核心洞察与成长之道
本期节目汇集了2025年度《知识项目》中最受喜爱的精彩瞬间,这些对话帮助我们更好地思考、更智能地工作,并更有目的地生活。关键的洞察包括:领导者需要具备坚韧(Toughness: 面对困难和挑战时的毅力)、善良和清晰,并且不应被“唯唯诺诺”之人包围,而应鼓励挑战思维边界。在人工智能时代,AI或许能更快提供答案,但仍需有经验的人来判断哪些信息对业务至关重要。同时,有嘉宾表达了对社会因素导致人们在疫情期间社交技能退化,从而缺乏生活中必需的抗拒力(Rejection Resilience: 面对拒绝时恢复和坚持的能力)的担忧。建立信任的关键在于重复接触(Repeated Exposure: 持续地与某人或某事互动)和建立共同价值观(Shared Values: 双方认同的核心信念)。此外,演讲者鼓励将生活中的一切视为学习和帮助自己的机会,尤其是在最不适的时刻,提醒自己“这是我的老师”,因为所有经历都是为了自己的成长。
Original English
Welcome to the final episode of 2025. I pulled together some of my favorite moments from the year. These conversations help me think better, work smarter, and live with more intention. It's time to listen and learn. Toughness, kindness, and clarity. All three. But don't forget the toughness. Cuz you don't want yes people around you. You want people who say, "Why don't we push the boundaries of our thinking?" AI makes me get to the answer perhaps more quickly, but you need someone with experience to know which of those references matter to the business. I am genuinely concerned that because of different societal factors, because of people who maybe lost out on some social skills during the pandemic, there is not that rejection resilience that many of us need in life. You mentioned that we can engineer trust. How do we do that? One is repeated exposure. Second is establish a set of shared values. Everything is here to teach me and help me. It's all working for my good. So, we're going to go look for those moments when you're most uncomfortable. And remind yourself, this is my teacher.
第一性原理在业务中的应用
一位嘉宾分享了在Zappos(一家美国在线鞋服零售商)的工作经历,强调了第一性原理思维(First Principles Thinking: 从最基本的事实出发进行推理,而非类比)在解决业务问题中的重要性。例如,当网站运行速度不够快时,第一性问题不是图片太多或搜索结果过多,而是如何通过技术手段提升速度,比如缓存搜索结果(Caching Search Results: 存储常用搜索结果以加快访问速度)。另一个例子是配送中心流程不畅,通过从客户下单到商品打包发货的整个流程视角(Flow Perspective: 关注整个工作流程而非孤立环节)来审视,发现问题在于过多交接,从而思考出新的解决方案,优化整体配送效率,而非简单地分批处理。
Original English
From when a customer orders something, when it gets through the distribution center, how it's going to be packaged, and shipped. And when you look at that from a flow perspective, you start thinking about new solutions. Some people talk about the most important thing. Um and I think I think about first order if I get this problem it I have a problem on my hands. If I get to the first order issue and get to the root cause of that, usually that helps solve that problem. And there are other issues that are not first order. Um, and that concept is quite important. We also sort of navigate that into other uh situations where um where they are crucible bond. So, as an example, like you you have you have situations where the website's not working fast enough. At Zapos, we had a situation where the website's not fast enough. Is the first order issue that's we have too many pictures? Well, we want the pictures. We have lots of photos. We want to show those photos. Is the first order issue that we need to um trim the number of search results? Well, customers want longer search results. It's like, no, it's none of that. we need to figure out how to make the website go faster. And so we start caching the the search results. We start caching things. And so you start developing the technologies that solve the speed issue. But the first sort of issue is that we need to solve this with technology, not with a bunch of either or solutions. Um that's an example that I learned a long time ago. Another situation is the distribution at was not flowing well. Um, and we couldn't figure out which process was broken. Was it the picking process? Was the was the ordering process broken? What was broken about it? And we went and just look through the flow and the flow was broken. And so, uh, there was too many handoffs, uh, across all of these different discrete processes. And so we have to sort of pop up a level and figure out what the flow of from when a customer orders something when it gets through the distribution center. How was going to be packed and uh packaged and shipped. And when you look at that from a flow perspective, you start thinking about new solutions that allow there to be much better flow throughout the distribution center than been than to batch things for picking, batch things for um packing, batch batch things for uh for shipping. So that's what you mean by first order.
从电脑实验室到团队合作
在中学时期,一位嘉宾因在电脑实验室开发游戏而被停用电脑,因为老师和校长认为实验室时间应更具生产力。当时使用的是非常老旧的Radio Shack TRS-80s(一款早期的个人电脑,常被称为“垃圾80”)。然而,电脑老师Mrs. Possa(她也负责数学队)鼓励他加入数学队。在那里,他不仅擅长数学,还学会了如何带领团队取胜,即不仅要自己解决问题,更要帮助团队其他成员提升表现。通过与队友互相学习、分享解题技巧,团队不断进步。这段经历让他深刻体会到团队合作(Teamwork: 团队成员为共同目标协同工作)的价值。
Original English
Are there any other experiences that you had during school with teachers that might have impacted you? You know earlier on in junior high school I was um I was suspended from the computer lab because I built so this was very old. So there are radio shack TRS80s. So we call them trash8s today. Um and there was computer lab, you know, you had to rent time in our computer lab to to use the computer. And I built this game and the central server at the time was literally a floppy drive where all of us saved our programs there. And one day uh a bunch of the students uh in the computer lab all found the game that I programmed and then started playing with it. The teacher and the principal just happened to walk in and saw that we're all playing this game. And um I was told that computer lab is valuable time and you should be doing something much more productive than than producing a game. So I I was no longer allowed to work in the computer lab and the computer lab teacher was Mrs. Possa and she she also ran the math team and she said well you I'm sorry the principal wants you out of the computer lab but you should join the math team and I joined the math team there and um one of the things I was really good at was math and she told me that if you want to be a leader and you want the team to win it's not good enough for me to just solve the problems figure out how to get the rest of the team to perform. And so I started teaching the rest of the math team some of the reasons why I was able to solve some of these problems more quickly than there were. They were very talented, but I had figured out tricks that they had not figured out. And they had taught me tricks that I had not figured out. So we got better and better by riffing each off each other. And so I learned the value of teamwork by just being thrown into a situation like that.
创始人模式的细微之处
关于创始人模式,一位嘉宾提出了细致入微的观点。他赞同创始人模式(Founder Mode: 创始人对公司所有决策负有深度责任)的精神,即创始人对公司每个决策都负有深度责任,认为这是伟大公司运营的方式,并能避免“委员会决策”和“流程重于结果”的弊端。在AI颠覆所有行业的当下,公司需要果断的决策来快速适应变化。然而,他担忧人们可能将创始人模式漫画化(Caricature: 夸张或扭曲地模仿),例如模仿史蒂夫·乔布斯(Steve Jobs: 苹果公司联合创始人)的严苛,却忽视了他卓越的品味和判断力才是成功的真正原因。他认为,创始人模式不应成为过度微观管理(Overt Micromanagement: 对员工工作进行过度细致的控制)的借口,因为伟大的公司是由众多优秀个体贡献者共同构建的,仅凭个人判断难以实现规模化发展。他坚信创始人应拥有深入细节并纠正小问题的权力,如同杰夫·贝佐斯(Jeff Bezos: 亚马逊公司创始人)著名的问号邮件,但这并不意味着要牺牲员工的责任感和自主权。
Original English
Do you think founders go astray when they start listening to too many outside voices and this goes back to the I'm sure you're aware the Brian Chesy you know he the founder mode like do you think talk to me about that I have such a nuance point of view on this because it is decidedly not simple uh so broadly speaking I really like the spirit of founder mode which is just having deep founder accountability for every decision at your company. Um, I think that that's how great companies operate. Uh, and when you, you know, proverbally make decisions by committee or you're more focused on process than outcomes. Um, that produces all the experiences we hate as employees, as customers. You know, that's the proverbial DMV, right? You know, it's like process over outcomes. Um and then similarly uh you look at the disruption in all industries right now because of AI you know the companies that will recognize where things are clearly going to change like everyone can see it it's like a you know slow motion car wreck everyone knows how it ends you need that kind of decisive breakthrough boundaries layers of management um to actually make change as fast as required in business right now the issue I have not with Brian statement Brian's amazing. Um is how people can sort of interpret that and sort of execute it as a caricature of what I think it means. Uh you know there was a I remember after Steve Jobs passed away and you know um I don't know Steve I've met Steve a couple times. I haven't never worked with him in any meaningful way, you know, but he was sort of uh if you believe the stories like kind of pretty hard on his employees and and very exacting and I think a lot of founders were like mimicking that, you know, down to wearing a black turtleneck and yelling at you their employees. I'm like not sure that was the cause you know I think Steve Jobs taste and judgment through you know executed through that you know packaging was the cause of their success and somehow and then similarly I think founder mode can be weaponized as an excuse for just like overt micromanagement and that probably won't lead to great outcomes either and most great companies are filled with extremely great individual contributors who make good decisions and work really hard and uh companies that are like solely executing through the judgment of individual probably aren't going to be able to scale to be truly great companies. So I have a very nuanced point because I actually believe in founders. I believe in actually that accountability that comes from the top. I believe in cultures where you know founders have license to go in and all the way to a small decision and fix it. The infamous question mark emails from Jeff Bezos, you know that type of thing. That's that's the right way to run a company. But that doesn't mean that you don't have a culture where individuals are accountable and empowered and uh you don't want uh you know people trying to decide make business decisions because of what will please argue a leader you know which is like the caricature of this and so you know after that came out I could sort of see it all happening which is like some people will take that be like you know what you're right I need to go down and be in the details and some people will do it and probably make everyone who works for them miserable and probably both will happen as a consequence.
