比特币财资公司兴起:从小型网站公司到千亿巨头
今年早些时候,一家鲜为人知的英国网站设计公司,名为Smarter Web Company,其市值在短短两个月内从400万英镑飙升至超过10亿英镑。
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Earlier this year, a little-known British web design firm called Smarter Web Company saw its market value explode from £4 million to over a billion pounds in just 2 months.
原因在于他们宣布将开始购买比特币(Bitcoin: 一种去中心化的数字加密货币)。
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The reason? Well, they announced that they would start buying Bitcoin.
我知道你在想什么:从400万到10亿,比特币的价格并没有上涨那么多,是吗?
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Now, I know what you're thinking. 4 million to a billion, Bitcoin hasn't gone up that much, has it?
嗯,事情不是这样运作的。
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Well, that's not how this works.
Smarter Web Company并非个例。
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Smarter Web is not alone.
全球范围内,越来越多的公司,其中许多此前与加密货币毫无关联,已开始将自己转变为人们所称的比特币财资公司(Bitcoin treasury companies: 将比特币作为公司储备资产的公司)。
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All around the world, a growing number of companies, many with no prior connection to cryptocurrencies, have started transforming themselves into what people are calling Bitcoin treasury companies.
有些公司发行债务,有些则发行混合证券(hybrid securities: 兼具股本和债务特征的证券)来为其加密货币购买提供资金。
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Some are issuing debt and others hybrid securities to fund their crypto purchases.
最初由美国软件公司MicroStrategy(微策略: 一家美国商业智能、移动软件和云计算服务公司)发起的一项疯狂实验,现在已走向全球。
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What began as a crazy experiment by Micro Strategy, a US software firm, has now gone global as businesses seem to hope that buying Bitcoin will spike their stock prices like it did for Micro Strategy, whose core software business generates tiny revenues and operates at a loss.
企业似乎希望购买比特币能像对MicroStrategy那样,推高其股价。
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Businesses seem to hope that buying Bitcoin will spike their stock prices like it did for Micro Strategy, whose core software business generates tiny revenues and operates at a loss.
MicroStrategy的核心软件业务收入微薄且亏损运营,但其激进的比特币购买行为使其变成了一家市值1000亿美元的公司。
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But its aggressive Bitcoin purchases have turned it into a $100 billion company.
值得注意的是,MicroStrategy最近将其名称从MicroStrategy更改为Strategy。
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Micro Strategy, I should note, recently changed its name from Micro Strategy to Strategy.
我猜最初的名字暗示他们的策略非常小,而去掉公司名称中的“微”字可能意味着他们对自己正在做的事情有了新的信心。
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I guess the initial name suggested that they had a very small strategy and getting rid of the micro in the company name possibly implies a new confidence in what they're doing.
“无限套利”机制与市场动态
Strategy公司的业务是运营一家无利可图的软件公司,并拥有一大笔比特币。
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Strategy is in the business of running an unprofitable software company and owning a big pile of bitcoins.
由于许多投资者不擅长数学,Strategy公司发现他们可以以远高于其所持比特币价值的溢价出售股票,然后利用出售股票筹集的资金购买更多的比特币,从而推高比特币价格,也推高了他们的股价——这简直是一个“无限套利”的漏洞。
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Because a lot of investors are not very good at math, strategy worked out that they could sell their stock at a large premium to the value of the bitcoins that they own and then use that money that they raised by selling stock to buy even more bitcoins, pushing the bitcoin price higher and their stock price higher, too. an infinite money glitch.
如果有人试图向你讲解有效市场假说(efficient markets hypothesis: 认为金融市场价格充分反映了所有可用信息,因此投资者无法持续获得超额收益),请务必让他们向你解释这种动态。
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If anyone ever tries to lecture you on the efficient markets hypothesis, do ask them to explain this dynamic to you.
如果他们有非常好的解释,请告诉我,因为我对此有些困惑。
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And if they have a really good explanation, tell me because I'm struggling a bit with this one.
在发现股票投资者愿意为价值1美元的比特币支付大约2美元之前,MicroStrategy曾将自己描述为一家专注于数据分析的商业智能和软件公司。
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Before discovering that stock investors will pay roughly $2 for a dollar's worth of Bitcoin, Micro Strategy described itself as a business intelligence and software company, specializing in data analytics.
