访谈引言
丹·温: 这里是“观点”(The Opinions),一个汇集了《纽约时报》观点版多方声音的节目。你已经听过新闻了,接下来是关于它的解读。我是丹·温,《纽约时报》观点版的一位编辑。我的同事,专栏作家米歇尔·戈德堡,最近撰写了一篇关于31岁的詹姆斯·菲什巴赫的特写。菲什巴赫是佛罗里达州州长的共和党候选人。他因致力于经济适用性、强烈反对移民和美国对以色列的支持,而在一些年轻的佛罗里达共和党人中引起轰动。他还拥护一种带有戏谑性质的种族主义和反犹主义。考虑到菲什巴赫的观点,我想问米歇尔,菲什巴赫的哪些特质如此强烈地引起了年轻共和党选民的共鸣?米歇尔,感谢你的到来。
Original English
Dan Wen: This is The Opinions, a show that brings you a mix of voices from New York Times Opinion. You've heard the news. Here's what to make of it. I'm Dan Wen, an editor in New York Times Opinion. My colleague, columnist Michelle Goldberg, recently wrote a profile of 31-year-old James Fishbach, a Republican candidate for Florida governor. Fishbach's become a sensation among some young Florida Republicans with his commitment to affordability and his fierce opposition to immigration and US support for Israel. He also embraces a kind of trollish racism and anti-semitism. Given Fishbach's views, I wanted to ask Michelle, what is it about Fishbach that resonates so much with young Republican voters? Michelle, thanks for being here.
米歇尔·戈德堡: 嘿,谢谢邀请。
Original English
Michelle Goldberg: Hey, thanks for having me.
詹姆斯·菲什巴赫的崛起与极端观点
丹·温: 好的,首先,你的这篇专栏文章确实引起了观众的共鸣。它是《纽约时报》今年迄今为止阅读量最高的文章之一,成千上万的人留下了评论。但对于那些不熟悉的人来说,请给我们介绍一下詹姆斯·菲什巴赫的背景。
Original English
Dan Wen: So, first things first, this column of yours really connected with audiences. It was one of the most widely read pieces of the year in the New York Times so far. Thousands of people have left comments. But for those who are unfamiliar, give us some background on James Fishbach.
米歇尔·戈德堡: 当然。我得说,对我来说,詹姆斯·菲什巴赫这个人本身几乎没有围绕他的运动有趣。菲什巴赫一直以来都试图在共和党政治或保守政治中有所作为。他曾一度处于“MAGA”运动的边缘。几年前,他因为为“自由媒体”写了一篇关于他的反觉醒高中辩论联盟的文章而上了新闻。后来,他在海湖庄园创办了一个反觉醒的交易型开放式指数基金,但这些项目都以丑闻和耻辱告终。最近,他决定竞选州长,他改变了方向,采纳了尼克·富恩特斯的立场。一些听众可能知道,富恩特斯是一个著名的年轻新纳粹式网络喷子,也是一位非常有影响力的年轻保守派评论员。因此,菲什巴赫的观点结合了极端民族主义。他在佛罗里达州,却认为佛罗里达州的枪支法过于严格,而堕胎法又过于宽松。佛罗里达州在怀孕六周后禁止堕胎,并且有“不退让法”。他极度反移民,尽管他本人是移民的儿子,他的母亲是哥伦比亚人。但我认为真正让他与众不同的是他坚持不懈地关注以色列,以及他对反犹主义那种“你懂的”态度。当我在他的集会人群中时,通常是他提到以色列时,你会感觉到观众的能量被点燃,人们会开始欢呼鼓掌。我认为这正是他与一些观众建立联系的核心。
Original English
Michelle Goldberg: Sure. And I should say, I mean, to me, James Fishbach as a person is almost less interesting than the movement around him. But so James Fishbach is somebody who's been trying to make it in Republican politics or conservative politics for a long time. Was sort of on the outskirts of the MAGA movement. He was in the news a bit years ago when he wrote a piece for the Free Press about his anti-woke high school debate league. Later he started an anti-woke exchange traded fund that he launched at Mara Lago. These projects ended in scandal and disgrace. And recently, as he's decided to run for governor, he's shifted and he's sort of adopted the positions of Nick Fuentes, who some listeners might know as this kind of famous young like neo-Nazisque troll and very influential young conservative pundant. And so it's this combination of, you know, extreme nationalism. I mean, he's in Florida arguing that Florida's gun laws are too strict and that Florida's abortion laws are too lax, right? This is a place where abortion is banned after 6 weeks where they have, you know, stand your ground laws. He's extremely anti-immigrant, although he is the son of an immigrant himself. His mother is Colombian. But I think what really sets him apart is this insistent focus on Israel and this kind of wink wink attitude towards anti-semitism. I mean and being in the crowds that came to see him, it was often when he brought up Israel that you could sort of feel the energy pick up in the audience that people would start cheering and applauding. I think that is kind of at the core of his connection to some of these audiences.
反以色列与反犹主义的界限
丹·温: 这种对他反以色列观点的深度认同,它与纯粹的反犹主义有多大关联?
Original English
Dan Wen: That deep appreciation, let's say, of his anti-Israel views. How connected is that to anti-semitism per se?
