特朗普的“皇家宫廷”:揭秘第二任期白宫的内部运作逻辑 The Ezra Klein Show 2026-02-20

第一任期与第二任期的本质区别

Ezra Klein: 在特朗普的第一任期内,每天都有大量的报道关于他的白宫是如何运作的。你有赖因斯·普里巴斯(Reince Priebus)这样的共和党建制派,有史蒂夫·班农(Steve Bannon)这样激进的另类右翼民族主义者,还有过去支持民主党的贾里德·库什纳(Jared Kushner)。总统曾严厉地告诉他那些争吵不休的团队成员,“解决它”。通讯总监、国家安全顾问、副国家安全顾问——人员流动率极高。但特朗普的第二任期有所不同。他的幕僚更多是基于忠诚度选拔的,派系内斗大大减少,白宫也在做更多的事情。报道的重心更多在于他们实际上在对世界做些什么,而不是他们彼此之间在说些什么。但最近,围绕明尼阿波利斯委内瑞拉等重大事件,我一直在想:决策是如何做出的?总统知道什么?如果出了问题谁来告诉他?谁在行使权力,又是如何行使的?是以他的名义还是为了他们自己?所以我想和几位日复一日报道特朗普白宫的记者聊聊,他们能给我展示内部运作的清晰图像。Ashley ParkerMichael Scherer 是《大西洋月刊》的撰稿人。在此之前,他们在《华盛顿邮报》工作,Parker 曾获得过三次普利策奖。他们报道特朗普多年,也为他身边的许多人写过专题。因此,他们处于一个独特的位置,能够解释这个在目前看来更像是一个皇家宫廷(Royal Court)而非传统白宫的地方,究竟是如何日常运作的。

Original English

Ezra Klein: In Trump’s first term, there was a huge amount of daily reporting about how his White House was working. "You’ve got Reince Priebus, the establishment Republican. Steve Bannon, the fiery Alt right nationalist Jared Kushner supported Democrats in the past." "The president sharply told his feuding team members quote, work it out. The communications director, the National Security Advisor, the deputy national security advisor. That’s a lot of turnover. That’s a lot of turnover." Trump’s second term has been different. Trump’s staff is selected much more for loyalty. The factional infighting is much less present, and the White House has been doing much more. The balance of coverage is about what they are actually doing in the world, as opposed to what they are doing or saying about each other, but particularly recently around Minneapolis, around Venezuela, around a number of major stories, I’ve wondered, how are decisions being made here? What does a president know? Who tells him if something is going wrong? Who is wielding power and how? And is it on his behalf or on their own? So I want to talk to some reporters who cover the Trump White House day in and day out, and can give me a better picture of how it is functioning internally. Ashley Parker and Michael Scherer are staff writers at The Atlantic. Before that, they were at The Washington Post, where Parker won three Pulitzer prizes. They have covered Trump for many years now, and they have also profiled many of the people around him. And so are kind of uniquely placed to explain how something that at this point, I think is less like a White House and more like a royal court, is actually functioning day to day.

Ezra Klein: 欢迎来到节目。

Original English

Ezra Klein: Welcome to the show.

Ashley Parker: 谢谢邀请。

Original English

Ashley Parker: Thanks for having me.

Michael Scherer: 是的,谢谢邀请。

Original English

Michael Scherer: Yeah, thanks for having us.

特朗普对第一任期的反思:被“护栏”阻碍

Ezra Klein: 我想先从特朗普对他第一任期哪里出了问题的理论谈起。你们在关于他的大型专访中写道:他在流亡期间意识到,第一任期的几乎每一个关头,他团队中的某个人——普里巴斯约翰·凯利(John Kelly)、詹姆斯·马蒂斯(James Mattis)、威廉·巴尔(Bill Barr)、盖瑞·科恩(Gary Cohn)——都阻挠了他。他需要聪明的人,能帮他弄清楚如何让他随心所欲地做他想做的任何事。所以,Ashley,关于特朗普第一任期的这种说法,在多大程度上是真的?

Original English

Ezra Klein: So I want to begin with Donald Trump’s theory of what went wrong in his first term. You wrote of Trump in your big profile of him. He had realized in his exile that at nearly every turn in his first term, someone on his own team. Reince Priebus, John Kelly, James Mattis, Bill Barr, Gary Cohn had blocked him. He needed smart people who would figure out how to let him do everything that he wanted to do, in whatever way he wanted to do it. So let me begin here. To what degree is that actually true about Trump’s first term? Ashley.

Ashley Parker: 他的第一任期,你必须记住这一点,这想起来很令人震惊,但唐纳德·特朗普从未竞选过任何公职。他醒来,竞选总统,然后赢了。所以他拥有这支杂牌军团队,他们从未在那个级别运作过,其中一些人以前从未真正涉足过政治。还记得在第一任期发挥巨大作用的霍普·希克斯(Hope Hicks)吗?故事传闻说,当特朗普告诉她,“霍普,我想让你加入我的竞选活动”时,她以为是哪个高尔夫球场的营销活动——是多拉特朗普(Trump Doral)还是马阿拉歌(Mar a Lago)的营销?

