上任初期的文化冲击
Ajay Banga: 这取决于你指的是哪份工作,但如果是指 World Bank (世界银行),那绝对是巨大的。那里的人才素质令人惊叹,他们来自世界各地,知识库极其深厚,并且带着家人经历了各种艰难险阻。然而,这个机构运作的低效性却令人震惊。当你把这些优秀人才与 189 个股东、25 个常驻执行董事会以及每人配备 20 名顾问的架构结合在一起时,这是一项艰巨的任务。我当时试图让这个机构变得更“快速、高效、简单”,但在 400 名顾问和 25 名董事会成员的架构下,尽管每个人初衷良好,但执行起来非常复杂。
Original English
Ajay Banga: Depends what job you're talking about, but uh World Bank, definitely. The quality of people was amazing. They've lived everywhere. Their knowledge base is amazing. Uh they have taken their families from one difficult situation to another. So, the quality of people was amazing. The dysfunctionality of how the place worked was frightening. And so, when you brought together this quality of people with this 189 shareholders and 25 resident executive boards and 20 advisors each, that was a daunting task. And in all this, I was trying to make the place... Mine were I was trying to make it faster, better, and simpler. And trying to get the place be faster, better, and simpler when you have uh 400 advisors and 25 board members, all well-intentioned. Everybody is well-intentioned, but the combination is complicated.
Karin Rådström: 我刚开始在 Daimler Truck (戴姆勒卡车) 工作时,虽然不是担任 CEO,但负责管理其中一个最大的部门。我当时有点紧张。刚从瑞典搬到德国时,我以为大家穿着都会非常正式,于是我买了好多西装,穿得非常正式。但实际上,他们刚开展了文化变革项目,大家都开始穿休闲装了。我完全穿错了衣服,这是我第一次文化冲击。后来会议开始时,我又被震惊了——竟然有 18 个人在讨论非常简单的议题,讨论的过程过于复杂。
Original English
Karin Rådström: Yeah, I was trying to remember. I mean, I started in Daimler Truck, not as the CEO, but I was running one of the divisions. So, I think um I was a bit nervous. So, I was running one of the biggest divisions. Uh I think my first was very simple. I moved from Sweden to Germany, so I thought I have to buy a lot of suits and people are going to be really dressed up. Uh but actually, they just been running this culture program. So, I came in really dressed up, but everyone else had started dressing down. Um so, I was totally overdressed. Uh so, that was my first culture shock. But then when the meeting started, then then it turned a little bit the other way. So, I was a little bit shocked just Yeah, I mean, I mentioned something like there were just 18 people to discuss very simple topics. So, just the amount of people and how complicated we were making everything.
Jesper Brodin: 对我来说,最震撼的是去接触客户。一位日本客户告诉我,虽然她喜欢 IKEA (宜家) 且是老客户,但周二晚上她忙完家务后不想特地去逛商场。她说:“如果你们不出现在我的手机里,我就选别人了。”这让我深受震撼。其次,我们停止了倾听客户的声音。尽管公司内部有避免不必要成本的动机,但我们对世界发生的变革缺乏 360 度的洞察。我们习惯了作为颠覆者,却没察觉到颠覆也在我们身上发生。
Original English
Jesper Brodin: Well, I I think maybe the thing that was striking for me was meeting a lot of customers. And one customer lady in Japan told me that when I visited her home, said that basically, she liked IKEA and she was an old customer that of IKEA, but on a Tuesday night, she said, "When I put the kids to bed and I've done the dishes, I'm not going to go to IKEA. So, if you don't show up in my telephone, I'm going to choose somebody else." And that shook me. And what shook me secondly was that we had stopped listening to customers. And I think there was an intent and a drive within the company to stay away from unnecessary cost and so forth, but we hadn't really got a 360 of what happened in the world. I think the interesting thing was we were so used to be the disruptor, so we didn't see when disruption happened to ourselves. And that was an interesting moment.