米歇尔·戈德堡: 所以,在某些方面,我发现反犹主义和反以色列态度或普遍的反犹太复国主义很难区分。对吧?因为我认为说巴勒斯坦人应该在他们居住的土地上获得平等的权利和代表权,这并非反犹主义,而那片土地目前完全由以色列控制。在右翼,或者至少在那些非常认真对待“美国优先”孤立主义的右翼人士中,对以色列在拖美国卷入战争中所扮演的角色存在着相当大的不满,我再次强调,这并非反犹主义。我的意思是,反诽谤联盟的负责人乔纳森·格林布拉特最近发表讲话时说,将此归咎于以色列是反犹主义。我只是觉得这是一种站不住脚的立场,当你有马可·鲁比奥在外面说美国当时必须打击,因为他们知道以色列会打击,然后伊朗会反击。你知道,他后来试图缓和这种说法,但我认为听到的人并非疯了,他们听到的是以色列在这里主导。尤其是在一个政府在许多方面都有所转变,从未真正为发动这场战争提出连贯理由的情况下。我认为你不需要成为一个反犹分子,就能对以色列目前在美国外交政策中的角色投以怀疑的目光。我的意思是,詹姆斯·菲什巴赫在某些时刻公开反犹,其方式与以色列毫无关系。你知道,例如,他参观一所大学时谈到自助餐厅里供应的垃圾食品是如何令人衰弱的,他称之为“泔水”。“Go slop”,如果你不知道,我的意思是,你可能可以从语境中猜到,它是一种极右翼的反犹主义术语,基本上指犹太人强迫非犹太人食用垃圾食品,以便,我不知道,削弱他们的生命力之类的。
Original English
Michelle Goldberg: So, in some ways, I find these things anti-semitism and anti-Israel attitudes or anti-ionism in general can be hard to tease apart, right? Because I don't think it's anti-semitic to say that, you know, I think that Palestinians deserve equal rights and representation in the land in which they live, all of which at this moment is controlled by Israel. On the right, or at least among the part of the right that takes this kind of America First isolationism very seriously, there is a significant amount of resentment about Israel's role in dragging America to war and again I don't think that's anti-semitic. I mean you had Jonathan Greenblatt, the head of the Anti-Defamation League, was giving a speech recently where he was saying that that it's anti-semitic to blame Israel for this before. And I just feel like that's a kind of an unsustainable position when you have Marco Rubio out there saying that America had to strike when it did because they knew Israel was going to hit and then Iran was going to hit back. You know, he's since tried to temper that, but people who heard it, I think, were not crazy to hear that Israel was the one driving the bus here, especially in a situation where the administration has had so many shifting ration and has never really made a coherent case for why they've started this war. I don't think you have to be an anti-semite to look askance at the role of Israel in American foreign policy right now. I mean, James Fishbach at some moments is openly anti-Semitic in ways that have absolutely nothing to do with Israel. You know, for example, he was visiting a university and was talking about the junk food served in cafeterias and how it's sort of like anervating and he called it slop. And go slop, if you don't know, I mean, maybe you can figure it out from the context, is a sort of like far-right anti-semitic term for basically, you know, kind of junk food that Jews like forced on non-Jews in order to, I don't know, sap their vitality or something.
丹·温: 这是一种真实存在的东西吗?这种通过糟糕食物削弱生命力的说法?
Original English
Dan Wen: Is this a thing? Is this a thing? This the slapping of vitality through bad food.
米歇尔·戈德堡: 是的,是的,是的,是的。我的意思是,这有点像反犹主义和“MAGA”运动的文氏图中间部分。我的意思是,不,这不是真正发生的事情。
Original English
Michelle Goldberg: Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. I mean it's sort of where anti-semitism and the Maha movement it's like in the middle of that Venn diagram. I mean no it's not a thing that happens.
丹·温: 不,我不是说字面上。但我的意思是,这是人们真正相信的事情吗?
Original English
Dan Wen: No. I mean not literally, but I mean is it a thing that people actually believe?
米歇尔·戈德堡: 是的,我想,这种阴谋论传播有多广,我无法断定,但它确实是一种阴谋论,而且你知道,詹姆斯·菲什巴赫非常乐意沉迷于此,这与以色列毫无关系。同样,他谈论以色列的方式,基本上就是把以色列说成是他的受众得不到他们想要的一切的原因,对吧?佛罗里达州和美国所有问题的单一诱因,我再次认为,他显然是在利用反犹主义的仇恨。尽管人群中的一些人会告诉你,或者告诉我,“我没有任何反犹太人的意思,我是基督徒,我爱所有人。”顺便说一句,这也是塔克·卡尔森经常说的话。你知道,他们并非都那么精明,或者说对这些区别了如指掌。所以你也会遇到一些人,他们会直接告诉你,他们最近才了解到犹太人是如何控制银行业的。
Original English
Michelle Goldberg: Yeah, it's I think I mean how widely spread this conspiracy theory is I cannot say that it is a conspiracy theory is is true and it's a conspiracy theory that you know again James Fishbach is like very happy to indulge in has nothing to do with Israel you know. Similarly, the way he speaks about Israel is basically being the reason that kind of his audiences don't have any of the things that they want, right? The the monocaus behind all of Florida and the United States's problems, again, I think is obviously he's he's tapping into anti-semitic animists. And although some people in the crowds will tell you or told me, you know, "I don't have anything against Jews. I'm a Christian. and I love everyone," which by the way is also what Tucker Carlson often says. You know, not all of them are that savvy or sort of that well-versed in the distinctions. And so you will also talk to people who will just tell you that, you know, they've recently learned about how Jews run the banking industry.
菲什巴赫支持率与年轻共和党人的未来
丹·温: 回到菲什巴赫,你提到他在佛罗里达州州长竞选中的支持率只有5%到6%。所以,根据民意调查,实际支持率非常低。既然他的潜在支持者如此少,你为什么认为去佛罗里达深入挖掘报道他很重要?
Original English
Dan Wen: Getting back to Fishbach, you noted that his polling in in Florida for the governorship is like 5 to 6% of the vote. So, it's a tiny tiny amount of actual support according to polls. Why do you think it was important to go and cover him to go to Florida and really dig in deeply if he's got such a tiny sliver of potential support?