该公司于1998年互联网泡沫期间上市,股价最初飙升。
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It went public in 1998 during the dotcom boom and the company's stock price initially soared.
2000年3月,就在互联网泡沫破裂之际,MicroStrategy因会计违规行为被迫重述其前两年的财务业绩,也就是其作为上市公司以来的全部历史。
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In March 2000, just as the dotcom bubble was bursting, Micro Strategy was forced to restate its financial results for the previous two years or its entire history as a public company due to accounting irregularities.
这引发了股价暴跌,并标志着互联网崩溃后首批重大公司丑闻之一。
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This triggered a stock price collapse and marked one of the first major corporate scandals of the dot crash.
SEC(美国证券交易委员会: 负责监管美国证券市场的联邦机构)指控该公司创始人以及另外两名公司高管通过报告公司实际亏损时的利润来实施欺诈,这是不被允许的行为。
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The SEC accused the company founder along with two other company officials of committing fraud by reporting profits when the company was actually losing money, which you're not supposed to do.
不过,那是25年前的事了,而且并非所有人都擅长会计。
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That was 25 years ago, though, and not everyone is great at accounting.
除了最近因DC Attorney General(哥伦比亚特区总检察长: 哥伦比亚特区的首席法律官员)所称的华盛顿历史上最大的所得税欺诈而支付的4000万美元和解金外,首席执行官Michael Saylor(迈克尔·塞勒)大部分时间都未惹麻烦。
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Other than his recent $40 million settlement for committing what the DC Attorney General described as the largest income tax fraud in Washington history, the CEO, Michael Sailor, has mostly kept out of trouble.
正如Matt Levine(马特·莱文)所指出的,股票投资者愿意为价值1美元的比特币支付2美元这一突破,简直就是一台金融永动机(financial perpetual motion machine: 指一种无需外部能量输入即可持续产生收益的金融机制,在此语境下指通过市场溢价循环购买比特币的策略)。
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As Matt Lavine has pointed out, the breakthrough that stock investors will pay $2 for a dollar's worth of Bitcoin is a financial perpetual motion machine.
一旦被发现,其他人就会开始注意到。
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And once it's been discovered, other people start to notice.
而且由于你可能无法申请专利,其他公司肯定会效仿这个想法。
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And because you probably can't patent it, other companies are guaranteed to copy the idea.
全球企业效仿与比特币的战略价值
他们从网络设计公司、日本连锁酒店或其他他们一直在浪费时间的无聊业务,转向积累大量的比特币,并以高于这些比特币价值的溢价出售股票,以便购买更多的比特币。
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They pivot from being web design companies, Japanese hotel chains, or whatever nonsense they've been wasting their time on to accumulating piles of Bitcoin and selling stock at a premium to the value of that pile so that they can buy even more Bitcoin.
仅在过去一年中,持有比特币的上市公司数量就激增了近170%,目前有超过130家公司总共持有超过80万枚比特币。
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In the past year alone, the number of listed companies holding Bitcoin has surged by nearly 170% with more than 130 firms now collectively owning over 800,000 bitcoins.
这超过了总供应量的3%。
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This is more than 3% of the total supply.
这些公司涵盖了从网络设计、采矿、医疗保健、视频游戏零售到媒体等多种行业。
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These companies span industries as diverse as web design, mining, healthcare, video game retail, and media.
它们被一个共同的信念团结在一起:比特币不仅是一种数字资产,更是一种能够激发投资者热情、获得资本市场准入并实现股价指数级增长的战略储备。
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and they're united by a common belief that Bitcoin is not just a digital asset, but a strategic reserve capable of unlocking investor enthusiasm, capital market access, and exponential share price growth.
赞助商:Plaude Node智能笔记设备
在我们继续之前,让我快速向您介绍本周的视频赞助商Plaude Node(Plaude Node: 一款由AI驱动的智能笔记设备),这是一款我过去一个月一直在使用的出色AI驱动笔记设备。
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Before we go any further, let me quickly tell you about this week's video sponsor, Plaude Node, an amazing AI powered notetaking device that I've been using for the last month.
Plaude Node大约有信用卡大小。
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The plot node is about the size of a credit card.
