灯泡的百年之谜与“永恒产品”的困境
这是一个关于汽车、手机和灯泡,以及一个真实阴谋如何让它们变得更糟的视频。
View/Hide Original English
This is a video about things like cars, phones, and light bulbs and an actual conspiracy that made them worse.
本视频由NordVPN(NordVPN: 一种虚拟私人网络服务,用于保护网络隐私和访问受地理限制的内容)赞助,更多信息将在视频末尾介绍。
View/Hide Original English
This video was sponsored by NordVPN, more about them at the end of the video
我现在位于利弗莫尔六号消防站外面。
View/Hide Original English
I am outside Livermore Fire Station, number six.
这里有一颗世界上持续亮着时间最长的灯泡。
View/Hide Original English
And in here, they have the longest, continuously on light bulb in the world.
它自1901年以来已经亮了120年。
View/Hide Original English
It has been on for 120 years since 1901.
看,就是它。
View/Hide Original English
There it is.
它甚至没有连接到电灯开关,但确实有备用电池和发电机。
View/Hide Original English
It's not even connected to a light switch but it does have a backup battery and generator.
那么,最大的问题是,这颗灯泡为什么能持续这么久?
View/Hide Original English
So the big question is, how has this light bulb lasted so long?
它是在商用灯泡首次发明后不久手工制造的。
View/Hide Original English
It was manufactured by hand not long after commercial light bulbs were first invented,
然而,它已经运行了超过一百万小时,远远超过了当今任何灯泡的预期寿命。
View/Hide Original English
And yet, it has been running for over a million hours, way longer than any light bulb today is meant to last.
不久前,我的一位朋友给我讲了这样一个故事:多年前有人发明了一种能永远亮着的灯泡,但他们从未将其出售,因为一颗永恒的灯泡会带来糟糕的商业模式。
View/Hide Original English
Awhile back, a friend of mine told me this story, that someone had invented a light bulb that would last forever years ago, but they never sold it because an everlasting light bulb makes for a terrible business model.
我的意思是,你将永远没有回头客,最终会耗尽所有可以销售灯泡的人群。
View/Hide Original English
I mean, you would never have any repeat customers and eventually you would run out of people to sell light bulbs to,
我当时觉得这个故事听起来很荒谬。
View/Hide Original English
I thought this story sounded ridiculous.
如果你能制造出一颗永恒的灯泡,那么每个人都会购买你的灯泡而不是竞争对手的产品。
View/Hide Original English
If you could make an everlasting light bulb, then everyone would buy your light bulb over the competitors.
因此,即使需求最终会枯竭,你也可以收取非常高的价格,赚取大量金钱。
View/Hide Original English
And so you could charge really high prices, make a lot of money, even if demand would eventually dry up.
我简直无法想象我们过去拥有更好的灯泡,然后却故意将其做得更糟,但事实证明我错了,至少在某种程度上是这样。
View/Hide Original English
I just couldn't imagine that we had better light bulbs in the past and then intentionally made them worse, but it turns out I was wrong. At least sort of.
白炽灯的演进与寿命的“倒退”
发明一种可行的电灯是困难的。
View/Hide Original English
Inventing a viable electric light was hard,
我的意思是,这是典型的白炽灯设计(Incandescent design: 通过电流加热灯丝使其发光的传统灯泡技术),它只是通过电流通过一种材料,使其热到发光。
View/Hide Original English
I mean, this is the typical incandescent design, which just involves passing electric current through a material making it so hot that it glows,
不到5%的电能转化为光,其余95%以热量的形式释放。
View/Hide Original English
less than 5% of the electrical energy comes out as light. The other 95% is released as heat.
所以这些实际上是发热灯泡,只是副产品般地发出一点光。
View/Hide Original English
So these are really heat bulbs, which give off a little bit of light as a by-product.
灯丝(Filament: 白炽灯中发光的细丝)的温度可以达到2800开尔文。
View/Hide Original English
The temperature of the filament can get up to 2,800 Kelvin.
这相当于太阳表面温度的一半。
View/Hide Original English
That is half as hot as the surface of the sun.
