点火升空与开场介绍
现场播报: 点火程序启动,所有发动机运转正常。
英文原文
Announcer: Ignition sequence start, all engines up.
主持人: 能有一位飞行员兼宇航员来执掌大局真是太棒了。让我们欢迎 Jared Isaacman……
英文原文
Host: It's good to have an aviator and astronaut in charge. Jared Isaacman,
主持人: 新任 NASA(美国国家航空航天局)局长。
英文原文
Host: the new NASA administrator.
新太空时代的使命
Jared Isaacman: NASA 的热情依然炽热。人类绝不会被永远限制在地球这颗行星上。在下一阶段的飞跃性能力中,核心在于核动力与核推进技术。这正是将美国的影响力进一步延伸至太阳系深处的关键所在,也是确保我们在第三场太空竞赛中立于不败之地的保障。
大家早上好。非常荣幸能来到 All-In 峰会现场。
我们正生活在历史上一个非同寻常的时刻,不是吗?从奥维尔·莱特(Orville Wright)与威尔伯·莱特(Wilbur Wright)完成人类首次飞行,到尼尔·阿姆斯特朗(Neil Armstrong)与巴兹·奥尔德林(Buzz Aldrin)踏上月球表面,仅仅用了 65 年的时间。而如今,距离阿波罗 11 号(Apollo 11)登月已经过去了 57 年。在过去的一段时期里,技术进步的步伐并不那么令人振奋。但是,看看眼下地平线上展现的前景吧:人工智能、量子技术、机器人学、增材制造、可控核聚变能源的前景、用于治愈残障的生物技术、自动驾驶交通工具——每个人都在谈论的“物质极大丰富”,所有这些前沿技术都将在未来数年内汇聚融合,其规模超出了大多数人的想象。
我们的世界将发生根本性的改变:我们的生活方式、工作方式、战争形态,以及我们触碰星辰的方式都将彻底革新。
但在这场征程中,我们并非独行。我们正处于一场大国竞争之中。其他国家同样深知这些机遇能够提升国家实力并改写人类文明的进程。而在我们头顶的这片终极战略高地上,这种机遇、竞争以及走错一步所带来的严重后果体现得最为淋漓尽致。
现在的 NASA 正在采取完全不同的做法:我们正在重拾往日的自信与魄力,重新在计分板上赢得胜利。但如果没有本届总统的支持,没有这场地缘政治竞争,没有可能输掉第二场太空竞赛的切身危机感,我怀疑很多现状根本不会发生改变。长期以来,作为全球最富成就的航天机构,NASA 的资源分散得过于宽泛,试图去迎合取悦所有人。这其中很大一部分是外部强加的政治指令,但也有相当一部分是内部自设的枷锁。我们曾经为了合作而合作,往往以牺牲清晰度、问责制和核心使命为代价,结果是耗尽了宝贵的时间和资源。
这种时代已经结束了。
我们正在调整 NASA 的重心。我们将彻底消除官僚主义,停止把纳税人的钱浪费在注定无果的项目上,并在全机构范围内恢复严格的问责制。我们将专注于几项具有决定性意义的优先事项:重返月球并在那里建立持久的存在,为载人火星任务开辟道路,加速深空核推进技术研发,并确保美国在航空航天领域的全方位主导地位。
如果一项计划不能直接推动这些关键目标的实现,那么它就必须让位。现在正是建立清晰方向感、全情投入、迅速行动并再次取得伟大胜利的时刻。
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: NASA's still hot. Humankind will not be contained to planet Earth indefinitely. In the next giant leap capabilities, that's nuclear power and propulsion. That's what extends America's reach farther into the solar system. That's what guarantees the third race will never be in question.
Good morning everyone. It is an absolute honor to be here at All-In.
We are living through an extraordinary moment in history, aren't we? It took just 65 years from Orville and Wilbur's first flight to Neil and Buzz walking on the surface of the moon. Now, it's been 57 years since Apollo 11. And for a while there, pace of progress hasn't been all that inspiring, but look at what is on the horizon right now. We got artificial intelligence, quantum technologies, robotics, additive manufacturing, the promise of fusion energy, biotech to heal the disabled, autonomous transportation, this whole abundance thing everyone's talking about, all converging in the years ahead is beyond what most people can comprehend.
Our world will fundamentally change: how we live, how we work, how we fight wars, how we reach out and touch the stars.
But we are not alone on this journey. We are living through a great power competition. Other nations understand the opportunities that can elevate nations and change civilizations. And perhaps nowhere are the possibilities, the competition, and the consequences of getting it wrong more apparent than in the ultimate high ground above us.
Now at NASA, we are doing things differently and we are regaining our swagger and putting wins on the board. But absent this president, absent this geopolitical competition and the very real possibility of losing the second space race, I suspect very little would have changed. For too long, resources at the world's most accomplished space agency were spread everywhere, trying to make everyone happy. Much of it was through external imposition, but plenty of it was self-inflicted. We partnered for the sake of partnerships, often at the expense of clarity, accountability, and the mission itself, burning valuable time and treasure in the process.
Those days are over.
We are refocusing NASA. We will cut through the bureaucracy, stop wasting taxpayer money on dead-end programs, and restore accountability across the agency. We will focus on a few defining priorities: returning to the moon to stay, opening the path to Mars, accelerating deep space nuclear propulsion, and securing American leadership across all domains of flight.
If a program does not directly advance these critical goals, it will make way. This is a time for clarity, commitment, speed, and winning again.
