序言与 Whoop 的规模
平均而言,一名 Whoop 会员每天佩戴 Whoop 23.6 小时。我们拥有刚刚超过 500 亿小时的连续生理数据。所以,这是全球最大的健康数据集之一。
英文原文
On average, a Whoop member wears Whoop 23.6 hours a day. We have just over 50 billion hours of continuous physiological data. So, it's one of the largest health data sets in the world.
每天花一美元,我认为这差不多是你能在健康上花费的最划算的事情之一了。
英文原文
For a dollar a day, I think this is like one of the best things you could spend on your health.
你希望人们能够发自内心地喜爱你的产品。勒布朗·詹姆斯(LeBron James)现在是 Whoop 的全球大使。他是最早佩戴它的 100 个人之一。
英文原文
You want people to love your product authentically. LeBron James is now a global ambassador for Whoop. He was one of the first 100 people to ever wear it.
你开始在整个医疗界了解某些事情之前,就已经了解它们了。
英文原文
You're starting to understand things before the rest of the medical community is learning them.
通过生理信号,我们也许能够在没有实际测量生物标志物本身的情况下,预测该生物标志物是否超出正常范围。
英文原文
Through physiological signals, we might be able to predict that a biomarker is out of range without actually measuring the biomarker itself.
我要倾尽全力(All-In)。
英文原文
I'm going all in.
随着你的财富增长,你有没有注意到,在投资、税务策略和遗产规划之间,事情变得有多复杂?打理好这一切就像是一份你未曾主动要求过的全职工作。Creative Planning 可以提供帮助。他们由投资经理、注册会计师(CPA)以及关联遗产律师组成的协同团队,可以为你承担大部分繁重的重活,让你无需操心。Creative Planning,让财富协同运作。请访问 creativeplanning.com/allin。
英文原文
As your wealth grows, have you noticed how much more complex things get between investments, tax strategy, and estate planning? Managing it all is a full-time job that you didn't ask for. Creative Planning can help. Their coordinated team of investment managers, CPAs, and affiliated estate attorneys can do much of the heavy lifting so you don't have to. Creative Planning, where wealth works together. Go to creativeplanning.com/allin.
我要倾尽全力(All-In)。[音乐]
英文原文
I'm going all [music] in.
好的,伙计们。欢迎回到 All-In 访谈节目。在这里,我们希望花一个小时左右的时间与嘉宾深入探讨,而不是像每个周五那样谈论新闻。我们希望深入探究。健康与技术是对所有好朋友(besties)来说都极其有趣的领域之一,我非常高兴来自 Whoop 的朋友 Will Ahmed 决定为我和 All-In 的听众留出一个小时的时间。我和你在我做了 15 年多的元老级播客《This Week in Startups》上,大概聊过两到三次关于 Whoop 的创业历程。不过,让我们先从 Whoop 作为一个组织现在的规模开始吧,因为在过去这段旅程中,我认识你已经有远远超过 5 年、6 年了。大概有多少会员,大概有多少人在使用 Whoop,你们已经收集了多少数据?
英文原文
All right, guys. Welcome back to the All-In interview program. And this is where guests we want to unpack for an hour or so, not talk about the news like we do every Friday. We want to go deep. And health and technology is one of those areas that's super interesting to all the besties, and I was really excited that my friend Will Ahmed from Whoop decided he would carve out an hour for me and the All-In audience. You and I have spoken I think two or three times on the OG podcast, This Week in Startups, that I've been doing for over 15 years there in the journey for Whoop. But let's start with just the footprint of Whoop as an organization now, because I've known you for yeah, well over 5 years, 6 years of of this journey. How many members, ballparkish, how many people are using the Whoop, and how much data have you collected?
是的,Whoop 打造可穿戴技术来提升体能表现与健康。我已经经营这家公司 14 年了。它成立于 2012 年。呃,我认为就像许多所谓的“一夜成名”故事一样,我们花了很长时间才实现“一夜成名”。你知道,我们花了大约 12 年时间才达到 100 万会员,然后又花了大约 18 个月达到 200 万,大约 6 个月达到 300 万,并且预计在年底达到大约 400 万会员。
英文原文
Yeah, so Whoop, we build wearable technology to improve performance and health. I've been building this company now for 14 years. It was founded in in 2012. And uh I think like a lot of maybe overnight success stories, it took a very long time to be an overnight success. You know, it took about 12 years for us to get to a million members and then another 18 months or so to 2 million, about 6 months to 3 million and and expect to end the year around 4 million members.
从硬件销售到订阅制的转型
400 万会员。嘿,听着,我直接跟人们讲,这项服务起初看起来很贵,因为我想它大概是每个月 40 刀、30 刀。我的范围大致准确吗?或者我花了多少?在这上面每年花 300?
英文原文
4 million members. And hey, listen, I'll tell people right out, the service at first seems expensive because I think it's like 40 bucks a month, 30 bucks a month. Am I am I in the approximate range or what do I spend? 300 a year on this?
取决于你选择哪种方案,每月在 15 到 30 美元之间。
英文原文
Depending on what plan you're on, it's anywhere from 15 to $30 a month.
我用的是最高级别的方案,配有最顶级的传感器。但是你采取了一种非常[嗤笑]深思熟虑的方法,即我们要做订阅制,并且把设备的成本免除。这样你就不会有担心丢失设备的焦虑。所以带我回顾一下那个决定。坦率地说,对于一天一美元而言,我认为这差不多是你能在健康上花费的最划算的事情之一,甚至还不到一天一美元。但带我回顾一下你们作为一个企业,决定采用每月 30 刀的决策过程。
英文原文
I'm on the top top plan with the top top sensor. But you took a very [snorts] thoughtful approach to saying we're going to go for subscriptions and we're going to take out the cost of the device. So you don't have this cost uh losing the device anxiety. So take me to that decision. And to be totally honest, for a dollar a day, I think this is like one of the best things you could spend on your health or or even less than a dollar a day. But take me through that decision as a business to go with uh 30 bucks a month.
是的,谢谢你。这是一种独特的商业模式。在 2017 年,我们面向消费者推出了产品。当时是一次性收费 500 刀。在那段公司历史时期,我们真正将 Whoop 打造成了一个专业体能品牌。你知道,它在全世界顶尖运动员中享有盛誉,我们与所有这些运动队合作。然后我们说:“好吧,我们要走向消费者大众,去瞄准运动和健身爱好者受众。”在产品上市后的接下来 12 个月里,我们真正观察到了两件事。第一件事是,购买 Whoop 的人佩戴它的时间非常长。而在可穿戴设备行业,流失率和参与度一直是个挑战。对 Whoop 来说幸运的是,这正是我们产品的优势。呃,但我们观察到的另一件事是,买这个产品的人并没有那么多。所以我们仍然面临销售问题。呃,由于参与度非常高,我们扪心自问,这里是否存在一种商业模式,让入门价格更低,以便人们能够接触到 Whoop,而如果他们爱上了这款产品,久而久之它对 Whoop 来说也会成为一门好生意。我认为这立刻在 2018 年和 2019 年为 Whoop 创造了各种增长,我们迅速转变成了经常性收入业务,而不是硬件业务,这当然对投资者更具吸引力。然后,你知道,我低估了它对我们基因的改变有多大,因为当你成为一家订阅制企业时,你会变得非常痴迷于你现有的会员,甚至可以说超过了对新会员的关注。因此,一切都关乎创新周期、持续快速改进产品,以及极度关注会员体验。
英文原文
Yeah, thank you. It's a unique business model. And in 2017, we had launched to consumers. It was a one-time fee, 500 bucks. At that point in the company's history, we had really built Whoop as like a performance brand. You know, it was known amongst the best athletes in the world and and we worked with all these sports teams. And we said, "Okay, we're going to go to consumers and uh and target, you know, an athletic and fitness enthusiast audience." And over the course of the next 12 months of having that product in market, we really observed two things. The first is that people who bought Whoop uh would wear it for a long time. And that's always been a challenge in the wearables industry around drop-off rates and engagement. And fortunately for Whoop, that's been a strength of our of our product. Uh but then the other thing we observed was that not that many people were buying the product. So we still had a sales problem. And uh because the engagement was so high, we asked ourselves, well, is there a business model here where the entry price is lower so people can get introduced to Whoop, and if they fall in love with the product, then over time it can be a good business for Whoop, too. And I think that immediately created all kinds of of growth for Whoop back in 2018 and 19, and we quickly became a recurring revenue business versus a hardware business, which of course is more attractive to investors. And then, you know, what I underestimated is how much it changed our DNA, because when you're a subscription business, you become really obsessed with uh your existing members, arguably more so even the new members. And so, it's all about innovation cycles and continuing to rapidly improve the product and obsess over the member experience.
看,我认为这对可能正在观看的创业者来说是一个至关重要的观察。当你卖小件商品硬件时,你知道,你在做营销。但是一旦你拥有了一个订阅用户,嘿,他们在下个月、随后的月份以及来年都是你的客户。所以,你开始痴迷于流失率和留存参与度,对吧?指标发生了转变,对吧?
英文原文
See, this is, I think, a critical observation for founders uh who might be watching. When you're selling widgets, you you know, you're it's and what you know, marketing. But once you get a subscriber, hey, they're your customer next month and the following month and the following year. So, you start obsessing about churn and engagement, right? The metrics kind of shift, right?
是的,完全正确。你会变得非常关注用户参与度、人们使用产品的频率如何;你会关注它有多有效,你知道,你实际上是如何推动行为改变和健康改善的。它也改变了我们的硬件迭代周期。当你是一家硬件公司时,无论是否真的有创新,你都会有动力每 12 个月发布一次新硬件,因为你总是需要下一次硬件销售带来的那一笔钱。而且,当你是一家纯硬件公司时,你没有动力在现有产品之上进行持续创新,对吧?因为你想说服人们去买下一个新东西。而对我们来说,我们的激励机制实际上恰恰相反。我们希望在硬件真正具有创新性、实现阶梯式跨越提升时才发布硬件。然后我们真正专注于尝试继续更新会员服务和订阅内容。所以,你知道,大约在 18 个月前加入的人可能当时并不知道他们将获得心电图(ECG)监测、房颤(AFib)检测,或者高级实验室功能(也就是我们现在应用中具备的血液检测功能),或者是健康寿命功能(它能告诉你你的 Whoop 生物年龄,是一个完整的长寿功能),还有血压洞察功能(这是一项让人们每天都能查看自己血压的新功能)。这些都是我们在现有市场上流通的硬件基础上推出的新功能示例。
英文原文
Yeah, totally. You get you get very focused on um user engagement, how often people are are using your product, you get focused on how effective it is, you know, how are you actually driving behavior change and and health improvement. It It changed our hardware cycles, as well. So, when you're a hardware business, you're incentivized to ship new hardware every 12 months, whether or not it's actually innovative, because you always need that next dollar from a hardware sale. And also, when you're a pure hardware company, you're you're not incentivized to be innovating on top of the existing product, right? Because you want to convince people to buy the next thing. And for us, we're actually with the opposite incentives. We want to launch hardware when it's really innovative and it's a step function better. And and then we're really focused on trying to continue to update the the membership and the subscription. So, you know, someone who joined, I don't know, 18 months ago may not have known they were going to have ECG monitoring or AFib detection or advanced labs, which is now the blood work uh feature that we have in the app, or health span, which, you know, tells you your Whoop age and is a whole longevity feature, blood pressure insights, which is a new capability uh that allows people to to look at their blood pressure every day. So, these are all examples of new features that we've brought to market with uh hardware that's in market.
