策略性临在:美伊日内瓦和谈与地缘政治的脆弱平衡
在美伊宣布达成脆弱的60天停火协议(60-day ceasefire: 双方于一周前宣布的暂缓敌对状态的协议)一周后,双方在瑞士日内瓦湖畔的度假胜地结束了首轮和平谈判,试图将战争的暂停转化为持久的和平。美国代表团由副总统詹姆斯·戴维·万斯(JD Vance)率领,他强调总统的要求是“翻开新篇章,改变我们与伊朗人民的关系,并伸出合作之手”。而伊朗方面则派出了极具分量的代表,包括其议长(一位掌控战争中伊朗军队的关键准将)以及外交部长阿巴斯·阿拉格齐(Abbas Aragchi)。阿拉格齐联手在十年前奥巴马政府时期达成的伊朗核协议中发挥了关键作用,被美方谈判代表称为“极其强硬的谈判者”。
尽管首轮谈判定位为“技术性谈判的开始”,且未解决包括对伊制裁(Sanctions: 国际社会或特定国家对伊朗实施的经济和贸易限制)和核计划(Nuclear program)在内的最棘手问题,但调解人指出谈判取得了一些令人鼓舞的进展。这包括建立了一条临时通信线路,以确保船只安全通过霍尔木兹海峡(Strait of Hormuz),以及减少黎巴嫩境内冲突的新努力。目前,以色列与伊朗支持的黎巴嫩真主党(Hezbollah: 黎巴嫩境内由伊朗支持的什叶派穆斯林政党及军事组织)之间的冲突仍是威胁停火协议的众多潜在导火索之一。
然而,地缘政治的系统反馈极其复杂。唐纳德·特朗普总统在周末对伊朗发出了新的威胁,这与万斯副总统“翻开新篇章”的表态形成了鲜明对比。特朗普在接受福克斯新闻采访时直言不讳地表示,停火协议到期后他“想干什么就干什么”。这种高层政策的不确定性为和平前景蒙上了阴影。目前,虽然伊朗高官已启程返回德黑兰,但技术性讨论仍在瑞士继续。
Original English
From the New York Times, it's the headlines. I'm Will Jarvis in for Tracy Mumford. Today's Monday, June 22nd. Here's what we're covering. What the president has asked us to do is turn over a new leaf, to transform our relationship with the people of Iran, and to extend an outstretched hand. Last night, Iran and the US wrapped up their first round of negotiations over how to turn a pause in the war into a lasting peace.
What today really represents is the beginning of a technical negotiation that's not going to solve every disagreement, but is going to allow us to sit together. Vice President JD Vance led the US delegation in the talks, which were held at a lakeside resort in Switzerland. Meanwhile, Iran is being represented by the country's speaker of parliament, a brigadier general who is a key figure overseeing Iranian forces in the war along with the country's foreign minister, Abbas Aragchi. Arachi played a big role in the nuclear deal Iran struck with the Obama administration about a decade ago, and the leader of the US side in those talks called him a quote very tough negotiator. Coming out of the negotiations this weekend, some of the thorniest issues, including sanctions on Iran and the country's nuclear program, remain unresolved. But mediators said there was some encouraging progress that included a temporary line of communication to help ensure the safe passage of ships through the straight of Hormuz along with what they described as a new effort to wind down the fighting in Lebanon. The conflict there between Israel and the Iranbacked militia Hezbollah is one of many potential trip wires that could threaten the fragile 60-day ceasefire between Iran and the US that was announced a week ago. Another factor that could complicate things is President Trump, who issued new threats against Iran this weekend, even as Vance was talking about turning over a new leaf. Trump told Fox News that after the ceasefire expires, he can do quote whatever I want. As of this morning, it's not clear exactly what the next steps in the peace talks will be. According to Iranian state media, the country's top officials are now on their way back to Thran, but more technical discussions are continuing in Switzerland.