然后他登上了总统宝座,突然间他不得不把这些职位填满他不认识、不信任的人。其中许多人不喜欢他、不信任他,私下里说他是他们总统人选的第 16 顺位。他们中的很多人把自己看作**“护栏”**。他们会辩称自己在那儿是为了教他总统职位如何运作,民主党如何运作以及这些规范。但在很多方面,他们确实在挫败他想做的事情。

在某些情况下,有人名副其实地从他桌子上拿走一张纸,这样他就不能签署他们认为有问题的政令。有人通过向媒体泄密来破坏他的工作。还有人会说:“这是你不能这么做的 10 个理由。如果你这么做,我这次就辞职。”我们在文章中提到了这一点,我认为这很有说明意义:我们谈到的一个人说,“看,当总统两次要求某件事时,我们有一个非官方规则,那就是我们照做。”我问,“为什么是两次?”他们说,“公平地说,他确实说了很多疯狂的话,但如果他第二次提起,我们就知道他是认真的,无论他是要开除肯尼迪中心董事会并接管它,还是可能进军格陵兰岛,如果那是他想要的,我们就去实现它。”这真是一个显著的区别。

Original English

Ashley Parker: His first term. You have to keep in mind that it’s stunning to remember, but Donald Trump had never run for any office, any political office. He wakes up. He runs for president, and he wins, right. So he has this kind of ragtag team who has never operated at that level, some of whom had never been really in politics before. Remember Hope Hicks who played a huge role in his first term. The story, the lure was that when he told her, Hope, I’d like you to be part of my campaign. She thought it was a campaign for, she said, which golf course. Is it a marketing campaign for Trump Doral or something at Mar a Lago. And so he ascends to the presidency, and he suddenly has to fill all of these posts with people he doesn’t know he doesn’t trust, many of whom don’t like him, don’t trust him. And privately say he was their 16th choice to be president. And, and a lot of them view themselves as guardrails. They are there. They would argue they are there to teach him how the presidency works and how democracy works and these norms. But in a lot of ways, they really are thwarting what he’s trying to do. In some instances, you have someone famously taking a piece of paper off of his desk so he can’t sign something that they believe is problematic. You have them undermining him by leaking to the media. And you also have them saying, here’s the 10 reasons why you can’t do this. If you do this, I’ll resign this time. And we mentioned this in our piece, but I think it’s illustrative. One person we talked to they said, look, when the president asked for something twice, we have an unofficial rule, which is that we do it, right. And I said, well, why twice. And they said, well, to be fair, he does say a lot of crazy things, but if he says it a second time, we know he’s serious and we know regardless of whether it’s to fire the board of the Kennedy Center and take it over or to potentially march on Greenland if that’s what he wants. We are there to make that happen. And it is such a marked difference.

从“内部抵抗”到“皇家宫廷”

Ezra Klein: Michael,在多大程度上这只是反映了良好的幕僚配置?对于一个负责人来说,拥有会说“嘿,那是各坏主意”的幕僚是很重要的。这种职能又在多大程度上转变成了那种著名的“我们是特朗普政府内部的抵抗者”?我问的原因是,如果他们在第二任期着手解决这个问题,那么弄清楚这种约束究竟是阻碍还是帮助就显得很重要。

Original English

Ezra Klein: I mean, to what extent, Michael, is that. When does that just reflect good staffing? It’s important for a principal to have staff who will say, hey, that’s a bad idea. And to what extent does that shift into a kind of famously, we are the resistance inside the Trump administration. The reason I ask is because to the extent they set out. In the second term to solve this understanding whether it was a hindrance or in fact, a help to him to be restrained. Seems important.

Michael Scherer: 从传统意义上讲,这是良好的幕僚配置,在第一任期也是如此,部分原因是特朗普刚上任时并没有政策计划,没有关于政府该做什么的意识形态。他从第一天起就没有重新塑造联邦政府的宏大计划。所以我想当时很多人都在想,我们要保卫白宫,保卫政府原有的样子,确保系统像过去几十年那样运作。按照这个定义,这就是良好的幕僚。

现在,我认为特朗普在第一任期犯了错误。我们应该提到,他喜欢身边围着一群**“毒蛇坑”**式的竞争者。他有凯莉安·康威(Kellyanne Conway)、贾里德·库什纳、史蒂芬·班农和普里巴斯。最初的那几个月,那些全都是相互争斗的独立权力中心。那纯粹是糟糕的幕僚配置,那是他白宫的设计使然。

但我认为对于那些在第一任期进来并抵制他的人来说,他们觉得自己在捍卫国家想要的、早已确立的东西。我想你所看到的——你问题的隐含部分是——为什么它发生了变化?每个进入第二任期的人都知道特朗普想对总统职位做什么,想对政府做什么。第二次非常激进,而且他有了他在 2017 年还无法描述的计划。从这个标准来看,我认为某些方面的幕僚配置确实变好了。

第一任期的很多人,即便不是对政府陌生,也肯定是对白宫和行政部门陌生的。比如第一任期的史蒂芬·米勒(Stephen Miller),他那著名的旅行禁令行政命令在机场造成了混乱。而这些人中的很多人在失去权力的四年里汲取了教训。总统也是,他在第一任期进来时真心期待总统职位像君主制一样,当他发现自己不是国王时感到很沮丧。结果发现,一个参议员约翰·麦凯恩(John McCain)就能搅黄他真正关心的事。经过七年废除并取代奥巴马医改的承诺,最后竟然取决于麦凯恩的那一票。麦凯恩投了反对票,共和党领袖米奇·麦康奈尔脸色铁青,双臂交叉坐着认输。

