加拿大生活成本危机现状
Jeyan Jeganathan: 你是否曾在商店里默默算账,然后把一些食品放回货架,甚至为了少买点东西而节省每餐的份量?如果是这样,你并不孤单。根据破产和债务减免公司 Spergel 最近的一项调查,超过 60% 的受访者表示,由于过去六个月的财务压力,他们曾跳过餐食或减少份量。超过一半的人使用“先买后付”、信用额度或发薪日贷款来购买食品。五分之二的加拿大人为了买食物而推迟支付账单。而这仅仅是食品开支。再加上住房账单、育儿费用,你会发现很多加拿大人都在为生活成本感到担忧。
Original English
Jeyan Jeganathan: Have you been doing mental math at the store and putting some groceries back on the shelf, maybe even stretching meals a bit further so you'll have to buy less? If so, you are not the only one. According to a recent survey from Spergel, an insolvency and debt relief firm, more than 60% of respondents said they've skipped meals or reduced portions because of financial pressure in the past six months. Over half used buy now, pay later line of credit or payday loans to buy groceries. And two out of five Canadians delayed paying a bill so they could buy food. And that's just groceries. Add housing bills, childcare. And you've got a lot of Canadians worried about the cost of living.
Jeyan Jeganathan: 这种压力对于独居的加拿大人来说尤为尖锐。数据显示,单身人士在房租上要多付 66%,在家庭支出(如电话费、互联网和基本用品)上要多付 27%。那么,生活真的变得越来越负担不起了吗?我们来看看经济是如何对待加拿大的,以及有多少人正在努力维持生计。这里是《The Rundown》。早在去年 12 月,Abacus Data 就发现,67% 的加拿大人表示生活成本是他们记忆中最糟糕的。近三分之二的人认为这应该是联邦政府的首要任务。
Original English
Jeyan Jeganathan: That pressure is especially acute for Canadians living alone. The data shows single people pay 66% more in rent and 27% more in household expenses, meaning things like phone bills, internet and basic supplies. So is life actually getting less affordable? We look at how the economy is treating Canadians and how many are trying to make ends meet. This is The Rundown. Back in December, Abacus Data found that 67% of Canadians said that the cost of living was the worst they could remember. Nearly two thirds said that it should be the top priority for the federal government.
Jeyan Jeganathan: 现在的具体情况如何?维持生计有多难,更不用说出人头地了?Renee Sylvestre-Williams 是一位财经记者,也是《单身税》(The Singles Tax)一书的作者;Erin Kelly 是 Advanced Symbolics, Inc 的首席执行官;Kristine Beese 是 Untangle Money 的创始人兼首席执行官。很高兴三位能参加节目。你们都还好吗?
Original English
Jeyan Jeganathan: So what's the situation right now and how hard is it to get by, let alone get ahead? Renee Sylvestre-Williams is a financial journalist and author of the Singles Tax no nonsense Financial Advice for Solo Earners, and Erin Kelly is the CEO of Advanced Symbolics, Inc. Kristine Beese is the founder and CEO of Untangle Money. Great to have all three of you on the program. How are you all doing?
财务困境的激增与“愉悦感”缺失
Jeyan Jeganathan: Erin,我们从你开始。请带我们了解一下 AI 民调机构 Polly 发现的关于当前经济下负担能力的一些研究。人们正处于挣扎之中。
Original English
Jeyan Jeganathan: All right. We're going to start with you. Take us through some of the research AI pollster Polly found on affordability in this economy. People are struggling.
Erin Kelly: 是的,没错。我们在这里做了一项研究,看看有多少人表示他们正面临财务困难。当 Polly 进行划分时,她将其分为“重大挣扎”、“有些挣扎”、“没有真正挣扎”或“我很好”。我认为最令人惊讶的是,自 2021 年以来,表示处于“重大挣扎”状态的人数比例增长了多少。你可以看到,在 2021 年,有 8.7% 的人表示他们面临重大挣扎,而现在已经超过了四分之一,达到了 27%。
Original English
Erin Kelly: Yeah, exactly. So we did a research here and we looked at how many people said that they're having financial hardship. And when Polly divides it, she divides it up into major struggle, somewhat struggling, not really struggling or I'm fine. And I think what was most amazing first off is how much that percentage of people saying it's a major struggle has grown since 2021. So you see, in 2021, 8.7% of people said they were having a major struggle, and now it's over a quarter, 27%.
Jeyan Jeganathan: 我们谈论 2021 年时,那还是新冠疫情期间,对吧?
Original English
Jeyan Jeganathan: And that was Covid when we're talking 2021, right?
