美国制造的混乱现实:亚利桑那州芯片工厂的挑战 New York Times Podcasts 2025-12-22

亚利桑那州芯片工厂的宏大愿景与现实困境

《纽约时报》的迈克尔·奥巴罗(Michael Aubaro)介绍了本期节目。一处位于亚利桑那州的巨型工厂建设,本应象征着特朗普政府将制造业带回美国的决心。然而,正如他的同事彼得·古德曼(Peter Goodman)所发现的那样,这个项目却为全球公司提供了18,000个理由,让它们在考虑于美国建厂时三思而后行。古德曼描述了他抵达现场时的情景:在凤凰城北部一片广袤、几乎空无一人的沙漠山谷中,他看到的是一个占地超过一千英亩的巨大建筑群,烟囱林立,数十台起重机在作业,伴随着轰鸣声和黑烟。他曾在中国上海和阿联酋迪拜经历过大规模的建设热潮,但这里的起重机数量之多,让他感到前所未有的震撼,仿佛置身于一个正在发生深刻变革的时刻。

Original English

From the New York Times, I'm Michael Aubaro. This is the Daily. The construction of a massive factory in Arizona was supposed to embody the Trump administration's ability to bring manufacturing back to the US. Instead, as my colleague Peter Goodman found out, it's provided companies around the world with literally 18,000 reasons to think twice about building in America. Peter, good of you to come into the studio. Delighted. I wonder just to start this conversation if you can describe this factory that you recently visited to us. Yeah, sure. So, it's about 9:20 in the morning on Friday and I'm just arriving. I mean, there's this giant, mostly empty desert valley in the extreme north of Phoenix, as far as the eye could see. Really emptiness. I'm standing on a gravel road, uh, looking at cactuses and various desert scrub just flowing out to the horizons that this is all going to get filled up with housing and and offices to feed. So, this factory, I've seen a lot of factories in my day. You sure have. is on a scale that I've never even imagined. We're talking about more than a thousand acres. The complex itself, I'm looking at a long, low gray building with a bunch of smoke stacks visible on top. You can see at least a dozen cranes. You can hear the roar of something. There's black smoke now coming out of the top of one of these buildings. and beyond you can see these cranes that are working and there are construction cranes in every direction. Now I lived in Shanghai, China in the height of the construction boom there. So I was in Dubai when Dubai was under enormous construction and then to the west of there there's a ton of cranes. Uh just counting real 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 I mean I'm running out. I've counted 15 of them. Uh, and there's still more. And then there's more visible like way beyond to the west. That could be these are the only places where I've seen these numbers of cranes and numbers of construction people wandering about. And that feeling of like you're present there for a moment when things are really changing in a deep way in that place. Just beyond. I see heavy equipment on the move. I see diggers that are moving soil around. There's a whole wall of portaotties as you would expect at a giant construction project. I mean this is people say the biggest construction project in North America and I I got to say it doesn't disappoint. And looking at this factory under construction evokes that sense as well of scale. Not just scale but that this is important beyond the thing itself.

What does it represent? This gargantuan cranefilled factory bill. It represents a moment when a consensus broke out in the American political system, in the business world, that globalization, this system that we've been living under for most of our adult lives, has been very fruitful and beneficial in all sorts of ways. But there are some things where it matters where we make them. And one of those things is computer chips. We need to have our own stock of computer chips. We need to make them at home in the event of war or disaster. And that's what they're making in these factories that I saw. Computer chips are the brains of just about everything. The iPhone in your hand, the data centers that are getting built all over the place to make artificial intelligence work. They're going into our cars. They're going into our appliances. I mean, it's pretty hard to think about any manufactured product now that doesn't have some kind of computer chip. So, it would seem like a very, very big and overdue thing to have such a factory building those chips right here in America. It's a big deal. I mean, it is the most palpable manifestation of this really, I think you can say, national aspiration to build things in America again. But there are some complications. This company that's building these factories is not American. It's Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp. TSMC as it's known. It is a Taiwanese company. It is a very successful Taiwanese company. But it's also been an excruciating pain for TSMC to get this thing built with American subsidies, with a whole political process designed to bring this about. It's still been slow, expensive, and difficult. And so it really raises the question, is this a triumph? Is this the template for how we can do this going forward? Or is this the cautionary tale? So Peter, tell us the story of this factory and all the ways in which it suggests a potential future or perhaps the impracticality of that future.

