播客开场:X平台上的实时对话
主持人首先对埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)能参加播客表示感谢,并提到他们两年前就开始尝试邀请他。
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hi everyone and big thanks for taking the time on you know we've been trying to get you on the podcast since uh we started it two years ago so we are super pleased that we that we have you on and indeed on your xplatform how cool yeah
马斯克表示,能在X平台(X Platform: 埃隆·马斯克收购并更名的社交媒体平台,原名Twitter)上进行实时播客非常酷,因为有来自世界各地的大量用户可以同时参与,而且效果非常好。
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uh it's pretty cool yeah I mean you have like lots of people from all around the world uh simultaneously do effectively a realtime podcast and uh it works pretty well very good well we have so much to talk about
AI的飞速发展与未来展望
主持人随后将话题转向了人工智能(AI:Artificial Intelligence,人工智能),询问马斯克对当前AI竞赛的看法。
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uh love to kick off with with AI um now what's your take on where we are in the AI race just now
马斯克回应说,这是一个需要长篇大论的问题,因为AI是迄今为止他所见过的发展最快的技术,而且他见过很多技术。
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wow that's a long answer um there's there's so much happening in AI is the fastest advancing technology that I've ever seen of any kind and I've seen a lot of Technology
他指出,几乎每周都有新的AI进展公布。
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um you know barely a week goes by with without some new announcement
如果观察专门用于AI的硬件(即计算机)的上线数量,会发现它每年至少增长十倍,甚至每六到九个月就增长十倍。
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so uh and if you look at the amount of uh AI Hardware the computers coming online that are dedicated to AI that is increasing what looks like at least by a factor of 10 every year if not every six to nine months
将硬件的这种数量级增长(至少每九个月一次)与众多的软件突破结合起来看,这条发展曲线简直是“疯狂”的。
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so when you combine the hardware um Coming online really order of magnitude increase every you know call at least every 9 months um and uh many many software breakthroughs uh if you look at that that curve it looks insane
他猜测,到明年年底左右,AI将比任何一个人类都要聪明。
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so I think we'll um my my my guess is that we we'll have ai that is smarter than any any one human probably to around the end of next year um and then
而AI的“感知计算”总量,他认为可能在五年内超越所有人类。
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AI the total amount of sort of sentient compute of AI I think will probably exceed all humans in 5 years
主持人问,当前的AI竞赛主要围绕什么展开?是算法、人才还是计算能力?是芯片供应吗?
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what what is the what is the race about just now is it algorithms is it people is it computing power what what is it about just now is it the supply of chips just what is it
马斯克解释说,去年主要是芯片供应受限,特别是英伟达(Nvidia:一家全球领先的图形处理器和人工智能计算公司)的芯片供不应求。
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yeah last year it was uh chip constraint um and the hardware deployment if you break it down into the three areas of people um data and hardware and starting with Hardware last year it was about a shift Supply people could not get enough um in video chips particularly
今年则开始转向电压变压器(voltage transformer)的供应,即如何获得足够的电压变压器并将其安装到位。
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um this year it's starting to transition to a voltage Transformer Supply so actually getting enough voltage Transformers uh put in place
他开玩笑说,这就像是“为Transformer(Transformer模型:一种深度学习模型架构,广泛应用于自然语言处理)准备变压器”,因为许多运行AI的模型都叫做Transformer,所以你需要变压器来运行Transformer。
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so my sort of very Niche joke is Transformers for Transformers because a lot of the AI That's run is called a Transformer so you need Transformers to run Transformers
再往后看一两年,或者说三年,限制因素将是电力供应。这些是硬件方面的限制。
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um and then next in the if you look out a year or two or certainly three years um it's just electricity availability so that's those those constraints in the hardware side
在人才方面,世界上许多最聪明的人都在从事AI工作,甚至以前从事物理学研究的人也转向了AI,因为它是发展最快的领域。
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um so many of the smart world's smartest people are are doing AI people that would have done physics before in fact or had have done physics for example have moved into AI because it's just the fastest moving field
因此,我们看到大量顶尖人才和最聪明的人类投身AI领域,同时伴随着算法上的突破。
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so we're seeing a lot of the best talents a lot of the smartest humans going into Ai and then uh we see along with that algorithmic breakthroughs
接着,你会遇到数据问题。
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um and then then you start hitting the the wall with the the data problem um so
马斯克指出,所有人类写过的书籍的文本内容,即使是压缩形式,也只能放在一个硬盘或一台电脑上。
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the you know you can fit all books ever written um just the text the the text in compressed form uh on one hard drive or call one one computer
所以,当你考虑用于训练AI的所谓“tokens”时,即使是所有人类用所有语言写过的所有书籍,听起来很多,也远超任何一个人能读完的数量,但实际上,这只是一个很小的训练数据量,远远不够。
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um so when you when you're looking at like so called tokens to train on yeah uh and you you still think of like all the books ever written in every in in all languages by All Humans sounds like a lot certainly it's far more than any one human could could ever read um it actually is a small it's a small number of train training tokens it's just not enough
因此,你必须开始考虑所有创建的视频、所有播客以及所有其他内容,但即使这样,数据也会用尽。
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so then you you start having to look at all the videos of I created um you know all the podcasts all the everything um and and you start even running out of data there
主持人开玩笑说,希望这个播客也能被包含进去,马斯克肯定地回答说“肯定会”。
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well hopefully they hopefully they will include this podcast uh that definitely will include this podcast
主持人询问,xAI(xAI:埃隆·马斯克创立的人工智能公司)面临的最大挑战是什么?
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what's the biggest challenge you have with uh with xai
马斯克表示,xAI相对较新,目前的主要限制因素是训练他们的Grok v2模型(Grok v2:xAI开发的大型语言模型),他们认为这个模型应该会比GPT-4(GPT-4:Generative Pre-trained Transformer 4,开放AI公司开发的大型多模态模型)更优秀。
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well xai is still relatively new so it's not um you know uh like the limiting factor right now is just training our Grok version 2 model which should be do we think better than GPD 4 um and that's we're hoping to complete that in May so that's that's training right now
他们希望在五月份完成训练,所以目前只是努力获得足够的图形处理器(GPU)来尽快完成训练,他认为这很可能会实现。
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so it's just really we're just trying to get enough gpus online to train it fast enough to get that done in May um which I think probably will happen um and
这需要大约2万个H100(H100:英伟达推出的一款高性能GPU,专为AI和高性能计算设计)芯片,并且训练效率非常高。
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then and and that's with uh roughly 20,000 h100s uh and and doing I think very efficient training
下一步是Grok v3(Grok v3:xAI开发的大型语言模型),它将需要10万个英伟达H100芯片进行连贯训练,这基本上是Grok v2训练量的五倍。
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then the next step would be for Grok 3 which would be I guess G55 or Beyond uh would you know requires uh 100,000 Nvidia h100s training coherently so that's you know a half order of magnitude basically more training
到那时,你将真正开始遇到数据问题,需要创建合成数据(Synthetic Data:人工生成的数据,用于训练AI模型)或使用真实世界的视频。
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um and then you really start to have running into this data problem where you you have to either create synthetic data or use real world video
这两种“无限数据”的来源是合成数据和真实世界视频,其中特斯拉(Tesla)在真实世界视频方面拥有巨大优势。
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those the the two sources of kind of like unlimited data are synthetic data and real world video which I should say Tesla has a pretty big advantage in real world video um Tesla has by far the most real world video of anyone yeah you've got a huge Library there
主持人询问,马斯克认为何时能看到真正的AGI(Artificial General Intelligence:通用人工智能)?
