气候行动的早期阶段与福岛的转折点
我从事气候议题的工作近三十年。在大部分时间里,我曾与一个名为“Kiko Network”的日本气候组织合作。当然,这段历程充满了起伏,但今天我想分享一些我们成功过的时刻。一个转折点发生在2011年福岛核灾难之后。日本所有的核反应堆突然全部停运,国家的能源系统站在了关键的十字路口。当人们开始警醒于核能风险时,对气候变化的关注却随之减退。接着,不久之后,发展燃煤发电厂的新计划开始激增。数量从10个,上升到20个,再到50个。考虑到长期的二氧化碳排放影响,这是一个真正令人担忧的趋势。
Original English
I've been working on the climate issue for almost 30 years. For most of that time, I worked with the Japanese climate organization called Kiko Network. Of course, it's been filled with ups and downs, but today I would like to share some of the moments when we succeeded. One turning point came after the Fukushima nuclear disaster in 2011. All of Japan's nuclear reactors shut down all of a sudden, and the country's energy system stood at a critical crossroads. While people were waking to nuclear risks, attention to climate change faded in return. Then, soon after, new plans to develop coal-fired power plants began to surge. The number went up to 10, 20 and 50. That was a really scary trend considering the long-term CO2 emissions' impact.
煤炭议题的聚焦与公众动员
当时,我一直专注于联合国气候谈判和国家气候政策。但我将重心转向了煤炭议题。为什么是煤炭?即使是亲近我的人也会问这个问题。尽管日本已有超过150台燃煤发电厂(Coal-fired power plants: 燃烧煤炭发电的设施)在运行,但这一事实对人们来说却鲜为人知,视而不见,就像对待二氧化碳(CO2 emissions: 导致气候变化的主要温室气体)一样。于是,我们开始创建一个全国性的地图,追踪每一个煤电项目,并将其公之于众。此外,我们走访了项目所在地社区,与当地民众交谈。但许多时候,人们并不太关心气候变化和新的煤电项目。他们更关心日常生活中的问题,如工作、收入或育儿。因此,我们不仅谈论气候变化,还谈论经济和金融风险,以及空气污染对健康的影响。我所尝试的一切对我来说都是新的。于是,我主动联系了日本国内外各领域的专家、律师、教授和非政府组织。我毫不犹豫地寻求帮助。最终,我们建立了合作网络。
Original English
At that time, I'd been focusing on the UN climate negotiations and national climate policy. But I turned my focus to work on coal. Why coal? Even people close to me ask this question. Despite the fact that more than 150 units of coal-fired power plants are in operation in Japan, that fact was just unknown and invisible to people. Kind of like CO2. So we started to create a nationwide map to track every coal project and made it public. Also, we visited communities where projects are located and spoke with people. But on many occasions, people didn't care much about the climate and new coal projects. People cared more about their daily issues such as jobs, income or child care. So we talked not only about climate change, but also about economic and financial risks and health impacts from air pollution. Everything I tried was new to me. So I reached out to experts, lawyers, professors and NGOs, both in Japan and abroad. I didn't hesitate to ask for help. And eventually, we developed networks.