月球开发与工业前哨
Jared Isaacman: 让我们先谈谈月球。有人问:我们为什么还要回月球?我们半个多世纪前不就去过了吗?但事实是,我们去过,插了国旗,留下了脚印,然后就离开了。我们从未真正在那里扎根,从未建立起持续存在的基础设施。月球绝不仅仅是一个目的地,它是通往更广阔宇宙的跳板。
月球南极蕴藏着数以亿吨计的水冰,封存在数十亿年未见阳光的永久阴影坑中。这些水冰不仅仅是人类维持生命的饮用水和可呼吸的氧气,它更是火箭燃料——通过电解水可以产生液氢和液氧。如果我们能够在月球表面建立起开采与精炼燃料的基础设施,我们就不必每一次都从地球深沉的重力井中携带全部燃料前往深空。这意味着未来的飞船可以在月球加油,进而将飞往火星及太阳系更深处的有效载荷能力提升数倍。
同时,月球还是一个无与伦比的科学研究前沿平台。月球背面完全屏蔽了来自地球的无线电电磁干扰,是建造下一代射电望远镜的完美场所,让我们能够窥视宇宙最黑暗、最古老的黎明时期。月球的低重力环境(仅为地球的六分之一)为制造超纯材料、新型合金和尖端半导体提供了地球上无法实现的独特物理条件。
我们重返月球不是为了再做一次象征性的造访,而是要建立一个永久性的前哨基地,发展月球工业,开发月球资源,并验证所有未来前往火星所必需的生命保障与生存技术。
更重要的是,中国和俄罗斯正在紧锣密鼓地推进他们的国际月球科研站计划,他们的目标正是月球南极的黄金着陆区。月球南极拥有宝贵的水冰资源和近乎永久光照的“永昼峰”,但这些理想的着陆点和基地选址在地理上是极其有限的。如果我们不率先到达并在那里确立基于国际法规则的存在,别人就会抢先占据。大国太空竞争的胜负手,就在于谁能先在月球南极扎下根来。
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: Let's talk about the moon. People ask: why go back to the moon? Didn't we do that over half a century ago? The truth is, we went, we planted a flag, we left footprints, and then we left. We never stayed. We never built the enduring infrastructure. The moon is not just a destination; it is the proving ground and the stepping stone for the rest of the solar system.
At the lunar south pole, there are hundreds of millions of tons of water ice trapped in permanently shadowed craters that haven't seen sunlight in billions of years. That water ice is not just drinking water and breathable oxygen for astronauts—it is rocket propellant. By cracking water into liquid hydrogen and liquid oxygen, we create the fuel depot of the solar system. If we can mine and refine propellant on the lunar surface, we don't have to haul every single pound of fuel out of Earth's deep gravity well. That changes the physics and economics of deep space travel completely.
The moon is also an extraordinary scientific platform. The far side of the moon is shielded from the radio noise of Earth, making it the ideal location for the next generation of radio telescopes to look back into the cosmic dark ages. The lunar environment, with one-sixth gravity and a hard vacuum, enables manufacturing of ultra-pure materials, advanced pharmaceuticals, and novel alloys that simply cannot be made on Earth.
We are returning to the moon to build a permanent outpost, to develop lunar industries, to utilize in-situ resources, and to test every life support and operational system we need for Mars.
Moreover, China and Russia are actively pursuing their International Lunar Research Station, targeting the exact same strategic locations at the lunar south pole. The areas of permanent sunlight—the peaks of eternal light—and adjacent water ice deposits are extremely scarce real estate. If we are not there first to establish rules-based operations under the Artemis Accords, others will set the norms. The outcome of this great power competition will be determined by who establishes that foothold first.
深空核推进的技术革命
Jared Isaacman: 接下来谈谈我们飞往火星的根本瓶颈:推进技术。如果仅依靠传统的化学推进火箭,前往火星单程就需要 6 到 9 个月的时间。在这漫长的航程中,宇航员将承受高剂量的深空宇宙辐射和微重力对人体的剧烈退化。不仅如此,由于行星轨道力学的窗口限制,地火转移窗口每 26 个月才开启一次,这意味着宇航员一旦出发,必须在火星任务中停留将近三年才能返回。
要彻底改变这种物理限制,唯一的突破口就是核动力与核推进(Nuclear Power and Propulsion)。
通过核热推进(NTP)技术,我们利用核反应堆产生极高温度,将轻质工质(如液氢)加热并以极高的排气速度喷出,其比冲(Specific Impulse)是目前最高效化学火箭发动机的两倍以上。这将直接将前往火星的单程飞行时间压缩至两到三个月,极大地降低宇航员暴露于深空辐射的风险,减少维持生命所需的物资载荷,并大幅拓宽发射窗口。
而在行星表面和长期深空电力供应方面,核裂变表面电源(Fission Surface Power)则是不可或缺的基石。在月球漫长且持续 14 个地球日的严寒月夜中,太阳能电池板完全无法工作;而在火星,全球性的沙尘暴可以持续遮天蔽日数月之久。只有紧凑、可靠且全天候运转的核反应堆,才能源源不断地为基地生命保障、采矿精炼和科学实验提供数十乃至数百千瓦的电力。
NASA 正在全面重组并加大对核动力项目的投资,与能源部、国防部高级研究计划局(DARPA)以及私营工业界通力协作,加速反应堆的地面测试与轨道飞行验证。我们必须让核动力技术重新成为美国深空探索的核心动力。
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: Let's turn to the defining bottleneck for Mars: propulsion. If we rely solely on conventional chemical propulsion, a one-way transit to Mars takes anywhere from six to nine months. During that extended transit, astronauts are exposed to intense galactic cosmic radiation, solar particle events, and prolonged microgravity that degrades bone and muscle mass. Furthermore, orbital mechanics dictate that the launch window opens only once every 26 months, committing crews to nearly three-year round trips.
