密歇根初选
[Michael Barbaro]: 什么?那个东西在干嘛?拍照吗?
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: What? What is that doing snapping? Just...
[工作人员]: 哦,就是一些测试。
Original English
[Staff]: Oh, just some just testing.
[Michael Barbaro]: 看起来已经有人进去了。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: Looks like we've already got some people going in.
[工作人员]: 只是去办公室。
Original English
[Staff]: Just to the office.
[Michael Barbaro]: 是的,只是去办公室。来自《纽约时报》,我是Michael Barbaro。你好。这里是《The Daily》。他们今天来这里是为了听听密歇根州对Abdul El-Sayed和Haley Stevens之间这场竞选的想法。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: Yeah, just the office. From New York Times, I'm Michael Barbaro. Hello. This is the daily. They're here today to hear what Michigan thinks about the race between Abdul El-Sayed and Haley Stevens.
[Michael Barbaro]: 几天前,我的同事、政治记者Michael Cruz与《The Daily》的两位制作人AA Cherved和Anna Foley一起前往密歇根,报道今年最受关注的民主党初选。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: A few days ago, my colleague, political correspondent Michael Cruz, traveled to Michigan with two producers from the Daily, AA Cherved and Anna Foley to report on the most closely watched Democratic primary of the year.
[Michael Barbaro]: 这场美国参议院席位之争,不仅考验了左翼民粹主义日益增长的吸引力,也可能标志着民主党选民之间关于“可当选性”重要性的一场长期辩论的转折点。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: A race for US Senate that not only tests the growing appeal of left-wing populism, but could also mark a turning point in a long-running debate among Democratic voters about the importance of electability.
[Michael Barbaro]: 你们中有多少人打算在8月4日星期二投票?今天是8月4日,星期二。所以,Michael Cruz,很高兴你来到《The Daily》。我相信这是你第一次上这个节目。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: How many of you are going to vote on Tuesday, August 4th? It is Tuesday, August 4th. So, Michael Cruz, happy to have you on the Daily. I believe this is your first time on the show.
[Michael Cruz]: 是的。长期听众,第一次来电。很高兴来到这里。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: It is. Longtime listener, first time caller. Happy to be here.
[Michael Barbaro]: 嗯,我是你的长期仰慕者,所以很高兴有你。你刚和《The Daily》的两位制作人从密歇根的报道之旅回来。我想先请你解释一下,在你看来,今天在密歇根举行的民主党初选,为什么在这场关于民主党未来的长期斗争中是一个如此重要的时刻。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: Well, I'm a longtime admirer, so I'm glad to have you. You just got back from a reporting trip to Michigan with two producers from the Daily. And I wanted to start by asking you to explain why in your mind the Democratic primary that's happening today in Michigan is such an important moment in this long-running battle over the future of the Democratic Party.
[Michael Cruz]: 这是迄今为止整个中期选举周期中最重要的时刻,当我们思考民主党是什么以及它走向何方的问题时。因为我认为在密歇根,我们有了迄今为止最纯粹的考验,检验进步派的民主党愿景能否在美国政治中取得成功。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: It is to date the most important moment in this whole midterm cycle when we are thinking about the question of what the Democratic Party is and where it is headed. Because I think in Michigan, we have the purest test yet of whether a progressive vision of the Democratic Party can succeed in American politics.
[Michael Cruz]: 在过去一年左右的时间里,我们看到了令人信服的进步派胜利,但都是在某种特定的地方,在蓝色地区,比如纽约的Zoran Mandani,费城和丹佛的国会初选。Graham Platner感觉有点像测试案例,但他的丑闻,他竞选结束的方式,很难从缅因州推断出宏大的结论。所以在密歇根,我们有一场感觉像是进步派和温和派之间这场斗争的一个更好、更真实的考验。那是因为,Michael,这场比赛发生在这个国家中部的摇摆州。特朗普在2016年和2024年都在这里获胜。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: In the last year or so, we've seen compelling progressive victories, but in a certain kind of place, in blue places, Zoran Mandani in New York, congressional primaries in Philadelphia and Denver. Graham Platner felt a little bit like a test case, but his scandals, the way his campaign ended, hard to sort of extrapolate grand conclusions from Maine. So here in Michigan, we have a race that feels like a much better, truer test of this fight between progressives and moderates. And that's because, Michael, this race is happening in a swing state in the middle of the country. Trump won here in 2016 and 2024.
[Michael Barbaro]: 如果进步派候选人在密歇根赢得这场选举,那将真正重新定位我们对进步运动在当下政治中吸引力的理解。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: And if the progressive candidate wins this election in Michigan, it would really reorient our understanding of the progressive movement's appeal in our politics at this point in time.
[Michael Cruz]: 对吧?好的。而且,说得更精确一点,这将表明,在我们认为天生温和的地方,民主党初选选民已经准备好有意义地向左倾斜。当然,你描述的这个测试案例发生在一场赌注已经很高的竞选中,仅仅基于美国参议院的数学计算。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: Right? All right. And just to put a really fine point on it, it would show that in places that we think of as inherently moderate, Democratic primary voters are ready to lurch meaningfully to the left. And of course, this test case you're describing is happening in a race where the stakes are already quite high just based on the math of the United States Senate.
[Michael Barbaro]: 对吧?这是一个民主党几乎必须保住的参议院席位,如果他们有任何机会翻转参议院的话。而且无论哪位民主党人在周二获胜,到11月都会面临一个强大的挑战者,因为等待这两位候选人之一的共和党人Mike Rogers,两年前竞选密歇根州的另一个参议院席位,以不到2万票的差距输给了Alyssa Slotkin。她是一个非常中间派、更温和的民主党人。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: Right? This is a Senate seat that Democrats almost have to hold if they have any shot of flipping the Senate. And whichever Democrat wins on Tuesday, has a formidable challenger come November because Mike Rogers, the Republican waiting for one of these two candidates, ran for Michigan's other Senate seat two years ago and lost by not even 20,000 votes to Alyssa Slotkin. Very much a more centrist, more moderate Democrat.
[Michael Barbaro]: 所以谁从这个初选中脱颖而出,对民主党今年的希望至关重要。那么,向我们介绍一下这两位候选人,他们体现了这场渐进主义者、温和派和想要打破一切的进步派之间长期冲突的最新篇章。那么,更进步的候选人是Abdul El-Sayed。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: So the question of who comes out of this primary is critical for Democrats hopes this year. So introduce us to the two candidates who embody this latest chapter of that long-running clash between the incrementalists, the moderates, and the progressives who would like to bust it all up. So, the more progressive candidate is Abdul El-Sayed.
[Abdul El-Sayed]: 我竞选美国参议员,是因为在这个建立了美国梦的州,仅仅为了生存不应该这么难。
Original English
[Abdul El-Sayed]: I'm running for US Senate because in the state that built the American dream, it shouldn't be this hard just to get by.
