开场与中东局势
主持人: 卡普博士,非常荣幸能邀请到美国动力主义的创始人在我们第四届年度峰会的舞台上。嗯,我想,天哪,如果我们当时能像这样……
Original English
主持人: Dr. Carp, it is a pleasure to finally have the OG American Dynamism founder on stage with us at the 4th annual summit. Um I think gosh if we had...
Alex Karp: (笑声)
Original English
Alex Karp: (laughter)
主持人: 是的。嗯,我想如果我们当时能像这样……你们不懂,那是个帮派手势。(笑声)
Original English
主持人: Yes. Um I think if we had you guys don't get that there's a gang signs. (laughter)
Alex Karp: 不,我想我们都明白了那个典故。嗯……
Original English
Alex Karp: No, I think we all got the the reference. Um...
主持人: Maddiey在观众席里。(笑声)他不太出门。他会说:“嗯?那是什么?”这将是一次很棒的对话。所以,我想,如果我们72小时前进行这次对话,那会非常不同。嗯,但当然,有很多新闻,所以我想直接谈谈新闻和世界上正在发生的事情。嗯,因为Palantir无疑是这个故事的一部分。所以,周末,美国和以色列在“史诗之怒行动”中轰炸了伊朗。阿亚图拉死了。中东现在处于战争状态。您认为这种情况对西方的未来意味着什么?这是您经常谈论的话题,也关乎美国的未来。
Original English
主持人: Maddiey's in the audience. (laughter) He doesn't get out much. He's like, "Huh? What is that? This is going to be a great conversation. So, I think uh if we had this conversation 72 hours ago, it would have been very different. Um but of course there's been a lot of news and so I want to get straight to to the news and what's happening in the world. Um because Palanteer is certainly um part of that story. So over the weekend uh the US and Israel bombed Iran and Operation Epic Fury. Ayatollah how many is dead. The Middle East is now at war. What do you think the situation means for the future of the West? Something you talk a lot about and the future of America.
Alex Karp: 嗯,首先,我很高兴能和您同台。嗯,你们中的许多人,顺便说一句,我说了太多话,声音有点沙哑,但我不会对除了您之外的任何人取消行程。
Original English
Alex Karp: Well, first of all, I'm delighted to be on stage with you and um you know, for many of you in this audience, by the way, I'm I've been talking so much I'm kind of losing my voice, but I didn't I I would have probably canceled on anyone but you. But...
主持人: 哦,这意义重大。我们很高兴您能来。(笑声)
Original English
主持人: Oh, that that means a lot. We're glad you're here. (laughter)
Alex Karp: 顺便说一句,我喜欢取消行程,对于那些……因为这是我最喜欢的事情,因为我实际上是一个内向的人。任何取消的借口,Palantir的员工都知道。是的。嗯,但是,是的,您在公众面前和幕后一直是一股强大的力量,我想,在广义上的国防科技领域,或者说“让美国赢”的领域,或者说广义上定义为“好”的事情上,帮助了很多人。嗯,然后我们还在一些事情上达成了一致,我们稍后可以谈谈,比如不要把我们的年轻人束缚起来的重要性,因为他们在神经学上是神经多样性的,这是我的一大热情,也应该是每个人的热情。
Original English
Alex Karp: I love to cancel, by the way, for those of you cuz like it's my favorite thing cuz I I actually am an introvert. Any excuse to cancel as as Palunteerians know. It's uh Yeah. Um but yeah, you've been such a force um in public and behind the scenes for you know I think helping people in the broadly speaking defense tech or let America wins or things that are good uh broadly defined. Um, and then we also align on something we could talk about later on, like the importance of not putting our youth in straight jackets because they're divergent neurologically, which is a passion of of mine and should be a passion of everyone's since...
Alex Karp: 你可以将我们这个伟大而美好的国家定义为一个国家,在这个国家里,所有在意识形态、思想、宗教或坦率地说,在神经学上存在神经多样性的人都来到这里,寻求一个更好的地方,他们可以在这里表达他们的自由,并有权表达他们的思想。在公开和私下表达你的思想之间存在着深刻的联系,这涉及到第一修正案和第四修正案,以及能够思考的权利。如果这行不通,那么就能够用第二修正案来捍卫它。嗯,最后但同样重要的是,我们的开国元勋们并没有像我在德国生活了很长时间那样,将这些权利构建为由其他官僚授予我们的权利。它们是赐予我们的,是来自更高存在的不可剥夺的权利。
Original English
Alex Karp: you could define our wonderful and great country as a country where everyone who was divergent in ideology, thought, religion or quite frankly like uh uh neurologically came to this country to have a better place where they could express their freedom and had the right to a express what they thought which and there's a deep link between expressing what you think publicly and privately first and fourth amendment and being able to think it and if that doesn't work being able to defend it with the second amendment uh and uh the and last not least our our founders founders uh uh did not structure these rights the way they are in say where I lived for a lot of my life in Germany as rights granted to us by other bureaucrats. We they're given to us. They're inaliable from a higher being.
支持美国战士与技术优势
Alex Karp: 嗯,我想说,在我谈论世界如何变化之前,我们有美国战士在战场上,他们愿意牺牲自己的生命。其中一些人已经牺牲了生命。他们有家人和孩子。孩子们和家人不知道他们的亲人是否能回家。嗯,你知道,我们,我知道在这个房间里,我们应该公开私下地支持他们,而那些不了解或者被宠坏到不知道这些人为了我们做了什么的人,我们应该公开羞辱他们。嗯,每个人在这方面都有自己的角色。嗯,尤其是我们这些正处于跨代文化和智力勇气优势浪潮中的人,现在作为美国人,我们不应该忘记那些不成比例地来自我们国家中部,并且不成比例地受到不公正待遇的美国战士。
Original English
Alex Karp: Uh and uh I would just say before I get into uh how the world's changed, we have American uh war fighters on the battlefield. Uh s willing to sacrifice their lives. Uh some of whom have sacrificed their lives. They have families and kids. Kids and families don't know if their loved ones are coming home. And uh you know we uh I know in this room but we should publicly privately support them and people who are not aware or somehow so effing spoiled that they don't realize what these people do for us we should publicly humiliate them. Uh and everyone has a role in that. uh um and especially those of us who are riding a crest of of of intergenerational cultural intellectual courage advantage which it which it is to be an American nowadays should not obviously should not forget uh the war fighter who are disproportionately uh from uh the middle of our our country and disproportionately have gotten screwed.