核心指标与日常生理监测
是的。这样做的效果就是克服了我们在苹果产品上遇到的问题,即你们作为 Whoop,承担起了[嗤笑]告诉我何时该升级以及为什么该升级的责任,但这并不像 iPhone 迭代周期那样充满高压,在那边他们不断地,[清嗓子]你知道,向你施压要求升级,这样他们就能靠硬件赚取利润。现在,我们来谈谈软件内部的创新。呃,你知道,我什么都用过,Fitbit(我想现在算 Google Health 了)、Apple Watch。很多年里我都用过它们,还有 Oura。我最终选定了 Whoop。我为什么选定 Whoop 呢?嗯,我觉得其实是你们的软件,起初我很难理解它,因为你们有恢复得分(recovery score),有睡眠得分,有压力指数,嗯,还有这个日志功能。对我来说,与其他产品相比它稍微有些复杂,但最终我发现,一旦我全身心投入使用该产品,它给我带来的价值更大。那么,全身心投入使用该产品意味着什么?我认为如果你每天填写日志,或者哪怕一周就几次,你从中获得的收益会多得多。所以,让我请你解释一下这里最重要的指标是什么。心率变异性(HRV)、恢复得分、高压力、睡眠等等。然后再顺带给我讲讲围绕日志功能的一些特性,以及为什么这很重要。
英文原文
Yeah. And what that does is you get over the issue we have with Apple products, which is like you're taking on, as Whoop, the [snorts] responsibility for telling me when to upgrade and why I should upgrade, but it's not like some high-pressure thing like your iPhone cycle, where they're constantly, [clears throat] you know, pressuring you to upgrade so they can make the money on the hardware. Now, let's talk about the innovation inside the software. Uh and you know, I've used everything, Fitbit, which is I guess Google Health now, Apple Watch. I've had all of it Oura over many, many years. And I settled on Whoop. Why did I settle on Whoop? Well, I thought your software actually, which was hard for me to get my head around at first because you have this recovery score, you have the sleep score, you have stress, um but and then there's this journal feature. It was a little complex for me uh compared to the other products, but ultimately uh what I found was it gave me more value once I committed to the product. So, what is committing to the product mean? I think if you put in and you fill out the journal every day or just, you know, a couple times a week, you get much more out of it. So, let me have you explain what the most important metrics are here. Heart rate variability, the recovery score, high stress sleep, etc. And then and and then work me into like some of the the the features around journaling and why that's important.
是的,Whoop 上的三大支柱是围绕睡眠、恢复和劳损(strain)。因此,大多数人开始新的一天时,都会查看昨晚睡得怎么样,这涵盖了从我们的睡眠得分到他们的睡眠规律性。他们是否在固定的时间睡觉和醒来?你的睡眠时长——其中有多少小时是高质量睡眠,相比于你仅仅躺在床上尝试入睡的时间;有多少具有恢复性?慢波睡眠、REM 快速眼动睡眠,你知道,这是对你身体整体昼夜节律以及睡眠质量相当深入的了解。然后最终是你的恢复得分,它显示为红、黄、绿,范围从 0 到 100%。顺便说一句,我今天对我的分数相当兴奋。我想让你知道我已经做好准备迎接你了。
英文原文
Yeah, the three main pillars on Whoop are around uh sleep, recovery, and strain. And so most people start their day by looking at how well they slept last night and that'll be everything from our sleep score to their sleep consistency. Do they go to bed and wake up at the same time? Your hours of sleep, so how many of those hours were quality sleep versus the time that you just spent in bed trying to sleep. Um how much was restorative? Slow wave sleep, REM sleep, you know, a pretty deep understanding uh of your body's overall uh circadian rhythm and how well you're sleeping. And then ultimately your recovery score, which is red, yellow, green, 0 to 100%. By the way, I'm I'm pretty pumped about mine today. I want you to know I'm ready for you.
噢伙计。等等,来吧伙计。稍等一下。
英文原文
Oh man. Now now Come on, man. Hold on a second.
我就是想给你看看这个。
英文原文
I I just had to show you that.
93%,相当棒。嗯。
英文原文
93% pretty good. Um
对我来说非常强劲。
英文原文
strong for me.
那非常强劲。呃对于我,不怎么好。我的是 67。
英文原文
That's very strong. Uh for me, not so good. I'm on a 67.
好吧,但你的表盘是绿色的。这些数据已经很不错了。
英文原文
Okay, but you got a green dial. Those are pretty good numbers.
我的睡眠是 83%,我今天的劳损极低,因为我除了坐着不干活外啥也没做。呃但是你知道,现在对我来说掌握这些数据超级关键。我要出行。我去日本,去沙特,去达沃斯世界经济论坛。我满世界跑,我正在努力调节自己的睡眠。我在琢磨我究竟该按照这个作息表还是另一个作息表,我只是想确保自己在做那些需要发挥表现的事情时精力充沛,你知道,比如在播客中或演讲活动中。呃现在这对我来说是必不可少的。它对我来说就是不可或缺的,我已经离不开它了。对我来说发生的有趣事情是,你在那三大最重要的指标下方,还提供了……
英文原文
my sleep was 83% and my strain today is incredibly low cuz all I've done is sit and do no work. Uh but you know, this is like super critical for me to have these numbers now. I travel. I go to Japan. I go to Saudi. I go to Davos, you know, World Economic Forum. I I'm all over the globe and I'm trying to regulate my sleep. I'm trying to figure out should I be on this sleep schedule or you know, the other one and I'm just trying to make sure I'm fresh for when I'm doing performative stuff, you know, like on on podcasts or speaking gigs. Uh and it's essential for me now. It's just essential for me. I can't live without it. The thing that was interesting that happened for me is you also have uh under those three most important um metrics there.
健康监测仪(Health Monitor)?
英文原文
The health monitor?
急性健康预警与临床案例
你有健康监测仪。现在,这对我来说至关重要,因为在过去这段时间里,两次,是的,我想现在已经有两到三次了。在健康监测仪下,包含了你的呼吸率、静息心率、皮肤温度、血氧和 HRV(心率变异性)。现在,我全都在绿区。然而,前几周,我要告诉你这个故事。它涉及到我因为胸痛被送进急诊室。这是一件严肃的事。家里有人,孩子们或其他什么人,得了呼吸道感染。我当时并没有被传染。但我有一天醒来,我的呼吸率比正常情况高出两次呼吸。原本通常是 16 次,当时变成了大概 18 次,或者原本是 15 次,变成了 17 次。然后我的皮肤温度上升了大约两度,对吧?而且……
英文原文
You have the health monitor. Now, this is critical for me because twice now in the past Yeah, I think it's two or three times now. I have had um under health monitor, which has your respiratory rate, your resting heart rate, skin temperature, blood oxygen, and HRV, heart rate variability. Right now, I'm all in green. However, the other week, I'm going to tell you this story. It involves me going to the emergency room with chest pain. This is a serious Some people in the house, the kids or whatever, had a respiratory infection. I didn't get it. But I wake up one day and my respiratory rate is two breaths higher than normal. Instead of 16, it was like 18 or 15, it was 17. And then my skin temperature was like two degrees hotter, right? And um
顺便对听众解释一下,当你的呼吸率像那样升高两次呼吸时,那其实是非常有意义的,因为呼吸率通常是一个非常平淡的统计数据,一般根本不会有任何变化。
英文原文
And just for people listening, when your respiratory rate is elevated by two breaths like that, that's actually pretty meaningful cuz respiratory rate is normally a very boring statistic and normally doesn't change at all.
所以感觉就像是,“嘿,发生什么事了?”接着第二天它又连续这样。于是我,你知道,洗了温水澡。我确保自己补充了电解质。我在想也许自己要生病了。总之,我在周六、周日缓过来了。周日晚上,我睡不着觉。我开始胸痛。我在凌晨 1 点把特斯拉调成自动驾驶模式去了急诊室,因为我以前在救护车上工作过。我知道,嘿,你知道,当你感到胸痛并且你是一个 55 岁的男性时,这可能是很严重的问题,或者也可能只是消化不良。我去了,做了所有可能的检查。我直接去了奥斯汀当地的心脏中心,他们做了 CT 扫描,我想那是对心脏的大型扫描。心电图,所有检查。我在那里从凌晨 1 点一直呆到早上 7 点。结果发现我的肺部周围、胸口周围有炎症,我的心脏受到了压迫。所以,我感到了胸痛。我当时并没有心脏病发作。但是身体确实出了问题,而我在没有任何其他症状的情况下,连续两天收到了预警。非常不可思议,对吧?
英文原文
So, it's like, "Hey, what's going on?" Then it does it a second day in a row. So, then I, you know, like do the warm bath. I I got me sure I got my electrolytes. I'm I'm thinking maybe I'm coming down with something. Anyway, I recover on Saturday, Sunday. Sunday night, I can't sleep. I start getting chest pains. I put the Tesla at 1:00 a.m. in self-driving and I go to the emergency room cuz I used to work on an ambulance. I know, hey, you know, when you have chest pains and you're 55-year-old male, this could be serious or it could be indigestion. I go, I do every possible test. I go right to the heart center uh in Austin here and they do the CT scan. I think that's the the the big scan of your heart. EKGs, everything. I'm there from 1:00 a.m. until 7:00 a.m. Turns out I had inflammation in my lungs, around my chest, and my heart was being constricted. So, I was experiencing chest pain. I was not having a heart attack. But there was something going on and I was alerted to it two for two days in a row without having any other symptoms. Very strange, right?
嗯。
英文原文
Mhm.
正是提前两天的 Whoop,在那周四、周五的数据,让我在周日保持了高度警惕。我想的是,“我的身体系统出问题了。”它之前就做到过这点。原因是在三年前,发生过同样的事情。我的皮肤温度变得反常,然后在那次情况下,我想是我的 HRV。我就想,“怎么回事?”我得了新冠(COVID)。是的。所以我有两次糟糕的评分。当时我和我的一个女儿在纽约,我因此得以及时服用了 Paxlovid,这种药只有在早期使用才有效。所以我想,“管他呢。”发热了两天,我去……我妻子说:“也许你得新冠了。”我说:“哇,这太复古了吧。”我直接去 Duane Reade 买了试剂检测,我确实确诊了,就在同一天拿到了 Paxlovid,这一切都是因为 Whoop 提醒了我。所以,你为我提前预警了两次急性状况。现在你们系统中已经有了 400 万用户,你们还开始了解到哪些其他急性健康状况?我知道你们现在正在成为抢先式医疗服务交付的贡献者,或者说,你们开始在医疗界其他人了解这些情况之前,就已经了解它们了。
英文原文
And it was the Whoop those two days earlier, that Thursday, Friday, that on Sunday I was on high alert. I was like, "Something's going wrong with my system." It had done that. And the reason is three years ago, the same thing happened. My skin temperature's is going crazy and my and then in that case, I think it was my HRV. I'm like, "What's going on?" I got COVID. Yeah. So, I had two two bad scores. I'm in New York with one of my daughters and I was able to take that Paxlovid, which you can only take if you get to it early. So, I'm like, "F this." Two days of like heat, I go my wife goes, "Maybe you got COVID." I'm like, "Wow, that's so retro." I go right to Duane Reade, I take the test, I got it, I get Paxlovid all in the same day because the Whoop told me. So, you anticipated two acute situations for me. What other acute things are you starting to learn here now that you have 4 million people in the system? I understand now you're becoming a contributor to the preemptive delivery of medical services and or, you know, you're you're starting to understand things before, let's say, the rest of the medical community is is learning them.
感谢你的分享。我是说,这是一个惊人的故事,我很高兴你现在感觉良好,也很欣慰 Whoop 能在提供帮助方面发挥一点微小的作用。我认为令人惊叹的是,我们现在每天、每周都会收到来自会员的这些感谢见证,他们的经历就像你描述的那样。呃,我上周收到一条留言,来自一位身体强壮、健康的棒球运动员,他突然发现自己在睡眠中心率异常升高,看起来非常不正常。你知道,一个静息心率通常为每分钟 50 次的人,在睡眠中心率竟然达到了 120、130 次。呃,他去看了医生,嗯,他们做了一些检查,果不其然,是四期霍奇金淋巴瘤。
英文原文
Well, there's your sharing that. I mean, that's an amazing story and I'm grateful you're feeling all right and and grateful that Whoop could uh could play a small role helping. I think it's it's amazing we now get these testimonials every every day, every week from uh from members who have an experience like the one you described. Uh I got a message last week from uh you know, a fit, healthy baseball player who all of a sudden saw he had these elevated heart rates while he was sleeping that looked very abnormal. You know, someone with a resting heart rate of 50 beats per minute getting a heart rate of 120, 130 while he's sleeping. And uh and he goes in uh to see the doctor and um they do some tests and sure enough, uh stage four Hodgkin's lymphoma.
哇。
英文原文
Woah.
