媒体、政治与文化变迁的对话:从博主到记者,从传统到数字的探索 The Ezra Klein Show 2026-08-11

与罗斯的旧识和媒体的转变

Speaker A: 我认识罗斯很久了。我们以前是博客的时候,地球还年轻。

Original English

I've known Ross D outfit a long time. We were bloggers back when the earth was young.

Speaker B: 嘿,罗斯,你怎么样?

Original English

hey Ross, how are you?

Speaker A: 很好。我很好,埃兹拉。你怎么样?

Original English

Good. I'm fine, Ezra. How are you?

Speaker B: 然后我看着他成为《纽约时报》评论员,2009年,他是《纽约时报》评论员中年纪最小的。大约一年前,他推出了《有趣时报》(Interesting Times),这个播客在这里是一个很棒的节目。

Original English

And then I watched him become a columnist here at the New York Times Opinion in 2009, the youngest ever New York Times opinion columnist. About a year ago, he launched Interesting Times, which has been a great fellow podcast here in the section.

Speaker A: 反基督是什么?

Original English

What is the Antichrist?

Speaker B: 我们还有多少时间?我们有你谈论反基督的那么多时间。

Original English

How much time do we have? We've got uh as long as much time as you have to talk about the Antichrist.

Speaker A: 然后,他打破了我们所有的心,他宣布要去《60分钟》,他将成为一名特派记者。所以我想和罗斯谈谈他如何从这里出来,谈谈他如何看到媒体的改变,他如何看到政治的改变,以及他可能认为它又在改变。罗斯迪现在和我一起。

Original English

And then breaking all of our hearts, he announced he's going to 60 Minutes where he's going to be a correspondent. So I want to talk to Ross on his way out here about how he has seen media change, how he has seen politics change, and how maybe he believes it is changing again. Ross Dit joins me now.

Speaker C: 罗斯德拉,欢迎回来。

Original English

Ross Dela, welcome back to the show.

Speaker A: 谢谢你邀请我,埃兹拉。这很荣幸。

Original English

Thanks for having me, Ezra. It's a pleasure.

Speaker B: 搞什么鬼,伙计?

Original English

What the hell, man?

Speaker A: 什么?你的意思是去《60分钟》?你把我们抛弃了?

Original English

What? What do you mean? Going to 60 Minutes. You're leaving us?

Speaker B: 我的意思是,在精神上,你永远不会离开你所爱的地方,而万物都由上帝聚集在那里。但是的,我将去《60分钟》。

Original English

I mean, in spiritually, I You never leave any place that that you love and all things are gathered in by God for his But yeah, I'm I'm going to 60 minutes.

Speaker A: 好的,我们将去《60分钟》。我们将从你从哪里来,到你将去哪里开始。你作为一名记者、评论员、专家的精神起源在哪里?我一直以为你和我一样,像一个被媒体牢牢吸引的原创博主。

Original English

All right, we're we're going to we're going to get to going to 60 minutes. We're going to uh start with where you came from and get to where you're going. Where do you locate your own spiritual origins as a journalist, as a commentator, a pundit? I I was going back. I had always thought you were like me, like an original blogger who gets absorbed by a media borg.

Speaker B: 哦,是的。不,恰恰相反。你从大西洋开始成为博主。

Original English

Oh, yeah. No, it was the opposite. Yeah, you're the opposite. You start at the Atlantic and become a blogger.

Speaker A: 我,你知道,我曾是一名初级编辑。我曾在《大西洋邮报》编辑部做过一段时间,并在旁边做过博客。我想我对自己是那种在旧时代结束和新时代开始之间都有些存在的,我二十多岁时有并行的职业生涯。我在《大西洋邮报》的职业生涯中,我做初级编辑的工作,并试图在机构的头版上争取地位,在那里,你知道,你仍然在对这些要印出来并在办公室里流传的巨大纸张进行事实核查和文稿编辑,那是非常前杂志和前互联网的报道经验。然后,同时作为一种副业,我一直在做自由撰稿和参与21世纪初互联网那样的世界。这两件事在某种程度上汇合了,因为你知道,当时发生的事情是,许多传统出版物看着那个格局说,啊,这是未来,我们需要将其吸纳。对。所以在《大西洋邮报》,这意味着基本上创建了一个由《大西洋邮报》聘请的著名博主组成的迷你编辑页或评论页。所以有一段时期,他们聘请了安德鲁·萨利文,当时他是博客领域最大的交易,但他们也聘请了埃格拉修斯·梅根·马德尔·坦哈西·科茨,还有我,因为我已经在工作人员了,我可以告诉你,我的流量数字比其他人有些低。但那在那个时代是这样的一种道路,因为你遵循了它,你将成为一种批评体制的局外人博主,然后体制机构可能会雇佣你,或者买你的博客,或者把你带上船,只是在我这个案例中,当那发生的时候,我已经在船上了。

Original English

I, you know, I was a a junior junior junior editor. I edited the letter section at The Atlantic for a while and I did blogging on the side. Um, I think of myself as someone who was sort of present for both the end of an old dispensation and the beginning of a new one. So, I had sort of parallel careers in my early 2s. I had the career inside the Atlantic where I was doing junior editor work and sort of trying to work my way up the masthead at an institution where, you know, you were still doing fact-checking and copy editing on these huge sheets of paper that would be printed out and circulate around the office and 17 people would have red pen on them and it was very much a pre-magazine and a pre-internet journalistic experience. And then then at the same time sort of as a side hustle I was blogging doing freelance writing and sort of participating in yeah the kind of the world of the early 2000s internet. Those two things sort of converged because what then happened as you know was that many many traditional publications looked at that landscape and said ah this is the future and we need to co-opt it. Right. So, at the Atlantic, that meant basically creating a mini uh editorial page or opinion page that consisted of prominent bloggers that The Atlantic had hired. So there was a period when they brought in Andrew Sullivan who was then the biggest deal in blogging but they also had Eglacius Megan Mardle Tanahasi Coats um and and then me because I was already on staff and I can tell you that my own traffic numbers were were somewhat lower than the others. Um but that that was sort of the path as you know in that era because you followed it too was to sort of be a kind of an outsider blogger critic of the establishment and then an establishment institution might hire you or buy your blog or or bring you on board and it was just that in my case I was sort of already on board when that happened.

Speaker A: 你会如何向一个当时没有接触过这些的人描述,比如今天的一名年轻记者,博客是什么?什么让它不同?什么让像《大西洋邮报》这样的地方,最终《纽约时报》认为他们需要其中一部分?

Original English

So, how would you describe to somebody who was not around for that, you know, a young journalism student today, what blogging was? What made it different? What made places like The Atlantic, eventually the New York Times think they needed part of it, too?

Speaker B: 嗯,所以有几个阶段,对吧,有一些博主群体成为了一个大事件。第一波是在9/11之后,然后在为伊拉克战争做准备的时候,你有一群人,其中一些是前自由派,他们搬到了某个地方,其中一些只是右翼,但他们被叫做战争博主,对吧?这些人是我会说最简单的方法是,一些疯狂的事情发生了,一些改变世界的事件发生了,对吧?就在互联网作为一个力量出现的时候,当时互联网正在出现,所以突然出现了一个巨大的市场,突然出现了一群人,他们正在他们的网络浏览器上盯着屏幕一整天,嗯,想听人们谈论恐怖主义,9/11,伊斯兰教,中东,然后是阿富汗和伊拉克,所以这并不奇怪,那些填补那个细分市场的那些人,大多是那些支持战争的,支持伊拉克战争的。但我认为真正是那个事件和需求,或者事件和技术相互交汇,创造了这个开端。我记得在9/11之前的夏天在《国家评论》实习,所以是2001年的夏天,对吧?所以我想萨利文当时在做博客。有两三个人。你什么时候开始做博客的?

Original English

Well, so there were a couple phases, right, where um there were a couple cohorts of bloggers who became a big deal. And the first wave was uh immediately after September 11th and then in the run-up to the Iraq war where you had a set of people who were some of them were former liberals who had moved right uh some of them were just right-wingers but they got called the war bloggers right and these these were people who were I would say the simplest way to put it is that something crazy had happened something world altering had happened right and we at the exact time that the internet was emerging as a force and so there was a huge market suddenly of people who were you know on their web browsers looking at a screen all day um and wanted to hear people talking about terrorism September 11th Islam in the Middle East and then you know Afghanistan and Iraq and so on and it's not surprising that the people who filled that niche were mostly people who were in favor of the war on terror and then in favor of the war in Iraq. But I I think it really was that the event and the demand or the event and the technology sort of intersected to create this opening. Like I remember being an intern at National Review in the summer before September 11th, so summer of 2001, right? And so I think Sullivan was blogging. There were like two or three people who were When did you start blogging?

Speaker C: 2003年。

Original English

Speaker B: 我是圣克鲁斯大学的一届新生。对吧?嗯,所以2001年,你有了互联网,你有一些博主,我记得只是坐在,你知道,那个像50、60岁杂志的办公室里。我是一名实习生。我没有什么可做的,你只是刷新一下,对吧?你刷新安德鲁·萨利文的博客,你就会看到,你知道,你看到他有没有发布新东西。米奇·考斯,对吧?《牛文件》当时可能也是最初的博客之一。但然后9/11发生了,突然你就有很多人刷新,有了这种需求。嗯,我希望在那个之前。所以,我发现这个时期有趣的一点是,这是这些地方之一,我认为媒体的变化比人们真正意识到得更多。当时政治观点对大多数人来说是难以获得的。所以,我成长在加利福尼亚州的橙县。我的家人订阅了《洛杉矶时报》。所以我们,你知道,在《洛杉矶时报》上有一个社论版,我有时会读。我们不是一个订阅了DC政治的小型发行版的家庭。

Original English

I was a freshman at UC Santa Cruz, right? Um, so in 2001, you had the internet and you had a few bloggers and I remember just sitting in, you know, the offices of again this like 50, 60-year-old magazine. I'm an intern. I have very little to do and you just sort of hit refresh, right? You hit refresh on Andrew Sullivan's blog and you see what you know, you see you see if he's posted something new. Mickey Couse, right? Cow Files was also probably one of the initial blogs at that point. But then September 11th happens and suddenly you just have a lot more people hitting refresh and having having this kind of demand. Well, I want to go before that. So, one of the things that I find interesting about this period is that this is one of these places where I think media has changed more than people really realize. There just wasn't a lot of political opinion accessible to most people. So it's like I grew up in Orange County, California. My family subscribed to the LA Times. Uh so we, you know, there's a op-ed page in the LA Times which I would read sometimes. We were not a family that got you know small circulation DC political.

