血流速率彼此成正比。所以心率应当与代谢率除以质量成比例变化。代入克莱伯发现的标度律,得到的是M的负四分之一次方,这意味着体型更大的动物心跳应该比体型较小的动物更慢。而这正是我们在自然界中所观察到的。世界上最小的哺乳动物伊特鲁里亚鼩鼱,其心率达到了非同寻常的每分钟1200次。那就是每秒20次心跳。而最大的陆生哺乳动物非洲草原象,其典型心率仅为每分钟30次。
英文原文
- Some of the scalinglaws are easy to explain
once you've got the
three-quarters law for metabolism.
Take a mammal's heart rate, for instance.
Heart rate is equal to the blood flow rate
over the amount or volume
of blood in every beat.
(mellow music)
The volume of blood
per beat has been found
to scale in direct proportion
to an animal's mass.
So that's just M.
And the blood flow rate?
Well, remember that
metabolism is all about
how nutrients get
distributed around the body.
So most biologists agree metabolic rate
and blood flow rate are directly
proportional to one another.
So heart rate should scale
as metabolic rate over mass.
Swapping in the scaling
law Kleiber had found,
that gives us M to the minus one quarter,
meaning bigger animals should have slower
heartbeats than smaller ones.
And this is exactly what
we observe in nature.
The world's smallest
mammal, the Etruscan Shrew,
has an extraordinary heart
rate of 1200 beats per minute.
That's 20 beats per second.
Whereas the biggest land mammal,
the African bush elephant,
has a typical heart rate of
only 30 beats per minute.
我们可以对寿命做类似的事情。主要理论之一是动物的寿命取决于代谢损伤的累积。也就是说,随着生物体内的每一块组织在一段时间内处理营养,这会导致损伤累积,随着时间的推移,这会导致动物死亡。因此动物累积损伤的速率就是其单位质量的代谢率,其寿命应该是该速率的倒数。如果损伤累积得更快,它就死得更早。如果累积得更慢,它就活得更长。所以寿命与M除以B成正比,或者代入克莱伯定律,与M的四分之一次方成正比。因此寿命应当随质量增加。你在自然界中确实能看到这一点。
(悠扬的音乐)
一只鼩鼱在野外只能活一到两年,而一头强大的非洲象可以活到70岁。所以如果你是一只小型哺乳动物,你每分钟的心跳次数很多,但寿命相对较短。反之,如果你是一只体型较大的哺乳动物,你的心跳慢得多,寿命也长得多。
英文原文
And we can do somethingsimilar for lifespan.
One of the leading theories is
that an animal's lifespan is based on
the accumulation of metabolic damage.
That is, as each chunk
of tissue in an organism
processes nutrients over time,
this causes damage to accumulate,
and that over time
causes the animal to die.
So the rate at which an
animal accumulates damage
is its metabolic rate per unit of mass,
and its lifespan should be
the inverse of that rate.
If damage accumulates
faster, it dies sooner.
If it accumulates slower, it lives longer.
So lifespan is proportional to M over B,
or substituting in Kleiber's
Law, M to the one quarter.
So lifespan should increase with mass.
And you do see this in nature.
(mellow music)
A shrew only lives for one
to two years in the wild
while a mighty African elephant
can live up to 70 years.
So if you're a small mammal,
you have many heartbeats per minute,
but you live a relatively short life.
Conversely, if you're a larger mammal,
your heart beats much slower
and you live a lot longer.
- 所以这就是,你知道的,活得快、耗尽精力、英年早逝,对吧?或者是精打细算、活得非常长久。
英文原文
- So it's the, you know,live fast and burnout
and die young, right?
Or spend it frugally and
live a really long life.
- 但你可能还注意到了别的事情。
英文原文
- But you might have alsonoticed something else.
心率、寿命与十亿次心跳法则
心率按 B 比 M 的比例缩放。
英文原文
Heart rate scales as B over M.
所以它等于 B 除以 M 乘以某个常数。
英文原文
So it equals B over M times some constant.
而寿命按 M 比 B 的比例缩放。
英文原文
And lifespan scales as M over B.
它们互为倒数。
英文原文
They're inverses of each other.
它们以相等且相反的方向缩放。
英文原文
They scale in equal and
opposite directions.