工程师如何成为优秀领导者
关于工程师是否能成为优秀领导者,嘉宾认为工程师确实具备成为优秀领导者的潜力,但他们需要从单一专业领域(如工程或产品)转型为对业务所有方面都广泛了解的通才(Broad Specialists: 在多个领域拥有广泛知识和技能的人)。公司的成功往往是多方面的,市场进入模式、公共政策等都至关重要。工程师出身的创始人需要提升自己的身份认同(Identity: 个人或群体对自身角色和定位的认知),从产品经理转变为CEO,将时间投入到招聘高管、销售、公共政策等对业务影响最大的领域。那些不愿转变身份的工程师领导者,其公司的增长往往会停滞不前。他指出,硅谷许多成功的CEO都出身于工程背景,这并非巧合,但这种转型对于公司规模化发展至关重要。
Original English
Do you think engineers make good leaders? I do think engineers make good leaders, but one thing I've seen is that I think that I really believe that great CEOs and great founders um start usually with one specialty but become uh more broadly specialists in all parts of their business. Um you know I think the uh businesses are multifaceted and rarely is a business's success due to one thing uh like engineering or product which is where a lot of founders come from often your go to market model is important uh for consumer companies how you engage with the world and public policy becomes extremely important and I think as you see um uh founders you know grow from doing one thing to growing to being a real meaningful company like Airbnb B or meta or something you can see those founders really transform from being one thing to to many things. Um so I do think engineers make great leaders. I think the first principles thinking, the system design thinking um really benefits things like organization design, strategy um and but I also think that you know uh when we were speaking earlier about identity, I think one of the main transitions founders need to make especially engineers uh is you're not like the product manager for the company, you're the CEO and on any given day do you spend time recruiting an executive because you have a need. Do you spend time uh on sales because that will have the biggest impact. Um do you spend time on public policy or regulation because if you don't uh it will happen to you and and could really impact your business in a negative way. And I think engineers who are unwilling to elevate their identity from what they were to what it needs to be in the moment often leads to sort of plateaus uh in company's growth. So 100% I think engineers make great um leaders and it it's not a coincidence. I think that most of the Silicon Valley great Silicon Valley CEOs came from engineering backgrounds. Um but I also don't think that's sufficient either as your company scales and I think that making that transition as all the great ones have is incredibly important.
工程思维的局限性
尽管工程思维,特别是第一性原理思维(First Principles Thinking: 从最基本的事实出发进行推理)和系统设计思维(System Design Thinking: 考虑系统整体结构和组件间交互来解决问题),对组织设计和战略制定大有裨益,但嘉宾也提醒,过度运用工程思维可能导致分析瘫痪(Analysis Paralysis: 因过度分析而无法做出决策)。在某些领域,例如社交媒体驱动的现代沟通或企业软件销售中的人际关系,过度系统化的分析可能并不适用。例如,每条推文都进行第一性原理讨论并非好的沟通策略,而销售中建立个人关系的重要性也超越了纯粹的产品和技术考量。因此,虽然工程思维能带来诸多益处,但并非所有问题都是工程问题,尤其当涉及根本性的人类问题(Fundamentally Human Problems: 涉及情感、关系、文化等非技术性问题)时。
Original English
To what extent are all business problems engineering problems? That's a deeper philosophical question than I think I have the capacity to answer. Um what is engineering? What I like about approaching problems uh as an engineer is uh first principles thinking and understanding uh the root causes of issues rather than simply addressing the symptoms of the problem. And I do think that coming from a background in engineering that is everything from process like how engineers do a root cause analysis of a outage on a server is a really great way to analyze why you lost a sales deal. you know, like I love the systematic approach of engineering. One thing that I think going back to good ideas that can become caricatures of themselves like one thing I've seen though with engineers who go into other disciplines is um sometimes you can overanalyze decisions in some domains. Let's just take modern communications which is driven in social media and and very fast-paced. um having a systematic first principles discussion about every you know tweet you do is probably not a great comm strategy. Um and so uh and then similarly um you know there are some aspects of say enterprise software sales that you know aren't rational but they're human you know like forming personal relationships you know and and the the importance of those to building trust with a a partner. it's not all just you know product and technology and so I would say I think a lot of things uh coming with an engineer mindset can really benefit but I do think that uh taking that to its like logical extreme can lead to analysis paralysis can lead to uh overintellectualizing some things that are fundamentally human problems and so yeah I think a lot can benefit from engineering but I wouldn't say everything's an engineering problem in my experience
AI时代的第一性原理实践
嘉宾强调,在当前AI市场快速变化的背景下,第一性原理思维(First Principles Thinking: 从最基本的事实出发进行推理)尤为重要。他以自己创立的第三家公司Sierra(一家专注于客户服务AI代理的公司)为例,指出如果仅根据眼前事实而非从第一性原理思考未来12个月的发展,做出正确战略决策的可能性几乎为零。他思考了三年后公司软件工程师的数量和角色将如何转变,因为他们将从代码的“作者”变为代码生成机器的“操作员”(Operators of Code-Generating Machines: 使用AI工具生成和管理代码的人员)。Sierra的定价模式也源于第一性原理:客户不是为平台使用许可付费,而是为AI代理解决问题的实际成果(Outcomes: 任务完成或问题解决的实际效果)付费。这反映了AI时代软件不再仅仅提高生产力,而是直接完成任务,因此其商业模式也应转变为按成果收费。此外,Sierra直接向客户交付完全可用的AI代理,而非提供软件让客户自行配置,这同样是基于“在软件开发变得前所未有的简单,且专注于为客户交付成果的世界中,软件交付模式也应随之改变”的原理。
Original English
you've brought up first principles a couple times You're running your third startup now, Sierra. It's going really well. How do you use first principles in terms of how do you use that at work? Yeah, it's it's particularly important right now because the market of AI is changing so rapidly. So, if you rewind 2 years, you know, most people hadn't used chat GPT yet. uh most companies hadn't heard the phrase large language models or generative AI yet and in two years you have chat GBT becoming one of the most popular consumer services in history faster than his than any service in history and you have across so many domains in the enterprise uh really rapid transformation. The law is being transfer transformed. Marketing is being transformed. Customer service which is where my company Sierra works is being transformed. Software engineering is being transformed. And the amount of change in such a short period of time is uh I think unprecedented uh and uh perhaps I lack the historical context but it feels faster than anything I've experienced in my career. And so as a consequence, I think uh if you're responding to the facts in front of you and not thinking from first principles about why we're at this point and where it will probably be 12 months from now, the likelihood that you will make the right strategic decision is almost zero. So uh as an example, uh it's really interesting to me that with modern large language models, one of the careers that is being most transformed is software engineering. uh and you know one of the things I think a lot about is how many software engineers will we have at our company 3 years from now what will the role of a software engineer be as we go from being authors of code to operators of code generating machines um what does that mean for the type of people we should recruit and if I look at the actual craft of software engineering that we're doing right now um I think it's literally a act that it'll be completely different 2 years from now. Yet, I think a lot of people building companies hire for the problem in front of them rather than doing that. But two years is not that long. Those people that you hire now will just be getting really productive a couple years from now. So, we try to think about most of our long-term business from first principles. Everything from I'll say a couple examples in our business. Our pricing model is really unique and comes from first principles thinking rather than having our customers pay a license for the privilege of using our platform. We only charge our customers for the outcomes. Uh meaning if the AI agent they've built for their customers solves the problem. There's like a usually a pre-negotiated rate for that. And that comes from the principle that in the age of AI software isn't just helping you be more productive but actually completing a task. uh what is the right and logical business model for something that completes a task? Well, charging for a job well done rather than charging for the privilege of using the software. Um similarly, um you know, we with a lot of our customers, you know, we help deliver them a fully working AI agent. We don't hand them a bunch of uh software and say good luck, you know, configure it yourself. And the logic there is, you know, in a world where uh making software is easier than it ever is before and you're delivering outcomes for your customer, um the delivery model of software probably should change as well. And we've really tried to reimagine what like the software company of the future should look like and trying to, you know, model that in everything that we do.
