通胀数据击碎降价论调、俄新型喷气无人机威胁升级与移民法庭危机 New York Times Podcasts 2026-10-15

通胀数据击碎降价论调、俄新型喷气无人机威胁升级与移民法庭危机

关键字 drone-warfare inflation air-defense immigration-law
4 节

战局骤变:俄罗斯喷气动力无人机与“星盾”受限困局

在乌克兰战场,空中威胁正在经历质的升级。俄罗斯近期开始密集部署新型喷气动力无人机(Jet-powered drone: 采用喷气推进系统以获得更高飞行速度的新型无人作战飞行器),以数百英里的时速划破天际,突破现有防空网并袭击加油站、桥梁、发电厂,甚至客运列车、学校和购物中心。这类无人机来袭速度极快,民众几乎没有逃生预警时间。相比过去乌克兰已基本掌握拦截技巧、由伊朗设计且飞行声形似割草机的“见证者”(Shahed)螺旋桨无人机,俄罗斯对其进行了动力升级。据乌克兰空军统计,仅上个月俄方就向乌克兰境内发射了约3,000架无人机。官员指出,这些喷气式无人机时速高达370英里(约600公里/小时),速度是旧机型的近三倍,且能携带更重的爆炸载荷。乌克兰虽然能够将其击落,但防空成本极为高昂——用于拦截的单枚防空导弹成本接近一百万美元。

雪上加霜的是,乌克兰的战场通信本周遭遇了卫星连接(Satellite connectivity)的突然限制。乌克兰政府透露,其在未获任何预警的情况下,在军用版星链——“星盾”(Starshield: 由 SpaceX 为军方定制、由五角大楼资助的高安全性卫星通信系统)上遭遇了使用限制。乌克兰军方极其依赖该服务进行战场通信及引导拦截武器打击无人机。防务官员反映,当乌方无人机等设备的时速超过100英里时便会断开连接,严重干扰了作战行动。分析人士推测这一限制指令来自华盛顿,因总统特朗普近期频繁批评乌克兰领导层,并施压要求其限制对俄境内目标的打击。埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)在社交媒体上回应称,星盾系统受美国政府控制,“关于速度或使用权限的任何限制均由美军并最终由总统决定”。五角大楼对此未予置评。

英文原文

From the New York Times, it's the headlines. I'm Tracy Mumford. Today's Thursday, October 15th. Here's what we're covering.

In Ukraine recently, new jet powered drones have been screaming across the sky at hundreds of miles hour, outracing air defenses as they slam into gas stations, bridges, power plants. They've also hit a passenger train, a school, a shopping mall. The drones arrive so quickly, people barely have a chance to run. These new drones from Russia, are a step beyond the older propeller-driven drones, the ones you think of with the incessant buzz like a lawn mower. Those Ukraine pretty much had under control. After years of attacks, the military had figured out how to take down what are known as Shawheads, propellerdriven drones designed in Iran and used by Russia. But Russia has now transformed them, developing jet powered versions. Last month alone, it launched 3,000 of them at Ukraine, according to the country's air force. Officials say they're coming in as fast as 370 mph, roughly three times faster than the old ones, and they can carry heavier explosive payloads. Ukraine can shoot them down, but at a price. The missiles it uses to do that cost nearly a million dollars each.

Meanwhile, one new factor that complicated Ukraine's defense this week, satellite connectivity. The Ukrainian government said that with no warning, it was hit with restrictions on the military version of Starlink, the internet service it relies on for battlefield communications and for guiding interceptors to take down drones. The service Star Shield is funded by the Pentagon and was developed by SpaceX, which Elon Musk runs. Ukrainian defense officials say that this week when their devices like drones reached more than 100 mph, they lost connection, which has disrupted combat operations. Ukrainian officials and analysts speculated that the restrictions came from Washington as President Trump has been criticizing Ukraine's leadership and pressuring the country to limit strikes on Russia. In a social media post yesterday, Musk wrote that Star Shield systems are controlled by the US government and that quote, "Any limits on speed or usage are decided by the US military and ultimately the president." The Pentagon did not respond to a request for comment.