Speaker B: 《空难杂志》,《美国展望》,《国家评论》,那是一本保守的杂志,你为《大西洋邮报》写了很多文章。那时候有广播辩论,劳拉·英格拉姆秀,格伦·贝克。现在,美国最激动人心的电台脱口秀《野蛮国家》。但即使是那个也只在……像后拉什·林巴之后,在那里存在了这么久,对吧?你知道,在我成长的时候,福克斯新闻开始推出,但它不会最终成为它所成为的样子。我记得MSNBC开始。你以前有《交叉火力》。你以前有《交叉火力》,如果你想进入MSNBC的话,最初是微软NBC。是的。我记得有,那主要是关于科技的,我记得看了一个有索拉·奥布莱恩的节目,她像有一个动画主持人,像一个剪贴画主持人。

Original English

the inflight magazine of Air Force One, the American Prospect, the National Review, which is a conservative um magazine that you've written a lot for um the Atlantic. There was talk radio by that time, >> the Laura Ingram show, Glenn Beck. >> And now, America's most exciting radio talk show, The Savage Nation. >> But even that had only been on the scene for uh so long in it sort of like post Rush Limba form, >> right? >> You know, when I was growing up there, Fox News was beginning to roll out, but it wasn't what it would eventually become. I remember MSNBC beginning. >> You had Crossfire. you had Crossfire as sort of a like that was what you watch if you were >> into MSNBC originally is Microsoft NBC. Yeah. And I remember there being a it was about tech primarily and I remember watching a show with Solad O'Brien where she like had an animated co-host like a clip art co-host.

Speaker B: 哇。欢迎回到这个节目,我的朋友们,和索拉·奥布莱恩一起。我是她的主持人。我可以这么称呼自己吗?

Original English

WOW. WELCOME BACK TO THE show my friends and the SITE WITH SOLIDAD O'BRIEN. I'm her co-host. Can I May I call myself that?

Speaker A: 当然。你可以叫你自己想要的名字。

Original English

Sure. call yourself whatever you want.

Speaker B: 可能不会有,但嘿,你知道,我一直认为博客做的事情是,政治意见存在着未被满足的需求,特别是在911之后,人们对政治真的非常感兴趣,对正在发生的事情非常生气,对正在发生的事情非常不确定。而所有这些突然之间,你可以得到一波的洪水。比如现在,X和Instagram之间有更多的意见,你知道,Subseek和所有其他东西,这就像新闻被淹没了。但但然后,突然之间,你可以不断地刷新,每天都看到更多关于发生的事情的评论。但另一件事是……

Original English

and what I always saw blogging is doing is like there was an unmet demand for political opinion and particularly after 911 when people were really really interested in politics, really upset about what was happening, really uncertain about what was happening. And all of a sudden you can get a flood of it. Like now there is so much more opinion between X and Instagram and you know Subseek and everything else that it's like the news that has been somewhat drowned out. But but then it was somewhat revolutionary that all of a sudden you could be you know refreshing and getting just throughout the day more and more and more commentary on what was going on. But the other thing that was

博客时代的辩论与媒体的演变

Speaker A: 革命性的是,那是一种观点,但它也是一种非常不同类型的论点,与你从评论页面和小型流通期刊上阅读的论点是完全不同的。早期的博客都是围绕着这种持续不断的、滚动的辩论展开的,你会在上面写4000字,然后另一个人会来引用,对吧?

Original English

Speaker A: revolutionary was that it was opinion, but it was also just a very different kind of argument from what you would get reading oped pages and even like small circulation journals. Early blogging was all about this kind of ongoing rolling debate where you'd write 4,000 words and someone else would come along and block quote, right?

Speaker B: 很少有人会在博客上写4000字。那可能是你的事。

Original English

Speaker B: Very few people would write 4,000 words on a blog. That might have been your thing.

Speaker A: 我的意思是,是的。好吧。有人会写300字。

Original English

Speaker A: I mean I Yeah. All right. Someone would write 300 words.

Speaker B: 不,我的意思是,但这也是对的。你有更长的篇幅。我的意思是,早期有一些人,也许我在想太多战争博主,而不是像战争博主那样,让我给你2500字,关于你如何从古希腊历史中了解这个事件,这完全解释了乔治·W·布什重塑中东的绝妙计划。我的意思是,有很多煽动性的内容,但也许其中一些只是通过这种你引用某人并说为什么他们错了来创造的,但人们会不断地互相这样争论。它是敌对的,但它在某种程度上,我认为,最好是相当有趣的,因为你把对方的话放在你的网站上。即使你只是为了展示他们是多么的白痴,你知道他们有多糟糕,你仍然会说,好吧,这里有200字,我正在引用,我将逐行回应每一行。那我认为在最初的几年里,那是一部分非常独特的经历。我一直在思考为什么我认为博客圈比之后的东西更健康,以及是否是,那只是我在我的20多岁时,人们在20多岁时发生了什么,对吧?音乐更好。但我想这对我来说是现实。它是从根本上是对话性的。你写东西是期望你所写的人会读它们,他们会回答你。我不认为现在很多媒体是这样运作的。你不是在和你在谈论的人说话,你是在谈论他们,对吧?X或推特,你知道,你引用推文,然后说,“是的,你,你知道,你,然后,你抨击他们,然后,你知道,你寻找点赞和转发。这真的改变了货币是什么。我的意思是,我记得我在2003年开始我的博客,你唯一能获得读者的方式,我的意思是,没有算法。你没有赢得谷歌搜索结果,对吧?获得读者的方式是通过这些来回的链接。所以,你知道,现在发生的事情是,奖励和让受众得到保障的方式是,你知道,你让那些同意你的人转发它,转发它,无论它是什么。然后,你知道,我实际上不同意安德鲁·萨利文在很多事情上。如果安德鲁·萨利文引用我并争论,然后你引用他并反驳,我们就会往来,这并不是说它永远不能不尊重。但它通常是激烈的。但仍然有一种感觉你处于一种关系中。人们谈论博客圈,对吧?你有一个博客,你有一个博客角色,你把它放在你的博客生态系统中。是的。嗯,我们多年来在我们的博客时代有过很多争论,但我认为回顾其中一个,特别是关于我认为公平地说,是播客的前身,也就是《博客头脑》(Blogging Heads),我知道我是罗伯特。是的。罗伯特·赖特,比我们年长,一位杰出的作家,他基本上在世界尚未准备好之前,没有得到认可地发明了播客。这个时刻的故事是约翰·麦凯恩主持了美国历史上最不光彩的竞选活动,可能是世界历史上。我认为我们现在基本上就是那里。所以,这非常不光彩,所以基本上麦凯恩有一些广告、声明、来回的争论,以不同的方式,你知道,从麦凯恩竞选活动中,有些东西模糊了真相,或者不模糊真相,你知道,是赤裸裸的谎言。我认为你寻找的词是“执行了真相”,对吧?所以,所有伟大的观察者,像乔·克莱恩和埃德·戴恩,他们都发表了看法。我认为理查德·科恩是现在的最新人。他有一篇专栏。我认为它基本上说,我以前曾为麦凯恩站台。但现在他把灵魂卖给了撒旦,你知道,我不再站台了。所以,基本上是约翰·麦凯恩和那些曾经爱他的人记者之间的最后一次离婚。所以,我想我希望代表我自己说,对那些,对像我,我是在那种评论中表现出讽刺意味。那是一个更简单的时间,你作为埃兹拉·克莱恩的一部分,参与了一个庞大的自由派阴谋,致力于将战争英雄约翰·麦凯恩描绘成美国历史上最危险的政治人物。我认为我们都在以一种怀疑主义者的身份在做这件事。不,我不记得你是否参与了,但我知道。但这个时刻与你想象的,麦凯恩到奥巴马的负面宣传的巨大爆发程度是多么不同。当人们谈论奥巴马和罗姆尼的竞选时,一切似乎都与我们最终走向的对比。对。但这正是唐纳德·特朗普支持者许多人的论点的一部分,他们认为正是因为自由派坚持认为麦凯恩和米特·罗姆尼是历史上最伟大的怪物,所以你得到了特朗普。但事实是,我们不需要争论,我们不需要争论这个。这是我在大西洋的办公室。我认为那是他复制的《大新党》。但在,但再次,以那种点是,这个是有些超出范围的,而且是某种程度上,你知道,是诺曼莫尔式的,对吧?它有点像为你自己做广告,对吧?理论上,它应该在现有机构中通过晋升和新工作来变现,而这正是那个群体所发生的事情,这就是为什么我最终在纽约时报,而你最终在华盛顿邮报。所以你被聘为纽约时报的年轻评论员。是的。我记得这是2009年。是的,这是2009年。是的。但你也在其中有一个有趣的部分。所以,在你的整个职业生涯中,我认为这会继续是这种情况,你是在那些被认为是更自由派的机构中,你更保守的声音,对吧?我认为这对大西洋是正确的。我认为这对纽约时报的评论页面也是正确的。人们会说,“我为哈佛克里姆森写过保守派专栏。这可以追溯到很久以前。”我对那段经历很感兴趣。告诉我,作为多年为自由派受众写作,作为保守派、亲生命天主教保守派,你对自由派学到了什么?所以,我喜欢自由派。

Original English

Speaker B: No, I Well, it's I spend I mean, the first thing to to be said is that I always regarded this kind of role as just an incredible opportunity like as a baseline, right? where you write you write opinions in order to argue and persuade. That that's what opinion journalism as far as I can see is supposed to do. And you know it's an illusion to imagine that anyone has their whole worldview altered by an 800-word column or anything remotely like that. But but still on the margins at the very least, right? You're trying to pull readers closer to your perspective. um move people to some degree, expose people to ideas they

论说异见者的策略与论证的本质

Speaker A: 否则,在某种意义上,没有什么比成为一个在特定出版物中对自己的受众持异见观点的人要好。而且,你看,当然,在我当时在《大西洋月刊》工作的时候,有很多保守派读者。有很多很多保守派读者读《纽约时报》。所以,如果你在一家大出版物工作,你永远不会只对那些不同意你的人说话。但是的,显然,我正在对很多人说话,这些人和我不同意我。这是一种礼物。然后你必须记住,这是一种礼物,因为它也是一个非常紧张的处境,对吧?你所提出的主张将受到一种精确的审视,而这种审视可能不像那些假设受众会站在他们这一边的人所经历的那样。

Original English

Speaker A: wouldn't otherwise cover. And in that sense, there's just no better way to do it than to be the person at a given publication who has heterodox views relative to their audience. And look, obviously there's lots of conservatives who read The Atlantic when I was there. There's lots and lots of conservatives who read the New York Times. So if you're if you're working for a big publication, you're never exclusively speaking to people who disagree with you. But yeah, clearly clearly I'm speaking to a lot of people who do disagree with me. And that's a gift. And then you have to remember that it's a gift because it's also a very stressful situation, right? the claims you make are going to be exactly scrutinized in a way that is maybe less true of people who sort of assume that the audience is going to be on their side.

Speaker B: 那么,你学到了什么关于如何有说服力地写作?

Original English

Speaker B: Well, what have you learned about writing persuasively?

