新民主党的未来之路:领导层、挑战与选民基础 TVO Today 2026-03-25

开场与背景介绍

主持人: 显然如此。我知道今晚对新民主党人来说是令人失望的一晚。

Original English

Host: Obviously. I know this night is a disappointing night for New Democrats.

主持人: 还记得去年大选之夜,时任新民主党领袖贾格米特·辛格的演讲吗?那最终也成了他的辞职演讲。这并不算什么惊喜。他在八年后决定辞职。联邦新民主党仅从24个席位跌至7个,这是他们有史以来最糟糕的成绩,而且损失并未停止。本月早些时候,努纳武特地区国会议员洛里·伊德卢特转投自由党。现在,该党正处于十字路口。本周末,成员们将选出一位新领袖,负责重建该党。那么,回归之路究竟是怎样的?我们来看看领导层竞选以及新民主党的下一步。欢迎收看“The Rundown”。

Original English

Host: Do you remember that speech that was then NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh on election night last year? It also turned out to be his resignation speech. It wasn't really a surprise. He decided to step down after eight years. The federal NDP had just gone from 24 seats to seven, their worst results ever, and the losses haven't stopped there. Earlier this month, Nunavut MP Lori Idlout crossed the floor to the Liberals. Now the party is at a crossroads. This weekend, members will choose a new leader, someone tasked with rebuilding the party. So what does that path back actually look like? We look at the leadership race and at what comes next for the NDP. Welcome to The Rundown.

主持人: 赢得联邦新民主党领导层竞选的人将承担一项艰巨的任务,即重建该党,并证明它是加拿大人清晰的替代选择。金·赖特是Right Strategies的负责人兼创始人,也是一位长期的新民主党顾问;卢克·萨维奇是记者、《历史终结后的自由主义与民主反思》一书的作者。非常高兴你们二位能来参加节目。在我们看本周末的新民主党领导层大会之前,我们先回顾一下。在上一次联邦大选中,94%的加拿大选民对新民主党投了反对票。那么,金,我不得不问,新民主党对加拿大人来说还重要吗?

Original English

Host: Whoever wins the federal NDP leadership race will end up with a tough assignment, building the party back up and proving it's a clear alternative for Canadians. Kim Wright is the principal and founder of Right Strategies and a long-time NDP consultant, and Luke Savage is a journalist and author of The Dead Centre Reflections on Liberalism and Democracy After the End of History. Great to have you both on the show. Let's start before we even look at the NDP leadership convention this weekend. I want to have a look back. In the last federal election, 94% of Canadian voters said no to the NDP. So, Kim, I have to ask, does the NDP matter to Canadians?

新民主党的重要性与历史表现

金·赖特: 哦,绝对重要。因为如果你看看那之前的几个月,我们本来很有希望获得相当数量的席位。加拿大人,尤其是希望从新民主党那里得到的东西,比如在上次少数派政府中,他们推出了牙科护理计划,这已经帮助了成千上万的加拿大人获得了牙科护理。这对加拿大人来说至关重要,新民主党在少数派政府、多数派政府,乃至我们执政的许多省份,都发出了自己的声音。所以它绝对重要,并且会再次崛起。坦率地说,竞选活动时有发生,甚至保守党在让·夏雷斯特和埃尔西·韦恩时期也曾跌至两个席位。所以总会有反弹。

Original English

Kim Wright: Oh, absolutely. Because if you looked a few months before that, we were well on track for quite a number of seats. What Canadians were looking for from the New Democrats, in particular in the last minority parliament, were things like the dental care program, which has helped thousands and thousands of Canadians and have access to dental care. And it has mattered to Canadians, the voice that the New Democrats have had in minority parliaments, in majority parliaments, and frankly, in a lot of provinces where we're the government. So it absolutely does matter and will get back up there. Frankly, campaign campaigns happen sometimes, and even conservatives went down to two seats when with Jean Charest and Elsie Wayne. So there's always a bounce.

卢克·萨维奇: 嗯,我想说“陈词滥调”有些言过其实,认为任何事情都比以往任何时候都更重要。所以我对此有点自知之明。但说实话,我认为新民主党目前比以往任何时候都更重要。我之所以这么说,有两方面原因。第一,我想,“你知道,我肯定会同意金说的一切。但我认为,“你知道,自由党现在甚至都不装作是中间偏左的党派了。所以显然,像新民主党这样的政党,比传统上所拥有的,有了更多的空间,而且我认为它的声音和它提供的方案非常重要。但第二点我想说的是,“你知道,当新民主党,或者说它的前身,CCF,在1930年代成立时,“你知道,这并非一对一的比较。但是,“你知道,我认为我们正经历一个类似的时期,即,“你知道,政治、经济和地缘政治发生了相当深刻的变化。而我认为,这个时刻要求“你知道,做出一个回应,它“你知道,提供同样的“激进雄心”精神。所以,我认为在几个不同的意义上,新民主党肯定是很重要的。

Original English

Luke Savage: Well, you know, I think it's trite to say that anything is more relevant than ever. So I'm a little self-conscious in saying that. But truly, I do think the NDP is more relevant than ever at the moment. And I say that for two reasons. One, I mean, I think that, you know, I would agree with everything that that Kim said for sure. But I think, you know, the Liberals are not even really pretending to be a centre left party anymore. So clearly there's even more space than, you know, there's traditionally been for a party like the NDP and, you know, its voice and its offer, I think, is very important. But the second thing I'd say here is that, you know, when the NDP, or rather its predecessor, the CCF, was founded in 1930s, you know, it's not a 1 to 1 comparison. But, you know, I think we're living through a similar time of, you know, quite profound political and economic and geopolitical change. And I think that the moment calls for, you know, response that, you know, offers the same spirit of, of, of radical ambition. So I think in in a few different senses, the NDP is certainly relevant.

灵魂拷问:是辩论社群还是执政党?

主持人: 金,你想回应一下吗?嗯,有很多事情过去了,对吧?但最终,党派,这在每个党派中都会出现。你们是想成为一个辩论社群,还是想执政并为人们的日常生活带来真正巨大的改变?这永远是党派问自己的问题,尤其是新民主党。我们在安大略省北部、温莎草原,乃至全国各地看到的反对声音,部分原因在于新民主党花了太多时间扮演那个辩论社群的角色,那些城市主义者谈论所有的“主义”,而忽视了真正重要的事情和真正能影响人们生活的解决方案。所以我们需要重拾我们的气势,但我们也需要与人们在他们所处的环境中交流。长期以来,我们一直陷入那种辩论社群的心态。

Original English

Host: Kim, did you want to respond? Well, there's a lot that's gone, right? But ultimately, the party and this comes in every party. Are you looking to be a debate society or are you looking to govern and make real massive change to people's daily lives? And that is always the question that parties ask themselves, in particular New Democrats. And part of the pushback that we saw in places like northern Ontario and Windsor Prairies and frankly, across the country, was the New Democrats spent too much time being that debate society, that urbanists talk about all the isms versus what actually mattered and real solutions and conveyed in a way that impacted people's lives. So we needed our swagger back, but we also just needed to talk to people where they're at. And for far too long, we've been getting into that debate society mindset.