[Michael Cruz]: 他41岁,2018年的前州长候选人,前公共卫生官员。我在这里长大,完全是美国人,成为一名医生是为了帮助人们,我的职业生涯都在让政府为我们服务。他的竞选纲领是全民医保和反以色列。他想削减对以色列在加沙行动的援助。把纳税人的钱留在国内,投资于公共基础设施和公立学校。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: He's 41 years old, a former gubernatorial candidate in 2018, former public health official. I grew up all American here, became a doctor to help people, and spent my career making government deliver for us. He is running on Medicare for all anti-Israel platform. Wants to cut aid to Israel's efforts in Gaza. Keep that taxpayer money here to invest in public infrastructure, public schools.
[Abdul El-Sayed]: 疾病是亿万富翁和公司对我们政治的腐蚀。
Original English
[Abdul El-Sayed]: The disease is the corruption of our politics by billionaires and corporations.
[Michael Cruz]: 但值得注意的是,他并不自称是社会主义者。他不是美国民主社会主义者(DSA)的成员,尽管他得到了像Bernie Sanders和Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez这样的关键社会主义政治人物的支持。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: It's worth noting though that he does not call himself a socialist. He's not a member of the DSA, the Democratic Socialists of America, even though he's endorsed by key socialist political figures like Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
[Michael Barbaro]: 明白了。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: Understood.
[Michael Cruz]: 所以这是他的政治纲领,但他的气质给人的感觉并不是那种刻板印象中的左派。而且,是的,我是一个有播客的兄弟,来深入探讨美国面临的流行病……经济方面的……他相当传统地有魅力。他的一位助手在我们的一次谈话中把他描述为“穆斯林Bruce Springsteen”。他在地下室的健身房里举重。今年夏天早些时候,我在那里待了一段时间,为一个人物特写做准备,看着他做深蹲和引体向上。他不是那种我认为一些批评者可能想象中的书呆子式社会主义者的形象。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: So that's his platform, but the way his vibe reads is not say the stereotypical lefty. And yeah, I'm a bro with a podcast to dig into the epidemics America's facing of economic... quite conventionally charismatic. One of his aids in one of our conversations described him to me as Muslim Bruce Springsteen. He lifts weights in his gym in his basement. I spent some time down there earlier this summer working on a profile watching him do squats and pull-ups. He is not the picture of the nerdy socialist that I think some critics might have.
[Abdul El-Sayed]: 就是这样。我是Abdul El-Sayed医生,我正在竞选美国参议员。我们走吧。
Original English
[Abdul El-Sayed]: As it gets. I'm Dr. Abdul El-Sayed and I'm running for US Senate. Let's go.
[Michael Barbaro]: 那么,告诉我们他在这次民主党初选中的对手。他的对手是Haley Stevens。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: So, tell us about his opponent in this Democratic primary. His opponent is Haley Stevens.
[Haley Stevens]: 我记得有人把第一辆车的钥匙交给我。我是Haley Stevens,我打赌你也是。
Original English
[Haley Stevens]: I remember being handed the keys to my first car. I'm Haley Stevens and I bet you do, too.
[Michael Cruz]: 一位温和的四届国会议员。她43岁,年龄相仿,但更像一个老派的政治家。作为奥巴马总统汽车救援计划的前幕僚长,我们帮助拯救了超过20万个密歇根州的工作岗位,并稳定了我们的经济。她曾在多届总统政府或竞选中工作过。她的基本宣传是:我是一个立法上的老黄牛,而不是一个表演的马。对医疗保健进行渐进式改革。援助应该继续支持以色列。她绝对是得到AIPAC支持最多的候选人,不仅在这场竞选中,而且是有史以来任何竞选中。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: A moderate four-term member of Congress. She is 43 years old, so similarly aged, but much more of an old school type of politician. As chief of staff to President Obama's auto rescue, we helped save over 200,000 Michigan jobs and stabilize our economy. She has worked in various presidential administrations or campaigns. Her basic pitch is, I'm a legislative workhorse, not a show horse. Incremental changes to healthcare. Aid should continue to support Israel. She is by far and away the most AIPAC supported candidate, not only in this race, but in any race ever.
[Michael Barbaro]: 哇。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: Wow.
[Michael Cruz]: 她是民主党当权派的选择。在密歇根长大意味着被创新、聪明才智和对努力工作的自豪感所包围。而且她提出自己是“密歇根制造”的。典型的密歇根人。Abdul El-Sayed也在密歇根出生和长大,但她有一种乡土气息,几乎有点古怪的方式。我为密歇根感到骄傲,我永远不会厌倦说这句话。能在参议院为你而战是我的荣幸。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: She is the pick of the Democratic establishment. Growing up in Michigan meant being surrounded by innovation, ingenuity, and pride in hard work. And she makes the case that she is made in Michigan. The classic Michigander. Abdul El-Sayed was born and bred in Michigan, too, but she has this folksy, almost zany way about her. I'm proud of Michigan, and I'll never get tired of saying it. It would be my honor to fight for you in the Senate.
[Michael Barbaro]: 那么,考虑到所有这些,Michael,告诉我们你在密歇根与这两位候选人和竞选团队共度的时光。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: So with all that in mind, Michael, tell us about the time that you spent with both of these candidates and campaigns when you were in Michigan.
[Michael Cruz]: 谁是他们第一次来这里?以前从未来过。也很棒。事实上,让我们为……所以,我们去了州首府兰辛,那里相当蓝,尤其是在我们所在的兰辛地区,去看El-Sayed激励他的支持者去那个地区敲门拉票。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: Who was here for their very first time? Never came this before. Also fantastic. In fact, let's give... So, we went to Lansing, the state capital, pretty blue, especially in the part of Lansing we were in to watch El-Sayed whip up his supporters to go knock on doors around that area.
[Abdul El-Sayed]: 好的,各位。钱从……钱进你的……
Original English
[Abdul El-Sayed]: All right, y'all. Money out of... money in your...
[Michael Cruz]: 他走上舞台,做了他在活动中一贯做的事情。感谢你们……开始时是一种口号,一种呼应。在这个世界上最富有、最强大的国家,不应该这么难才能加满你的卡车。不应该这么难才能买第二袋 groceries。不应该这么难。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: He came out on the stage and did what he always does with his events. Thank you for... started with a chant of sorts, a call in response. Shouldn't be this hard IN THE RICHEST, MOST POWERFUL COUNTRY IN THE world to afford to fill up your truck. Shouldn't be this hard to get a second bag of groceries. Shouldn't be this hard.
[Abdul El-Sayed]: 我们谈到了政治家、民选官员需要更多地回应他们的选民,而不是他们的捐赠者。医生,你打算怎么支付那笔费用?我不知道。呃,也许与其打那些我们一开始就不该打的愚蠢战争,我们可以把钱留在这里,开始投资于这里的医疗保健和基本服务。
Original English
[Abdul El-Sayed]: We talked about how politicians, elected officials need to respond to their constituents more than their donors. Doctor, how you going to pay for that? I don't know. Uh maybe instead of fighting dumbass wars we had no business fighting in the first place, we can keep our money here and start investing in healthcare and basic services here.