关系与抗拒力
一位嘉宾探讨了现代约会中抗拒力(Rejection Resilience: 面对拒绝时恢复和坚持的能力)的缺失,尤其是在Z世代(Gen Z: 大约出生于1997年至2012年的一代人)和阿尔法世代(Gen Alpha: 大约出生于2010年代中期至2020年代中期的一代人)中。他提到一位16岁的青少年创业者,其最常被问到的问题就是如何应对拒绝。疫情期间社交技能的退化以及线上生活方式的普及,导致许多人缺乏这种在生活中至关重要的抗拒力。无论是追求梦想工作还是约会,都需要主动出击,承担风险,而非被动等待。这种对拒绝的恐惧正在导致更少的人际关系。
Original English
Do you think we've sort of broken dating in a way where I I mean, I've been on dates with people. We all know people who are I wish people would come up to me and ask me out. I wish I didn't have to use a dating app. And my defensive, you know, thinking immediately in this is like society has taught guys not to approach women anymore. What's your reaction to that? This is something that I'm thinking about a lot, specifically with Gen Z and Gen Alpha. So, I was recently speaking to somebody. She's a 16-year-old entrepreneur and she's trying to deliver help for teen daters, and she said by far the number one thing that she gets questions about is how to deal with rejection. And so I am genuinely concerned that because of different societal factors, because of people who maybe lost out on some social skills during the pandemic, because of people who live a lot of their lives online, there is not that rejection resilience that many of us need in life. So if you want your dream job, you need to go out there, get a lot of nos, and go after it. You don't just sit at home waiting for a LinkedIn recruiter to message you about your dream job. That that doesn't happen. You have to make it happen. And the same thing is true with dating is that you have to shoot your shot. You have to approach people in public. You have to take a risk. And so I'm encountering a lot of people who are very afraid of rejection and are not taking those risks. And I think that it's leading to fewer relationships.
依恋理论
为了深入理解人际关系,嘉宾引入了依恋理论(Attachment Theory: 心理学理论,描述人与人之间情感纽带的形成和发展)。该理论由约翰·鲍尔比(John Bowlby: 英国心理学家、精神分析学家,依恋理论的创始人)在大约60年前提出,最初研究儿童与其主要照顾者之间的依恋关系,现已扩展到成人关系领域。依恋理论将成人分为两种主要类型:焦虑型依恋(Anxiously Attached: 倾向于在关系中寻求过度亲密和担忧被抛弃)的人,他们的爱情故事是“追逐”,担心对方失去兴趣并离开,因此在关系中容易过度发送信息或陷入焦虑。而回避型依恋(Avoidant Attached: 倾向于在关系中保持距离和独立,害怕被束缚)的人,他们的爱情故事是“被束缚”,害怕失去独立性,当关系过于亲密时会选择退缩。这两种类型的人常常相互吸引,形成一种“焦虑-回避循环”,导致双方都不快乐。
Original English
I love this question because I think it speaks to a really real phenomenon where people are experiencing excitement about somebody, but they feel like they need to hold it back to seem cool. And so, I love to talk to people about attachment theory. Has that come up on your podcast? No, let's go into it. Okay. So, attachment theory is something in the world of relationship science that's truly backed by the research. It's something that first came about around 60 years ago with someone named John Bulby. And this research was originally done with children to see their attachments to their primary caregiver. But now we have an entire field of adult attachment specifically around relationships. And so there are people who are anxiously attached. What happens for them is their story of love is that I'm going to chase you. I have to convince you to like me. you might pull away and we're going to have this chase dynamic and that I'm constantly worried that you're not going to be interested in me and you're going to disappear. So, how those people show up in relationships and I know because I really was one of these daters is if you don't hear back from somebody, you start spiraling, they met somebody else, they don't like me anymore, you send a bunch of texts to try to reconnect with them and you're often just in this danger zone where you're not being the person that you want to be because you're trying to have this reconnection moment. you think somebody's going to pull away. Then there's people who are avoidant attached. They sort of have the opposite experience. Their version of love is I'm going to be smothered. I'm going to lose my independence. And when they get too close to somebody, they are the ones pulling away. So they're the ones, you know, great sleepover on a Saturday night, Sunday morning, they wake up, the person hasn't left, and they're like, damn, should I call her an Uber?
安全型依恋与关系节奏
除了焦虑型和回避型,还有第三种是安全型依恋(Securely Attached: 在关系中能够平衡亲密与独立,感到舒适和信任)的人,他们能健康地处理独立与亲密的关系。摆脱“焦虑-回避循环”的方法是成为更安全的人,或者与安全型依恋的人约会。嘉宾分享了自己从追逐型转变为与安全型伴侣建立健康关系的过程。虽然安全型依恋者占人口的50%,但他们通常很快进入稳定关系。对于习惯了回避型伴侣的人来说,安全型伴侣的直接表达(如“我很喜欢你,想再见到你”)可能显得“过于主动”或“无趣”。然而,嘉宾强调应训练人们识别并珍视安全型伴侣,将其视为可靠而非无聊。在约会中,重要的是匹配对方的节奏(Matching Momentum: 在关系发展中与对方保持相似的投入和速度),逐步推进,而非一味向前冲,以免让对方感到压力而退缩。
Original English
Absolutely. What you're talking about is complete true. It's not that those people don't want to be in intimate connection. It's that the fear of being smothered or the fear of being hurt causes them to pull away. I'm going to reject you before you reject me. And so for those avoidant attached people who think that they're going to be smothered and then for the anxiously attached people who think they're going to be abandoned, what ends up happening is they often date each other and they reinforce this idea. So I think that love is a chase. You think that love is being smothered. So when I go after you, you pull away. That reinforces mine and that reinforces yours. And anxious, attached, and avoidant people keep dating each other in this anxious avoidant loop that leaves both people feeling pretty unhappy. But there's a third type of securely attached people. And these are people who have a healthy relationship with independence and with intimacy. I want to be close to you, but I also respect and need my alone time. And so often the way that people get out of the anxious avoidant loop is they either become more secure themselves or they date someone who's secure. And so that's what happened for me after, you know, 10 years of chasing after different people, being rejected, being disappointed, thinking, well, if only I could prove my value, then this guy would like me. Instead, when I dated somebody who was secure, it broke a lot of those patterns. And we formed what I feel like is my first really healthy relationship. What happens is 50% of the population is secure, which sounds like a good thing, but those people are so good at being in relationships that they often get snatched up. Then you have the anxious and avoidant people dating each other. But in the example that you described, it can actually be very secure for somebody to follow up after a date and say, "Hey, I really enjoyed getting to know you. I'd love to see you again. When are you free?" And in that moment, somebody who's used to dating somebody who's avoidant might be like, "Whoa, they're coming on too strong." Or, "That's so obvious. They're so obviously interested. That's boring." But a ton of the work that I do is training people to identify secure partners and to reestablish them in their heads, not as boring, but as secure and to know that those are the people to go after. So sometimes that person who pulls away is exciting that sparky feeling because you don't know if they like you or not. But instead really honoring the person who says, "I like you. I'm interested. When can I see you again?" And so the slight tweak that I would have to yours is not, "I like you. can I see you tomorrow? That does kind of feel a little bit intense, but being clear about like, hey, that was a really great date. I feel like we really connected. I'd love to see you again. And then like working together to come up with the next date. And a lot of dating that people miss is that it's about matching somebody's momentum and matching somebody's speed. So, it's a dance where I take a step forward and then you need to take a step forward. If I take 10 steps forward, you might feel overwhelmed and take a step back. So just paying attention to are you always the one reaching out? Are you always the one making plans? There needs to be momentum matching for the speed to feel right to both people.