在这样的高温下,大多数材料都会熔化。
View/Hide Original English
At temperatures like those, most materials melt.
如果它们不熔化,就会燃烧,这就是为什么在19世纪40年代,沃伦·德拉鲁(Warren De la Rue)提出了将灯丝放入真空灯泡(Vacuum bulb: 内部抽真空以防止灯丝氧化的灯泡)中的想法,这样就没有氧气可以反应了。
View/Hide Original English
And if they don't melt, they burn, which is why in the 1840s, Warren De la Rue came up with the idea of putting the filament in a vacuum bulb, so there's no oxygen to react with.
到1879年,托马斯·爱迪生(Thomas Edison)制造出了一种使用棉线灯丝的灯泡,可持续14小时。
View/Hide Original English
By 1879, Thomas Edison had made a bulb with a cotton thread filament that lasted 14 hours.
其他发明家则创造了使用铂丝灯丝或其他碳化材料的灯泡。
View/Hide Original English
Other inventors created bulbs with platinum filaments or other carbonized materials.
渐渐地,灯泡的寿命增加了。
View/Hide Original English
And gradually, the lifespan of bulbs increased.
灯丝从碳变成了钨(Tungsten: 一种熔点极高的金属元素,常用作灯丝材料),钨具有非常高的熔点。
View/Hide Original English
The filaments changed from carbon to tungsten, which has a very high melting point.
到20世纪20年代初,灯泡的平均寿命接近2000小时,有些甚至达到2500小时。
View/Hide Original English
And by the early 1920s, average bulb lifetimes were approaching 2,000 hours with some lasting 2,500 hours.
但正是在这个时候,灯泡的寿命停止了增长,并开始缩短。
View/Hide Original English
But this is when lifetimes stopped getting longer and started getting shorter.
菲比斯卡特尔:计划性报废的诞生
1924年圣诞节前夕,在瑞士日内瓦,世界领先的灯泡公司高管们举行了一次秘密会议,其中包括飞利浦(Phillips)、国际通用电气(International General Electric)、东京电气(Tokyo Electric)、德国欧司朗(OSRAM)以及英国联合电气(Associated Electric)等。
View/Hide Original English
In Geneva, Switzerland just before Christmas, 1924, there was a secret meeting of top executives from the world's leading light bulb companies, Phillips, International General Electric, Tokyo Electric, OSRAM from Germany, and the UK's Associated Electric among others.
他们成立了一个后来被称为菲比斯卡特尔(Phoebus Cartel: 20世纪初由全球主要灯泡制造商组成的秘密联盟,旨在通过限制产品寿命来控制市场和利润)的组织,以希腊光明之神菲比斯命名。
View/Hide Original English
They formed what became known as the Phoebus Cartel named after Phoebus, the Greek God of light.
在那里,所有这些公司同意通过控制全球灯泡供应来互相协作。
View/Hide Original English
There, all these companies agreed to work together to help each other by controlling the world supply of light bulbs.
在电气工业的早期,有许多不同的小型灯泡制造商,但到那时,它们大多已被整合为这些大型公司,每家公司都在世界的特定区域占据主导地位。
View/Hide Original English
In the early days of the electrical industry, there had been lots of different small light bulb manufacturers, but by now they had largely been consolidated into these big corporations, each dominant in a particular part of the world.
他们都面临的最大威胁是来自寿命更长的灯泡。
View/Hide Original English
The biggest threat they all faced was from longer lasting light bulbs.
例如,1923年欧司朗售出6300万个灯泡,但次年他们只售出2800万个。
View/Hide Original English
For example, in 1923, OSRAM sold 63 million light bulbs, but the following year they sold only 28 million.
灯泡寿命太长,侵蚀了销售额。
View/Hide Original English
Light bulbs were lasting too long, eating into sales.
因此,卡特尔中的所有公司都同意将灯泡寿命缩短至1000小时,几乎将现有平均寿命削减了一半。
View/Hide Original English
So all the companies in the cartel agreed to reduce the lifespan of their bulbs to 1,000 hours cutting the existing average almost in half.
但是,每家公司如何确保其他公司会真正遵守规则,制造寿命更短的灯泡呢?