[Michael Barbaro]: 听起来他真正触及的是对现代政治的深刻不满。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: It sounds like what he's really tapping into here is a profound disaffection with modern politics.
[Michael Cruz]: 毫无疑问。非常感谢你自己。非常感谢。是的。所以,我们为UAW出来。我是一名美容师。所以,我是一名学生,但我在一家日托所工作。嗯……我们在活动中交谈的人。你为什么支持Abdul?普通美国人没有被他们的政府听到和代表。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: No question. Thank you so much for yourself. Thank you so much. Yeah. So, we're out for the UAW. I'm an aesthetician. So, I'm a student, but I work at a daycare. Um... the people we talk to at the event. Why are you team Abdul? Everyday Americans are not being heard and represented by their government.
[Michael Cruz]: 他们谈到了对常规政治的真正不满。钱退出政治。AIPAC,你知道,我们的钱被花在哪里是令人发指的……无法过上他们父母那样的生活。比如,我2020年高中毕业。所以基本上从我记事起,事情就一直在明显变糟。付不起房租。付不起医疗保健。你知道,这不是我想给我的孩子们的未来。而且……还有一种感觉是,民主党人本身也是问题的一部分。每个人都厌倦了每个选举周期我们得到的这种废话,就是我们只能选择中间道路的、温和的、无聊的、平淡的、不代表任何立场的候选人。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: They talk about a real disaffection with politics as usual. Money out of politics. AIPAC, you know it's obscene how our money is spent in... not being able to live the same lives that their parents did. Like I graduated high school in 2020. So basically as long as I can remember things have been getting like significantly worse. Can't afford their rent. Can't afford healthcare. You know this is not the future I want for my kids. And... a sense that Democrats are very much part of the problem, too. Everybody's sick of this nonsense that we get every election cycle that we just have to go for the middle of the road moderate, boring, bland candidate that doesn't stand for anything.
[Michael Cruz]: 所以现在,为什么要投票给他们以前投票过的那种老派民主党人呢?归根结底,我不要面包屑。比如,我只要医疗保健。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: And so now, why vote for the same old kind of Democrat that they've voted for before? At the end of the day, I don't want crumbs. Like, I just want healthcare.
[Michael Barbaro]: 当这个满是志愿者的房间然后出去试图向兰辛的选民传达这个信息时,是什么情况?
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: What is it like when this room full of volunteers then heads out and attempts to make this pitch to voters in Lansing?
[Michael Cruz]: 我们找到了Mike。嗨。你好吗?所以,我们最终跟着一位名叫Mary的志愿者。嗯,我忍不住注意到你的“投票给Abdul”手环。我有我的友谊手环。终于……她是一位70多岁的白人女性,已经退休。她曾是一名学校老师。她曾是美国汽车工人联合会的说客。她参与民主党政治已有几十年了。省省吧,当我去裸体主义者营地谈论医疗保健的故事时。哇。但我确实去了。我做了什么?我想你明白了。她跟我们谈到了90年代由时任第一夫人希拉里·克林顿在比尔·克林顿担任总统时领导的医疗改革努力。然后这家伙说,“你能来谈谈医疗保健吗?”你什么时候向他们推销的?抱歉。他们穿衣服了吗?没有。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: We got Mike. Hi. How are you? So, we ended up tagging along with a volunteer named Mary. Um, I couldn't help but notice your vote for Abdul bracelet. I've got my friendship bracelets. Finally... white woman, 70s, retired. She had been a school teacher. She had been a lobbyist for the United Auto Workers Union. She's been active in Democratic politics for decades. Spare the when I went to the nudist colony to talk about healthcare story. Whoa. But I did. What I did? I think you got it. She talked to us about efforts at healthcare reform in the '90s led by then first lady Hillary Clinton when Bill Clinton was the president. And this guy's like, "Will you come talk about healthcare?" When do you pitched them? Sorry. Were they wearing clothes? No.
[Michael Cruz]: 但现在,金钱和政治这件事是最让我耿耿于怀的,还有对新思想和新人的需求。她,我认为,真的被她投票支持、为之敲过门的民主党人辜负了。这就像一支运动队。你不换球员,你就会得到同样的结果。而现在她如此支持El-Sayed,以至于她挨家挨户地在密歇根州为他敲门。我们将会看到我认为……她看到了那个东西,在她看来,所有以前的民主党竞选,甚至民选官员,都未能兑现的东西。我们只是需要改变,这就是为什么我在这里拼命。我想,这是我要死在上面的山丘。就是这一个。所以,我们走吧。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: But now the money and politics thing is the thing that just sticks with me and the need for new ideas and new people. She, I think, has felt really let down by Democrats that she voted for, that she knocked on doors for. It's like a sports team. You don't change the players, you're going to get the same result. And now is so much a supporter of El-Sayed that she knocks on door after door after door around Michigan on his behalf. We're going to see the kind of change that I think... she sees the thing that in her mind all these previous Democratic campaigns and even elected officials have failed to deliver. We just need changes, which is why I'm out here busting my ass. I'm like, this is the hill I'm going to die on. This is the one. So, here we go.
[Michael Barbaro]: 那么Mary敲门的情况怎么样?
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: And how did it go for Mary when she's knocking on these doors?
[Michael Cruz]: 所以,我们要从这里开始。我们在兰辛的郊区外围。你好。嗨。你好吗?很好。你好吗?最近怎么样?惊喜。你在摄像机上了。开玩笑的。我叫Mary。我是这些候选人的助选员。你觉得我们能指望你的支持吗?哦,是的。我实际上已经寄出了我的缺席选票。所以……太好了。好的。嗯,谢谢你。她敲的许多门都已经是El-Sayed的支持者了。我知道。我喜欢这样。你也支持吗?哦,是的。好的,很好。他是我丈夫。是的,我知道。相信我,我家里也有一个。你需要所有的选票。说实话……请……嗯,我不是Bernie的大力支持者。好的。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: So, we're going to start over here. We were in kind of the suburban outskirts of Lansing. Hi there. Hi. How are you? Good. How are you? How's it going? Surprise. You're on camera. Kidding. My name is Mary. I'm a canvasser for these candidates. Do you think we can count on your support? Oh, yeah. I actually sent in my absentee ballot. So... excellent. Okay. Well, thank you. Many of the doors she knocked on were already El-Sayed supporters. I know. I love that. Are you on board, too? Oh, yes. Okay, good. He's my husband. Yes, I know. Trust me, I've got one at home, too. You need all the vote. To be quite frank... please... Um, I'm not a big Bernie supporter. Okay.
