马特·马汉谈如何应对加州的挑战 All-In Podcast 2026-03-23

加州州长竞选与个人背景

David: 马汉,欢迎来到《All-In》。

Original English

David: Nahm, welcome to Allin.

Matt Mahan: 谢谢,大卫。我完全不知道你是谁。你究竟是谁?我是说,你就像是一个在最后一刻突然冒出来竞选加州州长的人。这事是怎么发生的?还有,马特·马汉是谁?

Original English

Matt Mahan: Thanks, David. I have no idea who you are. Who are you? I mean, you're a guy who kind of popped up running for governor of California last minute. How'd that come about? And who is Matt Mayan?

Matt Mahan: 噢,大卫,和所有人一样,我对加州这个州感到沮丧,它不断增加开支,但似乎成效越来越差,这就是我参选的原因。但话说回来,我是在加州一个名叫沃森维尔的小农镇长大的,那里出产你们的草莓。

Original English

Matt Mahan: Well, David, like everybody, I'm frustrated with a state that keeps spending more and seemingly getting less, which is why I jumped in. But to back up, I grew up in a little farming town here in California, a town called Watsonville, where your strawberries come from.

David: 我确实在沃森维尔工作。

Original English

David: I do work in Watsonville.

Matt Mahan: Frisco Berries。你很了解。

Original English

Matt Mahan: Frisco berries. You know it well.

David: 我有温室。是的。

Original English

David: I got green houses. Yeah.

Matt Mahan: 是的,没错。我家是工薪阶层。我妈妈是老师,爸爸是邮递员。我人生中最大的幸运是凭着勤工俭学的奖学金进入了一所很棒的大学预科高中。我每天乘公交车单程大约两个小时。我高中和大学都靠自己打工完成学业,然后通过**“为美国而教”项目回来成为一名公立学校教师。我一直非常注重社区,对政治感兴趣,想知道如何让我们的城市、我们的世界变得更美好。后来我进入科技领域,花了大约十年时间开发公民科技**工具,帮助人们参与民主进程。

Original English

Matt Mahan: Yeah. Exactly. working-class family. Mom was a teacher, dad was a letter carrier. My lucky break in life was getting into a great college prep high school on a work study scholarship. I took buses about two hours each way. Worked my way through high school and college and uh came back as a public school teacher through the Teach for America program. Always was very community oriented, was interested in politics, wanted to know how to make our city, our world a better place. ended up in the tech sector and spent about a decade building civic tech tools to help people navigate their democracy.

David: 你开发了什么?

Original English

David: What did you build?

Matt Mahan: 我参与了早期的一个Facebook应用,叫Causes,然后又创办了一个叫Brigade的平台,它有点像针对选民的LinkedIn。它的核心理念是通过将选民围绕他们热衷的议题、希望看到的成果联系起来,帮助他们组织起来,让民选官员负责,从而建立自下而上的基层力量。在公民科技领域工作了大约十年后,我们的公司被收购了。我决定竞选市议员,我出去敲了一万户人家的门,因为很多事情被骂,其中有些不一定是我负责的。但我真切感受到了加州居民的常识,他们会问这样的问题:“如果我每年缴纳2万美元的房产税,为什么我的本地道路在过去15年里没有铺设过?”我觉得这很有道理。所以,我去了市政厅,试图找出原因。

Original English

Matt Mahan: I was involved with an early Facebook application called Causes and then went on to start a platform called Brigade that was sort of like LinkedIn for voters. And the whole premise was to build grassroots bottomup power by connecting voters around issues they're passionate about, outcomes they want to see, and help them organize to hold their elected officials accountable. After about a decade in the civic tech space, our company was acquired. I decided to run for city council, and I went out and knocked on 10,000 doors, got yelled at for a lot of things that I wasn't necessarily responsible for, but I got a real feel for the common sense of the residents of California who would ask questions like, "If I'm paying $20,000 a year in property taxes, why haven't my local roads been paved in the last 15 years?" And I thought that made a lot of sense. So, I went to city hall to try to find out.

加州政府的失能与低效

David: 加州到底有多失能?它是如何变成这样的?

Original English

David: how dysfunctional is California and how did it get this way.

Matt Mahan: 相当糟糕。我真的很担心,这就是我参选的原因。我认为这个州正走向一个拐点,过了这个点可能就无法回头了。我们州政府的开支增加了75%。打个比方,这意味着今年比六年前多支出了1500亿美元。据我所知,没有一项结果变得更好。更别提好75%了。很多数据在同期都持平或下降。所以,政府缺乏真正的问责制。我们在萨克拉门托没有资金问题,我们有激励问题。我们的结构允许我们不断把更多的钱投入到那些不起作用的事情上。就拿高铁来说吧。如果一个初创公司花了20年,投入了140亿美元,却未能交付产品,那么员工早就被解雇了。但在我们的州政府中,我们根本看不到这种程度的问责制。

Original English

Matt Mahan: Pretty bad. I'm really worried, which is why I jumped in. I think the state is heading toward an inflection point past which there there may be no return. We have increased spending in state government by 75%. To put that in perspective, that's $150 billion more this year than six years ago. And as far as I can tell, none of the outcomes have gotten better. Never mind 75% better. Many of them are flat or down over the same time period. So there is a real lack of accountability in government. We don't have a money problem in Sacramento. We have an incentives problem. We have a structure that allows us to keep shoveling more money into things that aren't working. Just take highspeed rail. If a startup took 20 years, spent $14 billion, and didn't deliver a product, people would have been fired a long time ago. And we're just not seeing that level of accountability in our state government.

David: 这是盗窃吗?钱都去哪儿了?140亿美元。今天这140亿美元在谁手里?是承包商。是律师。其中一部分确实用于实际建设项目。但迟迟未完工。加州发生的情况,以及我们无法再建造大型项目的原因是,我们有无休止的流程多年的环境审查,以及你能想象到的最爱打官司的环境。任何人都可以根据SQEA起诉。你甚至不需要是加州居民就可以根据SQEA起诉。所以,你会遇到多年的诉讼、官僚主义。

Original English

David: Is this theft? Where does the money go? $14 billion. Who has that $14 billion today? It's contractors. It's lawyers. Some of it has gone into actually building the project. But belatedly, what happens in California and the reason we can't build, we can't do big things anymore, is that we've got endless process, years of environmental review, the most latigious environment imaginable. Anybody can sue under SQA. You don't even have to be a resident of California to sue under SQUA. And so, you just get years of litigation, bureaucracy,

David: 谈到住房。稍微换个话题,城市可以征收的费用,一次性费用可以使项目成本增加20%。所以,我们已经把这个州官僚化到了完全瘫痪的地步。我们可以不断地花钱,却一无所获。作为公民和纳税人,我试图理解,我住在加州,支付53%的税率。我支付联邦税和临时性的加州税,我临时性地支付了11年了,我把我赚的每一块钱中的53美分交给了州政府和联邦政府。我就想,我的钱去哪儿了?这真是个令人费解的数字。就拿高铁项目来说,单单这一个项目就140亿美元

Original English

David: when it comes to housing. Just to slightly switch topics, the fees that cities can assess, one-time fees can add 20% to the cost of a project. So, we've just we've bureaucratized the state to the point where it's total paralysis. We can keep spending more and more and not getting anything for it. It's like I'm trying to understand as a citizen and a taxpayer, I pay a 53% tax rate living in California. I pay my federal tax and my temporary California tax, which I've been temporarily paying for 11 years, and I'm paying 53 cents of every dollar I earn to the state and to the federal government. I'm like, where'd my money go? It's such a mind-boggling number. Pick the highspeed rail project alone. $14 billion.

Matt Mahan: 花掉了。

Original English

Matt Mahan: spent.

David: 花掉了。我们没有铁路。我们什么都没有。是律师赚了这140亿美元吗?你提到了承包商。是不是有很多很多人都赚了两三万块钱,然后加起来就是140亿美元?请帮我理解我的钱去哪儿了。具体到那个项目,我没有做逐项分析,但我可以明确地说,有多年的顾问在进行环境审查,进行所有这些研究和报告,评估可能产生的影响。所以有很多顾问,还有诉讼费用。有一个完整的**“小作坊”产业**,人们在做设计、研究、报告、管理诉讼、购买路权以及管理社区参与流程。我们做任何事情都要花很多年,所以钱就被吸入了这片小群体形成的海洋。所以没有一个像“加州总大盗”那样的大盗把所有的钱都拿走了,而是这种失能导致每个人都分得了一小块。

Original English

David: Spent. We don't have a rail. We don't have anything. Is it lawyers that made $14 billion? You mentioned contractors. like is this just like there's a whole bunch of people that are all making 20 30 grand and it all adds up to 14 billion like just help me understand where my money went. So on that project specifically and I haven't done the line item by line item analysis to be totally clear but you have years of consultants doing environmental reviews and and doing all of these studies and reports of of the impacts it might have. So tons of consultants you have the cost of litigation. You have an entire cottage industry of people doing design and studies and reports and managing litigation and buying right ofway and managing community engagement processes and we just we take years to do to do anything and so it just gets vacuumed up into this sea of little groups of things. So there isn't like one big thief like the grandmaster thief of California that's taking all the money and then it's just like the dysfunction is just like everyone's getting a little piece of.

Matt Mahan: 我的看法是,让我们明确一点,加州和其他地区在过去大约五年,也就是疫情期间,确实存在欺诈行为,并且有充分的记录。加州欺诈性失业金申领总额超过300亿美元,这有充分记录。现在有新的研究表明,有数千家,如果不是数百家,临终关怀机构可能根本不存在。我的意思是,我们现在才刚获得这些信息。这是非常实时的调查性新闻。所以我认为欺诈是数量级的。这里甚至存在一个更大的问题,那就是浪费和低效。这是一个系统,你只是不断地增加人头,扩大项目规模,增加我们给非营利组织的拨款。我们围绕流程而非结果进行资助和管理。我尝试在圣何塞采取截然不同的方法。我认为这就是为什么在不增税的情况下,事实上,由于经济周期性,房地产市场正在挣扎,我们非常依赖地方房产税,过去几年我们的收入增长放缓了一些。但即便如此,在不增税的情况下,我们大幅改善了我们正在取得的成果。我们在降低犯罪率方面走在了全州前列,成为全国最安全的大城市。在过去几年中,我们把无家可归者(住在帐篷和车辆中的人)减少了大约三分之一。我们解除了住房生产的障碍。我们看到数千套新房正在建设中。在所有这些案例中,我们都必须改变阻碍进展的现有流程,减少收费,并削减那些没有取得成效的项目的资金,以便我们能资助那些更有效的解决方案。

Original English

Matt Mahan: my sense I mean let's be clear there is fraud there has been fraud very well documented in California and other areas during the last 5 years or so roughly during the pandemic unemployment claims in California that were fraudulent totaled over $30 billion that is well documented there's emerging research right Now that shows that there are hundreds if not thousands of hospice providers who may or may not exist. I mean we're just getting this information now. This is very real time investigative journalism. So there's fraud I think by an order of magnitude. There's even something bigger here which is which is waste and inefficiency is a system where you just keep incrementally growing headcount, growing the size of programs, growing the grants that we give out to nonprofits. And we're funding and managing around process, not outcomes. And I've tried to approach it very differently in San Jose. I think it's why without raising taxes, in fact, our revenue has actually slowed a bit the last couple of years just because the economy is cyclical, real estate is struggling. We're very dependent on local property taxes. But without raising taxes, we have dramatically changed the outcomes we're getting. We have led the state in reducing crime and become the safest big city in the country. We've reduced unsheltered homelessness, meaning people living outside in tents and vehicles, by about a third in the last few years. We've unblocked housing uh production. We're seeing thousands of new homes under construction. In all of those cases, we had to change existing process that was in the way, reduce fees, and cut funding for programs that weren't delivering so that we could fund other solutions that were more efficient.

加州立法与问责

David: 好吧,我还想问问立法方面。如果你看看华盛顿特区,我们有国家的国会,众议院和参议院,有共和党和民主党,他们互相争斗。他们争斗如此之多以至于什么也做不成,顺便说一句,这可能是一件好事,因为在加州,立法机关每年通过数百项法案,而它们都来自一个党派,那就是民主党加文·纽森平均每年否决这些法案的15%到20%,这说明了一些问题,但也许你可以解释一下你对这些法律是如何在加州通过的看法,这些法案是如何通过的?萨克拉门托的立法机关(你正在争取其中一个席位)是如何做出决定的,以及加州州立法机关的动机是什么?

Original English

David: Well, let me also ask about legislation. If you look at Washington DC, we have our nation's Congress, the House and the Senate, and there's a Republicans and there's Democrats, and they fight. And they fight so much they don't get anything done, which by the way may be a good thing because in California, the legislature passes hundreds and hundreds of bills a year, and they all um come from one party, the Democrat party. Gavin Newsome on average vetos 15 to 20% of these bills every year which says something but maybe you can just explain a little bit your view on how are all these laws getting passed in California how are these how does the legislature in Sacramento where you're vying for a seat to have the right to veto and the right to push back how are they making decisions and what's motivating the California state legislature.

Matt Mahan: 是的,我想澄清一下,作为州长,我会否决更多的法案,因为完全缺乏问责制。我认为我们太多的立法者认为他们的成功标准是他们能写多少法案,送到州长那里,最终获得签署。但你实际上读一下这些法案的作用时,你会发现它们通常只会增加成本和流程。我们的下一任州长需要告诉立法机关的是,我们不会资助失败。我们将公开设定目标。我们将衡量我们每一笔支出的绩效。我们将彻底审计现有项目。目前,州审计员提出的75%的审计建议从未得到实施。所以,根本没有与公众的反馈循环,也没有对结果的问责。有很多表演性政治,很多关于我们正在努力做好事、如何努力回应所有人的讨论。我们有一种倾向,特别是在民主党内,想要表现出同情心,告诉所有人我们正在处理所有事情。我们试图一次性满足所有人的所有需求,而不是非常战略性地说明有些事情比其他事情更重要。高昂的住房成本、高昂的能源成本、公立学校的质量、社区的安全。这些是人们关心的事情,他们认为在缴税时应该得到这些。但尽管州政府开支增加了75%,这些结果都没有真正改善。有些甚至更糟。

Original English

Matt Mahan: yeah and I I would just to be clear as governor veto even more of these bills because there's a a total lack of accountability. And I think too many of our legislators think that their measure of success is how many bills they can write, get to the governor, and ultimately get signed. What you see is you actually read what these bills do. They generally just add more cost and more process. And what the legislature needs to be told by our next governor is that we're not going to fund failure. We're going to publicly set goals. We're going to measure the performance of every dollar we spend. We're going to audit the heck out of existing programs. Right now, 75% of the audit recommendations from the state auditor never get implemented. So, there's just there isn't a feedback loop with the public or or an accountability for the outcome. There is a lot of performative politics, a lot of discussion of how much good we're trying to do, how we're trying to be responsive to everyone. We have a tendency, particularly in the Democratic party, to want to be empathetic and tell everyone that we're working on everything. We try to be everything to everyone all at once rather than very strategically saying some things matter more than others. The high cost of housing, the high cost of energy, the quality of our public schools, the safety in our neighborhoods. These are the things people care about and think that they should be getting when they pay taxes. But despite increasing spending in the state by 75%, none of those outcomes have actually gotten better. Some have gotten worse.

