美古关系新动态
纳塔莉·凯特罗夫 (Natalie Ketrov): 大家好,我是《每日新闻》的纳塔莉·凯特罗夫。周三,美国以谋杀罪名起诉了古巴前领导人、共产主义将军劳尔·卡斯特罗 (Raul Castro)。这些指控源于几十年前的一起事件,当时三名美国人在古巴政府的行动中丧生。这是特朗普政府旨在对该岛施压、推动政治变革的一系列升级行动中的最新举措。今天,我将与我的同事弗朗西斯·罗巴斯 (Francis Robas) 深入探讨针对卡斯特罗的诉讼背后的故事,并请朱利安·巴恩斯 (Julian Barnes) 解析美国政府在古巴问题的真实诉求。今天是5月21日,星期四。
Original English
Natalie Ketrov: From the New York Times, I'm Natalie Ketrov. This is the Daily. On Wednesday, the US charged Cuba's former leader and Communist General Raul Castro with murder. The charges stem from Castro's role in a decades old incident when three Americans were killed by the Cuban government and they were the latest escalation in the Trump administration's campaign to force political change on the island. Today, my colleagues Francis Robas on the story behind the charges against Castro and Julian Barnes on what the American government really wants from Cuba. It's Thursday, May 21st.
迈阿密的象征性发布会
纳塔莉·凯特罗夫: 弗朗西斯,欢迎回到节目。你刚从迈阿密的一场司法部新闻发布会出来,你还在车里,感谢你抽空参与。请告诉我们发布会的情况。
弗朗西斯·罗巴斯: 这非常有趣。我报道司法事件、新闻发布会、案件宣布很多年了,但我没见过这样的场景。发布会通常在法院、检察官办公室或司法部举行。但他们这次把会场选在了自由塔 (Freedom Tower)。这是一个历史建筑,在20世纪60年代和70年代初,它是古巴难民中心,是古巴流亡者来到迈阿密后的“埃利斯岛”。
纳塔莉·凯特罗夫: 这里的象征意义很强。
弗朗西斯·罗巴斯: 100%是这样。而且,今天正好是古巴独立日 (Cuban Independence Day)。数百名政客、市长、联邦检察官齐聚一堂,这简直是迈阿密古巴流亡社区的“名人堂”。
Original English
Natalie Ketrov: Frenchie, welcome back to the show. You just got out of this Department of Justice press conference in Miami. You are in fact still in your car, and we appreciate you making the time. So, tell us what it was like.
Francis Robas: It was so interesting. I've been covering judicial events and press conferences and court cases and announcements for many, many years and I can't say I've ever seen one quite like this. Usually these are held at, you know, either at a courthouse or an office, maybe the district attorney's office or DOJ. So they held it at the Freedom Tower. So that's the first thing that was really fascinating. It's a really important historic building in Miami. It's kind of a cool old looking tower. And the reason it's an important location is because in the 1960s and the early 70s it was the Cuban Refugee Center. So it's basically Ellis Island for Cuban exiles. It was the first stop for many many thousands of people who left Cuba after the revolution and came to live in Miami.
Natalie Ketrov: So a lot of symbolism there for people.
Francis Robas: Oh 100% a lot of symbolism. And not only that, this event was held uh today's Wednesday, May 20th, which is Cuban Independence Day. So that's uh you know, symbolism squared for this event. An event where hundreds of people came to attend, politicians, mayors, federal prosecutors who haven't worked there in decades. I mean, it was a who's who of the Cuban exile community of Miami.
起诉劳尔·卡斯特罗
纳塔莉·凯特罗夫: 这一消息是如何发布的?
弗朗西斯·罗巴斯: 首先发言的是迈阿密戴德学院 (Miami Dade College) 的校长玛琳·普马加 (Maline Pumarga),她是一位古巴裔美国女性。这说明这不仅仅是一场法律执法活动,更是一场社区活动。之后,她介绍了美国代理司法部长托德·布兰奇 (Todd Blanch),全场起立欢呼。
托德·布兰奇: 今天,我们宣布起诉劳尔·卡斯特罗及其他几人,指控他们阴谋杀害美国公民。
弗朗西斯·罗巴斯: 布兰奇提到“阴谋杀害美国公民”时,全场再度起立鼓掌。卡斯特罗还面临包括摧毁飞机在内的四项谋杀罪指控。
Original English
Natalie Ketrov: Okay. And what happens at this event? How do the charges get rolled out?
