普拉特纳退选危机
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 读者们好,我是来自《纽约时报》的迈克尔·巴巴罗。这里是《每日新闻》(The Daily)。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: From New York Times, I'm Michael Barbaro. This [music] is The Daily.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 今天,格雷厄姆·普拉特纳(Graham Platner)竞选美国联邦参议员的活动面临崩溃,民主党内部就谁来接替他在选票上的位置展开了争夺,这也暴露了民主党内部的身份认同危机。我与我的两位同事——国家政治记者莉萨·勒勒(Lisa Lerer)和谢恩·戈德马赫(Shane Goldmacher)进行了交谈。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Today, the implosion of Graham Platner's [music] campaign for US Senate, the battle over who should replace him on the ballot, and the identity [music] crisis it has laid bare inside the Democratic Party. I spoke with two of my colleagues, national political correspondents [music] Lisa Lerer and Shane Goldmacher.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 今天是7月8日,星期三。莉萨、谢恩,感谢你们在这一重大且仍在发生的新闻事件中抽空前来。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: It's Wednesday, July 8th. [music] Lisa and Shane, thank you for making time in the middle of a very big, very live story.
莉萨·勒勒: 谢谢邀请我们。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: Thanks for having us.
谢恩·戈德马赫: 是的,谢谢你。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: Yeah, thank you.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 我们大概是在周二下午4点半进行这次录音的。我需要让听众们知道准确的谈话时间,因为这是一个随时都在发生变化的动态新闻。但就目前而言,格雷厄姆·普拉特纳退选——退出他在缅因州代表民主党竞选美国参议员的活动,似乎只是时间问题,而不是会不会的问题。这场竞选和这个席位可能会决定今年秋季整个参议院的控制权,这显然会带来各种深远影响,包括总统特朗普在第二任期余下时间里的施政日程。我关于“时间问题而非是否退选”的判断准确吗?
Original English
Michael Barbaro: We are talking to you around 4:30 p.m. on Tuesday, and I want to let listeners know exactly when we're talking because this is a story that's changing a lot hour by hour. But at this very moment, it pretty much appears that it's a question of when rather than if Graham Platner ends his Democratic campaign for US Senate in Maine, which is a race and a seat that could determine the overall control of the entire Senate this fall, which obviously has all kinds of implications, including the fate of President Trump's agenda for the rest of his second term. Do I have that when not if calculation correct?
谢恩·戈德马赫: 目前看来完全正确。基本上没有任何主要的民主党人士或团体仍在积极支持格雷厄姆·普拉特纳。自这项指控公开以来,没有任何人站出来为他说话。事实上,那些曾经最支持他的人,最著名的比如伯尼·桑德斯(Bernie Sanders),今天也公开表示:“是他该让路的时候了。”
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: That seems exactly right at this point. There are basically no major Democratic individuals or groups that are still actively supporting Graham Platner. There's been nobody who has spoken up for him since this allegation, and in fact, the people most supportive of him, probably most notably including Bernie Sanders, today came out and said, "It's time for him to step aside."
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 莉萨,能帮我盘点一下在过去一天左右的时间里,有哪些人对格雷厄姆·普拉特纳说“结束了”吗?
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Just catalog for me, Lisa, some of the people who have in the past day or so told Garam Platner, "It's over."
莉萨·勒勒: 我们谈论的对象包括从缅因州民主党党部、缅因州参议院领袖、他们的州长提名人,到参议院民主党领袖查克·舒默(Chuck Schumer)、控制参议院竞选委员会的参议员基尔斯滕·吉利布兰德(Kirsten Gillibrand),再到扎卡里·蒙丹(Zakary Mondaine)以及伊丽莎白·沃伦(Elizabeth Warren)。因此,这种态度横跨了整个民主党。虽然民主党在策略或政策上很少能达成一致,但在这个问题上——也就是格雷厄姆·普拉特纳必须退出竞选,大家似乎达成了高度共识。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: We're talking about everybody from the main Democratic Party to the head of the state Senate in Maine to their gubernatorial nominee to Senator Chuck Schumer, who's the head of Democrats in the Senate, to Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, who controls the Senate Campaign Committee, to Zakary Mondaine, to Elizabeth Warren. So, this was a sentiment that really went across a party that really doesn't agree on all that much when it comes to strategy or policy, but on this one issue that Garam Platner has to go, everyone seemed to agree.
谢恩·戈德马赫: 而且这不仅仅是人的问题,更关键的是资金。控制本场选举广告预算的组织已经明确表态:“如果普拉特纳继续担任提名人,我们将不再提供一分钱。”如果没有资金支持,就根本无法与手握数千万美元预算的共和党参议员苏珊·柯林斯(Susan Collins)竞争。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: And it wasn't just all the people, it was the money. The groups that control the money that was been reserved in ads in this race said, "No more money for Garam Platner if he is still the nominee." And if there's no money, there's no competing against Susan Collins who has tens of millions of dollars reserved already.
指控详情曝光
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 好的,莉萨,让我们来谈谈普拉特纳的竞选是如何走到今天这一危机节点的。你对这个故事比任何人都清楚,因为就在几周前,你和凯蒂·格鲁克(Katie Glueck)来到节目中,向大家讲述了你们的报道,那篇报道在很大程度上引发了这一切。你们当时在调查关于普拉特纳对待女性的指控,并且采访了他的几位前女友。自那以后,这个故事进一步发展,我想这才把我们带到了现在的时刻。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Okay, Lisa, let's talk about how the Platner campaign reached this crisis point. And you know this story almost better than anyone because a few weeks back, you and Katie Glueck came on the show to talk about the reporting you both did that in many ways started this all. You were looking at the allegations about Platner's treatment of women. You had spoken with several of his former girlfriends. That story has since evolved and gotten us, I think, to this moment.
莉萨·勒勒: 是的。当时我们采访了六位曾与格雷厄姆·普拉特纳交往过的女性。其中三位描述了令人不安的事件,有些时候对她们来说甚至构成了身体上的暴力或威胁。在我们采访过的一位名叫珍妮·拉斯科(Jenny Rascico)的女性(她是住在缅因州的民主党人)之后,她站出来提出了更具爆炸性的指控。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: Right. So, we had spoken to six women who had previously been in relationships with Garam Platner. Three of them described unsettling incidents that at times felt physically violent or menacing towards them. One of those women who we had spoken to, a woman named Jenny Rascico, who is a Democrat who lives in Maine, after we spoke to her, she came forward with much more explosive allegations.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 指控的具体内容是什么?
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Which were what?
莉萨·勒勒: 基本上,在接受 Politico 以及后来的 CNN 采访时,她表示格雷厄姆·普拉特纳曾对她实施了性侵犯。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: Basically, in interviews both with Politico and then CNN, she said that Graham Plater sexually assaulted her.
莉萨·勒勒: 事情发生在2021年底。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: Um, it was at the end of 2021.
莉萨·勒勒: 她说他们当时断断续续地交往了大约两年。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: She says that they were in a relationship for 2 years or so, on and off.