View/Hide Original English
But how could each company ensure that the other companies would actually follow the rules and make shorter lasting light bulb.
毕竟,制造更好的产品以超越其他公司,符合他们各自的个体利益,不是吗?
View/Hide Original English
After all, it would be in each of their individual interests to make a better product to outsell the others?
为了强制执行1000小时的限制,每家制造商都必须从他们的工厂送来样品灯泡,并在像这样的测试台上进行测试。
View/Hide Original English
Well, to enforce the 1,000 hour limit, each of the manufacturers have to send in sample bulbs from their factories and they were tested on big test stands like this one.
如果一个灯泡的寿命显著超过1000小时,那么该公司就会被罚款。
View/Hide Original English
If a bulb lasted significantly longer than 1,000 thousand hours, then the company was fined.
如果一个灯泡的寿命超过3000小时,那么每售出1000个灯泡就会被罚款200瑞士法郎。
View/Hide Original English
If a bulb lasted longer than 3000 hours, well the fine was 200 Swiss Francs for every 1,000 bulbs sold.
有记录显示这些罚款确实向公司开出了。
View/Hide Original English
And there are records of these fines being issued to companies.
但是,你最初是如何制造出更差的灯泡的呢?
View/Hide Original English
But how do you make a worst light bulb in the first place?
那些以前负责延长灯泡寿命的工程师们,现在不得不寻找缩短寿命的方法。
View/Hide Original English
Well, the same engineers who had previously been tasked with extending the lifespan now had to find ways to decrease it.
所以他们尝试了不同的材料、不同形状的灯丝和更细的连接。
View/Hide Original English
So they tried different materials, different shaped filaments, and thinner connections.
如果你查看数据,他们成功了。
View/Hide Original English
And if you look at the data, they were successful.
自卡特尔成立以来,灯泡的寿命稳步下降。
View/Hide Original English
Ever since the formation of the cartel. the lifespan of light bulbs steadily decreased.
到1934年,平均寿命仅为1205小时。
View/Hide Original English
So that by 1934, the average lifespan was just 1,205 hours.
正如他们所计划的那样,1926年后的四年里,卡特尔成员的销售额增长了25%。
View/Hide Original English
And just as they had planned, sales increased for cartel members by 25% in the four years after 1926.
尽管零部件成本下降,卡特尔却几乎保持价格不变,从而增加了他们的利润率。
View/Hide Original English
And even though the cost of components came down, the cartel kept prices virtually unchanged, so they increased their profit margins.
那么,人们是否知道灯泡公司正在密谋使他们的产品变差呢?
View/Hide Original English
So did people know that the light bulb companies were conspiring together to make their products worse?
不,菲比斯卡特尔声称其目的是提高灯泡的标准化和效率。
View/Hide Original English
No, the Phoebus Cartel claimed that its purpose was to increase standardization and efficiency of light bulbs.
我的意思是,他们确实建立了这种螺纹标准,现在几乎所有世界各地的灯泡上都能找到它。
View/Hide Original English
I mean, they did establish this screw thread is standard. You can find it on virtually all light bulbs around the world now.
但所有证据都表明,卡特尔的动机是利润和增加销售额,而不是为了消费者的最大利益。
View/Hide Original English
But all evidence points to the cartels being motivated by profits and increased sales, not by what was best for consumers.
现代案例:科技巨头的“报废”策略
所以这颗灯泡能持续这么久的原因之一是它是在卡特尔时代之前制造的。
View/Hide Original English
So one of the reasons this light bulb has lasted so long is because it was made before the cartel era.
另一个原因是灯丝一直以低功率运行,只有四到五瓦。
View/Hide Original English
Another reason is because the filament has always been run at low power, just four or five watts.
它原本是消防站的夜灯,只提供足够的光线,以便消防员在夜间不会撞到东西。
View/Hide Original English
It was meant to be a nightlight for the fire station to provide just enough light so that firemen wouldn't run into things at night.