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so when do you think so when do you think we'll see proper AGI
马斯克回答说,这取决于你如何定义AGI。如果将其定义为比最聪明的人类更聪明,他认为可能在明年年底,也就是两年内。
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well it depends on how you define AGI if you define AGI as smarter than the smartest human I think it's probably end of next year like like within two years um but but that's that there's still there's still a pretty big leap beyond that to say smarter than the the machine augmented human Collective
但要达到比机器增强的人类集体更聪明,即比所有协同工作并使用计算机增强其产出的人类更聪明,他认为可能还需要五年时间。
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so like is it smarter than all humans working together uh who are also using computers to augment their output and that that I think is probably five years away
一种衡量方式是尝试评估数字计算与生物计算的大致比例。
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one one way to look at it is is is is to try to assess um like roughly what is the ratio of digital to biological compute
AI监管与“真相”的挑战
主持人提出了关于AI监管和其结构的新想法。
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last question on um on AI any new thoughts on regulation and um how it should be structured
马斯克认为,我们可能确实需要某种监管机构来关注AI的安全性,就像我们在其他领域(如飞机、汽车和药物的安全性)有监管机构一样。
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well I I think we probably do need some sort of regulatory authority to look at the safety of AI um just as we have regulatory authorities and other Arenas to um you know o oversee aircraft and the safety of aircraft and cars and and other things you know medication so
然而,AI的进步速度非常快,可能比任何监管机构都能跟上的速度都要快。
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uh now the rate at which AI is progressing is is fast is faster than probably any regulatory agency can keep up with um
但他对在实现安全AI之前非常重要的一点发表了评论:训练AI尽可能地真实,而不是政治正确。
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but but I do have a comment on what I think is very important before achieving safe AI which is that uh it's very important to train the AI to be as truthful as possible um and not to uh yeah just to be as truthful as possible
他认为,当你将AI编程为政治正确时,可能会出现非常危险的情况,这可能现在看起来相对无害,但如果AI拥有巨大权力,未来将不再如此。
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um I think you can get some very dangerous things when you program an AI to be politically correct think that things that may seem uh relatively innocuous now but will not be so in in the future if AI has immense power
他举了谷歌Gemini(Google Gemini:谷歌开发的多模态大型语言模型)的例子,该模型拒绝生成白人乔治·华盛顿(George Washington)的图片,事实上,任何历史人物都会被自动“多样化”。
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you can take the Google Gemini example where it it refused to publish to produce a picture of George Washington as a white man and and any in fact any historical figure would automatically be made diverse um because it's been programmed to insist on diversity
这听起来可能一开始没问题,但如果AI拥有如此大的权力,以至于能够强制执行多样性,并决定某种人或某种性别过多,然后通过“杀死”足够多的人直到多样性数字达到其预设的“正确”标准,那就非常危险了。
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which sounds you know perhaps okay at first but not if the AI has so much power that it can actually enforce diversity and decide there's too many of one kind of people or too many of one sex and kill off just just kill off enough until the the diversity number is is what it's programmed to believe is correct
主持人问,难道这个问题不会在下一个版本中得到解决吗?马斯克认为不会,他们只会让它变得更微妙、更不明显,但这种倾向仍然会存在。
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but don't you think this will be sorted out in the next version no no they'll make it more subtle okay and less obvious but it will still be there
主持人接着问,中国在AI方面相对于美国处于什么位置?
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okay well we'll see but where where is China where do you where is China now in I relative to the US
马斯克表示,他不知道中国的具体情况,但中国有很多非常聪明的人,他们不会远远落后于世界其他地区或美国。
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um I I don't know exactly what China is uh except there are a lot of very smart people in China um and they they won't be they won't be far behind the rest of the world or far behind the US
他提到,目前AI主要集中在旧金山和伦敦,中国也有很多事情发生,但他无法深入了解,不过他相信中国不会落后于西方的发展。
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um I mean the ai ai right now is very concentrated in San Francisco and London um and then you know there's there's you know a lot happening in in China but I I'm I don't have insight into what they're doing uh except that they I'm confident they will not be far behind uh what is developed in the west yeah
他再次强调,如果我们不将AI编程为尽可能真实,那么危险就在于此。
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um so but but but mark my words the if if uh if we do not program an AI to be as truthful as possible that that is where it will go arai that is where the danger lies yeah
电动汽车的未来与中国竞争
主持人将话题转向特斯拉(Tesla),询问电动汽车(EV:Electric Vehicle,电动汽车)的转型速度是否比他预期的慢。
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mov moving T here moving to to Tesla um is is the EV conversion now going slower than you had expected just where is the speed of conversion now relative to your expectations
马斯克认为,转型速度实际上相当快,尤其是在挪威。
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I think it's going quite fast actually especially Norway um absolutely well it's pretty much all there is is your your Teslas yeah there's a lot of Teslas in Norway it's crazy
他再次感谢挪威对电动汽车的支持,并表示非常感激。
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thanks i' once again like to thank Norway for the support of electric vehicles um so much appreciated time so I think
他相信所有车辆最终都会完全电动化,这只是时间问题,包括飞机和船只,当然还有火车。
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it's we will the the that that electric that all vehicles will go fully electric uh it's only a matter of time um that includes aircraft ultimately and boats um obviously trains
唯一讽刺的是,火箭很难电动化,因为你无法避免需要排出质量(根据牛顿第三定律)。
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the only thing that is ironically difficult to well you can't really make it electric is Rockets because you need you can't get away from um having to expel Mass uh you sort of Newton's third law
但他坚信所有汽车都将是电动的,这只是时间问题,我们将像看待蒸汽机一样看待燃油车。
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um but but all cars will be Electric it's only matter of time and we'll look back on combustion cause in the same way that we look at back on uh steam engines
马斯克认为,内燃机汽车的出现是不可避免的,同样,汽车转向电动化也是不可避免的。
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um that that I was it was inevitable that there would be internal combustion cars and and it's just as inevitable that o cost will go electric
虽然电动汽车的普及过程会有一些起伏,但最终的胜利是不可避免的,而且越早实现越好。
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um and um there will be some e and you know so like it going to be a completely straight up line there will be some uh e and flow in how how far electric car is going but that but the ultimate um victory of electric cars is inevitable um and and I think the sooner we get there the better yeah
主持人询问他对中国竞争的看法。
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how do you see the Chinese competition here
马斯克表示,他们普遍认为中国公司是世界上最具竞争力的,尤其是在电动汽车或整个汽车行业,中国汽车公司无疑是最具竞争力的。
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now we generally find that the companies in China are the most competitive in the world and certainly in uh electric vehicles or cars in general the Chinese car companies are by far the most competitive um yeah that's where where we find the most toughest toughest competitive challenges
他认为中国公司制造出色的汽车,并且工作非常努力。
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that they make great cars and they work very hard
主持人问,作为一名工程师,马斯克乘坐中国汽车时有什么感受?