米歇尔·戈德堡: 嗯,因为同样的民意调查显示,他在35岁以下的共和党人中领先。所以,我更感兴趣的不是撰写关于我认为共和党现状的文章,而是关于它的未来走向。我们都看到了关于年轻共和党人中恶毒的反犹主义、恶毒的种族主义群聊,以及关于年轻共和党人中极右翼态度的民意调查。保守派作家罗德·德雷尔曾撰文讨论格罗珀主义的存在。尼克·富恩特斯的追随者被称为“格罗珀斯”,他撰文指出,这种思潮在年轻共和党人中普遍存在。所以,这似乎是一种亲身体验这场运动的方式,而不是仅仅在网上遇到它。
Original English
Michelle Goldberg: Well, because those same polls show him leading among Republicans under 35. And so, I was sort of less interested in writing about where I think the Republican party is today than where it's going. And we've all seen stories about, say, you know, kind of viciously anti-Semitic, viciously racist group chats among young Republicans, polling about far-right attitudes among young Republicans. The conservative writer Rod Dreer has written about the presence of groperism. The followers of Nick Fuentes are called gripers and he's written about how pervasive that is among young Republicans around the administration. And so it just seemed like a way to see that movement, you know, not online, which is where I usually encounter it, but in person.
丹·温: 你是否担心这种你所说的在年轻共和党人中涌现的格罗珀主义浪潮,代表着共和党未来的危险?因为这些年轻人会变老,并且很可能会继续投票给共和党。
Original English
Dan Wen: Are you concerned that this surge of groperism, as you say, among young Republicans represents the danger that this could be the future of the Republican party? Because these young people are going to get older and will continue to vote Republican presumably.
米歇尔·戈德堡: 百分之百。你知道,无论他们是否继续投票给共和党,未来我的孩子们将生活在一个反犹主义盛行的世界,这种盛行程度在我成长时是前所未有的。你知道,我只是在这些活动中环顾四周,心想,如果20或30年后,一个真正的反犹政党在美国争夺权力,这正是它的起点。
Original English
Michelle Goldberg: 100%. And you know, whether or not they continue to vote Republican, there's going to be a future where my kids are going to live in a world in which anti-semitism is pervasive in a way in which it really wasn't when I was growing up. And you know, I just I was looking around at some of these events and thinking if in 20 or 30 years a real anti-semitic party contends for power in the United States. This is a glimpse of where it's starting.
反犹主义的政治常态化与左右翼差异
丹·温: 所以,从某种意义上说,反犹主义正在政治上常态化。这种说法准确吗?
Original English
Dan Wen: So in a way, I guess you could say anti-semitism is becoming politically normalized. Would that be accurate?
米歇尔·戈德堡: 嗯,我认为绝对如此。我们可以谈谈左翼的反犹主义。我不同意很多人,包括很多给我写信的人,认为它与右翼的反犹主义是同等的现象,但它确实存在,而且它的存在方式再次感觉有些新颖。十年前我认为它并不以同样的方式存在,但我认为确实有人在努力边缘化它。有些人试图疯狂地压制它,但你无法压制大众舆论。所以,就像最近,佛罗里达大学的一个年轻共和党人支部,在他们举办了一场大型菲什巴赫活动几天后,因为其一些领导人行纳粹礼的图片而被解散。所以,你知道,你可以解散支部,但那些人仍然在那里。你知道,你可以让塔克·卡尔森离开福克斯新闻,但他仍然拥有美国最受欢迎的播客之一。我应该说,你知道,我们有一位总统,他经常使用反犹主义的比喻,尽管他极度亲以色列,并且在一些政治手段上几乎是“化石级”的。但是,你知道,他经常贩卖阴谋论,以及关于“全球主义者”控制世界的反犹主义相关阴谋论。他也是一场运动的一部分,这场运动将使用种族诽谤和妖魔化视为一种解放。然后,你知道,这场运动中的一些人认为你可以妖魔化索马里人、妖魔化海地人、妖魔化穆斯林,然后把犹太人排除在外。当你把禁忌视为根本性的压迫时,这简直是荒谬的。当然,下一代会想,好吧,那为什么这些禁忌是我们唯一应该尊重的呢?
Original English
Michelle Goldberg: Well, I think absolutely. And we can talk about anti-semitism on the left. I disagree with a lot of people, including a lot of people who write to me that it's an equal phenomenon to anti-semitism on the right, but it certainly exists and it exists in a way that again feels somewhat new and novel. It wasn't there in the same way I think a decade ago, but I think that there's a real effort to try to marginalize it. There's people sort of trying to frantically put the lid on it, but you sort of can't put the lid on mass opinion. And so, like just recently, a Young Republicans chapter at the University of Florida, couple of days after they hosted a big Fishbach event was disbanded over images of some of their leaders giving Nazi salutes. And so, you know, you can disband the chapter, but the people are still there, you know, and you can take Tucker Carlson off of Fox News, but he still has one of the most popular podcasts in the United States. And I should say, you know, we have a president who kind of regularly engages in anti-semitic tropes, even though he's extremely pro-Israel and almost phosmetic in some of his approaches to politics. But, you know, he regularly traffics in conspiracy theories and sort of like anti-semitic adjacent conspiracy theories about the globalists who are running the world. And he's also part of a movement that, you know, treats it as liberatory to be able to engage in ethnic slurs and demonization. And then, you know, and somehow some of the people in this movement thought that you could, you know, demonize Somali and demonize Haitians and demonize Muslims and then hold the line at Jews. And it's just sort of preposterous when you treat taboos as kind of fundamentally oppressive. Of course, the next generation is going to wonder, okay, but why are these taboos the only ones that we're supposed to respect?
丹·温: 米歇尔,我想回到你刚才说的,你认为左翼的反犹主义与右翼的反犹主义并不相同。它们有何不同?
Original English
Dan Wen: Michelle, I I want to go back to something you said a little while ago that you don't see anti-semitism on the left as equal to the kind of anti-semitism you see on the right. How are they different?