资本重构与系统失效:华盛顿反思池的承包争议与逮捕风波
作为特朗普总统重塑国家首都的核心工程之一,位于华盛顿国家广场的反思池(Reflecting Pool: 华盛顿国家广场内标志性的长方形景观水池)正面临严重的退化问题。该水池数十年来一直饱受漏水和藻类暴发的困扰。今年早些时候,政府以无竞标合同(No-bid contracts: 未经公开招标直接授予特定企业的政府合同)的形式将翻修工程交给了两家公司。其中一家负责重新粉刷池底的公司与特朗普有千丝万缕的联系;另一家负责水质净化系统的公司,其控制人则是一位住在马阿拉歌庄园(Mar-a-Lago)旁的特朗普捐赠者。
然而,在这两家公司完工后不久,系统的工程反馈却极具讽刺性:藻类迅速卷土重来,池水变得如浓汤般翠绿,池底新刷的油漆甚至开始大片剥落并漂浮到水面上。面对翻修工程的失败,特朗普总统在周末宣称这是由“暴徒”蓄意破坏造成的,但该说法并无实际证据支持。
在这场风波中,一位三次参加奥运会的退役运动员在骑车经过时,仅仅因为好奇停下脚步并弯腰触摸了一块剥落的油漆碎片,便被美国公园警察当场逮捕,并被控以“破坏政府财产”罪。他无奈地向媒体表示:“我想我是在错误的时间出现在了错误的地点。”截至目前,白宫和美国公园警察局均未对此事发表评论。特朗普在社交媒体上透露,他已于周六与承包商会面讨论反思池现状,由于问题过于严重,该水池可能不得不进行局部排水以重新维修。
Original English
On the National Mall, the reflecting pool, one of the key pieces of President Trump's effort to remodel the nation's capital, is rapidly deteriorating. The pool has suffered from leaks and algae blooms for decades. And earlier this year, the administration gave two companies no bid contracts to carry out renovations. One was for a firm with ties to Trump, which repainted the bottom of the pool, and the other company, which worked on the water purification system, is directly connected to a Trump donor who lives next to Mara Lago. But since the company's finished their work, the algae has returned, turning the pool soupy and green. and large chunks of the new paint have started floating to the surface. Over the weekend, President Trump claimed without evidence that vandals had caused the problems. And the Times spoke to one man who was arrested. He's a three-time Olympian who said he just stopped by to have a look at the pool during a bike ride, reaching down to touch a bit of the peeling paint when he was taken into custody and charged with destroying government property. He said, quote, "I guess I was there at the wrong place, wrong time." The White House and US Park Police did not respond to requests for comment. On social media, Trump said he'd met with contractors on Saturday to discuss the state of the reflecting pool and that the problems had become so severe that the pool would likely have to be at least partially drained for repairs.
执政困境与权力交接:基尔·斯塔默的辞职与工党危机
英国首相基尔·斯塔默(Keir Starmer)今日在伦敦正式宣布辞去工党领袖及首相职务,并表示将竭尽全力确保政权的有序交接。斯塔默在2024年带领偏左翼的工党赢得大选,并执掌政权,但那场选举在当时被媒体和分析家普遍嘲讽为一场**“无爱的压倒性胜利”**(Loveless landslide: 选民因对对手绝望而非出于对获胜方的热爱而带来的大胜)。
在随后的执政期间,斯塔默内阁深陷于英国经济停滞、政府债台高筑、国防与公共医疗系统长期资金匮乏等多重系统性危机中。与此同时,英国社会还面临着不断高涨的反移民民粹主义(Anti-immigrant populism)浪潮。在这一动荡的社会背景下,斯塔默本人的决策风格被公众和党内议员指责为软弱与优柔寡断。各大民意调查显示,斯塔默的公众支持率已跌至冰点,成为英国现代历史上最不受欢迎的首相之一。
关于权力交接的进展,斯塔默的继任者最快可能在下个月选出。目前最热门的候选人是前大曼彻斯特市长安迪·伯纳姆(Andy Burnham)。虽然伯纳姆同样隶属于工党,但党内许多议员和分析人士认为,相比斯塔默,伯纳姆更具个人魅力和亲和力,有望为当前的英国政坛注入新的活力。正如一位政治专家在接受《纽约时报》采访时风趣地评价道:“即使香肠的原料无法改变,伯纳姆至少也能让煎锅发出令人期待的滋滋声(add some sizzle)。”
Original English
Again, every decision I've taken has been about putting the country I love first. That is why I will resign as leader of the Labour Party.