而且它一直亮着的事实减少了灯丝和组件的热循环(Thermal cycling: 材料因温度反复升降而产生的膨胀和收缩过程),限制了热膨胀和收缩造成的压力。
View/Hide Original English
And the fact that it was always on reduced the thermal cycling of the filament and components limiting the stress caused by thermal expansion and contraction.
菲比斯卡特尔最初计划至少持续到1955年,但在20世纪30年代瓦解了。
View/Hide Original English
The Phoebus Cartel was initially planned to last at least until 1955, but it fell apart in the 1930s.
它已经因为外部竞争和一些成员的不遵守规定而举步维艰,但第二次世界大战的爆发才真正终结了它。
View/Hide Original English
It was already struggling due to outside competition. And non-compliance amongst some of its members, but the outbreak of World War II is really what finished it off.
所以这个卡特尔虽然消亡了,但它的方法至今仍在延续。
View/Hide Original English
So this cartel was dead, but its methods survived to this day.
现在有许多公司故意缩短其产品的寿命,这种策略现在被称为计划性报废(Planned obsolescence: 制造商有意缩短产品寿命,或通过设计使其过时,以刺激消费者购买新产品的商业策略)。
View/Hide Original English
There are lots of companies out there that intentionally shortened the lifespan of their products it's a tactic known now as planned obsolescence.
这实际上是凯西·奈斯塔特(Casey Neistat)早在2003年发布的第一个病毒视频的主题。
View/Hide Original English
This was actually the subject of Casey Neistat's first viral video all the way back in 2003.
瑞安:感谢您致电苹果公司,我叫瑞安,请问您的名字?
View/Hide Original English
Thank you for calling Apple, my name is Ryan. May I have your first name please?
凯西:凯西。
View/Hide Original English
Casey.
瑞安:好的,请问您今天有什么问题?
View/Hide Original English
All right, and what seems to be the issue today?
凯西:我有一个大约18个月前买的iPod,它的电池坏了。
View/Hide Original English
I have an iPod that I bought about 18 months ago and the battery is dead on it.
瑞安:18个月,好的,已经超过一年了,这意味着我们将收取255美元的费用,外加邮寄费,才能将其寄给我们翻新和修理。但以这个价格,您不如直接买一个新的。
View/Hide Original English
18 months, okay, it's past it year, which basically means there'll be a charge of $255 plus a mailing fee to send it to us to refurbish, to correct it. But at that price, you might as well go get a new one.
这个视频在YouTube或社交媒体出现之前就获得了数百万次观看。
View/Hide Original English
This video got millions of views in a time before YouTube or social media.
它引发了一场集体诉讼,苹果公司最终庭外和解,但这并未阻止该公司继续实行计划性报废。
View/Hide Original English
And it spawned a class action lawsuit, which Apple settled out of court, but it didn't stop the company from practicing planned obsolescence.
在2017年一次iOS更新(iOS update: 苹果公司为其移动设备操作系统发布的软件更新)后,老款iPhone用户发现应用程序加载速度明显变慢,或者设备完全关机。
View/Hide Original English
After an iOS update in 2017, users of older iPhones found apps loading significantly slower or the device shutting down altogether.
苹果公司表示,他们限制性能是为了保护旧设备的电池并延长其寿命。
View/Hide Original English
Apple said they throttled performance to protect the battery of older devices and increase their longevity.
当然,如果电池可以更换,这根本就不会成为问题。
View/Hide Original English
Of course, that wouldn't be an issue if the battery were replaceable.
在2020年结束的一系列诉讼中,苹果公司被罚款或达成和解,支付了数亿美元,毫无疑问,与他们通过限制产品寿命所产生的额外收入相比,这笔金额微不足道。
View/Hide Original English
In a series of lawsuits that concluded in 2020, Apple was fined or reached settlements to pay hundreds of millions of dollars, undoubtedly, this amount pales in comparison to the extra revenue they generate by limiting the lifespan of their products.
“维修权”运动的兴起与“过于优秀”的困境
但有些人会争辩说,计划性报废不仅仅是贪婪,它对每个人都有好处。
View/Hide Original English
But some would argue that planned obsolescence isn't just about greed, but that it's also good for everyone.