[Michael Cruz]: 不过,我们确实遇到了一些更持怀疑态度的人。我在民主党人身上看到的是,他们中的很多人比过去走得更左,比如“觉醒”和“社会主义者”这样的词。所以,我不太确定发生了什么。比如,这个人John,曾经是共和党选民,现在希望民主党掌控。但不确定那应该是什么样的民主党。嗯,这些是进步派候选人。他们都得到了Bernie Sanders的背书。你会在他们的传单上看到。我喜欢Bernie,但他也有点吓到我。他有很多想法,但我不知道他期望所有这些事情如何获得资金。那Haley Stevens呢?你对她的看法是什么?嗯,Haley Stevens的竞选活动。她拿了各种公司钱。她从AIPAC那里拿了各种钱。那是不可接受的。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: We did encounter though some people who were more skeptical. What I'm seeing with the Democrats is a lot of them are going further left than they used to be like with woke and words like woke and words like socialist. So, I'm not really sure what's going on. For instance, this guy John, former Republican voter at this point wants Democrats to take control. Not sure though what kind of Democrat that should be. Well, these are progressive candidates. They've both been endorsed by Bernie Sanders. You'll see that on their lit. I like Bernie, but he scares me a little bit, too. He's got a lot of ideas, but I don't know how he expects all those things to be funded. What about Haley Stevens? What's your opinion on her? Um Haley Stevens campaign. She's taken all kinds of corporate money. She's getting all kinds of money from AIPAC. That is not acceptable.
[Michael Cruz]: 他想知道,我想,更多关于Haley Stevens的事情。他想知道……谁更有可能击败共和党人……谁在初选后的11月有更好的机会击败共和党人。他引用了那个经典的民主党“可当选性”概念,这个概念主导了民主党政治,你可以说,已经有相当长一段时间了,一直追溯到希拉里·克林顿2016年,乔·拜登2020年,听起来在2026年对某种民主党选民来说仍然是一个因素。而且被唐纳德·特朗普和他支持的共和党人的幽灵所加剧。谁能击败唐纳德·特朗普和这些类型的共和党人?什么是正确的民主党人?对民主党人来说,只要大多数人能记得,“可当选性”的传统思考方式就是,更中间派、更温和的候选人更有可能当选。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: He wanted to know, I think, more about Haley Stevens. And he wanted to know... who's more likely to beat the Republicans... who would have the better chance to beat the Republican come November after this primary? He's invoking that classic Democratic concept of electability that has dominated Democratic politics, you could argue, for quite some time, all the way back to Hillary Clinton 2016, Joe Biden 2020, and it sounds like is still a factor for a certain kind of Democratic voter in 2026 and supercharged by the spectre of Donald Trump and Republicans who have his backing. Who can beat Donald Trump and these kinds of Republicans? What is the right kind of Democrat? The conventional way of thinking about electability for Democrats for as long as most people can remember has been the more centrist, more moderate candidate is the more electable candidate.
[Michael Barbaro]: 那么,当你和Mary站在一起时,她对像John这样的选民提出的“可当选性”问题是怎么回答的?
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: So what does Mary, as you're standing with her, say to that electability question that a voter like John is asking?
[Michael Cruz]: Mary的论点本质上是,这是一个不同的时刻,因为人们想要改变,他们会吸引……一种需要不同投票方式的时刻,投票给变革候选人,因为这是一场变革选举。Abdul在18到44岁的人群中民调支持率超过80%。这个人群,如果不是今年,到2028年,将成为这个国家最大的投票群体。如果他们……如果他们投票……如果他们投票。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: Mary's argument in essence is that this is a different moment because of the change people want and they will appeal... a sort of moment that requires a different kind of voting, vote for the change candidate because this is a change election. Abdul is polling at 80 plus% in the 18 to 44 year old demographic. That demographic if not this year by 2028 is going to be the biggest voting block in this country. If they'll vote... if they'll vote.
[Michael Cruz]: 绝对。但是有很多热情,我认为如果民主党在考虑它的未来,它必须考虑到这一点。在这个意义上,她认为El-Sayed是可当选的。他是可当选的,因为“可当选性”这个问题本身已经改变了,因为我们在政治上走到了这一步,因为选民们跨越政治光谱都感到政治是无回应的,是无可挽回地破碎的,以至于我们需要做一些非常不同的事情,而这里的不同的候选人,因此也许实际上更有可能当选的候选人是Abdul El-Sayed,而不是温和派。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: Absolutely. But there's a lot of enthusiasm and I think if the Democratic party is looking at its future, it's got to take that into consideration. And in that sense, she's arguing El-Sayed is electable. He is electable because the electability question itself has changed because of where we've gotten to in politics because of the sense that voters across the political spectrum feel like politics is unresponsive, is so irreparably broken that we need to do something so very different and the different candidate here and therefore perhaps actually the more electable candidate is Abdul El-Sayed rather than the moderate.
[选民John]: 而且呃,我不能保证我会怎么走。我有点倾向于Stevens,但有一件事我可以肯定地告诉你。我,我真的不知道我会投票给谁,说实话。但它不会是一个共和党人。所以,我希望这让我感觉好一点……让我对11月感觉好一点,但我希望当你真正填写选票的时候,你会和我们站在一起。但最重要的是,我感谢你的倾听。
Original English
[Voter John]: And uh I can't guarantee you which way I'm going to go. I was kind of leaning toward Stevens, but one thing I can tell you for sure. I don't know who I'm going to vote for, honestly. But it's not going to be a Republican. So, I hope that makes me feel a little bit... makes me feel better about November, but I'm hoping you'll be with us when you actually fill it out. But most of all, I appreciate you listening.
[Michael Cruz]: 这就是密歇根这里的问题。“可当选性”在这一点上是否意味着不同的东西?还是它仍然意味着它一直意味着的东西,即更像Haley Stevens的候选人实际上是最有可能当选的候选人?我们马上回来。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: And that's the question here in Michigan. Does electability at this point mean something different? Or does it mean what it's always meant that the candidate more like Haley Stevens is in fact the most electable candidate? We'll be right back.
史蒂文斯的竞选活动
[Michael Barbaro]: 那么,Michael,你接下来花时间与国会女议员Haley Stevens的竞选团队在一起,她是这场竞选中温和派,在这种竞选中传统上可当选的候选人。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: So, Michael, you next spend time with the campaign of Congresswoman Haley Stevens, the moderate in this race, the traditionally electable candidate in a race like this.