Francis Robas: I was kind of struck, to be honest, that the first speaker was Maline Pumarga, who's a Cuban-American woman, the president of Miami Date College. The building that we were in is part of Miami Date College. And so it was interesting to me because she's a very prominent member of the community, but she's not a prosecutor. So it told you a lot. It says that this isn't just a quote unquote judicial or law enforcement event. This is a community event. And to our brothers and sisters in Cuba, we hear you. Freedom will come. Huva will be lied. It's an important event to the city of Miami and the people in this entire community who have been waiting 30 years for this day. It is now my distinct honor representing all of you to introduce the United States acting attorney general Todd Blanch. And she introduced the attorney general, the acting attorney general, Todd Blanch. The hundreds of people in the room got up and gave him a standing ovation before the man even opened his mouth. Everybody was cheering him on because they knew what he was about to say. Thank you. Thank you very much. It's great to be here in the great state of Florida.
Natalie Ketrov: And what did he say?
Francis Robas: Yeah, he got right into it. Today, we are announcing an indictment charging Rul Castro and several others with conspiracy to kill US nationals. just one of his first words were a conspiracy to kill US nationals and they had to break after that because everyone got up to their feet and started applauding him again and he just started reading out the charges. Mr. Castro and the others are charged with additional crimes as well including destruction of aircraft and four individual counts of murder. He was being charged with conspiracy to kill US nationals, two counts of destruction of aircraft, and four counts of murder.
1996年悲剧背景
纳塔莉·凯特罗夫: 这场诉讼指的是什么事件?
弗朗西斯·罗巴斯: 事件发生在1996年。但在那之前,90年代发生了古巴人大量涌向美国的海上危机。于是诞生了一个名为**“救援兄弟会”** (Brothers to the Rescue) 的组织。他们是由古巴裔美国飞行员组成的非营利组织,他们通过小飞机搜寻海上遇险的古巴难民并呼叫海岸警卫队救援。之后,克林顿政府与古巴达成协议,拦截试图离岛的人。该组织因此失去了原有的救援使命,开始采取更具挑衅性的抗议行动,如在古巴上空撒传单。古巴政府对此极为愤怒。1996年2月24日,古巴军方击落了该组织两架飞机,造成四人死亡,包括三名美国公民。当时卡斯特罗是国防部长,他下达了命令。
Original English
Natalie Ketrov: And just explain what these charges are really about. What is the incident that they're referring to when they talk about murder?
Francis Robas: The incident that this case is about occurred in 1996. But really to tell that story, I'm going to go back further. I'm going to go a little early in the 90s. There was a point in the 90s where Cubans were literally throwing themselves to the sea to make it to the United States. They were doing that on inner tubes. They were doing that on old cars that they rebuilt into a boat on on rafts. And so it becomes what's known as the Cuban rafter crisis because there's so many people, literally thousands and thousands of people that were in the sea trying to make it to the United States. And so with that crisis is born an organization called Brothers to the Rescue. And what they were doing, they were Cuban-American pilots who raised money to buy small planes. And they would fly over the straits of Florida between the Florida Keys and Cuba. And it's where many, many people died trying to make their way to the United States. So they would fly over the waters and they would spot somebody, you know, on a raft, in an inner tube, what have you, and they would call the Coast Guard for help. So, this is a nonprofit organization that is attempting to help these people that are migrating on mass from Cuba. Absolutely. They saved hundreds, if not thousands of people. They did over 2,000 flights. It was a big deal. The Coast Guard was overwhelmed. The Coast Guard couldn't handle the volume. There was a point in the summer of 1994, Natalie, this is a true story, where there were about 2,000 people a day were showing up in Key West. Crazy. So, why do I start with that? So, the reason that's important is because at some point the situation gets so dire that the Clinton administration and the Cuban government reach an accord. People will try to prevent people from leaving the island and the United States agrees that when people are caught, they're going to be turned back. And so what does that mean? It means that the brothers to the rescue kind of no longer has a mission. Mhm. So they change their missing and they start getting a little bit more