在20世纪30年代的大萧条时期,多达四分之一的美国人失业,房地产经纪人伯纳德·伦敦(Bernard London)提出强制性计划性报废,作为让人们重返工作岗位并使美国摆脱萧条的一种方式。
View/Hide Original English
During the great depression in the 1930s when as much as 1/4 of Americans were out of work and real estate broker Bernard London proposed mandatory planned obsolescence as a way to get people back to work and lift America out of the depression.
他写道:“我将让政府为鞋子、房屋和机器在首次制造时分配一个使用寿命,它们将在消费者明确知晓的期限内出售和使用。
View/Hide Original English
He wrote, "I would have the government assign a lease of life to shoes, and homes, and machines when they are first created and they would be sold and used within the term of their existence, definitely known by the consumer.
在规定时间到期后,这些物品将合法‘死亡’,并由正式任命的政府机构控制,如果失业普遍存在,则将其销毁。”
View/Hide Original English
After the allotted time had expired, these things would be legally dead and would be controlled by the duly appointed governmental agency and destroyed if there is widespread unemployment."
现在,这听起来可能像一个疯狂的边缘想法,但人们显然害怕因技术进步和过于优秀的产品而失业。
View/Hide Original English
Now, this might sound like a wild fringe idea, but people were clearly afraid of being put out of work by technological progress and products that were too good.
甚至有一部获得奥斯卡提名的热门电影就是关于这个的。
View/Hide Original English
There was even a popular Oscar nominated film about it.
这是1951年的电影《穿白西装的男人》(The Man in the White Suit)。
View/Hide Original English
"This is the man in the white suit from 1951."
它讲述了一位科学家发明了一种完美的纤维,它不会弄脏、不会断裂、也不会磨损。
View/Hide Original English
It's about a scientist who invents the perfect fiber. It won't stain or break, or fray.
科学家:我想我成功地实现了氨基酸残基和碳水化合物分子的共聚(Copolymerization of amino acid residues and carbohydrate molecules: 一种复杂的化学聚合过程,用于制造新型材料),两者都含有离子基团。这真的非常简单。
View/Hide Original English
I think I've succeeded in the copolymerization of amino acid residues and carbohydrate molecules, both containing ionic groups. It's really perfectly simple.
奥斯卡金像奖提名是最佳剧本奖,我没有开玩笑。
View/Hide Original English
The Academy award nomination was for best screenplay, I kid you not.
总之,每个人最初都对我们英雄的科学发现感到兴奋。
View/Hide Original English
Anyway, everyone is initially excited about our heroes scientific discovery.
他用这种线制作了一套西装,而且必须是白色的,因为这种纤维非常耐污,甚至无法染色。
View/Hide Original English
He makes a suit out of the thread and it has to be white because the fiber is so stain resistant, it can't even be dyed,
但就在这时,麻烦来了,工厂老板们意识到他们将无法销售那么多这种线,因为它太耐用了。
View/Hide Original English
but this is when trouble strikes, the factory owners realize they won't be able to sell as much of this thread because it's so durable.
工人们担心这会让他们失业。
View/Hide Original English
And the workers worry it'll put them out of a job.
工人:你们科学家为什么不能把事情放着不管?当没有衣服可洗的时候,我的更好的洗衣机又有什么用呢?
View/Hide Original English
Why can't you scientists leave things alone? What about my better washing when there's no washing to do?
这时就出现了高潮场景,工厂工人和工厂老板联手追捕这位科学家,以摧毁他和他的发明。
View/Hide Original English
This is when you get the climactic scene where factory workers and factory owners team up to chase down the scientist to destroy him and his invention.
信不信由你,这部电影可能受到了真实事件的启发。
View/Hide Original English
And believe it or not, this movie may have been inspired by real events.
在20世纪40年代,合成纤维尼龙(Nylon: 一种合成纤维,以其强度和耐用性著称)取代了丝绸用于长筒袜,它非常耐用,以至于这些产品一夜之间轰动了市场。
View/Hide Original English
In the 1940s, the synthetic fiber nylon replaced silk in stockings, and it was so durable that the products became an overnight sensation.
