关于外星人与政治
Steven Bartlett: 你曾让奥巴马就外星人这个话题发表过一些评论。
Original English
Steven Bartlett: You had Obama make those comments about the subject of aliens.
Neil deGrasse Tyson: “它们是真实存在的,但我没有见过,而且它们并没有被关在51区——除非他们对美国总统隐瞒了这件事。”
Original English
Neil deGrasse Tyson: "They're real, but I haven't seen them and they're not being kept in Area 51 unless they hid it from the president of the United States."
Steven Bartlett: 我觉得他说有外星人的时候是在开玩笑。他只是从没……
Original English
Steven Bartlett: I think he was joking when he said there are aliens. He's just never
Neil deGrasse Tyson: 不,不,不,不,不,不,不。奥巴马具备科学素养。但如果你确实有外星人,而且你不想让总统知道,那总统就不会知道。
Original English
Neil deGrasse Tyson: No, no, no, no, no, no, no. Obama is scientifically literate. But if you have the aliens and you don't want the president to know, the president's not going to know.
Steven Bartlett: 那么,你相信宇宙中存在智慧生命吗?
Original English
Steven Bartlett: So, do you believe there's intelligent life in the universe?
Neil deGrasse Tyson: 好吧,我们有吹哨人说我们拥有真正的外星人。人们作证说我们有外星人,说我们有外星飞船坠毁的部件。所以,考虑到宇宙的规模,我不明白他们为什么不这么做。还有Neil deGrasse Tyson。
Original English
Neil deGrasse Tyson: Well, we have whistleblowers saying we have actual aliens. People have testified we have aliens, that we have alien crash parts. So, I don't see why they wouldn't be given the size of the universe. and Neil Degrass Tyson.
太空探索的动机
Steven Bartlett: [清嗓子] 现在人们关于宇宙最迫切想问的问题是什么?我想问的第一件事是,为什么人们对登月如此感兴趣,这是否是地缘政治层面的考量?中国说他们要在我们登月50年后登月,然后我们突然决定我们也想去月球了。
Original English
Steven Bartlett: What is [clears throat] the most pressing question that people are asking right now about the universe? And the first thing I wanted to ask is why are people so interested in going to the moon is geopolitical. China says they're going to the moon 50 years after we go to the moon and we all of a sudden decide we want to go to the moon.
Neil deGrasse Tyson: 这有经济上的好处吗?
Original English
Neil deGrasse Tyson: Is there an economic upside to it?
Steven Bartlett: 没有。谈论的是数据中心。
Original English
Steven Bartlett: No. Talking about data centers.
Neil deGrasse Tyson: 不。不。我已经回答过你了。我说过,我们不想让他们在没有我们参与的情况下登月。
Original English
Neil deGrasse Tyson: No. No. I already answered you. I said we don't want them to go to the moon without us going to the moon.
Steven Bartlett: 而且上面没有任何法律,对吧?
Original English
Steven Bartlett: And there's no laws up there, is there?
Neil deGrasse Tyson: 在这个阶段,太空法就像是狂野的西部。就像是,谁拥有月球?
Original English
Neil deGrasse Tyson: Space law is a is a wild west at this point. It's like who owns the moon?
Steven Bartlett: 没人。
Original English
Steven Bartlett: Nobody.
Neil deGrasse Tyson: 好吧,他们正在想办法弄清楚。但别欺骗自己,以为我们过去或现在登月是为了科学。
Original English
Neil deGrasse Tyson: Well, they're trying to figure that out. But don't delude yourself into thinking we ever went to the moon for science then or now.
黑洞与人类的好奇心
Steven Bartlett: 好的。下一个问题。你相信我们生活在一个模拟世界里吗?
Original English
Steven Bartlett: Okay. Next. Do you believe that we're in a simulation?
Neil deGrasse Tyson: 我对此总是抱怨不休。我会告诉你原因。
Original English
Neil deGrasse Tyson: I'm whiny about that. And I'll tell you why.
Steven Bartlett: 那么你能不能[音乐]解释一下什么是黑洞?就像如果你被吸进去了会怎样。
Original English
Steven Bartlett: And then can you [music] explain what a black hole is? Like if you get sucked in.
Neil deGrasse Tyson: 好的。那么,你将看到宇宙的整个未来历史在你面前展开。然后你脚部和头部之间的重力差会变得越来越大,越来越大。最终,你会断成两半,很可能是在你脊椎的底部断开。而且这甚至还不是最糟糕的部分,我们稍后会讲到。
Original English
Neil deGrasse Tyson: Okay. So, you will see the entire future history of the universe unfold. And then the difference in gravity between your feet and your head gets greater and greater and greater. Eventually, you'll snap into two pieces, likely separated at the base of your spine. And that's not even the worst part, and we'll get to that.
Steven Bartlett: 那么我们到底有多渺小呢?有没有哪一次不明飞行物目击事件是你记得最令人信服的?通过你对宇宙的了解,你对宗教的看法发生改变了吗?还有,生命的意义是什么?
Original English
Steven Bartlett: And then just how small are we? Is there a most compelling UFO sighting that you can recall? Has your view of religion changed through all that you've learned about the universe? And what is the point of life?
Neil deGrasse Tyson: 哇,你问了一个好问题。那么,让我们来深入探讨一下。
Original English
Neil deGrasse Tyson: Wow, you have a good question. So, let's get into this.
频道订阅呼吁
Steven Bartlett: 这对我来说超级有趣。我的团队给了我这份报告,向我展示了观看这个节目的观众中有多少人订阅了频道。根据这份报告,你们中的一些人告诉我们,你们被随机取消订阅了该频道。所以我有一个请求要拜托大家,请你们现在检查一下是否已经按下了订阅按钮——如果你们是这个节目的常客,并且喜欢我们在这里做的事情的话。就订阅人数而言,我们即将迎来这个节目的一个相当重要的里程碑。所以,如果有一件简单的、免费的事情可以帮助我们,帮助我的团队和这里的每一个人保持这个节目免费,并让它年复一年、周复一周地不断改进,那就是按下那个订阅按钮,并仔细检查你是否已经按下了。这是我唯一会要求你们做的事,我们说好了吗?如果你这么做了,我会告诉你我将做什么。我会确保每一周、每一个月,我们都更加努力地战斗,把你们想听的嘉宾和对话带给你们。从节目的最初期开始,我就一直信守这个承诺,我绝不会让你们失望。请帮助我们。非常感谢。让我们继续节目吧。[音乐]
Original English
Steven Bartlett: This is super interesting to me. My team given me this report to show me how many of you that watch this show subscribe. And some of you have told us, according to this, that you are unsubscribed from the channel randomly. So favor to ask all of you, please could you check right now if you've hit the subscribe button if you are a regular viewer of this show and you like what we do here. We're approaching quite a significant landmark on this show in terms of a subscriber number. So if there was one simple free thing that you could do to help us, my team, everyone here to keep this show free, to keep it improving year over year and week over week, it is just to hit that subscribe button and to double check if you've hit it. Only thing I'll ever ask of you, do we have a deal? If you do it, I'll tell you what I'll do. I'll make sure every single week, every single month, we fight harder and harder and harder and harder to bring you the guests and conversations that you want to hear. I've stayed true to that promise since the very beginning of the D of Sio and I will not let you down. Please help us. Really appreciate it. Let's get on with the show. [music]
流行文化与对未知的渴望
Steven Bartlett: deGrasse Tyson,人们来找你是为了试图理解宇宙。
Original English
Steven Bartlett: Grass Tyson, people come to you to try and understand the universe.
Neil deGrasse Tyson: 是的。
Original English
Neil deGrasse Tyson: Yes.
Steven Bartlett: 那么目前人们关于宇宙问你最迫切的问题是什么?是我们在宇宙中是否孤独吗?
Original English
Steven Bartlett: What is the most pressing question people are asking you right now about the universe? Are we alone in the universe?
Neil deGrasse Tyson: 这受到了流行文化的影响。我举个例子。当电影《人鬼情未了》(Ghost)上映时,民意调查显示,在看完那部电影后相信有鬼的人数比电影上映前更多。所以流行文化对我们的思想、感受、态度以及我们相信什么为真什么为假,有着巨大的影响力。所以当你说最迫切的问题是什么时——“我们在宇宙中是孤独的吗?”接着他们会问:“我们被造访过吗?”还有,“这一切将如何结束?”这是另一个问题。通常上帝也会在其中出现。有上帝吗?
Original English
Neil deGrasse Tyson: And that's influenced by pop culture is I'll give an example. When the movie Ghost came out, polls showed that more people believed in ghosts after that movie than before the movie. So pop culture has a huge is a huge force of influence on our thoughts and feelings and attitudes and what we believe is or is not true. So when you say what is the most pressing question? Are we alone in the universe? Then they say, "Have we been visited?" And uh, "How will it all end?" That's another one. Usually God shows up in there. Is there God?
Steven Bartlett: 呃,有一种假设,我认为这是一个天真的假设,但依然很有趣,那就是研究宇宙的人可能会偶然发现上帝,因为我们被告知,或者至少在我们的艺术作品中,上帝住在天空中。所以,人们就去研究天空。当阿波罗计划的宇航员回来时,人们问:“你看到上帝了吗?你看到天堂了吗?”人们对这些话题如此好奇的本质是什么?
Original English
Steven Bartlett: Uh, there's an assumption, I think it's a naive assumption, but an interesting one nonetheless, that people who study the universe might stumble upon God because we're told, or at least in our artwork, uh, gods live in the sky. So, people then study the sky. When the Apollo astronauts came back, people said, "Did you see God? Did you see heaven? What is the essence of why people are so curious about these subjects?
Neil deGrasse Tyson: 我最好的推测,这只是一个大胆的推测,你知道我的自我并不取决于这是否真实,但去思考这样一个事实对我来说非常着迷:我们完全适应仰面睡觉。问问你自己,有多少其他动物会这么做?有没有一只甲虫会说“我要翻个身仰面躺着”,或者蜘蛛会仰面躺着?想一想。这其实很脆弱。你睡着了,肚子却暴露在外,对吧?我们通常在晚上睡觉。好的。如果你在户外,晚上仰面睡觉,当你醒来时,你看到的第一件事是什么?是宇宙,是天空。你会看到,你知道的,彗星、流星、月亮,还有较亮的星星,后来我们称之为行星。而且日复一日,等一下,月亮之前是一个形状,现在它变成了另一种形状,而且它出现在天空的不同位置。这些灯光在移动。当你在半夜醒来,宇宙展现在你面前时,我们怎么能不好奇呢?所以我认为,对夜空的好奇某种程度上写在了我们的基因里。并不是我让人们对宇宙产生兴趣的。事实上,在我还是个孩子的时候,我第一次接触夜空是在一个天文馆里,纽约市的海登天文馆[清嗓子]。我说:“哇,我想研究宇宙,但宇宙太有趣了。每个人都会想研究宇宙的。那这里就没我的位置了。”随着我慢慢长大,我意识到人们对其他事情也很感兴趣。并不是每个人都想成为研究宇宙的专业人士。然而,无论你选择什么职业,这都不会改变一个事实:你内心的某个部分,总会抬头仰望并问道:“我在宇宙中占据着什么位置?”
Original English
Neil deGrasse Tyson: My best speculation and this is a wild speculation and I you know my ego is not based on whether this is true but it's fascinating for me to think about the fact we are completely comfortable sleeping on our backs. Ask yourself how many other animals do that at all. Does a beetle say I'm going to turn over and go on my back and go do spiders just go on their back? Think about it. That's quite vulnerable. You're asleep and your belly is exposed, right? We sleep at night typically. Okay. If you're outdoors, us sleep on your back at night and you wake up, what's the first thing you see? The universe, the sky. You'll see, you know, comets and meteors and the moon and and brighter stars which we call planets eventually. And from night to night, wait a minute, the moon had one shape and now it's a different shape and it's a different part of the sky. And these lights are moving. And how could we not be curious when in the middle of the night you wake up and the universe presents itself to you? So I think that's sort of in our DNA, the curiosity about the night sky. I didn't make people interested in the universe. In fact, when I was a kid, my first encounter with the night sky was a planetarium, the Hayden [clears throat] Planetarium here in New York City. I said, "Wow, I want to study the universe, but the universe is so interesting. Everybody's going to want to study the universe. There'll be no room for me." And as I as I got older, I realized there are other things people are interested in. Not everybody wants to study the universe professionally. However, whatever you choose as a profession, it doesn't change the fact that somewhere in you, you're going to look up and say, "What does that replace in the universe?"
Steven Bartlett: 我以为当你谈到仰卧睡觉时你会说,我们现在作为某种顶级掠食者已经非常自在了,以至于我们能够仰面睡觉。而且实际上,我们对外星人如此感兴趣,因为外星人是唯一可能威胁到我们作为顶级掠食者能够仰面睡觉地位的存在。
Original English
Steven Bartlett: I thought you were going to say when you talked about sleeping on their backs that we are now so comfortable being the sort of apex predator that we're able to sleep on our backs and actually if but we we want we're so interested in aliens because it's the only thing that would threaten our place is being able to sleep on our backs as the apex predator.
Neil deGrasse Tyson: 哦是的。我不知道古人是否会幻想出外星人。
Original English
Neil deGrasse Tyson: Oh yeah. I'm I don't know that ancient people were dreaming up aliens.
Steven Bartlett: [笑声] 只是夜空本身。
Original English
Steven Bartlett: [laughter] It's just just the night sky itself.
Neil deGrasse Tyson: 嗯,好吧。呃,我们不用“外星人”这个词。我们就用“神”这个词。
Original English
Neil deGrasse Tyson: Well, okay. Uh let's not use the term alien. Let's just use the term gods.
Steven Bartlett: 大多数人的神在哪里?他们在天空中。
Original English
Steven Bartlett: Where are most people's gods? They're in the sky.
Neil deGrasse Tyson: 是的。
Original English
Neil deGrasse Tyson: Yeah.
Steven Bartlett: 呃,甚至在古希腊,那是奥林匹斯山。虽然不是在天空中,但它们是在高处。你看看那些印有宗教格言的海报。通常是阳光穿透云层,一片美丽的风景。你看着的正是天空。顺便说一下,我们对神灵的想象是怎样的?其中许多完全可以被当成外星人。
Original English
Steven Bartlett: Uh even in ancient Greece, they're Mount Olympus. Not in the sky, but they're in high places. You look at posters with religious sayings on them. Typically, it's a sunbeams coming through clouds and a beautiful landscape. You're looking at the sky. And by the way, what are our images of deity? Many of them could pass for aliens.
Neil deGrasse Tyson: 比如[清嗓子]蛇发女妖。看看美杜莎,头发全是蛇。美杜莎。这就像你能想到的任何外星人一样怪异。还有什么?耶稣的画像。他漂浮在空中,身上散发着光芒。如果他没有漂浮,他就在水上行走。这些都是超越世俗之物的东西。所以现在人们想象的外星人,也拥有所有这些相同的力量和怪异之处。所以我不知道“外星人”这种特定的概念是否在我们的基因中,但去想象超越我们自身的事物是存在的,所以在那个层面上,我会把它们归为一类。
Original English
Neil deGrasse Tyson: Like the [clears throat] gorg guns, for example. Look at look at Medusa. Snakes for hair. Medusa. That's as alien as anything you would ever conjure. What else? Images of Jesus. He's floating. He's got beams coming out of him. If he's not floating, he's walking on water. These are these are things that go beyond anything that's earthly. So now people imagine aliens with all these same powers and weirdnesses. So I don't know that alien is something specific that's in our DNA to think about but to imagine things beyond ourselves is and and so I would lump them together in that respect.
Steven Bartlett: 让我对那些外星人、意义、目标、神灵以及所有这些事物更加好奇的一件事,我想是看了《宇宙》(Cosmos),那是你关于宇宙的系列节目,具体来说是……
Original English
Steven Bartlett: One of the things that made me I guess more curious about aliens and meaning and purpose and gods and all these things was watching Cosmos which was your series around the universe and specifically it was
Neil deGrasse Tyson: 还有,卡尔·萨根(Carl Sagan)是第一个做的,然后才是我的系列节目。
Original English
Neil deGrasse Tyson: and Carl Sean did it first my series.
Steven Bartlett: 嗯,我两个都看了。
Original English
Steven Bartlett: Well I watched both
Neil deGrasse Tyson: 这是我碰巧主持的一个系列。
Original English
Neil deGrasse Tyson: a series I happen to host.
宇宙尺度中的微小与巨大
Interviewer: 是的。好的。它们(《宇宙》系列)对我都产生了同样的影响,那就是让我感觉自己在宏大的宇宙图景中微不足道。我想,当你意识到在这宏伟的图景中——甚至只是在我们面前桌上的这个银河系中——我们是多么微不足道或者说渺小时,这种我与我的世界,相较于这一切未知事物在体量上的巨大落差,让我几乎觉得有种使命感去填补它。是不是有这么个说法,叫帕金森定律?你会在提供的空间里填满东西。对于宇宙也是如此。在宏大的宇宙图景中,我们到底有多渺小,Neil?
Original English
Interviewer: Yes. Okay. They both they both had the same impact on me which was they made me feel insignificant in the grand scheme of the cosmos. I think when you realize how insignificant we are or small we are should I say in this grand scheme of even this Milky Way galaxy that's on the table in front of us the delta in the size of me and my world versus all of this is mystery. And I and I almost feel called to fill it with something. There's is it Parkinson's law you like you you you fill the space provided. It's it's the same thing with the universe. Just how small are we Neil in the grand scheme of the universe?
Neil: 如果你不以米、厘米这种公制尺度来思考,你到底有多大?有这么大?这么大?还是这么大?如果你用10的幂来思考的话。
Original English
Neil: Well, if you don't think in terms of metric size, how big are you? Are you this big? This big? This big? If you think in terms of powers of 10.
Interviewer: 好的。
Original English
Interviewer: Okay.
Neil: 好的。那么,比我们大10倍的事物,再大10倍,再大10倍。就这样一直推演下去。
Original English
Neil: Okay. So, the things 10 times bigger than us, 10 times bigger than that, 10 times bigger than that. Just keep doing that.
Interviewer: 嗯。
Original English
Interviewer: Mhm.
Neil: 与宇宙相比,我们确实很渺小,但与原子和分子相比,我们又是极其巨大的。现在,我们不往大10倍的方向想,而是往小10倍的方向想。准确地说是十分之一。什么是我们十分之一大小的东西?嗯,大概这么大。那再十分之一呢?这么大。再十分之一。如果你一直往下深入,你就会进入分子的领域,然后是原子,接着是基本粒子。所以,有很多东西比我们小得多。事实上,我最近写了一本关于外星人的书《带我去见你们的领袖》(Take Me to Your Leader),里面探讨了一些这方面的问题。书里有很多内容是关于如何改变你的视角,去设想那里的生命形式会是什么样。所以,你可以问这样一个问题,生命形式有星系那么大吗?还是只有原子那么小?我们是不是仅仅被我们的感官在我们自身的尺寸范围内所能接收到的信息给束缚住了?这是一个有趣的事实。你想想,如果你是一个分子大小的生命体,谁会觉得渺小呢?好吧。 [笑声] 那你才会觉得渺小。如果你是分子级别的生命,就没有什么比你更小了。我们现在还不知道如何创造那样的生命,因为根据我们自己的理解和定义,生命需要有新陈代谢。需要有各种生命活动在发生。如果你问生物学家,什么是生命?他们会给你列出一系列的标准,而这些标准对于极微小的生命来说,即便不是不可能,也是很难满足的。他们现在还在争论病毒到底算不算生物,对吧?就是基于某些标准。但也有人推测,生命可能只有核子(nucleon)那么大。核子是原子核内粒子的大小。在那个尺度上,事情发生得非常快。所以它们可能会纳闷,为什么我们生活得如此缓慢? [笑声] 因此,颠覆你的预期是一项由来已久的练习,能让你保持谦逊,克制你的自负。
Original English
Neil: We're small compared with the universe, but we're huge compared with atoms and molecules. Now, instead of going 10 times bigger, go 10 times smaller. One-tenth to be precise. What's one-tenth our size? Well, that's this big. One-tenth that is that big. 1/10th that. You keep going down, you enter the realm of molecules and that atoms and then particles. So, there are things much smaller than we are. In fact, I addressed some of that in I I wrote an alien book recently, Take Me to Your Leader. There's a lot in there about changing your perspective on what you might expect life forms to be like out there. So, you can ask the question, are the life forms the size of a galaxy? Or are the life forms the size of atoms? Are we just biased by what our senses can drink in from our own size scale? And that's an interesting fact. And so you know who would feel small if you were a life form the size of molecules. Okay. [laughter] Then you're feeling small. There's not much smaller than you if you're molecularized life. Now we don't know how you would make that because life by our own understandings and definitions has a metabolism. There's things that happen. You ask a biologist what is life? They'll give you a list of criteria which are hard if not impossible to be fulfilled by life that's extremely small. And they still debate whether viruses are alive, right? Based on some criteria, but some had speculated that life could be the size of nucleons. So a nucleon is the size of the particles in the nucleus of an atom. Things happen very quickly on that scale. So they might wonder, how is it that we live so slowly? [laughter] So, so inverting your expectations is a time-honored exercise and keeping you honest, keeping your ego in check.