Alex Karp: 嗯,你知道,我很自豪,非常自豪的是,在Palantir,我们受到了批评和攻击。我的意思是,一半攻击我们的人,如果他们至少花两分钟在维基百科上学习一下他们正在重复的论点,那会很好。但是,嗯,你知道,任何公司都会有一些合理的批评。但归根结底,事实是,Palantir正在做的最重要的事情,以及这个房间里的其他人,以及像您这样的人,以及其他与构建更致命武器相关或辅助的人正在做的事情,就是确保美国战士更有可能安全回家。坦率地说,那些试图伤害他们的人知道他们不会回家,在我看来,这就是阻止人们攻击我们的方式。然后,关于正在发生的事情的起因。
Original English
Alex Karp: Uh and uh you know I'm proud uh very proud that at Palunteer uh you know we we get arrows and people I mean half the people attacking us it'd be good if they spent two minutes on Wikipedia at least learning the talking points they're regurgitating but uh but um you know there's some legitimate criticisms uh of any company but at the end of the day the fact is the most important thing Palanteer is doing than I other people in this room are doing and people like you and other people adjacent or ancillary to building uh uh more lethal and deadly weapons is to make sure that American war fighters uh are much more likely to come home and quite frankly the people who are trying to harm them uh know that they won't be coming home and that's the way you stop people from attacking us in my opinion and then on the the kind of um the leading up to what's going on.
Alex Karp: 但我认为,这个房间里可能有人非常支持,也有人不支持。然而,很难否认美国正在发挥一种曾被削弱的威慑能力。你可以喜欢或不喜欢,但这与忽视不同。我们现在拥有一种其他国家似乎没有的威慑能力,这有很多原因。显然,有美国战士、组织美国战士的人、将军、领导层、总统。但有一个优势常常被忽视,原因莫名其妙,那就是战争就是科技。你知道,我生命中有一半时间因为家庭原因在德国度过,然后我在那里完成了博士学位。二战后美国的崛起,美国之所以能赢得二战,就是因为科技优势。如果你看看“午夜铁锤行动”中发生了什么,委内瑞拉发生了什么,以及伊朗目前正在发生什么,你会看到一个社会完全占据主导地位。那就是我们的社会。
Original English
Alex Karp: But I think the there are probably people in this room who are wildly supportive uh and there are people who aren't. It is hard to deny that America is exerting a deterrent capability that was eviscerated. you you can like or not like that's different than ignoring we now have a deterrent capability that no other country appears to have and that is for for lots of reasons and obviously uh the war fighter people organized the war fighter the generals the leadership the president but one advantage that often gets overlooked in it for reasons that make no sense is war fighting is technology ology, you know, I I spent half my life in in in Germany for familiar reasons and then I wrote my PhD there. It it the and then the rise of America after World War II, the reason America was able to win World War II were technological advantages. And if you look what happened in, you know, Operation Midnight Hammer, what happened in Venezuela, what's so far happening uh uh in in in Iran, you see one society just totally dominating. That's our society.
Alex Karp: 现在,你可以深入探讨。我总是和我的知识分子朋友争论,他们会说:“难道拥有一个基于规则、人人平等的法律体系不是更好吗?”是的,理论上是这样。但在当今世界,不是我们,就是中国,就是俄罗斯。
Original English
Alex Karp: Now, you could get into I I would I I'm always in fights with my intellectual friends about they're they're like, "But wouldn't it be better to have a rule a a law-based system where everyone is equal?" Yeah, sure. in theory, but in this world, it's us or China or Russia.
主持人: 是的。
Original English
主持人: Yeah.
Alex Karp: 我不知道你们对这些决定有何看法,但我认为我们正在做,我真的相信我们正在做更高层次的工作,通过确保,不仅仅是为了美国,而是为了全世界,我们是真正拥有决定性投票权的力量。而实现这一目标的唯一途径就是拥有军事优势。当我提到军事优势时,我并不是指我们在PowerPoint上争论。它的意思是美国。所以现在你看到了科技做了什么?再说一次,我认为每当像我这样的人谈论这个问题时,你不能说足够多的是美国战士和他们的勇气,我没有那样做。我坐在这里,嗯,你知道,我没有,我们有Palantir的员工遍布各地,我不断地和他们交谈。所以他们正在做,他们正在把自己置于危险之中,你知道,嗯,我,我有点,但不是直接的。主要是所有那些对我大喊大叫的人,我想也许有些人想朝我开枪,但是,嗯,如果你看看Palantir成立以来的发展,软件的崛起,这基本上意味着,你知道,一个提供牛排晚餐的软件公司,显然是寄生的,是行不通的。那种公司正在被淘汰。国防科技的崛起,现在你拥有了软件、硬件、人工智能的混合体,你确实需要这三者。
Original English
Alex Karp: And I don't know how you guys feel about those decisions, but I think we're doing I literally believe we're doing the work of higher a higher purpose by making sure and not just for America, but for the whole world that we are the power that actually has the decisive vote. And there is only one way to do that and that is with military superiority. And when I say military superiority, I don't mean that we're arguing on a PowerPoint. It means but America. So now you get to what is technology done? Now again, I think whenever people like me are talking about this, it you can't say enough that it's the war fighter and their courage and I'm not doing that. I'm sitting here um and you know and I'm not and we have Palunteerians all over on like I'm talking to them constantly. So they're doing they're putting themselves in harm's way and you know um uh I'm I am kind of but not directly. It's mostly all the people who yell at me and I guess maybe there are some people want to shoot at me but um it the the the if you look at the rise of like in the in the lifetime of Palunteer there's been the rise of software which essentially me meant your you know software company that is supplying a steak dinner that's obviously parasitic is not cutting it that kind of those those companies are being eviscerated you the rise of defense tech and now you have a hybrid software, hardware, AI where you really need all three.