Speaker A: 我的意思是,这是平庸的建议,但它仍然是根本性的东西。它是有效地论证,你需要理解那些与你意见不合的人为什么持有他们所持的观点。你需要从他们论点的某个版本开始,这个版本应该是高尚的,而不是低级的。它是他们所持观点的最好版本。但这并不意味着你不能秘密地或潜意识地认为他们持有他们的意见是出于坏的或邪恶的理由,或者因为他们想,你知道,只是想摧毁他们的敌人并让大地变盐。你可以相信那存在于他们思想中的某个地方。但是,要与他们辩论,你必须真正参与到他们自己会提出的作为自己最好辩护的论点版本中。对吧?所以,像明显的例子一样,我会从右边和左边各选一个。对吧?所以,如果你支持选择,你想与亲生命者辩论,比如真正地与他们辩论,你不能从一个描述亲生命立场开始,这个立场说亲生命政治的目的是压迫女性并惩罚她们的性不道德行为。你可以认为那很出格,并且是,你知道,社会保守心态的一部分。你可以想任何你想想的,但除非你从亲生命者认为未出生的生命是人类的,并且有权在作为人类的意义上受到法律保护这个事实开始,否则你不会在辩论中取得任何进展。那你就必须从那里开始,对吧?然后,如果你是移民问题上的自由派的保守派反对者,你可以认为自由派是政治上的马基雅的愤世嫉俗者,他们把很多非法移民带进来投票给民主党。但除非你从自由派自己会说的话开始,即移民对移民和接收他们国家的经济和人道主义利益,否则你永远不会在辩论中取得任何进展。那,你知道,那你就必须从那里开始。就是这样。这就是整个秘密。而且,从那个起点做出的论点有多有效,我不知道。但我认为通常,持续的、有尝试的善意互动,即使在完全两极分化的环境中,也会产生一种你不知道,相当有利的回应。它不是说你不能跨党派鸿沟交谈。这很具有挑战性,很困难,有时是令人筋疲力尽的。嗯,但人们对它持开放态度。

Original English

Speaker A: I mean, this is banal advice, but it's still the fundamental thing. It is to argue effectively, you need to understand why people you disagree with hold the views that they do. And you need to start from a version of their argument that is high-minded rather than low-minded. And that is sort of the best version of the perspective that they hold. And that doesn't mean that you can't think that like secretly or subconsciously they hold their opinion for bad or wicked reasons or because they want to, you know, just destroy their enemies and salt the earth. Like you can believe that that exists somewhere in their mind. But to argue with them, you have to actually engage with the version of the argument that they themselves would put forward as their own best defense. Right? So like the obvious examples, I'll pick one from the right and one from the left. Right? So, if you are pro-choice and you want to argue with prolifers, like actually argue with them, you cannot start from a description of the pro-life position that says the point of pro-life politics is to subjugate women and punish them for sexual immorality. You're allowed to think that that's out there and like is part of, you know, the socially conservative psyche. You're allowed to think whatever you want, but you're not going to get anywhere arguing unless you start with the fact that like pro-life people think uh unborn human lives are human and worthy of legal protection in terms of being human. That's just where you have to start, right? And then to take to take an issue from the other direction, if you are a um conservative opponent of liberal views on immigration, you're allowed to think that liberals are politically machavelian cynics who are, you know, bringing in lots of illegal immigrants to vote Democratic. But you're never going to get anywhere arguing unless you start with what liberals themselves would say, which is that, you know, immigration is a humanitarian and economic benefit to immigrants and to the country that receives them. That, you know, that's that's like where you have to start. That's it. That's the the whole the whole secret. And again, how effective the arguments are that you end up making from that starting point, I don't know. But I I do think generally that the act of sort of sustained attempted good faith interaction does even in totally polarized environments yield a kind of you know reasonably favorable response. Like it's not the case that it that you can't talk across partisan divides. It's it's challenging and difficult and sometimes exhausting. Um, but people are open to it.

Speaker B: 我认为相对很少的意见作家真正参与到持续的说服努力中。我认为通常那些认为自己在做这件事的人参与的是持续的肯定努力。而在边缘有一些地方,他们有点把自己的观点放进去。但它始于一种主要的共识的某种,然后你有点像朝一个方向或另一个方向转变。在我职业生涯中,我认为有趣的是,你实际上一直在进行非常非常长期的说服努力。你几乎总是与一个主要不...

Original English

Speaker B: I think relatively few opinion writers are actually engaged in ongoing efforts at persuasion. I think typically people who think they're doing that are engaged in ongoing efforts at affirmation. And there are things around the edges where they're sort of putting their spin on it. But it starts from a a kind of locust of major agreement and then you're sort of like shifting in one direction or another. What I think has been interesting to watch across your career is that you actually have been engaged in a very very long effort at persuasion. You are almost always in relationship with an audience that mostly doesn't

Speaker A: 一个深刻的练习。说你最成功的是什么?你觉得你最有说服力的是什么?

Original English

Speaker A: >> a profoundly a profoundly successful exercise. say you've been most successful. What What would you say you feel you have been most persuasive about?

Speaker B: 我老实说,我不知道如何准确地判断这一点。我的意思是,我认为……

Original English

Speaker B: >> I I don't honestly know exactly how to judge that. I mean, I I think that the

Speaker A: 好吧。一方面,自从我接下《时代》的工作以来,有一些事情满足了我对美国政治的预期,在某种程度上,关于某些事情将如何发展,以及某些事情将走向何方。嗯,尤其是在共和党经历那种民粹主义民族主义的转变。

Original English

Speaker A: So, all right. On the one hand, there's a bunch of things that have happened since I took the Times job that sort of fulfilled my expectations to some degree about like what was going to happen in American politics and where certain things would go. uh above all the sort of populist nationalist transformation of the Republican party.

Speaker B: 这里值得指出的是,对于那些不知道你和你的前合撰作者瑞汉(Ryhan)的人来说,你写了一本书,叫做《大党新党》(Grand New Party)。

Original English

Speaker B: >> It's worth noting here for people who don't know, you and your former co-blogger Ryhan had written a book called Grand New Party.

Speaker A: 我们写了一本书,但除了书之外,我们只是有点参与其中。所以这并不是针对自由派的说服。这更多是针对我们同胞保守派的说服,说:“看,共和党下面的地壳正在移动。这个党必须面对它拥有一个更具工人阶级联盟的事实。它必须调整它的政策和言论,这些都是这类事情。但事实上,那个愿景以一种与我们完全无关的方式实现了。我们并没有写一堆专栏,说服一堆共和党人变得更民粹主义,然后看,你知道,一个民粹主义版本的马可·鲁比奥在2016年当选总统。不,显然,我们的预言被唐纳德·特朗普和整个特朗普现象实现了,而且大部分仍然与你不知道,意见操纵者和知识分子的工作没有完全脱钩。所以,有这一点。这是一种某种成功的领域,但不是我寻找的那种成功。

Original English

Speaker A: So this this wasn't persuasion directed at liberals, honestly. This was persuasion directed more at our fellow conservatives and saying, "Look, the tectonic plates under the Republican party are shifting. The party has to deal with the fact that it has a more working-class coalition. It has to adapt its policy and rhetoric, all these kind of things. But in fact, that vision was fulfilled in a way that had absolutely nothing to do with us. It was not the case that we wrote a bunch of columns, persuaded a bunch of Republicans to become more populist, and lo and behold, you know, a populist version of Marco Rubio was elected president in 2016. No, obviously our prophecies were fulfilled by Donald Trump and the whole Trump phenomenon was just was and for the most part remains pretty disconnected from the work of um you know opinion mongers and wouldbe intellectuals. So there's that. I that's that's sort of one one area of um success of a kind, but not the success that that I looked for.

Speaker B: 停一下。从哪个方面不是对的?你给它加了一些血肉。所以你写了这本书。你参与了一项努力,说共和党不应该像教义上那样自由意志主义。它不应该完全是关于削减医疗保险和削减社会保障。它有机会在当时,当它没有赢得工薪阶级选民的大多数时,改变它的政策,使其对他们更具吸引力。而你和瑞汉倡导的那些改变,必须对移民、必须对儿童的税收抵免、必须对转向更亲家庭的、更关心工薪家庭问题的、更具传统主义的视角进行改变。所以,你会如何描述那发生了什么,然后是什么创造了工薪阶级的转变?因为共和党现在赢得了工薪阶级选民的大多数,或者特朗普至少是这样。嗯,是什么驱动了那,这可能不是你所预期的?嗯,驱动它的部分是特朗普挑选或直觉到了一套与瑞汉和我所倾向的不同议题。但总的来说,我们关注的是家庭政策、工资补贴这类事情。而特朗普只是关注了显然是贸易关税和再工业化,以一种我不知道我们是否完全预料到那些论点在2016年会引起多大的共鸣。我不知道现在有多引起共鸣,但在2016年,我认为很大一部分国家仍在消化开放中国带来的冲击。而且特朗普在中西部四处跑,去那些被重创的地方,说:“我只是要带回你们的工作。”对吧?

Original English

Speaker B: Well, stop there for a second. In what way was it not right? You put some flesh on that. So you wrote this book. You you're sort of involved in an effort to say the Republican party should not be as doctrinally libertarian. It shouldn't be all about cutting Medicare and cutting social security. That it had this opportunity at a time when it did not win majorities of working-class voters to shift its policies in a way that would make it more appealing to them. And the kinds of shifts that you and Ryhan advocated had to do with things like immigration, had to do with things like tax credits for kids, had to do with sort of shifting it to a more pro-family um more concerned with the problems of working-class families from I would say a more traditionalist perspective maybe than the left is. So, how would you describe what happened of that and then what happened that created the the working class shift? because Republicans do now win majorities of working-class voters or Trump at least does. Um what drove that that maybe was not in your prescription? Well, so one part of what drove it was just that Trump picked or intuited a different set of issues to focus on than Ryhan and I would have would have favored. But but generally we were focused on sort of family policy, wage subsidies, these kind of things. And Trump was just focused on obviously like trade tariffs and re-industrialization um in a way that I don't think we we I don't think we fully anticipated how much some of those arguments would resonate in 2016. I don't know how much they resonate now, but in 2016, I think big part of the country was still getting over the shock of the opening to China. And there was just a real percentage for Trump in flying around the Midwest, going to places that had been hammered and saying, "I'm just going to bring back your jobs." Right?

Speaker A: 我们将阻止企业离开我们的国家。我们正在被我们的国家榨干。我们的工作,我们的钱,我们的基础,我们的工厂。我们将阻止它。

Original English

Speaker A: We're going to stop businesses from leaving our country. And we are they are being and they are being drained out of our country. our jobs, our money, our base, and our factories. We are we're going to stop it.

Speaker B: 那又是一个与说我们需要利用政府政策来帮助人们组建家庭的消息不同。

Original English

Speaker B: And that was again a different message from saying we need to use government policy to help people form families.

Speaker A: 我对那些采取行动的人感到非常生气。

Original English

Speaker A: And I'm genuinely angry at the people who took

Speaker B: 我是对的。嗯,那就有更实质性的愤怒。有更实质性的替罪羊。

Original English

Speaker B: And I'm right. Well, that too, right? So then there's there's a more substantial anger. There's more substantial scapegoating.

Speaker A: 他们正在转移到其他地方。

Original English

Speaker A: They're moving to other places.

关于政策路线和政治光谱的讨论

Speaker A: 许多人正在搬到墨西哥。不要低估这一点。这就像新的中国,只是在更小规模上,但就像新的中国。

Original English

Speaker A: lot of them are moving to Mexico. Don't underestimate. It's like the new China uh on a smaller level, but like the new China.

Speaker B: 所以我们的观点不是你应该永远不要削减医疗保险和社会保障。

Original English

Speaker B: So our our view wasn't that you should never cut Medicare and Social Security.