提前付出与无悔人生
关于成功与准备,嘉宾强调成功的代价必须提前支付(The Price Has to Be Paid in Advance: 成功需要事先付出努力和准备)。你必须在获得任何结果之前投入工作,因为无法真正衡量准备的充分程度。因此,他总是强调要持续准备、持续努力,因为你不知道竞争对手在做什么。这种准备不能是事后的,不能等到“希望当初更努力”时才后悔。所有必要的准备,如保持状态、学习、分析对手,都必须在前期完成。他指出,人们常常在准备上有所松懈,但关键在于问自己:这真的足够了吗?如果做得更多,会有不同吗?他认为,后悔的痛苦远大于准备的痛苦(The Pain of Regret is Much More Than the Pain of Preparation: 未能努力的悔恨比努力过程中的辛苦更令人痛苦),因为失败的痛苦是短暂的,而未能全力以赴的悔恨却会持续一生。
Original English
Well, I think the big thing about preparation and success is is the price has to be paid in advance. You have to put in the work before you get any results. So there's no way to to honestly know how good your preparation is or isn't. Um, that's why I always try to emphasize, keep preparing, keep working. Um, you don't know what the other guy's doing. He might be, you know, working just as hard as you are. And and that preparation, you know, it can't be after the fact or like, "Oh, I wish I would have studied more." It's too late at that point. You have to do it on the front end. So, um, getting in condition, um, you know, studying, preparing all your film and your opponents and all that, like those things are are all have to be done on the front end. And, you know, a lot of times, uh, there's, I would say, a little bit of a tendency to just sort of let up on the preparation. Well, I watched some film. Well, I've done some extra sprints. Well, I've done this. I've done that. Well, is But is that enough? You know, is it really enough? And and if you do more, will it make a difference? um not to the point of diminishing returns but to the a point of you know comprehensive preparation. So um that that's really what we try to try to um uh emphasize on that. The way that I think about that is sort of that you know the pain of losing is sharp but it's over fairly quickly. But the pain of regret not putting in the work not doing the things you didn't leave it all in the field that lasts forever. Exactly. That's exactly it. The pain of regret is much more than than the pain of preparation. Absolutely.
24小时法则与复盘
在面对比赛的输赢时,嘉宾提到一个24小时法则(24-Hour Rule: 在赢或输之后,只花24小时进行反思和分析,然后继续前进)。比赛结束后,团队会回顾分析哪些做得好,哪些做得差,需要改进什么,以及教练犯了哪些错误。所有这些分析都会被纳入下一周的准备中,决定哪些需要改变,哪些需要加强或减少。24小时过后,无论输赢,团队都会吸取教训,然后将注意力完全转移到下一个对手身上,进行为期五到六天的深入研究和准备。
Original English
I think you had a 24-hour rule. Sort of after win or losses, you have 24 hours to think about it and then you you move on. Is that That's right. Yeah. You play the game, you go back, you analyze it, you what do we do well? What do we do poorly? What do we need to do better? What adjustments should we have made? What coaching errors did we make? And so forth. And and then you you factor all that into, you know, how does that affect us next week? Sometimes there's a lot of carryover. Sometimes the play team you play the following week is completely different. And some of those lessons may not really become applicable for a week or two weeks or three weeks until you see a, you know, a similar type of opponent. Um, say like a scrambling quarterback, you know, maybe you play two or three weeks where those quarterbacks aren't too mobile. and when you get up against another scrambling quarterback, you go back and look at, hey, how, you know, how how do we need to to handle this better uh against this type of an opponent. So, um but yeah, you look at all those things after 24 hours, win or lose or draw, uh you you take your lessons and and you decide how you're going to incorporate any of those things into this week's preparation and practice. Uh what we're going to do differently or maybe do more of or do less of, whatever it is. Um, and then you're done with that and you move on to your opponent and and spend the next uh 5 days, 6 days, whatever it is of just, you know, digging in on that opponent and and what they do.
顶尖人才与自信
谈到NFL(美国国家橄榄球联盟)的顶尖人才与自信的关系,嘉宾指出,即使是NFL的优秀球员,对手同样强大。每支球队通常有五六名精英球员,以及一些有潜力但尚未获得顶薪合同的年轻精英。真正的精英球员,如汤姆·布雷迪(Tom Brady: 美国橄榄球传奇四分卫)、劳伦斯·泰勒(Lawrence Taylor: 美国橄榄球传奇线卫)和帕特里克·马霍姆斯(Patrick Mahomes: 堪萨斯城酋长队四分卫),他们的独特之处在于,即使每周都成为对手的重点防守目标,他们依然能保持高效表现。嘉宾回忆起科比·布莱恩特(Kobe Bryant: 美国篮球传奇巨星)曾与团队分享他职业生涯的进化(Evolving: 适应变化,不断发展和提升能力)。科比提到,年轻时他可以轻松突破得分,但随着年龄增长,他学会了无球跑动、跳投和挡拆配合等新的得分方式。这个故事传递了一个重要信息:在职业生涯中,我们不仅要做好擅长的事情,还要不断学习和进化,走出舒适区,掌握新的技能,使其成为强大的工具。
Original English
Talk to me about the relationship between the best talent in the world and, you know, you're playing in the NFL, you're coaching in the NFL and confidence. Well, again, it's all relative, you know, Shane. I mean, as good as um as good as as the players are in the NFL, um the guys on the other side of the ball are pretty good, too. And uh you know, I'd say every team, generally speaking, every team has about, you know, five or six players that are elite, have elite payments, elite contracts. Uh, and then you might have some younger players in their first through fourth year, you know, two or three, four, whatever those that are elite players that just haven't hit those top contracts yet. Um, but they don't necessarily match up in the same position. You might have a tackle, I might have a guard, you might have a linebacker, I might have a a corner, and so forth. Um, so, uh, the way those elite players match up is is very, um, specific from game to game. and how you want to match them, your your matches against theirs and how you want to deal with that is, you know, that's a big part of it. I think the confidence thing is really um interesting. I think what really separates the great players um is their ability to do it even when the bull's eyes on their back every week. Um like it was with Tom Brady, like it was with Lawrence Taylor, like it is with Patrick Mahomes, um like it is with, you know, players like that, Lamar Jackson and so forth. every week the the teams are geared towards stopping those players and game planning against them or putting their best guy on them or or however they're going to handle them and for those players to continue to be productive um in spite of the game plan attention they get is is what truly makes those players you know great and elite and I I think that um you know when we had Kobe Bryant come in and talk to our team I think it was around 2018 19 somewhere in there And you know, Kobe talked a lot about evolving, you know, and he said, um, you know, look, when I was 22, 23, you know, I could just get the ball and drive by anybody and and score. And he said, I can't do that anymore. I still score, but I found different ways to score, moving without the ball, jump shots, and, you know, being better in pick situations and all those kind of things. um that you know he said I found I found ways to evolve my game um because I just couldn't do the things I used to be able to do as well um but there are other things I found that I can actually do better and I thought that was a great message for all of us to hear that as we um you know as as we go through our careers do the things that are working do the things that you can do well but also evolve continue to learn continue to you know find ways to to be productive that are maybe a little out of your comfort zone or um are not um you know habitual for you now, but if you can become good at them um they can be great, you know, great tools for you.