当女性争相购买时,甚至发生了真正的骚乱。
View/Hide Original English
There were literal riots when women tried to get their hands on them.
当制造商意识到他们把产品做得太好了时,他们没有销毁这种纤维,但他们确实效仿了菲比斯卡特尔的做法。
View/Hide Original English
When the manufacturers realized they had made the product too good, they didn't destroy the fiber, but they did follow the example of the Phoebus Cartel.
他们指示工程师和科学家寻找削弱产品、缩短其寿命的方法,这样人们就不得不购买更多。
View/Hide Original English
They instructed their engineers and scientists to find ways to weaken the product to shorten its lifespan, so people would have to buy more.
现在,消费者似乎终于开始反击计划性报废了。
View/Hide Original English
Now, it seems like consumers are finally fighting back against planned obsolescence.
在欧盟和美国超过25个州,都有立法提案旨在确立维修权(Right to repair: 旨在赋予消费者自行修理产品或选择第三方维修服务,并要求制造商提供维修信息和零件的法律权利)。
View/Hide Original English
In the European union and in over 25 states in the US, there's proposed legislation to enshrine the right to repair.
这些法律将迫使制造商更容易地维修他们的产品。
View/Hide Original English
And these laws would force manufacturers to make it easier to repair their products.
他们将不得不提供信息和零件获取途径,这样你就可以在第三方维修店更换电池或修理破裂的屏幕,而不会使你的保修失效。
View/Hide Original English
They would have to provide information and access to parts. So you could replace a battery or fix a cracked screen at a third-party repair shop without voiding your warranty.
那么,如果维修权真的成为法律,这是否意味着人为的报废将一去不复返呢?
View/Hide Original English
So if right to repair does become law, does that mean artificial obsolescence will be gone for good?
遗憾的是,不会,因为制造商还有最后一招可以用来使他们的产品过时,那就是你。
View/Hide Original English
Sadly, no, because there is one last thing manufacturers can use to make their products obsolete, which is you.
动态报废:时尚与汽车的启示
亨利·福特(Henry Ford)于1908年发布了第一款大众市场汽车——福特T型车(Model T: 亨利·福特公司于1908年推出的大众市场汽车,以其可负担性和耐用性闻名)。
View/Hide Original English
Henry Ford released the first mass market car, the model T in 1908.
他将其设想为一匹耐用的役马,一种不会磨损的经济实惠的工具,有点像那颗永恒的灯泡。
View/Hide Original English
And he envisioned it like a workhorse, an affordable tool that wouldn't wear out, a bit like the everlasting light bulb.
1922年,福特说:“我们希望购买我们汽车的人永远不必再买另一辆,我们从不进行任何改进,以至于使任何以前的型号过时。”
View/Hide Original English
In 1922 Ford said, "We want the man who buys one of our cars never to have to buy another, we never make an improvement that renders any previous model obsolete."
但到1920年,55%的美国家庭已经拥有一辆汽车。
View/Hide Original English
But by 1920, 55% of American families already owned a car.
几乎所有能买得起的人都有一辆。
View/Hide Original English
Nearly everyone that could afford one had one.
同年,一次小规模的经济衰退导致福特和通用汽车的销量双双下降。
View/Hide Original English
And that same year, there was a small economic downturn driving down sales for both Ford and General Motors.
1921年,化学和油漆公司杜邦(DuPont)收购了通用汽车(General Motors)的控股权。
View/Hide Original English
In 1921, DuPont, the chemical and paint company took over the controlling share in General Motors.
他们开始尝试给汽车涂上不同的颜色,在此之前,亨利·福特曾说过,你可以选择任何你喜欢的颜色,只要它是黑色的。
View/Hide Original English
And they started experimenting with painting cars different colors, up until then, Henry Ford had said, you could have whatever color you like so long as it's black.
经过几年的测试,1924年,通用汽车推出了第一批不同颜色的汽车。
View/Hide Original English
It took a couple of years of testing, but in 1924, GM released their first cars in different colors.
不久之后,他们引入了一个现在感觉非常熟悉的技巧。
View/Hide Original English
And soon after, they introduced a trick that feels very familiar now.