数据打脸:生活成本高企与选民经济困境

在美国国内,白宫的经济论调与现实数据之间出现了巨大落差。在为中期选举造势的集会上,唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)总统再次宣称美国民众的日常物价正在全面下降,并将生活成本危机完全归咎于前任拜登政府。然而,同日发布的官方权威经济数据展现了完全相反的图景。最新消费者价格指数(Consumer Price Index: 衡量一篮子消费品与服务价格变动的核心通胀指标,简称 CPI)报告显示通胀再度上升,截至9月份,物价水平同比上涨了3.7%。

据《纽约时报》经济记者科尔比·史密斯(Colby Smith)分析,今年推动美国通胀走高的主因是与伊朗的冲突,该冲突直接推高了能源价格,无论是汽油还是燃油,各类能源成本较几个月前均大幅攀升。与此同时,美国工薪阶层的薪资增长未能跟上通胀步伐。数据核算表明,自特朗普于2025年1月重返白宫以来,扣除通胀因素后,美国人的实际工资增长基本为零。这种停滞加剧了近几个月弥漫全美的经济倦怠感。皮尤研究中心(Pew Research Center)的最新民调进一步证实了这一困境:各收入阶层的民众在过去一年中普遍缩减了外出就餐等非必需开支,且有接近半数的美国人在食品、住房、交通或医疗等基本生活需求支出上面临严重困难。在中期选举仅剩数周的背景下,“可负担性”议题已演变为左右选情的核心风暴。

英文原文

Whenever I have a news conference, somebody will stand up say, "Mr. President, affordability." I said, "Yeah, that was caused by Biden, who gave us the highest inflation in history, gave us the high, and you know, the prices are all coming down." Yesterday, at a rally to try and energize Republican voters ahead of the midterms, President Trump repeated a claim that he's been making for months that everyday costs for Americans are dropping.

I have never seen anything like what's happening in our country right now. Our country is doing so well we're building.

But the same day, the government's own data laid out a very different picture. The latest consumer price index report showed inflation is up and that as of September, prices were 3.7% higher than they were a year before.

US inflation has really been pushing higher over the course of the year and the main driver has been the war with Iran. What we've seen is that energy prices stemming from that conflict have really moved up. Whether it's gasoline prices or fuel oil, all of these different kinds of energy costs are more expensive than they were just a couple of months ago.

My colleague Colby Smith covers the economy. She says that at the same time as inflation is rising, Americans paychecks are not keeping pace.

My colleagues and I, we crunch the numbers and what we see is that on average, Americans have essentially experienced zero wage growth in inflationadjusted terms since Trump returned to the White House in January 2025. And I think that's contributing to a lot of this feeling of economic malaise that has really intensified in the last couple of months. And that's incredibly important at a time when, you know, we're just weeks away from the midterm elections and affordability issues are front and center.

In addition to the consumer price index, new data out yesterday from the Pew Research Center gives an even fuller picture of how rising prices are hitting Americans. Everyone says they're feeling it to some degree with people across all income levels reporting that they've cut back on discretionary spending in the past year, like going out to eat. But the survey showed that close to half of Americans are also having trouble covering the costs of basic needs like food, housing, transportation, or medical care.

程序非正义:无人陪伴移民儿童的法庭危机

在司法审判层面,美国移民管理体系正在暴露严重的人道与程序缺失。在曼哈顿等地的移民法庭中,大量只身穿越美墨边境的无人陪伴未成年人(Unaccompanied minors: 无父母或法定监护人陪伴入境的低龄移民)正独自面临可能导致被遣返的严苛听证程序。这类审理因一个致命劣势而显得尤为不公:这些孩子缺乏法律代理人。记者贾斯敏·奥约亚(Jasmine Oyoa)的追踪调查显示,一家非营利研究机构的数据指出,截至今年8月,全美涉及无人陪伴未成年人的移民案件中,超过半数没有任何律师陪同代理。

听证会现场情况令人触目惊心:一名13岁洪都拉斯女孩在既没有律师也不知道父母身处何处的情况下,仅因回答“不怕被送回母国”,法官便当庭下达了驱逐出境令;在另一起案件中,法官甚至要求一名年仅一岁、毫无法律援助的婴儿填写庇护申请表格;还有两名分别为15岁和17岁的少年在懵懂中签署了“自愿离境”协议,意味着他们必须在一年内离开美国。尽管联邦法律并未赋予移民儿童享有法定免费辩护律师的权利,但要求政府“在可行范围内尽最大努力”为其提供法律援助。然而,由于联邦卫生与公众服务部(HHS)在今年夏天以合作组织拒绝共享涉及律师-委托人保密特权的数据为由,终止了长期出资支持儿童法律援助的合同,导致危机进一步恶化。前奥巴马政府官员指出,终止此类合同是对未成年人保护屏障的蓄意拆除。

英文原文

On a recent September morning, I was sitting inside an immigration courtroom in Manhattan. Six children flashed on the video screens. All of the children had crossed the southern border alone. This was a very difficult proceeding that could result in their deportation and it was made all the more difficult by one glaring disadvantage and that's that they didn't have a lawyer.