主持人: 我认为临时领袖唐·戴维斯会同意这一点。当然,他夏天说过,新民主党过于关注身份政治,政治,以及卢克。他说我们没有谈论真正的问题,没有谈论大多数工薪阶层人民现在正在经历的困境。你对此怎么看?

Original English

Host: I think the interim leader of the NDP, Don Davies, would agree with that. Of course, he had said in the summer that the NDP had focused too much on identity politics, politics and Luke. He said that we're not talking about the real issues, not what most working class people are struggling with right now. What do you think of that?

卢克·萨维奇: 嗯,我可能会,我想,尊重地与金稍微不同意,因为我过去10到15年都没见过新民主党成为一个辩论社群。你知道,我认为相反,我们看到的是,我们看到的是很多集权。而在领导人办公室,我们,你知道,我们从党内经常,经常会收到一种非常直接的沟通方式,而且通常是为了更好。你知道,我们一直听到很多关于领导层竞选的讨论,你知道,新民主党变得非常学术化,或者,你知道,正如金所说,有很多,“你知道,关于“主义”之类的争论。我只是,我真的没看到过这个。而且,“你知道,我确实对贾格米特·辛格的领导力有批评,当然,在其他方面也有很多赞扬。但我认为,即使是对他持批评态度的人,也不会指责他或该党在过去十年左右的时间里,说话的方式不是“实实在在”的。我想,这通常是我们所看到的。所以我认为问题不仅仅是品牌推广或沟通的问题。

Original English

Luke Savage: Well, I'm going to, I think, respectfully disagree with Kim a little bit here, because I haven't seen the NDP be a debate society for the past 10 or 15 years. You know, I think instead, what we've seen is, is a lot of centralisation. And the leader's office, we've, you know, there's been, I think, a pretty fairly direct communication style from the party often, often for the better. You know, I, we keep hearing heard a lot in the context of leadership race, you know, the NDP is become very kind of academic or, you know, as Kim said, there's a lot of, you know, debating over isms and stuff. I just I just really haven't seen this. And, you know, I have criticisms of Jagmeet Singh his leadership, certainly, and lots of praise for it in other aspects as well. But I don't think that even people who are quite critical of him would ever accuse him or of the party over the last ten years or so of speaking in a, you know, in anything but quite a bread and butter way. I mean, I think that's generally what we've seen. So I think the problems go beyond problems of branding or communications or anything like that.

金·赖特: 是的。我的意思是,当你开始谈论“实实在在”的问题时,其中确实带有一点辩论社群的色彩,对吧?我在安大略省南部一个乡村小镇长大,那里深受贸易政策多年的影响。我母亲最终在一家制造炉子的工厂找到了一份工作。但在此之前。哦,天哪。我们长大时生活很艰难。而且,“你知道,多亏了社区,“你知道,我们得以茁壮成长,这要归功于在加拿大和安大略省的各项计划。我现在在这里担任一名企业经营者,并且,“你知道,我们如何与人们在他们所处的环境中交流?而且,有一种观念是,太多的标语和太多的“主义”以及太多的这种辩论社群,而忽视了人们真正关心的问题。你知道,我,“你知道,我们已经偏离了这一点。而且,“而且说实话,一些选举结果已经证明了这一点,而且,“而且“而且太多“城市化”并不总是一件好事,因为我们无法用人们所处的语言来解释事物。你知道,这很有趣。杰克·莱顿过去常说,至少看看现在有什么电影上映,了解流行文化和流行文化梗。能够,能够,能够与人们交流,“而且有时作为新民主党人,我们在这方面做得不好。所以,我欢迎新的版本。

Original English

Kim Wright: Yeah. I mean, when you start talking about bread and butter issues, there is a bit of a debate society aspect to that, right? I grew up in a small town in rural southern Ontario that was very much impacted over the years of, of trade policies. My mother ultimately was able to get a job in a factory making furnaces. But before that. Oh boy. It was a hard life that we had growing up. And, you know, thanks to community, you know, we were able to thrive thanks to the programs that happen in Canada and in Ontario. I now get to sit here as someone who runs a business and, you know, how do we talk to people where they're at? And, and there is this notion of too much of the placards and too much of the isms and too much of this debate society and not enough of where people are. You know, I, you know, we've, we've gotten away from that. And, and frankly, some of the election results have have shown that and too much of an urbanism isn't always a great thing when we can't explain to people in the language that they're living what things are. You know, it's interesting. Jack Layton used to say, at least look to see what moves are coming out these days, understand pop culture and pop culture references. Being able to, to, to communicate with folks and, and we're not very good at that sometimes as New Democrats. So I welcome the new versions of that.

领导层竞选的三个选项

主持人: 好的。说到新版本,嗯,让我们把注意力转移到新民主党的领导层竞选上来。这是一场三方角逐。你有一位局外人——长途工罗布·阿什顿;你有一位出身于政治世家的内部人士——艾维·刘易斯,他的父亲曾是安大略省新民主党领袖,他的祖父曾是联邦新民主党领袖。最后,还有一位现任国会议员,海瑟·麦克弗森,代表埃德蒙顿-斯特拉斯科纳。卢克,这三个选择对新民主党的未来意味着什么?

Original English

Host: Okay. Speaking of new versions, well, let's shift our attention to the NDP leadership race right now. It is a three horse race. You have the outsider longshoreman Rob Ashton, the insider from a dynastic family, Avi Lewis, who whose father, of course, was Ontario NDP leader and whose grandfather was the federal leader of the NDP. And then to round it out, you have someone who is a sitting MP, Heather McPherson, representing Edmonton-Strathcona. Luke, what do these three choices represent for the future of the NDP?

卢克·萨维奇: 嗯,我想,正如我们在竞选中所看到的,而且我认为所有候选人都热衷于强调的一点是,他们有很多共同之处。我认为竞选中出现了一些我认为至关重要的事情,并且在这些事情上,我认为存在较少的共识。第一点,而且我认为你已经在这里的谈话中礼貌地看到了,那就是竞争性的诊断或对究竟哪里出了问题的不同诊断。你知道,有些人认为这只是一个沟通问题。我绝对不同意金所说的一切。我认为,“你知道,总是可以更好地沟通,而且有时左翼并不擅长沟通。但我认为问题,个人来说,要深入一些。我认为,第二点,另一个重要的一点是,“你知道,新民主党,或者说它的前身,CCF,在1930年代成立时,“你知道,它不是一个一比一的比较。但是,“你知道,我认为我们正经历一个类似的时期,即,“你知道,政治、经济和地缘政治发生了相当深刻的变化。而我认为,这个时刻需要“你知道,一种回应,它“你知道,提供了同样的“激进雄心”精神。所以,我认为在几个不同的意义上,新民主党当然是很重要的。