如果我在散步时有了视频创意,我只需按下录音按钮即可记录下来。
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And if I have an idea for a video while out walking, I can just hit the record button and record the idea.
这比打字快得多,而且我经常发现我能更好地通过口头描述我的想法,而不是将其输入手机或电脑。
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It's way faster than typing. And I often find that I can describe my idea better verbally than by typing it into my phone or computer.
一旦你停止录音,录音就会上传到你的手机,并在几秒钟内返回转录和摘要。
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As soon as you stop, the recording is uploaded to your phone and it returns a transcription and summary in seconds.
你甚至可以要求AI提取关键点、生成待办事项列表或澄清任何你没有完全听懂的内容。
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You can even ask the AI to extract key points, generate to-do lists, or clarify anything you didn't quite catch.
这就像有一个智能助手在帮你处理笔记。
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It's like having a smart assistant working with your notes.
它在会议和课堂上非常有用,因为它为你做笔记,这样你就可以专注于与人交流和互动,而不是在笔记本上疯狂涂写。
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It's really useful in meetings and classes as it takes notes for you so that you can pay attention and engage with people rather than scribbling furiously in a notepad.
如果你需要录音、转录和总结重要的电话,它甚至可以夹在手机背面。
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It even clips to the back of your phone if you need to record, transcribe, and summarize important phone calls.
Plaude Node会自动识别不同的人在说话,这样它的摘要才有意义,并且它会剪掉闲聊,创建有用的会议记录和商定的行动项目。
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The plot node automatically recognizes when different people are speaking so that its summaries make sense, and it cuts out the small talk, creating useful meeting notes and agreed upon action items.
任何涉及定期报告或与同事沟通的角色都会发现这大大节省了时间。
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Any role that involves regular reporting or communications to colleagues will find this a huge timesaver.
你的Salesforce报告可以在几秒钟内完成。
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Your Salesforce reports are done in seconds.
Plaude现在正在促销。
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Plaud running a sale right now.
使用屏幕上的二维码或描述中的链接立即购买。
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Use the QR code on screen or the link in the description to get one right now.
政治与监管环境的转变
最近围绕加密货币的兴奋不仅仅是一种企业趋势。
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The recent excitement around cryptocurrencies isn't just a corporate trend.
它似乎也是一个文化和政治时刻,尤其是在美国,总统和他的妻子都推出了极其成功的迷因币(meme coins: 基于互联网迷因或玩笑而创建的加密货币,通常波动性大)。
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It seems to be a cultural and political moment, too, especially in the United States where the president and his wife have both launched extremely successful meme coins.
对他们来说是成功的,至少对那些购买的人来说不是。
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successful for them, at least not the people who bought them.
显然,特朗普政府似乎已将加密货币作为其经济议程的支柱。
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Obviously, the Trump administration appears to have embraced crypto as a pillar of its economic agenda, with Vice President J. D. Vance declaring at a recent Las Vegas conference that we want our fellow Americans to know that crypto and digital assets and particularly Bitcoin are part of the mainstream economy and are here to stay.
副总统J.D. Vance(J.D.万斯)在最近的拉斯维加斯会议上宣称:“我们希望我们的美国同胞知道,加密货币和数字资产,特别是比特币,是主流经济的一部分,并将长期存在。”
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Vice President J. D. Vance declaring at a recent Las Vegas conference that we want our fellow Americans to know that crypto and digital assets and particularly Bitcoin are part of the mainstream economy and are here to stay.
特朗普总统已经监督联邦政府对加密货币监管方式的放松。
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President Trump has already overseen a loosening of the federal government's approach to regulation of cryptocurrencies.
SEC已在十多起案件和调查中撤销、暂停或达成协议,而Department of Justice(美国司法部: 负责联邦法律执行和司法管理的部门)也解散了其加密货币执法团队。
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The SEC has dropped, paused, or reached agreements in more than a dozen cases and investigations, and the Department of Justice disbanded its crypto enforcement team.
FT(英国《金融时报》: 一家国际性商业新闻报纸)在5月份报道称,导致比特币价格飙升的法律和政治变化也引发了加密财资公司上市的热潮,这些公司通过出售股票和债务来为积累大量加密储备提供资金。
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The FT reported back in May that the legal and political changes that caused Bitcoin prices to spike also sparked a rush to list crypto treasury companies who offered to sell shares and debt in order to finance the accumulation of large crypto reserves.