Speaker A: 而是如果你要削减医疗保险或改革医疗保险,你应该做的是为了释放更多资金来帮助工薪家庭,对吧?这就是论点的走向。而特朗普只是说:“不,你知道,我们永远不会削减这些东西,对吧?”他通过意识到很大一部分共和党基础并不支持米特·罗姆尼和保罗·瑞安,从而超越了他们所有的共和党初选对手。但那基本上创造了一种更受欢迎但财政上不可持续的、在某种程度上是低效的政策组合,在右翼的定义中,它将自己定义为捍卫老年人权利的人,而不是那些渴望削减这些权利的人,然后又没有空间容纳我们所支持的许多政策理念。所以,这部分就是发生了。

Original English

Speaker A: It was more that if you're going to cut Medicare or reform Medicare, you should be doing it not to just pass a new upper bracket tax cut, but to free up more money to help working families, right, would be would be how the argument would go. And Trump just said, "No, you know, we're never cutting these things, right?" And so he outflanked all of his Republican primary opponents by realizing that a big part of the Republican base wasn't on board with Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan. But what that did was basically create a kind of a more popular but much more fiscally unsustainable and in the end I think sort of unproductive policy mix on the right where the right sort of defines itself as defenders of old people's entitlements rather than people who are eager to cut it and then has no space left for for a lot of the policy ideas that that we would have favored. So that's part of part of what happened.

Speaker A: 另一件事是,对我们来说,我们试图构建的,你知道,我认为你用“传统”这个词,我可能会说有点像一种温和的社会保守主义,它与共和党那种宗教基础和生命支持承诺是兼容的,然后从那里开始,并扩展到对两个父母家庭和婚姻的更广泛支持以及这些。

Original English

Speaker A: The other thing that happens, right, is that we were trying to sort of craft, you know, I think you use the word traditional, I would have said sort of like a kind of moderate social conservatism that um was compatible with the Republican party's sort of religious religious base and pro-life commitments and so on, but tried to start from there and broaden into, you know, broader support for two parent families and marriage and these these kind of things.

Speaker A: 实际上发生的事情是,大约十年里,社会保守主义在美国被边缘化了。它失去了关于同性婚姻的论点,最突出的是,但它失去了很多不同的论点。比如,如果你只是看看2010年代的趋势,关于你所知道的所有各种问题,从药物使用到同性恋多配偶制,你知道,这个国家并不是普遍支持多配偶制,但你可以看到向左的转变在各个方面都表现出来,最终在堕胎问题上也会出现,对吧?它一边作为一种针对那些说你正在失去文化,你需要与它共存,并且需要我作为那个会为你辩护的强硬派的人的人,一边作为一种针对那些宗教保守派的论点。

Original English

Speaker A: What actually happened was that for about 10 years social conservatism was just routed in the US. It lost I mean it lost the argument over same-sex marriage most prominently but it lost a lot of different arguments. Like if you just look at the trends in the 2010s on you know all kinds of questions from you know drug use all the way to like polyamory you know not that the country is universally pro polyamory but you can you can see that leftward shift all over it ends up showing up on abortion too right comes in on the one hand as a kind of someone who speaks to that who says to embattled social conservatives and religious conservatives you're losing the culture and you need to live with that and just have me as like the tough guy who will defend you.

Speaker A: 但然后,另一件事是,自由主义和进步主义在赢得那些胜利之后,然后进一步激进化,然后说,你知道,同性婚姻上发生了什么,我们基本上在极短的时间内将国家完全转向我们的方向,然后宣布另一边是恐同者,我们不再需要和他们谈了。我们可以在其他很多问题上做同样的事情。这让你进入了“觉醒时代”,然后又带来了对“觉醒时代”的反弹。但像对“觉醒时代”的反弹与一种稳定的社会保守主义是相距很远的,像是在建立某种东西。我的意思是,对“觉醒时代”的反弹,然后你知道,从天主教传统主义者到吸烟自由主义者,他们都反对“觉醒”,但它不是一个可行的治理国家的连贯基础,在我看来,这在特朗普的第二个任期中变得完全明显了。

Original English

Speaker A: but then that the other thing that happens is that liberalism and progressivism having won those victories then radicalize further and say well you know what happened on same-sex marriage where we sort of shift the country completely in our direction in an incredible amount of time and then declare that you know the other side are bigots and we don't need to talk to them anymore. We can do that with a lot of other issues too. And that gets you the woke era and then it gets you the backlash against the woke era. But like the backlash against the woke era is very far removed from a kind of a stable social conservatism like sort of building building something. I mean the backlash against the woke era is then you know everybody from Catholic traditionalists to pot smoking libertarians right who don't who don't like the woke but it's not a I don't know it it's not sort of a coherent basis for governing the country in ways that I think have become totally apparent in the second Trump term.

Speaker B: 嗯,你有那个著名的2016年的推文。你写了一段话,回溯到2005年的神权恐慌。你似乎很享受这次采访。如果你不喜欢宗教右翼,等到你遇到后宗教右翼的人。

Original English

Speaker B: Well, you have this famous 2016 tweet. You write a thought sent back in time to the theocracy panic of 2005. You seem like you're enjoying this interview. If you dislike the religious right, wait till you meet the post-religious right.

Speaker A: 剖析这两方面。我的意思是,对于那些可能不太记得你所说的2005年的神权恐慌的人来说,那是什么?嗯,但宗教右翼和后宗教右翼我认为其实是一件相当重要的事情。我刚写了一篇关于这个问题的“奥德赛”论文,我会说它非常关于这个问题。所以,你知道,所以神权,神权恐慌,神权恐慌就是乔治·W·布什在2004年以大量白人福音派的支持当选总统。自由派并没有指望布什会当选,一群自由派对福音派正在接管美国并建立一种类似吉莱德式的福音派神权主义的想法变得痴迷。当时我觉得这很荒谬,并写了一堆关于它的文章。嗯,然后到2010年代中期,特朗普在赢得选举的同时,却表现得非常不福音派,非常不基督教,似乎你身处一个自由派所憎恨和恐惧的关于乔治·W·布什的一切,但他们却怀念的时代。而你看到,你将这种对保守主义的去基督教化,会带来更多的排外主义、异见不轨等。你知道,那是在10年前。后宗教右翼可以有许多不同的形式,你可以看到这些形式,不是一种可怕的法西斯形成,而只是某种右翼政治的,嗯,你知道,某种自由放任的不关心和某种骄傲的无道德主义,对吧?这又是特朗普联盟的一部分,这些人只是讨厌道德论点,想做他们想做的一切,他们看到了特朗普是那种化身,这我认为与后宗教右翼的一部分是完全不同的,后宗教右翼是那些试图复兴一种异教的非基督教法西斯政治的人,但这两者都作为过去10年现象存在,告诉我你认为什么导致了更异教形式的现象?我第一次听到这个描述是在一次采访中,路易斯·佩里,那个批评现代女权主义的英国保守派,和他新老板巴里·怀斯之间谈论了乔丹·彼得森和安德鲁·泰特之间的区别。所以,你知道,乔丹·彼得森和安德鲁·泰特之间真正关键的区别在于,乔丹·彼得森基本上是在宣讲基督教信息,而安德鲁·泰特则不是。我越是想这件事,我就越觉得那才是真正划分美国文化的关键界线,特别是在美国文化方面。

Original English

Speaker A: So, you know, so the theocracy the theocracy pan the theocracy panic was just that George W. Bush won re-election in 2004 with the support of lots and lots of white evangelicals. Liberals were not expecting Bush to win, a bunch of liberals became obsessed with the idea that evangelicalism was taking over America and was going to build a kind of Gileadesque evangelical theocracy. I thought that was ludicrous at the time and wrote a bunch of essays about it. Um, and then by the time you get to the mid2010s and Trump is winning while being conspicuously non-eangelical, conspicuously non-Christian, it seems like you're in a world where everything that liberals hated and feared about George W. Bush becomes something they're they're nostalgic for, right? and that they see sort of and that as you kind of dechristianize conservatism, you get more bigotry, xenophobia, these kind of things. You know, that was 10 years ago. There's a lot of different forms like a post-religious right could be and you see versions of this not a kind of you know terrifying fascist formation but just a kind of right-wing politics of um you know sort of libertine indifference and sort of proud amoralism right and again this is part of part of Trump's coalition right is people who just hate moralistic arguments and want to do whatever they want to do and saw and ended up seeing Trump as an avatar for that which is I think quite different from the part of the post-religious right that is literally people trying to revive kind of a pagan non-Christian fascist politics but both of those things sort of exist as phenomena in the last 10 years tell me what you think leads to the phenomena of the more pagan formation so so the first time I heard this uh description of it was actually in an interview that Luis Perry, the sort of British conservative kind of critic of modern feminism did with your new boss Barry Weiss and she was making this distinction between Jordan Peterson and Andrew Tate. So, you know, the really crucial difference between Jordan Peterson and Andrew Tate. There are obviously lots of differences, but the one that I think is most salient to this issue is um Jordan Peterson is basically um preaching a Christian message and Andrew Tate is not. I the more I think about it, the more I think that actually that's really the key dividing line if you're thinking about um American culture in particular.

Speaker B: 那么,你如何理解这个故事?我们如何从布什时代的保守主义的正面基督教转向这种程度?

Original English

Speaker B: So tell me a bit of how you understand the story. How do we go from the front-facing Christianity of conservatism in the Bush era to this much

基督教伦理与政治的衰落

postChristian: 包含基督徒,正如你所说的。但我想说,可以说基督教伦理和美德不再是作为一种……

Original English

postChristian: includes Christians as you're as you're saying. But I would I would say it's fair to say Christian ethics and virtue are not demanded as a um

Speaker A: 对。所以发生了两件事。一件事是在大众层面,基督教只是衰落了。它在20世纪90年代末到2020年之间急剧衰落。这意味着,不可避免地,那些在很多人去教堂的时候是规范的、那些修辞和论点的类型,当去教堂的人越来越少的时候,就会变得不那么规范了。这是一个非常简单的故事,但我认为它具有很多解释性。随着文化变得越来越不正式的基督教,它的领导层也会变得越来越不正式的基督教。特朗普再次是一个极端案例。他把一个趋势推向了极端,他与基督教的关系只是非常纯粹的交易性,甚至不一定口头宣扬教义,但在智力层面,比如假设你是一个作家、思想家,或者在当时是精英,从这个景观来看,不仅是基督教的衰落,更是社会自由主义的全面胜利。

Speaker A: 嗯,你会去看那个,然后说:“好吧,我们有乔治·W·布什时有一个福音派总统。我们有一个定义共和党政治的某种天主教福音派联盟。我们从中学到了什么?我们得到了世俗化和社会自由主义的胜利。”所以,这里出了问题。而且,在年轻保守派中,尤其是在整个地方,很多争议、论点和辩论都是围绕着这种与“为什么我们失败了”这种东西的斗争。那里有许多不同的冲动在起作用。你会有一些人想完全抛弃基督教,然后说问题在于,你知道,这个问题就是,你知道,这个宗教有点软弱,它的领导者是无能的、软弱的,你需要一种严厉的、一种强烈的男性力量。所以,那是一个非常狭窄的群体。我认为更普遍的是,在那些与基督教有联系的人,那些是基督徒,所以我们可以在哪里找到更大的力量?我们可以在哪里找到更大的坚韧?我们如何成为更有效的政治参与者?我们如何击败我们的敌人,而不是让他们击败我们?你可以称之为对一种不完全变成异教的异教能量的追求,对吧?