David: 具有讽刺意味的是,有时,而且我认为通常情况下,更少的政府比更多的政府更能解决问题。试图做更多来创造住房可能反而使住房更昂贵。听起来很讽刺。试图做更多来让教育更容易获得,反而使教育更昂贵。政府介入得越多,价格似乎就越是飙升。面对所有那些通过说“我要做更多。我要做更多。我要做更多”来在加州州立法机构中当选的利益集团,你如何克服这一点?因为这就是你当选的方式。你如何才能进来并说:“我们应该少做一些,这就是我们解决其中一些问题的方式?”

Original English

David: The irony is that sometimes it may be the case, and I think it's very often the case that less government solves the problem better than more government. Trying to do more to create housing may make housing more expensive. Sounds ironic. Trying to do more to make education accessible makes education more expensive. The more government gets involved, the more prices seem to skyrocket. How do you get over that with all the interested groups that are getting themselves elected in the California state legislature by saying, "I'm going to do more. I'm going to do more. I'm going to do more." Because that's how you get elected. How are you possibly going to come in and say, "We should do less, and that's how we're going to fix some of this stuff."

Matt Mahan: 是的。好吧,当然,如果你身处困境,就不要继续挖坑。不幸的是,我这次竞选的对手之一,埃里克·斯沃韦尔,在一次辩论中,他已经说了好几次了。当被问及他的前三个优先事项是什么时(我们都被问到我们州的前三个优先事项),他说的是收入、收入、收入。对我来说,这是一种根本没有理解这个州哪里出了问题的思维模式。你完全正确。作为民主党人,我们必须为我们在州内取得的成果负责。长期以来,我们反射性的答案一直是,我们需要更多的收入。如果我们有更多的钱,我们就能解决这个问题。我就是不相信这一点。我之所以这么说,是因为我是这次竞选中唯一一位现任行政长官。我是北加州最大城市圣何塞的市长。由于历史的巧合,我们作为一个卧室社区而建立,服务于我们北部的工作中心。我们实际上人均收入远低于许多其他城市。我们不是一个工作中心。因此,根据第13号提案,我们的税收增长更慢,而且规模更小。我们的收入比我们一些邻近城市少大约三分之一。我们通过不同的思考方式,在收容无家可归者、建设住房、减少犯罪方面取得了巨大的增长。但这都始于愿意公开设定目标,并允许公众对你的资金支出方式进行问责,以确保其真正实现成果。这听起来很简单。我知道你的大多数听众(我听了多年)都在私营部门工作,这几乎是显而易见的,你甚至不需要说出来。但事实是,作为民选官员,我们几乎从不设定可以真正被问责的公开目标。天哪,万一在你的下一次选举中,你因为没有真正减少无家可归者、没有减少犯罪或没有建成住房而被指责怎么办?相反,正如你所说,我们通过了一项又一项法案,表明我们正在做些什么。而有一半时间,由于无心之失法则,我们反而让我们想要做的事情变得更慢、更昂贵。

Original English

Matt Mahan: Yeah. Well, certainly, if you're if you're in a hole, don't keep digging. And sadly, one of my opponents in this race, Eric Swallwell, just in a debate, he said it a couple times now in debates. When asked what his top three, we were all asked what are our top three priorities for the state, said revenue, revenue, revenue. And to me, that is just that is a mindset that doesn't get what has broken down in the state. You're absolutely right. As Democrats, we have to own the outcomes we're getting in this state. And for too long, our reflexive answer has been, we need more revenue. if we just have more money, we'll solve this problem. I I just don't believe that. And and I say that as the only current executive in this race. I'm the mayor of the largest city in Northern California, San Jose. And because of a quirk of history, we were built as a bedroom community for the job centers just north of us. We actually have significantly lower revenue per capita than many other cities. We're not a job center. And so with Prop 13, our tax revenue goes up more slowly and it is smaller. Our revenue is about a third less than some of our neighboring cities. And we're delivering huge increases in sheltering people, getting housing built, reducing crime by thinking differently. But it all starts with being willing to set a goal publicly and allow the public to hold you accountable for spending dollars in a way that actually achieves outcomes. And that sounds so simple. I know most of your audience, I've been listening for years, are in the private sector and it almost seems so obvious that why would you even need to say it? But the truth is, as elected officials, we almost never set public goals where we can actually be held accountable. Heaven forbid in your next election you might get called out for not actually reducing homelessness or reducing crime or getting housing built. And instead, to your point, we pass bill after bill showing that we're doing something. And half the time, with the the law of unintended consequences, we make it slower and more expensive to do the very thing that we want.

工会与政治影响

David: 好的。那我们来谈谈可能存在的竞争利益方,他们希望通过政府为其基础获取资金,这其中就包括工会。他们在加州是一个非常有影响力的游说和协调组织群体。他们在立法机构、市长竞选以及州长席位的选举中都有着显著的影响力。请谈谈你对工会目前在加州政治中扮演的角色,以及在政府失能和支出不透明方面的一些看法,因为我知道这可能是一个非常有争议的话题,你可能不想得罪工会,但我很想听听你对他们作用的坦率看法。

Original English

David: Right. Well, let's talk about maybe some of the competing interests that want to get capital, that want to pull capital through the government for their base, and that would be labor unions. They're a very powerful lobbying coordination set of groups in California. They have significant influence over who gets elected in the legislature, who gets elected in city mayor's races, and who gets elected in the governor's seat. Tell me your view on the role that labor unions play in California politics today and some of this dysfunction in government and unaccountability in spending because I know that this might be a very controversial topic to talk about because you don't want to piss off the labor unions, but I'd love to hear your your candid views on their role.

Matt Mahan: 是的,让我先说,我不害怕对抗任何有组织的利益集团。而且不仅仅是工会。让我们谈谈公共部门工会的作用。不仅仅是工会高度组织化。你还有行业协会。你还有医生和牙医。你还有公共部门工会。你还有石油和天然气行业。金融科技实际上是后来者。科技行业也开始组织起来。所以,我看待萨克拉门托的政治格局(我认为在华盛顿也大体如此)是,你拥有资源充足、高度组织化的专业倡导、游说和政治运作,它们本质上都在捍卫现状。你完全正确,萨克拉门托在倡导、游说和选举方面最大的单一支出方是有组织的劳工,特别是公共部门工会。现在,我不认为这是一个整体。我和我们的公共部门工会关系很好。我们的建筑行业希望看到经济增长。所以,很多工会都非常务实,他们都在做他们应该做的事情。是那些软弱的政客屈服于他们激进的要求,才是问题的根本原因。所以,当教师工会组织起来说:“我们不想要更多的问责制。我们不想被告知使用循证课程。我们不想在课堂上使用更多的技术。”无论他们主张什么,大概都是为了他们成员的利益,或者至少是他们认为的利益。这时候就需要我们的民选官员站出来说:“好吧,为了社区的利益,我们会在这个问题上推动你们。我们不会轻易放过你们。我们不会在明知我们所花费的钱没有得到应有回报的情况下,否决这项立法或保持沉默。”我们已经到了密西西比州和路易斯安那州在帮助低收入儿童达到阅读年级水平方面做得比我们加州这个资源丰富、非常进步的州更好的地步。这是一个对高度组织化的利益集团比对我们被选举来服务的人民更响应的系统的功能。

Original English

Matt Mahan: Yeah, let me start by saying I am not afraid to take on any organized interest. And it is not just labor though. Let's talk about the role of public sector unions. It's not just labor that is highly organized. You have trade associations. You have the doctors and the dentists. You have the public sector unions. You have the oil and gas industry. You fi tech has actually been late to the party. Tech is starting to organize. So the the way that I look at the landscape in Sacramento, and I think it's largely true in Washington as well, is you have wellresourced, highly organized, professional advocacy, lobbying, and political operations that essentially defend the status quo. And you are absolutely right that the single biggest spender in Sacramento when it comes to advocacy, lobbying, and elections is organized labor and particularly public sector unions. Now, I don't think it's a monolith. I have a great relationship with our public sector unions. Our building trades want to see the economy grow. So, u many unions are very pragmatic and all of them are doing what they're supposed to be doing. It's spineless politicians who cave to their aggressive demands who are the the root cause of the problem here. So, when the teachers union organizes and says, "We don't want more accountability. We don't want to be told to use evidence-based curriculum. We don't want more technology in the classroom." whatever it is they may advocate for uh presumably on behalf of or at least what they perceive to be the interests of their members. It's our elected officials who need to step up and say, "Well, for the good of the community, we're going to push you on that. We're not just going to give you a pass. We're not just going to veto that legislation or stay quiet when we know that for what we're spending, we aren't getting what we should be." We've gotten to the point where Mississippi and Louisiana are doing a better job of helping low-income kids get on grade level for reading than we are in the very well-resourced, very progressive state of California. That is a function of a system that is more responsive to the highly organized interests than the people we're elected to serve.

David: 对吗?这就是根本的失能。有些人认为这是腐败,我认为这个词并不算太重。我并不是指任何人违法或窃取金钱的狭义上的腐败,而是这个系统再次回到了核心点,那就是激励机制完全错误。民选官员的激励是迎合那些在选举中投入大量资金的高度组织化的利益集团。他们关注立法机构的动向。起草法案语言。起草友好的修正案。让立法者为他们服务。我只是在对抗这个系统,因为无论你是民主党、共和党还是独立人士,这都不重要。我们需要一个高效运作的政府,能够提供更低的住房成本、更低的能源成本、更好的学校、更安全的社区以及终结街头无家可归。我们拥有实现这些目标的资源。我们缺乏的是实现这些目标的政治意愿和问责制。我认为这不是一个党派问题。坦率地说,如果民主党不开始清醒过来,更积极地回应选民的需求,并利用我们现有的资源实现目标,我们将看到钟摆完全摆向另一边,你将在加州看到一场类似MAGA的运动

Original English

David: Right? That's the fundamental dysfunction. U some see it as corruption, and I don't think that's too strong of a word. I don't mean it in the narrow sense of anyone breaking the law or or um you know stealing money but but the system has become again back to the core point here that the incentives are all wrong. The incentive for an elected official is to cater to highly organized interests who disproportionately spend money in elections. Follow what's happening up in the legislature. Draft the bill language. Draft the friendly amendments. get legislators to do their bidding. And I just I'm running against the system because it doesn't matter if you're a Democrat, a Republican, an independent. We need a high functioning government that delivers lower housing costs, lower energy costs, better schools, safer neighborhoods, an end to street homelessness. We have the resources to do it. What we haven't had is the political will and accountability to do it. And I don't think that's a partisan point. And frankly, if the Democratic Party doesn't start to wake up and be more responsive to the needs of our constituents and deliver with the resources we've got, we're going to see the pendulum swing all the way the other way and you're going to see a MAGA-like movement happen here in California.

加州贫困、失业与无家可归问题

David: 如果我看加州,我能理解我们没有解决某些问题,但我试图理解的是,这些问题是如何成为全国最糟的?所以有统计数据,你可以争论人均统计数据绝对人数,但我们是贫困率第一失业率第一全国近一半的无家可归者生活在加州。是的。

Original English

David: If I look at California, I can understand we're not solving certain problems, but what I'm trying to grock is how did some of these problems become the worst in the nation? So there are statistics and you can debate per capita statistics versus absolute number of people but number one in poverty, number one in unemployment, nearly half the nation's homeless live in California. Yeah.

David: 加州是如何从糟糕且无法解决这些问题,到让它们变得更糟的?

Original English

David: How did California go from being bad and not solving these problems to making them worse?

Matt Mahan: 嗯,我想我的祖母总是说,通往地狱的道路是用善意铺成的。我确实认为,总的来说,人们都有善意,但当他们所支持的事情没有效果时,他们却不愿意审视数据并做出反应。在无家可归问题上,首先,我们破坏了住房市场,这应该作为一个独立的问题来谈。我们还极其 lax(宽松)地处理成瘾和精神疾病的周期。我们有点自欺欺人地认为,让一个人选择以他们喜欢的方式生活,即使那意味着在街头痛苦地受苦并最终因吸毒过量而死亡,也比干预和拯救他们的生命更重要。这就是我们最终陷入这种可怕境地的原因,坦率地说,在过去十年中,这个问题一直被低估。在加州,有5万人死于街头,大约一半是死于吸毒过量和自杀。这些人都有严重的行为健康问题,我们却眼睁睁看着他们恶化并死去,因为我们对保护公民自由过于看重,这可能也成为了不以新方式花钱的借口。在圣何塞,我们不得不放弃花费每扇门一百万美元来建造一栋全新的公寓以让某人脱离街头,转而购买可以部署在公共土地上、连接水电的小型睡眠舱。每单元的总成本是8.5万美元。在我担任市长的头三年里,我们增加了2000多个庇护床位,并在减少无家可归者方面走在了全州前列。但我们必须克服来自倡导者、经济适用房开发商等令人难以置信的反对,其中很多是出于好意,也许有些是出于自身利益,但我们要么致力于解决问题,要么屈服于高度组织化的利益集团,或者是一种在实践中不起作用时需要愿意修正自身的进步主义意识形态

Original English

Matt Mahan: Well, I think you my my grandmother used to always say that the road to hell is paved with good intentions. And I do think generally speaking, people have had good intentions but have been unwilling to look at data and react when the things that they're championing aren't working. On homelessness, we've well, first of all, we've broken the housing market, which we should talk about as its own issue. We've also been incredibly lax when it comes to dealing with cycles of addiction and mental illness. We've sort of diluted ourselves into thinking that leaving someone to choose to live however they'd like, even if that means suffering in misery on the streets and ultimately dying of an overdose is somehow more important than intervening and saving their life. And that's how we've ended up in this horrific situation that frankly has been under reportported over the last decade. We've had 50,000 people die on our streets in California, about half from overdose and suicide. These are people with deep behavioral health issues where we're kind of just watching them deteriorate and die because we're so precious about protecting civil liberties may also be an excuse for not spending money in new ways. In San Jose, we had to move away from spending a million dollars a door to build a brand new apartment to get someone off the streets and pivot to buying sleeping cabins that can be deployed in small communities on publicly owned land hooked up to utilities. all-in cost of $85,000 a unit. We've added over 2,000 shelter beds in my first three years as mayor and led the state in reducing unsheltered homelessness. But we had to overcome an incredible amount of opposition from advocates, affordable housing developers, and and you know, much of it well intended, maybe some of it self-interested, but we either are going to be committed to solving the problem or we're going to cave to highly organized interests or a progressive ideology that needs to be willing to revise itself when when its ideas and practice aren't working.

David: 是的。我的意思是,有些政策简直是疯狂。我总是评论旧金山针对无家可归者的酒精管理计划。他们免费向酗酒的无家可归者提供酒精。我无法想象这不会阻止人们...

Original English

David: Yeah. I mean, it just feels some of the policies are just crazy. I always commented on the managed alcohol program for homeless in San Francisco. They give away free alcohol to alcohol addicted unhoused people. And I can't imagine that that disincentivizes people to.

Matt Mahan: 不会。

Original English

Matt Mahan: No.

David: 对。就像你去旧金山,你会得到针头,你会得到免费酒精。我的意思是,你会得到这些东西。所以,这会激励人们去旧金山。整个事情在我看来简直是疯了。让我们来谈谈住房问题。我的意思是,加州住房负担能力问题的核心是什么?是我们没有足够的房子吗?因为我看到很多待租的房子,很多待售的房子,很多待出租的房子,还是我们有法规使得维护房子很困难而且很昂贵?或者还有其他原因导致加州的住房负担不起?核心问题是什么?