The only way to fundamentally change the calculus of deep space exploration is through nuclear power and propulsion.
With Nuclear Thermal Propulsion (NTP), a compact nuclear reactor heats a low-molecular-weight propellant like liquid hydrogen to extreme temperatures, expanding it through a nozzle to produce a specific impulse at least twice that of the best chemical engines. This cuts transit times down to two or three months, dramatically reducing radiation exposure, slashing required life-support consumables, and offering flexible abort trajectories.
On the surface, Fission Surface Power is equally non-negotiable. During the 14-day lunar night, temperatures plummet and solar power is non-existent. On Mars, planet-wide dust storms can blot out the sun for months. A robust, compact fission reactor operating 24/7 is the only reliable way to provide continuous tens or hundreds of kilowatts of electrical power needed to run life support systems, in-situ propellant production plants, and habitats.
NASA is actively doubling down on nuclear technologies, partnering with the Department of Energy, DARPA, and commercial industry to accelerate ground testing and flight demonstrations. Nuclear capability is what extends America's reach across the solar system.
重塑航空与国家竞争力
Jared Isaacman: 很多人常常忘记,NASA 名字里的第一个“A”代表的是航空(Aeronautics)。从打破音障的 X-1 到后来的高超音速飞行器,NASA 的航空研究构成了现代全球民航与军用航空技术的基石。今天飞行在空中的几乎每一架商用飞机和军用战机上,都凝聚着 NASA 在机翼气动设计、电传操纵系统、复合材料和涡扇发动机技术上的开创性成果。
今天,我们正在重新点燃高速与高空飞行的激情。我们的 X-59 静音超音速验证机正在攻克限制陆地上空超音速民航飞行的音爆问题;我们在高超音速技术、自动化空中交通管理系统以及下一代先进航空推进系统领域的研发,将确保美国航空工业在未来数十年继续保持无可争议的技术领先。
我们不仅要仰望星空,也要脚踏实地引领天空。
我们的前途取决于我们的抉择。历史是一面镜子,我们的下一代要么继承一个依然具备创造非凡壮举能力的伟大国家的自信,要么只能在记忆中怀念它曾经的辉煌。这份责任属于我们所有人。
当未来的历史学家回顾这一刻时,愿他们记录下:美利坚没有再犹豫不决。我们没有让官僚主义、自满懈怠、铺张浪费、无所作为或对失败的恐惧束缚住探索的脚步。我们选择了启程,并且我们一往无前。
非常感谢大家!
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: Many people forget that the first "A" in NASA stands for Aeronautics. From the X-1 breaking the sound barrier to hypersonic flight research, NASA's aeronautics work has laid the foundation for global civil and military aviation. Nearly every commercial airliner and military aircraft flying today incorporates NASA technology—whether in supercritical wings, fly-by-wire controls, advanced composite structures, or fuel-efficient turbofan designs.
Today, NASA is getting back into the business of flying high and fast. Our X-59 quiet supersonic aircraft is proving that commercial supersonic flight over land is possible without disruptive sonic booms. Our investments in hypersonics, autonomous airspace management, and next-generation propulsion will ensure that American aviation retains its clear technological edge for decades to come.
We must lead in the skies just as we lead in the cosmos.
Our future depends on the choices we make today. Our children will either inherit the confidence of a nation still capable of the extraordinary or the memory of one that used to be. That responsibility belongs to all of us.
When history looks back on this moment, let it record that America did not hesitate any longer. We did not allow bureaucracy, complacency, waste, inaction, or fear of failure to constrain what we could accomplish. We chose to go, and we went.
Thank you very much.
主持人: 美国,干得好!干得漂亮!
英文原文
Host: America. Good job. Good job.
闭门讨论与月球南极战略
Jason Calacanis: 你想坐在哪儿?随便坐。我在后台时还在感叹,NASA 来做演讲实在是太容易了,毕竟你们手头拥有的素材和技术能力是如此令人震撼。
英文原文
Jason Calacanis: Where do you want me? Oh, right on the I was commenting backstage on how easy it is for NASA to come and do speeches given the content, the capabilities.
Jared Isaacman: 确实,我们拥有令人难以置信的素材可以发挥。我每天都在感恩,幸好我领导的不是国税局(IRS)或者社会保障署。
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: No, we have unbelievable material to work with. I'm thankful every day that I don't lead the IRS or Social Security.
Jason Calacanis: 确实如此。我们时间非常宝贵,我知道大家都想把整个宇宙聊个遍,但我们能先从月球开始吗?现在大家都在谈论重返月球的各种计划,比如 Artemis 计划,我们目前的具体路线和战略是什么?
英文原文
Jason Calacanis: Yeah. Right. Can we talk about—we don't have a lot of time, so I know I want to move our way through the universe, but can we start with the moon? What is—there's kind of all these plans about Artemis and returning to the moon. What is the actual roadmap?
