政治极化下的民意背离与党内集权
根据《纽约时报》与锡耶纳学院(Times Sienna)的最新民调显示,特朗普(Donald Trump)第二任期的支持率已跌至37%的历史低点。选民对他处理经济问题和伊朗战争的方式表现出深度怀疑,超过60%的受访者对此表示不满。尽管民意基础动摇,且部分共和党选民对伊朗冲突感到愤怒,但特朗普对共和党内部的掌控依然稳固。
在路易斯安那州,曾投票支持弹劾特朗普的共和党参议员比尔·卡西迪(Bill Cassidy)在党内初选中惨败给特朗普支持的候选人。这标志着特朗普对“不忠诚”成员的系统性清洗取得了又一次胜利。这种党内集权现象正在重塑共和党的生态:一方面,总统在初选中拥有绝对的支配权;另一方面,共和党顾问担心,总统在摇摆选区的低迷声望可能会在即将到来的中期选举中拖累党内候选人。
Original English Source
President Trump's approval rating in his second term has reached a record low. According to a Times Sienna poll released this morning, just 37% of voters approve of how Trump is handling his job as president. That's less than at any point since he took office last year. Trump's approval rating has dropped four points since January alone, and a majority of voters seem deeply skeptical of how he's handling some of the country's most pressing issues. For example, 64% of voters disapprove of how he's handled the economy and 65% say they disapprove of how he's handled the war in Iran. Still, Republicans broadly approve of Trump's job performance and how he's handled the war. And this weekend, there was more evidence that the president has continued to keep a tight grasp on his party. In Louisiana on Saturday, Republican Senator Bill Cassidy, who's clashed with the president, lost his primary election after being beaten by a Trumpbacked candidate. Cassidy was one of a small handful of Republicans who voted to convict Trump in his impeachment trial after January 6th.
执政铁腕下的社会代价与地缘战略扩张
在强硬的对内与对外政策指引下,特朗普政府正在多条战线推进。布鲁金斯学会(Brookings Institution)的一项分析指出,其推行的大规模驱逐行动已导致超过10万名儿童与父母分离,其中绝大多数儿童是美国公民。尽管国土安全部(Department of Homeland Security)声称给予了家长选择权,但专家警告称,这种政策正给法律援助组织和许多本已拮据的家庭带来巨大的生存压力。
与此同时,在地缘政治领域,美国正就格陵兰岛(Greenland)的未来进行秘密谈判。基于国家安全考虑,美国试图无限期延长在当地的军事驻扎,并寻求对重大投资协议的“一票否决权”,旨在通过地缘博弈将俄罗斯和中国排除在北极圈之外。尽管格陵兰岛内部对于主权受损表示担忧,但特朗普政府仍在闭门会议中持续施压,试图以此巩固美国的北极战略防线。
Original English Source
First, a new analysis estimates that President Trump's mass deportation campaign has separated more than 100,000 children from their parents. A vast majority of those kids are US citizens. The report from the Brookings Institution suggests that federal statistics about family separations have been an undercount. In a statement, the Department of Homeland Security said that when parents of US-born children are detained, they're given a choice. leave the country with their kids or place them with someone living in the US legally. And the Times has learned that for the past four months, the US has been quietly negotiating over the future of Greenland. "We need Greenland for national security. And if you take a look at Greenland, you look up and down the coast, you have Russian and Chinese ships all over the place." President Trump has repeatedly said he wants to seize the island, which is partly controlled by Denmark. Among other things, the US has been trying to extend a long-standing military arrangement to allow US troops to stay in Greenland indefinitely. And the Trump administration wants effective veto power over any major investment deals there to potentially box out countries like Russia and China.
全球卫生防线的挑战:埃博拉疫情爆发
世界卫生组织(WHO)已正式宣布埃博拉病毒(Ebola virus)在刚果民主共和国(DRC)的爆发为全球卫生紧急事件。目前已有超过300例疑似病例,死亡率高达25%至50%。由于该病毒属于罕见类型,目前尚无针对性的疫苗或治疗方法。
containment(遏制)工作因当地的政治动荡而面临重重困难。刚果政府实施的戒严状态(Martial law)削弱了民众对当局的信任,导致医疗设施无法正常运转。更具挑战性的是,特朗普政府去年撤销了美国国际开发署(USAID)的相关部门并大幅削减对外援助,这使得在以往疫情中扮演关键角色的美国力量无法提供及时支持。这种国际援助的缺失,可能导致疫情规模超出目前的监测范围,对全球公共安全构成严重威胁。
Original English Source
The World Health Organization has declared that a new outbreak of the Ebola virus is a global health emergency. As of yesterday, there have been reports of more than 300 suspected cases in the Democratic Republic of Congo, including nearly 90 deaths. And the WHO has warned the scale of the outbreak could be far larger than has been detected. The rare type of the virus that's taken hold now has no targeted vaccine or treatment. It has a mortality rate of 25 to 50%. Matthew Biggs says that the part of Congo where cases have been spreading has been in political turmoil. A few years ago, the country's president launched a widespread crackdown in the region, declaring a state of siege, effectively martial law. Trust in the authorities is a critical factor in containing the spread. But the other thing is obviously in a state of siege, health care services and health care facilities are not as strong as they need to be. Matt says there's another factor that could potentially complicate the response: The Trump administration's push to slash foreign aid. USAID was a key player in containing previous Ebola outbreaks, but the White House shuttered the department last year.
数字赋能下的生态转型:哥伦比亚观鸟旅游热
在哥伦比亚,观鸟旅游(Aven tourism)正凭借数字技术迎来爆发式增长。得益于 Merlin 和 eBird 等APP的普及,观鸟活动正从专业小众向大众化转变。Merlin APP通过音频和图像识别技术,吸引了全球近4000万用户,而哥伦比亚记录到的近2000种鸟类资源正吸引着世界各地的爱好者。
这种基于生物多样性的经济活动为当地社区提供了强有力的生态保护动机。许多当地居民已经从伐木造炭转向经营观鸟业务。通过将生态价值转化为经济收益,当地社区正在自发地保护鸟类栖息地,形成了一种“保护即增收”的良性循环。这种转型不仅促进了环境修复,也为哥伦比亚在国际旅游版图中树立了独特地位。
Original English Source
In Colombia, a new tourism industry has been sparked by apps for bird watchers. It's known as aven tourism. In recent years, more and more people have been learning about Colombia's remarkable biodiversity as the apps Merlin and eBird have brought birding to the masses. For example, Merlin, which lets you identify birds using a photo or recording of their song, has been downloaded by nearly 40 million people. On eBird, the map of Colombia is bright red, showing that close to 2,000 bird species have been recorded there. To keep up with a new wave of app toading aven tourists, some Colombians are now turning to the birding business. Some local bird enthusiasts say they hope that will help preserve the country's environment by creating an incentive to protect habitats. One woman told the Times that she and her husband spent years using chainsaws to cut down their trees to make charcoal, but now she says she stopped to try and keep the birds and the tourists around.