不同尺度下的物理法则
Interviewer: 也可以反过来想,对吧?我们这整个宇宙,可能只是另一个生命体肠道微生物群里的某个东西。
Original English
Interviewer: You can go the other way, right? We this whole universe could be something in a another life form's gut microbiome.
Neil: 是的。好吧。电影《黑衣人》中曾简短地提到过这一点。好吧。我能说的是,物理定律在不同的尺度上表现是不同的。所以你不能简单地把一切都等比例放大。这就是为什么不会有人类大小的昆虫。它们的腿会在它们自身的重量下折断。这就是为什么大型动物都有粗壮结实的腿。这也是为什么如果你从屋顶上掉下来,你就会死。但是一只蚂蚁掉下来,着陆后就能继续走。懂吗?力的相互作用方式并不相同,这取决于你所处的尺度。电影《虫虫危机》(A Bug's Life)里我最喜欢的一个场景——我想那是一部皮克斯的电影。皮克斯肯定有一屋子的科学家在为他们工作。有一只蚊子在酒吧里。于是蚊子点了一杯饮料。那么,他点了什么饮料呢?
Original English
Neil: Yeah. Okay. So, that was briefly addressed in the in the film um Men in Black. Okay. Uh what I can say is the laws of physics manifest differently on different scales. So you can't just scale everything up. Which is why you don't have humansized insects. Their legs would break under their own weight. It's why heavy animals have thick chunky legs. It's why if you fell off the roof, you're dead. But an ant can just land and keep walking. Okay. Forces don't interact in the same way depending on your scale. One of my favorite scenes in the film A Bug's Life, which I think that was a Pixar film. Pixar, they must have a room full of scientists working for him. There's a mosquito at a bar. So, mosquito orders a drink. So, what drink does he order?
Interviewer: 呃,一杯莫吉托(mojito)。我不知道。 [笑声]
Original English
Interviewer: Uh, a mjito. I don't know. [laughter]
Neil: 一杯血腥玛丽(Bloody Mary),这当然没问题。呃,蚊子有多大?就这么大。那是一个酒吧。就像一个昆虫酒吧。然后酒保拿来那杯血腥玛丽,直接把一滴液体放在它面前。不在玻璃杯里,也不在水罐里。就那么放在那儿。因为表面张力是昆虫非常关心但在我们的尺度下不太明显的东西。除非你在给车打蜡,然后水滴在上面,它会结成水珠。
Original English
Neil: a Bloody Mary, of course it's okay. Uh, how big is a mosquito? It's this big. And it's a bar. It's like an insect bar. And so the bartender brings over the Bloody Mary and just puts a blob of the liquid in front of it. It's not in a glass, not in a jug. It's just there it is. Because surface tension is something that manifests in ways that insects care about greatly and we don't. Unless you're waxing your car and then this water gets on and it beads up.
Interviewer: 好的。
Original English
Interviewer: Okay.
Neil: 表面张力是流体液体的一种特性,其外表面的分子聚集得更紧密一些,因为它们上方没有力将它们拉入液体溶液中。所以从液体本身过渡到空气时,会产生一层类似薄膜的东西。对吧?它把液体固定在原位。
Original English
Neil: Surface tension is a property of fluid liquids where the outer surface the molecules are a little more tightly gathered because they don't have forces above them to pull them into the solution that is the liquid. So transitioning from the liquid itself into air creates a kind of a film. All right? And it holds the liquid in place.
Interviewer: 嗯哼。
Original English
Interviewer: Mhm.
Neil: 除非液体太多,那时重力变得比表面张力更大,它就会四散飞溅。确实如此。但在一定的量之下,表面张力大于重力,它就会凝结成水珠。所以在那部电影里他们知道这个原理,我觉得这非常巧妙。我说这些唯一的目的是想传达,你不能简单地把事物放大,然后指望一切都能以完全相同的方式发生。不过我想回到你刚才提到的一点,你说在看了《宇宙》之后感到自己很渺小。你感到渺小,仅仅是因为你一开始就带着一种过于庞大而毫无根据的自我走进去。
Original English
Neil: Unless there's too much liquid, then gravity becomes stronger than the surface tension and it just flies. Exactly. But below a certain amount, the surface tension is greater than the gravity and it beads up. So they knew this in that movie and I thought that was brilliant. My only point of this is to communicate that you can't just scale things up and expect everything to be happening in exactly the same way. But I want to get back to your point when you said you felt small after you saw Cosmos. You only felt small because you went in there with an ego that was unjustifiably too large to begin with.
Interviewer: 可能吧。
Original English
Interviewer: Probably.
Neil: 我就是在指责你这一点。
Original English
Neil: I'm accusing you of that.
Interviewer: 可能是。
Original English
Interviewer: Probably.
与宇宙的深刻联结
Neil: 是的。然而,我走进去的时候并没有这样的自我。好吧。我仰望星空,我从现代天体物理学中了解到,我们身体里的元素是在爆炸的恒星中锻造出来的。那些在我们血液中流淌的氧、碳、氮、铁等元素,都是在恒星生命的最后阶段爆炸时锻造出来的。它们将这些丰富的物质抛洒到星系中,随后新一代的恒星和行星便从中孕育而生。在宇宙的早期,我们没有这些成分。我们不可能以目前的形式存在。所以当我仰望星空时,我并不觉得渺小。我感到自己很宏大,因为我在化学上与宇宙相连。这种联系,让我们说得更诗意一点。不仅我们在这个宇宙中活着,宇宙也活在我们体内。这个事实几乎触及到了精神层面的境界。这是一个天体物理学的事实,它为你提供了一条与宇宙产生关联的路径。我们是这个正在展开的伟大宇宙故事的一部分。事实上,我们是由在恒星中锻造的元素组成的。下次你出去仰望星空时,我希望你感到自己是宏大的,而不是渺小的。因为我们不仅是由恒星产生的物质构成的,我们还是太阳能驱动的。这是什么意思呢?好吧,如果你是杂食动物,昨晚你可能吃了一块牛排。好的,你从吃的食物中获取卡路里。而这块牛排曾经是一头牛。那么,这头牛吃什么?牛吃植物。那植物吃什么?嗯,它们不吃东西。它们只是坐在那里吸收阳光。所以,牛——我曾在网上说过一次这个,把人们吓坏了。呃,你知道,我我不应该因为真相会吓到你就回避说出真相。牛是我们发明的一种机器,因为野生环境中并不存在牛。那是我们驯化出来的。牛是我们发明的一台把草变成牛排的机器。所以因为这条食物链的底端是进行光合作用的草,本质上我们 100% 的热量价值都可以追溯到恒星,具体来说就是太阳。所以你是太阳能驱动的,而宇宙活在你的体内。所以不要再坐在我对面说,我在宇宙中感到渺小。 [笑声] 抱歉,你在那个更小的宇宙里的声音音调更低了。 [笑声]
Original English
Neil: Yeah. However, I go in there with no such ego. Okay. I look up at the stars and I learn from modern astrophysics that the elements in our body were forged in stars that exploded that the elements the the the oxygen the carbon the nitrogen the the iron that courses through our blood was forged in stars that at the end of their lives exploded scattering that enrichment into the galaxy out of which the next generations of stars and planets are formed. Early in the universe, we didn't have these ingredients. We could not exist as in our current form. So when I look up, I don't feel small. I feel large because I'm connected to the cosmos chemically. And that connectivity, let's let's make it a little more poetic. Not only are we alive in this universe, the universe is alive within us. And that fact borders on the spiritual. It is a astrophysical fact that gives you a pathway of relevance to the universe. We are part of this great unfolding cosmic story. The fact that we are made of elements forged in the stars. Next time you go out and look up, I want you to feel large, not small. Because we are not only made of what stars have produced. We are solar powered. What do I mean by that? Okay, if you're if you're omnivorous, you maybe had a steak last night. Okay, that you're getting calories from the food you eat. And the steak was once a cow. Okay, what did the cow eat? Cow ate plants. What do plants eat? Well, they don't eat. They just sit there and receive sunlight. So, a cow, I said this once on the internet and freaked people out. Uh, you know, I I should not shy away from speaking truth just cuz it freaks you out. A cow is a machine that we invented because cows don't exist in the wild. It's we it's domesticated. A cow is a machine that we invented to turn grass into steak. So because at the end of that chain is grass that has photosynthesis essentially 100% of our caloric value comes is traceable to the to stars specifically the sun. So you are solar powered and the universe is alive within you. So don't ever sit across from me again and say I feel small in the universe. [laughter] Sorry, you have a a lower pitch voice in that smaller universe. [laughter]
宗教与意义感
Interviewer: 这很奇怪,不是吗?这种关于意义感的概念,比如试图理解一个人存在的意义,我认为宗教通常会赋予我们一种意义感。
Original English
Interviewer: It's strange, isn't it? This idea of like significance as a concept like trying to understand one's significance and I think religion often gives us a sense of significance.
Neil: 嗯,确实如此。是的,当然。因此它对人们有价值,并且能够跨越时代和文化持续存在 [清嗓子]。
Original English
Neil: Well, it does. Yes, of course. Hence it its value to people and its persistence [clears throat] uh throughout time and across cultures.
Interviewer: 通过你对宇宙的所有了解,你对宗教的看法难道没有任何改变吗?自从你是……我有你年轻时的这些照片。
Original English
Interviewer: Has your view of religion not changed through all that you've learned about the universe in any way since you were this I've got this photos of you as a young man.
Neil: 那是什么?哦,你做了些功课啊。你弄到了什么?
Original English
Neil: What's that? Oh, you did some homework there. What did you do?
Interviewer: 我肯定收集到了很多照片。我的意思是,我这里有一张你和你的……我是说这张很吸引人,我很喜欢这张。那张——
Original English
Interviewer: I've got certainly got so many photos. I mean, I've got this one here of you and your I mean this one's a fascinating I love that one. That
Neil: 我在那个年纪的时候,头发就是这样的。
Original English
Neil: my hair was like this when I was that age.
Interviewer: 哦。所以,
Original English
Interviewer: Oh. So,
Neil: 呃,哦,是的。所以,这是我的第一台望远镜,那是我的父亲在帮我组装它。
Original English
Neil: uh Oh, yeah. So, this one was my first telescope and that's my father helping me put it together.
Interviewer: 如果我想想这个年轻人,以及他对宗教的看法,你是……
Original English
Interviewer: If I think about this young man here and what he thought about religion, are you
关于宗教与信仰体系的探讨
Speaker A: ……更加笃信宗教,还是渐渐远离了宗教?如果是这样的话,原因又是什么呢?
Original English
Speaker A: more religious, less religious? If so, why?
Speaker B: 你知道吗,其实到我八岁的时候,人们跟我讲述的关于宗教的那些东西,对我来说就已经毫无逻辑、说不通了。我当时并不了解的是,信仰体系根本就不需要讲究什么逻辑和道理。正因为如此,它们才被称作“信仰体系”。如果它们能够完全在逻辑上自洽、绝对讲得通的话,那它就会变成客观存在的真理了。既然它是一个信仰体系,那么它就超越了批判性分析的范畴。它纯粹就是一个信仰体系,你能明白吗?所以,当我说它“超越了批判性分析”的时候,我的意思是,如果你信仰体系中的某个事物本身是可以通过实践去验证和测试的,那我们自然就可以去测试它。但如果我们的测试结果表明你所坚信的东西是错误的、不成立的,你会因此就停止信仰它吗?通常来说是不会的,因为它本身就是一个信仰体系。大部分人在和你交流时,最终都希望把你引入某种精神或宗教层面的对话中。我发现确实如此,尤其是考虑到我日常研究的都是整个宇宙。在早期的时候,我对待这个问题的答案很简单直接,我会说,你那是宗教那一套,你随便信你的,我在这里做的是科学研究。但后来我转念一想,我觉得我欠那些有宗教信仰的人一个更加知性、更加细致入微的交流方式,因为宗教在整个人类世界的历史发展进程中,发挥了极其巨大的力量,产生了极其深远的影响。这种影响不仅仅停留在文化层面,它还渗透到了政治层面、经济层面等等。所以,我开始阅读一些宗教方面的小册子和文章。现在,当我和别人进行这方面的对话时,我会和他们就他们的信仰展开一场全面、深入的交流。我会和他们探讨这些信仰与客观存在的物质宇宙之间究竟有什么交集(如果有的话),以及这些信仰对于持有它们的人来说到底意味着什么、起到了什么作用。而在互联网上,有很多地方都给我贴上了“无神论者”的标签。但我觉得我从来都没有真正接受或者承认过这个头衔。
Original English
Speaker B: So, you know, by the time I was eight, it was nothing was making sense that people were telling me about religion. What I didn't know is that belief systems don't have to make sense. That's why they're belief systems. If they made complete sense, it would just be objectively true. If it's a belief system, then it it's beyond critical analysis. It's just a belief system. Okay? So when I say beyond critical analysis, what I mean is if something in your belief system lends itself to be tested, we can test it. And if what we test shows that what you believe is false, are you going to stop believing? Generally not, because it's a belief system. Okay? Most people want to engage you ultimately with some kind of spiritual religious conversation. I have found especially given my access to the universe. And in the early days there were easy answers. It was like this is this is religion you know go ahead I'm doing science here. Then I thought I owe people who are religious a more informed and nuanced engagement because of the power and force that religion has exercised on the history of the world. It's not just cultural, it's political, it's economic, it's so I started reading religious tracts and now when I'm engaged in a conversation, I have a full-up conversation with people on their beliefs, whatever intersection, if any, with the objective universe and what those beliefs do for the person who holds them. And there are many places on the internet that claim me as an atheist. And it's like I've never embraced that title.
Speaker A: 所以你并不是一个无神论者。
Original English
Speaker A: So you're not an atheist.
Speaker B: 我唯一的身份就是一个科学家。好吧,让我们先从这一点说起。现在人们贴标签的做法太懒惰了。我来告诉你为什么。一旦你给某个人贴上了一个标签、赋予了他一个头衔,那就相当于给了你自己一个借口,让你觉得在这个特定的话题上,你不再需要去深入思考这个人的本质和他真实的观点究竟是什么了。而在我的经验里,这种做法从来都没有什么好结果。所以首先,存在“无神论者(atheist)”这样一个词语本身就挺让人觉得奇怪的。你仔细想一想,这个词是用来说明“你不是什么”的。我们有形容“非高尔夫球手”的专用词汇吗?我们有形容“非……”的词汇吗?你可以问问自己,到底有多少事物,我们专门发明了一个词来形容它的反面或者“非”状态?非常少。所以,这种“非友即敌、非此即彼”的做法——如果你不跟我们站在一边,那我就用一个专门的词来定义你,表明你不是我们这一类人——正如我刚才所说,这种做法从来都不会有什么好下场。它往往会导致战争和流血冲突。今天有一些典型的顶尖无神论者会专门写书来探讨这个话题。理查德·道金斯(Richard Dawkins)就是其中之一。他写了一本非常有名的书叫作《上帝错觉》(The God Delusion)。如果有哪本书里的言论能被称作“挑衅的话语”,那绝对非它莫属了。这些人彻底拒绝上帝的概念,拒绝宗教对政治、社会和人们生活产生的一切影响,并且他们只想要一个完全没有宗教存在的纯粹世界。但我并不是那样的人。我的很多行为和想法可能会被任何一位现代无神论思想家所拒绝和排斥。既然如此,那我到底算是什么呢?我们在剩下的词语里挑一个吧,下一个比较合适的词应该就是“不可知论者(agnostic)”了。
Original English
Speaker B: The only I am is a scientist. Okay. Let's start there. Now titles are lazy. I'll tell you why. Once you hand a title to someone, that gives you license to not have to think anymore about who and what that person is regarding that subject. And that has never ended well in my experience. So first, it's odd that such a word as atheist exists at all. Think about it. It's a word that says what you're not. Is there a word for non-golfers? Is is there a word for non h ask yourself how many things do we have words for for which are not? Very few. And so this exercise of saying you're either with us or you're against us. And if you're against us, I have this word for you that says you're not this, like I said, that never ends well. It ends in war and bloodshed. Typically leading atheists today who write books on this. Okay? Richard Dawkins is among them. Uh he wrote a book called The God Delusion. That's fighting words if there ever was one. These are people who reject God, reject its influence on politics and society and lives and and would just assume see a world without it. I'm not that guy. I have behavior that would be rejected by any modern atheist thinker. So what am I that we pick? The next word would be agnostic. Okay.
Speaker A: 好的,那我们就选下一个词吧,这个词我也很能产生共鸣。我也会把自己看作是一个不可知论者。
Original English
Speaker A: Okay. So let's pick that next word which I also relate to. I would consider myself to be agnostic as well.
Speaker B: 不可知论者。
Original English
Speaker B: Agnostic.
关于宇宙大爆炸与起源的科学解释
Speaker A: 嗯,没错。我有点,我只是不知道而已。对于所有这些东西、这个世界究竟是从哪里来的,你目前最主导的观点是什么呢?
Original English
Speaker A: Um, sure. I I kind of I just don't know. What's your leading view of where all of this stuff came from?
Speaker B: 我的观点与我们现有的观测结果和科学实验是完全一致的。那就是宇宙大爆炸(The Big Bang)。
Original English
Speaker B: It's consistent with observations and experiment. The Big Bang.
Speaker A: 宇宙大爆炸。
Original English
Speaker A: The Big Bang.
Speaker B: 噢,这个理论有着极其充分、详实的科学依据来支撑。尽管它听起来是那么的不可思议和奇幻。
Original English
Speaker B: Oh, it is so thoroughly supported. As fantastical as it is.
Speaker A: 能不能像对我是一个15岁的孩子那样,给我解释一下什么是宇宙大爆炸?
Original English
Speaker A: Explain the Big Bang to me like I'm 15.
Speaker B: 我会像对待一个12岁的孩子那样向你解释的。
Original English
Speaker B: I'll explain to you like you're 12.
Speaker A: 好的,请讲。那样就更好了。[笑声]
Original English
Speaker A: Okay, please. Even better. [laughter]
Speaker B: 那么,大约在138亿年前,你在这个宇宙中能够看到、能够与之产生互动的一切事物,最初都诞生于一个无限小、小到极致的点中。那就是我们所处的这个宇宙在时间和空间上的起点和诞生时刻。从那之后,我们的宇宙就一直处于不断膨胀的过程中。现在你可能会问,那么庞大浩瀚的东西,怎么可能曾经变得那么微小呢?嗯,其实那并不是物质试图去占据与自身相同的空间。能量在被高度压缩之后,本质上可以呈现出任何大小和尺寸,然后你可以通过测量当时的温度来判断那里存在着什么。所以,那基本上就是一个温度极高、炽热无比的火球。随着它不断地向外膨胀,它的温度也随之慢慢下降,而这种冷却下来的能量就转化生成了物质。这也就是爱因斯坦著名的质能方程式 E=mc² 所表达的含义。等式的一边是能量,另一边则是质量,而这个 c² 仅仅代表光速的平方,也就是一个常数。爱因斯坦在1905年提出了这个惊世骇俗的理论,这让当时关于宇宙的许许多多现象都在那一刻变得合情合理、能够被解释得通了。所以,这个过程需要花费相当长的一段时间,我们不断膨胀,不断冷却,直到冷到足以形成恒星和星系,而且直到今天,我们仍然在持续膨胀着。但是,宇宙中依然运作着一些我们至今仍未完全理解的神秘力量,我们把这种力量称为“暗能量(dark energy)”,它存在于太空的真空中,是一种类似于压力的东西,它促使我们的宇宙以比所有星系产生的集体引力所允许的速度还要快的速度加速膨胀。这是一个处于科学前沿的问题,目前尚未得到解决。此外,还有一些我们根本不知道是由什么引起的引力源。我们把那称为“暗物质(dark matter)”。如果你把暗物质和暗能量加在一起,它们占据了驱动整个宇宙运转的所有成分的95%。也就是说,你和我所熟知并且热爱的这一切——包括生物学、化学、物理学、天体物理学、各种作用力、食物、卡路里、分子、固体、液体、气体等等,仅仅只占宇宙中正在发生的事情的区区5%而已。这真的是非常令人惊叹的。正因为如此,就像我刚开始时跟你说的那样,有时候我真的会忍不住去想,我们人类的智慧是否足够聪明,能够弄清楚这个浩瀚宇宙的全部奥秘呢?还是说,我们只能弄清楚属于我们自己的那极其微小的一小部分,然后就在这有限的认知里快乐地生活下去?如果是后面那种情况的话,你完全有权利去追问,在这一切发生之前,周围又是什么样的景象呢?所以,你问我这个问题吧。
Original English
Speaker B: So, approximately 13.8 8 billion years ago, everything that you see and interact with in this universe began in an infinite decimal point. That is the birth of the space and time of our universe. We have been expanding ever since. Now, how does something that big ever become that small? Well, it's not matter trying to occupy the same space as itself. energy can be essentially any size compacted and then you can measure what's there by what the temperature is and so it's very hot fireball basically and as it expands it cools and the cooling energy makes matter it's equals mc squ energy on one side mass on the other side this c^² is just the speed of light just a constant but Einstein came up with this in 1905 and it made so much of the universe make sense at at that point and so uh and it would take a while we expand the we cool enough to make stars and galaxies and we're still expanding to this day. There are mysterious forces operating that we don't yet understand what we call dark energy that's a pressure in the vacuum of space making us expand faster than what would be allowed by the collective gravity of all the galaxies. That's a frontier question that is not yet resolved. Then there's sources of gravity that we don't know what's causing it. We call that dark matter. If you add up dark matter and dark energy, it's 95% of what's driving the universe. So everything you and I know and love about the biology, chemistry, physics, astrophysics, forces, food, calories, molecules, solids, liquids, gas, it's 5% of what's going on in the universe. That's amazing. And this is why when I began, I said to you, sometimes I wonder whether we are smart enough to figure out the entirety of the universe. or do we just figure out our little our little fraction of it and and live happily ever after within it? Now that scenario, you have full rights to ask what was around before that. So ask me that.