Jared Isaacman: 是的。我认为我们极其幸运,大自然在距离我们仅有三天路程的地方赋予了我们一颗月球,让我们能够在这场伟大的探索冒险中测试所需的一切。这里就是你验证深空生存、闭环生命保障、就地资源利用和地外建筑建造的试验场。如果我们连在三天路程之外的月球建立并维持基地都做不到,我们就根本不可能安全地去往往返需要数年之久的火星。
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: Yeah, right. So, I think we are extremely fortunate. We've been gifted a moon three days away to test out everything we need on this great adventure of discovery, right? This is where you test life support, in-situ resource utilization, radiation mitigation, and habitat construction. If you can't survive and build an enduring presence on the moon three days away, you have no business trying to do it on Mars months or years away.
Chamath Palihapitiya: 稍等一下。我们首先必须对月球南极进行极其精细的测绘,以确定具体去哪里,对吧?这也是接下来一系列探测任务的核心。
英文原文
Chamath Palihapitiya: Sorry, one sec. But and then we have to map the South Pole to figure out where we're going. Is that right? And that's part of this next series of missions. That's kind of the next big mission for the moon.
Jared Isaacman: 很高兴你提到了这一点。我们实际上已经对月球南极展开了详尽的高分辨率测绘。月球南极真正优质的着陆点和基地建设区是非常有限的。这是什么概念呢?月球的整体表面积大致相当于整个美洲大陆(北美与南美的总和),但真正具备极高战略价值的区域主要集中在南极点附近极少数几个陨石坑边缘。
原因在于两点:第一是水冰资源,它们永久存在于深度极深、阳光永远无法照射到的永久阴影坑底部;第二是光照高地,也就是所谓的永昼峰(Peaks of Eternal Light),那里的地形使得它们几乎 90% 以上的时间都能接收到太阳光照,从而能够提供太阳能电力并保持相对温和的热环境。因此,能够同时靠近光照高地又紧邻深坑水冰资源的理想基地选址屈指可数。这就是为什么这是一场争分夺秒的竞争。
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: I'm glad you brought that up. We have mapped the lunar south pole. There are only so many good landing spots. And what do I mean by that? I mean the surface area of the moon is roughly equivalent to North and South America combined, but the truly strategic real estate is clustered around a few specific crater rims at the south pole.
The reason is twofold: first is the water ice trapped in permanently shadowed craters where temperatures are near absolute zero; second are the peaks of eternal light, elevated topographic features that receive near-continuous solar illumination, providing both power and manageable thermal conditions. So the spots that give you both proximity to water ice and continuous access to solar energy are very limited. That is why there is an intense race to get there first and establish operations.
人才梯队与机构问责
David Sacks: Jared,你昨晚在跟我交流时也深入探讨了这一点,特别向我普及了月球南极特定区域为何如此关键,以及我们为什么必须抢在中国之前到达。那么从 NASA 内部执行力来看,你如何确保机构能以足够快的速度达成目标?
英文原文
David Sacks: And Jared, you were educating me last night on this specific southern region of the moon being absolutely critical for us to get to first versus China. From an organizational execution standpoint, how are you ensuring NASA moves fast enough to secure that lead?
Jared Isaacman: 我想明确说明的是,全美国最顶尖的一批科学家和工程技术天才每天都在 NASA 辛勤工作,他们的毕生梦想就是在航空航天领域改变世界。但在过去相当长的一段时间里,体制内的层层审批、繁文缛节和过度分散的目标束缚了他们的手脚。
我们现在正在打破这些桎梏。我们正在精简决策链条,赋予一线项目经理更大的自主权,消除阻碍创新的行政壁垒。与此同时,我们全面深化与商业航天生态系统的合作模式。我们不再采用过去那种低效的“成本加成”(Cost-Plus)合同,而是全面推行基于里程碑付款的固定总价商业采购合同。商业伙伴如果按时保质交付,就能获得丰厚回报;如果拖延或超支,风险由企业自行承担。这种机制极大地激发了私营部门的创新活力和工程迭代速度,将过去需要十几年、耗资数百亿美元的项目周期大幅压缩。
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: Yeah. Just to be clear, you're talking about some of the best talent in this nation showing up to work at NASA every day, wanting to change the world in air and space. But for too long, layers of bureaucracy, risk aversion, and conflicting mandates slowed them down.
We are actively breaking those bottlenecks. We're flattening the decision-making hierarchy, empowering program managers on the ground, and clearing out red tape. At the same time, we are deepening our partnership with the commercial space ecosystem. We are moving away from traditional cost-plus contracts toward milestone-based fixed-price commercial procurement. When commercial partners deliver, they thrive; if they run over budget or slip schedule, the risk is on them. That unleashes private-sector speed, capital efficiency, and rapid iteration, transforming projects that previously took decades and tens of billions of dollars.
通往火星的技术跃迁
David Friedberg: 从目前的轨道航行速度和技术路线来看,要真正让载人登陆火星变得现实可行,我们需要实现的最大技术跃迁是什么?核心矢量是推进力和推力系统吗?
英文原文
David Friedberg: What is the big technological leap that you have to make from the current course and speed to actually make Mars more realistic? Is propulsion and thrust the main vector?