provocative and poking a stick in the eye of Fidel Castro. How so? They started dropping leaflets over Cuba. They dropped religious medallions, doing things like that that were a little bit more protest actions as opposed to rescue missions. The Cuban government was furious. They felt like this was an illegal incursion into their airspace. They kept on turning to the Clinton administration saying, "You guys got to put a stop to this." Everybody in their mother warns the organization, "You got to stop. This is going to blow up in your face." And the founder of the organization was a man named Jose Basulto. He felt really strongly that this was his right. This was his right as a Cuban, as a Cuban American. And he was going to continue those flights. And he did. And what happened? So one day, February 24, 1996, he left an airport outside of Miami. He and two other planes left and they fly down to Cuba that day. They did cross what's known as the 24th parallel. It's international airspace, but to the Cubans, they shouldn't have been there. And so the Cubans on air traffic go. They're on air traffic control. And Jose Basula, who's the founder of Brothers to the Rescue, as he's supposed to, he announces himself to the air traffic control and he says, "Good afternoon. This is Jose Basuta from Brothers to the Rescue. You know, it's a beautiful day up in the skies above Havana." And the Cuban air traffic control responds to him saying, you know, if you're below the 24th parallel, that's an activated zone. That was the word that they used. and he says, "This is my right as a free Cuban." And they continue their journey. And so the Cuban government, the Cuban military shot two of the planes out of the sky, killing four people, including three US citizens. I can't even describe for you the sense of shock throughout South Florida.
特朗普政府的压力策略
纳塔莉·凯特罗夫: 这是特朗普政府对古巴压力政策的一部分吗?
弗朗西斯·罗巴斯: 绝对是。美国上周刚切断了对古巴的石油供应,导致哈瓦那等地每天停电22小时。岛上的生活变得极其艰难。
纳塔莉·凯特罗夫: 当地人怎么看?
弗朗西斯·罗巴斯: 观点呈代际差异。老年人倾向于指责美国,而年轻人更多指责古巴政府管理不善。古巴政府声称这是美国的非法行为甚至种族灭绝,试图推卸自身责任。
Original English
Natalie Ketrov: And this ties to Rul Castro because I assume this is when he's Secretary of Defense. Is that right?
Francis Robas: He was the defense minister and he gave the order. I mean, I don't think that there's too much doubt about that because big pilots in Cuba are not going to be shooting planes out of the sky without very clear chain of command orders.
Natalie Ketrov: And just explain why, if it was so clear, didn't the US bring charges against him? Then
Francis Robas: I've asked that same question to a number of former federal prosecutors and the sense that I got was it would just be really destabilizing to diplomatic relations even though we didn't really have any and destabilizing in the region.
Natalie Ketrov: Okay, obviously now there is the political will to indict Ro Castro who we should say is a 94 year old man. He was once the president of Cuba, but he's not anymore. But what you're saying is that targeting him is part of what you've already told us the last time you came on the show, which is there has been this escalating pressure campaign by the Trump administration on the Cuban regime. You see this as another step in that?
Francis Robas: Absolutely, Natalie. I do see this as the latest step in that escalating campaign. The Trump administration cut off oil to Cuba last week. They announced they don't have any reserves left. That means places like Havana are going 22 hours a day without electricity. We keep asking people what's it like when the power goes out that long. And I've gotten a very similar answer several times that no, no, no. It's not when the power goes out that's the problem. It's when the power comes on. Because the power comes on at maybe 11:00 at night or 12:00 and you got to jump out of bed and you have to charge your phone. you have to charge your laptop and if you're, you know, a family, you know, ahead of a household, you're getting a pot of rice and beans on the stove to cook the next day's meals. You're hearing really, really dramatic stories like that. People having to walk hours and hours to their jobs. People are not able to work because their work depends on having electricity and having internet. It's a really terrible situation. And when you talk to Cubans on the island, who do they blame for this? Do they blame the US or their own government?
