今日头条播报
Tracy Mumford: 来自《纽约时报》,这是今日头条。我是 Tracy Mumford。今天是 3 月 5 日星期四。我们今天关注以下内容。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: From The New York Times, it's the headlines. I'm Tracy Mumford. Today's Thursday, March 5th. Here's what we're covering.
Tracy Mumford: 与 伊朗 的战争爆发不到一周。新的民意调查显示,大多数美国人反对此次袭击。在参议院,共和党人阻止了一项限制 特朗普总统 战争权力的举措。冲突正蔓延到中东以外地区。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: Less than a week into the war with Iran. New polling shows most Americans disapprove of the attacks. In the Senate, Republicans have blocked an effort to limit President Trump's war powers. And the conflict is spreading beyond the Middle East.
Tracy Mumford: 首先,一项在袭击后立即进行的 CNN 民意调查显示,约 60% 的美国人反对此次军事行动。《华盛顿邮报》和《路透社 Ipsos》进行的调查也得出了类似结果。按党派细分,所有三项民意调查都显示,民主党人几乎普遍反对,而共和党人则普遍支持。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: To start, a CNN poll conducted immediately after the strikes shows about 60% of Americans opposed the military action. The Washington Post and Reuters Ipsos found similar results. Breaking it down by party, all three polls showed that Democrats were nearly universally opposed, while Republicans were generally supportive.
Tracy Mumford: 在参议院。我们正处于战争状态。我们并没有就是否应卷入战争进行全国性辩论,民主党人推动了一项措施,该措施本将限制特朗普在未经国会授权的情况下继续攻击伊朗的能力。但特朗普总统决定攻击伊朗。这一决定是深刻的、审慎的、正确的。共和党人阻止了这项措施。赞成的 47 票,反对的 53 票。免职动议未获批准。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: In the Senate. We are at war. We are at war. Having had no national debate over whether we should enter into war, Democrats pushed for a measure that would have limited Trump's ability to continue attacking Iran without congressional authorization. But President Trump decided to attack Iran. That decision was profound, deliberate, and correct. Republicans blocked it. The A's are 47, the naysay are 53. The motion to discharge is not approved.
Tracy Mumford: 众议院预计今天将就一项类似措施进行投票。该措施也预计将失败。与此同时,越来越多的国家发现自己被卷入这场冲突。昨天,一艘美国潜艇在斯里兰卡海岸附近击中了一艘伊朗海军舰艇,距离 Tyrron 超过 2000 米。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: The House is expected to vote on a similar measure today. It is also expected to fail. Meanwhile, more and more countries are finding themselves entangled in the conflict. Yesterday, an American submarine struck an Iranian Navy ship off the coast of Sri Lanka, more than 2,000 m from Tyrron.
Tracy Mumford: 它被鱼雷击沉了。悄无声息的死亡。国防部长 Pete Hegs 表示,这是自第二次世界大战以来 美国首次用鱼雷击沉敌舰。他誓言,美国和以色列不会放松对敌人的攻击。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: It was sunk by a torpedo. Quiet death. Defense Secretary Pete Hegs said it was the first time the US had sunk an enemy ship by a torpedo since World War II. And he vowed that the US and Israel would not let up in their attacks.
Tracy Mumford: 每一分钟,每一天,直到我们决定结束。与此同时,NATO 的防空系统昨天击落了一枚飞向土耳其领空的伊朗导弹。伊朗否认了这一点,但对作为 NATO 成员国的土耳其的袭击可能会激活 NATO 的共同防御条款,可能将联盟的 32 个成员国全部卷入战争。英国和法国已经宣布,他们正在部署海军和空军以帮助抵御伊朗的袭击。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: Every minute of every day until we decide it's over. At the same time, NATO air defenses shot down an Iranian missile yesterday heading toward Turkish airspace. Iran has denied it, but an attack on Turkey, which is a member of NATO, could activate NATO's mutual defense clause, potentially drawing all of the alliance's 32 member countries into the war. Britain and France have already announced they're deploying their navies and air forces to help repel Iranian attacks.
Tracy Mumford: 而在海湾地区,多个国家报告了新的袭击。在过去几天里,我们看到迪拜的五星级酒店着火。我们看到主要的国际机场因遭到伊朗导弹和无人机的袭击而关闭。我们看到人们逃往像阿联酋这样长期以来一直安全的国家的陆地边界,试图寻找任何逃生路线。Vivian Nerim 是《泰晤士报》海湾分社社长。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: And in the Gulf, multiple countries have reported new strikes. Over the last few days, we've seen five-star hotels catch fire in Dubai. We've seen major global airports shut down because they've been targeted by Iranian missiles and drones. We've seen people fleeing for the land borders of countries that have long been safe, like the UAE, trying to find any escape route. Vivian Nerim is the Times Gulf Bureau chief.