跨界学习与领导力
嘉宾分享了邀请不同体育领域的成功人士来团队演讲的经历。其中,壁球教练保罗·阿桑特(Paul Asante: 曾带领球队连续赢得14次全国冠军)的分享尤其令人印象深刻。阿桑特强调,无论过去赢得了多少荣誉,每一天都是新的机会,都要充分利用,每天进步,不要纠结于过去。这与新英格兰爱国者队(New England Patriots: 美国橄榄球联盟的著名球队)当时作为常胜之师的处境非常契合。另一个有趣的故事来自橄榄球教练吉米·约翰逊(Jimmy Johnson: 曾带领达拉斯牛仔队赢得超级碗),他在季后赛前的一次会议上,严厉地解雇了一名打瞌睡的特勤组球员,强调如果表现不佳,就没有任何犯错的余地。但当被问到如果是特洛伊·艾克曼(Troy Aikman: 达拉斯牛仔队传奇四分卫)会怎么做时,约翰逊表示他只会轻声提醒。这个故事的寓意是:如果你有足够的成就(“墙上的兽皮”),你会有更多的回旋余地;但如果没有,你就必须时刻保持警惕,因为你随时可能被取代。
Original English
Are there any other people that you brought to speak from sort of different sports that sort of had a different message that resonated with you or the team and just stands out in your mind? Oh yeah, we had a lot of them. Yeah, we had a lot of them and and and it was great because you know the guys, you know, they hear a lot of football stories, but it's good to hear other ones. Uh, one of the ones I thought was particularly entertaining. Couple of them, one was uh Paul Asante. They won like 14 national championships in a row. They won like60ome games in a row, matches in a row. I mean, and at the Patriots, we were favored in almost every game, you know, not every game, but most every game for quite a while. And so, you know, I brought coach Asante in. I said, you know, here's a guy that's won like 13 straight national championships. They won 16ome matches in a row. I mean, you talk about being favored now. Like, they're favored. And and and like, let's listen to what that's really like. And he was great. He talked about it. It doesn't matter whether you are or aren't or how many you have or haven't won. Every day is an opportunity. You make the most out of each day and you just get better each day. and you don't worry about what you've done in the past. You just you look at today's opportunity and make the most out of it. It was great. So, one of our co one of our players sticks his hand up and says, "Hey, coach, I have a question. What's squash?" I thought it was a vegetable. Hey, Jimmy Johnson, you know, we were going into the playoffs and and Jimmy came up and he was doing a um you know, a story on somebody and I said, "Hey, would you mind, you know, talking to teams?" Said, "Sure." So he said, "Yeah, let me tell you a little playoff story here." You know, when I was in Dallas, we were getting ready for the playoffs and we were in a special teams meeting. I'm standing in the back and I see I see one of our one of our players back there kind of dozing off and and not paying attention. And he said he wasn't a he wasn't a starter, but he played in special teams. And he said it just really annoyed me. And so I went over I flipped on the lights, turn the lights on meeting. And I went over to him. I said, "That's it. You fall asleep in this meeting. Uh we don't want you. this is your primary job. You take your playbook and and go see a general manager. You're done. You're cut and everybody like, whoa, you know, that that woke everybody up. And you know, it was right before the playoffs. So, you know, any questions? Um, yeah, coach. Um, what would you have done if that had been Troy Aman? Jimmy said, "Well, I wouldn't have turned on the lights. I probably would have gone over to him and nudged him and said like, "Hey, Troy, pay attention." And the message was if you have a lot of pelts on the wall, you you you might have a little more slack. If you don't have a lot of pelts on the wall, you don't have any room. You don't have any room. You can't live on what you've done because you haven't done enough. You better know where you are. And until if you're Troy Eggman and Tom Brady, you you he go but he goes those guys would never do that anyway. But you that you might be able to survive that. But if you if you don't have that kind of resume, you haven't had that kind of production for this team. So you nobody wants that. You're replaceable. They'll find somebody else who will stay awake in the meetings and who will be more attentive. And uh it's pretty funny. I'd just nudge him and say, "Hey, pay attention."
有效沟通与人才培养
作为领导者,嘉宾认为有效沟通是一个不断演进的过程。许多领导者未能清晰传达信息,导致员工误认为自己表现良好。他主张直接且支持性的反馈(Direct and Supportive Feedback: 坦诚指出问题,并提供帮助和支持的沟通方式),通过绩效评估明确指出员工的优点、不足、需要改进的方面,以及如果取得进步可能达到的高度。这种评估不仅表扬成就,也明确指出了未来一年需要改进的三四个关键领域,并承诺提供帮助,同时描绘了进步后的职业发展轨迹。他称之为坚韧、善良和清晰(Toughness, Kindness, and Clarity: 领导者在沟通中应兼具的特质)。他会深入到细节,例如要求高管深入了解国际市场,并跟踪他们的进展。对于那些具有巨大潜力的“公司资产”(Corporate Assets),他会持续关注和培养,确保他们获得正确的任务和经验,即使无法调动岗位,也能通过有趣的任务获得成长。他寻找那些挑战思维、将公司利益置于个人之上的人,他们会主动承担困难任务,勇于承担责任,并积极寻找改进公司的机会,而非仅仅追求升职加薪。
Original English
As a leader, you've called yourself blunt and direct when delivering a message to people. I'm curious what you've learned about delivering a message that gets heard. You know, it's a evolving process if you want to call it that. Sometimes you people deliver messages that are not heard because you haven't really delivered the message clearly. People actually come out of performance of praise and say, "I think I'm doing a good job." and you're going, "Oh my god, I hope that's not what you heard." You're saying to yourself because this person was supposed to have told you the three or four things areas that you're supposed to improve upon and the three or four things that you did wrong, you're supposed to have gotten very direct feedback. People don't like conflict. People don't like to deal with issues directly. They like to beat around the bush and then leave saying, "I think I gave the person the message." I had the opposite perspective which is give the message do it in a supportive way and make sure that whatever you tell them they have to work on you help them get to that. So I chose to write performance appraisals which said this is what you've done well. This is where I think you didn't do well. This is what you need to work on. And if you were to work on these issues and show progress, this is where you could go. So you see what this letter did was celebrate them for what they did well. Told them what they didn't do well. Told them the three or four things they had to demonstrate progress on in the next year and how I was going to help them. And then also told them if you showed progress this is your trajectory because if we don't do it I think we're not getting the best out of people. There's a kindness and clarity. Toughness kindness and clarity. All three. But don't forget the toughness because you're confronting them and saying, you know, I asked you to really get to know the international markets. You made two trips internationally last year and each trip in three days you came right back. How could you have learned international markets without getting out of the office in the US? Okay. And then you write saying, I'd like you to visit the following countries next year. And when you visit those countries, make sure you go down to this level of detail. You know, some people would say a CEO shouldn't be getting to that level of detail. Yeah, they're right. But if I truly care about this executive and I think they have great potential, I will get to that level of detail and I will monitor it middle of the year and say, "Hey, did you make any international trips? Did you follow anything I said?" And if they say, "Nah, I really don't want to go." Then you go there. You know, you don't have the potential to be a CEO. From the outside, we hear these stories about how CEOs pay attention to the top 50 of the top 100. How many people inside were you really monitoring and trying to develop and having a personal a real onetoone personal relationship where you're doing this and you're in the weeds and you're in the performance report and you're trying to build them. I think there's about three or 400 that were corporate assets and one watch them all the time because these are people who in 15 years could be CEO. There's something about them that you know you sort of caught your fancy when you were in a meeting or uh in some project that they were on they had brilliant ideas not brilliant ideas that reinforced your thinking brilliant ideas that challenged your thinking and took us to a better place because you don't want yes people around you um you want people who say why don't we push the boundaries of our thinking what if we approached this creatively and people who put the company before themselves I look for that all the time And so there were three or 400 people that we actually called them corporate assets and we tracked them to make sure that we game planned them, gave them the right assignments and even if they couldn't move, could we give them interesting assignments so that they could get the experiences without constantly moving. So that's the number of people that we tracked. What were the signs that somebody was putting the company ahead of themselves? they would put their hand up for difficult assignments and um if something went wrong they didn't look for somebody else to blame. They would take the blame and say hey you know I could have done a different job or I could have led differently or I could have staffed my team differently. Um these are people who would come to me and say you know whatever's going on in this other part of the company I think may be putting something in jeopardy and I'm not throwing them under the bus. would it be okay with you if I went and worked with them to perhaps write things? And I say, be careful how you do it, but go for it. And I will tell them that I didn't send you there, that you were doing it out of your own uh good nature. Otherwise, people say, "Oh, the CEO's got some pets that she's sending our way." So, you've got to be very careful how you deal with organizational dynamics. But these are people who look around themselves and are constantly looking for ways to improve the company as opposed to how do I get the next promotion, the next raise.