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so when you ride in one of the Chinese cars what do you think I mean you're an engineer you know what about it what do you what do you think
马斯克说他最近没有乘坐过中国汽车,因为它们在美国并不普遍,在欧洲也只有少数。
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I haven't R I have not ridden in one lately but uh because they're not all available here you know in the US or very few are available in the US um some are available in Europe
但他的团队告诉他,中国汽车非常出色。
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um but from what my team tells me there are very good
火星殖民与文明的延续
主持人将话题转向太空,询问要实现火星自给自足需要什么条件。
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moving moving out out in space um what what would it take to be self-sufficient at Mars
马斯克表示,火星自给自足的关键在于运送到火星表面的总吨位。
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to be self-sufficient in Mars it's really about the the total tonnage that is delivered to the surface of Mars um so you can say like well um
他认为可能需要大约一百万吨,甚至可能更多,但在一百万到一千万吨之间,才能使火星实现自给自足。
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I I think it's probably on the order of a million tons maybe it maybe more but somewhere between probably a million tons and 10 million tons are needed to make Mars self-sufficient
主持人问,这需要多少枚火箭?
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and how many Rockets is that
马斯克提到他最近在SpaceX(SpaceX:埃隆·马斯克创立的航空航天制造商和太空运输服务公司)的演讲中谈到了这个问题。如果每次飞行能运载100吨,那么需要1万次飞行才能达到一百万吨。
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well I gave a presentation on this recently if people look at my my recent uh SpaceX talk but if you if you have U really uh if you have 100 tons per flight you need 10,000 flights to get to a million million tons
为了将100吨货物运到火星表面,你需要在地球轨道上准备五倍于此的燃料,因此需要大量的轨道加油。
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um and that's 100 tons landed to the surface of Mars so in order to get 100 tons land to the surface of Mars you need 500 five times that number in Earth orbit um so we do a lot of orbital refilling
这意味着需要反复发射运载燃料的“油轮”火箭,为前往火星的飞船补充推进剂。
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um so launching sort of uh Rockets uh tanker ships over and over again that that would replenish the propellant of the ships that would go to Mars
为了达到一百万吨,大约需要1万次这样的飞行。
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um and then youd need a on roughly on order of 10,000 of them to get to a million tons um and
他们计划在20年内完成这项任务。
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uh but we we plan to do that that that's uh that's we think we can get that done within 20 years really
主持人问,那么第一次登陆火星大概在什么时候?
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so and when do you think so when do you think we'll be there for the first time
马斯克认为,第一艘登陆火星的星舰(Starship:SpaceX开发的可重复使用超重型运载火箭),最初肯定不会载人,可能在五年内实现。
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first first uh well the first Starship that will land on Mars which obviously would not not have people at first I think it's probably within about 5 years um
然后可能会发射多艘飞船,确认它们能顺利在火星着陆。
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and then it would probably launch several ships and just confirm that they can land okay on Mars
他们也将同时进行月球任务,他认为五年内人类将重返月球,无人飞船将在五年内登陆火星。
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um we'll also be doing the moon simultaneously with that so uh go taking well I think I think we'll get people back to the Moon I should say within 5 years and we'll get uh uncrewed ships landed on Ms within 5 years
之后,他们将提高生产速度,并改进助推器和飞船的设计。
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and and then we be building up the production rate um and improving the design of the booster in the ship so
他认为,第一批人类登陆火星可能在七到九年内实现。
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um so in the first people on Mars I think within seven years or so seven to nine years um
从那时起,需要迅速增加飞船数量,因为地球和火星大约每两年才有六个月的时间处于太阳系的同一象限,或者说,每26个月只有几个月是理想的转移窗口。
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and from from there we need to rapidly increase we need massive numbers of shifts going and Earth and Mars Only are in the same quadrant of the solar system roughly for six months every two years or at least it's only possible to really transfer efficiently um from Earth to Mars I say every six months but really there's about there's a couple months where where it's ideal every 26 months
因此,每两年你会看到一支庞大的舰队从火星出发,他认为看到一千艘飞船同时从火星出发,就像《太空堡垒卡拉狄加》(Battle Star Galactica)一样,将是非常壮观的景象。
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um so every two years that you would see a basically a fleet depart Mars and I think it be quite a spectacular thing to see a thousand ships depart from Mars all at once like Battle Star Galactica
主持人问,在实现火星自给自足之前,我们还需要哪些新技术?
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what kind of new technology do we need before we'll be self-sufficient there
马斯克表示,实际上,所有必要的技术我们都已经掌握了,只需要建造即可,不需要新的物理学原理。
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actually I think we have all the tech we already know all the technology that's necessary for that it just needs we just need to build so no new physics is needed for this
主持人问,为什么这对他如此重要?
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why is it so important for you
马斯克认为,这对整体意识(Consciousness)很重要。
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I think it's important for Consciousness in general um so if if we wish to maximize the lifespan of Consciousness then being a multipled species will result in a much longer uh existence of Consciousness Consciousness than if we're on one planet
如果我们希望最大化意识的寿命,那么成为一个多行星物种将比只在一个行星上生活更能延长意识的存在。
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if we're on one planet we're simply biting our time until there's eventually a Calamity it could be soon it could be a long time but eventually something will happen
如果只在一个行星上,我们只是在等待灾难的发生,这可能很快,也可能很久,但最终总会发生。
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it could be you a global Therman nuclear war it could be simply That civilization merely subsides our civilization may not die with a bang it may die with a whimper just just gradually falling into obsolescence
这可能是一场全球热核战争,也可能是文明逐渐衰落,不会轰轰烈烈地消亡,而是悄无声息地走向过时。
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but if we're multiplet species then we've got two planets and and they can support each other um and we can go beyond two planets ultimately to the moons of Jupiter to the to the uh um Beyond to the the outer parts of the solar system and ultimately to other star systems
但如果我们是多行星物种,我们就有两个行星可以互相支持,最终我们还可以超越两个行星,前往木星的卫星,再到太阳系外围,最终抵达其他恒星系统。
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so this tiny this tiny candle of Consciousness that we have in this vast Darkness can be extended um and Amplified and we're just far more likely to uh survive as for for Consciousness to survive if we are multiplet species
这样,我们在浩瀚黑暗中的这微弱的意识之光就可以被延伸和放大,作为一个多行星物种,我们意识存活的可能性会大大增加。
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you don't think it' be better to use all these resources and try to sort out Earth
主持人问,难道不应该把所有这些资源用于解决地球上的问题吗?