现在,动物一生中的心跳总数,正好就是心率乘以寿命。
英文原文
Now, the total number of
heartbeats in an animal's life
is just the heart rate
multiplied by the lifespan.
所以当你将这两项相乘时,它们相互抵消,只留给你一个常数。
英文原文
So when you multiply these
two terms, they cancel out,
leaving you with just a constant.
这就表明,无论你说的是哪种哺乳动物,它都应该拥有大致相同的心跳次数。
英文原文
So that suggests that no matter
what mammal you're talking about,
it should have roughly the
same number of heartbeats.
你只需代入一些例子就能得出那个数值。
英文原文
You can find that number by
just plugging in some examples.
我们从小臭鼩开始。
英文原文
Let's start with the Etruscan Shrew.
这种鼩鼱每分钟 1200 次的心跳乘以大约 1.5 年的寿命,在鼩鼱的一生中大约会有 9.5 亿次心跳。
英文原文
The shrew's 1200 beats per
minute multiplied by a lifespan
of around 1.5 years gives you
around 950 million heartbeats
in the course of the shrew's life.
与此同时,一只非洲象每分钟 30 次的心跳乘以大约 65 年的寿命,得出的心跳次数略高于十亿次。
英文原文
Meanwhile, an African
elephant's 30 beats per minute
multiplied by a lifespan
of around 65 years
gives you a little over
a billion heartbeats.
我们还可以继续列举下去。
英文原文
And we could keep going.
(upbeat music)
但几乎对于你所观察的每一种哺乳动物,你最终都会落在同一个数字上,即大约十亿次心跳。
英文原文
But for nearly every mammal you look at,
you keep landing at the same figure of
around a billion heartbeats.
这就是为什么几乎每一种哺乳动物,从小田鼠到瞪羚,从猎豹到河马,它们从出生到死亡的那一天,总共都获得大约十亿次心跳。
英文原文
This is why nearly every
mammal from a tiny field mouse
to a gazelle, from a
cheetah to a hippopotamus,
they all get around a billion heartbeats
between the day they're
born and the day they die.
但有一个主要的离群者,有一种哺乳动物获得的心跳次数远远超过十亿次。
英文原文
But there is one major outlier, one mammal
that gets significantly more
than a billion heartbeats.
那便是我们人类。
英文原文
And that is us, humans.
(mellow music)
我们是幸运的那些。
英文原文
We are the lucky ones.
三个世纪前,人类还要接近得多于十亿次心跳这一标准数值。
英文原文
Three centuries ago,
humans were much closer
to the standard value of
one billion heartbeats.
但到了 1850 年代中期前后,细菌学说和更好的卫生方法得到广泛普及,导致儿童死亡率以及疾病死亡人数急剧下降。
英文原文
But around the mid 1800s, germ theory
and better sanitation
methods became widespread,
causing a stark decrease in
the number of child mortalities
and deaths from disease.
于是预期寿命开始上升。随之而来的,是一生中心跳的平均次数。
英文原文
So life expectancy began to climb up.
And with it, the average number
of heartbeats in a lifetime.
如果你仔细看,你也可以看到一些显著的下降,比如 1918 年西班牙流感大流行造成的这次下挫,或者在这一边,看起来像是第二次世界大战的影响。
英文原文
If you look closely, you can
also see some significant drops
like this 1918 dip from
the Spanish flu pandemic
or over here, what appears to be
the impact of the Second World War.
但总的来说,趋势是明确的。
英文原文
But overall, the trend is clear.
我们系统性地增加了我们在有生之年所能获得的心跳次数,以至于现在的普通人在去世前能获得接近三十亿次心跳。
英文原文
We have systematically
been increasing the number
of heartbeats we get in
our lifetime to the point
where now the average human
gets nearly three billion
heartbeats before they die.
我不知道还有没有比这更有利于科学和技术的论据了。
英文原文
I don't know if there's a
better argument for science
and technology than this.
它实实在在地赋予了普通人超过一整条额外的生命。
英文原文
It has literally given the average human
more than a full extra life.
而且不仅是人类。其他哺乳动物在圈养环境下,当远离它们在野外自然会遭遇的危险时,也被观察到拥有长得多的寿命。
英文原文
And it's not just humans.
Other mammals have been observed
to have much longer lives in
captivity when they're away
from the hazards they would
naturally encounter in the wild.