Francis Robas: I would say that the answer to that tends to be generational. I think older people are blaming the United States. You know, the the talking points from the government is certainly that this is all the United States's fault. And the younger people are much more apt to blame the Cuban government and for the mistakes that it's made during the management of its country that led to this fiasco. Okay. And what about the reaction inside of the Cuban government? What are they saying about this vice grip that the Trump administration has on them?
Francis Robas: They say it's an illegal I think they've used the word genocide. that it's going to lead to a blood bath and that it will be the United States's fault. They don't recognize any errors that they've ever made. And they 100% see this as the fault of the Trump administration. And this is a group of people who are used to weathering hard times and still holding on to power, kind of fighting through. And it sounds like they're still doing that. It's been 67 years and they have had really severe hardship in the past and they've always weathered and I think a lot of people feel that maybe the Trump administration is underestimating the degree to which these people will want to hang on to power at any cost.
美国的目标与博弈
纳塔莉·凯特罗夫: 朱利安,美国的最终目标是什么?
朱利安·巴恩斯 (Julian Barnes): 具体终端目标尚不明确,但压力会持续增加。这是在向古巴政府释放信号:委内瑞拉发生的事情可能在古巴重演。我们调查显示,特朗普总统希望保留军事撤离的选项,尽管这在古巴的可操作性极低。这更多是作为威胁和谈判筹码。美国中央情报局局长约翰·拉特克利夫 (John Ratcliffe) 上周出访古巴,要求古巴切断其作为美国对手(即中国和俄罗斯)的平台。
纳塔莉·凯特罗夫: 美国还有其他具体要求吗?
朱利安·巴恩斯: 其他要求较为模糊,但包括削减古巴军事工业集团的权力、推动务实政客,以及朝着自由选举迈出增量步伐。特朗普行政当局寻求的是务实的胜利,而非总是追求难以实现的全盘政权更迭。
Original English
Natalie Ketrov: After the break, my colleague Julian Barnes takes us inside the US government's broader strategy in Cuba. We'll be right back. Julian, you cover the US intelligence community and you've been reporting on this pressure campaign and the role of the CIA in amping that up. So, just tell us what you've learned. What is the endgame in Cuba?
Julian Barnes: Well, we don't know what the exact endgame is here. We don't know exactly what the US wants, but what's clear is that the pressure is only going to increase. This indictment is just the next step in that, right? like it is a message to the Cuban government that what happened in Venezuela could happen in Cuba.
Natalie Ketrov: Just want to pause on that because I think that is a big question that's been hanging over all of this for those of us watching. Is this a prelude to what we saw in Venezuela where Nicholas Maduro was indicted by the US government and then was extracted by the US military? Is that what this is about?
Julian Barnes: It's very important to note that our reporting shows that President Trump wants the option. He wants the option to do a military extraction to get Raul Castro to put pressure on the Cuban government. You saw Todd Blanch raise that. He talked about how would they get Castro, right? And he talked about it being a Pentagon issue. That said, it's also important to note that there aren't a lot of special operations forces in the region. There aren't special operations forces that we know of that have been training for this kind of operation. Cuba is very different than Venezuela. The circumstances are different. It seems that a actual military extraction of Castro is pretty remote. You know, all the special operations forces are still in the Middle East. They're still geared up to possible action against Iran, right? You have to reset and come back for Cuba. And it wouldn't necessarily have the same effect like Nicholas Maduro was the official president of Venezuela. Pulling him out triggered a change in leadership. It allowed Vice President Deli Rodriguez to become the acting president to take power. Raul Castro is a very important figure in Cuba. He is very politically influential. But if you grabbed him, it wouldn't change any official leadership, right? The Cuban government would continue on, right? Everybody formally in charge would remain formally in charge because they would still be in the country, right? And so when you talk to outside experts, it is that reason that in the end they see this as a threat, as pressure, as a signal more than a sign of what is to come.
Natalie Ketrov: Okay. If it's appropriately viewed as a threat, as a kind of chip in these negotiations, in this game of chicken that's happening, to what end? like what does the US actually want from Cuba? Is the goal really wholesale regime change?
