播客开场:欢迎丹·平克
Nikolai: 大家好,我是挪威主权财富基金(Sovereign wealth fund: 由政府拥有和管理的投资基金)的首席运营官(COO: Chief Operating Officer)尼古拉·坦根(Nikolai Tangen)。今天,我非常高兴地欢迎丹·平克(Dan Pink),他撰写了七本《纽约时报》(New York Times: 美国知名报纸)畅销书。
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hi everyone I'm Nikolai tangan the COO of the Norwegian Sovereign wealth fund and today I'm thrilled to welcome Dan Pink who is written seven New York Times bestsellers
他在遗憾、工作、创造力、行为等方面都做了开创性的工作,所以今天我们主要讨论遗憾、驱动力和时机,比如“何时”做事情。欢迎您,丹。
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he's done groundbreaking work on the power of regret work creativity behaviors and so on and so today we'll talk mainly about regret drive and timing like when so welcome Dan
Dan: 谢谢,谢谢,很高兴来到这里。
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thank you thank you great to be here
重新审视遗憾:为何“无悔”是糟糕的建议
Nikolai: 很好。您的最新著作《遗憾的力量》(The Power of Regret: 丹·平克的著作,探讨如何从遗憾中学习)探讨了我们应该从遗憾中学习。我的哲学一直是尝试从中学习并继续前进,但您的看法略有不同,对吗?
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you're great so your latest book um the power regret explores that we should kind of learn from our regrets now My Philosophy has always been to kind of try to learn from it and move on but you think a bit differently no
Dan: 不,我认为我们实际上非常接近。我真正反对的是这种观念,尤其是在美国,人们说“我没有任何遗憾,一切发生皆有其原因”,认为过上美好生活的途径是永远保持积极,从不消极,永远向前看,从不回头。
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I think that's I think we're we're actually we're actually fairly close what I'm really pushing back against is this idea especially here in America where people say I don't have any regrets everything happens for a reason that the path to a life well-lived is to be positive all the time never be negative to always look forward never look back and that is profoundly bad advice
那是非常糟糕的建议。
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what what would you want to kind of uh write about this
我也有自己的遗憾。嗯,催化剂时刻是我的大女儿从大学毕业时。我当时坐在一个非常大的礼堂里,经历着许多父母都会有的那种灵魂出窍(out-of-body experience: 感觉自己脱离身体的体验)的感受,你看着孩子,心想“就在昨天,这个22岁的女人还是两岁的小孩,这怎么发生的?”
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I had regrets of my own such as um well I mean the catalyzing moment was when my our elder daughter graduated from University and I was sitting in this very large Auditorium and I was having this kind of the outof body experience that many parents have where you see a kid and you think like just yesterday this 22y old woman was two years old how did this happen
然后我心里想:“我才25岁,怎么可能有一个22岁的孩子?”这完全不合逻辑。我开始思考这件事,我开始思考我自己的大学经历,我对我自己的大学经历有一些遗憾。
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and then internally I thought how is it possible for me to have a 22-year-old kid when I'm like only 25 myself and it just didn't compute and I started thinking about that I real I started thinking about my own college experience and I had some regrets about my own college experience
我希望我当时能承担更多风险,希望我能更友善,希望我能更努力。当我毕业后回到我居住的华盛顿特区时,我知道没有人想谈论遗憾。
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um I wish I had taken more risks wish I had been Kinder wish I had worked harder and when I came back to to Washington where I live after this graduation I knew that nobody wanted to talk about regrets
当时,因为我人生中的这个里程碑,我非常清楚自己的遗憾,但我知道没有人想谈论遗憾。为什么呢?
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I was really conscious of my regrets at that time because of this marker in my life but I knew that nobody wanted to talk about regrets and and why is that
你知道,这是一种非常流行的纹身,我不太喜欢纹身,但据说“无悔”是最流行的纹身之一。但这个纹身是胡扯(BS: Bullshit的缩写,意为胡扯)。这个纹身是行为艺术(performance art: 一种以艺术家行为为主要表现形式的艺术)。
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you know it's it's one of the most popular tattoo I'm not very into tattoos but supposedly it's one of the most popular tattoos no regrets but because the tattoo the tattoo is BS the tattoo is the tattoo is performance art
当我回来时,以为没人想谈论遗憾,但我谈论了自己的遗憾后,我发现每个人都想谈论他们的遗憾。每个人都有这些遗憾,他们只是在寻找机会。
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uh when I came back thinking that nobody wanted to talk about regrets and I talked about my own regrets I discovered that everybody wanted to talk about their regrets that everybody had these regrets they were just looking for the opportunity
所以,尼古拉,基本上发生的事情是,我们被兜售(sold: 被说服接受某种观念),尤其是在美国,而且我认为这种“无悔”哲学是独特的美国现象,因为我认为美国人过于看重积极性。
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so what we had what basically what's happened Nikolai is that we've been sold especially here in America and I think that there is something this no regrets philosophy is distinctly American because I think Americans are over indexed on positivity
斯堪的纳维亚人,他们理解消极。
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Scandinavians they understand negativity
Nikolai: 嗯,我们是黑暗的,是的。
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well we are dark yes
Dan: 没错,你们理解消极。所以,我所说的,我们凭经验(empirically: 基于观察和实验而非理论)知道的,这不是一种哲学,我们从科学中知道的是,美好生活的途径是大部分时间保持积极,但不是所有时间;大部分时间向前看,但不是所有时间。
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precisely you understand negativity and so what I'm saying what we know empirically this is not a philosophy what we know from science is that the path to a good life is to be positive most of the time but not all the time to look forward a lot of the time but not all the time
所以,我正在尝试重新校准我们对这种情绪的理解,因为如果我们审视它,如果我们理解它,如果我们仔细研究它,如果我们倾听我们的遗憾,它会引导我们走向更好的生活。
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and so what I'm trying to do is recalibrate our understanding of this emotion because if we interrogate if we understand it if we scrutinize it if we listen to our regrets it leads us to a better life
Nikolai: 但您说它特别在美国,但它是普遍的,对吗?它无处不在。
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but it's Universal you say it's particularly in America but it's Universal right it's all over the place
Dan: 遗憾本身是普遍的,绝对是。对遗憾的反应——“无悔,永远积极”——是美国独有的,但遗憾是人类最常见的情绪之一,无论你的国籍是什么。
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regret itself is universal absolutely the response to regret there's no regrets all positive all the time is uniquely American but regret is one of the most common emotions that human beings have regardless of your nationality
Nikolai: 特别是投资者,我认为,对吗?我们后悔做了各种事情,也后悔没做各种事情。是的,所以,所以这很有趣。
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in particular investors I think right we regret all kind of things we did and the things we didn't do and yeah so so so that's interesting
反事实思维:投资者如何利用遗憾学习
Nikolai: 您有一种叫做反事实思维(Counterfactual thinking: 设想与实际发生情况相反的场景的认知能力)的东西,那是什么?
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you have something called counteract ual thinking what is that
Dan: 是的,反事实思维是我们大脑的强大超能力(superpowers: 强大的能力)之一,它支撑着我们体验遗憾的能力。所以,当我们回顾过去,想象一个与实际事实相反的场景时,它是一种令人难以置信的认知能力。
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yeah well counterfactual thinking is the is one of the great superpowers of our brains and it underlies our ability to experience regret it so when we go look backward in time and imagine a scenario that runs counter to the actual facts um and it is an incredible cognitive capacity
这就是为什么5岁的孩子没有遗憾,因为他们无法进行反事实思维。所以,这是我们之所以成为人类的一部分。
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it's one reason why 5-year-olds don't have regrets because they can't do counterfactual thinking and so it's part of what makes us so
Nikolai: 那么,这对投资者来说是如何运作的呢?投资者如何利用这一点?
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how does that work for an investor then how can an investor use that
Dan: 嗯,这取决于。我认为对投资者来说这很棘手,因为你可以回顾一个你做出的决定,并以两种不同的方式评估它。对于投资者以及其他类型的事情,你可以根据实际结果来评估它,我认为这很危险。
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well it depends I so I Think It's Tricky with an investor because you can so you can go back and look at a you can go back and look at a decision that you made right and you can evaluate it in two different ways for an investor and other kinds of things as well you can you can evaluate it based on the actual outcome and I think that's dangerous
我认为你应该做的是根据你当时所知来评估它。你当时知道什么?当时这是一个好的决定吗?
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I think what you should need should do is evaluate it based on what you knew at the time what what you knew at the time and was this a good decision at the time
你可以说,你知道,我把200万美元投入了一个加密货币基金,因为它当时看起来是正确的选择,也许它成功了,但也可能没有。那可能当时并不是一个好的决定。
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you can say you know I'm going to um I I I put uh $2 million in in in um in a crypto fund because it seemed like the thing to do and maybe it worked out but it might not that might not have been a good decision at the time
也可能你把200万美元投入了其他类型的基金,当时这是一个明智的决定,但它还没有奏效,或者还没有完全奏效。所以你必须审视决策本身,而不是结果。
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it could have been that you you put $2 million into some other kind of fund and it was a smart decision at the time and it hasn't worked out or hasn't worked out yet so you have to scrutinize the decision itself rather than the outcome
Nikolai: 所以霍华德·马克斯(Howard Marx: 橡树资本管理公司联合创始人)经常谈论这一点,我们应该小心根据结果来判断决策。安妮·杜克(Annie Duke: 决策科学家、扑克选手)在您的节目中也谈到过这一点,她谈到人们是结果偏见者(outcome bias: 根据结果而非决策过程来判断决策好坏的倾向),以及这是一种多么危险的评估决策方式。
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so Howard Marx is talking a lot about that that we should be careful judging a decision on the on the outcome um Annie Duke who's been on your show has talked about this inde she talks about people being outcom ISS uh and and how that's the dangerous way to to to make to evaluate decisions yeah
四种核心遗憾:基础性、大胆性、道德与连接
Nikolai: 好的。您提到有几种类型的遗憾,我认为您将它们分为四种,其中一种是基础性遗憾(foundational regret: 因早期生活中一系列看似微小的决定累积而成的长期负面后果),对吗?就是你没有更努力工作的事实。嗯,是的,你很努力,你在耶鲁大学获得了法律学位,所以你一定非常努力。
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okay you mentioned that there are uh several types of regrets I think you divide them into four and one is the foundation regret right the fact that you didn't work harder uh yeah well you work hard you you did a law degree at Yale so you must have very hard but but the
Dan: 是的,所以,所以为了给这提供一些背景,我做的是,我收集了来自世界各地人们的遗憾。我做了一个在线调查,这是一个定性研究(qualitative piece of research: 旨在理解深层原因、意见和动机的研究方法),我们现在有一个包含来自134个国家约26,000人的遗憾数据库。所以这非常了不起。
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yeah so so so just to give it just to give some context to this what I did is I I did a uh I gathered regrets from people all over the world I put an online survey uh qualitative piece of research and we now have a database of regrets from about 26,000 people in 134 countries so it's it's pretty remarkable
在世界各地,人们似乎有四种核心遗憾。其中之一就是我称之为基础性遗憾的遗憾,这很有趣,因为我认为它有一个财务组成部分。这是人们在生命早期做出的微小决定,没有一个决定是灾难性的,但这些决定导致了后来的糟糕后果。
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and around the world it seemed people had the same four core regrets one of them was this regret that I call a foundational regret which is actually it's interesting because I think there's a financial component to it it's small decisions people make early in life no single one of which is cataclysmic but that leads to terrible consequences later on
所以最典型的例子是“我花得太多,存得太少,现在我破产了。”这就像棉花糖实验(Marshmallow test: 一项关于延迟满足的心理学实验),对吗?