珍妮·拉斯科: 那天晚上我们正在发短信互动,他把我说的一些话当成了某种邀请。我当时明确说:“不,别过来。”但大约半小时后,我听到门外有动静,然后他就直接进来了。
Original English
Jenny Rascico: It was a night where him and I were texting back and forth, and he had taken something that I said as as an invitation. And I said, "No, don't come over." Like half an hour later, I heard a noise outside my door. And um then he he came in.
莉萨·勒勒: 他是不请自来,自己进到她家里的。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: He came over uninvited, let himself into her house.
珍妮·拉斯科: 那个时候我正躺在沙发上,时间可能已经很晚了,我已经准备好去睡觉了,只是还没躺到床上。我看着他,我记得他眼神里有一种非常异样的神色。我还能闻到酒味,当时我就觉得……
Original English
Jenny Rascico: As I was laying on the couch, it was probably pretty late at night, and I was getting I was already ready for bed. I just wasn't in bed. And I looked at him, and I remember this very specific look in his eyes. And I could smell alcohol, and I was like,
莉萨·勒勒: “这次情况不一样,他喝得酩酊大醉。”
Original English
Lisa Lerer: "This is different. He is heavily intoxicated."
莉萨·勒勒: 她说他开始爬到她身上,试图强行发生亲密行为。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: And she said he started climbing on top of her and trying to be intimate with her.
珍妮·拉斯科: 我记得一开始我的反应是:“嘿,我对这个没兴趣。我没有这个心情。快别这样。”
Original English
Jenny Rascico: And I remember [music] just at first being like, "Hey, I'm not into this. Like, don't I'm not in the mood. Like,
珍妮·拉斯科: 别碰我。
Original English
Jenny Rascico: don't."
莉萨·勒勒: 她说她让他停下来,明确说了不,但不论她怎么拒绝,他都继续强行推行。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: She says that she told him to stop and said no, no, but he kept going.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 他有没有可能认为这是双方自愿的?还是说绝无可能?
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Is there any way that he thought this was consensual or no? Just because
珍妮·拉斯科: 我不相信在那种情况下你会觉得是自愿的。我的意思是,当有人在过程中明确说出“别碰我”时,这显然就不是自愿。
Original English
Jenny Rascico: I don't believe that you can think that that scenario was consensual. I mean, when somebody in the middle of it says, "Don't touch me." Like,
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 是的。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Yeah.
珍妮·拉斯科: 那显然不是自愿的。
Original English
Jenny Rascico: that's obviously not consensual.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 她声称他强奸了她。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: She claims he raped her.
莉萨·勒勒: 没错,她声称自己被强奸了。其实她之前接受我们采访时,曾在公开记录里描述过普拉特纳一些鲁莽和令人不安的行为。但她当时也在非公开记录中向我们透露了一些内容,我们也遵守了当时的保密协定。她后来对 Politico 以及后来的 CNN 解释说,当时没有站出来公开指控这次性侵犯,是因为她不想在公众面前被贴上“强奸受害者”的标签。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: She claims he raped her. And you know, when she spoke to us earlier, she had described on the record what she called reckless and unsettling behavior by Graham Plater. But she also spoke to us off the record, and we honored that agreement. She has since told Politico and later CNN that she didn't go public with the specific assault at the time because she didn't want to be known as a rape victim.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 莉萨,格雷厄姆·普拉特纳对这个具体的指控作何回应?
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Lisa, what has Garamond Planter said about this specific allegation?
莉萨·勒勒: 他发布了一段回应视频。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: Well, he released a video.
格雷厄姆·普拉特纳: 我想直接对针对我的那些令人不安、严重且虚假的指控做出回应。
Original English
Graham Platner: I wanted to directly address the troubling, serious, and false allegations against me.
莉萨·勒勒: 他否认了这次性接触是非自愿的。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: And he denied that this sexual encounter was non-consensual.
格雷厄姆·普拉特纳: 任何指控我存在非自愿性行为的说法都纯属子虚乌有。
Original English
Graham Platner: Any accusation of non-consensual behavior is categorically false.
莉萨·勒勒: 他并没有否认接触行为本身,只是否定了那是性侵。但他确实也承认了这可能带来的政治后果。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: He didn't deny the encounter itself, just that it basically that it wasn't assault. But he did also acknowledge the potential political implications of this.
格雷厄姆·普拉特纳: 无论这些报道多么不准确,但考虑到其带来的政治现实,我们将花时间反思,寻找对我所热爱的这个州、我所深爱的人民、我所归属的运动以及击败苏珊·柯林斯这一目标最有利的前行道路。
Original English
Graham Platner: Regardless of the inaccuracy of the reporting, but mindful of the political reality will inflict, we are taking the time to reflect on the best path forward for the state that I love, the people that I love, the movement I belong to, and the goal of defeating Susan Collins.
莉萨·勒勒: 普拉特纳随后表示,他将从竞选活动中退后一步以作反思,这显然随后引发了党内要求他彻底退选的排山倒海般的呼声。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: And he said that he was taking a step back from his campaign to reflect, which then of course prompted the deluge of calls.
党内权力的博弈
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 好的。但谢恩,至少到目前为止,他还没有宣布退出竞选。因此,当整个党派都抛弃他并表示“你的竞选结束了”时,普拉特纳竞选阵营内部的谈话是什么样的?
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Right. But Shane, it did not prompt at least this hour him to leave the race. So as the entire party abandoned him and said, "Your campaign is over." What have the conversations been like inside the Planter campaign?
谢恩·戈德马赫: 我想你必须联系格雷厄姆·普拉特纳迄今为止经历过的其他风波来看待这件事。他曾被指控故意文上纳粹标志(他后来已经遮盖了该文身),被曝光在 Reddit 上的黑历史帖子(这在正常情况下足以毁掉一个候选人),以及之前围绕他与女性关系的各种指控。然而,他仍然赢得了民主党的初选。所以,是的,他表示要花时间进行反思,而莉萨和我的报道也都表明,他显然意识到了周围政治现实的严峻性。但他们竞选团队内部谈论的重点是,在他退出之后如何重塑竞选的格局。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: I think you have to put in context all the other things that Garamond Planter has survived so far, which is the accusation that he knowingly had a Nazi tattoo, a tattoo he has since had covered up, all of the Reddit posts that came out that would in normal circumstances potentially sink a candidate and even the previous questions about his relationships with women. And yet, he won the Democratic primary. So, yes, he said he was going to take time to reflect and both Lisa and I have done reporting that shows that he seems to be aware of the political reality around him, but the campaign's discussions are about shaping the field after his exit.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 这话怎么说?
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Meaning what?
谢恩·戈德马赫: 确保某个与他的意识形态运动相契合的人成为被提名者,防止民主党挑选出一个反对他观点的“建制派”圈内人。他的政治理念曾与伯尼·桑德斯以及左翼意识形态相呼应,主张扩大政府职能以支持工人阶级。因此,尽管深陷丑闻,他仍然希望在挑选继任者方面扮演关键角色。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: Making sure that somebody who is aligned with his ideological movement becomes the nominee, that the Democratic Party doesn't pick an insider who is opposed to his view that was aligned with Bernie Sanders and the sort of left-wing ideology that he was pushing to have an expansive view of government to help the working class. So, despite being engulfed in this scandal, he wants to play a big role in picking his replacement. Is that right? And is that a reasonable request?