每年,他们都会推出不同颜色的汽车。
View/Hide Original English
Each new year, they would introduce cars in different colors.
目标不仅是让福特的T型车看起来过时,还要让他们自己的汽车每年都感觉过时,鼓励顾客用旧车换取闪亮的新车。
View/Hide Original English
The goal wasn't just to make Ford's model T lookout dated, but to make their own cars feel outdated every year encouraging customers to trade in their old cars for shiny new ones.
多年后,通用汽车的设计总监哈雷·厄尔(Harley Earl)坦率地讨论了他创造所谓动态报废(Dynamic obsolescence: 通过不断推出新款式、新颜色或微小改进,使现有产品在功能完好时显得过时,从而刺激消费者购买新产品的策略)的作用。
View/Hide Original English
Years later, GM's head of design, Harley Earl, candidly discussed his role in creating what he called dynamic obsolescence.
“我们的主要任务是加速报废。1934年,汽车的平均拥有寿命是五年。而现在,也就是1955年,是两年。当它变成一年时,我们将获得满分。”
View/Hide Original English
"Our big job is to hasten obsolescence. In 1934, the average car ownership span was five years. Now, which was 1955, it is two years. When it is one year, we will have a perfect score.
当他说这话时,通用汽车是世界上最有价值的公司,每年在美国销售的汽车中有一半是它的产品。
View/Hide Original English
By the time he said this, General Motors was the most valuable company in the world and it's sold half of all vehicles purchased in the US every year.
如今,世界上最有价值的公司苹果,似乎直接照搬了这套策略。
View/Hide Original English
These days, the world's most valuable company, Apple, seems to have copied directly out of this playbook.
我的意思是,每年推出新款式,√;每年推出新配色,√;微小的技术改进,√。
View/Hide Original English
I mean, new styles every year, check, new special colors every year, check, marginal technological improvement, check.
我的意思是,这是有用的创新还是仅仅是噱头?
View/Hide Original English
I mean, is this useful innovation or just a gimmick?
通用汽车,以及因此苹果的灵感,都来自于时尚界,在那里真正的创新几乎是不可能的。
View/Hide Original English
The inspiration for General Motors and hence for Apple comes from fashion where real innovation is all but impossible.
所以,唯一能让人们感到迫切需要出去购买的方式,就是创造只能流行一季的款式。
View/Hide Original English
So the only way to make people feel the urgency to get out there and buy is to create styles that last but one season.
问题是,你很快就会用完这些款式。
View/Hide Original English
The trouble then is you run through these styles too quickly.
那么,你该怎么办呢?
View/Hide Original English
And then what are you supposed to do?
嗯,只需回收几十年前的款式即可。
View/Hide Original English
Well, just recycle the styles from a few decades ago.
iPhone也显示出这种循环趋势。
View/Hide Original English
The iPhone also shows this recycling trend.
我的意思是,看看它的边缘最初是圆润的,然后变成了方形,然后又变圆了,现在又变成了方形。
View/Hide Original English
I mean, just look at the way the edges were initially rounded and then they were squared off and then they were rounded again and now, they're squared off.
你敢打赌iPhone 14会有圆润的边缘吗?
View/Hide Original English
And how much do you want to bet that the iPhone 14 has rounded edges?
我认为关键在于,在设计和造型方面,没有最好,只有不同,这显然足以提醒我们没有最新最好的产品,因此我们不得不赶紧出去继续购买。
View/Hide Original English
I think the point is that with design and styling, there is no best, there's only different, which is apparently enough to remind us that we don't have the latest and greatest, and so we have to rush out and keep buying.
技术进步与永恒的灯泡
我们应该支持的唯一一种报废是技术性报废,这又把我们带回了灯泡的话题。
View/Hide Original English
The only type of obsolescence we should support is technological, which brings us back to the light bulb.
在过去的20年里,灯泡从基本上100年未变的白炽灯(incandescent: 通过电流加热灯丝使其发光的传统灯泡技术)发展到紧凑型荧光灯(compact fluorescent: 一种节能灯泡,通常用于替代白炽灯),现在又发展到LED(发光二极管: 一种高效、长寿命的固态照明技术)。
View/Hide Original English
In the last 20 years, light bulbs have gone from incandescent, which was basically unchanged for 100 years to compact fluorescent. And now, to LED, these use just a 10th of the energy and can last anywhere from 10 to 50 times longer.