Original English

David: Right. It's it's like you go to you go to San Francisco, you get needles, you get free alcohol. I mean, you get these things. So, it incentivizes people to to go to go to San Francisco. The whole thing just seemed absolutely nuts to me. Let's get into the housing question. I mean, what is the core of the housing affordability problem in California? Is it that we don't have enough houses? Because I see a lot of homes for lease, a lot of houses for sale, a lot of houses for rent, or is it that we have regulation that makes it hard to maintain a house and it's expensive? Or is there something else going on that's making housing unaffordable in California? Like, what's the the core here?

住房危机:供给、法规与诉讼

Matt Mahan: 听着,我认为这根本上是一个供给问题。我们最近在奥斯汀看到了,在西雅图也看到了,我们在全国各地的几十个市场都看到了,当我们消除市场投资住房以满足日益增长的需求的障碍时,你就会减缓成本的增加。这是经济学101。我们面临的挑战之一是,我们也使得经济适用房的建造变得不可能。所以,挑战的一部分是分区规划、高额费用,所有政府施加的阻碍住房建设的因素。但我们还有一个极其繁琐的建筑规范。我之前在谈到高铁时提到了诉讼。住房问题也是如此。我们在加州不建造公寓,部分原因是建筑缺陷责任法允许一名诉讼律师在项目第九年介入,如果他们看到油漆开始起泡,他们就会提起诉讼,而他们关心的是费用。他们的动机是产生费用。我们创造了一个允许他们这样做的法律框架。如果你试图改变它,萨克拉门托的另一个高度组织化的利益集团,诉讼律师,就会反对。

Original English

Matt Mahan: Look, I I think it's fundamentally a supply problem. We've seen most recently in Austin. We saw in Seattle, we've seen dozens of markets around the country that when we remove barriers to the market investing in housing to meet growing demand, you slow down cost increases. It's economics 101. Part of our challenge is that we've also made it impossible to build affordably. So, part of the challenge was zoning, high fees, all of the things government imposes that block housing from getting built. But we also have a building code that's incredibly cumbersome. We I mentioned litigation earlier when it came to highspeed rail. Same thing is true for housing. We're not building condos in California, partly because construction defect liability allows a trial lawyer to come in in year nine of a project and if they see that the paint is starting to bubble, they'll file a suit and they they care about the fees. Their incentive is to generate fees. And we've created a legal framework that allows them to do that. And if you try to change it, the another highly organized interest in Sacramento, the trial lawyers will push back on that.

David: 我觉得这太重要了。人们不明白这有多贵。有人告诉我,美国国内生产总值(GDP)的很大一部分都花在了诉讼和诉讼律师身上,而且他们在全国某些州选举中是最大的捐助者,试图创造一个允许他们进行诉讼并赚取巨额费用的法律框架。我的意思是,这是一个数百亿美元的产业

Original English

David: I think this is so important. People don't understand how expensive. Someone told me it was like a sizable percentage of GDP in the United States is spent on litigation and trial lawyers and that they are the largest donor in certain uh state elections all over the country to try and create a legal framework that allows them to pursue litigation and earn significant fees. I mean, it's a multi multi multi-billion dollar industry.

Matt Mahan: 没错。而加州在这方面处于极端。我的意思是,我曾与一些城市的市政领导人交谈,他们为跌倒伤害支付了如此高昂的赔偿金,以至于他们现在无力在未来几年维护城市剩余的人行道。所以他们会有更多的跌倒伤害案例。我们即将或有可能让诉讼者将州政府告到破产。所以,这是一个主要问题。至于公寓,这可能看起来是一个周边问题,但传统上,这是年轻人获得社会财富、首次拥有房屋并建立储蓄的方式,最终可能换购联排别墅或独栋房屋。我们通过使其建造成本高昂,实际上剥夺了这一阶梯。你现在想在加州建造新的公寓大楼,很难获得融资或保险。

Original English

Matt Mahan: That's right. And California is very much at one end of the spectrum. I I mean, I've talked to municipal leaders in cities that are settling at such a high amount for a trip and fall that now they can't afford to maintain the rest of the sidewalks in the city for the next few years. So, they're going to have more trip and fall cases. We are going to or at risk of allowing travelers to sue the state into oblivion. So, that is a it is a major issue. And on condos, it may seem like a peripheral issue, but traditionally that has been how young people get some equity in society, become a homeowner for the first time and build that nest egg to eventually perhaps trade up into a town home or a single family home. We've essentially taken that rung of the ladder away by making it cost prohibitive to build. You good luck getting financing or insurance to build a new condo building in California right now?

David: 对。公平地说,我们在加州面临的是监管危机,而不是住房危机吗?我的意思是,有没有办法重新定义这个问题?我...

Original English

David: Right. Is it fair to say we have a regulation crisis, not a housing crisis in California? I mean, is there a way to kind of reframe this? I.

Matt Mahan: 我认为这很公平。我认为是监管、官僚主义,以及一套不为民众服务、只为萨克拉门托特殊利益集团服务的法规和法律。

Original English

Matt Mahan: I think that's fair. I think regulation, bureaucracy, a a set of codes and laws that don't work for people and work for the special interests in Sacramento.

David: 我采访过一个人,亚当·卡罗拉。你认识他吗?他...

Original English

David: I interviewed this guy, Adam Corolla. You know him? The.

Matt Mahan: 我知道他。我知道。

Original English

Matt Mahan: I know of him. I know.

David: 是的。德鲁医生。他用的词是什么?哦,非常不恰当。他称之为**“女性法西斯主义”(gynofascism)。他说所有的监管都是为了安全,而且很多通过的法规,其起源都带有非常女性化的、安全保护的性质**,这使得一切都变得不可能。一切都关乎安全,更多的监管,更多的监管,更多的监管,结果就是你什么也做不成,律师们就会出现,一切都会被起诉。如何正确看待其起源?因为他的论点是,这背后是安全和保护主义的心态在推动。仅仅是诉讼律师吗?或者说,为什么有人会不断地通过?为什么立法者会不断地通过一层又一层、一层又一层的法律,使得建造变得不可能,维护变得超级昂贵,否则你就会被起诉。

Original English

David: Yeah. Dr. Drew, what was the term he Oh, very inappropriate. He called it gynofascism. He said that all of the regulatory is a safety thing and it's like a very feminine safety protective kind of origin in a lot of the regulations that have been passed that make it impossible. Everything's about safety and more regulation, more regulation, more regulation and as a result you can't get anything done and the lawyers show up and everything gets sued. What's the right way to think about the origin? Cuz his argument is that there's a mindset of safety and protectionism that's driven this. Is it just the trial lawyers or like why does someone keep passing? Why do the legislators keep passing laws over and over and layers and layers and layers and layers that make it impossible to build and make it super expensive to maintain because otherwise you'll get sued.

Matt Mahan: 是的。听着,我会把其中的性别内容去掉。但我认为更深层的问题在于,我们容易受到安全问题的影响,增加一项规定、一个流程实际上更容易。我每天都在市议会层面看到这种情况,我认为在州一级,这种诱惑更大,因为你无法指出你正在提供具体的服务。大部分的实施都发生在地方层面。每当世界上发生坏事的负面新闻时,立法者总有一种冲动会说:“让我们制定一条新规则。我们总是可以更安全一点。让我们再增加一道检查,一个平衡,一个流程,一条规则,一笔费用,无论是什么。”在我看来,原因在于我们没有在政府中建立奖励实际绩效和成果的激励结构。因此,我们默认奖励的是表演性,即展示我们做了很多活动,但没有产生很多影响。我只是觉得,我们必须帮助选民更明智地分析他们的民选官员正在做什么,以及它是否有效。这就是为什么我希望被问责。我上任时就是以仪表盘为基础竞选的。我的意思是,我设立了面向公众的仪表盘,并说:“这是我们的基线。这是我们与他人的比较。这是我们设定的目标。我们将每年将无家可归者减少10%。我们将减少犯罪。我们将消除障碍,建造住房。我们将加快许可证审查。”我希望被公开问责,因为坦率地说,我宁愿与我敲过门的人民建立反馈循环,也不愿与任何不喜欢我们试图改变现状的群体打交道。

Original English

Matt Mahan: Yeah. Look, I I would take the the gender content out of it. But I think the the deeper point that we suffer from safety, it's actually easier to add one more rule, one more process. I see this play out every day with our city council at the local level and I think it's even a greater temptation at the state level where you're not able to point to a concrete service that you're delivering. So much of the implementation happens at the local level. Every time there is a negative story about something bad happening in the world, there is an impulse for a legislator to say, "Let's create a new rule. We could always be a little bit safer. let's let's add another check, another balance, another process, another rule, another fee, whatever it is. And the reason for that in my view is that we have not created an incentive structure in government to reward actual performance and outcomes. And so we are by default rewarding the performiveness of showing that we're doing a lot of activity without a lot of impact. And I just I think that we have to help voters be smarter about analyzing what their elected officials are doing and whether or not it's working. That's why I want to be held accountable. I came into office running on dashboards. I mean, I put up public-f facing dashboards and said, "Here's our baseline. Here's how we compare to others. Here's the goal we're setting. We're going to reduce homelessness by 10% year-over-year. We're going to reduce crime. We're going to remove barriers and get housing built. We're going to speed up permit reviews. I want to be held publicly accountable because I would rather, frankly, have a feedback loop with the people whose doors I knocked on than whichever group doesn't like that we're trying to change something.

加州住房目标与建造困境

David: 作为加州州长,你在住房方面的衡量标准是什么?你将推出什么仪表盘,你的目标是什么?

Original English

David: What's your metric for being governor of California as it relates to housing? What's the dashboard you're going to put up and what's your goal?

Matt Mahan: 所以,我认为最终的结果必须是我们要建造更多的住房,但要以更经济实惠的方式建造。我们必须降低建造的成本,因为只要科罗拉多州能以海湾地区一半的成本建造出完全相同的房屋,我们就永远无法竞争。所以,我希望看到绝对数量上更多的住房被建造。我们需要开始朝着更好的方向发展。我们已经从每年约10万套住房降至每年约8万套。如果你再往前看,每年曾是15万套

Original English

Matt Mahan: So, I think that the the ultimate outcome has to be that we're building more housing, but that we're building it more affordably. We have to pull the cost out of building because as long as the state of Colorado can build the exact same home at half the cost of what it what it is in the Bay Area, we're never going to be able to compete. So, I want to see more housing in absolute terms get built. We need to start moving in a better direction. We've gone from about 100,000 units a year to about 80,000 a year. You go farther back, it was 150,000 a year.

David: 你希望在你的任期内达到什么目标?

Original English

David: What do you want what do you want to get to in your term?

Matt Mahan: 我认为我们需要超过10万套。但我认为正确的思考方式是,这实际上是与就业的比例。经济每创造两个就业机会,你就至少需要一套住房。海湾地区,特别是硅谷,之所以对工薪阶层如此难以负担,以及我们看到工薪家庭流离失所的原因是,在过去20年里,这里惊人的经济,我们国家乃至世界的创新引擎,每新建一套住房就创造了大约八个就业机会。这是一个完全不可持续的比例。所以,我有点犹豫说我们要建造1000万套住房。我认为这是一个比例问题。这是一个变化率问题。我们需要每年建造更多。但重要的是,我们需要减少费用、缩短审批时间、简化过于复杂的建筑规范

Original English

Matt Mahan: I think we need to get we need to get well over a h 100,000. I think the right way to think about it though is it's really a ratio with jobs. For every two jobs an economy creates, you need at least one home. Part of the reason the Bay Area and particularly Silicon Valley is so unaffordable for working people and we're seeing displacement of working families is that over the last 20 years, this incredible economy here, the engine of of innovation for our country and really the world has created about eight jobs for every one new home we've built. That is a completely unsustainable ratio. So, I'm a little hesitant to come out and say we're going to build 10 million homes. I think it's a ratio thing. It's a it's a rate of change. We need to be building more year-over-year. But importantly, we need to pull back the fees, the long timelines, the overly complicated building codes.

David: 那么,这些每一个都对应一个指标。

Original English

David: So, each of those get a metric.

Matt Mahan: 是的,这些每一个都对应一个指标,因为最终每平方英尺的建造成本需要下降

Original English

Matt Mahan: Yeah, each of those get a metric because ultimately the per square foot cost of building needs to go down.

David: 这需要降到多少?现在是多少?需要降到多少?

Original English

David: What does that need to get to? Where is it today? Where does it need to get to?

Matt Mahan: 哦,这因产品类型和市场而异。所以我不知道,我的意思是,这是一个好问题。我想我们应该阐明这一点。但我刚参观了一个模块化建筑工厂,也就是工厂建造的房屋。他们可以通过将住房生产工业化,将每单元成本降低20%,并将整体项目时间缩短高达50%。所以我们需要降低成本。我们应该能够通过作为监管机构可控的行动,将每平方英尺的成本至少降低三分之一。如果你成为州长,你将不得不对抗一个立法机构,它拥有各种既得利益,阻碍这一切的发生。你如何在没有立法机构合作的情况下采取行动?因为我认为非常困难的是,要回溯所有这些激励系统所创造和交付的东西。

Original English

Matt Mahan: Oh, it varies dramatically by product type and market. So I don't I mean it's a good question. I think I think we should we should lay that out. But I just visited a modular construction f factory factory built housing. They can bring down the cost per unit by 20% speed up overall project timelines by up to 50% by just industrializing the production of housing. So we need to pull the cost down. We should be able to drop the cost on a per square foot basis by at least a third with actions that are within our control as regulators. If you become governor, you're going to be fighting against a legislature that's got all of the various vested interests tied up in keeping this from happening. How do you take action without partnership with the legislature? Cuz what I think might be very hard is again to wind things back that all these incentive systems have been created to to deliver.

David: 是的。

Original English

David: Yeah.

Matt Mahan: 你作为州长,是否有紧急权力或可以采取的行动,可以说,你知道吗,我将在一年内解决这个问题,还是你必须与立法机构合作来解决这些问题?两者兼有。我的意思是,州长拥有某些非常强大的杠杆来推动预算过程。有否决权,有话语权,仅仅是点名批评和羞辱都非常强大。行政命令,以及任命权。我的意思是,州长任命3000人来管理所有这些委员会,这些委员会在如何实施法规方面拥有令人难以置信的酌处权。但毫无疑问,最终你需要立法部门来改变。而且我认为很多民主党立法者,其中很多人我私下都认识,他们会承认问题重重,事情没有进展。只是还没有公开表示愿意指出正在发生的事情,承认系统出了问题,激励机制完全是反向的。我认为,你知道,作为州长,我将能够改变这种对话,帮助劝说现有立法者以不同的方式思考,或者选出不同的立法者。你认为这也是因为如果他们公开这样做,他们就会失去他们的捐助者,失去支持他们的捐助者阶层吗?

Original English

Matt Mahan: Are there emergency powers or action you can take as governor that can just say, you know what, I'm going to fix this in a year or do you have to work with the legislature to solve these problems? a bit of both. I mean, the the governor has certain levers that are very powerful driving the budget process. There's the veto, the bully pulpit, just kind of naming and shaming is really powerful. Executive orders, the the appointments. I mean, the governor appoints 3,000 people who run all of these commissions that have incredible discretion over how to implement regulations. But there's no doubt that ultimately you need the legislative branch to to change. And I think that a lot of Democratic legislators, many of whom I know personally in private, will admit that things are broken, that things aren't working. There just hasn't been that willingness publicly to name what is going on, say that the system's broken, the incentives are are completely backwards. I think, you know, as governor, I'd be in a position to change the conversation, help um either persuade existing legislators to think differently or elect different legislators. Do you think it's also because if they're public about it, they'll lose their donors and they'll lose their donor class that's supporting them?