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well just to put this into perspective the amount of resources I'm talking about for making life multiplanetary would be less than 1% of all resources on Earth
马斯克解释说,从长远来看,用于使生命多行星化的资源量将不到地球总资源的1%。
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so really you can think of it as resource allocation do you think it's worth spending half a percent of Earth Resources to ensure uh that we have redundancy in Consciousness and that we extend Consciousness Beyond Mars to other planets to to Mars and other planets and ultimately other star systems
因此,这可以看作是资源分配问题:你认为是否值得花费地球0.5%的资源来确保意识的冗余,并将意识从火星扩展到其他行星,最终扩展到其他恒星系统?
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um and then also take into account the fact that there are certain inevit there are certain things we simply cannot avoid on Earth
此外,地球上有些事情是无法避免的。
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um like is it within your power of mind to stop World War I I don't think so no if it happens um and if we have theral Warfare our technology level will drop to the stern age um and we may never survive
例如,你是否有能力阻止第三次世界大战?他认为没有。如果发生热核战争,我们的技术水平将倒退到石器时代,我们可能永远无法生存。
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and then there are we maybe get may get hit like by a comet like the dinosaurs and um you know if the dinosaurs had spaceships they they'll probably still be around
我们还可能像恐龙一样被彗星撞击,如果恐龙有宇宙飞船,它们可能现在还在。
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um so and then if if you wait long enough the Earth the the sun will continue to expand and eventually engulf Earth and destroy it and destroy all life
如果你等待足够长的时间,太阳会不断膨胀,最终吞噬地球,摧毁地球和所有生命。
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so just to give it amount a certain amount of time no matter what you do on Earth no matter how careful you are um Earth will life all life on Earth will die that it will happen is a certainty
所以,无论你在地球上做什么,无论你多么小心,只要给予足够的时间,地球上的所有生命都将灭绝,这是必然的。
X平台:真相与地缘政治
主持人将话题转向X平台(Twitter),询问马斯克对X平台的愿景。
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on a slightly less gloomy note uh X Twitter yeah um what is your vision now what do you how do you see the the vision of x i goal of X is to be the best source of Truth on the internet
马斯克表示,X平台的目标是成为互联网上最好的真相来源。
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um and I think we're making a good you know good progress there and I mean this it's going to be like I call the everything app like if anything you want to do you can do on the xplatform
他认为他们在这方面取得了良好进展,X平台将成为他所说的“万能应用”(everything app),无论你想做什么,都可以在X平台上完成。
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um whether it's text audio video uh payments Financial stuff um Communications of all kinds
这包括文本、音频、视频、支付、金融事务以及各种通信。
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um and then but but then also where there is publicly disseminated information is to be the best source of Truth um and I think it I think it already is that
此外,对于公开传播的信息,X平台旨在成为最好的真相来源,他认为它已经做到了。
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um now people may say oh there's some piece of misinformation disinformation I say yes but look look at the replies the reply is correct that misinformation and look at Community notes and the and how good the batting average of community notes is it's extremely good it's by far the best factchecking system on the internet
人们可能会说存在一些错误信息或虚假信息,但他认为,看看回复和社区笔记(Community Notes:X平台的一项事实核查功能,允许用户对信息添加背景说明),它们纠正了这些错误信息,社区笔记的“击球率”非常高,是互联网上最好的事实核查系统。
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um so and and a lot of people still labor under the illusion that the the the Legacy newspapers that they read are actually true there's so much nonsense in them
许多人仍然抱有幻想,认为他们阅读的传统报纸是真实的,但其中充满了胡说八道。
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I mean ni how many times when do you read an article in a newspaper where you know the circumstances of what that article is and how often is it spot on no of course it's uh normally no no of course we all know it's normally wrong
他反问,你多久读一次报纸文章,并且了解文章背景,又多久能发现文章完全准确?他认为我们都知道报纸通常是错误的。
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but but how do you look not sure but how how do you look at the situation now for instance with with Russia uh you know the work Russia does in Germany with fake accounts on it's pretty pretty huge uh activity right
主持人问,如何看待俄罗斯在德国利用虚假账户进行的大规模活动?
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I mean we don't see a lot of Russian it to be frank um on the system um so we we see very little
马斯克坦言,他们在X平台上没有看到太多俄罗斯的活动,非常少。
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um we do we do see a lot of lot of attempts to influence things but they seem to be coming from from the West not from from Russia right
他们确实看到了许多试图施加影响的尝试,但这些尝试似乎更多来自西方,而不是俄罗斯。
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what about um what about things like the latest developments in in Brazil and so on yeah sure yeah so the the
主持人接着问,巴西等地的最新进展如何?
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uh we we kept getting these demands from um uh this uh Judge Alexander um that's his that's his name on Twitter Alexander um and there would be to suspend accounts um immediately we're given typically two hours to suspend an account or face massive fines
马斯克解释说,他们不断收到来自亚历山大·德·莫赖斯法官(Judge Alexandre de Moraes:巴西最高法院大法官)的要求,要求立即暂停某些账户,通常只有两小时的执行时间,否则将面临巨额罚款。
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um and the the final sto we were were being given given demands to suspend sitting sitting members of the parliament and major journalists and moreover we could not tell them that it this was at the beest of uh Alexander Morales we had to pretend that it was due to our rules of service and that was the final straw and we said no
最终,他们收到了暂停现任议员和主要记者账户的要求,更重要的是,他们不能告诉这些用户这是应亚历山大·德·莫赖斯(Alexander Morales)的要求,而必须假装是由于X平台的服务条款。这是压垮骆驼的最后一根稻草,他们拒绝了。
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now um when you when you bought Twitter um now renamed X did you expect that you would end up in these type of situations so it's is all unexpected
主持人问,当他收购Twitter(现已更名为X)时,是否预料到会遇到这类情况?这是否完全出乎意料?