是的。呃,他得以接受治疗并康复了。呃然后,你知道,另一个类似的故事,一位会员关注自己的 HRV,他们使用 Whoop 实际上已经有接近十年的时间了。所以,他们拥有极其可靠的基线数据。嗯,对于不太熟悉 HRV 的人……
英文原文
Yeah. And uh and he was able to get treated for it and he's recovered from it. And uh and then, you know, another similar story where uh a member with their HRV, they'd been on Whoop actually for I think close to a decade. So, they had this incredible baseline and um and HRV for for people who are less familiar.
HRV 与自主神经系统的科学机制
解释一下那个概念,因为是你把我领入这个概念的大门,之后我就彻底钻研进去了。
英文原文
that because you're the one who introduced me to this whole concept and I I have since gone down the rabbit hole.
HRV 代表心率变异性(Heart Rate Variability)。它是心脏连续跳动之间的时间间隔。这稍微有点反直觉,但心脏连续跳动之间的时间变化程度越大,表明你的整个系统运作得越健康。它是审视你自主神经系统的一面镜子,该系统由交感神经活动和副交感神经活动组成。交感神经负责激活反应——心率上升、血压升高、呼吸加快。嗯,当你产生诸如房间里有头狮子之类的念头,或者开始锻炼,亦或是思考某些有压力的事情时,就会发生这种情况。相反,副交感神经的作用则完全相反——心率下降、血压降低、呼吸放缓。呃,它是帮助你入睡的机制。如果你进行长时间呼气,那就是副交感神经在发挥作用。
英文原文
So, HRV stands for heart rate variability. It's the amount of um time between successive beats of the heart and uh and it's a little counterintuitive, but the more variability in time between successive beats of the heart, the healthier your overall system is operating. And it's this lens into your autonomic nervous system, which consists of sympathetic and parasympathetic activity. So, sympathetic's activation, heart rate up, blood pressure up, respiration up. Um it's what happens, you know, when you have a thought like that there's a lion in the room or you know, when you start to exercise or you're thinking about something stressful. Um conversely, uh parasympathetic's all the opposite, heart rate down, blood pressure down, respiration down. Uh it's what helps you fall asleep. If you um exhale for a long period of time, that's parasympathetic.
嗯。
英文原文
Mhm.
你所希望的是交感神经活动与副交感神经活动紧密配合。这样,你的身体就像是在不断调节自身适应环境。如果处于这种状态,就意味着你拥有更高的心率变异性,测量数值会更高。而我们是全天候 24/7 监测心率变异性。这确实是创立这家公司时的关键创新之一。我在哈佛读大学时做了所有这些医学研究,心率变异性是当时令我眼前一亮的概念,因为关于它有非常有趣的研究,但它无法实现全天候 24/7 监测。呃所以,这也是 Whoop 诞生的部分渊源。无论如何,心率变异性是我们用于压力监测的指标,也是我们用于计算恢复得分的指标。我们在 Whoop 上为每个人建立基线,然后能够每天向你展示,你是在基线范围内,还是稍微偏高,或是稍微偏低?当你观察几年间的这种趋势时,你就会开始了解某人的身体是随着时间推移变得越来越健康,还是越来越不健康?这是一个非常重要的长寿指标。一般来说,随着年龄增长,你的心率变异性会下降。比如,20 多岁的人,其心率变异性平均在 80 到 100 之间;到了 30 多岁,开始降到 70 左右;40 多岁,开始降到 50 左右;到了 50 多岁、60 多岁,突然就会跌到 30 甚至更低。因此,如果你能够对抗这种趋势、对抗这些平均规律,甚至仅仅让你的心率变异性在多年间保持平稳,这实际上就是体适能良好、长寿的标志。回到我刚才讲的故事,那位会员拥有非常稳定的心率变异性,一直处于特定范围内,然后突然暴跌。那是一个原本健康的个体,心率变异性大约在 100,然后在一段时间内突然降到了 50。同样,他去做了所有这些检查,结果发现他患有睾丸癌。
英文原文
And what you want is for for sympathetic activity and parasympathetic activity to be coupled. And so, your body's kind of constantly regulating its environment. And when that's the case, it it means you have a higher heart rate variability, that the measurement will be higher. And we're measuring heart rate variability 24/7. It was really one of the the key innovations in founding the company. Uh I did all this medical research when I was a student at Harvard and heart rate variability was the thing that like jumped off the page to me cuz there was really interesting research on it, but it couldn't be measured 24/7. And uh and so, that's where um you know, part of where WHOOP was born out of. Anyway, heart rate variability is something that we use for stress monitoring. It's something we use for our recovery score. And uh and we baseline everyone on WHOOP and then we're able to show you every day, are you within your baseline or you a little bit higher, you're a little lower? And when you look at trends of this over years, you start to get a sense for is someone getting healthier over time or or less healthy? It's a really important longevity indicator. Uh typically speaking, as you get older, your heart rate variability will drop. So, you know, people who are in their 20s, their heart rate variability will be anywhere between like 80 and 100 on average. 30s, you start to drop to 70. 40s, you start dropping to 50. You know, um 50s, 60s, all of a sudden you're in, you know, 30s and below. And so, if you can fight that trend uh that those averages and keep your heart rate variability even just flat over years, that's actually a sign of good fitness, good longevity. And uh anyway, back to the story I was telling you, the um this individual, they had a very steady heart rate variability that was within a specific range, and all of a sudden it plummeted. So, it was a healthy person that had a heart rate variability of about 100. And uh and then it was 50 all of a sudden for for a period of time. Again, goes in, gets all these tests. Uh he turned out to have testicular cancer.
噢,哇。
英文原文
Oh, wow.
是这样。
英文原文
And so,
那么,此前人们知道 HRV 在某种程度上可以作为睾丸癌的先行指标吗?
英文原文
Now, was that known previously that HRV would in some way be a a lead indicator for testicular cancer?
全天候数据、电池续航与硬件哲学
我认为并不知道。你知道,这正是当前这个时间节点如此引人入胜之处——我们此前从未拥有过如此庞大的持续人体数据。创立 Whoop 的原则之一就是 24/7 全天候数据。这也是为什么我们现在能拥有 14 天电池续航的原因;这也是我们发明可以滑动扣在 Whoop 上充电的充电器的原因。
英文原文
I mean, I don't think so. You know, and that's that's what's so fascinating about this moment in time is we've never had this much data on the human body continuously. One of the principles to founding WHOOP was 24/7 data. And it's it's why we have a 14-day battery life now. It's why we we invented a charger that you slide on to your WHOOP.
我正想说这个,这些超级重要。当你最初在《This Week in Startups》上告诉我这件事时,我的反应是:“什么?我需要看到我走了多少步和时间。这根本说不通。”而你说:“相信我,杰克。这有它的原因。[笑声]”现在我已经使用了它,事实证明你完全是正确的。在过去的几年里,我能保持这么长连续佩戴记录的原因,真正让我中断使用的唯一一次,就是我把它弄丢了,必须重新订购一个新的。所以我中断了连续记录,这挺令人沮丧的,但事实就是如此,那只是个数字。嗯,因为你可以戴着它淋浴,可以戴着它泡澡,而且你也应该戴着。事实证明,等会儿聊到日志时会谈到,温水澡不知为何对我的恢复和睡眠极其有益。你永远不需要把它摘下来,只要把电池充电宝滑上去就行了。所以你可以获得与我使用 Apple Watch 时截然相反的体验。Apple Watch 很烦人,因为总有提示,我总收到两年前安装的应用发来的提醒。它就是不断地打扰你。当你看手表时,人们会觉得你很不礼貌。然后电池每隔一段时间就没电了。对于 Apple Watch,我想有几次我可能用到了 24 小时或 36 小时、48 小时,但那体验非常糟糕。而有了这个,我用个 10 天、14 天完全没问题。而且我买了三个电池充电器。我就在桌子上放一个,床头放一个,旅行包里放一个。这些东西又不贵。我认为这也是一个关键所在,是的,那就是人们佩戴它的时长。
英文原文
I was about to say, these are super important. And when you first told me about this on This Week in Startups, I was like, "What? I need to I want to see how many steps I've done and the time. It makes no sense." And you were like, "Trust me, Jake. I'll uh there's a reason [laughter] for this." And now that I've used it, it turns out you're absolutely right. The reason I have had so many long streaks, the only time I really stopped using this for past couple years is when I lost it and I had to order a new one. So, I broke my streak, which was a bummer, but it is what it is. It's just a number. Um because you can wear it in the shower, you can wear it in the bath, and you should. It turns out a warm bath is when we get your journals in a minute, super uh great for my recovery for whatever reason and my sleep. You never have to take it off and you can slide on the battery charger. So, you can have essentially the opposite experience that I had with my Apple Watch. The Apple Watch was annoying cuz it's I'm getting alerts and I'm getting alerts for things that I app I installed 2 years ago. And it's just constantly bothering you. People think you're rude when you look at the watch. And then the battery dies every, you know, whatever. For the Apple Watch, I think I might have gotten to 24 hours or 36 hours, 48 hours a couple times, but it's a terrible experience. With this, I I mean, I I've made it 10 days, you know, 14 days, no problem. And I carry I bought three battery chargers. I just keep I keep one in my desk, I keep one on the bedside, and one in my my travel bag. It's like these things aren't expensive. And that's a key to it, I think, as well. Yeah, is the the amount people wear these.
平均而言,一名 Whoop 会员每天佩戴 Whoop 23.6 小时。因此,我们拥有刚刚超过 500 亿小时的连续生理数据。所以,这是全世界最大的健康数据集之一。现在伴随着 AI 的出现,以及在大数据集上能够做的事情,在这一领域工作正是一个非常令人振奋的时期。
英文原文
On average, a Whoop member wears Whoop 23.6 hours a day. And as a consequence, we have just over 50 billion hours of continuous physiological data. So, it's one of the largest health data sets in the world. And now with the, you know, the advent of AI and what you can do with large data sets, it's just like a really exciting time to be working in this space.
AI 模型与生物标志物预测
所有的 AI 公司,比如开发前沿大模型的那些公司,都想从你们那里打包购买这些汇总数据吗?这最终会成为你们的一笔巨大业务吗?你们对此怎么看?还是你们在构建自己的模型?
英文原文
Do all the AI companies, like the frontier models, want to buy this data from you in aggregate? Is that like a huge business for you guys eventually? How do you think about that? Or building your own models?
是的,目前我们在构建自己的模型,也就是公司内部的基础模型,它们本质上是基于这些数据进行训练的。所以……
英文原文
Yeah, today we're building our own models, you know, foundational models with in the company that are essentially training on top of this data. So, one
你们是使用开源模型,还是在与他人合作……
英文原文
using open source models or you're you're partnering with
我们有自己的模型,也有开源模型。令人惊叹的是,你拥有这个庞大的生理数据集,但现在你还拥有其他数据集,对吧?人们正在上传他们的血液检查结果,或者通过 Whoop 进行高级实验室测试,他们正在上传医疗记录。所以举个例子,我们现在开始看到一些迹象表明,通过生理信号,我们或许能够在没有实际测量生物标志物本身的情况下,预测某个生物标志物是否超出正常范围。
英文原文
our own models, we've got open source models, and and what's amazing is you've got this huge physiological data set, but then you also now have other data sets, right? So, people are uploading their blood tests or they're doing advanced labs through Whoop, they're uploading medical records. And Um, so, as an example, we're we're now starting to see indications that through physiological signals, we might be able to predict that a biomarker is out of range without actually measuring the biomarker itself.
哇。
英文原文
Wow.
这样一来,你就可以给某人非常具有针对性的建议:“嘿,我们认为你有皮质醇偏高的问题。你应该去做这一项检查。”这就变得非常精准,令人非常振奋。
英文原文
And so then, you know, you could give someone a very targeted, "Hey, we think you're you know, we think you have high cortisol. You should get this one test." And and it gets you know, and it gets super it gets super targeted, which is exciting.
这是 AI 能够推导出来的。AI 将审视所有这些数据并说:“嘿,这里可能存在皮质醇问题。”或者给出可能性,这超级迷人。所以未来你将你的业务定位为这个 AI 助手。而且我想你们在不到 6 个月前在产品中添加了 AI 助手。我现在已经对它上瘾了。
英文原文
Which the AI would be able to figure out. The AI is going to look at all this data and say, "Hey, maybe there's a cortisol issue here." Or here's the possibilities, which is super fascinating. So, not your you see your business in the future as this AI assistant. And you added an AI assistant, I think, to the product less than 6 months ago. I'm addicted to it now.
