伊朗转型的愿景与使命
Jason: 大家好,欢迎回到《All-In》播客第 263 期的第二部分。我们今天非常荣幸,通过我的好友 Shervin Pishevar 的安排,邀请到了一位进行历史性访谈的重要嘉宾:Reza Pahlavi 皇太子。Reza,非常感谢你来到我们的节目。这可能是你等待了近 50 年的时刻——我们正处于伊朗人民可能获得自由的历史关头。你 17 岁离开国家去成为一名飞行员,现在你正寻求帮助你的国民在当前的军事活动和战争之后实现转型。大家很想知道,你对后军事行动时代的伊朗有什么愿景?
Original English
Jason: All right, everybody. Welcome back to part two of the All-In podcast, episode 263. We promised you a part two because we are very lucky that my dear friend Shvvin Pishavar was able to set up a very important historic interview for us today. None other than Prince Resa Pavi is here and we have a limited amount of time with you uh Reza. And uh may I call you Resa or should I call you Prince Resa? ... It's great to have you and this is a moment I think you've been waiting 47 close to 50 years for which is we are at this moment in time looking at potentially the people of Iran being free. You left the country and when you were 17 years old to become a pilot and now you are looking to help your people with a transition post this military activity this operation essentially a war that's going on right now that we all hope gets resolved quickly. I think people would love to know what is your vision for Iran post this uh military action.
Reza Pahlavi: 再次感谢给予这次机会。在深入探讨愿景之前,我想强调这次干预的重要性:对我们来说,这就像一场救援任务。这实际上是一场为了保护更多生命而进行的人道主义干预,否则在那个极其残暴、最近屠杀了数万名无辜武装平民的政权统治下,会有更多人牺牲。这是许多伊朗人所期待的必要干预。至于下一步,最明显的问题是:一旦政权垮台,我们如何管理转型?在许多不同领域的同胞帮助下,我已经站出来领导这一过渡。我们相信,稳定的转型将先解决国家的紧迫需求,然后让国家走上重建之路。如果不是因为那场革命,伊朗本应成为该地区的“南韩”,但现在却成了“北韩”。这并非因为我们的人民没有天赋,也不是因为缺乏资源,纯粹是因为腐败的管理,以及一个将国家扣为人质、将其作为输出意识形态发射场的政权。一个民主、世俗的伊朗将为我们民族带来机会,并再次向世界开放商机。伊朗是 21 世纪最未被开发的经济机会之一,其转型不仅造福伊朗人民,对美国等国也将产生数千亿美元的商业价值。
Original English
Reza Pahlavi: Well, thank you again for the opportunity. Before I get into that, I wanted to simply uh stress the importance of this intervention that to us was like a rescue mission. It was literally an a humanitarian intervention to protect more lives that would otherwise be lost under this extremely brutal and repressive regime that as you know has massacred as of late uh tens of thousands of innocent and unarmed citizens in order to equalize the playing field. This was a much needed uh intervention that a lot of Iranians asked for and fortunately it did happen. But what's the next step? Where are we headed to? The most obvious question will be once the regime collapses how do we manage the transition. I've stepped in to lead this transition with the help of many of my compatriots from various sectors. We believe that a stable transition will lead to a address the immediate needs of the country but then set the country on a path of redevelopment and reconstruction which is of course something that we were always hoping for that could not have happened under this corrupt mafiaike regime. Iran should have been had it not been for the revolution today's South Korea of the region. Instead, it has become the North Korea of the region. Why? Not because our people are not gifted or talented or capable, not because we lack uh natural resources. It's simply because of a corrupt bad management and a regime that basically took our country hostage, used it as a launching pad to export an ideology. And that's why we are here today. A different Iran, a democratic secular Iran will first and foremost bring about the opportunities to our nation. But it will open Iran for business again. Iran is one of the most untapped economic opportunities of the 21st century. And it could tremendously uh change the shape of our world in terms of what would be beneficial to the Iranian people of course but also from the vantage point of a country like the United States and billions of dollars that will be generated as a result of doing business in Iran.
民主转型的路径与挑战
Jason: 当你的父亲执政时,那里是一个由君主制转向独裁制的国家。明确地说,现在的希望是演变成一个拥有自由选举的民主国家。伊朗人的平均年龄现在只有 30 岁出头。这种转型会是什么样子?时间表如何?你一直在与军方、平民和领导层沟通,他们告诉你地面上的情况如何?
Original English
Jason: And when your father was in charge, it was a monarchy turned into a dictatorship. And to be clear, the hope now is to evolve into a democracy with free elections for the people. Average age of people in Iran now early 30s, 31, 32 years old. What would that look like? what is a possible timeline and you are uh have said on other programs and on your YouTube channel which I suggest everybody go search for and follow right now because you're speaking directly to the people on X and on your YouTube channel. What is what is the condition on the ground from the people you're talking to? You said you've been talking to uh people in the military, civilians and other leadership. They're ready to move on. What's the timeline and what are they telling you is happening on the ground today as we sit here?
