DLJ的早期生涯
Tony James: 如果你思考一家成功公司的发展,它会呈现出一种S型曲线。它从小型、创业型开始,然后经历一个快速增长的阶段,创造大量价值和规模。
Original English
Tony James: If you think about the development of a successful company, there's kind of an S-curve. It starts off small and entrepreneurial. Then there's this kind of escalation where you create a lot of value and a lot of size.
David: 人们今天都知道黑石集团(Blackstone)拥有万亿美元的资产管理规模(AUM)。当你加入时,它完全不是这个样子。
Original English
David: People know Blackstone today, a trillion dollars in AUM. It did not look anything like that when you joined.
Tony James: 运营像黑石集团这样的投资机构,我认为你几乎必须是一个非常优秀的投资者。如果你想及早捕捉到信号,它们绝不会是显而易见的。等到它们显而易见时,价格就已经反映出来了。
Original English
Tony James: Running an investment organization like Blackstone, I think you almost have to be a really good investor. If you're going to catch the signals early, they're never obvious. By the time they're obvious, it's priced in.
David: 你主导了对好市多(Costco)的A轮投资。查理·芒格(Charlie Munger)当时还在董事会,你们一起共事了30年。你学到了什么?
Original English
David: You led the series A into Costco. Charlie Munger was still on the board and you guys served together for 30 years. What did you learn?
Tony James: 专注,专注,专注。对细节的完美执行。着眼长远。
Original English
Tony James: Focus, focus, focus. Flawless execution of details. Build for the long term.
David: 我采访过的每个人,都将他们职业生涯的成功归因于你。如果一个年轻人今天来找你,你会告诉他们如何建立职业生涯?
Original English
David: Everybody that I spoke with literally attribute the success that they've had in their careers to you. If a young person came to you today, what would you tell them about building a career? Um
David: 托尼(Tony),非常感谢你来到这里。
Original English
David: Tony, thank you so much for being here.
Tony James: 不客气,大卫(David)。
Original English
Tony James: You're very welcome, David.
David: 你在1975年商学院毕业后不久,作为一名投资银行助理加入了DLJ。也许你可以给我们回顾一下当时这家公司的状况。
Original English
David: You joined uh DJ as an investment banking associate in 1975. I think just after business school. Maybe give us a reminder of what the shape of that business looked like at the time.
Tony James: 嗯,如果我当时知道自己在做什么,我可能就不会加入DLJ了。说实话,它当时什么都不是。正如他们那时常说的,它是一家次要公司,甚至次次要公司。所以,当时至少有100家公司比它大。我们的投资银行团队只有五个人。
Original English
Tony James: Well, if id known what I was doing, I probably wouldn't have joined DJ. It was it was nothing honestly. It was a it was a sub major firm or a sub sub major firm as they used to say in those days. So, there were at least a 100 firms bigger than it was. We had investment banking team of five.
David: 哇。
Original English
David: Wow.
Tony James: 我们两年内没有做过任何融资或并购。所以,我们两年内没有任何业务。哦,哇。
Original English
Tony James: We hadn't done a financing or a merger in two years. So, we hadn't done any business in two years. Oh wow.
Tony James: 但是你知道,我喜欢那里的人。我喜欢它非结构化的性质。我决定,嗯,我要尝试一下。
Original English
Tony James: But you know, I like the people. I like the unstructured nature of it. I decided that um I' I'd give it a shot.
David: 你的职业生涯最终在DLJ持续了25年,我相信,这在当时华尔街来说是相当长的任期。我想,在那段旅程中,有哪些关键的转折点,也许促成了你的成功,或者说业务的演变?你知道,在你任职期间,业务显然是大幅增长的。
Original English
David: And I mean, you ultimately stayed for, you know, 25 years, I believe, uh which was a pretty long tenure generally, but uh certainly for for Wall Street at the time, I guess. What were some of the kind of you know key inflection points in that journey maybe that led to your success or kind of the evolution of the business you know which grew obviously massively during your
Tony James: 嗯,在基层工作的好处是,如果它开始奏效,你就会随着组织的成长而被提拔,你会在比你应得的更早的时候获得责任,这会形成一种良性循环。你的学习速度加快,一切都加快,你的信心也加快,也许会有些过度,但感觉真的很好,而且你的期望很低。所以当你开始赢得业务时,总是一个积极的惊喜。如果你输了,嗯,那只是意料之中。所以你得到了一个非常积极的反馈循环。你知道,我们运营的DLJ最终以其企业文化而闻名。人们就是喜欢在那里工作。
Original English
Tony James: Well the I mean the good part of getting in on the ground floor is if if it starts to work you get pulled up with the growth of the organization and you get responsibilities earlier than you deserve them and that kind of feeds on itself. Your learning accelerates, everything accelerates, your confidence accelerates maybe to an excess, but it feels really good and your expectations are low. So when you start winning business, it's always a positive surprise. If you lose, well, that's that's was part for the course. But so you you got a you got a very positive feedback loop. And you know, we ran DJ ultimately was renowned for its culture. people just loved working there
David: 这创造了一个非常好的环境,你职业生涯或生活的大部分时间都在办公室里度过,那真是太棒了。
Original English
David: and that created a really nice environment and you spent so much of your career or your life in your office that was fantastic
Tony James: 嗯,你知道,我们把DLJ从一无所有发展成为第五大证券公司,我们连续25年以超过15%的速度增长,这有点像你们的科技公司。嗯,我喜欢那样,每隔几年,业务就会发生变化,我的机会也随之发生根本性的变化。
Original English
Tony James: and um, you know, we grew DJ from essentially nothing to the fifth largest securities firm we grew it at over 15% for 25 consecutive years that's kind of like one of your tech companies um and and it was and I and I and and I love that and every few years the business changed changed and my opportunity set changed radically.
杠杆收购与商业银行模式
Tony James: 我会说一个重要的转折点是1980年,当时KKR为胡代工业(Hudai Industries)做了一笔杠杆收购(LBO)。
Original English
Tony James: The big turning point I would say was 1980 when KKR did a LBO for Hudai Industries,
Tony James: 这是第一家被私有化的大型上市公司。我当时想,哇,你可以用几乎全是债务的方式收购这些大公司。嗯。
Original English
Tony James: the first big public company that went actually was taken private. And I thought, wow, you can buy these huge companies with almost all debt. Mhm.
Tony James: 我当时觉得,DLJ那时正与几十家其他公司竞争,那些公司在各个方面都比我们强。
Original English
Tony James: And it struck me that DJ at the time was competing with dozens of other firms that had more of everything than we did.
Tony James: 更多的银行家,更多的客户,更多的业绩记录,更多的资本,更多的分销渠道。我们没有任何优势可以取胜。
Original English
Tony James: More bankers, more clients, more of a track record, more capital, more distribution. There was nothing we had that should win.
Tony James: 所以这对我来说是一种迂回取胜的方式。他们当时并没有真正自己做这个。这是一个新领域。我们可以收购那些我们无法通过竞争赢得的客户,然后承接他们所有的投资银行业务。
Original English
Tony James: So that struck me as a way to kind of end run. They weren't really doing it themselves. It was a it was a new sector. we could buy clients we couldn't actually win competitively and then do all their investment banking business
Tony James: 这确实自我强化了。我们建立了一个私募股权业务。我想我们的第一支基金有90%的内部收益率(IRR)。那些日子更容易,因为价格更低,公司管理不善的情况更多。
Original English
Tony James: and that really fed on itself out of the we built a we built a private equity business I think our first fund had a 90% irra those days it was easier because prices were lower companies were more undermanaged
Tony James: 本质上,你可以借到100%的购买价格。
Original English
Tony James: and essentially you could get you could borrow a 100% of the purchase price
Tony James: 嗯,所以仅仅通过滚动你的费用,你就可以拥有。然后这推动了我们必须建立高收益债券业务和其他债务业务。我们很多最大的首次公开募股(IPO)都来自这些业务。一件事接着一件事。所以我们建立了整个投资银行业务。
Original English
Tony James: um so just by rolling your fees you could kind of own the And then that drove then we had to could and had to build a high yield business and and other debt businesses. We we a lot of those were our biggest IPOs. One thing led to another. So we built the whole investment banking business.
Tony James: 紧密相连的是主体业务。所以它本质上是一家真正的商业银行(merchant bank)。
Original English
Tony James: Cheek by jou was the principal business. So it was in essence it was a true merchant bank.
David: 真的没有理由像KKR或Forstmann Little这样当时的大公司会存在。你以前的公司高盛(Goldman Sachs)本应该打败它们。是的。
Original English
David: There was no reason really that a KKR or a forceman little that were the big players back then should ever existed. Your old firm Goldman should have beaten them. Yep.
Tony James: 但是大公司对这项业务持矛盾态度。他们之所以矛盾,是因为它不完全是代理业务。
Original English
Tony James: But the big firms were ambivalent about this business. They were ambivalent because wasn't quite an agency business.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 他们都是老派的银行家,不理解这项业务,也不想真正理解它。他们只是不想让他们的客户抱怨与公司收购的业务竞争。
Original English
Tony James: They were all there were old line bankers that didn't understand it and didn't actually want to understand it really. They just didn't want their clients to complain about competing with something that the firm bought,
David: 对吧?
Original English
David: right?
Tony James: 所以,这种机构性的矛盾给了我们巨大的发展空间,我们一路披荆斩棘。嗯,你知道,它成为了投资银行和商业银行之间的一种神奇协同效应,最终我们建立了基金中的基金(funds of funds)和房地产业务、风险投资(venture capital)。我们当时有一项业务叫做Sprout,它是70年代三大巨头之一,现在已经消失了。是的。
Original English
Tony James: And so so that institutional ambivalence gave us a huge runway that we just plowed through and um and it you know it became a magic synergy between the investment banking and the merchant banking and ultimately we built funds of funds and real estate businesses, venture capital. We had a business back then called Sprout which was one of the big three back back in the back in the 70s gone now. Yeah.
David: 我想稍微深入探讨一下商业银行业务。你知道,我为这次对话做准备时,采访过的一个人是本内特·古德曼(Bennett Goodman)。你和他有过很长的合作历史,他给我讲了一个有趣的故事,关于你当时在德崇证券(Drexel)时招募他的经历。
Original English
David: And and I want to dig into the merchant baking business in a bit. You know, one of the folks that uh you know I spoke to kind of in in preparing for this conversation was was Bennett Goodman. You've had a long you know history with and he he told me a funny story of you
David: 对吧?
Original English
David: recruiting him when he was I think at Drexel at the time, right?
David: 你知道,迈克·米尔肯(Mike Milken)当时在垃圾债券(junk bond)生态系统和私募股权世界的发展中,是权力链的顶端。他说他问你,你觉得你凭什么能和德崇证券竞争?你给出了一个惊人的答案,至少在他的回忆中是这样。我很好奇你是否还记得那次对话以及你说了什么。
Original English
David: And you know you know Mike Milin was sort of a top of the p top of the power chain you know in terms of like the you know the junk bond ecosystem and kind of the growth of the private equity world. and he said he asked you, you know, what what makes you think you can compete with with Drexel and uh and you gave an amazing answer or at least his recollection. I I'm curious if you remember that conversation and what you said.
Tony James: 我不记得了。他说了什么?他基本上说,你有一整套理论来解释为什么德崇证券的商业模式有缺陷,基本上就是说,他们所要做的就是表示他们对筹集资金非常有信心,而你有一个非常不同的观点,那就是你将拥有专门的资本池。你将有效地启动一个夹层基金(bridge fund)。
Original English
Tony James: I I don't. What did he say? He basically said because he said you had the whole theory for why Draxel's business model was flawed was basically that like you know all they had to do was sort of um say that they had high confidence that they could raise the capital and you had a very different point of view that you were going to actually have dedicated pools of capital. you were going to start effectively a bridge fund.
David: 夹层基金,对吧?
Original English
David: Bridge fund, right?
David: 本内特(Bennett)当时好像说:“好吧,这些是2.5亿美元、5亿美元的融资。”你的资产负债表有多大?你回答说:“我不知道,3亿美元左右。”他问:“这怎么行?”你回答说:“嗯,我们当时被公平人寿(Equitable)拥有或控制,它是最大的寿险公司之一。”很多人都提到过这一点,就是你所拥有的信心,以及你灌输给别人的信心,让他们去与那些资本更雄厚、业务规模更大的公司竞争,他认为这推动了公司的大部分成功。我很好奇你是否能谈谈80年代的这种动态。
Original English
David: And Bennett, I think, had said, "Okay, well, so these are like, you know, $250 million, $500 million financing." Like, how big's your balance sheet? And you're like, "I don't know, 300 million bucks." And he's like, "Okay, how does that work?" You're like, "Well, we were owned by Equitable, you know, which I think was or controlled by Equitable, which was the one of the biggest life insurance companies." And it was just, this is something I've heard from a lot of people, but like the confidence that you had go and and the confidence that you instilled in others to go compete against people who are far better capitalized, had much bigger businesses, you know, he would argue drove a lot of the firm success. I'm just curious if you could talk through kind of that dynamic, you know, in the 80s.
Tony James: 是的。当然,那时德崇证券是市场上的巨头,我们在高收益债券领域排名第二。当时我们更多是德崇证券的客户,而不是威胁。
Original English
Tony James: Yeah. Well, of course, back then Drexel was the big gorilla and we were second in high yield. We were more of a client than a threat to Drexel at the time.
David: 好的。因为我们的主体业务。
Original English
David: Okay. because of our because of our principal business.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 德崇证券有“高度自信函”。如果我们说我们高度自信,人们会说:“那又怎样?”当然。
Original English
Tony James: Dre Drexel had the high yield the high the highly confident letter. If we said we were highly confident, people would say, "Well, so what?" Sure.
David: 你不重要,对吧?
Original English
David: You don't matter, right?
Tony James: 所以,我们创建了这个夹层基金,我们大量地利用它。我们把基金和公司都押在了每一笔夹层贷款上,最终,资本不足成为了我们的阿喀琉斯之踵。但是,嗯,我们在做出正确的信用评估和市场评估方面取得了显著的成功。所以每次我们成功时,我们都会赢得业务,并且我们拥有分销渠道,因为我们通常控制着发行方。我们可以在利率上加一点额外的利息。
Original English
Tony James: So, we created this bridge fund and we we turned it we turned it heavily. We we bet the we bet the fund and we bet the firm on every bridge loan and ultimately that lack of capital became an Achilles heel. But um we had a remarkable stretch of making the right credit assessments and the right market assessments. So every time we got it would win the business and we would have the distribution because we were often controlling the issuer. We could put a little extra vig in the interest rate.
Tony James: 所以我们以高收益债券分销商而闻名,人们应该在发行时购买,因为我们会定价使其上涨。
Original English
Tony James: So we became known as as the distributor of high yield that people should buy on the issue because we'd price it to trade up.
Tony James: 对于债务,它不需要上涨太多。这不像股票。
Original English
Tony James: With debt, it doesn't have to trade up much. which is not like equities.
David: 当然。
Original English
David: Sure.
Tony James: 它不需要上涨太多就能带来丰厚利润。所以我们利用了这一点,并发展了相当多的追随者。然后当德崇证券倒闭时,嗯,那些大公司对高收益债券也持矛盾态度。它带有一种污点,尤其是在德崇证券倒闭之后。
Original English
Tony James: It doesn't have to trade up much to be juicy. So we used that and we developed quite a following. And then when Drexel went under um the bigger firms were also ambivalent about high yield. It had a taint especially when Drexel went under
Tony James: 所以我们当时坐在第二名的位置,我们只是继承了整个世界,从这个意义上说,它成为了华尔街最赚钱的部分。在12年里,我们占据了所有高收益债券交易量的40%。德崇证券的倒闭对我们的银行业务是一个巨大的推动。它对我们的主体业务帮助不大,但对我们来说是一个巨大的推动。
Original English
Tony James: and so we were we were sitting there in second place and we we just inherited the world in that sense and it became the most profitable part of of Wall Street. We we accounted for all 40% of all trading volume and high yield for 12 years. It was a huge Drexel's going on was a huge boost to our banking business. It didn't really help our our principal business much, but it was a huge boost to our
David: 你能够从德崇证券招募到真正的人才。
Original English
David: You were able to recruit like real talent from from Drexel.
Tony James: 我们做到了。肯·穆利斯(Ken Mullis)是一个重要人物,本内特(Bennett)也至关重要,尽管本(Ben)当时只是一名助理。
Original English
Tony James: We were we were Ken Mullis was a a big one and and Bennett was a was huge and although Ben was only an associate at the time, but
Tony James: 但我始终相信年轻人才,优秀的年轻人才,并释放他们的潜力。这在我的职业生涯中一直对我很有帮助。
Original English
Tony James: but I always believe in young talent, great young talent and and unleash them. So that's always served me well uh throughout my career to
David: 完全正确,这在我的许多对话中都得到了体现。嗯,是的,也许可以谈谈商业银行平台的创立,以及它是如何最终发展成为当时世界上最大的平台之一的。
Original English
David: totally and that that has definitely shined through in a a lot of my conversations. Um yeah I mean maybe just kind of talk through the inception of the of the merchant banking you know kind of false platform and you know how that grew ultimately I think it became one of the largest or the largest in the world at the time.