文化与变革的矛盾
Ajay Banga: 我们都知道颠覆即将来临。虽然不确定 AI 将如何具体改变各行各业,但可以肯定它一定会发生。企业文化往往会成为创新的阻碍,因为它会滋生安于现状的自满情绪,特别是在这种文化长期推动组织走向卓越的时候。
Original English
Ajay Banga: It's always there's always a question as you know disruption is coming and I think everyone in this room is now going through this phase. Everyone we don't know exactly how AI will change a lot of businesses, but we know for certain that that it will. What you chose to do was to sort of confront it head-on and and rush into into it. Um doesn't culture often prevent you from doing that? So, I mean, we've spent most of the day about the positives of culture. But there is also a negative and that it can breed complacency because you are so comfortable in in the culture. That you have a strong culture and this is what drives you know, this is what has driven the institution to excellence for a long time. Is did you feel that?
Jesper Brodin: 感受非常强烈。我任期内的主题之一就是这个辩论。如果你用数学方式描述,人们往往倾向于将过去和未来对立起来。在 IKEA,强大的文化意味着强大的传统,这导致我们开始对未来的可能性关闭好奇心。真正的美在于:热爱并理解过去,同时创造未来,而不是将二者对立。我在 IKEA 发明了“Go Banana Card”(疯狂卡),专门用来奖励敢于承担风险和犯错的员工,我甚至会亲自签署以分担责任,这帮助克服了组织内对犯错的恐惧。
Original English
Jesper Brodin: Massively. I think it was one of the themes during my years as CEO was this debate. So, I think what I learned now if I would describe it mathematically, I don't know why, but we tend to put the future and the past against each other in a linear way. At least I experienced that in IKEA. Strong culture means strong legacy, strong beliefs in how we have always done it. And of course, there comes a point where you start to shut down to the curiosity of what the future looks like, even if your value is curiosity. So, I think the the beauty is love the past, understand the past, and create the future, but not as a linear equation. And then you will be able to find I think the beauty in it. If you drop the the past, who you are, and all of that, of course, you will take enormous risks. But that that is easily But you had no talking to us an intellectual exercise, but you have to fight for it. You had moments. I know you've been you've been quoted in the FT as saying, "Sometimes you just have to go with your gut." Did I say that? You have. Yeah, I I have I have it. I can prove it. Yeah, but the thing is the the the the problem with the future versus the past is that the past has proof. But the future doesn't. So, therefore, you need to invest more than 50% of your energy in the future. You need to be prepared to make all sorts of mistakes in it. I like the conversation before about calculated mistakes. Can somebody get hurt? Can the company go uh beyond? But I think in I just had that in in IKEA even in IKEA being an entrepreneurship culture, I met so many people who said they were afraid of making mistakes. So, I invented this um go banana card, which is it was a sign of desperation I think from my side, but it's basically the card that gives you if you make a mistake and you're in trouble, I've already co-signed the mistake together with you. So, that gives you and I think I issued thousands of them. And the first one I issued to he came back and said, "I have made a mistake." I said, "That was fast. What did you do?" "I copied it to all my people in my association." 10,000 people. So, anyways.
AI 的未来与社会影响
Jesper Brodin: 我认为 AI 的机遇是惊人的,但在人类视角下的风险尚未被充分理解。我们需要加快应对 AI 的负面影响,这不仅仅是业务效率问题,更是深远的社会影响。我们需要反思:作为人类,我们的价值何在?我们是在掌握工具,还是相反?
Original English
Jesper Brodin: So I massively I think um I think it's uh maybe in ways that we don't fundamentally understand today. Also it's incredibly interesting. It's one of those topics that in our conversations we like to draw some sort of average, but in AI I think the the opportunities are amazing. Um quality, efficiencies, what not. But the risks from from a human perspective I don't think we have fully embraced yet. So but it gives us an opportunity I think to maybe go a bit deeper in ourselves also as leaders and and as humans to reflect on what is truth, what is what is the value of something that is human led and human created and those questions. But I think the the thing that IKEA and I did was um So I belong to the first generation of parents I think that thought we gave our kids a telephone, but it was something a little bit more powerful. Um today we we in our family we are okay except my wife. She's not listening. So she's the only one we have to help sometimes with the addiction to uh social media and what not. Um the promise of making us connected in social media came with an incredible depth of uh loneliness and mental damage. And I think personally I think after listening to people who know much more than I do about AI, the risks with AI might be much much uh higher than so. So therefore I think we need to work faster on catching up to the negative side how it's going to impact us.