David: 嗯,不确定自己能否获得支持就贸然行事是很困难的。在金钱至上的环境中,直接接触选民是困难的。这是一个非常大的州。传递信息成本很高。社交媒体降低了门槛。我的部分赌注是,我们可以直接向选民传递这个信息,围绕事实以及实际解决问题所需的一切来获得支持。但你知道,我理解为什么人们选择稳妥的方式,被贴上标签不是件愉快的事。当你为改变而奋斗时,他们会给你贴上各种标签。你是**“企业走狗”。你是“种族主义者”。你是随便什么。我的意思是,当你试图为改变而奋斗时,总会有人给你贴上一些标签。但我试图专注于现实世界的结果**。住房成本、能源成本、学校质量、公共安全,这些都是人们在我长大的社区里关心的事情。这必须是我们的北极星

Original English

David: Well, it's hard to step out on a limb without knowing if you're going to have support for it. It is difficult to just go direct to voters in an environment where money talks. It's a very large state. Uh it's expensive to deliver a message. Social media has lowered barriers. That's part of my bet is that we can go straight to the voters with this message and get traction around around the truth around what it takes to actually solve our problems. Uh but it's it's you know I understand why people go with the sure the sure thing and it's it's not fun to be labeled. They will call you everything when you fight for change. You're a corporate sellout. You're um you're racist. You're whatever. I mean there's always some label that people will ascribe when you try to fight for change. But I try to stay laser focused on the real world outcomes. Housing costs, energy costs, quality of schools, public safety, the things that people care about in neighborhoods like the one I grew up in. That has to be the north star.

无家可归的成因与解决路径

David: 是的。无家可归的原因是什么?

Original English

David: Yeah. What causes homelessness?

Matt Mahan: 这是一个大问题。有几个原因。我的意思是,首先,你不能忽视我们破碎的住房市场,因为在住房便宜且供应充足的地方,即使存在高度的成瘾和精神疾病问题,大多数人也能保持有房可住。你知道,通常情况下,如果你真的将其视为一个生命周期问题,就会发现是某人由于某种原因已经处于弱势。可能是他们自己的选择,也可能是环境所致,比如失业、健康问题、成瘾、精神疾病,甚至家庭暴力。有很多真正可怕的事情发生在人们身上,也有一些是人们自己造成的。在这些情况下,如果每月房租是3000美元,你可能只需一张医疗账单,或者一次失业,就很快会发现自己睡在车里。而加州的工薪阶层尤其没有多少储蓄。他们没有可以依靠的东西。所以,加州的宏观成本结构,最高的住房成本,第二高的能源成本,以及最高的汽油价格,这些都不成比例地伤害着工薪阶层。还有一个教育系统,它为我们孩子的未来工作做准备的比例太低了。我们可以列举一长串清单,但这些都造成了这种脆弱或易碎的状况,这意味着生活在边缘的人更容易流落街头。但我还要补充一点,我们存在巨大的公共政策失败。我们不仅破坏了住房生产市场,这是一个宏观挑战,而且我们还没有建造庇护所和治疗床位。所以,对于那些因成瘾或精神健康问题而处于边缘的人来说,我们的床位比其他州少得多。然后,当人们真的无家可归时,它应该很短暂,不应该发生在户外。然而,我们在无家可归者数量上位居全国第一。全国超过**40%住在帐篷里的无家可归者生活在加州,而加州人口只占全国的12%**左右。我们没有建造庇护所。我们没有提供治疗。我们没有做我们应该做的事情来快速重新安置人们,将他们与个案经理联系起来,给予他们工具来改变生活,并让他们对改变生活负责。

Original English

Matt Mahan: It's a big question. There a few things. I mean, one, you can't ignore our broken housing market because in places where housing is cheap and widely available, you can have high rates of addiction and mental illness and most people can remain indoors even um even with those challenges. You know, typically what happens if you if you actually look at it as a life cycle issue is someone who's already vulnerable for some reason. could be of their own choosing, could be circumstances, but job loss, health issues, addiction, mental illness, you know, domestic violence. There's a range of really awful things that happen to people and that people sometimes do to themselves. And in these circumstances, if the rent is $3,000 a month, you are just one medical bill, you know, layoff away from really having, you know, ending up in your car very quickly. and and people working people in California especially don't have a lot of savings. They don't have something they can fall back on. So the macro cost structure of California the highest housing costs second highest energy cost with the highest gas prices which dis disproportionately hurts working people. Um an educational system that is preparing far too few of our children for the jobs of the future. We can go through that list, but that is creating these conditions of of sort of vulnerability or fragility that means that people living on the edge are much more likely to end up in their car. But I would add that we have a massive public policy failure. Not only did we break the housing production market, which is the macro challenge, but we haven't built shelter and treatment beds. So for folks for whom an addiction or mental health issue is the the thing that has them on the edge, we have far fewer beds than other states. And then when people do become homeless, it ought to be brief and it should not be outdoors. And yet we we lead the nation in unsheltered homelessness. Over 40% of the people living outside in tents in the entire country live in California, which is only about 12% of the country's population. We haven't built shelter. We haven't built treatment. We're not doing what we need to do to rapidly rehouse people, connect them to a case manager, give them tools to turn their lives around, and hold them accountable for turning their lives around.

David: 如果有精神疾病,他们是否应该被送往某个机构,帮助他们从精神疾病中康复?

Original English

David: If there's mental illness, should they be committed to some facility to help them recover from their mental illness?

Matt Mahan: 是的。简而言之,我认为你必须能够非自愿地拘留那些需要成瘾治疗、精神健康护理的人。如果有人屡次拒绝帮助,如果他们正在伤害更广大的社区,这种情况经常发生,无论是破坏公物、零售盗窃。这在我们的市区一直是一场斗争,窗户不断被那些明显患有严重成瘾和精神健康问题的人打破。我认为我们应该给人们接受帮助的机会。这需要有尊严。他们需要有替代街头的选择。我们已经建立了2000多个室内安置点,过渡性住房安置点,几乎都是带锁的独立房间,给人们隐私。这些是低门槛的街头替代方案。可以带上你的伴侣、宠物和财产。我们真的在努力满足人们的需求。好消息是,三分之二的人说“是”。坏消息是,另外三分之一的人深陷冰毒和芬太尼等物质成瘾的泥潭,以至于他们无法对自己的自我护理做出理性决定。我相信,将他们无休止地在街头、急诊室、监狱之间循环,并最终因吸毒过量而死亡,既不人道也不进步。我认为我们有道德义务进行干预,帮助他们戒毒,并让他们与辅导员联系,给他们一个改变生活的机会。毒品来自某个地方,助长了这场危机。州长能解决毒品危机吗?州长能让毒品从街头消失,逮捕毒贩吗?这是一个联邦问题吗?我们如何解决芬太尼、甲基苯丙胺、处方止痛药等毒品涌入街头的问题?

Original English

Matt Mahan: Yes. In short, I I think you have to be able to involuntarily hold people for addiction treatment, mental health care. if they're repeat if someone is repeatedly refusing help, if they are harming the broader community, which is often the case, whether that's vandalism, retail theft. It's been a battle here in our downtown where windows are constantly being broken by people who clearly are suffering from serious addiction and mental health issues. I think we should give people opportunities to accept help. It needs to be dignified. They need to be alternatives to the streets. We've stood up over 2,000 indoor placements, interim housing placements, almost all individual rooms with doors that lock, giving people privacy. These are low barrier alternatives to the streets. Bring your partner, your pets, your possessions. We're really trying to meet people where they are. The good news, twothirds of people say yes. The bad news, the other third is so deep in the throws of addiction to substances like meth and fentanyl that they can't make a rational decision about their own self-care. I believe that that is that it is not compassionate or progressive to leave them to endlessly cycle between streets, emergency rooms, jails, and ultimately die of an overdose. I think we have a moral duty to intervene, help them detox and get connected to a counselor and give them a chance to turn their lives around. Drugs are coming from somewhere fueling this crisis. Can the governor address the drug crisis? Can the governor get drugs off the street, arrest drug dealers? Is that a federal issue? How do we resolve the fueling of fentinyl, methamphetamines, prescription painkillers, etc. that have made their way onto the street?

Matt Mahan: 这必须是各级政府全民参与。很多执法工作都在地方层面进行。我们有一个警局,大约一千名警员在街头执行地方法律。他们和我们的消防员、社工一样,都处于这场危机的前线。当然,拥有联邦工具和州工具,我们有国民警卫队,有加州公路巡警(CHP),我们这里有各种各样的工具。但我知道的是,我们可以通过干预公共场所吸毒行为,让人们接受治疗,并让他们对自己改变生活负责,从而减少需求。如果我们能让人们康复,那街上就少了一个购买这些危险产品的顾客。

Original English

Matt Mahan: It has to be all levels of government, all hands on deck. So much law enforcement is done at the local level. We have a police department with about a thousand officers out on the street enforcing local laws. They're on the front lines of this crisis as are our firefighters, social workers. Certainly having federal federal tools and um and and state u we have the National Guard, we have CHP, we have a variety of of tools here. What I do know though is that we can reduce demand by intervening in public drug use and getting people into treatment and holding them accountable for turning their lives around. If we get people into recovery, that's one more customer not available out on the streets to buy these dangerous products.

David: 他们需要循环多少次才能被更永久地收容?

Original English

David: And how many times do they cycle through before they have to be held more permanently?

Matt Mahan: 嗯,我认为这必须随着时间推移而升级。对于第36号提案,我是该州第一个支持第36号提案的民主党市长。其经验法则是,在第三次公共场所吸毒违法行为时,你可以选择治疗或监禁。这给了一个决定带来了后果,这个决定不仅仅影响你自己。我们可以谈论公民自由,但当你积极选择不参与治疗时,你往往会给更广大的社区造成真实的成本和伤害。我们看到市区的商店关门,公园里家人无法玩耍。所以我们...

Original English

Matt Mahan: Well, I think it has to scale up over time. And with Prop 36, I was the first Democratic mayor in the state to come out in support of Prop 36. The rule of thumb there is on your third public drug offense, you can be given a choice between treatment and incarceration. And that's bringing a consequence to a decision that doesn't just affect you. We can talk about civil liberties, but when you are actively choosing not to engage in treatment, you are more often than not creating imposing real costs, real harm on the broader community. We've seen businesses shutter in our downtowns, parks where families can't play. So we.

David: 这是直接和间接的。

Original English

David: It's direct and indirect.

Matt Mahan: 没错。

Original English

Matt Mahan: That's right.

能源成本与绿色政策的权衡

David: 而且我认为很多人没有考虑到这一点,这很关键。我想把话题转向能源成本。现在正在发生伊朗战争。因此,该州的能源和汽油价格出现了急性飙升,但在过去几年里,加州州长纽森和州立法机构一直在努力推行绿色能源政策。加州每加仑汽油大约征收70美分的税。本周加州的汽油价格是5.50美元,而全国其他地区是3.50美元。我们是不是搞错了?我们是否应该在该州采取不同的路径,而不是追求绿色,将雪佛龙赶出该州?雪佛龙现在已经搬到了休斯顿。他们正在关闭西海岸最大的炼油厂,因为这些政策和官僚主义。你知道,我们如何平衡这种气候变化绿色利益与每个居民在州内生活成本的真实高昂成本?

Original English

David: And I think a lot of people don't account for that, which is critical. I want to shift topics to energy costs. There's an Iran war going on. So there's an acute spike in energy gas prices in the state, but over the last number of years, California Governor Nuomo and the state legislature have pursued an effort to drive green energy policy in the state. California has a 70 cents per gallon roughly tax rate. The California price for gasoline this week is $5.50 compared to 350 in the rest of the country. Did we get it wrong? Should we have taken a different path in the state versus fighting for green, chasing Chevron out of the state. Chevron's now relocated to Houston. They're shutting down the largest refinery on the West Coast because of the policies and the the bureaucracy. And you know, how do we balance this climate change green interest? with the real hard cost for everyone on the price of living in the state.

Matt Mahan: 是的,我确实认为我们在监管解决方案方面搞错了方法。我反对**“非此即彼”的观念。我认为不一定非此即彼。我认为创新是中间道路,是两全其美的方法。看看德克萨斯州**,它提供的电力比加州便宜得多,也更清洁。你看到像中国这样的地方,正大力发展太阳能、风能、储能和电动汽车。这条道路是投资于创新和基础设施,建设更智能的电网。我们在加州所做的,又是好心办坏事的经典案例,监管措施导致了大规模的意想不到的后果。就拿我们的炼油厂来说。在过去十年里,该州的大部分炼油厂都关闭了,因为我们故意通过监管将它们淘汰。所以实际上发生的是,我们仍然进口石油和天然气。我们只是把炼油厂(那些拥有最清洁、监管最好、工资最高的行业之一的炼油厂)推到了州外。现在我们从几千英里外进口相同数量的天然气。它更脏。它的碳足迹更大。我们失去了那些高薪的好工作。我们失去了这些公司缴纳地方税的税基。这对各个层面都造成了打击。而且实际上,由于气候和气候变化是一个全球现象,我们不仅没有改善,反而恶化了问题,同时损害了我们的经济。所以这与我们需要的背道而驰。我们需要双赢的局面。我们今天应该在白天支付电动汽车车主费用,强烈激励他们在白天电力如此便宜和充裕的加州给他们的车辆充电,而我们有时会付钱给亚利桑那州接收我们多余的太阳能。然后让他们在晚上插电为电网供电,度过大约下午5点到晚上9点的晚高峰,届时我们不得不启动燃气发电厂,因为电网上的电力不足。所以,我们需要更智能。我们需要投资于创新和基础设施,而不是将我们仍然依赖的能源来源从州内监管出局

Original English

Matt Mahan: Yeah, I do think we've gotten our regulatory solution here approach wrong. I would reject the notion that it's either or. I don't think it has to be. I think innovation is the is the middle path, the way to do both. Look, Texas is providing dramatically cheaper power that is cleaner than California. You see places like China leaning heavily into solar, wind, storage, EVs. the the path is investment in innovation in infrastructure, a smarter grid. What we've done in California is is another classic case of well-intended regulations leading to massive unintended consequences. Let's just take the example of our refineries. The state has lost most of its refineries over the last decade because we have intentionally regulated them out of out of existence. And so what's actually happened is we still import oil and gas. We've just pushed refineries. We have the cleanest, best regulated refineries with some of the highest paying jobs in the sector. We pushed that out of state. Now we're importing the same amount of gas from thousands of miles away. It is dirtier. It has a bigger carbon footprint. We lost those good, high-paying jobs. We lost the tax base of those companies paying local taxes. It has been a hit on every level. And actually because climate and climate change is a global phenomenon, we we have not actually made the we've actually made the problem worse while hurting ourselves economically. So that's the opposite of what we need. We need win wins. We should be paying EV owners today in the middle of the day, strongly incentivizing them to charge their vehicles in the middle of the day when power is so cheap and abundant in California that we sometimes pay Arizona to take our excess solar and then have them plug in at night to power the grid and get through that roughly 5:00 p.m. to 900 p.m. evening peak where we've got to start firing up gas power plants because there just isn't enough power on the grid. So, we need to be smarter. We need to invest in innovation and infrastructure, not regulate energy sources out of state that we still rely upon.