Speaker A: 那么在宇宙大爆炸之前,周围又是什么呢……
Original English
Speaker A: What was around before the
Speaker B: 我们完全不知道。[笑声] 我们确实有一种猜想,或许在我们的宇宙之前还存在着一个多元宇宙(multiverse),这个概念是从与量子物理学以及爱因斯坦相对论相关的现代前沿数学中推导出来的。从那些复杂的数学方程式里得出的结论,就是一个多元宇宙。
Original English
Speaker B: We have no idea. [laughter] We have suspicions there might have been a multiverse which has come out of latter-day mathematics related to quantum physics and Einstein's relativity. What comes out of those equations is a multiverse.
Speaker A: 那么,什么是多元宇宙呢?
Original English
Speaker A: What's a multiverse?
Speaker B: 简单来说,它就像是一个不断孕育、不断产生出各种宇宙的介质或母体。而我们所处的这个宇宙,仅仅是它喷涌而出的众多宇宙中的其中之一罢了。
Original English
Speaker B: Just it's it's this medium that is pumping out universes. We are just one of them.
Speaker A: 那又是什么引发或者导致了多元宇宙的产生呢?
Original English
Speaker A: What caused the multiverse?
Speaker B: 我们真的不知道。
Original English
Speaker B: We don't know.
Speaker A: 最终……
Original English
Speaker A: Eventually,
Speaker B: 这是科学认知的前沿地带。在我们知识边界的最前沿去提出问题,这并没有什么不对的。的确有这样一些人,他们凡事都必须要有一个确切的答案。这些人往往成为不了优秀的科学家。这种对于获得答案的迫切渴望和强烈冲动,可能会受到他们自身偏见的影响,受到他们所处文化背景的影响,或者受到他们……你只要看看世界各地的文化就明白了。那些关于世界起源的神话故事,都是从孕育了它们的本土文化中衍生流传出来的。
Original English
Speaker B: it's it's a frontier. There's no crime in asking the question at the frontier of our knowledge. There are people who have to have answers. They don't make good scientists. The urge to have an answer can be influenced by their bias, by their culture, by their just take a look at all around the world. The origin stories, the origin stories flow out of the cultures from which they emanated.
关于未知与暗物质的命名
Speaker A: 对于所有这些宇宙物质最初到底去了哪里,或者来自何方,你个人有什么未经测试、未经证实,甚至可能无法被检验的想法和猜测吗?因为我知道,你有时候肯定会独自坐在家里,然后就在那儿冥思苦想。你一定会对宇宙大爆炸的起源以及这些深奥的问题进行大量的思考。
Original English
Speaker A: What are your untested, unverified, untestable ideas about where all of this universe stuff might have gone? Cuz I know you must sit at home sometimes and just mull. You do a lot of mulling about the origins of the big bang and those things.
Speaker B: 嗯,其实我们大家都会去思考这些。我只是……所以,当你面对未知事物的时候,你会写下需要去获取更多数据的研究方案。
Original English
Speaker B: Well, we all do. I just So when you when you confront the unknown, you write the recipe for more data.
Speaker A: 仅仅就是这样吗?
Original English
Speaker A: That's all it is.
Speaker A: 那你都写下了哪些研究方案呢?
Original English
Speaker A: And what are those recipes that you've written?
Speaker B: 我们需要一架望远镜。我们已经有望远镜了。这倒不是我个人写的,我的意思是,我所在的这个领域和团队已经写出了这些方案。我们现在拥有专门为特定目的而设计的望远镜,就是为了能够更好地理解“暗能量”,并深入探究它在整个宇宙漫长历史长河的各个时间段里是如何具体表现和发挥作用的。
Original English
Speaker B: We need a telescope. We have telescope. I haven't written I mean my field has written them. We have telescopes specifically designed right now to get a better understanding of dark energy and its manifestation throughout time in the history of the universe.
Speaker A: 给我详细解释一下暗能量吧。
Original English
Speaker A: Explain dark energy to me.
Speaker B: 不,它其实就是太空中真空环境里存在的一种不明事物,正是它使得宇宙在膨胀的过程中不断加速。
Original English
Speaker B: No, it's just it's a it's something in the vacuum of space that's making the universe accelerate in its expansion.
Speaker A: 好的。
Original English
Speaker A: Okay.
Speaker B: 伴随着那场最初的大爆炸,我们拥有了所有的星系,所有的物质,还有所有的引力。按照常理,基于万有引力的作用,你肯定会认为宇宙膨胀的速度会以某种速率逐渐减慢。
Original English
Speaker B: From that original explosion, we have all the galaxies, all the matter, all the gravity. You expect the expansion to be slowing down at some rate based on the gravity.
Speaker A: 噢,但事实却是它在不断加速。
Original English
Speaker A: Oh, but it's speeding up.
Speaker B: 这就好比你向空中抛掷一个物体。地球的引力会使它减速,并且最终让它改变方向掉落下来。所以,这本来是我们预料之中的事情。可是当我们真正去进行相关测量时,我们却得到了一个截然相反的结论。宇宙正在加速膨胀。这项重大发现赢得了诺贝尔奖。是1998年的诺贝尔物理学奖。它实际上是爱因斯坦方程式里的一个项,但这个项曾被他本人断然否定和拒绝了。他认为绝对不可能存在负引力。他在自己的方程式里规定,这个项的值必须等于零。所以这件事就这么翻篇了。然而后来,我们竟然真的发现了它的存在。于是我们给它起了一个名字。但我认为这是一个非常糟糕的名字。“暗能量”这个词很糟糕,因为它有诱导之嫌。其实我们压根儿就不知道它到底是个什么东西。所以,别叫它“暗(dark)”,也别叫它“能量(energy)”。还不如叫它“弗雷德(Fred)”呢。懂了吗?随便叫个什么名字都行。[笑声] 还有暗物质也是如此。我们也同样不知道那到底是什么玩意儿。好吧,那我们就把它叫做“威尔玛(Wilma)”吧。现在我们有了弗雷德和威尔玛。但我们还是不知道它们究竟是何方神圣。
Original English
Speaker B: It's like tossing something in the air. Gravity of Earth slows it down and actually makes it reverse. So, we expect that. We went to make that measurement and we got the opposite answer. The universe is accelerating. That won a Nobel Prize. 1998 Nobel Prize. It's a term in Einstein's equation that he rejected. There can't be a negative gravity. What the its value in his equation must equal zero. And so let's move on. Then we discover it. We we come up with a term for it. I think it's a bad term. Bad because it's it leaves the witness. We don't know what it is at all. So, don't call it dark and don't call it energy. Call it Fred. Okay. Something. [laughter] And dark matter. We don't know what that is either. Okay. Let's call that Wilma. We got Fred and Wilma. We don't know what it is.
Speaker A: 在这个视频的正下方应该有一个按钮。如果它显示“已订阅”,那说明你已经是我们的订阅者了。如果它显示的只是“订阅者”字样,那就意味着你还没有订阅。如果你还没有订阅,能不能麻烦你帮我们一个小忙,点击一下那个按钮?这对我们节目的帮助远远超乎你的想象。而且根据平台的推荐算法,说明你是一个经常观看……
Original English
Speaker A: There should be a button just down below here. And if it says subscribed, you're already subscribed. If it says subscriber, that means you're not yet. And if you're not subscribed, please could you do us a favor and hit that button? It helps the show more than you know. And according to the algorithm, you're someone that watches
关于外星人与美国政府的讨论
Speaker A: 订阅我们的节目,如果你还没有按下那个按钮的话。非常感谢大家。目前人们都在讨论的一个关键问题是,奥巴马在一次采访中发表了那番言论,他说……我认为他是在开玩笑,他说确实有外星人,只是他还没见过。
Original English
Speaker A: our show, but you haven't yet hit that button. Thank you so much. So, the key question I think that people are talking about at this moment in time, because you had Obama make those comments in that interview saying that he he was joking I think he was joking when he said there are aliens he's just never seen.
Speaker B: 不,不,不。首先,第一,奥巴马具备科学素养。其次,正是因为他具备科学素养,他才会说:“从科学上可以站得住脚的观点是什么?那就是宇宙中很可能存在外星人。”任何研究过这个问题的人都会得出这个结论。
Original English
Speaker B: No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no. First of A, Obama is scientifically literate. It's a B. He said because he's scientifically literate, he said, "What is scientifically defensible that they're probably aliens in the universe? Anyone who studied that problem will arrive at that conclusion.
Speaker A: “它们是真实的,但我没见过它们。”
Original English
Speaker A: They're real, but I haven't seen them."
Speaker B: 而且,它们并没有被关在……那个叫什么来着?
Original English
Speaker B: And and and uh they're not being kept in uh what is it?
Speaker A: 51区。
Original English
Speaker A: Area 51.
Speaker B: 51区。并没有什么地下设施,除非存在一个惊天大阴谋,而且他们连美国总统都瞒过了。这就是他所说的话。但是作为美国前总统,再加上我们有一种类似于“外星人周边”的文化,人们就会觉得:“哦,那肯定意味着白宫地下室或者政府的某个地方关着外星人。”他们把他的话——也就是“当然有外星人存在”——转嫁到了美国政府身上。当我听到他的评论时,我觉得这完全是任何有科学素养的人都会说的话;但人们对这个信息的过度解读,导致他后来不得不出面解释。我甚至觉得那根本没必要解释,但显然那是必需的。
Original English
Speaker B: Area 51. uh there there's no underground uh facility unless there's this enormous conspiracy and they they hid it from the president of the United States. That's what he said. But as former president of the United States and we have sort of alien adjacent culture, it was oh that must mean there are aliens in the basement of the White House or somewhere in in in government custody. They took his statement that sure there are aliens out there and turned it on to the US government and when I heard his comments that that's exactly what any scientifically literate person would say what people did with that information he he then had to come back and explain. I didn't even think that was necessary but apparently it was.
Speaker A: 然后特朗普在空军一号上的一次采访中回应说……
Original English
Speaker A: And then Trump responded... on Air Force One in an interview and said
Speaker B: “嗯,他泄露了机密信息。他本来不该这么做的,你知道的。”
Original English
Speaker B: well he gave classified information. He's not supposed to be doing that, you know.
Speaker A: 不,“外星人是真实的。”
Original English
Speaker A: No, aliens are real.
Speaker B: “好吧,我不知道它们是不是真的。但我可以告诉你,他泄露了机密信息。他本来不该这么做的。他犯了一个大错。他把机密信息给说出来了。”
Original English
Speaker B: Well, I don't know if they're real or not. I can tell you he gave classified information. He's not supposed to be doing that. He made He made a big mistake. He took it out of classified information.
Speaker A: 特朗普似乎在煽风点火,助长了外星人存在的想法。在那之后不久,我们迎来了 UFO 文件的公布。他们准备公开 UFO 文件。现在我们发现,公众再次对“外星人”这个话题产生了极其浓厚的兴趣。你可以在我面前的谷歌趋势数据上看到这一点,数据随着人们的讨论起起伏伏。所以我想问你的核心问题是:你相信宇宙中存在智慧生命吗?
Original English
Speaker A: Trump seemed to stoke the idea that there is aliens. And then from that, shortly after, we had the UFO files announcement. They were going to release the UFO files. And now we find ourselves at a place where the general public is again really really curious about the subject of aliens. And you see it on the Google trend data which I've got in front of me here. You see the up, the down, the up, the down based on what people are talking about. So my question to you is about is this central question which is do you believe there's intelligent life in the universe?
Speaker B: 那些趋势在五月份出现的一个峰值,部分原因是五角大楼在那一周发布了文件,而且我也要厚着脸皮提一句,我的书正好也在五月,也就是5月12日出版了。
Original English
Speaker B: Sure, great. Bring them out. I love it... So that one of those peaks in May in part was because there were files released that week by the Pentagon and dare I suggest my book was released in May on May 12th.
Speaker A: 时机抓得真好。
Original English
Speaker A: Good timing.
Speaker B: 是的,就是那么巧。当我看到那些高级别举报人——也就是前情报官员、前军方人员——在国会宣誓作证时,我决定要踏入这个领域,更准确地说,是插一脚。我当时说:“好吧,我必须……是时候插手了,因为你不能再像以前对待后院 40 英亩地里的农民那样,对这些证词置之不理了,你知道的,他们看到了什么,谈论了什么,但却没有拍下照片。好吧,过去存在所有这些证词和关于 UFO 的叙述。现在,既然是官方政府人员在做这件事,那么好吧,是时候把它提升一个档次了。那是指什么呢?我的意思是什么?把外星人带出来。如果你说你后院 40 英亩地的棚子里有个外星人,那就把它带出来。只要你这么做了,就再也不会有人问‘你相信有外星人吗?’这就是我一直被问到的问题。我相信有外星人吗?从来没有人问过我:‘我相信有大象吗?’为什么?因为我们已经展示过大象了。好的,我们有大象,我们见过大象。”
Original English
Speaker B: Uh yeah, it just turned out that way. I decided to jump into the ring, not jump in, put a foot into the ring, more accurately, when I saw these these highranking whistleblowers come forward in in Congress, sworn testimonies, uh whistleblowers, former intelligence officers, former uh military folk. And I said, "All right, I have to it's time to jump in because no longer can you discount the testimony the way you might have done so before with the farmer in the back 40, you know, who saw something and is talking about it but didn't take a picture of it. All right. all these testimonies that have existed in the past and accounts of UFOs. Now, when official government people are doing it, then all right, it's time to take it up a notch. And what is it? What do I mean by that? Bring out the alien. If you're saying you got an alien in the shed in the back 40, just bring it out. And the moment you do that, no one will ever have to ask again, do you believe in aliens? That's the question I've been asked. Do I believe in alien? No one has ever asked me, do I believe in elephants? Why? Because we've shown elephants. Okay, we have elephants. We've seen elephants. So,
宇宙中的智慧生命与系外行星
Speaker A: 但是你认为宇宙中存在智慧生命吗?
Original English
Speaker A: but do you think there's intelligent life in the universe?
Speaker B: 考虑到宇宙的规模、宇宙的年龄以及宇宙的组成元素,我看不出为什么不存在。我的意思是,想想看。在早期的地球上,生命在尽可能早的 1 亿年内就开始了。这听起来像是一段很长的时间,确实如此,但这与地球本身的生命时间线相比微不足道。那大概只占地球时间线的 5%。地球上的基本元素与宇宙的基本元素相匹配,它们以几乎可能的最快速度从有机分子演变成了自我复制的生命。无论我们在实验室里面临什么挑战,地球似乎在完成这件事上没有遇到任何问题。所以,看看那发生得多快。是的,产生我们所谓的“智慧生命”需要很长很长的时间。但考虑到银河系中可能存在多少行星——我们现在的星表中包含了 6000 颗系外行星。而那仅仅是在一个极小的区域内。那就像是在一个小小的圈里,你知道,如果太阳在这里,在它周围画一个小圈,那里是我们搜寻过系外行星的地方,光在那个小区域我们就发现了 6000 颗。
Original English
Speaker B: I don't see why they wouldn't be given the size of the universe and the age in the universe and the ingredients of the universe. I mean, think about it. The early Earth, life got underway within a 100 million years of as early as it possibly could have. That sounds like a long time, and it is, but that's small compared with the timeline of Earth itself, of life on Earth. It's like 5% of the timeline of the Earth. Almost as fast as it could possibly happen, the basic ingredients on Earth, which matched the basic ingredients of the universe, went from organic molecules to self-replicating life. Whatever our challenges in the lab, Earth didn't seem to have a problem accomplishing it. And so, look at how quickly that happened. Yes, it would take a long time, much longer to generate what we're calling intelligent life. But given how many planets are likely in the galaxy, our cataloges now have 6,000 exoplanets in them. And that's just in a tiny little area. That'd be in a little cir that'd be in a little, you know, if if the sun is here, draw a little circle around it where we've searched for exoplanets and we have 6,000 just in that little
Speaker A: 什么是系外行星?
Original English
Speaker A: What's an exoplanet?
Speaker B: 系外行星,就是围绕另一颗恒星运行的行星。就在那个小区域就有 6000 颗。我们已经将其编入星表的有 6000 颗。在 1995 年……你是哪年出生的?
Original English
Speaker B: Exoplanet planet orbiting another star. Oh, there's 6,000 in a little. Uh, we've cataloged 6,000. Uh, in in 1995, what year were you born?
Speaker A: 92年。
Original English
Speaker A: 92.
Speaker B: 92年。所以,当我们发现第一颗系外行星时,你才 3 岁。
Original English
Speaker B: 92. So, you were 3 years old when we discovered our first exoplanet.
Speaker A: 真的吗?哇。
Original English
Speaker A: Really? Wow.
Speaker B: 现在我们的数量正在突破 6000 颗。那时这还是糟糕的头条新闻,但现在不是了。如果生命在地球上出现得如此之快,那么我们这些研究过这个问题的人,完全没有理由怀疑生命不能在我们的银河系或宇宙中其他上万亿个星系中频繁出现。
Original English
Speaker B: And now we're we're rising through 6,000. It was bad headlines back then, not today. But if life happened on Earth as swiftly as it did, no one of among us who have studied the problem are given reason to doubt that it couldn't happen frequently elsewhere in our galaxy or in the trillion other galaxies in the universe.
Speaker A: 这仅仅是银河系。
Original English
Speaker A: This is just the Milky Way galaxy.
Speaker B: 这是一个版本。是的,如果你能走出我们的银河系,它看起来就会非常像这样。
Original English
Speaker B: This is a version. Yeah, we This is if you could step out of our Milky Way, it would resemble this greatly. And
Speaker A: 这只是一个星系,对吧?
Original English
Speaker A: this is one galaxy, right?
Speaker B: 一个包含数千亿颗恒星的星系。这种像云一样的东西,你无法用肉眼将云团分辨成单颗的恒星。伽利略做到了。他说:“我想知道那条银河是什么。它真的只是一团云吗?”他把望远镜对准了银河,然后他看到了单颗的恒星。
Original English
Speaker B: one galaxy containing hundreds of billions of stars. This cloudy thing, you cannot resolve the cloud into the individual stars. Galileo did this. He said, "I wonder what that Milky Way is. Is that just a cloud?" Took his telescope, put it on the Milky Way. He saw individual stars.
宇宙的规模与未知
Speaker A: 那么宇宙中有多少个星系呢?
Original English
Speaker A: And how many galaxies are there in the universe?
Speaker B: 一个星系中有 1000 亿颗恒星。宇宙中至少有 1000 亿个星系。
Original English
Speaker B: 100 billion stars in a galaxy. At least 100 billion galaxies in the universe.
Speaker A: 答案是不是我们根本不知道到底有多少个?
Original English
Speaker A: Is the answer that we just don't know how many there are?
Speaker B: 让我们来量化一下所谓的“不知道”是什么概念。在宇宙中,事物的跨度极大,如果你差了哪怕是两倍的系数——这在大多数日常生活中听起来非常巨大——但如果事物的跨度是数以万亿计的系数,那么如果你能得出一个误差在两倍以内的答案,你就已经做得很好了。你对结构、空间和时间已经有了基本的了解。所以我们的银河系中有几千亿颗恒星。不,我们并没有一个精确的数字,但这依然是一个非常好的估算,因为我们知道银河系的总质量,我们也知道一颗恒星所占的质量。我们还知道暗物质的数量。所以我们可以计算出银河系中可能有多少颗恒星。至于行星,考虑到我们获得的行星数据,我们现在有很多拥有多颗行星的恒星系统,而这仅仅是在我们附近。如果那具有代表性,那么你只需要成比例放大。如果你在那个小区域各处观察并放大数字,最后你会得出整个银河系有数百万颗,甚至可能数十亿颗行星的结论。你就是这样估算的。所以,不知道确切答案与毫无头绪并不是一回事。
Original English
Speaker B: Let's quantify what it is to not know. in the universe. Uh things range over such a huge scale that if you're off by a factor of two, which sounds significant in most everyday life, but if things range over factors of trillions, then if you can get an answer within a factor of two, you're doing really well. You have a basic understanding of structure, space, and time. And so our galaxy has several hundred billion stars in it. No, we don't have an exact count, but that's a very good estimate because we know the total mass of the galaxy and we know how much mass a star occupies. We know how much dark matter there is. So we can calculate the likely number of stars there are in the galaxy. Planets. So now given our data on planets that we've obtained, we have many star systems with multiple planets and that's just in our neighborhood. So if that's representative, then you just scale that up. So if you looked in that little zone everywhere and just up the number, you end up with millions of planets, possibly billions across the galaxy. That's how you would estimate that. So it's not knowing the exact answer is not the same thing as having no clue.