[Michael Cruz]: 对。我们去看了Haley Stevens在兰辛郊区一个叫Okemos的地方的助选启动活动。和El-Sayed的活动简直天差地别。首先,它根本不是一个集会。它在一个支持者的家里。嗯,我在浴室里放了饼干和水,所以,你知道,我什么都准备好了。只有十几个人。那里的记者和工作人员比敲门的人还多。嗯。她从她的黑色SUV里出来……一个工作人员开始喊Haley的口号。多有趣。多有趣。多有趣。然后她……你好……做了她版本的零售政治。我们这里有一些大人物,比如Blue Brigade。政治上没有像Haley Stevens这样的人物。你知道吗?这种思想辩论,你知道,要进行真正的辩论,不仅仅是在“推特”上。我称之为“推特”。我就是这么叫的。但是……老套的语言。我要对他不客气。好的。她的密歇根口音,她与人互动的方式,都有一种独特的可爱。我认为她理解自己是这样的人,并且拥抱这一点,然后她开始了她的宣传。我们需要诚实、敬业的公务员。我是在国会大厅里为你工作的老黄牛。法案,什么?降低食品杂货成本怎么样?我实际上有一项关于这个的立法。所有这些都落在了……我们会在11月赢的,宝贝。绝对。你知道,我的意思是,我们会赢的。我会击败Mike Rogers。我是能击败Mike Rogers的候选人,这就是她的证明。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: Right. We went to see Haley Stevens canvas kickoff in a suburb of Lansing called Okemos. Could not have been more different than the El-Sayed event. First of all, it wasn't a rally at all. It was at a supporter's house. Well, I got cookies and water in a bathroom, so you know, I got it all going on. It was barely more than a dozen people. There were more reporters and staffers there than door knockers. Huh. She stepped out of her black SUV and a staffer started a Haley chant. How fun. How fun. How fun. And she... Hello... did her version of retail politics. We got some big time people here like the Blue Brigade. There is no character in politics quite like Haley Stevens. You know what? This argument of ideas, you know, to have real debates, not just on the twit. I call it the twit. That's what I call it. But... corny language. I'm going to stick it to him. All right. Her Michigander accent, the way she interacts with people is its own kind of endearing. I think she understands that she is this way and embraces it and she went into her pitch. We need honest, dedicated public servants. I'm the workhorse working for you in the halls of Congress. Bills, what? What about lowering the cost of groceries? I actually have a piece of legislation on that. All of which landed on... We're going to win baby in November. Absolutely. You know, I mean, and we're going to win. I'm going to beat Mike Rogers. I'm the candidate who can beat Mike Rogers and her proof.
[Michael Cruz]: 当然,一直有证据表明共和党人想和他(El-Sayed)对决。Mike Rogers泄露了一个电话,就是这个调子。Mike Rogers基本上自己也是这么说的。他认为这让他更容易赢,并且说,他宁愿和El-Sayed竞争,也不愿和她竞争。所以,“可当选性”明确地是Haley Stevens的论点,以至于她说,看,我自己的共和党对手认为我是最有可能当选的,最怕我。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: There certainly has been consistent evidence that the Republicans want to run against him, to duel. Mike Rogers leaked a phone call to that tune. Mike Rogers essentially says so himself. He thinks it makes it easier for him to win and says that he would rather run against El-Sayed than against her. So electability is explicitly Haley Stevens argument so much so that she says look my own Republican rival thinks that I'm the most electable, fears me the most.
[Haley Stevens]: 对。我会确保我们在权力的大厅里被听到,而且我会确保Mike Rogers滚回佛罗里达去。谢谢你们。
Original English
[Haley Stevens]: Right. I'm going to make sure that we are heard in the halls of power and I'm going to make damn sure then Mike Rogers goes back to Florida. Thank you.
[Michael Cruz]: 所以,在Stevens发表讲话后,我们都分开了……打扰一下。嗨。嗨。和我一起的一位《The Daily》制作人York,呃,她和两个敲门的人待了一段时间。你在密歇根待了一辈子吗?没有,但我在这里,我在这里50年了。有Alyssa。我真的很自豪能成为一个密歇根人。她曾是图书管理员。最初搬到兰辛读研究生,就再也没有离开过。好的。那么,你要开车吗?是的。和她一起的是Marie……一辆雪佛兰。非常经典的密歇根。是的。毫无疑问。她曾是选举书记员。然后我退休了,我成为了一个选区主席。然后你说,“我还没完。我还有更多的选举要参加”……一个就是离不开政治的人。你能告诉我你喜欢国会女议员Stevens的什么吗?我就是喜欢她的政绩,她做过的事,我觉得她从众议院转到参议院,她会准备好大干一场。而且我们喜欢她的口音。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: So after Stevens has made her remarks, we all split up and... Excuse me. Hi. Hi. One of the daily producers I was with, York, and uh she spent a bunch of time with two door knockers. And have you been in Michigan your whole life? No, but I've been here I've been here 50 years. There was Alyssa. I'm really proud to be a Michigander. She's a former librarian. Originally moved to Lansing for grad school, never left. Okay. So, you're going to drive? Yes. She was joined by Marie... a Chevy. Very classic Michigan. Yeah. No doubt about that. She's a former elections clerk. Then I retired and I became a precinct chair. And then you said, "I'm not done. I got more elections in me"... who just can't quit politics. Can you tell me what you like about Congresswoman Stevens? I just like her record, what she's done, and I feel like her moving from the House to the Senate, she's just going to be ready to run. And we love her accent.
[Michael Cruz]: Alyssa和Marie以前敲过门,但这是她们第一次为Stevens助选。所以,我们这边两个,那边两个。她们到了一个离Stevens活动大约5分钟车程的社区,离天黑只有几个小时了。她们投递了很多传单,因为很多人不在家或不回应。不过,她们确实交谈过的人似乎对Stevens相当友好,包括一位名叫Julius的年长黑人男子,他没有开门,但通过他的可视门铃摄像头交谈。非常现代。你听说过她吗?哦,是的。你投票了吗?你投票了吗?还没有。我打算投给她。哦,太好了。哦,非常感谢。Julius是Stevens的粉丝。他实际上非常支持,以至于他说Alyssa和Marie可以在他的院子里放一个Stevens的牌子。那,我的意思是,你知道,当你助选时,如果你能得到一个牌子,那就是那回事。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: Alyssa and Marie had knocked on doors before, but this was their first time canvasing for Stevens. So, we've got two on this side, two on that side. They got to a neighborhood about 5 minutes away from the Stevens event, just a couple hours before it got dark. They were dropping off a lot of flyers because a lot of people weren't home or weren't answering. The people they did talk to though seemed fairly Stevens friendly, including an older black man named Julius, who didn't answer his door, but did talk through his doorbell video camera. It's very modern. Have you heard of her? Oh, yes. Have you voted? Have you voted yet? Not yet. I plan to vote for her. Oh, terrific. Oh, thank you so much. Julius was a fan of Stevens. He was actually so on board that he said Alyssa and Marie could put a Stevens sign in his yard. That I mean that's like you know when you're canvasing that's the thing if you can get a sign.
[Michael Cruz]: 在Alyssa和Marie完成后……这是我第一次通过Ring门铃做采访。所以Anna留下来,问了Julius几个关于他为什么对Stevens感兴趣的问题……背书,但她和奥巴马一起处理了一些非常重要的问题。这本身就是一个卖点。你是他的粉丝。他熟悉她多年前在Barack Obama政府中的工作。Obama没有为Stevens背书,但我认为这种联系对密歇根某种类型的民主党人仍然很重要。而且我认为州长已经为她背书了。他熟悉那些为她背书的人。Gretchen Whitmer州长,Gary Peters,她要接替的参议员。这些建制派的背书对Julius来说是一种奖励,是可当选性的标志。那么,你有没有考虑过其他候选人?你有没有考虑过Abdul?哦,是的。我考虑过Abdul。我在想谁最有希望赢得……选举。大选。是的。听起来Julius是Stevens竞选团队拼命想争取的那种选民。他被她在这场竞选中作为王牌提出的建制派资历所吸引。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: And after Alyssa and Marie were done... and this is my first interview I've ever done through a Ring doorbell. So Anna stayed back and asked Julius a few more questions about why he was interested in Stevens... endorsement but she worked on some very important uh issues with Obama. That itself is a selling point. You're a fan of his. He was familiar with her work years ago for the administration of Barack Obama. Obama hasn't endorsed Stevens, but there's an association that I think still matters to a certain kind of Democrat in Michigan. And I think that uh the governor has endorsed her. He was familiar with the people who've endorsed her. Gretchen Whitmer, the governor, Gary Peters, the senator she's trying to replace. These establishment endorsements that are a bonus, a sign of electability for Julius. So, did you ever consider any of the other candidates? Did you ever consider Abdul? Oh, yes. I considered Abdul. I'm thinking about who will have the best chances of winning the election. The general. Yes. It sounds like Julius is the kind of voter that the Stevens campaign is bending backwards to get. He's appealed to by the very establishment credentials that she presents as her calling cards in this campaign.
