卡尼政府的能源协议及其争议
加拿大总理马克·卡尼和阿尔伯塔省省长丹妮尔·史密斯上月末签署了一项新的能源协议,双方笑容满面。
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Prime Minister Mark Carney and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith were all smiles as they signed a new energy agreement late last month.
该协议涉及一条通往不列颠哥伦比亚省海岸的新沥青(Bitumen: 一种粘稠的黑色半固体石油形式,通常指油砂中提取的重油)输油管道,但并非所有人都对此感到满意。
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The deal involves a new bitumen pipeline to the BC coast, but not everyone is happy.
该计划正面临来自不列颠哥伦比亚省、原住民部落(First Nations: 加拿大原住民群体之一)以及环保主义者等各方的质疑和批评。
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The plan is facing questions and criticism from British Columbia, First Nations, environmentalists and more.
《环球邮报》渥太华分社资深记者斯蒂芬妮·莱维茨就此接受采访,分析了谁将从中受益、谁将蒙受损失,以及该项目实际建成需要克服哪些障碍。
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I asked Stephanie Levitz, senior reporter for the Globe and Mail's Ottawa bureau, about who stands to gain, who stands to lose, and what it will actually take to get this thing built.
很高兴能来到这里。
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My pleasure. I'm glad to be here.
请您帮助我们解读这份谅解备忘录(Memorandum of Understanding, MOU: 一种非约束性协议)。具体达成了哪些共识?
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I want you to help us break down this memorandum of understanding for us. What was actually agreed to?
这份谅解备忘录可以分为两部分。你可以将其视为,嗯,最大的部分,即主要新闻叙事,是双方承诺将建设一条新的沥青输油管道,从阿尔伯塔省延伸到不列颠哥伦比亚省北海岸的某个地方。
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So the memorandum of understanding, you can almost take it in two parts. You can look at it and say, you know, the biggest part, the headline narrative was this idea a commitment by both sides that there will be a new bitumen pipeline that runs from Alberta to somewhere on British Columbia's north coast.
与此同时,该协议的宣传重点是,这条管道以及潜在的经济效益,抱歉,该协议在提供管道的同时,也试图解决围绕管道和更多石油生产、运输的明显环境问题。
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And in concert with that, the billing was, you know, this pipeline and the potential economic, sorry, the deal in providing for a pipeline also sought to address the obvious environmental concerns around a pipeline and the production of more oil, the the sending and shipping of more oil.
因此,阿尔伯塔省也同意实施一项更严格的工业碳定价计划(Industrial Carbon Pricing Program: 针对工业排放的碳排放收费机制)。
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And so in tandem, the province of Alberta also agreed to a more stringent industrial carbon pricing program.
双方表示,他们将设法建造他们正在建设的、世界上最大的碳捕获与储存(Carbon Capture and Storage, CCS: 捕获二氧化碳并将其永久储存在地下以减少排放的技术)项目,该项目将位于阿尔伯塔省北部。
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And both sides said they're going to find a way to build what they're building. Is the largest carbon capture and storage program in the world, which would be in northern Alberta.
这是主要的新闻点。这份谅解备忘录还有一个次要部分,没有得到太多关注,这可能是因为它在政治上不那么复杂或,你知道,不那么具有动态性。
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So that's the headline. There's a secondary piece of this MOU, which isn't getting as much attention, and probably because it's less politically complicated or, you know, dynamic.
它涉及人工智能的计算中心,以及更多的省际电网互联(Interties: 连接不同电网以实现电力传输和共享的设施)。
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And it's about computing centres for AI. It's about more electricity. They're called interties between various provinces and sort of other things that both Ottawa and Alberta have agreed to work on together.
但真正吸引眼球、引起各种政治不安的,是关于输油管道的这个概念,以及其中所包含的一切。
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But really, the big headline grabber, the thing that's causing all sorts of political consternation, is this notion of a pipeline. And what goes into that?