AI时代下的财务分析与经验
嘉宾认为,在AI时代,人们可能更倾向于将财务报表直接输入AI,让AI告诉他们需要知道什么,但这实际上可能加剧了对深度理解的缺失(Exacerbating the Situation: 使情况变得更糟)。AI可以更快地找到信息,例如公司资本化成本的所有引用,但它无法理解这些引用之间的内在联系(Linkages: 不同信息或概念之间的关联)及其对业务的深层含义。他举例说明,分析一家公司是否将成本资本化,需要理解这如何影响损益表、资产负债表和现金流量表之间的复杂关系。AI可以加速信息获取,但经验(Experience: 通过实践获得的知识和技能)才能提供判断力,理解这些数字背后的意义,并建立心智模型(Mental Models: 人们对世界运作方式的内在表征或简化理解)。他强调,就像学习数学不能直接依赖计算器一样,理解财务报表也需要先掌握基本原理和内在联系,才能有效利用AI提供的信息做出决策。否则,初级分析师的底层工作可能被AI取代,但缺乏“在摸爬滚打中学习”的机会,他们将无法建立起必要的连接和判断力。
Original English
You said a lot of people don't read the footnotes or the financial statements. Is that changing in a world of AI where you can sort of like download the financial statement, pop it into AI and say, "What do I need to know?" I think it's actually exacerbating the situation. Oh, spend a few beats on the because now read the financial statements, Anthony. I just put it into AI. I ask chat GPT to tell me what about this? Look for that. Look for that. And there's there's all the instances of those things and then I just read it and it's all there. Well, did the AI miss it? Did the AI understand the linkages between each of those sightings? If I'm if I'm looking at, for example, I was looking at a company recently and I was looking at it was capitalizing costs. Okay, this is a REIT. And if it capitalizes cost versus putting them through the income statement, if it goes through the income statement, it makes their operating earnings look poor, lower, and their net EPS ultimately. But if they put it on the balance sheet, well, you know, that's an investment in the future and everything looks okay, right? And so there's a gray area. Was it an operating expense or was it a capital item? And so I was first thing I looked for was capitalized interest. And so it gave me all the quotes and then capitalized costs and gave me all the quotes. So then you think that that's enough. But you have to then and I and I was showing one of my guys this. I said, "So then let's go to the income. Let's actually pull up the statements where it told us to go because AI made it faster. I now no longer needed to flip the 300 pages, but it it gave me where to go. So now I went there and now I could say, well, that means if that is what's happened, then we need to look at this other note to see what, you know, the implications of that. And then we got to look at the cash flow statement to see how it's actually impacting what ends up being reported as as cash flow. And so those linkages come it the AI makes me get to the answer perhaps more quickly but it's my if I don't already know where I want to go then AI just gives me information but that information doesn't help my decision if I didn't start with where I want to get to and it sounds like that information doesn't help your decision if you don't know the second third fourth order consequence 100% this is I love it if that's where investors go and that's where they're going everything's going to AI. The the bottom level of being an analyst, the junior analyst is is going to be replaced by an AI. The one that said, "Find me all the references of, you know, where the company capitalized costs." That the AI can do. I get it. But you need someone with experience to know what which of those references matter and to what that means to the business. And this brings about a number of challenges because well if that junior person doesn't learn doesn't get on the in on the ground floor they'll never learn to be able to make all those connections and the only way to learn is sort of like being in the weeds and not being in a yes in fact it ties to so many things I I with my own children I've seen growing up when we went to school and we were in elementary school we would be you know we'd have to do the math tables and and recite them. Yeah. 2 * 2 is four and so on. I remember I was struggled with my with my nine times table and then my 12 times table and so I had to memorize them and get them going. But then my children came along and they were using a calculator and apparently that was okay. I went bananas. I said you're not going to use the calculator. You need to learn it without the calculator and then you can use the calculator. Which is the same with AI. You need to understand how the financial statements are prepared. understand the linkages, develop mental models so that when the AI gives you information, you can you can digest it and make decisions. Reminds me of this funny story. When I started university, uh I ended up in first year calculus. And for whatever reason, the professor who was supposed to teach that class couldn't teach it. So, the dean of the math department took over. And on the first class, in the first like minute, he said, "There'll be no calculators in this class." Oh, nobody of course listened to him cuz graphing calculator, you're like, "Oh my god, this makes my life so much easier, would show up to the final exam, which is like I think 80% of your final mark." Yeah. And on the front page, it's no calculators. And he did not grade that on a curve. And it was not pretty for most students. I taught at university for about uh 14 years at York and uh truly one of a very fulfilling time uh in my life and uh I still love doing guest lectures. I remember I I I would always start the you know I would go over the outline and I and I would tell the students I said so assignments are due at the beginning of class. If they're handed in after the 8:30 start time it's a zero. It's a zero. And invariably at some whether it was the first and usually the first or second assignment, somebody would show up and hand it in late and I would say it's a zero. Yeah. And they would whine and say it's how can you do that and you're so draconian? And I said, 'Well, you think in the real world when an RFP is required and you've signed with the contract with a client that they demand a report by 9:00 a.m. on Monday and you show up at 9:05. How's that look? And somehow it's okay. So, it wasn't okay in my class. And and ultimately, I think you you build respect because people see that there's a rule and it's followed and then people have respect for the rule. There's this sort of like weird dichotomy I think with students right now and dichotomy is probably not the right word. There's this weird path where students are coming out and they're more powerful and capable than ever because they use AI by default and so they can get more output than somebody who's maybe been in their career 15 20 years. And I I use my 14year-old as an example. You know, in a world where he never had to show up to work, he's a mid-level employee at most companies based on output. If you never saw him, he can give you the the exact same output that a mid-level employee is going to give you if everything goes right. But the minute something goes wrong, he doesn't quite understand all the nuances and all the and AI the I guess the race for him is like, will AI catch up quicker? You know, because he uses AI by default. And I sort of think about this as like making a recipe, right? Like if I pull out a cookbook and I make a recipe and I do everything perfectly, you wouldn't be able to tell the difference between me and the chef. Like the food maybe it's not plated as well, but it's going to taste great. It's going to taste the same. You'd be like, "This is amazing." But if something goes wrong, if the oven's too hot, if I don't stir enough, I don't put enough salt in. I don't know why it didn't go right. But the minute a chef, the chef who created that recipe, who's got all the experience, who did the, you know, who's made it hundreds of times, they taste it, they're like, "Oh, your oven said 375, but it's actually 350. You stirred this too much. You let this boil. You They instantly know what went wrong." And I wonder if in a world of AI, that's the nuance. And I I was talking to Steve Schwarzman about this in a different context, but he basically said, you know, a lot of the analysts coming up, they know the numbers, but they don't know what the numbers mean. Correct. Experience teaches you judgment and and you talk about this in your book. It's all about the mental models. I I I believe that strongly. The experience teaches you what the numbers mean as we've spoken about. And when you have experience, you say, "I've seen that before." And a lot of the things I see happening today link back to things I've seen when I started my career over the last 30 years. And I think that's something that the AI can't quite do unless you tell it where to look because it doesn't know the link that I'm thinking about. Right? But if I if I can make the initial stage, it can help me get there quicker and more accurately, but if I don't if I don't already have a model of what I'm looking for, it's not going to get there.
信任与喜欢:情感启发式
关于信任与喜欢之间的关系,嘉宾指出两者是相关的,但并非完全等同。你可以相信一个你不喜欢的人会做某事,例如相信一个敌对国家会兑现其威胁。然而,喜欢一个人会让你更倾向于相信他们,反之亦然。他认为“喜欢”在决策中被低估了,并提到了情感启发式(Affect Heuristic: 一种心理捷径,人们根据对某事物的积极或消极感受来做决策)。我们的大脑为了快速决策,会使用心理捷径,其中一个重要的捷径就是:如果我们喜欢或对某事感到舒适,就更可能认为它是真实的、有能力的、聪明的。因此,“喜欢”是这种启发式判断的核心。
Original English
So, you use the word trust, and I'm wondering, is there a nuance with likability? Cuz I had heard before, and I don't know where I got this from, but I remember reading something about like we're more convinced by people we like, and you use the word trust, and I'm wondering if that was conscious. We're more convinced by people we like and we like people that we trust. Um so they are related. It is it is possible to believe someone you don't like. Right? It is um like picture someone that you really dislike and they say they're going to do something but you immediately believe that they're going to do it. So let's say that there's some foreign adversary who makes a threat and you believe that they'll follow through on their threat because they usually do even if you don't like them. That is possible. But there definitely is a link between um if you like someone you're more likely to believe them and if you if you believe someone you're more likely to like them. Uh and I think that liking is actually really underrated. So have you heard of the affect heristic? Yeah. It's you know we have different decision-m heristics. We have mental shortcuts because we don't have all the time in the world. This is like an evolutionary thing that everybody has this we don't train it just it just comes with us you know out of the box. We don't have all the time in the world to take in every single piece of information and make a decision all the time. Sometimes it's like if you see smoke, you just got to go, right? And so we make um we take mental shortcuts all the time. And one of the big mental shortcuts is if we like something and feel comfortable with something, it's more likely to be real. Someone we like is more likely to be competent. Someone we like is more likely to be smart. All these things just kind of go together. And so liking is at the center of that.