商业银行部门的开创
Tony James: 对。嗯,再说一次,KKR在1980年做了那笔胡代(Huda)交易,我说哇,这是我们可以做的事情。我们甚至不需要客户。在某种程度上,我们就是客户。
Original English
Tony James: Right. Well again KKR does that Huda deal back in 1980 and I said wow this is something we can do. We don't even have to have a client. We're the client in a way. Y
Tony James: 所以我去了公司,我说我们应该做这个,当时我负责并购业务,这本身就是对现实的一种扭曲,因为我当时大概30岁,也许不是30岁,29岁。
Original English
Tony James: and so I went to the firm and I said we should do this as I was running M&A at the time which in and of itself was some kind of distortion of reality because I was like 30 maybe not 30 29
Tony James: 嗯,他们说,他们说回去工作,我们有一个主体业务叫做Sprout,是风险投资。好的,他们知道如何购买东西,你知道如何提供建议,所以回去提供建议。
Original English
Tony James: um and they said they said go back go back to work with you we have a principal business called Sprout the venture capital okay and they you know they are they know how to buy things and you know how to advise so go back to advising
Tony James: 于是我在接下来的一年左右给他们发了几笔交易,他们说:“不,那行不通。”然后其他人会去做,赚很多钱。我不断地去公司说:“这太荒谬了。这些人不知道如何摆脱困境。”嗯,所以最终他们把责任交给了我,我们从一笔里程碑式的交易开始。我想那是当时第三大杠杆收购。我们收购了国际家庭用品公司(Household International)的零售子公司。我们最终拥有了Vans、Ben Franklin、TGI。
Original English
Tony James: y And I sent them a few deals over the next year or so and they said, "No, that doesn't work." And then someone else would do it and make a lot of money. And I kept going to the firm and saying, "This is ridiculous. These guys don't know how to get out of their way." Um, so ultimately they gave me the responsibility and we started off with a landmark deal. I think it was the third biggest LBO ever called. We bought the retailing subseries from Household International. We ended up with Vans and Ben Franklin, um, TGI
Tony James: 还有Coast to Coast Hardware Stores。
Original English
Tony James: and, uh, Coast to Coast Hardware Stores.
Tony James: 我们把它们拆分、切割并全部出售。我们完成了交易。我们完成了交易,投入了几亿美元的股权。在交易完成的第二天,我们取出了4亿美元,或者说一个巨大的数字,因为我们把折扣业务卖给了另一家折扣商,最终基本上免费拥有了南加州一家很棒的杂货店,叫做Vans。
Original English
Tony James: And we sliced and diced and sold them all. And we closed. We closed and we put up a couple hundred million equity. And the day after closing, we pulled out $400 million or some some huge number because we sold the discount business to another discounter and ended up essentially owning a great grocery store in Southern California called Vans for free.
David: 是的。我在南加州长大,经常去Vans。在那前后,我们做了大量的高收益债券和其他业务,这让我们声名鹊起。所以,这促使我们募集了一支基金,这是一支回报率非常高的基金。所以后来我们得到了很多后续投资,但我们在启动新业务方面非常积极。我们启动了二级市场业务(secondaries business)、基金中的基金业务、房地产业务,正如我提到的所有这些事情,它们几乎都成功了。那些日子的私募市场竞争不那么激烈。
Original English
David: Yep. I grew up going to Vans, San Southern California. And around that we did massive amounts of high yield and one thing and another and that put us on the map. So and and led to us raising a fund and it was a very high return fund. So that then we got a lot of followons but we were we were pretty aggressive about starting new businesses. We we started a secondaries business, a fund of funds business, real estate as I mentioned all these things and they all pretty much all worked. the the private markets in those days was not as competitive
Tony James: 嗯,而且价格更低,以息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的倍数等来看。而且公司资产重,所以有很多可操作的空间。
Original English
Tony James: and um and prices prices were lower as a multiple of IBIDA and whatnot and and companies were asset heavy so there there was a lot to work with there.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 当我们把DLJ卖给瑞士信贷(Credit Suisse)时,这项业务的资产管理规模约为290亿美元。嗯,黑石集团当时是十几亿美元。所以只是为了说明一下。
Original English
Tony James: And that and we built that business when we when we sold DJ to to to credit Swiss it was about a 29 billion AUM business. Um Blackstone at the time was high teens. So just to put that in context
Tony James: 嗯,所以那是一个关键资产,一旦它被放入一家瑞士银行,他们就有了所有机构问题。
Original English
Tony James: and um so that that that was a key asset once it got put into a Swiss bank they had all of the institutional issues
David: 对。
Original English
David: right
Tony James: 以及所有其他大公司对主体业务的缺乏承诺。所以它开始逐渐衰落。
Original English
Tony James: and the lack of commitment to the principal business that all the other big firms had. So it kind of started to waste away but
DLJ出售给瑞士信贷
David: 那么,出售DLJ给瑞士信贷的核心动机是什么?是有什么宏观原因,还是仅仅是时机好?我很好奇。我认为既有宏观原因也有微观原因。嗯,正如我提到的,DLJ当时经历了一段非常辉煌的时期。嗯,那是2000年,说实话,我环顾四周说:“哇,市场似乎达到了某种顶峰。”嗯,与此同时,行业也在发生变化。嗯,格拉斯-斯蒂格尔法案(Glass-Steagall)正在废除。所以,银行带着非常雄厚的资本进入市场。
Original English
David: and what and what was the kind of core motivation to sell uh DJ to credit suites? Was there some like a macro reason or just good timing? I'm just curious. I think there were macro and micro reasons. Um, DJ had had a hell of a run as I mentioned. Um, and this was 2000 and honestly I looked around and said, "Wow, the market's at some kind of peak." Um, and at the same time the industry was changing. Uh, Glasssteagall was coming down. So, the banks were coming in with very deep capital pockets.
Tony James: 嗯,关于研究部门(这是DLJ的强项)如何与投资银行部门紧密合作的法规也在改变。是的,先生。
Original English
Tony James: uh regulations were changing about how closely research which was DJ strength could work with investment banking. Yes, sir.
Tony James: 嗯,市场也在变化。我们从议价费率转向非常低的佣金费率,所以大公司基本上是在盈亏平衡的基础上做现金业务,以便从衍生品中赚钱。我们没有衍生品业务,也没有技术来建立一个。
Original English
Tony James: Um markets were changing. We'd gone from uh we'd gone from negot we'd gone from negotiated rates to very low commission rates and so the big firms were essentially doing the cash business on break even B basis to make money on the derivatives. We didn't have a derivatives business and we didn't have the technology to build one.
David: 有趣。嗯,然后我们在高收益债券和私募股权方面的成功意味着我们的资产负债表快要用完了。我们的夹层基金有10亿美元,突然之间你正在做10亿美元的夹层贷款。所以你一次只能做一笔交易,如果犯了一个错误,你就会破产,因为其中有1亿美元是我们的,顺便说一句。
Original English
David: Interesting. Um, and then the our success in in in high yield and and and private equity meant we running out of balance sheet. Our bridge fund was $1 billion and all of a sudden you were doing $1 billion bridge loans. So you can do one deal at a time and if one mistake and you're out of business because a hundred million of that was ours at the bottom by the way,
David: 这占我们股权的40%左右。所以,所以在我看来,当时一切看起来都很棒。
Original English
David: which was 40% of our equity or something. So So it just seemed to me like everything looked great right then. Y
Tony James: 但这是不可持续的。
Original English
Tony James: but was unsustainable.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Y
Tony James: 所以,嗯,我试图推动管理层,嗯,我是二把手,但我试图推动首席执行官(CEO)对未来进行一些投资,但他老实说并不想,而且那意味着几年的艰难盈利。所以,嗯,我们决定出售公司。我想,回想起来,很多人因为这个决定而责怪我,责怪我让他们失去了机会,因为在DLJ工作有一种“大同世界”的感觉,人们至今仍在谈论。他们每年仍然聚会两次。
Original English
Tony James: so uh and and I tried to push the management uh I was number two but I tried to push the CEO to kind of like invest in the future a little bit but it's he didn't really want to honestly and and it would have meant meant some tough years for earnings. So, um, we decided to sell the company. And I I'd say I think in retrospect, a lot of people blame me for that decision, for pulling the rug out for them because because working at DOJ had a little bit of a of a of um, you know, kumbaya feel to it that people still talk about. They still get together twice a year.
David: 太棒了。
Original English
David: That's amazing.
Tony James: 他们怀念那些日子。
Original English
Tony James: And and and pine over those days. Um,
Tony James: 嗯,不是瑞士银行(Swiss bank)那么回事。我们以140亿美元现金出售了它,两三年后摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)以80亿美元出售。
Original English
Tony James: not so much Swiss bank. We sold it for 14 billion of cash and two or three years later Morgan Stanley sold for eight.
David: 哦,哇。
Original English
David: Oh wow.
Tony James: 所以我会说,如果我们要退出,因为我们没有一张好牌,那么时机真的很好。
Original English
Tony James: So I would say our timing was if you're going to exit because you don't have a winning hand. Y the timing was really good.
David: 完全正确。
Original English
David: Totally.
Tony James: 嗯,现在它碰巧是一次本质上的平等合并,但它。
Original English
Tony James: Uh now that it happened to be it it happened to be a essentially a merger of equals but it was
David: 那从来都不好看。
Original English
David: that's that's never pretty.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
David: 尤其当你有两家文化如此不同的公司时。
Original English
David: Especially when you have two firms of such different cultures.
David: 完全正确。
Original English
David: Totally.
好市多与星巴克的投资故事
David: 关于你在DLJ时期的一个我最喜欢的趣闻是,你知道我们现在坐在一家风险投资办公室里,你主导了对好市多的A轮投资。
Original English
David: One of my favorite fun facts uh about your time at DLJ and you know we're sitting in a venture capital office was that you you led the series A into Costco
David: 在1980年代。嗯。
Original English
David: in the 1980s. Uh
David: 我必须多听听那个故事。你知道。
Original English
David: I have to hear more about that story. You know
Tony James: 顺便说一句,还有星巴克(Starbucks)。
Original English
Tony James: Starbucks too by the way.
David: 是吗?
Original English
David: Is that right?
Tony James: 是的。
Original English
Tony James: Yeah.
David: 哦,哇。
Original English
David: Oh wow.
Tony James: 我是说,还有其他一些。它们并非都那么成功。
Original English
Tony James: I mean a few others. They weren't all that successful.
David: 太棒了。你可能是史上最优秀的零售风险投资家。嗯,我想你是如何认识吉姆·西尼格尔(Jim Sinegal)和杰夫·布罗特曼(Jeff Brotman)的?然后最终,你当时在他们身上看到了什么?
Original English
David: That's amazing. You might be the best uh retail venture capitalist of all time. Um, I guess how did you meet, you know, Jim Sagal and Jeff Broman and then ultimately like what did you see in them at at that time?
Tony James: 嗯,他们走进来,我当时不认识他们,他们说:“嘿,我们有一个我们认为非常有趣的机会。当时有一个类似的单位叫做Price Club。它在圣地亚哥开业了。
Original English
Tony James: Well, they walked in they walked in unknown to me and said, "Gee, we have we have what we think is a really interesting opportunity. Uh there was one unit like that called Price Club. It had opened in San Diego.
David: 对。是的。杰夫(Jeff)当时是二把手,或者说吉姆(Jim)是二把手,杰夫招募他来创办好市多,并在太平洋西北地区开设同样的业务。
Original English
David: That's right. Yep. where where Jeff had been the number two or sorry, Jim had been the number two uh there and Jeff recruited him to come start Costco and open the same thing in the Pacific Northwest.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 嗯,高盛的一位名叫乔·埃利斯(Joe Ellis)的研究员写了一份报告,阐述了这种商业模式,它非常强大和优雅。嗯,所以它在一个案例中得到了验证,而且太平洋西北地区是一个非常好的市场,非常富裕,是一个非常好的市场。
Original English
Tony James: Um there was a research report from a Goldman named Joe Ellis that sort of laid out the business model and it was very very powerful and elegant. Um and so and it was proven in one case and and the the Pacific Northwest was a very good market, very affluent and very good market.
Tony James: 吉姆(Jim)是我见过的最优秀的管理者之一。也许是最好的。他不是那种被驱动的人。
Original English
Tony James: Jim was one of the best executives I've ever met. May maybe the best. He's not he's driven.
Tony James: 他在执行的最小细节上表现出色,但在最大的原则上也同样出色。他非常清楚,他从不妥协。他从不做权宜之计。他总是以服务客户为中心,并推动竞争优势达到无人能及的境地。
Original English
Tony James: He he can he can he's excellent on the smallest details of execution but also the biggest principles. He knows exactly he, you know, he never compromises. He never does something that's expedient. It's always about serving the customer and driving the competitive advantage to where no one else can can go.
David: 完全正确。
Original English
David: Totally.
Tony James: 他在这方面毫不松懈,拥有令人难以置信的卓越标准和专注、专注、专注。嗯,你知道,这个人一年出差225天。你知道,作为一名首席执行官。
Original English
Tony James: Just relentless about that and incredible standards of excellence and focus, focus, focus. Um, and you know, the guy the guy traveled 225 days a year. you know, as a CEO
David: 完全正确。
Original English
David: totally
Tony James: 他出席每一次开业典礼,知道店里每件商品的价格。所以,你不可能遇到一个像他这样充满力量的人而不被震撼。同时,他与杰夫·布罗特曼(Jeff Broman)搭档,杰夫是一位聪明的律师,房地产律师,在西雅图也拥有一些零售商。他非常了解那个市场。
Original English
Tony James: and was at every opening, knew the price of every item in the store. And so, you can't meet a guy like that who's a total force of nature and not be blown away. At the same time, he was coupled with Jeff Broman, who's a clever lawyer, real estate lawyer, and also owns some retailers up in Seattle. He really knew that market
Tony James: 而且这家店的经济模式如此强大,令人信服。我当时想。
Original English
Tony James: and the the the economic model of of the store was so powerful that it was compelling. I thought
David: 完全正确。
Original English
David: totally
Tony James: 而且你不是在押注一项新技术。市场会接受它吗?它会奏效吗?因为当时有。
Original English
Tony James: and and you're not like betting on a new technology. Is the market going to embrace it or is it going to work because there was
Tony James: 它非常平淡无奇,甚至像我这样的人也能理解,而且它有一个可行的模型。
Original English
Tony James: it was pretty prosaic and you're someone like even me I could understand it but also there was a working model.
David: 是的。所以我们做了那件事,然后它成为了有史以来最伟大的投资之一。我必须说,我学到的一件事是,很多人我认为持有时间过长。我可能卖得太早了。
Original English
David: Yep. So, we did that and then and it it was one of the all-time great investments. I have to say one thing I learned is a lot of people I think hold things too long. I probably sell too early.
David: 嗯,我们会深入探讨,我是说,关于你与好市多合作的另一个惊人事实是,你已经在董事会任职38年了,这可能是我能想到的美国公司治理中任期最长的之一。嗯,为什么?好市多对你意味着什么?为什么你能在董事会或相关职位上待这么久?
Original English
David: Well, we we'll get into I mean again the other amazing fact about your, you know, time with Costco is that you've you've been on the board I think 38 years which is probably one of the longest tenures in American corporate governance that I can think of. Um, why like what has Costco meant to you, you know, and why have you stayed on the board or in affiliated for for so long?
Tony James: 嗯,我是说,大卫(David),当你找到几位高管,并在公司成立之前、营收为零之前、订单为零之前就支持他们时,你会像他们一样觉得自己是一名创始人。
Original English
Tony James: Well, I mean I mean David, you when you find an a couple of executives and back them before there's a company, before there's a dollar of revenue, before there's an order, um, you feel as much as they do that you're a founder.
David: 完全正确。
Original English
David: Totally.
Tony James: 所以它变得像,像,像,我现在是一名董事。我已经经历了三任首席执行官。
Original English
Tony James: And so it it becomes like like like and I'm, you know, I've been a director now. I'm on my third CEO.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 所以,感觉就像我认同这家公司,仿佛它是我的。我不想剥夺我们拥有的优秀管理团队的任何功劳。我们确实拥有优秀的管理团队,但我情感上感受到了那种联系和归属感。
Original English
Tony James: So, it feels like like I identify with the company as if it's mine. I I don't want to take any credit away from the great management we've had. We have had great management, but I I emotionally I feel that kind of connection and that sense of ownership.
Tony James: 嗯,另外,它就是一家如此优秀的公司,我不断地从他们那里学习,他们做事情的方式和他们思考问题的方式。他们非常脚踏实地,非常专注,但他们总能做出非常好的决策。
Original English
Tony James: Um, also it's it's just such a great company that I'm I I'm constantly learning from them, the things they do and the way they think about it. and they're they're not they're you know they're they're very down to earth and very focused but they come to such good decisions all the time
Tony James: 然后,如果你像我多年来在黑石集团一样是一名投资者,你从世界第二大零售商那里获得的全球视野,哪些商品畅销,哪些商品不畅销,消费者如何反应,供应成本是多少,发生了什么,关税对我们的收入、成本有什么影响,我们如何处理运输等等。这是一个巨大的增值信息来源。
Original English
Tony James: and then as you're if you're an investor as I was for many years at Blackstone the window on the world that you get from the second largest retailer in the world what goods are working what goods aren't working how are consumers reacting what's the cost of supply what's happening what what are tariffs doing to our income you know our in cost what how are we handling how are we handling uh shipping and all that stuff. It's a it's a huge source of value added information.