Speaker A: 而且,说实话,如果你回过头去看,

Original English

Speaker A: And look, the truth is that, you know, if you go back and look,

Speaker B: 我不是史蒂文·米勒的,他不是一个威肯人。

Original English

Speaker B: I'm not Steven Miller's not a Wiccan.

Speaker A: 但那里,是的,我的意思是,那就像是渴望力量和坚韧,以及一种敌对的政治。有各种版本,它们出现,并且也与这样一个现实相关,如果你从历史上看西方世界政治基督教的表达,你知道,我非常乐意打仗,你知道,征服敌人,以及所有这些。当今那些基督徒、保守的基督徒,他们是,你知道,十字军精神或者类似的东西发生了什么变化,他们不是错的,那一直都是西方文化的一部分。但你知道,你在关于奥德赛的辩论中看到了这一点,对吧?克里斯托弗·诺兰把奥德赛拿过来,有些人说他将它基督教化了,对吧?这有点有争议,但他确实让故事的道德愿景与基督教更兼容,就像,好吧,你知道,奥德修斯犯了罪,感到内疚,他并不为战争而荣耀。他不会和卡利普索、塞雷西……

Speaker A: 但然后,显然有一个群体,不仅仅是新教教徒,而是互联网上的保守基督徒,他们不喜欢那样,他们是,哪里有战争?哪里有我们?我们这有点像……这是……这是……丢失了故事的核心,而这部分反映了寻找一些在20世纪末的公共基督教中似乎不存在的东西的渴望,乔治·W·布什那种充满同情心的保守主义,在理论中找到一种可以克服自由主义的战斗精神。

Original English

Speaker A: But then there's clearly a group not just of would be neopagans but sort of conservative Christians on the internet who don't like that and are like where's the you know where's the war right where's the you know we we this is sort of this is like losing losing the the core the core of the story and that's an that's I think that that partially reflects this desire to find something that doesn't seem present in like late 20th century sort of public Christianity, the compassionate conservatism of George W. Bush, find some kind of fighting spirit in the theory that that's what you need to overcome liberalism.

Speaker B: 有趣。对乔治·W·布什的看法有点奇怪,他缺乏的是一种战斗精神。布什赢得了两届选举,

Original English

Speaker B: it's funny. It's an odd take on George W. Bush in a way that what he lacked was a fighting spirit. Bush, who won two elections in a row against the Democrats,

Speaker B: 嗯,但他也发动了一系列战争。是的,确实有一些战争。而且,这其中也包含了一些创造性的误解,或者方便的误记,你知道,比如年轻的民族主义者,他们会说我们不能做的就是回到乔治·W·布什那种软弱的自由国际主义。但如果你看看在伊拉克战争前准备的那些东西,这可能就是我开头提到的战争博主参考的地方,他们有很多与当今的民粹主义民族主义论点有共同点。有一种反复出现的东西。他们会说,西方变得软弱了,对吧?激进的伊斯兰利用了我们的自由主义的软弱。我们需要在美东的战斗中表现出力量,并区分敌人和朋友,对吧?嗯,整个那种民族伟大保守主义,这历史充满了这些有趣的讽刺,对吧?所以有一群人与所谓的民族伟大保守主义联系在一起,这基本上是一种相当强硬的共和党政治形式,然后像比尔·克里斯托尔这样的,然后最终成了特朗普主义的伟大批评者。我们前同事,我们前同事,我们的前同事大卫·布鲁克斯,他是一个不太极端的例子,如果你回过头看,

Speaker B: 比如,没有人比特朗普主义者更讨厌比尔·克里斯托尔,比尔·克里斯托尔讨厌特朗普主义者,但如果你回过头去看,阅读克里斯托尔在90年代末和21世纪初关于政治和战争以及所有这些的写作方式,他与年轻民族主义者对战斗的渴望有许多共同点。今天谈论政治,重点是不同的。

Original English

Speaker B: >> like nobody hates Bill Crystal more than Trumpists and Bill Crystal hates Trumpists but if you go back and read like the way Crystal wrote about politics and war and all these things in the late 90s and early 2000s he has a lot in common with the way sort of the young nationalists spoiling for a fight write about politics today it's just the focus the focus is is different.

Speaker B: 所以你为什么认为那会成为如此重大的分裂?因为我同意,那也是你倾向于看到特朗普主义者和从未成为特朗普主义者之间出现很多分裂的地方,与民族伟大保守主义相关的人。

Original English

Speaker B: >> So why do you think that ended up being such a major split? Because I agree that that is one of the places where you tend to see a lot of split between Trumpist and never Trumpers, people associated with national greatness conservatism.

Speaker B: 那是一种侵略性的肌肉保守主义。

Original English

Speaker B: >> That was an aggressive muscular conservatism.

Speaker B: 那是我们用来捍卫西方文明的保守主义的版本。

Original English

Speaker B: And you know, for all the talk about not launching new wars, 它并没有成为对唐纳德·特朗普关于MAGA运作方式的构想如此核心的案例。是的。

Speaker B: 所以你为什么认为那会成为共和党联盟中如此大的分裂?

Original English

Speaker B: >> So why do you think that became such a cut in the Republican coalition?

Speaker B: 我认为那部分是分裂的,因为尽管特朗普最终在美东发动了一场新的战争,但他确实强烈反对新保守主义和鹰派的外交政策的某些元素。至于如果你的想法是伊拉克战争是个好主意,那么2016年的特朗普不是你的那个人。对吧?所以那是一个特定的分水岭。然后,也有一个让“从未成为特朗普主义者”一方的论点变得清晰的论证,你可以说在21世纪初,民族伟大的政治只有在它建立在领导者的品格和美德之上时才具有意义。我并不认为乔治·W·布什是每一种美德的典范,但可以公平地说,他在某些方面比特朗普更具个人美德。对吧?所以有些人对这个想法付出了好的原因,对于他们来说,这只是“好吧,我不在乎特朗普有多强壮,或者他有多大的国际伟大。他只是一个坏家伙,我不会支持他。”然后对于年轻一代来说,尤其是在……

Original English

Speaker B: >> I think it was well it was partially a cut because even though Trump has ended up starting a new war in the Middle East, he really did pretty strongly repudiate elements of neoonservative and hawkish foreign policy. And to the extent that like if you were committed to the idea that the Iraq war had been a good idea then Trump in 2016 was not your guy. Right? So there was that as a kind of specific breaking point. Then there was al there also was you know to make the case for the never Trump side a kind of clear characterological argument where you could say you know in in the early 2000s that a n politics of national greatness only made sense if it was founded on character and virtue in your leaders and I don't think George Bush was like a paragon of every single virtue but it's fair to say that he was a more personally virtuous in various ways than Trump. Right? So there were people who had committed to that idea for good reasons for whom it was just like okay I don't care how muscular Trump is or how international greatness he is. He's just a bad guy and I'm not I'm not going to support him. And then for younger people like especially

政治與宗教的重塑與新興趨勢

Speaker A: 2016年,就像,一旦特朗普当选,他就会重新设定格局,你就会有点,就像,我感觉,对于年轻一代,无论是在左边还是右边,世界,我们曾经有过关于美国政治人物品格的争论,世界,你知道,比尔·克林顿的通奸曾是需要被辩论的,所有这些都只是一个有点失落的世界,所以它有点……

Original English

Speaker A: after 2016 like once you know once Trump wins then he just sort of resets the landscape right and you sort of it's it's just like you sort of I I feel like with younger people on both the left and the right the world where we had arguments about the character of American politicians the world where you know Bill Clinton's adultery was something to be litigated all all of these is just kind of a lost world and so it's sort of

Speaker B: 我认为很快它可能会被重新发现。

Original English

Speaker B: I think it might be rediscovered soon.

Speaker A: 它可能会。

Original English

Speaker A: It might be.

Speaker A: 我认为在轮子的转动中……

Original English

Speaker A: I think in the turning of the wheel on

Speaker B: 哦,是的。是的。是的。是的。对。不,下一批群体,我的意思是,是的,我们现在很老了,所以你知道,你可以看到每个群体都会有不同的视角,而且可能会对品格产生新的兴趣。还有另一个让我着迷的转变,就是我们描述过几次了,政治中福音派基督教的核心地位,比如2005年,现在天主教徒似乎对政治更具中心性,对,天主教思想家在共和党政治的顶端有很多天主教皈依者,包括JD Vance,他就在你的节目上,这位副总统刚刚出版了一本关于他天主教皈依的书,

Original English

Speaker A: I think in the turning of the wheel on

Speaker B: Oh yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Right. No, the next cohort I mean yeah we're old now so you know you can you can see that each cohort will have a different perspective and there may be a renewed interest in character. There's another fascinating at least to me shift that has taken place which is you know we've described a couple times here the centrality of evangelical Christianity to politics in say 2005 and now Catholics seem much more central to politics right Catholic thinkers you have a lot of Catholic converts at the top of Republican party politics including JD Vance who is just on your show the vice president who just released a book about his Catholic conversion

Speaker A: 尽管是封面有新教教堂的。

Original English

Speaker A: albeit one with a Protestant church on cover.

Speaker B: 这是一个奇怪的设计选择。我同意。

Original English

Speaker B: It is an odd design choice. I agree.

Speaker A: 有点。我的意思是,这实际上是一个很有道理的设计选择,但我们能深入探讨一下吗?继续。

Original English

Speaker A: Sort of. I mean, it it actually is a design choice that makes a lot of sense, but we can we can get into that. Go on.

Speaker B: 你对那有什么看法?那从基督教的某种形式,那种似乎在推动右翼政治的基督教形式,转向了什么?是福音派基督教转向天主教思想?那是什么?

Original English

Speaker B: What have you made of that? What what what does that move from like the form of Christianity that seems to be driving right-wing politics? Was evangelical Christianity to Catholic thinking? What is that?

Speaker A: 我不知道。所以,我不知道天主教思想能推动共和党政治的程度有多大。我不会去关注第二种特朗普的知识趋势。

Original English

Speaker A: I don't know. So, one, I don't know how much Catholic thinking can be said to be driving Republican politics. I I would not look at the second Trump intellectual trends.