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and so the classic one is I spent too much and saved too little and now I'm broke so this is like the like like like the marshmallow test right that a little bit
Nikolai: 是的,一点点。好的,所以人们擅长推迟,你知道,你宁愿派对也不愿做作业。
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yeah okay so people are good at deferring you know you rather party than doing your homework a little bit
Dan: 一点点。我的书里用的例子是著名的寓言《蚱蜢与蚂蚁》(The Grasshopper and the Ant: 一则关于勤劳与懒惰的寓言故事)。是的,所以,但这并没有真正……我认为关于遗憾最有趣的事情之一是表面之下发生的事情。
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a little bit I mean in the book The the example I use is the famous Fable of the the grasshopper and the Ant yeah uh yeah and so and so but it doesn't reallyand I think one of the interesting things about regret is what's going on underneath the surface
所以这不是关于财务遗憾,而是关于短期内没有做那些长期有回报的工作。所以它可能是健康方面的事情,比如“我吃得太多,吃得不健康,没有锻炼,现在我身体非常不健康。”
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so it's not about financial regrets it's about not doing the work in in in the short term that pays off in the long term so it could be things like health I ate too much I didn't eat right and I didn't exercise and now I'm profoundly healthy
“我没有好好对待我的孩子,现在我对他们很生气。”所以它可能是这样的事情,基本上是早期累积的小决定。就像海明威那句老话,两个角色在对话,一个美国人说:“我破产了。”
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uh I didn't treat my kids well and now I'm aange for them so it could be thing it could be things like basically small decisions that accumulate early it's like that old the Hemingway line where these two characters are talking and one guy says the American guy says um I went bankrupt
另一个人问:“你是怎么破产的?”他说:“两种方式:逐渐地,然后突然地。”人们就是这样经历这些遗憾的。
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and the guy says how'd you go bankrupt and he says two ways gradually then suddenly and that's how that's how people experience these regrets
Nikolai: 绝对是。嗯,我们也许可以下次再谈预算赤字,但是,好的,大胆性遗憾(boldness regrets: 后悔没有抓住机会或冒险的经历)。
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absolutely well we can talk about budget deficits perhaps another time but okay boldness regrets
Dan: 嗯,预算赤字就是蚱蜢和蚂蚁,对吗?只是在这种情况下,清算日,冬天似乎被无限期推迟了。是的,大胆性,大胆性……非常普遍的遗憾,我认为是关于人类状况的一个非常有趣的遗憾。
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well I mean budget deficits are the ant in the grasshopper right there it's just that it's just that the the the the the Reckoning the winter seems to be endlessly deferred in that case yeah boldness boldness um very common regret and I think a really interesting one about the Human Condition
你处于人生的一个关口,你可以选择求稳,也可以选择冒险。绝大多数人后悔没有冒险,远甚于那些冒险但失败的人。
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you're at a juncture in your life you can play it safe or you can take the chance and overwhelmingly people regret not taking the chance U much more than even people who took a chance and it doesn't work out for them um it's not taking the chance
嗯,这是没有冒险。而且,它不局限于特定领域(domain specific: 仅适用于特定领域或情境)。“我留在了这份没有前途的工作中,而不是创业,因为我太害怕了。”“我没有约某人出去约会。”“我没有旅行。”
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and again it's not domain specific uh I stayed in this deadend job instead of starting a business because I was too scared I didn't ask somebody out on a date I didn't travel
我处于人生的一个关口,求稳还是冒险?当人们没有冒险时,并非所有时候,但绝大多数时候,他们会后悔没有冒险。
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I'm at a juncture in my life play it safe take the chance and when people don't take the chance not all the time but overwhelmingly they regret not taking
Nikolai: 您什么时候应该更勇敢?
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when should you have been more bold
Dan: 我什么时候应该更勇敢?哦,我应该在我的整体教育选择上更勇敢。我……上法学院是一个典型的胆怯(timidity: 缺乏勇气或自信)行为,而不是大胆。
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when should I have been more bold oh I should not I should have been more bold about my My overall education choices uh I uh going to law school was an quintessential Act of timidity not boldness
我当时应该做的是追随我真正感兴趣的东西,今天我就会……我不知道我会成为什么,但我不会走上法学院那条弯路。那是一个例子。
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uh what I should have done is followed what I was really interested in and and today I would be I would I don't know what I would be but I would not be I would not have taken that detour uh into law school that's that's one that's one example
我甚至现在在我的职业生涯中也会思考这个问题。
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I think about it even now in my professional life like literally is a gender difference when it comes to bold
Nikolai: 有趣的是,在勇敢方面是否存在性别差异?
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interesting um it's unclear that's an interesting question it's it's unclear
Dan: 这不清楚,这是一个有趣的问题,不清楚。我做了另一项定量研究(quantitative research: 收集和分析数值数据以识别模式和趋势的研究方法),在美国样本中寻找性别差异,嗯,嗯,差异不多。
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did another piece of quantitative research where in of an American sample looking for gender differences and um um there weren't that many
有一些研究是关于……这是我写过的最受欢迎的脚注,在这本书里,是关于性方面的遗憾。基本上,正如你所说,男性倾向于后悔没有与之发生关系的人,而女性倾向于后悔与之发生关系的人。
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uh there is some research on it's a it's my most popular footnote I've ever written it in this in this book it's it's on sexual regrets and essentially what it comes down to to your point is that is that men tend to regret the people they didn't sleep with and women tend to regret the people they did sleep with
所以这似乎在大胆性遗憾方面可能存在性别差异,但我没有足够的数据来确定这一点。
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so this seems like there might be a difference in boldness regrets based on gender but I don't think I don't have enough data to say that with any certainty
Nikolai: 不。那领导力呢?你知道,我们在这个播客上采访了很多首席执行官(CEOs: Chief Executive Officers: 公司的最高行政主管),其中几位说他们没有大胆,他们没有恐惧基因(fear Gene: 指天生不感到恐惧的特质)。您是什么意思?
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no what about um leadership so it's interesting you know we've had a lot of CEOs on this uh podcast and several of them say they have no boldness they have they have no feir Gene what do you mean
Dan: 嗯,他们从不……哦,恐惧。哦,不,不,不,恐惧基因。你知道吗,恐惧是一种宝贵的情绪。
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well they never they never oh fear oh no no no fear Gene um you know what fear is a valuable motion to have
你知道,你不想过度看重恐惧,但你希望有一点点。它就像所有这些情绪一样,你希望拥有它。就像情绪投资组合理论(portfolio theory of emotions: 认为健康的心理状态需要积极和消极情绪的平衡),你意识到,你希望拥有更多的积极情绪而不是消极情绪,但你不想拥有一个只有积极情绪的投资组合。
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you know um again you don't want to over index on fear but you want to have a little bit it's like it's like all these emotions you want to have here you go like like there's a portfolio theory of emotions you realize it's like you want to have more positive emotions than negative emotions but you don't want to have a portfolio that's only positive emotions
你实际上……拜托,你希望投资者有一点恐惧,对吗?你知道我的意思吗?所以,如果你没有恐惧基因,你很可能……我的猜测是,总的来说,恐惧基因并没有完全从人群中剔除,而是被削弱了,因为没有恐惧的人无法存活下来并传递他们的梦想。
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you actually you're come on you want investors to have a little fear no totally you know what I mean so so if if you have a no fear Gene you're probably uh my hunch is that in general the no fear Gene has been not completely edited out of the population but has been diminished because people with no fear aren't around to pass on their dream
你希望有一点恐惧,就像你希望有一点遗憾,一点悲伤,一点悲痛一样。在你的情绪投资组合中,你希望有一些这些不愉快的东西。
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you want a little fear you don't want you want a little fear just as you want a little regret you want a little sadness you want a little grief you want in your portfolio of emotions you want some of this stuff that is unpleasant
Nikolai: 是的。那道德方面呢?善良的一面?