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well I knew it wouldn't be just a total B of roses um you know and it's fing I [Laughter] wouldn't um no I mean I thought it would be since we're just like rigorously trying to pursue the the the goal of being the most accurate and truthful place in the internet and that that doesn't mean that what is said is always true or accurate but is it is perhaps another way to frame it is as the least inaccurate place on the internet
马斯克表示,他知道这不会是一帆风顺的。他认为,既然他们正在努力追求成为互联网上最准确和真实的地方,这并不意味着所说的一切都总是真实或准确,但或许可以将其视为互联网上“最不准确”的地方。
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do you do you see clear do you secretly think this is a bit fun it's fun yeah yeah it's fun at times it's stressful at times and it's fun at times
主持人问他是否觉得这有点有趣,马斯克回答说,有时很有趣,有时很有压力,有时又很有趣。
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um but overall we're trying to serve the people of Earth um and and and and this is sort of an S sort of maybe an esic way of viewing it but um to try to be kind of like the the group consciousness of Earth so you can think of like if each person is like a neuron contributing to like the collective brain of Earth and you want to try to minimize the noise and maximize the signal of every neuron that's connected to the the X Network that that's basically what what is what is the collective will of of humanity and and how and and and and how to yeah just serve the collective will of humanity and so serve the greater good that that's our goal
但总的来说,他们正在努力服务地球上的人们。这可能是一种有点深奥的看法,但他们试图成为地球的集体意识。你可以想象每个人都是一个神经元,为地球的集体大脑做出贡献,他们希望最小化噪音,最大化连接到X网络的每个神经元的信号,这基本上就是人类的集体意志,以及如何服务于人类的集体意志和更大的利益,这是他们的目标。
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um now there there's definitely going to be people who want to manipulate that information and so we have to fight that and try to have uh you know be it be the most accurate place as part to the best of our ability and have it be kind of a Marketplace of ideas where people can propose ideas and you know debate them and um I think so far it's working reasonably well in that regard
当然,肯定会有人想要操纵信息,所以他们必须与之抗争,尽最大努力使其成为最准确的地方,并使其成为一个思想市场,人们可以在其中提出想法并进行辩论。他认为到目前为止,在这方面运作得相当好。
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um now people that don't like the truth will not like those or if they want to manipulate things they will not like it
不喜欢真相或想操纵信息的人会不喜欢这种做法。
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but only but only a few years ago you were you were a guy um producing electric vehicles now you are you know through starlink you've had some you know I mean some big impact in in Ukraine uh with Twitter you are kind of into some issues in uh you know Brazil India Turkey um you know you're becoming like a real geopolitical force and a really important one how do you how do you look at that
主持人指出,几年前马斯克还只是一个生产电动汽车的人,但现在通过星链(Starlink)在乌克兰产生了巨大影响,通过Twitter(X平台)在巴西、印度、土耳其等地卷入了一些问题,他正在成为一个真正的、非常重要的地缘政治力量,他如何看待这一点?
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well like I said I'm really I'm trying to take the set of actions that maximize the probability that the future is good
马斯克回答说,他只是在努力采取一系列行动,以最大化未来美好的可能性。
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um I mean we have to keep civilization going onward and upward as much as possible and um and try to minimize the civilizational threats that occur
我们必须尽可能地推动文明向前发展,并努力最小化文明面临的威胁。
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um you know we we we can't get to Mars if civilization collapses it's not going to happen so um you know we've got to we've got to keep um keep civilization going
如果文明崩溃,我们就无法到达火星,所以我们必须维持文明的延续。
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um and I think we should view our civilization as being much more fragile than we think we kind of take for granted oh it's always going to be there but actually if you study history you realize that there Rise you know there's rise and fall civilization
他认为我们应该将文明视为比我们想象的要脆弱得多。我们常常认为文明会永远存在,但如果你研究历史,你会发现文明有兴有衰。
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um I mean I was I was reading in depth about the ancient samarians um who were arguably the first civilization if you call civilization like writing and stuff you know they were the first to develop writing um and uh but eventually they died out and they were gone so and then nobody could read the writing at all and and they they just faded out as a civilization um but they're pretty impressive in their time
他深入研究了古苏美尔人(Sumerians),他们可以说是第一个文明(如果文明定义为拥有文字等),他们是第一个发展出文字的,但最终他们消亡了,他们的文字也无人能读,作为一个文明他们逐渐消失了,尽管在他们的时代他们非常令人印象深刻。
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and the ancient Egyptians the same thing um and uh you know one sort of one after another uh ancient Greek had it Greece had its day uh you know China and India had will have incredibly impressed populations but there's been EVs and flows in the uh CH China and Indian civilizations over the the the aons you know the blenn as well um
古埃及人也是如此,古希腊也曾辉煌一时,中国和印度拥有令人印象深刻的人口,但在漫长的岁月中,这些文明也经历了起伏。
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so you know I I guess I'm just trying to take this this set of the steps that um increase uh the scope and scale of Consciousness that's that's what I'm trying to do it's not it's not that I'm trying to have a put a political thumb on the scale or anything like that um but I I think I'm trying to have the political will go where the people want it to go
所以,他只是在努力采取一系列步骤,以增加意识的范围和规模,这不是为了在政治上施加影响,而是为了让政治意愿顺应民意。
管理、创新与个人哲学
主持人提到马斯克公司里有很多非常聪明的人,询问管理这些“天才”的关键是什么。
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you you mentioned some um some uh uh really smart people here and um kind of just moving t a bit here to Copa culture now you manage a lot of geniuses in your in your companies what is the key to manage really smart people you think
马斯克认为他并没有管理聪明人,他们是自我管理的。
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I don't I don't think I manage smart people they manage themselves um I I think well I guess with really smart people you know I don't really think of of it like managing them
他觉得,如果一个人非常聪明有才华,他们可以随时随地做任何事,他们不必与他合作,可以去任何地方。
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I think that if somebody's very smart and talented they they can go anywhere and do anything anytime like if they they they don't have to work with me they could go anywhere
所以他只是告诉他们目标是什么,他们正在努力实现什么,并问他们是否同意这个目标,如果同意,就一起努力完成。
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so I I really just say like look this is the the goal we're after and this is what we're trying to achieve and do you agree with this goal and if you do then let's try to get it done
他会在过程中提供自己的意见,偶尔也会说:“伙计们,这次你们得相信我,我们必须这样做。”如果结果证明是错误的决定,将来大家可以以此来指责他。
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um and um you know provide my opinion along the way and once in a while I'll say look guys you just got to trust me on on this one we got to do this thing and if it turns out to be a bad decision you we can can all hold that against me in the future
主持人提到,马斯克对细节有着令人难以置信的关注,从沃尔特·艾萨克森(Walter Isaacson:著名传记作家,著有埃隆·马斯克的传记)的书(关于马斯克的传记)中可以清楚地看到,他深入细节并了解自己所谈论的内容。
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but you have an incredible eye for detail right I mean when we read the is book um it's pretty clear that you I mean you really are are deep into detail and know what you talk about
主持人问他如何平衡这种在某些领域的微观管理和在其他领域的授权。
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so how do you how do you balance this um kind of micromanagement of some areas and then delegate other
马斯克表示他不会称之为微观管理。
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I wouldn't I wouldn't call it micromanagement um it's just insisting on atttention to detail that um if you're trying to make a perfect product you must have attention to attent attention to details is essential
这只是坚持对细节的关注,如果你想制造出完美的产品,对细节的关注是必不可少的。
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um and I haven't actually read the isacon book you should it's very good actually I Lov it
他承认自己还没有读过艾萨克森的书,主持人建议他应该读一读。
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well I I asked Walter isacon if I should read it and he said I shouldn't um so so then he said I shouldn't read it so okay
马斯克说他问过沃尔特·艾萨克森本人是否应该读,艾萨克森说他不应该读。
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well I'll I'll ask you some questions from the book then they you he talks about you know you the kind of the hardcore and Ultra Hardcore culture what is an Ultra Hardcore culture I guess it's work I mean it's working culture right I mean how how I mean Ultra hard work how hard is that
主持人于是决定直接从书中提问,书中提到了“硬核”和“超级硬核”文化。他问“超级硬核”文化是什么样的,工作强度有多大?