Julian Barnes: They've been a little unclear in their public comments about this and certainly the Cuban government wants to know what the US demands are. But we did in recent days start to get some answers. John Ratcliffe, the CIA director, last week took a trip to Cuba, first Trump cabinet official to go down there. He delivered a message to the grandson of Rul Castro, the interior minister and the head of Cuba's intelligence services. And he talked vaguely about economic and political change. But he also said that Cuba can't be a platform for America's adversaries. And the Cubans knew exactly what he was talking about. That was a reference to the Chinese intelligence post and the Russian military posts that are on Cuba. These are installations the Russians and the Chinese use to intercept communications inside the US.
Natalie Ketrov: They are listening to Southcom. They may be listening up at central command. These are very important military bases and the US wants them closed. And this is a concrete ask and it is something the Cubans could do, right? This is a step that they could take. There is a path to reduce that intelligence collection there to either close the base or limit the number of people there or kind of restrict it.
Julian Barnes: Radcliffe basically told the Cubans, "Look, if you want to do a deal with us, you got to kick our adversaries out. They're spying on us from your country. They have to go." What else did he ask for? Well, the economic and political demands were a lot more vague, but we are getting a sense of the kinds of things the US wants to see. M and they range from more extreme to easier things to do. But they start off with reducing the power of the military industrialbacked conglomerate that controls a huge chunk of the Cuban economy. It could mean pushing more pragmatic, less dogmatic politicians forward. And it also could be a step toward free elections, right? Like you could see the US pushing for elections at the local level to make those more meaningful and that would be a real win. It would not be regime change. It would not be a total change in communist rule, but it would be a meaningful step forward. And would one of the smaller, more incremental of those demands be seen as a real success by the Trump administration? I mean, in Venezuela, they had this trophy of Nicholas Maduro being brought to the US to theoretically face justice. In this case, if they aren't going to extract Castro, and that's largely a symbolic move, if the goal is really these more modest changes, you could see the administration running the risk of being seen as making a compromise with an authoritarian government in Cuba while allowing them to remain in power. No, that is a very important point and one that we can't lose sight of. Inside the United States, there is a big constituency, an important constituency, an influential constituency for regime change in Cuba. Cubanameans have wanted for years and years to end communist control of Cuba. Anything that is short of that is going to feel inadequate. On the other hand, the Trump administration knows that sometimes when they reach for the big goal, they fall short and when they reach for the smaller, they can be more successful.
短讯:1月6日基金与巴尼·弗兰克去世
纳塔莉·凯特罗夫: 最后是今日其他新闻。周三,两名曾在1月6日保卫美国国会大厦免受亲特朗普暴徒袭击的警察,对一项新的18亿美元基金的合宪性提出了质疑,警告该基金可能奖励那些参与袭击的人。此外,曾任马萨诸塞州众议员、美国最著名的男同性恋政治家巴尼·弗兰克 (Barney Frank) 去世,享年86岁。他曾编写了自大萧条以来最全面美国金融监管改革法案——多德-弗兰克法案 (Dodd-Frank Law),旨在监管金融衍生品并对大型银行实施新规则。
Original English
Natalie Ketrov: Here's what else you need to know today. On Wednesday, two police officers who defended the US capital against a proTrump mob on January 6th challenged the constitutionality of a new $1.8 billion fund that they warned could reward those who participated in the attack. Their lawsuit will answer the question of whether anyone has the legal standing to stop the Trump administration from creating the controversial fund. That fund is expected to make payments to Trump supporters, including January 6th riers who claim their prosecutions were politically motivated. And so what I realized was a lot of Americans were not homophobic, but thought they were supposed to be. And as more of us came out and our reality confronted the prejudice, uh, we we made great gains. Barney Frank, the blunt-talking former congressman from Massachusetts who for decades was the most prominent gay politician in America and who wrote the most sweeping overhaul of US financial regulations since the Great Depression has died. He was 86. His signature legislation, the DoddFrank Law, passed after the 2008 financial crisis. It regulated derivatives that had worsened the crisis, imposed new rules on large banks, and created the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau as an industry watchdog. Asked about complaints from business leaders about the law, Frank scoffed.
📌 文中提及的人物和组织
人物: Raul Castro
公司/组织: Brothers to the Rescue