David: 所以对于很多人来说,我是说,我感觉在那里有一种真正的认同感。我想,你从观察好市多的成长中学到了什么?比如业务建设,或者你知道,他们以企业文化闻名,对员工的态度,以及最终通过保持低价和主要通过会员费而不是产品利润为最终客户创造价值。但我很好奇,我是说,业务显然增长了很多,我是说从无到有,你知道,到今天。
Original English
David: So for a lot of I mean I I I'm feel like a real sense of identity there. I guess what have you what have you learned from watching Costco grow in terms of you know business building or you know they're so famous for for culture right and how they treat their employees and ultimately the value they deliver back to the end customer by by keeping prices low and really making money through the membership more than they do on margin on the products but I I'm curious if I mean the business has grown obviously so much I mean from nothing you know to what it is today
David: 你知道。
Original English
David: you know
Tony James: 是的,2500亿美元,是的。
Original English
Tony James: yeah 250 billion yeah um
Tony James: 嗯,我认为DLJ、好市多和黑石集团之间有一些相似之处,但专注于好市多,嗯,我们建立它,首先,一切都是为了照顾客户。如果你真的很好地照顾客户。
Original English
Tony James: I I think there's there's some similarities between DJ, Costco and and Blackstone actually, but but focusing on Costco um we we built that it was first of all all about taking care of the customer. If you if you take really take great care of the customer
Tony James: 嗯,那么,你知道,很多事情都会随之而来。你拥有一个强大的商业模式,拥有庞大的追随者特许经营权。你会获得大量的增长,你的股东也会表现良好。所以,照顾好你的客户。建立高质量的长期业务。永远不要担心短期权宜之计。哎呀,我们这个季度表现不佳。让我们提高价格,或者让我们出售一些房地产。我们不必拥有房地产或其他东西。太容易被短期权宜之计所诱惑。同样地,多年来人们一直来找我们说,你应该买这个,或者你应该买那个,嗯,我们真的,如果我们把我们正在做的事情做得非常好,我们总是能获得如此多的增长。我们从未因此而分心。所以,专注,专注,专注,执行,完美执行细节。着眼长远。建立质量,并不断降低价格。不断提升你对客户的价值。永远不要让它停滞不前。
Original English
Tony James: um then um you know a lot follows from that. You have a you have a robust business model with a fantastic following franchise and you get a lot of growth and your shareholders do fine. So take care of your customer. Build quality long term. Don't ever worry about short-term expediency. Gee, we're having a soft quarter. Let's raise prices or let's sell some real estate. We don't have to own the real estate or this other thing. It's so easy to get um enticed into short-term expediency. Similarly, people have been coming to us for years of you should buy this or you should buy that and and um we really we've always had so much growth in doing just what we do if we do it really well. We just have never been distracted by that. So focus, focus, focus, execution, flawless execution of details. Build for the long term. Build quality and keep driving your prices down. Keep enhancing your value to your customer. Never let that be static.
Tony James: 所以我们给客户的价值越多,如果好市多能找到新的电池来源并节省五分钱,那五分钱的100%都会转化为更低的价格。没有一部分会变成更高的利润。
Original English
Tony James: So the more value we give to So whatever if if Costco can go find a new source for batteries and save a nickel, a 100% of that nickel gets lower prices. None of it goes into higher margin.
Tony James: 所以他们总是在努力降低价格。所以他们的客户价值主张(customer value proposition)不断增长。
Original English
Tony James: And so they're always driving down prices. So their customer value proposition keeps growing.
David: 完全正确。
Original English
David: Totally.
Tony James: 大多数公司。
Original English
Tony James: Most companies
Tony James: 要么因为想多赚一点钱而蚕食它,要么就让它停滞不前。嗯。
Original English
Tony James: either nibble away at it because they're tempted to have a little more earnings or they let it be static. Mhm.
Tony James: 而好市多总是在努力提高客户价值主张。所以我认为这些都是任何企业的好经验。
Original English
Tony James: And Costco's always driving to increase the customer value proposition. So I think those are all good lessons for any business.
查理·芒格的智慧与信念
David: 完全正确。我知道。我知道我们最初见面,我想是在好市多董事会会议的背景下。
Original English
David: Totally. I know. I know we originally met I think in the in the context of the Costco uh you know board meeting and
David: 嗯,你知道,他当时没有亲自到场,但是,你知道,当我见到董事会时,查理·芒格(Charlie Munger)还在董事会里,我想你们一起共事了30年。
Original English
David: um you know I he wasn't there in person but you know when I when I met with the board Charlie Mer was still on the board and I think you guys served together for we did 30 years.
Tony James: 30年。是的。
Original English
Tony James: 30 years. Yeah.
David: 嗯,你知道,他真是个传奇人物。我想,你知道,在那几十年里,你从查理·芒格那里学到了什么?
Original English
David: Um you know he's such a legend. I guess you know what did you learn from Charlie Munger over you know those few decades?
Tony James: 嗯,首先,查理(Charlie)在智力上从不妥协。嗯,如果他不喜欢某样东西,你永远不会怀疑他对事情的看法。
Original English
Tony James: Well first of all Charlie never compromises intellectually. Um if he doesn't like something there you're in never in any doubt what he thinks about things.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Y
Tony James: 嗯,顺便说一句,他也不是,我喜欢这一点。这不意味着他总是对的,但他绝大多数时候都是对的。
Original English
Tony James: and um and he isn't either by the way which which I love. It doesn't mean he was always right, but he was right as high hugely high percentage of the time.
David: 我相信。
Original English
David: I believe that
Tony James: 嗯,查理(Charlie)相信公司。所以即使我们有疑虑,你知道管理层和董事会,哎呀,这会奏效吗?亚马逊(Amazon)现在会击垮我们吗?他们正在收购全食超市(Whole Foods)。哦,天哪,他们会做这个或那个吗?在亚马逊之前,是沃尔玛(Walmart)。他相信公司。不,你们是最棒的。直接去对抗他们。在本顿维尔开那家店,你会把沃尔玛打得落花流水。
Original English
Tony James: um Charlie believed in the company. So even when we would have doubts u and you know the the management and the board, gee, is this going to work? Is Amazon going to flatten us now? They're buying Whole Foods. Oh my god, are they going to do this or that? And before Amazon, it was Walmart. He believed in the company. No, you're the best. Just go right at them. open that unit in Bentonville, you'll beat the heck out of Walmart.
David: 结果真的发生了。
Original English
David: And it happened.
Tony James: 是的。
Original English
Tony James: Yeah.
Tony James: 不,别担心全食超市。你会打垮他们。结果真的发生了。
Original English
Tony James: And no, don't worry about Whole Foods. You'll crush them. It happened.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Y
Tony James: 所以,你知道,他真的是一个信徒,有充分的理由。他不是盲目的。但有时那种自信感,我也试图将这种自信感灌输到我经营的企业中。你们很棒。你们真的非常棒。相信自己。你们无所不能。是的。
Original English
Tony James: and so, you know, he he he was really a believer uh with good reason. It's not he wasn't blind. But sometimes that sense of confidence and I tried to put that in the businesses that I've run too, that sense of confidence. You're you are good. You're really really good. Believe in yourself. You can do anything. Yep.
David: 人们会失去这种能力,查理(Charlie)能把一切浓缩成一句精辟的话。
Original English
David: And people lose that that um um Charlie could distill everything into a sound bite.
Tony James: 你知道,我,我们,我当时,你知道,他们拥有一家报纸,我想《华尔街日报》(Wall Street Journal)当时正在出售,我说:“查理(Char),你觉得报纸怎么样?”他说,他说:“报纸业务。托尼(Tony),这不是一门生意。它是一口油井。它正在枯竭至零。”我说:“那《华尔街日报》呢?”“嗯,那不是报纸。那是一本行业期刊。”我是说,一切都说对了。他把它提炼成如此易懂、可理解的。
Original English
Tony James: You know, I we were we I was, you know, they owned a newspaper and I think Wall Street Journal was up for sale and I said, "Char, what do you think about newspapers?" He said, he says, "This the newspaper business." This is not a business, Tony. It's an oil well. It's depleting to zero. I said, "Well, what about the Wall Street Journal?" "Well, that's not a newspaper. That's a trade journal." I mean everything gets right. He distills it into such an accessible, understandable
Tony James: 嗯。
Original English
Tony James: um
Tony James: 思考问题的方式。查理(Charlie)是我的磐石。我每两周都会和他通电话,无论我们是否在董事会。我们谈论世界。很多时候我都会说:“查理(Charlie),我开始担心这件事了。”他绝对是一块磐石。
Original English
Tony James: way of thinking about things. Charlie was my uh my rock. I I talked to him every two weeks whether we were in the board or not. We talked about the world. There are many times when I'd say, "Charlie, I'm I'm starting to worry about this other thing." And he he was an absolute rock.
Tony James: 所以,我是说,我爱这个人。说实话,我的会议室、我的办公室里有他的半身像。
Original English
Tony James: So, I mean, I love the guy. Honestly, I have a bust bust of him in my conference room, my office.
Tony James: 嗯,真正的导师。嗯,非常忠诚,非常支持,嗯,而且原则性非常强。没有任何偷工减料的情况。
Original English
Tony James: uh real mentor uh so loyal, so supportive and um and very very high principles. There was there was no no cutting corners on anything.
David: 完全正确。他98岁高龄时还在参加董事会会议。我是说,这真是太了不起了。
Original English
David: Totally. And he was still coming to board meetings at like 98 years old, you know. I mean, it's pretty pretty
Tony James: 嗯,直到他去世。是的。
Original English
Tony James: well to all the way to his death. Yeah.
David: 我是说,那真是非凡。所以,我想转到黑石集团,我想,你知道,大多数人认识你都是因为你在那家公司的发展中产生了巨大的影响。嗯,你知道,谈谈你第一次见到史蒂夫·施瓦茨曼(Steve Schwarzman)的情景。我知道那是在你加入公司之前。当然。当时你们的谈话是怎样的?他是如何让你加入的?
Original English
David: I mean, that is remarkable. So, I want to transition to Blackstone, which I think, you know, most people know you for because you had such a huge impact on the growth of that business. um you know talk through kind of when you first met Steve Schwarzman. I know it was kind of before you you joined the firm. Sure. And what was sort of the conversation like you know for him getting you to join and
加入黑石集团的决策
Tony James: 是的。好的。
Original English
Tony James: Yeah. Okay.
Tony James: 是的,我想我们第一次认真接触可以追溯到1989年,当时我们正在合作一笔交易,收购一家名为CNW的铁路公司。那是一个动荡的时期,因为市场正在崩溃。我们正处于对这家铁路公司进行公开投标的“怀孕期”。我们是股权股东,但我们也提供所有高收益债券和并购业务,这是我们商业模式的一部分。投入少量股权,获得所有投资银行业务。我们有一笔大的高收益债券交易,其中包含一个重置票据。
Original English
Tony James: Yeah. I I think our first serious engagement dates to back to 1989 I think it is when we we were working on a deal together to buy a railroad company called CN CNW. And it was a hairy time because the markets were falling apart. We were sort of pregnant with this public bid for this railroad company. We were an equity shareholder, but we were also providing all the high yield debt and the M&A and on and on and on and on part of our business model. Put a little equity in, get all the investment banking business. And we had a we had um a big high yield deal which had a reset note
Tony James: 史蒂夫(Steve)当时对重置票据的概念感到犹豫。我想我们当时定价是15%,它可能会重置到18%。想想今天的利率。
Original English
Tony James: and Steve was bcking at the concept of a reset note. I think we're pricing at 15% and it could reset up to 18. Think of those rates today.
David: 完全正确。
Original English
David: Totally.
Tony James: 但史蒂夫(Steve)说:“不,我不会做重置,因为我知道你们会把它重置到最高点。”这只是,你知道,这是,嗯,史蒂夫(Steve)有一个很好的直觉。
Original English
Tony James: But Steve said, "No, I don't I'm not going to do the reset because I know you guys will reset it to the max." That's just, you know, and this is Well, Steve has a great inst.
Tony James: 嗯,是的。以及如何避免它,但可能会发生什么。
Original English
Tony James: Um Yeah. And how to avoid it, but what might happen.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 如果没有重置,我们就无法出售。当然,这告诉你的是,市场都认为它会被重置。
Original English
Tony James: And we couldn't sell it without the reset. And of course what that tells you is the market all thought it would be reset.
David: 有趣。
Original English
David: Interesting,
Tony James: 对吧?或者至少你愿意承担风险。所以我们来回讨论,我们已经做了一笔夹层贷款。所以我们需要完成这笔融资。你知道,故事是史蒂夫(Steve)说:“那么,你愿意把你的个人资金投入其中吗?”我说:“是的。”嗯,所以我们说:“好的,如果它重置到最高点,你就会付给我一定数量的钱。”我说:“好的。”坦率地说,我付给史蒂夫的金额与如果交易没有完成公司会损失的金额相比微不足道。
Original English
Tony James: right? Or at least you want to take the risk. So we kind of went round and round and round that we had done a we had done a bridge loan. So we were we needed to get this financing done. And and you know the story is Steve said, "Well, are you willing to put your money on on your own personal money on the line?" And I said, "Yes." Um, and so we said, "Okay, if it resets to the max, you you'll you'll pay me a certain amount of money." And I said, "Okay." Frankly, the amount I would pay Steve was dwarfed by the amount the firm would lose if we didn't get the deal done.
Tony James: 我想史蒂夫(Steve)无论如何都会屈服,但对我来说,这是一个很好的例子,说明了输掉一场战役以赢得一场战争。我觉得如果我能给史蒂夫一点“肉”,
Original English
Tony James: And I Steve might have knuckled under anyway, but to me, this was a a very good example of losing a battle to win the war. And I felt like if I could give Steve a, you know, a pound of flesh,
Tony James: 那么我就可以完成整个事情。
Original English
Tony James: then I could get the whole thing done.
Tony James: 而且,一个人出钱的想法,如果史蒂夫(Steve)不得不支付更高的利率,那并不是史蒂夫本人,而是有限合伙人(LPs)不得不支付更高的利率,我就会损失一些钱。所有这些都吸引了他。
Original English
Tony James: And and and and the idea of someone putting a money up and actually if Steve had to pay more interest rate, which wasn't Steve really, it was the LPS had to pay a higher, I would lose some money. All that appealed to him.
Tony James: 所以这奏效了,他同意了。我们完成了交易,嗯,你知道,我们俩对那件事的看法略有不同。
Original English
Tony James: So that that did the trick and and he agreed. we got the deal done and um you know we both look back on that slightly differently
Tony James: 但我想我们各自在心里都完成了一些事情,这有时是达成交易所需要的。
Original English
Tony James: but I think we each accomplished something in our own heads which is sometimes what it takes to make a deal.
Tony James: 所以在那之后,我长期负责投资银行业务,史蒂夫(Steve)是客户,不一定是关系最密切的客户。他与化学银行(Chemical Bank)和吉米·李(Jimmy Lee)以及其他银行做了很多业务,但我们会偶尔,比如每年一次午餐之类的。嗯,然后DLJ出售后,我不得不作为合并协议条件的一部分,同意再坚持两年。顺便说一句,没有其他员工这样做。但我坚持了两年,然后决定那不好玩。
Original English
Tony James: So then after that I was running investment banking for a long time and Steve was a client not necessarily the closest client. He did a lot with with Chemical Bank and Jimmy Lee and other banks but but we would we would have a casual like a once a once a year lunch or something like that. Um, and then after DJ was sold, I had to had to agree as part of the condition of merger agreement to stick it out for two years. Uh, no other employee did, by the way. But I'd stuck my two years out and then decided that it wasn't fun.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 而且我反正想做点别的事情。我对DLJ那种专有所有权的感觉,就像我对好市多的感觉一样,已经消失了。
Original English
Tony James: And that I wanted to do something else anyway. My DJ that I felt that same sense of proprietary ownership for that I felt for Costco was gone.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 史蒂夫(Steve)突然打电话说:“我们能一起吃午饭吗?”然后一件事接着一件事。他说他已经找人招聘了几年了。
Original English
Tony James: Steve called out of the blue and said, "Can we have lunch?" And one thing led to another. and he said he'd been looking to hire someone for a couple years and
Tony James: 我是否考虑进来帮助管理公司?
Original English
Tony James: would I consider coming in and and helping run the firm?
Tony James: 我的第一反应是,天哪,史蒂夫(Steve),你是个难缠的老板,我大概有15年没当过下属了。
Original English
Tony James: And my first reaction was, geez, Steve, you're a tough boss and I really haven't had a boss in like 15 years.
David: 完全正确。
Original English
David: Totally.
Tony James: 我真的,你知道,DLJ上市又私有化了几次,所以我真的不需要工作。我说:“史蒂夫(Steve),我不知道我是否想被告知该做什么或不该做什么。我很久没有这种感觉了。”他说:“不,不,不。嗯,嗯,你进来,你日常管理公司。我们会一直沟通。我会支持你。嗯,如果你知道,如果我们意见不合,顺便说一句,我们98%的时间都意见一致。”
Original English
Tony James: And I I don't really, you know, DJ went public and went private a few times, so I didn't really need to work. And I said, "Steve, I don't know that I want to be told what to do or what not to do. I haven't had that in a long time." He said, "No, no, no. Um, uh, you come in, you run the firm dayto day. We'll talk all the time. I'll back you. Um, if you know, if we don't agree, uh, by the way, we agreed 98% of the time.
Tony James: 我会支持你。嗯,但如果表现不好,我保留解雇你的权利。是的。
Original English
Tony James: I'll back you. Um, but if performance is not good, I reserve the right to get rid of you." Yeah.
Tony James: 我说:“这很公平。”
Original English
Tony James: I said, "That's fair."
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 嗯,所以我们达成了一项协议,他可以随时解雇我。我获得了我所拥有的一切的即时归属权。
Original English
Tony James: Um, so we cut a deal where he could get rid of me at a drop of a hat. I got I was vested up to the minute and whatever I had.
David: 当然。
Original English
David: Sure.
Tony James: 我们同意尝试一下。
Original English
Tony James: And we agreed to try it
David: 就像许多企业家一样,我们都见过这种情况,他们说他们会,或者他们想引进某人,当时黑石集团及其所有业务都存在问题。
Original English
David: like like so many entrepreneurs I we've all seen this right where they say they'll or they they want to bring someone in and and there were issues with around Blackstone at the time and all the businesses
David: 但一旦这些问题逐渐消失,这位企业家就会想要重新掌控。
Original English
David: but then once once those issues are kind of fade then the then this entrepreneur wants to kind of reassert control.
David: 完全正确。
Original English
David: Totally.
Tony James: 我必须说,史蒂夫(Steve)绝对是一位君子。我是说,他总是尊重我的角色,嗯,以及日常管理公司的工作。我做了很多改变,当我做出这些改变时,很多人不喜欢。他100%支持我。即使他当时不确定它们是否正确。
Original English
Tony James: I have to say Steve was an absolute prince. I mean, he he he he always respected my role and and and and um running the day-to-day firm when a lot of the I made a lot of changes and when I made those changes, a lot of people didn't like him. He backed me 100%. Even when he wasn't necessarily sure they were right,
Tony James: 嗯,结果证明它们是正确的。
Original English
Tony James: um they turned out to be right,
Tony James: 但他是一位很棒的老板,我真的必须这么说。而且这很难。这是他的心血。
Original English
Tony James: but but he was he was a great he was a great boss really, I have to say. And and that's hard. is his baby,
David: 对吧?