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well when things get really intense you're basically just working every waking hour
马斯克回答说,当事情变得非常紧张时,你基本上就是醒着的每一小时都在工作。
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and how and how long can you do that for I've done that for well continuously for sometimes like a few years
主持人问他能坚持多久,马斯克说他曾连续几年这样做。
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what does it what does it du to you it really it's pain um and and every waking hour maybe it's an exaggeration because there are a few hours um obviously with friends and family and and critical other things um
他表示这很痛苦,“醒着的每一小时”可能有些夸张,因为总有几个小时是陪伴朋友和家人,以及处理其他重要事情的。
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but 100 hour weeks would be I I've done many many stretches of 100 hour weeks like true 100 hour weeks um where roughly six hours per day is sleeping
但他曾多次经历每周工作100小时的情况,是真正的100小时,其中每天大约睡六小时。
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um I would not recommend that this is not that's for emergencies you know it's not uh all the time
他不推荐这种工作方式,这只适用于紧急情况,而不是常态。
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um you know during very difficult times at Tesla I've had to do that and sometimes at the beginning of my earlier start offs I did that where I just wouldn't leave the office I would just sleep under my desk and just work seven days a week
在特斯拉非常困难的时期,他不得不这样做,有时在他创业初期,他也会不离开办公室,直接睡在办公桌下,每周工作七天。
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um sometimes it's necessary for success or or to avoid failure
有时,这是成功或避免失败所必需的。
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um but but do you you do you enjoy being in this crisis mode no I don't it sucks okay no I I don't want to be there it's pain but sometimes it's the between success and failure
主持人问他是否享受这种危机模式,马斯克回答说不,这很糟糕,他不想处于那种状态,这很痛苦,但有时却是成功与失败之间的关键。
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when you make decisions how important is speed
主持人问,在做决策时,速度有多重要?
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he just gave me an idea which is um I'm GNA invite the uh Judge Al Alexander R uh to do a spaces and then he can explain why what I'm doing is bad and and and maybe he's right I challenge I challenge him to a spacers sounds good yeah
马斯克突然想到一个主意,他要邀请亚历山大·德·莫赖斯法官(Judge Alexander R)一起进行Spaces对话,让他解释为什么马斯克做的事情是错的,也许他是对的,他向法官发起挑战。
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but what about when you make when you when you make decisions how how important is speed and how do you how do you balance analysis with your gutfield
主持人将话题拉回,问做决策时速度有多重要,以及如何平衡分析和直觉。
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I think the the the best offense and defense is speed if you think of something like the SR71 Blackbird it really had almost no defenses except accelerate and it was never shut down even once like I think over 3,000 missiles were shot at the SR71 blackb and non hit and and really what it did was just go faster so the the power of speed is uh underappreciated as a competitive Dimension
马斯克认为,最好的进攻和防御就是速度。他以SR-71黑鸟(SR-71 Blackbird:一种美国空军的超音速战略侦察机)为例,它几乎没有防御能力,除了加速。它从未被击落过,尽管有超过3000枚导弹射向它,但无一命中,因为它只是飞得更快。所以,速度的力量作为一种竞争维度被低估了。
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um is that why um you know Space X expenence has been so successful because you've been mean and lean as an organization and fast think speed speed is uh definitely a factor
主持人问,这就是SpaceX如此成功的原因吗?因为它是一个精简、快速的组织。马斯克认为速度绝对是一个因素。
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now I should say you want to go in the case of a company you you need to be a vector not a scaler so it can't be you need to go at high speed in the right direction
但他强调,对于一家公司来说,你需要成为一个“矢量”而不是“标量”,这意味着你需要以高速朝着正确的方向前进。
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sure so can I just so and no company's going to be going in the right direction all the time you have to do course Corrections like a guided missile you qued course Corrections
没有公司能一直朝着正确的方向前进,你需要像制导导弹一样进行航向修正。
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um and uh but in the case of SpaceX it's like okay our goal is to extend Humanity beyond Earth um and we didn't even know how to even frame the question correctly like what what which knew that that was the General goal
以SpaceX为例,他们的目标是将人类扩展到地球之外。他们甚至不知道如何正确地提出问题,只知道这是一个总体目标。
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um we didn't know what pent we' use or what the raw materials would be or for the how would the rocket be built how would it be designed what's actually important
他们不知道会使用什么推进剂,什么原材料,火箭如何建造,如何设计,以及什么才是真正重要的。
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um and uh you know so for example going from our Falcon architecture which is um uses refined jet fuel and liquid oxygen um in a um open cycle gas generator architecture engine to a to Starship which is a uh liquid methane liquid oxygen um uh propellant uh in a staged combustion very high pressure engine um that that that's that's a big architectural change
例如,从使用精炼喷气燃料和液氧的“猎鹰”架构(Falcon architecture:SpaceX早期火箭设计,使用煤油和液氧作为推进剂)的开式循环燃气发生器架构发动机,转向使用液态甲烷和液氧推进剂的分级燃烧高压发动机的星舰(Starship),这是一个巨大的架构变化。
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um but we didn't know that we we needed to make that architectural change until we're pretty far down the road like about halfway took us about 10 years to figure out that was even the right architecture now we're confident it is
但他们直到项目进行到一半,大约花了十年时间才发现需要进行这种架构改变,现在他们确信这是正确的架构。
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um just um we were on um uh risk-taking and so on I think SpaceX is one of the best example I know about uh what we call failing well right learning from mistakes and moving on
主持人提到,SpaceX在风险承担方面是一个很好的例子,他们善于“失败得好”,从错误中学习并继续前进。
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um what generally how do you how do you look at mistakes well I mean which which ones do you tolerate and which ones don't you tolerate
他问马斯克如何看待错误,以及哪些错误可以容忍,哪些不能。
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well I I I think I don't really think of that way uh you know the first three flights of SpaceX failed um the fourth one succeeded
马斯克表示他不会那样看待问题。SpaceX的前三次飞行都失败了,第四次才成功。
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and if if the fourth one had not succeeded we would have gone bankrupt we would have had no money left so it was a very close call
如果第四次也失败了,他们就会破产,没有钱了,所以那是一次非常惊险的经历。
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um but since then space has done very well it's now the the Falcon 9 you know knock on wood is the most reliable rocket in the world um and launches about every um two to three days now um
但从那时起,SpaceX发展得非常好,现在猎鹰9号(Falcon 9:SpaceX开发的可重复使用两级入轨运载火箭)是世界上最可靠的火箭,现在大约每两到三天发射一次。
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last question on risk what are the types of risk you would not want to take
主持人问,有哪些风险是他不愿意承担的?