是的。
英文原文
Yeah.
你们有这些持续的对话。它会记录对话。老实说,它刚开始时挺笨的。[笑声]你知道,你可以跟它对话,它会说:“是的,你达到了这个比率。好的,谢谢这个比率。”但现在它变得更聪明了,因为现在当我告诉它:“我在日本。呃,你没记录我的睡眠。”它会说:“噢,好的。情况是这样的。”而且它实际上真正理解了这个产品。我想你们在做一些强化学习。
英文原文
And you have these ongoing conversations. It logs the conversations. And so now it was um I'll be candid, pretty dumb at the start. It would be like [laughter] you know, you could talk to it and you'd be like, "Yes, you had this rate. Okay, thanks for that rate." But now it's gotten to be more sophisticated cuz now when I tell it, "I'm in Japan. Uh you didn't record my sleep." It's like, "Oh, okay. Here's what's happening." And it actually is understanding the product. And I I I guess you're doing some reinforcement learning.
是的。
英文原文
Yeah.
一定是因为包括我在内的这 400 万会员,现在正在告诉它产品在哪些地方出现问题,或者哪里有增加更多功能的机会,随你怎么看。我在倒时差时经常遇到困难。我的睡眠到底有没有被正确记录,以便我获取恢复分数?然后我开始询问,接着它提示我并问道:“嘿,顺便问一下,你什么时候出发去日本?”等等。我就说:“这是我的航班。这是我降落的时间。”它就建议:“你应该在前段飞行中睡觉,然后抵达日本后先不要上床睡觉。在这个时间段不要摄入咖啡因。”所以,我想是公司里有人明确针对时区变化做了开发吗?还是它只是自主学习并推断出来的?你们有专门针对这个做开发吗?你们是如何利用 AI 教练的?
英文原文
And it's got to be that these 4 million members, including myself, are now telling it where the product breaks down because when you um or or where the opportunities are to add more features, however you want to look at it. But there's this constant struggle I was having with changing time zones. And was my um was my sleep getting recorded properly so then I could get my recovery. And then I started asking uh and then it prompted me and said, "Hey, by the way, w- when are you leaving for Japan?" Or whatever. And I was like, "Here's my flight. This is when I land." And it was like, "You should sleep at the first half and then not go to bed when you get to Japan. Don't have caffeine at this time." So, somebody in the company, I think, explicitly started doing a time zone change. Or did it just learn that and infer it? What Did you Did you get specific about that? And how are you using the AI coach?
我们专门针对旅行成立了一个团队,因为对我们的许多会员来说,这是一个非常普遍的使用场景。你知道,我们的起点是运动员,但现在我们拥有广大有进取心的人群。如果要思考 Whoop 面向的目标是谁,那就是有进取心的人。那可能是一位优秀的运动员,可能是一个身材健美的人,但也可能只是想为家庭、工作和生活拥有更多精力的人。
英文原文
We spun up a team on travel specifically because it's such a popular use case for a lot of our members and you know, our origins were with athletes, but now we've got this wide audience of aspiring people. You know, I'd say that's really the If you think about who's Whoop targeting, it's the aspiring. And that could be a great athlete, that could be someone who's fit, but it could also just be someone who wants to have more energy for their family and their job and their lives.
是的。没错。
英文原文
Yes. That's right.
并且希望活得更久,对吧?
英文原文
And wants to live longer, right?
是的,活得更久。
英文原文
Yeah, live longer.
但 AI 教练是其中的重要组成部分,也是我们未来的重要组成部分。我们已经在这个项目上投入数年了。很高兴听到你觉得它越来越好用了。我们大约 80% 的……
英文原文
But the AI uh the AI coach is a big part of that and it's a big part of our future and you know, we've been working on it for years now. I'm glad to to hear that you feel like it's getting good. About 80% of our
它现在大概能打 7.5 分。满分 10 分能打 7.5 分。我认为它有非常大的潜力,是的。
英文原文
it's like a seven and a half right now. Seven and a half out of 10. I think there's so much potential for it, yeah.
只要它足以吸引你与之互动,它就会随着时间推移不断变好,而我们在这一方面也越来越娴熟。回到这些数据集的话题,有一点非常有趣:我们讨论过一些来自传感器的生理数据。此外还有高级实验室和血液检测数据,还有导入进来的医疗记录。但实际上还有另一项非常重要的数据,那就是各类用户反馈,对吧?比如日志本身。我们大约有刚刚超过 50% 的会员每天都会记日志。
英文原文
As long as it's good enough for you to be engaging with it, it's just going to keep getting better with time and we're getting better at that, too. And and so you know, one thing that's really interesting, again back to these data sets, some physiological data we talked about, that's from the sensor. Then you've got the advanced labs and the blood testing, you've got the medical records coming in. But actually this is this is another very important piece of data, which is all sorts of user feedback, right? Like the journal itself. So about just over 50% of our members journal every day.
日志功能与生活方式洞察
这正好可以解释一下什么是日志功能。
英文原文
This is a good point to explain what the journal is.
是的。
英文原文
Yeah.
抱歉我一直在替你解释功能,但我对这个产品太充满热情了,正如你能听出来的那样。
英文原文
I'm sorry that I keep explaining your features, but I'm so passionate about the product as you can hear.
不,你讲得很好。[笑声]那么,Whoop 日志本质上是上百种不同的行为、生活方式决定,你知道,补充剂、药物等等,任何用户可能想要记录的内容。大家每天经常记录的常见事项包括:昨晚我喝酒了吗?我补水充足吗?我旅行了吗?你知道,我冥想了吗?我是开心还是难过?我感到有压力吗?所有这些体验信息也建立在这些数据集之上。例如,如果你想开发一个预测某人是否会感到快乐的算法,你实际上需要从那个人那里获取相当数量关于其整体情绪的数据。总之,我们对整合所有这些不同类型的数据集感到非常兴奋,我们觉得自己处于独一无二的位置来做这件事,因为没有多少公司能做到让用户每天打开应用 8 次,且 80% 的会员基础会与 AI 进行互动。
英文原文
No, you're doing great. [laughter] So the the Whoop journal is essentially a hundred plus different behaviors, lifestyle decisions, you know, supplements, drugs, you name it, that someone might want to log. So popular things that people log every day are like, did I drink alcohol last night? Was I hydrated? Did I travel? Uh you know, did I meditate? Was I happy? Was I sad? You know, was I stressed? Uh and and all of this anecdotal information also builds on uh on these data sets where you know, if you wanted to come up with an algorithm for predicting whether someone would be happy, you would actually need a fair amount of data from someone on uh you know, on their overall mood as an example. Uh so, anyway, we're excited about bringing all these different types of data sets together and it's one thing that we feel uniquely positioned to do because not that many companies um you know, have people opening their app eight times a day and 80% of their member base interacting with the AI.
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英文原文
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日志功能对我来说是一个重大的突破。既然我们在这里做一整场用户体验分享,我就从用户的角度来说。它真正有趣的地方在于,你能获得这些行为洞察(behavioral insights),我想当你记录了 10 次——5 次“是”、5 次“否”之后,就会得出行为洞察。
英文原文
The journal was a major unlock for me. Here's from a user perspective since we're doing a whole like user uh session here. What's really interesting about it is you get these behavioral insights and I think you get into a behavioral insight when you've used it 10 times, five yeses, five nos.
没错。
英文原文
Right.
举个例子,如果你在补充肌酸,在 Whoop 有人在关注……我猜你们现在有很多人在那里工作,现在有多少人在那里工作?
英文原文
As an example, if you're doing creatine, somebody's paying attention at Whoop and uh I guess you got a lot of How many people working there now?
1,200 人。
英文原文
1,200.
1,200 人。哇。增长非常显著。
英文原文
1,200. Whoa. That's That's growing significantly.
是的,我们发展了。
英文原文
Yeah, we grew.
是的。哇。所以当你调出你的行为洞察时,在早晨它会询问你、提示你,因为早晨是每个人打开软件查看睡眠得分和恢复得分的时候,它会提示你。在完成“5 次是与 5 次否”之后,你就可以开始弄清楚该行为对恢复有什么影响。结果显示,对于温水澡——我以前从来不喜欢。我讨厌泡澡,那不是我的爱好。作为一个大男人,去泡澡、在浴缸里待着,我毫无兴趣。我像个来自布鲁克林的家伙,觉得点着蜡烛泡在浴缸里感觉怪怪的。
英文原文
Yeah. Wow. So, when you pull up your your behavioral insights and in the morning it will ask you and prompt you cuz in the morning's when everybody opens this to check their sleep score, recovery, it prompts you. You can start to figure out after this five and five what impact that behavior has on recovery. So, it turns out for a warm bath uh which was never my thing. I hate baths. Not my thing. Like I'm a guy like going in a bath, hanging out in a bath. I have no interest. I'm like I'm like a guy from Brooklyn like kind of feels weird to be in a bath with the candles.
浴缸里放盐了吗?你加香精了吗?
英文原文
Any salts in the bath? Are you adding fragrance?
加了,被你猜中了。我在洗澡水里加了沐浴盐。是的,现在这也记录进去了。
英文原文
add the Yes, you got me. I'm adding salts to the bath. Yes, and that's now also tracked.
它有帮助。
英文原文
It helps.
它很有帮助。温水澡让我的恢复增加了 7%。
英文原文
It helps. Warm bath plus 7%
哇。
英文原文
Wow.
你听说过类似的事情吗?
英文原文
on my recovery. Have you ever heard of something like that?
作为一种反应,那是非常高的改善幅度了。所以,你知道,对于那些想要搞清楚我们在谈论什么的人来说,本质上当你记录这些事项时,Whoop 就会告诉你什么是积极影响你的恢复得分,什么是消极影响。对很多人来说,一个巨大的警钟往往是酒精,因为它会向你展示酒精对你的恢复有着极其负面的影响……
英文原文
That's very high as a as a response. So, you know, for folks who are who are trying to figure out what we're talking about, essentially when you log these things, Whoop will then will tell you what's positively or negatively affecting your recovery score. So, a big wake-up call for a lot of people ends up being alcohol because it'll show you that alcohol has this like hugely negative effect
灾难性的。
英文原文
disastrous
……对你的恢复。
英文原文
on your recovery.
那就是毒药。我不喝酒,所以我从来不记录它。但我……Will,你偶尔喝几杯吗?那对你的超级得分有什么影响?
英文原文
It's poison. I don't drink, so I never even log it, but I'm You have a couple of beverages now and again, Will? And then what impact does it have on your super score?
对我来说是 -9%。我现在正在查看我的行为洞察。这里有一个大家容易忽略的隐蔽因素。
英文原文
with alcohol. Although it's got a -9% for me. So, I'm now looking at I'm now looking at my behavior insights. Here's a sneaky one for everyone.
等等,你有没有考虑过在泡温水澡的同时喝上一杯?
英文原文
Have Have Wait, have you considered having that drink while you're in the warm bath?
哈哈,对啊。
英文原文
Yeah, right.
也许你可以喝一杯。
英文原文
Maybe you have a drink.
也许我应该开始多泡泡澡,但我会去蒸汽房,去冷水浸泡。
英文原文
Maybe I should start adding more baths, but I do I do steam room, I do cold plunge.
噢,是的。效果如何?
英文原文
Oh, yeah. How's that working out?
那些影响比较中性,但我喜欢它们带给我的感觉。关于蒸桑拿和冷热交替疗法,有很多关于长寿的研究。对我来说,负面影响仅次于酒精的第二大因素是深夜进食。
英文原文
Those are more neutral, but I like the way they make me feel. And there's a lot of longevity research on saunaing and contrast therapy. So, second to alcohol for being the most negative for me is a late meal. So,
是的。
英文原文
Yes.
我们现在在整个 Whoop 用户群体中看到,在睡前 3 小时内进食对睡眠和恢复是极其有害的。这是因为在你上床后的前几个小时里,身体仍在进行消化。结果就是,你无法获得高质量的睡眠。
英文原文
eating within 3 hours of bedtime, we've now seen across the entire Whoop population is really detrimental to your sleep and your recovery. And it's because your body's still digesting for those first few hours that you're in bed. And as a consequence, you're not getting quality sleep.