或者,如果你纯粹从我们获得的年数来看,我们现在的寿命堪比大得多的哺乳动物,介于大象和鲸鱼之间。
英文原文
Or if you look at it purely
from the number of years we get,
we now have the lifespan
of a much larger mammal,
somewhere between an elephant and a whale.
但关于这种趋势,有一件耐人寻味的事。
英文原文
But there is one curious
thing about this trend.
(mellow music)
看一看这张图表。它看起来与之前的那张图表惊人地相似。
英文原文
Take a look at this graph.
It looks surprisingly similar
to the graph from before.
事实上,如果你把它们叠合在一起,它们看起来显著相似。
英文原文
In fact, if you overlay them,
they look remarkably similar.
现在我想让你猜一猜这张图表是什么。
英文原文
Now I want you to take a
guess at what this graph is.
你有答案了吗?
英文原文
Have you got your answer?
它是生活在城市中的人口数量。
英文原文
It is the number of
people living in cities.
对于这两张图表,我们使用的是英国部分地区的数据,那里的记录可以追溯到几个世纪前,但世界其他地区也遵循了类似的趋势。
英文原文
For these two charts,
we're using data from parts
of the United Kingdom
where the record keeping
goes back several centuries,
but the rest of the world
has followed similar trends.
当然,这并不意味着城市导致人们活得更长,但它与将城市视为充满污染和疾病滋生地的看法相悖。
英文原文
Of course, that doesn't mean
cities cause people to live longer,
but it goes against the
perception of cities
as being full of pollution and
breeding grounds for disease.
早在 1889 年,一位医生就写道:
“城市的有毒病菌和污染,其不洁的空气和水源,糟糕的下水道系统,以及无休止的公害。”
英文原文
Already in 1889, a medical doctor wrote,
"The poisonous germs and
pollutions of the city,
it's impure air and water, bad sewage,
and endless nuisances."
那么你如何调和这两种观点呢?或者更具体地说,关于较小城市与较大城市相比究竟如何,是否存在任何定量数据?
英文原文
So how do you reconcile these two views?
Or more specifically, is
there any quantitative data
on how smaller cities
compare to larger ones?
城市的缩放法则
- 事实证明,这是杰弗里·韦斯特(Geoffrey West)在与布朗(Brown)和恩奎斯特(Enquist)合作之后所探究的课题。他和路易斯·贝当古(Luis Bettencourt)等人等合作者一起研究了城市中的缩放法则。
英文原文
- It turns out this is something
that Geoffrey West pursued
after his work with Brown and Enquist.
He and collaborators like
Luis Bettencourt and others
have looked at scaling laws in cities.
(mellow music)
- [主持人] 他们观察了随着城市人口增加,像犯罪量等不同属性是如何缩放的。他们发现,如果你在双对数坐标图上绘制严重犯罪,数据会聚集在一条斜率为 1.15 的直线周围,这意味着犯罪的增长快于线性,即超线性增长。
英文原文
- [Host] They looked at
how different properties
like the amount of crime scale
as the population of the city increases,
and what they found is that if you plot
serious crimes on a log log plot,
the data clusters around a straight line
with a slope of 1.15,
meaning crime grows faster
than linear or super linear.
因此,城市人口每翻一番,你就会得到大约 2.2 倍的刑事案件,或者说大约多出 120% 的犯罪,而不是你天真以为的 100%。
英文原文
So for every doubling
of a city's population,
you get around 2.2 times
as many criminal cases
or around 120% more crime
as opposed to the 100%
you might naively expect.
更糟糕的是,研究人员发现同样的总体模式也适用于废水量,甚至艾滋病病例数量。
英文原文
To make matters worse, researchers found
that the same general pattern
holds for the amount of wastewater
and even the number of AIDS cases.
确切的指数略有不同,但总体而言,随着城市规模的扩大,这每一项你系统性地都会得到更多。
英文原文
The exact exponents vary a little,
but overall, as cities grow larger,
you systematically get more of each.
所以看来那位医生确实说到了点子上。你可能会认为如果我们全都在小城镇生活,地球上的生活或许会更好,但情况可能并非如此。
英文原文
So it seems like that medical
doctor was onto something.
And you might think life on
earth would be better off
if we all lived in small towns instead,
but that might not be the case.