[Michael Barbaro]: 毫无疑问。她的核心支持者是传统的民主党基本盘选民,黑人选民,老年选民,也许更温和,他们仍然认为自己更温和。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: No question. Her core constituency is traditional Democratic base voters, black voters, older voters, perhaps more moderate who still see themselves as more moderate.
[Michael Cruz]: 一个更务实的民主党人。没有他们,她赢不了。我想该停了。我同意。所以,Alyssa和Marie结束了。她们准备回家了,但在我们都离开之前,我们又和她们聊了一会儿。你对AIPAC的钱感觉如何?哦,我,我感觉不太好。嗯,我是否希望她没有拿那笔钱?嗯,是的。我希望我们能做的是停止纯洁性测试。嗯,因为我认为双方都绝对有罪。有趣的是,即使她们为Stevens敲门……Marie确实对所有的AIPAC钱有一些保留……我们在这个所谓的建制派民主党人和民主社会主义者之间存在着真正的分裂。而且……我觉得这很令人失望,因为我……我支持进步派会支持的一切。我支持这个纲领,但不知怎的,我觉得我被归入了“紧抓珍珠的婴儿潮一代”的行列。但我不认为我是。如果你支持,你知道,就像你说的,一个更进步的议程,那怎么会引导你,你知道,去支持一个更温和一点的人呢?我认为嗯,要完成事情需要很多人。拥有所有,你知道,崇高的理想是很好的。我们都有。但要真正完成影响人们日常生活的实事,我们必须有一些两党合作。但Marie说,归根结底,我们需要一个能赢的人,一个能在华盛顿完成事情的人。这很重要。“可当选性”很重要。她最有希望击败Mike Rogers。Marie和Alyssa都仍然认为她比El-Sayed更有可能当选。嗯,非常感谢你这么开放。是的,当然。当然。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: A much more pragmatic Democrat. Without them, she cannot win. I think it's time to stop. I agree. So, Alyssa and Marie wrapped up. They were ready to go home, but before we all left, we talked to them a little bit more. How do you feel about the AIPAC money? Oh, I don't feel great about it. Um, do I wish that she wasn't taking that money? Um, yes. What I wish we could do is stop with the purity test. Um, because I think both sides are absolutely guilty of it. It was interesting even as they knocked on doors for Stevens... Marie did have some reservations about all the AIPAC money... that we've got this real schism between so-called establishment Democrats and Democratic socialists. And... I find that to be a bummer because... I support everything that a progressive would support. I support the platform but somehow or another I feel like I'm relegated to a pearl clutching baby boomer. But which I don't think I am. If you support, you know, like you're saying, like a more progressive agenda, how does that lead you to, you know, someone who is a little bit more moderate? I think um it takes a lot of people to get stuff done. It's great to have all, you know, lofty ideals. We all have them. But to really get stuff done that impacts people every day, we got to have some bipartisanship. But Marie said at the end of the day, we need someone who can win, someone who can get things done in Washington. It is important. Electability is important. She has the best chance to beat Mike Rogers. Marie and Alyssa both still see her as the more electable candidate than El-Sayed. Well, thank you so much for being so open. Yeah, of course. Of course.
[Michael Barbaro]: 让我印象深刻的是,即使是像Marie这样为Stevens敲门的志愿者,她付出了相当多的时间来做这项工作,却非常坦率地告诉你,她认为Stevens不完美,但足够可当选。我猜她真正的意思是,在大选中对抗共和党人是可当选的。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: It's striking to me that even a volunteer door knocker for Stevens, like Marie, who's giving up pretty meaningful amounts of her time to do this work, is very freely telling you that she sees Stevens as imperfect, but electable enough. And I guess what she really means is electable against a Republican in the general.
[Michael Cruz]: 完全正确。她考虑11月多于考虑8月。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: Exactly. She's thinking about November more than she's thinking about August.
[Michael Barbaro]: 那么,Michael,你描述的显然是这两场活动和这两位候选人之间的热情差距。在初选前夕,民调告诉我们谁最有可能获胜?民调显示他领先,而且最近几周,民调显示他正在拉开差距。他在最近的一些调查中的优势是两位数的。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: So, Michael, you're describing what feels pretty evidently like an enthusiasm gap between these two events and between these two candidates. What is the polling at this point, right on the heels of the primary, telling us about who's most likely to win? The polls say that he's leading and of late over the last couple weeks the polls say he is pulling away. His margin in a number of these most recent surveys are in double digits.
[Michael Cruz]: 有趣。这些是民调。民调不是选票。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: Interesting. These are polls. Polls aren't votes.
[Michael Barbaro]: 嗯。民调可能出错,正如我们多年来看到的那样,但尤其是最近,民调显示势头在El-Sayed这边,而不是Stevens。我不得不想,Michael,El-Sayed这个相当一致,现在在竞选结束时还在增长的领先优势,告诉我们一些关于进步主义在一个紫色州的机会,也告诉我们一些关于“可当选性”这个大问题的东西。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: Mhm. Polls can be fallible as we've seen over the years, but especially of late, polls show the momentum with El-Sayed more than Stevens. I have to think, Michael, that that somewhat consistent and now at the end of this race growing lead for El-Sayed is telling us something about the chances of progressivism in a purple state and also something about this big question of electability.
[Michael Cruz]: 完全同意。事情是这样的。如果我们按表面价值看待民调,感觉密歇根的民主党选民已经准备好挑战这个传统观念,即更温和的候选人在定义上就是更有可能当选的候选人。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: Totally. And here's the thing. If we take polls at face value, it feels like Democratic voters in Michigan are ready to challenge this conventional notion that the more moderate candidate is by definition the more electable candidate.