Speaker A: 而且可能存在数以千亿计的星系。
Original English
Speaker A: And there might be hundreds of billions of galaxies.
Speaker B: 是的。是的。不仅仅是可能。在可观测宇宙中至少有那么多。
Original English
Speaker B: Yes. Yes. Not just might be. There's at least that many in the observable universe.
Speaker A: 在可观测的范围内。
Original English
Speaker A: In the observable,
Speaker B: 实际的宇宙超出了我们的视界。就像海上的船只一样,你有一个视界。
Original English
Speaker B: the actual universe goes beyond our horizon. In the same way for a ship at sea, you have a horizon.
Speaker A: 嗯哼。
Original English
Speaker A: Mhm.
Speaker B: 你会对自己说:“哦,那就是地球的边缘,或者那就是海洋的边缘”吗?不会。你继续航行,更多的海洋就会出现在视野中。它是无限的吗?
Original English
Speaker B: Are you saying to yourself, "Oh, that's the edge of the earth or that's the edge of the ocean." No. You keep sailing and more ocean comes in view. Is it infinite?
Speaker A: 可能是。我们不知道。
Original English
Speaker A: It might be. We don't know.
Speaker B: 你问的问题都很好,你正走向我们所知边界的边缘。
Original English
Speaker B: You're asking all good questions and you're going right to the edge of what we don't know.
Speaker A: 某样东西有可能是无限的吗?
Original English
Speaker A: Is it possible for something to be infinite?
Speaker B: 我不会给宇宙设定一个“它不能是无限的”这样的先决条件。仅仅因为无限这个概念让人的大脑很难理解,并不意味着宇宙不可能是无限的。
Original English
Speaker B: I'm not going to put a prerequisite on the universe that is not. Just because infinity is kind of hard for the human brain to wrap your head around, doesn't mean the universe can't
科学史上的错误假设与黑洞的奥秘
Speaker A: ……或者不该是那样。我们仅仅为了与我们自身的哲学观保持一致,就对宇宙做出了一些假设,而结果证明这些假设完全是错的。哥白尼是个有宗教信仰的人,他提出了一个想法,即或许太阳才是已知宇宙的中心,而不是地球。于是我们从地心说转向了日心说。好吧,如果你这么做,那我们就没有本轮(epicycles)了。对吧?我们就只有轨道,围绕太阳的简单轨道。嗯,他就是这么做的。你知道吗,这与观测结果的吻合度,还不如之前的本轮好呢。所以,你会因为这个就把整个想法都抛弃吗?不。我们在后来,也就是50年后才了解到:轨道并不是完美的圆形。他把它们设定为完美的圆形,因为那是宇宙。上帝创造了宇宙。上帝是完美的。圆是一个完美的几何形状。显然,宇宙中任何运动的物体都会沿着一个完美的圆形轨迹运动。这是一个强加给宇宙的假设,源于我们自身的哲学倾向,在那个例子中,是一种宗教哲学倾向。
Original English
Speaker A: or shouldn't be it. We've made assumptions about the universe just to be consistent with our own philosophies that just turn out to be flat wrong. Capernicus, a religious man, comes up with an idea that maybe the sun is in the center of the known universe and not Earth. So we go from geocentric to heliocentric. All right. Well, if you do that, then we don't have epicycles. All right? Then we just have orbits, simple orbits around the sun. Well, he did that. You know, it didn't match the observations as well as the epicycles did. So, do you throw out the whole idea? No. We would learn later, 50 years later. The orbits are not perfect circles. He made them perfect circles because it's the universe. God created the universe. God is perfect. The circle is a perfect geometric shape. Clearly, anything moving in the universe is going to be in a perfect circle. That was an assumption placed on the universe derived from our own philosophical proclivities in that case a religiously philosophical proclivity.
Speaker A: 所以,鉴于科学史上这个失败的尝试——我们可以举出很多这样的例子——我不会说宇宙不可能是无限的。
Original English
Speaker A: So given this exercise this failed exercise in the history of science of which there are many examples one can give I will not say that the universe can't be infinite.
Speaker B: 星系的中心到底有什么?因为它看起来就像是一团光……
Original English
Speaker B: What's in the middle of the galaxy because it looks like a a light
Speaker A: 有一个黑洞。嗯,在这张照片里,星系中心的恒星密度比外围要高得多。
Original English
Speaker A: there's a black hole. Well, this in this picture, the density of stars is way higher in the middle of the galaxy than out here.
Speaker B: 为什么呢?
Original English
Speaker B: Why?
Speaker A: 我们正在弄清楚这个问题。我们认为,在星系形成的假想场景中,大部分质量都集中在中心附近,越往外越稀薄。因此,初始质量最多的地方,恒星也就最多。所以,这些星系中心拥有最多的恒星并不奇怪,因为它们拥有最多的质量。而在最中心的正中央,是一个超大质量黑洞,我们已经测量出它就在那里。事实上,这项测量还获得过诺贝尔奖。
Original English
Speaker A: We're figuring that out. We think in the formation scenario of the galaxy that most of the mass is near the center and it gets thinner as it comes out. And so, we're going to have the most stars where the most mass is that you start with. So, it's not it's not a surprise that the middles of these things have the most stars because they have the most mass. And in the exact middle in the center is a super massive black hole which we've measured to be there. In fact, a Nobel Prize was given for that measurement.
Speaker B: 您能给个12岁小孩能听懂的解释,说明一下黑洞到底是什么吗?
Original English
Speaker B: Can you explain what a black hole is like on 12?
Speaker A: 哦,好的。你知道,首先你得敬畏黑洞。给它们……千万不要对黑洞不敬,因为你会输的。[笑声] 那么,我们在地球上,嗯,有句老话叫“抛上去的东西必定会掉下来”。你听说过吧。我在九岁的时候就知道那是错的了。不,大概是十岁的时候,因为我当时刚好十岁。我们登上了月球,然后我们把一部分,你知道的,火箭的部件留在了月球上。
Original English
Speaker A: Oh yeah. You know it first you got to respect black holes. Give them don't ever diss a black hole cuz you will lose. [laughter] So we're here on Earth and uh the old adage what goes up must come down. You've heard that. I would learn by the time I was nine that that's just false. No, by the time I was 10 because I was 10 years old cuz that's how old I am. We walked on the moon and then we left part, you know, rocket parts on the moon.
Speaker B: 那些东西永远不会再回地球了。
Original English
Speaker B: Those are never coming back to Earth.
Speaker A: 所以,有些东西上去了就再也没回来。
Original English
Speaker A: So, there are things that went up that never came back.
Speaker B: 好吧。确实。
Original English
Speaker B: Okay. All right.
Speaker A: 那么,那句老话是怎么来的呢?是这样的,如果你把一样东西抛出去,它实际上会减速,停住,然后加速再次掉下来。它被地球的引力捕获了。但事实证明,只要我用足够快的速度扔出这个东西,它就不会再回来了。我们一步步来推演。如果我用更大的能量把它扔得稍微快一点,它在掉下来之前会飞得更高,对吧?如果更快呢?甚至更快,它就会飞得越来越高,越来越高。你可以利用物理学和引力方程计算出来,有一个特定的速度,能让这个东西飞得如此之高,以至于它会到达无限远。如果它到达了无限远,它就不会再回来了。这被称为地球的逃逸速度。这个速度有多快?非常快。非常快。嗯,每秒 7 英里。如果我以每秒 7 英里的速度扔出这个东西,它会到达宇宙的边缘,永远不会回到地球。假设地球的引力比现在更大。那逃逸速度是不是就会大于每秒 7 英里?这说得通吧?
Original English
Speaker A: Well, what started the adage though? Well, if you take something and toss it, it actually slows down, comes to a stop, and then speeds up and comes down again. It's captured by Earth's gravity. Turns out there is a speed with which I can throw this so that it never comes back. Let's get there. If I throw this a little faster with more energy, it goes higher before it comes back, right? How about even faster? even faster gets higher and higher and higher and higher and higher. You can calculate using physics and gravity equations there's a speed with which this will go so high up it'll reach infinity. If it reaches infinity it's not coming back. That's called the escape velocity for Earth. How fast is that? It's really fast. Really fast. Uh 7 miles per second. If I throw this at 7 miles, it'll reach the edge of the universe and never come back to Earth. Suppose Earth had more gravity than it currently does. Does it make sense that that escape velocity would be greater than 7 m/s?
Speaker B: 嗯。
Original English
Speaker B: Mhm.
Speaker A: 如果地球的引力更强,逃逸速度可能是每秒 10 英里,或者每秒 100 英里。继续这个推演,你会达到一个点,此时你扔出物体的逃逸速度等于光速。在达到那个速度的瞬间,连光都无法逃脱了。因为它移动得不够快。如果光都出不来,那就是黑的。如果你掉进去了,你永远也出不来,因为你永远也达不到光速。这就是对“洞”的最高级定义了。因此得名,黑洞。顺便说一句,爱因斯坦本可以预测到它们的,但对他来说,在方程中走到那一步太古怪了。我们后来在 20 世纪 60 年代从数学上了解了黑洞,并在 20 世纪 70 年代首次发现了一个黑洞,那是一个著名的 X 射线能量源,叫做天鹅座 X-1(Cygnus X-1)。然后到了现在,它们已经很常见了,我们甚至在星系中心发现了质量有太阳数百万倍那么大的超级黑洞。这些如同怪兽般的黑洞正在吞噬任何靠近的东西。
Original English
Speaker A: If Earth's gravity were stronger, it might be 10 miles per second, 100 miles/s. Keep up this exercise, you'll reach a point where your object has an escape velocity that equals the speed of light. The moment it achieves that, light cannot escape. It's not moving fast enough. And if light can't get out, it's black. If you fall in, you are never coming out because you can't ever reach the speed of light. There's no greater definition of a hole than that. Hence, black hole. By the way, Einstein could have predicted them, but he was it was too weird for him to go there with with his equations. We would learn about black holes mathematically in the 1960s, make our first discovery of one in the 1970s, a famous uh source of X-ray energy called Signis X1. And and then now there's they're common and we've even discovered them in the centers of galaxies that have super like a million times the mass of the sun. Monstrous black holes dining on anything that comes close.
Speaker B: 只有靠近的东西。
Original English
Speaker B: Just things that come close.
Speaker A: 对。它不会伸出手来抓。所以,如果太阳现在变成一个黑洞,它不会伸手把我们抓过去吸进去。
Original English
Speaker A: Yeah. It's not going to reach out. So, if the sun were to become a black hole now, it won't reach out and grab us and suck us in.
Speaker B: 它变成黑洞后的引力和它作为恒星时的引力是一样的。
Original English
Speaker B: It'll have the same gravity as a black hole as it does as a as a star.
Speaker A: 但关键在于如果你靠得很近。
Original English
Speaker A: But it's if you go close.
Speaker B: 是的。如果你现在可以靠它非常近,然后你就出不来了。
Original English
Speaker B: Yeah. If you get Now, you can get really close to it and then you're not coming out.
Speaker B: 有一个特定的距离界限吗?等等。
Original English
Speaker B: Is there a certain distance? Wait.
Speaker A: 事实证明是有的,每个黑洞周围都有一个距离界限。我我想那个叫做能层(ergosphere)。它有一个专属名字,在那个范围内没有任何稳定的轨道。如果你比那个距离更近,无论如何你都会掉进去。而在那个距离之外,你可以保持一个稳定的轨道,在远处观察黑洞。
Original English
Speaker A: It turns out there is there's a distance around every black hole. I I think it's called the ergosphere. It's got a it's got a a name where there are no stable orbits around it. If you get closer than that, you you will fall in no matter what. Whereas beyond it, you can maintain a stable orbit and look at black holes from a distance.
Speaker B: 那如果你被吸进去了,你会去哪里?
Original English
Speaker B: And where'd you go if you get sucked in?
Speaker A: 嗯,你会被压碎,或者你……
Original English
Speaker A: Well, you crushed or you
Speaker B: 嗯,这取决于黑洞有多大。
Original English
Speaker B: Well, depends how big the black hole is.
Speaker A: 小黑洞就是……那就完蛋了(That's all she wrote)。好吧。
Original English
Speaker A: Small black holes just That's all she wrote. Okay.
Speaker B: 那大的这个呢。
Original English
Speaker B: This one.
Speaker A: 哦,那个的话你就会掉进去。然后我会去哪儿?我只是坍缩了吗。其实,有些书上写了。我书架上就有一本,我还读过。嗯,那是一本研究生教材,描述了黑洞另一面的时空数学原理。它表明,在你面前会展开一个全新的时空。
Original English
Speaker A: Oh, that one you just you'll fall in. And then where do I go? I'm just collapsed. Well, there are books. I have one on my shelf and I've even read it. Uh it's a graduate textbook that describes the mathematics of space and time on the other side of a black hole. And it shows that a whole new spacetime opens up in front of you.
Speaker B: 什么?
Original English
Speaker B: What?
Speaker A: 在黑洞内部,整个宇宙。数学表明,给定广义相对论——正是它首先给了我们黑洞的概念——如果你遵循这些数学公式,你会得出一个在黑洞内部展开的全新时空。而且当你掉进去的时候,你的时间会改变。相对于外部宇宙,你的时间流逝得更慢。这叫做时间膨胀。所以当你向宇宙外看去时,你会看到宇宙运转得越来越快,越来越快,越来越快。当你坠入黑洞时,你将看到整个宇宙未来的历史在你眼前展开。
Original English
Speaker A: Inside the black hole, the whole universe. The math shows that given the general theory of relativity which gives us black holes in the first place. If you follow the math, you get a whole new spacetime that opens up inside the black hole. And as you fall in, your time changes. So time ticks more slowly for you relative to the universe. It's called time dilation. And so as you look out in the universe, the universe will unfold faster and faster and faster. And you will see the entire future history of the universe unfold as you descend into the black hole.
Speaker B: 当你说坠入时,因为我原以为,你知道,如果你靠近黑洞,你会被压碎成一小团物质。
Original English
Speaker B: When you say descend, because I I thought of it as like, you know, if you go close to black hole, you're going to be crushed into a small mass.
Speaker A: 嗯,我还没说到那部分呢。我描述的是当你穿过所谓的事件视界时,空间和时间会发生什么。那是你一旦进入就无法逃脱的区域。那是我们赋予黑洞的功能性大小。它的事件视界有多大?你一旦穿过那个体积的边界。在那个区域里,逃逸速度大于光速,你就出不来了。所以,它把时空的结构向后折叠了起来。因此,你找不到任何可以逃出黑洞的路径。你将永远留在那里。对于小黑洞来说,有一个有趣的事实。嗯,你可能没想过这个问题,但这是真的。当你站立时,你的脚离地心比你的头更近。
Original English
Speaker A: Well, I didn't get to that part yet. I'm describing what happens to space and time as you descend through what's called the event horizon. That's the region out of which you don't escape. That's the functional size we give to black holes. How big is its event horizon? you cross over within that volume. That's where the escape velocity is greater than the speed of light and you're not coming out. So, it has taken the fabric of space and time and folded it back on itself. So, there's no pathway you can take to get out of a black hole. You're in there forever. And for the small black holes, here's an interesting fact. Uh you don't think about this, but it's true. When you stand, your feet are closer to Earth's center than your head is.
Speaker B: 好的。
Original English
Speaker B: Okay.
Speaker A: 嗯哼。你可以计算一下地球引力在你脚上的作用力,以及地球引力在你头上的作用力。你会得到两个不同的数字。它们非常接近。所以,我们平时根本不会考虑这个问题。这对我们来说无关紧要。但当你坠入一个黑洞时,你脚部和头部之间的引力差会变得越来越大,越来越大。这被称为潮汐力,它们最终会把你从头到脚拉长,起初可能感觉还挺舒服的,对吧?你只是感觉被拉伸了一下,然后你就会意识到,天哪,这股力量是无情的,而且越来越强。最终你会被折断成两半,很可能会在脊柱底部断开。如果你观察一下人体生理的结构完整性,然后你还在继续坠落,现在那些同样的潮汐力会分别作用在你的上半身和下半身上。它们会被拉长,然后又分别折断成两截。所以就从一块变成两块,变成四块,八块,十六块……
Original English
Speaker A: You can calculate what the force of Earth's gravity is at your feet and the force of Earth's gravity is at your head. And there you'll get two different numbers. They're very close to each other. So, we don't think about this. It doesn't matter to us. but as you descend a black hole the difference in gravity between your feet and your head gets greater and greater and greater. They're called tidal forces and they end up stretching you head to toe and initially it probably feels good, right? You just sort of stretch and then you realize, oh my gosh, this is unrelenting and it's getting stronger. Eventually you'll snap into two pieces likely separated at the base of your spine. If you sort of look at the structural integrity of human physiology and then you you're still falling and now those same tidal forces will operate on your torso and on your lower half. They'll stretch and they'll snap into two pieces. So go from one to two to four to 8 to 16
黑洞的中心与时空拉扯
Speaker A: ……你会在一直坠入黑洞中心的过程中被撕裂成碎片。最糟糕的部分是,嗯,也许同样糟糕的是,当你向着黑洞中心的奇点坠落时,你所占据的时空体积会越来越狭窄。所以,你不仅会被从头到脚拉伸,你还会像牙膏被挤出牙膏管一样被挤压穿过时空结构。祝你度过愉快的一天。[笑声]
Original English
Speaker A: ...and you'll bifurcate in pieces all the way down to the center of the black hole. The worst part is, well, maybe equally as worse is you are occupying a narrower and narrower volume of spacetime as you go down to the singularity that is the center of the black hole. So, not only you get stretched head to toe, you're getting extruded through the fabric of space like toothpaste through a tube. Have a nice day. [laughter]
Speaker B: 所以,是的,你绝对不想去测试那个。我们所有的方程都告诉我们这就是会发生在你身上的事情。
Original English
Speaker B: So, yeah, you don't want to test that. All of our equations tell us that's what'll happen to you.
Speaker A: 黑洞的核心到底是什么?你刚刚说你……
Original English
Speaker A: What's at the heart of the black hole? You said you...
Speaker B: ……我们不知道。所以,这就有一个问题。首先,广义相对论向我们揭示了黑洞的存在。如果你遵循这些方程,黑洞的中心是密度无限大且体积无限小的。那怎么可能发生呢?我们不知道。也许有什么机制阻止了那种情况的发生,但这正是爱因斯坦广义相对论的极限所在。
Original English
Speaker B: ...we don't know. So, here's a problem. General relativity that gives us the black hole in the first place. If you follow the equations, the center of the black hole is infinitely dense and infinitely small. How does that even happen? We don't know. Maybe something prevents that, but that is the limit of Einstein's general theory of relativity.
赞助商插播
Speaker A: 大家过去几年里经常听我谈论的一点是,无论是商业、内容创作,还是生活中的任何事情,一致性是真正能产生复利的东西。在销售领域也是如此。当你的团队规模很小时,一致性会自然而然地产生。团队了解每一笔交易,所以没有什么会被遗漏。但正如我所经历的那样,随着你的成长,这种一致性开始瓦解,交易开始流失。该跟进的没有跟进。本来不该冷却的线索变冷了。当这种情况发生时,很多领导者看着它,认为他们遇到了人的问题。而实际上,这是一个系统问题。我观察到,那些在商业上规模化扩张做得很好的企业,都有一个他们的团队每天都在使用的系统。而对于我的团队来说,这个系统就是我们的赞助商,Pipedrive。
Original English
Speaker A: One of the things you've heard me talk about quite a lot over the last couple of years, and this is something that's true in business and content, but also with everything in life, is that consistency is the thing that really, really compounds. The same is true in sales. When your team is small, consistency happens naturally. The team knows of every deal, so nothing gets missed. But as I've experienced, when you grow, this starts to break down and deals start to slip. Follow-ups don't happen. Leads go cold. That shouldn't have. And when this happens, a lot of leaders look at it and think they have a people problem. When actually it's a systems problem. The businesses that I've watched scale well commercially all have a system their team uses every single day. And for my team, that system has been our sponsor, Pipedrive.
Speaker A: 它是为成长型销售团队设计的一款易于使用、智能化的 CRM 工具,它能让你在每一个阶段清晰地看到销售渠道中的每一笔交易。它还会实时向你展示,为了推动那笔交易向前发展,你需要采取什么行动。这是在我们的商业团队只有 5 个人,或者发展到 50 人时,让我们的商业运作保持一致性的法宝。已经有超过 10 万家公司在上面运行他们的销售业务了。所以,如果你也想加入他们,请在 pipedrive.com/ceo 注册,在那里你可以获得独家的 30 天免费试用,而不是通常的 14 天,而且完全不需要信用卡。前往 pipedrive.com/ceo。
Original English
Speaker A: It's an easy to use, intelligent CRM tool for growing sales teams that gives you visibility of every deal in your sales pipeline at every single stage. And it shows you what needs to happen for that deal to move forward, all in real time. It's what keeps our commercial operation consistent when we were a team of five or when our commercial team was a team of 50. Over 100,000 companies are already running their sales on it. So, if you'd like to join them, sign up at pipedrive.com/ceo where you'll get an exclusive 30-day free trial instead of the usual 14 days, and there's no credit card needed at all. Head to pipedrive.com/ceeo.