Tracy Mumford: 伊朗官员说,他们向海湾国家发射这些,你知道的,数百枚导弹和无人机的理由是,因为这些国家驻扎着这些美国军事基地,对吧?他们声称只 targeting 美国军事设施、美国大使馆、美国士兵。当然,在地面上,我们看到的情况则更为广泛。很难推测其动机是什么,但不可否认的是,通过在海湾地区(这个全球经济中一个极其重要的节点)喷洒导弹和无人机,伊朗政府正在提高特朗普总统发动战争的成本。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: Iranian officials say that the reason they've been shooting hundreds of missiles and drones at the Gulf countries is because they host these American military bases, right? And they claim that they're only targeting American military installations, American embassies, American soldiers. Of course, on the ground, what we're seeing is a bit wider. And it's hard to speculate about what the motivation is, but it's undeniable that by spraying missiles and drones all over the Gulf, which is this incredibly important node in the global economy, the Iranian government is raising the cost of the war for President Trump.
Tracy Mumford: 尽管他们拥有由美国和欧洲国家提供的相当强大的防空系统,但没有人的防空系统在应对无人机方面是完美的。有一点值得注意,在这种无人机冲突占主导的战争中,数学算术不一定站在美国一边。伊朗正在使用数千架低成本无人机进行精确打击。其中一些无人机在撞击目标并引爆前,可以飞行多达 1200 米。它们是用现成的商用电子产品制造的,据一位国防分析家称,价格约为 2 万至 5 万美元。但试图拦截它们的防空系统可能耗资数十亿美元。例如,黄金标准——“爱国者”防空系统——使用的拦截弹每发可能耗资超过 300 万美元。因此,随着攻击型无人机在战争中越来越普遍,防御它们的成本可能最终变得不可持续。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: And while they have really kind of robust air defense systems supplied by the United States and European countries, no one's air defense systems are perfect in dealing with drones. One thing to note, in a drone heavy conflict like this one, the math is not necessarily on America's side. Iran is using thousands of low-cost drones for precision attacks. Some of them can travel as much as 1,200 m before crashing into a target and detonating. They're built with off-the-shelf commercial electronics at a price of about $20,000 to $50,000 according to one defense analyst. But the air defense systems trying to stop them can cost billions. For example, the gold standard, the Patriot air defense system, uses interceptors that can cost more than $3 million per shot. And so as attack drones become more common in war, the cost of defending against them could become unsustainable over time.
Tracy Mumford: 现在,特朗普政府还有三个最新消息。我们正在共同采取果断行动,打击那些长期以来给半球各地公民带来恐怖、暴力和腐败的贩毒恐怖分子。美国本周宣布已与厄瓜多尔展开联合军事行动。据美国官员称,美军特种部队正向厄瓜多尔军方提供情报和后勤支持,以便其能对涉嫌贩毒者进行突袭。在过去十年里,暴力团伙在厄瓜多尔蓬勃发展,使其成为世界上最大的可卡因出口国。多达 70% 的全球可卡因供应通过该国流出。厄瓜多尔与美国的联合行动标志着特朗普打击海上贩毒活动行动的延伸。自 9 月以来,美国已在加勒比海和太平洋炸毁了数十艘船只。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: Now, three more updates on the Trump administration. Together, we are taking decisive action to confront narot terrorists who have long inflicted terror, violence, and corruption on citizens throughout the hemisphere. The US announced this week that it's launched joint military operations with Ecuador. According to a US official, US special forces are providing intelligence and logistics support to the Ecuadorian military so it can carry out raids against suspected drug traffickers. In the last decade, violent gangs have thrived in Ecuador, turning it into the world's largest exporter of cocaine. As much as 70% of the global supply of the drug flows through the country. Ecuador's joint operation with the US marks the extension of Trump's campaign against alleged drug traffickers at sea. Since September, the US has blown up dozens of boats in the Caribbean and the Pacific.
Tracy Mumford: 此外,众议院监督委员会已投票决定强制要求总检察长 Pam Bondi 就她如何处理爱泼斯坦(Epstein)的调查作证。一些共和党人跨越党派界限,与民主党人一起推动传唤她。这是对特朗普政府官员罕见的国会谴责。两党议员都指责 Bondi 拖延释放与被定罪的性犯罪者相关的档案,并在国会通过法律要求公开这些材料后,非法扣留文件。她还可能面临关于其部门是否在发布档案中的数十张裸体女性照片(其中一些可能还是未成年人)时,泄露或暴露了受害者的质询。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: Also, the House Oversight Committee has voted to compel Attorney General Pam Bondi to testify about how she has handled the Epstein investigation. A handful of Republicans crossed party lines to join Democrats in pushing to subpoena her. A rare congressional rebuke of a Trump administration official. Lawmakers of both parties have accused Bondi of slow-walking the release of files related to the convicted sex offender and illegally withholding materials after Congress passed a law requiring their release. She'll likely also face questions about whether her department compromised or exposed victims when it posted dozens of unredacted images of nude women from the files, some of whom may have been teenagers.