这些新灯泡只消耗十分之一的能量,寿命可以延长10到50倍。
View/Hide Original English
Yeah, that's pretty bright. So you're more likely to sell your house than to have to replace an LED bulb that you've installed inside it.
所以你更有可能卖掉你的房子,而不是需要更换你安装在里面的LED灯泡。
View/Hide Original English
So you're more likely to sell your house than to have to replace an LED bulb that you've installed inside it.
所以我们终于达到了一个基本上是永恒灯泡的境界了吗?
View/Hide Original English
So we finally reached the point of what is essentially an everlasting light bulb?
赞助商信息
(欢快的音乐)大家好,本视频由NordVPN赞助。
View/Hide Original English
(upbeat music) Hey, this video was sponsored by NordVPN.
我曾出现在英国电视节目《QI》的一集中,这是一个我非常喜欢的节目,如果你还没看过,我强烈推荐。
View/Hide Original English
I am featured in an episode of the British TV program, "QI," it's a show I really like, and I'd highly recommend it if you haven't seen it already.
它在Netflix上可以观看,但仅限于英国地区。
View/Hide Original English
And it's on Netflix, but only if you're in the UK.
我觉得电视和电影仍然受困于过时的商业模式,它们将世界划分为广播区域,这在信息可以通过互联网自由流动的今天已经没有太大意义了。
View/Hide Original English
I feel like TV and film are still trapped in antiquated business models where they divide up the world into broadcast territories that doesn't make a lot of sense now that information can flow freely through the Internet.
幸运的是,使用NordVPN,任何人都可以将他们的位置设置为英国,观看他们喜欢的任何内容。
View/Hide Original English
Luckily using NordVPN, anyone can set their location to the UK and watch whatever they like.
如果你有兴趣了解不同国家的流媒体服务提供什么,你可以在nordvpn.com/veritasium获得两年计划的巨大折扣。
View/Hide Original English
If you're interested in seeing what streamers have to offer in different countries, you can get a huge discount on a two-year plan at nordvpn.com/veritasium.
使用代码Veritasium可以额外获得一个月的免费服务,使用NordVPN,你还可以通过隐藏你的IP地址(IP address: 互联网协议地址,用于在网络上识别设备)来保护你的隐私。
View/Hide Original English
Use code very Veritasium to get an extra month free and using NordVPN, you can also protect your privacy by masking your IP address.
事实上,你可以两次更改你的IP,为你的网络流量增加一层额外的安全保障。
View/Hide Original English
In fact, you can change your IP twice to cover your web traffic with an extra layer of security.
NordVPN实行无日志政策(No logs policy: VPN服务商承诺不记录用户的在线活动数据),他们不跟踪、收集或分享你的私人数据,而这正是许多世界上最大的公司目前正在尝试做的事情。
View/Hide Original English
NordVPN has a no logs policy, they don't track collect or share your private data, which is what a lot of the world's biggest companies are trying to do right now.
因此,为了浏览时的隐私和访问世界各地提供的所有节目,请访问nordvpn.com/veritasium,享受两年计划的巨大折扣,并使用代码Veritasium额外获得一个月的免费服务。
View/Hide Original English
So for privacy, when browsing and access to all the shows the world has to offer, go to nordvpn.com/veritasium for a huge discount of a two year plan and use code Veritasium to get one additional month free.
所有这些都无风险,并有Nord的30天退款保证。
View/Hide Original English
And this is all risk-free with no Nord's 30-day money back guarantee.
所以我要感谢NordVPN赞助Veritasium,也要感谢您的观看。
View/Hide Original English
So I wanna thank NordVPN for sponsoring Veritasium and I wanna thank you for watching.
📌 文中提及的人物和组织
人物: Henry Ford, Thomas Edison
公司/组织: NordVPN, Apple, General Motors, DuPont
媒体/书籍: QI, The Man in the White Suit