In London this morning, the British Prime Minister Kier Starmer announced his resignation and I will do everything I can to ensure an orderly handover of power. Starmer took the post in 2024 after the left-leaning Labor Party won an election that was dubbed a loveless landslide. Since then, the party has struggled to deal with economic stagnation, government debt, and underfunded defense and health care systems, and the country has faced a growing wave of anti-immigrant populism. Against that backdrop, Starmer was increasingly seen as weak and indecisive. Polls showed he was one of the least popular prime ministers in modern British history. Now, he could be replaced as soon as next month with his most likely successor being Andy Burnham, the former mayor of Greater Manchester. Bernham is also a member of Labor, but many lawmakers in the party think he's more authentic and charismatic than Starmer and would be able to bring new energy to British politics. One political expert told the Times that quote, "If the sausage isn't going to change, Burnham might at least add some sizzle.
车辆巨型化的代价:美国SUV与皮卡潮流下的行人致命危机
在过去几十年中,美国的道路安全状况曾持续改善,但这一趋势在2009年前后发生了戏剧性的逆转。自那时起,美国的行人死亡率(Pedestrian fatality rates)飙升了近80%。这一增长趋势在发达国家中是独一无二的,其他国家并未出现类似的激增,这表明仅仅用“智能手机普及导致分心驾驶”等理由无法合理解释全局。
《纽约时报》调查记者迈克尔·凯勒(Michael Keller)通过长期追踪指出,美国消费者对大型皮卡和多用途运动汽车(SUV: Sport Utility Vehicle,兼具乘用车舒适性与越野车空间的多功能车型)的狂热偏好是导致行人死亡人数暴增的关键系统性因素。凯勒的研究团队深入分析了近十年的事故记录、汽车结构图纸,并利用碰撞测试假人进行了视觉仿真模拟。
模拟实验表明,两类车辆在物理结构上的差异决定了不同的系统反馈:
- 轿车碰撞机制:当行人被传统轿车撞击时,受力点通常在行人重心的下方(即下肢),这会将行人向上抛起撞向引擎盖和挡风玻璃,客观上起到了缓冲作用。
- 大型车碰撞机制:而当行人被引擎盖较高的SUV或皮卡撞击时,受力点位于重心上方,行人会直接被猛烈地击倒在地,甚至被直接卷入车底碾压。
此外,引擎盖高度(Hood height)并非唯一的隐患。为了支撑更大车身的重量并保护车内乘客的安全,汽车制造商不得不加厚A柱及挡风玻璃框架(Vehicle frame: 汽车支撑车身结构并保障碰撞安全的金属框架),这直接导致驾驶员的盲区(Blind spots)严重恶化。在许多左转弯场景中,加宽的框架会彻底遮挡住行人的身影。
时报团队估算,如果美国目前的汽车尺寸能保持在二十年前的水平,每年至少可以挽救400名行人的生命。然而,由于大型车辆是当前汽车制造商的核心利润来源,汽车行业在回应质疑时更倾向于将责任归咎于美国的道路设计缺陷,并声称未来的行人检测避撞技术将解决这一安全问题。
Original English
For decades, American roads were steadily getting safer for pedestrians. But around 2009, the trend reversed. And since then, pedestrian fatality rates have increased by nearly 80%. And that increase is unique to the United States. Other countries haven't seen a similar surge, suggesting that possible culprits like the rise of smartphones don't tell the whole story. So, what happened? Michael Keller is an investigative reporter at the Times. He says that Americans taste for big trucks and SUVs may be killing pedestrians as more and more people trade in their sedans for larger vehicles. As part of the Times investigation, Michael and his team poured through accident records and car schematics, crunched nearly a decade's worth of data, and built visual simulations of crashes with dummies. When hit by a sedan, the dummy is first struck in its lower body below its center of gravity, sending it over the hood and often onto the windshield. In contrast, when the dummy's hit by the truck, it's hit above its center of gravity. It's knocked violently to the ground and is dragged under the vehicle. And that difference in hood heights can result in two wildly different types of crashes and injuries. The result of being hit by a vehicle with a taller hood is that you're more likely to have serious injury or more likely to be killed. Michael says that hood height is not the only problem. As vehicles have gotten bigger and heavier, manufacturers have made their frames thicker to support that weight and keep people inside safe. But that has made blind spots worse. In some cases, way worse, with the bigger frame around the windshield completely blocking pedestrians from view during left-hand turns. Taking all this into account, my colleagues estimated that if today's vehicles were roughly the same size as they were two decades ago, up to 400 pedestrian lives would be saved each year in the US. In response to questions from the Times, automakers said blaming larger vehicles for pedestrian deaths overlooks other issues like the design of American roads. And they said that new technology designed to detect and avoid pedestrians would help improve safety. For the full investigation, including how car companies are now making nearly all their profits from bigger vehicles, go to ny times.com.