芯片战略与地缘政治风险

彼得·古德曼解释说,要理解这一切,必须回顾大流行病(Pandemic),它揭示了一个重要事实:将关键物品的生产几乎全部集中在单一国家并非明智之举。例如,在疫情最严重时期,若无法从中国进口物资,就无法生产呼吸机。而中国不仅是疫情爆发地,美国还与其进行贸易战,这使得可靠获取所需物资变得困难。目前,最先进的计算机芯片(Computer Chips)绝大多数在台湾制造。台湾是一个自治岛屿,但被中华人民共和国视为其领土,这意味着中国人民解放军随时可能采取行动,从而对全球芯片供应造成巨大冲击。大流行病在某种程度上预示了若中国突然入侵台湾可能造成的局面,因为它展示了全球供应链被切断时的景象。因此,我们必须认真考虑供应链韧性(Supply Chain Resilience),这需要“保险”。这种保险意味着政府必须直接介入,确保某些关键物品在美国本土制造,而这需要大量的补贴(Subsidies)。拜登政府打破了数十年的自由贸易教条,不再仅仅依赖市场决定生产地点,而是认识到效率有限,政府需要发挥作用,确保如计算机芯片等关键产品在美国生产。这催生了具有里程碑意义的**《芯片与科学法案》**(Chips and Science Act),该法案提供了数百亿美元的补贴,用于支持在美国建设芯片工厂的公司。**台湾积体电路制造股份有限公司(TSMC)**甚至参与了该法案的起草。

Original English

Look, you have to go back to the pandemic, which was the great reveal that it's not such a great idea to concentrate nearly all of the production of vital things in single countries. So, you know, waking up and discovering that you really can't make a ventilator in the middle of a pandemic unless you import stuff from China, where the pandemic was at its worst, where the pandemic began, a country that not incidentally we decided to have a trade war with, not a great way to reliably get the stuff you need. And computer chips, the most advanced ones, are made overwhelmingly in Taiwan. Taiwan is of course a self-governing island that is claimed as part of Chinese territory by the people's republic of China and its government in Beijing which means that you know there is the not zero risk that on any given day the Chinese military could show up and take over and that could be an enormous disruption to the computer chip. And in a sense, the pandemic was a potential theoretical foretaste of what it would be like if all of a sudden China were to invade Taiwan cuz it showed us what it looks like when your global supply chains get cut off. Suddenly, we have to grapple with the idea that maybe all those computer chips can't ever get out of Taiwan. And we have to think about resilience. We need the the way to think of it is we need some insurance. It's not that globalization is bad. It's that globalization without insurance against the risks that are an inevitable part of life. That's not so good. And what does that insurance actually look like? It looks like the government saying we're going to have to play a direct role in making sure that certain things are built in the United States and that's going to require subsidies. So along comes the Biden administration and the Biden administration breaks from generations of free trade dogma. This idea that we just let the market sort out what gets built and where. And they say efficiency only takes us so far. The government's going to have to play a role in making sure that certain things like computer chips are built in the United States. And this becomes the Chips and Science Act. this landmark piece of legislation that's got tens of billions of dollars in subsidies given to companies that build computer chip factories in the United States. One of those companies, Taiwan Semiconductor, actually participates in the writing of this bill.