David: 但这很难。现在我们加州的汽油税是每加仑70美分。立法者通过了一系列法案,使汽油税不断上涨。现在他们正在讨论进一步提高汽油税。

Original English

David: But it's hard. So now we've got the 70 cents a gallon tax in California. The legislators passed a series of bills to to make that tax go up and up and up. Now they're talking about increasing it even further.

Matt Mahan: 这是能想象到的最累退的税收,因为它甚至比销售税更糟糕,销售税已经相当累退了。但正如你所知,高收入、富裕的人群已经采用了电动汽车。他们不支付这项税。受影响的是工薪阶层,特别是像我长大的沃森维尔这样的城镇。我的意思是,我高中时,单程要走50英里去上高中。我的父母单程走50英里去工作。所以,它不成比例地伤害着工薪阶层。我的提议是,我们应该暂时中止汽油税,为那些因为一场他们没有要求的战争而付出代价的工薪家庭提供即时救济,他们正在不成比例地付出代价。我将暂时中止它,但我们必须对此保持理性诚实。它是我们铺设和维护道路以及交通基础设施的主要收入来源。我们将需要改变我们做这件事的方式,而不是征收汽油税。首先,过去6年,一般基金增加了75%。所以,我非常有信心,在一个支出3500亿美元的州,我们可以在不惩罚工薪家庭的情况下铺设我们的道路。但我也认为,随着时间的推推移,随着电动汽车的普及,我们将不得不找到一种更智能的方式来收取基本使用费,以便使用道路的人支付维护道路的费用。加州与住房和气候变化问题相关的另一项高昂成本是房屋保险费。去年我们发生了大规模的野火,摧毁了洛杉矶大部分地区,结果许多房屋保险公司离开了加州。我刚刚失去了我的房屋保险,因为我住在一堆树附近。所以我的房子被认为风险太大,无法获得保险。我很幸运,我没有房贷,所以我不必处理失去保险的问题。但这对加州来说正成为一个越来越大的负担,因为州政府不得不介入。

Original English

Matt Mahan: It's the most regressive tax imaginable because it's even worse than a sales tax, which is already fairly regressive. But as you know, higher income, wealthier people have already adopted EVs. They're they're not paying this tax. It's working folks, particularly in towns like Watsonville where I grew up. I mean, when I was in high school, I had to go 50 miles one way for high school. My parents went 50 miles the other way for their jobs. And so, it disproportionately hurts working people. My proposal is that we we to start temporarily suspend our gas tax to provide immediate relief to working families who are paying the price for a war that they didn't ask for and they're disproportionately paying the price. I would temporarily suspend it, but we have to be intellectually honest about this. It is our primary source of revenue for paving and maintaining roads and our transportation infrastructure. We will need to shift how we do this rather than being a gas tax. First of all, the general fund is up 75% in the last 6 years. So, I'm pretty confident that in a state that's spending $350 billion, we can afford to pave our roads without punishing working families. But I also think over time, as EV adoption increases, we'll have to find a smarter way of charging a basic user fee so that people who use the roads pay to maintain them. One of the other big costs in California related to housing and related to this climate change question is the cost of insurance for your home. We had this massive wildfire that spread destroyed a large part of areas in Los Angeles last year and as a result many of the home insurance companies have left the state. I just lost coverage on my home because I live near a bunch of trees. So my house is deemed too risky to have coverage. And I'm fortunate in that I don't have a mortgage that I've got to deal with the loss of of insurance coverage. But this is becoming an increasing burden for the state of California because the states had to step in.

David: 并且创建越来越大的保险池,从财务和会计角度来看,州政府实际上无法承担。我们如何解决房屋业主保险成本的问题?这里的正确结构性解决方案是什么,以激励保险公司回归,或者创建一个资金充足、能够实际支付赔偿金的保险池,而不是在发生危机时需要向联邦政府寻求救助?我们如何在加州解决这个问题?

Original English

David: and create a bigger and bigger insurance pool that financially and accounting wise the state can't really afford. How do we solve this problem of the cost of homeowners insurance? What's the right structural solution here for either incentivizing the return of insurance companies creating an insurance pool that's well capitalized and can actually afford to make the payouts instead of needing to go to the federal government when there's a crisis and ask for a bailout? How do we fix this problem in California?

Matt Mahan: 我认为未来的策略有几个组成部分。第一,我们必须重建私人市场。90%的房主,甚至更多,可以负担得起私人保险的覆盖,我们必须通过让他们回归,允许他们适当地定价风险,并创造更多颗粒度来重建市场。如果你愿意,也许你不愿意,但如果你愿意清除离你家100英尺内的树木,你就应该支付更低的保费。如果你喜欢保留树木,你就应该支付更高的保费。所以,更精细的定价,允许适当的风险定价,这真的非常重要。现在,对于在山上,也就是森林茂密地区,有大量植被的5%到10%的房屋,我们首先需要更高的保障。当你建造时,有一个问题是,我们应该在那里建造多少?可能不会很多。你使用的材料,它们需要是防火的,你将不得不支付更高的保险费来覆盖火灾的可能性和重置成本的真实成本。然而,这其中另一个方面是,州政府必须承担更多植被管理的责任。我们每花费1美元用于预防,就花费8美元用于消防响应和恢复。有很多城市化地区面临风险,因为它们靠近茂密的植被,而州政府没有承担清理的责任。是的,这应该与联邦政府合作。如果是联邦土地,我们应该让联邦政府为此负责。但我刚刚参观了阿尔塔迪纳帕利塞兹,会见了那里的房主,他们对重建的缺乏感到非常沮丧。没有人来组织这一切。如果你今天去帕利塞兹散步,你会再次看到高达5英尺的植被,在一个人们试图重建家园的地区,这些植被却没有得到管理。所以州政府必须站出来。作为州长,我将成立一个专门负责修复保险市场工作组。如果州政府投资于植被管理,以减少灾难性损失的风险,从长远来看,你将会看到保费下降。我的意思是,我认为州政府设定费率,然后告诉保险公司应该收取多少费用,并假设他们会继续留下来收费,这是很疯狂的。如果他们不能从中赚钱,为什么不让市场决定呢?有数百家保险公司,如果他们能够设定自己的费率,而不必由州政府来规定费率,他们就会竞争,价格就会下降。州政府应该决定公司对任何事情收取多少费用的这种想法是一个问题。但在保险市场中,这从根本上将所有保险公司都赶出了加州。我只是不明白这怎么会...

Original English

Matt Mahan: I think there are a few components to the strategy going forward here. Uh number one, we have to rebuild the private marketplace. 90% of homeowners, maybe more, can be covered by private insurance affordably, and we have to rebuild that part of the market by bringing them back, allowing them to appropriately price risk, and creating more granularity. If you're willing, and you may not be, but if you're willing to remove those trees within 100 ft of your home, you should pay a lower premium. If you prefer to have the trees there, you should pay the higher premium. So more granular pricing, allowing appropriate pricing of risk is is just really important. Now, for the 5 to 10% of homes that are up in heav, you know, in the in the in the hills, heavily wooded areas where there's lots of vegetation, we'll have to have higher, first of all, when you build, there's a question of how much more we should be able to build out there. Probably not a lot. what materials you use, they need to be fire resistant and you'll have to pay much higher insurance just to cover the true cost of of the likelihood of a fire and the cost of replacement. The other piece of this though is the state has to take more ownership for vegetation management. We spend $8 in fire response and recovery for every $1 we spend on prevention. And there are plenty of urbanized areas that are at risk because they're proximate to dense vegetation that the state has not taken ownership for clearing. And yes, it should be in partnership with the federal government. If they're federal lands, we should hold the federal government accountable for doing it. But I just toured Altadena and Palisades, met with the homeowners there who are incredibly frustrated about the lack of rebuilding. No one is quarterbacking this. And if you go walk the palisades today, you will see once again vegetation that's 5t tall that hasn't been managed in an area where people are trying to rebuild their homes. So the state has to step up. As governor, I would create a a task force that just focuses on fixing the insurance market. And if the state will invest in vegetation management to reduce the risk of catastrophic loss, you're going to see premiums go down over the long term. I mean, I I think it's insane that the state sets rates and then tells the insurance companies how much to charge and assumes they're going to stick around and keep charging it. If they can't make money doing it, why not let the market decide? There's hundreds of insurance companies that if they were able to set their own rates and not have to have the state dictate the rate, they would compete for and price would come down. This idea that the state should be determining what companies should charge for anything is a problem. But fundamentally in the insurance markets, it's literally chased every insurer out of the state. I just don't understand like how this.

David: 是的,正如我们所见,这些显而易见的方法在实践中不起作用。我说的意思是,我们必须能够恰当地定价风险。保险公司需要能够收取反映真实风险和成本的费率。我认为应该强烈激励他们,甚至要求他们负责,允许房主采取最佳实践,从而降低他们的保费。我认为有一部分人可能需要加入某种公共选择计划,因为他们根本无法获得市场覆盖,或者他们可能不得不根据居住地选择,否则就没有保险。我不知道。但我不认为你可以强迫其他人支付过高的费率,以确保我们覆盖那些最危险、成本最高的房屋。

Original English

David: Yeah, these kinds of obvious don't work in practice as we've seen. And when I that's what I mean by saying we have to be able to appropriately price risk. Insurance companies need to be able to charge rates that reflect the true risk and cost. I think they should be strongly incentivized if not held accountable for allowing homeowners to adopt best practices and thereby reduce their premiums. And I think there's a subset of folks who may need to be on and pay into a public option of some kind because they just won't be covered by the market or perhaps they have to choose that based on where they live they won't have insurance. I I don't know. But I don't think you can force everybody else to pay exorbitant rates to ensure that we cover the last riskiest home that's going to be the most expensive to cover.

Matt Mahan: 是的。

Original English

Matt Mahan: Yeah.

Matt Mahan: 这只是一个不合逻辑的设置

Original English

Matt Mahan: It's just it's an illogical setup.

加州养老金危机与改革

David: 好吧,让我们转向该州另一个重大的负债问题。这不是我最关心的,但它可能成为我们未来发展的一个重要推动因素。加州的公共雇员退休系统。所以,加州公共雇员退休基金(CalPERS)和加州教师退休基金(CalSTRS)为大约300万加州公共部门工作人员提供退休福利。这两个投资基金中大约有一万亿美元的资本,旨在支持这些退休人员。他们的年回报率约为7%,而标准普尔500指数的年回报率是11%。目前的会计估计显示,他们将面临短缺,一些估计是2500亿至3000亿美元,另一些估计高达一万亿美元,用于支付未来几年法律规定必须支付给退休公共雇员的福利。而且你不能随便修改这些福利。有一项州最高法院的判例已经明确指出,你不能撤销你已承诺给别人的福利。所以你被这个负债困住了。而且由于它们是公共实体,加州的州纳税人最终将不得不承担一万亿美元的负债,如果情况发展到那一步。我们如何解决这个棘手的问题?

Original English

David: Well, look, let's shift to one of the other big liability questions in the state. It's the one I care not I wouldn't say the most, but it's one that I've observed may end up being a big driver for what's ahead for us. California's public employee retirement system. So, Kalpers and Calsters, they provide the retirement benefits to roughly 3 million California public workers. And there's roughly a trillion dollars of capital in those two investment funds that are meant to support those retirees. They've been making about 7% a year compared to the S&P making 11% a year. And the current accounting estimates that they're going to be short by some estimates 250 to30 billion by other estimates as high as a trillion dollars in the years ahead in paying out the benefits that they're legally obligated to pay to public employees as they retire. And you can't just change those benefits. There's a state supreme court case that's made that known that you can't go in and rescend benefits that you've promised someone. So you are stuck with that liability. And because they're public entities, California's state taxpayer is ultimately going to be stuck with a trillion dollar liability if that's what it comes to. How do we fix this frigin problem?

Matt Mahan: 是的,我也对此感到担忧,我对此非常熟悉,因为我们不得不在圣何塞处理养老金改革。几年前,当我们的未基金养老金负债开始吞噬我们的一般基金时,我们就像煤矿里的金丝雀。即使在养老金改革之后,今年圣何塞19%的一般基金仍用于支付未基金养老金负债。这笔钱是直接从总额中扣除的。这意味着每5美元中就有1美元首先用于我们的退休人员义务。再说一遍,我不责怪退休人员或那些倡导者。是那些没有做数学计算、没有意识到数学计算不合理,并且掩盖问题以免在“账单到期”时被追究责任的政客们。所以,你看,这里实际上只有两个选择。一个是转向定额供款模式,就像我们在私营部门那样。你看到全世界,雇主和雇员都在缴费。它被投入市场。它需要随着时间增长。人们需要计算他们的储蓄和他们的……

Original English

Matt Mahan: Yeah, I'm worried about it as well and I'm intimately uh familiar with it because we've had to tackle pension reform in San Jose. We were sort of the canary in the coal mine quite a few years ago as our unfunded pension liabilities began eating up our general fund. Even today after pension reform, 19% of our general fund in San Jose this year goes to paying an unfunded pension liability. That just comes off the top. That is one out of every $5 goes first to our obligation to retirees. And again, I don't blame the retirees or those who advocated. politicians who didn't do the math, didn't recognize when the math wasn't working out, and swept it under the rug because they knew they'd be long gone by the time uh the the bill came due. And so, look, there's there's really only two options here. One is to move toward a defined contribution model as we have in the private sector. You see all over the world, the employer and the employee pay in. It's put in the market. It needs to grow over time. people need to calculate their savings and their.

David: 你看到你的账户,你追踪它。

Original English

David: you see your account you track it.

Matt Mahan: 你追踪它,你可以提高你的缴费水平。如果我们转向那种模式,私营部门(抱歉,公共部门)将需要有强有力的匹配,我认为挑战在于,从政治角度来看,这不太可能发生。我们在圣何塞所做的,可以作为该州的一个路线图,就是我们进行了谈判。好吧,我们不得不进行投票,我们还打了官司,这是一个非常混乱的过程,我认为需要更好地处理。但实际上,我们为新员工创建了一个不同的养老金系统,该系统规定:“当你加入时,这就是一个合理规模的养老金系统应该有的样子。我们将让雇员和雇主预先支付更多费用。我们将对预期的回报更加现实。如果回报不及预期,我们将更快地进行调整。我们引进了更好的基金经理,他们受到重激励,以进行明智的投资并增加投资。最重要的是,如果我们的回报不及预期,那么差额(差距)将由城市(即纳税人)和雇员以损失福利的形式各承担50%。所以,如果我们的目标没有实现,那么在后期会共同承担痛苦。”那么,我们现在该怎么办?

Original English

Matt Mahan: you track it you can up your contribution level if we were to move to that uh the private sector I'm sorry the public sector would need to be a a strong match and I I think the challenge is this I don't think politically that's likely to happen what we've done in San Jose which could be a roadmap for the state is we negotiated well we had to go to the ballot we went to there were lawsuits it was a very messy process I think it needs to be better handled. But effectively, we created a a different pension system for new employees that said, "As you come in, this is what a right-sized pension system needs to look like. We're going to have the employee and the employer pay in more upfront. We will be more realistic about the returns we're expecting. We'll adjust over time faster if the returns are underperforming. We've brought in better fund managers who get who are heavily incentivized to make smart investments and grow the the the investment. And then most importantly, if our if the returns fall short, the the delta, the gap is covered 5050 by the city, meaning the taxpayers and the employee in terms of loss benefits. So there's shared pain on the backside if we miss our targets. And what do we do for what we have now?