莉萨·勒勒: 普拉特纳和他的团队认为自己拥有谈判筹码。他们的论点是,他们此前在全州各地举办的市政厅会议上动员了数以千计的缅因州选民,这些活动确实激发了民主党基层选民的热情。他们认为无论民主党的最终提名人是谁,要想在普选中获胜,民主党人都需要这些基层民众的选票。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: Well, he and his team believe they have leverage in this race. Their argument is that they were turning out thousands of Maine voters to these town hall meetings that he was having all over the state, that they really energized the base of the Democratic Party behind their bid, and that to win a general election, no matter who the Democratic nominee is, Democrats in Maine will need those people.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 嗯。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Mhm.
莉萨·勒勒: 但是,他到底能有多少真正的谈判筹码,依然是个未知数。毕竟,缅因州的民主党人真的会想去听取一个让他们陷入如此被动境地的人的建议吗?
Original English
Lisa Lerer: But, you know, it's an open question over how much leverage he really has. Like, do Maine Democrats want to be taking advice from someone who left them in this position?
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 谢恩,这到底会如何运作?假设格雷厄姆·普拉特纳确实退出了,他的继任者将如何被挑选出来?他本人又将在其中扮演怎样的角色?
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Shane, how exactly is this going to work? Assuming that Graham Plater does in fact leave the race, how is his replacement chosen? And what role would he play in that, exactly?
谢恩·戈德马赫: 我的意思是,不谈论时间限制是无法说清这个问题的。民主党和普拉特纳只有一周的时间将他的名字从选票上除掉,因为7月13日是他撤回提名的硬性截止日期,这样才能由另一名民主党人替换他。在面临强奸指控的同时,还试图在这场竞选中塑造自己的继承人,这的确是非常大胆的举动。但普拉特纳之所以能有这部分的筹码,正是因为这一截止日期的存在。因为在此之前他依然是提名人,如果他不退出,他就会一直留在选票上。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: I mean, yeah, I don't think you can talk about this without describing the timing, which is the Democratic Party and Graham Plater have 1 week to get him off the ballot because there's this hard deadline of July 13th for him to withdraw and be replaced on the ballot by a different Democrat. And it is a pretty audacious thing to say, "I'm being accused of rape and I'm going to try to shape my successor in this race." But to the extent that he does have leverage, it's because of this deadline. Because until then, he's the nominee and if he doesn't get out, he will remain the nominee.
谢恩·戈德马赫: 因为在理论上,他完全可以按兵不动,拒绝退出,这会让民主党过得极其痛苦。不过让我们先假设民主党正在与他进行协商,并试图找到一种各方都能接受的方式来挑选他的继任者。这可能是什么样子的?
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: Because he could in theory just sit there, not drop out, and make life very, very miserable for the Democratic Party. But let's just play with the idea that the party is going to maybe be in conversation with him and find some mutually agreeable way of picking his successor. What might that look like?
民主机制的探讨
莉萨·勒勒: 普拉特纳以及整个民主党更广泛层面所共同担忧的,是重蹈“拜登-哈里斯”式接替过程的覆辙。这在民主党的顾问、民选官员和选民的心理上留下了巨大的伤疤。那种权力交接过程在党内留下了持久的信任危机,甚至蔓延到了我们现在正处于的这场竞选中。因此,我认为大家确实意识到,需要让缅因州乃至全国的民主党选民感到他的继任者是通过某种形式的民主程序挑选出来的。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: Look, one of his concerns that I think is shared more broadly across the Democratic Party is the specter of the Biden-Harris replacement. That is major scar tissue in the Democratic psyche among consultants, among elected officials, among voters. How that process played out has left a lingering sense of distrust in the party that's, you know, really pervaded into the race we're in now. And so I think there is a real awareness of wanting to have main voters and really Democratic voters across the country feel that his successor was chosen by some form of democratic process.
谢恩·戈德马赫: 因为当年拜登让位给哈里斯时,普通的民主党选民几乎没有参与的机会。那更像是一种“烟雾缭绕的密室”(smoky backroom)权力妥协。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: Because when Biden yielded to Harris, there was no role for Democratic voters. It was kind of a smoky backroom situation.
莉萨·勒勒: 那确实是一场密室妥协。人们迅速站出来为哈里斯背书,她几乎顺理成章地成为了新的候选人。我认为这在党内留下了很多担忧和不信任,这也是为什么民主党至今仍在努力应对其品牌负面形象的部分原因,正如我们上月的民调所示,这可能会在今年的中期选举中伤害到他们。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: It was kind of a smoky backroom situation. You know, people came out and they endorsed Harris very, very quickly and she just sort of became the new nominee. And I think that just left a lot of concern and a lot of mistrust in the party and it's part of the reason the party has struggled still to this day with, you know, negative views of their brand, which, you know, as our poll showed last month, could potentially hurt them in these midterms.
谢恩·戈德马赫: 甚至可以说,这也是为什么像格雷厄姆·普拉特纳这样的候选人一开始能在竞选中表现得这么好的原因之一。选民对民主党建制派积累了太多的怨气与不信任。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: Quite arguably, it's one of the reasons why someone like Garam Platner did so well in this race to begin with. There's so much residual distrust of the Democratic establishment.
莉萨·勒勒: 是的。让我们简短讨论一下缅因州的具体政治生态:今年全国民主党曾试图介入缅因州的两场选举。一场是普拉特纳的参议院竞选,当时党内建制派支持了两任州长珍妮特·米尔斯(Janet Mills),但米尔斯的竞选几乎没有获得任何关注,她甚至在初选前一个月就退出了。还有第二场竞选,即缅因州的关键众议院席位,全国民主党人再次挑选了他们青睐的候选人并试图予以支持,但该建制派人选同样在一场关键的民主党初选中败北。这表明缅因州的选民非常反感接受全国民主党领导人的指令。普拉特纳以及他周围的人认为他就是这场反建制运动的一部分。即使他出局了,他们也希望这种理念能以某种方式延续下去。但挑战在于,鉴于他现在的处境,他参与谈判真的有助于寻找合适的替代人选吗?这其实非常难说。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: Yeah. Let's wonk out in Maine like 1 minute, which is there were two races that national Democrats tried to intervene in in Maine this year. One was Garam Platner's race where the party apparatus backed the two-term governor Janet Mills, whose campaign got so little traction she dropped out a month before the primary. There was a second race also, which is the key House seat in Maine, where again national Democrats picked a favored candidate. They intervened, tried to support this person, and that candidate also lost an important Democratic primary. So, the voters of Maine have shown they are unhappy with getting kinds of directions from national Democratic leaders. And Platner and people around Platner see him as a part of that movement. Even if he is gone, they want that somehow to live on. The challenge is given who he is at this moment, is his presence in negotiating that helpful to finding another person? That's not at all clear.
谢恩·戈德马赫: 另一个挑战是,正如我们之前提到的,格雷厄姆·普拉特纳必须在7月13日前退出,而新提名人选必须在7月27日前确立。所剩时间非常有限,而且完全不清楚民主党该如何在这短短的十几日里完成全部交接。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: And there's another challenge, too, that Garam Platner, as we said, has to be out of the race by July 13th. Someone else needs to be the nominee by July 27th. There's not a lot of time, and it's totally unclear how you get from where we are now to where the party needs to end up at by the 27th of July.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 那确实没有多少时间。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: That's not a lot of time.