Jared Isaacman: 我认为这里有几个关键支柱。首先,机器人与自动化系统在整个前期准备中至关重要。在我们把宇航员送上火星之前,必须由自动化货运飞船将大量的采矿设备、反应堆、生命保障单元以及就地资源利用(ISRU)化工厂提前部署在火星表面,并由人形机器人或自动化机械完成基地的初步搭建和自主燃料生产。
其次,在载人航行方面,如果我们只依赖传统的化学推进,飞船大部分重量都被推进剂占据,飞行时间长达数月甚至近一年,宇航员面临巨大的深空辐射、肌肉萎缩和骨质流失风险。因此,核热推进(NTP)和核电推进(NEP)是实现深空技术跃迁的绝对核心。核热推进能够提供双倍以上的比冲,大幅缩短航行时间至几十天,让往返火星变得更加常规化和安全可靠。
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: I think there are a couple of essential pillars. First, autonomous robotics will be critical. Before humans set foot on Mars, automated cargo landers must deliver power plants, life-support units, and in-situ resource utilization plants. Humanoid robots and automated systems will need to assemble habitats and initiate propellant production autonomously.
Second, for human transit, relying purely on chemical propulsion requires carrying enormous propellant mass fractions and subjects crews to six-to-nine-month journeys through hostile deep space radiation environments. Nuclear Thermal Propulsion (NTP) and Nuclear Electric Propulsion (NEP) represent the definitive technological leap. With double or triple the specific impulse, nuclear propulsion cuts travel time down to weeks or a couple of months, fundamentally reducing physiological degradation and radiation hazards while dramatically increasing payload capacity.
Jason Calacanis: 太棒了。你再次强调了核动力推进,但我们目前在这一领域的实际研发现状和工程落地情况如何?
英文原文
Jason Calacanis: That's great. I'm glad you brought up nuclear again, but what is the current state of development and how quickly can we actually build and deploy operational nuclear propulsion?
核动力推进的物理原理
Chamath Palihapitiya: 你能用最通俗易懂的语言,简要向大家普及一下核动力是如何产生推力的物理原理吗?
英文原文
Chamath Palihapitiya: Can you explain just really briefly a primer on how nuclear works for generating thrust?
Jared Isaacman: 当然可以。我们可以把推进系统分为两大类:
第一类是大家熟知的离子推力器(如当前许多星链卫星所使用的霍尔推力器),它们属于核电推进或太阳能电推进。其原理是利用电力将推进剂气体(如氙气或氩气)电离,然后通过强大的静电场或电磁场将带电离子以极高的速度(每秒数十公里)喷射出去。虽然它的推力非常微弱(推力大小甚至相当于手托一张纸的重量),但由于排气速度极高,它的燃料利用效率(比冲)极其惊人,在真空中持续点火运转数月乃至数年,可以把飞船加速到惊人的速度。
第二类则是核热推进(NTP)。它的原理是在飞船上安装一个小型紧凑型高温核裂变反应堆。我们不需要燃烧任何燃料,而是直接把极轻的工质(通常是液氢)注入炽热的反应堆堆芯。液氢在数千度的高温下剧烈膨胀,并以极高的流速从火箭喷管喷出产生反作用力。因为氢分子的分子量极小,根据热力学原理,它能够以远超传统化学燃料燃烧产物(如水蒸气和二氧化碳)的排气速度喷出。这就让我们既能获得巨大的推力,又能拥有化学火箭两倍以上的燃料效率。
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: Yeah, sure. You can think of it in two main categories:
First is electric propulsion, like the Hall-effect ion thrusters used on Starlink satellites. In that architecture, electrical power—generated either by solar arrays or a nuclear fission reactor—is used to ionize a noble gas like xenon or argon, and electrostatic or electromagnetic fields accelerate those ions out of the nozzle at tens of kilometers per second. While the absolute thrust is tiny—measured in fractions of a pound—the specific impulse is astronomical, allowing continuous acceleration over months or years in the vacuum of space.
Second is Nuclear Thermal Propulsion (NTP). In NTP, you have a compact, high-temperature nuclear fission reactor core. Instead of combusting chemicals, you pump a lightweight propellant like liquid hydrogen directly through the superheated core. The hydrogen expands violently and exits the nozzle at extreme exhaust velocities. Because molecular hydrogen has the lowest molecular weight of any element, thermodynamics allows it to achieve exhaust velocities more than double that of the best chemical rocket combustion products, giving you high thrust combined with unmatched efficiency.
David Friedberg: 也就是说,虽然工质质量流率非常低,但它的排气速度极高,因此综合比冲和效率极高。
英文原文
David Friedberg: Right. It's very low mass flow, but extremely high exhaust velocity and efficiency.
Jared Isaacman: 完全正确。这就是为什么在深空轨道转移中,核动力是唯一能打破传统化学火箭质量瓶颈的颠覆性技术。
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: Exactly. That's why for deep space transit, nuclear propulsion is the only transformative technology that breaks through the mass fraction barriers of chemical rocketry.
NASA 预算与资源调配
Jason Calacanis: NASA 目前的年度预算是多少?如果你能全权决定,你希望的预算规模是多少?
英文原文
Jason Calacanis: What is NASA's budget, and if you could have your druthers, what would it be?
Jared Isaacman: NASA 目前的年度预算大约在 250 亿美元左右。我一直公开明确表示,NASA 的核心问题从来不是预算的总量上限,而是资源配置的效率与优先级聚焦。
如果我们把 250 亿美元分散到上百个互不相关的边缘项目、为了维持各选区的就业而设立冗余机构,那么即使给我们 500 亿美元也难以取得历史性突破。但如果我们把这笔宝贵资金聚焦在载人深空探索、月球永久基地、深空核推进和航空主导权这几个核心支柱上,并全面引入商业竞争机制以获得数倍的资金杠杆效应,这笔预算完全足以支持我们赢得第二场太空竞赛并实现载人登陆火星。
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: NASA's annual budget is approximately $25 billion. I've said it many times: NASA does not have a top-line budget problem; it has had a focus and resource allocation problem.