Ajay Banga: 我专注于新兴市场。发达国家讨论的 AI 依赖大语言模型(LLM),需要大量的算力、电力、隐私保护下的数据以及顶尖人才,而新兴市场缺乏这些。我们应该致力于创建 AI 应用,例如帮助文盲女农通过手机分析叶片背面的病害,或者帮助偏远地区的护士通过远程诊断初步筛查皮肤病。此外,数据正日益被视为国家安全资产,必须警惕全球数据流动的复杂性及其对国家安全的影响。
Original English
Ajay Banga: I will say if I could just zoom back for a second my clients are the emerging markets not the developed world I'll speak from that perspective. The AI we all talk about in the developed world is large language models and and the like. That requires four things computing power lots of it electricity and a heck of a lot of it data lots of it kept in its simplest form with privacy and the more data you have the more predicted the model is and fourth people who know how to do all this. The emerging markets don't have these four. I you know computing power electrification data and people who know how to do this are not exactly what the strength is of a developing country and so to me they could get left behind if that's the only thing we think about. And so what we're talking about to the emerging markets is actually the use of AI to create applications for a illiterate woman farmer to be able to use a phone and look at the backside of a leaf and say I don't know what that disease is but that insecticide from my cooperative for 25 rupees will kill it. Or a nurse in a primary health center in a village in Egypt gets somebody coming in and says I have a rash and they can go to their doctor who's remote and figure out whether it's eczema or something more serious and needs an appointment and so on. So I think the use of AI AI apps which is kind of what we're all playing with is actually quite interesting for the future of what I deliver. I think it's getting stuck in LLM being the only model is going to be hard and then the last part I'd say is LLM assumes that the global flow of data is seamless. I would tell you indeed to be very careful thinking about how quickly how long before governments start thinking of data as a national security asset. When that starts happening just yesterday we've all realized that energy is a national security policy. We kind of didn't know that it feels till 1 month ago. But now we're all thinking that way in the same way I believe data of your citizens will become something that'll be a fairly complex national security topic. So I'm not fully sure that I know that I can predict which way this AI development will go. I think right now it just feels only one way big box centers lots of data stuff getting turned out stuff coming out the other side and it'll replace you in your job. I think that narrative is a broken narrative but that's me.
给年轻人的建议
Jesper Brodin: 我母亲给我的建议是:寻找你擅长且热爱的事物,如果两者结合,你会快乐。这同样适用于老年人。
Original English
Jesper Brodin: Well I'm going to pass on the advice I got from my mother when I was in that age. What am I going to do with my life and she said look for what you're good at look what you love to do and if you find both you will be happy she said. So now the advice is yours. That goes for elderly people as well so it's true.
Karin Rådström: 完全同意。去做你充满激情的事情。同时,相信你自己,因为你能够做到的比你想象的要多得多。谁说你不能改变世界?这完全取决于你的心态,所以去追求吧,一次一辆卡车。
Original English
Karin Rådström: Yeah I completely agree. I think do the things that you're passionate about and I would also say something I would have needed to hear maybe when I was 20 just believe in yourself you know. Ultimately you can do much more than what you might think. So who says you're not going to change the world you know. That's in your head so just go for it. One truck at a time yes. One truck at a time.
Ajay Banga: 人生 50% 是运气,另外 50% 取决于你如何把握。多数人当好运来临时没有去抓住它。如果你不愿承担风险,你就会被留在站台上,火车开走后你只能挥手告别运气。所以要学会承担风险,拥抱热情,保持乐观,一切都会好起来的。
Original English
Ajay Banga: I think life is 50% luck. The other 50% is what you do with the luck when it comes your way. Most people don't seize their luck when it comes their way. If you're not willing to take a risk you're going to be left on that platform and the train will leave and you'll be waving goodbye to your luck. So you have to learn how to take risks. Take them play with them embrace them embrace your passions be optimistic number one two and three it will all be fine. It'll all be fine. Most of the time.
📌 文中提及的人物和组织
公司/组织: World Bank, Daimler Truck, IKEA