米歇尔·戈德堡: 再次声明,我不想否认它的存在,而且它确实存在于亲巴勒斯坦运动的部分群体中。显然,并非所有,甚至不是大多数。我想,我在这里与许多其他犹太作家和思想家存在分歧,就是我再次不认为反犹太复国主义是反犹主义。如果你这么认为,那么你当然会到处看到反犹主义,因为左翼有很多人,甚至大多数人,不认为维持以色列作为一个犹太国家的必要性比赋予所有生活在约旦河与大海之间的人平等权利更重要。因此,许多左翼观点,我认为经常被以色列支持者以反犹主义的名义驳回。其中一些我同意,一些我不同意,但仍然认为它们是合法的。你知道,我确实不认为我们的市长曼达尼是反犹分子。我也区分了那些极力致力于多元种族民主并因此批评以色列的人。我认为这是一种保护美国犹太人的立场。对我来说,多元种族、多元化的民主,这种长期以来在美国某种程度上被视为理所当然的愿望,直到最近才受到质疑,在我看来,正是犹太人能够在美国独特地安全并茁壮成长的原因。因此,我对那些试图保护它的人和那些试图摧毁它的人,持有非常不同的看法。
Original English
Michelle Goldberg: Again, I don't want to deny that it's there and it's certainly been there in, you know, parts of the pro Palestinian movement. Obviously, not all of it or not even the majority of it. I guess here's where I disagree, I think, with a lot of Jewish writers and thinkers is again that I don't believe that anti-ionism is anti-semitism. If you do, then of course you will see anti-semitism everywhere because there are many people on the left, maybe even most people on the left, who don't believe that kind of the necessity of maintaining Israel as a Jewish state is more important than the necessity of giving equal rights to all of the people who live between the river and the sea. And so there's a lot of kind of left-wing opinion that I think often gets dismissed by Israel supporters as under the rubric of anti-semitism. Some of which I agree with, some of which I don't agree with, but still feel is legitimate. You know, I I do not believe that our mayors or Mandani is an anti-semite. I also draw a distinction between people who are extremely committed to multi-racial democracy and criticize Israel for that reason. I think that that is a stance that is protective of Jews in the United States. To me multi-racial kind of pluralistic democracy the aspiration towards that which has always been somewhat kind of taken for granted in America until quite recently is to me why Jews have been uniquely safe and why they've thrived in the United States and so I just think very differently about the people who are trying to protect that than the people who are trying to destroy it.
反犹太复国主义与反犹主义的关联
丹·温: 在我们这个时代,反犹太复国主义和反犹主义是如何如此紧密地联系在一起的?是什么造成了这种等式的根深蒂固?
Original English
Dan Wen: How have anti-Zionism and anti-semitism become so closely associated in our time. What has created the entrenchment of that equation?
米歇尔·戈德堡: 我的意思是,坦率地说,许多犹太机构都非常努力地将这两个术语视为同义词。我甚至不是指修辞上,我是指法律上。你知道,有一个名为“国际大屠杀纪念联盟”的反犹主义定义,即“IHRA”反犹主义定义。如果这听起来有些晦涩难懂,请原谅我,但它实际上对于理解许多政策,包括唐纳德·特朗普对大学等的镇压非常重要。所以这个反犹主义的定义认为,许多对以色列的批评,并非所有对以色列的批评,但相当一部分对以色列的批评,都是一种反犹主义形式。这已被写入许多地方的法律中,包括佛罗里达州,这就是我们定义反犹主义偏执的方式。你会看到大学校园有时在压力下采纳这个定义,它产生了许多影响。首先,它固化了反犹主义和反犹太复国主义是同一件事的观念,讽刺的是,这种混淆你在真正的反犹分子中也经常看到。他们将犹太人和以色列政府视为一个单一实体。但它也最终导致了对言论自由的诸多侵犯。我认为我在佛罗里达州看到的是,这些保守派孩子在对“觉醒”的猛烈反弹中长大。他们被告知,任何以敏感或保护少数群体之名告诉你什么能说什么不能说的政策,都是一种“觉醒暴政”。而现在,他们的领导人却告诉他们,除了涉及以色列的时候,对吧?因此,这不仅产生了那种对抗性的、挑衅性的欲望,去说那些他们不该说的话,而且还引发了这样一个问题:为什么?我对亲以色列游说团体如何运作有一些了解,你知道,它与其说是一种神秘的幕后操纵力量,不如说是一个组织严密的美国政治运动。但这些孩子并不知道。他们既想蔑视规则,又会想:为什么以色列拥有如此大的权力?这只会加剧他们的偏执和怀疑。
Original English
Michelle Goldberg: I mean, frankly, a lot of the Jewish establishment has worked extremely hard to treat those two terms as synonymously. And I I don't even mean rhetorically. I mean legally. You know, there's something called the International Holocaust Remembrance Association definition of anti-semitism, the IHRA definition of anti-semitism. And like forgive me if this sounds kind of like reckendite or obscure but it's actually sort of important for understanding a lot of these policies a lot of Donald Trump's crackdowns on universities etc. So this definition of anti-semitism holds that many many criticisms of Israel not all criticisms of Israel but substantial numbers of criticisms of Israel are a form of anti-semitism. This has been written into law in many places including Florida that this is how we define anti-semitic bigotry. You see college campuses adopting this definition sometimes under duress and it does a number of things. It one it sort of like you know reifies this idea that anti-semitism and anti-ionism are the same thing which ironically is also kind of a conflation that you see a lot among actual anti-semites right who kind of treat Jews and the Israeli government as a single entity but it also ends up creating a lot of infringements on free speech. And I think what I saw in Florida is that these are conservative kids who have grown up among this like ferocious backlash to wokeness. Being told that sort of any policy that's telling you what you can or can't say in the name of being sensitive or protecting a minority group is a kind of woke tyranny. And now they're being told by their leaders, except when it comes to Israel, right? And so, not only does it create this sort of oppositional, defiant desire to say the things that they're not supposed to say, but it also creates this sort of question of like why I have an understanding of sort of how pro-Israel lobbying works and you know, when it's less this sort of like, you know, mysterious string pulling power than it is just like a very organized American political movement. But these kids don't know that. And they both kind of want to flout the rules, but they also are like, why does Israel have all this power? And it just reinforces a lot of their paranoia and suspicions.