TSMC在美建厂的重重阻碍

台湾积体电路制造股份有限公司(TSMC)获得了超过60亿美元的补贴(Subsidies),用于在凤凰城建设工厂。完工后,这里将生产全球约三分之一的先进芯片。这对于TSMC、美国以及凤凰城当地经济而言都是一项重大成就,将创造数千个建筑和制造岗位,并带动相关服务业发展。然而,在2022年12月举行的奠基仪式上,尽管有州长、参议员、工会代表、大学校长以及总统乔·拜登(Joe Biden)的出席和祝贺,将此视为经济发展的巨大胜利,但实际建设过程却异常艰难。TSMC在台湾习惯于在拥有单一主管部门、审批流程简化的科技园区内建厂。而在美国,他们必须应对来自县、市、州和联邦的环境法规,需要获得数千份许可证(Permits),远超台湾的一个。TSMC不得不自行编写18,000条规则,花费了3500万美元,并教育监管人员了解其行业。此外,美国缺乏建造先进芯片工厂的专业人才和“肌肉记忆”,上次在美国建造大型芯片工厂已是13年前。为填补技能缺口,TSMC从台湾引进技术工人,这立即引发了与当地工会的劳资纠纷。工会认为联邦政府出资应优先雇佣美国工人,而TSMC则强调需要经验丰富的技术人员来安装复杂设备。随之而来的是一场针对TSMC的歧视性诉讼,指控其偏袒台湾员工,并用中文交流以排斥美国工人。这反映了深层的文化差异:TSMC在台湾实行一种“家长式”管理,强调奉献和长时间工作,而美国工人则更看重合同和工作与生活的平衡。