当月,特朗普总统家族经营的媒体公司证实了筹集25亿美元购买加密货币的计划。
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That month, the media company run by President Trump's family confirmed plans to raise $2.5 billion to buy up crypto.
Jack Mallers(杰克·马勒斯)经营的21 Capital(21资本: 一家专注于比特币支付和基础设施的公司),他在使比特币在El Salvador(萨尔瓦多: 中美洲国家,首个将比特币定为法定货币的国家)成为法定货币方面颇具影响力,与由商务部长Howard Lutnik(霍华德·卢特尼克)之子Brandon Lutnik(布兰登·卢特尼克)领导的Caner Equity Partners(卡纳股权合伙公司)达成协议,并获得SoftBank(软银: 日本跨国综合企业集团)和稳定币运营商Tether(泰达币: 一种与美元挂钩的稳定币)的支持,旨在购买数十亿美元的比特币。
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21 Capital, a business run by Jack Mers, who was influential in making Bitcoin legal tender in El Salvador, struck a deal with Caner Equity Partners, headed up by Brandon Lutnik, the son of Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnik, and backed by Soft Bank and the stable coin operator Tether to buy billions of dollars of Bitcoin.
这些是加密行业中最受尊敬的名字。
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These are some of the most respected names in the crypto industry.
美国政治家Vivec Ramaswarmi(维韦克·拉马斯瓦米)的资产管理公司Strive(奋斗公司)和由特朗普总统的儿子们部分拥有的加密矿企American Bitcoin(美国比特币公司)宣布合并,使其比特币收购工具能够进入股票市场上市,并有机会筹集更多资金。
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the US politician and the first person to have been laid off by Doge, Vivec Ramaswarmi's asset management firm Strive and American Bitcoin, a crypto miner part owned by President Trump's sons announced a merger giving their Bitcoin acquisition vehicles access to a stock market listing and with it the opportunity to raise further funds.
Strive宣布计划筹集高达15亿美元,以支持第一波比特币收购。
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Strive announced that it planned to raise as much as $1.5 billion dollars to support a first wave of Bitcoin acquisitions.
SPACs(特殊目的收购公司: 一种没有实际业务,通过首次公开募股筹集资金,然后寻找一家私人公司进行收购,使其上市的“空壳公司”)也回来了,一家名为Nakamoto Holdings(中本控股)的SPAC与一家名为Kindly MD(Kindly MD: 一家阿片类药物医疗保健集团)的阿片类药物医疗保健集团合并,以建立一个企业比特币财资部门。
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A spa Yeah. Um, spaxs are back too called Nakamoto Holdings merged with an opioid healthc care group called Kindly MD to set up a corporate Bitcoin treasury.
该公司首席执行官表示,他们正在将比特币包装成各种形式,以吸引来自其他市场的买家。
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The CEO of the firm said that it was packaging Bitcoin into various forms to attract buyers from other markets.
企业案例与会计考量
一家名为Metaplanet(Metaplanet: 一家日本酒店开发商)的日本酒店开发商在宣布计划筹集约54亿美元以增加其比特币储备后,股价飙升。
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A Japanese hotel developer called Metaplanet saw its share price rocket after announcing plans to raise about $5.4 billion to add to its stockpile of Bitcoin.
Tesla(特斯拉: 美国电动汽车及清洁能源公司)在2021年首次购买了价值15亿美元的比特币,当时它声称很快将接受加密货币支付,但一年后又出售了75%的头寸。
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Tesla, who first bought $1.5 billion worth of Bitcoin in 2021 when it claimed that it would soon accept payments in the cryptocurrency, then sold 75% of the position a year later.
但这家自动驾驶出租车制造商再次成为重要的比特币持有者。
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But the robo taxi manufacturer has once again become a significant Bitcoin holder.
Tesla去年报告其收益增加了6亿美元,原因是一项会计规则的改变,使其能够确认其加密货币持仓价格的上涨。
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Tesla reported a $600 million boost in its earnings last year due to a change in accounting rules where it recognized the rise in the price of its crypto holdings.