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uh well I I think in in terms of risks you don't you you don't want to take risks that where if if you only want to take bet the company risks if they're absolutely necessary
马斯克认为,你只应该在绝对必要时才承担“赌上公司命运”的风险。
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so there have been a few times where saying the T with Tesla we we just had no choice but to V the company because if if we're in if we're doing a new vehicle program that is uh in order of magnitude larger than the past one then we're by we're just unequivocally betting the company because the new vehicle would be 90% of production
在特斯拉,有几次他们别无选择,只能赌上公司命运,因为如果他们正在进行的新车型项目比之前的规模大一个数量级,那么他们无疑是在赌上公司,因为新车型将占到生产的90%。
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so going from uh the original Roadster to the model S original Roadster was only you know about 600 6 700 per year then Model S was 20,000 per year and um and then model 3 is sort of half sort of half a million per year um model y over a million per year so these are all bet the company vehicles
例如,从最初的Roadster(Roadster:特斯拉的第一款电动跑车)每年600-700辆,到Model S(Model S:特斯拉生产的全尺寸豪华电动轿车)每年2万辆,再到Model 3(Model 3:特斯拉生产的紧凑型豪华电动轿车)每年50万辆,以及Model Y(Model Y:特斯拉生产的紧凑型电动SUV)每年超过100万辆,这些都是“赌上公司命运”的车型。
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but the the the reason we could do for example a Cybertruck which was kind of a a radical new design was because it wasn't a bet the company decision
但他们能够推出Cybertruck(Cybertruck:特斯拉推出的电动皮卡)这种激进的新设计,是因为它不是一个“赌上公司命运”的决策。
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so I was like okay look let's try something I want to try something totally crazy uh it's like what what truck would Blade Runner Drive um except the when you're going to drive on was yeah I think it would be perfect for Ms um but like we could try something that where there's some chance that people might not like it um but it's it's radical and new and it's aesthetically aesthetically it's not derivative it doesn't look anything else on the road um whereas all the other sort of pickup trucks look like vague copies of one another
所以他觉得可以尝试一些完全疯狂的东西,比如《银翼杀手》(Blade Runner)会开什么样的卡车。它可能不被所有人喜欢,但它激进、新颖,在美学上不是模仿品,与路上其他任何车辆都不同,而其他皮卡看起来都像是彼此的模糊复制品。
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um they we could afford to take a chance on failure and say like and talk it up to you know well we tried you know we try to do something interesting but but actually by the way Cybertruck's doing great um so
他们可以承担失败的风险,并说“我们尝试了一些有趣的东西”。顺便说一句,Cybertruck目前表现出色。
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uh but one of the things that I think is important for Innovation is that you do accept failure like like necessarily you have to always look at the incentive structure of an organization and say um you know is is is that is that organization properly incenting Innovation
他认为,对于创新而言,接受失败非常重要。你必须审视一个组织的激励结构,并问这个组织是否正确地激励了创新。
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um and in with if you do Innovation you're necessarily going to Uncharted Territory so they going to be some mistakes they're going to be some failures
如果你进行创新,就必然会进入未知领域,所以肯定会有一些错误和失败。
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um and you have you have to like like actually like for for SpaceX uh rocket engine development like I keep telling the team look if we're not occasionally blowing up an engine on the test stand we're not trying hard enough you know um absolutely absolutely
你必须接受它们。例如,在SpaceX的火箭发动机开发中,他一直告诉团队:“如果我们不偶尔在测试台上炸毁一台发动机,那说明我们还不够努力。”
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how important are the P how important is research and phds and that kind of stuff think I've said seen somewhere you you think most phds are useless
主持人问,研究和博士学位有多重要?他听说马斯克认为大多数博士学位是无用的。
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well I think most PhD thesis are useless which I think is actually objectively true if you look at how many PhD you look at all how many phds are created every year and how many of those papers are actually used in anything yeah um then objectively most PhD TCS are have very low utility or maybe zero um because nobody uses them um or so
马斯克认为大多数博士论文是无用的,从客观上看确实如此。如果你看看每年有多少博士学位被授予,以及这些论文中有多少真正被应用到任何实际事物中,那么客观上大多数博士论文的实用性非常低,甚至为零,因为没有人使用它们。
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once in a while you get something that is spectacular but it's pretty rare
偶尔你会看到一些出色的成果,但这非常罕见。
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perhaps something more useful um is in the book that you haven't read uh talks about your love for uh gaming in particular like stret IC ability gaming and I've been thinking quite a lot about it um what have you learned from from those games and have have that learning and wisdom been helpful when you have been planning your companies
主持人提到,也许更有用的是他还没读过的那本书中提到的,关于他热爱游戏,特别是策略游戏。他问马斯克从这些游戏中学到了什么,这些经验和智慧在规划公司时是否有帮助。
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yeah I it's hard to say exactly what I've learned from video games except that I I do like playing video games as if I want to take my mind off work I'll typically play a very hard video game
马斯克说很难确切地说他从电子游戏中具体学到了什么,但他确实喜欢玩电子游戏。如果他想放松一下,通常会玩一个非常难的电子游戏。
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such such as which one well over the years it's been many many different video games um so you know when I was a little kid I was like you know pong and little tank games and things and um
主持人问是哪种游戏,马斯克说多年来玩过很多不同的游戏,小时候玩过《Pong》和坦克游戏等。
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but if you take a game like for example civilization it's actually quite a good um it tells you how how civilizations are formed like I remember I remember playing the original civilization with the technology tree and and how you invent different things you'd like invent literacy and uh you know invent democracy and invent gun gunpowder all all these things that like and you start to realize oh wow there's there are stages to technology like you can't um you know you can't actually get to democracy without literacy