Speaker B: 是的,我认为它……我认为它在某种程度上对右翼知识文化非常重要。在过去的五年里,总体而言,在长期的世俗化之后,人们对宗教、宗教思想的论点产生了新的兴趣,这种兴趣甚至超越了保守主义,也许甚至延伸到了你,对吧,埃兹拉?我们以前在节目上谈过这个问题。嗯,在我自己的作品中,我的作品是在这个时期非常适合那个时刻。我感觉自己比通常时候更贴合那个时代。但这种方式在右翼知识文化中表现出来的是,天主教,我认为可以这么说,比福音派基督教拥有更强大、更深厚的思想传统,在美国,它就成了一种对寻找港湾、寻找着陆点、寻找皈依或回归的许多人的自然吸引力。但另一方面,你知道,天主教作为一个大规模的制度性宗教仍然在挣扎,而福音派仍然相对于天主教蓬勃发展。我的意思是,你可以提出一个论点是,在某种数字条件,在某种互联网条件之下,这些条件对那些没有明确定义,只是基于某种松散的祖先忠诚的那些东西来说,是很难的。所以,它们对教派新教,对那些说,“我是一个新教徒,因为我的父母是新教徒,或者我是一个长老会信徒,因为我喜欢牧师,等等”,它们以不同方式都很好,以不同方式都更强大。而且基督教以一种强品牌的形式,比如像逻辑宗教这样的强品牌,天主教是表达最强的一种,然后是大众市场寻求的强品牌,你知道,他们会来参加我们令人惊叹的赞美音乐音乐会,还有那些是两种最强大的形式,但天主教的形式在精英层面更强大,而福音派的形式在大众层面似乎更强大。这是一个很长的评论,但这是我经常思考的事情,但它……

Original English

Speaker A: Yeah, I think it's I think it's I think it's very important in sort of right-wing intellectual culture. In the last 5 years generally after a long period of secularization, there is a renewed interest in arguments about religion, religious ideas, um that extends beyond conservatism, maybe even extends to you, right, Ezra? We've we've talked about this on this show before. Um, and I think in my own my own work has been in this period kind of well suited to that moment. I felt sort of more in tune with the times than I usually do in that sense. But the way that's manifested in kind of right-wing intellectual culture is that Catholicism, which has, I think it's fair to say, a stronger and deeper intellectual tradition than evangelical Christianity in the US, has just become like a kind of natural attractor for a lot of people who are like looking for looking for a harbor, looking for a place to land, looking to convert or revert or anything else. But then the other thing is that you know Catholicism is still struggling as a mass institutional religion right and evangelicalism is still thriving relative to Catholicism. I mean, one argument you could make is that under sort of digital conditions, under sort of internet conditions, which are hard on they're hard on things that don't have a clear definition that are sort of just based on kind of loose ancestral loyalties. So, they've been really hard on like denominational Protestantism, on people who are like, well, I'm a Methodist cuz my parents were a Methodist, or I'm a Presbyterian cuz I like the pastor, and so on. and they've been good for in different ways sort of stronger brands and in a way Christianity sort of polarizes into the strong brand of like logical religion of which Catholicism is the strongest expression and then kind of the strong brand of mass market seeker sensitive you know come for our amazing our amazing praise music concert and th those are the two strongest forms but the Catholic form is stronger at the elite level and the evangelical form seems stronger at the mass level. That was a very long comment, but it's it's something obviously that I think about a lot, but it's a very

Speaker B: 我不知道它会走向何方。比如,在精英阶层中,成为天主教徒是自然的,就像以前成为教皇派一样?但那与宗教大众趋势中的事情有什么关系呢?精英转向天主教最终会渗透并振兴更广泛的天主教机构吗?我一无所知。

Original English

Speaker B: But then the other thing is that you know Catholicism is still struggling as a mass institutional religion right and evangelicalism is still thriving relative to Catholicism. I mean, one argument you could make is that under sort of digital conditions, under sort of internet conditions, which are hard on they're hard on things that don't have a clear definition that are sort of just based on kind of loose ancestral loyalties. So, they've been really hard on like denominational Protestantism, on people who are like, well, I'm a Methodist cuz my parents were a Methodist, or I'm a Presbyterian cuz I like the pastor, and so on. and they've been good for in different ways sort of stronger brands and in a way Christianity sort of polarizes into the strong brand of like logical religion of which Catholicism is the strongest expression and then kind of the strong brand of mass market seeker sensitive you know come for our amazing our amazing praise music concert and th those are the two strongest forms but the Catholic form is stronger at the elite level and the evangelical form seems stronger at the mass level. That was a very long comment, but it's it's something obviously that I think about a lot, but it's a very

Speaker A: 你认为左翼与宗教的关系改变了吗?

Original English

Speaker A: Do you think the relationship between the left and religion has changed?

Speaker B: 是的。嗯,我认为这……我不太确定它会走向何方,但我感觉后基督教左翼正在经历自己的一种存在主义危机,比如一种悲观主义。但我感觉在左翼上,有一个时期,当时我们正在抛弃传统的父权制、家长制的新教基督教,我们认为我们将变得伟大,我们将进入科学的广阔的阳光之下。我们将信任这个房子里的科学,等等。然后在新冠疫情和特朗普回归以及人工智能和各种其他令人不安的事情之间,嗯,我认为左翼开始感觉他们缺少了一些东西。你知道,如果你看,你看了最新的《Knives Out》电影吗?

Original English

Speaker A: Yes.

Speaker B: 是的。所以最新的《Knives Out》,所以以前的《Knives Out》电影是关于埃隆·马斯克和亿万富翁是坏的、邪恶的,而最新的《Knives Out》电影……嗯,是关于……呃,存在真正糟糕形式的宗教,也有真正好的形式的宗教,我们应该想要真正好的形式才能生存,你知道,它只是……只是一部电影,但我认为它是一种有趣的……

Original English

Speaker A: Right. So in the in the latest kn So the prior Knives Out movie was a movie about how Elon Musk and billionaires are bad and evil and this the latest Knives Out movie um was a movie about how uh there are really awful forms of religion and there's also really good forms of religion and we should want the really good forms to survive and you know it's just just one movie but I thought it was an interesting sort of

Speaker B: 有一种……一种在自由文化中摸索寻找某种宗教或精神联系的……这再次在我认为也体现在后基督教精神中对新时代异教之类事物的好奇心。所有这些。那里有很多摸索。

Original English

Speaker B: well I think you can see a couple things happening that are least interesting so I agree knives out is is one of them we were talking about the Odyssey But you have James Terico who became a kind of phenom candidate, sort of one of the only like mainstream liberal candidates who's been like a big attentional phenom of the moment and does it by wrapping a pretty straightforward progressive politics

Speaker A: 在一个非常非常道德主义的基督教框架内。

Original English

Speaker A: in a very very moralistically Christiany framework.

Speaker B: 耶稣会会怎么做,面对一个比地球上任何其他国家都将更多人送入监狱的司法系统?耶稣会会怎么做,面对一个将利润置于我们星球健康之上的经济体系?他会待在房间里祈祷,还是会走进权力的座位,颠覆不公正的桌子?

Original English

Speaker B: What would Jesus do about a justice system that incarcerates more people than any other country on the face of the earth? And what would Jesus do about an economic system that prioritizes profits over the health of our planet? Would he stay in his room and pray or would he walk into the seat of power and flip over the tables of injustice?

Speaker A: 我认为人们发现这很有趣。它给了他们一种谈论这个时刻的方式,我认为这感觉更深,而且它触及了一些非常真实的东西。我认为如果你看一些其他的人的崛起,这不仅包括拉尔夫·沃罗,还有乔治·奥夫在佐治亚,他们在那种语法方面也更自在。他们在一起,那个主持节目的,握着其他立法者的手,祈祷,然后他们去削减了医疗补助的万亿美元。1500万的人,对他们的医疗保健。他们把退伍军人和老年人和儿童从食品援助中踢了出来。我不知道你读的书。

Original English

Speaker A: And I think people have found that exciting. It has given them a way to talk about the moment that I think feels deeper and uh it has tapped into something very real. I think if you're watching some of the other people coming up, this would include not just Ralph Waro, but but John Of in Georgia, they're much more comfortable in that grammar as well. They got together, the speaker of the house, held hands with other legislators, prayed a prayer, and then they went and cut a trillion dollars out of Medicaid. 15 million people, right, off of their healthcare. They they kicked veterans and seniors and children off of SNAP. And I don't understand how you read the book that I read.

Speaker B: 我是一个马太福音25章的基督徒。一个政府变成了一个个人报复和致富的工具。一个精神上破碎的总统。谁挖得更深、更深。但《箴言》说,“挖坑的人,就会掉进去。”而且圣经充满了被他们自己的傲慢拉下去的君王。所以从我的观点来看,有些事情正在发生。不一定意味着左翼正在以一种新的方式成为信徒,而是存在一种重新联系的渴望,我认为,我认为是渴望回归传统。嗯,我的意思是,从一个怀疑的局外人的角度来看,整个伟大觉醒就是这种在没有形而上学承诺的情况下进行宗教能量的迷人尝试。就像,事实确实是……

Original English

Speaker B: I'm a Matthew 25 Christian. A government transformed into a tool of one man's vengeance and enrichment. A spiritually broken president. Who digs the moral pit deeper and deeper. But pastor Proverbs says, "Whoever digs a pit, whoever digs a pit will fall into it." And scripture is full of kings brought low by their own arrogance. Uh so in my view, something is happening. It's not necessarily the left is becoming believers in a in a in a new way, but there is a desire to sort of reconnect, I think, to traditions. Well, I mean, there was a way in which from from my perspective as a skeptical outsider, the whole great awakening was this fascinating attempt to do religious energy without metaphysical commitment. Like it was it really was the case that

关于道德复兴与进步主义的政治哲学

Speaker A: 有一种与反种族主义工作相关的道德复兴所伴随的能量,你知道所有与此相关的一切。比如,你具有反偶像崇拜主义,你知道人们正在执行新的道德规范。这些是我们在精神动荡时期所关联的。但是,反种族主义运动在某些方面与黑人教会是脱节的,对吧?你和我们前亚特兰大同事坦纳西·科茨(Tanahasi Coats)一样,他像一种明确拒绝宇宙希望的先知,对吧?如果说他身上带着某种宇宙的绝望感。我认为这种组合并不奏效,对吧?你最终会得到一种没有救赎可能性的罪疚政治,这是对世界的相当黑暗的视角,而且我认为所有其革命热忱的“觉醒”最终都会在一些黑暗的地方自我终结,这与特朗普或右翼或任何其他正在发生的事情无关。所以,其中一些可能只是对那的反应,对吧?一种感觉是,好吧,如果我们也在告诉人们宇宙是某种空虚和没有意义的,除了我们通过意识形态类别或类似的东西强加给它的意义,那么我们不能对人们进行道德说教。或者,如果你想进行进步的道德主义,你需要能够声称它对应于宇宙中某种真实的东西,对吧?

Original English

Speaker A: there was kind of the energy that you associate with a moralistic revival at work in anti-racism and you know everything associated with that. Like you have iconoclasm, you have you know people enforcing new moral norms. Like these are things that we associate with periods of spiritual ferment. Um but quite self-consciously like the anti-racist cause was detached from the black church in various ways, right? And you had like our again my former Atlantic colleague Tanahasi Coats, you know, as a kind of prophet who very explicitly rejected cosmic hope, right? If anything sort of carried a kind of cosmic despair around with him. I think that combination doesn't work well, right? you end up with a kind of a kind of politics of guilt without the possibility of redemption is a pretty dark perspective on the world and I think sort of wokeness for all its revolutionary zeal ends up itself just in some dark places again independent of what's happening with Trump or on the right or anything else. So some of it might be just a reaction to that too, right? a sense that like, okay, we can't moralize at people if we're also telling them that the universe is sort of empty and meaningless except for like the meaning we impose on it through ideological categories or something like you need if you're going to have progressive moralism, you need to be able to claim to that it corresponds to something like out there in the cosmos that's real, right?