青年共和党人的支持与菲什巴赫的吸引力
丹·温: 那么,这一切如何与菲什巴赫在佛罗里达州的支持联系起来呢?你指出这些年轻共和党人是在对抗“觉醒暴政”中长大的。那么,这会转化为对某位候选人的政治支持吗?
Original English
Dan Wen: So, how does this all tie into Fishbach support in Florida? I mean, you you pointed out these young Republicans have grown up fighting the woke tyranny. So, does that translate into political support for a candidate?
米歇尔·戈德堡: 嗯,是的,在这里确实如此。而且,我想其中一个有趣的地方,也是我为什么想去佛罗里达的原因之一,是因为我并不认为在线讨论会自动转化为为候选人出现并志愿服务,尤其是因为,你知道,我们对Z世代的一些了解或担忧是他们不外出,对吧?比如,他们不参与现实世界。但是,你知道,一个孩子说,他的政治觉醒是通过听尼克·富恩特斯实现的,而现在他正在志愿担任詹姆斯·菲什巴赫的县主席。所以,是的,他所做的就是将自己塑造成唯一的“说真话者”,当你试图压制广泛流传的观念时,这会有所帮助。我是唯一一个足够勇敢,敢于对抗犹太复国主义者的人。同时,他也在向那些并非都是保守派的孩子们讲话,也许我们会谈到,他们是投票给特朗普的,但现在他们对特朗普有点失望,有点幻灭,生活成本对他们来说是巨大的压力。我的意思是,我不认为詹姆斯·菲什巴赫解决生活成本危机的方案大多是荒谬的,而且肯定不会通过从以色列撤资来解决。但他基本上是在谈论真正的危机,并给人们一个可以责怪的对象。
Original English
Michelle Goldberg: Well, yeah. I mean, it is here. And again, one of the things that I think was interesting, one of the reasons I wanted to go to Florida was because it was not a given to me that online discourse would translate into showing up and volunteering for a candidate, especially since, you know, one of the things we sort of know about Gen Z or worry about about Gen Z is that they don't go out, right? Like, they don't get involved in the real world. But, you know, one kid was saying, you know, he had his political awakening listening to Nick Fuentes and now he was volunteering to be James Fishbach's county chair. And so, yeah, what he has done is kind of presented himself as like the only trutht teller, which is something that is helped when you're sort of trying to put a lid on widely held ideas. "I'm the only one kind of brave enough to stand up to the Zionists." And then at the same time is speaking to kids who not all as maybe we'll talk about are you know kind of conservative grew up they voted for Trump but now they're disappointed in Trump a little bit disillusioned the cost of living is crushing for them I mean I don't think I think James Fishbach's solutions to the cost of living crisis are mostly ridiculous and it's certainly not going to be solved by divesting from Israel. But he basically is talking about real crises and giving people someone to blame.
丹·温: 典型的威权主义剧本的一部分。
Original English
Dan Wen: A classic part of the authoritarian playbook.
米歇尔·戈德堡: 是的,绝对是。我的意思是,你之前问,当这个人只有5%的支持率时,为什么要写他?你知道,他在某些方面是一个荒谬的人物。就像我说的,他身后有一连串的失败和丑闻,但他不会是第一个。他不会是第一个乍一看很难被认真对待的煽动者,最终却触及了相当危险的东西。
Original English
Michelle Goldberg: Yeah, absolutely. I mean, you asked before, why write about this guy when he's at like 5% in the vote? And you know, he's in some ways a ridiculous figure. Like I said, he has this like trail of failure and scandal behind him, but he wouldn't be the first. He wouldn't be the first demagogue who at first glance is extremely hard to take seriously who ends up tapping into something quite dangerous.
丹·温: 是的。事实上,许多失败者都成为了煽动者。
Original English
Dan Wen: Yeah. In fact, many losers become demagogues.
米歇尔·戈德堡: 是的。绝对是。
Original English
Michelle Goldberg: Yeah. Absolutely.
伊朗战争与以色列在美国外交政策中的角色
丹·温: 那么,我们来谈谈伊朗战争,以及它对菲什巴赫及其支持者和反以色列观点产生了怎样的影响。
Original English
Dan Wen: So let's talk a bit about the war in Iran and how that has had an impact on Fishbach and his supporters and anti-Israel views.