在接下来的一个季度,Tesla决定排除9700万美元与加密货币相关的损失以及一笔更大的与股权激励相关的费用。
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In the following quarter, Tesla decided to exclude a $97 million cryptoreated loss and a much larger expense tied to stock-based compensation.
我猜,对于是否应该包含或排除这些项目,总是很难判断。
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I guess it's always hard to know if you should include or exclude items like this.
由前Twitter(推特: 现更名为X,一家社交媒体平台)首席执行官兼胡须爱好者Jack Dorsey(杰克·多西)共同创立的Block(Block: 一家金融科技公司,前身为Square)公司,五年前首次开始购买比特币,去年更是决定将其比特币产品每月总利润的10%重新投资于比特币。
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Block, a company co-founded by former Twitter CEO and beard enthusiast Jack Dorsey, first started buying Bitcoin 5 years ago and last year set out to invest 10% of its monthly gross profits from its Bitcoin products back into Bitcoin as an investment.
一家名为Next Technology Holding(下一科技控股)的中国AI软件公司,曾被称为We Trade Group(We Trade集团),因股价大幅下跌而即将被NASDAQ(纳斯达克: 美国的一个电子股票交易市场)摘牌。
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A Chinese AI software company called Next Technology Holding, which was once known as We Trade Group, great name, was about to be delisted by NASDAQ because its stock price had declined so much.
它成功利用MicroStrategy的“无限套利”漏洞,通过发行股票和认股权证购买比特币来提振股价并保持上市。
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It managed to use the Micro Strategy Infinite Money Glitch to boost its stock price and remain listed after it issued shares and warrants to buy Bitcoin.
甚至视频游戏零售商GameStop(游戏驿站: 美国一家视频游戏、消费电子产品及游戏周边商品零售商)也宣布已开始购买比特币,但这出人意料地导致其股价下跌了10%。
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Even GameStop, the video games retailer, announced that it had started buying Bitcoin, which surprisingly caused the stock price to fall 10%.
我认为这是因为GameStop的投资者认为,公司应该专注于销售视频游戏、宝可梦卡牌(Pokemon cards: 基于宝可梦系列游戏的角色卡牌)和NFTs(非同质化代币: 一种存储在区块链上的独特数字资产,代表着所有权)这些极其盈利的业务,而不是被其他业务线分散注意力。
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I think this is because GameStop investors feel that the company's focus should stay on the extremely profitable business of selling video games, Pokemon cards, and NFTTS at mall-based locations across the United States and not get distracted by other business lines.
我可靠地得知,这些都是很好的业务。
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I'm reliably told that these are great businesses to be in.
伦敦加入潮流与塞勒的愿景
现在,长期以来被视为加密货币热潮谨慎观察者的伦敦也加入了这场混战,一波英国小型公司已成为比特币财资公司,希望搭上这股已提振其美国和亚洲同行的浪潮。
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Now, even London, long seen as a cautious observer of the cryptocurrency boom, has piled in and joined the fry as a wave of small cap British firms have become Bitcoin treasury companies, hoping to ride the same wave that has lifted their American and Asian counterparts.
据FT报道,仅在6月的最后一周,至少有九家在英国上市的公司宣布它们已购买比特币作为公司财资储备,或者计划这样做。
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According to the FT, at least nine UK listed companies in the final week of June alone announced that they have either bought Bitcoin to add to their corporate treasuries or that they plan to do so.
这些公司从AI初创企业到黄金矿商,它们拥抱加密货币并非为了其技术前景,而是为了其激发投资者兴趣和推动股价飙升的潜力。
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The firms ranging from AI startups to gold miners are embracing the cryptocurrency not for its technological promise, but for its potential to ignite investor interest and turbocharge share prices.
你可能会认为,最初提出比特币永动机公司理念的Michael Saylor会因为其他人复制他的策略而感到不安。
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Now, you might think that Michael Sailor, who first came up with the Bitcoin perpetual money machine company idea, would be upset that other people are copying his strategy or micro strategy.
但他似乎并没有。
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But he doesn't appear to be.
事实上,他正在鼓吹像Microsoft(微软: 美国跨国科技公司)这样的大公司应该购买比特币,而不是回购自己的股票,他将后者描述为“传统资本策略”。
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In fact, he's pitching that big companies like Microsoft should buy Bitcoin instead of buying back their own shares, which he describes as legacy capital strategy.