情景喜剧大师逝世:詹姆斯·巴罗斯与“家庭”纽带的喜剧美学
被誉为“情景喜剧界的史蒂文·斯皮尔伯格”的美国电视情景喜剧(Sitcom: 情境喜剧,通常在固定场景内进行并配有现场观众的幽默剧集)大师詹姆斯·巴罗斯(James Burrows,媒体常称其为 Jimmy Burrows)于今日逝世,享年85岁。巴罗斯一生曾斩获11项艾美奖,并执导了超过一千集电视节目,包括《干杯酒吧》(Cheers)、《威尔与格蕾丝》(Will & Grace)、《老友记》(Friends)及《欢乐一家亲》(Frasier)等家喻户晓的经典之作。
作为百老汇剧作家的儿子,巴罗斯最早在剧场开启了自己的职业生涯。随后他敏锐地意识到,由于情景喜剧在本质上就是“在摄像机镜头前演出的短剧”,他可以将舞台剧导演的调度技巧无缝移植到电视领域。1980年代初期,由他联合创作的、以波士顿一家“人人熟知你名字”的酒吧为背景的喜剧《干杯酒吧》风靡全美,他几乎执导了该剧全部275集,包括其创下美国电视史上收视纪录的最终大结局。
他的同僚和《纽约时报》文化记者亚历克西斯·索洛斯基(Alexis Soloski)指出,巴罗斯的核心才华在于其对幽默感无与伦比的精准掌控。他在排练时便会大笑,以帮助演员和编剧预判观众的反应。他对画面调度和人体空间定位有着极度敏锐的直觉,能够一眼看出哪一次拍摄能让笑点完美落地。更重要的是,他擅长培养演员之间的默契,将一个个独立的演员塑造成群戏默契组合(Ensemble: 强调整体配合、淡化单一主角的演员阵容)。在巴罗斯看来,尽管他执导的《出租车》(Taxi)、《广播新闻》(NewsRadio)以及《干杯酒吧》表面上是职场情景喜剧(Workplace sitcom),但其内核绝非关于工作,而是关于“家庭”的构建。他的创作初衷是在镜头内外为人们创造出彼此温暖的“拟态家庭”。
Original English
And finally,
I do laugh when I'm in rehearsal because it helps them know where the audience is going to laugh and where the writers are going to laugh. James Burroughs, a master of the TV sitcom and the director behind many of America's most famous shows like Cheers and Will and Grace, has died at 85. Known as the Steven Spielberg of sitcoms, Burroughs won 11 Emmys and directed more than a thousand episodes of TV. This is everybody. This is Chandler and Phoebe and Joey. And you remember my brother Ross? Sure. He worked on everything from Friends to Frasier. Look at me. Look at me. I'm a nervous wreck. I got to do something to calm down. Double espresso, please. The son of a Broadway playwright, Burroughs got his start in the theater before realizing he could use his skills in TV since sitcoms were basically short plays in front of a camera. His career exploded in the early 1980s when he helped create a sitcom about a bar in Boston where everybody knows your name. Afternoon everybody. How you doing, Norm? What do you know? Not enough. He directed almost all 275 episodes of Cheers, including its last ever, which was one of the most watched finales in TV history. What's most remarkable about Jimmy Burroughs was that he had impeccable taste in terms of what was funny. When he looked at a page, he could tell what would get laughs. And when he was in the room shooting, he could tell the take that would work. He could tell where the body should be in space for the joke to land. My colleague Alexis Salowski is a culture reporter for the Times. She says beyond his natural instinct for comedy, Burroughs also had a gift for nurturing actors and turning individuals into ensembles. Part of his genius was that on the surface it seemed like he worked on a lot of workplace sitcoms. Cheers is a workplace sitcom. Taxi is a workplace sitcom. News Radio, one of my favorites, that's a workplace sitcom. But his idea was that no, these aren't workplace shows. These are family shows. And that is what he felt he did. He felt that he made families. Those are the headlines. Today on the daily, a look at the growing movement in the US to deprescribe and get patients off of anti-depressants. You can listen to that in the New York Times app or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Will Jarvis. The headlines will be back tomorrow with Tracy Mumford.
📌 文中提及的人物和组织
公司/组织: The New York Times