Original English

Luke Savage: Well, I mean, I think as we've seen during the race and I think it's all the candidates have been keen to emphasize, there's plenty on which they agree. I think there have been, you know, there have been a number of things that have come out in the race that I think are at stake and over which I think there's less agreement. One, and I think you've seen it come out rather politely here in the conversation so far is perhaps competing diagnoses or different diagnoses about what exactly has gone wrong. You know, some people think it's just a communications problem. I wouldn't disagree at all with everything Kim said. I think, you know, there's can always communicate better, and sometimes the left is not very good at communicating. But I think the problem is personally go a little deeper than that. I think, secondly, one of the other big things that's come out is, you know, can the model, the electoral model used by the NDP, particularly west of Ontario, can that and should that be scaled up to the federal level? There's some, you know, disagreement about that as well. And I think just thirdly, quickly, you know, there's a disagreement and very legitimate disagreement about, you know, to what extent can you mobilise people around policy? The Lewis campaign has taken one view, which is that you go for big policies. You communicate them very, very directly, big policies that are easy to explain. And, you know, they've certainly borrowed, I think, from the Zohran Mamdani example there, you know, others don't feel that way. There's, you know, feeling that you can't really, you know, voters are not as interested in policy. You don't animate them that way. So I think all of these things have really come out in the race. And people, people often disagree about them.

主持人: 金,你支持罗布·阿什顿。卢克,你支持艾维·刘易斯。我很好奇,金,对于一个选举结果如此糟糕的党派,为什么不选择像海瑟·麦克弗森这样真正赢过票的候选人,尤其是在艾伯塔省?

Original English

Host: Kim, you have endorsed Rob Ashton. Luke, you've endorsed Avi Lewis. I'm curious, Kim, for a party with such poor electoral results, why not choose someone like Heather McPherson, a candidate who's actually won, let alone an Alberta of all places?

金·赖特: 好了,我看了。所有候选人都和其中一些人有过交流,大部分人多年来都有过。我仔细看过的一件事是,我在大选之夜在伯纳比,尽管那个夜晚很糟糕,我恰好有机会和一位在活动中的人士聊了很久,他就是罗布·阿什顿。我们深入聊了党派的黑暗时期。我们如何重建?那会是什么样子?然后,在我观察罗布·阿什顿的竞选活动展开时,出现了一种气势。一种摆脱了皮埃尔·波利耶夫和道格·福特围绕工人阶级所做的“角色扮演政治”的姿态。这个人不仅在第一线辛勤工作,还谈判达成了协议,并且,“你知道,你如何推动这些事情向前发展?你如何让人们参与到对话中来,在你力所能及的地方帮助他们,并向前迈进?我看到其他没有真正付出努力的竞选活动。嗯,“你知道,刘易斯先生是那个时代的一员,在我们重建党派时,无论是在联邦还是在安大略省,都没有出现过“嘿,我们如何将肩头扛起,全力以赴去解决这个问题?”

Original English

Kim Wright: So look, I've looked at. All the candidates and have had conversations with some of them, most of them over the years. One of the things that I've looked at, and it turned out I was in Burnaby on election night, as dismal as that night was, and happened to have an opportunity to talk to a guy at the event turned into being Rob Ashton. And we talked at length about, you know, the dark days of the party. How do we rebuild? What does that look like? And then, as I have watched Rob Ashton's campaign unfold, there has been that swagger. There has been that move away from the the cosplay politics that Pierre Poilievre and Doug Ford have definitely done around workers. This is a guy who has not only been on those lines doing the work, but also negotiating agreements and, and how do you move those things forward? How do you bring people along in the conversation, help people where you can protect them where you can and move forward? I look at other campaigns who haven't necessarily, you know, done the work. And, well, you know, Mr. Lewis is part of the of a dynasty in some of those very dark days, as we were rebuilding the party, either federally or here in Ontario, there wasn't that like, hey, how do we put the shoulder to the grindstone and fix this?

主持人: 卢克,我想听听你的看法。你提到了新民主党党派斗争中的沟通问题。嗯,你知道,如果你有一个已经在议会中的国会议员,沟通起来会容易得多。为什么不选择像海瑟·麦克弗森这样的人呢?

Original English

Host: Luca, I want to get your take. You talk about communication in the struggle for the NDP party there. Well, you know, if you have an MP that's already in in the House, it makes it a lot easier to communicate what you need. Why not go for someone like Heather McPherson?

卢克·萨维奇: 嗯,我非常尊敬海瑟·麦克弗森,尤其是她在下议院就巴勒斯坦问题所做的工作,以及她展现出的领导力。她确实在那里扮演了领导者的角色。但我想,特别是对于新民主党而言,你知道,一个可以被视为合法或可行的领导层候选人的标准,不能仅仅是他/她是否在众议院有一个席位。你知道,新民主党历史上赢得的席位比其他党派少得多。而且,“你知道,杰克·莱顿在他当选之前曾多次落选。许多后来在新民主党中扮演重要角色的人,无论是作为国会议员还是党领袖,都曾有过这样的经历。所以,我不认为“你知道,这可能是一个重要的考虑因素。它肯定不是唯一的因素。

Original English

Luke Savage: Well, I have a lot of respect for Heather McPherson, in particular. The the work she's done, the leadership she's shown on the question on the issue of Palestine in the House of Commons. She's very much been a leader there. But I think that for the NDP especially. Right. You know, the criterion for for who can be considered a legitimate or a viable leadership candidate, it can't be that they have a seat in the House of Commons. Right? Because, you know, the NDP wins a lot fewer seats historically, right, than than other parties. And, you know, Jack Layton was defeated multiple times before he was elected. It's been true of many people who've gone on to play very important roles in the party, either as MPs or indeed as party leaders. So I don't I don't think that that, you know, you know, might be an important consideration. It's certainly not certainly not the only one.

主持人: 卢克,请继续。你知道,当我们谈论进步政策时,这是新民主党的专长。然而,当我们谈论,你知道,财富税,例如,它的民意支持率很高。然而,在新民主党党派内部却存在差异。请帮我理解一下,这里的脱节之处在哪里?

Original English

Host: Luke, stick with me here. You know, when we talk about progressive policies, this is in the wheelhouse of the NDP. Yet when we're talking about we can talk about, you know, the wealth tax, for example, they pull it polls really well. Yet there is a disparity when it comes to the NDP party. Help me understand where the disconnect is there.