所以他们在失去权力的四年里学到了这些教训,并利用这段时间让自己变得更大、更强、更快、更聪明、更冷酷。以史蒂芬·米勒为例,他现在知道如何构建行政命令,以便更好地应对法院挑战。他知道如果他关心移民,不仅在国土安全部需要他的人和忠实的信徒,他还知道在卫生与公众服务部以及国务院的西半球部门,有哪些职位对于执行他的政策至关重要。

所以他们回来时理解了官僚机构和政府的杠杆,以及以一种在第一任期没有的方式发挥创意、突破规范和界限的方法。所以如果你喜欢他们正在做的事情,即破坏行政国家,那么在这个使命中,他们是优秀得多的幕僚。

Original English

Michael Scherer: It is good staffing in the traditional sense, and it was good staffing in the first term, in part because Trump also didn’t come into office with a policy plan with an ideology about what really to do with government. He didn’t have a plan from day one about what he wanted to accomplish in terms of remaking the federal government. And so I think a lot of people back then were thinking, well, we’re going to defend the White House, defend the government as it was. Like, that is our job to make sure the systems work as they have worked for decades. And so by that definition, it is good staffing. Now, I think there was mistakes Trump made in that first term. We should mention that he likes a gang of rivals nasty viper pit of rivals around him. And he had Kellyanne Conway and Jared Kushner and Stephen Bannon and Reince Priebus. I mean, those first few months, those were all independent power centers that were all fighting against each other. And that was just that was bad staffing. I mean, that was a design of his White House. But I think for the people who came in that first term who were resisting him, they felt they were defending something that the country wanted, that the country had long established. And I think what you’ve seen, I mean, the implicit part of your question is why has it changed. I mean, everyone who came into the second term knew what Trump wanted to do to the presidency, what he wanted to do to the government. And it was pretty radical. The second time, and he had plans for it that he just wasn’t able to describe. In 2017. And by that metric, I would argue that some of the staffing got better in certain ways. So a lot of these people, the first term were new, if not to government, then certainly to the White House and the executive branch. And the first term, Stephen Miller, for instance, his famous travel ban, executive order, it created chaos at the airports. And a lot of these people spent their four years out of power learning the lessons. And the president, too, he came in the first term, and he expected the presidency genuinely to be like a monarchy. And he was frustrated when he wasn’t king. And it turned out that, a single senator, John McCain, could tank something he really cared about. After seven years of promises to repeal and replace Obamacare, it came down to just one vote. John McCain’s, with all eyes on McCain. He cast his vote with a thumbs down. Republican Leader Mitch McConnell stonefaced his arms crossed in defeat. So they all learned these lessons in the four years out of power, and they spend that time essentially getting bigger, stronger, faster, smarter, more ruthless. And so Stephen Miller when he comes back, and I’m using him as an example. But this applies to a number of people. He now knows how to structure executive orders so that they can better stand up to court challenges. He now knows that if he cares about immigration, it’s not just the Department of Homeland Security where he needs his people and true believers and loyalists. He knows that there are certain positions at the Department of Health and Human Services where he needs people who can implement his policies, or certain people at the State Department in the Western Hemispheres division, who will be crucial for what he wants to do. And so they come back understanding the levers of bureaucracy and government and ways to be creative and push norms and push boundaries in a way they didn’t in the first term. So if you like what they’re doing, which is the destruction of the administrative state, they are much better staffers in that mission.

绝对的忠诚与“皇家宫廷”的效忠

Ezra Klein: 但他们是如何实现的呢?你在其中一篇文章中描述第二任期的人员选拔使命是:“这一次,忠诚将是绝对的。”联邦政府是个庞大的地方,他们现在的团队中确实有一些人,如果你在第一任期看到他们加入,你会期望他们属于更主流的共和党建制派,可能会反对特朗普主义的某些部分。想想马可·卢比奥(Marco Rubio)或道格·伯古姆(Doug Burgum)。那么当他们带着“根据忠诚度和一致性进行选拔”的想法进入这一任期时,他们是如何做到的?

Original English

Ezra Klein: But how do they achieve that? You describe in one of your pieces the mission as their staffing up for the second term is, quote. This time loyalty would be absolute. The federal government is a big place. They actually have on it a number of people who, if you had seen them join in the first term, you would have expected them to be part of this more mainstream Republican establishment that might oppose parts of Trumpism. Think of somebody like Marco Rubio or Doug Burgum. So as they come in to this term with the idea that they’re going to select for loyalty and alignment, how do they do it?

Michael Scherer: 他有一个很好的试金石,那就是**“1月6日”**以及他离开白宫时的不名誉。谁留下来了,谁仍然愿意在他最糟糕的时刻被看到和他在一起,谁在他做了那些事之后还在给他打电话。所以他对自己可以选谁有了更好、更清晰的主念。然后他能够向所有人明确他们是在为谁工作。

我们在第一任期报道过,史蒂芬·米勒会去国土安全部说,“我认为你应该做这个主意”。每个人走出房间都会说,“不,我们不打算那么做,那是个疯狂的主意”。这一次,如果史蒂芬·米勒给他们打电话说,“我认为你应该做这个主意,这个月必须达到驱逐出境的基准。你必须去家得宝(Home Depot)的停车场抓人。”克里斯蒂·诺姆(Kristi Noem)和她的副手会说,“他说跳,我们就跳,我们要跳得越高越好,那是我们的角色。”

我想你在每一个主要的内阁职位上都能看到这一点,在特朗普开始举行的那些内阁会议上,那是对国王的效忠。我的意思是,这非常像一个皇家宫廷。他们都在回应他,而不是回应他们自己的官僚机构和传统。这与第一任期截然不同,那时他一直在就每个部门的利益、国防部的传统、国土安全部的传统、律师和司法部的传统进行谈判。这一次他进来,只要看到怀疑就清理门户,并名副其实地实施忠诚测试来取代那些人。