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yeah what about moral kind of the goodness side of things
Dan: 嗯,你处于人生的一个关口,你可以做正确的事情,也可以做错误的事情。我发现,在我收集的26,000人中,绝大多数人,当我们做了错误的事情时,我们大多数时候都会后悔。
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um you're at a juncture in your life you can do the right thing you can do the wrong thing and I have found in just in my 26,000 people overwhelmingly when people do the wrong thing most of us most of the time regret it
嗯,我们仍然会做,但我们很多人会后悔,因为我认为,我认为一般来说,我们大多数人都是善良的,并且希望善良,当我们不善良时会感到糟糕。
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um we still do it but a lot of of us regret it because I think I think generally most of us are good and want to be good and feel crappy when we're not good
连接性遗憾(connection regrets: 后悔未能维系或修复人际关系)是关于人际关系的,不仅仅是浪漫关系,而是那些曾经完整、本应完整的关系,它们破裂了。你想伸出手,但你没有,然后你后悔了。
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connection about relationships not only romantic relationships just relationships that were intact should have been intact they come apart you want to reach out you don't and then you regret it
嗯,有趣的是,许多这些关系破裂的方式,以及这种全方位关系——不仅仅是浪漫关系,还有与朋友、兄弟姐妹、父母的关系——是不戏剧化的(undramatic: 平淡无奇的)。它们逐渐疏远了。
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m uh and and what's interesting about a lot of these relationships is the way that a lot of relationships come apart and this full spectrum of relationships not only romantic relationships but relationships with friends with siblings with parents is that it's undramatic they drift apart
它们有时会那样,但在许多情况下,它们只是逐渐疏远。这个人想伸出手,他们说:“哦,天哪,我五年没和尼古拉说话了,如果我伸出手会很尴尬,他也不会在乎。”
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they don't sometimes they do that but many cases they drift apart this person wants to reach out they say oh man I haven't talked to Nikolai for like five years it's going to be really awkward if I reach out and he's not going to care
Nikolai: 但通常有你疏远的原因,对吗?你回到你的同学聚会,你的30年聚会什么的,你觉得会很有趣,然后很快你就明白为什么你不是每天都见面了。
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but there's often a reason why you drift apart right you come back to your reunion your 30 year reunion or whatever and you think it's going to be great fun and then pretty quickly you understand why why you don't meet up every day
Dan: 在某些情况下是的。所以,事情是这样的:你不会后悔那些疏远了而你不在乎的关系。如果你和某人疏远了,你说:“哦,我30年没和弗雷德说话了,我一点也不在乎。”那不是遗憾,那可能是一个明智的决定。
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in some cases yes and some so the thing is like you don't have regrets about that you don't you don't have a regret about relationships that that that drifted apart and you don't care about if you drift apart from someone you say oh I haven't talked to Fred for 30 years I don't I don't I don't care one bit that's not a regret that might be a wise decision
但在我们的生活中,特别是在友谊方面,有很多情况下我们确实后悔疏远了。我在书中有几个人,你知道,甚至根据我的采访,他们开始改变故事,比如主动联系那些他们以前没有联系的人。
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but there are many instances in our lives particularly with friendships where we do regret drifting apart and I have several people in the book who you know based on even my interviews with them started changing the story by like reaching out to people who they had hadn't reached out to before
分享遗憾与领导力:为何坦诚是力量
Nikolai: 现在您说您应该告诉人们您的遗憾,对吗?
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now you say you should tell people about your regrets right
Dan: 是的。嗯,有几个原因。第一,这是一种卸下重负(unburdening: 通过表达情感或秘密来减轻心理负担)。有一些证据表明,当我们……这就像卸下肩上的重担。
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yeah um why a couple of reasons number one it's an unburdening of of sorts uh that there is there's some evidence that when we uh it's sort of a lifting of the weight of your shoulders
但我认为有一个比简单地卸下重负更重要的原因,那就是意义构建功能(sensemaking function: 通过解释和理解经验来赋予其意义的过程)。我们有很多关于这方面的证据。
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but I think there's a more important one with more important reason than simply the unburdening and it's this it's a there's a sensemaking function we have a lot of evidence about this
嗯,当人们写下他们的遗憾或谈论他们的遗憾时,会发生一种转变。遗憾,像所有负面情绪一样,是模糊的(Blobby: 模糊不清的)、无定形的(amorphous: 没有明确形状的)、虚无缥缈的(vaporous: 像蒸汽一样不真实)。
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um when people uh write about their regrets or talk about their regrets there's a transformation that occurs regret like all negative emotions is Blobby it's amorphous it's vaporous
当我们写下或谈论它们时,我们将那种虚无缥缈转化为具体的词语,这些词语不那么具有威胁性,我们可以审视它们,我们可以分析它们,我们可以质疑它们。
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when we write about them or talk about them we convert that vapor into words which are concrete and those are less menacing and we can scrutinize them we can analyze them we can interrogate them
所以我认为这样做有一个非常强烈的论据。更重要的是,你之前提到了领导力。我们有时会犯一个预测错误(forecasting error: 对未来事件或他人反应的错误判断),当我们说如果我们谈论我们的错误或脆弱性时,人们会看轻我们。
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so I think there's a there's a there's a very strong uh uh argument for doing that what's more you mentioned leadership before we we make a forcasting error sometimes when we say if we talk about our mistakes or our vulnerabilities people will think less of us
但在许多情况下,并非所有情况,但许多情况下,他们实际上会更看重我们。他们钦佩我们的坦诚,他们钦佩我们的勇气。
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and in many cases not all but in many cases they actually think more of us they admire our cander they admire our courage
Nikolai: 嗯,没有人喜欢完美的人。
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well nobody likes perfect people
Dan: 这也是真的。我的意思是,这是一个更简约的解释(parsimonious explanation: 用最简单、最少的假设来解释现象的原则)。我们为什么要努力做到完美,但如果完美了又没人喜欢我们?
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that's true too I mean that's a more parsimonious explanation why do we try to be perfect but nobody likes us if we perfect
嗯,因为我们犯了一个预测错误。我的意思是,人类在各种预测错误中洗牌(a washing in: 充斥着)。首先,他们犯的最大错误是他们认为人们在关注他们,并且比实际情况更关心他们。
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uh because we're making a we're making a forecasting error I mean truly it's like I mean human beings are a washing in all kinds of predictive errors about first of all they they make they they make the the biggest error is that they think people are watching them and care about them much more than is than is
没有人,没有人关注你。人们只关心自己。我告诉你,这是我最深刻的……忘记研究写作,作为一种生活经历,这是我经历过的最具变革性的事情之一,大概在我20多岁末、30岁初的时候,我基本上停止了关心别人对我的看法,因为我发现他们根本没有在想我,他们都在想自己。
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nobody's nobody's watching you nobody and people only care about themselves I give you I'll that is one of my most profound forget about writing a research as a as a lived experience that is one of the most transformative things that ever happened to me is when probably in my late 20s early 30s I basically stopped caring about what other people thought of me because I discovered that they weren't thinking about me they were thinking about themselves
Nikolai: 这一发现有什么影响?就是没有人真正关心我们?
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what are the implications of of that finding the fact that nobody really thinks about us
Dan: 我们应该做我们认为正确的事情,做那些能触动我们的事情,做我们关心的事情,而不是……而不是围绕别人如何评价我们来构建我们的生活。
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we should do what we think is the right thing to do what moves us what we care about um and not not uh uh construct our lives around what other people how how other people are going to evaluate us
所以我认为这会带来更大的大胆,我认为这会带来更大的真实性,我认为在个人层面,这会带来更大的幸福。有一些人,在一些遗憾研究中存在一些潜在的证据,表明人们的一种遗憾是过着别人的生活,而不是过着自己的生活。
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and so I think that it leads to I think it leads to Greater boldness I think it can lead to Greater authenticity I think it can lead at the at the individual level to Greater to Greater happiness there are a lot of people who are there is some sort of latent evidence in some of the regret research that what PE a regret that people have is leading someone else's life rather than leading their own life
Nikolai: 好的,我喜欢这个。所以对听众来说,不要去想别人怎么看,只管做你想做的事。
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okay I love it so to the listeners just don't think about what people think just do what the heck you want
Dan: 再说一次,一点点。尼古拉,世界不是二元的(binary: 只有两种状态或选择的)。你想要思考……我的意思是,你知道,你希望在某种程度上关心别人的想法,但你不想过度看重这一点。
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again a little bit again I'm not the world is not binary nickel the like you want to think about I mean you know you want to care at some level about what people think but you don't want to you don't want to you don't want to over index on that
但是,嗯,但我认为弄清楚……你知道,这是一生的追求,不是说我60岁就弄明白了。我是谁?我追求什么?我关心谁?我爱谁?我想为世界做出什么贡献?
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but um but I I think it's important to figure you know it's it's a lifelong Quest it's not like I figured it out at age 60 uh who am I what am I about who do I care about who do I love what contribution do I want to make the world um that's not an that's it's not like like God or or Darwin delivers that answer to you in a little box it's something that you spend your life moving toward
那不是一个……那不是上帝或达尔文装在一个小盒子里交给你的答案,那是你一生都在努力追求的东西。
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that's not an that's it's not like like God or or Darwin delivers that answer to you in a little box it's something that you spend your life moving toward
奥运奖牌与反事实思维:银牌选手的遗憾
Nikolai: 是的,书中最后一个有趣的事情是,您拍摄了奥运冠军的照片,对吧?金牌得主非常高兴,铜牌得主也非常高兴,但银牌得主却不高兴。这是怎么回事?
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yeah one um kind of last fun thing from the book I thought was that you uh photograph uh the Olympic uh kind of Champions right the gold medal winners are really happy and the bronze people really happy the silver people not happy what's that about
Dan: 嗯,这很有趣,这是一项非常有趣的研究。我的意思是,你知道,你有社会心理学背景,这是社会心理学中一个非常具有启发性的发现,并且已经被多次复制(replicated: 在不同研究中得到相同结果)。
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well it's interesting this is a really interesting piece of so I mean you know you have a background in social psychology this is one of those very provocative findings in social psychology that has been replicated multiple times
所以,它回到了反事实思维。我们有两种反事实思维。我们可以做向下反事实(downward counterfactual: 设想事情可能变得更糟的场景)和向上反事实(upward counterfactual: 设想事情可能变得更好的场景),对吗?