米歇尔·戈德堡: 当然。我的意思是,你看,我认为唐纳德·特朗普的反战信誉被极度夸大了,而且人们对他第一个任期内所做的事情存在一种故意的误解,他在任期内大幅增加了无人机袭击等行动的数量。然而,在许多投票给他的年轻人中,存在着一种观念,这种观念由乔·罗根这样的人推动,认为他是一位反战候选人。J.D.万斯在《华尔街日报》的评论文章中说,唐纳德·特朗普最好的政策是没有发动任何新的对外战争。因此,对于一些支持他的人来说,没有任何迹象表明唐纳德·特朗普会做出这样的事情。然后,战争似乎突然爆发。你知道,唐纳德·特朗普从来没有真正觉得有必要为这一切辩护。这一切都显得有些奇怪和神秘。而且,再次强调,如果你像我一样,认为唐纳德·特朗普是一个自大狂,身边有人在他耳边低语,告诉他如何重塑世界地图,打倒所有这些美国敌人,我认为这很有道理。但如果你不那样看待唐纳德·特朗普,或者你倾向于阴谋论,或者你甚至不需要那么倾向于阴谋论。我的意思是,马可·鲁比奥基本上站出来说:“以色列把我们拖入了这场战争。”他试图改写这句话,但这些话是不可磨灭的。所有那些曾经怀疑以色列在美国外交政策中扮演的角色的人,包括詹姆斯·菲什巴赫,他在竞选演讲中反复引用鲁比奥的这句话,你知道,这被他们视为证据,证明那些以前被视为阴谋论的观点现在已经得到了国务卿的证实。因此,这场战争越糟糕,美国人被要求做出任何牺牲越多。所以,尽管按照美国主要战争的标准来看,伤亡人数幸运地相对较低,但至少有十几名美国军人丧生。有200多人受伤。所有这些经济后果,以及一种更广泛的感受,即世界正在失控,人们不知道为什么。如果你倾向于相信有某种黑暗势力在幕后操纵,然后有人说“我是唯一一个足够勇敢告诉你幕后主使是谁的人”,你就能理解为什么这是一个诱人的信息。
Original English
Michelle Goldberg: Sure. Well, I mean look, I think it was, you know, Donald Trump's anti-war bonafites have been extremely exaggerated and there's been a sort of willful misunderstanding of what he did in his first term where he radically increased the number of drone strikes being launched and things like that. Nevertheless, there was this idea among a lot of the young men who voted for him that was, you know, pushed by people like Joe Rogan that this was an anti-war candidate. JD Vance said, you know, in this Wall Street Journal oped that Donald Trump's best policy was not starting any more foreign wars. So to some of these people who supported him, there was no intimation that Donald Trump would do something like this. And then the war seemed to come out of nowhere. You know, Donald Trump never really felt the need to make the case at all. It all felt kind of weird and mysterious. And again, if you just think of, as I do, think of Donald Trump as like an egoomaniac who has people whispering in his ear about how he can be the one to remake the map of the world and take down all of these American enemies, I think it makes a fair amount of sense. But if you don't see Donald Trump that way or if you're kind of inclined to conspiratorial thinking or not, you don't even have to be that inclined to conspiratorial thinking. I mean, again, Marco Rubio basically came out and said, "Israel dragged us into this war and he's tried to rewrite that, but the words were indelible." And everybody who ever had suspicions about Israel's role in American foreign policy, including James Fishbach, who talks about that Rubio quote on the stump repeatedly, you know, sort of took that as proof that that ideas that had previously been dismissed as conspiracy theories have now been confirmed by the Secretary of State. And so the more this war goes bad, the more Americans are asked to make any sort of sacrifice. So even though the casualty count has been thankfully relatively low by the standards of major American war, there are at least a dozen American service members who've been killed. There have been more than 200 wounded. There are all of these economic repercussions and a broader sense that the world is spiraling out of control and people don't know why. And if you're inclined to believe that there is some dark force pulling the strings and then somebody says that "I'm the only one brave enough to tell you who it is," you can sort of see why that is an enticing message.
右翼影响者与反犹主义的传播
丹·温: 让我们来看看特朗普政府以及那些为其推波助澜的右翼影响者群体。他们在连接反以色列情绪和反犹主义方面扮演了什么角色?
Original English
Dan Wen: Let's take a look at the Trump administration and the universe of right-wing influencers that give it fuel. What role have they played in connecting anti-Israel sentiment and anti-semitism?
米歇尔·戈德堡: 嗯,这是一个复杂的问题,因为现在在这个影响者圈子里存在着一场内战,而且这场内战早在这次战争之前就已经存在了。我的意思是,在查理·柯克被谋杀之后,你确实看到了它爆发,当时出现了越来越多的阴谋论,认为存在某种犹太复国主义阴谋来谋杀他。这种想法是,查理·柯克,再次强调,这里面有一些真相,就像许多阴谋论一样,对吧?查理·柯克确实对那些试图让他放弃塔克·卡尔森的亲以色列捐助者感到沮丧,他感到他的捐助者和自己对以色列在加沙战争中的疑虑之间存在某种冲突。所以,你知道,在一些非常有影响力的宣传者的想象中,这已经变成了存在某种大规模犹太复国主义阴谋要杀害他的证据。这听起来很疯狂,但这种想法在右翼确实有市场。我的意思是,甚至在查理·柯克的组织“转折点”内部也有市场,你最近看到有人因此被解雇,因为他们相信这些事情,对吧?所以,如果组织内部的人都相信这些事情,想象一下还有多少其他人相信它们。坎迪斯·欧文斯,她和塔克·卡尔森一样,是美国最成功、收听人数最多、观看人数最多的播客主持人之一。你知道,这已经成为她世界观的核心。当我在这些活动中与人们交谈时,男孩们通常听尼克·富恩特斯,女孩们通常听坎迪斯·欧文斯,如果我可以这样概括的话。你知道,但这不仅仅是他们。这已经演变成一场关于以色列和美国外交政策的更广泛的战争。我不认为它在整个MAGA运动中普遍存在。大多数特朗普支持者仍然支持特朗普在战争问题上的立场,但在MAGA影响者中存在巨大的分歧,这些人是那些帮助推动右翼宣传、创建右翼回音室、延续叙事的人,这些叙事随后经常被唐纳德·特朗普圈子里的人回收利用。他们正在激烈地争斗,不仅是为了这场战争,也是为了美国对以色列的支持,甚至更多的是为了你能说什么和不能说什么关于以色列。
Original English
Michelle Goldberg: Um, well, that's I mean that's a sort of complicated question because you have such a civil war in that influencer sphere right now and it really predated this war. I mean, you really saw it break out after the murder of Charlie Kirk where you saw an increasing number of conspiracy theories that there was some sort of Zionist plot to murder him. The idea was that Charlie Kirk and again there there are grains of truth here as there are to many conspiracy theories, right? Charlie Kirk really was frustrated with pro-Israel donors who were trying to get him to kind of cast aside Tucker Carlson and he felt a certain amount of conflict between some of his donors and his own misgivings about Israel's war in Gaza. And so, you know, that has turned in the imagination of some very influential propagandists into evidence that there was a kind of massive Zionist plot to have him killed. It sounds crazy, but this idea has real purchase on the right. I mean, it even has purchase within Charlie Kirk's organization, Turning Point, in which you recently saw someone fired because they believed these things, right? So, if people within the organization believe these things, imagine how many other people believe them. Candace Owens, who like Tucker Carlson is one of the most successful, widely listened to, widely viewed podcasters in the United States. You know, this has become the center of her cosmology. And when I would talk to people at these events, the boys usually listen to Nick Fuentes and the girls usually listen to Candace Owens, if I can boil it down like that, you know, but it's not just them. This has kind of spiraled out into a broader war over Israel and American foreign policy. I don't think it's that pervasive within the the MAGA movement at large. Right. Most Trump supporters are still with Trump on the war, but there's a huge rift among MAGA influencers who are the people who sort of help drive right-wing propaganda, create right-wing echo chambers, perpetuate narratives that then often get recycled by people in Donald Trump's orbit. They are fighting bitterly, not just over this war, but over American support for Israel and even more about what you can and can't say about Israel.