阿尔伯塔省与联邦政府的关系演变
当然,我们会谈到输油管道。但我想请您帮助我们的观众理解这项协议。您能将其置于阿尔伯塔省与渥太华联邦政府之间更大关系背景中吗?
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Well, obviously get to the pipeline. But I want to you to help our viewers understand this deal. Can you put it in context of the sort of larger relationship between the province of Alberta and the federal government in Ottawa?
当然。我的意思是,你知道,当贾斯廷·特鲁多在2015年成为自由党总理时,他上任时就做出了非常直接的承诺,即他将采取更多措施应对气候变化。
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Sure. I mean, you know, when Justin Trudeau became prime minister, Liberal prime minister in 2015, and he came in to office with a very direct commitment that he was going to do more to combat climate change.
多年来,特鲁多自由党政府选择这样做的方式之一是颁布一系列法律,例如,立法限制不列颠哥伦比亚省海岸的油轮交通,实施消费者碳税等措施,我们都记得,还有工业碳定价计划,以及对电力和油气排放的法规。
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And one of the ways the Trudeau Liberal government chose to do that over the years was enacting a series of laws to do everything, for example, to legislate a restriction on oil tanker traffic off the coast of British Columbia, putting in place measures like a consumer carbon price, which we all recall, an industrial carbon pricing program, regulations on electricity, regulations on oil and gas emissions.
所有这些措施实际上都是为了降低加拿大的排放量,并通过其他方式保护环境。就油轮禁令而言,其长期目标是到2050年实现净零碳排放(Net Zero Carbon Emissions: 指在特定时期内,人为排放的温室气体总量与通过各种方式清除的温室气体总量相抵,达到平衡)。
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And these were all measures really designed to drive down Canada's emissions, protect its environment in other ways. In the case of the oil tanker ban, with a long term goal of getting to net zero carbon emissions by 2050,
然后阿尔伯塔省登场。丹妮尔·史密斯当选省长,她与她的前任雷切尔·诺特利不同。
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enter Alberta. Enter the election of Danielle Smith, who you know, not unlike her predecessor Rachel Notley.
但阿尔伯塔省省长丹妮尔·史密斯坚信并主张,并以此赢得了政府,即特鲁多自由党政府所做的一切都在扼杀阿尔伯塔省的经济,这是不负责任的,在某些情况下,政府如此介入是完全违宪的。
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But Alberta Premier Danielle Smith really believed and argued and won government on the idea that everything the Trudeau Liberal government was doing was strangling the Alberta economy to death, that it was irresponsible, in some cases flat out unconstitutional for the government to step in like it was stepping in,
因为,你知道,这个国家最大的碳排放源之一就是阿尔伯塔省的油气产业。当你对其进行监管,当你提高定价,当你做所有这些事情时,这个行业就会退缩,就会萎缩。
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because, you know, one of the biggest sources of carbon emissions in this country is the Alberta oil and gas industry. And when you're regulating it, when you're increasing the pricing, when you're doing all of these things, the industry recoils, the industry contracts.
它可能不想投入那么多资金,也不想做其他事情。因此,这对阿尔伯塔省的经济产生了扼杀效应。
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It may be it doesn't want to invest as much, it doesn't want to do other things. And so that has a choking effect on the Alberta economy.
所以这就是当时的情况,阿尔伯塔省和渥太华之间多年来一直存在很多像,你知道,近身肉搏一样的斗争。
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So that's sort of the stage where things were it was a lot of combat, like, you know, arm to arm combat between Alberta and Ottawa for years.
然后马克·卡尼登场。卡尼先生今年早些时候接替了贾斯廷·特鲁多。
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Then enter Mark Carney. And Mr. Carney took over from Justin Trudeau, you know, in January. Sorry, Mr. Carney took over from Justin Trudeau earlier this year.
