伊朗冲突与政策 U型转弯
特蕾西·曼福德: 《纽约时报》播报,我是特蕾西·曼福德。今天是5月6日星期三。我们今天报道的重点是:特朗普总统昨天在对伊朗的战争问题上突然来了个U型转弯,自相矛盾,也与他的政府相悖。这一天始于国务卿马可·卢比奥就这场冲突接受提问。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: From The New York Times, it's the headlines. I'm Tracy Mumford. Today's Wednesday, May 6th. Here's what we're covering. President Trump pulled a sudden U-turn on the war with Iran yesterday, contradicting himself and his administration. The day started with Secretary of State Marco Rubio taking questions about the conflict.
马可·卢比奥: “行动已经结束。‘史诗之怒’(Epic Fury)行动已通知国会,我们已经完成了那个阶段。好了,现在我们转向‘自由计划’(Project Freedom)项目。”
Original English
Marco Rubio: "The operation is over. Epic Fury is president notified Congress, we're done with that stage of it. Okay, we're now on to this project of freedom."
特蕾西·曼福德: 卢比奥告诉记者,美国已经结束了针对伊朗的作战行动,现在正全力专注于‘自由计划’的新任务,即护送船只通过霍尔木兹海峡,该海峡的关闭一直在对世界各国造成经济上的巨大破坏。因此,特朗普总统一如既往地挺身而出,回应了他们的求助呼吁。他已指示美国军方引导这些滞留的船只安全通行。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: Rubio told reporters that the United States had ended combat operations against Iran and was now fully focused on the new mission of Project Freedom, escorting ships through the Strait of Hormuz, the closure of which has been wreaking economic havoc on countries around the world. So, President Trump, as he always does, stepped up and answered the calls for their help. And he's directed the United States military to guide these stranded ships to safety.
国防部长皮特·赫格斯: “这项新举措是‘美国送给世界的直接礼物’。我们在海峡上建立了一个强大的红、白、蓝保护罩。”
Original English
Defense Secretary Pete Hgsth: "also talked up the new effort as a direct gift from the United States to the world. We have established a powerful red, white, and blue dome over the street."
特蕾西·曼福德: 然而,特朗普随后改变了策略。他说,在‘自由计划’启动一天后,仅有几艘船成功通过,他就将其搁置了。特朗普在社交媒体发帖称,暂停该计划是因为在与伊朗达成一项“长期和平协议方面取得了巨大进展”。他还说,一直试图调解这些和平谈判的巴基斯坦,以及其他一些国家,都要求暂停该计划。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: Trump, though, then pivoted. He said he was putting Project Freedom on hold one day into it and after just a few ships made it through. In a social media post, Trump said he was pausing it because there had been "great progress toward a long-term peace deal with Iran." He said Pakistan, which has been trying to mediate those peace talks, had asked for the pause along with other countries.
特蕾西·曼福德: 目前,伊朗和美国都声称对该海峡拥有控制权,交通运输仍处于停滞状态。分析人士表示,伊朗政府认为自己占有优势,能够承受经济压力,正如过去那样,其承受能力比特朗普更能容忍不断上涨的能源价格。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: At the moment, both Iran and the US claim to have control of the strait and traffic remains at a standstill. Analysts say the Iranian government believes it has the upper hand and that it can withstand economic pressure, as it's done in the past, longer than Trump can tolerate the rising energy prices.
政治动态更新
特蕾西·曼福德: 现在,有三个关于政治方面的简要更新。首先,在爱荷华州,
Original English
Tracy Mumford: Now, three quick updates on the political front. First, in Iowa,
农民: “我们这里的许多农民都在与高昂的化肥价格作斗争。我对此很清楚。”
Original English
Farmer: "a lot of our farmers are struggling with high fertilizer prices. I'm aware of that."