(mellow music)
2006 年,德克·赫尔宾(Dirk Helbing)、克里斯蒂安·库纳特(Christian Kuhnert)和杰弗里·韦斯特研究了加油站数量如何作为人口的函数进行缩放。
英文原文
In 2006, Dirk Helbing, Christian Kuhnert,
and Geoffrey West looked at how the number
of gas stations scales as
a function of population.
- 如果一座城市规模大一倍,它是否需要两倍那么多的加油站?因为,你知道,我们必须供应的虽不完全算是营养物,但也是能源、汽油,供所有那些汽车使用。
英文原文
- If a city is twice as
big, does it need twice
as many gas stations?
Because, you know, we have to
supply not exactly nutrients,
but energy, gas, for all those cars.
- [主持人] 天真的预期是,如果汽车数量增加一倍,你就需要两倍的燃油量,因此加油站数量翻倍。
英文原文
- [Host] The naive expectation is that
if you double the number of cars,
you're going to need to
double the amount of fuel,
so double the gas stations.
为了查明这是否属实,他们将数据绘制在双对数坐标图上,并发现了一条直线。
英文原文
To find out whether this was true,
they plotted the data on a log log plot
and found a straight line.
但指数不是 1,而是大约 0.8。
英文原文
But the exponent wasn't
one, it was about 0.8.
这意味着每一次翻倍,你只需要大约多出 74% 的加油站,这是一笔相当可观的节省。
英文原文
This means that for every
doubling, you only need around 74%
more gas stations, which
is a decent savings.
(mellow music)
道路和电缆的数量也大致以相同的方式缩放。
英文原文
The amount of roads and electrical cables
also scale in roughly the same way.
韦斯特在其书中给出的粗略数字是,它们的缩放指数都在 0.85 左右。
英文原文
The rough figure that
West gives in his book
is that they all have scaling
exponents of around 0.85.
- 很有趣的是,有些东西我们是可以共享的,比如你可以在路上开车,我也可以。当属于共享资源时,是的,城市可以出奇地绿色环保。其论点在于,相比住在荒郊野外,城市甚至可以比你想象的还要环保。
英文原文
- It is interesting
that some of the things
that we can share, like you can drive
on the road, but so can I.
When it's shared resources, yes,
cities can be surprisingly green.
The argument is that
cities can be even greener
than you might think than living out
in the middle of nowhere.
- 但城市拥有更大的益处。诸如总工资、GDP 和专利数量等事物都呈超线性缩放,其指数聚集在 1.15 左右,这意味着规模每翻一倍,每一项你就会多得到大约 120%。
英文原文
- But cities have even bigger benefits.
Things like total wages, GDP,
and the number of patents
all scale superlinearly,
with exponents that cluster
somewhere around 1.15,
meaning that for every doubling in size,
you get around 120% more of each.
当你将一个比如 50,000 人的小镇与一个其规模 100 倍的城市进行比较时,所有这一切都会变得尤为显著,因为基础设施需求只需要增加大约 50 倍,而总工资、GDP、专利与发明,它们全部都会增加 200 倍。
英文原文
All of this becomes especially significant
when you compare a small
town of say 50,000 people
to a city 100 times its size
because infrastructure needs
only need to go up by a factor
of about 50 while total wages,
GDP, patents and inventions,
they all go up by a factor of 200.
不幸的是,疾病和犯罪也同样按相同倍数上升。
英文原文
Unfortunately, disease
and crime also go up
by the same factor.
或者这样来看,按人均计算,你只需要大约一半的基础设施,同时你能获得翻倍的所有社会经济因素。
英文原文
Or look at it this way,
on a per person basis,
you'd only need about
half the infrastructure,
while you get double all
the socioeconomic factors.
所以城市不仅没有对世界有害,它们实际上可能是我们最伟大的发明之一,也是很多科学和技术进步的间接推动力。
英文原文
So cities far from being
detrimental to the world,
they might actually be
one of our best inventions
and an indirect driver
of a lot of scientific
and technological progress.
也许这也是为什么人们常说城市里的生活感觉更快。
英文原文
Perhaps this is also why people often say
that life in the city feels faster.
这种感觉似乎是有道理的,因为研究人员调查了人们在不同规模城市中的步行速度。他们发现,在较大的城市里,人们的步行速度确实更快。
英文原文
A feeling that seems justified
because researchers looked at
how fast people walk in
cities of different sizes.