股东积极主义的胜利与显著成效
通过公民参与、数据追踪和战略沟通的结合,人们逐渐开始行动起来。2020年,我采取了又一项行动。我们向瑞穗银行(Mizuho: 日本大型银行之一,曾是全球最大的煤炭融资机构)提交了一份股东提案。我们要求公司披露其符合《巴黎协定》(Paris Agreement: 旨在应对气候变化的国际条约)的业务计划,这意味着不再为新的煤炭项目提供融资。在西方国家,围绕气候问题的股东积极主义早已获得了动力,但在日本,这是前所未有的。我花了数月时间研究海外的最佳实践。我仍然记得股东大会前一天,我和在澳大利亚的朋友的那次谈话。他说:“你可能会获得17%的支持,我打赌。”我回答说:“哦不,如果我们能拿到10%,那已经是个奇迹了。”令我惊喜的是,该提案获得了34%股东的支持。(欢呼声和掌声)其中包括大型机构投资者的支持。这在日本全国引起了很大的轰动。作为这些多方面努力的结果,在50个提议的煤电项目中,有17个,总计九吉瓦(Gigawatts: 功率单位,等于十亿瓦)的装机容量被取消了。(欢呼声和掌声)这次取消阻止了每年5000万吨二氧化碳的排放,在其生命周期内共计17亿吨。这相当于每年减少了相当于800多万辆汽车在40年内的排放量。(欢呼声和掌声)当然,这次成功并非我们一家的功劳。许多人也采取了行动。但许多被取消的项目与我们曾密集工作的地区重叠。我可以说,我们的合作努力是有效的。日本的公民社会常被认为渺小且无力。但即使是一个小团体,看似不可能的事情也并非一定不可能。这是我学到的。
Original English
With a combination of citizens’ engagement, data tracking and strategic communication, gradually people started to act. In 2020, I took another action. We submitted a shareholder proposal to Mizuho, one of Japan's largest banks and the biggest coal financier globally at that time. We asked the company to disclose its business plan, aligned with the Paris Agreement. That means there is no room to finance new coal. In Western countries, shareholder activism on climate had already gained momentum, but in Japan it was the very first of its kind. I spent months studying best practices overseas. I still remember the conversation I had with my friend in Australia on the day before the shareholder meeting. He said, "You will probably get 17 percent support, so I'm betting." And I said, "Oh no, if we get 10 percent, that will already be a miracle." To my surprise, the proposal received 34 percent support from shareholders. (Cheers and applause) Including large institutional investors. That became quite big news across the country. As a result of those multiple works, out of 50 proposed coal projects, 17, totaling nine gigawatts, were cancelled. (Cheers and applause) This cancellation prevented 50 million tons of CO2 per year and 1.7 billion tons over their lifetimes. That's equivalent to taking more than eight million cars off the road every year for 40 years. (Cheers and applause) Of course, the success wasn't ours alone. Many people took action, too. But many cancelled projects overlapped with regions where we worked intensively. I can tell that our collaborative efforts worked. Civil society in Japan is often considered small and powerless. But even as a small group, what seems impossible is not necessarily impossible. That's what I learned.
迈向可再生能源的系统性变革之路
但这并非我旅程的终点。阻止三分之一的新煤电项目仅仅是第一步。日本在很大程度上仍然依赖化石燃料(Fossil fuels: 煤炭、石油、天然气等由古代生物遗骸形成的燃料)。我们现在面临的真正挑战是,将整个经济从化石燃料中转型。这意味着光说“不”是不够的。我们需要建立一个积极、坚定的“是”,以实现系统性变革。但我们仍然面临各种论调,例如:可再生能源(Renewable energy: 如太阳能、风能等自然补充的能源)昂贵,不可靠。这些在日本仍然是热议的话题。而且,日本一些人反对可再生能源,是因为担心当地环境受到损害。此外,许多人优先考虑气候以外的问题,人们也很忙碌。我们需要扫除所有这些障碍。于是,我迈出了新的一步。我创立了一个独立的智库——Climate Integrate(Climate Integrate: 由Kimiko Hirata创立的独立智库,旨在加速能源转型),旨在提供基于事实的信息,加速能源转型。我不再仅仅停留在说“不”,而是与政府和企业中持有不同观点的人坐下来交流,然后努力建立人们对可再生能源的信心,让他们能够说“是”。
Original English
But this is not the end of my journey. Stopping one third of new coal projects is just one step. We still heavily depend on fossil fuels in Japan. The real challenge for us now is to transform our entire economy away from fossil fuels. That means saying no isn't enough. We need to build a positive, strong yes for systemic change. But we still face various arguments such as: renewable energy is expensive, it's not reliable. Those are very live discussions still in Japan. And some people in Japan oppose renewable energy because of concerns about local environmental damage. In addition, many people prioritize other issues than climate, and people are busy too. We need to remove all of these barriers. So I took another step. I founded an independent think tank, Climate Integrate, to provide fact-based information that can accelerate energy transition. Moving beyond just saying no, I sit down and talk with people with different views -- in government and in companies -- and then try to build conviction in people to say yes for renewable energy.