Alex Karp: 嗯,有趣的是,从投资角度来看,嗯,你知道,我想说,在我们都必须向大型语言模型(LLM)的霸主敬礼之前,最后一家屹立不倒的公司将是Palantir。但这主要是……(笑声)
Original English
Alex Karp: Um, interestingly from an investment perspective, um, you know, I would say the last company standing before we all have to salute the overlord of the LLM will be Palanteer. But it's mainly (laughter)
主持人: 我们会谈到这个,我保证。
Original English
主持人: we're going to get into that, I promise.
Alex Karp: 主要是因为,嗯,它的特异性、安全性和编排能力。但这些对房间里的任何人来说都不必有意义。我告诉你,这对我们现在的对手来说非常有意义。美国是如何做到这一点的?再说一次,这是专业化的方式。这是25到30年的作战经验,是它的精英管理。战争部是最精英管理的环境。它在朝鲜战争中就实现了整合,比我们社会更早。它,它,它是最受欢迎的机构,也是最受尊敬的机构,也许是美国唯一一个真正受到所有美国人尊敬的机构,无论其人口结构如何。它受到所有美国人的尊敬,无论其人口结构如何,正是因为它一直实行精英管理。如果你是非裔美国人,嗯,你通过参军在美国获得了机会。如果你想得到公平对待,嗯,你来自一个你觉得每个群体都有人在军队中,他们的生活因此改变,并且为美国做了高尚而美好的事情。他们也有回到美国后得不到支持的经历。我们应该改变这一点。
Original English
Alex Karp: mainly because um you there it's it's the specificity of and the security and the orchestration but none of that has to make any sense to anyone in this room. I'll tell you what it makes a lot of sense to our adversaries right now. How is America doing this? Now again it's specialized ways. It's 25 30 years of experience in fighting its meritocracy. The department of war is the most meritocratic environment. It integrated in Korea before our society did. Uh it's it it is the most popular institution and most revered institution and probably the only institution in America that is actually revered by the American people across every demographic. And it's revered by the American people across every demographic precisely because it's been meritocratic. If if you were a black American, uh you got your break in America by going to the military. if you wanted to be treated fairly uh and you were from a group that you felt that every demographic has somebody who is in the military whose life was changed and it did something noble and wonderful for America. They also have the experience of coming home in America not sticking up for them. We should change that.
硅谷与零和博弈
Alex Karp: 现在你来看看硅谷。嗯,我对硅谷的一个信息是,再说一次,我不想针对特定的人,因为我想说,如果硅谷认为我们要夺走每个人的白领工作,这主要是指那些我从小一起长大的、受过高等教育的、上过精英学校或准精英学校的、投票给某个政党的人,那么你们就完蛋了。如果你不认为这会导致我们的技术被国有化,那么你就错了。你可能特别错,因为你智商160,但这就是这条路的走向。
Original English
Alex Karp: Now you get to Silicon Valley. Uh my one message for and again I I don't I'm without getting in specific people or cuz I'm like if Silicon Valley believes we are going to take away everyone's white collar job meaning primarily democratic shaped uh people whom I grew up with highly educated people who went to elite schools or went to schools that are almost elite who vote for one party and you're going screwed the military. If you don't think that's going to lead to nationalization of our technology, you're [ __ ] And you might be particularly [ __ ] because you have a 160 IQ, but it you this is where that path is going.
主持人: 你不能同时拥有既能夺走所有人工作,又被这样看待的技术。再说一次,这背后有很多微妙之处。我一直深度参与这些微妙之处。什么可以部署,在哪里部署,美国军队和监控之间存在差异。尽管所有人认为Palantir是反监控公司,我知道你们网上的人认为这不是真的,但每个技术专家都这么认为。所以我最终陷入了所有我不想参与的对话中。但我们行业面临的危险是,美国会出现著名的马蹄铁效应,人们只在一个问题上达成一致,那就是这无法支付账单,人们认为我们的行业应该被国有化。因此,除了我认为伊朗人民可能觉得终于有人站在我这边了,而不是那些本该喜欢我的伯克利教员之外,伊朗正在发生的社会效益,嗯(笑声),这对你来说是一个重要的教训。是的。所以,嗯,但作为美国,以及在科技行业中杰出的人,我们必须找到一种方法,确保我们不仅仅在帕洛阿尔托受欢迎。
Original English
主持人: Like you cannot have technologies that simultaneously take away everyone's job and then be perceived. Again, there's a lot of subtlety here behind behind the curtain. I've been heavily involved in that subtlety. what can be where it can be deployed what can be deployed there's a difference between US military and surveillance and despite what everyone thinks Palanteer is the anti-surveillance company I know your person online thinks that's not true but every technical expert does so I end up in every conversation that I don't want to be in but the the danger for our industry is that America you get a you get a famous horseshoe effect where there's only one thing people agree on and that's that this is not paying the bills and people and our industry should be nationalized and and so the the the societal benefit that is going on in Iran besides the fact that I think I suspect the Iranian people feel like finally someone's on my side and it wasn't the Berkeley faculty that was supposed to like me. Uh [laughter] it it's uh um a big lesson for you. Yeah. So um and but then as America we and a people who are prominent in the tech industry, you know, we have to find a way to make sure that we're not just popular in PaloAlto.
主持人: 是的。我想回到您刚才说的一点,那就是,嗯,要么是我们赢,要么是中国赢,要么是俄罗斯赢,要么是其他国家赢,这是一场零和博弈。感觉这个房间里华盛顿的人真的明白人工智能是零和博弈,但硅谷不明白。硅谷不喜欢用零和博弈来思考。他们喜欢认为一切都是正和博弈。那么,您会如何向硅谷的人解释这一点呢?他们正在构建大型语言模型,你知道,他们正在构建他们所说的全新的、以前不存在的技术,因此需要区别对待。您会如何向他们解释这个问题?