马尼斯蒂的选民
[Michael Cruz]: 而且我们与一些El-Sayed的选民进行了一系列精彩的对话,关于这个转变或潜在的转变,在一个叫马尼斯蒂的地方,它在州的西部,更靠北,在密歇根湖畔。是的,很高兴认识你。嗨。当我们到达马尼斯蒂县民主党的办公室时……你穿着一件“Abdul竞选参议员”的衬衫,我之前没看到。绝对。所以……那里不乏El-Sayed的传单、按钮、政治用品、支持El-Sayed的标志。没有Stevens的任何东西。这是马尼斯蒂民主党的吉祥物。我有一个。来吧,把它摆好,让他们看看你的爪子。甚至还有一只叫Hazel的贵宾犬。她的爪子是蓝色的……她穿着一件El-Sayed的衬衫。太棒了。Hazel支持Abdul。有点令人惊讶,因为我们在一个共和党县,一个特朗普县。诚然,我们在一个小城市和一个蓝色自治市,但仍然不是我以为会看到这么多支持两位民主党人中更进步的那一位的地方。我们想看着人们观看Stevens和El-Sayed之间的辩论,并和他们谈谈他们对辩论的看法。前韦恩县卫生局长,Abdul El-Sayed博士。Stevens。所以,在我们看着他们看完辩论后……我最后问他们感觉如何,“可当选性”肯定被提出来了。当人们谈论“可当选性”时,对你来说意味着什么?什么让一个候选人更有可能当选?我知道我的想法。我认为它意味着谁更有政治关系。这通常是我听到的感觉。而且就像,我不在乎那个。是谁有观点。我想让谁来领导我?不是谁可当选。这就是我的想法。而且……我感觉相反。我觉得“可当选性”就是一切,因为如果我们不拿下参议院,更不用说众议院了,我们就完蛋了。阿门。是的……他们中的一些人仍然把“可当选性”这个问题放在首位……但他们中的一些人已经决定,在某种程度上,去他的“可当选性”。我们总是,嗯,我听说过有人去投票站投票给某人,因为,嗯,另一个人选不上。嗯,我们是不是在自断后路,因为如果我们假设某人选不上,那我们就会投票给我们可能认为不是最好的人选。嗯……我们低估了自己,也低估了密歇根的其他所有人。我们认为我们知道别人的想法,但我们不知道。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: And we had a fascinating series of conversations with some El-Sayed voters about just this shift or potential shift in a place called Manistee which is the western part of the state far more north in the state on Lake Michigan. Yeah, nice to meet you. Hi. When we got to the office of the Democratic Party of Manistee County and... you're wearing an Abdul for Senate shirt, I didn't see that yet. Absolutely. So... there was no shortage of El-Sayed flyers, buttons, political paraphernalia, signs of support for El-Sayed. Nothing for Stevens. This is the Manistee Dems mascot. I have one of them. Come on, set that up so they can see your paws. There was even a poodle named Hazel. She has blue paws and she was wearing an El-Sayed shirt. Amazing. Hazel's for Abdul. Little surprising because we were in a Republican county, a county that is a Trump county. Granted, we were in a small city and a blue municipality, but still not a place where I expected to see so much support for the more progressive of the two Democrats running in this primary. And we wanted to watch people watch a debate between Stevens and El-Sayed and talk to them about what they made of the debate. Former Wayne County Health Director, Dr. Abdul El-Sayed. Stevens. So after we watched them watch the debate... I ended up asking them how they were feeling and electability definitely came up. When people talk about electability, what does it mean to you? What makes a candidate more electable? I know what I think. I think it means about who's more politically connected. That's usually what that sounds like to me. And it's like I don't care about that. It's who's got a point. Who do I want to lead for me? Not who is electable. That's what I think. And... I feel the opposite. I feel that electability is everything because if we don't take the Senate, much less the House, we're screwed. Amen. Yeah... some of them had this question of electability still front of mind... but some of them had decided that to some extent to hell with electability. We always um I've heard of people that go to the polls and they vote for someone because well the other person can't get elected. Well, aren't we like uh chopping ourselves off at the knees because if we're assuming someone can't get elected, then we're going to vote for the person that maybe we don't think will be the best one. Mhm. Uh we're selling ourselves short and we're selling everyone else in Michigan short. We're thinking that we know what other people think and we don't know.
[Michael Cruz]: 最有趣的是听他们达到一个境界,他们不会试图玩这个“可当选性”的三维棋,然后送出他们认为能在11月获胜的人。他们会选择那个最能对他们说话的人,然后让大选的结果顺其自然。嗯,你认为你的邻居们,你未决定的邻居们,不投票的邻居们,甚至可能共和党的邻居们,更有可能投票给Abdul,比如说,还是Haley Stevens?可能是Haley。如果共和党人过来,他们可能会投票给“披着羊皮的共和党人”。我的意思是,他们中的一些人甚至承认,他们在马尼斯蒂县的一些共和党邻居……他们认识的一些更中间派的独立人士,如果El-Sayed通过初选,他们知道在11月可能不会投票给他。但是,那你不是必须保住参议院席位吗?那么,鉴于此,你感觉如何?我愿意为一个我认为真心为我们最大利益着想的人冒险……但这至少这一次不会决定他们自己在这次初选中做出的决定。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: What was so interesting was listening to them get to a place where they're not going to try to play this electability 3D chess and send the person they think can win in November. They're going to pick the person who is speaking to them the most and let the chips fall in the general. Um, which of these candidates do you think your neighbors, your undecided neighbors, non-voting neighbors, maybe even Republican neighbors are more likely to vote for, Abdul say or Haley Stevens? Probably Haley. If they're Republicans are coming over, they're probably going to vote for the Republican in sheep's clothing. I mean, some of them even acknowledge that some of their Republican neighbors in Manistee County... some of the more centrist independents they know might not vote for El-Sayed come November should he make it through the primary. But then don't you have to keep the Senate seat? So, how do you feel about that given the... I'm willing to take my chances for a guy that I think honestly has our best interest at heart... but that at least this time around would not determine the decision they themselves made in this primary.
[Michael Barbaro]: 这真的很有趣,因为这些选民似乎比Mary更进一步,Mary是你之前告诉我们的那个El-Sayed志愿者。Mary说的是她认为El-Sayed是可当选的。而这些选民说的是不同的。他们说,也许他可当选,也许他不可当选。但无论如何,我们甚至不再处理这个“可当选性”问题了,对吧?
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: This is really interesting because these voters seem to be taking things a step further than Mary, that El-Sayed volunteer who you were telling us about earlier. What Mary was saying was that she thinks El-Sayed is electable. And what these voters are saying is different. They're saying maybe he is electable, maybe he isn't. But either way, we're done even dealing with this electability question in the first place, right?