构建“是”的共识:基于事实的信息与地方协作
我们首先进行了一项综合性分析,这是专门针对日本国情进行的。基于此,我们更有信心,通过丰富的太阳能和风能(Solar and wind: 关键的可再生能源类型)潜力,完全有可能将我们的能源系统转向可再生能源。有了清晰的愿景,我们展示事实,传递事实。我们还开始与三个城市展开合作。西部的丰冈市(Toyooka city)以其温泉和滑雪胜地而闻名。该市已开始经历气候变化的影响,如降雪减少或极端高温。这座城市现在正致力于通过融入自然积极(nature-positive)方法和脱碳(decarbonization: 减少或消除二氧化碳排放的过程)目标,成为可持续旅游(sustainable tourism: 考量经济、社会和环境影响的旅游模式)的典范。东京附近的市川市(Ichikawa city)是一个人口稠密、住宅楼众多的区域。该市现在推广安装屋顶太阳能(rooftop solar: 安装在建筑物屋顶的太阳能电池板),并提高其住房的能源效率,特别关注年轻家庭。位于北部的酒田市(Sakata city)拥有老旧的燃煤发电厂,但它也是发展海上风电(offshore wind: 建于海上的风力发电机组)的绝佳地点。该市旨在通过与海上风电相关的业务来振兴经济,并实现从化石燃料和煤电向绿色经济的公正转型(just transition: 确保向低碳经济转型的公平性和包容性)。
Original English
We started by conducting a comprehensive analysis, uniquely applied to the Japanese context. And with that, we are more confident that it is definitely possible to shift our energy system to renewables with abundant potential of solar and wind. Having that clear vision, we show the facts and convey the facts. We also started to collaborate with cities starting from three. Toyooka city in the western area is known for its onsen hot springs and ski resort. It is already experiencing climate change, such as reduced snowfall or extreme heat. The city has now challenged itself to become a model of sustainable tourism by incorporating a nature-positive approach and decarbonization. Ichikawa city, near Tokyo, is an area of high population density with a lot of residential buildings. The city now promotes installing rooftop solar and improving energy efficiency for its housing, particularly targeting young families. Sakata city, located in the north, is an area that has old coal-fired power plants, but it is also a very good location for offshore wind. This city aims to revitalize its economy through offshore-related business and achieve a just transition away from fossil fuels and coal power.
愿景、希望与共同前行
我还不确定这些努力是否能让我们实现愿景,但尽管我将方法从“否决”转变为“赋能”,我为可再生能源所做的事情,实际上与我为煤炭工作所做的事情非常相似。我与人会面,加强对话(dialogue: 双方之间的交流或讨论),并发展网络(networks: 人或组织的互联互通)。根据我的经验,我知道,当人们被事实和故事所吸引时,改变就会发生。现在,我的愿景是帮助日本……将可再生能源的比例提升到90%甚至更高……实现完全脱碳,并将这种影响扩展到整个亚洲。我知道这极具挑战性,但我也知道我并不孤单。我拥有一个不可思议的团队,以及由专家、倡导者和信仰者组成的网络。我们都坚信这项工作必须完成。所以,我始终满怀希望。即使是生活在一个变革似乎很困难的国家。我的旅程仍在继续。我将继续寻找自己的方式。同样,你也可以找到自己的方式。我坚信,只要我们携手合作,就能将世界从“否决”变为“是”。因此,我希望你们能加入我,一同踏上这段前进的旅程。谢谢大家。(欢呼声和掌声)
Original English
I don't yet know if these efforts will get us to our vision, but even though I changed my approach from no to yes, what I do for renewable energy is actually very similar to what I did for my coal work. I meet people, enhance dialogue and develop networks. From my experiences, I can tell that change happens when people are engaged with facts and stories. Now, my vision is to help Japan ... promote renewable energy up to 90 percent or more, ... achieve full decarbonization and extend that impact across Asia. I know it is very challenging, but I also know that I'm not alone. I have an incredible team and network of experts, advocates and believers. We are all united by a shared conviction that this work must be done. So I am always hopeful. Even living in a country where change seems difficult. So my journey continues. I continue seeking my own ways. Likewise, you can also find your own way. And I truly believe that together, we can change the world from no to yes. So I hope you will join me on this journey forward. Thank you. (Cheers and applause)