科学、工程与商业:加速低碳转型
人类使用酒精已有数千年历史。
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Humans have been using alcohol for thousands of years.
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But when did we understand it soberly?
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It wasn't until the 1700s that scientists first discovered the formula of alcohol: C2H5OH.
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That's alcohol, finally got its professional LinkedIn profile called ethanol, and started working as an important chemical.
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Advances in engineering and business have since enabled large-scale production of ethanol, and today it is a 114 billion-dollar industry.
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We use it in cosmetics, in fashion, in medicine, in food and obviously, beverages.
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And it's even more relevant today as fuel and raw material for some of the low-carbon industries.
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So why am I telling you about alcohol?
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Because it is a good example of how science, engineering and business work together to change the world.
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But it actually took ethanol more than 200 years to do so.
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We simply couldn't wait that long to tackle our climate challenge.
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We urgently need to speed up and scale up low-carbon solutions.
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So my name is Xu Hao and I lead Tencent's climate change initiatives.
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We're a major Chinese tech company with products in social media, video games and cloud services.
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And we also care about climate change.
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It's not just limited to data center efficiency or sourcing of renewable energy, as important as that is.
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My colleagues and I have been working to explore how we could contribute to the acceleration of low-carbon technology innovations.
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That's why we launched CarbonX Program.
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And three years in, we are actually more optimistic than ever.
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Why?
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Because we felt the right answer is not so complicated.
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We already have lots of innovation in science, in engineering and business, and the secret to further accelerate the process is also simple: just do them all at once.
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Let me further explain.
科学突破:将二氧化碳转化为宝贵资源
首先,我们经济脱碳所需的大多数科学发现已经完成。
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First, most of the scientific discoveries needed to decarbonize our economy have already been made.
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Really, today we generate electricity from solar and wind, we store energy using chemistry or physics.
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We turn carbon dioxide into all kinds of chemicals.
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And nuclear fusion is also on the horizon.
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Alright, 100 years already saved.
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Let me give you a specific example.
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CRISPR is a genetic scissor that's well-known in the pharmaceutical industry.
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They use it to edit genetic code to find cures for diseases and new drugs.
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But it can be applied to carbon too.
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Take Gasgene, a Chinese startup.
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They actually apply CRISPR to a certain bacteria called Clostridium, so that these little guys can actually feed on carbon dioxide and produce butanol.
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So why does butanol matter?
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Because together with our old friend ethanol as well as butanol, we actually get ethylene glycol, polyethylene, polypropylene, butyl acetate, dibutyl phthalate, tributyl citrate and many more.
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A bit lost, right?
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These chemicals are actually used in paint, clothes, toys, water bottles, furniture, and the list goes on and on and on.
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Essential to everyday life, but all made up out of fossil fuel today.
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With Clostridium, we could potentially make all of them using carbon dioxide instead.
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It's really great science.
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So it's not the science holding us up.
工程创新:从实验室到大规模生产
那么工程呢?
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What about engineering?
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Very important, but unglamorous.
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Well, engineering requires lots of innovation, too.
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Because we have to replicate a success in the laboratory test tubes and scale it up in a much, much bigger way, from grams to kilograms to tons to millions of tons.
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Eventually a big factory.
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To do that, engineers often face two challenges.
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First, how to build a factory faster and cheaper.
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And then, how to operate it effectively.
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Let's say we want to build a plant that produces 20,000 tons of clean chemical using carbon dioxide.
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Do we build one big reactor or a few smaller ones?
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This is where the process engineers come in.
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How much pressure is needed in these reactors?
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What are the flow rates needed for the gases or the liquids so that they are balanced and the production is most effective?
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How much land such a facility will occupy.
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How does it integrate with the existing factory?
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And probably most importantly, how can we build such a plant faster and cheaper?
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Well, all of these considerations determine the fence, pumps, compressors, reactors and all the other parts we will use and whether we could use off-the-shelf standardized equipment.
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Because otherwise, if we have to design novel parts, it will be much more expensive and often takes much longer.
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So this is what engineering innovation looks like when it comes to building a big factory.
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So it’s almost like picking up pieces of LEGO blocks to build a beautiful model of your own design.
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Both creativity and discipline are needed at the same time.
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Then it comes [to] operational efficiency.
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Feynman Dynamics is another start-up, they actually combine carbon dioxide and green hydrogen to make green hydrocarbons and produce sustainable aviation fuel, or SAF that could potentially clean up our flights.
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So the key is actually a catalyst that can efficiently convert carbon dioxide into carbon monoxide.