卢克·萨维奇: 我认为有几点可以说明这一点。我的意思是,第一点是,“你知道,仅仅因为事情民意支持率高,这并不总是意味着,“你知道,选民不仅仅看那些,“你知道,看他们的偏好,然后说,“好吧,我想要一项财富税。当然。那么哪个党派支持财富税呢?这显然比这复杂得多。就新民主党而言,你知道,联邦新民主党必须应对,你知道,所谓的“战略投票”的疯狂。所以这是一个真正的问题,它面临着一个真正的问题。就像,“你知道,任何为新民主党拉票的人都知道,你经常会遇到选民说,“好吧,嘿,我基本上同意你们的一切。但是,“你知道,我不得不投票给自由党,因为我太,你知道,害怕皮埃尔·波利耶夫或唐纳德·特朗普,对吧?根据情况而定。所以这是其中一点。第二点我想说的是,“你知道,新民主党必须能够说服人们,它提供的替代方案实际上是可行的。而且我认为,来自“你知道,广大选民的普遍愤世嫉俗和有根据的愤世嫉俗和怀疑态度是,某些事情实际上可以发生,因为人们没有经历过这些,对吧?人们没有,“你知道,可能经历过医疗保险的创建或福利国家的建立的前几代人。你不必向他们解释政府能够做这些事情。

Original English

Luke Savage: I think there's a few things to to to be said about this. I mean, the first is that, you know, just because things pull well, that does not always mean that, you know, voters don't just only look at things that, you know, look at their preferences and say, well, I'd like a wealth tax. Sure. So which party supports a wealth tax? It's obviously more complicated than that. In the case of the NDP, right. You know, the federal NDP has to deal with the, you know, madness of so-called strategic voting. So that's a real that's a real that's a real problem that it faces. Like, you know, anyone who's canvassed for the NDP knows that you will often meet voters who say, well, hey, I agree with you guys on basically everything. But, you know, I got to vote for the Liberals because I'm so, you know, afraid of Pierre Poilievre or Donald Trump, right. As the case may be. So that's that's one thing. The second thing I'd say here is that, you know, the NDP has to be able to convince people that the alternatives it's offering are actually possible. And I think there's kind of an overriding cynicism and a well-founded cynicism and skepticism from from, you know, the broad electorate, that certain things can actually happen because people haven't experienced this, right? People haven't, you know, previous generations that may have lived through the creation of Medicare or the establishment of the welfare state. You don't have to explain to them that it's possible for the government to do these things.

工人阶级选民的流失与吸引力

主持人: 金,加拿大保守党能够赢得许多工人阶级的选票,并且一般来说,右翼民粹主义能够利用工人阶级的这些不满。新民主党和进步左翼是否有机会利用这种民粹主义愤怒?

Original English

Host: Kim, the Conservative Party of Canada has been able to bring in many working class votes and in general, right, right wing populism has been able to tap into those grievances of that working class. Is there an opportunity here for the NDP and the progressive left to tap into that populist anger?

金·赖特: 哦,绝对。但更重要的是,这关乎你如何与人们沟通,让他们感到,让一切看起来非常真实,而且必须真实。必须有我所说的那种气势。你是否有过那种生活经验?所以当你看到,“你知道,罗布·阿什顿和皮埃尔·波利耶夫的“角色扮演”,他甚至都没从他买来假装成工人的工作靴上摘下价签。你知道,这,这是两者之间一个清晰的二分法。让我感兴趣的是,当我们开始这次领导层竞选时,当时有一种想法,“哦,我们很快就要举行联邦大选了。也许我们甚至无法完成新民主党的领导层选拔。说实话,这并没有按照吸引力运作的方式变为现实。联邦版的“红旗招展”,“你知道,我们很快就不会去投票了。所以这位领导人,无论他们是谁,当他们本周末当选时,将有机会去建立那些选区协会,找到那些明星候选人,展示他们的光芒,并向像瓦布·基纽这样的人学习,学习如何将党建设成一个执政的姿态,以及如何让人们相信,你应该朝着执政迈进,同时在众议院也拥有宝贵的声音。你知道,建立一个政治党派并重建一个政治党派从来都不容易。但是,“你知道,当我们看看埃德·布罗德本特或杰克·莱顿这样的例子时,哦,天哪,这是可以做到的。我对未来可能实现的潜力感到兴奋。

Original English

Kim Wright: Oh, absolutely. But more importantly, it's about how do you communicate to people in a way that makes you feel, makes everything seem very authentic, and it has to be authentic. It has to be that swagger I talk about. Have you had that lived experience? So when you look at, you know, a Rob Ashton versus Pierre Poilievre cosplay where he hasn't frankly even taken the price tags off those work boots he bought to try to pretend he's a working guy. You know, it, it, it, it is a clear dichotomy of, of the two. What is interesting to me is when we started this leadership campaign, there was this, oh, we're going to be in a federal election in mere moments. Maybe we won't even get to the end of the NDP leadership. That, frankly, has not been true in the way that the attrition has worked. The parliament version of Red Rover, red rover, you know, we are not going to the polls federally any time soon. So that leader, whenever they are when they're elected this weekend, has that opportunity to go and build up those riding associations, find those star candidates, showcase their sparkle and and learn from folks like Wab Kinew about how how to build that party to a governing stance and how to make people believe that both you should be getting towards government, but also that you have a valuable voice in the House of Commons. You know, it's never easy to build a political party and build back a political party. But, you know, when we look at the examples like Ed Broadbent or Jack Layton, oh boy, can it be done. And I'm excited about what the potential of that is going forward.

主持人: 重建。卢克,我们来谈谈这个,新民主党需要回归其民粹主义根源吗?

Original English

Host: Building back. Let's talk on that, Luke, does the NDP need to return to its populist roots?

卢克·萨维奇: 我认为是的。我的意思是,我认为,“你知道,“你知道,我们不需要字面上的回归。我认为,“你知道,如果新民主党要那种“重新采纳”里贾纳宣言之类的东西,或者以1930年代的方式沟通和竞选,那显然没有意义。但我想新民主党的根源确实是,“你知道,社会主义、激进和民粹主义。而且我认为,我认为它应该保持扎根于此。而且我认为我们只需要做“那个的现代版本。你知道,我还认为,总的来说,“你知道,我听到,我认为金和我会同意,而且我当然同意罗布·阿什顿。新民主党需要成为一个工人阶级政党。我的意思是,它的根源也是工人阶级。我还认为,今天的工人阶级比以前更加多元化。自1930年代以来,它发生了很大变化。所以它不仅包括产业工人,尽管他们当然是其联盟的一个极其重要的组成部分。而且,我再次同意罗布·阿什顿的论点。工人阶级现在还包括许多其他工会工人。它包括白领工人。它包括绝大多数不是工会成员、不是政治组织成员的工人,“而且,“你知道,选举时可能甚至都不投票。所以新民主党也需要能够与这些人沟通。而且早些时候在谈话中提到了渠道。人们的不满情绪是合法的。谈谈这一点,谈谈这种不满,谈谈这种焦虑,在可能的情况下建设性地引导愤怒。而且我认为,我认为左翼民粹主义是我们所需要的,以便做到这一点。

Original English

Luke Savage: I think so. I mean, I think, you know, you know, we don't need a literal return. I think, you know, if the NDP were to sort of re-adopt the Regina manifesto or something like that, or or communicate and campaign in the way they did in the 1930s, clearly that wouldn't make sense. But I think the roots of the NDP very much are, you know, socialist and radical and populist. And I think I think that's where it should remain grounded. And I think we really just need to do the the modern version of that. You know, I also think broadly speaking, you know, I hear, I think Kim and I would would agree and I certainly agree with Rob Ashton. The NDP needs to be a working class party. I mean, its roots are working class as well. I also think though, today the working class is a lot more heterogeneous than it used to be. It's changed a lot since the 1930s. So it includes not only industrial workers, though, of course, they're a hugely important part of its coalition. And again, I agree with what Rob Ashton has argued there. But the working class right also includes lots of other unionised workers. It includes white collar workers. It includes a huge majority of workers who are not members of unions, are not members of political organizations and, you know, may not even be voting come election time. So the NDP needs to be able to speak to those people as well. And channels came up earlier in the conversation. The legitimate sense of grievance people have. Speak to that, speak to that grievance, speak to that anxiety, channel anger constructively where it's possible to do that. And I think I think left populism is what we need in order to do that.