Speaker A: 我不会说越南语,但这个节目可以,这多亏了我们赞助商 HeyGen 的 AI 视频技术。每周我都会收到世界各地收听《The Diary of A CEO》的听众发来的信息,你们表达了这个节目对你们和你们的生活产生了多大的影响。如果真是这样,那么这些对话不应该只让懂英语的人听到。HeyGen 可以截取我的一段录像,并将其转换成任何语言进行播放,同时保持我的声音、节奏和表情原封不动。而且你不需要像这里这样的工作室就能让它为你工作。只需录制 15 秒自己的视频,你就能获得一个 AI 虚拟人像,它可以生成超过 175 种语言的演播室级高质量视频。我们现在已经支持 20 种语言了。而且我们不是唯一使用它的人。HeyGen 已经被 3000 万人使用,其中包括 85% 的财富 100 强企业。无论你是想在社交媒体上积累受众、推出在线课程,还是在团队中推广培训,现在就去了解一下 HeyGen 吧。在 heygen.com/dac 上,你的前三个视频是完全免费的。拼写是 h-e-y-g-e-n.com/dac。我们那里见。
Original English
Speaker A: I don't speak Vietnamese, but this show can because of AI video technology from our sponsor, Hey Gen. I get messages every single week from those of you listening to the dire all around the world, and you express how much impact it's had on you and your life. And if that's true, then those conversations should only reach people in English. Ken can take one recording of me and deliver it in any language while keeping my voice, timing, and expressions intact. But you don't need a studio like this to make it work for you. Record 15 seconds of yourself and get an AI avatar that delivers studio quality video in over 175 languages. We're up to 20 languages now. And we're not the only ones using it. Hey Jen is already used by 30 million people, including 85% of the Fortune 100. Whether you're building an audience on social media, launching an online course, or rolling out training across your team, check out Heyjen now. Your first three videos are totally free at heygen.com/dac. That's h e y gn.com/doac. See you there.
宇宙中的智慧生命与智能的定义
Speaker A: 那么,我们银河系中的外星人。在我们的银河系中存在智慧生命,这可能吗?
Original English
Speaker A: So, aliens um in our galaxy. Is that possible that there's intelligent life in our galaxy?
Speaker B: 我不认为……我没有理由去怀疑它。
Original English
Speaker B: I don't see I have no reason to doubt it.
Speaker A: 真的吗?你认为从概率上来讲?你认为……你认为存在的可能性比不存在更大?
Original English
Speaker A: Really? You think it's on a balance of probability? You think it's it's more probable than not?
Speaker B: 噢,是的。只要考虑到规模,就像我说过的,考虑到年龄、规模、各种成分,以及生命萌发的惊人速度。顺便说一下,当你说“智慧”的时候,嗯,地球上就有智慧生命,比如你知道我们在大脑体积上排在什么位置吗……
Original English
Speaker B: Oh, yeah. Just given the size, like I said, given the age, the size, the ingredients, the uh how quickly life got underway. By the way, when you say intelligent, um, there's intelligent life on Earth, like do you know where we are in brain size...
Speaker A: 相对于其他动物而言?是的。
Original English
Speaker A: ...relative to other animals? Yeah.
Speaker B: 呃,我们不是顶级的。
Original English
Speaker B: Uh, we're not the top.
Speaker A: 是的,我们肯定不是顶级的。
Original English
Speaker A: Yeah, we're definitely not the top.
Speaker B: 我完全不知道。
Original English
Speaker B: I have no idea.
Speaker A: 是的,我们大概排第四。
Original English
Speaker A: Yeah, we're like fourth.
Speaker B: 好吧。
Original English
Speaker B: Okay.
Speaker A: 有鲸鱼。
Original English
Speaker A: There's the whale.
Speaker B: 嗯。
Original English
Speaker B: Mhm.
Speaker A: 然后是海豚。
Original English
Speaker A: And then the dolphin...
Speaker B: 接着是鼠海豚,然后是大象。
Original English
Speaker B: ...and then the or the porpus and then the the elephant...
Speaker A: 然后是我们。所以,如果外星人来到地球,并且他们知道大脑很重要,那么在他们想要交谈的对象名单上,我们大概只能排第四。让你花点时间仔细想想这件事。其次,我们在学校里学到的是,“噢,但是如果你计算你的大脑体积与体重的比例,我们就排在最前面了。”
Original English
Speaker A: ...and then us. So, if aliens came to Earth and they knew that brains are important, we'd be like fourth on their list for who they want to talk to. Just chew on that for a moment. Second, what we were told in school was, "Oh, but if you take the ratio of the size of your brain to your body weight, we're at the top."
Speaker A: 嗯,那是我们的自尊心在作祟。我们没有最大的大脑,但我们想相信我们是聪明的。所以我们……有没有什么数学魔法可以对大脑体积进行运算,把我们重新推回那个名单的榜首?有。计算大脑体积与体重的比例……你大脑的质量与你身体质量的比例。那样我们就排在首位了。然而,他们没有说的是,不,在那份名单上我们也不是第一。
Original English
Speaker A: Well, that's our ego speaking there. We didn't have the biggest brain, but we want to believe that we're smart. And so we is there some math magic we can perform on brain size to put us back at the top of that list? Yes. Ratio the size of your brain to the to the the mass of your brain to the mass of your body. Then we're at the top. However, what they didn't say is that no, we're not at the top of that list.
Speaker A: 我们只在哺乳动物的那份名单上位居榜首。有些中等体型的鸟类,比如喜鹊和鹦鹉,它们大脑体积与体重的比例就大于人类。所以,看看我们为了让自己从所有这些其他动物中区分出来,投入了多少精力吧。这简直就是一次彻头彻尾的自我膨胀。
Original English
Speaker A: We're only at the top of that list among mammals. They're midsized birds like the magpie and the parrots where the ratio of their brain size to their body weight is greater than that of humans. So look at the efforts we put in to just distinguish ourselves from all these other animals. And it's quite the exercise in ego stoking.
Speaker A: 你想认为自己在生命之树中是特别的;有些鸟会飞,但我们不会飞;蝾螈能够使它们的肢体再生,而我们做不到。而我们是多么渴望能够做到那一点,尤其是对于退伍军人来说,对吧?
Original English
Speaker A: You you want to think you're special in the tree of life that there are birds that fly and we can't fly. Nes can regenerate their limbs and we can't do that. And so badly do we want to especially with with military veterans, right?
Speaker B: 嗯。
Original English
Speaker B: Mhm.
Speaker A: 呃,那些失去肢体的人等等。你希望能让肢体再生。我们做不到,但蝾螈能做到。甲壳类动物也能做到。可我们就是做不到。那么,外星人会认为鲸鱼是聪明的吗?可能会。但我们在这个问题上又增加了新的额外要素。你有科技吗?
Original English
Speaker A: Uh with missing limbs and things. You want to regenerate that. We can't do nes can do that. Crustaceans can do that. We can't do that. So, might an alien consider whales to be intelligent? Probably. But we add new extra elements to this. Do you have technology?
Speaker A: 鲸鱼并没有建造望远镜,但我们建造了。鲸鱼没有,你知道的,没有艺术,但我们有。对吧?所以,我们是一个特别的存在。我们拥有我们称之为“文明”的东西。所以如果你想问,是否存在拥有文明的智慧外星人……那又是那个问题的另一个层面。宇宙中是否存在智慧生命?然后你可以问,是否存在拥有文明、拥有科技的智慧生命?
Original English
Speaker A: The whale is not building telescopes, but we are. The whale doesn't, you know, have art, but we do. All right? So, we are a thing. We have what we call civilization. So if you want to ask are there intelligent aliens that have civilization that's yet another layer of that question is there intelligent life in the universe then you can ask is there intelligent life that has civilization that has technology
Speaker A: 因为罗马帝国,他们对电、计算机或人工智能之类的东西一无所知,如果外星人向他们发送无线电信号,他们也无法回复无线电信号。所以,对智慧的操作性定义可能包括跨越太空进行交流的能力,或者你建造一艘能够航行的宇宙飞船的能力。罗马人并没有建造宇宙飞船。那么,如果银河系的某个其他地方存在这样的外星物种,他们会被算作是有智慧的吗?
Original English
Speaker A: because the Roman Empire they didn't know anything about electricity or computers or AI or anything and if aliens were sending them radio signals they're not sending radio signals back so the Operational definition of intelligence might include your ability to communicate across space or your ability to build a spaceship to move. The Romans were not building spaceships. So would they count as intelligence if that was an alien species somewhere else in the galaxy?
Speaker B: 但是,在这个宇宙中存在智慧生命,只是他们还没有具备访问地球的能力,这是说得通的吗?
Original English
Speaker B: But is it plausible that there is intelligent life in this universe that hasn't got the capability of visiting Earth?
Speaker A: 是的,当然。为什么不呢?当然。那可能才是常态。
Original English
Speaker A: Yeah, sure. Why not? Sure. That's probably the standard.
Speaker B: 我们已经走得最远能到多远?
Original English
Speaker B: How far can we have we gone?
Speaker A: 这是一个很棒的问题。有史以来发射的最快的宇宙飞船是飞往冥王星的“新视野号”任务。而且在太空探索中,有一条不成文的规定。无论你如何设计航天器,都要确保它能在你变老并死去之前到达你的目的地。嗯哼。
Original English
Speaker A: That's a great question. The fastest spaceship ever launched was the New Horizon's mission to Pluto. And one thing in space exploration, there's an unwritten rule. However you design the spacecraft, make sure it gets to your destination before you get old and die. Mhm.
Speaker B: [清嗓子] 好的。
Original English
Speaker B: [clears throat] Okay.
Speaker A: 所以,这艘飞往冥王星的航天器搭载在了能够使用的最强大的火箭上,并且他们尽可能地减轻了有效载荷,这样它就可以加速,并且很快就能到达冥王星。如果你不这样做,而是把它指向离我们最近的恒星,半人马座阿尔法星系统,而不是以去往冥王星的那些速度,而是直接飞向最近的恒星,你将需要 50,000 年才能到达那里。
Original English
Speaker A: So, this spacecraft that went to Pluto was on the most powerful rockets available and they made the payload as light as possible so it could accelerate and so it got to Pluto quickly. If you instead took that and directed it to the nearest star, the Alpha Century system instead of going to Pluto at those speeds direct the nearest star take you 50,000 years to get there.
Speaker B: 50,000 年。最近的恒星……
Original English
Speaker B: 50,000 years. The nearest star...
Speaker A: 距离地球的。
Original English
Speaker A: ...to Earth.
Speaker B: 是的。到太阳。
Original English
Speaker B: Yes. To the sun.
Speaker A: 你刚刚说有多少颗恒星来着?
Original English
Speaker A: And how many stars did you say there was again?
Speaker B: 嗯,1000 亿颗。成百上千亿颗。
Original English
Speaker B: Well, 100 billion. Hundreds of billions.
Speaker A: 并且到达最近的那一颗需要……需要耗费 50,000 年。
Original English
Speaker A: And the nearest one took would take 50,000 years.
Speaker B: 50,000 年才能到达。
Original English
Speaker B: 50,000 years to reach.
Speaker A: 天哪。
Original English
Speaker A: Gosh.
Speaker B: 因为太空是非常空旷的。对吧。所以也许外面真的有智慧外星人,但是太空旅行实在太困难了。因此,他们还没有来拜访过我们。这是其中的一个假说,因为如果外星人无处不在,那他们都在哪里呢?我认为他们曾来到过地球,并且他们看到了围绕着地球运行的我们制造的各种太空垃圾。有许许多多的太空碎片,然后他们说:“我不来了。[笑声] 我可不想拿我的生命去冒险。” 他们只是和我们擦肩而过,去寻找另一颗星球了。
Original English
Speaker B: Because space is empty. Right. So maybe there are intelligent aliens out there, but space travels too hard. So they haven't come to visit us. This is one of the uh hypotheses because if aliens are everywhere, well then where are they? I think they came to Earth and they saw all of our debris orbiting the Earth. There's a lot of space debris and they said, "I'm not coming. [laughter] I'm not going to risk my life." They just passed us by looking for another planet.
Speaker A: 我一直对这种太空碎片的说法感到好奇……
Original English
Speaker A: I've wondered about this space debris thing...
轨道拥挤与太空法
Interviewer: ...因为看起来每个国家,
Original English
Interviewer: ...because it seems that every nation,
Astronomer: 情况比你想象的还要糟。
Original English
Astronomer: it's worse than you think.
Interviewer: 但我原本想说的是,现在每个国家似乎都在竞相将成千上万块金属——也就是卫星——送入我们的轨道。这是一个问题吗?好吧,那里并没有什么法律,对吧?
Original English
Interviewer: But what I was going to say is every nation now seems to be racing to throw tens of thousands of pieces of metal satellites into our orbit. Is it a problem? Well, there's no laws, is there?
Astronomer: 不,你得问这是对谁而言的问题?这是一个问题吗?是的。那是对谁而言的问题?对于那些想在海洋中央、北极或者沙漠深处使用高速互联网的人来说,这并不是问题。因为这些卫星,比如 SpaceX 的星链卫星,正在世界上的这些偏远地区提供这种服务。所以对他们来说,这不是问题。这是福音。如果你只是想以我们天文学家自古以来的方式来观测夜空,那这就成了一个问题,因为当我试图获取夜空的图像时,却看到卫星在视野中来回穿梭。这相当于我的数据里出现了视觉噪声。而且如果我试图追踪一颗可能正朝我们飞来的小行星,而我的图像中却有成千上万道其他的明亮光轨,我就有可能错过那颗小行星。另外,如果我关注某个感兴趣的天体,而恰好有一颗卫星从它正前方经过,这就会污染我所寻求的数据。我不知道这种情况是否可逆,但这告诉我,未来的望远镜将不得不转变为太空望远镜,(我们已经做出了那种转变),或者建在月球上的月基望远镜。他们在2025年已经向轨道发射了大约5000颗卫星或物体。我们今年的发射数量有望甚至超过这个数字。
Original English
Astronomer: No, you have to ask who is it a problem for? Is it a problem? Yes. Who is it a problem for? Not the people who want high-speed internet in the middle of the ocean or in the Arctic or in the middle of the desert. Because these satellites, the SpaceX Starlink satellites are providing that in these remote places of the world. So, it's not a problem for them. It's a blessing. It's a problem if you're just trying to observe the night sky the way we've done as astronomers since time in memorial and I'm trying to get images of the night sky and I see satellites crossing back and forth. This amounts to visual noise in my data and if I'm trying to track an asteroid that might be headed our way and have thousands of other streaks of light in my image, there's a chance I might miss the asteroid. Also, if there's some object of interest and a satellite passes right in front of it, that will contaminate the data that I seek. I don't know if this is reversible, but what it tells me is that the future of telescopes are going to have to be spaceborne telescopes, which we've already made that transition, or the moon telescopes on the moon. They've launched roughly 5,000 satellites, objects into orbit in 2025. We're on track to launch even more than that this year.
Interviewer: 没错。我们现在可能就已经发射了那么多。我们在2026年年中录制这个节目,现在的数量已经非常高了。所以,我看到的最新数据是 SpaceX 有一万颗卫星。到2040年,轨道上将会有十万颗活跃卫星。
Original English
Interviewer: That's correct. We probably already launched that by now. We're being recorded midyear 2026. we're already high up there. So [clears throat] So the last number I saw SpaceX had 10,000 satellites. There'll be 100,000 active satellites in orbit by 2040.
Astronomer: 可能还要多。这就是太空的实用性,不仅用于侦察、监视——这基本上是军事安全,还可以用于商业。没有 GPS 就不会有 Uber。所以,重要的不是卫星本身的价值。重要的是它们所促成的各种经济形态的价值。这就是为什么我们现在有了太空军。太空军的概念已经酝酿了几十年。特朗普决定,“让我们把这件事正式化吧。”于是他这么做了。所以现在我们有了太空军。人们会问,那是不是意味着会发生像《星球大战》那样的事情?其实太空军早就存在了。只是他们以前不这么叫。它曾被称为空军太空司令部。它是空军内部的一个部门。所以你把它独立出来。现在它的任务在目标设定和需要完成的事情上变得更加纯粹了。
Original English
Astronomer: Probably more. This is the utility of space, not only for reconnaissance, for surveillance, basically military security, but also commerce. There is no Uber without GPS. So, it's not the value of the satellites themselves that matters here. It's the value of the economy, the economies that they enable. And that's why we have a space force now. A space force which had been percolating for decades. Trump won decided let's make this official. And so he did. So now we have a space force. And people say does that mean there's going to be like Star Wars and everything? There already was a space force. They didn't call it that. It was called the Air Force Space Command. It was a sector within the Air Force. And so you pull that out. Now the mission is a little more pure about what its goals are and what it needs to accomplish.
Interviewer: 你听说过凯斯勒现象吗?
Original English
Interviewer: Have you heard about Kesler syndrome?
Astronomer: 噢,当然听说过。
Original English
Astronomer: Oh yeah, of course.
Interviewer: 你能解释一下什么是凯斯勒现象吗?
Original English
Interviewer: Could you explain Kesler syndrome?
Astronomer: 没问题。1978年,我记不清他是一位物理学家还是一位名叫凯斯勒的数学家,他看到了卫星发射数量的不断增加,于是他做了一个计算,并说:“嗯,绕地球运行的卫星一定有一个临界值,如果其中一颗通过任何方式被摧毁了——也许是两颗卫星相撞,或者是一颗被导弹蓄意击落,这种导弹击落卫星的事已经发生过三四次了。中国做过,印度做过,俄罗斯做过,而我们做过四次。我们甚至对自己的卫星也这么干过,这意味着什么?想想看。如果你能对自己的卫星这么做,你就能对任何其他人的卫星这么做。这展示了你的主权,也是在向你眼中的潜在攻击者展示你的力量。”无论如何,如果你摧毁了一颗卫星,假设它碎裂成了十块,每一块都在以轨道速度飞行。轨道速度是每小时17000英里。这比步枪子弹的速度快得多。所以,哪怕是小小的卫星碎片,其破坏力也远比射向另一颗卫星的高威力步枪子弹要大得多。好了,这些碎片散开。如果其中任何一块击中了另一颗卫星,把它撞成十块,你就会从一颗变成十颗,再变成一百颗,最后变成一千颗。仅仅经过几个轨道周期的循环,100%的卫星都有可能被摧毁。前提是你拥有足够数量的卫星来达到引发这种连锁反应的临界值。换句话说,如果太空,特别是近地轨道空间,大部分是空旷的,你摧毁了一颗卫星,那些碎片是不会击中其他卫星的。它们只会无害地继续绕轨飞行,或者无害地坠入地球。但是,如果碎片的路线上有另一颗卫星,那么这种破坏就会摧毁其他卫星。所以,他警告我们要警惕这些临界值。我不认为我们现在已经到了那个地步,但我们需要对它保持关注。电影《地心引力》(Gravity)就完全展现了那样一种场景。
Original English
Astronomer: Oh yeah. Uh so 1978 uh I don't remember he's a physicist or a mathematician named Kesler who saw the increase in satellite launches that had been going on and he did a calculation and he said hm there must be some threshold of satellites orbiting the earth where if one of them gets destroyed by any means maybe two collide with each other or one intentionally taken out by a missile which has been happened three times now. Three or four times. Uh China's done it, India's done it, Russia's done it, and we've done it four times. We've done it to our own satellites, which means what? Think about it. If you can do it to your own satellite, you can do it to anybody else's satellite. It's a demonstration of your sovereignty in a way of your powers over what you might perceive as an aggressor. Anyhow, if you destroy a satellite, let's say it breaks into 10 pieces each going orbital speed. Orbital speed is 17,000 miles an hour. That's way faster than a rifle bullet. So little pieces of satellite can be far more devastating than a high-powered rifle bullet shot into another satellite. All right, so these pieces scatter. If any one of them hits another satellite, breaking it into 10 pieces, you go from one to 10 to 100 to a thousand. Within just a few orbits, 100% of the satellites can be taken out. if you have enough satellites for that thresholding to take place. So in other words, if space is most if low earth orbit space is mostly empty and you destroy a satellite, the particles are not going to take out another satellite. They they'll orbit harmlessly or fall to earth harmlessly. But if you have another satellite in that path, then that destruction is going to take out other satellites. So he warned us of these thresholds. I don't think we're there yet, but we need to keep it on our radar. And the movie Gravity, it portrays exactly that scenario.
Interviewer: 轨道上的物体以极快的速度运行,每小时17500英里。
Original English
Interviewer: Objects in orbit travel at blistering speeds, 17,500 m per hour.
Astronomer: 没错。而在那个速度下——
Original English
Astronomer: Correct. And at that speed,
Interviewer: 也就是每秒5英里。
Original English
Interviewer: that's 5 miles per second.