Original English

Michael Scherer: He has this great litmus test because of January 6, and the disgrace with which he left the White House, of who stuck around, of who was still willing to be seen with him at his worst moment, of who was still calling him after he’d done what he’d done. And so that was he just had a better, clearer idea of who he could choose from. And he was able then to make clear to all of them who they were working for. We reported that in the first term, Stephen Miller would go to the Department of Homeland Security and say, I think you should do this idea. And everyone would walk out of the room saying, no, we’re not doing that. That’s a crazy idea. This time, if Stephen Miller gets on the phone with them and says, I think you should do this idea have to meet this benchmark of deportations this month. You have to go to Home Depot parking lots to pick people up. Kristi Noem and her deputies are saying, he said, jump. We’re going to jump as high as we can. That’s our role. And I think you see that in every one of the major cabinet positions that every one of them you see in those cabinet meetings that Trump has started holding, it’s fealty to the King. I mean, it’s very much like a royal court. And they are all answering to them, not to their own bureaucracies and their own traditions. And that’s just radically different than the first term, where he was constantly negotiating the interests of each one of these departments, the traditions of the Defense Department, the traditions of Homeland Security the traditions of the lawyers and the Justice Department. He came in this time. He cleaned house wherever he saw doubt and literally imposed loyalty tests to replace those people.

Ashley Parker: Ezra,你提到了马可·卢比奥。一个看起来极不可能在特朗普政府任职的人。但第一任期和第二任期之间的世界发生了变化,某种程度上,第一任期人们普遍感觉特朗普是一个异常现象,是一场热烧的噩梦。甚至当乔·拜登(Joe Biden)参选时,他也是以“回归正常”为竞选纲领。当特朗普重新掌权,不仅回来,而且是在“1月6日”之后回来,人们感觉到特朗普并不是那个异常现象。也许乔·拜登才是那个异常现象。这就是国家现在的处境,这就是共和党现在的处境。如果你像马可·卢比奥一样想在现代共和党中成为一名玩家,我认为这灌输了一种忠诚和效忠。而那些不喜欢的人,像保罗·瑞安(Paul Ryan)、米特·罗姆尼(Mitt Romney)那样的人,他们都离开了。

Original English

Ashley Parker: And Ezra, you mentioned Marco Rubio. Someone who seemed very unlikely to serve in a Trump administration. But the world changed between his first and second terms in the sense that in the first term, there was a sense that Trump from not just the people around him and Republicans and voters and world leaders, but from everyone. There was a sense that this was an aberration, and it was a fever dream. And then when Joe Biden, even Joe Biden ran on returning to normalcy. And when Trump retakes power, when he comes back to the White House and doesn’t just come back, but he comes back after January 6, there is a sense that Trump was not the aberration. Perhaps Joe Biden was the aberration. And this is where the country is. This is where the Republican Party is. And if you’re someone like Marco Rubio who wants to be a player in what is essentially the modern Republican Party, it instills, I think, a level of loyalty and a level of fealty. And those people who didn’t like it, the Paul Ryan’s, the Mitt Romneys of the world, they left.

特朗普:共和党的“最高领袖”与神秘主义

Ezra Klein: 你可以告诉我这是否不对,但我通过与特朗普白宫、共和党内部的人交谈发现一件事:2024 年的竞选活动,特别是在刺杀企图之后,以及最终获胜,特朗普周围的人看待他的方式似乎发生了变化。我会说,我觉得特朗普现在被当作共和党的**“最高领袖”(Grand Ayatollah)对待。他们对待他几乎像对待一个神秘主义者,也许他所说的并不完全有道理,但你不能真正质疑它,你必须弄清楚它的真实含义。这回到了你们报道的那件事:如果他说了两次,他们就去做。在我看来,现在特朗普身边的任何人都不认为约束他或重新定向他是他们的工作,哪怕是为了他好。他们把他当作历史上的“伟人”**对待。

Original English

Ezra Klein: You can tell me if this is wrong, but one thing that I have picked up on, talking to people in the Trump White House, in the Republican Party, is that campaign, the 2024 campaign, particularly after the assassination attempt and then when he eventually wins, that the party’s relationship, the way the people around Trump look at Trump seemed to me to change. I would say that I feel like Trump gets treated as the grand ayatollah of the Republican Party now that he’s like that, they treat him almost like a mystic, that maybe what he’s saying doesn’t exactly make sense, but you can’t really question it. You have to figure out what it really means. And it goes to the thing you reported that if he says something twice, they do it that it doesn’t seem to me that anybody around Trump now sees it as in any way their job to restrain him or redirect him, even for his own good, that they treat him as a great man of history figure

幕僚长苏西·威尔斯:不控制信息的管理艺术

Michael Scherer: 是的,我不认为那完全正确。并不是说白宫现在完全由唯唯诺诺的人组成。我们还没有提到的、在这个故事中最重要的人是苏西·威尔斯(Susie Wiles),他的幕僚长。她步入了一个以前没有人能处理好的角色。普里巴斯、凯利、马尔瓦尼,他们每一个都试图干预并阻止他做事。他们每一个都惨淡收场。