主持人: 嗯,我认为当我们谈论“宣言”这类词语时,这往往会让人不想跟随新民主党。那就是我之前谈到的那种城市化、辩论社群的语言。而当我们谈论,比如,甚至将语言从“社会正义”改为“社区建设”,这能让人们有所归属,并与我们同行,而不是感觉新民主党又在居高临下地对他们说话。而这正是我们党内持续存在的真正分裂。一部分人想成为辩论社群,用宏大的语言说话;另一部分人则倾听我们在“加拿大轮胎”(Canadian Tire)那里听到的语言。这并不意味着你要简化政策,而是要用人们能理解的方式去沟通。一旦我们开始像新民主党人那样谈论“里贾纳宣言”或“跳跃宣言”或其他任何宣言,你就已经迷失了方向,也失去了加拿大人。而这就是我们所看到的。

Original English

Host: Well, I think when we talk about when we use phrases like manifestos, it tends to make people not want to come along for the ride with New Democrats, that is that urbanism, debate society language I talked about earlier. And when we need to talk about things like even even changing the language from social justice to community building that allows people to come, come away and come with us without feeling like the the New Democrats are talking down to them once again. And that's the real that's the real schism that we continue to have within the party. Those who want to be the debate society and talk in in very large language versus those. The language that we hear when we're at Canadian Tire. And that doesn't mean you dumb down policies, but you talk to people in a way that matters. And the moment we we start talking as New Democrats of Regina manifestos or Leap manifestos or any other manifestos, you've lost the plot and you've lost Canadians. And that's what we've seen.

卢克·萨维奇: 好的。抱歉,先生,我能,我能,我能快速说两件事吗?我的意思是,说句公道话,金,当我说“宣言”时,我正是为了说明我们不应该这样做。对。我们应该像1930年代那样说话。这是第一点。第二,我的意思是,“你知道,我们现在不是在“加拿大轮胎”(Canadian Tire)那里,对吧?我们正在TVO上进行讨论。所以我不认为我们总是需要用那种,“你知道,非常直接的方式进行沟通。如果我们俩现在一起去挨家挨户拜访,我不会建议,“你知道,我会用不同的方式说话,这样说吧。

Original English

Luke Savage: Okay. Sorry, sir, can I can I can I say two things very, very quickly? I mean, to be fair, Kim, when I, when I said manifesto, I was precisely bringing it up to say we shouldn't, we shouldn't do that. Right. We should be talking in the way that we did in the 1930s. That's the first thing. Secondly, I mean, you know, we're not a Canadian Tire right now, right? We're having a discussion on on TVO. So I don't think we need to always be communicating in that, you know, very direct way. And if the two of us were canvassing together right now, I would not be suggesting, you know, I would not be speaking differently, let's put it that way.

主持人: 好的。我们将在这里结束。卢克,金,非常感谢。非常感谢你们的见解。

Original English

Host: All right. We are going to have to leave it there. Luke Kim, really appreciate it. Thank you so much for your insights.

主持人: 好的。那么,我们刚刚听说了新民主党的领导层竞争及其利害关系。但党派今天在加拿大人心中的地位如何?他们又希望从党派那里得到什么?艾琳·凯利是Advanced Symbolics Inc.的首席执行官,她在线加入我们。你好吗,艾琳?

Original English

Host: All right. So we've just heard about the NDP leadership contest and the stakes. But where does the party stand today with Canadians and what are they looking for from the party? Erin Kelly is the CEO of Advanced Symbolics Inc. and she joins us on the line. How are you doing, Erin?

艾琳·凯利: 很好。

Original English

Erin Kelly: Great.

主持人: 好的。嗯,波莉为我们准备了一些关于新民主党的数据。让我们一起来看看。在新民主党在上一次联邦选举中获得了6%的选票。那么,党派目前的状况如何?

Original English

Host: All right. Well, Polly has got some data for us about the NDP. Let's look into it. The NDP got 6% of the vote in the previous federal election. Where do things stand right now with the party?

艾琳·凯利: 嗯,情况差不多。我想可以说略有改善。今天我们看到他们的支持率约为9%,而保守党和自由党的支持率在统计上持平,均为44%。

Original English

Erin Kelly: Well, it's not much different. I suppose you could call it a little bit of an improvement. We're seeing them at around 9% today and the Conservatives and Liberals in a statistical tie at 44%.

主持人: 我认为就这个党派而言,最有趣的是谁在支持他们,谁在他们背后。请帮助我们理解,现在支持新民主党的人是谁。

Original English

Host: I think with this party, I think what's most interesting is who is supporting them, who's behind them. Help us understand who are the people who are supporting the NDP right now.

艾琳·凯利: 这很有意思。我的意思是,新民主党在历史上一直被视为工人阶级的政党,但他们的基础实际上已经发生了巨大的变化。他们几乎失去了工人阶级的支持。而今天我们看到,新民主党实际上更吸引那些受过高等教育、中上层阶级的人群。所以我们看到医生、教师、艺术家、记者以及一些留在新民主党的市政工作者。当我们审视那些仍然留在新民主党的工人阶级时,我们会看到一个非常、非常清晰的划分。所以,如果你是一名汽车工人或钢铁工人,过去你的矛盾是与管理层。可以说,它们是国内的。当时人们会看新民主党。但今天,这些工人,他们认为自己的挑战更具国际性,对吧,与关税、与特朗普有关。而且他们在过去十年中看到了更大的经济转变,他们觉得自己更多地受到宏观经济力量的威胁。但一些市政工人,比如公交车司机之类的人,教师仍然与管理层有矛盾。医生们正在与省政府进行斗争。那是管理层。所以这些类型的工会工人仍然支持新民主党,或者一些人已经转向了新民主党。但那些认为自己面临更多宏观经济问题的工人已经转向了保守党。

Original English

Erin Kelly: It's interesting. I mean, the NDP has historically been seen as a party of the working class, but their base has actually changed quite dramatically. They've virtually lost the working class. And today we see that the NDP is really appealing more to that highly educated, upper middle class contingency. So we're seeing doctors and teachers, artists, journalists and some municipal workers who who have stayed with the NDP. And it's really interesting when we look at the the working class that have stayed with the NDP, we see a really, really clear delineation. So if you're an auto worker or a steelworker, it used to be that your conflicts were with management. They were domestic, so to speak. And people look to the NDP at that time. But today, these workers, they see their challenges being more international, right, with tariffs, with Trump. And they've they've seen this bigger economic shift in, you know, throughout the last decade that they see themselves being threatened more by macroeconomic forces. But some municipal workers, like bus drivers and things like that, teachers still have conflict with management. Doctors are having battles with provincial governments. That's management. So those types of union workers are still with the NDP or some have moved to the NDP. But the ones who see themselves as having more macroeconomic issues have moved to the conservatives.