问题是,Michael Saylor拥有比特币,但他可能不拥有Microsoft的股票。
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The thing is, Michael Sailor owns bitcoins and he probably doesn't own Microsoft stock.
如果Microsoft支付股息或减少股票数量,对他没有任何好处,但如果其他公司购买他所拥有的这种非流动性资产,那将对他大有帮助,因为这会不断推高价格。
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It's of no benefit to him if they pay a dividend or reduce their share count, but it would help him out quite a bit if other companies were to buy up the illquid asset that he owns as that would push the price higher and higher.
据FT报道,大多数购买比特币以提振股价的英国上市公司都是小型亏损公司,它们的交易量很小,并将比特币视为引发股价爆炸性增长的解决方案。
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According to the FT, most of the UK listed businesses that are buying up Bitcoin to boost their stock prices are small loss-making companies that have tiny trading volumes and see Bitcoin as the solution to trigger explosive share price growth.
许多公司在Aquis exchange(Aquis交易所: 英国一家股票交易所,专注于中小市值公司)上市,尽管也有少数公司在伦敦主要证券交易所上市。
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Many are listed on the Micro Cap Aquis exchange, although a few are listed on London's main stock exchange.
在你开始嘲笑这些公司之前,我应该告诉你,自发布这些公告以来,其中许多公司的股票已上涨了400%。
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Now, before you start making fun of these companies, I should let you know that many of their stocks are up 400% since making these announcements.
日本酒店公司Metaplanet,其首席执行官从“酒店人”转变为“持币者”,在过去一年中上涨了近600%。
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Metaplanet, the Japanese hotel company whose CEO converted from hotel year to hodler, is up almost 600% over the last year.
当你只需购买一些加密货币就能赚钱时,为什么要浪费时间打扫卧室和帮人搬行李上楼呢?
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Why would you waste your time cleaning bedrooms and hauling people's suitcases up a stairs when you could just buy some crypto?
在大多数企业都在担心受到关税打击的一年里,放弃所有其他业务活动,只购买加密货币可能是有道理的。
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In a year when most businesses are worried about being hit by tariffs, it possibly makes sense to drop all other business activities and just buy crypto.
正如Michael Saylor会指出的那样,所有其他业务都是不必要的。
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All of the other stuff, as Michael Sailor would point out, is unnecessary.
这些都是“传统”的商业活动。
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These are legacy business activities.
对于许多发现这一点的公司来说,比特币不仅仅是一种财资资产,它更是一条生命线。
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For many of the firms that have made this discovery, Bitcoin is not just a treasury asset. It's a lifeline.
Bluebird Mining Ventures(蓝鸟矿业投资公司)此前一直面临项目延误和财务损失的困境,它将比特币策略归功于重新激发了股东兴趣并获得了新的资金。
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Bluebird Mining Ventures, which had been struggling with project delays and financial losses, credited Bitcoin strategy with reviving shareholder interest and securing new funding.
同样,Binance(币安: 全球最大的加密货币交易所之一),一家前矿业公司,正在更名为London BTC Company(伦敦比特币公司),将自己定位为受监管的比特币投资门户,而不是之前的任何业务。
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Similarly, Binance, a former mining operation, is rebranding as the London BTC company, positioning itself as a regulated gateway to Bitcoin exposure rather than whatever it was before.
英国投资者购买这些股票可能在某种程度上是可以理解的,因为英国金融监管机构已禁止散户投资者购买与加密货币和其他“虚构货币”相关的交易所交易产品(exchangeraded products (ETPs): 在证券交易所上市交易的投资产品,其价值通常追踪特定资产、指数或策略)。
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It may be somewhat understandable that British investors are buying these stocks as the British financial regulators have banned retail investors from buying exchangeraded products linked to cryptocurrencies and other types of madeup money.
比特币财资公司允许英国股票投资者接触到许多人认为复杂且难以持有的资产类别。
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Bitcoin treasury companies allow British equity investors to get exposure to an asset class that many see as being complex and difficult to hold.
我不太明白他们为什么要为此支付巨额溢价,但他们会这样做,而且确实在这样做。
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It's not obvious to me why they would pay a huge premium to do this, but they will, and they do.