Astronomer: 在那个速度下,哪怕是一小片油漆,都携带着像子弹一样的破坏力——
Original English
Astronomer: At that speed, even a fleck of paint carries the destructive power of a bullet,
Interviewer: 像步枪子弹——
Original English
Interviewer: a rifle bullet
Astronomer: 或者像爆炸的榴弹。
Original English
Astronomer: or a exploding grenade.
Interviewer: 没错。确实。哪怕是一小片油漆。
Original English
Interviewer: Correct. Correct. A fleck of paint.
Astronomer: 是的,是的。
Original English
Astronomer: Yes. Yes.
Interviewer: 好的,这就说得通了。(清嗓子)所以,如果发生了一次碰撞,而且上面有大量的飞行物,那就像是弹片一样。对吗?
Original English
Interviewer: Okay, that makes sense. [clears throat] So if there's one collision and there's lots of them up there, it's like a shrapnel. Is that correct?
Astronomer: 是的。弹片是最好的比喻,因为它飞散开来,会破坏最初目标之外的其他东西。
Original English
Astronomer: Yeah. A shrapnel is the best analog to that because it comes out and it damages other things beyond the target that was intended.
Interviewer: 而且上面并没有什么法律,是吧?
Original English
Interviewer: And there's no laws up there, is there?
Astronomer: 呃,他们正在努力制定……要知道,目前的太空法就像是狂野的西部。别说轨道了,就拿月球来说,你去到月球。谁拥有月球?谁拥有火星上的一块土地?没人。
Original English
Astronomer: Well, they're trying to, you know, space law is a wild west at this point. Forget orbit. It's like you go to the moon. Who owns the moon? Who owns a plot of land on Mars? Nobody.
Interviewer: 谁?好吧,他们正试图弄清楚这一点。如果我去一颗小行星,想在那里开采矿物,谁拥有那些矿物?所以,他们正试图弄清楚谁拥有月球。
Original English
Interviewer: Who? Well, they're trying to figure that out. If I go to an asteroid and I want to mine it for its minerals, who owns those minerals? So, they're trying to figure out who owns the moon.
Astronomer: 其实,是谁拥有太空中的任何东西。太空中的任何东西。
Original English
Astronomer: Well, owns anything in space. Anything in space.
Interviewer: 难道不是谁先到就归谁吗?
Original English
Interviewer: Isn't it just who gets there fast?
Astronomer: 是的。(笑声)这就是我所说的狂野西部的意思。(哼笑)
Original English
Astronomer: Yes. [laughter] That's what I mean by the Wild West. [snorts]
重返月球的动机
Interviewer: 眼下看来,似乎存在着一场登月竞赛。很多公司都对此很感兴趣。我们有正在进行的阿尔忒弥斯(Artemis)计划。美国似乎也感兴趣。为什么人们现在对去月球如此感兴趣?他们的动机有价值吗?
Original English
Interviewer: At the moment, it seems like there's a race to go to the moon. A lot of companies are interested in that. We've got this Artemis program happening. The US seem interested. Why are people so interested in going to the moon? And is there merit in their motivations?
Astronomer: 这么说吧,我们本可以在1972年留在月球上,但我们没有。我们本可以在1980年再去,但我们没有。1990年,没有。2000年?没有。2010年?没有。那么,2010年代发生了什么呢?哦,我知道发生了什么。我们得知中国想要把宇航员送上月球。他们称之为“航天员(Taikonauts)”。于是我们就说:“嘿,如果我们重返月球,那不是很好吗?这是个有趣的想法。我们这么干吧。”这发生在特朗普的第一届政府期间。于是阿尔忒弥斯任务诞生了。阿尔忒弥斯,你还记得希腊神话中阿尔忒弥斯是谁吗?阿尔忒弥斯是阿波罗的双胞胎妹妹。这很好。他给一个计划起这个名字,挺好。阿波罗的孪生妹妹。所以我们说我们要重返月球。我对当时局势的解读是,中国在我们的屁股底下点了一把火。
Original English
Astronomer: Well, we could have stayed in the moon in 1972, but we didn't. Could have gone in 1980, but we didn't. 1990, we didn't. 2000? No. 2010? No. Well, what happened in the 2010s? Oh, I know what happened. We learned that China wants to put astronauts on the moon. Taikonauts they call them. We then say, "Hey, wouldn't it be good if we went back to the moon? That's an interesting idea. Let's do that." happened under the first Trump administration. So the Artemis mission gets birthed. Artemis, do you remember who Artemis was in Greek mythology? Artemis is the twin sister of Apollo. That's good. That he's going to name a program. That's good. Twin sister of Apollo. So we say we're going to go back to the moon. My read of that landscape is that China put a flame under our ass.
Interviewer: 嗯嗯。
Original English
Interviewer: Mhm.
Astronomer: 这和俄罗斯最初发射卫星时没有什么不同。斯普特尼克(Sputnik),在我们的屁股底下点了一把火。不到一年,我们就成立了 NASA。顺便说一句,也许正是需要这样的事情,才能让国会为了一个统一的项目而团结起来。(哼笑)你还记得国会举行关于不明飞行物(UFO)吹哨人的听证会时吗?我们看到共和党人和民主党人紧挨着坐在一起,询问关于外星人的问题。所有人的注意力都在外星人身上。我当时说:“哇,共和党和民主党竟然在华盛顿的某些程序上达成了一致。”我觉得这是一个非常美好的事实。
Original English
Astronomer: No different really from when Russia first launched the satellite. Sputnik, put a flame under our ass. Within a year, we created NASA. By the way, it may take just such a thing to bring Congress together for a unified uh project. [snorts] Do you remember when we had the testimonies in Congress of the whistleblowers? We had Republicans sitting right next to Democrats asking questions about aliens. And I So there's everyone paying attention to the aliens. I said, "Wow, Republicans and Democrats are agreed on some process in Washington." I thought that was a beautiful fact.
Interviewer: 那么现在我们去月球的动机究竟是什么呢?其中有经济上的好处吗?
Original English
Interviewer: So what what what are our motivations now to go to the moon? Is there an economic upside to it?
Astronomer: 不,这是地缘政治的考量。中国表示他们将在我们登月50年后去月球,于是我们突然间就决定我们要去月球了。让我们面对现实吧。虽然这计划是在特朗普任内提出的,但拜登上台后,我们依然保留了这个计划。拜登本可以说:“这是特朗普主义的东西。我不想做……”你知道,他本可以这么做,而且别人会说什么呢?但他没有这么做,因为 NASA 是一个在宏观地缘政治上做出响应的组织。
Original English
Astronomer: No, it's geopolitical. China says they're going to the moon 50 years after we go to the moon and we all of a sudden decide we want to go to the moon. Let's be real about that. And while that came out under Trump, Biden comes in, we keep the program. Biden could have said, "This is a Trumpist thing. I don't want to do, you know, he could have done that and what would have anyone said?" But he didn't because NASA has is a geopolitically responsive organization.
Interviewer: 那么,如果中国先到了呢?为什么这很重要?
Original English
Interviewer: So what if China get there first? Why does that matter?
Astronomer: 那是地缘政治的自尊心在作祟。
Original English
Astronomer: They're geopolitical egos.
Interviewer: 仅仅是自尊心。
Original English
Interviewer: Just ego.
Astronomer: 是的。我的意思是,你看了国会听证会吗,那位……的负责人
Original English
Astronomer: Yeah. I mean, did did you see the the hearings in Congress with the head
月球探索与资源开发
Speaker A: ……NASA 就会问,为什么中国要在月球的背面登陆?他们知道些什么那里有而我们不知道的事情?好吧,这就是我们拥有的竞争本能。不要自欺欺人地认为我们无论是过去还是现在去月球是为了科学。
Original English
Speaker A: of NASA when they're asking why did China land on the far side of the moon? What do they know that's there that we don't? Okay, this is the competitive urges that we have. And don't delude yourself into thinking we ever went to the moon for science then or now.
Speaker B: 那资源呢?月球上有资源吗?
Original English
Speaker B: What about resources? Is there resources on the moon?
Speaker A: 我们正在寻找它们。NASA 有一个专门的分支机构叫做“原位资源利用”(ISRU)。你去那里,我们认为南极有水,所以你去取水。也许如果你有一台 3D 打印机,你可以提取,你知道的,月球表面的硅酸盐,把它倒进去,然后制作工具之类的东西。那将会很有趣。嗯,太空探索中有很大一部分就是关注这个的,因为你不可能把所有的东西都随身携带。月球上是冷还是热?
Original English
Speaker A: We're looking for them. NASA has an entire branch of itself called insitu resource utilization is SRU. You go there. We think there's water at the South Pole. So you go get the water. Maybe if you get a 3D printer, you can take, you know, the silicates from the M from the moon's surface, dump it in on top and make tools, whatever. That would be interesting. Um there's a whole piece of space exploration that concerns itself with that because you can't take everything with you. Is it cold on the moon or hot?
Speaker B: 这取决于你是否面向太阳,因为当我们说它冷不冷时,你通常指的是你周围空气的温度。你就是这个意思。哦,调节一下恒温器。改变空气温度。但在没有空气的地方,你的温度来自于任何能量源,或者能量源的缺失。所以如果你面向太阳,
Original English
Speaker B: It depends on if you're facing the sun or not because we we say is it cold, you're generally referring to the temperature of the air around you. That's what you mean. Oh, fix the thermostat. Change the air temperature. Where there is no air, your temperature comes from any source of or absence of a source of energy. So if you face the sun,
Speaker A: 你这一面会被烧焦,而你在另一面的那一侧会被冻结。所以我们真正需要的是烤肉架 [笑声],或者是一件隔热性能极好的宇航服。
Original English
Speaker A: this side of you will burn up and the side of you on the other side will freeze. So what we really need are rotisseries [laughter] or a highly insulated space suit.
Speaker B: 你觉得在我有生之年,我们会……去月球只要三天时间,对吧?月球。
Original English
Speaker B: Do you think in my lifetime we'll it's three days away, isn't it? The moon.
Speaker A: 是的。但所以你可以更快地到达那里,但以最低能量去做这件事需要花费 3 天时间。
Original English
Speaker A: Yeah. But so you can get there quicker, but to the minimum energy to do so will take you 3 days.
Speaker B: 你不觉得那会是一个很棒的旅游目的地吗?
Original English
Speaker B: Don't you think that would be a great tourist destination?
Speaker A: 当然。完全同意。
Original English
Speaker A: Of course. Completely.
Speaker B: 三天时间。
Original English
Speaker B: Three days.
Speaker A: 我会攒上几年的度假资金去月球的。是的。
Original English
Speaker A: I I would save up multiple years of vacation money to go to the moon. Yes.
Speaker B: 完全同意。如果你能把那个的价格降下来,让月球成为我们的后花园。所以我之前想说明的是,当你说去月球有经济原因吗?最初是没有的,直到你建立了基地、酒店、餐厅和诸如此类的东西。如果你有餐厅,他们肯定会提供一些非常奇怪的食物,对吧?比如在月球重力环境下。
Original English
Speaker B: Completely. If you can bring the price of that down, make the moon our backyard. So So what I I wanted to be clear earlier when you say is there economic reason to go to the moon? Not initially until you set up bases and hotels and restaurants and this sort of thing. And if you have restaurants, there'd be really weird food that they would serve, right? Like in moon gravity.
广告时间:旅行压缩包
Speaker A: 我经常旅行。所以我给自己定了一条规矩,我旅行时只带一个登机箱。这样做的问题是,空间不太够。而这就是解决方案。它叫“额外 1% 旅行压缩包”(extra 1% travel pack)。我与 Exta 合作制作了这个产品。通常,我只能带几件我的黑衬衫。而且还得权衡我该带哪件黑衬衫?你觉得我能在这里面装多少件?所以,我们来试一下 1、2、3、4、5、6、7、8、9、10、11、12、13、14。再试一下 15。16、17、18、19、20、21、22、23、24。好了,所以这里有 24 件黑色 T 恤。神奇的地方来了。把它拉上拉链。确保它完全密封。然后你使用这个小装置。把它贴在上面。我现在可以带上超过 20 件黑衬衫,这足够我穿 3 个星期了。所以,如果你经常旅行,并且想买一个这样的东西以节省更多空间并能在外待更长时间,请访问 extra.com 并使用优惠码 DOAC,即可在购买我们的系列产品时享受 10% 的折扣。
Original English
Speaker A: I travel all the time. So I made a rule in my life that I'll only travel with a cabin bag. The problem with this is there's not much space. And here's the solution. It is called an extra 1% travel pack. And I teamed up with Exta to make this. Typically, I can only bring some of my black shirts. And it's a trade-off of which black shirt should I bring? How many of these do you think I can get in here? So, let's try 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14. Let's try 15. 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Okay, so that's 24 black t-shirts. Here's where the magic comes in. Zip it up. Make sure it's nice and sealed. And then you use this little contraption. Stick it on there. I can now take more than 20 black shirts with me, which will last me 3 weeks. So, if you travel frequently and you want to get one of these so you can save more space and be away for longer, go to extra.com and use code DOAC for 10% off our collection.
UFO 目击与未解现象
Speaker B: 关于 UFO 档案。我假设你已经看过所有公布的录像片段了。你已经……
Original English
Speaker B: the UFO files. I'm presuming you've seen all the footage that's been released. You've
Speaker A: 看了大部分。到了一定程度后就会出现重复。
Original English
Speaker A: most of it. There's there's a redundancy after a certain point.
Speaker B: 我的意思是,就是这种展示物体在太空中飞行的东西。
Original English
Speaker B: I mean, it's it's this kind of stuff where they're showing objects flying through space.
Speaker A: 通常,它是单色的,分辨率非常低,就像这个一样。没错。
Original English
Speaker A: Typically, it's monochromatic and very low resolution as this is. That's correct.
Speaker B: 其中有任何内容让你觉得有说服力吗?
Original English
Speaker B: Was any of it compelling to you?
Speaker A: 没有。那只是一些我们不知道是什么的东西。让我们退一步说。即使是最狂热的 UFO 爱好者也会同意,大多数我们所谓的 UFO 目击事件都有自然的解释。
Original English
Speaker A: No. It's something that we don't know what it is. It's Let's back up. Even UFO enthusiasts of the most severe kind would agree that most sightings of what we call UFOs have natural explanations
Speaker B: 就是你只是不知道你当时看的是什么,然后你后来弄清楚了。那是云层形成吗?是闪电吗?是黄昏的条件吗?当然。但随后还有一些没有人知道该如何解释的情况。我对这个没有意见。有一些还挺有趣的。我喜欢那个“嘀嗒”(Tic Tac)。Tic Tac 很有趣。
Original English
Speaker B: that you just didn't know what you were looking at and then you figure it out later. Is it cloud formation? Is it lightning? Is it twilight conditions? Sure. But then there's some that no one knows how to explain. I I don't have a problem with that. There's some that are sort of interesting. I like the tic tac. Tic tac is fun.
Speaker A: 噢,是的。那个 Tic Tac。
Original English
Speaker A: Oh, yeah. The tic tac.
Speaker B: 著名的 Tic Tac。
Original English
Speaker B: The famous tic tac.
Speaker A: 那个有什么有趣的地方?
Original English
Speaker A: What's interesting about that?
Speaker B: 嗯,因为我不知道那是什么。我是个科学家。我们被那些我们不知道或不理解的事物所吸引。被它们所吸引。这很酷。是的。那个,它在那儿飞。嗯哼。是的。你能在其中一个画面里看到它移动。而且你能在其中一个画面里看到它像某种万向节一样。所以,让我们看看。它马上就出来了。那个,当然,它结合了飞行员的陈述,他们有多么震惊和惊讶。就是它。那挺好玩的。它看起来像史蒂文·斯皮尔伯格在《第三类接触》里展示的外星飞船之一,但那不是吸引我的地方。让我感兴趣的是,有吹哨人说我们有真正的外星人。所以我就是,把真正的外星人给我。你觉得如果我们真的有,我们会告诉公众吗?
Original English
Speaker B: Well, cuz I don't know what it is. I'm a scientist. We are attracted to things with that we don't know or understand. Attracted to them. It's cool. Yeah. That's There it goes. Mhm. Yeah. And you can see it move in one of the frames. And you can see it a sort of gimbal in one of the frames. So, let's see. It's coming up in just a second. That's And of course, it's combined with the statements of the pilots, how shocked they are and how surprised. There it is. That's kind of fun. It looks like one of the alien spacecraft that Steven Spielberg showed in Close Encounters of the Third Kind, but that's not what intrigues me. What intrigues me is we have whistleblowers saying we have actual aliens. So, I'm Give Give me the actual alien. Do you think if we did we would tell the public?
Speaker A: 呃,我们有人作证说我们有外星人,说我们有外星人坠毁的零件,说我们逆向工程了外星技术,说我们有数不尽的描绘外星人的电影。呃,然后有人说,“哦,我们还没准备好看到一个真正的外星人。”当然,我们准备好了。几十年来,好莱坞一直在为这一天让我们做准备。我觉得那会很有魅力。最让我惊讶的是,如果外星人是类人生物(humanoid)。
Original English
Speaker A: Uh, we people have testified we have aliens, that we have alien crash parts, that we have reverse engineered alien technology, that we have no end of movies portraying aliens. Uh, and somebody say, "Oh, we're not ready to see an actual alien." Of course, we're ready. Hollywood has prepped us for decades for this day. I think it'll be charming. What would surprise me most is if the alien were humanoid.
外星人的形象与类型
Speaker B: 好莱坞对外星人的大多数描绘都是类人生物,有一个头、两只眼睛、还有鼻子、嘴巴、耳朵。哦。哦,他们是光头。好的。或者他们有尖耳朵。或者他们有,但他们仍然在走路,他们仍然有手肘、手指、膝盖和像这样的东西。
Original English
Speaker B: Most Hollywood renderings of human of of aliens are humanoid with a head, two eyes and nose, mouth, ears. Oh. Oh, they're bald. Okay. Or they have pointy ears. Or they've got but they're still walking and they still got elbows and fingers and knees and like this.
Speaker A: 并且
Original English
Speaker A: And
Speaker B: 我的意思是,我们也有像这样的一些。
Original English
Speaker B: I mean, we've got ones like this as well.
Speaker A: 是的。是的。是的。好的。所以,我们有,这儿有一个好的 ET。这个看起来像异形。而这一个看起来像铁血战士。好的。所以,注意,呃,它们都有眼睛。有嘴巴。有一个,你知道,牙齿,因为牙齿让人害怕。而这是类人生物。
Original English
Speaker A: Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Okay. So, we've got there's a good ET. This looks like the xenomorph. And this one looks like predator. Okay. So, notice uh they all have eyes. There's a mouth. There's a, you know, teeth cuz teeth are scary. And this is humanoid.
Speaker B: 这些是类人生物。这个更偏爬行类一点。我会说它绝对是脊椎动物,但有一条尾巴。所以,这些,这些都是类人角色。如果外星人是类人生物,我会感到最惊讶。基于宇宙的大气环境,你认为它们会是什么样子?
Original English
Speaker B: These are humanoid. This is a little more reptilian. I would say it's definitely vertebrate, but has a tail. So, these these are humanoid characters. I would be most surprised if the alien was humanoid. What would you expect that them to be based in the atmosphere of the universe?
Speaker A: 我预期它不是类人的。地球上的大多数生命都不是类人的。我们与地球上的所有生命都有共同的 DNA。而且大多数生命都不是人类。橡树、蠕虫、呃龙虾,那些生命形式中没有一个是类人的。所以我们在这里。我们有,你知道的,哦,顺便说一下,那个,那个异形不造宇宙飞船。所以如果这个东西来到地球,那是因为我们把它带到这儿的,而不是因为它飞过来的。好的。呃,基于它的行为。看起来他只是想寄生。呃,ET 有手指,而且你知道看起来 ET 能建造一艘太空飞船。而这,只是外星人的一次狩猎任务。注意它的两眼间距甚至跟我们两眼间距是一样的。而且不只如此,这是,这件服装里有个演员,而且那个演员是人类。这才是真正的核心所在。是的,你这里的照片很不错。哦,他,所以在这本书里我偶然发现,这不是我想出来的。我偶然发现了一个事实,那就是那些关心目击事件的人,呃,外星人,不是 UFO 目击事件,是外星人目击事件,那些说他们见过外星人的人。顺便说一下,就像我说的,整个事情并没有达到狂热的高潮,直到有吹哨人在国会宣誓下说他们见过外星人,而不是凌晨 2 点从酒吧出来的醉汉。好的。所以他们分成了几种原型。比如小绿人,那个,你知道,我们在 50 和 60 年代有很多那样的事情。并且,呃,当然,我们甚至会使用“人”(men)这个形容词这一事实意味着他们是类人生物。好的,小绿人。所以那是一种。另一种,我们这里有什么?呃,这一个在今天更常见,小灰人。好的,灰色外星人。颜色。这些也往往是光头。所以这两种是最常见的。然后还有其他的。大角星人,他们来自大角星。呃,天琴星人(Liens),来自天琴座(LRA),天空中的竖琴。
Original English
Speaker A: I would expect it to not be humanoid. Most life on Earth is not humanoid. And we have DNA in common with all life on Earth. And most life is not human. Oak trees, worms, uh lobsters, none of those life forms are humanoid. And so here we are. We have, you know, oh, by the way, the the xenomorph is not building spaceships. So if this comes to Earth, it's because we brought it here, not because it flew. Okay. uh based on its conduct. It looks like he's just want to be parasitic. Uh ET has fingers and you know it looks like ET can build a space spaceship. And this is just a hunting hunting mission with the alien. Notice that its eyes are even the same separation of our eyes. And not so this is there's an actor in this costume and the actor is human. That's really what this comes down to. Yeah, that's good photos you got here. Oh, he so in the book I stumbled on I didn't come up with these. I stumbled on the fact that people who care about sightings, uh, alien, not UFO sightings, alien sightings, people who have said they've seen aliens. By the way, like I said, that whole exercise didn't reach the fever pitch until you had whistleblowers saying they've met aliens under oath in Congress and not the drunkards coming out of the bar at 2:00 a.m. Okay. So they divide into archetypes. So little green men that's, you know, we had a lot of those back in the 50s and 60s. And uh, of course, the fact that we would even use the adjective men meant they're humanoid. Okay, little green men. So that's one variety. Another one, what do we have here? Uh, this one is much more common today, the grays. Okay, the gray alien. color. These also tend to be bald. So these are the two most common. And then there are others. Arcturans, they're from the star Arcturius. Uh Liens from the constellation LRA, the harp in the sky.