回归工人阶级根源的可能性

主持人: 我们一次又一次地从不同的新民主党领导层候选人那里听到,党派需要回归工人阶级,回归其工人阶级根源。但是,保罗,你对此有什么看法?这似乎并不容易。他们能做到吗?

Original English

Host: We have heard over and over again from different NDP leadership candidates that the party needs to return to the working class, to its working class roots. But what does, Paul, you have to say to that doesn't seem like it's going to be that easy. Can they do it?

保罗: 不。不。总之,不能。原因有两个。第一,这个群体已经得到了保守党的良好代表。而且他们对保守党领导层很满意。他们喜欢皮埃尔·波利耶夫,喜欢道格·福特,喜欢丹妮尔·史密斯。所以这些政客,这些领导人对他们有吸引力。所以第一,在他们对这些领导人不满意之前,别人不可能突然接管他们花了多年时间发展的东西。第二个挑战是,为了赢得这个群体,他们必须围绕这些问题进行竞选。而我认为新民主党不能突然转向批评移民之类的东西,而不显得不真实。我的意思是,民粹主义领导人是真实的。他们一直都是那样。皮埃尔·波利耶夫自从还是个学生起就是一个坚定的保守派。对吧?他以一种真实的方式来到这里,他的批评对他来说是真实的,一直是一致的。如果新民主党突然改变口风,采取一个完全不同的平台,他们就不会被视为真实。而真实性对这个群体来说非常重要,甚至比对其他群体更重要。这就是特朗普如此受欢迎的原因之一。他们认为他是一个说到做到的人。所以这种真实性对这个群体来说非常重要。而且我认为新民主党突然改变信息传递方式不会受到好评。他们将不得不引入一位非常特殊的领导人才能做到这一点。

Original English

Paul: No. No. In a word, no. And for two reasons. Number one, this group is already being well represented by the conservatives. And they're happy with the conservative leadership. They like Pierre Poilievre, they like Doug Ford, they like Danielle Smith. So these politicians, these leaders are appealing to them. So number one, until there is a dissatisfaction with these leaders, there's no way for somebody else to come in and suddenly pick up what they've spent years developing. The second challenge is that in order to get that demographic, they have to campaign on those issues. And I don't think the NDP can suddenly pivot to criticizing immigrants and and things like that without looking inauthentic. I mean, the the populist leaders are authentic. They're they've been that way. Pierre Poilievre has been a die hard conservative since he was a student. Right? He comes to it authentically and his criticisms are authentic to him, have been consistent. If the NDP suddenly changes their tune to have a whole different platform, they're not going to be seen as authentic. And being authentic is very important to this group, even more so than to other groups. This is part of the reason why Trump is so popular. They see him as somebody who does what he said he would do. So that that authenticity is really important to this group. And I don't think the NDP suddenly flipping the messaging would be well received. They'd have to get a very special leader in to be able to do that.

主持人: 好的。我想看一看保琳关于蓝领工人与白领工人的分类。请帮助我们理解,我们现在看到的是什么。

Original English

Host: All right. I want to have a look at a breakdown that Pauline made of blue collar workers versus white collar workers. Help us understand what are we looking at right now.

保罗: 所以你会看到有两种不同颜色的条形图。金色的条形图代表白领工人。以及对他们来说重要的是什么。以及什么能够为他们赢得政治分数。而蓝色的条形图代表蓝领工人。以及他们现在在竞选集会上希望听到什么。

Original English

Paul: So you'll see there's two different coloured bars. So the gold bars are the white collar workers. And what's important to them. What would score political points with them. And the blue bars are the blue collar workers. What they want to hear on the campaign hustings right now.

主持人: 这揭示了新民主党党派的什么信息?

Original English

Host: And what does this reveal of the NDP party?

保罗: 嗯,他们的优先事项不同。所以,如果你在新民主党,而你的选民基础现在是那些白领工人。所以你不会在这里看到“绿色协议”,“向富人征税”。而是“取消对富人的税收减免,而不是向富人征税”。这里有一个非常细微的区别,如果你愿意,我们可以深入探讨。但他们关心的是青年失业问题。他们希望看到公平的移民政策。他们说,“嘿,如果我们需要医生,那就引进医生,让他们成为医生。为什么我们要让医生去开出租车?这些是他们希望看到的首要事项之一,就是“我们正在招聘”。我们正在引进移民来获得他们的技能,但我们没有利用他们的技能。一旦他们来了,他们希望看到减少繁文缛节。他们希望看到一个真正的策略,尤其是在人工智能时代。他们担心他们的孩子找不到工作和没有职业发展。所以这是你真正需要关注的。然后是消除税收体系中的这些漏洞。在蓝领方面,头号问题是住房。而且他们有一个非常受欢迎的“300万套住房”的说法。他们想要这个,因为他们想要随之而来的工作。这些是建筑工人、水管工、电工。是的,我们需要住房。这将成为他们经济的推动力。然后你还有这种“加拿大骄傲”的元素。这是挥舞国旗,在车上贴国旗。非常自豪的加拿大人。而且这并不意味着白领工人不是自豪的加拿大人。当然是,但他们不是挥舞国旗的人。而且这不是可以用来竞选的东西。

Original English

Paul: Well, they have different priorities. So if you're in the NDP and you your constituency is now those white collar workers. So you don't see the Green Deal here, tax the rich. It's get rid of tax breaks for the rich, not tax the rich. And there's a very subtle difference there which we can go into if you like. But they're into youth unemployment. They want to see fair immigration policies. They're saying, hey, if we need doctors, let's bring in doctors and let them be doctors. Why do we have doctors driving cabs? These are one of the number one things that they want to see is getting the we're hiring. We're bringing in immigrants for their skills, but we're not utilizing their skills. Once they get here, they want to see that red tape go away. They want to see a real strategy, especially now with AI. They're concerned about their kids getting jobs and having careers. So that's what you really want to focus on there. And then getting rid of these loopholes in the tax system. In the blue collar, the number one thing is housing. And they've got this 3 million homes thing that's really popular online. And they want that because they want the jobs that go with it. These are construction workers, plumbers, electricians. Yes, we need housing. It is also going to be a boom to their economy. And then you have this Canada proud element. This is the flag waving putting the flag on your car. Very proud Canadian. And it's not that white collar workers aren't proud Canadians. They are of course, but they're not flag wavers. And it's not something you can campaign on.

新民主党能否赢回蓝领选票?

主持人: 随着新民主党开始重建,他们需要做什么才能赢回那些失去的蓝领工人,还是他们能做到吗?

Original English

Host: As the NDP begins to rebuild, what does it have to do to bring back some of those blue collar workers they have lost to the conservative? Or can they do that?