JD Vance: “正如美国总统所说,我们在中东有点小小的‘小插曲’。我们需要处理一些外交政策方面的事情。但你知道,”
Original English
JD Vance: "As the president of the United States has said, we got a little a little blip in the Middle East. We got to take care of some business on the foreign policy side. But you know,"
特蕾西·曼福德: “那不是一个容易的环境,因为该州许多农民也受到了特朗普关税政策的影响。但爱荷华州对于共和党人在中期选举中至关重要,那里有一些可能竞争激烈的选区。万斯最近还访问了俄克拉荷马州。总的来说,这次行程可能是他未来几个月为全国共和党候选人助选的蓝图,这些候选人正面临高油价和不受欢迎的伊朗战争带来的逆风。”
Original English
Tracy Mumford: "it was not an easy environment for that as many farmers in the state have also been affected by Trump's tariff policies. But Iowa will be critical for Republicans in the midterms with a few potentially competitive races. Vance also had a recent stop in Oklahoma. And overall, this trip may be a blueprint for his next few months of trying to boost GOP candidates across the country who are facing the headwinds of high gas prices and an unpopular war in Iran."
特蕾西·曼福德: 此外,在印第安纳州,特朗普总统昨晚报复了多位曾违抗他的共和党州议员。这些州参议员去年拒绝支持他提出的关于印第安纳州重新绘制选举地图的提议,特朗普承诺要让他们在初选中落败。这使得昨天的州投票成为检验总统对共和党选民影响力的一个测试。现在结果已出,他几乎得到了他想要的一切。至少有七名参议员中的五位输给了特朗普支持的共和党竞争对手。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: Also in Indiana, President Trump got payback last night against several Republican state lawmakers who had defied him. The state senators had refused to go along with his push last year for Indiana to redraw its election maps and Trump promised [music] to primary them. That made voting in the state yesterday something of a test of the president's sway over Republican voters. And with the results now in, he pretty much got what he wanted. At least five of the seven senators [music] lost to GOP competitors that Trump backed instead.
特蕾西·曼福德: 而在华盛顿,参议院共和党人已将10亿美元用于特朗普的‘舞厅项目’,并将其纳入了一项他们希望在本月匆忙通过的拨款法案。这是一个意外的补充,该法案并未提及‘舞厅’,而是要求拨款用于‘东翼安全升级’。特朗普曾以安全为由作为‘舞厅’的主要原因。虽然总统此前表示翻新费用将通过私人捐助者资助,但一些国会共和党人在最近的白宫记者晚宴袭击事件后,开始推动联邦资金。这10亿美元的条款被塞进了一项移民执法拨款法案中,共和党人计划以一种规避任何潜在民主党冗长发言的方式来推动其通过。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: And in Washington, Senate Republicans have inserted $1 billion for Trump's ballroom project into a funding bill they're hoping to rush through Congress this month. It was a surprise addition, and the measure doesn't mention the ballroom. It calls for funds to cover East Wing security enhancements. Trump has cited security as a main reason for the ballroom. While the president previously said the renovation would be funded through private donations, some congressional Republicans started pushing for federal funding after the recent attack at the White House correspondents dinner. The $1 billion provision is tucked into an immigration enforcement funding bill, which the Republicans plan to push through in a way that will skirt any potential Democratic filibuster.
AI冲击就业与社会保障体系
特蕾西·曼福德: 昨天,另一家科技公司宣布了大规模裁员,部分原因在于“正在为AI进行优化”。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: Yesterday, another tech company announced widescale layoffs, saying in part, "It's optimizing for AI."
特蕾西·曼福德: Coinbase,一家加密货币交易所,表示将裁员14%,约700名员工。公司首席执行官表示,这些变革将导致团队规模缩小,由人类管理AI代理的工作。这紧随Microsoft和Meta等公司的大规模裁员或买断,它们也将部分裁员归因于AI以及拥抱这项新技术的必要性。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: Coinbase, a cryptocurrency exchange, said it's cutting 14% of its workforce. It's around 700 employees. The company's CEO said the changes will lead to smaller teams with humans managing the work of AI agents. This follows other big job cuts or buyouts at companies like Microsoft and at Meta, which also attributed its cuts in part to AI and the need to embrace this new technology.
特蕾西·曼福德: 这不仅意味着人们会失去工作,而且工作岗位的数量也会减少。我与经济学家和劳动力市场专家们进行了交谈,他们似乎都一致认为,我们的社会保障体系尚未准备好应对AI驱动的就业动荡时代。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: It's meant not just people losing their jobs, but also fewer job openings. I've been talking to economists and labor market experts and the one thing that they all seem to agree on is that our safety net is not ready for an age of AI-driven job disruption.
特蕾西·曼福德: 本·卡斯特尔曼(Ben Castleman)是《纽约时报》的首席经济学特约记者。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: Ben Castleman is the Times chief economics correspondent.