Speaker B: 我不太同意那个观点。嗯,也许要为这个分歧打下基础的一种方法是教皇利奥的AI和周期性。阅读它让我感到,我并不同意他的形而上学。对吧?我不是天主教徒。我对世界及其宇宙学的看法不是天主教的。我发现它是一个非常美丽且感人的阐述,如果我不是这样描述的话,我会称之为自由主义价值观。嗯,从实践政治的各种方法,你懂,对多元主义的方法,对人的方法。所以现在你可以说,我认为这是真的。我的意思是,我从犹太传统中走出来,我可能在看待世界的方式上有很多东西。但我确实认为,在强调某种特定的人类尊严和人与人之间某种特定对待方面,特朗普施加了一种某种缓解。所以也许它看起来与我试图创造的政治联系得更明确一些,而不是如果他写了同样的东西,但如果杰布·杰布·布什是总统的话。

Original English

Speaker B: I don't totally agree with that. Um maybe one one way to to to ground that disagreement is Pope Leo's AI and cyclical one of the things that struck me reading it was without agreeing with his metaphysics. Right? I am not a Catholic. My vision of the world and its cosmology is not Catholic. I found it to be a really beautiful and moving articulation of what I would otherwise describe as liberal values. um all the way down to ways of practicing politics uh you know approaches to pluralism, approaches to to the human being. So now you could say and I think this would be true. I mean I come out of um Jewish tradition and I probably have a lot of that in the way I look at the world. But I do think there is something about the emphasis there on a certain kind of human dignity and a certain kind of treatment between people that Trump has thrown into a kind of relief. So maybe it looks more explicitly connected to a politics I am interested in in trying to create than it would have if he had written the same thing but Jeb Jeb Bush was president.

Speaker A: 是的。也许到这个地步我们已经通过特朗普时代走到了一个点,而自由派正在说,就像,好吧,特朗普在所有这些方面都是如此腐败和如此糟糕的人,所以如果我们反驳他,用一种美丽的、关于人类尊严的政治来对抗他。但这是在多年来试图说,而且再次,不是你个人,而是有些人,对特朗普是腐败和堕落的,而他的堕落和腐败揭示了美国黑暗的种族主义之心,以及我们仍然被邦联父权价值观所奴役的事实,而我们需要的是,你知道,对美国所有深刻的、深远的邪恶进行某种彻底的道德清算。这些是不同的信息。我认为左翼在一段时间内与第二条信息走得比较近,而且我认为最终陷入了一些死胡同和黑暗的地方。所以现在,也许我们现在会,也许我们像教皇利奥将他对AI的批判与人类尊严的愿景联系起来,而不是一个黑暗的、纯粹黑暗的愿景,其中你认为AI是坏的,因为它受到,你知道,嗯,那些邪恶的、无情的科技大亨或类似的东西的控制。我并不认为AI是坏的,因为它属于资本主义的恐怖结构,而这些结构是我们正在努力应对的噩梦。

Original English

Speaker A: Yes. Maybe at this point we have sort of moved through the Trump era to a point where um liberals are saying like okay Trump is so corrupt and such a rotten person in all these ways and so what if we counterpose a kind of beautiful politics of human dignity against him but that's after trying for many years to say and and again not you personally maybe but some some people right saying Trump is rotten and corrupt and his rottenness and corruption reveals the dark racist heart of America and the fact that we're all still enthralled to Confederate patriarchal values and what we need is, you know, a sort of total moral reckoning with all the deep profound evils of the United States. Like those are different messages. And I think the left kind of ran with the second message for a while and and again I think ended up in some culde-sacs and dark places. And so now it's like, okay, now maybe we'll maybe we like that Pope Leo is linking his critique of AI to a vision of human dignity rather than a dark just a a purely dark vision where you're like AI is bad because it is controlled by, you know, um the evil evil ruthless tech bros or something. I I don't or you or or AI is bad because it's part of the horrifying structures of capitalism which are a nightmare from which we're struggling to await.

Speaker B: 所以我想回到我刚才问你的一个问题。那个问题问你作为许多自由主义机构中的保守派,你学到了关于自由派的什么?你回答了,但我认为随着时间的推移。

Original English

Speaker B: So I want to go back to to a question I asked you a bit ago. that asked you what being the the sort of conservative in many liberal institutions had taught you about liberals sort of answered that but I think over time

Speaker A: 我不知道,是的,我不知道我是否回答了那个。但关于媒体呢?你长期在媒体里面,你知道媒体对你有什么看法?媒体做得好在哪里,做得不好在哪里?

Original English

Speaker A: So I want to go back to to a question I asked you a bit ago. that asked you what being the the sort of conservative in many liberal institutions had taught you about liberals sort of answered that but I think over time

Speaker B: 我不知道,是的,我不知道我是否回答了那个。但关于媒体呢?你长期在媒体里面,你知道媒体对你有什么看法?媒体做得好在哪里,做得不好在哪里?

Original English

Speaker B: I don't know yeah I don't know if I did answer that but what about the media right you you've been you know inside the media for a long time what has it made you think about what the media does well what it does poorly

Speaker A: 当我刚开始的时候,媒体有一种自我认知,就像我们只是在告诉你世界上的真相,那就是我们只是在报道真相,我们不是党派的,我们甚至不会告诉你我们投票给了共和党还是民主党。我们只是在做真相生意。然后我们这批人成长起来,挑战了这一点,对吧?而且显然,右翼长期以来一直在挑战它。极左翼的一些人,如南乔斯基(Nam Chosky)等等,一直都有这种批评,但互联网帮助让那些批评变得更有力量。而且有一种感觉,好吧,我们你知道,我们正在进入一个更依赖意见的领域,正如你之前说的,我们将会承认偏见。我们将接受《纽约时报》似乎有一个相当自由派的受众,对吧?而且很多自由派的工作是为它服务的。就像我们不是,你知道,它不是凭空出现的观点,而福克斯新闻会把它变成,你知道,它会明确地保守的,而那就像一个未来,美国媒体看起来,你知道,看起来有点像英国报业那样,就像你你知道,卫报是自由派报纸,而《泰晤士报》则是一份更保守的报纸,就像那曾经是美国将要走向的地方,而且这没问题,对吧?拥有一些竞争性的媒体机构,它们以各种方式拥有自己的偏见,这没问题。但是你知道,我们生活在这种世界里已经有一段时间了。我不知道特朗普时代、AI时代、新冠时代等等。我感觉它们真的破坏了我对谁是好人谁是坏人的认识。在任何特定情况下,你感觉越不确定谁是好人谁是坏人,你就越觉得设置每天都试着描述世界,就像,也许变得不那么说服。我感觉我最近写得更多的专栏。随着世界变得越来越怪异,新闻业需要一些人,一些机构,来重新关注只是说,“我们正在努力弄清楚这里发生了什么。”因为我正在努力弄清楚在某种程度上发生了什么,这与米特·罗姆尼和巴拉克·奥巴马竞选的时候我没有的。

Original English

Speaker A: when I was coming up right the media had its kind of self-conception where it was like we're just telling you the truth about the world that's it we're just reporting the truth and we're not partisan and we won't even tell you if we voted for Republicans and Democrats. We're just in the truth business. And then people in our cohort came along and challenged that, right? And obviously the right had been challenging it for a long time. Parts of the far left, Nam Chosky and so on had always had this critique, but the internet helped make those critiques much more powerful. And there was just a sense that okay, we you know are moving into a landscape that is more opinion driven as as you said earlier where we're going to acknowledge biases. We're going to accept that the New York Times seems to have a pretty liberal audience, right? and a lot of liberals work for it. Like we're not, you know, it's not just a view from nowhere and Fox News is going to make, you know, it's going to be explicitly conservative and that like a future where the American media looks, you know, looks a bit more like the British newspaper business did where you have like, you know, you know that the Guardian is the liberal newspaper and, you know, the Telegraph is a more conservative newspaper that like that was sort of where America was going to go and it was okay, right? right? It was it was okay to have sort of competing media institutions that sort of own their biases in various ways. Um but you know we've lived in that kind of world I think for a while now. I don't know the Trump era, the AI era, the COVID era and so on. They I I feel like they have really undermined my my own sense of sort of knowing who I think the good guys and bad guys are in any particular circumstance. And the less you feel like the less you feel certain about knowing who the good guys and bad guys are, the more you feel the benefit of just like setting out every day to just sort of try and describe the world like and maybe maybe become less of a persuader. I feel like I write maybe more columns like that these days. As the world gets weirder, journalism needs people and institutions that sort of refocus on just saying, "We're trying to we're trying to figure out what's happening here." Cuz I'm struggling to figure out exactly what's happening in a way that I don't think I was when Mitt Romney and Barack Obama were running against each other. Um, and maybe this leads to like, you know, you wanted to ask me about

Speaker B: 你要问我60分钟的时候,那是在你媒体工作的第一份工作,坦纳西·亚特兰大(The Atlantic)是一本有观点的杂志,它的核心是。它最初是以一个废奴主义杂志的形式发行的。你在《纽约时报》的评论版工作。60分钟虽然现在在巴里·怀斯(Barry Weiss)的管理下。嗯,你这里的几位前同事。我从来没有和怀斯有太多重叠。

Original English

Speaker B: you're going to 60 minutes, which is the first place you have worked in media that The Atlantic is a is a magazine that is opinionated at its at its core. It it's launched initially as an abolitionist magazine. You worked on the Times opinion page. 60 Minutes is different although it's under now Barry Weiss's management. Um, your former colleague here. I never over overlapped with Weiss here

Speaker A: 但你问我这个问题是直截了当的。那是不是这也是你为什么要去60分钟的原因?

Original English

Speaker A: but is that part of why you're going to 60 Minutes?

Speaker B: 我想是这样。我长期做采访播客。

Original English

Speaker B: I think that so I have You have been doing interview podcast for a long time.

Speaker A: 我只做采访播客这么久,你知道,不到两年。但我想我将做很多采访,对吧?这是我的希望。

Original English

Speaker A: Uh I've only been doing it for you know less less than two years. But presum presumably I'm going to be doing a lot of interviewing, right? That's my hope.

Speaker B: 我觉得采访,我不知道你为什么喜欢采访。我发现这相对于写作来说非常困难。嗯,写作对我来说更容易、更自然。但我在一个时刻发现采访非常有帮助,比如世界上的事情对我来说似乎更不透明。所以,是的,在60分钟工作的一个原因就是为了给一个有点不同的受众做更多这样的事情,而不是《纽约时报》的受众,尽管当然有重叠。但嗯,是的,这有点,这似乎是问开放式问题的好时机。嗯,这我想是这样。

Original English

Speaker B: I find interviewing I don't know how you find interviewing. I find it very difficult relative to writing. Um, writing just comes easier and more naturally to me than interviewing does. Um, but I have found interviewing just very helpful at a moment when like what is actually going on in the world seems more opaque to me. And so, yeah, one one reason to take a job at 60 Minutes is just an opportunity to sort of do more of that for for a somewhat different audience than than the Times has, although of course there's overlap, but um yeah, this is sort of and this is yeah, this this seems like a good time a good time to to ask questions a little bit in an open-ended way. Um, and that's I guess, you

对节目定位与媒体角色

Speaker A: 我们一直在做的事情就是这样,但我想我将会在那里做一些事情。

Original English

Speaker A: know, that's what we've both been doing with our shows, but that's sort of what I'm thinking I'll be doing there.