Original English

And that company, TSMC, ends up with a $6 billion plus grant to then build this complex of factories in Phoenix. At the end of the day, when it's all built, they'll be making roughly a third of all the advanced ships they make worldwide right there in Phoenix, Arizona. That's a really, really big deal given just how much of that work was concentrated in Taiwan. It's a very big deal. It's a very big deal for TSMC. It's a very big deal for the United States. And it's certainly a very big deal for the local economy in Phoenix, which is, you know, traditionally been very tied to the boom and bust cycle of real estate. And now we're talking about thousands of jobs in construction to build this, thousands more to eventually make the chips themselves. And then there's all sorts of, you know, associated services, lawyers, insurance companies, caterers, truck drivers, warehouses, right? A state would in theory kill for this kind of economic activity. Any state would kill for this kind of economic activity. That's right. So, on the day of the groundbreaking, this is December 2022, you've got the Republican governor of the state of Arizona. You've got members of the Senate. You have union representatives, university presidents. Well, I tell you what, you're starting off in the right place. This is going to be an incredible asset to the state of Arizona. A special thanks to And finally, Joe Biden, the Democratic president, shows up leading the parade in celebration of this enormous triumph in economic development. Your city and Gov, uh, you and I are different sides, but we see and share the same vision as Arizona is a hub, literally a hub for tech for technical change that's going to take place. And that's well under the president is associating his administration with reclaiming the future. And I know our host won't mind my pointing out that America invented the chip. He's delighted to be talking about what a huge deal this is for the rejuvenation of American manufacturing and in something that's, you know, forwardlooking. This is building an American future in a technology that the US actually pioneered. And you're here because you're seeing what we're all seeing. America manufacturing is back, folks. American manufacturing is back. And I know because you said so at the beginning of our conversation, Peter, that this story is about to take a complicated twist. But so far, it really does feel worth saying that this is a fable of what's possible in an American system that's not known for getting big domestic manufacturing projects of any kind done. Yeah. This is a real life manifestation of what this enormous economy full of talented skilled people and political system political system that doesn't always help bring about the most fruitful outcomes. But we got a lot of money. We got a lot of knowhow. And if we can get it all working right, this is what we can produce. And yet by the time I got out to Phoenix about 3 years after the groundbreaking, it was still a marker of incredible triumph. But alongside the triumph was a sense that wow what a pain it's been to get this constructed and that the whole complex had become symbolic not just of what we can achieve but also the many ways in which American governance can get in the way of our visions. We'll be right back. So, Peter, after all of this promise and achievement in the story, what starts to go wrong with the construction of this set of factories after the groundbreaking? Well, from the beginning, it's clear that Taiwan Semiconductor, this very successful company that's managed to make and run huge factories in Taiwan, is dealing with a system that's very different than the one that it's accustomed to. And you know, at home in Taiwan, they're building factories in these dedicated science parks where there's one central authority. There's one permit, one inspection, and they're done. How nice. How nice. and they're separated from, you know, homeowners who may have different ideas about what they want to see, what they want to live next to. Well, in Phoenix, they're dealing with the county. They're dealing with the municipal government. There are state and federal environmental regulations. And so there are literally thousands of permits that they have to get. Thousands. Thousands where it would have been one in Taiwan. And this is all new to TSMC. And even if an American company were trying to do this, it would be new to them because we, it turns out, don't have regulations governing this particular industry at the county in the municipal level. There's no code on page 25 of the local zoning manual that says when building a chip factory here in the desert, this is the lighting system. Correct. So TSMC actually has to write 18,000 rules. Wow. that they then have to comply with while they're trying to figure out like, well, let's see. You've got this federally administered clean air program, but it's the county we actually have to deal with to get the permit. And they have to write the language. $18,000 rules cost them $35 million just to write the rules. just to write the rules, it turns out, and just to be clear, when we say that this company is writing these rules, they're helping write rules that will then be drafted, adopted by local government. Correct. But this is like the frontier, right? So, they actually have to get down into the nitty-gritty of educating the people who are supposed to be regulating them on what it is that they're doing and what could go wrong. and how it needs to be done. What's the most intriguing rule you came across? Huh? Well, at one point there was a supplier company called Lindy that makes air separation equipment. The the inside of these computer chip factories has to have really pure air. And so they pipe in this clean air from a neighboring plant and just to move a mound of dirt and then leave part of the mound in place required 15 different permits and you know more than 15 different inspections. Okay, so that is the first of what I imagine are many headaches, right? Then they quickly figure out that there aren't enough people with the right sorts of skills to build one of these plants. These plants have to be built to extraordinary specificity. I mean, it's, you know, it's kind of an industrial magic trick to make a computer chip. And it involves, you know, beaming light onto tiny pieces of silicon. It's sort of like a photographic negative. We're talking about fractions of a thousandth of a percent of the width of a human hair. Things have to be just so. And in Taiwan, there are thousands of people who've come through an apprentice system, who've actually participated in building fabs. The last time we completed a large scale fab in the computer chip industry in the United States was 13 years ago. So we just simply don't have the muscle memory to build one of these plants. We can't do this without relying on places that have this expertise and those are places in East Asia. So how does the company deal with that? They start bringing in specialized workers from Taiwan, which immediately causes, you know, major animosity with local unions. And the local unions say, "Well, hold on a second. If the federal government's writing a check for six plus billion dollar should be American jobs. We should be getting the job." And TSMC says, "You will be getting thousands of