更令人困惑的是,当比特币ETF(Bitcoin ETFs: 追踪比特币价格的交易所交易基金)已经存在时,美国投资者仍愿意支付溢价来拥有一家持有比特币的公司。
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It's much more confusing that American investors will pay up to own a company that owns Bitcoin when Bitcoin ETFs already exist.
可转换债券与市场波动性
可转换债券(Convertible bonds: 一种允许持有人在特定条件下将其转换为发行公司股票的债券)是MicroStrategy筹集资金的另一种方式。
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Convertible bonds have been another way for Micro Strategy to raise money.
可转换债券通常支付固定利率,这比普通债券略低,但它们可以按约定价格转换为股票,使投资者能够从股票的无限上涨潜力中获益,同时提供持有债券所带来的感知下行保护。
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Convertible bonds usually pay a fixed interest rate, which is a bit lower than regular bonds pay, but they can be converted into shares at an agreed price, allowing investors to benefit from equities unlimited upside while providing the perceived downside protection of owning bonds.
MicroStrategy股票极度波动,实际上比其基础比特币更具波动性,这意味着该公司可以发行具有比通常更高转换溢价的债券,甚至可以提供零利率债务。
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The fact that Micro Strategy stock is extremely volatile, in fact, it's more volatile than the underlying Bitcoin means that the company can issue bonds with a higher conversion premium than usual and even offer zero interest on the debt.
这些债券的投资者被公司股价巨大的潜在上涨空间和持有债券所带来的感知下行保护所吸引。
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Investors in these bonds have been attracted by the huge potential upside of the company's stock price and the perceived downside protection of owning bonds.
Bloomberg的Matt Levine指出,一组投资者,即可转换债券持有人,正在从这种波动性中获益,而另一组投资者则因此受到损害,因为有大量投资者购买杠杆策略ETF(leveraged strategy ETFs: 使用金融衍生品和债务来放大标的资产回报的交易所交易基金),这在一定程度上是押注波动性不会太高。
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Matt Lavine at Bloomberg points out that one group of investors, the convertible bond holders, is benefiting from this volatility and another group is being harmed by it as there are a large number of investors buying levered strategy ETFs which are to a certain extent a bet against volatility.
这是因为基础股票波动性越大,杠杆ETF在追踪其回报方面的表现就越差。
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This is because the more volatile the underlying stock is, the worse a leveraged ETF does at tracking its returns.
可转换债券投资者通常通过动态对冲策略来对冲其股票风险,即低买高卖,这意味着未偿还的可转换债券越多,这种对冲活动就越能抑制股票的波动性。
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The fact that convertible bond investors typically hedge their equity exposure through a dynamic hedging strategy where they buy low and sell high would mean that the more convertibles that are outstanding, the more that this hedging activity would be expected to mute the volatility of the stock.
而杠杆ETF买家则做相反的事情,这意味着他们正在放大波动性。
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The fact that leveraged ETF buyers do the opposite means that they're amping up the volatility.
因此,杠杆ETF买家正在抵消可转换债券套利投资者对波动性的抑制作用。
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So the levered ETF buyers are offsetting the volatility damping effects of the convertible bond arbitrage investors.
风险、治理与比特币叙事的演变
比特币财资公司的兴起标志着一些公司对资本风险和投资者参与方式的转变。
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The rise of Bitcoin treasury companies marks a shift in how some companies think about capital risk and investor engagement.
最初由一家美国软件公司发起的一项略显疯狂的实验,现在似乎已走向全球,超过130家上市公司持有全球比特币供应量的3%以上。
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As what began as a slightly mad experiment by a single US software firm now appears to have gone global with more than 130 listed companies holding over 3% of the world's Bitcoin supply.
从东京到伦敦,企业正在利用加密货币,不仅将其作为对冲或投资,更作为一种战略工具,以进入资本市场、重振疲软的股价,并为新的金融时代重新塑造自身形象。
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From Tokyo to London, businesses are leveraging into cryptocurrency not just as a hedge or an investment, but as a strategic tool to access capital markets, revive flagging share prices, and rebrand themselves for a new financial era.
这种策略并非没有风险。
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This strategy is not without its perils.