David: 嗯,那正是它允许我们做的,因为你提到的法律限制,我并不是说它完美,但这只是我们在法律和政治上能够达到的最好结果,就是我们正在一个漫长的渐进轨道上,偿还所有针对第一级雇员,所有那些老员工的未基金负债。这是一个20年的过程。到2040年代早期,圣何塞将还清债务。我们的一般基金将非常充裕。我们将增加人员配置和服务水平,你会很快开始感受到这一点。我们今天实际上处于未基金负债成本的峰值,因为我们承受了痛苦,现在我们将开始一个缓慢的渐进轨道,每年我们的一般基金都会有更多的空间,因为我们咬紧牙关,承担了这一切。嗯,我想这就是你如何资助那个渐进轨道的问题?可能我们的预算有一些误差余地,比如说,因为我们花了这么多钱。我们来看看统计数据。加州州长纽森今年提议的州预算是3490亿美元。这比2090亿美元有所增加。所以几乎是两倍,多60%、70%、80%,比前一年多75%。这比十年前的1100亿美元有所增加。所以我们从1100亿增加到3500亿。是3.5倍。这是我们支出的金额,感觉就像昨天,就像几年前一样。是的。尽管拥有全国最高的税率和最大的收入基础,我们今年仍然面临350亿美元的赤字。加州州预算。发生了什么?为什么会变得如此糟糕?你认为其中有多少是欺诈、浪费、滥用?这些钱都去哪儿了?

Original English

David: Well, well, what that has allowed us to do because of the legal limitations that you've mentioned is, and I'm not saying it's perfect, but this is just legally and politically what we were able to get to was the best outcome we were able to get, is that we're on a long glide path of paying off all of the the the unfunded liabilities for the tier one employees, all of those older employees. It's a 20 year process. By the early 2040s, San Jose will have cleared the debt. our general funds going to be flushed. We're going to be increasing staffing and service levels and and you'll start to feel that here much sooner. We are actually roughly at peak cost for unfunded liabilities today because we took the medicine and now we'll start that slow glide path where each year there'll be a little more room in our general fund because we actually bit the bullet and took this on. Well, I think that's like how do you fund that glide path? It may be the case that our budget has some margin for error, let's say, because of how much we're spending. Let's just do the statistics. California Governor Nuome has proposed a $349 billion budget this year in the state. That's up from 209 billion. So almost 2x 60% 70% 80% more 75% more than the year before co. And that's up from 110 billion 10 years prior. So we went from 110 to 350. 3 and a halfx is how much we're spending since, you know, feels like yesterday, like just a couple years ago. Yeah. Despite having the nation's highest tax rates, the largest revenue base, we're still looking this year at a $35 billion deficit California state budget. What happened? Like, how did this get so bad? And how much of this do you think is this term of fraud, waste, you know, abuse? Like, where is this money going?

Matt Mahan: 嗯,我们所做的一部分,也是我们之前谈到的,就是我们提高了公共部门雇员的薪资,并以超过我们实际承受能力的速度增加了我们的养老金义务和退休后医疗福利。我们对此一直不诚实。

Original English

Matt Mahan: Well, part of what we've done is something we talked about earlier, which is we have increased our our pay for public sector employees and our our pension obligations and and post retirement health benefits at a faster rate than we could actually afford. And we haven't been honest with ourselves about that.

Matt Mahan: 不过,钱的一部分确实花在了臃肿的官僚机构上。在经济好的年份,我们有更多的钱,就会创造新的项目。我们增加人头。过去六年中,该州的人口一直持平。正如你所指出,支出增加了75%,而州雇员的人数我相信增加了20%以上。所以,我们正在增加更多的州政府工作人员。我们正在向公共项目投入更多的资金,而这些项目并没有从“我们需要什么结果,以及如何最有效地实现”这一前提出发。我的意思是,加州是时候进行零基预算的演练了,并说我们需要什么结果,我们是否真的在花钱实现这些结果,还是我们只是在资助一个庞大臃肿的官僚机构,每年只是更容易地增加2%、3%的人头,给每个人加薪4%,然后就完事了?我认为这通常就是方法,只要收入增加,我们就会给每个人加薪,雇用更多的人,启动一些新项目。我们从不回到根本,说,好吧,如果这是我们拥有的资源,这些是我们需要的结果,我们是否真的在优化我们的支出以实现这些结果?答案是,没有,我们没有。你能在担任州长时进行这种零基预算的重组吗?还是你需要与立法机构合作,而立法机构都有他们自己启动的特殊项目,资金流向他们的地方县、流向他们的朋友、流向他们的捐助者?你如何才能实际执行这一点?

Original English

Matt Mahan: Part of where the money's gone though is is is really just a sprawling bureaucracy that when we in good years have more money, we create new programs. We add headcount. The state's population has stayed flat over the last six years. Spending is up 75% as you point out, and headcount in state employees is up, I believe, over 20%. So, we're we're adding more state workers. We're pouring more money into public programs that aren't starting from the premise of what is the outcome we need and how do we most efficiently get there. I mean, it's time for California to go through an exercise of zerobased budgeting and say what are the outcomes we need and are we actually spending dollars to achieve those outcomes or are we just funding a sprawling bloated bureaucracy where it's just easier to add 2% 3% headcount every year, give everybody a 4% raise and call it a day. And I think it's it's that's generally been the approach is whenever revenue is up, we just kind of give everybody a raise, hire more people, initiate a few new programs. We never go back to basics and say, well, this is if these are the resources we have and these are the outcomes we need, are we really optimizing our spend for those outcomes? And the answer is no, we're not. Can you do that riff restructuring zerobased budgeting as governor or do you need to do this in partnership with the legislature that all has their special programs that they fired up where money's flowing to their local county, money's flowing to their friends, money's flowing to their donors? How do you actually execute this?

Matt Mahan: 我认为,是的,就像我之前说的,我认为选举一位务实、独立思考的州长,他愿意理解并解决这个问题,是第一步,也是必要但不足够的。最终,我们必须建立一个更温和的立法者联盟,他们理解系统有多么破败,愿意做困难的事情。我不认为这会一夜之间发生,但州长拥有许多工具可以利用,你知道,你可以推动预算过程。最终,你需要立法支持。你拥有话语权。你能够以非常不同的方式管理州机构。州长任命3000人来管理州官僚机构,他们可以带着“一切照旧”的心态进来,坐着办公,我们以流程为导向。或者他们可以被问责,也许不应该有3000名雇员,也许我们应该精简人数,但他们可以被告知我们需要什么结果。告诉我们,你知道,去实地考察这些。深入到地方层面,花时间与学区委员会、城市和县级政府打交道,这些地方才是资金真正与选民接触,**“接地气”**的地方,然后带着改革这些系统以从我们的支出中获得更多回报的答案回来。如果你不能实现更激进的目标,我们就会找其他人来做。我们需要一种不同的思维模式来运营我们的政府机构。

Original English

Matt Mahan: I think yeah, as I said before, I I think electing a pragmatic, independent-minded governor who's willing to who understands this problem and is willing to tackle it is step one and is necessary but insufficient. Ultimately, we have to build a more moderate coalition of legislators who understand how broken the system is, who are willing to do to do hard things. I don't I don't think that this just happens overnight, but the governor has a lot of tools that he or she can choose to use that, you know, you do drive the budget process. Ultimately, you need legislative support for it. You have the bully pulpit. You have the ability to manage state agencies in a very different way. The governor appoints 3,000 people to run state bureaucracies that can either come in with the mindset of business as usual. I'm going to sit behind a desk. We're processoriented. Or can be held accountable and maybe it should be 3,000 employees. Maybe we should slim how many people it is, but can be told here are the outcomes we need. Tell us, you know, go ground truth these. Go down to the local level, spend time with the school boards, the cities, and the counties where all the money actually meets the constituent where the rubber hits the road and come back with answers on how to reform these systems to get more for what we're spending. And if you can't hit more aggressive goals, we'll bring in someone else who can. We need a different mindset for how we operate our government agencies.

医疗保健与亿万富翁税

David: 你所说的与其他人所说的截然不同。现在其他人提出的最大观点之一是,他们希望增加项目和增加支出,特别是在医疗保健方面。那么你对政府提供的医疗保健有什么看法?加州所有的医疗保健都应该免费吗?现在有一场大运动,一项大的立法努力,试图实现这一点。这有经济意义吗?我们能负担得起吗?我们如何才能实际做到这一点?或者你认为这应该仍然是私人市场的努力?

Original English

David: What you're saying is starkly different from what others are saying. And one of the biggest points that others are making right now is that they want to increase programs and increase spending particularly in healthcare. So what's your view on government provided health care? Should all healthcare in California be free? There's a big movement, a big legislative effort to try and make this the case. Does this make economic sense? Can we afford it? How do we actually do it? or do you think that this should remain a private market effort?

Matt Mahan: 我不认为加州建立一个单一的、由州政府运营的免费全民医疗系统是现实的。我只是不理解。我知道我的许多民主党对手正在提出这个建议。我认为我们很清楚如何降低成本。我们只需要愿意去做。价格透明度和竞争可以使医疗保健成本降低5%到10%预防性护理,我们应该激励保险公司和医疗服务提供者,帮助人们变得更健康,并在他们一生中减少对系统的总体需求。有些事情可能看起来很小,但让十万多人脱离街头并获得庇护,将大大减轻我们医疗系统的负担。我只是认为预防很重要。再举一个例子。执业护士可以做比我们通常允许他们做更多的事情,这又是萨克拉门托幕后谈判的功能,关于医生可以做什么,护士可以做什么。执业护士在社区诊所提供预防性的、早期护理,在预防长期慢性疾病方面远比我们今天所做的更有效,我们今天的结果是每个人都在急诊室里,在病情已经很严重之后才需要护理。所以,我们需要重组我们的医疗保健系统。加州应该要求并投资于创新和更好的做事方式,并降低成本曲线,而不是回到这种懒惰的答案,即我们只是要找到一种方法来增加税收,以资助最终将使银行破产的免费服务。

Original English

Matt Mahan: I don't think it's realistic for California to create a um a single staterun free healthc care for all system. I just I I don't understand. I I know my uh many of my opponents in my party, Democratic party, are proposing this. I think we have a pretty good sense of how to reduce cost. We just have to be willing to do it. price transparency and competition could bring down costs in health care by 5 to 10%. Preventative care, we should be incentivizing insurers and and um health providers for helping someone get healthier and reducing their overall demand on the system over the course of their lifetimes. things that may seem small, but getting a hundred thousand plus people off of our streets and into shelter dramatically reduces the burden on our health care system. I I just I I think that prevention take another one. Nurse practitioners can do so much more than we often allow them to do, which again is a function of this behind-the-scenes negotiation in Sacramento over what are doctors allowed to do, what can nurses do. nurse practitioners providing preventative upstream care in clinics in communities can be far more effective at preventing long-term chronic illness than what we do today, which is end up with everybody in the emergency room needing care after they're already really sick. So, we need to restructure our health care system. California should be demanding and investing in innovation and better ways of doing things and bend the cost curve, not fall back on this lazy answer that we're just going to find a way to raise taxes more to fund free services that will ultimately break just break the bank.

David: 你因反对亿万富翁税而受到许多人的批评。我想你是目前唯一一位竞选州长且公开反对这项税收的候选人。我显然听过你对此的评论。我想我可能是第一个发现并提出这个话题的人,在它刚提出的那天就在我的节目中提到了。对我来说,这对于私有财产权是根本性的。如果你可以在人们缴纳税款之后拿走他们的资产,那么这列火车就无法阻止。我的意思是,为什么不随时拿走每个人的资产呢?就像,你知道,你缴纳了所得税,那是你的私有财产,你理应保留它。立法机构不应该后来能够说:“我要拿走你所拥有财产的10%。”这在我看来是错误的。你认为我们需要继续增加吗?你认为我们需要维持加州临时性的高所得税吗?你对收入的总体看法是什么?我们谈了很多,你认为,嘿,我们不需要依赖收入增长,但基于加州目前的税收系统,你认为还需要改变什么?或者你认为应该保持原样,没有亿万富翁税,没有新税,但我们就是不回头?

Original English

David: You've been criticized by many for being against the billionaire tax. I think you're the only candidate running for governor right now that has spoken out against it. I've heard your comments on it obviously. I think I was probably the first to identify it and bring it up on my show when it first came out the day it was filed. For me, it's fundamental to private property rights. If you can take people's assets after they've paid taxes on it, there's no stopping that train. I mean, why not take everyone's assets at some point? Like that, you know, you pay your income tax, that's your private property, you get to keep it. Shouldn't be that the legislature can later say, "I'll take 10% of what you own." That just seems wrong to me. Do you think we need to have a continued increase? Like do you think we need to maintain the temporary high income taxes in California? What's your general view on revenue? We've talked a lot about you think hey, you know, we don't need to rely on growing revenue, but based on the current tax system in California, what else do you think needs to change or do you think it's just like let's leave it as is, no billionaire tax, no new taxes, but let's just not go back.

税收、经济不平等与社会流动性

Matt Mahan: 是的,让我说几件事。第一,我认为这种推动来自对经济不平等社会流动性下降的深切关注。我认为这些都是...

Original English

Matt Mahan: Yeah, let me say a couple things. one, I I think where this push is coming from is a deep concern about economic inequality and declining social mobility. And I think these are.

David: 真正的问题。我确实担心经济不平等。我认为从长远来看,它对民主构成威胁。我认为有许多比拟议的财富税更好的解决方案,正如你所指出,抛开哲学争论不谈,它根本行不通,尤其是在州一级。我认识的人中有一半已经离开了这个州。

Original English

David: real issues. I am worried about economic inequality. I think in the long run it's a threat to democracy. I think there are a number of better solutions to this than the proposed wealth tax which is as you point out say aside even the philosophic arguments it simply won't work certainly not at the state level half the people I know have already left the state.