If you spread $25 billion across hundreds of diffuse pet projects and legacy cost-plus programs to appease political constituencies, even $50 billion wouldn't be enough. But if you take that $25 billion, ruthlessly prioritize around permanent lunar infrastructure, nuclear propulsion, Mars transit, and aeronautics dominance, while leveraging commercial fixed-price partnerships for massive private-capital matching, that budget is more than sufficient to win the space race and put humans on Mars.
航空前沿与高速飞行
David Sacks: 刚才你在大屏幕上展示的那架飞机,你确定那不是 SR-71“黑鸟”(Blackbird)吗?
英文原文
David Sacks: Are you sure that's a Blackbird?
Jason Calacanis: 没错,刚才那张概念图到底是什么飞行器?
英文原文
Jason Calacanis: Well, okay. What was that picture that you showed up there?
Jared Isaacman: 正如我刚才所说,NASA 正在重返“飞得更高、飞得更快”的核心业务。
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: Like I said, NASA's getting back in the business of flying high and fast again.
Jason Calacanis: 那看起来完全不像是一艘航天器,更像是一架在大气层内飞行的先进飞行器。
英文原文
Jason Calacanis: I mean, that doesn't seem like a space vehicle. It seems like an Earth air vehicle.
Jared Isaacman: 是的。正如我提到的,NASA 名字中的第一个“A”代表的是航空组合。几十年来 NASA 对航空领域的贡献超乎很多人的想象。当你在航空展上看到 F-22 做出惊人的超机动飞行动作,或者乘坐波音、空客客机享受极高的燃油经济性与安全性时,背后几乎都有 NASA 兰利(Langley)、阿姆斯(Ames)和格伦(Glenn)研究中心在超临界机翼、风洞试验、计算流体力学(CFD)和先进合金材料领域的开创性工作。
我们现在正在推进包括 X-59 静音超音速验证机在内的多项尖端航空计划,并在高超音速进气道燃烧、边界层控制以及新型气动布局方面开展前沿探索。我们要确保美国无论在大气层内还是大气层外都掌握绝对的制空与飞行主导权。
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: Yeah. So the first "A" in NASA is our aeronautics portfolio. What we've contributed over the decades is vast. When you go see an F-22 fly at an air show or fly on a modern commercial airliner with high-bypass turbofans and supercritical wings, that all originated from NASA research centers at Langley, Ames, and Glenn.
We are pushing forward with the X-59 quiet supersonic demonstrator, hypersonics research, advanced boundary layer manipulation, and novel airframe configurations. We want to ensure America retains total supremacy in atmospheric flight just as we do in outer space.
载人探索 vs 具身机器人
Jason Calacanis: 谈谈把人类送上这些飞船前往月球和火星的必要性吧。随着特斯拉 Optimus、Figure 等具身人形机器人技术的突飞猛进,如果在未来几年机器人就具备了极高的自主作业能力,我们为什么还要让人类宇航员去冒生命危险呢?
英文原文
Jason Calacanis: Tell us about the importance of having a human on these ships when we go to the moon, when we go to Mars, versus if humanoid robotics like Optimus or Figure are ready. Why would we risk human lives?
Jared Isaacman: 因为探索未知是人类文明的宿命与基因。这与数千年来人类祖先跨越浩瀚大洋、攀登未至之巅是同一个道理。这是我们作为人类的本质定义。如果哥伦布当年仅仅派出一艘装满测量工具的无人小船,人类历史的进程将完全不同。
机器人是不可或缺的先锋和工具——它们负责打前站、执行高辐射环境下的粗重建筑作业、进行前期地质钻探与自动化工厂维护。但探索的核心目的,最终是为了将人类文明的火种播撒到更多星球,让人类成为一个多行星物种。科学研究、灵感启发、哲学意义以及文明的延展,只有当真正的人类站在那片红色的土地上回望地球时,才得以完整实现。
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: Because exploration is our destiny. It is the same reason our ancestors crossed uncharted oceans, traversed continents, and climbed the highest mountains. That is fundamentally who we are. If explorers throughout history had only sent empty probes, the human story would not exist as we know it.
Robotics are extraordinary tools and vital pioneers—they will scout the terrain, perform heavy construction in radiation environments, and manage industrial extraction. But the ultimate objective of space exploration is to expand the sphere of human civilization, to make life multiplanetary, and to ensure the long-term survival of human consciousness. Science, inspiration, and civilizational destiny are only truly realized when human beings live and work on those new frontiers.
空域自动化与航空安全
David Sacks: 那么关于自主飞行和自动化空域管理系统呢?你提到了电传操纵。我们最近看到民用航空领域仍然偶发一些安全隐患和系统故障,NASA 在民航现代化与空中交通安全方面扮演着怎样的角色?
英文原文
David Sacks: What about autonomous navigation and modernized flight systems? You mentioned fly-by-wire. In civil aviation, we still see safety incidents and traffic constraints. What role is NASA playing in modernizing air traffic safety and autonomy?