所以我猜,你在睡眠期间会处于高压力状态,对吧?整个人处于高压力状态。我这里有一个数据:由于某些原因,维生素 D 会带来 -3% 的影响。我不知道这是否准确,但我之前吃了一点维生素 D,也许那是假阳性。
英文原文
So, you get high stress during the sleep, I would assume, yeah? The high that whole high stress thing. Here's mine. For some reason, vitamin D, -3. I don't know if that's accurate or not, but I was putting a little vitamin D in, maybe that's a false positive.
可能是你服用的那些日子恰好是你旅行的日子,或者你知道,可能还有其他事情在发生。这里存在某种相关性,是我们目前尚未看到的。
英文原文
It could be that the days you took it were days that you were traveling or you know there could be something else going on. There's some yeah there's a correlation here that we're not seeing yet.
顺便说一句,你可以直接问 Whoop 这个。你可以说:“这是个好主意。我看到维生素 D 带来了 -3%,这合理吗?可能是什么原因?”也许它会结合你的出行情况来综合分析。好的,这是一个微小的差异。而且这是相关性,并不是维生素 D 导致该变化的因果证据。你近期的恢复在 27% 到 87% 之间,但你在过去 14 天里没有记录过维生素 D,所以没有近期的对比……好的。看来在这方面我还有一些工作要做。但劳损增加 5 会导致恢复减少 5,这完全说得通。
英文原文
By the way you can ask you can ask Whoop that. You can say that's a great idea. I'm seeing vitamin D minus three does that make sense? What could be going on? And maybe it'll it'll look at your travel alongside that. Okay this is a modest difference. And it's a correlation not evidence that vitamin D caused the change. Your recent recovery has ranged 27% to 87% but you haven't logged vitamin D in the 14 day stretch so there's no recent comp sorry you're given your thoughtful cross path you know okay. So I got a little more work to do on that one. But plus five strain is minus five on recovery that makes total sense.
是的,所以当你锻炼时,你的身体需要恢复。
英文原文
Yeah so when you work out your body needs to recover.
一天中处于高压力区的时间增加 1%,恢复就会降低 9%。所以你知道,压力得分到底来自什么?温度、心率、HRV?
英文原文
Plus 1% of the day in high stress zone minus 9% on recovery. So you know through my temp the stress score comes from what? Temperature heart rate HRV?
主要是 HRV,但也会结合其他传感数据。
英文原文
Primarily HRV but it's also using other sensing.
明白了。这算是你们的独门秘方吗?压力得分具有专有性吗?
英文原文
Got it. So and that's kind of your is that your special sauce there proprietaryness in the in that the stress score?
压力得分本身是我们发明的。当然,我们是基于生理学研究建立的。我想说的是,这也是这个领域的难点之一:你如何获取可靠的医学研究,结合海量数据(因为你将从消费者那里获取数据),再辅以出色的设计,对吧?因为归根结底,你必须设计出人们最终乐意去看的评分。
英文原文
The stress score itself is something that we invented. Of course we based it on physiological research. And I would say that's one of the hard things about this space which is how do you take medical research that's credible and then a lot of data because you're going to be dating getting data from consumers and then great design right? Because at the end of the day you have to design something to ultimately have a score that people want to look at.
嗯。
英文原文
Mhm.
所以这其中有很多科学成分,但也有艺术成分。我认为这是 Whoop 非常擅长的事情。恢复得分以及我们现在的健康寿命得分,是应用中被截屏分享最多的页面。
英文原文
And and so there's a lot of science to it but there's also art to it. And I think it's I think it's something Whoop has been very good at. You know the recovery score and our now our health span score is is the most screenshotted page in the app.
运动习惯、GLP-1 追踪与习惯养成
完全说得通,是的,当你分享这个的时候。规律的就寝时间 +4%,摄入咖啡因 +4%,肌酸 +4%,早晨光照 +3%。既然我现在有了这个,我还会用 Calm 应用和 Waking Up 应用,或者自己进行冥想,那方面的数据我还没有积累足够,因为我老是忘记记录它。但它确实记录了我的滑雪。所以我用 Slopes 应用。
英文原文
Makes total sense yeah when you share that. Consistent bedtime plus four caffeine plus four creatine plus four morning sunlight plus three. So now that I have this I I also do some meditation with the Calm app and with Waking Up or on my own, that also I don't have enough data in there yet cuz I keep forgetting to log it, but you it does log my skiing. So, I use slopes.
是的。
英文原文
Yeah.
Will,你滑雪吗,还是不滑?
英文原文
And so, slope you're a skier, Will, or no?
我滑雪,但听起来我没有用应用来记录滑雪。所以我的感觉是你滑得比我多。
英文原文
I ski, but not it sounds I'm not using an app for skiing. So, my sense is you ski more than I do.
我是说,我尽量一年达到 30 到 40 天。但每天只滑 2 个小时。所以这就像行政滑雪、CEO 式滑雪,如果你明白我的意思的话。滑雪前先录个播客……
英文原文
I mean, I try to get to 30, 40 days a year. But, 2 hours a day. So, it's like executive skiing, CEO skiing, if you catch my drift. Do a podcast before
而且你是在日本滑。
英文原文
And you're doing it in Japan.
目标是在日本滑 5 到 10 天。其余的时间在我的滑雪屋……
英文原文
I do 5, 10 days in Japan is the goal. The rest are at my ski house in
那是精英级滑雪了。
英文原文
That's elite skiing.
是的,是的。如果你有兴趣的话,可以跟我以及塔克·卡尔森(Tucker Carlson)一起去。那真是一次很奇特的旅程。
英文原文
Yes, yes. So, you can come with me and Tucker Carlson if you're into it. It's a really weird trip.
太好了。太好了。
英文原文
Great. Great.
另一个很棒的地方是,它导入了我的 Slopes 数据并将其作为一项活动。你们有一个活动追踪器。这个活动追踪器非常棒。你知道,我在日本经常长途徒步,或者在纽约时,我喜欢长途步行。在我这个年纪,长途步行、负重徒步(rucking)和农夫行走(farmers walks),据说是长寿的关键。妙处在于,它现在了解了这一点,并围绕它为我制定训练计划。AI 问我:“你的目标是什么?”我说:“我的目标是不受伤并且滑雪滑得更好。”这些是我知道会有所帮助的运动。现在 AI 理解了我的目标,在指导我并制定计划,然后不知不觉中,我想我之前可能在 Twitter 某个私信里向你提过要求。你知道,我服用 GLP 类药物。于是我开始追踪它。我服用小剂量的 GLP,在 Whoop 的记录下减重了 43 磅。
英文原文
The other nice thing is it pulls in my slopes data and puts it as an activity. So, you have an activity tracker. And the activity tracker is really great. You get to, you know, I do these long walks in Japan or when I'm in New York, I love to do long walks. My age, long walks and rocking and farmers walks are like the key to longevity, I'm told. And the great thing is now it knows that and it's making a training program for me around that and it asked me the AI, "What's my goal?" I said, "My goal is to not get injured and ski better." And these are the exercises I know are going to help. It's now the AI understands my goals, kind of coaching me and setting up plans, and then lo and behold, one of the things I I think I had asked you for maybe on DM somewhere on Twitter or something. You know, I take a GLP. So, I started tracking it. I take a light GLP, lost 43 lbs on my Whoop.
那太棒了。
英文原文
That's awesome.
噢,是的。而且我是说,让我告诉你,这确实带来了改变。当你从 213 磅减到 170 磅时,滑雪、睡眠,一切都不一样了。真希望我在那段过程中一直戴着 Whoop。
英文原文
Oh, well, yeah. And I mean, let me tell you, that makes a difference. When you're 213, you get to 170, skiing, sleeping, everything. I wish I had Whooped during that journey.
你的静息心率下降了很多吗?
英文原文
Did your resting heart rate go down a lot?
是的,在那期间的大多数时候我没有完整佩戴 Whoop。如果记录下来就太酷了。你知道吗?我可以再长胖 40 磅然后再减下来。不过我现在处于维持剂量阶段,而你们刚刚发布了一个 GLP 追踪器,里面涵盖了你在服用 GLP 时需要确保完成的所有相关事项,包括蛋白质摄入。所以也许你可以稍微谈谈这一点,以及 GLP 是如何融入到这个生态系统中的。
英文原文
Yeah, I wasn't fully on Whoop for the majority of that. So, that would have been so cool to have. You know what? I'll gain the 40 lbs back and then lose it. But, now I'm on a maintenance dose and you just released a GLP tracker that has in it all the cohorts of things you want to make sure you're doing when you're taking GLP, including protein consumption. So maybe you could talk a little bit about that and how GLPs are kind of making their way into the uh the ecosystem here.
总的来说,你知道,我认为这符合我们的主题:我们希望在 Whoop 体系下拥有海量数据,以便我们能够真正为你提供正确的洞察。如果你在服用 GLP-1,这对你的身体状况来说是一个相当显著的转变。GLP-1 的挑战之一在于,通常来说,减掉的体重中大约有 50% 是脂肪,50% 是肌肉。[清嗓子]你知道,这就是为什么有时候人们尽管减掉了相当多的体重,最终却可能变得非常虚弱。所以让 Whoop 知道你正在服用 GLP-1 是一件好事,反过来,它会真正督促你去进行一些活动,希望能做一点力量训练,即使仅仅是自重训练,这样你就不会流失掉那些肌肉。我认为这也是为什么搭配合理的蛋白质饮食非常重要,而且,我们听到过一些人在服用 GLP-1 的同时补充肌酸取得成效的案例。我认为这超级重要。而且你知道,我想说的是,我们拥有所有这些数据,我们对此非常严肃对待,我们希望它是安全和私密的。我们实际上已经通过了……噢,看这里。
英文原文
Well, in general, you know, I think in line with this theme of we want to have a lot of data under the WHOOP umbrella so that we can actually give you the right insights. If you're taking a GLP-1, that's a pretty meaningful, you know, shift to what's going to happen for your body. And one of the challenges with GLP-1s is that typically speaking about 50% of the weight that someone loses is fat and 50% is muscle. And, [clears throat] you know, so that's how sometimes people can end up getting quite frail even though they've lost a considerable amount of weight. And and so it's good for WHOOP to know that you're on a GLP-1 and then in turn, it's really going to push you to to get some activity and hopefully a little bit of strength training even if it's just body weight in so that you don't end up losing that muscle. And I think that's also where the the appropriate diet with protein and, you know, we've heard some anecdotal success around people taking creatine while they're on GLP-1s. Uh I think is is super important. And, you know, just to say like we have all this data and and uh and we take it very seriously and we want it to be secure and private. We've actually gone through the uh oh, here we go.
是的,我把手机投屏了。这是我的真实 Whoop。你可以看到我的静息心率等等,但我把 GLP 添加进去了。嗯,它显示,你知道,你现在必须达到 9,800 步,每周必须做两次力量活动,每周 7 天补水,以及蛋白质。然后只要勾选你服用了 GLP 就行,它引导我完成了一个小流程,询问诸如你多久服用一次等等。
英文原文
Yeah, I'm just I you know, I mirrored my phone. Here's my actual WHOOP. You can see my resting heart rate and all that, but I added my GLP there. Um and it said, you know, you got to get to 9,800 steps now. You got to do two strength activities a week, hydration 7 days a week, protein. And then uh just check off that you took your GLP and it took me through a little script to say um you know, how often do you take it, etc.
我想这里应该有一个过程,AI 会询问你其中一些情况,最终由你确认希望执行这些事项并制定方案,对吧?
英文原文
And there would have been a process here, I imagine, where the AI was asking you about some of this and you ultimately confirmed you wanted to do these things and have a plan, right?
是的,完全没错。我这里的连续打卡记录已经达到了 300 天。但是你看,你添加的另一项功能,我想是徽章系统,有点像 Peloton 那样拥有令人眼花缭乱的徽章,这样你就能看到自己所处的位置。在负重徒步和农夫行走方面,我排在处于前 1% 的人群中,所以这带来了一点竞争的意味。
英文原文
Yeah, absolutely. Um and I'm at 300 days on my streak here. But see, the other thing you added, um you added uh I guess badges a little bit more kind of like Peloton has like insane number of badges and so you get to see where you're at and like I am a rocking machine on my I'm in the top 1% of people doing rock rocking and farmer so that's like a little competitive thing.