David: 对。我们已经看到超过一万亿美元的资本外逃,我们未来的持续收入将因此降低。这项提案的肮脏秘密是,最终支付更高税款的不会是亿万富翁,而是中产阶级和工薪家庭将承担后果。所以这意味着,这就是为什么我立即觉得我必须说些什么,因为它会伤害到工薪阶层。不会是亿万富翁。他们是社会上流动性最强的人群。嗯,所以,你看,我认为首先,我们可以做一些事情来使税法公平。我认为关于资本利得税的绝对税率应该是多少,这是一个合理的争论。有一种现象是,非常富有的人士以升值的资产借贷,你实际上没有,你实际上是逃避了资本利得税。我认为这是一个我们可以堵上的漏洞。还有死亡时的基准上调。我不确定这对于某人是否非常公平。好吧,让我举个例子。我只想说这一点。我认为埃隆·马斯克不应该能够将5000亿美元的升值但未征税的股票财富传给他的孩子。在他们继承的那一刻,它以当前市场价值重新定价,没有人支付资本利得税。我的意思是,我们可以做很多事情来堵塞税法中的漏洞,从而获得数十亿美元的收入。在所有提案中,这是最糟糕的,最不可能奏效的,最有可能伤害工薪阶层的。但我也认为,我们必须承认,在一个不断要求更多却不先做好自己的州,我们必须承认社会流动性下降首先是由于公共政策失败,首当其冲的是表现不佳的公立学校,负担不起的住房,负担不起的能源。当我们一半的人,抱歉,当大多数加州人将超过三分之一的收入用于住房,许多人将超过一半的收入用于住房时,这对社会流动性的打击远大于科技行业取得大量增长的事实。这些都是根本性的公共政策失败,我们越早承认并以不同的方式思考我们的监管环境和政策,从而开始修复它们,对加州就越好,对民主党就越好。最重要的是,对我们所服务的人民就越好。但你所说的很有道理,但我认为人们讨厌别人的成功。我认为有很多事情正在发生,这种缺乏社会流动性的燃料正在燃烧,但我们看到一小部分人口加速发展。科技确实推动了这一点。我将是第一个承认加州有一小部分人口做得非常出色,而大多数加州人被甩在了后面。你认为你有当选的机会吗?我的意思是,你没有迎合民粹主义情绪,而我认为你的每个候选人都发现他们可以利用这种情绪,这可能会让你在这次竞选中处于很大的劣势。

Original English

Matt Mahan: real issues. I am worried about economic inequality. I think in the long run it's a threat to democracy. I think there are a number of better solutions to this than the proposed wealth tax which is as you point out say aside even the philosophic arguments it simply won't work certainly not at the state level half the people I know have already left the state. right we've seen over a trillion dollars of capital flight our ongoing revenue going forward is now going to be lower that the dirty secret of this proposal is that it won't be the billionaires who pay higher taxes it'll be middle class and working families who are left holding the bag. So that mean that's why I just immediately felt that I had to say something because it's working people who are going to be hurt by this. It's not going to be billionaires. They're the most mobile people in society. Um so look, I I think first of all there are things we can do to make the tax code uh fair. I think there's a legitimate debate about what should the absolute rate of capital gains tax be. There's the phenomenon of very wealthy individuals borrowing against uh appreciated assets where you're not you're sort of you're effectively avoiding paying capital gains. I think that's a loophole we can close. There's the step up in basis upon death. I'm not sure that um it's very fair for somebody. Well, let me just use an example. I'll just say this. I don't think Elon Musk should be able to pass on $500 billion of appreciated but untaxed stock wealth to his children. And the moment that they inherit it, it's rebased at current market value and no one ever pays the capital gains on it. I mean, there there are a lot of things we can do to capture billions in revenue to close loopholes in the tax code. This is of all the proposals, the the worst, the least likely to work, the most likely to hurt working people. But I also think we have to acknowledge in a state that keeps asking for more before we do better, we we've got to acknowledge that social mobility is down because of po public policy failures first and foremost, public schools that aren't performing, housing that isn't affordable, energy that isn't affordable. We when half of people sorry when most Californians are spending over a third of their income on housing many spending over half of their income on housing that hit social mobility a lot more than the fact that the tech sector has had a bunch of growth. It's just these are fundamental public policy failures and the sooner we own them and think differently about our regulatory environment and our policies so we start fixing them the the better for California, the better for the Democratic party. Uh most importantly, the better for the people we serve. But what you're saying makes a lot of sense, but I think people hate other people's success. I think there's a lot that's been going on, this fueling that's going on with the lack of social mobility, but seeing a small segment of the population accelerate. Technology's really had that driven that. I'll be the first to admit there's a small population in California that's done extremely well while most of Californians have been left behind. Do you think you're electable in a sense? I mean, you're not fueling the populist sentiment that I think every one of your candidates has found they can tap into and uh that may put you at a big disadvantage in this race.

Matt Mahan: 听着,我确实认为我们需要更认真地对待经济不平等和社会流动性。我认为我们需要要求并最终促使我们最富有的个人、我们的科技行业,以及那些经营良好的行业以一种为人民服务的方式进行结构调整。嗯,我很好奇你的看法。也许我暂时把问题抛给你。我认为我们需要一种共享繁荣,其中包括人们从科技带来的巨大收益中获得某种形式的股权或更直接的利益。人工智能让很多人感到担忧,因为它可能导致失业,进一步财富集中。你认为科技行业和那些从中获利甚丰的人在确保公平竞争环境,或者至少某种程度的机会平等方面,应该扮演什么角色?

Original English

Matt Mahan: Look, I I do think we we need to take economic inequality and social mobility much more seriously than we have. I think we need to ask and ultimately demand our um our wealthiest individuals, our tech sector, industries that do well to be structured in a way that works for people. Um I I'm curious what you think. Maybe I'll turn the tables for a moment. I think that we need a shared prosperity that includes people having some sort of equity from or more direct benefit in the incredible gains that tech has produced. AI is scaring a lot of people because it could lead to the elimination of jobs, further concentration of wealth. What do you think is the appropriate role for the tech sector and those who have profited immensely from it to ensuring a level playing field or at least you know some some notion some semblance of of equality of opportunity?

David: 这是一个更长远的对话,但我确实认为让更多人拥有所有权很重要,但我不太确定有了人工智能,人们是否还会愿意或需要在大公司工作。这是一个更长远的对话。但就像Instagram、Shopify、Etsy创造了新的就业机会,TikTok创造了新的角色,新的赚钱方式一样。

Original English

David: That's a longer conversation but I do think giving more people more ownership is important but I'm not sure people are going to want to or need to work at big companies anymore with AI. the longer conversation. But in the same way that Instagram, Shopify, Etsy created a Tik Tok created new jobs almost like new roles, new ways that people could earn.

Matt Mahan: 是的。

Original English

Matt Mahan: Yeah.

David: 我认为人工智能将为人们创造一千倍于今天的新赚钱方式。而且他们不必再从事他们今天觉得被困住的工作。人工智能实际上将更快地帮助更多人向上爬,比任何人真正意识到的都要快。我可以给你无数最近看到的例子,但我认为我们都会非常乐意看到人工智能所带来的经济流动性的下一次进步,而不是被它所阻碍。

Original English

David: I think AI is going to create a thousand times more new ways for people to earn than they do today. And they're not going to have to have the job that they feel like they're stuck with today. And AI is actually going to accelerate more people up the ladder faster than anyone's really realizing. And I can give you countless examples of this that I've seen recently, but I think we're all going to wake up pretty happy with the next advance in in economic mobility that's going to be unleashed because of AI, not in spite of it.

Matt Mahan: 我希望这是真的。这是一个非常乐观的解读。我确实认为,我对历史的解读是,技术变革虽然最终会带来更大的丰富性,但往往对人们来说是非常艰难的。这就是为什么至少在圣何塞,我们做了——我们为我们的工人创建了AI技能提升课程。我们让AI公司进入我们的图书馆,提供工具和培训。我们真的在努力找出如何降低学习使用这些工具的门槛,将它们应用于人们的生活,创办新的企业,创造未来的新工作。

Original English

Matt Mahan: I hope that's true. It's a very optimistic read. I do think my read of history is that technological change while ultimately producing greater abundance, if you will, often is really hard on people. And that's why in in San Jose at least, we've done we've created AI upskilling courses for our workers. We've gotten AI companies to come into our libraries and provide tools and training. We're really trying to figure out how we lower barriers to learning how to use these tools, apply them in people's lives, start those new businesses, create the new jobs of the future.

David: 最酷的是,人工智能可以教人们如何使用人工智能。

Original English

David: The cool thing is AI can teach people how to use AI.

Matt Mahan: 没错。

Original English

Matt Mahan: That's true.

David: 这就是我开始看到很多人通过询问人工智能并参与其中来自己学习如何使用这些工具的地方。然后几乎就像你……

Original English

David: Which is where where I I'm starting to see a lot of people learn how to use these tools on their own by asking the AI and engaging. And then there's almost like you.

David: 看着人们像保龄球瓶一样倒下,我的意思是,我在最近几个月里亲眼看到人们被震惊的那一刻。

Original English

David: watching people get knocked down like bowling pins in terms of wo that wo moment that I've I've been vis like visibly seeing people just in the last couple months.

David: 这让我非常乐观。

Original English

David: is making me very optimistic.

Matt Mahan: 这很好。但这确实回到了一个基本点,那就是我们的公共教育系统需要教导人们批判性思考。当我们的孩子有一半在阅读或数学能力方面没有达到年级水平时,他们很难成为终身学习者

Original English

Matt Mahan: That's good. It does though get back to this basic point that we need our public education system to teach people to think critically. When half of our kids aren't on grade level for reading or math proficiency, it's going to be very hard for them to be lifelong learners.

David: 我的意思是,好奇心、提问、学习如何思考,而不是教授知识,这在我看来是美国教育中正在面临的一个巨大问题。孩子们没有被教导如何提问,如何建立。他们被教导事实。这些事实是不相关的,因为它们都存在于人工智能中。现在你不需要知道所有这些事实。你有基础就好。但你真正想要得到的是什么?一颗好奇的心、一个工程师的头脑、一个创造性的头脑、一个深思熟虑的头脑,并在一个拥有无限可能的世界中教导个人自主权。这就是人工智能能带给我们所有人的。

Original English

David: I mean, curiosity and asking questions and learning how to think, not teaching them knowledge is a massive problem that we're dealing with in education in the United States, in my opinion, on its own. Kids are not being taught how to question, how to build. They're being taught facts. Those facts are irrelevant because they all exist in AI. Now you don't need to know all those facts. You It's good to have basis. But what are you really trying to get? A curious mind, an engineering mind, a creative mind, a thoughtful mind, and teach individuals agency in a world where they have infinite capacity. That's what AI gives all of us.

对唐纳德·特朗普的看法与加州的政治未来

David: 但你认为唐纳德·特朗普怎么样?

Original English

David: But what do you think of Donald Trump?

Matt Mahan: 我不喜欢他。

Original English

Matt Mahan: I'm not a fan.

Matt Mahan: 嗯,我担心唐纳德·特朗普,即使他可能在某些问题上做得对,我认为他利用了那些感觉被抛在后面的美国工薪阶层的沮丧情绪,但我认为他并不真正理解是什么让我们的国家伟大。我认为他在移民问题上制造了很多恐惧和分裂。他没有认识到我们国家有多少人来到这里,部分原因是因为民主党和共和党都希望在像我长大的沃森维尔这样的地方获得廉价劳动力,这些人在这里辛苦工作了20、30年,缴纳税款,按照规则行事,抚养在美国出生的孩子,而这些孩子现在生活在恐惧中,因为他们担心家人会被拆散。嗯,我只是不理解也不支持这场伊朗战争,我认为这是一个巨大的失误,它将推高能源成本,而且我也不清楚我们为什么在那里失去美国人的生命。嗯,我只是,你知道,我认为关税,是的,我确实相信中国在这方面做得不对,一直在与美国进行不公平竞争。我认为采取有针对性的关税方法,专注于这个问题会比我们所看到的普遍通货膨胀更有意义。所以,我的意思是,我可以逐个问题地讨论,但我最担心的是我们民主的健康。我认为这需要一个真正诚实的对话,对法治和独立司法机构的尊重。嗯,我只是,是的,我深切担忧这种不仅仅是民粹主义,而是反动的准威权主义言论和心态,是由于当我们在为工薪阶层服务方面不承担责任时,政府信任度下降的结果。我认为这是可以预见的,而且我认为你正在看到左翼民粹主义以同样危险的方式崛起作为回应,这两者正在互相作用。我之所以参加这次竞选,部分原因是为了提供第三条道路,一个务实的选择。我是一名民主党人,但我也认识到加州出了问题。激励机制完全是错误的。萨克拉门托的高度组织化的利益集团得到了照顾。萨克拉门托对高度组织化的利益集团运作良好。但对普通民众来说却并非如此。我认为最好的解药就是回归基础,提高能力,以数据为导向,为人民提供成果,因为我担心如果我们不这样做,我们将看到右翼和左翼之间一场史诗般的民粹主义斗争,人们将提供非常简单的答案,而不是我们需要的诚实答案。

Original English

Matt Mahan: Um, my concern with Donald Trump, even if he may get certain issues right, I think he's channeled the frustration of working Americans who feel that they've been left behind, is that I don't believe he really understands what makes our country great. I think that he has created a lot of fear and division around immigration. doesn't recognize how many people we have had in this country in part because both Democrats and Republicans wanted access to cheap labor in places like Watsonville where I grew up who have been here 20 30 years working hard paying their taxes otherwise playing by the rules raising children who are US citizens who are now living in in terror because they're worried their families going to get ripped apart. Um, I I don't understand and don't support this war in Iran that I think is a huge uh huge blunder and it's going to drive up energy costs and it's it's not clear to me why we're losing American lives over there. Um, I just, you know, I think tariffs, yes, I do believe China, this is something I think he's gotten right, has been competing unfairly with the US. I think a targeted approach to tariffs, focusing on that issue would have made a lot more sense than the general inflation we've seen. So, I mean, I could go issue by issue, but I just I worry mostly about the health of our democracy. I think it requires a um a real honest dialogue, a respect for rule of law and the independent judiciary. Um I just yeah I have deep concerns that this not just populist but um reactionary quasi authoritarian rhetoric and mindset is the outcome of declining trust in government when we don't hold ourselves accountable for delivering for working people. I think it's predictable and I think you're seeing an equal and even um I'd say equally risky rise in populism on the left in reaction and these two are playing off one of one another. And part of the reason I jumped into this race was to offer a third way, a pragmatic alternative. I'm a I'm a Democrat, but I also recognize that something's broken in California. The incentives are all wrong. The highly organized interests in Sacramento are being taken care of. Sacramento is working great for highly organized interests. It is not working great for regular people. And I think the best antidote to that is to get back to basics, be competent, be data driven, deliver results for people because I'm worried that if we don't, we're going to see this epic populist battle on the right and the left where people are offering really easy answers, not the honest answers that we need.

Matt Mahan: 评价州长纽森和他在加州州长任上的表现。

Original English

Matt Mahan: rate Governor Nuome and the job he's done as governor of California.

Matt Mahan: 我认为州长纽森一直是对抗立法机构一些最糟糕想法的中流砥柱。你提到他否决了立法机构10%到15%的法案。嗯,我同意他否决的很多法案,我认为它们避免了真正的伤害。我我的批评一直围绕着没有足够地对抗萨克拉门托根深蒂固的利益集团,嗯,而且我们在某些政策问题上,例如第36号提案、康复住房、一些能源政策点,公开存在分歧,但我的原则一直是攻击问题,而不是攻击人。我真的不关心评估某人的意图或他们的意识形态,更多地关注他们行动的结果。我认为他做了一些非常好的事情。嗯,我也认为他可以做得更多。这就是我对他的呼吁,让我们共同努力,更快地推动更多的变革。但他提出的一些事情,比如关怀法庭(Care Court),想法是正确的。现在我们需要执行它。我们确实需要确保关怀法庭真正让患有成瘾和精神疾病的人得到护理。我认为他的想法是正确的,意图是正确的,但我们必须贯彻执行。作为州长,我将确保第36号提案、第1号提案、关怀法庭以及他实施的一些事情都能真正实现预期的结果。

Original English

Matt Mahan: I think Governor Nuomoe has been a bull work against some of the worst ideas coming out of the legislature. You mentioned that he's vetoed 10 to 15% of the bills coming out of the legislature. Uh many of those vetos I agree with and I think have averted um real harm. I my my critique has been around not doing enough to take on the entrenched interests in Sacramento and uh and we've we've disagreed very publicly on certain policy issues, Prop 36, recovery housing, um some energy policy points, but it's it's always I mean I try to attack problems, not people. I'm not really interested in, you know, evaluating somebody's intentions or or or their ideology so much as the results of their actions. And I think he's done some really good things. Uh I also think he he could do even more. And that's been my appeal to him is let's work together to drive even more change faster. But some of the things he's brought forward like care court, right idea. Now we need to execute it. We need to actually make sure that care court's actually getting people with addiction and mental illness into care. I think he's got the right right idea, right intention, but we've got to follow through and as governor, I would make sure that Prop 36, Prop 1, Care Court, uh number of things he's put in place are actually used to deliver the intended outcome.