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And the engineering challenge here is how to manufacture such a high-quality catalyst at much bigger volume.
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So the process is almost like making a fruit smoothie.
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You need to blend fruits just right to get a delicious drink.
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But when you try to make much bigger batches, sometimes the blender gets too hot or the fruit doesn't mix well and that will jeopardize the taste of our drink.
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To tackle this challenge, engineers at Feynman Dynamics actually borrowed practice from pharmaceutical chemistry.
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They designed a special high-speed mixer that passes the chemicals at really high velocity in a tube and then circulates back the finished product, back to the main reactor to make high-quality catalyst.
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It's almost like your pre-planned avocados and apples first, and then put them back into the big blender to get the ultimate drink.
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So these rather small engineering steps actually enabled Feynman Dynamics to produce their catalysts at industrial scale.
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So today, SAF is still more than five times more expensive than conventional jet fuel, but with lots of innovation like this and also the production at scale, I believe SAF can beat jet fuel in cost within ten years' time.
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(Applause)
商业模式:实现盈利与市场潜力
工程师们正在努力工作,但商业呢?
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So the engineers are hard at work, but what about business?
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Because business is all about price, cost, market and profitability.
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And in order to reduce carbon emissions in the scale of gigatons, start-ups must turn their science and engineering innovation into profitable ventures.
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But we got plenty of good news here too.
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Some of the technologies are approaching the moment where they cost the same, or even less than the fossil fuel alternative, sometimes without a carbon price.
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Yuanchu is a start-up that makes calcium carbonate out of carbon dioxide.
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So calcium carbonate may also sound unfamiliar, but these white powders are actually in our everyday life, from paper to toothpaste to washing powders to car tires.
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By using leftover calcium from biomass or the steelmaking industry, Yuanchu can actually produce high-quality calcium carbonate cheaper than the conventional method, which is digging limestone out of the ground and burning lots of fossil fuel to make it.
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Great green discount, right?
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Then sometimes business is all about the size of the eventual market.
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Moguang is another start-up that actually developed this really groundbreaking new material called radioactive cooling.
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So this material not only reflects 93 percent of sun radiation back, it could achieve additional cooling by radiating the heat back to outer space, leveraging certain wavelengths’ cooling window.
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Guess what requires cooling?
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Melting glaciers.
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That’s why we launched a pilot project with Moguang in Dagu glacier, one of the endangered glaciers near Tibetan Plateau.
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Over the past three years, the melting has slowed down by as much as 80 percent.
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But --
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(Applause)
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But the project itself is actually not a business.
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Guess what it is.
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Any service that requires cooling.
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So that's your mobile phone, glass wall of a building or data centers.
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So the great news is not only Moguang covered [the] glacier with this material, they already integrated many of their material into hundreds of thousands of mobile phones and sports cameras and expanding to other products very quickly.
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So there is truly huge market potential.
协同加速:对清洁未来的乐观展望
好了,科学已经就位,工程师们正在努力工作,商业模式也正在扩大规模。
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Alright, so the science is here, the engineers are hard at work and the business models are scaling up.
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So our final question is, can we further accelerate?
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Of course we can.
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Simply by bringing together scientists, industry experts and business people in the same room, so they start thinking about all the tough questions from the very beginning, at the same time.
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So the scientists will probably ask "How much gigajoule of energy is required to capture one ton of carbon dioxide?"
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The industry experts will ask, "How does your technology help me decarbonize my industry and how does it fit into my factory?"
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And the investor will probably ask, "What's your plan to grow your business by 100 times in the next five years and to go public?"
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This is almost exactly what happened at CarbonX Program.
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Let's just say this productive dialogue, heated debate, sometimes really disagreement can be challenging, but it really helps speed up the process because it gets everybody to thinking about everything at the same time.
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Not waiting 200 years like alcohol.
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(Laughter)
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Now remember Gasgene and those cute Clostridium.
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We recently launched a clean chemical consortium that brings consumer brands, big chemical companies and start-ups like Gasgene or Yuanchu, to try to make everything out of carbon dioxide.
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That's also working on science, engineering and business all at once.
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So by now, hopefully you guys understand why I felt we should [have] every reason to be really optimistic.
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Because we already have plenty of scientific discovery, engineering innovation and business models so that we should be inspired to imagine a world with net zero and cleaner future.
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Most likely much better than what AI can generate for us today.
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(Laughter)
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Therefore, I'm definitely drunk on the possibility of a better and cleaner future.
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Cheers, everyone, thank you.
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(Cheers and applause)