莉萨·勒勒: 是的。我们还要记住,距离选举日只有不到4个月的时间了。在中期选举的这个阶段,可以说是每一天都至关重要。在这场决定性的参议院席位竞选中,民主党每多一天没有确定最终候选人,就在损失政治势头和政治机会。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: Right. And let's keep in mind, we are less than 4 months away from election day. So, this is a moment in any midterm race where literally every single day matters. So, they're also sort of costing themselves political momentum, political opportunity in a way for every single day the party does not have a a nominee in this crucial, crucial Senate race.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 目前有哪些方案被提出来,以避免再次发生类似拜登-哈里斯那样的提名交接风波?
Original English
Michael Barbaro: some of the ideas being kicked around for a process of picking Plater's successor that would avoid a Biden-Harris kind of scenario so far?
谢恩·戈德马赫: 有不少想法。我听到最多的有两个方案:一个是举行某种代表大会,挑选出代表,再由代表来选出被提名人;另一个是在全州范围内举行核心会议(caucus),让实际的选民能够参与投票。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: Yeah, there are a bunch of things. Two that I've heard the most about. One is coming up with some kind of convention where you would select delegates and those delegates would then pick the nominee. Another is having a statewide caucus where everybody, actual people can go vote to
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 再举行一次初选?
Original English
Michael Barbaro: primary?
谢恩·戈德马赫: 相当于由州民主党自己主办的另一场初选。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: Like a basically another primary but hosted by the state.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 在盛夏的阶段?
Original English
Michael Barbaro: of the summer?
谢恩·戈德马赫: 在盛夏的七月里。在这些讨论发生的同时,我们也看到了民主党内部的分歧在不断扩大。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: In the middle of the summer. As those discussions are happening, what we're seeing is the fissures inside the Democratic
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 明白。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Right.
莉萨·勒勒: 是的。听众可能看不到,但刚才谢恩说话时,我一直在微微摇头。主要是因为大家需要理解,像核心党团会议或代表大会这样的程序,政党通常需要花费数月甚至数年的时间去策划,才能以具有公信力的方式执行下去。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: Yeah, [music] and our listeners can't see us, of course, but I was shaking my head a little bit when Shane was talking. Just because I think it's important for people to understand things like caucuses and conventions. These are things that parties spend months, if not years, planning how they're going to execute in a way that is credible.
谢恩·戈德马赫: 而且即使精心策划,有时候仍然会变成一团乱麻。当初爱荷华州党团会议混乱时,我们可都是在现场的。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: And they can still be a mess. We were at Iowa when there was a mess.
莉萨·勒勒: 但这至少是一个有效的途径,可以让选民对最终的选举结果产生信任。而现在,缅因州的民主党必须完成这一动作——
Original English
Lisa Lerer: But it's a way that it's effective, that ends up with an election result that everyone feels like they can trust. And now this Maine Democratic Party has to do this
谢恩·戈德马赫: 在两周之内。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: in 2 weeks.
莉萨·勒勒: 在短短的两周之内。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: in 2 weeks.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 好的。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Yeah.
谢恩·戈德马赫: 而且他们——
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: And they
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 这听起来像是天方夜谭。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Kind of an insane proposition.
莉萨·勒勒: 的确是非常疯狂的想法。更何况他们现在甚至连全速启动都做不到,因为普拉特纳甚至还没有正式撤回他的参选名字。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: It's an insane proposition and they can't even really launch full bore into it because Platner has not pulled himself off the ballot yet.
潜在人选盘点
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 欢迎回到节目。谢恩,一旦理清了如何挑选格雷厄姆·普拉特纳的替代者,并假设他确实退出了,那么哪些人有可能接替他?谁在表达参选意向?是否已经有了领头羊?谁会是民主党在缅因州的下一任参议员提名人?
Original English
Michael Barbaro: We're back. Shane, once we figure out how a replacement for Glenn Platner is theoretically chosen and assuming he drops out, who are the people who might replace him? Who are raising their hands? Is there a frontrunner? Who might be the next Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
谢恩·戈德马赫: 目前我们显然还没有一个明确的领头羊。但确实有很多人站了出来,或者表示接到了大量的劝进电话。处于潜在候选人群体前列的是三位在今年参加过缅因州州长初选但落败的候选人。其中之一是特洛伊·杰克逊(Troy Jackson),他在初选中获得了伯尼·桑德斯的支持。还有尼拉夫·沙阿(Nirav Shah),他是缅因州的公共卫生官员,在初选中获得了第二名。还有沈纳·贝洛斯(Shenna Bellows),她目前担任缅因州国务卿,这三个人都有可能参选。此外,普拉特纳的支持者群体也在考虑推荐其他盟友,比如一位州代表。另外还有一些之前宣布参选、但在形势演变为普拉特纳与米尔斯对决后退出的竞选人,例如啤酒厂老板丹·克莱班(Dan Kleban),以及曾竞选参议员后转战众议院但落败的乔丹·伍德(Jordan Wood)。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: We definitely do not yet have a frontrunner. We definitely have a lot of people raising their hands or saying I'm fielding phone calls. Sort of leading the field is three candidates who ran for governor in Maine this year, all of whom lost that primary. Troy Jackson, who had Bernie Sanders' endorsement in the primary. You have Nirav Shah, who is a Maine public health official, who actually finished second in the primary. And then you have Shenna Bellows, who is the Secretary of State, all of whom could conceivably run. You have the Platner world sort of thinking about other allies like a state representative. Then you have the people who were in the Senate race who exited when it became clear it was Platner versus Mills. A brewery owner named Dan Kleban, who had declared and then exited the race. Jordan Wood, who had run for Senate, then ran for House, lost the House race.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 等等,我要打断一下。谢恩,这些名字听起来都不是那种能在几周内迅速席卷全州、家喻户晓的政治明星。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: See, I'm just going to interrupt to say cuz this is a lot of names, Joe. These do not seem like household names who would catch fire in a few weeks.
谢恩·戈德马赫: 不过,名单上确实有一个大家都熟悉的名字:帕特里克·德姆西(Patrick Dempsey)。就是那位在《实习医生格蕾》中饰演“梦幻先生”的演员,缅因州的骄傲。我不确定这有多认真,虽然他的名字曾被放进针对缅因州选民的一项民意调查中。但这个名字被提及本身,就足以说明目前的局势有多么疯狂。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: Well, there is one household name, Michael Patrick Dempsey. McDreamy. The actor, the pride of Maine, is on the list. You know, I'm not sure how serious that bit is at all, although he was tossed about in one of these polls that was sent out to Maine voters at one point, but I think that his inclusion really gives you a sense of where the state of things are.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 极度混乱。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Chaotic.
谢恩·戈德马赫: 是的,非常混乱。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: Chaotic, yes.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 好的。那该州的现任民主党州长珍妮特·米尔斯呢?她之前被建制派视为最合乎逻辑、有能力击败普拉特纳的人选(虽然她没能做到),她是否有可能突然站出来成为新的提名人?