Original English
David: right?
Tony James: 把这种控制权,这种程度的控制权交给别人。一百个人里没有一个会这样做。所以,向史蒂夫(Steve)致敬。
Original English
Tony James: To give that element of control, that level of control to someone else. I'm not one in a hundred would have done that. So, credit to Steve.
David: 完全正确。嗯,我想,你知道,你显然可以创办自己的公司。你知道,我采访过的大多数人,无论是乔·帕拉塔(Joe Parata)还是迈克尔·蔡(Michael Chay)或者,你知道,嗯,大卫·布利策(David Blitzer),这些人都谈论托尼·詹姆斯(Tony James)加入黑石集团之前和之后的黑石集团。我是说,因为你加入时,我想是在公司成立17年后。
Original English
David: Totally. Well, and I guess like, you know, you could have obviously started your own firm. You know, most of the people I've, you know, spoken to, whether it was Joe Parata or Michael Chay or, you know, um, David Blitzer, like any of these folks talk about kind of Blackstone before Tony James and Blackstone after Tony James. I mean cuz you joined I think what 17 years after the firm's founding
Tony James: 大概吧。
Original English
Tony James: uh thereabouts
Tony James: 我想,嗯。
Original English
Tony James: I think um
David: 你是如何考虑加入一家公司而不是可能创办自己的公司的?然后,你知道,我们会谈谈业务的发展轨迹,因为它增长了。
Original English
David: you know how did you think about joining a firm versus potentially starting your own and then you know we'll talk about kind of the trajectory of the business because it grew
Tony James: 我确实考虑过创办自己的公司。很多人鼓励我这样做,包括有限合伙人(LPs)和专业人士。
Original English
Tony James: I did think about starting my own firm I had a lot of people encouraging me to do that both LPs and also professionals
Tony James: 但你知道,我喜欢做的事情,如果你思考一家成功公司的发展,它会呈现出一种S型曲线。它从小型、创业型开始。如果它不是一家科技公司,它会有一段时间是平坦的。它会磕磕绊绊地前进,然后。
Original English
Tony James: but you know I I kind of what I like doing if you think about the development of a successful company there's kind of an S-curve it starts off small and entrepreneurial. It's kind of if it's not a tech company, it's kind of flat for a while. It bumps along and then
Tony James: 也有点像那样。
Original English
Tony James: are sort of like that too.
Tony James: 然后,就会出现这种加速曲线,你创造了大量的价值和规模,然后如果你足够幸运,你可能会非常成功,这就像是保护堡垒。我喜欢做的是S型曲线的陡峭部分。我喜欢把小东西做大,做得更好,并使其非常成功。然后一旦它非常成功,再保护城堡就没有那么有趣了,当女孩们成长时。
Original English
Tony James: Then then there's this kind of escalation curve where you create a lot of value and a lot of size and then you get if you're lucky enough you could be very successful and it's kind of protect the bastion. My what I like doing is that steep part of the S-curve. I like taking something small and growing it, making it better and making it very successful. And then once it's very successful, it's not that much fun to to protect the castle anymore in when the girls grow by
Tony James: 所以我当时觉得,当我看到黑石集团时,他们涉足的每一个业务都是DLJ曾经涉足的,并且都向我汇报过,世界上没有其他人拥有过这种业务组合的权限。所以,我想我对我所知道的每一个业务都有独特的了解,而且黑石集团当时正经历成长的烦恼,但DLJ几年前也经历过同样的成长的烦恼。所以我知道。
Original English
Tony James: and and so I felt I I looked when when I looked at Blackstone, they were in every business Blackstone in was in DJ had been in and had reported to me and there was no one else in the world that had had that mix of businesses under their authority. So, I thought I'm I'm uniquely knowledgeable about every business and I'd seen and Blackstone had growing pains at the time, but DJ had had those same growing pains a few years before. So, I knew
Tony James: 如何克服它们,我想,天哪,如果我能掌控黑石集团,我可能会很危险。
Original English
Tony James: how to work through them and I thought, gee, if I could get my hands on Blackstone, I could be dangerous.
Tony James: 另一件事是,如果你开始,你知道,当你习惯了经营一家大公司,在DLJ集团和瑞信合并之后,按员工人数计算,它是世界上最大的投资银行。
Original English
Tony James: The other thing is if you start, you know, when you're used to running a big firm after the merger of Group DJ and Cres, it was the largest by headcount investment bank in the world.
Tony James: 但由于所有的裁员,它没有保持那样,但一旦你习惯了,我想在一个更大的画布上作画,而不是和两个人一起在一个角落里创办自己的公司。
Original English
Tony James: didn't stay that way because of all the blood let letting and the but once you've been on I wanted to paint on a somewhat bigger campus a canvas and starting my own firm with two guys in a corner
Tony James: 所以,嗯,那就是我做出的选择,史蒂夫(Steve),正如我所说,我最初不打算做,但史蒂夫非常有说服力,他兑现了所有承诺,我必须说,这是一个很棒的合作关系。我是说,我们一起工作了18年,非常顺利。
Original English
Tony James: and so uh I'm that was the choice I made and Steve as I say I was originally not going to do it but Steve was very convincing and he lived up to everything and it was a great partnership I have to say I mean we worked really well together for 18 years.
黑石的飞速增长与文化塑造
David: 完全正确。嗯,你知道,人们今天都知道黑石集团。你知道,万亿美元的资产管理规模。当你2002年加入时,它完全不是那个样子。
Original English
David: Totally. Um, you know, people know Blackstone today. You know, a trillion dollars in AUM. It did not look anything like that when you joined in 2002.
Tony James: 我想公司当时的总资产可能只有140亿美元。
Original English
Tony James: I think the firm was maybe $14 billion in total assets,
Tony James: 差不多吧。
Original English
Tony James: something like that,
David: 这,你知道,令人震惊地,我不知道,是我们规模的六分之一,这,你知道,有点疯狂。嗯,也许再给人们一个提醒,当时业务的形态是怎样的?存在哪些业务?
Original English
David: which is, you know, shockingly like, I don't know, a sixth of our size, which is, you know, kind of insane. Um again maybe maybe just give folks kind of a reminder what what was the shape of the business then what businesses existed and
David: 你知道,我们会谈谈在你任职期间,它增长了50倍。
Original English
David: you know we'll talk through kind of the the 50-fold increase I guess you know during your tenure.
Tony James: 是的,我是说黑石集团当时在私募股权、房地产、对冲基金中的基金中的基金,以及一个很小的信贷业务,然后是一个并购业务和一个重组咨询业务。
Original English
Tony James: Yeah I mean Blackstone Blackstone was was in in private equity and real estate in hedge fund fund of funds and a tiny credit business and then an M&A business and a restructuring advisory business.
Tony James: 所有这些业务都有点规模不足。私募股权业务,他们募集了一支基金,并做了一些灾难性的投资。所以,在一年之内,这些投资被减记,大约占基金的三分之一。
Original English
Tony James: All those businesses were kind of subscale a little bit. The private equity business, they'd raised a fund and had made a couple of disastrous investors. So that that were within a year white writeoffs with about a third of the fund. The
Tony James: 咨询业务,并购业务比其峰值下降了50%或75%。
Original English
Tony James: the advisory business, the M&A business was down 50 or 75% from its peak and
Tony James: 并没有上涨。基金中的基金业务非常小,利润也不高。房地产业务也再次是一个小业务。嗯,所以,嗯,所有这些。
Original English
Tony James: not going up. The the fund of funds business was tiny tiny and not very profitable. And the real estate business was a was again a small business. Um so um all those it
Tony James: 嗯,有很多事情可以做来发展所有这些业务。而且,说实话,我更引以为傲的不是将资产管理规模从160亿美元提升到近万亿美元,而是公司的市值,因为,你知道,资产管理规模只是资产管理规模。
Original English
Tony James: um there were there were things to do to grow all those businesses. And what I'm what I'm prouder of honestly than moving the the AUM from 16 billion to nearly a trillion is the market cap of the company because you know it's aum is just aum
Tony James: 而且AIG刚刚向黑石集团投入了1亿美元,获得了公司10%的股份以及投资我们基金的权利。所以,最好情况下它价值10亿美元,而当我离开时,它价值1700亿美元。
Original English
Tony James: and AIG had just put a hund00 million into Blackstone for 10% of the company and the rights to invest in our funds. So at best it was worth a billion dollars and when I left it was worth 170.
Tony James: 所以那是170倍的价值增长。
Original English
Tony James: So that's 170fold value increase.
Tony James: 而且在我们发展业务、增加价值的同时。
Original English
Tony James: And while we're growing the business, increasing the value,
Tony James: 我们的内部收益率(IRR)和所有基金都上涨了。
Original English
Tony James: our IRRa and all our funds went up.
Tony James: 所以我们没有,我们没有在降低。有时资产管理公司会为了获得更多商品化的回报而降低。
Original English
Tony James: So we weren't we weren't driving down sometimes an asset manager can drive
David: 100%。
Original English
David: 100%
Tony James: 嗯,回报。我们没有那样做。
Original English
Tony James: down in return for for commod more commodity um returns. We weren't doing that.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 所以,那是一段很棒的经历,我必须说。但我们非常幸运。嗯,但你知道,我立刻开始关注企业文化。再次从DLJ那里,以及我与好市多的经验,企业文化是如此重要。
Original English
Tony James: And so that that was um it was a great run I have to say. But it it it was we got very lucky. Um and but you know I I started focusing right away on culture. Again coming from DJ where I had and and my experience with Costco culture is so important
Tony James: 这需要对人员和人才进行一些改变。嗯,我想几乎每个业务的领导者都换了。
Original English
Tony James: and that required that required making some changes in people and talent. Um I think virtually every the leader of every business almost was changed
Tony James: 因为很多企业文化来自领导层。我们从一个由有才华但难以合作的人组成的集合体,转变为一个团队导向的组织。
Original English
Tony James: because a lot of culture comes from leadership. We moved from being a a collection of real of talented people but difficult people that didn't work together to a team orientation.
Tony James: 我们建立了流程,人们最初说为什么任何流程都是官僚主义的定义。所以我不想那样。但鼓励更好决策、信息共享和更有效利用时间的流程实际上解放了人们。
Original English
Tony James: We put in place processes that people initially said why any process is by definition bureaucracy. So I don't want that. But processes that encourage better decisions, sharing of information, and more efficient use of time actually frees people up.
Tony James: 所以,我非常反对官僚主义和等级制度。所以我们做了很多。我们增加了一些我认为我们应该涉足的业务。我们增加了这些业务。还有一些业务我们不应该涉足,比如咨询业务。我们把它们剥离了。嗯。所以这是一段漫长的旅程,但它是一段奇妙的旅程。
Original English
Tony James: So, and I'm I'm very much against bureaucracy and hierarchy. So we we we we did a lot. We we added there were some businesses I felt we should be in. We added those. And there were some businesses we shouldn't be in, like the advisor business. We spun those out. Mhm. So it was a long journey but it it was um a fantastic journey.
David: 我是说,人们,再说一遍,我采访过的几乎每个人都强调的一个共同点是,你既是一位了不起的投资者,也可能是有史以来最优秀的高潜力人才管理者和公司建设者之一。同时拥有这两者是罕见的组合。你知道,人们谈论,嗯,你知道,和你一起开投资委员会(IC)会议,你能在第16页找到与六周前第36页的论点相冲突的细节,并能让人们对此负责,同时也能看到基金和公司的更大图景。
Original English
David: I mean people again one one of the other kind of common threads that I mean literally everybody I spoke to um highlights was that you were both an incredible investor and probably one of the best managers of like high high potential talent and firm builders you know that they've seen. It's a rare combination to have both. You know, people talk about um you know, being in an IC meeting with you and you finding the uh you know, the detail on page 16 that conflicts with the the thesis on page 36 from six weeks ago and being able to hold kind of people accountable to that while also kind of seeing the bigger picture of the fund and the firm.
Tony James: 是的。
Original English
Tony James: Yeah.
Tony James: 嗯,我想我是一个优秀的小型精英团队管理者,海豹突击队那样的团队。我不认为我会是一个优秀的美国陆军管理者,嗯,或者好市多,或者一家大型瑞士银行的管理者。嗯,我认为我的风格是,有一些原则,围绕这些原则,那些小型精英投资机构会做出很好的反应。
Original English
Tony James: Well, I I think I'm I think I'm a good manager of small elite teams, Navy Seal type teams. I don't think I'd be a good manager of the US Army. uh or Costco or or a huge Swiss bank for that matter. Um and and I think my style is there's certain principles that I have around which which those kind of smaller elite investment organizations react well to.
David: 完全正确。
Original English
David: Totally.
Tony James: 嗯,我是说,其中之一是激烈辩论。你知道,缺乏等级制度,缺乏地位等级,不仅仅是组织等级。所以,如果我们谈论一项业务,我希望你和我争论。
Original English
Tony James: Um I mean one one of them is robust debate. I there's you know lack of hierarchy, lack of status hierarchy, not just organizational hierarchy. So that if we're talking about a business, I want you to argue with me.
Tony James: 我希望你挑战我。但你必须能够,我也希望能够挑战你,但我必须这样做,这样你才不会感到不安或受伤。
Original English
Tony James: I want you to challenge me. But you've got to be able to and I want to be able to challenge you, but I got to do that so that you don't get insecure or hurt feelings.
Tony James: 创造一种能够进行激烈辩论的企业文化,因为你们都在一起寻求真相。
Original English
Tony James: And creating a culture where you can have robust debate because you're all in it together in a search for truth
Tony James: 人们不会把它个人化。这,嗯,不是那么容易。你真的需要非常直接地表达,因为你越间接,效率就越低。你没有真正说出你的想法,你需要几周才能说出来。
Original English
Tony James: and people don't take it personally. It um is not so easy. And and you really want to be very direct about this because the more indirect and you you are it's so inefficient. You're not really saying what you're thinking, you got take takes weeks to get around to it.
Tony James: 所以激烈辩论很重要。缺乏等级制度也很重要。
Original English
Tony James: So robust debate's a big one. Lack of hierarchy is a big one.
Tony James: 我强烈认为你必须以身作则,展现你希望员工拥有的行为,这意味着你必须像他们一样努力工作。
Original English
Tony James: I feel so strongly that you have to model the behavior that you want your people to have, which means you got to work as hard as they do.
Tony James: 嗯,它也延伸到个人价值观等方面。嗯,嗯,我认为,运营像黑石集团这样的投资机构,你几乎必须是一个非常优秀的投资者。
Original English
Tony James: Um and it it extends into personal values and things as well. Um um I I think it's I I running an investment organization like Blackstone, I think you almost have to be a really good investor.
Tony James: 嗯,我知道会有例外,但我们的公司,你赢得声望和尊重的地方是能够与世界上最优秀的投资者平等对话。
Original English
Tony James: Um I know there'll be exceptions to that, but our firm where you earn your chops, your respect is being able to talk to some of the best investors in the world on an equal footing
Tony James: 而且你不会在他们面前落后。嗯。
Original English
Tony James: and you're not losing a step with them. Mhm.
Tony James: 同样地,嗯,当我审阅那些投资委员会时,我是说,如果我不仔细审阅它们,那么马虎和随意就会大大增加。你知道,同样的细心程度。所以,我希望人们来到这里。
Original English
Tony James: And and similarly um when I go over those investment committees, I mean, if I'm not going to go over them carefully, then the sloppiness and the will will go up a lot. You know, the the same amount of care. So, I want people coming in there
Tony James: 努力工作,以拥有出色的投资和出色的思维过程。而这些捕捉到的细节,正是传递信息的一部分。
Original English
Tony James: working really hard to to to have great investment and great thought processes. And part of those catches, those little things is sending a message.
Tony James: 有人在看着。
Original English
Tony James: Someone's watching.
Tony James: 你在关注。
Original English
Tony James: You're paying attention.
Tony James: 你必须完美无缺。而且对于像黑石集团这样的公司,投资委员会是定义公司企业文化的熔炉。
Original English
Tony James: You got to be flawless. And also for a firm like Blackstone, it's investment committees that are the cultural crucible of what what defines the firm.
David: 多说一点。是的。
Original English
David: Say more about that. Yeah.
Tony James: 嗯,我们如何思考,我们如何相互交流,我们如何思考,我们的分析严谨性,坦率地说,我们从失败和成功中吸取的教训。
Original English
Tony James: Well, how we think, how we talk to each other, how we think, the our analytical rigor, the the frankly the lessons we learn from our failures and our successes.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 所有这些都通过投资委员会从高级管理层,我和合伙人,传递给初级员工。
Original English
Tony James: All that is transmitted from senior management, me and the partners. let's just say to the junior people through investment committees
Tony James: 所以,如果你不能在这些会议中坚持自己的立场,如果你只是主持会议,或者你不参与,或者你没有做好功课,在我看来,你会损失很多。
Original English
Tony James: and and so so if you're not able to hold your own in those if you're just presiding over them or you or you're not engaged or you haven't done the work you lose a lot in my opinion.
Tony James: 所以我可以一直说下去。有很多,嗯,很多原则对我来说在精英投资机构中运作良好,但它们可能不适用于其他机构。
Original English
Tony James: So and I could go on and on. There are lots of um lots of principles that for me work well in an elite investment organization, but they might not work in another organization.