Erin Kelly: 所以,我不确定,我们需要进一步研究,是不是当时的疫情补贴帮助了人们?否则情况可能会更糟。我的意思是,显然会更糟,因为我们当时正处于大流行之中。但你可以看到它是如何增长的。当超过四分之一的人口表示每个月都面临重大挣扎时,这就是一场危机。我的意思是,这就是一场危机。
Original English
Erin Kelly: So and I don't know, and you know, we'd have to go and look at it more. Did the Covid subsidies help people? Otherwise it would have been worse. I mean, obviously it would have been worse because we were having a pandemic. But you see how just it just really grows. And when more than a quarter of your population says every month it's a major struggle, that's a crisis. I mean, that is a crisis.
Jeyan Jeganathan: Kristine,这项研究是否与你最近在客户身上看到的情况一致,当我们谈论“重大挣扎”时?
Original English
Jeyan Jeganathan: All right. Well, Christine, with this research, does it align with what you're seeing with your clients these days when we're talking about major struggles?
Kristine Beese: 100% 一致。我们关注的是税后和扣除后的基础,我们会平衡你的预算。然后我们填入你花钱的项目,包括固定成本(我们称之为“已承诺资金”)。从研究中我们知道,你还需要一定数额的可变成本:食品、衣服、礼物等等。剩下的才是你可以投入到未来资金、退休储蓄之类的地方。我们看到这些生活成本正在压缩你的灵活资金、可变支出以及退休储蓄能力。这真的非常困难,预算的增长赶不上支出需求的增长。
Original English
Kristine Beese: 100%. You know, what we look at is on an after tax after deduction basis, and we make your budget square. And then we fill it up with the things that you spend your money on. And we do fixed costs or we call it committed money. And then we know from research that there's amount you need for variable costs. So food, clothes, gifts, all the things and everything else. And then what's left over is what you can put towards future money, retirement savings and things like that. And we see these costs just compressing your flex money or your variable spend and your ability to save for retirement. It's just it is very hard. And the square isn't keeping up with the demands for the costs and the spending.
Kristine Beese: 我们经常讨论的一件非常重要且有研究支持的事情是,在你的可变支出(食品、衣服、礼物等)中,你需要从中获得愉悦感(joy)。作为中等收入的人类,如果我们得不到愉悦感,我们就会进行所谓的报复性消费(revenge spending)。我们可以坚持 3 到 5 年的紧缩。这就是为什么我认为告诉年轻人尽可能长时间地像学生一样生活很有趣的原因——我们真的无法坚持超过 3 到 5 年。然后你实际上会进行报复性消费,抵消掉你之前做出的很多努力,你可能会陷入债务。这对人们来说真的很艰难。
Original English
Kristine Beese: And one of the things that we talk about pretty that's really important to know and it's research backed, is that with your variable spending food, clothes, gifts, all the things and everything else, you need to get joy from this. As human beings in the middle income, if we do not get joy, we will do something called revenge spending. Okay, so we can do 3 to 5 years tight. So this is why I think it's interesting when we tell young people that they should live like they're a student for as long as possible. We really can't do it for more than 3 to 5 years. And then you will actually revenge spend and take away a lot of the hard work you've done. You might go into debt. It's really it is really hard for people.
家庭与单身人士的牺牲
Jeyan Jeganathan: Renee,请补充一下。
Original English
Jeyan Jeganathan: All right, Renee, I'll get you to add on that.
Renee Sylvestre-Williams: 我完全同意。虽然谈话内容在改变,但几十年来,话题一直围绕着“预算、预算、预算”。这又回到了报复性消费。一个人不可能在几个月或几年的时间里过着极其严苛的预算生活,因为那样你没有愉悦感,你会深感不快乐,你花了大量时间过度关注开支,接着,你就在报复性消费了。这个词在疫情的第二或第三年变得非常流行,因为人们实在太厌倦待在室内了。当时有很多财务压力,因为有些人没工作,虽然有 CERB 等补贴,但人们开始为了“找回感觉”而消费。
Original English
Renee Sylvestre-Williams: I completely agree with everything because the thing is, like, there's always there's it's the conversation is changing. But for decades. And Christine, you let me know as well. The conversation has been like budget, budget, budget, budget, budget. Right. And that goes back to revenge spending. Somebody cannot live on a stringent budget for months or years at a time, because what happens is you get no joy, you're deeply unhappy, you spend a lot of time very conscious about your spending, and then next thing you know, you are revenge spending. Revenge spending became a very popular term in what, year two or year three of the pandemic, because people were just so tired of one being indoors a lot, especially in Ontario. There was a lot of financial stress about, you know, because some people weren't working, some, you know, there was Cerb and all of those things that people just started spending in order to feel something.