是的,太棒了。你现在必须保持住。你必须每天坚持负重徒步。
英文原文
Yeah, there you go. You got to maintain that now. You got to keep rocking every day.
与 FDA 的博弈与监管政策边界
好的,那我们来聊聊你和 FDA 的关系,这里有一点争议。这已经被反复报道过了。我想所有这些设备都不属于医疗设备,也许你可以向我们解释一下 FDA 如何看待你们与其他医疗设备,以及这如何随着时间推移发生变化。但是你们推出了血压洞察(Blood Pressure Insights, BPI),FDA 对此有点表示“嘿,我们对此不高兴”,然后你们有心电图(ECG)心脏筛查等功能,所有这些设备,不管是我的 Apple Watch……
英文原文
Okay, so let's let's talk about you and your relationship with the FDA little controversy here. It's been covered over and over again. All these devices I guess are not under medical devices and maybe you could explain to us how this FDA looks at you versus other device medical devices and how that's changed over time but you have blood pressure insights BPI and you launch it the FDA was a little bit like hey we're not happy here and then you have the ECG heart screening stuff and all of these devices whether it's my Apple Watch
获得许可了。
英文原文
cleared.
那是获得了医疗许可的。所以当你做这些事情时,你总会收到免责声明:嘿,听着,我们不是做心脏病发作预测生意的。所以当我遇到那些情况时,需要由我自己或医生来解读。但是跟我谈谈这种紧张关系,[嗤笑]以及它在两届政府期间是如何演变的,因为你经历过了特朗普政府——特朗普总统热衷于打破常规,他安排了肯尼迪(Kennedy)去推动这事,他自己也有点打破常规的风格,并且非常支持商业发展;而拜登政府显然可能有更多的监管,不那么支持商业,明确地没有那么亲商,但在医疗领域我不知道情况是如何发展的。所以跟我聊聊,虽然这不是一档政治节目,但你们现在都碰到了监管问题。
英文原文
And that's medically cleared so and when you do that these things you always get this disclaimer hey listen we're not in the heart attack business so when I had those things it's up to me to interpret that or a doctor but talk to me about the tension and [snorts] how it's been going across the two administrations cuz now you've lived through you know Trump go go rah rah President Trump is like all in on disrupting and he and he put a Kennedy in there to do that and and he's a bit of a disruptor himself and he's very pro business and then Biden obviously maybe a little more regulation less pro business definitively less pro business but I don't know in the medical space how that happened so talk to me it's not a politics show but you you're all running into regulation now.
首先想说的是,对 Whoop 而言,与 FDA 的合作无疑是一个漫长的过程,我们在很多不同的背景下与他们合作过,我马上会讲到这一点。正如大家所知,极具创新性的技术与有些过时的监管政策之间的交锋史,是一段时常伴有争议的历史。因此,我们一路走来遇到一些挑战或分歧,我并不感到意外,但我其实对我们今天与 FDA 的关系非常满意。大约 4 年前,我非常希望能实现血压监测功能。而在历史上,你需要一个袖带来测量,这在信号处理上是一个相当困难的难题。市场上没有任何产品能够从手腕上准确测量血压。因此,我们着手尝试看看自己能否做到。我们收集该领域海量数据集的途径之一,是与我们的会员展开合作,我们询问会员是否愿意参与一项关于压力、睡眠和血压的研究。作为其中的一部分,我们实际上迎来了 70,000 人的报名加入。想想看,能够在短时间内发起如此大规模的研究。人们连续数周每天实际上传他们的血压读数。这使我们能够围绕血压监测构建出一个相当强大的数据集,并且能够将其与我们已经在收集的所有生理数据一起进行训练。不管怎样,快进到后来,我们突然拥有了一个用于测量血压的高度强大的算法。我认为这是我们在 Whoop 做得非常出色的一点:我们挑选一个难度很大的生理信号,然后确立目标,希望能够达到与医疗设备相当或相近的准确度来进行测量,进而寻求将其推向大众消费者。在我们发布之前,关于血压监测就存在争议,因为在发布之前,历史上血压一直属于必须作为“医疗设备”管理的生理信号类别。作为给听众的一些背景,FDA 本质上应该评估具有“医疗诊断”属性的产品。如果你不提供医疗诊断,那么它就属于一个被称为“健康福祉(wellness)”的类别。在这个分类上,心率监测有着相当明确的历史先例:例如,如果你为了运动进行心率监测,那就是健康福祉;如果是为了睡眠进行心率监测,那是健康福祉;但如果进行心率监测是为了检测房颤(AFib)或预测心脏病发作,好的,那就需要受到监管。所以 FDA 过去对心率有着非常明确的划分:这是健康福祉,那是医疗,对吧?对于血压,他们当时规定只要测量血压,就必须属于医疗范畴。但问题在于,有铺天盖地的研究表明(不足为奇的是),血压会影响你的压力、影响你的睡眠、影响你的整体健康状况。我们觉得存在一个非常清晰的路径,让我们能够推出作为健康福祉功能的血压功能。于是我们推出了该功能,FDA 随后提出交涉,表示他们认为这需要受到监管。
英文原文
Well just to say like it's been a certainly a long process for Whoop and working with the FDA and we've worked with them in a lot of different contexts which I'll talk about here in a second and you know the history of very innovative technology with, you know, somewhat dated regulatory policies is a history that has controversy from time to time. So, I'm not surprised that we've had some challenges or disagreements along the way, but I'm actually really happy with with our relationship with the FDA today. Now, 4 years ago I really wanted to be able to do blood pressure monitoring. And historically, you needed a cuff for that, and it was really a pretty difficult signal processing problem. There was no product on the market that could measure blood pressure accurately from the wrist. And so, we set out to see if we could do it. And one of the ways that we collected a huge data set on it was in collaboration with our members, where we asked members if they wanted to participate in a stress, sleep, and blood pressure study. And as part of that, we actually had 70,000 people enroll. So, think about, you know, the ability to generate studies at at a huge scale fast. And and so, people were actually uploading their blood pressure readings every single day for a number of weeks. And what that allowed us to do was to build out a pretty powerful data set on on blood pressure monitoring, and also to be able to train that alongside all of the physiological data that we were already collecting. Anyway, fast forward, we get to a period where all of a sudden we've got a very powerful algorithm for measuring blood pressure, and that's one of the things that we do, I think, very well at Whoop is, you know, we pick a hard physiological signal, and then we say we want to be able to measure it as accurately or within a similar accuracy as a medical device, and then we look to bring that to consumers. And there was controversy around blood pressure monitoring before we launched, because prior to launching it historically, blood pressure had been under the category of physiological signals that needed to be a {quote} medical device. And just as some, you know, background for for our listeners, the FDA is really supposed to evaluate uh products that have a medical diagnosis. And and then if you're not providing a medical diagnosis, then it falls under a category called wellness. And and there's like a pretty good, you know, history for this with with heart monitoring, for example, where if you do heart rate monitoring for exercise, that's wellness. If you do heart rate monitoring for sleep, that's wellness. If you do heart rate monitoring for you know, AFib detection or heart attack prediction, okay, that needs to be regulated. So the FDA in the past had a pretty clear distinction for heart rate. This is wellness, this is medical, right? With blood pressure, they said that if you're measuring blood pressure, it has to be medical. But the problem with that is there's an avalanche of research that supports that, not surprisingly, blood pressure affects your stress, it affects your sleep, it affects your overall well-being. And we felt like there was a pretty clear lane for us to introduce a blood pressure feature that was a wellness feature. And so we launched the feature, the FDA you know, came back and said that they felt like it needed to be regulated.
[嗤笑]
英文原文
[snorts]
他们实际上给我们发了一封警告信。围绕这件事发生了一场相当公开的重大分歧。但我们坚持了自己的立场,我最终非常坚信我们处理这件事的方式。经过一个漫长的过程,FDA 后来实际上更新了他们的指南——我认为这是基于我们的案例,但也基于行业的反馈——确认血压监测也可以有健康福祉方面的应用。因此,我们的“血压洞察”功能目前依然向消费者开放。而且坦率地说,我们在很多不同的类别中都在与 FDA 进行这些沟通。我们也有获得 FDA 医疗许可的产品。例如我们的心电图功能,你可以直接将手指放在 Whoop 上,就能在手腕上完成心电图检测,那是通过了 FDA 510(k) 许可的产品。因此,在某些情况下,我们会通过临床试验流程去获取 FDA 的批准;而在另一些情况下,我们希望更快地将产品推向市场,并且我们也相信它属于健康福祉的应用。我认为,对于像 Whoop 这样具有创新力的公司而言,与 FDA 保持这样一个良性的互动过程是很好的。
英文原文
They actually sent us a warning letter. There was a big disagreement that played out that was quite public about it. But we you know, we stuck to our guns and and I ultimately really believe in in the way that we approached it. And through a long process, the FDA actually has since updated their guidelines. I think based on our case, but also based on feedback from the industry. That supports that blood pressure can also have wellness applications. And and so you know, our blood pressure insights feature is still available for consumers. And just to say it, we have we have these conversations with the FDA across a lot of different categories. We also has medical clearances from the FDA. So our ECG feature where you can literally do an ECG from your wrist by just putting your fingers on the Whoop, um that's an FDA-cleared product, 510k. And so, uh in some cases we're at we're going through a process of clinical trials to get FDA approval. In other cases, we want to bring a product to market faster, uh and we also believe it's a wellness application. And so, uh that's kind of a healthy, I think, uh process for innovative companies like Whoop to be uh pursuing with the FDA.
生态扩展、竞争格局与数据隐私
你们为什么不……我知道你们与欧姆龙(Omron)血压袖带达成了某种集成?我在网上查过。你们为什么不自己生产血压袖带呢?或者,比方说我们现在有 100 亿美元的估值,有 400 万会员,平均每年每人 250 刀,比方说有 10 亿美元的营收。我们为什么不干脆把欧姆龙这家公司买下来,或者涉足血压袖带业务,顺便再涉足体重秤业务呢?我信任这个品牌,我只想要一个 Whoop 体重秤。我希望由你们来加入这些功能,由你们来控制它,让它顺畅运作。我不想走后门通过 Apple Health 才能把 Fitbit 体重秤的数据同步上去。我只想要一个 Whoop 品牌的血压袖带和一个 Whoop 品牌的体重秤。
英文原文
Why don't you guys uh I know you guys have some sort of integration with this Omron blood pressure cuff? I I saw like I was like looking it up. Why don't you guys just make your own blood pressure cuff? Or what you know, let's say we're at a $10 billion valuation here. We got 4 million members, 250 on average a year, let's say, or got a billion in revenue. Like, let's just buy this company Omron, or let's get in the blood pressure cuff business, and let's get in the scale business while we're at it. Like, I trust the brand. I just want the Whoop scale. I want you to be the person who puts the features in. I want you to control it. I want it to work. I don't want to have to go through Apple Health in the back door to get my Fitbit scale uploaded. And I I just want I want a Whoop-branded blood pressure cuff and a Whoop-branded scale.
很感谢你这么说。在很多品类中,我们都在讨论:我们是要自己构建,还是要与他人合作,还是要进行收购?通常我们倾向于自己构建或收购,而不是合作。在血压袖带这个案例中,我们觉得那已经是一项相当大宗商品化(commoditized)的技术,而且它确实具有医学有效性。所以,如果人们想用袖带校准来设置他们的 Whoop,之后就可以脱离袖带进行测量(因为归根结底我们是想取代袖带),这看起来是一个相当健康的系统。而且也值得一提的是,我们觉得我们赢得了积累所有这些数据的权利,因为我们有非常严格的数据政策。我们不出售数据。你知道,用户不是产品,Jason。会员服务本身才是产品。
英文原文
Well, I appreciate you saying that. I mean, in a lot of categories we are debating, do we want to build this ourselves, do we want to partner with someone, or are we going to make an acquisition? And uh and often we've defaulted to either building or acquiring versus partnering. In the case of um blood pressure cuffs, we felt like that was a fairly commoditized technology, uh and there is, you know, medical uh efficacy there. So, you know, if people want to do a calibration with a cuff to set up their Whoop, which will then measure it without the cuff, cuz at the end of the day we kind of want to replace the cuff, uh that, you know, that feels like a a fairly healthy system. And uh and it's also worth saying that we we feel like we've earned the right to um accumulate all this data cuz we have very strong data policies. So, we do not sell data. You know, you are not the product, Jason. Like, you're the membership is the product. And
我认为这是一个巨大的差异,尤其是在面对大型科技公司时。
英文原文
And that's a huge, I think, distinction in this space, especially when you have, you know, big technology company.