Original English
主持人: Yeah. I I want to get back to something you just said, which is that, you know, that it's it's either us winning or China winning or Russia winning or another country that it's a zero- sum game. And it feels like the people in this room in Washington really understand that AI is zero sum, but that Silicon Valley doesn't. Silicon Valley doesn't like to think in terms of zero sum. They like to think that everything is a positive sum game. So, how would you explain to the people in Silicon Valley who are again building the LLMs, you know, building um what what they would say is a brand new net new technology that hasn't existed before and therefore it needs to be treated differently. What would you say to them about this?
Alex Karp: 嗯,我的意思是,首先,嗯,顺便说一句,我只是想稍微反驳一下。他们确实认为这是零和博弈。他们认为这是彼此之间的零和博弈。
Original English
Alex Karp: Well, I mean, there's so first of all, it's it's um by the way, I just want to push back slightly. They do think it's zero sum. They think it's zero sum versus each other.
Alex Karp: 所以他们绝对在争斗。会有,你知道,这是我自己的言论,如果我碰巧认为这是真的。这将是芯片、本体论,我怀疑最终会有一到一家半的供应商。所以他们假装不认为这是零和博弈,但你问他们对竞争对手的看法。所以,我的意思是,这些人为了主导地位而非常非常努力地争斗。所以,他们不明白的是,在世界上,这是零和博弈。但我实际上认为硅谷的主要问题是,当美国决定,好吧,我与很多政治人物打交道,我非常尊重他们。我认为在某些方面,当政治人物发现这是一个获胜的问题时,这将是零和博弈,你的钱和你的公司将被国有化。
Original English
Alex Karp: So like they absolutely are fighting. There will be like you know it's my own rhetoric if I happen to think it's true. It's going to be chips ontology and I suspect in the end one one and a half provider. So they pretend they don't think it's zero sum but then ask them how they feel about their competitor. So it's very very I mean these people are fighting very very hard for the dominant position. So like what they don't understand is in the world it's zero sum. But I I actually think the primary issue in the valley is it's going to be zero sum visav when America decides that look okay I have I I interact with a lot of political figures I have a lot of respect I think in some are when politicians figure out this is the one winning issue it is going to be zero sum it's going to be your money and your company being zero sum nationalized.
Alex Karp: 所以那是他们不理解的部分。帮助人们理解,你知道,要么我们制定规则,要么实际上,我更倾向于美国应该强大,这样我们就不必担心敌人,而不是我们的敌人是邪恶的这种想法。所以我不是一个超级新保守主义者。在这个文化中,作为一个在国外生活了很长时间的人,很难向人们解释我们正处于一个竞争环境中,因为这里的一切都太好了。他们不明白如果我们落后,情况会有多大不同,我们会有多大改变,以及美国将面临多大的压力,不仅仅是法律上的,还有军事和文化上的。
Original English
Alex Karp: So that's the part they don't understand fe helping people understand that, you know, either we set the rules or deacto like I'm I'm much more I'm much more on America should be strong so that we don't have to worry about the enemies than our enemies are evil kind of thing. So I'm not super neocon. It seems to be very hard in this culture as someone who's lived abroad a lot of my life. It's very hard in this culture to explain to people that we're in a competitive environment because things here are so good. They don't understand how different it will be and how much we will change and how much the pressure will be on America, not just legally, but militarily and culturally if we fall behind.
Alex Karp: 我个人认为,让人们改变的更好方式是……
Original English
Alex Karp: And I I I one of the things that again it's so I I personally think the better way to get people to change is to...
主持人: 好吧,把这样的人带到爱荷华州。把他们带到华盛顿特区,向我们的美国政治领导层解释,为什么你赚了数亿美元,而一个来自爱荷华州的士兵却无法向他的妻子解释他拥有最好的技术。然后去隔壁。所以,这在传统上是共和党的模式。然后去隔壁,和进步的民主党人谈谈,他们的选民中每个人都将失业。然后离开,想象一下你会发生什么。
Original English
主持人: okay it it Go bring people like that to Iowa. Bring them to DC and explain to our American political leadership why you make hund00 million and why a soldier from Iowa can't explain to his wife he has the best technology and then go across the hall. So let's classically Republican shaped. Then go across the hall and talk to progressive Democrats about how everyone in their constituency is not going to have a job. and then leave and imagine what's going to happen to you.
Alex Karp: 你知道,我们这些在国外生活了大半辈子的人,比如在德国,那是一个非凡的文化,我们对美国这个实验有多脆弱有更好的认识。它可能会出错。
Original English
Alex Karp: You know the funny thing about those of us who've spent most of our life abroad like in Germany which a phenomenal culture we have a much better sense of how fragile this exper experiment is America it could go wrong.
Alex Karp: 如果所有的财富都流向少数人,而这些人似乎不站在我们这边,那么它就会出错。现在这种看法显然是一种漫画。它是一种漫画,因为这是一种新技术,你不能使用相同的框架,你需要那些理解它不同之处的人。关于第四修正案的保护,比如我们的隐私权,存在真正的问题。在一个你可以通过技术推断某人在家做什么的世界里,隐私是什么?你如何保护我们在家拥有自己的思想、自己的想法、自己的实践、自己的健康记录的权利?当技术也能帮助你更健康、活得更久、潜在地拥有更高的经济地位时,这些都是真正的问题,特别是如果你是一名职业工人。所以这些问题必须被解决。硅谷的正确之处在于,你需要一个论坛来讨论这些问题,而不是假装,你知道,大型语言模型和机器学习、软件、子弹是同一回事。它们不是。是的。
Original English
Alex Karp: and it will go wrong if if all wealth is going to a small number of people and those people do not appear to be on side now that perception might is obviously a caricature. It is a caricature in the sense this is new technology and you're not going to be able to use the same kind of framework and you're going to need people who appreciate how it's different and there are real questions about fourth amendment protections like our right to privacy. What is privacy in a world where you could imputee what someone's doing at home through technology? H how do you protect our right to have our own thoughts, our own ideas, our own practices at home, our own health records? that those are real issues when the technology can also help you to be healthier, live longer, uh have a higher economic status potentially, certainly if you're a vocational worker. But so those issues have to be unpacked. And where Silicon Valley is right is you you're going to need a forum to talk about that that doesn't pretend, you know, large language models is the same thing as machine learning is the same thing as software is the same thing as a bullet. They're they're not. Yeah.