右翼共和党人中的种族主义和反犹主义民调
丹·温: 那么,让我们回到你的专栏,以及其中一些关于共和党人公共舆论的惊人民调数据。我认为有31%的50岁以下共和党人认为自己的观点是种族主义的。
Original English
Dan Wen: So, let's go back to your column and some of the somewhat amazing poll figures in there on public opinion among Republicans. I think the numbers are 31% of Republicans under 50 identified their own views as racist.
米歇尔·戈德堡: 这来自曼哈顿研究所,这是一个保守派组织。
Original English
Michelle Goldberg: This is from the Manhattan Institute, which is a conservative organization.
丹·温: 25%的人说他们认为自己的观点是反犹主义的。这真是令人难以置信,人们竟然会承认并认可这一点。
Original English
Dan Wen: And 25% said they see their own views as anti-Semitic. Which is kind of incredible that people would just admit that and acknowledge it.
米歇尔·戈德堡: 对吧?所以我想这可能低估了这些观点的真实数量,对吧?那只是那些自我认同的人。即使在我参加的这些活动中,很多人,包括一个说他的政治意识是由尼克·富恩特斯塑造的人,也会极力否认自己是反犹分子。
Original English
Michelle Goldberg: Right? And so I think that that probably understates the real number of those views, right? That's only people who are self-identified. And even a lot of people at these events I was going to, including one person who said his political consciousness was formed by Nick Fuentes, would also deny up and down that they're anti-semites.
支持者案例:Lacy Gaou的矛盾观点
丹·温: 最后,我想问一个你在报道中特别提到的人。你在那里遇到的一位菲什巴赫的支持者,莱西·高,她在政治上似乎非常有趣,她的处境似乎也代表了你采访的人群。
Original English
Dan Wen: So to end, I want to ask about someone that you mentioned specifically in your reporting. One of the supporters of Fishbach that you met down there, Lacy Gaou, she seems so interesting politically and her situation seems so representative of the people you spoke to.
米歇尔·戈德堡: 嗯,她的处境,我不认为她的政治是代表性的。我的意思是,我认为她的处境是代表性的,她有工作。她是一名社会工作者,与寄养儿童一起工作。她很年轻。她订婚了,他们和室友住在一起,几乎没有希望能够搬出去开始独立生活,只是因为生活成本太高了。她最 striking 的地方是,你知道,当我接近她时,那是在一家华夫饼屋外面,对吧?当时,詹姆斯·菲什巴赫正在进行他所谓的“华夫饼屋之旅”。所以他会像我参加的那个乡村俱乐部活动一样举办一场活动,然后他会去一家华夫饼屋。所以我们到了这家华夫饼屋,我比他晚到了一点,因为我还在之前的活动中进行采访,那里简直是人山人海,你知道。所以他在里面进行见面会。我根本进不去,你知道,我试着挤进去,然后就放弃了,在外面和这群人待在一起,你知道,和这位年轻女士交谈,她说:“我上次出来参加活动,是为了‘黑人的命也是命’。”这真的让我很惊讶,因为那显然是一种非常不同的政治活动。你知道,她是一个说自己是曼达尼的忠实粉丝的人,她的观点似乎在左右之间摇摆不定。你知道,她也曾被查理·柯克的谋杀案所震惊。她听了很多坎迪斯·欧文斯的节目。她认为尼克·富恩特斯说的一些话很有道理。她非常赞赏菲什巴赫说他不会接受美国以色列公共事务委员会(APAC)的钱。她实际上是一名注册民主党人,她告诉我她正在考虑改变她的注册,以便在初选中投票给菲什巴赫。我的意思是,菲什巴赫在此之前告诉我,他的活动吸引了民主党人,他正在和那些说要改变注册的人交谈。我不知道我是否真的相信他,直到我亲眼所见。
Original English
Michelle Goldberg: Well, her situation, I don't think her politics are. I mean, I think her situation is is representative in that she has a job. She's a social worker working with foster kids. She's very young. She's engaged to be married and they live with roommates and sort of have very little hope of being able to move out and start an independent life just because things are so expensive. What was so striking about her was that, you know, when I approached her and this was outside of a Waffle House, right? Like James Fishbach at the time he was on what he called this Waffle House tour. So he would have an event like the event I went to at this country club and then afterwards he would go to a Waffle House. And so we get to this Waffle House and I got there a little bit after him because I was still doing interviews at the previous event and it is just absolutely mobbed, you know. So he's inside doing meet and greets. I can't get anywhere near inside, you you know, I try sort of tried to push through the door and I just then gave up and was hanging around with this crowd outside and, you know, spoke to this young woman and she said, "The last time I came out for something, it was for Black Lives Matter." And that really struck me because that was obviously a very different sort of political event. And you know, she was someone who she told me she was a big fan of Mum Donnie and her views sort of seesawed I think between left and right. You know, she had also been, I think, shaken by Charlie Kirk's murder. She listens to a lot of Candace Owens. She thinks some things Nick Fuentes says make sense. She really appreciated Fishbach saying that he wouldn't take money from Apac, the American Israel Public Affairs Committee. And she actually she's a registered Democrat who told me she was thinking of changing her registration so that she could vote for Fishbach in the primary. I mean Fishbach had told me before this that he's getting Democrats at his events that he is talking to people who say that they're going to change their registration. I don't know that I actually believed him until I saw it for myself.