jobs, but to get this thing off and running right now, we got to go find some people who know how to install this specialized, highly advanced equipment that goes into these plants." So they bring in people to do that. So eventually the unions win some promises that TSMC will hire a certain number of workers and peace reigns with the unions. But meanwhile, there's a lawsuit filed by a bunch of American workers who accuse TSMC of discriminating against American workers, treating them like they're lazy and incompetent. They accuse the Taiwanese managers of speaking in Chinese as a way of excluding the American workers from participating, which is probably not quite the case. They're probably speaking Chinese because they speak Chinese. I mean, they that's the language that they could speak most efficiently. So, I mean, this was certainly something that I heard from Taiwanese Americans who are living in Phoenix that, you know, it's hardly an act of discrimination that, you know, someone who's under the gun to deliver on a complicated project that costs billions of dollars, uh, with the mothership breathing down their neck to deliver, they're going to want to speak to people in their native language. So on top of all the tensions about rules, there are these cultural tensions being revealed between an international company trying to do this hard thing and a group of local American workers who are chafing at all that represents. TSMC is a highly successful company in its own system, but now it's navigating a different system and there's a different set of expectations for workers. I mean, in Taiwan, TSMC operates in a kind of paternalistic fashion where we'll take care of you. You'll be very well paid. We'll get involved in your housing if need be. But when we need you in the middle of the night, when something goes wrong at that factory, we really don't care what you're up to. You got to be over there pronto. And that's understood. People work very long hours. Construction crews work what we would call overtime without logging as such. the American worker is operating in a system where uh we don't have the same sort of faith in our employers. We don't have the same sense of social obligation. And so the American worker comes at this from a much more contractual, hey, you know, I'm supposed to be off at 5 kind of standpoint and you call me on the weekend, I'm home with my kids, maybe I can't make it. And so this creates all sorts of misunderstandings, bad feeling from the American standpoint. They're dealing with this doineering, you know, controloriented company from the Taiwanese perspective. They're dealing with workers who aren't fully in it for the team and aren't working as hard as the people they're bringing in from Taiwan. Mhm. And of course, we haven't even gotten to the idea that there are neighbors to this vast complex who no doubt because this is the United States have some questions and concerns. Right? So, I spent time looking at uh a plant that's being built by one of TSMC's suppliers. It's a company called Amcore. They do what's an ancillary building nearby. It's a so-called packaging plant. They take the chips that are made and they configure them to fit into your iPhone or your car or whatever. Well, they end up in this um right in the middle of a planned mixeduse community that's supposed to mean, you know, retail, maybe some offices, walkable homes, their golf courses around, and neighbors learn that there's this factory planned. Uh it's going to interfere with their views, their peace and quiet. They're worried about water. They're worried about tractor trailers coming through the area. and the local uh city, they offer these assurances that the factory is only going to be so high. It's not going to be that big. And then meanwhile, because of this stunning demand for AI chips, suddenly it's going to be twice as high. It's going to be four times the footprint. And eventually, these homeowners mass together and they successfully kill this plant or they at least they force Amcor to go move to a different site. And I think this is a moment worth unpacking that on the one hand, if we're really serious about having computer chips made in the United States, we need a plant like Amcors. On the other hand, these homeowners didn't sign up for some sort of national crusade in to advance American manufacturing. Most of these people are retirees. They they just want a peaceful place to live and enjoy and watch the sunset and play golf, right? So it's worth coming back to this point that in Taiwan these two groups would be separated by vast distances. It's uniquely in the American system and some people would call these guys nimies. Others would say it's absurd that government didn't plan this better so that there is no collision of interest. It's a bunch of retirees who want to look at cactuses should be able to do that at the same time that we're figuring out where else in this giant state of Arizona could there be a piece of land big enough to have this factory. In the course of reporting on all of these disputes and tensions, I'm curious where you found your sympathies lying. Is it with a company that says, "Look, we're just trying to fulfill America's pledge to have insurance against the worst case scenarios. We're just trying to build a factory in the US that makes sure you have access to chips. We have access to our clients." Did you find yourself instead more drawn to these American folks who said, "Wait a minute, these should be American jobs, or we did not sign up for this building in our community." Well, I think part of the complexity of this is that pretty much everybody at the table has a reasonable argument to make. We live in a democracy. Uh people who buy homes in a planned community expecting that maybe a Starbucks will pop up um and not a factory should have a say over what gets built in their midst. And uh in a place where uh it it's a desert. It's literally a desert and you're worried about shortages of water and there's already great battles over who gets access to the Colorado River and the depletion of the watershed in areas. There should be a process to figure out, you know, what are the impacts and and a lot of these permits are uh permits under programs that represent triumphs of American democracy. We have advanced workplace safety. We have advanced environmental protection. It's just that this bureaucracy has now grown up around some of these laws without us sorting out these naughty land use questions. And I think one can be sympathetic to the argument that we have to think seriously about our national security, our industrial future, and that's going to require a government role. But that's got to be done in a thoughtful, deliberative way, and we got a lot of catchup to do in that area. So I think Peter this brings us to the most important and most existential question of all to emerge from this reporting you did which is did all of the rigomeroll involved in getting this project complete did it make this a template for the reestablishment of manufacturing in the United States at a massive scale or does it loom as the cautionary tale for why it's just too hard to do this in the US that would send similar companies and perhaps those not getting a multi-billion dollar check from the US government running in the other direction.