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so uh it's it's it it goes back to counterfactual thinking there are two kinds of counterfactual thinking we can do we can do a downward counterfactual and an upward counterfactual right
向上反事实是我们想象事情本可以如何变得更好的情况。向上反事实,那就是遗憾,它们让我们感觉更糟,但它们可以帮助我们做得更好。
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an upward counterfactual is when we imagine how things could have been better upward counterfactuals that's regret they make us feel worse but they can help us do better
向下反事实是当你想象事情本可以变得更糟的情况。所以我在数据库中看到很多,特别是在浪漫遗憾方面,主要是女性说:“我后悔嫁给了那个白痴,但至少我有这两个很棒的孩子。”所以我可以想象事情本可以变得更糟。
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downward counterfactuals are when you imagine how things could have been worse so I see a lot in the database particularly when it comes to romantic regrets mostly women saying I regret marrying that idiot but at least I have these two great kids so I can imagine how things could have turned out worse
在奥运奖牌的例子中,银牌得主会想:“啊,如果我再快一点,我就可以拿到金牌了。”我写了一篇关于自行车比赛的文章,如果我当时再快一点,我就可以拿到金牌了。
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in the in the Olympic medal example the the silver medalist was like ah if only I write about a bike race if only I had pedal a little bit faster I could have been a gold medalist
铜牌得主会想:“嘿,至少我得了第三名,而不是那个第四名,他什么奖牌都没有。”
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the the bronze medalist is like H at least I finished third rather than thato who finished fourth who doesn't have any medals at all
Nikolai: 没错。我觉得这太有趣了,因为我在情报部门做了一项非常困难的研究,我们学习俄语,我们有16个人,我倒数第二。我当时只是勉强坚持着,我非常高兴,我超级高兴。你能想象倒数第一吗?差点不及格,你知道吗?我设法勉强通过了。
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exactly I think it's so funny because I did this very difficult uh study in the intelligence service where we studied Russian and we were uh 16 people and I was second to last I was just going of hang on with my nails I'm so happy I'm like super happy can you imagine being last nearly failed you know and I and I managed to scrape through
Dan: 那是向下反事实。
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that's uh uh that's a downward kind of fact ual
Nikolai: 完全是。
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totally
Dan: 是的。所以,向上反事实是“要是……就好了”,向下反事实是“至少……”。是的,所以“至少我没有垫底”,“至少我通过了”。
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yeah so so downward counter upward counterfactual is if only downward counterfactual is at least yeah so at least I didn't finish last at least I passed
驱动力:自主性、精通与目的
Nikolai: 继续,下一本书《驱动力:关于激励我们的惊人真相》(Drive: The Surprising Truth About What Motivates Us: 丹·平克的著作,探讨内在动机)。您谈到了自主性(autonomy: 个人对自身行为和决策拥有控制权的感觉)、精通(Mastery: 渴望在某项技能或领域中不断提高和完善)和目的(purpose: 感到自己的工作或生活有意义和价值)的重要性。嗯,告诉我,我们从精通开始好吗?
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moving on next book drive the surprising truth about what motivate us and you talk about uh the importance of autonomy Mastery and and purpose um tell me about it should we start with Mastery uh Master
Dan: 精通是……嗯,这些东西之所以有价值,是因为我们再次夸大了(overstated: 过分强调或高估)某种奖励的效力,我称之为“如果-那么奖励”(If-then reward: 基于特定行为而给予的奖励)。如果你这样做,那么你就会得到那个。心理学家称之为控制性附带奖励(controlling contingent reward: 旨在控制行为而非激发内在动机的奖励)。
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masteries are well the the reason these things are are valuable is that we have once again uh overstated the efficacy of a certain kind of reward what I call an if then reward if you do this then you get that what what psychologists call a controlling contingent reward
研究清楚地表明,并非所有情况,但在许多情况下,“如果-那么奖励”适用于短期、简单的任务。对于长期、需要创造性概念的任务,它们的效果较差。
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what the research shows pretty clearly is that not in all cases but in many cases if then rewards are good for simple tasks with shorttime Horizons they're less good for Creative conceptual tasks with longer time Horizons
嗯,所以你最好是创建一个奖励系统,它更侧重于这些工作生活中的其他元素,而不是狭隘的奖励。所以其中之一是精通。精通是我们渴望把事情做得更好,不断进步,不断成长的愿望。
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um and so what you're better off doing is is uh creating a reward system that's focused Less on the narrow reward and more on these other elements of your work life so one is Mastery Master is our desire to get better at things to to improve to grow
哈佛商学院(Harvard Business School: 美国顶尖商学院)的特蕾莎·阿马比尔(Teresa Amabile: 哈佛商学院教授,研究创造力与动机)有一些引人入胜的研究表明,工作中最大的日常激励因素是取得进步,在有意义的工作中取得进步。
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there's some fascinating research from Teresa M at Harvard Business School showing that the single biggest data-day motivator on the job is making progress making progress and meaningful work
这就是为什么人们在周末演奏乐器,这就是为什么他们在周末做运动,这就是为什么他们有爱好。这就是为什么即使是经验丰富的专业人士,嗯,他们拥有所有能想象到的外在奖励(extrinsic reward: 来自外部的激励,如金钱、表扬),他们仍然想做得更好一点,他们仍然想尝试其他东西。
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this is why people this is why people play musical instruments on the weekend is why they do Sports on the weekend it's why they have hobbies it's why even people who are seasoned professionals um and have every kind of extrinsic reward they could possibly imagine they still want to do a little bit better they still want to try something else
Nikolai: 为什么微观管理者(micromanagers: 对员工工作进行过度细致控制的管理者)会扼杀乐趣?
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why does uh micromanagers kill pleasure
Dan: 嗯,这更多与自主性有关,而不是精通,但微观管理可能是精通的障碍。但是,嗯,你知道,关键在于你对人类的看法。
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well that has to do more with autonomy than with Mastery but micromanagement can be a can be a barrier to Mastery but um you know here's the thing you you part of this goes to what you believe about human beings
你相信大多数人是自主的(autonomous: 能够自我管理和决策)和自我导向的(self-directed: 能够自行决定方向和行动),并且想要做好工作,还是你相信大多数人是懒散的(shiftless: 懒惰无能的)、懒惰的,并且不在乎?
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do you believe that human that most human beings are autonomous and self-directed and want to do decent work or do you believe that most human beings are shiftless lazy and don't care
现在,在许多情况下,人们总是相信自己是第一种,但他们相信别人是第二种,这实际上不合逻辑。嗯,所以微观管理会阻碍自主性。我们有一个基本需求,那就是自我导向,对我们做什么、怎么做、何时做、在哪里做,拥有一定程度的主权(sovereignty: 对自身事务的最高权力或控制权),一定程度的控制。
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now in many cases people believe the first thing about themselves always but they believe the second thing about other people which doesn't actually compute um and so micromanagement is is is thwarts autonomy what a basic need that we have is to be self-directed have some amount of sovereignty some amount of control over what we do how we do it when we do it where we do it
微观管理扼杀了这一点。嗯,你知道,我们想要的是人们……我很惊讶这个词没有流行起来,因为有人在采访我时用了它,嗯,你知道,当我采访某人时,就像我们需要宏观管理者(macromanagers: 设定方向、问责并提供工具,但不干预细节的管理者),他们基本上设定方向,让人们负责,并提供他们所需的工具,让他们做得更好,尽其所能地完成最好的工作。
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and micromanagement kills that uh and you know what we want are people I'm surprised this word hasn't taken off because somebody used it in an interview with me um that you know when I was interviewing somebody like we need macrom managers who essentially set the direction hold people accountable and give people the tools they need to get better and do the best work they possibly can
Nikolai: 我觉得这很有趣,萨姆·奥特曼(Sam Altman: OpenAI首席执行官)说过,当你要求人们做某事时,不要对你想要实现的目标描述得过于详细。
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I think it's interesting Sam wman he said that when you ask people to do something don't be too descriptive about what you want to achieve uh about what you want to achieve
Dan: 是的,是的。嗯,这有可能。我认为你当然不想在许多情况下对具体如何做过于详细。嗯,你想要的是……因为你可能在做的是一个有趣的见解,因为有时当你说“这就是我想要实现的目标”时,做这件事的人可能实际上心中有更高的成就水平。
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yeah yeah uh that's possible I think you certainly don't want to be too descriptive about precisely how to do it in many cases um and what you want so because what you could be doing it's an interesting Insight because sometimes when you say here's what I want to achieve the people doing it might actually have a higher level of achievement in mind
当你不够指令性(directive: 指示性强,直接给出命令)时。所以理解自主性的方法是理解它的对立面。这对我来说实际上是一个我一直使用的思维工具。
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when you don't when you don't when you're less directive so the way to understand autonomy is to understand is to understand it's opposite this is actually to me a thinking tool that I use all the time
所以你拿自主性这样的东西来说,自主性不是像玻璃杯或钢笔那样的东西,它不是具体的,不是你能想象出来的东西,我们有时很难理解它。
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so you take something like autonomy autonomy is not something like you know a glass or a pen or anything like that it's not concrete it's not something that you can picture and we sometimes have a harder time putting getting our minds around that
所以我用来思考这类事情的一个工具是想象它的对立面,而自主性的对立面是控制。我确信人类对控制只有两种反应:他们要么顺从(comply: 服从),要么反抗(defy: 违抗)。
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so a tool that I use to think about those kinds of things is to imagine what's the opposite and the opposite of autonomy is control and I'm convinc that human beings have only two reactions to control they comply or they defy
嗯,我认为如果你在管理一个组织,如果你在学校教孩子,如果你在指导一个团队,你不想人们完全顺从,你当然也不想人们反抗。你希望他们投入(engaged: 积极参与)。
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and and um and I think if you're running an organization if you're teaching kids in school if you're coaching a team you don't want people perfectly compliant and you certainly want people who are Divine you want them engaged
人们投入的方式是通过自我导向。你投入的方式是自我导向,我投入的方式是自我导向,每个观看或收听这个节目的人投入的方式是拥有一些对自己的主权,拥有一些对他们自己生活的方向。
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and the way that people engage is through self-direction the way that you engage is yourself Direction the way that I engage yourself Direction the way that everybody watching or listening to this engages is by having some sovereignty over themselves by having some direction over their own lives
Nikolai: 嗯,如果你控制了五年,你的公司里就只剩下错误的人了,对吧?
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well if you control after five years you got the wrong people left in The Firm right
Dan: 这是一个很好的观点,因为其他人都会离开。所以你拥有的是一支顺从的人的军队。是的,这很糟糕。
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that's a great point because everybody else exits so what you have is you have a you have an army of compliant people yeah terrible
Nikolai: 现在您谈到了任务(task)、时间(time)、技术(technique)和团队(team)。是的,那是什么?