建立信任的要素
建立信任有两个关键要素。首先是重复接触(Repeated Exposure: 持续地与某人或某事互动),让人不再是陌生人。人们不会信任一个完全陌生的人,但会信任一个通过持续互动而有所了解的人,即使从未真正见过面(如准社会关系)。其次是建立共同价值观(Shared Values: 双方认同的核心信念)。如果你和对方有相似的喜好或核心信念,你更可能信任他们的意见。在辩论或争论中,一个有效的策略是先找到与对方的共同点,即使是微不足道的,以此建立“我们有可能观点一致”的基础,从而进行更富有成效的对话。嘉宾还观察到,在网络上,当攻击者被被攻击者本人以礼貌的方式(如“感谢您的反馈”)回应时,攻击者往往会立刻退缩。萨姆·奥特曼(Sam Altman: OpenAI首席执行官)在这方面做得很好,他会亲自出面捍卫他的员工和公司,这种人性化的回应往往能有效化解网络上的敌意。
Original English
You mentioned that we can engineer trust. How do we do that? One is repeated exposure. So in order to trust somebody, first you have to have a sense of who they are. Like you won't you wouldn't trust a stranger. You wouldn't trust a mystery man. So one is you have to know who who are they. They have to show up enough for you get a for you to get a sense of you actually know them and they're not a total stranger to you. It's hard to trust a stranger, but it's easy to trust even a stranger that you have a parasocial relationship with because they're not a stranger. There are people that you've never met in your life who would trust you because to them you're not a stranger. So, first is just become not a stranger. Second is establish a set of shared values. I wouldn't necessarily trust your opinion on a restaurant unless I knew that you and I like the same type of food. So if you are like a vegan that hates spicy food and whatever, I I probably wouldn't take your restaurant recommendation, um even if I like you as a person, right? So you you have to establish some shared baseline of values. Here are some core things that I believe about the world and if you share them, then listen to what I have to say next. If you don't share them, that's okay, right? Not everybody has to share them. So they have to get a sense of who you are and you're not a stranger. And they have to get a sense of how you think and how you view things such that when you say other things, they already have ingrained in their mind that they think like you think and therefore if you believe this thing, they're more likely to believe that thing too. This is how to resolve a debate or an argument. By the way, the better way to argue, and you see really uh smooth people like Gav Gavin Newsome does this on his podcast, maybe a little bit too slick, but he's clearly very good at it, is he'll have somebody who totally disagree with with him on a bunch of things. And he'll always make sure to start with agreeing with them on something, even if it's trivial. I agree with you that that thing was totally insane. And now we can have a productive conversation because we've established that it's even possible for you and me to see things the same way as opposed to your knee-jerk assumption that it wouldn't be possible. I wonder if that's why so many years almost never disagree with you. When you are like oh I taste whatever in this wine they're like possibly or you know like [laughter] in their head they're like no way like that's completely different taste but they they never actually come out and say no they always sort of like bridge a little bit of a gaping and then they'll like direct you or steer you towards what they want you to notice. That's interesting. I'm a tea totler so I'm the person that if I sniff a wine I'm like I think it's wine [laughter] but but what I have noticed which is related to this is do you ever see online when people are insulting someone or dunking on someone but then that person shows up and says thanks for your feedback the original person who was insulting them or dunking on them almost immediately folds like a cheap suit. Have you seen this? Yeah. almost immediately they fold. Hey man, thank you. No, totally understand. I would be doing the same thing. I got you. Like what what just happened? And it's because once you're actually confronted by a person instead of just like a concept or some kind of nebulous idea of a person or or some representation of a person like once the person is there talking to you, even if it's online, we behave in a completely different way. And so one of the things I tell founders to do is just to show up and defend yourself. You know, defend your people, defend your companies. Sam Alman is really good at this. He defends his employees. And it's very hard, even as much as with any public figure, people like to dunk and hate and insult. And when he shows up, a lot of the time, you see the person immediately fold cuz they're just like flattered or they don't want to fight with him directly or something. It's one of the most powerful things is just to put a human in their way.
拥抱失败与创业精神
嘉宾强调,在创业中,拥抱失败(Embracing Failure: 接受失败并从中学习的态度)至关重要。他以本·弗朗西斯(Ben Francis: 健身服装品牌Gymshark创始人)为例,指出Gymshark(英国健身服装品牌)并非他的第一个成功公司,他曾经历多次失败才创立了它。创业者需要计算失败的成本(Cost of Failure: 失败可能带来的负面影响),并权衡成功的潜在收益是否值得承担这些成本。他认为,许多人因为害怕失败而不敢尝试,但真正适应不适感是成功的秘诀(Getting Comfortable with Being Uncomfortable is Magic: 习惯于不适是成功的关键)。这种能力并非天生,而是可以通过学习和培养韧性(Resilience: 面对逆境、挫折和失败时,能够适应并恢复的能力)来获得。他所敬佩的成功人士,无一例外都经历过“看起来很傻”的阶段。他通过自己的小项目,如Big Shot(嘉宾的播客项目)和Firebelly,向孩子们展示创业的艰辛和从失败中学习的过程,让他们明白成功需要纯粹的毅力(Sheer Grit: 纯粹的坚韧不拔的毅力)和意志力(Willpower: 控制自己行为和思想的能力),并非一蹴而就。
Original English
I have very high cringe, pain tolerance, whatever you want to call it. I have no issue with that whatsoever. I think that there is this gets easier also with age. I find the older I get, the less I really I really care about that stuff. But yeah, I think most people are not willing to look stupid for a period of time. I think the other thing is that I think about this all from the the concept of like entrepreneurship. in my office uh here here in Montreal Shopi office. I have the original screen print uh that Ben Francis used to create Gym Shark. It was a gift. It's a super meaningful gift that he gave me. I love it. I have it hung up in my office. Part of the reason why it's up there is because I think that it's an amazing gift and Gym Shark is this homegrown success story on Shopify. It exemplifies everything we stand for. It's incredible. But the other reason I have it up there is because what most people don't know is that that was not Ben Francis's first company. that Ben Francis actually had a bunch of failed companies before he landed on Gym Shark. And I think about this idea of this cost of failure, not just from entrepreneurship perspective, but in general, you have to basically figure out with any anything you're doing, what is the cost of failure here? If the cost of failure is really high, you really have to think about it. It's you have to sort of do a little bit of like the math of is the cost of is is the benefit of success worth the cost of failure? In some ways, it's just not. But I mean, for $39 a month, you can build a store. It's not a pitch for Shopplay, but $39 you can build a store. If it works, blow it up. If it doesn't work, try something else. There are still too many people that are apprehensive that that that don't want to put themselves out there because of this fear of failure. And I've long believed that, you know, getting really really comfortable with being uncomfortable is magic. It's totally magic. And I wasn't always good at that. I don't think you need to be born with that. I think you can learn that. I think you you can learn resilience, but I don't I don't know anyone that I admire who's had success who has not gone through that period of making kind of look looking kind of dumb. I don't have you ever watched the first interview you've ever done? Me? Oh god. Yeah. I wouldn't listen to the first I think like 20 or 30 of them. I wanted to get a catalog and then I wanted to listen to them. Sure. And then I I went for like a really long run and I started listening to them and I was like, "Oh my god." And it's like, "I should have asked this followup. Why did I phrase it that way?" And um like you, I'm incredibly hard on myself. Came back, went through every transcript. And like I was like, I want to get better at this for everybody else. But yeah, there is no secret to why you've been so successful in my in my view. I've known you now for a number of years. You you simply outcare other people. And I think that outcaring thing supersedes IQ, EQ, raw talent.