David: 当然。如果我错了请纠正我,但我想黑石集团大体上更注重共识,或者至少我听到的故事是,如果出现平局,你总是会支持交易团队。大卫·布利策(David Blitzer)讲过这个故事,嗯,是的。
Original English
David: Sure. Correct me if I'm wrong, but like I think Blackstone by and large was more kind of consensus oriented uh or at least the stories that I heard was that if if there was a you know a tie, you would always back the deal team. And I David Blitzer told this story um yeah
David: 嗯,你知道,我想,嗯,他当时在伦敦,你知道,你可能刚上任三个月,他接到一个电话说你有一个新老板,嗯,你知道,我想他有点 apprehensive,你让他感觉很舒服,但有一笔特别的交易,我想你当时刚上任不久就在做,我想是关于霍顿·米夫林(Houghton Mifflin)的,当时是威望迪(Vivendi)的剥离或分拆,我想投资委员会最初。
Original English
David: uh you know I think uh he was in London you know you were maybe three months into the job and he gets a call saying you have a new boss uh and you know and you know I think he's like a little bit apprehensive you made him feel really comfortable but there was a particular deal I think that you were working on pretty early in your tenure at the firm I think it was for H Hotton Mifflin was like a spin out or carve out of a vendi at the time and I think the the investment committee initially
David: 嗯,你知道,没有否决这笔交易,但基本上设定了过于狭窄的价格范围。
Original English
David: um you know didn't didn't sort denied the deal, but basically created like too narrow of bounding from like a price perspective.
David: 他当时描述自己有多沮丧。他说,你知道,他在一家酒吧里喝酒。
Original English
David: And he was describing how he was bummed. He was like, you know, having a drink in a pub and
David: 然后基本上,我想你和他见了面,问他有多坚定。你是否参与这笔交易?周末做大量工作。我们周一再回去。
Original English
David: and and basically I think you met with him and was like, you know, how strongly convicted you are. Are are you in this deal, do a bunch of work over the weekend. Let's go back on a Monday.
David: 然后你真的,他相信你支持了他,这给了他信心,让他能够,你知道,推动这笔交易。
Original English
David: And and you really like he believes like put your weight behind him, which gave him the confidence to sort of like, you know, champion the deal.
Tony James: 嗯,那次确实是这样,但也有时候,你当然不站在那一边。
Original English
Tony James: Um well that's true in that instance but there are times when there are times when you're you're not on that side of it of course
David: 是的。
Original English
David: y
Tony James: 但我总的来说会说,当一个交易委员会进来时,我不想让他们带着建议进来,他们最好是想做这笔交易,否则我们来这里干什么,对吧?
Original English
Tony James: but I would say in general when a deal committee comes in I don't want them coming into when a deal team comes in to the committee with a recommendation they better want to do it otherwise what are we doing there for right
Tony James: 所以,如果他们带着做这笔交易的信念进来,我几乎肯定会挑战他们。我会努力找出弱点或他们没有考虑到的事情。
Original English
Tony James: so so if they're coming in with a conviction to do it almost by definition I'm going to challenge them and I'm going to try to find the weakness or the things they haven't thought about
Tony James: 或者其他什么。所以人们经常指责我,无论他们说什么,我都会争论另一方。这有些道理,但它有原因。
Original English
Tony James: or or whatn not. And so people often accuse me of no matter what they say arguing the other side. There's some truth to that, but it's but there's a reason for it,
David: 对吧?
Original English
David: right?
Tony James: 有时候,我觉得有些东西,在投资中,有些东西不在纸面上。你必须有一种感觉。所以你必须,你知道,我们有点谈论“预见未来”的能力。部分原因是合伙人及其信念。部分原因是我自己的直觉,即使它无法证明。
Original English
Tony James: There are times when I feel like there's something and in investing there's something that's not on the page. You've got to have a feel. So you got to, you know, you know, we kind of talk about seeing seeing around corners a little bit. And partly that's the partner and and his conviction. Partly it's my own gut even though it's not provable.
Tony James: 部分原因是这个过程有时会变得有点不公平,因为如果出现错误或有什么问题,有人就会抓住不放,整个委员会就会失去动力。所以,我肯定有过几次为了平衡局面而施加影响。
Original English
Tony James: Partly it's the process becomes a little unfair sometimes because someone gets on something if there's a mistake or there's or something and they just stay on it and the whole committee kind of loses momentum. So definitely there were times I put my finger on the scale to level that out for sure.
Tony James: 嗯。
Original English
Tony James: Um
Tony James: 嗯,我敢肯定有很多次情况正好相反。
Original English
Tony James: um and I'm sure there were plenty of times when it went the other way.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 但这就是你所拥有的。你知道,你不仅仅是一个裁判,但我强烈认为这是一个集体决策。
Original English
Tony James: But that's that's kind of what you have. You know, you're you're you're more than just a referee, but I really felt strongly that it's a collective decision.
Tony James: 所以当我施加影响时,并不是我在做决定。我必须让其他人也参与进来。
Original English
Tony James: So when I put my finger on the scale, it wasn't that I was deciding. I had to get the other people there.
David: 当然。
Original English
David: Sure.
Tony James: 我只是认为群体,尤其是在投资中,比任何个人都能做出更好的决策。黑石集团由许多,正如我所说,独立的有才华的人组成,他们不会相互挑战,甚至不会花时间去研究别人的交易。
Original English
Tony James: And I just I just think groups make especially in investing rates better decisions than any one individual. And Blackstone came from a lot of as I say independent talented people that wouldn't challenge each other, wouldn't even do the work to look at someone else's deal.
Tony James: 一位非常聪明但却成为瓶颈的首席投资官(CIO)。
Original English
Tony James: One CIO that was a very smart guy but a bottleneck
Tony James: 而且这不是一个可扩展的模型。这就像我在这里关于安德烈·霍洛维茨(Andre Horowitz)的背景下写了很多的一个区别,那就是公司与基金的概念。你知道,我试图描绘的对比是,嗯,你知道,大多数人经营基金,很少有人在我看来建立公司,而基金的目标函数是如何在最短的时间内用最少的人产生最多的附带权益(carry)。你知道,通常由一个首席投资官运营。只有少数人。最终只有一个决策者。
Original English
Tony James: and it wasn't a scalable model. This is like a distinction that I've I've written about I think a lot about here in the context of Andrea Norwitz which is this notion of firm versus fund. You know the the the sort of contrast that I try to draw is um you know most people run funds very few people in my definition build firms and and the objective function of a fund is how do I generate the most carry with the fewest people in the shortest amount of time possible. you know, often that's run by a single CIO. There's a handful of people. There's like ultimately one decision maker
Tony James: 而一家公司,我认为相比之下,也许必须提供卓越的回报,因为这是先决条件。
Original English
Tony James: and a firm I think by by contrast maybe is has to deliver exceptional returns because that's a prerequisite.
Tony James: 但我认为另一个变量是,建立复合竞争优势的来源,比如你的护城河是什么?你知道,如果你把黑石集团看作一家公司,而不仅仅是单个基金的集合,你知道,这是一个更具企业家精神的问题,因为每个企业家每天醒来都在思考他们的竞争优势。嗯,我很好奇,你知道,你是否同意这种区别,你如何在黑石集团或DLJ的背景下思考这个问题。
Original English
Tony James: But the other I think variable is like building sources of compounding competitive advantage like what are your moes you know if you think about Blackstone as a company not just a collection of individual funds like you know it's a much more entrepreneurial question because every entrepreneur wakes up every day asking about their competitive advantage. Um I'm curious, you know, if you agree with that distinction, how you sort of think about that in the context of of Blackstone or DJ.
公司与基金的经营哲学
Tony James: 我同意,我同意。经营一家公司的诀窍之一是让基金中的人不仅仅关心他们的基金,对吧?所以这是一个微妙的平衡,你希望他们足够关心,但又不要关心过度。然后,在基金内部或子业务内部,也许是私募,你如何让印度的人足够关心纽约的交易?
Original English
Tony James: I do and I do. One of one of the tricks of running a firm is making people in a fund care more than just about their f fund, right? So that's a that's a sensitive balance and you want them to care enough but not too much. And then within funds or within sub businesses maybe private, how do you get the guys in India to care enough about the guy deals in New York?
Tony James: 对我来说,我,我,我,我有一种思考这个问题的方式,以及如何平衡双方的回报,这确实是多年来通过试错和实践得出的。没有理论模型能使其正确。但首先,你确实希望每个人,即使是基金中的人,也能稍微关心一下公司,原因有很多。是的。
Original English
Tony James: And for me, I I I I have my way of thinking about that and my how to balance the rewards on both sides really from trial and error and what's worked over the years. Not there's no theoretical model that makes it right. But the the first thing is to make you do want everyone even people in the fund to care a little bit about the firm for lots of reasons. Yep.
Tony James: 嗯。
Original English
Tony James: Um
Tony James: 随着黑石集团的成功,问题在于我们不再是单一业务的精品投资机构,而这正是所有有限合伙人(LPs)所希望的。
Original English
Tony James: the the the issue as Blackstone became successful, the issue was we weren't in we weren't a monoline boutique investor anymore, which is what uh which is what all the LPs wanted.
Tony James: 不,不,不。我想要,你知道,我想要安德烈森·霍洛维茨(Andreesen Horowitz)。他们只做一件事,有一个天才坐在角落里,他能预知正确的答案。
Original English
Tony James: No, no, no. I want I want, you know, I want Andreason Horus. They do one thing and there's a genius who sits in the corner and he he divines the right answer.
Tony James: 我们正在成为,无论对错,不仅是一个超市,而且是一个拥有许多不同业务的大型超市。嗯。
Original English
Tony James: We we were becoming right or wrong not only a supermarket but a big supermarket with lots of different Mhm.
Tony James: 而且那不是有限合伙人(LPs)的想法。
Original English
Tony James: And and and that was not where LP's heads were.
Tony James: 今天不同于那时。所以。
Original English
Tony James: Today's different back then. So
Tony James: 所以我作为公司管理者面临的挑战是,如何将我们的劣势转化为优势。
Original English
Tony James: So my my my challenge is a firm manager was to figure out how do we take our disadvantages and make them advantages.
Tony James: 嗯,因为我们不想停止增长,我们也不想堕落到平庸。
Original English
Tony James: Um because because we we don't want to stop growing and we don't want to descend into mediocrity.
Tony James: 我是说,正如我们之前谈到的,增长本身就为新人才创造了机会。所以我们可以留住那些否则会感到沮丧而去做自己事情的人才。我是说,我一直希望拥有世界上最有才华的人,并训练他们,让他们比在其他任何地方都更优秀。
Original English
Tony James: I mean, as we've talked about before, growth in and of itself creates opportunities for new talent. So we could keep talent that would otherwise get frustrated and go do their own thing. I mean, I always wanted to have the most talented people in the world and train them so they were better than they would have been any other place.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 但这些人有很多机会。所以,我必须创造新的机会,而不仅仅是与资深人士进行消耗战。
Original English
Tony James: But those people have tons of opportunities. So So I I had to create new opportunities, not just a war of attrition with more senior people.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 所以增长很重要。
Original English
Tony James: So growth was important.
Tony James: 所以,你如何减轻随之而来的负面影响?所以我们花了很多时间思考这个问题。我们试图增加那些能让其他业务变得更好的业务。
Original English
Tony James: and and and so how do you how do you mitigate the the negatives that come with that? And so we spent a lot of time thinking about that. We we tried to add businesses that were made the other businesses around them better.
Tony James: 它们带来了洞察力、渠道、关系、资本,这些都让其他业务变得更好。
Original English
Tony James: They brought insights, access, relationships, capital, something that made each of the other businesses better.
Tony James: 我也,这就是为什么我们在建立零售分销的秘密努力中如此早地精简。
Original English
Tony James: I also it was this is why we were lean so early in our stealth effort to build retail distribution.
David: 是的。再次强调,只是分销能力。我是说,这是一种对冲,以应对可能所有基金都没有高回报的时期,所以我们如何仍然,你知道,推动业务和客户以及资产管理规模等等。是的。所以,是的,我们不断地思考如何将我们的劣势转化为优势。是的。
Original English
David: Yep. again just distribution power. I mean it was a hedge against the time when maybe all the funds aren't high top quartile returns and so how do we still you know drive business and customers and aum and so on so forth. Yep. And so yeah we we we're constantly thinking about ways to take our disadvantages and make them advantages. Yep.
Tony James: 以推动增长。
Original English
Tony James: To drive growth.
竞争优势与零售分销战略
David: 是的。我确实读到过,在黑石集团的许多材料中,他们会识别出一种大的长期趋势,并找到方法在不同的资产类别中表达这种信念。我的一个核心信念,这既是一种投资哲学,我认为也是我职业生涯的一种隐喻,那就是机会存在于专业领域之间。这似乎表达得很好,你知道,我们相信电子商务,所以我们会投资电子商务品牌,但我们也会购买仓库。我们还会投资云基础设施。
Original English
David: Yeah. One of the things I I I've read certainly in a lot of like Blackstone materials over time is just um you know they'll identify kind of a big secular trend and find ways to express conviction in that thesis across different asset classes. And one of my kind of core beliefs both it's kind of an investment philosophy. I think it's a bit of a metaphor for for my career maybe today which is that opportunities live between fields of expertise. And it seems like very well expressed at least like you know you know we're believers in e-commerce so we'll bet in the e-commerce brand but we're also going to buy warehouses. We're also going to invest in the cloud infrastructure and
Tony James: 而且,那是一个领域,这些不同的。
Original English
Tony James: and that and that's that's an area where these different
Tony James: 你从每个不同的业务中取出一块马赛克瓷砖,把它们拼在一起,你就会有一个更清晰的视野。
Original English
Tony James: you you take a mosaic tile from each different business you put it together and you have a clearer view of
Tony James: 是的。所以,是的,我们,嗯,我们可以看到电子商务中正在发生什么,但我们也可以看到仓库中正在发生什么,我们也可以看到,所以。
Original English
Tony James: Y. So yeah, so we um we could see what was happening in e-commerce, but we could also see what was happening in warehouses and we could see and and and so
Tony James: 这种发现主题的能力,因为如果你想及早捕捉到信号,它们绝不会是显而易见的。
Original English
Tony James: that ability to develop to see themes because because the early sign if you're going to catch the signals early, they're never obvious,
David: 对吧?
Original English
David: right?
Tony James: 因为等到它们显而易见时,价格就已经反映出来了,对吧?所以你必须及早捕捉它们,尤其是如果你是黑石集团,并且你想投入大量资金,对吧?
Original English
Tony James: Because by the time they're obvious, it's priced in, right? So you got to catch them early, especially if you're Blackstone and you want to move a lot of money into it, right?
Tony James: 那么你如何及早发现事物?你从独立的来源获得强化。没有一个信号是主导的。这当然非常清楚,但你从多个不同的业务和洞察力等方面获得强化。
Original English
Tony James: So how do you see things early? You get you get you get reinforcement from independent. No one signal is dominant. This is so clear, of course, but you get reinforcement from multiple different businesses and insights and so on so forth.
David: 完全正确。
Original English
David: Totally.
Tony James: 而且,那成为了我们的竞争优势之一,我们努力将其最大化。
Original English
Tony James: And and and that that became a that was one of our competitive advantages that we we tried to maximize.
David: 完全正确。你谈到了零售分销。你知道,我采访过的每个人都说你在这波浪潮中非常早,不仅覆盖了仓库,而且对待有限合伙人(LPs)就像真正的合作伙伴一样,但那是核心的一部分。你谈到了推动内部收益率(IRR),而不仅仅是为了扩大资产管理规模。嗯,我想你还帮助促成了黑石集团的保险解决方案业务的创建。
Original English
David: Totally. you you talked about kind of retail distribution. You know, everybody I I've I've spoken to has said you were like incredibly early kind of in that wave both just covering the warehouses by the way treating LPS as true partners, but that was something that was, you know, kind of core. You you talked about driving IRS, not just sort of scaling aum for the sake of it. Um I think you also helped catalyze kind of the creation of Blackstone's insurance,
David: 你知道,保险解决方案业务。嗯,我想这两者在某种程度上都成为了业务的永久资本来源。
Original English
David: you know, insurance solutions business. Um I imagine both of those became kind of sources of like perpetual or permanent capital to some degree you know for the business as well.
Tony James: 是的,当然。我是说,保险,嗯,两者都是巨大的未开发资产类别。所以机构通常将其25%的资产投资于另类投资,比如说那些更复杂的,像捐赠基金(endowments)是50%,零售是2%。是的。
Original English
Tony James: Yes definitely I mean the insurance um like both both are big untapped asset classes. So the institutions have generally 25% of their assets in in alternatives let's say the more sophisticated ones like endowments are 50 retail was at 2%. Y
Tony James: 所以它有点尖叫,保险也很低。现在保险有监管限制,使其保持较低水平。
Original English
Tony James: so it kind of screamed and insurance was very low too. Now insurance has regulatory restrictions to keep it lower.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 尽管它们越来越多地通过结构性方式来推动这一界限,但这些似乎,嗯,保险资产与养老金资产一样多,与401k或零售资产一样多。那么我们如何利用我们正在使用的三分之一市场?我们如何打开另外三分之二?再说一次,这一切都关乎我们如何利用我们的规模。没有其他公司能够负担得起建立零售分销。我们有500人从事这项工作。
Original English
Tony James: Although they're increasingly structural ways to kind of nudge that boundary, but those seemed like um there was just as much insurance assets as there was pension assets in and just as much 401k as or retail assets. So how do we tap are we're living with onethird of the market. How do we open up those other thirds? And again, it's all about how do we use our scale and our size. There's no other firm that could have afforded to build the retail distribution. We have 500 people in that.
Tony James: 我们开始时不仅仅是招聘销售人员。
Original English
Tony James: And we started off not just by hiring salesmen,
Tony James: 你知道,我们开始是因为,因为那些券商(wirehouses)需要培训。所以我们创办了黑石大学(Blackstone University),人们会来这里,每个券商的每个经纪人,他们唯一能来学习另类投资的地方就是黑石大学。没有其他另类投资大学。然后我们开设了大师班,你可以回去获得相当于硕士学位的知识。
Original English
Tony James: you know, we started off because because the wirehouses, they need training. So we ran Blackstone University and people would come through and every broker of every wild the only place they're going to come and learn about alternatives is Blackstone University. There was no other alternatives university. And then we had a master class where you go back and get the equivalent of a masters in this.