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Okay. Is it possible the state's governor, Democrat Janet Mills, who was seen by the establishment as the logical person to have beaten Grand Platner, she didn't, she might just suddenly become the nominee.
谢恩·戈德马赫: 我的意思是,可能性永远存在,但我认为很难说服大家,因为她当时退出竞选的公开原因就是筹集不到足够的资金,在民调中没有获得足够的关注度,甚至都未能坚持到初选投票日。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: I mean, there's always a chance, but I think it's a pretty hard case to make given that she exited the race because she said she couldn't raise enough money, she wasn't making any traction in the polls, and didn't even make it to primary day.
莉萨·勒勒: 在我目前与党内人士讨论谁最有可能接替普拉特纳的电话中,几乎没有任何人提到过她的名字。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: She's come up in precisely zero of the phone calls that I've had with people about who is likeliest to replace Platner at this point.
竞选局势与走向
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 好的。鉴于目前民主党阵营内部的混乱,再加上苏珊·柯林斯已经在缅因州担任了非常长期的美国联邦参议员这一事实,我们应该如何看待双方在这场选举中的胜率?而在过去几天里,这种胜率又发生了怎样的变化?
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Okay. Given the turmoil on the Democratic side of this race now, and the reality that Susan Collins has been the United States Senator in Maine for a very long time, how should we think about both sides odds in this race, and how they have just changed in the last few days?
谢恩·戈德马赫: 目前对民主党人来说确实是一场彻底的灾难性混乱,但许多民主党人也看到了其中的一线生机。那就是在这场丑闻爆发之前,格雷厄姆·普拉特纳其实就已经是一个“带伤候选人”了。《纽约时报》刚刚在民主党试图翻盘以赢取参议院多数席位的所有关键战场州进行了一系列民意调查。结果显示,在领导人道德价值和性格等关键指标上,普拉特纳的得分在所有民主党人中垫底,而共和党人苏珊·柯林斯却名列前茅。因此,许多民主党人表示:“嘿,现在可能很混乱,但我们在一个卡玛拉·哈里斯在2024年赢下的偏蓝州获得了一个重新洗牌的机会。”你可能不需要像普拉特纳那样具有特殊魅力的运动型领袖,也许一个普通的民主党人就能够击败苏珊·柯林斯。当然,考虑到柯林斯以往屡屡击败各种民主党候选人的显赫战绩,这听起来可能有些乐观。但在今年共和党品牌整体走弱的环境下,民主党人确实对重新开始抱有极大期待。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: So right now, it's a total disastrous mess for Democrats, but there is a silver lining that a lot of Democrats are seeing, which is that Grand Platner, before this scandal, was looking like a wounded candidate. The New York Times just did a series of polls in all of the key Senate battleground states that Democrats are trying to flip to take the majority, and Platner scored worse than all the other Democrats on some of the most important questions of character, whether you were the right moral values to be a leader, and Susan Collins was among the highest scoring people. And so, there are a lot of Democrats saying, "Hey, this might be messy now, but we have a chance for a fresh start in a state that Kamala Harris won in 2024, a state that leans Democratic. You don't need a movement leader like Grand Platner, somebody who has a particular charisma. You might just need a Joe Schmo generic Democrat can beat Susan Collins. Now, that might be a little ambitious given how many races Susan Collins has won. She's beaten an awful lot of Democrats in the past, in good years for Democrats, in bad years for Democrats, but this does not look like a good year for the Republican Party, and the Democrats are excited about the possibility of starting over at this point.
莉萨·勒勒: 是的。我认为判断这一点的一个直观方式是看共和党人的情绪。从私下谈话来看,共和党人对这个结果其实相当失望。因为他们原本觉得普拉特纳是一个极其容易受到攻击的靶子。自4月底以来,一个亲共和党的团体就已经花费了900万美元做广告,将普拉特纳描绘成一个偏执、暴力且对该州充满风险的危险人物。他们此前全力备战普选的计划,就是向选民证明普拉特纳不适合担任公职。但现在,他们必须面对一个全新的竞争对手,并且必须在极短的时间内重新进行背景研究,以找出如何在新候选人身上重新确立有说服力的攻击点。此外,参议员柯林斯本身也存在巨大的弱点,我们的民调非常清晰地展示了两点:第一是年龄。在一个选民强烈渴望代际更替的时代,她已经73岁了,并且正在谋求她的第六个任期。第二是她与整体走下坡路的共和党绑定在一起,包括一位支持率低迷的总统,尽管她努力维持自己温和派和独立特行的名声,但她在绝大多数时间里依然支持总统的施政日程。当前对共和党来说是一个糟糕的国家政治环境,不仅总统不受欢迎,还面临一场不受欢迎的战争,而且民众对当前的经济形势感到高度焦虑。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: Yeah, and I think one way to assess that is how Republicans are feeling, and Republicans are feeling fairly disappointed by this outcome, at least in private conversations, because they felt that they had a Kanzay in Grand Planter, who was extremely flawed. One Republican group spent $9 million uh of since the end of April running ads defining him as uh bigoted and violent and too risky for the state. So, they were charging into this general election defining Planter as unfit for office, and now they're going to get some new person, and they certainly will have to do all the research to figure out who this person is and figure out how to define them in a way that works for Republicans in a very, very short period of time. And I think it's also important to remember in these conversations that Senator Collins has plenty of her own vulnerabilities, and there's two that stood out quite strongly in our polling. One is her age. She's 73 years old at a time when we know voters are very, very eager for generational change, change in Washington. She's running for a sixth term. And also, she is aligned with the Republican Party, and she's, you know, been an unpopular president. An unpopular president who she has, for all her sort of moderate maverick reputation, she has voted with the vast majority of the time, and she's in a national political environment that is quite bad for Republicans. Not only is there an unpopular president, there is an unpopular war, and people are really, really anxious about the economy.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 尽管柯林斯此前确实通过《战争权力决议案》对一些政策投了反对票。但谢恩,现在共和党人不得不从全力攻击普拉特纳突然转向为柯林斯做正面宣传,我们是否应该将这视为共和党和柯林斯的软肋?
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Which she did vote against via the War Powers Resolution. But Shane, is it right to think of Collins as weak and as Republicans not looking forward to having to pivot from making a case against Platner to suddenly making an affirmative case for Susan Collins?
谢恩·戈德马赫: 我认为共和党的品牌在缅因州很虚弱,但我认为这并不代表苏珊·柯林斯个人也同样脆弱。在那份民调中,我们询问选民:“你如何看待总统特朗普对生活成本危机的处理?”这对绝大多数选民而言是当前最具决定性的问题。而总统在这个问题上的支持率只有31%。这意味着如果你是苏珊·柯林斯,要想赢得选举,你就必须赢得一大批认为总统在核心生活民生议题上搞砸了的选民的支持。所以我确实认为,特朗普的全国表现为她在该州带来了深层的政治隐患。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: I think that the Republican brand in Maine is weak. I don't think that there's evidence that Susan Collins herself is as weak. In that poll, we asked voters "How do you feel about President Trump handling the cost of living issue?" Which is for so many voters the defining issue of this moment. His approval rating was 31%. So if you are running and you're Susan Collins, you're going to need to win a huge chunk of voters who think the president is blowing the issue most important to them. So I do think the president creates deep vulnerabilities for her in that state.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 莉萨,请帮我们梳理一下缅因州参议院席位之争在全国参议院版图中的分量。假设民主党要想赢下缅因州的席位变得极具挑战,甚至最终输掉了缅因州。如果不考虑缅因州,民主党还有可能夺回参议院的多数席位吗?