Reza Pahlavi: 我认为现在的竞技场已经拉平了。伊朗是一个拥有数百年历史的统一民族国家。在这个框架下,我们有来自右翼、中立、左翼的各种团体,包括君主主义者、共和主义者、各民族和宗教团体。我在国内获得了巨大的支持,包括知识分子、大学、工人阶级以及能为这一进程贡献良多的海外侨民。我们的目标是建立一个世俗民主国家,最终形式将由伊朗人民通过选举和制宪过程决定。最重要的原则是:法律面前人人平等、政教分离。我们希望通过制宪会议讨论新体制,由人民批准法律,选举产生第一届议会和政府。我已经制定了一个详细的计划,特别是专注于前 100 天。我创建了一个名为 IP (Iran Prosperity Project) 的组织,重点是如何立即稳定局势,最大化整合愿意加入我们的剩余力量,共同度过政权更迭。
Original English
Reza Pahlavi: Well, I think that now the playing field has been equalized, meaning that the people could finally, of course, awaiting the end of this campaign have a better opportunity to re-engage the streets and take over uh their homeland. ... and let's not forget Iran is a multiple century old nation state. It's a country that is extremely unified and united for this common purpose. Under this tent, we have diverse uh groups that are joining in this national campaign. People who are on the right, the center, the left, monarchists, Republicans, ethnic groups, religious groups, every sector of society is engaged. ... and of course the reason we want to have a secular democracy, the final form to be determined by the people of Iran through pre-elections and a constitutional process. But most importantly is that under equality and the rule of law, all the opportunities that has been denied our nation as a result of his discrimination... now it creates a true opportunity. ... I created an organization called IP which which is Iran prosperity project but it first focus is the first 100 days. How we immediately stabilize the situation in Iran.
君主制还是共和制?
Jason: 两个简短的问题。在任何情况下,它会是君主制吗?毕竟你是皇太子,但在民主国家没有王子。第二,你理想中的转型角色是什么?你是否想竞选总统,领导国家走出这 47 年的噩梦?
Original English
Jason: Two quick questions. Under no circumstances, would that be a monarchy? Uh I think uh is a question everybody has for you because you're the prince. This is a democracy. We don't have princes in democracies. And then number two, what do you ideally see as your role in the transition? And then would you like to have the opportunity to run for president and to lead the country out of this horrific nightmare of 47 years?
Reza Pahlavi: 我的重点是过程,而非结果。作为一个中立的仲裁者,我不偏袒任何一种形式。世界上既有成功的共和制(如印度、法国、美国),也有成功的议会君主制(如日本、瑞典、西班牙)。最终由伊朗人民选择。我在这里是作为通往那个结果的桥梁。转型期领导人的职责不是竞选公职,也不是为了个人的权力和地位,而是团结国家走向共同目标,让国民决定他们喜欢的制度。投票箱是衡量民意的唯一手段。这次与 50 年前不同,当时没人知道霍梅尼提议的所谓“教法学家治国”到底是什么。而这一次,伊朗人民应该在完全透明的情况下,了解呈现在他们面前的不同模型。
Original English
Reza Pahlavi: My focus is on the process, not the outcome. And in as a neutral arbiter, I'm not taking sides with one form versus the other. That's for the people of Iran to choose. And I think the world has seen successful models in both a republican system and a monarchic system. ... So at the end of the day, you know, again, uh it's not for me to choose the outcome. I'm here to be a bridge towards that outcome. That's the function of a transitional leader, not to run for office or not to have an aim for personal uh position or power or authority, but to be the element that unites the country towards a common purpose and allow the nation to decide what is their preferred system.
与特朗普政府的关系及对美立场
Jason: 特朗普总统曾说他会挑选下一任领导人,但也表示不确定你在国内的影响力。你现在与特朗普总统有联系吗?你对他的诉求是什么?
Original English
Jason: Final question... Trump says he's going to pick the next leader. ... Are you in touch with President Trump and what's your relationship with him today? What's your best plea to him or your argument to him to work with you?
Reza Pahlavi: 我们的议程是透明的。我们一直通过 Steve Witkoff 与政府沟通,同时也与国会议员和参议员交流,让他们从美国的视角理解我们的提议。我不认为特朗普总统或任何世界领导人会假定由他们决定谁是伊朗的下一任领导人。作为民主国家,他们会尊重人民做出选择的权利。如果意图是协助这个过程、支持伊朗人民的民主愿望,那么请提供帮助,但选择权必须属于伊朗人民。
Original English
Reza Pahlavi: Look, uh there's nothing hidden in the agenda. Everything is transparent and I've been communicating with the administration by uh Steve Witkov who announced it publicly. ... I don't think that President Trump or any other leader in this world would presume that it is up to them to determine who should be the next leader in Iran. I'm sure as democracies they respect the right for people to make that choice... If the intention is to assist that process if the intent is to support the Iranian people in their democratic aspiration you provide them with the help but the choice should be theirs.