Alex Karp: 嗯,但是,嗯,但是,但是,但是,但是,事实上,我非常相信,作为对,嗯,尤其是技术领域的经济精英的批评,有一种,用一种过于经济的,嗯,哲学术语来说,他们将我们的权利物化了,这意味着他们将其变成了一种东西。但是这些权利,你知道,当我在德国的时候,我在那里,我花了很多时间,我做了博士学位,但是,你知道,有很多年长的德国人,我会和他们在乡村和城市度过时光。当然,他们不认识任何纳粹。在乡村,他们会说我们都是纳粹。所以我问他们,但最引人入胜的对话之一是他们为什么成为民主党人,而不是左右翼,而是大写的D。这总是因为有效,然后是它的瓦解,我们没有问它是否瓦解,你知道,我们的,它会,我们将不会受到保护。
Original English
Alex Karp: Um but um but but but but de facto I I very much believe u as a critique of the uh like economic elite especially in in the technical area there's there's like to use an econom a kind of overly economic uh a philosophical term they reify meaning they turn it into a thing our rights but those rights you know when I was in Germany I I was there and there were I spent a lot of time I did a PhD uh but I you know there were a lot of older Germans and I I would spend time with them in the countryside in the city of course they they didn't know anybody who was a Nazi in the countryside they're like we were all Nazis so I would ask them but one of the more fascinating conversations is why they became Democrats or not like left right but capital D and it was always because it worked and then the unwinding of it that we don't ask if it unwinds you know, our it will we will not be protected.
主持人: 而且我们目前进行的对话并没有承认政治上将要发生什么,以及政治上正在发生什么。财富税就是这种现象的衍生物,因为每个人都知道财富税不会帮助穷人。它只会搞砸富人,这足以让它通过。
Original English
主持人: and it it's just the dialogue we have currently is not acknowledging what's going to happen politically, what is happening politically. The the wealth tax is a derivative of this because everyone knows the wealth tax isn't going to help the poor. It's just going to [ __ ] the rich and that's enough to get it done. M
Alex Karp: 如果这种情况发生,想象一下,当有50个不受欢迎的人拥有所有财富时,会发生什么。
Original English
Alex Karp: and if if that's happening, just imagine what's going to happen when it's like there's going to be 50 unlikable people with all the money.
主持人: 这里有人喜欢那样吗?你们做得很好。
Original English
主持人: Anybody here like that? And you guys are doing well.
AI竞赛与跨文化沟通
主持人: 不。不。我想回到关于我们如何确保战争部继续在人工智能领域保持领先地位的对话,因为我认为在过去的48小时里,这一直是房间里每个人最关心的问题。嗯,我们的对手正在关注,你知道,在新闻稿中上演的合约战争。你知道,您对我们如何确保赢得这场对抗中国的人工智能竞赛有什么看法?如果您要给所有创始人、首席执行官提供建议,你知道,那些……
Original English
主持人: No. No. I I I want to get back to to kind of the conversation about how um how we ensure that the Department of War continues to lead on AI because I think this has been top of mind for everyone in the room for the last 48 hours. um our adversaries are looking at you know contracting wars um that are playing out in press releases you know what is your view on how we can ensure that we win this AI race against the PRC if you if you're giving advice to all the founders and CEOs of of you know the the the...
Alex Karp: 首先,我正在做的一部分工作,以及我来这里的部分原因,除了您的魅力和重要性之外,是因为,嗯,我希望我在硅谷的声誉,你总是有声誉,我的声誉,我甚至不是说这个声誉是真的。但在我的情况下,我被视为那个疯疯癫癫的家伙,他经常告诉你一些你不想听但可能正确的事情,你可能不喜欢。
Original English
Alex Karp: first thing part of what I'm doing and part of the reason I mean besides your charm and importance part of the reason I want to be here is uh I want my reputation in the valley every you always have reputations my reputation which the rep I'm not even saying the reputation is true. But in my case, like I'm viewed as the batshit crazy guy who is often telling you something you don't want to hear and you may not like but is probably right.
主持人: 这是真的。
Original English
主持人: And that's true.
Alex Karp: 所以,是的。(笑声)这就是为什么我希望你发送这第一步。我们必须,他们不理解利害关系。在人们理解利害关系之前,什么都不会发生。这会影响你。现在,问题是,好莱坞做了什么?好莱坞联合起来,整个评级系统是好莱坞意识到,如果我们不做评级,华盛顿就会做,而华盛顿会搞砸。
Original English
Alex Karp: So yeah, (laughter) and that's why I want you to send this first step. We have to they're not understanding the stakes and what I nothing's going to happen till people understand the stakes. This will affect you. Now then the question is like what Hollywood did is Hollywood got together the whole rating system was Hollywood realized if we don't do rating ratings Washington's going to and Washington is going to butcher it.
主持人: 就算华盛顿不想搞砸,但它不理解这个行业。
Original English
主持人: and let's even say Washington doesn't want to butcher it but like it it doesn't understand the metier.
Alex Karp: 所以第一步是每个人,我已经和人们通电话,说:“好吧,我理解你的问题,但你意识到狼群已经在门口,而且它们已经尝到了血腥味。”
Original English
Alex Karp: so the first step is everybody and I'm already on the phone with people saying okay great I understand your issue but you realize the wolves are at the gate and they already have tasted blood.
主持人: 是的。
Original English
主持人: Yeah.