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Lisa, just remind us of where this Maine Senate race fits into the national Senate map. And let's presume for a minute that this race gets a little bit challenging for Democrats to win despite what Shane just said, and maybe they don't win the Maine Senate race. Let's just take Maine off the map. Can Democrats win back the Senate without it?
莉萨·勒勒: 并非毫无可能,但会变得异常艰难。要想赢下参议院控制权,民主党人必须保住他们目前持有的所有席位,同时还要翻盘拿下四个原本由共和党人把持的席位。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: It's not impossible, but it's very very hard. To win control of the Senate, Democrats must retain all the states they currently hold and flip four Republican-held seats.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 这显然不是件易事。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: No simple task.
莉萨·勒勒: 的确不易。双方都在盯着六个核心战场州。而在那六个战场州中,只有两个由共和党人把持——一个是科罗拉多州,另一个就是我们正在讨论的缅因州。因此,如果民主党放弃缅因州,他们就必须保住所有的现有防线,同时还要去那些传统偏红、对他们极度不友好的州去翻盘。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: No simple task. There are six battleground states that both sides are looking at. Of those six battleground states, only two are held by Republicans. One is Colorado, and the other is Maine. So if you take Maine off the map, it means you have to hold onto all of your own battleground states and flip seats in places that are traditionally very Republican and much less friendly to Democrats.
谢恩·戈德马赫: 是的,我的意思是这项任务真的极其艰巨。在那六个战场州中,有四个是特朗普曾以10个百分点或更高优势赢下的地方。在整个美国参议院中,民主党根本没有持有过类似政治格局的席位。因此,寄希望于在这些地方翻盘两到三个席位,确实是非常困难的。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: Yeah, I mean, the task is just really hard. And four of those six battleground states are places that Trump won by 10 percentage points or more. Democrats don't hold any seats in the entire United States Senate that look like that. So, the idea they're going to flip two or three of them is really, really tough.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 我想完全可以说,普拉特纳在缅因州造成的局面正是民主党建制派最深层的担忧。在过去一年里,当他们一次次提出反对普拉特纳担任提名人的理由时,都在不断强调这一点。他们觉得这是一个本该能赢下的席位,却被一个存在深层缺陷的候选人给毁了。他们此前在每一步都在进行阻击。这在很大程度上体现了建制派与左翼激进力量之间的这种持续张力。有时建制派关于缅因州的判断看起来是明智的,但有时他们也显得完全看走了眼。他们之前断定普拉特纳赢不下初选,这被证明是错的;而他们预感到普拉特纳是个充满雷区的候选人,最终却被证明是对的。那么归根结底,缅因州发生的事情究竟是对民主党建制派的某种证明(证明他们是对的),还是并非如此?
Original English
Michael Barbaro: I think it's fair to say that the situation that Platner has created in Maine was the Democratic establishment's worst fear. They articulated it over the last year, over and over again, as they made the case against Grant Platner as the nominee in Maine. They felt it was a winnable seat with a deeply flawed candidate. They fought it at every turn. And it came to embody this tension we keep talking about on the show between the establishment and the insurgent left. And at times it has felt like the Democratic establishment has felt wise in its conclusions about Maine, and there have been times it felt like they were completely wrong. They were wrong to assume that Platner couldn't win. And then they were right to have intuited that he was a flawed candidate. Ultimately, is this a vindication, what's happened in Maine, for the Democratic establishment, or not?
莉萨·勒勒: 我不认为在目前的博弈中有任何赢家,对吧?
Original English
Lisa Lerer: I don't think there are any winners right now in this process, right?
谢恩·戈德马赫: 没有人是正确的。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: vindicated.
莉萨·勒勒: 没有任何人可以感到释怀。民主党建制派最初招募了该州两任州长珍妮特·米尔斯来参选,但在拜登的年龄成为2024年大选的核心焦点后,米尔斯参选将使她成为美国历史上最年长的初任参议员,这与选民当时对更新换代的渴望完全不相符。而在极其有限的时间里,如何在这个撕裂的党内妥善解决意识形态分歧,找到一个既能延续普拉特纳所点燃的基层热情、又不会让其他普通选民感到疏远的折中人选,将是一个巨大的考验。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: No one is vindicated. The Democratic establishment had originally recruited Janet Mills, the state's two-term governor, but she would have been the oldest freshman senator in American history right after Joe Biden's age was the central issue of the 2024 campaign, and that was just a mismatch for where voters are. How this plays out going forward, there could be some winners, right? But they have to navigate the very ideological divides that are tearing at the party in this really compressed time period to find somebody who can continue to keep the real grassroots motivation and momentum that built up Gran Platinar and not turn off the rest of the voters.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 嗯。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Mhm.
谢恩·戈德马赫: 而且在8月份,我们将在密歇根州迎来另一场初选,届时这两种力量将再次正面交锋。舒默所青睐的候选人哈利·史蒂文斯(Haley Stevens)将对阵获得了支持普拉特纳的同一批策略师支持的阿卜杜勒·阿尔-赛义德(Abdul El Sayed)。因此,在解决完缅因州这桩烂摊子之后不久,民主党就必须再次经历一轮这样的博弈。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: And in August we're going to have a Michigan primary where these same forces will clash up against each other again. You have a candidate Haley Stevens who's preferred by Schumer going up against Abdul El Sayed who is backed by some of the same strategists that backed Gran Platinar. So the party will go through another round of this. You know, shortly after they navigate through this main mess.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 在民主党人不断在纽约把建制派老将拉下马、并在科罗拉多赢下初选的时期,民主党的领导层是否有可能或者甚至必然会采取非常保守和稳妥的安全策略,从而不去拥抱这些激进力量?而正如你们两位所论证的,最成功的策略其实是“通过反对民主党的既有建制品牌,来更好地代表民主党”?
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Is it possible or likely even that the leaders of the Democratic Party play it really safe and not embrace all this insurgent energy at a time when Democratic Socialists are ousting incumbents in New York and winning in Colorado and the most successful strategy and you've both documented it is to run against the Democratic Party brand in order to represent the Democratic Party brand?