Reza Pahlavi: 最后我想给观众留下一个思考。回想 911 事件,当世界上许多所谓的“盟友”在街头庆祝那一惨剧时,整个地区唯一自发举行烛光集会哀悼受害者的国家,正是伊朗人民。多年来他们一直在向美国传递信息:“我们不是你们的敌人,真正的敌人在国内。”这就是我所说的伊朗。这种伙伴关系至关重要,因为我们将共同重建一个不同的世界。
Original English
Reza Pahlavi: Let me just give you a last parting thought... Remember 911? And how many people on the streets of many of the so-called allies of the United States were celebrating that attack on that sinister day. The only country in the entire world in the entire region that actually stood in candlelight vigils in sympathy to the victims of the 911 terrorist attacks were no other than the Iranian people themselves holding candle light vigils in Iran. And they've been messaging America for years now. We are not your enemies. In fact, they've been chanting slogans in Iran saying they lie to us. It's America. Our enemy is right here.
家族史与重建伊朗的希望
Jason: Shervin,非常感谢你安排这次访谈。作为伊朗之子,这离你如此之近。能否告诉我们你的故事,以及这对你意味着什么?
Original English
Jason: All right, Shervin. Thank you so much for setting this up. ... as a son of Iran, what matters is that the people are free. ... maybe you could tell us a little bit about your story and and what this means to you and then we can get into your involvement here and what you hope to see in those first 100 days.
Shervin Pishevar: 首先,Jason,感谢你为伊朗人民和皇太子提供这个巨大的平台。皇太子是我见过最勇敢、最正直的人。这 47 年的漫长噩梦快要结束了。我要感谢特朗普总统在这件事上的英勇领导,没有其他总统有这样的勇气和价值观来对抗这个伊斯兰恐怖政权。上个月,他们屠杀了超过 43,000 名和平抗议的伊朗人。
Original English
Shervin Pishevar: Of course. Uh first of all, Jason, thank you for opening up this tremendous platform to the Iranian people and to the prince. Uh as you can see, uh the crown prince Razip is a is a great man. uh the most courageous man that I've ever met. ... And uh also a tremendous gratitude to President Trump uh for his courageous leadership on this matter. ... As you saw last month, uh they massacred uh over 43,000 Iranians who were just peacefully protesting.
Shervin Pishevar: 我的父亲在 1970 年代被派往华盛顿特区攻读硕士。1978 年革命前夕我们回到伊朗,我父亲当时被提升为巴列维国王时代的广播电视负责人。革命发生后,我父亲被列入处决名单,躲藏了 10 个月。后来在一位好心人的帮助下,他逃到了美国。我们在伊朗被困了两年,忍受着萨达姆侵略的轰炸,最后带着 35 美元逃到美国。我父亲边开出租车边读博士。正是这个成长背景,让我在多年后与 Travis 见面时赢得了 Uber 的投资交易。只有在美国,一个出租车司机的儿子才能拥有这样的生活。
Original English
Shervin Pishevar: I hadn't been back... I was born in 1976. My dad... was educating this whole um class of people and we were going back to to rebuild and build Iran into this great nation. ... The revolution happened... My father Abraham was on the execution list. So he went into hiding for 10 months. ... and he walked him onto the Air France flight... Came to America with $35. My dad was driving a taxi while getting his PhD. ... growing up in a orange and black taxi cab in in in Washington DC helped me win the Uber deal against all the greats in venture.
Shervin Pishevar: 伊朗拥有 9300 万聪明绝顶的人民,却被束缚了这么久。看看在硅谷的伊朗人——Uber 的 Dara、Google 的 Omid、DataBricks 的 Ali、eBay 的 Pierre——我们这个小群体创造了数万亿美元的价值。一个自由民主的伊朗将是送给世界和该地区最大的“和平红利”和“经济红利”。在皇太子的愿景中,有一个 175 页的“伊朗繁荣项目”报告,详细规划了通过公投、制宪到最终执行重建计划的每一个步骤。
Original English
Shervin Pishevar: And so this will be a free democratic Iran will be the greatest peace dividend and economic dividend to be gifted to the world and to the region. ... And one of the things the team uh the crown prince's vision uh this is a 175page report right here the Iran prosperity project... rebuilding Iran... so that when there is a free Iran there will be a a four-month process C to get to a a referendum. ... then a 14-month process to actually finalize uh the the constitution.
📌 文中提及的人物和组织
人物: Reza Pahlavi, Shervin Pishevar, Donald Trump
公司/组织: IP (Iran Prosperity Project), IRGC
媒体/书籍: All-In Podcast