Speaker B: 我们会把这些放到屏幕上给大家看。
Original English
Speaker B: We'll put these on the screen for anybody.
Speaker A: 天狼星人(Sirius)是,呃,来自那个恒星系统的外星人。所以是的,在我的书里有十几种。哦,还有高白人(tall whites)。哦,昆虫人(insecttoids)。这个很好。我喜欢这个,因为我们讨厌昆虫。不,我不能代表所有人。对大多数人类来说,昆虫是丑陋的,对吧?所以如果你有
Original English
Speaker A: Sirius is uh aliens from the star system. So yeah, in my book there's a dozen of them. Oh, the tall whites. Oh, insecttoids. This is a good one. I love this one because we hate insects. Not I can't speak for everyone. Insects are ugly to most humans, right? So if you have
关于DMT与外星人幻象的讨论
Speaker A: ……一种看起来像昆虫的生物,你绝对不想和它交朋友的。
Original English
Speaker A: a creature that resembles an insect, you don't want to become friends with it.
Speaker B: 如果你去听听那些使用过DMT(二甲基色胺)的人的说法,嗯,他们经常……
Original English
Speaker B: If you listen to people that have done DMT, um they often...
Speaker A: DMT。对。
Original English
Speaker A: DMT. Yeah.
Speaker B: 他们经常提到看到或遇到这些类型的……
Original English
Speaker B: They often site seeing or meeting these types of...
Speaker A: 是的。这种现象的普遍性确实很引人入胜。与其草率地得出结论,认为他们都在经历某种共同的跨维度体验,我更倾向于认为,他们都有着人类的大脑,而这种化学物质刺激了他们每个人大脑中的同一个部位,从而使他们共享了某种体验。而且,再加上我不知道人们是否跨文化做过这项研究,但英语国家的文化中所报告的外星人目击事件比其他文化要多得多,多得惊人,这有点奇怪。所以,要么是外星人就喜欢造访说英语的国家,要么就是我们更懂得如何报告我们所看到的东西——很可能就是后者。但如果你去其他国家,他们并没有这种对外星人的痴迷。
Original English
Speaker A: Yeah. And the commonality of that is intriguing rather than jump to a conclusion that they're all having some common interdimensional experience. It's easier for me to think that they all have human brains and the chemical is exciting the same part of each one of their brains and thereby sharing in some experience that and plus people I don't know if they've done this across cultures the English-speakaking cultures have reported many more alien sightings than other cultures vastly more sightings which is a little weird so either aliens just like visiting English speaking countries or we just know better how to report what we see which is probably what it is but you go to other countries they don't have this alien fixation.
主观体验与客观现实
Speaker B: 你尝试过迷幻药吗?
Original English
Speaker B: Have you ever done psychedelics?
Speaker A: 从来没有。
Original English
Speaker A: [clears throat] Never.
Speaker B: 你对它好奇吗?
Original English
Speaker B: Are you curious about it?
Speaker A: 并没有。因为人类的大脑本来就勉强够用了。
Original English
Speaker A: Not really. Because the human brain barely works as it is.
Speaker B: 勉强够用。
Original English
Speaker B: Barely.
Speaker A: 你随便翻开一本关于视错觉的书。翻到任何一页。哦,这个更大吗?那个更小吗?这条线是在纸面里面,还是凸出纸面的?我根本搞不清楚。简单的图画就能混淆你对现实的感知。
Original English
Speaker A: Just open up any any book of optical illusions. Turn to any page. Oh, is it bigger? Is it smaller? Is the line in the page, out of the page? I can't figure it out. Simple drawings confound your perceptions of reality.
Speaker B: 但这难道不意味着现实是脆弱的吗?
Original English
Speaker B: But doesn't that mean reality is fragile?
Speaker A: 是的。所以,如果我现在想把化学物质搅和进我的大脑——作为一个重视客观真相的科学家,既然我的大脑本来就已经勉强够用了,还要往里加入化学物质。我不清楚这是否能让我更接近任何现实,而我所珍视的,正是这个世界中的现实。
Original English
Speaker A: Yes. And so if I want to now stir chemicals into my brain as a scientist who values what is objectively true since my brain barely works as it is to put in chemicals. It's not clear to me that that gets me closer to any reality at all and it's reality that I value in this world.
Speaker B: 什么……
Original English
Speaker B: What
Speaker A: 所以这就是为什么,这就是我没有尝试过迷幻药的原因。
Original English
Speaker A: so that's why that's why I haven't done psychedelics.
Speaker B: 我的想法是,如果我能吸入某种东西,突然间我对现实的主观体验就完全变成了4K高清的,而且我处于另一个完全不同的地方。这难道不意味着,我目前对现实的主观体验,其实就像一次吸气那样脆弱吗?
Original English
Speaker B: What I think about is if if I can inhale something and suddenly my subjective experience of reality is entirely it's 4K and I'm somewhere else. Does that not then mean that my current subjective experience of reality is as fragile as an inhale?
Speaker A: 当然。
Original English
Speaker A: Sure.
Speaker B: 那么……
Original English
Speaker B: And then
Speaker A: 嗯,嗯,这毕竟是化学物质。所以,是的,它提醒着你,你的大脑是基于电化学信号运作的。而且,把其他一些化学物质放进去来扰乱它,重新引导它,那简直有着无限的可能。
Original English
Speaker A: well well it's chem it's it's chemicals. So yeah it's a reminder that your brain functions based on electrochemical signals. But [clears throat] and to put some other chemicals in there to disrupt it to rechan it sky is the limit.
Speaker B: 但这是否意味着现实本身不过是一堆化学物质?
Original English
Speaker B: But does that mean that reality itself is just a bunch of chemicals?
Speaker A: 有些哲学家喜欢思考这个问题,并且对此进行辩论和争论。但在那种对话中,我倾向于要务实得多。明白吗?也就是说,我可以在你的五官感觉之外进行一项实验,它会得出一个结果,而每个聚在一起观察这个结果的人,都会对它表示认同。
Original English
Speaker A: There are philosophers who like thinking about that and debating it and arguing it. I tend to be way more practically minded in that conversation. Okay? In that I can perform an experiment outside of your five senses and it will get a result that everyone coming together to look at that result will agree on.
Speaker B: 可是“看”也是我的感官之一啊。
Original English
Speaker B: That's one of my senses though looking.
Speaker A: 没错。但如果你没有这种感官,你就不能参与那个特定的操作。我,我会找到某种方法让你能够识别它。但我可以创造一种测量紫外线的方法。你看不见紫外线,但我有一个探测器会被触发,你可以看着那个探测器被触发。懂了吧?你看,就是这样。我测量了紫外线,而我不需要你的眼睛、你的视网膜或你的大脑来进行那次测量。所以当爱因斯坦提出E=MC²,并且那成为我们后来在战争中投放、杀死几万、几十万人的核武器的基础时,你不能对我说,哦,那只是我们的想象,或者那只是化学反应。那是一个真实的现象,基于真实的物理学,它是从一个我们在不吸毒时确立的客观现实中提取出来的。所以,这就是为什么科学花了这么长的时间才发展起来,从而把对客观现实的测量与你大脑中的神经化学突触区分开来。
Original English
Speaker A: Sure. But you're if you don't have that sense then you can't participate in that exercise. I I'd find some way for you to then be able to identify it. But I can create a measurement of ultraviolet light. You can't see ultraviolet light, but I have a detector that fires and you can look at the detector firing. Okay? And so there it is. I've measured ultraviolet light and I didn't need your eyes, your retina or your brain to make that measurement. So when Einstein said E=MC² and that became the foundation of atomic weapons that we then drop in warfare killing tens of thousands hundreds of thousands of people. You can't tell me oh that's just our our imagination or that's just chemical things. That is a real phenomenon based on real physics drawn from an objective reality that we established while not doing drugs. And so that's why it took so long to develop science to separate measurements of an objective reality from the neurochemical synapses of your brain.
Speaker B: 可是观察难道不是一条法则吗?这难道不就是科学的本质吗?
Original English
Speaker B: Isn't it rule though observation? Isn't that what science is?
Speaker A: 是的。所以,如果我能有一个能进行测量的设备,而且大多数人看着它都能认同那个东西是什么的话。如果让我打赌,我会赌那是客观现实的体现。
Original English
Speaker A: Yeah. So if I can have a device that makes a measurement and most people look at that can agree what that thing is. If I'm a betting person, I would bet that that is a representation of objective reality.
Speaker B: 所以,我们可以测量我们的……
Original English
Speaker B: So, we can measure our
Speaker A: 如果我带一个完全疯了的人过来,他们就不会知道怎么做。那么,我该如何评估他们对数据的解读呢?或者,这是主观的吗?是我们疯了吗?那个人才是正常的吗?对吧?所以这些都是合理的问题,但是运用科学的方法和工具,它们是可以回答的,即判断这个世界上什么是可重复的,什么不是。
Original English
Speaker A: if I bring a completely crazy person to it, they're not going to know how. And so, do how do I value their interpretation of the data? And or and is it subjective? Are we the crazy ones? And is that person the the normal one? Right? So these are legitimate questions, but they're answerable using the methods and tools of science for what is repeatable in this world and what is not.
多重现实与科学工具
Speaker B: 而这个世界,是一种由我大脑中的化学物质所显现出来的体验。所以我们可以,我们正在测量我们所居住的这个现实。
Original English
Speaker B: And this world is a experience manifested by the chemicals in my brain. So we can we're measuring this reality that we live in.
Speaker A: 你吸入某种东西,然后就有了另一个完全不同的现实。嗯,你现在正在呼吸氧气,于是你拥有了这个现实。你还能拜访多少个其他现实?是的。
Original English
Speaker A: You inhale something and there's a whole other reality. Well, you're right now inhaling oxygen and you have this reality. How many other realities can you visit? Yeah.
Speaker B: 那到底哪个才是真正的现实呢?而且……
Original English
Speaker B: And which which is the real reality? And
Speaker A: 我只能说,我在书里提到过这一点。
Original English
Speaker A: all I would say is I make mention of it in in the book.
Speaker B: 服用DMT的人有这些共同的体验。
Original English
Speaker B: People on DMT have these shared experiences.
Speaker A: 那么我们就对此进行实验吧,看看一个人在经历昆虫、类昆虫的幻象时,能否从那个迷幻的外星人身上收集到与其他人信息相匹配的信息。这就是你探测这件事的方式。否则,你只会说,“哦,这是真的。”然后我们就创立一种新的宗教。我可以告诉你,如果有一种药物,如果你通过任何方式摄入它,它能让我更接近客观现实的话,我就会去尝试。
Original English
Speaker A: So let's do experiments on that to see if can one person experience an insect insectoid, glean information from that psychedelic alien that matches someone else's information. That's how you would probe this. Otherwise, you say, "Oh, it's real." And then we make start a new religion. I can tell you that if there was a drug that if you embibed it by whatever means if it got me closer to an objective reality I would do it.
Speaker B: 一个客观的现实。是的。
Original English
Speaker B: An objective reality. Yeah.
Speaker A: 是的。正如我所说,大脑勉强够用。那么,到底存不存在一个更好的客观现实呢?嗯,这就是为什么我们有科学。我有能够测量红外线、紫外线、X射线、伽马射线、磁异常和电流的工具,我可以测量所有这些东西。
Original English
Speaker A: Yes. Like I said the brain barely works. Now can is there a better objective real? Well that's why we have science. I have tools that measure infrared and ultraviolet and x-rays and gamma rays and magnetic anomalies and electrical currents and I can measure all these things
Speaker B: 并且,并且你的大脑对那些测量来说是无关紧要的。
Original English
Speaker B: and and you your brain is irrelevant to those measurements.
Speaker A: 我曾经请过一位物理学家来做客,他说,我们只能,我们只能看到那些为了生存我们需要看到的东西。
Original English
Speaker A: I had a physicist come on and he said that we can only we can only see that which we need to see in order to survive.
Speaker B: 嗯哼。
Original English
Speaker B: Mhm.
Speaker A: 因此,如果你看看一只蝙蝠或者另一种动物,哪怕是地球上的,或者一只狗……
Original English
Speaker A: And thus if you look at a bat or another species of animal even here on the earth or a dog
Speaker B: 嗯,从进化角度来说。
Original English
Speaker B: well evolutionarily.
Speaker A: 是的。是的。所以理论上,现在这个房间里可能就有灵魂,但因为它们对我的生存无关紧要,我实际上根本不需要能够看到它们。我不需要进化出能够知道它们在这里的感官。这就是为什么科学拥有几十种感官。在科学中,我们已经超越了人类的生理局限。所以这就是为什么我不需要去讨论我的现实与任何其他替代现实到底哪个是真实的。这就是科学存在的原因。我们有显微镜能带我们进入微观世界,有望远镜能带我们进入宏观世界。你的感官无法接触到这两个领域中的任何一个。中东的死海之所以被称为死海,是因为那里的盐度太高,没有宏观可见的鱼类。但那里有微生物在仰泳。好吗。并且是耐盐的微生物。所以他们看不见那些东西。所以他的,他们的现实错过了一些东西。是的,你的现实总是会错过那些如果不避开在进化上也不会威胁到你健康的事物,但科学永远地改变了这一点。接受现实吧。我想说的是,是的,我的意思是,很多东西都是建立在,你知道,相信我的可观察体验上的,而且……
Original English
Speaker A: Yeah. Yeah. So there could theoretically there could be spirits in this room now, but because they're inconsequential to my survival, I actually don't even need to be able to see them. I didn't need to develop the senses to be able to know that they were here. That's why science has dozens of senses. We've gone beyond human physiology in the sciences. So that's why I don't have to have that conversation about my reality versus any other alternative reality and which one is real. That's why science exists. We have the microscope that gets us into the realm of the small, the telescope that gets to the realm of the large. Your senses have no access to either of those places. The dead sea in the Middle East was called dead because there were no macroscopic fishes there because the salt level is so high. But they're microbes doing the backstroke. Okay. And salt resistant microbes. So they couldn't see those. So his their reality missed something. Yes, your reality is going to miss things that are not otherwise going to put your health at risk evolutionarily, but science changed that forever. Deal with it. I was going to say, yeah, I mean, a lot of it's predicated on, you know, believing in my observable experience and
Speaker B: 你不必非得这样,因为就像我说的,我们有工具。这就是为什么我可以看向天空,然后说,“哇,那是什么?我不知道。”我拿出双筒望远镜。工具。“哦,我的天哪,那是架无人机。”现在我能以更高的分辨率把它看得更清楚,而且它更亮了。“哦,那边那个是什么?我不知道地平线上那个是什么。哦,是一只,是一只在旁边的斜坡上爬行的熊。它不是什么外星人。”你拿出工具,来补充你的,你的感官。
Original English
Speaker B: you don't have to because like I said, we have tools. That's why I can look in the sky, say, "Wow, what is that? I don't know what I pull out binoculars. Tools. Oh my gosh, it's a drone." Now I can see it better with higher resolution and it's brighter. "Oh, what is that over there? I don't know what that is on the horizon. Oh, it's a it's a bear crawling on the side of the thing. It's not some alien. You bring out the tools, supplement your your senses.
Speaker A: 而这些都是观测工具,
Original English
Speaker A: And these are all observational tools,
Speaker B: 我刚才提到的那些是。是的。但还有其他的工具,呃,你可以不去观测它们就能测试一些东西。你可以看看它们对其他东西产生了什么影响。举个例子,
Original English
Speaker B: those that I just mentioned. Yes. But there are others that uh you can test things without observing them. You can look at what effect they have on something else. For example,
Speaker A: 如果有那么几种化学物质导致了我们这整个体验,比如我感觉、触摸、闻到、听到的那些东西,那是否这就有可能是,实际上……
Original English
Speaker A: if a couple of chemicals are responsible for this entire experience, like the things that I feel, touch, smell, hear, is it plausible then that actually
Speaker B: 它比几种要多得多,但你的感觉是准确的?是的。
Original English
Speaker B: it's more than a couple, but it's your sentiment is accurate? Yeah.
Speaker A: 那这是否有可能呢,即我们实际上只是某个地方的培养皿里的一堆化学物质,它们创造了一种主观体验,而这种主观体验显现为一个宇宙,一个我能看到的宇宙,这个我能触摸的iPad,但实际上我们只是一个培养皿中的一场化学反应,正在……
Original English
Speaker A: Is it then plausible that we are just a bunch of chemicals in a petri dish somewhere that are creating a subjective experience and that subjective experience manifests as a universe that I can see, this iPad that I can touch, but actually we are just a chemical reaction in a petri dish that...
模拟宇宙的概率探讨
Host: 一些外星人正在做的事情。因为如果化学物质就是我全部的主观体验,那么我们很可能只是一个模拟。
Original English
Host: some aliens are doing. Because if chemicals are my entire subjective experience, it's way more likely that we are just a simulation.
Neil: 是的,我想我们可能就是一个模拟。我觉得我已经完全——
Original English
Neil: Yeah, I think we probably are a simulation. I think I've completely
Host: 基于你刚才所说的。如果说我们必须处于一个培养皿中,那更有可能的情况是,我们是由某个外星人父母地下室里流着鼻涕的小孩模拟出来的。
Original English
Host: based on what you just said. It's if we have to be in a petri dish with it's more likely that we're simulated by some snot-nosed kid in in its alien parents' basement.
Neil: 我刚才描述的那是一个生物学模拟。
Original English
Neil: That was a biological simulation I described.
Host: 是的,确实是。
Original English
Host: Yes, it was.
Neil: 所以,呃,就像我之前说的,物理定律在不同的尺度上是不同的。你不能直接把我们放进培养皿里,然后让我们像化学物质、或者微生物、甚至细菌那样在培养皿里活动。培养皿的尺寸对于细菌来说是理想的,但对于处于某个更大培养皿里的我们来说并不合适。不,我们与环境互动的方式,和微生物在培养皿里的互动方式是不同的。你不能像人们希望的那样简单地把它按比例放大。那样会让一切变得太简单了,就好像它们只是俄罗斯套娃一样。
Original English
Neil: So, uh, like I said earlier, the laws of physics are different on different scales. You can't just put us in a petri dish and have us behave the way chemicals and or and microorganisms would behave like bacteria that sort of thing would behave in a petri dish. Petri dish is ideal sized for bacteria not for us in some larger petri dish. No, we function differently with our environment than microbes do in in a petri. You can't just scale it up as much as people would want to. That would make everything easier. They were just nested dolls.
我们是否生活在模拟中?
Host: 你相信我们处于一个模拟之中吗?
Original English
Host: Do you believe that we're in a simulation?
Neil: 你觉得这听起来合理吗?
Original English
Neil: Do you think it's plausible?
Host: 我不想去相信它。
Original English
Host: I don't want to believe it.
Neil: 你不想去相信它?
Original English
Neil: You don't want to believe it?
Host: 我不想……我不……我在这件事上有点爱发牢骚。
Original English
Host: I don't I don't I'm whiny about that.
Neil: 为什么?[笑声]
Original English
Neil: Why? [laughter]
Host: 不。我……没有人想成为一个模拟产物。
Original English
Host: No. I Nobody wants to be a simulation.
Neil: 我能给出的证明我们不是模拟的最有力的论点,或者说,我能用来提高我们不是模拟的概率的最佳方式,就是单纯地提醒你模拟论证是如何运作的。假设你有一个宇宙,然后他们拥有非常强大的计算机。他们在计算机里模拟出了一个世界,而那个世界里的生命体相信自己拥有自由意志。所以他们就在那里了。这就像是一个电子游戏,对吧?然后他们在那里,接着他们说:“我很无聊。我要去制造计算机。”于是他们发明了计算机,然后他们在自己的计算机里创造了一个电子游戏,接下来就是无限循环的电子游戏了。
Original English
Neil: My best argument that we're not, or rather my best way to improve the odds that we're not, is just just to remind you how the simulation argument works. You have some universe and then they have computers that are very powerful. They simulate a a world within the computer and the life forms in that world believe they have free will. So there they are. It's like a video game, right? And then they are and then they say, "I'm bored. I'm going to make computers." So they invent computers and then they create a video game inside their computers and then it's video games all the way down.