比特币财资公司尚未经受加密货币价格长期下跌的考验,这可能会使它们难以偿还为建立比特币储备而承担的债务。
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Bitcoin treasuries are yet to be tested by a prolonged downturn in cryptocurrency prices, which could leave them struggling to repay debt that they've taken on to build up their stock piles.
对于那些相信比特币未来的人来说,这一切都是有道理的。
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For those who believe in the future of Bitcoin, all of this makes sense.
随着我们走向比特币取代美元成为全球储备货币的那一天,那些利用杠杆购买加密货币的公司将获得更高的回报。
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Companies that leverage up to buy crypto will earn higher returns as we drift towards the point where Bitcoin replaces the dollar as the global reserve currency.
大多数投资者可能仍然更喜欢拥有能产生现金流的实际资产,并认为这是一种对未来价值存疑的资产的冒险押注。
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Most investors possibly still prefer to own real assets that generate cash flows and see this as a risky bet on an asset of questionable future value.
这种公司战略的治理层面也不容忽视。
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The governance dimension of this corporate strategy can't be ignored either.
显然,并非所有股东都认同将运营公司转变为加密基金的愿景。
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Obviously, not all shareholders are aligned with the vision of turning operating companies into crypto funds.
到目前为止,这种策略推高了股价,这意味着这些投资者可以出售股票并获利离场。
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The fact that it's boosted stock prices so far means that these investors can just sell their shares and walk away with a profit.
但随着越来越多的公司采用这种策略,董事会将面临越来越大的压力来证明其风险的合理性,并且当策略失败时,可能不得不解释自己。
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But as more firms adopt this strategy, boards will face growing pressure to justify the risks and will possibly have to explain themselves when the strategy blows up.
看到加密货币如何随着时间自我重塑,总是有些有趣。
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It's always somewhat entertaining to see how crypto reshapes itself over time.
比特币最初是为了应对2008年全球金融危机以及当时对传统中心化金融系统信任的丧失而创建的。
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Bitcoin was originally created in response to the global financial crisis of 2008 and the loss of trust in traditional centralized financial systems that occurred at that time.
它被视为对中心化金融感知缺陷的回应,为金融交易提供了一种去中心化、透明且用户控制的替代方案。
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It was seen as a response to the perceived flaws of centralized finance offering a decentralized transparent and user controlled alternative for financial transactions.
当价格开始上涨时,它不再是一种货币。
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When the price started running up, it was no longer a currency.
你不会用它来购买东西。
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You wouldn't use it to buy things.
它现在是一种升值资产。
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It was now an appreciating asset.
后来,它被宣传为数字黄金,但在疫情后通货膨胀来袭时,其价值下跌,因此在这方面失败了。
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Later, it was pitched as digital gold, but it failed on that front as it fell in value when inflation kicked in after the pandemic.
现在,比特币投资者正试图鼓励中央银行和公司购买比特币,这似乎与最初的意图背道而驰。
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Now, Bitcoin investors are trying to encourage central banks and companies to buy Bitcoin, which seems like the opposite of the original intention.
这种关于加密货币的新理念,即投资者通过以远高于NAV(资产净值: 基金或公司资产减去负债后的价值)的巨大溢价购买当地上市股票来获得风险敞口,而这些股票又方便地以当地货币计价,这多少有些令人困惑。
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This new idea of crypto is something that an investor gets exposure through by buying a locally listed stock at a huge premium to NAV which is conveniently denominated in their local currency is more than a little bit confusing.
就像我说的,如果这对你来说有道理,请随时在下面的评论区向我解释。
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Like I said, if it makes sense to you, feel free to explain it to me in the comment section below.
如果你喜欢这个视频,接下来你应该观看我关于阿根廷迷因币灾难的视频。
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If you enjoyed this video, you should watch my video on Argentina's memecoin disaster next.
别忘了使用描述中的链接查看我们的赞助商Plaude Node。
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Don't forget to check out our sponsor, Plot Node, using the link in the description.
下个视频再见。
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See you in the next video. Bye.
📌 文中提及的人物和组织
人物: Michael Saylor, Matt Levine, Jack Dorsey, J.D. Vance, Donald Trump, Jack Mallers, Howard Lutnik
公司/组织: MicroStrategy, SEC, SoftBank, Tether, Tesla, Block, Twitter, GameStop, London Stock Exchange, Binance, Department of Justice
产品/模型: Bitcoin