苏西之所以能做到,是因为她在“1月6日”之后的荒野时期一直陪伴着他,是因为她能够建立最终获胜的竞选团队。也因为她理顺了她与特朗普的关系,以一种我认为以前没有在这个级别和他共事过的人能做到的方式——去告诉他“我不认为那是个好主意”,或者能够把那些说“我不认为那是个好主意”的人放在他面前。我不认为这是一种他得不到任何反对意见的情况。

当然,这并不意味着他总是听她的,也不意味着他不会按照自己的想法去做。一个例子是关于是否赦免所有“1月6日”重罪犯,还是只赦免一部分,是否不赦免那些暴力的。特朗普身边有人告诉他,“我不认为我们应该赦免暴力的,那些殴打警察并试图伤人的人”。他否决了他们。但最近的一个例子是,总统几周前说,“我认为我们可能需要在 15 个地方将选举国有化”,这并不是他的政府(至少在最高层)目前计划做的。在那之后有人去找他说,“等等,我不认为这是你应该做的”。他并没有完全退缩,目前有点模棱两可。这并不意味着他不会尝试将某个城市国有化。但确实存在反对意见。

现在,什么时候会有反对意见是一个有趣的问题,因为如果苏西发现特朗普已经下定决心,她就不会试图阻止他。这与普里巴斯或其他一些幕僚长不同。她能够顺从。他做出了决定,她会顺从。她会尝试让这对他造成的损害尽可能小。但我不认为说完全没有那样的讨论是正确的。

Original English

Michael Scherer: Yeah, I don’t think that’s correct. It’s not the case that it’s entirely of yes man, White House now. I mean, the person we haven’t yet mentioned, who’s the most important person in this story is Susie Wiles, his chief of staff, who stepped into the role that no one had been able to handle before. Every one of them tried to intervene and stop him from doing stuff. Every one of them burned out, ingloriously. Susie, because she was there with him during his time in the wilderness after January 6, because she was able to build the campaign that ended up winning. And because she’s figured out her relationship with Trump in a way that I don’t think anyone else who’ve ever worked with him at that level is able to go to him and say, I don’t think that’s a good idea or is able to put people in front of him who say, I don’t think that’s a good idea. I don’t think it’s a situation where he is not getting pushback. Now, that doesn’t mean he always listens to her, and that doesn’t mean he doesn’t go ahead and do the thing he wanted to do anyway. I mean, one example of this was there was a debate over whether to pardon all the January 6 felons or just some of them, whether they’re not pardon the violent ones. And there were people around Trump who were saying to him, I don’t think we should pardon the violent the people who were actually beating on police officers and trying to hurt people. He overruled them. But a more recent example is the president said a couple of weeks ago, I think we may have to nationalize elections in 15 places, which is not what his government has, at least at the top, has been currently planning to do. And there were people who went to him after that and said, wait, I don’t think this is what you should be doing. And he hasn’t exactly backed away from it. I mean, it’s a little ambiguous now. It doesn’t mean he’s not going to try and nationalize a city. But there is pushback. Now, the question of when there’s pushback is an interesting one, because Susie does not try and stop him if he’s made up his mind. And that’s different than Reince Priebus or some of the other chiefs of staff. And she’s able to go along. He makes a decision. She’ll go along with it. She’ll try and make it do as little damage as possible for him. But I don’t think it’s right to say there’s no discussions like that.

Ezra Klein: 跟我说说他们的关系。长期以来我对特朗普的一个观察是,他奇特地更擅长接受身边女性的指导而非男性。我想如果一个男人走过来对他说“不,先生,你错了”,他可能会变得更具攻击性。我们在第一任期看到了霍普、凯莉安·康威,还有莎拉·赫卡比·桑德斯(Sarah Huckabee Sanders),她们能更坦率地和他交谈。

Original English

Ezra Klein: Tell me about their relationship. So, one thing I’ve observed with Trump for a long time is that he is oddly better at taking instruction from women around him than men. I think if a man comes to him who’s working with him and says, no, you’re wrong, sir. This is why I think he can become a little more combative. We saw this in the first term, with Hope, with Kellyanne Conway and some other, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, who could talk to him more.

Michael Scherer: 坦率地说,苏西有时会谈到她与父亲的关系,去年那篇《名利场》文章中披露了一些。她的父亲是个酒鬼,她从小就必须学会如何与一个她无法控制的人打交道。她并不是说特朗普是酒鬼,但她说他们的性格并不完全不同。我认为她非常擅长向总统提供他需要的东西:一种有意义的管理结构,一种有意义的流程,一个能真正执行他想法的超级结构。作为交换,她有能力对他说,“这就是为什么我认为这不是个好主意”。

我认为他们建立了非常紧密的纽带。苏西带给白宫的另一件事是,白宫里 60-70% 的高级人员都是**“苏西的人”**。他们为她工作。虽然也是为总统工作,但他们是在执行她的愿景。所以你在第一任期看到的那种紧张局势——七个阵营、五个阵营或四个阵营不断通过向媒体泄密而相互交战——大部分已经消失了。那是她强加的一个组织化超级结构。

我最后要说的一点是,我认为她非常擅长让人们守规矩。如果有人越界了(这发生在内阁级人员和其他高级官员身上),当他们搞砸时,他们会听到苏西的意见。所以政府内部强加了一种纪律,往往非常微妙,来自她。我认为这很好地服务了总统。