他承诺对各种事情采取新方法。其中之一就是,你知道,通过寻找支持油气行业更多发展的方式,同时实现加拿大的气候目标,来重建与阿尔伯塔省的关系。
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He promised a new approach to all sorts of things. And one of them was, you know, rebuilding relationships with Alberta by trying to find a way to support more development in the oil and gas industry, while at the same time meeting Canada's climate goals.
我的意思是,在最近的历史中,我们可能从未见过两位领导人之间政治基调如此180度的转变。
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And, I mean, never have we probably seen in recent history such a 180 in political tone between two leaders,
坦率地说,这个国家每一位省长都对卡尼先生及其新的行事方式着迷,但丹妮尔·史密斯更是如此。
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I mean, every every provincial leader in this country, frankly, was was just smitten with Mr. Carney and his new approach to doing things, but none more so than Daniel Smith,
如果我们从他们第一次会面一直到一周前签署这份谅解备忘录来看,你知道,他们基本上已经是最好的朋友了。
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who if we take, you know, from their first meeting all the way until when this memorandum of understanding was signed a week ago, you know, they're basically besties at this point,
这个角色,你知道,安大略省省长道格·福特以前总是说前财政部长、副总理克里斯蒂娅·弗里兰是他的好朋友,是他的心理医生。
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a role that, you know, Ontario Premier Doug Ford always used to say that Chrystia Freeland, the former finance minister, deputy prime minister, was his best friend, was his therapist.
现在感觉阿尔伯塔省省长丹妮尔·史密斯和总理马克·卡尼之间正在发生某种“浪漫”,因为他已经同意,最重要的是,废除、解除、暂停、暂时调整许多她所说的对她省份经济乃至国家经济有害的法规。
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And now it feels like there's some kind of romance going on between Alberta Premier Daniel Smith and Prime Minister Mark Carney because he has agreed. Bottom line, to get rid of, lift, suspend, temporarily adjust many of the regulations that she said were poisonous to her province's economy and therefore the national economy.
原住民协商的挑战
我想谈谈另一个关系,即原住民大会酋长们的关系。他们在周三通过了一项决议,要求撤回这份谅解备忘录。政府在未来的原住民协商方面需要做些什么?
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I want to actually talk about another relationship, the Assembly of First Nations Chiefs. They had adopted a resolution on Wednesday to withdraw the MOU. What is required of this government in terms of Indigenous consultation going forward?
你知道,这很棘手。你知道,在司法系统和其他地方,我们经常使用“三振出局”的说法。
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You know, it's tricky. You know, in the justice system and other places, you know, we often use the expression three strikes and you're out. Right.
我不知道自由党政府现在是否已经达到了两次“三振”,也就是说,加拿大建设法案(Building Canada Act: 一项旨在促进加拿大基础设施建设的联邦立法),这项立法为像阿尔伯塔省这条主要输油管道这样的项目奠定了基础,它在许多原住民社区的反对下被仓促通过,这些社区认为协商不足,而且该法案是突然冒出来的。
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And I wonder with the Liberal government right now whether they've not hit two strikes, which is to say the Building Canada Act, which was the thing that the legislatively lays the groundwork for something like this major Alberta pipeline was rushed through over the objections of many indigenous communities who felt there was an adequate consultation, that it came, it was sprung on them out of nowhere.
快进到这份谅解备忘录,尽管文本中要求与不列颠哥伦比亚省政府、沿海原住民部落或任何其他可能受该项目影响的原住民社区进行协商并获得一定程度的认可,这都已写入谅解备忘录中,但在协商这份谅解备忘录时,他们并没有以实质性的方式被纳入其中。
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Fast forward to this memorandum of understanding, which, although in the text, requires consultation and a degree of buy in from the Province of British Columbia, from the Coastal First Nations or any other First Nations or indigenous communities whose territories might be affected by this project, it is baked into the MOU, but they weren't brought along in a in a substantive way when this MOU was being negotiated.
所以我想,碰巧的是,原住民大会本周正在举行一次大型会议。这在他们的议程上占据了非常重要的位置。
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And so I guess it's by happenstance that the Assembly of First Nations is having, you know, a big meeting this week. This is very much on their agenda.