超越他人与内在驱动力
嘉宾认为,超越他人(Outcaring: 比他人更投入、更关心)是一种超能力(Superpower: 超越常人的能力)。他更倾向于选择那些拥有50%能力但投入100%热情的人,而不是拥有100%能力却只投入50%热情的人。他相信技能可以培养,但内在的雄心(Innate Deep-Rooted Ambition: 源自内心深处的强烈进取心)或“关心程度”是难以改变的。当有人问他应该做什么时,他常会问对方“你喜欢做什么?”因为人们通常会对自己真正热爱的事情投入更多,即使缺乏原始技能,也能通过学习变得擅长。他希望自己的孩子能理解成功的来之不易,而非仅仅归因于命运或运气。他希望他们看到,成功是纯粹的毅力(Sheer Grit: 纯粹的坚韧不拔的毅力)和意志力(Willpower: 控制自己行为和思想的能力)的体现,并且在开始时会很艰难。
Original English
Double click on that for a second. I think that I will take someone. It's the reason why I like entrepreneurs so much that I think entrepreneurs, the right entrepreneurs, the best entrepreneurs, they just simply outcare other people. they are willing to if you put two people in a room um one person has 50% capacity another person 100% capacity but that 100% capacity person is just not caring as much of 50%. I think I can help that 50% person get more skill. I'm not sure I can change their level of ambition. I think you can change ambition but I think like sheer innate deeprooted ambition uh which call it care whatever whatever nomenclature you want to use. I think that is a superpower and it's also the reason why when I meet someone they say what do you think I should do with my life? I often ask them, "What what do you do for fun?" Because often the what you do for fun question ends up turning into, "I really want to be a fashion designer." And I'm like, "You should go be a fashion designer. Even though you've never done it, you may not have the raw skills. You will learn those skills, but you seem to really care about this thing. You're probably going to be good at it." Is there a difference between who cares the most and who wants it more or like how do you see that nuance? I look at them the same in my view. Um, usually high care comes from high intent or high uh an elevated level of desire to succeed. I'm trying to teach my kids that right now. I I spent a lot of You know, this is kind of weird, but I kind of wish I had kids preipo rather than post IPO. Why? I think whatever success that I've had and success of of of things I've been involved with, they are more meaningful to me because obviously I know where I come from. I know how hard it was. But I also see how Lindsay how my wife sees my relationship with things I've done in particular with Shopify. Lindsay has great a wonderful emotional connection. It's Shopify for Lindsay, even my wife, is not just a company. She remembers, you know, those early days. She remembers those like being on top of Tucker's Marketplace and the Byward Market, uh, the office stunk, like the buffet restaurant and and struggling. This is preip pre series A even. And and I I like that. I love that she knows that she knows how meaningful because she's seen the entire journey. Um, my my kids were born in the last 8 years or so. They kind of only know our life being pretty good. Our lives changed post IPO. I don't think that's a secret financially. My my life changed and and and I don't take it for granted. But I kind of wish they knew what Lindsay and my first apartment looked like in in Ottawa, Canada, and how gross it was. It wasn't gross because it was dirt. It was just was a nice apartment because we couldn't afford anything else. And so what I often what Lindsay often tells me is just like yeah the kids didn't see that but but tell them those stories. And so I do I tell those kids I tell my daughters the stories of those early days and how scary it was and we didn't know if it was going to succeed or not. And I want them to see that. I think I don't want them to think any of this came simply because it was fate or just kind of happened or you know uh I mean luck plays a role here but this was sheer grit and willpower and it still is. Um part of the reason why I like starting these small project like Big Shot or Firebelly is I I want the kids to see that. I want the kids to see this thing that, you know, that first episode of Big Shot we did was it was Charles Bronman. It didn't do very well. I wasn't very good at it. I wasn't a good interviewer. I didn't know what questions to ask. Dave and I were kind of awkward fumbling along together. And Bailey, my eldest, has sort of memorized most of that episode. And now she watches that. She They love watching Big Shot. They also watched the most recent episode, Bobby Kodc, who built Activision Blizzard. We put that out last week. And uh and I love watching her see the difference in style and and the articulation because I want her to know that like all the things she wants in her life she can have but it won't be easy. No one's going to give it to her and it's going to kind of suck at the beginning.
内在卓越与拥抱不适
在追求卓越的道路上,嘉宾强调了内在卓越(Inner Excellence: 内在的优秀品质和能力)的三个支柱:信念(Belief)、自由(Freedom)和专注(Focus)。当感到紧张和不适时,关键在于选择是追求一次性的成功,还是提升自己在这些时刻的表现,即驾驭自我(Master My Ego: 控制自我意识,不被他人看法所困扰)。大多数人在不适时刻会退缩,害怕看起来愚蠢。然而,最成功的人却愿意看起来愚蠢,愿意犯错。实现这一点的关键在于认识到,最不适的时刻正是成长的关键(When I'm the Most Uncomfortable, That's the Moment That's the Key for You: 最不适的时刻是个人成长的关键)。将这些时刻视为“老师”,并理解目标不是结果,而是愿意身处其中而不退缩(Willingness to Be in This Moment and Not Back Away: 愿意面对挑战而不退缩)。即使失败十次,最终也会适应这些时刻,技能才能得到突破。嘉宾还引用了他的精神导师尼克·奥斯本(Nick Osborne)的观点,将不适比作一件“大两码的夹克”,这是为了让你成长。这与布莱恩·厄拉克(Brian Urlacher: 职业橄榄球名人堂线卫,原文为Brian Erlocker)的观点不谋而合:大多数NFL球员犯错后会变得犹豫,而他则不会,这正是所需的勇气和不屈不挠的精神。
Original English
Whenever you're in that moment when you're nervous and you really want something, obviously the best performance comes when you have freedom. But it's easy to get attached to that because you're like thinking, okay, this is really important. And so we get attached to it and have tension. So what you can do is ask yourself, what do I want more in this moment to be successful right here this one time or to get better at these moments? In other words, to master my ego, to not be so caught up in what people think. So, what happens to most people is that they come to these points in their lives where they're really uncomfortable. Maybe they're giving a speech or playing ping pong in front of a bunch of people. It doesn't matter what it is. You if you're nervous and other people are watching, they come to those moments where they're really uncomfortable and they back away because they're too uncomfortable. They're too afraid of of looking foolish in front of others. Whereas the most successful people, they're willing to look foolish. They're willing to make mistakes. And so, I think a lot of people know that, but how do we get there? And so in that moment, it's ask it's realizing that when I'm the most uncomfortable, that's the moment that's the key for you. And it's it's principle number one for inner excellence. Everything is here to teach me and help me. It's all working for my good. So we're going to go look for those moments when you're most uncomfortable. And and say and remind yourself, this is my teacher. And inner excellence is about expanding what you believe is possible. There's three pillars of inner excellence. Belief, freedom, and focus. to be fully engaged in the moment, have freedom to play like a child and and expand what you believe is possible, to become to do things you've never done and become someone you've never been and to expand what you believe is possible. Kind of that crucial pillar is we need to find those moments where we're uncomfortable and we need to embrace that moment. And the way we do it is we understand that the key thing here is not the outcome, but it's my willingness to be in this moment and not back away. It doesn't matter if you fail horribly. You do that 10 times and fail horribly 10 times, eventually you're going to get comfortable in those moments and then your skills will be able to match and break through. But people don't break through because they come to those moments and they shy away. I mean, this is we've all done it. I've done it way too many times. What do you struggle with today in relation to that? Anything? Well, it's the same thing everyone struggles with when I come to those moments. I'm like, "Oh, I'm so uncomfortable right now." And then sometimes I've forgotten. It's like I had this conversation with my spiritual mentor um Nick Osborne and he said what God does is he gives you a jacket that's two sizes too big and that's what a loving parent does when you're four or five years old. You don't buy them a a jacket that's perfectly fit because they're going to grow out of it too fast. So they're going to the parents going to buy them a jacket that's a little bit too big, right? So they can grow into it. And he said that's what God does. He gives you this jacket that's too big and then you put it on you're like whoa this is not good. This is not right. This doesn't feel right. What's happened? And that's what I felt so much. It's like, okay, this is not okay, what's happening. I don't I don't get it. This is uncomfortable. But God did that intentionally. He's doing that intentionally because that's where you need to self-reliance is the biggest problem that I face. And because I've got very little power. I've got very little ability. I've I've only seen the world through this little lens that I've I want to be able to see all of reality. And so to do that, I need to surrender my little power. is part of this reframing failure into there's no such thing as failure. It's just it's not a verdict. It's like data. Yeah. Redefining success and failure for sure. Like the Hall of Fame linebacker Brian Erlocker told me that I asked him, "What is the difference between you and the best performers that you've ever in NFL that you've ever competed against?" And he said, "Most NFL players, they make a mistake and they get tentative." I make a mistake and I don't get tentative. And so that's that's that courage. That's that willingness to fail. That's that relentlessness that's needed. So that's what happens. I mean, it happens with people, too. Like if you give a talk at work and you know, it doesn't go quite right. It's in your head the next time you do it. So you're less likely to be successful in a way. But the counterbalance to that would be, okay, well, what do we do? We do more preparation. We, you know, we go through our mistake. We reflect on it. We learn from it. And then we sort of like let go of it, move on so we don't make the same mistake again. Yeah. So failure that's all um obviously big part of it and you know there's one of the principles the presupposition is there's no failure only feedback. If the emotional part is is the the issue. If there's no emotional aspect to it then then you know what does it matter if you fail.
📌 文中提及的人物和组织
人物: Sam Altman, Steve Jobs, Jeff Bezos, Kobe Bryant, Ben Francis, Steve Schwarzman, John Bulby
公司/组织: OpenAI, Zappos, Shopify, Gym Shark, Airbnb, Meta, Activision Blizzard
产品/模型: ChatGPT, Sierra, Remarkable, Basecamp