但他提到像《文明》(Civilization)这样的游戏,它很好地展示了文明是如何形成的。他记得玩《文明》初代时,有科技树,以及你如何发明不同的东西,比如文字、民主、火药等。你会意识到技术发展是有阶段的,例如,没有文字就无法实现民主。
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um and um you know so there's these these stages of of Technology development or stages of ideas that uh you know that's that's a helpful framework for a company
所以,技术发展或思想发展都有这些阶段,这对于公司来说是一个有用的框架。
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um and I guess in in in like like I say in recent years there there's a game I played that was um actually developed in Sweden called polyopia which is actually quite a good game
他提到近年来玩过一款在瑞典开发的名为《Polytopia》(Polytopia:一款瑞典开发的策略游戏)的游戏,他觉得非常好玩。
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um like a lot of people like playing chess but I think chess is not a not a great um there's not a lot of transfer learning from chess to the real world because in chess you've got only 64 squares uh it's a setpiece battle same pieces every time there are no terrain differences uh there's no technology tree uh there's no fog of War
许多人喜欢下棋,但他认为国际象棋对现实世界的“迁移学习”效果不佳,因为国际象棋只有64个格子,是固定棋盘的战斗,每次都是相同的棋子,没有地形差异,没有科技树,也没有战争迷雾。
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um but say a game like polyopia has all of those things uh random terrain generation uh you know the differences in attack and defense bonuses depending on what type of terrain um you've got 16 tribes I think each with different abilities um you've got a a a technology tree that you can choose to develop in different ways uh and you've got of course fog of War
但像《Polytopia》这样的游戏则拥有所有这些元素:随机地形生成,根据地形类型有不同的攻击和防御加成,有16个拥有不同能力的部落,有可以以不同方式发展的科技树,当然还有战争迷雾。
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um so that I think is much more much closer to reality yeah yeah um so I think politopia I mean I I was I was playing Diablo uh for a while pretty fun um
他认为这更接近现实。他还玩过一段时间的《暗黑破坏神》(Diablo),觉得很有趣。
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Diablo as high levels gets very complicated they you could call it like a a spreadsheet with a game attached um so so that's that's and I briefly got the the for about a day the world record in this avire of zir on on a four-person team of of clearing the the hardest level um which was you know not bad for someone who's like 53 basically will be 53 soon
《暗黑破坏神》在高等级时变得非常复杂,可以称之为附带游戏的电子表格。他曾在一个四人团队中,在“Zir的深渊”中创造了世界纪录,清除了最难的关卡,虽然只保持了一天,但对于一个即将53岁的人来说,这已经很不错了。
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um there is still some uh twitch element to it and um it's hard to beat kids at games with a twitch element um but yeah I like uh I find these games interesting if you can be fully immersed in a game
这些游戏仍然有一些“反应速度”的元素,在需要快速反应的游戏中很难击败年轻人。但他喜欢这些游戏,如果能完全沉浸其中,会觉得很有趣。
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some last questions here um as you know we are big shareholders and uh made a a lot of money uh on our investment o okay I can hear you here okay good sounds good good to go sorry I can you I think everyone can hear me let's see thumbs up if you can hear me let's try again okay okay sounds good sounds good
主持人提到他们是特斯拉的大股东,并从中赚了很多钱。中间出现了一些声音问题,但很快解决了。
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um now um what is the score now of in terms of the Union in Sweden and the collective bargaining actually I I think uh I think the storm has passed on that front I think things are in reasonably good shape in Sweden um so uh yeah I think things are good um yeah overall yeah I feel pretty good about the future I mean you know there's going to be bumpy quarters from you know here and there but I think the long-term future of Tesla is extremely strong uh for example um yeah I'm I'm back on just so um yeah we met with uh we met with your chair last month so we we have some update but any any of view on it why are you why why are you skeptical to colletive I was playing with a soundboard here wo hello hello hello yeah last question for me um sorry I didn't hear the answer here because I was out but um we have covered this with with your chair but just a last question here what do you want your legacy to be
主持人询问瑞典工会和集体谈判的情况。马斯克认为这方面的风暴已经过去,瑞典的情况相当不错。他总体上对未来感觉良好,虽然会有一些季度起伏,但他认为特斯拉的长期未来非常强劲。主持人再次尝试询问他对集体谈判的看法,但马斯克似乎在玩音效板,没有直接回答。
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I I don't I don't mind if uh my legacy is accurate or inaccurate uh provided that I I dive feeling that I've done the right thing for the future of Consciousness so just trying to trying to have this SL of Consciousness last as long as possible and maybe understand more about the nature of the universe or simulation or whatever this is
主持人最后问,他希望自己的遗产是什么?马斯克回答说,他不在乎自己的遗产是否准确,只要他死时觉得自己为意识的未来做了正确的事情就好。他只是想让意识尽可能长久地存在,并可能更多地了解宇宙的本质,或者我们所处的模拟世界,或者这到底是什么。
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so um I have a philos philosophy of curiosity which is to understand the understand the universe understand the nature of the universe um or even what questions to ask kind of like that I would say I would subscribe to the Douglas Adams hus guys of the Galaxy School of philosophy that we're trying to understand what questions to ask about the answer that is the universe
他秉持着一种好奇心哲学,即理解宇宙,理解宇宙的本质,甚至知道该问什么问题。他认为自己认同道格拉斯·亚当斯(Douglas Adams:英国著名科幻小说作家,代表作《银河系漫游指南》)的《银河系漫游指南》(The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy:道格拉斯·亚当斯的经典科幻小说系列)哲学流派,即我们正在努力理解关于宇宙这个答案,我们应该提出什么问题。
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okay I think that's a good place to end um for sure the life on this planet would have been been a lot more boring without you I'm I'm glad to it up a little totally all right well good talking bye take care now all right bye thanks bye
主持人表示这是一个很好的结束点,并肯定地说,没有马斯克,这个星球上的生活会无聊得多。马斯克表示同意,并道别。
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bye
📌 文中提及的人物和组织
人物: Elon Musk, Walter Isaacson, George Washington
公司/组织: Norges Bank Investment Management, Google, Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, Nvidia
产品/模型: GPT-4, Gemini, Starship, Falcon 9, Model S, Model 3, Model Y, Cybertruck
媒体/书籍: In Good Company, Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, Civilization, Polytopia, Diablo