Original English

Michael Scherer: Frankly, sometimes Susie has talked about her own relationship with her father, who some of this came out in that Vanity Fair piece last year. But her father was an alcoholic. She had to negotiate around someone she could not control as a child. And she’s not saying that Trump is an alcoholic, but she’s saying that their personalities are not totally dissimilar. And I think she is very good at offering the president something that he needs, which is structure around him that makes sense, a process around him that makes sense, a super structure that can actually execute on what he wants to do. And in exchange for that, she has the ability to say to him, this is why I don’t think this is a good idea. This is why I don’t think that’s a good idea. And I think they’ve formed a very tight bond. And I think the other thing that Susie has brought to the White House is it’s not everybody, but 60-70 percent, of the senior people in the White House are Susie people. They work for her. And I mean, they’re working for the president, but they are executing on her vision. And so that tension you had in the first term, where you had seven camps or five camps or four camps that were constantly warring, often through leaks to the press with each other about how terrible the other one has mostly gone away. And that’s just an organizational superstructure that she’s imposed. The last thing I’ll say about her is that I think she’s been very good at keeping people in line. There’s a way in which if you step out and this has happened with cabinet level people, other senior officials, when they mess up, they hear it from Susie. And so there is of discipline that’s been imposed, often very subtly, from her within the government, which I think has served the president well.

Ashley Parker: 就 Michael 的观点而言,我以前还没完全往那方面想。但我想你是完全正确的,很多这些身处高位、权力巨大的女性能够以一种特朗普不接受其他人的方式对他说出某些话。我认为这种能力坦率地说与为人父母并无二致。你有不同的孩子,如果我要给我的 7 岁孩子传达某种信息,我想让她做某事或听我的话,我的做法会和对 14 岁孩子或 2 岁半孩子截然不同。我不打算说我认为总统是几岁,但所有这些女性都理解特朗普,理解他需要什么,理解如何向他展示信息。也许是在他面前放一个民调,然后说,“看,看这张国家地图。看这些你需要赢得的州,看它们在推翻堕胎权问题上的立场。”因为她们理解那是他接收信息和理解信息的方式。我认为这非常有帮助。

我还想快速提到另一件事,与之前的幕僚长不同,她并不试图控制流向总统的信息。这与第一任期的前三四个幕僚长相比是一个巨大的转变,当时他们试图控制进入房间的纸张。他们试图不让人们确切知道谁进入了椭圆形办公室。苏西并不试图那么做,这让我们的工作变得复杂——对苏西来说首先是这样,对白宫的其他人也是。但也我认为,这让总统觉得他没有被控制。

关于苏西还有一件事,就是 Michael 提到的那篇《名利场》的文章。苏西接受了克里斯·惠普尔(Chris Whipple)的一些坦率采访,那是实录,他最后像记者通常做的那样,提取了最有趣、有时是极具煽动性的部分,发表在一篇引起极大关注的长篇《名利场》文章中。我理解为什么白宫和苏西对此感到生气。但对我来说,当我读那篇文章时,因为我认为她做了一些非常坦率的观察,说了些你未必希望公开的内容。但读到那儿,我想这正是她成为一名优秀幕僚长的原因:她非常清醒。她知道谁是谁,她知道什么时候出了错。她看到了某些人的算计,她对此心知肚明。所以我认为她对身边的“宫廷”及其动机非常精明和聪明。

Original English

Ashley Parker: And to Michael’s point, I hadn’t quite thought of it that way. But I think you’re exactly right that a lot of these women who are in very senior, powerful positions have been able to say things to Trump in a way he wouldn’t accept from other people. And I think it’s their ability, frankly, to not dissimilar to being a parent. You have different kids. And if I’m messaging something to my seven year-old and I want her to do something or hear me, I do it differently than I do to my 14-year-old or my 2 and 1/2 year old. I’m not going to say what age I’m arguing the president is, but all of those women understood Trump, understood what he needed, understood how to present him information. Maybe it’s a poll you put in front of him, right. And say, look, look at this map of the country. Look at these states. You need to win and look where they are. On the overturning of abortion. And because they understand that that’s how he takes in information and understands it. And I think that’s been incredibly helpful. Another thing I just mentioned real quick is that unlike the other chiefs of staff, she has not tried to control the information flow to the president. And that’s a big shift from those first four, three or four chiefs of staff in the first term where they tried to control the paper that was going in the room. They were trying to keep people from not from knowing exactly who was going into the Oval Office and who was not going in the Oval Office. Susie does not try to do that, and that complicates the job for us. Well, for Susie, first and foremost. And for others in the White House. But it also, I think, allows the president to feel like he’s not being controlled. And one more thing on Susie is that Vanity Fair piece Michael mentioned. I assume your listeners know but it was Susie gave a bunch of candid interviews to Chris Whipple, and they were on the record, and he ended up taking as journalists do, the most interesting and sometimes incendiary parts and publishing it in a very long Vanity Fair piece that got a ton of attention. And I understood why the White House was upset over it, and Susie was upset over it. But to me, as I was reading it, and because I think there were some observations she made and things she said quite candidly that you wouldn’t necessarily want in the public domain. But as I read that, I thought this is what makes her a good chief of staff. She’s incredibly clear eyed, right. She knows who’s who. She knows when there’s been a mistake. She sees the angle. This person is always playing and she’s aware of it. So I think she’s very savvy and smart of sort of the court around him and who they are and what their motivations are.

史蒂芬·米勒:脉动的本我与权力的加速器

Ezra Klein: 史蒂芬·米勒通常被描述为这届政府的**“总理”**(Prime Minister),他似乎是那个掌控政策的人。他的角色是什么?