是的,让我们实话实说。你可能不好意思说,但我可以说。他们是通过广告赚钱的。而且苹果在数据管理方面算是不错的管家,这一点我承认,但是他们是通过极其昂贵的硬件来赚钱的。因此,在商业模式上,你们在这两种情况下都是独树一帜的。你们站在我们这一边,我很喜欢这点。是的,苹果会造一个竞品吗,哈?他们知道自己的手表挺糟糕的,软件也很糟糕。比如 Apple Health 体验很差。
英文原文
yeah, let's just call it what it is. You may not want to say it, but I can. They're They're They make their money advertising and uh Apple Apple's pretty good steward of data. I'll give them that, but uh you know, they make it on really expensive hardware. So, you are unique in both cases uh in terms of business model. You're in our corner, which I love. Yeah. Apple's going to make a competitor, huh? They know their watch kind of sucks and their software sucks. Like, Apple Health is terrible.
Apple Watch 是世界上最成功的智能手表。因此,就他们为了占领该品类所打造的产品而言,我认为他们是非常成功的。我认为这对他们来说是一款重要的产品。这是一款能做很多事情的产品。所以如果你想收发短信、查看邮件和接打电话……
英文原文
The Apple Watch is the most successful smart watch in the world. And so, I think in terms of the category that they built to own, I think they um I think they've been successful. I think it's an important product for them. It's a It's a product that does a lot of things. And so, if you want text messages and emails and to be able to call
但是他们会不会……你担心他们会做一个 Whoop 的竞争对手吗?这会让你夜不能寐吗?
英文原文
But, they're going to make Are you worried to keep you up at night that they're going to make a Whoop competitor?
我对苹果抱有极大的敬意。我认为他们在硬件和软件方面都是世界上最优秀的公司之一。我认为很多公司进入过我们的领域,但在无屏幕可穿戴设备或其他可穿戴产品上遇到了挑战。你知道,有趣的是,10 年前市场上的竞争产品比今天还要多。
英文原文
Well, I have enormous respect for Apple. I think they're one of the the best in the world at hardware and software. I think a lot of companies have entered our space and had challenges with with the screenless wearable or other wearable products. You know, it's interesting, 10 years ago, there were more competitive products in the market than there are today.
那倒是真的。是的,当时有很多人在这个赛道尝试。
英文原文
That's true, actually. Yeah, you had a lot of people trying this.
人们都忘记了整个 Jawbone 和 Fitbit 的那个时代。当时耐克(Nike)、阿迪达斯(Adidas)和安德玛(Under Armour)全都做过……
英文原文
People forget the whole Jawbone kind of Fitbit era. There was a whole class of Nike and Adidas and Under Armour
我的天,是的。
英文原文
Oh my god, yes.
耐克停止在这个领域投入是多么愚蠢的举动啊?天哪,那对他们来说本来是一件显而易见的明智之举。他们起步很好,然后我相信他们把业务交给了 Fitbit,接着就退出了。好了,听着,现在进入快问快答环节。
英文原文
Yeah, what And how dumb was it for Nike to stop pursuing that? My god, that was such an obvious smart thing for them to do. They had a good start, and then they gave the business to Fitbit, I believe, and then they just got out of it. All right, listen. It's time for lightning round.
快问快答环节
噢,哇。
英文原文
Oh, wow.
与 Will 的快问快答环节。
英文原文
round. Lightning round with Will.
好。
英文原文
Yeah.
你得诚实回答。开始:布莱恩·约翰逊(Bryan Johnson)还是安德鲁·休伯曼(Andrew Huberman)?选一个。
英文原文
You got to be honest here. Here we go. Bryan Johnson or Andrew Huberman? Pick one.
就播客而言,选 Huberman。
英文原文
For podcasting, Huberman.
谁对科学和技术的贡献更大?
英文原文
Who's making a bigger contribution to uh the the science and technology?
我认为 Huberman 拥有更广泛的受众。我认为 Bryan 拓展了人们对于自己应该测量什么的想象力,我认为这两者都非常有帮助。
英文原文
I think Huberman has a a wider audience. I think Brian has pushed people's imagination of what they should be measuring, and I think both of those are really helpful.
冷水浸泡还是冷水淋浴?冷水浸泡、冷水淋浴,有区别吗?
英文原文
Cold plunge, cold shower. Cold plunge, cold shower. Make a difference?
我会选冷水淋浴,因为它的门槛很低。
英文原文
I'll say cold shower because it's very accessible.
好的。
英文原文
Okay.
而且是人们每天都可以做到的事情。哪怕只冲个 30 秒、60 秒,你整个人感觉都会好很多。
英文原文
And it's something that people can do every day. And you do it for even 30 seconds, 60 seconds, you're just going to feel a lot better.
是的,让人清醒。红光疗法还是传统的干热桑拿?
英文原文
Yeah, wakes you up. Red light therapy or just the classic hot sauna?
我喜欢干热桑拿。
英文原文
I like the hot sauna.
老派风格。
英文原文
Old school.
是的。温度更高。我认为红光疗法纯属营销噱头。
英文原文
Yes. It gets hotter. I think the red light thing is just marketing nonsense.
是的。好的。二区有氧(Zone 2 cardio)。这是适合我们这个年龄的。我想你现在 40 岁了吧,Will?你满 40 岁了吗?
英文原文
Yeah. Yeah. Uh okay. Zone two cardio. This is for our age. I think you're 40 now, Will. Are you 40 yet?
37 岁。
37 岁,好吧。那我给你四舍五入算 40 岁。我把自己四舍五入算 50 岁。二区有氧还是力量举铁?你怎么看?如果要为我这个年龄和你这个年龄挑一个。
英文原文
37, all right. So, I'll round you up to 40. I'm I'll round myself down to 50. Zone two cardio or lifting? What What do you think? If you have If you got to pick one for my age and for your age.
我认为这在很大程度上取决于个人的目标是什么,但总的来说,我认为每个人都应该多举铁,如果有一个小时的锻炼时间,应该花更多时间举铁,少花时间在椭圆机上。
英文原文
I think this depends a lot on what someone's goals are, but in general, I think that everyone should be lifting more weights and probably doing, you know, if they have an hour to exercise, they should spend more time lifting and less time on an elliptical.
太赞了。
英文原文
Love it.
因为肌肉量对长寿来说是一项非常关键的指标。
英文原文
Because people Yeah, because your your muscle mass is such an important uh test for longevity.
Whoop 里的闹钟功能相当复杂,Will。你可以根据恢复情况、睡眠得分来唤醒,或者设定一个固定的早上 6 点闹钟。你应该根据恢复情况、睡眠得分,还是设置固定闹钟以保持睡眠一致性?哪一个?三选一。
英文原文
The alarm in Whoop is quite sophisticated, Will. You can wake up based on recovery, sleep score. So, the recovery score, the sleep score, or with a with a hard, you know, 6:00 a.m. Should you go recovery, sleep score, or with a hard alarm so you get your sleep consistency? Which one? Pick one of the three.
如果你在度假,可以选择根据恢复或睡眠来唤醒;但如果你在努力经营一家科技公司,你最好选一个确切的时间。
英文原文
If you're on vacation, you can go with recovery or sleep, but if you're trying to run a tech company, you better pick an exact time.
好的。早晨第一件事喝咖啡,还是等待 90 分钟?哪一个?等 90 分钟再喝咖啡,还是直接喝掉该死的咖啡享受生活?
英文原文
Okay. All right. Coffee first thing in the morning, wait 90 minutes. Which one? Wait 90 minutes for your coffee or just drink the damn coffee and live your life?
我个人直接喝咖啡。
英文原文
I personally drink the coffee.
漂亮,就该这样。好的。劳损得分、睡眠得分、恢复得分。这三大核心指标中,你最痴迷于哪一个?你不能说它们都是你的孩子,你对它们一视同仁。
英文原文
Yeah, let's go. All right. Strain score, sleep score, recovery score. Which one do you obsess over most? Of the Of the big three, which one do you obsess over? You can't say you're you're they're all your children, you love them all equally.
恢复得分。我是说,我每天早上醒来都在等待看到那个表盘的颜色。
英文原文
Recovery. I mean, I wake up every morning waiting to see that that color of that dial.
勒布朗·詹姆斯代言与运动员合作哲学
哇,我喜欢这个回答。好了,听着。这就是与来自 Whoop 的 Will 的一个小时对话。很棒的产品。我给予它最高评价的推荐。还有 Eight Sleep,我是它的投资人。我也很喜欢那款产品。那是我最喜欢的两款健康产品。在这次录制期间,你有一项关于“国王”的小声明。不,不是特朗普总统。[笑声]我懂你,不是特朗普国王,而是勒布朗·詹姆斯,现在效力于费城 76 人队。重大宣布,对吧?
英文原文
Wow, I love it. All right, listen. There's your hour with Will from Whoop. Great product. I give it my highest endorsement. Eight Sleep, I'm an investor in. I love that product, too. Those are my two favorite health uh products. And uh hey, at the time of uh this recording, you have a little announcement about the king. No, not President Trump. [laughter] I got you. Not King Trump, but LeBron James uh now playing for the Philadelphia 76ers. Uh big announcement, yeah?
我们今天宣布勒布朗·詹姆斯现在成为 Whoop 的全球大使。有意思的是,他使用 Whoop 已经有 11 年了。
英文原文
Well, we're we're announcing today LeBron James is uh now a global ambassador for Whoop. So, uh he's been on Whoop, interestingly, for 11 years.
哇。
英文原文
Wow.
我们之前从未与他建立过任何正式合作关系。我们只是很高兴他佩戴这款产品。坦率地说,在早期他佩戴这款产品非常重要,因为他是最早佩戴它的 100 个人之一。这位不可思议的运动员愿意尝试一家名为 Whoop 的不知名公司的技术,这对我们来说是极大的认可。这给了我们很大的希望,让我们相信自己走在正确的道路上。看到他在 20 多年的职业生涯中所展现的成就,真是非同寻常,他确实是体能表现与长寿的巅峰。因此,他加入了一支由克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多(Cristiano Ronaldo)、帕特里克·马霍姆斯(Patrick Mahomes)、刘易斯·汉密尔顿(Lewis Hamilton)、阿里娜·萨巴伦卡(Aryna Sabalenka)和内莉·科达(Nelly Korda)等组成的大使阵容。这是一个非常优秀的团体。
英文原文
And uh we never had any formal relationship with him. We loved that he wore the product. Frankly, it was it was really important in the early days that he did wear the product cuz he was one of the first 100 people to ever wear it. And so, it was incredibly validating that this incredible athlete was willing to try a technology from an unknown company called Whoop. And uh and it gave us a lot of hope that we were onto something, but it's been an extraordinary to see his career uh over two decades plus, and he's the uh he's really the the pinnacle of performance and and like longevity. And uh and so, he joins a roster of ambassadors like Cristiano Ronaldo and uh Patrick Mahomes and uh Lewis Hamilton and Aryna Sabalenka and Nelly Korda and so on. So, it's a great group.
不过,你早期有一种理念。我们在之前的讨论中聊过这个:你不会花钱请运动员佩戴它,你不会乞求他们佩戴,因为他们本身就是客户。他们是理想客户画像(ICP)。这是否代表了某种思维上的转变,还是说这是一个绝无仅有的特例?你看,他在没有任何正式合作的情况下使用该产品长达 11 年,而他现在处于那个时期,几年后他就要退役了,可能会进入科比或奥尼尔那种深耕商业的退役后阶段。对此你的想法是什么?你整体上是如何看待运动员合作的?
英文原文
Now, you had a philosophy though early on. We talked about this in our previous discussions that like, hey, you're not going to pay uh athletes to uh wear it, you know, and you're not going to beg them to wear it cuz they're the customers. They're They're the ICP, the ideal customer profile. um is this like a maybe a change in thinking or is this like a unique one-of-one case? Hey, he's been on the product for 11 years without a formal relationship and you know, he's in that era now. He's going to, you know, retire in a couple of years that hey man, he's probably going to go into this Kobe, Shaq post playing era where where he gets in deep into business. So, what what what's the thinking here? And how do you think about athletes writ large?