Jeyan Jeganathan: 谈完报复性消费,我们谈谈牺牲。Erin,Polly 在人们为了维持生计而做出的牺牲方面发现了什么?
Original English
Jeyan Jeganathan: All right, Renee, we're going to move from revenge spending. We're going to talk about sacrifices. So Aaron, what did poorly find in terms of what people are sacrificing to get by right now?
Erin Kelly: 有些人牺牲得非常深。我们已经超越了表面琐碎的阶段。如果我们看家庭,家庭正在牺牲度假。排名第二的是储蓄——为退休储蓄,父母们不再储蓄了。有趣的是,单身人士仍在坚持储蓄,我认为这可能是因为他们没有安全网。相比之下,夫妻或伴侣之间可能有一种虚假的安全感。所以对于伴侣,第二项出局的就是储蓄。接着看列表,订阅服务和礼物,这两组人都在放弃。对于单身人士,礼物是首选放弃的对象,然后是订阅。所以,人们已经在放弃 Kristine 提到的那些愉悦元素,甚至进入了电视等基本生活需求。
Original English
Erin Kelly: Well, some people are sacrificing very deeply. I mean, we're beyond we're beyond the the fluff at this point. So if we look at families, families are sacrificing vacations. Number two is savings saving for retirement. Parents aren't saving. Now, what I found interesting in the right here, you'll see we have the single spending. The singles are continuing to save, and I think that's probably because they don't have that safety net. Maybe there's a false sense of security with couples, right. But so couples number two is savings is going out the door. And then you go down the list. Subscriptions and gifts both both groups giving up gifts for singles. That's number one. That's going out gifts and then subscriptions. And so yeah, I mean people are already giving up those those joyful elements that Christine mentioned. And we're into basic things like television.
Renee Sylvestre-Williams: 说实话,看到这些幻灯片我并不感到惊讶。但人们放弃储蓄这件事,我同意 Erin 的看法,这可能是因为有小孩的夫妇觉得,这只是短期牺牲,理想情况下,当我们达到收入巅峰期时能赶上来。单身人士仍在储蓄这件事告诉了我几点:他们意识到无论情况如何都必须存钱,因为未来有退休和可能的疾病护理成本。此外,单身人士还可能需要承担照顾年迈父母的责任。虽然单身人士仍在储蓄让我感到欣慰,但度假的减少也意味着人们无法缓解压力,这种工作与生活的平衡让我很担心。
Original English
Renee Sylvestre-Williams: Honestly, when I saw those slides, a lot of it wasn't a surprise to me. Right? But the fact that people are giving up savings, I would agree with you. I think possibly it might be a case of couples are like, especially if you've got younger children, like, okay, we're just going to do this hopefully short term sacrifice. And then longer term we're ideally we should be reaching our peak financial earnings years, be able to catch up. The fact that single people are still saving tells me a couple things. I think a lot of single people realise that they do have to save, no matter what the situation is, because there's those costs down the road, right? Retirement. You know what, if you're ill down the line and all of those things long term, care for yourself. And again, I would also add probably somewhere down the line as parents get older, as a single person, you may be the sole caregiver for them. So you have to have that cushion. So the fact that single people are still saving reassures me, but also kind of like the vacation thing that tells me, like a lot of people are not getting that ability to, you know, get some stress relief, walk away from work. And that work life balance concerns me a lot.
“黄金女郎”式退休与社区住房
Jeyan Jeganathan: Kristine,你现在给客户关于支出与削减的建议是什么?
Original English
Jeyan Jeganathan: Okay. Well, Christine, I want to get you in on there. What advice are you giving clients right now about spending versus cutting to get by?
Kristine Beese: 我们保护那些灵活支出,即使花钱变得更难。我们把加拿大大多数年轻家庭经历的这段时间称为“全能年”(do it all years)。有时还伴随着老年护理。实际上,并没有足够的钱来做所有事情。所以我们关注的是——这在某种程度上可能令人沮丧,但至少有些选择——比如推迟退休、退休后做兼职。我们真正关注的是你可能喜欢的兼职工作,以及潜在的缩小居住规模。或者是“黄金女郎”(Golden Girls)式退休,虽然不适合所有人,但在除美国以外的所有国家,这都是一个增长的趋势。
Original English
Kristine Beese: Yeah. So we protect that flexible spending even though it may be harder to spend. We call it the do it all years that most, most couples with young families in Canada have. These do it all years. Sometimes it's with elder care as well. Where you're there just isn't. Actually, there's not enough money to do it all. And so what we look at is and it in some ways you can think it's depressing, but I think it's it's nice to have at least some options. We look at retiring later, having a part time job in retirement. We really focus on something that you might enjoy doing in part time and then potentially downsizing. Or the Golden Girls retirement, which isn't for everyone, but we. It is a trend we see in all countries other than the US. Increasing is is people.