Jared Isaacman: NASA 在民航空中交通安全与现代化管理方面长期发挥着至关重要的作用。例如,今天拯救了无数军用和民用飞行员生命的自动地面防撞系统(Auto-GCAS),正是由 NASA 与空军及工业界联合开创研发的。
随着未来成千上万架电动垂直起降飞行器(eVTOL)、无人机货运网络以及更高密度的商用客机共享同一片空域,传统的纯人工雷达调度模式将无法承载这种规模。NASA 正在主导研发基于高可靠性 AI 与数字孪生的下一代全自主空中交通管理架构(NextGen ATM),实现航线自主规划、实时动态避障和微气象精准预测,从底层构建起未来三维立体交通的安全底座。
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: NASA has played a foundational role in air traffic safety and modernization for decades. For example, the Autonomous Ground Collision Avoidance System (Auto-GCAS), which has saved dozens of pilots' lives and aircraft, was pioneered by NASA in partnership with the Air Force and industry.
As we look toward a future with thousands of eVTOL air taxis, autonomous cargo drones, and denser commercial flight corridors, legacy human-centric air traffic control cannot scale. NASA is developing the next-generation autonomous airspace management systems powered by AI and real-time mesh networks, enabling automated trajectory deconfliction, dynamic routing, and extreme weather mitigation to ensure air travel becomes exponentially safer and more efficient.
Jared Isaacman: 目前科学任务理事会大约占据了 NASA 约三分之一的预算。我们最近对其进行了重组,当前 NASA 的核心架构清晰划分为两大拳头支柱:其一是载人深空探索与太空技术,其二则是涵盖火星采样返回、行星防御和空间天文学的科学探索与航空工程。
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: Right now, science represents approximately a third of NASA's total budget. We recently reorganized, but our core mission directorates are sharply focused on human space exploration, space technology, transformative science missions, and advanced aeronautics.
火星无人直升机的启示
Jason Calacanis: 在我们进入尾声之前,我们能不能看一下火星直升机的飞行视频?你能结合这个画面为我们讲讲火星空中探测的前景与时间表吗?
英文原文
Jason Calacanis: As we wrap up, can we watch the video of the helicopters on Mars and can you tell us about the timelines to this becoming a broader reality?
Jared Isaacman: 当然可以。
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: Oh, absolutely.
Jason Calacanis: 视频放出来了,看,它正在降落。
英文原文
Jason Calacanis: So, here it is coming in. There it is.
Jason Calacanis: 这真是太酷了!
英文原文
Jason Calacanis: Yeah. I mean, how cool is this?
Chamath Palihapitiya: 我敢说,你在住房与城市发展部(HUD)绝对看不到这种景象。
英文原文
Chamath Palihapitiya: I mean, I'm telling you, you can't do this at HUD.
Jason Calacanis: 或者在国税局(IRS)!想象一下国税局要是发布一段这种视频。我刚才开国税局的玩笑是因为我知道……
英文原文
Jason Calacanis: Or IRS. Imagine the IRS putting out a video. I only made the IRS joke because I know...
David Sacks: 审计员就在台下。
英文原文
David Sacks: Here's the auditor.
Jason Calacanis: 这项成就确实极其不可思议。
英文原文
Jason Calacanis: I mean, it is really incredible.
Jason Calacanis: 那么这项火星直升机项目的最新状态和未来规划是怎样的?
英文原文
Jason Calacanis: So, what's the status of this program?
Jared Isaacman: 我们在上一次毅力号(Perseverance)火星车任务中测试了 “机智号”(Ingenuity)火星直升机。它的表现堪称奇迹。你要知道,火星表面的大气密度只有地球的 1% 左右,几乎接近真空状态。
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: So, we tested Ingenuity on our last rover mission to Mars. It did fantastically well. Can you imagine—this is in near-vacuum conditions on Mars.
Jason Calacanis: 没错,大概只有地球大气密度的百分之一,对吧?
英文原文
Jason Calacanis: Right? It's like a fraction of an atmosphere, right?
Jared Isaacman: 只有地球密度的百分之一。在如此稀薄的大气中,直升机旋翼必须以每分钟近 3000 转的极高转速旋转才能产生足够的升力。机智号原本只计划进行 5 次技术验证飞行,但最终完成了整整 72 次历史性飞行。
现在,我们正计划在接下来的火星采样返回与探测任务中部署 3 架升级版第二代火星直升机,它们将配备探地雷达和高分辨率光谱仪,能够飞入火星车无法抵达的悬崖与陡坡,直接探测地下冰层和地质构造。最令人振奋的是,这种空中探测形态将彻底改写我们对其他行星地貌的探索效率。
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: A fraction of one percent. In such thin atmosphere, the rotor blades have to spin at nearly 3,000 RPM just to generate lift. Ingenuity was originally designed for just five tech-demo flights, but it completed 72 historic flights.
Now, we are planning to send three advanced next-generation helicopters equipped with ground-penetrating radar and multispectral imagers. They can scout impassable terrain, cliffs, and lava tubes where rovers cannot go, mapping subsurface ice and geological formations. That completely revolutionizes how we explore planetary surfaces.
Jason Calacanis: 你打算亲自去试飞刚才大屏幕上的那架高空喷气验证机吗?
英文原文
Jason Calacanis: Are you going to test pilot that aircraft?
Jared Isaacman: 那不是黑鸟。(笑)我们 NASA 内部拥有一大批极具天赋的专业试飞员。
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: That's not the Blackbird. [laughter] We have a lot of incredibly talented test pilots.
David Sacks: 涵盖了整个机构的各个层级。
英文原文
David Sacks: At all levels of the organization.
Jason Calacanis: 确实如此。(笑)整个机构的各层级——包括机构的最高领导本人都是一名非常出色的飞行员。
英文原文
Jason Calacanis: Exactly. [laughter] All levels of the organization—including the head of the organization is quite a pilot.