莉萨·勒勒: 民主党的品牌确实面临着危机。最近几周我一直在与许多民主党人探讨,试图把普拉特纳赢得提名以及一旦阿卜杜勒·阿尔-赛义德在密歇根初选中获胜的标志性意义进行横向对比。建制派在过去10到15年的竞争性参议院初选中基本没有失手过,查克·舒默和参议院竞选委员会成功在每一个竞争激烈的席位中指派了他们属意的人选。而这是近年来选民第一次站出来对建制派说:“你知道吗?并不尽然。我们不喜欢这一套,我们想尝试些不一样的东西。”目前党内建制层对此感到茫然,这是一种全新的现象。我们在共和党内部已经见证了选民在特朗普崛起后抛弃传统精英的情景,但对民主党来说,这种反建制浪潮才刚开始,因此他们的学习曲线非常陡峭,一切都太新了。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: I mean the Democratic Party brand is in crisis. I've been talking with a bunch of Democrats in recent weeks just to put in perspective how big a deal it was that Platinar became the nominee and how important it would be if Abdul El Sayed was the nominee in Michigan. The party establishment basically hasn't lost a competitive Senate primary in 10 or 15 years. Like Chuck Schumer and the DSCC have picked these candidates in basically every competitive race. And these are the first instances where voters have come and said, "You know what? Not so much. We don't like that. We want to try something different." And the party is not sure how to deal with this. This is a new phenomenon. We've seen this in the Republican Party where the voters rejected the leadership following Trump. But like this is new for the Democrats and so they're just a steep learning curve cuz it is all so new.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 嗯。这感觉也给那些倡导反民主党建制竞选策略的顾问们上了一堂非常重要的课,那就是关于背景调查和建制派长期以来坚持的候选人评估体系的价值。正如你们所知,曾有一批政治顾问在发掘出格雷厄姆·普拉特纳时,对能够打破传统的一套背景筛选程序与规矩感到非常自豪。我想知道他们现在是否会反思当初那种绕过传统背景审查程序所带来的代价。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Mhm. It also feels like there's a very important lesson here for running against the Democratic brand and that's about the value of vetting and the tradition of evaluating candidates the establishment has put an emphasis on for a very long time. As you both know, there's a group of political consultants who took some measure of pride in bucking that set of protocols and traditions when they found Graham Platner. And I wonder if they now second-guess the pride they took in bypassing some of that traditional vetting.
莉萨·勒勒: 民主党内部此前有一种强烈的渴望,去寻找具有所谓“本真性”(authenticity)的候选人,这是当时最流行的话术。但是,真实的性格背景往往也伴随着真实的个人问题、失误以及过去的污点。我想,参与普拉特纳竞选的那些人当时觉得,选民会喜欢一个历经坎坷、改过自新并重新找到人生方向的励志故事。所有人确实都喜欢这类故事。但问题在于,选民对他们过去经历的容忍度到底有多高?尤其是对于民主党的候选人而言。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: Look, I I think there was a desire in Democratic circles to find candidates who had {quote} and {unquote} authenticity. That was the big buzzword. But authenticity comes with authentic problems and missteps and mistakes. I think the people involved in Graham Platner's race felt that voters would like a narrative of someone sort of pushing through adversity, cleaning up their life, finding a new path forward. And I think voters do like those kinds of stories. Everybody likes those kinds of stories. But the question is how much of their past will voters say is acceptable at least when it comes to Democratic candidates?
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 当然,“本真性”并不一定总是伴随着不堪的缺陷,更不用说面临如此严重的犯罪指控了。我猜想,即使那些招募格雷厄姆·普拉特纳的策略师如今被现实泼了冷水,他们可能仍然希望党内能够信任他们的核心直觉——在这个时代我们需要斗士,那些反体制的挑战者代表着党派的未来。而普拉特纳从始至终都成功扮演了这一反体制挑衅者的角色,抛开他的个人污点不谈,这或许依然是党派内部未来想要效仿的某种模式。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Well, of course authenticity doesn't always come with flaws. Certainly doesn't always come with an accusation of that serious nature. I suspect that as humbled as some of the strategists are who recruited Graham Platner, they still would like the party to trust their overall instinct that fighters are required in this moment, that agitators are the future of this party, and that Graham Platner very successfully challenged that in a way that his flaws aside may still want to be a model for the party.
谢恩·戈德马赫: 的确有这层因素。我认为民主党选民正在寻找那些愿意站出来战斗的人。在民主党基层中有一种普遍的挫败感,认为民主党在过去对抗特朗普时不够强硬,在宣传自身核心价值观时不够响亮。但现在的挑战在于:寻找具有战斗性、本真性候选人的同时,如何确保他们还能在战场州的普选阶段被广大普通温和选民所接受。这确实是个难题。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: I think there is something to that. I think Democrats are looking for people who are willing to fight, and I think there's a pervasive sense among the party's base that Democrats haven't stood up in the past strong enough to Trump and haven't spoken out strong enough for their values. But the issue is finding people who meet their criteria of authenticity, of fighting, but also can be electable by a general electorate in battleground states. It's a challenge.
莉萨·勒勒: 我认为有一种推动力去寻找不仅对抗共和党、同时也勇于向整个既得利益政治体系宣战的斗士。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: I think there's a push to find fighters of the political system, not just of Republicans, but
谢恩·戈德马赫: 也就是说候选人必须敢于宣告:所有在经济上压迫你们的既有体制都必须被推翻。不仅仅是对抗特朗普,还要像伯尼·桑德斯常说的那样,去对抗那些寡头、民主党建制派、政治献金巨鳄以及企业特权阶级。树立起这些体制内的敌人并向他们宣战,而不是只把焦点对准特朗普。来自左翼的批评是,很多自诩斗士的温和派口头上叫得响,却只敢和特朗普斗,而不敢向真正阻碍民生福祉的其他更深层利益集团开火。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: saying everything that has kept you economically where you are needs to be overturned. I'm not just going to fight Donald Trump. I'm going to fight to overturn the oligarchs, as Bernie Sanders likes to say, or the Democratic Party, or the Democratic Party donors, or the corporate class, right? It's picking villains and fighting those villains and making it not just Trump. The criticism from the left is that too many of the sort of squishy middle say they're going to be big fighters and they would just want to fight Donald Trump, but they don't want to fight other powers that are holding you back.
莉萨·勒勒: 普拉特纳从一开始就把他的竞选框定为一场不仅针对特朗普、也针对民主党内部建制的战争。而这种能量恰恰是民主党建制派很难真正吸纳和掌控的。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: And Platner very much framed his candidacy from the start as a fight not just against Trump, but against Democrats. [music] And it's that energy that is very hard for the Democratic Party establishment to pull in
谢恩·戈德马赫: 因为这种能量最初就是针对他们本身的。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: because it's energy against them.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 明白。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Right.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 谢恩、莉萨,非常感谢你们两位的分享。非常感谢。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Well, Shane, Lisa, thank you both very much. Appreciate it.
莉萨·勒勒: 谢谢。
Original English
Lisa Lerer: Thank you.
谢恩·戈德马赫: 谢谢。
Original English
Shane Goldmacher: Thanks.
缅因州选民的心声
凯特琳·奥基夫: 你好,我是凯特琳。
Original English
Caitlyn O'Keefe: Hi, Caitlyn.
卡洛琳(选民): 你好,卡洛琳。你怎么样?
Original English
Carolyn (Voter): Hi, Carolyn. How are you?
卡洛琳(选民): 哎,挺难过的。
Original English
Carolyn (Voter): Oh, sad.
凯特琳·奥基夫: 是啊。
Original English
Caitlyn O'Keefe: Yeah.