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now you talk about task time technique and team yeah what is that
Dan: 四个T。嗯,这些是人们似乎希望拥有一定自主权的工作维度。所以时间是,你知道,我希望能够或多或少地在我想要的时候来。
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four T's uh those are the dimensions of work that people seem to want some autonomy over so time is you know I want to be able to come in when I want more or less
这就是为什么在专业服务中,可计费工时(billable hour: 咨询或服务行业中按小时向客户收费的工作时间)绝对会破坏自主性,我们有一些有趣的研究表明它也会破坏幸福感。
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um this is one reason why in Professional Services the billable hour is absolutely destructive of autonomy and we have some interesting research that it's destructive of well-being
嗯,嗯,任务是我希望对我的工作内容有一些控制。团队是我希望对与我一起工作的人有一些控制。嗯,技术是我希望对我的工作方式有一些控制。
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um uh task is I want some control over what I do uh team is I want some control over who I get who I work with and um and technique is I want some control over how I do what I do
这些会根据任务而变化。所以举例来说,你不会希望一个脑外科医生拥有100%的技术自主权,比如一个进行脑部手术的手术团队说:“嘿,今天我们要在脑部手术中尝试一些新东西。”那可能不是一个好主意。
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and those are going to vary based on the task so for instance you don't want a brain surgeon to have like you know a surgery team doing brain surgery to have you know 100% autonomy over technique hey today we're going to try something new in our brain surgery that's probably not a good idea
但这对金融行业的奖金有什么影响呢?对吧?我们有一些奖金。
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but what are the implications for bonuses for instance in the financial sector right we we go some bonuses
Dan: 是的,是的,是的。这取决于。这实际上比两边的人所认为的更棘手。两边都有一些意识形态。
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yeah yeah yeah it depends it it's it's actually trick it's actually trickier than people on either side of it there there's there some ideology on both sides
一些人认为奖金是非人性的(dehumanizing: 使人失去人性),它们过度控制。另一些人则认为奖金是人们做事的唯一方式。
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there's ideology among some people saying bonuses are dehumanizing they're overly controlling there other side that says bonuses are the only way people will do things
嗯,这取决于。我认为最佳的薪酬结构首先是雇佣优秀的人才,支付他们健康的底薪,然后根据简单、直接、难以操纵(game: 操纵以获取不公平优势)的标准提供奖金。
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um it depends I think that the optimal compensation structure is first of all hire great people pay them a sign pay them a healthy base salary and then offer bonuses based on simple straightforward criteria that are hard to gain
关于奖金,你看到的一件事是,特别是在金融服务领域之外的其他领域,薪酬方案是如此令人难以置信地复杂,关于你奖励什么以及奖励多少,以至于你基本上需要一个完整的行政机构来运行奖金方案,然后基本上需要一个司法部门来处理其中的纠纷。
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one of the things you see about bonuses is one of the things you see about bonuses particularly in less in financial services but in other kinds of areas is that the the compensation schemes are so incredibly complex about what you're rewarding and how much that you basically need an entire administrative apparatus to run the bonus scheme and then basically a Judicial arm to to litigate the disputes within that
在金融服务或仅仅是投资中,是的,我的意思是,如果你的投资组合上涨,你理应获得一部分收益。如果你在一家公司工作,你是一个重要的贡献者,公司获得了更大的利润,你理应获得一部分利润,这毫无疑问。
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in financial services or just like investing yeah I mean if the if your portfolio goes up you deserve a piece of the action if if if you're working at a company and you're a big contributor and the company makes a greater profit you deserve some of that profit there's no question about that
所以,嗯,所以,嗯,简单,嗯,不是高风险,而是与重要的衡量标准相关联。
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so um so uh simple um not high simple not high stakes and connected to measures that matter
Nikolai: 您认为学校系统有点搞砸了(screwed: 出了问题)。
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you argue that the school system is a bit screwed um
Dan: 是的,我的意思是,我不知道我是否用了那么精确的词。
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yeah I mean I don't know if I I don't know if I use those that precise no no
Nikolai: 不,不,但您谈到了绩效目标(performance goals: 专注于达到特定结果或表现水平的目标)与学习目标(learning goals: 专注于掌握知识或技能本身的目标)。
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but you've talked about kind of performance goals versus learning goals
Dan: 当然,是的。嗯,我的意思是,这取决于你在世界的哪个地方。我认为并非所有地方都如此。嗯,嗯,在美国,特别是在某些精英角落,基本上都是绩效目标。
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heck yeah yeah of course um yeah I mean the it depends on where in the world you are I don't think it's true everywhere um uh in the United States it's particularly in certain Elite corners of the United States it's basically all performance goals
绩效目标是在考试中获得A。学习目标是掌握材料。相信我,你可以在不掌握材料的情况下在考试中获得A。我就是一个很好的例子。我的意思是,我上学的时候,你知道,我非常顺从,我非常擅长绩效目标。
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performance goals is getting a an a on a test uh learning goals is mastering the material and believe me you can get an A on a test without mastering the material I'm a case in point I mean when I was in school I was you know I was very compliant I was very good at performance goals
这就是为什么我在学校六年的法语课上几乎每次考试都得了A,但我不会说法语。
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it's why I got an A on basically on every single test in six years of French in school and can't speak French
Nikolai: 那么,你在面试和招聘时如何筛选这些东西呢?
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B sa how do you screen for these things when you interview people when you hire them
Dan: 有趣的问题。嗯,我不知道。嗯,因为总的来说,我们在招聘方面表现得很糟糕,更不用说这些标准了。总的来说,我们……我们不招聘,我们仍然在进行非结构化工作面试(unstructured job interviews: 没有预设问题或评分标准的面试),而没有证据表明这些面试有任何预测价值(predictive value: 预测未来表现的能力)。
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interesting question um I don't know um because in general we're pretty bad at hiring across the board forget about these criteria in general we H we don't hire we're still doing for instance unstructured job interviews when there's no evidence those have any predictive value
所以我不知道你如何筛选它。嗯,我认为你筛选它的方式是看过去的表现,并给人们一些样本作业(sample assignments: 模拟实际工作任务的测试),看看他们做得有多好。
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and so I'm not sure how I'm not sure how you screen for it uh I think that the way you I I think that the way you screen for it would be to to uh look at past performance and give people sample uh assignments on on how on how good they are
我的意思是,我认为这是我们在面试研究中看到的一件事,那就是结构化面试(structured interiew interviews: 有预设问题和评分标准的面试),这对于面试官来说很无聊,以及给人们与他们实际工作内容相匹配的测试作业(test assignments: 评估候选人技能和能力的实际任务),这些都具有一定的预测价值。
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I mean I think that's one of the what we see in some of the research on interviewing is that structured interiew interviews which are boring for the interviewers and giving people uh test assignments that match what they're actually going to do on the job have some predictive value
我可能会选择这些方法,而且很有可能那些表现出色的人是那些有自主感、精通感和某种目的感的人。
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and I would probably just go with those and and chances are the people who do well on those are people who have a propensity for a sense of autonomy for a sense of Mastery and for um some sense of purpose
Nikolai: 首席执行官们比其他人有更强的驱动力吗?
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do cosos have stronger drives than others
Dan: 我不知道。我的意思是,这可能取决于首席执行官。如果你把我逼到墙角,让我给出是或否的答案,我会说不。
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I don't know I mean it probably depends on the it probably depends on the CEO if you pressed me to the wall and said you had and I had to offer a yes no answer to that I would say no
嗯,我只是觉得,你知道,首席执行官之所以能成为首席执行官,不是因为他们有更强的驱动力,而是因为他们更狡猾(Wier: 更聪明或更精明),他们更擅长政治。
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um I just think you know CEOs could be CEOs not because they have a songer drive because they're they're Wier they're better at politics
嗯,你知道,他们很高,嗯,他们是男性,嗯,他们更墨守成规(conformist: 倾向于遵守社会规范和期望)。所以这可能也是他们成为首席执行官的原因,而不是他们拥有某种将他们与那些不是首席执行官的普通大众(great unwashed: 指普通民众,带有轻蔑意味)区分开来的内在驱动力(innate drive: 天生的驱动力)。
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um they're they're you know they're they're they're tall uh they're male uh they're more conformist so that could be why they're CEOs too rather than where they have some kind of innate drive that separates them from the great unwashed who aren't CEOs
Nikolai: 那么当你观察首席执行官群体时,你认为是什么?
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so when you look at the the cohort of C what do you what do you think it depends
Dan: 我的意思是,这各不相同。我认为通过内部晋升的首席执行官和创始人出身的首席执行官之间有很大的区别。首先,我认为那是两种不同的物种(species: 种类)。
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I mean it's it's it's varied I think there's a big difference between a CEO who comes up through the ranks and a CEO who is a Founder first of all I think those are two they're both have the same name CEO but I think that they're different species
Nikolai: 在哪些方面?
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in what ways
Dan: 嗯,就他们为了达到现在的位置所必须使用的技能而言,嗯,以及在某种程度上他们的方法……他们的技能,我想简化一下。
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uh just in the terms of the skills they had to use to get to where they are um and their and at some level their approach to their their just a skill I guess to over to to simplify that on
我只是觉得,你需要成为一家你工作了35年的上市公司首席执行官的技能,与成为一家拥有新想法或新技术的风险投资初创公司首席执行官的技能,这些是根本上(fundamentally: 根本上)不同的技能。有一些重叠,但这些是不同的技能,我认为不同的人会被这些不同类型的事情所吸引。
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I just think the skills that you need to become a CEO of a publicly held company that you worked at for 35 years and to become the CEO of a venture funded startup that has a new idea or new technology those are fundament those are those are different skills there's some overlap but those are different skills and I think that different people are attracted to those kinds of things
精力水平与时间生物学:何时做何事
Nikolai: 绝对是。那么,个人精力水平在这里扮演什么角色呢?