Tony James: 然后我们建立了我们自己的专有,嗯,数据。
Original English
Tony James: And then we we built our own proprietary um data uh
Tony James: 客户关系管理(CRM)系统和数据系统。所以我们比美林证券(Merrill Lynch)更了解每个美林证券客户以及他们曾经问过我们的任何问题。
Original English
Tony James: CRM system and data system. So we knew more about every Maril Lynch client and whatever question they've ever asked us than Maril Lynch knew about that client.
Tony James: 我们全面推广了这一点。我们不仅对美林证券、瑞银(UBS)和贝尔斯登(Bear Stearns)这样做,还对数千家注册投资顾问(RAS)这样做。
Original English
Tony James: And we did that across the board. And and we did that for not just Maril Lynch and UBS and the Birros, but thousands of RAS.
David: 是的。我认为那是黑石集团现在拥有的主导战略资产。
Original English
David: Yep. And that that that I think is the now the one the the dominant strategic asset that Blackstone has
Tony James: 其他任何人都无法真正复制,因为没有其他人拥有如此广泛的产品。
Original English
Tony James: that no one else can really replicate because no one else has the breadth of product.
Tony James: 嗯,所以你总是在市场上。你总有一些客户想要的东西,或者经纪人想要出售的东西。那些总是开放的、你可以随时投入资金的产品数量。
Original English
Tony James: Um so that you're always in the market. You always have something that a customer wants or a broker wants to sell it. The number of products that were always open that were you could put money in any time.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 没有其他人拥有足够的营收规模来支撑运营成本。
Original English
Tony James: uh no one else has the revenue scale to justify the overhead
David: 完全正确。
Original English
David: totally
Tony James: 而且它会强化品牌和价值,所以我当时觉得,你知道。
Original English
Tony James: and it and it and it becomes reinforcing of the brand and the the value so that I I I felt like you know
Tony James: 在投资业务中,你可以非常出色,或者你可以运气不好。我不想,我是说,你可以靠剑而生,也可以因剑而亡。我不想因剑而亡。
Original English
Tony James: in the investment business you can be really good or you can have a cold hand and I didn't want to I mean you can live by the sword or die by the sword I didn't want to die by the sword
Tony James: 彻底死亡。
Original English
Tony James: die period
Tony James: 所以,我,我,我愿意在投资方面运气好的时候靠它生存,但我想要一个对冲,这样即使我们没有最好的回报,我们仍然拥有一项坚不可摧的业务。
Original English
Tony James: so I I was okay to live by it while we had the hot hand in investing but I wanted a hedge so that we would still have a an unassalable business when we didn't have the the best returns.
David: 完全正确。我想谈谈首次公开募股(IPO),因为它,你知道,嗯,显然是公司历史上的一件大事。我也想象它非常复杂,既在战术上,也在文化上。你谈到了公司动态,以及如何为特定基金中的人创造激励,让他们关心其他基金。我猜想,上市,你知道,其中一部分是你正在以某种方式创造一种新的货币来补偿人们。你有,你知道,有限合伙人(LPs),你有员工,你有,嗯,你知道,公众股东。嗯。
Original English
David: Totally. I want to talk about the IPO because it was, you know, uh obviously a huge deal in the kind of history of the firm. Also, I imagine very complicated both kind of tactically but even culturally I imagine you talk about kind of firm dynamics and how do you kind of create incentives for people in a given fund to care about other funds. I imagine going public, you know, part of that is you're creating a new currency in some ways by which to compensate people. You have kind of, you know, LPs, you have employees, you have um, you know, the public shareholders. Um,
黑石上市的复杂历程
David: 嗯,也许就谈谈首次公开募股(IPO)和所有这些动态。
Original English
David: well, this maybe just talk through the IPO and all those dynamics.
Tony James: 我们可以花一个小时来讨论其中的微妙之处和复杂性,但为了给你一些了解,黑石集团当时不是一家公司。它是173个独立的合伙企业。
Original English
Tony James: We could spend an hour on the subtleties and complexities of this, but just to give you some windows on it, Blackstone wasn't a firm. It was 173 independent partnerships.
Tony James: 所有这些都拥有不同的所有权百分比。每个基金都与所有其他基金拥有不同的所有权百分比。所有这些都必须以某种方式整合到一个实体中。
Original English
Tony James: all with different percentage ownerships. Every fund had a different percentage ownership than every other fund. All that somehow had to be rolled together into one entity.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 每个人都必须在这个实体中拥有正确数量的股份。这只是第一点。是的。
Original English
Tony James: And everyone had to have the right number of shares in that entity. Just just just number one. Yeah.
Tony James: 第二点。
Original English
Tony James: Number two,
Tony James: 当时没有像黑石集团这样的东西。我们有三种不同的方式来计算附带权益(carry)。我们可以按照我们当时的做法来计算,现在行业也是这样做的,那就是,嗯。
Original English
Tony James: at that time there was no nothing like Blackstone. We had three different ways for account to count for carry. We could account the way we did it and now the industry does it now which is kind of um
Tony James: 你在实现时获得附带权益。你可以在按市值计价(mark-to-market)的基础上进行。所以,一个累计的附带权益。
Original English
Tony James: you get carry when it's realized. You could do it on a marktomarket basis. So an acred carry
Tony James: 你可以使用期权模型来计算附带权益的期权价值,然后它们如何随时间变化。我们有很多选择,仅仅是在附带权益的会计处理这样基本的问题上。完全正确。所以当时甚至没有一个会计准则。
Original English
Tony James: you could you could use option models to to compute the option value of the carry and then how do they vary over time. We had lots of choices just on something as basic as the accounting for carry. Totally. So there was not even an accounting standard
Tony James: 那。
Original English
Tony James: that
Tony James: 你知道,税收结构等等,你知道,它应该是一个公开交易合伙企业(publicly traded private partnership)吗?我们认为那会增加更多价值,因为那是所有内部人士想要的,因为他们不喜欢交税。
Original English
Tony James: you know the tax structure and all that you know should it be a publicly traded private partnership. We thought that was more value added because that's what all the insiders wanted because they pay like don't like paying taxes.
David: 当然。
Original English
David: Sure.
Tony James: 结果市场。
Original English
Tony James: Turns out the market
Tony James: 不喜欢。
Original English
Tony James: didn't like
Tony James: 实际上并不喜欢。所以,你知道,我们进行了转换,但我不认为那是一个引人注目的因素,但我们当时是边做边摸索。然后。
Original English
Tony James: actually didn't really like it. So you know we converted but I don't think that was a compelling never but we were making it up as we we went along. And then then
Tony James: 你知道,我们能够上市的原因是黑石集团必须有一个非常好的表现。我们不想毁掉它。嗯,所以你如何保护你的日常工作伙伴,他们每天上班努力做出好的投资,不被公众分心或影响。所以首先,我们建立了一个精密的公司管理架构,这样我们就不会让任何一个人参与其中。
Original English
Tony James: you know the reason we could get public is Blackstone had to have a hell of a run. We didn't want to ruin that. Um so how do how do you protect your day-to-day working partners that go into work every day and try to make good investments from being distracted or influenced by the public. So So first of all we built an elaborate corporate overhead so that we didn't involve that any of them in any of it. M
Tony James: 不仅是上市,而且一旦我们上市。
Original English
Tony James: not only the going public but once we were once we were public
Tony James: 当时每年增加了7500万美元的运营成本。
Original English
Tony James: added $75 million a year at the time to our operating cost
Tony James: 这可不是小数目,今天更多。嗯,我们当时也让人们变得非常富有。所以那些日子里,如果你在这些公司工作,如果今年你赚了100万美元,那很棒,但明年你可能赚100万,或者75万,或者每季度100万,无论是什么。
Original English
Tony James: which is not nothing a lot more today. Um we also were making people wildly rich. So in those days if you were work for one of these firms if you got paid a million dollars this year that was great but the next year you maybe you get paid a million or 750 or a million a quarter whatever it was
Tony James: 但那是逐年变化的。我们当时进来的时候说,为了那个,你知道,我们会给你。
Original English
Tony James: but it was yeartoear we were coming in saying for that you know we're going to give you
Tony James: 几亿。
Original English
Tony James: hundreds
Tony James: 在很多情况下是几亿,或者几千万。
Original English
Tony James: hundreds of millions in many cases or tens of millions
Tony James: 你会放弃一点,你会放弃100万美元的年收入,但我们会给你基本上30%的股票,这支股票是永久性的,并且会随着时间增长。所以,我们如何不打击他们的积极性?
Original English
Tony James: and you're going to give up a little you're going to give up a million of your annual income but we're going to give you essentially 30 in of a stock that's forever and grows over time in exchange. So, how do we how do we not demotivate
Tony James: 我们的,我们不仅不让他们分心,每天看股票,而且不打击他们的积极性,让他们觉得,嗯,我今天身价1亿美元。我只是想把脚翘起来,每周工作三天。
Original English
Tony James: our mo not only how we not distract them by by looking at the stock every day, but how do we not demotivate them from just well, I'm I'm worth $100 million today. I'm I'm just going to put my feet up and come to work three days a week.
Tony James: 所以,所有这些。
Original English
Tony James: So, all of that.
David: 你是怎么做到的?
Original English
David: How did you do that?
Tony James: 我们做到了。我们首先通过基本上告诉人们,他们八年内不能出售任何股票。
Original English
Tony James: We we did that. We did that first of all by basically telling people they can't sell any stock for eight years.
David: 好的。
Original English
David: Okay.
Tony James: 然后我们有不寻常的归属条款,即未归属的部分我们可以收回。所以大多数公司,如果你有五年归属期,如果你解雇某人,嗯,那会触发他们归属的加速。
Original English
Tony James: And then we had unusual vesting whereas it what was unvested we could take away. So most companies if you have five-year vesting if you let someone go um that triggers acceleration of their investing,
David: 对吧?
Original English
David: right?
Tony James: 我们没有那样做。我们,我们,我们,我们可以解雇他们,他们归属期的最后三年,或者如果他们失去积极性,不工作了,我们可以说:“对不起,你不再努力工作了。我们要收回你未归属的股票。”是的。
Original English
Tony James: We didn't do that. We we we we could let them go and the last three years of their investing or if they were demotivated and weren't working, we could say, "I'm sorry, you're not working hard anymore. We're going to take away your unvested stock." Yep.
Tony James: 所以,已归属的是你的。
Original English
Tony James: So, so what's vested is yours.
Tony James: 嗯,但未归属的部分,在八年内,我们有八次机会。
Original English
Tony James: Uh but the unvested stuff and in eight years, we had eight run at it.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 我们八年内没有失去任何我们不想失去的人。人们在整个过程中都充满了动力。所以,这部分奏效了。但所有这些都只是整体中的小部分,你必须考虑。
Original English
Tony James: And and we didn't lose anyone that we didn't want to lose for eight years. And people were totally motivated for the whole time. So, that part of it worked. But all these things are just little small pieces of the whole that you have to think about.
David: 完全正确。
Original English
David: Totally.
Tony James: 正如我所说,我可以一直说下去,但,嗯,它非常复杂。我还要说的另一件事是,史蒂夫(Steve)和我,还有当时还在世的皮特·彼得森(Pete Peterson),想认真研究这个问题,看看它会变成什么样,并做好所有基础工作,确保我们有这个选择,但我们不确定是否想做。所以,我们如何进行这项工作,而不让它笼罩在公司每个人头顶,每个人都试图参与进来?所以本质上,这是史蒂夫委托给我的事情,我做了,嗯,实际上公司里没有其他人帮助。
Original English
Tony James: And as I say, I could go on and on, but um it was it was incredibly complex. And the other thing I would just say and file on this, Steve and I and Pete Peterson, who was still around then wanted to take a hard look at this and see what it be and do all of the plumbing to make sure we had the option, but we weren't sure we wanted to do it. So, how do we go through this and not have it loom over everyone in the firm and everyone's trying to come into and so essentially this was something um that Steve delegated to me and I did um really with with with no one else in the firm actually helping
Tony James: 持续了九个月,并在晚上完成。
Original English
Tony James: for nine months and did it at night
Tony James: 与外部银行家和律师一起解决了所有这些问题,而不是内部人员。
Original English
Tony James: and worked out all this with bankers outside bankers and lawyers but not internal people
Tony James: 我当然会向史蒂夫(Steve)汇报,也向皮特·彼得森(Pete Peterson)汇报,但史蒂夫在这方面更靠前和中心。
Original English
Tony James: and I would report back to Steve, of course, and and and to Pete Peterson, but Steve was much more front and center on this,
Tony James: 但这是一个秘密项目,因为否则人们会说托尼(Tony),我应该是二把手,你知道,你知道是怎么回事。
Original English
Tony James: but it was kind of a secret project because otherwise people would have been Tony, I'm I should be the number two person, you know, you know how it is.
David: 完全正确。不,我记得我们有一次共进午餐,你说:“是的,简直就像走进一个房间,决定谁将成为亿万富翁,你知道,在首次公开募股(IPO)之后。”这让我有点震惊。嗯,我想成为一家上市公司给你带来的另一件事是,你可以用它来收购其他业务。再说一遍,我采访过的一个人是本内特·古德曼(Bennett Goodman),你知道,GSO中的G,对吧?
Original English
David: Totally. No, I remember we had lunch once and you you said, "Yeah, literally like went into a room and was deciding who was going to become a billionaire, you know, on the other side of the IPO." I kind of blows my mind. Um, the the other thing that I I imagine being a public company then gave you was currency that you could then use to acquire other businesses. And again, one of the folks I spoke to was was Bennett Goodman that, you know, the the G and GSO, right?
David: 嗯,我知道他显然在DLJ为你工作过。
Original English
David: Um, I know he had worked for you obviously at DJ.
David: 他后来,我想,离开了,并建立了GSO,那当时是一家小型信贷业务。也许可以谈谈那次收购。显然,它成为了一个更大的信贷业务的基础。
Original English
David: He had then, I guess, gone off and built GSO, which was a, you know, small credit business at the time. Maybe talk through that acquisition. Obviously, it became kind of the basis of a much bigger, you know, credit business.
战略性收购与业务拓展
Tony James: 嗯,我们有一个非常小的信贷业务。黑石集团在大约有12.5亿美元。但是,嗯,当时经营这项业务的人是稳健的保险公司债务投资者,但他们对现有规模的业务非常满意,并没有看到很多推动业务发展的方法。在黑石集团,我们希望拥有几项大型业务。我们不希望像其他一些公司那样拥有数百万个小业务,那些小爆米花摊。我们希望拥有几项大型主导业务。
Original English
Tony James: Well, we we had a we had a very small credit business. Blackstone had about a billion and a quarter in it. But and and the the people running that business then were solid insurance company debt investors, but they were perfectly happy with the business of the scale that it was and really didn't see a lot of ways to to drive it. At Blackstone, we we wanted to have a few large businesses. We didn't want some other firms have gone to a million little businesses little popcorn stands there. We wanted to have few big dominant businesses
Tony James: 所以,正如我之前提到的,很多团队的领导层需要更换,这就是其中之一。
Original English
Tony James: and so as when I mentioned before that a lot of the leadership of the groups needed to be changed this was one of them.
Tony James: 你知道,有时收购,特别是如果购买价格的很大一部分取决于未来的收益等等。这几乎就像,你知道,团队招聘。你在科技行业经常看到这种情况,对吧?各种大型科技公司收购小型公司以获得团队。
Original English
Tony James: You could you know sometimes an acquisition especially if you have a lot of the purchase price contingent on future earnings and this and that. It's almost like a you know a team hiring. You see this all the time in tech right? you have all kinds of big tech companies buying smaller companies to get the team.
Tony James: 所以,很难说那是一次收购还是一次团队招聘。
Original English
Tony James: So, it's a little hard to say was it an acquisition or was it a group hire,
Tony James: 但无论哪种方式,我知道这些人很有才华,我知道他们非常有抱负,而且大部分购买价格都取决于未来的成功。所以,我知道我们可以,你知道,我想我们可以围绕他们建立一个大业务,我们确实做到了。我们围绕他们建立了一个千亿美元的信贷业务。但GSO是第一个,但它只是大约十几次收购中的一个。
Original English
Tony James: but either way, I knew these were talented guys and I and I knew they were very ambitious and most the purchase price was contingent on future success. So, I knew that we could, you know, I think thought we could build a big business around them and and we did. We built a hundred billion dollar credit business around them. But GSO was the first, but it was only one of about a dozen acquisitions.
David: 哦,有趣。
Original English
David: Oh, interesting.
Tony James: 嗯,我们做了很多收购。我是说,也许我们做过的最好的收购是战略合作伙伴(Strategic Partners),我们的二级市场业务。
Original English
Tony James: Uh, we did a lot of acquisitions. I mean, the maybe the best acquisition we ever did was strategic partners, our secondary business.
Tony James: 我们为那项业务支付了1.19亿美元。
Original English
Tony James: We paid $119 million from that business.
David: 这是瑞士信贷的二级基金吗?
Original English
David: Was this the secondary fund from credit from DJ credit?
Tony James: 来自瑞信,对吧?因为再说一次,他们对这项业务持矛盾态度。所以我们以1.19亿美元收购了它。它今天是一个1200亿美元的业务。它价值数百亿美元。
Original English
Tony James: From credit, right? Because again, they're ambivalent about the business. So, we bought it for 119 million. It's $120 billion business today. It's worth tens of billions.
David: 太棒了。
Original English
David: That's amazing,
Tony James: 对吧?我们做了大约十几次这样的收购。每一次,金融服务公司收购其他金融服务公司的记录都不是很好,对吧?它们几乎从不奏效。我们的每一次收购都奏效了。嗯,有两次在战略上没有真正产生影响,但我们在投资上获得了非常好的回报。我们可能赚了三到四倍的钱。
Original English
Tony James: right? And we made about a dozen of those acquisitions. Every single and and the the book on financial services firms buying other financial services firms is not very positive, right? They almost never work. Every one of our acquisitions worked. Um there were two that didn't really move the needle strategically, but we made a very good return on the investment. We probably made three or four times our money.