“美国制造”的挑战与未来展望

那么,这个项目究竟是美国制造业复兴的模板,还是一个警示故事?彼得·古德曼认为:“孩子们,别在家尝试这个。”他承认,这确实是一个“混乱的开端”,但也许随着时间的推移,我们会变得更好。然而,TSMC承诺投资1650亿美元,这表明只有少数公司有能力进行如此大规模的投资。作为全球行业的领导者,TSMC在这次经历中“吃了不少苦头”,但他们表示学到了很多,并有能力加速推进。这并非任何其他公司都能轻易复制的模式。这个案例传递了一个信息:美国是一个商业环境复杂的国家,获取许可证困难,找到所需人才也难,且成本高昂。这并非适合“胆小者”的游戏。如果政府不提供巨额资金和“礼宾服务”,许多公司可能会选择其他地方建厂。对于那些并非被美国政府强制要求建厂的行业而言,他们很可能会从TSMC的经历中得出结论:“也许我们应该在别处建下一座工厂。”这表明,尽管“美国制造”的愿景是宏大的,但其实现过程的混乱与艰难,可能会让许多潜在投资者望而却步。

Original English

Yeah, it's a great question. Um I would say kids don't try this at home. [laughter] Um I mean in like in all seriousness we are tempted to look at this and say of course at the beginning it's going to be messy. It's going to be tricky. We'll get better at this. This is the messy beginning. Yeah, it's the messy beginning. And that, you know, we'll look back in 25 years and say, "Yeah, you know, that was tough, but boy, we really got through that. We really got something in this template." But, you know, let's remember Taiwan Semiconductor is now promising to invest $165 billion. There aren't a lot of companies that can throw around that sort of money. This is a highly successful company. It is by any measure the global industry leader. And they had a tough time of it. uh they've said that they've learned a lot and they're in a position to go faster now and there's reason to think that that's so but this is certainly not something where just any other company in any other place could come along and summon out of nowhere right and if it's this hard for the most successful maker of computer chips in the world right how hard will it be dot dot dot for anybody else correct and that message is out there that the US is a tough place to do business. It's a tough place to get permits. It's a tough place to find people you need to do the stuff that needs to be done and you're going to have to pay them a lot uh to do it. This is not for the faint of heart. [music] So, if we're trying to figure out whether this project is going to send the signal to investors and other companies around the globe that, hey, the US is open for business. Come build a factory. it's gonna be awesome. This is not that story. This is a story that says it's possible. And if the government writes you a check and gives you concier service, which is what TSMC has gotten, then maybe everything comes together and makes it possible. But this is not the thing that will convince anyone that it's going to be really easy to build a factory in the United States. If you're in an industry where you're not being forced essentially to build a plant in the United States, there's a good chance you'd look at this experience and say, "Maybe we'll find somewhere else to put our next factory." Peter, thank you very much. We appreciate it. Thank you, Michael. We'll be right back.

📌 文中提及的人物和组织

人物: Peter Goodman, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Todd Blanch, Nicholas Maduro

公司/组织: TSMC, OpenAI

产品/模型: iPhone