保罗: 我认为他们不能。如果他们想,他们就必须这么做。所以你在这里看到旅行签证,你看到移民改革。所以在蓝领领域,他们认为移民对他们的工作构成威胁。他们认为加拿大需要严格限制移民。而白领工人认为我们需要引进更多技术移民。他们希望看到我们取消对学生的禁令,例如。他们认为那不好。他们希望看到。他们认为学生对经济有好处。经济带来了人才。所以,在某些方面,这些群体是对立的。而新民主党历史上,在最近的两次竞选中,至少更多地是在那个金色条形区域。所以对他们来说,完全转变,我认为他们没有能做到这一点的选民基础。他们没有能够可靠地做到这一点的党内成员,而且这也不会被视为真实的。而且就像我说的,这对这个群体来说非常重要。这也是特朗普如此受欢迎的原因之一。他们认为他是一个说到做到的人。所以这种真实性对这个群体来说非常重要。而且我认为新民主党突然改变信息传递方式不会受到好评。他们将不得不引入一位非常特殊的领导人才能做到这一点。

Original English

Paul: I just don't think they can. If they wanted to, they would have to. So you see here travel visas, you see immigration reform. So in this blue collar space, they see immigrants as a threat to their to their jobs. They they think Canada needs to severely limit immigration. And the white collar workers think we need to bring in more skilled immigrants. They want to see us lift the the ban on students, for example. They think that's bad. They want to see. They think students are good for. The economy brings talent into the economy. So in some ways these groups are opposed. And the NDP historically has been, you know, in the last two campaigns, at least more in that gold bar realm. So for them to completely flip, I don't think they have the constituents that can do that. They don't have the party members that could credibly do that, and it wouldn't be seen as authentic. And like I said, it's very important to this group. This is part of the reason why Trump is so popular. They see him as somebody who does what he said he would do. So that that authenticity is really important to this group. And I don't think the NDP suddenly flipping the messaging would be well received. They'd have to get a very special leader in to be able to do that.

主持人: 好的。我想看看保琳对蓝领和白领工人所做的分类。请帮助我们理解,我们现在看到的是什么。

Original English

Host: All right. I want to have a look at a breakdown that Pauline made of blue collar workers versus white collar workers. Help us understand what are we looking at right now.

保罗: 所以你会看到有两种不同颜色的条形图。金色的条形图代表白领工人。以及对他们来说重要的是什么。以及什么能够为他们赢得政治分数。而蓝色的条形图代表蓝领工人。以及他们现在在竞选集会上希望听到什么。

Original English

Paul: So you'll see there's two different coloured bars. So the gold bars are the white collar workers. And what's important to them. What would score political points with them. And the blue bars are the blue collar workers. What they want to hear on the campaign hustings right now.

主持人: 这揭示了新民主党党派的什么信息?

Original English

Host: And what does this reveal of the NDP party?

保罗: 嗯,他们的优先事项不同。所以,如果你在新民主党,而你的选民基础现在是那些白领工人。所以你不会在这里看到“绿色协议”,“向富人征税”。而是“取消对富人的税收减免,而不是向富人征税”。这里有一个非常细微的区别,如果你愿意,我们可以深入探讨。但他们关心的是青年失业问题。他们希望看到公平的移民政策。他们说,“嘿,如果我们医生,那就引进医生,让他们成为医生。为什么我们要让医生去开出租车?这些是他们希望看到的首要事项之一,就是“我们正在招聘”。我们正在引进移民来获得他们的技能,但我们没有利用他们的技能。一旦他们来了,他们希望看到减少繁文缛节。他们希望看到一个真正的策略,尤其是在人工智能时代。他们担心他们的孩子找不到工作和没有职业发展。所以这是你真正需要关注的。然后是消除税收体系中的这些漏洞。在蓝领方面,头号问题是住房。而且他们有一个非常受欢迎的“300万套住房”的说法。他们想要这个,因为他们想要随之而来的工作。这些是建筑工人、水管工、电工。是的,我们需要住房。这将成为他们经济的推动力。然后你还有这种“加拿大骄傲”的元素。这是挥舞国旗,在车上贴国旗。非常自豪的加拿大人。而且这并不意味着白领工人不是自豪的加拿大人。当然是,但他们不是挥舞国旗的人。而且这不是可以用来竞选的东西。

Original English

Paul: Well, they have different priorities. So if you're in the NDP and you your constituency is now those white collar workers. So you don't see the Green Deal here, tax the rich. It's get rid of tax breaks for the rich, not tax the rich. And there's a very subtle difference there which we can go into if you like. But they're into youth unemployment. They want to see fair immigration policies. They're saying, hey, if we need doctors, let's bring in doctors and let them be doctors. Why do we have doctors driving cabs? These are one of the number one things that they want to see is getting the we're hiring. We're bringing in immigrants for their skills, but we're not utilizing their skills. Once they get here, they want to see that red tape go away. They want to see a real strategy, especially now with AI. They're concerned about their kids getting jobs and having careers. So that's what you really want to focus on there. And then getting rid of these loopholes in the tax system. In the blue collar, the number one thing is housing. And they've got this 3 million homes thing that's really popular online. And they want that because they want the jobs that go with it. These are construction workers, plumbers, electricians. Yes, we need housing. It is also going to be a boom to their economy. And then you have this Canada proud element. This is the flag waving putting the flag on your car. Very proud Canadian. And it's not that white collar workers aren't proud Canadians. They are of course, but they're not flag wavers. And it's not something you can campaign on.

主持人: 随着新民主党开始重建,他们需要做什么才能赢回那些失去的蓝领工人,还是他们能做到吗?

Original English

Host: As the NDP begins to rebuild, what does it have to do to bring back some of those blue collar workers they have lost to the conservative? Or can they do that?

保罗: 我认为他们不能。如果他们想,他们就必须这么做。所以你在这里看到旅行签证,你看到移民改革。所以在蓝领领域,他们认为移民对他们的工作构成威胁。他们认为加拿大需要严格限制移民。而白领工人认为我们需要引进更多技术移民。他们希望看到我们取消对学生的禁令,例如。他们认为那不好。他们希望看到。他们认为学生对经济有好处。经济带来了人才。所以,在某些方面,这些群体是对立的。而新民主党历史上,在最近的两次竞选中,至少更多地是在那个金色条形区域。所以对他们来说,完全转变,我认为他们没有能做到这一点的选民基础。他们没有能够可靠地做到这一点的党内成员,而且这也不会被视为真实的。而且就像我说的,这对这个群体来说非常重要。这也是特朗普如此受欢迎的原因之一。他们认为他是一个说到做到的人。所以这种真实性对这个群体来说非常重要。而且我认为新民主党突然改变信息传递方式不会受到好评。他们将不得不引入一位非常特殊的领导人才能做到这一点。

Original English

Paul: I just don't think they can. If they wanted to, they would have to. So you see here travel visas, you see immigration reform. So in this blue collar space, they see immigrants as a threat to their to their jobs. They they think Canada needs to severely limit immigration. And the white collar workers think we need to bring in more skilled immigrants. They want to see us lift the the ban on students, for example. They think that's bad. They want to see. They think students are good for. The economy brings talent into the economy. So in some ways these groups are opposed. And the NDP historically has been, you know, in the last two campaigns, at least more in that gold bar realm. So for them to completely flip, I don't think they have the constituents that can do that. They don't have the party members that could credibly do that, and it wouldn't be seen as authentic. And like I said, it's very important to this group. This is part of the reason why Trump is so popular. They see him as somebody who does what he said he would do. So that that authenticity is really important to this group. And I don't think the NDP suddenly flipping the messaging would be well received. They'd have to get a very special leader in to be able to do that.