Tracy Mumford: 最后一条更新,一位联邦法官已命令特朗普政府着手处理一项逾 10 亿美元的关税退款事宜。此前,最高法院已裁定特朗普的许多关税无效。最高法院将如何处理退款问题留给了下级法院。然而,特朗普政府辩称,向企业退款将给美国造成财政危机,并可能对此命令提出上诉。特朗普也一直在寻求利用不同的法律授权重新实施多项关税。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: And last update, a federal judge has ordered the Trump administration to take the first steps toward issuing more than a billion dollars in tariff refunds. It follows the Supreme Court's ruling that struck down many of Trump's tariffs. The justices left it to lower courts to figure out how refunds should be handled. The Trump administration, however, has argued that refunding businesses would create a fiscal crisis for the US and is likely to appeal this order. Trump has also been looking to put many tariffs back in place using different legal authorities.
Tracy Mumford: 本周公布的一项新研究表明,近一半的结直肠癌病例现在发生在 65 岁以下的成年人中。这是该疾病人口统计学上的一个重大转变,此前人们曾认为,正如一位科学家所说,这是一种“爷爷的病”。这些数据由美国癌症协会发布。研究人员还观察到,风险是如何随着每一代人而增加的。1990 年出生的人患结肠癌的可能性是 1950 年出生者的两倍,患直肠癌的可能性是四倍。研究结果表明,年轻一代患病可能存在独特的驱动因素。例如,科学家认为,始于 20 世纪 50 年代的が环境暴露可能负有部分责任。目前有大量正在进行的研究,探讨超加工食品、微塑料和抗生素可能如何改变了人们的肠道菌群。对于 65 岁及以上的人群来说,这是一个亮点:结直肠癌发病率几十年来一直在稳步下降,这在一定程度上要归功于广泛的筛查,可以发现癌前息肉。医生建议,对于平均风险人群,应从 45 岁开始进行常规筛查。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: A new study out this week shows that nearly half of all colorectal cancer cases now occur in adults under 65. It's a major shift in the demographics of the disease, which had been thought of, as one scientist said, as grandpa's disease. The data was published by the American Cancer Society. Researchers have also observed how the risk is going up with each generation. People born in 1990 are twice as likely to develop colon cancer than those born in 1950 and four times as likely to develop rectal cancer. The findings suggest that there may be unique drivers of the disease in younger generations. For example, scientists think environmental exposures that started around the 1950s may be partially responsible. There's a lot of ongoing research about how ultrarocessed foods, microplastics, and antibiotics may have changed people's gut biome. In a bright spot for people who are 65 and older, colorectal cancer rates have been steadily declining for decades, thanks in part to widespread screening that can catch precancerous polyps. Doctors recommend routine screening starting at age 45 for people who are at average risk.
Tracy Mumford: 最后,人们正积极尝试将各种事务外包给 AI,例如撰写求职信、规划假期。但无论你做什么,都不要用它来报税。**《纽约时报》**测试了四款 AI 聊天机器人:Google 的 Gemini、ChatGPT、Anthropic 的 Claude,以及 Elon Musk 的 AI 公司开发的 Grock。我的同事们给了它们八种虚构的税务情境,这些情境取自报税服务的培训材料,结果它们表现得很挣扎。平均而言,它们计算出的退税额或应缴金额误差超过了 2000 美元。即使提供了所有必需的材料,聊天机器人仍然在一些计算上出错。问题出在聊天机器人的设计方式上。它们不擅长记忆大量相互关联的信息,比如你的 W2 表格的所有细节、加上你的房贷、再加上你是否有孩子。错误会在计算过程中悄悄溜进。而在报税上,几个错误累积起来可能会产生严重后果。现在,为了给这些机器人一个喘息的机会,美国的税法极其复杂,非常令人困惑。人类也会犯错。专家们说,如果你想使用 AI,最安全的方法是将其用作一种工具。提出简单的问题。记住你正在处理的事情。AI 并非为精确性而设计,而精确性对报税来说相当重要。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: And finally, people are actively trying to outsource all kinds of things to AI, writing their cover letters, planning their vacations. But whatever you do, don't use it to file your taxes. The Times tested four AI chat bots. Gemini from Google, ChatGpt, Claude from Anthropic, and Grock from Elon Musk's AI company. My colleagues gave them eight fictional tax situations pulled from training materials for a tax filing service and they struggled. They miscalculated the refund or the amount owed by an average of more than $2,000. Even when they were given all the necessary materials, the chat bots just whiffed on some calculations. The problem comes down to how chat bots are designed. They're not good at remembering a lot of interconnected information like all the details of your W2 plus your mortgage plus whether you have kids. Errors sneak into their calculations along the way. And on taxes, a few errors can really add up. Now, to give the bots a break, the American tax code is incredibly complicated and can be very confusing. Humans also make mistakes. The safest thing experts say if you want to use AI is to use it like a tool. Ask it simple questions. Remember what you're dealing with. It is not built for precision, which is kind of important for taxes.
Tracy Mumford: 这些就是今日的头条。我是 Tracy Mumford。明天我们将带来最新消息和周五新闻问答。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: Those are the headlines. I'm Tracy Mumford. We'll be back tomorrow with the latest and the Friday news quiz.