丹·温: 这太有趣了。而莱西本人也承认她的观点似乎有些矛盾。
Original English
Dan Wen: That's so interesting. And Lacy herself acknowledged that her views seem somewhat contradictory.
如何接触年轻一代并应对偏执
丹·温: 那么,有哪些声音能够与年轻共和党人,或者说那些感到迷茫、正在寻找出路的年轻人对话呢?
Original English
Dan Wen: Who are the voices out there that can speak to young Republicans or young people in general who feel that they're searching for what the path is?
米歇尔·戈德堡: 是的。嗯,你看,我不确定有哪些人能够与年轻共和党人对话,因为,如果你已经“激进化”成偏执,那么,如何“去激进化”人们可能又是另一个话题了。但是,考虑到有些人,他们不像我们认为的那样是摇摆选民,但他们可能是摇摆选民,或者至少他们被这些极端民粹主义版本所吸引,但他们也可能被一个更具包容性的民粹主义版本所争取过来。我的意思是,在这种程度上,像曼达尼这样的人物,他们知道如何在网上交流,因为这些孩子所有的信息都来自那里。他们就是通过这种方式了解詹姆斯·菲什巴赫的。他们就是通过这种方式开始关注詹姆斯·菲什巴赫的。而曼尼确实知道如何在那里接触到人们。他谈论经济适用性,这再次是这些人最关心的问题。他知道如何对抗APAC,无论你对APAC的真实看法如何,无论是在右翼还是左翼,对他们在我们政治中扮演的角色都存在巨大的不满。但他所做的一切都带着一种积极的、包容的愿景。他不是我们所有祈祷的答案,但像他这样年轻、有魅力的政治家,他们知道如何谈论许多年轻人正在经历的非常真实的经济困境和绝望。他们能够将这一切编织成一个包容的多元种族民主和民粹主义的叙事,而不是将其全部归入“白人民族主义”的范畴。我认为这是接触这一代人的前进方向。
Original English
Michelle Goldberg: Yeah. Well, look, I'm not sure that there are who it is that can speak to young Republicans because right, if you've been sort of radicalized into into bigotry, you know, kind of how you dradicalize people is maybe another conversation. But given that there are people who are like not how we think of as swing voters but maybe are swing voters or at least you know are kind of attracted to these extreme versions of populism but that can maybe be won over by a more inclusive version of populism. I mean to that extent figures like Mumani who know how to communicate online because that's where these kids are getting all their information. That's how they know about James Fishbach. That's how they started following James Fishbach. And Manny really knows how to reach people there. He talks about affordability which is again very top of mind for these people. He knows how to stand up to Apac which whatever you actually believe about Apac there is tremendous resentment on the right and the left about the role that they're playing in our politics. But he does all these things with a positive inclusive vision. He's not the answer to all of our prayers, but a sort of young charismatic politicians who know how to talk about the very real economic struggles and sort of despair that a lot of young people are experiencing. Who can instead of putting all that into a rubric of like white nationalism are able to weave all that into a narrative of inclusive multi-racial democracy and populism I think are the way forward in in terms of sort of reaching this generation.
丹·温: 米歇尔,有没有希望能够对抗这种反射性的偏执,这种对反犹主义和种族主义等禁忌的接受?在我们的社会中,有没有解药?
Original English
Dan Wen: Michelle, is there any hope for somehow counteracting this kind of reflexive bigotry, acceptance of taboos like anti-semitism and racism? Is there is there any antidote to that out there in our society?
米歇尔·戈德堡: 我的意思是,我再次希望,你知道,一种更积极的多元种族民主愿景可以成为解药。但我会说,迄今为止人们所采取的解药,我的意思是,你在老一代人中看到的,是一种非常可以理解的恐慌,你知道,这种恐慌在某种程度上我也认同。他们被这种恐慌所驱使,试图越来越严厉地打击这种言论,对吧?试图在大学里实施这些言论规范,试图将像加州国会议员罗阿纳这样的政治家斥为反犹分子,你知道,去使这种言论失去合法性。而这不仅无效,它还适得其反,因为它所做的只是在反以色列言论周围制造出一种神秘的魅力,让它看起来像是某种秘密的禁忌知识,以及解决你生活中发生的一切事情的不可言说的关键。而在这个人们感到困惑和绝望的时代,这确实是反犹主义的催化剂。
Original English
Michelle Goldberg: I mean again I would hope that you know a sort of more positive vision of multi-racial democracy can be an antidote but I would say that the antidotes that people have settled on so far I mean what you see I think among an older generation is this very understandable panic you know a panic that to some degree I share and they have been motivated by that panic to try to crack down on this speech more and more right to try to put these speech codes in places at universities to try to write off politicians like say California Congressman Roana as anti-Semitic, you know, to delegitimize this kind of discourse. And it it's not only that it doesn't work, it's that it's really counterproductive because all it does is create this sort of like gnostic glamour around anti-Israel speech in which it seems to be this secret forbidden knowledge and like the unspoken key to everything that's happening in your life. And at a time when people feel understandably confused and desparing, that is really an accelerant anti-semitism.
丹·温: 米歇尔,和你交谈非常愉快。非常感谢。
Original English
Dan Wen: Michelle, it's been so great talking to you. Thanks so much.
米歇尔·戈德堡: 非常感谢你的邀请。
Original English
Michelle Goldberg: Thank you so much for having me.