Alex Karp: 嗯,第二步是,我们必须找到方法,让我们聚在一起说:“好吧,如果你只是想讨论这些问题,是的,使用技术来侵犯美国的第四修正案权利,是这个国家左右两派都不希望发生的事情。”认为任何一方都希望如此,这是一种漫画。老实说,我在私人房间里。左派中有人不关心这些问题,他们在公开场合假装关心,但也有人关心。右派中有人假装不关心,但他们确实关心。两党都有重要的联盟,美国人民关心,这写在我们的宪法里。但你必须非常具体地了解战场上将发生什么,因为美国人关心的两个问题是他们的繁荣和他们的安全。
Original English
Alex Karp: Uh the second step is we have to find ways where we get together and say okay like if you just want to go through the issues yes there are you know using technologies in the context of eviscerating fourth amendment rights in America is a is something left and right in this country actually don't want. It's a caricature to believe that either side wants it. There are people on the honestly I'm in private rooms. There are people on the left who don't care about these issues who pretend to do it in p do in public but there are people and there are people on the right who pretend not to care who do care. Both parties have significant coalitions and the American people cares care and it's in our constitution. But then you have to get be very granular about what's going to happen on the battlefield because they're the the two issues Americans care about are their prosperity and their safety.
Alex Karp: 所以,如果硅谷必须弄清楚的两件事是,我们如何以道德的方式谈论我们的经济将发生什么?在我看来,你可以通过与贸易相关的人创造很多繁荣。嗯,好吧。但是白领工人会发生什么?我们要做什么?那是一个问题。然后我们不会达成一致,但我们必须像好莱坞那样,制定一些倡议。然后你必须在战场上进行讨论,你知道,可反驳的推定,意味着它不会发生,那就是我们将尽最大努力确保我们的美国战士安全回家。如果你坐在硅谷,提出某种会削弱这一点的论点,或者反过来,你无法理解硅谷在说什么。这意味着必须有一个媒介,而无需深入探讨所有这些细分领域的细节,因为我一直身处其中,并且希望继续身处其中。存在实质性问题,也存在文化问题。
Original English
Alex Karp: So if the if if the two things that Silicon Valley has to figure out is is what are we going to how are we going to ethically talk about what's going to happen to our economy in my view you have you could create a lot of prosperity with trade shaped people. Uh, okay. But what is going to happen to the white collar workers? And what are we going to do? That that's one issue. And then we we're not going to agree, but we have to have something like a we're going to do these initiatives just like Hollywood did. And then you're going to have to have a discussion on the battlefield where you know the rebuttable presumption meaning it doesn't happen is that the we are going to do the maximal amount to make sure our war fighters come home safely. And if you are sitting in Silicon Valley making an argument that somehow would evviscerate that or conversely you're not able to understand what Silicon Valley is saying. Meaning there's going to have to be a medium without going into details on all these breakdowns cuz I was in the middle of it and I want to stay in the middle of it. There there are substantive issues and there are cultural issues.
主持人: 如果我们能消除文化上的误解,我们就能在这里达成相当接近的协议。是的。但你正在处理的是从未交流过的世界。是的。
Original English
主持人: If we could get rid of the cultural misunderstanding, we could get pretty close to agreements here. Yeah. But you you're dealing with worlds that never ever ever talk. Yes.
Alex Karp: 而且没有能力互相交流。
Original English
Alex Karp: And don't have an ability to talk to each other.
主持人: 是的。嗯,您20年来一直在这些文化之间架设桥梁。我的意思是,这正是如此有趣的地方。我的意思是,从某种程度上说,这就是我们举办这次会议的原因,是为了将讲两种不同语言、拥有非常不同价值观的人聚集在一起,并试图让他们达成一致。我很想听听您对这些可能刚入行的新创始人的建议。你知道,这有点像那个表情包,科恩兄弟电影里的“第一次”表情包,你知道,很多人都是第一次和战争部进行对话,或者他们没有军人家庭成员,或者他们可能从未见过美国战士。您对这些可能刚接触这些对话的首席执行官有什么建议?这些对话您已经进行了20年了。
Original English
主持人: Yeah. Well, and you've been building a bridge between these cultures for 20 years. I mean, that's what's so interesting. I mean, that's in some ways why we have this conference is to bring together people who speak two different languages, very different value sets, and try to get them aligned. I I'd love your advice for these founders who maybe are new. You know, it's sort of like that meme, the first time meme uh with Cohen Brothers film, you know, where it's like a lot of these people are having their first conversations with the Department of War or they don't or they maybe they don't have any family in the military, maybe they've met never met a war fighter. What is your advice to some of these CEOs who are maybe new to these conversations that you've been having for for 20 years now?
认识自我与培养神经多样性人才
Alex Karp: 嗯,你能做的最好的事情就是去爱荷华州或者去一个基地,然后进行一次对话。我想,嗯,也许是第一次。这可能不是PG级的,但是,你知道,我很高兴没有结婚,也没有离婚,所以不要模仿我的生活方式。但是你不必这样做。也许如果你要见某人,你真的想压制它。也许不是。也许如果是你的第三个女朋友或男朋友,而不是第一个,你会有优势。比如,去和某人谈谈。如果你要见一位将军或类似的人,而你从未和真正在战场上做过事情的人,或者有家人在战场上做过事情的人交谈过,并且因为这个原因你无法理解他们的观点,那可能是一个巨大的错误。
Original English
Alex Karp: Well, the best thing you could do is go to Iowa or go to a base and have a like I don't think look put this way um maybe the first time It's probably not PG, but you know, I'm happily not married, not divorced, so don't follow how I live. But you don't have to. Maybe if you're going to meet somebody, you really want to oppress it. Maybe not. Maybe you have an advantage if it's your third girlfriend or boyfriend, not your first. Like, go have a conversation with somebody. Like if you're going to meet a general or somebody like that and you've never talked to somebody who's actually done something on the battlefield or someone who has family who's done something on the battlefield and you don't have any and because of that you don't have an ability to empathize with their perspective that's probably a huge mistake.
主持人: 是的。
Original English
主持人: Yeah.
Alex Karp: 那可能会适得其反。其次,你必须诚实地了解自己的能力所在。
Original English
Alex Karp: And I that's probably going to backfire. Last secondly though you have to be honest aware about where your aptitude is. Mhm.
主持人: 嗯。
Original English
主持人: Mhm.