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absolutely now how does uh personal energy levels come into play here
Dan: 有趣的问题。嗯,我不确定。嗯,什么是精力?我不知道。嗯,你知道,它既不能被创造也不能被毁灭,我想物理学家会这样告诉我们。
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interesting um I'm not sure um what is energy I don't know um you know can it can be you know it can it can neither be created nor destroyed I guess is what the physicist would tell us
这是一个有趣的问题,我对此了解不多。我想知道它是否是其他东西的隐喻(metaphor: 借喻,比喻)。它可能是不同智力概念(Notions of intelligence: 对智力不同理解)的隐喻。它可能是人格(Personality: 个性)不同方面的隐喻。
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uh it's an interesting question and I don't know enough about it I wonder if it is a metaphor for something else it's possible that it's a metaphor for different Notions of intelligence uh it's possible for different aspects of Personality
我持怀疑态度。我不知道,再说一遍,只是为了澄清,我怀疑它本身就是一回事。我怀疑我们所谈论的精力本身就是一回事。我确信它是某个重要事物的隐喻。
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I'm I'm skeptical I don't know again just to be clear on that I'm skeptical that it's a thing in itself that's I'm skeptical that it it that energy at sense that we're talking about is a thing in itself I I'm convinced it is a metaphor for something important though
它可能是抱负(ambition: 雄心壮志),它可能是智力(intellectual capacity: 智力能力),它可能是其他某种人格特质(personality trait: 个性特征)。外向者(extroverts: 性格外向的人)可能被认为比其他人更有活力。
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and it could be um ambition it could be uh intellectual capacity it could be um some other some some other kind of personality trait extroverts are probably perceived as more energetic than other people
Nikolai: 被认为?
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perceived
Dan: 是的。你认为他们是吗?我不知道。嗯,嗯,他们可能是。他们当然被认为是那样。
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yes you think they are I don't know um uh it could be it it could be that they are I they're certainly they're certainly they're certainly perceived that way
嗯,你知道,躁狂症(manic: 躁狂的)的人精力水平非常高。所以,认为高精力水平本身就是一件好事并能产生好结果的观念,是我们必须质疑的。
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um you know here's the thing people who are manic have very high energy levels so the idea that energy that a high energy level is inherently a good thing and produces good results is something that we have to question
Nikolai: 哦,我想多动症(ADHD: 注意力缺陷多动障碍)就是,只是试图给他们用药(medicate: 用药物治疗)。
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oh and I guess ADHD is uh just trying to medicate them uh
Dan: 绝对是,这可能有一些缺点。不过,我认为这是一个有趣的问题,我也不认为……我认为吉姆·洛尔(Jim Loehr: 运动心理学家)和托尼·施瓦茨(Tony Schwartz: 商业作家)大约20年前写了一本书,关于我们不应该管理时间,而应该管理精力,作为个人事务。
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absolutely and that there could be there could be there could be downsides to that I do think it's an interesting question though and I don't think it's I don't think uh Jim lore and Barry and um what's his name um Tony Schwarz wrote a book about this maybe 20 years ago about how we should not manage our time but we should manage our energy as a as a personal matter
但我认为,关于你我所谈论的,并没有多少高质量的研究。我认为这正是有趣之处。你我都知道我们在说什么。我们可以就精力进行对话,我们理解彼此的意思。但如果我追问,你会如何定义精力?
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but I don't think that there is either I don't think there there is much in the way of good quality research on what you and I are you and I know what we're talking about I think that's what's so interesting you and I know what we're talking about we can have a conversation about energy and we we understand what we mean but if I press how would you define energy
Nikolai: 我的意思是,嗯,它是一种你散发出来的东西,它是一种让你在疲惫时也能坚持下去的东西,它是一种让你早起的东西,它是一种某种自卑情结(inferiority complex: 认为自己不如他人的心理状态),让你非常努力工作。我的意思是,这些东西。
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uh I mean it's uh it's something you radiate it's something that keeps you going when you're tired it's something that makes you wake up early it's something some kind of inferiority complex that makes you work very hard I mean this bu of things uh
Dan: 对,没错。所以我觉得它像是一个代理(proxy: 替代物),它是其他东西的隐喻。它可能是一种混合,它可能是一种混合的东西。
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right exactly so I think it's like a proxy it's a metaphor for something else and it could be it could be a mix it could be a mix of things
Nikolai: 是的,是的。你认为你精力水平很高吗?
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yeah yeah do you think that you have a high energy level
Dan: 嗯,我当然早起。
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well I wake up early for sure
Nikolai: 你是吗?但那一部分是生物性的。
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do you but that but that's that's bi part of that is biological
Dan: 不,我知道。我不……是的,是的。
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no I know I don't yeah yeah
Nikolai: 我们继续。
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and we are moving on
Dan: 嗯,这个转场(segue: 顺利过渡)怎么样?转到你的下一本书《何时:完美时机的科学秘密》(When: The Scientific Secrets of Perfect Timing: 丹·平克的著作,探讨时机的科学)。
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well how about that for a segue segue into your next book when uh why is uh timing important what is it with timing which is important
为什么时机很重要?时机有什么重要之处?
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why is uh timing important what is it with timing which is important
Dan: 嗯,时机有很多方面都很重要。我认为我们在驾驭生活时犯的错误是认为时机是一门艺术,而它实际上更接近一门科学。
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well there's so so many aspects of timing that are important I think the the error that we make in in navigating Our Lives is thinking that timing is an art when when it's actually closer to a science
有令人难以置信的……我的意思是,我爱我的所有孩子,就像我发现的所有书都引人入胜一样,我写这本书《何时》主要是因为我想读它。
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there's incredible this is one of my FV I mean I I love all my my my children like all the books I found are fascinating this book when I wrote largely because I wanted to read it
就像我意识到我正在做所有这些“何时”的决定,但我不知道该怎么做。当我开始研究时,有大量的研究关于何时做事情,但它分散在所有不同的领域。
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like I like I realized I was making all these when decisions and I didn't know how to do it and when I started looking at the research there is a massive amount of research out there on when to do things but it's splattered across all different domains
所以在经济学和生物学中都有一些,正如我们暗示的,有一个完整的领域叫做时间生物学(chronobiology: 研究生物体时间结构和生物节律的科学)。
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so there's some in economics and biology there's as we hinted at there's a whole field called chronobiology U
嗯,所以我认为其中的教训是,我们应该根据科学而不是直觉来做我们的时机决定。
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and so um I think the lesson of that is that we should make t our timing decisions based on science rather than on intuition
Nikolai: 那是什么?它是如何运作的?嗯,你做什么?
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and what are the and how do how that work uh so what you what do you do
Dan: 所以有不同的……所以有不同的维度。其中之一是你在一天的某个特定时间做什么。我认为对我来说,在那项研究中我遇到的最有力的统计数据之一是,一天中的时间解释了20%的绩效差异(Time of day explains 20% of the variance in performance: 指一天中不同时段对个人工作表现的影响程度)。这令人难以置信。
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so there different so there there different dimensions of that one of them is what do you do at a on a at a given day and I think what's I think to me one of the most powerful stats that I came across in that research is that time of day explains 20% of the variance in performance that's Inc
当你想到这一点时,这令人难以置信。
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when you think about that that's incredible
Nikolai: 这基于科学数据,比如你在丹麦进行的许多测试?
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and that's based on like scientific data that you have from lots of tests for instance in Denmark
Dan: 没错,所有……不仅仅是在一个特定的地方,而是在许多许多研究中都表明,一天中的时间解释了20%的绩效差异。现在,如果你思考一下,让我们分解一下,因为它甚至说出来都让人觉得“哇,天哪,这太不可思议了”。
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exactly all all not just not just in in in one particular place but but throughout uh many many studies showing that that time of day explains 20% of the variant now if you think about that let's just unpack that for a second because it's even saying it it's like wow God that's kind of incredible
当我们思考什么解释了绩效差异时,其中一些可能是精力,一些可能是抱负,一些可能是社会优势(social Advantage: 社会背景或地位带来的有利条件),一些可能是天生智力(innate intelligence: 先天具备的智力)。
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when we think about what explains variance in performance some of it is is is is energy perhaps some of it is ambition some of it is social Advantage some of it is innate intelligence
天生智力、社会优势——如果存在缺陷,这些很难补救。一天中的时间——这真的很容易补救。所以我认为所有这些都蕴含着巨大的力量。
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um innate intelligence social Advantage those are hard if there's deficit that's that's hard to remedy time of day that's really easy to remedy so I think there's a lot of power in all of that
所以它表明,一般来说,对于一天中不同时间段要做什么类型的任务,有一些指导方针,部分基于任务本身,部分基于时间类型(chronotype: 个人自然倾向于早睡早起或晚睡晚起的生理节律类型)。
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so what it suggests is that there are in general guidelines for what sorts of tasks to do at different times of day based in part on the task and based in part on the chronotype
时间类型是:你自然地早睡早起吗?你晚睡晚起吗?还是介于两者之间?
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chronotype is do you wake up early and go to sleep early naturally do you wake up late and go to sleep late um or are you somewhere in between
Nikolai: 现在您说您早起,您早睡吗?