而且,你知道,虽然谅解备忘录没有——我正在努力措辞。谅解备忘录没有明确规定,为了获得沿海原住民部落或其他原住民部落的同意和批准,我们将做X、Y、Z,并将在多长时间内完成。
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And, you know, whereas the MOU does not-- I'm trying to to come up with the language. The MOU doesn't lay out a okay in order to get, you know, the consent and approval of coastal First Nations or other First Nations. We are going to do X, Y, Z and we're going to do it over this amount of time.
它只是说,是的,这将尊重原住民权利。是的,将与原住民部落进行协商和协作。
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It just says, yes, this will be done in respect of Indigenous rights. Yes, there will be consultation and collaboration with First Nations.
值得注意的是,这条新管道据称也将由原住民社区共同拥有。我不知道谁、何时、如何实现这一点。
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It's worth noting that this new pipeline is also allegedly going to be co-owned by indigenous communities. I don't know who or when or how that's going to work.
所以其中包含了一些元素。问题是,你知道,借用另一个比喻,马已经跑出马厩了。
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So there's elements of it built in. The problem is, is, you know, the horse had already left the barn, to borrow yet another metaphor.
许多原住民部落表示,你不能告诉我们以后如何协商,我们一开始就应该在谈判桌上参与制定。
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And many First Nations are saying, you can't tell us how you're going to consult us later, like we should have been at the table to draw this up in the first place.
自由党党团内部的紧张关系与项目实施挑战
另一个头条新闻当然是总理马克·卡尼因此失去了一位内阁部长。请帮助我们理解,目前自由党党团内部还有哪些幕后情况?
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Another headline, of course, is that Prime Minister Mark Carney lost a cabinet minister over this. Help us understand what else do we know is happening behind closed doors in the caucus right now with with the Liberal Party?
这很有趣,你知道,当卡尼先生上任时,他和一些他带来的人的声誉,特别是与此相关的自然资源部长蒂姆·霍奇森,是他们都是务实的商人,只想把事情办成,刺激经济,让事情更快发展。
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It's interesting, you know, when Mr. Carney came in and his reputation and that of some of the folks he brought with him, namely and relevant in this instance is Natural Resources Minister Tim Hodgson, was that they were pragmatic businessmen who just wanted to get deals done, juice the economy, get things moving faster.
这得到了商界、甚至自由党党团内部的大力支持,我想,甚至某些反对党也勉强支持。
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There was a lot of support from that, from the business sector, from even from within the Liberal owned the liberals own caucus and begrudgingly, I think, even from amongst certain opposition parties.
快进到现在,我们看到自由党党团内部正在酝酿一场紧张和冲突,一方是高层“快速办成事”的态度,即卡尼先生和霍奇森先生,另一方是自由党党团中的两个不同部分,其中一部分人想知道为什么他们没有被纳入其中。
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Fast forward to now, and we see a situation where there is a tension and a clash brewing within the Liberal caucus between the get it done, get it done fast attitude at the top. Mr. Carney, Mr. Hodgson to two different parts of the Liberal caucus, one wondering why they're not being brought along for the ride.
你有一群自由党国会议员,例如在上次选举中在不列颠哥伦比亚省当选的议员,他们很晚才得知这份谅解备忘录,而且他们中的许多人说,他们被告知的方式是轻蔑、粗鲁、傲慢的,他们没有受到中央或霍奇森先生的友好对待。
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And you have a bunch of Liberal members of Parliament, you know, elected in British Columbia as a, for example, in the last election, who are read into this MOU quite late and in a matter in a manner rather that many of them say was dismissive, rude, arrogant, that they weren't being treated very nicely by the centre or by Mr. Hodgson.