David: 有没有什么不明显的地方让这些收购成功了?比如,你知道,工业逻辑或企业文化?你知道,我只是好奇。
Original English
David: Was there anything non-obvious about what make made those acquisitions work? Like, you know, kind of the industrial logic or the culture? You know, I'm I'm just curious.
Tony James: 是的。企业文化是关键。拥有合适的人才是关键。第一。第二,那些真正想发展事业并欣赏黑石集团所带来的一切的人。
Original English
Tony James: Yeah. Cult culture is key. Having people that fit in uh is key. Number one. Number two, people that want to really grow something and appreciate what Blackstone brings to the party.
Tony James: 嗯,你必须在公司从经营基金的企业家管理团队那里获得什么,以及公司给予他们什么之间取得平衡。当这种平衡失衡时,如果你去收购一个对冲基金,而你没有为他做任何事情,三年后,他的权益完全归属,你基本上就不得不重新收购这家公司。所以。
Original English
Tony James: The um you you have to have balance between what the house takes from a entrepreneurial management team running a fund and what what the house gives them. when that gets out of bounds, if if you go buy a hedge fund and the and and you're not doing anything for him and three years into the deal, he's fully vested, you're going to have to buy the company all over again essentially. So,
Tony James: 所以我们想要那些乐于融入一个更大的公司组织的人,如果这能帮助他们大大扩展业务。这是一种文化。其他人可能只是宁愿拥有一个小生意,而不必和任何人说话。是的。对。所以,正确的企业文化,正确的人,公司所带来的和被收购公司所带来的之间的正确平衡,我们必须觉得我们可以在其中成为领导者。我不想收购一家公司却不是领导者。所以,我们希望在几个大型业务中成为领导者。
Original English
Tony James: so we we wanted people that would were happy fitting in a bigger corporate organization if that helped them scale their business a lot. That's a cultural thing. Other people would just I'd rather have a small business and not have to talk to anyone. Yep. Right. So, so the right culture, the right people, the right balance between what the house brought and what the firm, what the what the acquired company bought, they had we had to feel like we could be a leader in it. I didn't want to buy a company and be not a leader. So, we wanted to lead in a few big businesses.
Tony James: 我们还必须觉得我们可以持续地成为前四分之一的投资者。
Original English
Tony James: We also had to feel we could be a top quartile investor consistently
Tony James: 与这个团队一起。我不想在任何业务中成为一个普通的投资者。嗯,我们想要那些人,我们想要在我们可以扩展的小型业务中进行收购。我们从不想收购一个完全建立好的特许经营权,在那里你为别人的所有增长买单。我们想要,我们想要将增长的价值传递给我们的股东。
Original English
Tony James: with this team. I didn't want to be an average investor in any business. Um, we wanted people that and we wanted to buy small where we could scale them. We could we never wanted to buy a fully built out franchise where you're you're paying someone else for all the growth. We wanted to we wanted to deliver the growth the value of the growth to our shareholders.
Tony James: 所以这些,你知道,我们有七八个标准,我们仔细审查并确保符合。本内特(Bennett)说的一件事,嗯,引起了很多共鸣,他说他从不觉得自己像个员工,从不觉得官僚主义。你知道,我在这里也经常思考这个问题。安德烈·霍洛维茨(Andre Horowitz)让我惊讶的一件事是,门上写着安德烈·霍洛维茨,但实际上并没有大量的自上而下的指导。我认为马克(Mark)和本(Ben)在努力让公司感觉像一个供聪明的企业家在其上构建的平台方面做得非常周到。我认为如果你想吸引和留住这里的一些过去非常成功的企业家,这非常明智。如果他们需要微观管理,他们就不会在这里工作,如果他们是微观管理者。
Original English
Tony James: So those are, you know, we we had a seven or eight kind of criteria that we looked hard at and made made sure fit. What one of the things Bennett said which um resonated a lot was he's like I I never felt like an employee like it never felt bureaucratic you know and and I again I think about that a lot here. One of the things that surprised me about Andre you know it says Andre Horitz on the door is actually there's not a ton of top down direction. I think Mark and Ben have done a very thoughtful job of trying to make the firm feel like a platform for smart entrepreneurial people to build on top of. And I think it was really wise if you want to attract and retain, you know, some of the folks here who've been very very successful entrepreneurs in the past. Like if they needed to be micro, they would never work here if they were micromanagers.
Tony James: 而且这得益于你拥有许多独立的业务和基金,对吧?所以每个人都可以觉得自己是自己帝国的负责人。
Original English
Tony James: And it's helped by the fact that you have a lot of discrete businesses and funds, right? So everyone can feel like they're in charge of their empire.
David: 完全正确。
Original English
David: Totally.
Tony James: 我完全同意这一点。我们总是竭尽全力减少官僚主义、流程和等级制度。
Original English
Tony James: I I completely agree with that. And we I always bent over backwards to minimize bureaucracy and process and hierarchy.
David: 是的。所以,我曾经一度有56个直接下属。
Original English
David: Yep. And so I had at one point I think 56 direct reports.
Tony James: 哦,哇。
Original English
Tony James: Oh wow.
David: 试图在詹森(Jensen)之前实现詹森。你知道。
Original English
David: Trying to Jensen before Jensen. You know
David: 试图减少等级制度。
Original English
David: trying to minimize hierarchy.
Tony James: 哇。
Original English
Tony James: Wow.
Tony James: 因为有了等级制度,就会有官僚主义。而且我们,我从DLJ中学到,与瑞士信贷(Credit Suisse)相反,增加更多控制并不一定能保护你。如果你有优秀的人,你信任他们,你要求他们遵守非常高的道德标准,并且这成为行为规范,那比拥有许多监督者和监督者的监督者试图检查你做的每一件小事要好得多。
Original English
Tony James: Because with hierarchy comes comes bureaucracy. And and we and I'd learned from DJ that v in contrast to credit sues that putting more controls in doesn't necessarily doesn't necessarily protect you. that a lot of it if if you have good people and you trust them and you hold them to very high ethical standards and that becomes the behavioral norm that's much better than having lots of watchers and watchers of watchers trying to check every little thing that you do
David: 完全正确。
Original English
David: totally
Tony James: 所以瑞士信贷(Credit Suisse)有各种道德漏洞,DLJ没有,但他们有大量的控制和流程等等,而DLJ是精简的。
Original English
Tony James: and so credit had all kinds of ethical lapses DJ had none but they had immense controllers and process and whatnot and DJ was skeletal
David: 完全正确。
Original English
David: totally
Tony James: 所以我把这种态度带到了黑石集团。
Original English
Tony James: so I kind of brought that attitude to Blackstone
领导力传承与退休规划
David: 我认为很少见的一点是,我的理解是,当你第一次和史蒂夫(Steve)谈话时,你基本上告诉他你将在70岁退休,对吧?
Original English
David: one of the things that I think is is rare to see is that my understanding is when you first had that conversation with Steve, you basically told him you were going to retire at 70, right?
David: 嗯。
Original English
David: Um
David: 那不正常。大多数人都会试图坚持下去,你知道,尤其是在那个级别。嗯,你是如何考虑这个决定的?
Original English
David: that's not normal. Most people try to sort of hang on, you know, especially at that level. Um how did you think about that decision?
Tony James: 嗯,我很高兴我这样做了,因为如果我没有承诺自己,我可能就更难放手了。首先,请记住,黑石集团对我来说就像是我的第三次尝试,我有DLJ,我有好市多,它与黑石集团同年开始,但变得更加成功。
Original English
Tony James: Well, I'm I'm glad I did because I if I if I hadn't committed myself, I probably would have been harder to let go. First of all, remember Blackstone was my like in since my third run, I had DLJ, I had Costco, which started the same year as Blackstone, but became even more successful
Tony James: 然后是黑石集团。我觉得我是一个四处漂泊的人,我有很多兴趣,我觉得外面还有别的东西。我不想一辈子都做这个。我想做,我想做好。我想建立一些我引以为傲的东西,但我还有更多的潜力。
Original English
Tony James: and then Blackstone. And I felt like I'm kind of a parapotetic kind of person and I I have a lot of interests and I felt like there's something else out there. I I don't I don't want to do this for the rest of my life. I want to do it. I want to do it well. I want to build something I'm proud of, but I've got more potential.
Tony James: 所以,所以那是一件事。我当时就觉得。而且,你知道,史蒂夫(Steve)只比我大四岁。所以,所以,我对此没意见。我没有渴望得到我当时所拥有的一切之外的任何东西。然后,我必须说,嗯,领导力转型在我看来是任何资产管理公司的阿喀琉斯之踵。
Original English
Tony James: And so, so that was that was one thing. And I just felt by then. And I, you know, Steve's only four years older than I am. So, so and I'm fine with that. I didn't I didn't aspire to anything but what I had there. Then too, I have to say, um, leadership transition is the Achilles heel of an alter of any asset manager in my opinion.
David: 是的。这真的不容易,你甚至不一定能立刻看到问题,但你可能会在三、四年、五年后看到它们。
Original English
David: Yep. it's really not so easy and you don't even see the problems right away necessarily but you might see them three, four, five years in.
Tony James: 所以对我来说,如果我很好地管理了黑石集团,我们谈到的所有关于资产管理规模和市值增长的统计数据都很好,但继任计划是其中之一。我必须搞定它。
Original English
Tony James: So for me it one of my top priority if I did a good job managing Blackstones all the statistics we talked about of the growth of aum and market value and all that that that was fine but succession planning was one of them. I had to nail that.
David: 是的。那是一个过程。嗯,至少对我来说,那是一个过程。这意味着选择继任者。这意味着培养他,并确保他的变动不会带来任何问题,无论是诉讼、他的业务,还是人们的失望。这意味着选择正确的继任者,确保他100%准备就绪,等等等等。
Original English
David: Yep. And that's a process. Well, at least for me, it was a process. It meant picking the successor. It meant grooming him and making sure that that there was no breakage around his movement either in lawsuit, his business, or pe people being disappointed. It meant picking the right successor, making sure he was 100% ready, on and on and on.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 所以,你开始了那个过程,它就结束了。我是说,如果你做得好。
Original English
Tony James: So, you start down that process and it comes to an end. I mean, if you do that well,
David: 完全正确。
Original English
David: totally.
Tony James: 你知道,三四年后,他就准备好了。
Original English
Tony James: You know, three or four years in, he's ready.
David: 完全正确。你知道,感谢约翰(John),他说:“你觉得怎么样,托尼(Tony)?”我说了几次:“再给我一年。”
Original English
David: Totally. And you know, credit to John, he said, 'What do you think, Tony? And and I said a couple times, "Give me another year."
Tony James: 但我感受到了那份责任,我觉得他已经准备好了。所以。
Original English
Tony James: But I felt that obligation and I felt he was ready. And so,
Tony James: 但放手那个位置从来都不容易。
Original English
Tony James: but it's never easy to let go of that seat. Y
Tony James: 那是一个如此好的位置。那是一个如此赚钱的位置。
Original English
Tony James: it's such a great seat. It's such a profitable seat.
David: 完全正确。
Original English
David: Totally.
Tony James: 那是一个如此满足自我的位置。
Original English
Tony James: It's such an ego-goratifying seat.
Tony James: 所以,我会说大多数人因此而坚持太久。
Original English
Tony James: So, I I would say most people as a result hang on too long.
David: 是的。我相信你必须在公司仍然充满活力、你仍然处于表现巅峰、公司仍在上升期时离开那个位置。如果你等到它达到顶峰,你就会失去一段时间的动力,然后新来的人也许能纠正它。
Original English
David: Yep. And I I believe you've got to move out of that seat while the company's still while you have plenty of gas and you're still at the peak of your performance and the company's still on the arise. If you wait till it tops out, you're going to lose momentum for a while before y maybe the new guy can correct it.
Tony James: 而且没有理由失去那种动力。
Original English
Tony James: And there was no reason to lose that momentum.
Tony James: 我会爱我在黑石集团的岁月,但我爱我之后的每一天。所以,你知道,你显然做得非常出色,我想。你知道,嗯,你早期在约翰·格雷(John Gray)身上看到了什么?为什么他是合乎逻辑的继任者?
Original English
Tony James: And I'm gonna love my I love my years at Blackstone, but I I've loved my every day since. So, you know, it seems like you obviously did an amazing job, I guess. You know, um, what did you see in in John Gray early on? Like, why why was he the logical kind of successor?
Tony James: 嗯。
Original English
Tony James: Um,
Tony James: 嗯,我们有很多优秀的人才,其中一些你已经谈过了,你知道,他们都是非凡的人。我会说。首先,约翰(John)管理着我们最大的业务,所以我们从那里开始。但除此之外,他是一位伟大的领导者。他是一位非常自然的领导者。他是一位出色的对外发言人。在这方面他比我强得多。
Original English
Tony James: well, we had a we had a lot of great talent, some of whom you've talked to and and you know, they're all they're remarkable people, I would say. Well, first of all, John ran our biggest business, so let's start with that. But but beyond that, he's a great leader. He's a very natural leader. He's a wonderful external spokesman. He's much better than I am about that.
Tony James: 嗯,约翰(John)有一种天赋,能在非常复杂混乱的环境中,找到简单而正确的路径。
Original English
Tony James: Um, John has a knack for seeing in in a very complex cluttered environment. He has a knack knack for seeing the simple path and right path through it.
Tony James: 他工作非常努力。嗯,嗯,所以我想约翰(John)是一个很好的选择,他非常果断,并且有很好的投资直觉。所以,我是说,我能有约翰是多么幸运。
Original English
Tony James: He works incredibly hard. Um, um, and so I I think John was a was a great choice and he and he's he's very decisive and he's got very good investment instincts. So, I mean, how lucky was I to have John
Tony James: 我可以把权力移交给他?因为如果我没有把权力移交给一个能够带领黑石集团继续前进的人,那就会是一个失败。
Original English
Tony James: that I that I could hand the reigns to? Because if it would have been a failure if I hadn't handed the reigns to someone who could who could take Blackstone for on up.
私募市场的未来展望
Tony James: 也许我们花一分钟展望一下另类投资生态系统的未来。你知道,我们现在正身处,我不知道,对私募信贷的恐慌,SAS末日,对吧?我不知道这一切会走向何方,你如何看待私募市场的格局,或者说市场总体,但主要是私募市场的格局。
Original English
Tony James: Maybe we'll spend a minute just kind of looking ahead into kind of the alternatives ecosystem. You know, we're sitting here amidst, I don't know, fear-mongering and private credit, the SAS apocalypse, right? I don't know where where is this all going like how how do you sort of view the maybe private markets land or maybe markets generally but private market landscape and
Tony James: 是的,这个生态系统。
Original English
Tony James: yeah this ecosystem
Tony James: 嗯,你知道,我试图将私募市场不看作一系列独立的业务,而是一个整体,我仍然认为私募市场长期来看可以显著跑赢公开市场。在我们离开公开市场之前,很多人大部分资产都投资于股票和债券,他们明天就可以交易。
Original English
Tony James: well I you know I try to look at private markets not as a series of individual business but kind of a whole and I still think private markets over time can significantly outperform public markets before we leave public markets so many people have the vast bulk of their assets of stocks and bonds they could trade tomorrow.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 他们不仅不需要那种流动性,它还有真正的机会成本,嗯,而且它还诱使他们经常在错误的时间做错误的事情。所以这是一个隐性成本。所以我坚信,从长远来看,你可以在公开市场中跑赢私募市场,但市场会演变。我是说,我们很清楚,私募信贷资本在一段时间内是好的,你知道,收益率是12%,资本涌入其中。
Original English
Tony James: Not only don't they need that liquidity, it has a real opportunity cost um but they also entices them to often do the wrong thing at the wrong time. So a hidden cost. So I'm a big believer that over time you can outperform in public in private markets but markets evolve. I mean it was clear to us that p that private credit capital it was good for a while you know yields were 12% capital flooded into that and
Tony James: 收益率不断下降到中高个位数,风险相同,但资本太多,交易竞争更激烈,所以你也失去了契约(covenants)之类的东西,而且开始募集的资本,嗯,是零售资金,它在一个月内进来,必须立即投资,否则就会有负面拖累。
Original English
Tony James: and yields kept coming down into the sort of mid to high single digits for the same risk but there was so much capital there was more competition for deals so you also lost covenants and things like that and the kind of capital that was started to be raised uh with retail money where it comes in one month and it's got to be invested right away or you have the you have the negative drag
Tony James: 意味着你不得不购买市场上的东西,你不能。
Original English
Tony James: means that you kind of have to buy the market what's out there you can't
Tony James: 提款基金(drawdown funds)的一个优点是,总是没有好的事情可做,我不需要立即做任何事情。
Original English
Tony James: one of the great things about draw down funds is always there's nothing good to do I don't have to do anything right
Tony James: 你有点失去了这种结构。
Original English
Tony James: you kind of lost that with this with this structure
Tony James: 我,你知道,所以我认为私募市场会有一些调整,但它不会像2008年那样破坏系统,因为它不是由银行以30比1的杠杆拥有,或者现在杠杆率较低,但当时有很多,是的,20比30比1。所以,好的,会有调整。当它尘埃落定后,仍然会有机会购买私募债务并获得比公开交易高收益债务更高的回报。是的。好的。你知道,AI革命。
Original English
Tony James: I you know so I think there'll be some correction in private markets but it's not going to be 2008 where you were destabilizing the system because it's not owned by banks at 30 to1 leverage or these days the leverage is lower but it was plenty were yep 20 to 30 to1 So, okay, there'll be a correction. There'll still be an opportunity when that shakes out to to buy private get debt and get higher returns than publicly traded high yield debt. Yep. Okay. You know, the AI revolution
Tony James: 我会说你会周期性地遇到这些情况,新技术让你质疑旧的商业模式,那是一种调整,但只是一种调整。
Original English
Tony James: I I would say you get these things periodically where a new technology makes you question the old business models and and that's an adjustment, but it's just an adjustment.