David: 纽森州长发布了很多模仿唐纳德·特朗普的表情包,通过发推特的方式,有点像特朗普发布Truth Social帖子。是的,等等。这对他(特朗普)来说是非常对抗性的,至少公开上是这样。与此同时,加州依赖联邦资金,需要大量的联邦合作,州内有大量的联邦土地。你将如何与特朗普总统互动?请谈谈州长是如何公开与特朗普总统互动的。

Original English

David: Governor Newim's put out a lot of these memes kind of making fun of Donald Trump by doing tweets sort of like the way Trump does truth social posts and yeah and so on. It's very antagonistic to the president, at least publicly antagonistic. At the same time, California relies on federal funding and requires a lot of federal cooperation, a lot of federal land in the state. How would you interact with President Trump and talk a little bit about how the the governor has interacted with President Trump publicly?

Matt Mahan: 听着,我理解州长在做什么。他,你知道,一直在给唐纳德·特朗普照镜子,并且嗯,都在为加州的价值观而战,我对此很欣赏。我认为这其中也有一些关于激励机制的问题。我的意思是,他正在竞选总统,这就是我认为这种做法的来源。

Original English

Matt Mahan: Look, I understand what the governor's doing. He's, you know, been holding a mirror up to Donald Trump and um both fighting for California's values, which I appreciate. I think there's also just back to incentives. I mean, he's he's running for president and and that's where I think this approach is coming from.

Matt Mahan: 我会采取不同的做法,因为作为州长,我专注于为加州人民服务,我将在必要时通过法院,通过话语权特朗普政府作斗争,以保护我们的价值观,保护我们的人民,保护州政府的资金。但我也认为,我们需要找到与联邦政府实现双赢的地方。我给你一个我最关注的例子。我刚花时间走访了阿尔塔迪纳帕利塞兹,那里的人们失去了一切,两个地方总共有超过一万户家庭失去了家园。人们迫切希望重建。他们没有得到他们需要的帮助。他们没有得到帮助的部分原因是这种过度党派化,加州和华盛顿在言辞和政治上互相攻击,而受伤害的是那些失去家园的家庭,他们正在等待400亿美元的联邦援助,如果不是这场政治斗争,这笔钱本应早已流向这些社区进行重建。我只是作为州长,是的,我将绝对为我们的价值观而战,但我致力于解决我们的问题,这意味着找到一种方法,让这位总统和这届政府在重建洛杉矶方面获得成功。我们必须把人民放在政治之上

Original English

Matt Mahan: I would take a different approach in the sense that as governor focused on delivering for Californians, I will fight the Trump administration through through the courts, through the bully pulpit whenever necessary to protect our values, to protect our people, to protect state funding. I also think though that we need to find places where we can achieve a win-win with the federal administration. I'll give you the example that's top of mind for me. I just spent time walking through Altadena, the Palisades where people have lost everything, over 10,000 homes lost between the two. People are desperate to rebuild. They're not getting the help that they need. And part of the reason they're not getting the help that they need is this hyperartisanship in which uh California and Washington are fighting rhetorically and politically and the people who are being hurt are the families who have lost their homes who are waiting on the $40 billion of federal aid that's been promised and that if it weren't for this political battle would have already flowed to help those neighborhoods rebuild. And I just as governor, yeah, I I will absolutely fight for our values, but I'm committed to fixing our problems, which means finding a way to make it a win for this president and this administration to rebuild Los Angeles. That we have to put the people before our politics.

移民政策与两党角力

David: 至于移民及海关执法局(ICE)和移民执法,你是否认为加州的无证移民是你作为州长将代表的个人?保护那些非法入境并希望被ICE驱逐的无证移民是你的职责吗?

Original English

David: And as it relates to ICE and immigration enforcement, do you consider undocumented immigrants in the state of California individuals that you would represent as governor? Is it part of your job to protect undocumented immigrants who came here illegally that ICE would like to remove?

Matt Mahan: 是的,除非他们正在犯下严重和暴力罪行。听着,如果你在这里,没有合法身份,并且犯下了暴力重罪,我认为你应该被驱逐出境。但就像我从小一起长大的许多人一样,如果你基本上是被默许欢迎到这里,因为我们有一个需要廉价劳动力的行业或建筑业,你来到这里,组建家庭,开始工作,缴纳税款,抚养在这里出生、拥有美国国籍的孩子。唯一实际和道德的解决方案是各党派放下过度党派化,齐心协力,达成一个大妥协,既能保障边境安全,又能驱逐那些犯下暴力罪行的无证移民,并为某种合法身份创造一条途径。如果公民身份对那些更早来的老一代来说是遥不可及的,那就这样吧。但他们的孩子是美国公民,他们应该仍然和父母住在一起。我认为我们必须找到一种尊重人道主义,并且实际和道德的方法。坦率地说,我对两党多年来推卸责任感到非常失望。我将绝对站出来保护那些遵守规则、做着最美国式事情的无证居民。我理解所有关于合法移民的论点。让我们保障边境安全,并建立一个适当的合法移民体系,不要制造不良的激励。所以,让我们这样做,然后为合法身份创造这条途径。但我们在明尼阿波利斯所看到的情况对国家来说是可怕的。我们看到公民被逮捕,甚至被杀害。这行不通,我认为这不道德。

Original English

Matt Mahan: Yes, unless they're committing serious and violent crime. Look, if you're here, you're not documented, you're committing violent felonies, I think you should be deported. But like many of the people I grew up with, if you were essentially if ta maybe tacitly welcomed here because we had an a industry or a construction industry that needed lowcost labor and you came, started a family, started working, paid taxes, raising kids here who were born here who were US citizens. The only practical and ethical solution is for parties to put the hyperartisanship aside, come together, and come to a grand bargain in which we secure the border. We deport those committing violent crime who are undocumented, and we create a pathway to a legal to some sort of legal status. If citizenship is a bridge too far for that older generation that came earlier, so be it. But their kids are US citizens and they deserve to still live with their parents. And I think we've got to find that the the approach that respects people's humanity and is practical and ethical. And I'm incredibly disappointed, frankly, with both parties for years of kicking the can down the road. And I will absolutely stand up to protect undocumented residents who are playing by the rules, who are doing the most American thing. And I get all the I get all the arguments around lawful immigration. Let's secure the border and set up a proper system of lawful immigration going forward. and not create a bad incentive. So, let's do that and then create this pathway to legal status. But what we've seen play out in in Minneapolis is horrible for the country. We're seeing citizens arrested, even killed. This is this is not this is not working and I don't think it's ethical.

David: 让我给你共和党领导层的反驳,那就是这些很多人最终都会投票给民主党。他们绝大多数会投票给民主党,而且边境被打开了。他们被允许来到这里,现在这种因人道主义状况而不可避免的公民身份途径最终将增加民主党的票仓,并让他们在华盛顿特区掌权,让他们在这些州掌权,让更多的州变成蓝色等等。你如何回应这种担忧和反驳?抛开人道主义部分不谈,为什么边境被打开了?我问过的每个民主党人都无法回答这个问题,为什么边境被打开了?是为了降低劳动力成本吗?还是有其他原因?是为了增加票仓吗?我的意思是,动机是什么?我们如何应对未来多年来共和党将对此提出的回应?

Original English

David: Let me give you the push back that the Republican party leadership would would give, which is that many of these individuals will end up voting for Democrats. Vast majority of them will vote for Democrats and that the border was opened. They were allowed in here and now this inevitable due to humanitarian conditions path forward to citizenship will ultimately increase the Democratic party's voting base and lock them into power in DC, lock them into power in these states, turn more states blue, etc. How do you respond to that concern and push back? Put the humanitarian piece aside, but that the reason the border and every Democrat I ask about this cannot answer the question, why was the border opened? Was it to lower labor costs? Was there some other reason that we did it? Was it to increase the voting base? I mean, what was the motivation and how do we address the response that's going to come for the many years ahead from a Republican party that's going to have issue with this?

Matt Mahan: 所以,我的感觉是,我从小长大的小镇,历史上大约有三分之一的人没有合法身份。我的感觉是,两党不解决这个问题的主要动机是,很多人变得非常富有。很多行业通过获得廉价、充足的劳动力而做得非常好,很多商业利益集团在建筑业和其他方面做得非常好。我的意思是,从历史上看,这可以说是肉类加工业。嗯,他们是共和党的捐助者。所以我认为双方都有共谋。我认为回到激励机制,我认为民主党和共和党都迎合了他们的基本盘,并且实际上受到了政治激励,不去解决问题。作为一名务实的中间派,我的方法是说你们双方都错了,但你们双方说的一些话是真实的。共和党说我们应该知道谁进出这个国家,这是对的。我们应该有一个安全的边境,我们应该消除任何让人非法入境的激励,尤其是在我们面临芬太尼危机、国际恐怖主义以及越来越小的核武器的时候。我们应该有边境安全。绝对没错。如果你没有合法身份,并且犯下了严重和暴力罪行,驱逐出境是最低限度的期望。所以,让我们这样做。但我只是认为两党都有共谋。我们可以坐下来争论谁在选举上或经济上获胜。我们可以玩这种游戏,继续这种极具分裂性和低效的局面,让数百万人生活在恐惧中,生活在阴影中,或者我们可以解决它。当我说合法身份时,也许这种合法身份不包括投票权。也许它是一张绿卡。我的意思是,我支持妥协和解决问题,推动国家向前发展。如果我们要解决这个问题,双方都必须做出让步。

Original English

Matt Mahan: So, my sense growing up in an in an a town that historically has probably been about a third undocumented is that the primary incentive for the parties to not solve this problem is that a lot of people became very wealthy. A lot of industries did very well by having access to lowcost abundant labor and plenty of the business interests that did really well in a construction and other otherwise I mean historically this would have been say meat the meat packing industry right um they're donors to the Republican party. So I think both sides have been complicit. I think the back to incentives, I think Democrats and Republicans have played to their base and actually been politically incentivized to not solve the problem. And as a pragmatic moderate, my approach is to say you're both wrong, but there's something true in what you're both saying. Republicans are right that we should be able we should know who and what comes in and out of the country. We should have a secure border and we should take away any incentive for people to come here illegally, especially in a moment where uh we've got a fentanyl crisis. We've got international terrorism. We've got nukes that are getting smaller and smaller. We should have border security. Absolutely. If you're not here lawfully and you're committing serious and violent crime, deportation is the is the minimum expectation of what should happen. So, let's do that. But I just I think both parties have been complicit. We can sit around and say who wins electorally or economically. We can play that game and continue to have this incredibly divisive and unproductive situation where millions of people are living in fear, living in the shadows, or we can fix it. And when I say legal status, maybe that legal status doesn't come with a with a right to vote. Maybe it's a green card. I mean, I'm I'm for compromise and problem solving and moving the country forward. Both sides are going to have to give if we're going to solve this problem.

David: 我认为这是解决这个问题的最佳方案,即居民身份没有投票权。这可以解决所有人的担忧。最后,我只想让你比较和对比你的民主党对手:斯沃韦尔、斯泰尔、波特。我们只谈这三位。请你谈谈你对这三位中每一位的看法。

Original English

David: I think that's the best idea possible for how to solve this, which is a path to residents without a path to voting. And that that could solve everyone's concerns. And and lastly, I just want you to compare and contrast your Democrat opponents, Swallwell, Styer, Porter. Let's just do those three. Give me a sense on your view on each of the three of them.

Matt Mahan: 嗯,你看,我现在已经和他们辩论够多了,所以我明白。

Original English

Matt Mahan: Well, look, I I've I've been in enough debates with them now to understand that.

Matt Mahan: 那三位主要的民主党候选人正在争夺同一个阵营。那是**“更多老一套”的阵营。这是一个平台,声称我们问题的答案是更多收入**。正如斯沃韦尔众议员的三个主要目标所说,就是收入、收入、收入。而且,你看,我们需要以不同的方式思考。我提供的是一种在北加州最大城市行之有效的方法。我称之为**“回归基础”。它专注于更少的事情,那些对每个人来说都具有机会和生活质量最基础的事情。它谦逊地对待政府实际能做什么,而不是认为所有问题的答案都是更多的收入和另一个政府项目。它以更透明、更负责任的方式对待我们如何花钱,并以结果或可衡量的成果为基础。它只是带来一种新的务实政治**,作为对抗我们正在右翼和左翼看到的这种极具破坏性的民粹主义的解药,这种民粹主义真正威胁着这个国家的民主项目(小写的d)。我只是认为加州在其历史上一直是创新之州,引领潮流并改变了世界。我希望加州人已经准备好迎接一种专注于解决问题的不同政治。我参加这次竞选是因为所有其他候选人,无论党派,都已经参选一年了,但我没有听到任何人诚实地谈论我们的问题以及如何解决它们。我认为我在这场竞选中拥有独特的声音,我们正在看到这一点。这是一个短暂的跑道,但当我在州内各地旅行时,去,你知道,看看蒂华纳河边境的污水危机,它导致那里的所有海滩关闭,走访阿尔塔迪纳,或者穿过旧金山的田德隆区,人们都在回应,因为他们真正想要的只是他们的税款被负责任地使用。他们希望他们的政府能够运作。他们希望当他们将大部分钱交给政府时,他们的生活能变得更好。这就是我的承诺。

Original English

Matt Mahan: those three other leading Democratic candidates are vying for the same lane. It is the more of the same lane. It's a platform that says that the answer to our problems is more revenue. It's revenue, revenue, revenue as Representative Swall's top three goals. And uh look, we need to think differently. What I'm offering is an approach that's been working in Northern California's largest city. I call it getting back to basics. It's focusing on fewer things, the things that are most foundational to opportunity and quality of life for everyone. It's being humble about what government can actually do, not thinking that the answer to every problem is more revenue and another government program. It's being radically more transparent and accountable about how we spend dollars and rooting everything in results or or measurable outcomes and just bringing a a new uh politics of pragmatism as an antidote to this incredibly destructive populism we're seeing on the right and the left that really risks the the democratic lowercase d democratic project of this country. And I just I think that California has throughout its history been the the innovative state that has led the way and changed the world. And I am hopeful that Californians are ready for a different kind of politics that focuses on problem solving. I jumped in this race because all of the other candidates across the spectrum had already been in for a year and uh I didn't hear anyone talking speaking honestly about our problems and how to solve them. And I thought that I had a unique voice in this race and we're seeing that. I It's a short runway, but as I travel around the state, go to, you know, see the sewage crisis in the in the Tijuana River on the border that shut down all the beaches down there, walk Altadena or go through the Tenderloin in San Francisco, people are are responding because all they really want is for their tax dollars to be used responsibly. They want their government to work. They want their life to get better when they send so much of their money to their government. And that's my that's my commitment.

David: 市长马特·马汉,感谢你今天来到《All-In》。非常感谢你的时间,祝你在州长竞选中好运。

Original English

David: Mayor Matt Mayan, thank you for being here with me today on Allin. Really appreciate the time and good luck in the in the governor's race.

Matt Mahan: 谢谢,大卫。我很享受这次对话。

Original English

Matt Mahan: Thanks, David. I enjoyed it.

David: N 我全力以赴。

Original English

David: N I'm going all in.

📌 文中提及的人物和组织

关键字: government-accountability housing-affordability homelessness-solution regulatory-reform public-finance economic-inequality