然后,党团内部还有环保主义者,其中相当一部分人现在已经联合起来创建了自己的环保党团,这是他们在本届议会开始时就启动的,因为他们担心卡尼先生对自由党先前气候变化雄心的承诺不复存在。
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Then you have the environmentalists within this caucus, a significant enough portion of them who've now banded together to create their own environmental caucus, something they started at the outset of this Parliament over concerns that Mr. Kearney's commitment to previous Liberal ambition on climate change wasn't there.
而且,你知道,事实证明,他在上任第一天就签署并取消了消费者碳税,许多人说,这本来是降低排放非常有效的手段。
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And, you know, as witnessed by the fact on on day one, he signs away and removes the consumer price on carbon, which many people say, you know, was going to be a very effective means of bringing down emissions.
不幸的是,它与通货膨胀危机和生活成本压力不期而遇。
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Unfortunately, it ran headlong into an inflationary crisis and cost of living pressures.
但重点是,现在自由党党团内部,我确实认为有相当多的人,对他们来说,史蒂文·吉尔博现在是这种态度的化身,他们审视自己的记录,审视迄今为止所做的一切,并质疑:我们真的致力于应对气候变化吗?我们将如何应对?因为感觉我们做得不多。
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But the point is, is that within the Liberal caucus right now, I do think there are a significant number of people for whom Steve Steven Guilbeault is is now the the personification of that, looking at their record, looking at what's been done so far and wondering, are we really committed to climate change, combating climate change, and what are we going to do about that? Because it doesn't feel like we're doing very much.
我们还剩下大约30秒。我还有最后一个问题。目前我们只有框架。总理马克·卡尼表示,私人部门需要参与才能推动这个项目和输油管道的进展。这是他所说的一点。但请帮助我们理解,要真正建成这个项目需要什么?
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We have about 30 seconds left. I have one last question for you. So far we have just the framework. And Prime Minister Mark Carney has said that the private sector will need to be involved for this project and pipeline to go forward. That's one of the things that he says. But help us understand what would it actually take to get this built?
我想最首要和重要的是。
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I guess the very first and important.
最重要的是必须有人愿意建造它。而目前,尽管阿尔伯塔省政府绝对是这条输油管道的倡导者,但目前还没有正式的,大家都在用的词是项目发起人(Proponent: 指提出并负责实施某个项目或计划的实体)。
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Thing is that someone's got to be willing to build it. And right now, while the Alberta government is absolutely a champion of this pipeline, there is no formal what is known now. The word everyone is using is proponent.
没有一家公司站出来说:“我提议建设一条输油管道。这是它的建造方式。这是它的走向。这是其中的沥青将从哪里排出。它可以在那里运输。”
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There is not a company coming forward and saying, I propose a pipeline. Here's how it's going to be built. Here is where it is going to go. Here is where it is going to, you know, the bitumen in it. It will exit here. It can be shipped there.
这目前还不存在。这目前只是一个理论概念。
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That does not exist. This is a theoretical concept at the moment.
因此,这个重大项目的下一个主要步骤将是史密斯政府推进并实际提交这份输油管道的提案。
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And so really the next major step for this major project will be the Smith government moving ahead and actually submitting a proposal for this pipeline.
这份提案必须符合多项要求,包括,再次强调,与不列颠哥伦比亚省政府的协作和一定程度的同意,以及绝对需要受此影响的原住民部落的某种程度的支持和同意。
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And that proposal has to check a number of boxes, including and again, collaboration and a degree of consent from the government of British Columbia, and absolutely, some degree of support and consent from the First Nations whose territories are affected by this.
斯蒂芬妮,我们一定会继续关注此事。非常感谢您,也感谢您的真知灼见。
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Stephanie, we are definitely going to continue following this. Thank you so much and thank you for your insights.
不客气,随时都可以。
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My pleasure. Anytime.
📌 文中提及的人物和组织
人物: Mark Carney, Danielle Smith, Justin Trudeau, Rachel Notley, Doug Ford, Chrystia Freeland
公司/组织: Globe and Mail, Liberal Party
媒体/书籍: The Rundown, TVO Today