And they found that
people literally do walk
faster in larger cities.
- 事实证明那取决于城市规模。不仅仅是人行道拥堵与否的问题。就是那种氛围会让人们亢奋起来。他们在城市里行动得更快。
英文原文
- That turns out to depend on city size.
It's not just that the
sidewalks are congested or not.
It's just like the vibe
gets people amped up.
They move faster in cities.
- 因此生活的节奏似乎正在加快,但这可能要付出代价,因为正如有人所说的那样:
“如今的一切都走向极端。无论在思想上还是在行动中,一切都在不断被超越。没有人再了解自己。年轻人在生命中过早地被煽动,随后被时代的浪潮卷走。财富与迅速是世人所崇拜的。”
英文原文
- So the pace of life
seems to be increasing,
but that may come at a cost
because as one person put it,
"everything nowadays is ultra.
Everything is being
transcended continually
in thought as well as in action.
No one knows himself any longer.
Young people are stirred
up much too early in life
and then carried away in
the world of the times.
Wealth and rapidity are
what the world admires".
难道生活正在以人类无法跟上的速度加速吗?
英文原文
Could it be that life
is accelerating so fast
that humans won't be able to keep up?
嗯,很可能不是,因为这段名言是沃尔夫冈·冯·歌德在 1825 年写的。
英文原文
Well, probably not
because this quote was written in 1825
by Wolfgang von Goethe.
在过去的 200 年乃至可能更长的时间里,几乎每一代人都觉得生活在加速。然而每一代人都挺过来了。
英文原文
For the past 200 years
and probably longer,
almost every generation has
felt like life was accelerating.
And yet every generation has managed.
所以我认为我们很可能会无限期地继续适应下去。随着城市规模的不断扩大,我们所有人都会继续获取规模经济的益处,这与哺乳动物从体型变大中获益的方式非常相似。
英文原文
So I think it's likely we can continue
to adapt indefinitely.
And as cities continue to grow in size,
all of us will continue
to reap the benefit
of economies of scale in much the same way
that mammals benefit from being larger.
对标度理论与克莱伯法则的质疑
但是,虽然 WBE 理论似乎能预测生物缩放法则中的指数从何而来,对于城市而言,目前还没有普遍接受的解释性理论。
英文原文
But while WBE Theory seems to predict
where the exponents in
biological scaling laws come from,
for cities, there is no widely accepted
explanatory theory yet.
试图解释那些 0.85 和 1.15 的指数从何而来,是理论家们的主要目标之一。
英文原文
Trying to explain where
those exponents of 0.85
and 1.15 come from is one of
the big goals for theorists.
尽管即使是 WBE 理论也并非被普遍接受。
英文原文
Although even WBE Theory is
not universally accepted.
其一,它预测出正确指数这一事实并不一定意味着该理论本身就是正确的。还有少数其他理论也能预测出部分相同的缩放指数,而且也存在一些其他的批评意见。
英文原文
For one, the fact it
predicts the right exponents
doesn't necessarily mean the
theory itself is correct.
There are a few other
theories that predict
some of the same scaling exponents,
and there are also some other critiques.
- 有很多讨论。它看起来可能很有说服力。就我个人而言,我倾向于认为它非常令人印象深刻。但我有非常优秀的同行,比如佛蒙特大学的彼得·多兹(Peter Dodds),他认为很多数据分析要么做得并不完全正确,要么数据噪声太大,以至于你真的不应该对此太当真。
英文原文
- There's a lot of discussion.
It may look convincing.
And personally, I tend to
think it is very impressive.
But I have very good
colleagues like Peter Dodds
at University of Vermont,
and he thinks that a
lot of the data analysis
is either not done exactly right
or that the data are so noisy
that you shouldn't really
take this so seriously.
- 多兹甚至认为克莱伯法则(Kleiber's Law)本身可能都不是真实的。
英文原文
- Dodds even argues that Kleiber's Law
itself might not be true.
(mellow music)
- 在 1960 年代,有一个关于能量代谢的研讨会,类似于动物中的此类名称,在会议结束时,他们以 29 票对 0 票表决通过定为四分之三,对吧?因为,你知道,你总得定下一些规则。如果你回头去看数据,现在其实已经没人真正这么做了,对吧,数据是行不通的。就是行不通。
英文原文
- In the 1960s, there's a
symposium on energy metabolism,
some name like this in animals,
and at the end of it, they vote 29 to zero
that it's going to be
three quarters, right?