主持人: 好的。我看到保琳对蓝领和白领工人做了一个分类。请帮助我们理解,我们现在看到的是什么。

Original English

Host: All right. I want to have a look at a breakdown that Pauline made of blue collar workers versus white collar workers. Help us understand what are we looking at right now.

保罗: 所以你会看到有两种不同颜色的条形图。金色的条形图代表白领工人。以及对他们来说重要的是什么。以及什么能够为他们赢得政治分数。而蓝色的条形图代表蓝领工人。以及他们现在在竞选集会上希望听到什么。

Original English

Paul: So you'll see there's two different coloured bars. So the gold bars are the white collar workers. And what's important to them. What would score political points with them. And the blue bars are the blue collar workers. What they want to hear on the campaign hustings right now.

主持人: 这揭示了新民主党党派的什么信息?

Original English

Host: And what does this reveal of the NDP party?

保罗: 嗯,他们的优先事项不同。所以,如果你在新民主党,而你的选民基础现在是那些白领工人。所以你不会在这里看到“绿色协议”,“向富人征税”。而是“取消对富人的税收减免,而不是向富人征税”。这里有一个非常细微的区别,如果你愿意,我们可以深入探讨。但他们关心的是青年失业问题。他们希望看到公平的移民政策。他们说,“嘿,如果我们医生,那就引进医生,让他们成为医生。为什么我们要让医生去开出租车?这些是他们希望看到的首要事项之一,就是“我们正在招聘”。我们正在引进移民来获得他们的技能,但我们没有利用他们的技能。一旦他们来了,他们希望看到减少繁文缛节。他们希望看到一个真正的策略,尤其是在人工智能时代。他们担心他们的孩子找不到工作和没有职业发展。所以这是你真正需要关注的。然后是消除税收体系中的这些漏洞。在蓝领方面,头号问题是住房。而且他们有一个非常受欢迎的“300万套住房”的说法。他们想要这个,因为他们想要随之而来的工作。这些是建筑工人、水管工、电工。是的,我们需要住房。这将成为他们经济的推动力。然后你还有这种“加拿大骄傲”的元素。这是挥舞国旗,在车上贴国旗。非常自豪的加拿大人。而且这并不意味着白领工人不是自豪的加拿大人。当然是,但他们不是挥舞国旗的人。而且这不是可以用来竞选的东西。

Original English

Paul: Well, they have different priorities. So if you're in the NDP and you your constituency is now those white collar workers. So you don't see the Green Deal here, tax the rich. It's get rid of tax breaks for the rich, not tax the rich. And there's a very subtle difference there which we can go into if you like. But they're into youth unemployment. They want to see fair immigration policies. They're saying, hey, if we need doctors, let's bring in doctors and let them be doctors. Why do we have doctors driving cabs? These are one of the number one things that they want to see is getting the we're hiring. We're bringing in immigrants for their skills, but we're not utilizing their skills. Once they get here, they want to see that red tape go away. They want to see a real strategy, especially now with AI. They're concerned about their kids getting jobs and having careers. So that's what you really want to focus on there. And then getting rid of these loopholes in the tax system. In the blue collar, the number one thing is housing. And they've got this 3 million homes thing that's really popular online. And they want that because they want the jobs that go with it. These are construction workers, plumbers, electricians. Yes, we need housing. It is also going to be a boom to their economy. And then you have this Canada proud element. This is the flag waving putting the flag on your car. Very proud Canadian. And it's not that white collar workers aren't proud Canadians. They are of course, but they're not flag wavers. And it's not something you can campaign on.

主持人: 随着新民主党开始重建,他们需要做什么才能赢回那些失去的蓝领工人,还是他们能做到吗?

Original English

Host: As the NDP begins to rebuild, what does it have to do to bring back some of those blue collar workers they have lost to the conservative? Or can they do that?

保罗: 我认为他们不能。如果他们想,他们就必须这么做。所以你在这里看到旅行签证,你看到移民改革。所以在蓝领领域,他们认为移民对他们的工作构成威胁。他们认为加拿大需要严格限制移民。而白领工人认为我们需要引进更多技术移民。他们希望看到我们取消对学生的禁令,例如。他们认为那不好。他们希望看到。他们认为学生对经济有好处。经济带来了人才。所以,在某些方面,这些群体是对立的。而新民主党历史上,在最近的两次竞选中,至少更多地是在那个金色条形区域。所以对他们来说,完全转变,我认为他们没有能做到这一点的选民基础。他们没有能够可靠地做到这一点的党内成员,而且这也不会被视为真实的。而且就像我说的,这对这个群体来说非常重要。这也是特朗普如此受欢迎的原因之一。他们认为他是一个说到做到的人。所以这种真实性对这个群体来说非常重要。而且我认为新民主党突然改变信息传递方式不会受到好评。他们将不得不引入一位非常特殊的领导人才能做到这一点。

Original English

Paul: I just don't think they can. If they wanted to, they would have to. So you see here travel visas, you see immigration reform. So in this blue collar space, they see immigrants as a threat to their to their jobs. They they think Canada needs to severely limit immigration. And the white collar workers think we need to bring in more skilled immigrants. They want to see us lift the the ban on students, for example. They think that's bad. They want to see. They think students are good for. The economy brings talent into the economy. So in some ways these groups are opposed. And the NDP historically has been, you know, in the last two campaigns, at least more in that gold bar realm. So for them to completely flip, I don't think they have the constituents that can do that. They don't have the party members that could credibly do that, and it wouldn't be seen as authentic. And like I said, it's very important to this group. This is part of the reason why Trump is so popular. They see him as somebody who does what he said he would do. So that that authenticity is really important to this group. And I don't think the NDP suddenly flipping the messaging would be well received. They'd have to get a very special leader in to be able to do that.

主持人: 艾琳·凯利,我们将在此结束。非常感谢你的见解。一直很高兴你能和波莉一起参加节目。谢谢。

Original English

Host: Erin Kelly, we are going to have to leave it there. Really appreciate the insights. Always a pleasure to have you and Polly on the program. Thank you.

艾琳·凯利: 谢谢。

Original English

Erin Kelly: Thank you.

主持人: 我是杰安。感谢收看“The Rundown”。你想了解更多关于什么?请发邮件给我们:TheRundown@tvontario.org。或者你也可以随时在社交媒体上联系我。一如既往,让我们知道你的想法。那么,明天见。

Original English

Host: I'm Jayen. Thanks for watching The Rundown. What do you want to know more about? Email us at TheRundown@tvontario.org. Or you can always reach out to me on social media. And as always, let us know what you think. Until then, I'll see you tomorrow.

📌 文中提及的人物和组织

关键字: ndp canadian-politics party-strategy voter-demographics political-leadership