Jeyan Jeganathan: 给那些不熟悉的人解释一下,“黄金女郎”退休是什么?
Original English
Jeyan Jeganathan: People who aren't familiar. Yeah. Golden girls retirement.
Kristine Beese: 主要是比伴侣长寿的女性或原本就单身的女性。她们集资共同拥有或租一套房子。她们说维护成本下降了,因为不是只有你一个人打扫,而且总有人在那里,有一种内置的社交生活。喜欢的人非常喜欢,不喜欢的人则不然,这取决于个人。
Original English
Kristine Beese: It's mainly women who outlive their partners or are single to start with. You know, collecting their resources together and owning or renting a home with other women. And they say the, you know, maintenance goes down because you're not the only one cleaning. They say there's always somebody there and then there's a built in social life. So it's people who like it, really like it. Some people really don't like it. So depends on it, depends on the person.
Renee Sylvestre-Williams: 这种模式出奇地现实。我书里的住房章节是最长的一章,其中有一整节是关于这种社区住房情况的。这已经在做了。比如多伦多的 Clarence Commons,大约有 6 到 7 个人集中资源,办理了保险抵押贷款并买了一处地方。他们坐下来进行了非常透明的财务对话,包括装修和维修愿意花多少钱。加州也有类似的案例。还有一个名为“单身女性共同生活”的协会,主要为安大略省的低收入女性提供支持,作为寻找室友合租的资源。
Original English
Renee Sylvestre-Williams: Surprisingly realistic. The housing chapter in my book is the longest thing, and there's a whole section on sort of that communal community housing situation, and it's been done, okay, not abroad. So there was that whole meme that kind of went viral of seven women in China who bought a house. Yeah, right. And all of that stuff. But there's Clarence Commons in Toronto where they about 6 or 7 people pooled their resources, got a mortgage with the insurance and bought a place. And you can read it in the book. But they sat down and had a very transparent conversation about finances and how much they're willing to spend on renovations and repairs and all of that stuff. There is, I forget the radish in California, where they pooled their resources, bought a land, and there are multiple houses on it, right? Families, kids and all that. They're actually selling it right now as we're. . . compound of sorts. And then there is an association called Single Women Living Together, which provides support for lower income women, mostly in Ontario. And what it is, it is a resource for women who are looking to partner up with other women and rent. So these are all options. And people love a Golden Girls scenario.
债务误区与税务复杂性
Jeyan Jeganathan: 很多人可能在依靠债务生活,Erin,你的看法?
Original English
Jeyan Jeganathan: I want to get Erin involved in this. We hear the news and it's grim. We see the data, it's grim. But many of us are still living as usual. And I'm curious, is there perhaps a disconnect, or are people perhaps ignoring it and maybe leaning into debt a little bit?
Erin Kelly: 毫无疑问,人们肯定在依赖债务。有一小部分人感觉不到压力,他们知道通货膨胀上升了,但他们还没到边缘。但绝大多数人确实在靠借债度日。
Original English
Erin Kelly: Oh, people are definitely leaning into debt. There's there's no question about that. And some people aren't feeling it. I mean that we do have that small slice of the population there. They know that inflation has gone up and stuff, but they weren't they weren't so close to the edge that, you know, but but people are definitely leaning into debt.
Kristine Beese: 我不认为有足够的加拿大人理解债务是如何运作的,不理解“让钱为你工作”和“让钱为别人工作”的区别。让钱为你工作意味着投资的钱在自我增值。如果你足够早开始,投资回报将超过你投入的一半,这就是你负担退休生活的资本。当你让钱为别人工作时(付利息),你是为了别人的利益在工作。每当政府说“我们延长了抵押贷款期限,所以住房更负担得起了”,我都很困扰。那不是负担得起,那是一个误称,你实际上是在要求人们支付更多的利息,更努力地为银行工作。
Original English
Kristine Beese: Yeah I would agree. . . I don't think enough Canadians understand how debt works and understand, you know, the difference between getting your money working for you versus getting your money working for someone else. Getting your money working for you means that the money that's invested is making money on itself. And so we actually break down what you contributed and what what money came that you did not contribute came from that return on investment. And if you start early enough, the return on investment is more than half what you contributed, which is how you can afford a life, a retirement. And so when you're when your money is working for someone else, you're doing that to the benefit of someone else. You're paying this instead of it going up, you're paying this going down. And so one of the things that really bothers me when the government talks about, oh, we've made mortgages longer, so housing is more affordable. I'm like, that's actually not more affordable. It's a misnomer. You're you're now asking people to pay much more in interest. And it's you're you're asking people to work much harder for banks.