David: 嗯。嗯,我想,嗯,我认为现在最大的机会之一是,有大约3万家中型私募股权公司的投资组合公司无法出售。
Original English
David: Mhm. Um, I think uh I think one of the great opportunities right now is there's there's there's about 30,000 portfolio companies of mid-market private equity firms that can't be sold,
David: 无法上市。没有战略性。
Original English
David: can't go public. There's no strategic
David: 嗯。你知道,价值20万亿美元左右。
Original English
David: Mhm. you know, 20 trillion or something worth of value.
Tony James: 嗯,所有这些公司都需要被出售,最终都需要被出售。所以对于资本池来说,将会有巨大的吸引力,能够逐个公司进行挑选。
Original English
Tony James: Um, all those companies need to be willette and eventually need to be sold. So for for p for for capital pools there's going to be an immensely attractive being able to pick company by company
Tony James: 无论是共同投资(co-investments)还是延续性工具(continuation vehicles)。
Original English
Tony James: whether it's co-investments or continuation vehicles.
Tony James: 嗯,你正在以一个有吸引力的价格获得一项经验丰富的投资,费用低得多。
Original English
Tony James: Um you're getting a seasoned investment at an attractive price with much lower fees
Tony James: 而且你能够与一个加倍承诺的赞助商合作,并且你能够真正分析它。我认为这是投入资金的最佳时机之一。我相信。
Original English
Tony James: and you're able to with a sponsor that's doubling down his commitment and you're able to really analyze it. I think it's one of the great times to put money to work. I believe
Tony James: 嗯,同样地,看看你的业务发生了什么,你比我更了解,但业务的规模比以前大得多。
Original English
Tony James: um similarly look look what's happened in your business you know more than I do but the scale of the business is so radically larger than it used to be.
David: 是的。你知道,一个大型风险基金过去是10亿美元,你知道,而且没有像安德烈·霍洛维茨(Andre Horowitz)那样拥有许多不同基金的公司。
Original English
David: Yep. You know, a big venture fund used to be a billion dollars and you know, and and there weren't they there weren't firms like Andre Norowitz that had lots of different different funds
Tony James: 公司保持私有化的时间更长,而且我认为有机会更长时间地持有这些公司,如果你的选择足够好,我喜欢这一点。嗯,我不喜欢提款基金(drawdown funds),传统的私募股权基金,是这样的,你知道,你承诺给他们,他们会收取一段时间的管理费,他们找到一笔交易,他们提款,所以你的资金几年内都没有投入使用,然后几年后,如果这是一笔成功的交易,他们会以两倍的钱出售。
Original English
Tony James: and companies are staying private longer and and I think there's an opportunity to to ride those companies longer and I love that if you're if you're good enough about picking them. Um, what I don't like about draw down funds, the traditional private equity fund, is you, you know, you commit to them, they charge you management fees for a while, they find a deal, they draw it down, so your money's not been in the ground for a few years, and then a few years later, if it's a successful deal, they sell it for two two times their money.
Tony James: 你知道,你已经支付了几次,几十次管理费。他们从收益中抽取20%的附带权益(carry),你获得了1.4倍的钱,你把钱捆绑了五年,去买纽约市政债券,对吧?
Original English
Tony James: You know, you've you've paid a couple of couple of turns, a couple of ten of turns in management fees. they take off 20% of the of the gain in carry and you've got 1.4 times your money and you've tied up your money for five years, go buy a New York municipal bond, right?
Tony James: 税后,你几乎能得到同样多的钱。
Original English
Tony James: After taxes, you're getting almost as much.
David: 完全正确。
Original English
David: Totally.
Tony James: 所以,我,我,我,我认为在私募环境中更长时间地持有资产并真正让它们增长的机会。
Original English
Tony James: So, I I I think the opportunity to hold assets longer in a private context and really let them grow
Tony James: 非常有吸引力。
Original English
Tony James: is very attractive
Tony James: 而且我认为行业模式需要反映这一点。有限合伙人(LPs)。
Original English
Tony James: and I think the industry models need to reflect that. LPS
Tony James: 当然,私募资本和家族办公室资本更倾向于长期持有。
Original English
Tony James: and and certainly private capital and family office capital is much more towards the long hold.
David: 完全正确。
Original English
David: Totally.
Tony James: 有限合伙人(LPs)正在朝这个方向发展,但他们需要以这种方式演变。
Original English
Tony James: LPs are getting there, but they need to evolve that way.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 所以,我,我,我,我认为会有,你知道,还有生命科学。我是说,这是另一个爆炸性的。
Original English
Tony James: So, I I I think they'll be, you know, and and life sciences. I mean, it's another explosive
Tony James: 上升空间。
Original English
Tony James: upside,
Tony James: 更长的持有期,比其他风险投资更难。完全正确。
Original English
Tony James: longer holes, harder than harder than the rest of venture. Totally.
Tony James: 仅仅因为你涉及身体和监管等等。但是,那里将会创造巨大的财富。所以,我对私募资本持乐观态度,但它会演变。
Original English
Tony James: Just because you're in the body and the regulatory and so on so forth. But man, there's going to be some huge fortunes made in that. So, I'm I'm optimistic about private cap, but it evolves.
David: 完全正确。你提到你有很多兴趣,除了黑石集团、好市多和DLJ。我知道,嗯,你知道,你一直热衷于的事情之一是,嗯,花时间与历史性黑人学院和大学(HBCU)合作。也许可以谈谈那个非营利组织以及你产生的影响。
Original English
David: Totally. You mentioned you had, you know, lots of interests outside of, you know, Blackstone, Costco, and DJ. I know, um, you know, one of the things that you, uh, you know, have been passionate about is, uh, spending time with historically black colleges. Maybe talk about that nonprofit and and kind of the impact that you've had.
支持历史性黑人大学的慈善事业
Tony James: 是的。
Original English
Tony James: Yeah.
Tony James: 嗯,2018年,我的一个朋友,他曾为奥巴马(Obama)工作,嗯,在他们的教育部,他走进来,他说,他曾是DLJ的并购银行家,然后我想是美国银行(Bank of America),然后他进入政府,他负责政府的学生贷款项目,他走进来,他说,你知道,嗯,我在这里。我们在金融危机中没有清理的一件事是学生贷款,也许我们应该想出一些办法,我们开始思考这个问题。
Original English
Tony James: Well, in 2018, a friend of mine who had worked for Obama and uh in their department of education came in and said, and he he had been a an M&A banker at DOJ and then I think Bank America and then he went into the government and he ran the student loan program for the government and he came in and said, you know, um I'm out here. the one thing that we didn't clean up in the financial crisis was student loans and maybe we should come up with something and we started thinking about that
Tony James: 但我们开始与一些历史性黑人学院和大学(HBCU)合作,围绕收入分成协议(income share agreements),这样毕业生就可以免费获得大学教育,然后同意作为回报,在达到最低工资后,将他或她收入的一定百分比用于偿还大学,然后大学会将所有这些应收款项(这是黑石集团的机会)进行证券化。
Original English
Tony James: but and we started working with some historically black colleges and universities around income share agreements so that that a graduate would get his college education for free and then would agree in a return to give a certain percentage of his or her income over a minimum wage uh to repay the college and then the college would take all those receivables this is the Blackstone opportunity and securitize them
Tony James: 你知道,我们会在为社会做好事的同时赚很多钱。
Original English
Tony James: and you know we we'd make a lot of money while doing good for society.
David: 是的。
Original English
David: Yep.
Tony James: 我们开始沿着这条路走,但与此同时,嗯,许多HBCU来找我们说,天哪,我们真的需要这方面的帮助,或者那方面的帮助。所以我们把这个想法转化成,很像,我不知道安德烈·霍洛维茨(Andre Horowitz)怎么样,但很像私募股权投资组合管理能力。我们有IT人员,我们有精益人员,我们有定价人员,我们有等等等等。营销人员。
Original English
Tony James: And we started down that path but while we were doing that um a number of HB.CU came to us and said geez we really need help with this or help with that. And so we kind of morphed the idea to much like and I don't know about Andre Horowitz but much like a private equity portfolio management capability. We have IT people, we have lean people, we have pricing people, we have on and on and on and on. Marketing people
Tony James: 如果我们能建立这样的能力,然后捐赠给HBCU,我们就能帮助他们很多,而且HBCU在教育方面做得非常出色。所以,8%上大学的非裔美国人去了HBCU。
Original English
Tony James: and if we could set up a capability like that and put and then donate them to H.B.CU, we could do we could help them a lot and H.B.CU CUS do remarkable things for uh educationally. So 8% of African-Americans that go to college go to H.B.CU,
Tony James: 但16%的黑人毕业生毕业于HBCU。所以毕业率是两倍。
Original English
Tony James: but 16% of black graduates graduate from H.B.CU. So twice the graduation rate.
Tony James: 然后这些毕业生平均终身收入比非HBCU的黑人毕业生高50%。所以他们让更多的孩子通过大学获得更好的生活,而且他们从最高比例的佩尔助学金(PEL grant)和第一代大学生开始。所以他们用三分之一的钱为最困难的孩子做着伟大的事情。
Original English
Tony James: And then those graduates earn on average 50% higher lifetime income than black graduates or non-H.B.CU. So they get they get more kids through college for a better life and they start with the highest percentage PEL grant and first generation college. So they're doing a great things with the toughest kids with onethird the money
Tony James: 但他们在自我管理、追踪学生、为学生找工作、为学生提供贷款、准备自己的财务报表方面的能力非常薄弱。所以我们认为这将是一件很棒的事情,能够赋能HBCU变得更强大、更好,我们现在在全国有11个办事处,而且我们与美国大约70%的HBCU学生合作。
Original English
Tony James: but they are skeletal in their ability to manage themselves, track students, get students jobs, offer students loans, prepare their own financial statements. So we thought this would be a wonderful thing to empower the H.B.CU use to to be stronger and better and we now have 11 offices around the country and it's and we work with about 70% of the students in America that go to H.B.CU.
David: 哇。
Original English
David: Wow.
Tony James: 所以,这是一个巨大的成功。
Original English
Tony James: So, it's been a spectacular success.
David: 太棒了。
Original English
David: That's awesome.
飞钓:自然与哲思
David: 我知道你也是一个狂热的飞钓爱好者。
Original English
David: I know you're also a passionate fly fisher.
Tony James: 是的。
Original English
Tony James: Yeah.
David: 嗯,我不知道飞钓教会了你什么关于生活或者。
Original English
David: Uh I don't know what has fly fishing taught you about life or
David: 嗯,你喜欢它什么?
Original English
David: Well, what do you love about it?
Tony James: 是的,我喜欢它,就像许多事情一样,比如投资,它是一种终身学习。你永远不会知道所有事情。
Original English
Tony James: Yeah, I what I love about it is is like so many things like investing, it's lifelong learning. You never know everything.
Tony James: 嗯。
Original English
Tony James: Mh.
Tony James: 而且它有一种随机性,一种连接性,它超越了分析,但却奖励那种几乎是第六感的直觉,我认为伟大的投资者都拥有这种直觉。
Original English
Tony James: And there's a randomness to it and a connectivity to it that defies analysis but but rewards that sort of almost six sense that instinct which which I think great investors have.
Tony James: 所以所有这些都非常吸引我。嗯,那种连接性,当你以一种真正触觉的方式与自然互动时,你会连接它,你会更详细地看到它,你会更欣赏它的细微之处。那种与自然的连接性一直是我的解药,对抗我存在的其他部分,那些总是如此被驱动和分析的部分。我不知道你是否滑雪或其他什么,但如果你在滑下,你知道,穿过颠簸,无论你脑子里有什么担忧,你都不会去想那些,你只会想转弯,转弯。所以飞钓也是一样,你在那里做这件事的时候,你不能担心任何其他事情。
Original English
Tony James: So that all appeals to me a lot. uh the connectivity you when you are engaging with nature in a really t tactile way, you connect it and you see it much much more much more in much more detail and you appreciate its nuances much more. That's that connectivity to nature has been an antidote to the rest of my my existence which has always been so so driven and analytical when I don't know if you ski or anything but but if you're going down you know going down through bumps whatever concerns are in your head you're not thinking about that you're just thinking turn turn so and fly fishing is the same way you can't worry about anything else while you're out there doing that
Tony James: 但它在智力上没有压力。
Original English
Tony James: but it's not stressful intellectually
Tony James: 但它让你摆脱了智力上的压力。
Original English
Tony James: but It unplugs you from intellectual stresses.
Tony James: 所以,我想,我想这些元素一直都非常吸引我。
Original English
Tony James: So, I think I think those elements have always really appealed to me.
给年轻人的职业忠告
David: 太棒了。你知道,我们有很多,嗯,很多年轻人观看我们的内容。嗯。
Original English
David: That's awesome. You know, we have a lot of uh you know, young people that that watch our content. Um
David: 你知道,如果你是一个年轻人,如果一个年轻人今天来找你,拥有你1975年时所拥有的许多相同的原始材料,嗯,你知道,一个显然非常敏锐和非常有抱负的人,你会告诉他们如何建立职业生涯?
Original English
David: you know, if you were a young person, if a young person came to you today with, you know, a lot of the same kind of raw materials that you had in in 1975, um you know, somebody obviously super sharp and very ambitious, what would you tell them about building a career?
Tony James: 嗯,首先,这其中有很多运气。嗯,我从未真正计划过,但我做出了反应。
Original English
Tony James: Well, first of all, there's a lot of luck in that. Um, and I never really planned, but I reacted.
Tony James: 但我会说你正在寻找的一些特质,或者我寻求的一些努力,也许是更好的表达方式。首先,我想要一个非结构化的机会,在那里没有人告诉我如何做某事,然后期望我去做,在那里我可以自己找出做什么和怎么做,并以我的方式去做。所以,我,所以那是非等级制、非结构化的组织。
Original English
Tony James: But I would say some of the attributes you're looking for, or some of the effort that I looked for, maybe is a better way to put it. First of all, I wanted an unstructured opportunity where someone didn't tell me how to do something then expect me to do it, where I could figure out what and how to do and do it my way. And um so I so that was non- hierarchal non-structured organizations.
Tony James: 嗯,我想要一些能够改变范式的东西,因为坦率地说,那样我才能在智力上投入。但这也是收益的来源。
Original English
Tony James: Uh I wanted something where um where I could change the paradigm because that's how I felt frankly intellectually engaged. But it's also where the upside comes from.
Tony James: 我认为一个真正能提供大量经济、公司、个人和职业成长的机会。成长非常重要。不要做的事情是担心:“我要跳槽到下一家公司,因为他们明年会多付我10万美元。”我完全不会那样做。
Original English
Tony James: I I think an opportunity that really provides a lot of economic firm personal and professional growth. Growth is very important. What what what not to do is worry about I'm going to move over to the next firm because they're going to pay me another $100,000 next year. I wouldn't do that at all.
Tony James: 确保你拥有终身学习。
Original English
Tony James: Make sure you've got lifelong learning.
Tony James: 确保你被授权去做事情和承担风险。确保如果你承担了明智的风险。
Original English
Tony James: Make sure you're empowered to do stuff and take risks. Make sure if you take smart risks,
Tony James: 你的公司会支持你。
Original English
Tony James: your firm's got your back.
Tony James: 嗯。
Original English
Tony James: Um
Tony James: 然后,你知道,掷骰子,并祝你好运。
Original English
Tony James: and then, you know, roll the dice and be lucky.
个人影响力与团队忠诚
David: 太棒了。你知道,再说一遍,我只想说,我想正式地说,在准备这次对话时,最让我印象深刻的一件事是,你知道,我采访过的每个人,他们都是华尔街黑石集团和其他地方最成功的人之一。他们都立刻愿意接电话,并且滔滔不绝地赞美。
Original English
David: It's awesome. You know, again, I just want to say like I guess on the record that one of the things that was most remarkable to me about kind of preparing for this conversation was just, you know, everybody that I spoke with, these are some of the, you know, most successful people on Wall Street at Blackstone and elsewhere. All of them were instantly willing to jump on the phone and just waxed poetic
David: 关于你产生的影响。我是说,他们都把他们职业生涯的成功归因于你。嗯,所以,我真的很钦佩你职业生涯的影响,以及你对其他人的影响。
Original English
David: about the impact that you I mean, they all literally attribute the success that they've had in their careers to you. Um, so just I I really admire kind of the impact that you your career, but but also the impact you've had on other people.
Tony James: 嗯,那是相互的。我是说,我非常幸运能有如此有才华的人为公司,也为我倾尽全力。我只有他们那么好,对吧?
Original English
Tony James: Well, and that's mutual. I mean, I'm so lucky to have had incredibly talented people playing their hearts out for the firm, but for me, I'm only as good as they are, right?
Tony James: 而且,如果他们倾尽全力,做得非常好,我就会受益。所以,我,我,我,我想他们总是知道,归根结底,无论如何。
Original English
Tony James: And and if if if they play their hearts out and do really well, I benefit. And so, so I I'm and I I think they always knew at the end of the day, no matter what,
Tony James: 我首先是为了公司,从不为自己。
Original English
Tony James: I was out for the firm first, never for myself.
Tony James: 这让他们产生了一种忠诚和信任感,因为如果他们是为了公司,他们并不真正想要过度的回报。他们只想要公平的回报。
Original English
Tony James: And and that created a sense from them of loyalty and trust because because none of them if you're out for the firm for they don't really want undue rewards. They just want fair rewards.
David: 当然。然后如果你能,如果你能领导一支获胜的团队,它会带动所有人,这是一个良性循环。太棒了。
Original English
David: Sure. And then if you can if you can captain a winning team and it carries everyone along it it it's a virtuous circle. It's awesome.
David: 托尼·詹姆斯(Tony James),非常感谢你的时间。
Original English
David: Tony James, thank you so much for your time.
David: 这太棒了。
Original English
David: This is awesome.
Tony James: 谢谢你。
Original English
Tony James: Thank you.