Alex Karp: 比如,你知道,嗯,广义上的硅谷技术开发者,硬件、软件、人工智能。我想说,我们在军事背景下构建的,嗯,本质上是软件脚手架,以一种奇怪的方式,更像是硬件软件,但它是在软件中管理大型语言模型。嗯,嗯,在这个领域人们犯的最大错误就是,因为他们在某个领域很聪明,就认为自己在所有领域都很聪明。而硅谷的一个主要失败机制是,每个硅谷的人都被迫表现得好像他们在任何时候都在所有领域都是最聪明的。
Original English
Alex Karp: Like you know um Silicon Valley tech builders broadly defined hardware, software, AI. I would say we build in the military context uh essentially uh software scaffolding much more like in a weird way more more like hardware software but it's in software uh managing LLMs. Um uh it it is the single biggest mistake people make in this area is because they're intelligent in one area, they assume they're intelligent in all areas. And a big failure mechanism in the valley is every valley person is forced to present as if they're the smartest in all areas at all times.
主持人: 那就像,如果你不知道谁是目标,你就是目标。
Original English
主持人: And that's like if you don't know who the mark is, you're the mark.
Alex Karp: 是的。如果你认为自己是最聪明的。我患有阅读障碍,我认为我之所以做得这么好,原因之一是我确实认为我在某些方面是更优秀的人之一。至少我相信这一点,而且我知道我并非在所有方面都如此。这是一个很小的,但硅谷的一个失败模式是:我在所有问题上都是最聪明的。例如,我需要成为谈判这份合同的人。是的。
Original English
Alex Karp: Yeah. Like if you think you're the smartest. So I I'm dyslexic and I think one of the reasons I've done so well is I do think I'm one of the better people at certain things. At least I believe it and I know I'm not at everything. It's a very small it's like but a failure mode for the valley is I'm the smartest on every issue. I for example I need to be the person negotiating this contract. Yeah.
主持人: 如果你没有这方面的天赋呢?
Original English
主持人: What if you have no aptitude for that? Mhm.
Alex Karp: 嗯。
Original English
Alex Karp: Mhm.
Alex Karp: 仅仅因为你能做X,并不意味着你在Y方面有很高的天赋。事实上,这很不可能是真的。
Original English
Alex Karp: Just because you can do X does not mean you've imputed high aptitude at Y. In fact, it's very unlikely it's true.
主持人: 是的。
Original English
主持人: Yeah.
Alex Karp: 几乎可以肯定的是,你只是不够聪明,没有意识到自己有多糟糕。
Original English
Alex Karp: It's it's almost certain that you're just not smart enough to realize how bad you are.
主持人: 这可能是对房间里公司创始人最重要的教训之一。我实际上想,嗯,以Palantir是美国动力主义的创始公司来结束对话。嗯,我认为我们房间里很多创始人都要感谢您。他们曾为您工作。他们,嗯,你知道,在Palantir内部建立了他们的工作手册。他们建立了新的公司,你知道,这些公司本身就很宏大,但很多都是从Palantir起步的。所以我想深入探讨您提到的神经多样性奖学金。这是您做过的我最喜欢的事情之一。您做了很多伟大的事情,但我认为这是您在公司中采取的最非凡的立场之一。您总是寻找与众不同的人,并以某种方式培养他们,将民主党人、共和党人、右翼、左翼,以及各行各业的人聚集在一起。您是如何领导这样一个多元化的团队的,尤其是在您这样的规模下?
Original English
主持人: That's probably one of the most important lessons for for company builders in the room. I actually I I want to um end the conversation on Palunteer is the OG American Dynamism company. Um I think a lot of our founders in this room are indebted. They've worked for you. They've um you know built their playbooks inside of Palunteer. They've built new companies that, you know, are are epic in their own right, but they started at Palanteer in many cases. And so I want to dive into you. You brought up the neurode divergent fellowship. It's one of my favorite things you've ever done. You've done a lot of great things, but I think it's it's one of the most extraordinary um stands that you've taken in the company, but you've always looked for people who are different and somehow cultivated them and brought together people who are Democrats, Republicans, on the right, on the left, people who are of all walks of life. How do you lead such a diverse group of people especially at scale like at the scale you are?
Alex Karp: 嗯,我的意思是,你很难知道自己何时是……我把自己看作一个艺术家。所以,你真的会想:“嗯,你是如何创作艺术的?”这很有趣,因为我,我的意思是,你看,我喜欢金钱带给我的自由,我当然不想做一些慈善来证明自己是好的,因为我做了一些坏事,因为我认为我们所做的事情非常重要。嗯,但归根结底,这就像一种艺术。但是,你知道,我一直觉得很有帮助。我的父母是我见过最有才华的人之一,我觉得他们不同意我的看法,你知道,他们本可以,他们可以,这有点奇怪,我如此出名,就这样说吧。嗯,我,嗯,我,然后是美国的特色,我们,我真的相信我们所有人都有神奇的、解放的、不可剥夺的个体权利。这就是我认为在世界上特别道德和特殊的地方。我不喜欢那些,比如,我一直以反觉醒文化而闻名,但我认为它令人反感的地方在于,人们假装与众不同,而实际上都一样。所以我不喜欢,嗯,所以我倾向于吸引那些独特的人,是的,我真的不在乎他们的政治立场。我关心的是他们思考和行动的能力。嗯,有一种天赋,你是否能识别出某个在你从未做过的事情上真正独特的人,这只是你与生俱来的东西。嗯,我确实认为这是一种神经多样性的形式,比如离群智商,以某种方式,它与自闭症并没有那么不同。你只是无法像那些正常聪明的人那样分解问题。
Original English
Alex Karp: Well, I mean it's always hard to know when you're re like I I I view myself as an artist. So, you're really, it's like, well, how do you create the art? And it's funny because I I mean, I look, I I like the freedom money gives me, and I I certainly don't want to like do some [ __ ] philanthropy to prove that I'm good when because I did something bad because I think what we do is very important. Um, but it's like at the end of the day, it's like an artistic thing. But, you know, I had it's always helpful. I had my parents are among the most talented people I've ever met and I feel they don't agree with me that you know like they should have they could like it's kind of weird I'm so famous put it that way from and uh um I uh um uh I I and I then there's the American thing where we are I really believe in the magical liberating, inalienable right for all of us to be individuals. And that's what I see as particularly moral and special in the world. I don't like these things that like I I've been famously anti-woke, but in the thing I find offensive about it is actually that it's people pretending to be different while all being the same. And so I don't like uh so I tend to gravitate towards people who are unique and yeah, I don't really care. their politics. I care about like their ability to think and do. Um there is an aptitude thing where can you recognize somebody who is truly unique in something you've not done yourself is just something you're born with. Um I I do think it's a form of neurode divergence like outlier IQ is a the certain way it's not that different than being autistic. like you just can't you're not going to you're not going to decomp a problem the way somebody who is all just normal smart will.