[Michael Cruz]: 而且这群人的想法和他们不久前,在过去十年里,在决定把选票投给谁的方式上,是不同的。所以,事实上,比如我,嗯,可能考虑过,嗯,你知道,比如当Bernie Sanders很久以前竞选总统的时候,我以为他没有可当选性,现在我真希望我当时买入了。我们确实听到有人说想投票给Bernie Sanders但没有投。而今年,以一种感觉非常不同、新颖和独特的方式,他们就是要投票给El-Sayed。管他呢。唐纳德·特朗普在2016年来了。现在,他根本不是中间派候选人,但他对多年没有投票的人说话。他不是试图转化其他民主党人。他是试图把新人带进这个进程。而且它奏效了。他赢得了这个县。而Abdul在说,“嘿,我们需要做一些不同的事情。”回想2016年。直到选举日,所有的传统智慧都说唐纳德·特朗普肯定不会赢。但显然,足够多的共和党人在2016年让他成为他们的提名人,然后刚好足够多的人在刚好足够多的地方,那些最重要的地方,让他成为了总统。也许民主党人现在,十年后,发现自己处于一个类似的关口。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: And this crowd was thinking differently than they were thinking not that long ago in the last decade in how they decided where to put their vote. So, in fact, like I um probably considered back um you know, like when Bernie Sanders was running for president way back, I thought he didn't have the electability and now I wish to hell I would have bought in. We did hear from people who wanted to vote for Bernie Sanders but didn't. And this year, in a way that felt pretty different and new and distinct, they were just going to vote for El-Sayed. Screw it. Donald Trump came in in 2016. Now, he was not at all a middle ground candidate, but he spoke to people that hadn't voted in years. He wasn't trying to convert other Democrats. He was trying to bring new people into the process. And it worked. He won this county. And Abdul is saying, "Hey, we need to do something different." Think back to 2016. All of the conventional wisdom up until election day that said surely Donald Trump could not win. But clearly enough Republicans made him their nominee in 2016 and then just enough people in just enough places, the places that matter the most, made him the president. And perhaps Democrats find themselves now a decade later at a similar juncture.
[选民们]: 期待每一天。我们会保持联系的。谢谢你们。非常感谢你们。我喜欢。谢谢,伙计们。再见。
Original English
[Voters]: Looking forward every day. We'll be in touch. Thank you. Thank you all so much. I love it. Thanks, guys. Bye.
[Michael Barbaro]: 感觉你和Assa还有Anna在密歇根真正看到的,不仅仅是民主党人想要进步派还是温和派的最新考验,而是一种对民主党人来说无论如何都在折磨人的“可当选性”问题的全新方法。而这种新的心态是,一些现在支持El-Sayed的民主党人已经决定,不再因为担心他们的共和党邻居不会支持他们而说服自己放弃选择那个令人兴奋的、颠覆性的候选人,相反,他们在做特朗普时代这种更“共和党式”的事情,他们只是说,我们要跟随我们的内心。我们要投票给我们喜欢的人,去他的后果,对吧?也许后果包括你确实得到了你真正想要的、全心全意想要的人。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: It feels like what you and Assa and Anna really saw in Michigan was not just the latest test of whether Democrats want a progressive or a moderate, but a genuinely new approach to this for Democrats anyway agonizing question of electability. And that new mindset is that some of these Democrats who are now behind El-Sayed have decided to stop talking themselves out of picking the exciting disruptive candidate for fear that their Republican neighbors won't back them and instead they're doing this more Republican thing in the Trump era and they're just saying we're going to follow our hearts. We're going to vote for the person we like and to hell with the consequences, right? And maybe the consequences include you do get the person you actually want and want with your whole heart.
[Michael Cruz]: 不乏跨越政治光谱的选民,不仅仅是共和党人,他们对常规政治、对体制如此愤怒,以至于他们愿意说,你知道吗,是时候做些不同的事情了。是时候做些新的事情了。是时候支持变革候选人了,即使我们被告知变革候选人不是可当选的候选人。
Original English
[Michael Cruz]: There is no shortage of voters across the political spectrum, not just Republicans, who are so angry at politics as usual, at the system, that they're willing to just say, you know what, it's time for something different. It's time for something new. It's time for the change candidate, even if we are being told that the change candidate is not the electable candidate.
[Michael Barbaro]: 也许变革候选人就是可当选的候选人。也许在2026年,“可当选性”在政治光谱的两边都是全新的东西。嗯,Michael,非常感谢你。谢谢。我们马上回来。以下是今天你需要知道的其他新闻。在确认过程开局不顺之后,特朗普总统的代理司法部长Todd Blanche周一赢得了美国参议院两位关键的共和党顽固分子的支持,为Blanche最快在本周获得参议院全体确认铺平了道路。这两位共和党参议员是北卡罗来纳州的Tom Tillis和德克萨斯州的John Cornyn。Blanche提供了两项行动的书面保证。首先,他已经终止了一个基金,该基金用于支付那些声称受到政府不公平起诉的特朗普盟友。其次,Blanche缩小了一项协议的范围,该协议旨在保护特朗普、他的家人和他们的企业免受国税局的审查。但缩小后的国税局协议仍然阻止国税局审计特朗普、他的两个大儿子和特朗普集团之前的纳税申报表。这是总统前所未有的自肥行为。此外,卫生官员报告了两起与寄生虫环孢子虫相关的死亡事件,这种寄生虫通过被人类粪便污染的食物传播。两起死亡都涉及密歇根州有严重潜在健康问题的人。这些死亡发生在美国历史上最严重的寄生虫爆发期间。卫生官员已确认或正在调查45个州超过18,000例感染。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: Maybe the change candidate is the electable candidate. Maybe electability is something totally new in 2026 on both sides of the political aisle. Well, Michael, thank you very much. Thank you. We'll be right back. Here's what else you need to know today. After a rocky start to his confirmation process, President Trump's acting attorney general, Todd Blanche, won over two crucial Republican holdouts in the US Senate on Monday, paving the way for Blanche to be confirmed by the full Senate as soon as this week. The two Republican senators are Tom Tillis of North Carolina and John Cornyn of Texas. Blanche provided written assurances of two actions. First, that he had killed off a fund to pay Trump allies who claimed they were unfairly prosecuted by the government. And second, that Blanche had narrowed the scope of a deal to protect Trump, his family, and their businesses from the IRS. But the narrowed IRS deal still prevents the IRS from auditing the previous tax returns of Trump, his two oldest sons, and the Trump Organization. An unprecedented act of self-dealing by the president. And health officials have reported two deaths linked to the parasite cyclospora, which is spread through food contaminated with human feces. Both of the deaths involved people in Michigan with significant underlying health conditions. The deaths come amid the worst outbreak of the parasite in US history. Health officials have confirmed or are investigating more than 18,000 infections across 45 states.
[Michael Barbaro]: 今天的节目由OA Cherved、Anna Foley、Eric Krupke和Claire Tennis制作。由Rob Zipco和Rachel Quester编辑,包含Marian Lozano、Alicia Baup和Pat McCusker的音乐。我们的主题音乐由Wonderly创作。本期节目由Alyssa Moxley负责工程技术。这就是《The Daily》的全部内容。我是Michael Barbaro。明天见。
Original English
[Michael Barbaro]: Today's episode was produced by OA Cherved, Anna Foley, Eric Krupke, and Claire Tennis. It was edited by Rob Zipco and Rachel Quester and contains music by Marian Lozano, Alicia Baup, and Pat McCusker. Our theme music is by Wonderly. This episode was engineered by Alyssa Moxley. That's it for the Daily. I'm Michael Barbaro. See you tomorrow.
📌 文中提及的人物和组织
人物: Abdul El-Sayed, Haley Stevens, Michael Cruz, Michael Barbaro
公司/组织: Democratic Party, AIPAC, UAW