卡洛琳(选民): 我们确实感到很难过。昨天下午媒体开始报道这件事,于是在下午4点半,我就跑到院子里去拔掉之前为普拉特纳立起来的竞选牌子,心里真的很不是滋味。
Original English
Carolyn (Voter): Yeah. We're just sad. Yesterday afternoon, they were reporting it and so at 4:30, I was out there pulling up my lawn sign and just you know, heartbroken.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 周二,节目制作人凯特琳·奥基夫(Caitlyn O'Keefe)采访了缅因州的民主党选民。他们中许多人曾是格雷厄姆·普拉特纳的狂热支持者,向他们了解了对于最新性侵指控以及日益高涨的退选呼声的看法。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: On Tuesday, Daily Producer Kaylin O'Keefe spoke with Democratic voters in Maine, many of them once passionate supporters of Graham Plater, about the latest allegation against him and the growing calls for him to drop out of the race.
选民: 我当时的感觉是:“天啊,真是糟透了。”这真的让人无比沮丧。我不需要我的政治家是十全十美的,事实上,我更喜欢他们有一些不完美的地方,但这可是强奸指控,格雷厄姆,你真的干出这种事了吗?这简直太荒谬了。
Original English
Voter: I went, "Oh, shit." It's just beyond frustrating. I don't [music] need my politicians to be perfect. As a matter of fact, I'd prefer they'd be imperfect, but it's like, you know, Graham, really? Really?
选民: 这太糟糕了。有关性侵犯的细节听起来令人感到极其毛骨悚然。
Original English
Voter: That's awful. [music] The details of the sexual assault feel horrendous.
选民: 我当时难过得简直想坐下来痛哭一场。
Original English
Voter: I just could have sat down and cried.
选民: 我对这一切感到有些恶心。令我烦恼的是,又出现了一个正准备成为国家领导人的人出了这档子丑闻,我们不得不再次面对这样的荒谬事件。
Original English
Voter: I feel a little disgusted with it all. Like, I'm annoyed [clears throat] that there's another dude who is in line to become a leader and we're dealing with this again.
选民: 无论这件事情是真是假,我认为他都必须退出这次竞选。
Original English
Voter: Whether it's true or false, I think he has to withdraw.
选民: 显然,他必须退选。
Original English
Voter: Clearly, he has to drop out.
选民: 我完全认为他必须退选。如果能换一个候选人,民主党在这场选举中会过得好得多。
Original English
Voter: I absolutely think that he needs to drop out. He'd be better [music] off with another candidate.
凯特琳·奥基夫: 如果他真的退出了,你希望在普拉特纳的替代者身上看到什么样的特质?
Original English
Caitlyn O'Keefe: If he does drop out, what do you want to see [music] in a replacement for Plater?
选民: 替代他的人必须具有类似的进步主义理念。
Original English
Voter: The replacement for Plater has to have a similar progressive,
选民: 必须有一种颠覆建制派的气质。需要有阶级意识。
Original English
Voter: done with the establishment vibe. Class consciousness,
选民: 支持全民医保,支持那一整套进步主义政策包。
Original English
Voter: Medicare for all, whole kitten caboodle.
选民: 还有诚实。
Original English
Voter: Honesty.
选民: [笑声]
Original English
Voter: [laughter]
选民: 诚实以及清白的个人背景,你懂我的意思吧?
Original English
Voter: Honesty and a clean background. You know what I'm saying?
选民: 我只想要一个能够让我信任、并且具有基本诚信原则的政治家。
Original English
Voter: I just want a politician that I can trust and that has [music] integrity.
选民: 我们不需要再塑造一个像穿着 Carhartt 工作服那样接地气的普通人来当我们的救世主了。
Original English
Voter: You don't have to make this like Carhartt man [music] appear as our savior.
选民: 我认为缅因州民主党人在挑选和替换谁的问题上必须非常非常谨慎。外面有许多能力过硬的人,但他们可能缺乏普拉特纳那样天然的领袖魅力。但究竟谁有那种能把大家凝聚起来的魅力?
Original English
Voter: I think the main Democratic Party has to be very, very careful [music] with how and who they choose to replace him. There are fully confident people [music] out there, but they don't have his charisma. Who Who has it?
选民: 有没有某些我目前还不知道的黑马候选人?我确实完全没有头绪到底谁能在这个时候挺身而出接替这个角色。
Original English
Voter: Is there someone that I don't know about? I truly have no idea of who could step into this role.
选民: 我们现在太需要一个人选了,我们迫切需要在某个地方看到一丝希望。
Original English
Voter: We just need somebody. We need some hope someplace.
今日要闻速览
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 广告过后,我们马上回来。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: We'll be right back.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 以下是今天你需要了解的其他重要新闻:在针对脆弱停火协议的最新挑战中,伊朗袭击了三艘商船,美国对此进行了回应——对伊朗的几个军事目标实施了空袭,
Original English
Michael Barbaro: Here's what else you need [music] to know today. In the latest challenge to a shaky ceasefire, Iran attacked three commercial ships, and the United States responded by carrying out air strikes against several Iranian military targets,
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 并取消了伊朗在公开市场上出售石油的权利。这些针锋相对的袭击表明,在这一地区恢复和平以及恢复战前贸易水平面临着巨大的挑战。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: and by revoking Iran's right to sell oil on the open market. The tit-for-tat attacks demonstrated the challenge of restoring both [music] peace and pre-war levels of trade in the region.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 在法国,法院维持了对极右翼领袖玛丽娜·勒庞(Marine Le Pen)涉嫌挪用公款罪名的判决,但对勒庞来说是一项重大胜利的是,法院解除了对其竞选公职资格的禁令。几个小时后,勒庞宣布她将竞选2027年法国总统,这是她第四次竞选该职位。在过去的几次竞选中,勒庞每一次都比上一次更接近胜利。本期节目由克莱尔·滕尼斯·格特(Claire Tennis Getter)、香农·林(Shannon Lin)和凯特琳·奥基夫联合制作,杰克·迪西多罗(Jack Disidoro)协助制作。由雷切尔·奎斯特(Rachel Quester)、佩奇·考恩(Paige Cowan)和利兹·奥拜伦(Liz O'Baylen)编辑,音乐由艾丽西亚·尤班克斯(Alicia Eubanks)和马里恩·洛扎诺(Marion Lozano)提供。我们的主题音乐由 Wonderly 创作。本期节目由阿丽莎·莫克斯利(Alyssa Moxley)担任音频工程师。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: And in France, a court has upheld [music] the conviction of the far-right leader Marine Le Pen on charges of embezzlement, but in a major victory for Le Pen, the court lifted a ban on her ability to run for office. Hours later, Le Pen announced her candidacy [music] for the French presidency in 2027, her fourth bid for the office, Le Pen has gotten closer to victory [music] in each of her last three campaigns. Today's episode [music] was produced by Claire Tennis Getter, Shannon Lin, and Caitlin O'Keefe with help from Jack Disidoro. [music] It was edited by Rachel Quester, Paige Cowan, and Liz O'Baylen and contains [music] music by Alicia Eubanks and Marion Lozano. Our theme music is by Wonderly. This episode was engineered by Alyssa Moxley.
迈克尔·巴巴罗: 今天的《每日新闻》就到这里。我是迈克尔·巴巴罗。我们明天见。
Original English
Michael Barbaro: That's it for The Daily. I'm Michael Barbaro. See you tomorrow.
📌 文中提及的人物和组织
公司/组织: Democratic Party, Republican Party