Original English

Ezra Klein: Miller often. He’s been described to me, and I sometimes describe him as seeming like the prime minister of the administration. He seems like the person running policy. What is his role?

Michael Scherer: 正式地,他是副幕僚长;非正式地,我认为总统曾形容他处于**“图腾柱的顶端”**。当他这么说时,他说的是政策。这意味着他参与了几乎所有的外交政策讨论,基本上领导了移民政策讨论。他深入参与了头几个月中许多具有颠覆性的行政命令:对大学的镇压等。他一直在推动其中的大部分工作。

然后,我认为他扮演的另一个角色是**“声音”。他是白宫的加速器**(Accelerant)。这种声音总是像在任何火苗上添油加柴,说“我们必须更强硬,我们必须更严厉。我们必须做得更多。我们不能放弃。我们不能投降。我们必须冲过去。”所以在这种方式下,他影响了很多事情。

他在查理·柯克(Charlie Kirk)葬礼上的演讲,描述了一种文明冲突——这是左派与他那一方之间为了人类未来的全面战争。他把这种态度带到了政府内部。在我们的专题报道中,我们将他描述为一位已经几乎全是“本我”的总统的**“脉动的本我”**(pulsing id)。

Original English

Michael Scherer: So I mean, formally, he’s a deputy chief of staff informally. I think the president’s described him as being at the top of the totem pole. And when he says that he’s talking about policy, and that means he’s involved in all the foreign policy discussions or almost all of them, he’s involved in basically leading the immigration policy discussion. He was deeply involved in many of disruptive executive orders from the first few months, the crackdown on universities. You just list off a lot of the stuff that happened in those first 100 days that caught everybody off guard. He was driving a lot of that. He was writing a lot of those executive orders. And then I think the other role he plays he is the voice. He’s the accelerant in the White House. The voice. It’s always like adding more fuel to whatever fire is happening and saying, we have to go harder, we have to go tougher. We have to do more of this. We can’t give up. We can’t surrender. We have to push through this stuff. And so in that way, he influences a lot of things. In our profile, we described him as the pulsing id of a president who is already almost pure id. And I think that’s just another way of seeing him is that accelerant.

特朗普、事实与“胡说八道”的理论

Ezra Klein: 我意识到唐纳德·特朗普与真相有着一种**“胡说八道者”**(Bullshitter)的关系。我这么说是基于一本伟大的哲学著作《论胡说八道》(On Bullshit)。书中说,“胡说八道者”与说谎者不同,因为说谎者是在针对真相玩游戏——说谎者知道真相并据此进行校准。而“胡说八道者”实际上根本不在乎真相。我把特朗普看作一个“胡说八道者”。但白宫幕僚的部分工作是确保总统无论在公开场合说什么,私下里都知道什么是真的。据你所言,特朗普身边的人似乎并不认为那是他们的工作。

Original English

Ezra Klein: I recognize that Donald Trump has a bullshitters relationship to the truth. And I mean that in there’s this great philosophical, this great book of philosophy called "On Bullshit." And it says that the bullshitter is different than the liar because the liar is playing a game against the truth. The liar knows the truth and is calibrating against it. The bullshitter doesn’t actually care about the truth. I conceive of Trump as a bullshitter, but part of the job of the White House staff is to make sure the president, whatever it he is saying in public, knows what is true and what is not true. And it does not sound to me like what you are telling me, is it. The people around Trump understand that to be their job.

Michael Scherer: 我认为那不是白宫幕僚的优先级。我认为他们觉得他们需要以一种能让他做出正确决定的方式向总统展示现实。总统对自己有一套不同的真相观,他根本不把准确性放在首位。他认为他所说的话是与他正在交谈的人(通常是他的选民)进行的交易的一部分,他试图向他们推销一些东西。所以我认为总统只是不把准确性看作首要任务。

而且,我还要争辩说,他有着长期以来合情合理地弯曲现实以顺从其意志的历史。这很微妙。例如,我们都应该在这里说明,他输掉了 2020 年大选。他就是输了。但与此同时,他让国家的一大块群体相信他才是合法的总统,是在马阿拉歌流亡的总统,大选被窃取了。所以对于他的目的来说,让 40% 的选民认为他赢了,他几乎同样感到高兴。

Original English

Michael Scherer: I think that is not a priority of the White House staff. I think they feel like they need to present to the president reality in a way that would allow him to make good decisions. And the president has a different view of truth. I mean, he simply does not prioritize being accurate. He thinks the things he says are made as part of a transaction with whoever he’s speaking to the American people, usually his voters, in which he’s trying to get something from them. So he’s trying to sell something to them. So I don’t think there’s the president just doesn’t prioritize accuracy in that way. I mean, that’s like a genteel way of putting it. But sure, I mean, I would also argue he has a long history, legitimately of bending reality to his will. And, and that’s tricky because for instance, we should all say here he lost the 2020 election. He just he lost it. But at the same time, he convinced a huge swath of the country that he is the right that he was the rightful president, in exile at Mar a Lago and that the election was stolen. And so, I don’t really know what my macro point is, because I am arguing that there’s actual tangible facts and truth, and I believe in a reality based world. But for his purposes, he is nearly as happy to have those 40% of the electorate think he won the election.

特朗普的一天:看电视、打电话与“深夜输入”

Ezra Klein: 特朗普忙吗?他似乎比我认识的大多数人都有更多时间看电视,看他的属下在电视上的表现。他接听来自像你们这样的人的随机电话,有时甚至不知道电话那头是谁。他接受非常、非常长的采访。他的一天是怎么度过的?