Jasmine Oyoa covers immigration for the times and has been tracking the surge of children facing deportation hearings without representation. According to one nonprofit research group, across the country, of all the immigration cases involving unaccompanied minors this year through August, more than half did not have lawyers. The Times has been sitting in on some deportation hearings in New York and Arizona as kids faced questions from immigration judges. It was a striking procedure to watch children try to answer these questions without the help of adults.

There was one 13-year-old girl who said she did not want to leave, she didn't know where her parents were, she had been living with her brother in Honduras, but because she said she wasn't afraid to be returned to her home country, the judge ordered her removed anyway. In another case, a judge ordered a one-year-old baby to fill out an asylum application, though the child didn't have counsel. There were also two boys, ages 15 and 17, who agreed to what's called voluntary departure. And whether they understood that decision or not, what that meant is that they would have to exit the country within a year.

While migrant children do not have a right to representation in immigration court, federal law requires the government to try and provide them with legal aid to the quote greatest extent practicable. But Jasmine says that effort has been complicated recently by a contract dispute with a group that the government has long paid to help provide legal services for kids. The administration let that contract expire this summer, saying the organization had refused to share data, which the group said was privileged attorney client information. One former immigration official under President Obama told the Times that ending the contract appeared to be part of a systematic dismantling of the guard rails meant to protect kids. In response to questions from the Times, a spokeswoman for the Department of Health and Human Services, which is responsible for how unaccompanied minors move through the courts, disputed claims that those kids don't have access to legal support.

传奇落幕与政治前瞻:大胃王逝世与中期选举金钱博弈

在文体领域,竞吃界失去了一位标志性人物。知名竞吃选手蒂姆·贾纳斯(Tim Janus,擂台代号 Eater X)因罹患侵袭性肺癌于近期逝世,享年49岁。贾纳斯曾是世界顶尖选手之一,长期在著名的内森热狗竞吃大赛中名列前三,曾创下在6分钟内吞食141块握寿司等惊人纪录。他在比赛中开创了“肉包分离法”——将香肠与面包分开咀嚼,并利用浸湿的面包送服,极大影响了竞吃运动的技术演化。贾纳斯在训练中运用数据分析笔记、研读对手录像,并饮用特制的松软干酪兑水配方扩张胃容量,将竞吃比赛从纯粹的猎奇秀推向了专业化体育竞技。尽管他十年前便退役转型成为一名外交官,但他对意志力超越生理极限的理解仍深远影响着这项运动。

与此同时,美国中期选举进入白热化阶段。共和党候选人正动用雄厚的竞选资金展开政治轰炸,迫使民主党直面在1比10甚至1比1000的悬殊资金劣势下能否赢得选战的严峻考验。本届选举的最终走向,将成为检验超级政治献金对选举政治决定性影响的关键样本。

英文原文

And finally, the world of competitive eating has lost one of its greatest champions, Tim Janice, better known as Eater X, who died recently at 49 of an aggressive form of lung cancer.

50 hot dogs and buns on a chair.

Janice was one of the world's highest ranked competitive eaters who regularly placed in the top three at the very famous Nathan's famous hot dog eating contest.

Time has proven that the best way to do it is to separate the meat and the bread. This way you can chew the meat. You can dunk the bread while you're chewing the meat and then uh wash everything down with a soaking wet hot dog bun.

At one point, Janice described his careful strategy to the Wall Street Journal. But he didn't just do hot dogs. Janice also took home trophy after trophy for plowing through all kinds of other foods you probably never thought about shoveling down, like 141 pieces of nigiri in six minutes flat. The rigor and strategy Janice brought to the contests, filling notebooks with data, watching tape of his competitors, matched how eating contests themselves went from being kind of a sideshow to a more professional, organized sport. Along the way, Janice developed his own training regimen, downing a custom mix of cottage cheese and water to keep his stomach nice and roomy. Even though he got out of the world of competitive eating a decade ago to start a new career as a foreign service officer, some of his records still stand. The secret, he told the journal, was all about having the right mentality. Quote, "The first thing is you have to open your mind to the possibility of eating more hot dogs than you think you can."

Those are the headlines. Today on the daily times political reporters take stock of where things stand in the midterm elections as Republican candidates rush to deploy their enormous war chest. It's really raised the question for Democrats of can you beat outbeat 10 to 1 and still win a race can you be outbeat in spending a thousand to one and that's something that this election will help show us the answer to. You can find that in the New York Times app or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Tracy Mumford. We'll be back tomorrow with the latest and the Friday news quiz.

文中提及的人物和组织

公司/组织: The New York Times, SpaceX, Pentagon

产品/模型: Starshield, Shahed