Speaker B: 显然,你在这里谈论的方式,你经常对一个比你更自由的受众说话。嗯,而且尽管你读了我的专栏这么多年,Ezra,那些关心巴里·怀斯想对《60分钟》做什么的工人,你就是他们第一个大牌雇员之一。他们说他们想要什么?比如,你对《60分钟》的看法,你以一个明星名字来启动它,你觉得你需要让巴里来你的播客上,对吧?为了得到她对那个问题的某种回答。

Speaker A: 我在《60分钟》节目本身想做的事情,我认为是继续做节目一直以来做得非常好的事情,那就是帮助人们理解世界到底发生了什么,并通过采访、调查等等,获得对现实本身的某种准确的认识。所以,如果巴里在这里,她会说那是她的正式目标,很多很多媒体机构已经失去了那些不是政治自由派或进步派的人的信任。所以,有办法尝试获得对世界的更平衡的看法,并试图把那些人拉回来。我个人对《60分钟》能做的事情的看法更多是捕捉2026年世界的全部混乱现实。如果你做对了,那么你接触到的共和党和民主党的人数,就取决于描述世界的这个基本项目的成功。

Original English

Speaker A: you're talking here in the way you often do to a audience that is more liberal than you. Um, and who is in spite of in spite of reading my columns all these years, Ezra, who workers concerned about what uh they they think Barry Weiss wants to do with 60 Minutes, what it means that that you're one of the the first bigname hires there. What did they say they wanted? like, what what is your sense of what 60 Minutes um is trying to become, you know, with you launching with you as a marquee name? You would you would need to get Barry to come on your podcast, right? To get sort of her answer to that question. I again I see what what I want to do at 60 Minutes in the show itself I think is in keeping with what the show has always done incredibly well which is yeah help help people understand what's really happening in the world and get sort of an accurate sense of reality itself through interviews investigations and so on on that that's sort of I I think if you had Barry here she would say that is her formal goal that lots and lots of media institutions have lost the trust of people um who aren't politically liberal or progressive. And so there's a way to sort of try and have a more balanced view of the world and try and get those people back. My own primary sense of what 60 Minutes can do is more just capture the full messy reality of the world in 2026. And if you get that right, then exactly how many Republicans versus Democrats you're reaching is like, you know, that that will sort of follow from success at the basic project of describing the world.

叙事媒介的转变

Speaker B: 你刚才提到了这个最大的变化之一,那就是你从写作转向镜头采访,你已经通过《有趣时刻》你的播客做了一点。这是与我们开始时的另一个大转变,那就是现在人们越来越倾向于视频。很多人谈论回归更多口头表达和文化,但这对你来说是这样吗?我的意思是,你是否觉得新闻的中心,人们理解世界的方式,正在从书面文字转向?是的。我认为互联网条件、数字条件以及人工智能将发生的一切,正在削弱书面文字的统治力。我当然在做我的节目时一直在写。在某些时候,我打算在为CBS工作的时候找到继续写作的方法。所以,这对我来说是新闻非常重要的一方面。但是的,人们喜欢它不仅仅是播客和音频,对吧?比如,如果你看看《纽约时报》上人们参与的内容,他们也会参与书面对话,比如他们喜欢我们同事布雷特·史蒂文斯和盖尔·柯林斯,或者大卫·布鲁克斯和盖尔·柯林斯做的那种来回对话的特稿。他们真的很喜欢那些我的长期编辑约翰·圭达做的特稿,他会以书面形式采访某人,在那里你正在写作,人们也在写作回应。

Original English

Speaker B: You mentioned a minute ago the other big change in this, which is you're moving from writing to on camera interviewing, which you've already done a bit with Interesting Times, your podcast. This is another big shift from when you and I started, which is there is a lot of movement now towards video. There's a lot of people who talk about uh a return to more orality and culture, but but is that part of it for you? I mean do you do you have the sense that the center of what journalism is the way people are understanding the world is moving away from the written word? Yes. I I I think there is some there's clearly some way in which internet conditions, digital conditions and whatever the hell is going to happen with AI are sort of weakening the hold of the written word. I've certainly kept writing while doing my show. uh at the times and I intend to find ways to keep writing um while I'm working for CBS. So I I that's that part of journalism is very important to me. But yeah people like it's not only podcast and audio right like in you know if you look at like what people engage with at the New York Times they also engage with written dialogues like they loved the feature that our colleagues Brett Stevens and Gail Collins or David Brooks and Gail Collins did of sort of a conversation back and forth. They really like the features um that my longtime editor John Guida does where he'll sort of interview someone in a a written form where you're writing and people are writing writing in response.

人工智能与对话的未来

Speaker A: 是的。我们节目的文字记录。

Speaker B: 是的。而且其中一些,我认为人们想看到写作背后的那个人。也许在人工智能的时代,这会成为一个更重要的案例。你很了解泰勒·科万。他关于人工智能的一个论点是,它基本上只会增加对例如现场表演的溢价,对在公众面前发言和与问题互动,以及所有这些人类方面都会增加,因为人工智能可以生成更多的文本。我认为对话和谈话是这些的某种版本,是作家和思想家展示自己自身人文精神的地方,也许比你在山顶专栏中展现的要多一点。然后,也许这只是我将我自己的视角投射到世界上了,但我认为人们喜欢这些东西,因为和我一样,他们对现实发生了什么有点不确定。而这种对话形式是进入新闻和世界正在发生什么的一种方式,它不需要你接受单一的权威观点,并为不确定性和模糊性留出空间,同时又向你介绍你可能没有考虑到的观点。这是它的积极方面。我也可以提出负面情况,并说一个人们阅读更少、文盲更少的那个世界,会有各种负面影响。我并不是想对这种变化过于多疑,至少我认为这是一个真正的转变。

Original English

Speaker A: Yeah. The transcripts of our shows.

Speaker B: Yeah. And and some of it I think is that people want to see the person underneath the writing. And maybe this becomes more the case in the age of AI. Tyler Cowan who you know you you know his work well. One of his arguments about AI is that it basically is just going to increase the premium for for instance live performance, right? For the the ability to to speak in public and engage with questions and all these kind of human things will go up as AI can generate more writing. And I think dialogue and conversation are sort of versions of that, places where sort of writers and thinkers sort of show their own humanities. maybe a little bit more than you do in a kind of a voice from the mountaintop column. Um, and then again, maybe this is just me projecting my own perspective onto the world, but I also think people like these things because like like me, they're a little uncertain about what's what's happening in reality. And the kind of conversational form is a way into the news and what's going on in the world that doesn't require you to sort of accept a single authoritative take and leaves room for uncertainty and ambiguity while also introducing you to perspectives that you might not have considered. That's that's the positive case for it. I can also make the negative case and say that you know a world yeah where people read less and are less literate um has various negative repercussions. I'm not I'm not trying to like sort of be too polyianish about this change at the very least is a real shift I think.

对不确定性的探索

Speaker A: 你认为《60分钟》的报道资源背后,你最终能揭开UAP(不明飞行物)的秘密吗?

Speaker B: 是的,我的意思是,听着,这显然是第一目标。你知道,我说如果我不能打破UFO的故事,我不想做出任何承诺,但是是的,UFO的主题出现过一次或两次,也许只从我的角度,在关于媒体应该关注的未来故事的对话中。你在这里谈到了现实的混乱边缘,以及你对不确定性的感觉,比以前更不确定,你知道,我提到UFO这件事,并不是完全吸收了它,我认为它实际上已经成为你工作的很重要的一个部分,对我来说,对信任谁、对信任什么样的信息开始定义你的工作。所以,当你思考如何驾驭一个边界,这个边界对你来说似乎不那么确定时,比如,你如何思考新闻?我如何思考?当我想到UFO故事只是一个关于在树林里经历奇怪经历的人,然后回来声称被UFO绑架时,对吧?那个故事很有趣,但它并不那么引人入胜,因为它太个性化了。就像你不会去分析某人的宗教经历一样。这真的很有趣,但你不会得到一个最终的决定性答案。比如,如果有人描述他们的宗教经历,没有新闻上的技巧可以告诉你那真的是上帝还是不是。但对于UFO来说,比如有人对在物理现实中存在并被海军飞行员观察到的物体做出了具体的说法,还有关于联邦政府所谓的秘密计划的其他具体说法,这些都是记者应该能够回答的问题。所以我对UFO故事特别感兴趣,但也对其他问题感兴趣,比如我们已经在讨论的关于人工智能意识的辩论,这些事情。不是因为我认为它们是不可知的,而是因为我认为它们实际上应该有答案,对吧?比如,人工智能意识的辩论可能永远不会得到解决,或者某种东西,但比如人工智能有多危险,人工智能将变得多具变革性。你猜怎么着?我们会发现的。你知道,我知道硅谷里那些聪明的人谈论所有人类时间线,现在以三年为单位,对吧?他们会说,“哦,如果你在未来三年内不去做,你就不会做,因为奇点要来了。”我现在对那个论点持怀疑态度,但我们将在接下来的三年里弄清楚那些奇点信徒是对是错。所以,是的,我对那些没有立即和明显的答案的、触及超自然或形而上学的区域和问题感兴趣。作为一个记者,我只对它们感兴趣,就到你能弄清楚到底发生了什么为止。

Original English

Speaker A: Do you think with the reporting resources of 60 Minutes behind you you'll finally be able to crack what the UAPs are?

Speaker B: Well, I hope you do. Ross, it's been a pleasure working alongside you.

Speaker B: 很高兴与你合作。

Original English

Speaker B: It's been a pleasure for many, many, many years. I'll continue to watch.

Speaker A: 我想象我们将在这次谈话之后再次相遇。

Speaker B: 在奇点之后。然后永远是我们的最终。

Original English

Speaker B: in the singularity. And then always our final

书籍推荐

Speaker A: 我希望不是这样。即使在这个年纪,你还会向听众推荐三本书吗?

Original English

Speaker A: I hope not. Even in this postitate age, what are three books you'd recommend to the audience?

Speaker A: 嗯,我忘了那三本书的问题了。嗯,我一直在读《记忆》作者弗拉基米尔·纳姆科夫(Vladimir Nambacov)的书,纳姆科夫,不过你想怎么发音,那是他的回忆录,主要讲述他作为俄国贵族在俄国革命前的童年。我建议那些不想成为文盲,而是想成为非常非常博学的人去读那本书。我还会推荐朱利安·杰克逊(Julian Jackson)关于查尔斯·德· Gaulle的传记,从一般原则上讲。我最近没有读过它,但强烈推荐。我还会终于推荐我给孩子们读过最最近的那本书,就是罗伯特·刘易斯·史蒂文森(Robert Lewis Stevenson)的《失落的宝藏》。所以,这三本书是可靠的推荐,我很高兴能把它们留给大家。

Original English

Speaker A: Uh, I forgot about the three books question. Um, I have been reading uh, Speak Memory by Vladimir Nambacov, Nbachov, however you want to pronounce it, which is his sort of memoir uh, mostly of his boyhood as a Russian aristocrat before the Russian the Russian Revolution. Uh, I would I would recommend that to people who don't want to be post-literate, who want to be very very literate indeed. Uh I will recommend uh Julian Jackson's biography of Charles de Gaulle on general principles. I haven't read it recently but just strong strong recommend there. And I will finally recommend the most recent book that I read to my children which is Robert Lewis Stevenson's Treasure Island. So those are three solid recommendations and I'm happy to leave you with them.

Speaker A: 罗莎,非常感谢。

Original English

Speaker A: Rosetta, thank you very much.

📌 文中提及的人物和组织

关键字: media-evolution political-change ethics-decay narrative-shift uncertainty-exploration