Because, you know, you
got to set some rules.
If you go back and look at the data,
which no one is really
doing anymore, right,
the data does not work.
Like it doesn't work.
(mellow music)
- [亨利] 这是一张基于一项考察了 391 种哺乳动物的研究绘制的代谢率作为质量函数的图表,其范围远大于克莱伯的范围。看起来四分之三的斜率拟合得相当好。
英文原文
- [Henry] This is a
graph of metabolic rate
as a function of mass based on a study
that looked at 391 species of mammals,
much larger than Kleiber's range.
And it looks like the three-quarter
slope fits quite well.
但这只是图表的顶部部分,即最大的哺乳动物。
英文原文
But this is just the
top part of the chart,
the biggest mammals.
如果你缩小视图,你会看到其余的哺乳动物似乎落在一条更接近三分之二的线上。而在近期关于鸟类代谢的研究中,你也会发现斜率看起来更接近三分之二,而不是四分之三。
英文原文
If you zoom out, you see that
the rest of the mammals appear
to fall on a line that's
closer to two-thirds.
And in recent studies of bird metabolism,
you also find a slope that appears closer
to two-thirds than three-quarters.
难道几个世纪前那些法国科学家是对的,代谢率真的仅仅与表面积成比例缩放吗?
英文原文
Could it be that those French scientists
from centuries ago were right,
that metabolic rate really does
just scale with surface area?
嗯,别高兴得太早。
英文原文
Well, not so fast.
(mellow music)
首先,许多近期针对冷血动物的研究发现,其斜率显著高于三分之二。
英文原文
For one, many recent studies
of cold-blooded animals find slopes
that are significantly
higher than two-thirds.
更大的问题在于测量代谢率本身就很困难。
英文原文
The bigger problem is that measuring
metabolic rates is difficult.
它通常涉及将动物放入容器中,并对其产热量或耗氧量进行非常精确的测量,同时还要确保该动物处于无压力、低活动的静息状态。
英文原文
It generally involves putting
animals in a container
and taking very precise measurements
of their heat production
or oxygen consumption,
all while ensuring that the
animal is in an unstressed,
low activity resting state.
不出意料,这对于大型动物来说尤其难以实现。
英文原文
Unsurprisingly, this is
particularly difficult
to pull off with large animals.
结果,许多研究发现的缩放指数,其误差线同时包含了三分之二和四分之三。
英文原文
And as a result, many studies
have found scaling exponents
where the error bars include both
two-thirds and three-quarters.
今天,研究界存在分歧。许多人坚持克莱伯法则和四分之三的缩放关系,而另一些人则认为是三分之二。
英文原文
Today, the research community is split.
Many uphold Kleiber's Law and
the three-quarter scaling,
while others think it's two-thirds.
但越来越多的人怀疑,并不存在贯穿所有生命的统一缩放指数。
英文原文
But a growing number suspect
that there is no
universal scaling exponent
across all of life.
事实上,情况很可能确实是:较大哺乳动物的代谢率按其质量的四分之三次方缩放,而对于较小的哺乳动物,则是其质量的三分之二之方。
英文原文
In fact, it may very well be the case
that the metabolic rate of larger mammals
scales as their mass
to the three-quarters,
while for smaller ones, it's
their mass to the two-thirds.
- 你知道,这就像科学中的一切一样,有人在争论,这挺好的。
英文原文
- You know, it's like
everything in science
that there are people
arguing, and that's good.
- 我想更大的呼吁是有人去真正地测量它,漂亮地测量事物。你知道,我们身处 2026 年,不能只是某个动物园里的一头大象,需要再次被非常严谨地测量。
英文原文
- I guess the bigger exhortation
would be someone to really measure it,
measure things beautifully.
You know, we're in 2026,
has to be not just one
elephant at one zoo,
it needs to be measured again really well.
- [主持人] 每个人确实都同意的是
英文原文
- [Host] What everyone does agree on
规模法则是真实存在的。
英文原文
is that scaling laws are real.- 生活并非总是线性的。
英文原文
- Life is not linear all the time.这其中是大有益处的。在现实生活中,往往存在背离正比例关系的情况,你必须意识到这一点。有时事物能够发挥超出其体量的作用,而且随着体型变大,效率也会变得更高。有时体型变大也会带来劣势。
英文原文
There are deals to be had.There's often in real life
departures from proportionality,
and you have to be aware of it.