本·卡斯特尔曼: “他们确实指出了两大主要缺陷。首先是我们的失业保险体系,它本应是失业人员的第一道防线。该体系可能无法覆盖许多可能受到AI影响的工人。如果你是一名刚进入劳动力市场的新毕业生——而经济学家认为这可能是受AI颠覆影响最严重的一个群体——你通常不符合失业救济金的资格。另一个问题是,我们应对真正困境的最后一道防线,即食品券、Medicaid(为穷人提供健康保险),这些计划已被缩减,以至于它们实际上只覆盖了在职人员。因此,这意味着如果你因AI或其他任何原因失业,你将不再能获得这部分安全网的保障。”
Original English
Ben Castleman: "They really point to two major shortcomings. The first is our unemployment insurance system, which is sort of meant to be the first line of defense for people who lose their jobs. That system potentially won't cover a lot of the workers who could be affected by AI. If you're a new graduate just entering into the labor market and and this is the group that economists think may be hit hardest by AI disruptions, you generally don't qualify for unemployment benefits. The other problem is that our sort of last line of defense against real hardship, food stamps, Medicaid, which provides health insurance to the poor, those programs have been pulled back so that they really only cover people who are working. And so that means that if you lose your job as a result of AI or for any other reason, you no longer have access to that piece of the safety net.
本·卡斯特尔曼: 经济学家们对于AI将对劳动力市场产生何种影响意见不一。他们相当怀疑这会导致大规模失业,但他们确实表示,几乎肯定会出现动荡,人们会失去工作。他们说,如果这种情况要发生,现在就是时候让我们的社会保障体系与即将到来的动荡浪潮相适应。而到目前为止,这一点确实尚未实现。
Original English
Ben Castleman: Economists are pretty divided about the impact that AI is going to have on the labor market. They're pretty skeptical of the idea that this is going to lead to mass unemployment, but they do say that there are almost certainly going to be disruptions, that people are going to lose their jobs. And if that's going to happen, they say this is the time to start aligning our safety net with that coming wave of disruption. And so far, that really has not happened.
世界杯门票动态定价
特蕾西·曼福德: 今年的世界杯,将于一个多月后在美国、墨西哥和加拿大开赛。国际足联(FIFA)与以往的赛事不同,做出了重大改变。这是FIFA有史以来第一次使用动态定价。这意味着观看最受欢迎球队的比赛的门票价格更高。为了解这对球迷有何影响,《纽约时报》联系了阿根廷的一些球迷,在那个国家,足球是一种民族痴迷。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: For the World Cup this year, which is kicking off in just over a month in the US, Mexico, and Canada, FIFA has made a big change from past tournaments. It's using dynamic pricing for the first time ever. That means tickets to see the most popular teams cost more. To understand how that's hitting fans, The Times checked in with people in Argentina, where soccer is a national obsession.
球迷A: “你以前看过世界杯吗?”
Original English
Fan A: "You've been to the World Cup before?"
球迷B: “是的,我去过俄罗斯。嗯。还有卡塔尔。”
Original English
Fan B: "Yes, I've been in Russia. Yeah. And also in Kadar."
球迷A: “是的。那些经历对你来说怎么样?”
Original English
Fan A: "Yeah. And how were those experiences for you?"
球迷B: “太棒了。我,真是太棒了。”
Original English
Fan B: "Fantastic. I It was amazing. I think"
特蕾西·曼福德: 阿根廷赢得了上一届世界杯,这使得今年比赛的门票价格飙升。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: Argentina won the last World Cup, and that has pushed tickets for this year's games way up.
球迷A: “他们花了3000美元才买了三张票。太疯狂了。你要去美国吗?”
Original English
Fan A: "They had to spend $3,000 just for three tickets. It's crazy. Are you going to go to the US?"
球迷B: “我更倾向于待在附近,而不是去(美国)。”
Original English
Fan B: "I more close than to stay than going."
特蕾西·曼福德: 我的同事TK Panga,他正在与球迷交谈,他说有些人因为太贵而放弃了。有些人说他们过去花不到一百美元就能买到票。现在,他们看到的价格超过了阿根廷的平均月薪。其他人则走向极端, Racking up debt and maxing out credit cards in order to attend. FIFA has repeatedly defended the high prices. It says it needs the income to fund soccer development around the world. But in the eyes of some Argentinian fans, it's a cash grab. One fan who said he probably wouldn't go this year said quote, "It makes you angry that they take something that should be for everyone and turn it into something that is just for the few."