Erin Kelly: 每个人——无论你是单身还是家庭——都觉得我们的税务系统太复杂了。它实际上对谁都不利。如果你必须雇佣专业人士才能向政府纳税,否则就拿不到应得的豁免,或者万一你陷入破产境地,你就完全受制于那些拥有专业顾问的一方。
Original English
Erin Kelly: Okay. . . everybody, whether you're single, you're a household. Everybody feels our tax system is too complicated. It's actually not working well for anyone. Okay. And, you know, if you have to hire a professional just to pay the government your taxes because you feel otherwise, you're not getting all the little exceptions you could have gotten or, you know, if, heaven forbid, you're in a bankruptcy situation. You can't afford to help anyone, but you can't get through it on your own. So you're kind of at the mercy of the others who do have professionals.
Renee Sylvestre-Williams: 关于金钱有很多羞耻感。如果你无法管理好个人财务,不知为何就会被贴上“做人失败”的标签。但实际上,很多加拿大人并没有接触过真正的财务教育,他们只是模仿父母或家庭对金钱的反应。
Original English
Renee Sylvestre-Williams: There's a lot of shame and blame about money, like if you cannot manage your own finances personally for some reason, that just becomes that you are a failure as a human being. But if you think about it, like a lot of Canadians aren't really exposed to actual proper financial education, they kind of see how their parents or their family react to money, so they kind of build up their own money stories.
给单身人士的深度建议
Jeyan Jeganathan: 单身人士在住房方面是否被亏待了?
Original English
Jeyan Jeganathan: I want to go back to housing. Yes. How are singles being short changed when it comes to housing?
Renee Sylvestre-Williams: 如果你是高收入单身人士,你可能更有机会支付首付。但现在,你需要至少两个人的收入,甚至可能需要“父母银行”的赠款。在全国 6、7 个主要城市买房,对单身人士来说极其困难。
Original English
Renee Sylvestre-Williams: So if you are a high earning single, you probably have a better chance of qualifying for a down payment. But these days you need a minimum two income and possibly money from family. Family member, the bank of mom and dad, or, you know, a gift, a monetary gift to afford something, especially in the, you know, 6 or 7 major cities across the country. So financially, it can be more difficult for single person, especially somebody who may not be in the top 20 or top 15% of income earners in the country to buy a place.
Jeyan Jeganathan: 给出你的前三项建议。
Original English
Jeyan Jeganathan: All right. I want to give some people some solutions, some advice. What are some some top three. Give me top three tips in terms of protecting themselves.
Renee Sylvestre-Williams: 首先,了解自己的财务状况。你不需要知道每一块钱的去向,但要有一个总体蓝图。其次,建立强大的社区团队,不仅是亲友,还要有专业的劳动法律师等,这可能是拿到两周和十二周遣散费的区别。第三,积极参与政治,支持那些有具体想法解决住房负担能力的政客。因为有些问题是个体无法解决的,需要集体政治行动。
Original English
Renee Sylvestre-Williams: Well, I like to say I'm not going to tell people to budget. . . kind of just know where you are financially. Like, you don't have to know what every single dollar is doing, but kind of a general picture of where you are and where you want to be. And I would say the second thing I would say is get involved in your community. . . having a strong community around you, especially when you're single, is even more important. . . obviously friends and family, but also things like having a good employment lawyer. Right? There's a lot of layoffs happening right now. Having a good employment lawyer can be the difference between getting two weeks severance and 12 and 12 week severance. . . And the third thing, and this one is, I would say, get more politically active, like support politicians that are looking or have concrete ideas about how to address housing affordability, how to make it easier to live in a city, whether as a single person or as a family. Right? Because there are just some things that cannot be solved by the individual in and of itself. It takes perhaps a whole bunch of people getting together and supporting political action.
📌 文中提及的人物和组织
人物: Renee Sylvestre-Williams, Erin Kelly, Kristine Beese
公司/组织: Spergel, Abacus Data, Advanced Symbolics, Inc, Untangle Money
产品/模型: Polly
媒体/书籍: The Singles Tax