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now do you go to you say you wake up early do you go to sleep early
Dan: 是的,是的。我大概9点、9点半。
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yeah yeah I'm like 9 9:30
Nikolai: 是的,太棒了,所以你是百灵鸟型(lark: 指早睡早起的人)。
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yeah great so you're until 5 perfect so you're kind of a lark you're you're someone who's who has a much more of a morning uh a a morning typee
Dan: 你是介于两者之间。我是介于两者之间。是的,有很多……我不是夜猫子型(night owl: 指晚睡晚起的人),我不是早起的人,这就是大多数人的情况。大多数人都是介于中间的。嗯,这有很多好处。
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there a lot of ADV and you were in between I'm in between yeah there are a lot of I'm not a night all I'm not an early morning person and that's that's what most people are most people are kind of in the middle um there's a lot of advantages to that
所以你……你今天怎么安排?所以你早上应该做什么?好的,所以对于我们80%不是夜猫子型的人来说,现在夜猫子型是一个例外。那些与你相反的人,他们自然晚起晚睡,我们认为他们懒惰,那些夜店常客。
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so what do you so how do you stret today so you should do walham morning okay so um for the 80% of us who are not night owls now night we have an outlier here the people who are the opposite of you who naturally wake up late and go to sleep late who we think are lazy and the nightclubbers
Nikolai: 没错。
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exactly
Dan: 我们认为那些人是业余爱好者(diletant: 对某一领域兴趣广泛但不深入的人),不认真。他们只是有不同的时间类型。他们中的许多人只是有不同的时间类型。
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we think that those people are diletant and not serious they just have a different chronotype many of them just have a different chronotype
嗯,让我们看看我们80%的人,要么像你,要么像我。这是你应该做的:一天中的早些时候,那是我们应该做分析性工作(analytic work: 需要专注、注意力集中的脑力工作)的时候。
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um let's take the 80% of us who are either like you or like me here's what you should do early in the day that's when we should do our analytic work
分析性工作是需要全神贯注(heads down focus: 专注于手头任务,不受干扰)和注意力的工作。写作就是一个很好的例子,分析数据,制定策略,这些都需要全神贯注。
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and analytic work is work that requires heads down focus and attention writing is a good example of that analyzing data figuring out a strategy something that requires heads down Focus
原因在于,在我们的高峰期(peak period: 精力最充沛、效率最高的时段),对于我们大多数人来说,通常是在一天中的早些时候,我们更警觉(Vigilant: 保持高度警惕和专注的状态),我们能够抵御干扰。所以,在一天中的早些时候做你的分析性工作。
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the reason for that is that is that during this peak period that we have mostly early in the day for most of us we're most we're more Vigilant we're able to battle away distractions so do your analytic work early in the day
一天中的中期,下午早些时候,下午中期,通常是一天中最糟糕的时间。我们看到令人难以置信的研究,比如医疗保健中的错误,下午的医疗保健错误,缺乏洗手。
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the middle of the day early afternoon midafternoon it's generally a terrible time of day and we see Inc there's incredible research on like healthcare like errors in health care in the afternoon lack of handwashing in the the health care data
Nikolai: 你不想在那个时候做手术。
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you don't want to have an operation in the timate
Dan: 你绝对不想。我的家人都不允许。我的意思是,如果你被公共汽车撞了,没有其他选择,那好吧。但如果是酌情决定(discretionary: 可自由决定的),我的家人都不允许在下午进行医疗程序。我不是在开玩笑。
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you absolutely do not nobody in my family is permitted I mean if you get hit by a bus and there's no other choice yeah but a discretionary there is nobody in my family who is permitted to have a medical procedure in the afternoon I'm not I'm not joking around
Nikolai: 情况有多糟?
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how much worse is it
Dan: 这取决于。嗯,但你……麻醉错误(anesthesia errors: 麻醉过程中发生的错误)的可能性高四倍。哦,哇。嗯,你……医生、护士和其他医疗人员洗手的频率大幅下降。
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it depends um but you you have anesthesia errors four times more likely oh wow um you have uh doctors and nurses and other he uh big drop off in handwashing
如果你看,有一些引人入胜的研究,关于开处方,甚至只是普通的医生预约,不必要的抗生素和甚至阿片类药物(opioids: 一类具有镇痛作用的药物)的开处方,下午比早上多得多。
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uh if you look at there's some fascinating research on both the prescri even just regular doctor's appointments the prescribing of unnecessary antibiotics and even uh opioids much greater in the afternoon than in the morning
Nikolai: 哇。
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wow
Dan: 嗯,是的。所以一天中的那个低谷期(trough period: 一天中精力或表现最低的时段),嗯,如果可以的话,你希望做一些行政工作(administrative work: 日常管理和组织性任务)。
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um yeah and so that that trough period of the day um if you can where you can you want to do some of your administrative work
然后是晚上,你做什么?嗯,一天中的晚些时候,这有点有趣。所以你……你基本上情绪会随着一天的时间变化,呈现出高峰(peak)、低谷(trough)和恢复(recovery)的模式。
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and then the evening what do you do well later in the day it's kind of interesting so what you have is you have you move through the day basically your mood moves through the day sort of a peak a trough and a recovery
你的警觉性在这里最高。所以如果你看一天中的晚些时候,下午晚些时候,傍晚,我们大多数人看到的是情绪上升但警觉性下降。
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um your vigilance is highest here so if you look at later in the day late afternoon early evening what you see from for most of us we'll talk about the night ows in a moment what you see for most of us is rising mood but lower vigilance
这有利于创造力,有利于那些不需要抑制(inhibition: 阻止或控制冲动、想法或行为的能力)的事情。所以头脑风暴(brainstorming: 激发创意的方法)就是一个很好的例子。下午进行头脑风暴,而不是早上。
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that makes it good for creativity for things that don't require you know inhibition so brainstorming is a great example of that brainstorm in the afternoon not in the morning
我们大多数人早上都过于警觉,所以他们会扼杀(knock down: 驳回或否定)好的想法,他们会扼杀古怪的想法。所以,所以把你的分析性工作放在早些时候,你的行政工作放在中间,你的迭代创意工作(iterative creative work: 需要反复尝试、探索和改进的创造性工作)放在一天中的晚些时候。
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people too Vigilant in the morning most of us so they're going to knock down the good ideas they're going to knock down the outlandish ideas here so so do your more creative iterative work and so where you can push your analytic work early your administrative work in the middle and your iterative creative work later in the day
现在,如果你是夜猫子型,这个世界对你来说是颠倒的(UN to you: 指情况完全相反)。
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now if you're night the world is UN to you your L case
Nikolai: 是的。
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yeah
Dan: 你知道吗,我不会把这归咎于夜猫子型,我把它归咎于雇佣夜猫子型的人。让你的夜猫子型员工做他们的事情。如果他们想在半夜工作,就让他们在半夜工作。不要让他们去参加早上8点的员工会议,当他们几乎睁不开眼睛时,还认为他们是懒惰的。
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you know what it's I don't put it on the night ow I put it on the people who employ night owls let your night owls do their thing if they want to work in the middle of the night let them work in the middle of the night don't make them go to an 8:00 staff meeting and when they can barely open their eyes think that they're somehow lazy
不过,我们对夜猫子型的观察很有趣。夜猫子型的人更容易有成瘾问题(addiction problems: 药物或行为成瘾),更容易入狱(go to jail: 被关进监狱),但我们也看到夜猫子型的人在创造力和一般智力方面得分更高。
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what we see with night ows though is interesting night owls okay more likely to have addiction problems more likely to go to jail but we also see night Al testing higher on both creativity and and uh general intelligence
Nikolai: 嗯,他们可能更容易成为音乐家、艺术家和画家。
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well they're probably more likely to be musicians and artists and Painters
Dan: 可能是那些……我认为有一些有趣的……我认为我们不太了解,但有一些有趣的方式,我们的时间类型可以引导我们从事某些职业。
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it could be that people who and I think there is some interesting I don't think we know it very well that there is some interesting ways that our chronotype can steer us to certain kinds of profession
所以举例来说,有些人,至少从轶事(anecdotally: 根据个人经验或传闻而非科学证据)来看,他们说我想成为一名学校老师,但他们没有早起型时间类型,他们有夜猫子型时间类型,他们必须在早上7点半和287岁的孩子在一起,这对夜猫子型来说是痛苦的,所以他们坚持不下去。
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so for instance there are people who at least anecdotally who say I want to be a school teacher but they don't have an early they don't they have like a night out chronotype and they got to you got to be with the with 287 year olds at at 7:30 in the morning that's miserable for a night owl and so they don't last as they don't last as that
休息的艺术与科学:小睡的秘密
Nikolai: 丹,良好休息的关键是什么?