Original English

Ezra Klein: One thing I often wonder about Donald Trump, both because of what I see and then what I hear is whether he is busy. He seems to have a lot more time than most people I know to watch TV, to watch his underlings on TV. They are performing the way they are at hearings and on cable news, in part because they think the president might see them. He is answering random phone calls from people like you, sometimes without even knowing who’s going to be on the other end of the line. He gives very, very long interviews and a lot of them. How does Trump spend his time? What does his schedule look like?

Michael Scherer: 他起得晚。奥巴马会在椭圆形办公室开始得很早,一直工作到晚餐时间。特朗普上午晚些时候才下来。如果他在白宫,我想他平均每天在直播镜头前会待上一到三个小时。剩下的时间则非常自由散漫。我不认为奥巴马那种对效率和结构的驱动是他感兴趣的。他感兴趣的是他每天能得到多少东西,能进行什么交易,以及从每笔交易中得到什么。

他之所以对外交政策如此感兴趣,是因为外交政策拥有巨大的权力。他可以给世界各地的领导人打电话,他喜欢和任何人聊天。他不介意接听任何人的电话,和纽约新市长友好地交谈,或者试图平息世界角落里的战争。他就像来自皇后区的唐(Don from Queens),一个老练的电台热线听众或主持人。这对他来说是个非常好的媒介。周末他打很多高尔夫球。但他确实喜欢大量的输入。

Original English

Michael Scherer: He wakes up late. Obama would start work very early in the Oval Office and work until dinnertime and then go back to the residence. Trump comes down later in the morning. I think on an average day he’s in front of live cameras. If he’s at the White House, I don’t one to three hours in a day. And I think the rest of the time is much more freeform. I don’t think that structure, that drive towards efficiency and structure is something that interests him. I think what interests him is how much he can get out of every day, what transaction he can have and what he gets out of each transaction. I think it’s the reason he’s been so interested in foreign policy is an enormous amount of power when it comes to foreign policy. So he can get on the phone with all kinds of world leaders, and he loves talking to anybody. I mean, he really has no problem taking phone calls from just about anybody talking to the new mayor of New York in a friendly way, talking to try and settle wars and corners of the world like Don from Queens, a consummate talk radio caller or host. It’s a very good medium for him, frankly. He plays a lot of golf on the weekends. But you’re right, it’s much more of like a rolling conversation than it is a meaningful policy debate in the traditional sense.

推荐书目

Ezra Klein: 最后的环节,你们会向观众推荐哪三本书?Ashley,你先请。

Original English

Ezra Klein: Final question. What are three books you’d recommend to the audience? And Ashley, why don’t we begin with you?

Ashley Parker: 我要推荐唐娜·塔特(Donna Tartt)的《秘密历史》(The Secret History),非常棒。下一个有点讨巧,我推荐一位作家,安·帕切特(Ann Patchett),她的任何书我都会读,她写出了精彩、美丽的现代小说。既然我们在谈论特朗普,而我嫁给了他——我的丈夫迈克·本德(Mike Bender),他也是《纽约时报》的记者,他写了一本关于特朗普竞选的书,叫《坦白说,我们确实赢了这场选举:特朗普如何输掉的内部故事》(Frankly, We Did Win This Election)。我推荐它是因如果你想了解他的基本盘是谁以及他们为什么追随他,这本书是必读。

Original English

Ashley Parker: So I’m going to say "The Secret History" by Donna Tartt, which is just fantastic. This next one is a little bit of a cop out, but I’m going to recommend an author and say any book by her. Ann Patchett And I will just read anything she writes. She just does wonderful, beautiful modern fiction. And since we’re talking about Trump and I am married to him, my husband, Mike Bender, who’s also a New York Times reporter, he wrote a Trump campaign book called "Frankly, We Did Win This Election: the Inside Story of How Trump Lost" But I would recommend it because it’s great. I’m biased, but because one of the things he does is he talks about the front row Joes and he has these vignettes on Trump supporters. And if you want to understand really who his base is and why they stick with him, this is the book to do it.

Michael Scherer: 露西·艾夫斯(Lucy Ives)的随笔集《我名字的图像进入美国》(An Image of My Name Enters America),非常有趣。还有戈尔·维达尔(Gore Vidal)很久以前出的《重写本》(Palimpsest),是我读过的关于华盛顿最好的回忆录之一。最后一本是很久以前读过的,道格拉斯·斯塔尔(Douglas Starr)的《血液》(Blood),关于血液如何改变了战争和艾滋病危机,叙事非常出色。

Original English

Michael Scherer: "An Image of My Name Enters America" which is a book of essays, personal essays by Lucy Ives. "Palimpsest" by Gore Vidal came out a while ago. It’s about as good a memoir of DC as I’ve read. And then the last book is a book I read a long time ago, but I always recommend it to people because I think it’s like the best example of literary nonfiction I’ve ever read. It’s a book called "Blood" by Douglas Starr. It’s actually a history of blood. It takes something that’s a part of all of our lives and tells it to you in a narrative that is pretty remarkable.

Ezra Klein: Ashley Parker, Michael Scherer,非常感谢你们。

Original English

Ezra Klein: Ashley Parker, Michael Scherer, thank you very much.

Ashley Parker: 谢谢。

Original English

Ashley Parker: Thank you.

Michael Scherer: 谢谢。

Original English

Michael Scherer: Thank you.

关键字: presidential-power political-staffing loyalty-governance executive-branch decision-making-process