我认为总体而言,如果你的业务还处于所谓的“营销前阶段”,也就是说你还没到大做电视广告等大规模营销的阶段,那么花钱请任何人使用你的产品都应该非常谨慎。你希望人们能够发自内心地喜爱你的产品。在我们这里,恰巧在早期,我们的目标市场就是这些职业运动员。因此,我们需要他们发自内心地爱上该产品。顺便说一句,因为你必须全天候 24/7 佩戴它,如果一个运动员不喜欢它,我给多少钱也不可能让他一天 24 小时戴着。
英文原文
I think in general, if your business is pre-marketing, so to speak, like you're not in a stage where you're doing big television advertisements and so on and so forth, you should be really careful paying anyone to use your product. You know, you want people to love your product authentically. And in our case, it just so happened that early on, our target market was these professional athletes. And so, we needed them to organically love the product. And by the way, because you have to wear it 24/7, there's no amount of money I'm going to be able to pay an athlete to wear something 24/7 if they don't like it.
没错。
英文原文
Right.
所以从另一面来看,逻辑就是:如果它确实有效,能够测量他们的睡眠和恢复,并让他们打出更好的表现,那么他们理应愿意为之付费。在很长一段时间里,那都是我们的态度。我们有许多各自运动领域中最顶尖的、享誉全球的运动员,因为太喜爱该产品而希望投资这家公司。
英文原文
So, on the flip side, it was like, well, if if it actually works and it's measuring their sleep and recovery and they play better, you know, they should want to pay for it. So, that was our attitude for a long time. And you know, we had a number of these individuals who were best in class of their sport um and global people uh that uh wanted to invest in the company because they loved it so much.
太不可思议了。
英文原文
Amazing.
从那时起,我们也发展出了可以利用其肖像权(name, image, and likeness)的关系,这本身就蕴含着价值。我们认识到了这一点并将其用于广告宣传。所以,这些是非常棒的合作关系,我非常感激勒布朗·詹姆斯能成为 Whoop 阵容的一员。
英文原文
And from there, we also developed relationships where we could use their name, image, and likeness, which has a value associated with it. Heck, yes. That we recognize uh to be able to do advertising. And so, you know, they've been amazing partnerships and uh I'm very grateful that LeBron James is is part of uh the Whoop roster.
赛事佩戴规则与体育联盟商业内幕
等等,球员们被允许在比赛期间佩戴这些设备吗?他们是不被允许的,对吧?
英文原文
Wait, uh are the players allowed to wear these during games? They're not, right?
这是 NBA 目前仍在研究的事项。
英文原文
That's something the NBA is still looking at.
明白了。是的,因为他们不被允许佩戴首饰,出于防伤考虑必须全部摘除。但他们可以戴,因为你可以佩戴在臂带上,或者嵌入护具里,所以也许有些人已经偷偷戴上场了,谁知道呢?
英文原文
Got it. Yeah, cuz they're not allowed to wear jewelry. They've got to take all that off cuz of injuries, so but they could put it cuz you can wear it on your uh armband. They could embed it in like a wrap, or so maybe some of them have snuck it on the court. Who knows?
你可能看到了关于澳大利亚网球公开赛的事。
英文原文
Well, you you probably saw the Australian Open stuff.
没有,我没看到。跟我讲讲。
英文原文
No, I didn't. Tell me.
在澳网网球公开赛上,一些球员在比赛期间被要求摘下他们的 Whoop。我想部分原因是澳网组织方不知道他们戴的是什么,但他们其实只是把它戴在护臂下面等地方。而国际网球联合会(ITF)实际上已经批准了在比赛中佩戴 Whoop。因此澳网的做法有点逾矩了。接着其他大满贯赛事也站出来表示可以佩戴可穿戴设备。所以,我认为这经历了一个自然演变过程:先是抵触,然后是安全检查。顺便说一句,他们对佩戴物保持严格审查是对的。
英文原文
Well, in at Australian Open, the tennis tournament a number of players were asked to take their Whoop off while they were playing. And uh it was I think in part because the Australian Open uh didn't know what they were wearing, but they were just wearing it, you know, under their armbands and everything else. And the ITF, which is the International Tennis Federation, actually had approved Whoop to be worn in matches. So, the Australian Open was kind of out of line. And then next thing you know, um the other majors have come forward saying that wearables can be worn. So, I think there's this sort of natural evolution of resisting it, safety checks. And by the way, they're they're right to want to be restrictive about what can be worn.
我觉得如果你把它包在护臂里面之类的,这根本不是什么安全问题。我会说……
英文原文
It's not a I don't I don't think it's a safety thing if you're wrapping it around your your armband or something like that. I'd say it's
显然我赞同这一点。
英文原文
I mean, obviously I agree.
我来告诉你背后到底在发生什么。你们的市场部门可能正在被敲竹杠。他们可能会说:“嘿,我们很希望 Whoop 参与进来。如果运动员戴着 1.2 盎司的东西发生意外那可太糟了,但如果你肯花 1000 万美元在他们背后放一个 Logo,那我们的看法可能就不一样了。”
英文原文
I'll tell you what's going on in the background. Your your marketing department's probably getting shaken down. They're probably like, "Hey, you know, we'd love to have Whoop involved. It'd be terrible if something happened to an athlete wearing 1.2 oz, but if you were to put a logo behind them for $10 million, well, we might have a different opinion."
你对这里面的门道一清二楚。
英文原文
You know all the ins and outs.
这又不是我第一次见识这种场面了。[笑声]我一听就知道这是敲诈勒索。
英文原文
I I it's not my first time at this rodeo. [laughter] I know the shakedown when I hear it.
一级市场投资、SPV 与二级市场乱象
早期风险投资领域现在对你来说怎么样?你开始主导那些数十亿美元规模的种子轮融资了吗,还是依然坚持孵化器模式?
英文原文
How how are How are things for you in in early stage venture? Are you Are you starting to lead these billion-dollar seed rounds or you're you're staying true to the the accelerator model?
呃你知道,没有人愿意做从零开始(Year Zero)的工作。所以我倾向于深耕这一块。
英文原文
Uh you know, it's um nobody wants to do year zero work. So, I have leaned into that.
确实。
英文原文
Right.
但话又说回来,我们有一个辛迪加(syndicate),有 4,000 名成员,我们会对早期种子轮交易进行辛迪加投资。如果你想参与其中,比如 Jake 出资 10 万美元,你可能愿意投 5,000 美元。他们总是不停地问我:“你能让我投进 Zipline 吗?你能让我投进 Whoop 吗?你能让我投进 SpaceX、Anthropic 无论什么项目吗?”所以我们在辛迪加刚刚启动了后期投资业务,今年刚开始的,谢谢你的询问。我们投了 Zipline,投了 Icon Homes(3D 打印房屋公司)。这些都是估值 10 亿、50 亿美元的大空间公司。因此,当我认识创始人且获得公司首席财务官(CFO)批准时才会操作,因为你必须面对这种情况,对吧?人们通过特殊目的载体(SPV)进行账外交易,买断早期员工和其他早期投资者的股份,你不得不应对其中一些混乱的 SPV 乱象。
英文原文
But then, you know, at the end um we we have the syndicate and we have 4,000 members of it and we would syndicate our early-stage seed deals. Hey, if you want to get involved in this, you know, Jake House putting in 100K, you might want to put in 5K. They kept asking me, "Can you get me into Zipline? Can you get me into Whoop? Can you get me into SpaceX, Anthropic, whatever it is?" So, we started a late-stage practice that we just started this year at the syndicate. Thanks for asking. And um We did We did Zipline. We did Icon Homes, the 3D-printed homes. These are all billion-dollar companies, five billion-dollar companies in vast space. So, when I know the founder, the CFO gives its approval, cuz you have to deal with this, right? People doing off-the-books transactions in SPVs and buying out early employees and other, you know, early investors. You have to deal with some of this SPV madness.
我想说的是,当你的企业陷入困境时很复杂,而当你的企业蒸蒸日上时同样很复杂。所以情况总是很复杂的。
英文原文
I'll say this, it's complicated when your business is failing and it's complicated when your business is winning. So, it's always complicated.
我对所有人关于这些 SPV、账外交易等等的建议就是:与公司的 CFO 建立良好的关系,获得他们的应允,让他们知道你在做什么。如果他们确实不希望你这么做,那你必须接受,对吧?毕竟那是他们的公司。我不喜欢背着公司私下操作的做法……
英文原文
I think just uh my advice to everybody with these SPVs, off-the-books, whatever, is just build a relationship with the CFO of the company and just get their blessing for it and let them know what you're doing. And if they really don't want you to do it, then you're going to have to accept that, right? Like it's their company. Uh I I don't like this idea of going behind the back of the company and
另一件需要警惕的事是那些二级市场中介经纪人,他们声称自己从某人那里拿到了某个价格的股票。
英文原文
The other thing to be wary of are these secondary brokers who they claim they've got shares from someone at a price.
没错。
英文原文
Yes.
他们四处宣扬那些话,但他们实际上只是在尝试撮合制造市场。所以……
英文原文
And they go around saying that, but they're really just trying to create a market. And so
我经常遇到这种情况。
英文原文
Happens to me all the time.
是的。
英文原文
Yeah.
因为我确实身处一家价值数十亿美元公司的董事会,他们找上我,我说:“行啊,太好了。那是跟谁的份额?因为我必须去……我是公司的董事,我得跟 CFO 沟通,而且我可以帮忙协调。”随后就杳无音讯了。我心想:“哼。”他们是在试探钓鱼,这总是一场钓鱼行动。这种现象在 10 年、15 年前其实并不存在。我唯一一次见到类似情况还是在 Facebook。后来在 Uber 也遇到过,当孙正义(Masayoshi Son)进来时,他说:“嘿伙计们,你们必须卖一些股票给我,否则我就去投 Lyft。”我们当时就想:“好吧。”我当时卖给了他 10% 的股份。我说:“当然可以,我愿意套现 10%,只要能阻止孙正义去投资……”
英文原文
Uh cuz I literally like I'm on the board of a company that's worth a couple billion dollars and they come to me and I say, "Okay, great. Um who who is it with?" Because I got to I'm on the board of the company. I got to talk to the CFO and, you know, I can help coordinate with you. And then crickets. And I'm like, "Hmm." They're fishing. It's always a fishing expedition. This thing didn't really exist 10, 15 years ago. Like the only time I ever saw it was Facebook. Uh and then Uber. When Masayoshi Son came in, he uh he was like, "Hey guys, I need you to sell some of these or I'm going to invest in Lyft." And we were like, "Okay." I gave him 10% of my shares at the time. I was like, "Sure. I'll take a little 10% off the top just to keep Masayoshi from investing
那家企业跑得多么出色啊,祝贺你。
英文原文
What a run What a run that business has had, but congrats.
是的,我是说,现在的市盈率正处于历史低点,但它们正在大幅反弹。看着眼前发生的一切真的很奇妙。就像“反 AI 交易”,DoorDash、Uber、Figma,[嗤笑]你知道,很多这类公司受到了一些打压。而其中一些实际上并没有受到什么负面影响,但是 AI 将改变一切。存在着许多巨大的投资机会。我们下期 All-In 访谈节目再见。去买一个 Whoop 吧,给自己弄一个 Whoop,这是绝佳的圣诞礼物。
英文原文
Yeah, and I mean and right now, like trading uh at a an all-time low PE and they're surging and they have Yeah, it's really weird to watch what's happening. Like the anti-AI trade, DoorDash, Uber, Figma, [snorts] you know, all the a lot of these companies getting uh taken to the woodshed a bit. Um and some of them are just like not impacted by it, but hmm AI's going to change everything. Lots of great investment opportunities. We'll see you all next time on the All-In interview program. Go get a Whoop. Get yourself a Whoop. Perfect Christmas gift.
谢谢你,Jason。
英文原文
Thank you, Jason.
感谢你的参与,Will。非常喜欢这款产品。
英文原文
Appreciate you doing it, Will. Love the product.
我要倾尽全力(All-In)。
英文原文
I'm going all in.
[音乐]
英文原文
[music]
我要[音乐]倾尽全力(All-In)。
英文原文
I'm going [music] all in.