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Dan what's the key to good breaks
Dan: 休息的概念性关键(conceptual key: 核心思想或原则),这很重要,嗯,是把休息看作你工作的一部分,而不是你工作的偏离(deviation: 偏离正常或预期)。不要把休息看作一种让步(concession: 承认或让步),一种弱点(weakness: 缺点),而是把它看作你工作不可或缺的一部分。
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the the conceptual key to breaks and this is important um is um thinking of breaks as part of your work rather than a deviation from your work not thinking of breaks as a concession as a weakness but thinking them as integral to your to your work
第一,有总比没有好,所以即使是短暂的休息也比完全不休息好。第二,嗯,社交比独处好(social is better than solo: 与他人互动比独自一人更有益),所以与他人一起休息比独自休息更有恢复作用,即使对于内向者(introverts: 性格内向的人)也是如此,我们知道这并不奇怪。
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number one something is better than nothing so even a short break is better than no break at all second uh social is better than solo so that breaks with other people are more restorative than breaks on your own even with uh even for introverts we know not a surprise
移动比静止好(moving is better than stationary: 身体活动比保持不动更有益),所以休息……我在这里坐着发呆的休息,不如出去散步。
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moving is better than stationary so a break my having a break here sitting staring into space not as good as just going out and for a walk
Nikolai: 这非常有趣。
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very interesting for um
Dan: 嗯,我认为在世界各地,户外比室内好(outside is better than inside: 在户外比在室内更有益),这对我来说是科学中被低估的见解之一。在户外的优势,在……我不是指在国家公园里。我的意思是,你我正在华盛顿特区交谈,在华盛顿特区外面散步,看看树木。
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I I think around the world is outside is better than inside and this to me is one of those insights in science that is underappreciated the advantage of being outside the advantage of being and I don't mean in National Park I mean you and I are talking here in Washington DC taking a walk outside in Washington DC and seeing the trees
最后,嗯,休息的完全脱离(fully detached: 完全脱离工作或日常事务)的重要性。人们,那是什么意思?这意味着“嘿,我现在要去休息一下,出去散步”,而你整个散步过程都在看手机。那不是完全脱离。
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um and then finally uh the the importance of brakes being fully detached people what does that mean it means that hey I'm going to take a break now and go off for a walk and you spend your whole walk looking at your phone that's not fully detached
这是否意味着在你的办公桌上休息并看着屏幕是一件好事?那可能不是一件好事,因为它违反了户外和运动,以及社交的原则。所以,嗯,那可能是一个糟糕的,那是一种次优(suboptimal: 非最佳)的休息方式。
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does it mean that taking a break at your desk and looking at the at the screen is a good thing it's probably not a good thing because it violates the outside and the in motion uh the social side of it so uh it's probably that's probably a bad that's that's a suboptimal kind of break
是的,最佳的休息方式是在下午,出去散步15到20分钟,和你喜欢的人一起,把手机留在家里,谈论工作以外的事情。那是一个好的休息。
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yeah the optimal kind of break is in the afternoon go out for a walk 15 20 minutes with someone you like leaving your phone behind talking about something other than work that's a good break
Nikolai: 好的小睡。
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good naps
Dan: 小睡。我……这是科学改变我立场的案例之一,我的政治立场。我政治上反对(politically opposed: 在原则或意识形态上反对)小睡,因为我认为它们有点懒惰,如果我小睡,我总是感觉很糟糕。我不太常小睡,如果我小睡,我总是感觉很糟糕。我会醒来时非常昏沉(groggy: 睡意朦胧,不清醒),有点羞愧。
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naps I've I I this is this is one of those cases where the science changed my position my political position I was politically opposed to naps CU I thought they were s of lazy and I always felt terrible if I ever I didn't take naps very often if I took a nap I always felt terrible I would wake up really groggy sort of ashamed of myself
Nikolai: 嗯,它表明我遇到的问题是,每次我休息时,我的老板都会进来,认为我表现很差。但现在,我之所以想谈论它,是为了让每个人都明白,我休息是有原因的,一个好原因。
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um what what it shows is that problem I had was that every time I took a break my boss came in and thought I was so bad but now this and the reason why I want to talk about it now is so that everybody understands that I'm taking that I'm taking it up for a reason a good reason
Dan: 这是一个信号,如果你走进尼古拉的办公室,他正在休息,那只是另一个标志,表明他是一个表现极其出色的人(extremely high performer: 表现非常优秀的人)。你应该这样解读。
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it's a sign it's a you're if you walk into nikolai's office and he's taking a break it's just another marker that he's an extremely high performer that's how you should interpret that
Nikolai: 谢谢。嗯,是的,嗯,小睡是可以的。它们不适合每个人,但有一些很好的证据表明它们可以缓解(smooth things out: 使事情变得顺利或容易)事情,特别是短小睡,这真的让我很惊讶。
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thank you uh yeah uh naps are naps are okay they're not for everybody but there's some pretty good evidence that they they can smooth things out particularly short naps which really surprised me
所以20分钟以内的小睡具有令人难以置信的恢复作用。如果你小睡时间超过这个,你就会开始出现生物学家所说的睡眠惯性(Sleep inertia: 醒来后感到迷迷糊糊、反应迟钝的状态),这基本上就是你醒来时那种昏沉沉(groggy boggy: 迷糊迟钝)的感觉。
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so naps under under 20 minutes are incredibly restorative you nap longer than that you begin to develop what uh biologists call Sleep inertia which is essentially like the kind of groggy boggy feeling you get
但非常短的小睡是强大的。
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but uh a very short nap is powerful
Nikolai: 什么是咖啡小睡(Napuccino: 一种结合了咖啡和短暂小睡的提神方法)?
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M what is a napino
Dan: 哈,嗯,那是科学上最佳的小睡,你……我在糟糕的日子里这样做过,我不是一个经常小睡的人,但我会这样做,我这样做的方式是,我坐在办公室的椅子上,我喝一杯咖啡(coffee: 咖啡)。好的,我甚至不喜欢它,我实际上只是把冰块放进热咖啡里,然后大口喝下(guzzle: 快速大量地饮用)。
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ha uh that is the scientifically optimal nap where you I've done this on bad days I'm not a huge Napper but I will and I this is what I do is I sit in a chair in my office I drink a cup of coffee okay I I don't even enjoy it I I actually just put ice cubes and hot coffee guzzle it
好的,25分钟。所以我把手机上的计时器设置为25分钟。我闭上眼睛,戴上降噪耳机(noise cancelling headphones: 能够消除环境噪音的耳机),我闭上眼睛,把脚放在脚凳(ottoman: 带软垫的矮凳)上,我通常能在……你知道,8分钟内睡着。
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okay 25 minutes so and I set my timer on my phone for 25 minutes I close my eyes I put in noise cancelling headphones I close my eyes I put my feet on an ottoman and I can usually fall asleep in it it depends you know s eight minutes
好的,所以,所以7、8分钟,假设是8分钟。这意味着我有……然后我的闹钟响了,25分钟后响。所以假设这意味着我有一个17分钟的小睡,如果我睡着了,如果我花8分钟睡着,那就是一个17分钟的小睡。完美!
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okay so so 7 eight minutes let's say it's 8 minutes that means I have and then my I set my alarm and it goes off 25 minutes later so let's say that means I have a 17 minute if I sleep if I takes me eight minutes to fall asleep that's a 17-minute nap Perfect
正好在10到20分钟的窗口期内。但关键是,我已经赢了,对吧?但咖啡因(Caffeine: 一种中枢神经兴奋剂)进入血液需要大约25分钟。
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all right right in that 10 to 20 minute window but here's the key so I've already won right there but it takes about 25 minutes for caffeine to enter your bloodstream
所以当我醒来时,我不仅拥有小睡的恢复力量,还拥有额外的咖啡因。
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and and so when I wake up not only do I have the restorative smoke power of the nap but I have the added caffeine
职业发展建议:加薪与非线性职业路径
Nikolai: 那么最后两件事。第一件事,如何获得加薪?
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then two things at the end here first thing how do you get a pay Rise
Dan: 嗯,我的意思是,有很多方法。我的意思是,其中之一是我们从经济学中知道的,就是换工作。辞掉你的工作,找一份新工作,平均来说你会得到加薪。
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um I mean it there are all kinds of ways I mean one of them what we know from economics is switch jobs quit your job and get a new job and you and on average you get a you get a you get a a hike in salary
嗯,我认为如果你要去争取加薪,嗯,关键是,我认为这对于一些说服研究(persuasion research: 探究如何有效影响他人态度和行为的学问)来说是正确的,那就是如果你要去争取更高的薪水,嗯,总是把它放在你老板的利益中,而不是你自己的利益中,而是总是放在老板的利益中。
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um I think if you're going to go ask for it uh the key is to especi and I think this is true from some of the persuasion research is that if you're going to ask for a higher salary um always put it in your boss's interests not in your own interest but always in in the boss's interest
Nikolai: 你怎么做到这一点?为什么加薪符合他的利益?
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and how do you do that why is it in his interest that you should get a pay rise
Dan: 嗯,因为,嗯,你不太可能去找另一份工作,你会更快乐地留在你现在的位置,嗯,你会有……老板会有一个公平的声誉(reputation for fairness: 以公正待人而闻名)。
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uh because um you're going to be less likely to look for another job you're going to be happier where you are uh you're going to have a the boss is going to have a reputation for the boss is going to have a reputation for fairness
Nikolai: 最后,我们有成千上万的年轻人正在收听这个节目,您对年轻人有什么建议?
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and lastly we got tens of thousands of young people listening to this what is your advice to young people
Dan: 各种各样的建议,但我认为第一个是,嗯,许多年轻人,特别是那些雄心勃勃(high teaming: 雄心勃勃,追求高成就)的年轻人,他们认为他们需要有一个非常明确的计划,认为驾驭职业生涯,驾驭生活的方式,几乎是从这里走到那里,再走到那里,再走到那里,这种非常细致的规划(meticulous kind of planning: 精心细致的计划)。
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all kinds of advice but I think the first one is is is that we there's this notion among many young people particularly kind of high teaming young people that they need to have a very distinct plan that the way to navigate a career the way to get navigate a life is almost to move from this move this piece here which will lead to this thing here which will lead to this thing here which will lead to this thing here this sort of this very meticulous kind of planning
我认为这是一个很大的错误。我总是告诉人们,找一个你钦佩的人,问他们是如何达到现在的位置的。
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and I think that's a big mistake I always tell people find somebody you you admire and ask them how they got to where they are
Dan: 毫无例外,95%的情况下,这个问题的答案会是“这是一个漫长的故事”,因为这条路不是线性的(linear: 直线的),它不是……它是混乱的(chaotic: 混乱无序的),它是来回的,是上上下下的,等等。它不是一套精心设计的举动。
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invariably 95 times out of 100 100 the answer to that question will be it's a long story because the path was not linear it was not it was chaotic it was backward and forward and up and down and so forth it wasn't this carefully created set of moves
所以这就是我想要告诉他们的,就是基于根本性原因(fundamental reasons: 基于个人价值观、兴趣或内在动机而做出的决定)而不是工具性原因(instrumental reasons: 基于实现某个目标或获得某种利益而做出的决定)来做你的决定。
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and so that's the thing that I would that's the thing that I would tell them is is is make your make your make your decisions for fundamental reasons more than for instrumental reasons
我的意思是,我看到很多年轻人,特别是那些高成就的年轻人(High achieving young people: 追求卓越并取得显著成就的年轻人),他们找工作的原因是他们认为这份工作会带来另一份工作,而实际上你根本不知道它会带来什么。
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make your decisions like I I I I see so many young people particularly High achieving young people who take a job and the reason they take the job is they think it's going to lead to another job and when in fact you have no idea what it's going to lead to
你喜欢这份工作吗?你在这份工作中有所贡献吗?它是否充分利用了你的技能和才能?这就是关键。你是否和优秀的人一起工作?如果你这样做,即使不知道下一步是什么,你也会比拥有“这份工作会带来那份工作,那份工作会带来另一份工作”的虚假确定性(false certainty: 错误的确定感)要好。它不是那样运作的。
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and like do you enjoy the job are you contributing in the job is it a good use of your skills and your talents that's the thing are you and are you working with great people and you do that you're better off with the uncertainty of knowing not knowing what's next than you are with the false certainty of saying this job will lead to that job and this job will lead to that job it doesn't work that way
Nikolai: 嗯,这太棒了。我喜欢您的书,也非常期待您接下来会带给我们什么。嗯,您不必现在告诉我们,但我们迫不及待地想看到它。
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well now this has been tremendous uh love your books and very interested in where you will take us next um you don't have to tell us now but we cannot wait to see it
Dan: 哦,我会的,你将是第一个知道的。
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oh I'll I you'll be the first I tell
Nikolai: 太棒了,非常感谢。
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fantastic thank you so much