Sometimes things punch above their weight,
and as you get bigger,
you get more efficient.
Sometimes there are detriments to size.
- 所以,了解事物如何按比例缩放是大有裨益的。
英文原文
- So it pays to know how things scale.显然,从能量效率的角度来看,动物体型更大是有好处的。同样地,更多人生活在更大的城市里,我们所有人可能也都有望从中获益。这可能会带来更多的发现与发明,并以此提高我们所有人的生活水平,甚至可能让我们在有生之年拥有更多的心跳次数。
英文原文
Clearly from an energyefficiency perspective,
animals benefit from being larger.
Similarly, all of us potentially stand
to gain from having more
people living in larger cities.
It could lead to more
discoveries and inventions,
and in doing so, improve
the standard of living
for all of us, which
might even give us more
heartbeats in our lifetimes.
从表面积定律到克莱伯定律,再到 WBE 理论,代谢率如何随质量成比例变化,数百年来一直是生物学界最大的争论之一。通过收集更优质的数据并仔细分析,下一代研究人员很有可能最终为这场争论画上句号。这可能是正在观看视频的你们中的一员,也可能是你认识的一名学生。
英文原文
From the surface law toKleiber's law to WBE theory,
how metabolic rate scales with mass
has been one of biology's
biggest debates for centuries.
By collecting better data
and analyzing it carefully,
there's a good chance
that the next generation of
researchers could be the ones
to finally put this debate to rest.
It could be one of you watching
or a student that you know.
赞助商信息
今天的赞助商 Brilliant 正助力培养下一代研究人员,训练他们的思维,以应对未来将面临的重大问题。Brilliant 是一款前沿的个人导师工具,帮助任何学生在数学、科学和编程方面取得优异成绩。
英文原文
And today's sponsor, Brilliant, is helpingto train the next
generation of researchers,
preparing their minds to solve the huge
questions they'll face.
Brilliant is a cutting edge personal tutor
that helps any student excel
in math, science, and coding.
说到学习,一对一辅导确实是黄金标准,但这可能费用昂贵且在安排上面临困难。作为替代方案,学生们常常转向人工智能寻求指导。但大多数 AI 平台只是直接给出答案,反而阻碍了学习。因此,Brilliant 的设计初衷则是通过提出启发性问题并一步步拆解问题,引导学生迎来属于他们自己的恍然大悟时刻。
英文原文
When it comes to learning,one-on-one tutoring really
is the gold standard,
but this can be expensive
and logistically difficult.
As a substitute, students
often turn to AI for guidance.
But most AI platforms hinder learning
by simply just giving away the answers.
So instead, Brilliant is
designed to guide students
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down step by step.
例如,看看当我打开 Brilliant 关于旋转坐标的一堂课,并告诉它的辅导工具我遇到了困难时发生了什么。它向我提出了一个具体的跟进问题,甚至在图表上标出了相关点来给我提示。
英文原文
For instance, check out whathappened when I launched one
of Brilliant's lessons
on rotating coordinates
and told its tutoring tool
that I was struggling.
It asked me a specific follow-up question
and even labeled relevant
points on the graph
to give me a nudge.
对于你生活中学习数学和科学的年轻人来说,Brilliant 是一件极好的辅助工具。这是我上学时就希望能拥有的一类工具。因此,点击下方链接或扫描二维码即可免费开始体验 Brilliant 的导师功能,或者升级至高级会员解锁所有课程。目前,Veritasium 的观众在 brilliant.org/veritasium 订阅年度会员可享 20% 的优惠折扣。
英文原文
Brilliant is an excellentaid for the young math
and science learners in your life.
It's the kind of tool I wish
I had when I was in school.
So click the link below
or scan the QR code
to get started with
Brilliant's tutor for free,
or upgrade to premium
to unlock all courses.
And right now, Veritasium
viewers can save 20% off
an annual subscription at
brilliant.org/veritasium.
所以我想感谢 Brilliant 赞助本期视频,也非常感谢大家的观看。
英文原文
So I want to thank Brilliantfor sponsoring this video,
and I want to thank you for watching.