大国竞争与商业航天
Chamath Palihapitiya: 嘿 Jared,我知道我们马上要收尾了,但你在演讲中提到了中国和俄罗斯在太空领域的联合协作。我想在这个问题上深入探讨一下。
俄罗斯和中国的实际航天能力到底处于什么水平?俄罗斯连基辅都没能拿下,在常规战场上深陷困境已有数年,他们真的还有足够的财力和技术在太空领域做出实质性的大动作吗?
英文原文
Chamath Palihapitiya: Hey Jared, I know we've got to wrap, but you mentioned China and Russia collaborating together. Just wanted to double-click on that. What are their actual capabilities? Russia is bogged down in war. Are they truly capable of getting to space and doing anything of material?
Jason Calacanis: 回到这个严肃问题上。
英文原文
Jason Calacanis: Please come back to this.
Chamath Palihapitiya: 而且中国目前正在实时快速复制 Elon Musk 和 SpaceX 的许多技术路径。中国和俄罗斯的真实威胁到底有多大?
英文原文
Chamath Palihapitiya: China is copying a lot of what Elon is doing in real time. This is a serious question: what is their real capability?
Jared Isaacman: 这是一个极其严峻且关键的问题。
如果说俄罗斯受制于经济制裁和战争消耗,其传统航天工业确实在资金和元器件供应链上面临巨大压力,但他们在重型运载火箭发动机、载人航天生命保障和长周期空间站运营方面仍然拥有数十年的深厚工程底蕴。
而中国的航天能力则是完全另一个维度的竞争。中国拥有极其充沛的国家财政支持、极为强大的工业制造能力,以及每年毕业的数以百万计的工程技术人才。他们拥有自己的“天宫”空间站并实现了常态化有人驻留;他们成功完成了月球背面采样返回(嫦娥六号);他们正在全速研发重型运载火箭长征九号和新一代载人登月登火飞船;他们在商业火箭领域也出现了数十家快速迭代、积极复刻可重复使用技术的私营火箭企业。
中国已经制定了极其明确且坚定不移的时间表:在 2030 年前实现中国宇航员登月,并与俄罗斯联合建设国际月球科研基地。他们的执行力非常高效,说到做到。如果我们稍有懈怠、继续陷入官僚争论和项目延期,中国完全有可能在第二场太空竞赛中率先抢占月球南极的核心战略资源点。这不是假设的威胁,而是正在发生的现实。
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: This is an extremely critical question.
While Russia faces severe economic and supply chain headwinds due to the war, they still possess decades of proven heritage in heavy rocket propulsion, life support, and long-duration space station operations.
China, however, is a formidable competitor operating at an entirely different scale. They possess massive state funding, world-class industrial manufacturing infrastructure, and an immense pipeline of engineering talent. They built and operate the Tiangong space station with continuous human presence; they successfully executed the first-ever sample return from the lunar far side (Chang'e 6); and they are rapidly building the Long March 9 heavy-lift rocket and next-gen crewed lunar landing systems. Furthermore, their private aerospace sector is rapidly replicating reusable launch architectures.
China has a clear, unyielding national objective to land taikonauts on the moon before 2030 and establish a permanent lunar research outpost. Their timelines are aggressive and they consistently hit their milestones. If America slows down or gets bogged down in bureaucratic inertia, China has every capability to reach those strategic lunar sites ahead of us. That is the reality of the race we are in.
Jason Calacanis: 如果没有 SpaceX,面对中国的这种激烈竞争,美国今天会处于什么样的境地?
英文原文
Jason Calacanis: And where would we be if we didn't have SpaceX in relation to China?
Jared Isaacman: SpaceX 是我们最不可或缺、也是极其卓越的战略合作伙伴。如果没有 SpaceX,美国今天甚至无法依靠本土火箭独立将宇航员送往国际空间站并安全接回,我们将依然不得不完全依赖俄罗斯的“联盟号”飞船。
正是因为拥有了猎鹰 9 号(Falcon 9)的高频次可重复使用能力,美国才在过去几年中重新占据了全球入轨发射吨位的绝对主导地位。而随着 星舰(Starship)的持续快速迭代,它将提供前所未有的超大吨位入轨与深空运输能力。NASA 的使命正是要将政府的科学探索目标与像 SpaceX 这样最具创新力的商业航天先锋紧密结合起来,形成强大的合力。
我们每天都在为拥有这样充满活力的美国工业界感到无比自豪。
非常感谢大家!
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: SpaceX is an extraordinary, indispensable partner. Without SpaceX, the United States would have had no domestic capability to launch our own astronauts to the International Space Station after the Space Shuttle was retired; we would still be completely dependent on Russian Soyuz seats.
Falcon 9's reusability gave America overwhelming dominance in global launch mass to orbit over the past decade. And Starship represents a revolutionary leap in payload capacity for lunar and Mars logistics. NASA's strategy is to unite the mission-driven mandate of the nation with the relentless innovation of American commercial powerhouses like SpaceX.
We are grateful every single day for the ingenuity of American industry.
Thank you all so much.
Jason Calacanis: 非常感谢 Jared 的到来!感谢你为国家和世界做出的杰出贡献,有你掌舵 NASA 是我们的幸运。别忘了带上你的书!
英文原文
Jason Calacanis: Thank you so much, Jared! Truly respect your service to this country and the world. We are lucky to have you. Don't forget your book!
Jared Isaacman: 谢谢大家!
英文原文
Jared Isaacman: Thanks, man. Thank you. Appreciate it.