Alex Karp: 嗯,我发现那非常有魅力。做到这一点的诀窍是,你必须,这是一个非常困难的事情,当一个人是最好的,我相信Palantir的员工,在管理Palantir的时候,有时在许多情况下,大概在Palantir之后,我正在帮助他们表达只有他们在那一刻才能做到的事情,如果你看看我们的产品和我们所做的事情,这实际上是真的,即使我们现在在中东和美国各地所做的事情,每一个产品,每一个部分都是由世界上唯一能做到这一点的人构建的。但是,然后我必须以他们的方式让他们做一些他们实际上认为没有价值的事情。这基本上就是我的工作,因为在那种能力水平上,你不能只是说“做这个,傻瓜”,因为他们会说“我为什么要那样做?你才是傻瓜。”嗯,所以,嗯,然后我认为Palantir的员工,前Palantir员工和现任Palantir员工,非常特别的一点是,当你在Palantir时,你并不是在学习如何真正遵循我的工作手册。
Original English
Alex Karp: Um and I find that very very charismatic. The trick to doing it is you have to it's this very hard thing where somebody who is the best I I believe the palunteerians while managed a palunteer and sometimes in many and most cases presumably after a palunteer I am helping them to express something that only they can do at that moment and if you look at our products and what we've done it is actually true even what we're doing in in like right now all across the Middle East and obviously ly in America, each single product at each single part was built by the one person in the world that could have done it. But that and then I have to somehow get them to do things that they don't actually think are valuable but on their terms. And that's basically my job because at that level of aptitude, you can't just say do this idiot because they're like why would I do that? You're the idiot. Uh and so um and and then what I think is very special about the Palunteerians, ex-punteerians and current Palunteerians is when you're at Palunteer, you're not learning to to actually follow my playbook.
Alex Karp: 你正在学习遵循你自己的工作手册,而我正在其中插入一些你可能没有想到的东西。也许你不知道我正在这样做,以确保你的工作手册摆脱你的阅读障碍。基本上,我正在反阅读障碍化你的工作手册。
Original English
Alex Karp: You're learning to follow your playbook where I'm inserting some things that may not have occurred to you. Maybe you don't know I'm doing that to make sure that your playbook gets rid of your dyslexia. Basically, I'm anti-dislexifying your playbook.
Alex Karp: 但围绕着你。如果你看看,我不知道,有很多非常重要的前Palantir员工。你会发现他们是那种经典的人,他们不会建立像Palantir一样的公司。他们也不会建立像下一个Palantir那样的人的公司。这就是为什么他们扮演着如此不成比例的角色。归根结底,这就是为什么Palantir扮演着如此重要的角色,因为像Foundry、PG、Apollo、Ontology,以及Ontology的管理,Maven,你知道,我们能够以其他国家无法做到的方式进行定位。其他国家会想:“这里发生了什么?我们还在想阿富汗呢,这是什么?”这意味着我们的撤退,意味着,美国已经重新建立了威慑力。
Original English
Alex Karp: It but around you. And if you take like the I don't know, there's so many really important expentiterians. What you'll see is they're a kind of classic people and they're not going to build the same company Palanteer was. They're also not going to build the same company of the next person as Palanteer. And that's why they play such a disproportional role. And at the end of the day, that's why Poundier is like playing such a big role because like Foundry, PG, Apollo, Ontology, uh the management of Ontology, Maven, which is like you know, we've just like been able to target in a way no other country can. It's like the other countries are like what the happened here like we were thinking Afghanistan like what is this? meaning our retreat like meaning and like like America has reestablished a terrence.
主持人: 这确实刚刚发生。就在去年。
Original English
主持人: That actually just happened. It's happened in the last year.
Alex Karp: 就像那样,右翼、左翼、中间派,我不在乎你私下属于哪个党派。显然,你不能公开说这个。私下里,这是美国现在拥有的一个非凡资产,是它以前没有的。这有很多原因,但其中一个可能不是最重要的原因是,最不寻常的,在某些情况下可能功能不全的人才,围绕着构建一个绝对是丑闻、不受欢迎的梦想,被许多人拒绝,名为Maven的项目而集结。这就是这个国家的方式,顺便说一句,如果我们要超越世界其他国家,我们唯一的优势就是增强神经多样性的高度个体化的人才,让他们发挥出绝对独特的最佳状态,并保护他们的第一修正案、第二修正案、第四修正案和第五修正案权利,这样他们就不会被搞砸。
Original English
Alex Karp: Like that right, left, center, I don't care what party you're in in private. Obviously, you can't say this in public. In private, that is a phenomenal asset that America now has that it did not have. And there are lots of reasons for it, but a one maybe not the most important is a concatenation of the most unusual in some cases otherwise maybe not fully functional talent built around building something that was a absolutely scandalous unpopular dream rejected by many people called Maven. And that's how this country and by the way if we are going to outperform the rest of the world uh our single advantage is to augment neurodeivergent highly individual people to be their absolutely unique best and protect their first second fourth and fifth amendment rights so that they don't get screwed.
主持人: 绝对如此。嗯,再次感谢美国动力主义的创始人,感谢您为国家所做的一切。
Original English
主持人: Absolutely. Well, again, the OG American Dynamism founder, thank you so much for all you've done for the country.
Alex Karp: 谢谢。
Original English
Alex Karp: Thank you.