Original English
Tracy Mumford: My colleague TK Panga, who was talking with fans, said some people are just giving up because it's too expensive. Some said they'd paid less than a hundred bucks for tickets in the past. Now they're looking at prices that are more than the average monthly salary in Argentina. Others are going to extremes, racking up debt and maxing out credit cards in order to attend. FIFA has repeatedly defended the high prices. It says it needs the income to fund soccer development around the world. But in the eyes of some Argentinian fans, it's a cash grab. One fan who said he probably wouldn't go this year said quote, "It makes you angry that they take something that should be for everyone and turn it into something that is just for the few."
土库曼斯坦“地狱之门”火焰减弱
特蕾西·曼福德: 再来看看,
Original English
Tracy Mumford: And finally,
游客: “哇。”
Original English
Visitor: "whoa."
特蕾西·曼福德: “当风向转变时,会变得非常热。”
Original English
Tracy Mumford: "When the wind shifts, it gets really hot."
特蕾西·曼福德: 关于可能是一个世界上最令人费解的旅游景点——‘地狱之门’的最新情况。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: An update on what may be one of the world's most baffling tourist attractions. The gates to hell.
游客: “它比我预期的要大得多。比我在照片上看到的要大得多。”
Original English
Visitor: "It's way bigger than I expected. Way bigger than I think it looks on pictures."
特蕾西·曼福德: 在土库曼斯坦,当地传说,大约60多年前,苏联地质学家在钻探石油时,遇到了一个天然气矿藏。地面塌陷,形成了一个坑,科学家们决定处理其泄漏的有毒烟雾的最佳方法就是将其点燃。他们认为这将在几周内烧尽,但它却一直燃烧至今。多年来,它一直是研究人员的谜题,也是冒险游客的景点。然而,最近人们清楚地发现,‘地狱之门’,即正式名称为达瓦扎陨石坑(Darvaza crater)的火焰并非永恒。一家监测天然气燃烧的公司表示,根据红外成像数据,过去几年里,该坑的热强度下降了75%。具体原因尚不完全清楚。火焰熄灭是好事还是坏事,目前也不清楚。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: In Turk menistan, local lore goes that some 60 plus years ago, Soviet geologists were drilling for oil when they hit a gas deposit. The ground collapsed, creating a pit, and scientists decided the best thing to do about the toxic fumes leaking out of it was to light them on fire. They figured it would burn out in a few weeks, but it has kept going. Over the years, it's become a puzzle for researchers and a draw for adventurous tourists. Recently though, it's become clear that the flames in the gates to hell, officially called the Darvaza crater, are not eternal. A company that monitors natural gas flares, says the intensity of heat from the pit is down 75% over the last few years based on infrared imaging data. It's not totally clear why.
特蕾西·曼福德: 目前,它们正在燃烧泄漏出的甲烷,这能防止温室气体进入大气层。所以,理论上,如果火焰减少,甲烷排放就会增加。现在,如果这一切激发了您考虑去‘地狱之门’旅行的念头,并且您担心在您到达之前火焰就熄灭了,请不用担心。一位导游告诉《纽约时报》,在最近的一次旅行中,那里仍然足够热,他的团队还在上面烤了棉花糖。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: It's also not clear whether the flames going out is a positive thing or not. Right now, they are burning off methane that's leaking from the pit, which keeps that greenhouse gas from entering the atmosphere. So, in theory, if less fire, then more methane emissions. Now, if all of this has inspired you to consider a trip to the Gates to hell and you're concerned about the fire going out before you can get there, don't worry. A tour guide told the Times that on a recent trip, it was still hot enough that his group roasted marshmallows over it.
特蕾西·曼福德: 这些就是今天的新闻头条。我是特蕾西·曼福德。我们明天再见。
Original English
Tracy Mumford: Those are the headlines. I'm Tracy Mumford. We'll be back tomorrow.
📌 文中提及的人物和组织
人物: Donald Trump, Marco Rubio, JD Vance, Ben Castleman
公司/组织: The New York Times, Coinbase, Microsoft, Meta, FIFA
媒体/书籍: The New York Times