Host: 好的。好的。
Original English
Host: Okay. Okay.
Neil: 所以,如果我闭上眼睛扔飞镖,我最有可能击中哪个宇宙?是开启这一切的那个初代宇宙,还是后面跟随的那九万九千九百亿个宇宙?很有可能是那些被制造出来的宇宙中的一个,这就强烈暗示了我们处于一个模拟之中。然而,唯一能创造其他世界的宇宙,是那些有能力创造其他世界的宇宙。明白吗?所以,这个序列中的每一个宇宙都有计算能力去创造另一个完整的世界。这就是为什么它能把这个序列延续下去。我们在地球上的人类,还没有能力创造一个包含着自认为拥有自由意志的人类的、完全独立的其他宇宙。我们目前还没有那个能力。正因为如此,我们不是这个序列中的一员,因为序列里的每一个宇宙都有能力创造另一个宇宙。并且他们已经这么做了。而我们没有这种能力。这就意味着我们要么是那个序列中最初始的宇宙,要么是最后那个还没有实现模拟能力的宇宙。所以,我们所处的概率就从,你懂的,一千亿分之一,变成了可能二分之一。而我……我喜欢这个概率。
Original English
Neil: So, if I close my eyes and throw a dart, which universe am I most likely to hit? The one that started them all or the 999 bajillion that followed? Probably one of the ones that were manufactured, which argues strongly that we're in a simulation. However, the only universes that could create other worlds are the ones that have the capacity to create other worlds. Okay? So each one of these in this sequence had the computing power to create a whole other world. That's why it continued the sequence. We humans on Earth do not yet have the power to create an entire other universe with people in it who have what they believe is free will. We don't have that power yet. Because of that, we are not one of the ones in the sequence cuz everyone in the sequence has the power to create another universe. And they did. We don't have that power. Which means we are either the very first universe in that sequence or the very last that has yet to achieve the power of simulation. So we go from, you know, 100 bajillion to one likelihood that we are to maybe one and two. And I I like those odds.
Host: 这难道不是假设模拟的创造者将他们的宇宙模拟成了我们这个宇宙的一比一复制品,而且他们希望我们拥有……
Original English
Host: Does this not assume that the creators of the simulation modeled their universe as being a onetoone copy of our own and they wanted us to have
Neil: 不,他们可以创造他们想要的任何种类的宇宙。谁在乎呢?不必是一比一的复制品。这个宇宙碰巧里面有像行星、恒星和人类这样的东西。另一个宇宙可能就全都是马里奥里的角色。[笑声]
Original English
Neil: No, they can make any kind of universe they want. Who cares? Not one to one copy. This universe happens to have like planets and stars and people in it. The other one could just be Mario characters. [laughter]
指数级增长与我们在宇宙中的位置
Host: 从概率上讲,我想我听埃隆·马斯克说过,他认为从概率上来看这是一个模拟,我觉得这很有说服力。而且他推论说,你懂的,他们有这三个潜在的选项。要么人类在达到这种技术进步之前就把自己给毁灭了。要么这就是一个模拟,要么这就是基础现实。这是三种看似合理的可能结果。然后有人会说,嗯,它[清嗓子]作为基础现实是极不可能的。我们会自我毁灭吗?为什么那(基础现实)是极不可能的?
Original English
Host: Probabilistically, I think I've heard Elon Musk say that he thinks probabistically this is a simulation, which I thought was compelling. And he did reason that, you know, they've got these three potential options. Either humanity just blows themselves up before they get to this technological advancement. Either this is a simulation or either this is base reality. Those are the three plausible outcomes. And one would say, hm, it [clears throat] being based reality is highly improbable. Do we blow off? Why is that highly a problem?
Neil: 宇宙的尺寸和规模,以及我们从,坦率地说像穴居人那样的相对发展速度,演进到能够开发拥有巨大智能的大语言模型和VR模拟的速度。这……这就好像是在……我的意思是《宇宙》教会了我这个。就像这样。
Original English
Neil: The size and scale of the universe and the speed in which we've gone from being like frankly relative speed of cavemen to being able to do large language models of vast intelligence and VR simulations. This that's it's like this in the I mean Cosmos taught me this. It's like this.
Host: 呃,其实……其实不是那样的。
Original English
Host: Well, it's it's actually not like that.
Neil: 不是吗。我能解释一下为什么吗?当然可以。
Original English
Neil: It's not. Can I explain why? Sure.
Host: 好的。
Original English
Host: Okay.
Neil: 那么,这只是简单的指数级增长。嗯。
Original English
Neil: So, it's simply exponential growth. Mhm.
Host: 仅此而已。指数。所以如果你绘制地球人口的图表,会很常见地遇到一条指数曲线。好的。所以你有一个坐标图,并且你有时间轴。往回看。我不管你往回看多久时间,它几乎都是一条平线,然后它就飙升了。这就是你正在谈论的现象。发生得就像这样。
Original English
Host: That's all it is. Exp. So if you plot earth's population, very common encounter with an exponential curve. Okay. So you have a plot and you have time. Go back. I don't I don't care how much time you go back and it's like almost flatline and then it goes up. This is what you're talking about. Happens like this.
Neil: 那是线性图表上的指数曲线。
Original English
Neil: That is the plot of an exponential on linear graph.
Host: 好的。
Original English
Host: Okay.
Neil: 嗯哼。这是所有指数增长的共同点。如果你在某处截断它,比方说在这里,所以往回退20年、30年、50年,然后再重新绘制它,它就会是这个样子。
Original English
Neil: Mhm. Here's what all exponentials have in common. If you truncated it somewhere here, let's say, so go back 20 years, 30 years, 50 years, and then replotted it, it would do this.
Host: 嗯哼。再往回退,再重新画,它还是这样。
Original English
Host: Mhm. Go back again, replplot it, it would do this.
Neil: 是的。
Original English
Neil: Yeah.
Host: 每一个处于指数增长中的人都认为他们生活在特殊的时代。
Original English
Host: Everybody in an exponential thinks they're living in special times.
Neil: 是的。
Original English
Neil: Yeah.
Host: 他们认为所有最伟大、最重要的发现都是最近才发生的。是的,那是真的。但这对处于指数曲线上各个位置的每个人来说都是真的。当我们发明了汽车,机动车的时候,没有人会说:“看我们有多落后。”他们是在说:“看我们有多先进。我们现在有了汽车,我们有横跨大陆的铁路,我们还有跨越海洋的蒸汽船。看看我们有多先进。看看我们在短短几十年里取得了多大的进步。”如果你想象一下以我们目前的轨迹出现的任何进步速度,在未来的某个阶段,我们会达到一个可以创造模拟的节点。
Original English
Host: They think that all the greatest, most important discoveries happened recently. Yes, that is true. But it's true for everybody along the exponential. When we invented the car, the automobile, no one is saying, "Look how backwards we are." They're saying, "Look how advanced we are. We now have an automobile, and we have railroads that cross the across the the lands, and we have steam ships that cross the ocean. Look at how advanced we are. Look how far we've come in just decades." If you imagine any rate of improvement at our current trajectory, we get to a point at some at some stage in the future where we can create simulations.
Neil: 是的。是的。这是顺理成章的。
Original English
Neil: Yes. Yes. It's a natural.
Host: 是的。我们到达那里,
Original English
Host: Yeah. We get there,
Neil: 但我们现在还没有到那一步。由于我们现在还没有到那一步,我们就不是这些中间宇宙中的一个。
Original English
Neil: but we're not there now. And since we're not there now, we're not one of these middle universes.
Host: 但是如果你……我的意思是无论是100年还是1000年或者是一万年,我们最终会达到那里的。然后,如果你把你之前说的有1000亿个星系,每个星系有1000亿颗恒星叠加在这个上面,
Original English
Host: But if you I mean whether it's 100 years or a thousand years or 10,000 years, we eventually get there. And then if you layer that over with what you said about there being 100 billion galaxies with 100 billion stars,
Neil: 呃……可以想象的是,我们在那场竞赛中并没有处于最前列。而且如果我们在那场竞赛中没有处于最前列,这就意味着其他人在理论上在某个时间点已经达到了那里,因此我们可能是他们的模拟。
Original English
Neil: um it's conceivable that we are not at the front of that race. And if we're not at the front of that race, it means that someone else theoretically got there at some point and therefore we might be their simulation.
Host: 是的,当然。
Original English
Host: Yes, of course.
Neil: 是的。
Original English
Neil: Yes.
Host: 而且那看起来更像是……
Original English
Host: And that seems way more
Neil: 不,不,不,不。我所说的是……
Original English
Neil: No, no, no, no. What I'm saying is
Host: 是的。
Original English
Host: Yeah.
Neil: 是的。我们可能是他们的模拟,但是我们现在还不能在我们的世界里模拟出任何人。
Original English
Neil: Yes. We could be their simulation, but we can't simulate anybody within our world yet.
Host: 是的。现在还不行。
Original English
Host: Yeah. Not yet.
Neil: 这就是为什么,我们要么是那个由尚未能创造出下一个文明的其他文明所创造的列表中的最后一个,要么我们就是那个真实的初代宇宙。
Original English
Neil: That's why we are either the last one in that list created by some other civilization that can't yet create the next civilization or we're the first one that's authentic
Host: 或者它也可能是一棵树。可能就像他们做了一个,他们做了……他们做了500个,然后这里的这个人做了300个。
Original English
Host: or it could be a tree though. It could be like they did one they did they did 500 then this person here did 300.
Neil: 是的。所以我正在采用那种非常直线的模型。是的。它可以是完全分支散开的。是的。并且……
Original English
Neil: Yes. So I'm taking the the very straight line model. Yes. It could be fully branched out. Yeah. And
Host: 当然。
Original English
Host: sure.
Neil: 我想说的是,我们根本不在那中间的任何地方。我们一定是在末端,因为我们现在无法创造出另一个宇宙。所以当你把飞镖扔向墙壁时,那会极大地减少你的飞镖能够击中的宇宙总数。要么是第一个宇宙,要么是最后一个。我把它设想为在一条直线上,但它可能是这些分支中任何一个的最末端。
Original English
Neil: All I'm saying is we're nowhere in the middle of that. We have to be at the end because we don't we can't make another universe yet. So that greatly reduces the total number of universes your dart can hit when you toss it against the wall. Either the first universe or the last one. And I had it gave it in a line, but it could be the last of any of these.
Host: 是的,它可能是一棵树的末端。就像我认为的一个家族谱系树。你不必非得……
Original English
Host: Yeah, it could be the last of a tree. Like I think a family tree. You don't have to.
Neil: 那没问题。所以最后一个究竟是多少个?500个,一千个,不管是多少。在此之前有着数不清的其他宇宙引向那个结果。
Original English
Neil: That's fine. So how many is how many would the last be? 500, a thousand, whatever that is. There's countless other ones that came before us leading up to that
Host: 而且我们可能会有继续发展下去的表亲模拟,并且……
Original English
Host: and we could have cousin simulations that sure went on and
Host: 似乎……在权衡之下,这似乎更有可能。我想不出有什么单一的论点能比这更有说服力:如果人类最终能达到技术进步,从而使他们能够创造自己的模拟,那么在这样一个浩瀚的宇宙中,其他智慧生命先到达那一步是可以想象的。你同意宇宙中存在智慧生命吗?嗯,我认为,觉得我们是宇宙中技术最先进的生命,这种想法是相当傲慢的,对吧?
Original English
Host: it seems that seems more probable in the balance of I can't think of a singular argument that's more convincing that okay if humans eventually get to tech technological advancement thus so that they could create their own simulation then it's conceivable that in such a vast universe other other living intelligent life got there first. Do you agree that there's intelligent life in the universe? Um, it's quite I think it's quite arrogant of us to think that we are the most technologically advanced in the universe, right?
Neil: 任何人都不应该有这种想法。
Original English
Neil: No one should be thinking that.
Host: 所以,由此可见它是一个模拟,Neil,
Original English
Host: So, thus it's a simulation, Neil,
Neil: 除非我们不是那个模拟出来的宇宙,而且我们是那个还没有开始让这一切滚动起来的初代宇宙。
Original English
Neil: unless we are not the simulation and we're the original universe that hasn't started the ball rolling yet.
Host: 你能想象那样的概率吗?那样的概率会是多少?
Original English
Host: And could you imagine the odds of that? What would the odds of that be?
Neil: 这是我的
Original English
Neil: This is my
模拟宇宙与多重宇宙的概率分支
Neil: 最简单的方法是,看直线模型这个例子,我们稍后可以展开讲。你要么是那个还没搞清楚如何创造宇宙的“初始宇宙”……
Original English
Neil: The simplest way is to look in the straight line example which we can spread out in just a moment. We're either the starter universe who hasn't figured out how to make a universe yet.
Speaker A: 对。
Original English
Speaker A: Yes.
Neil: 要么我们就是那条线上的最后一个,还没有进化出创造宇宙的能力,因为这不会瞬间发生。他们必须发明计算机,而且他们有自由意志,所以他们在做自己的事情。是的。
Original English
Neil: Or we're the last in that line which have yet to evolve the capacity to make a universe because it doesn't happen instantly. They have to invent computers and they have free will and so they're doing their thing. Yeah.
Speaker A: 好的。所以,无论中间有多少个宇宙,这都会从我们可能是的数量中,变成二分之一的几率我们是真实的。二分之一。我们要么是最初的那个,要么就是被模拟出来的。那是二分之一的概率。现在,你有了分支。好。我不介意每个宇宙创造10个宇宙的分支。好,你有分支了。再一次,我们要么是某个分支里的最后一个,要么我们就是开启这一切的第一个。
Original English
Speaker A: Okay. So, however many universes are in between, it goes from that number of possible universes we could have been to a one in two chance that we're real. One in two. We're the original or that we're this one which is simulated. That's a one in two chance. Now you have branches. Fine. I don't mind branches where each one creates 10 universes. Fine. You have branches. Once again, we are either the last one in a branch or we're the first one that started it all.
Speaker A: 这是我的,这是我画的它可能的样子。所以,我们可能是那个,或者我们可能是那个,那个,那个,那个,那个,那个,那个,那个,那个,那个。为什么那是不可信的?这有点像一棵家谱树。他们中的一些有孩子。
Original English
Speaker A: Here's my drawing of how it might look. So, we could be that one or we could be that one, that one, that one, that one, that one, that one, that one, that one, that one, that one. Why is that not plausible? It's kind of like a family tree. Some of them have kids.
Neil: 好的,所以在那种情况下,他们中只有一个进化去创造了另一个宇宙。这里的这个创造了,但这里的这个也创造了。
Original English
Neil: Okay, so in that case, only one of them evolved to make another universe. This one did here, but also this one did here.
Speaker A: 对。那是那一代中唯一创造了另一个宇宙的。正确。
Original English
Speaker A: Right. That's the only one in that generation that made another universe. Correct.
Neil: 还有在顶端的这个,那个创造了10个,或者说8个。而且他们中只有一个创造了另一个宇宙。
Original English
Neil: And this up here at the top, that one made a whole made 10 of eight of them. And only one of them made another universe.
Speaker A: 好的。现在,他们中的两个创造了另一个宇宙。好的。
Original English
Speaker A: Okay. Now, two of them made another universe. Okay.
Neil: 是的。
Original English
Neil: Yeah.
Speaker A: 好。那没问题。
Original English
Speaker A: Okay. That's fine.
Neil: 好,现在,其中一个也创造了另一个宇宙。
Original English
Neil: Okay. So now, and one of them made another universe as well.
Speaker A: 好的,没错。所以你继续这样推演。如果我们还在游戏早期,是的,那我们就可能是处于线条边缘的任何一个。没错。好,我们可能是它们中的任何一个。然后我们继续发展。但是,如果其他所有的宇宙都创造了更多的宇宙,我们就知道我们不是它们,因为我们还没有那种能力。
Original English
Speaker A: Okay. Correct. So you keep doing that. If we're early in the game, yeah, then we could be any one of those at the edges of the line. That's correct. Okay, we could be any one of those. And we're plotting along. But if all the rest make more universes, we know we're not them because we don't have that ability yet.
Neil: 嗯。[清嗓子]所以在你的顶排例子中,如果它们中的一个继续无法创造另一个宇宙,而其他的能,再一次,在那种情况下,我们是真实的概率就变成了三分之一,我们是初始宇宙,因为你还有其他两个地方还没创造宇宙,如果在你能画出的另一张图里的话。其余的都创造了新宇宙,但有两个没有。在模拟的场景中。是的,你可以那么做,但那不是大家在想的情况。他们想的是一路往下都是模拟的宇宙。而你刚刚画出了一大批不模拟其他宇宙的宇宙。
Original English
Neil: Mhm. [clears throat] So in your top row example, if one of them continues to not be able to make another universe and the others do, once again, in that case it is a one out of three chance that we are real, that we're the starter universe because you have two other places that have yet to make... if in another drawing that you could draw. All the rest make new universes, but two don't, in the simulation scenario. Yes, you could do that, but that's not what anyone is thinking about. They're thinking that it's simulated universes all the way down. And you just drew a whole crop of universes that are not simulating other universes.
Speaker A: 所以说,在模拟宇宙中的宇宙里,它并不是很多产。
Original English
Speaker A: So, it's not very fertile in the simulated universe universe.
Neil: 也许这就是多重宇宙。也许这就是无穷大的含义。也许大爆炸就是这样的——是一个宇宙创造了下一个宇宙。
Original English
Neil: Maybe this is what the multiverse is. Maybe this is what infinity is. Maybe this was what the big bang was—a universe creating the next universe.
Speaker A: 对。对。好吧,这就是我们所说的多重宇宙,创造宇宙。
Original English
Speaker A: Yeah. Yeah. Well, that's what we call the multiverse, creating universes.
Neil: 也许它就是那样的。也许那个文明的技术变得如此先进,以至于他们能够创造出那样的大爆炸时刻。
Original English
Neil: And maybe that's what it is. Maybe the civilization becomes so advanced in their technology that they're able to create one of those big bang moments.
Speaker A: 是的,我的意思是,如果他们能随心所欲地召唤它,那就很有趣了。对,那会很奇怪。
Original English
Speaker A: And yeah, I mean, that would be interesting if they just summon it up at will. Yeah, that'd be weird.
Neil: 也许当我们作为一个先进文明,能够与(我不知道)人工智能结合在一起,并建立一个新宇宙的那一刻,就是下一次的大爆炸。没有理由说它不可能那样,对吧?嗯,但有趣的是,我们在地球上测量的物理定律,在整个宇宙和整个时间中都适用。所以这很有趣,也许这只是程序员为他们刚创造的宇宙制定的规则。所以我没法回避这个论点。那么,我会获得诺贝尔奖吗?现在会发生什么?[笑声]
Original English
Neil: Maybe the point in which we as an advanced civilization can come together with, I don't know, AI and build a new universe is the next big bang. There's no reason to say it couldn't be that, right? Um, but what's interesting though is that the laws of physics we measure on Earth apply across the universe and across time. So that's just an interesting... maybe that's just the programmer's rules for the universe they just created. So I have no way to step to the side of that argument. So do I get a Nobel prize? What happens now? [laughter]
生命的意义与创造价值
Speaker A: 所以不同之处在于,在我们的宇宙大爆炸中,我们经历了单细胞生命,然后是多细胞生物,接着是智力,再然后是技术。因此,如果我们拥有的技术促成了这一切,而在一个模拟中……让我退一步说。在模拟中,他们是从宇宙的开端开始启动你的吗?在模拟中有一场大爆炸吗,还是人们就直接作为一个完整形成的智慧物种出现在模拟中?也许他们被植入了一段并不真实的记忆。这非常像《黑客帝国》。那么,生命的意义是什么?所有这些东西的意义何在?你必须活,我不知道,80年、90年、100年,管它多少年。意义是什么,Neil?这一切的意义何在?我们为什么在这里?
Original English
Speaker A: So the difference is in our big bang we went through single-celled life then multicellular organisms and then intelligence then technology. So if the technology we have enabled all that and in a simulation... let me back up. So, in a simulation, are they starting you from the beginning of the universe? Is there a big bang in the simulation or are people just showing up fully formed as an intelligent species in the simulation? And maybe they're implanted with a memory that's not real. This is very matrixy. What is um what is the point of life? What is the point of all of this stuff? You got to live, I don't know, 80, 90, 100 years, whatever it is. What is the point, Neil? The point of all of this. Why are we here?
Neil: 这个被许多人问过的问题,将会让宗教在很长一段时间内保持生意兴隆。对于许多人来说,人生的目的是侍奉上帝。好的。这对我来说有点奇怪,因为如果我创造了一个宇宙,我不需要人们来赞美我。那感觉太奇怪了。我只会去创造它,享受乐趣,你知道吗?让我去忙下一个宇宙吧。现在,就我个人而言,我不会感觉到那种需求。所以,一个全能全知的实体寻求你的屈服和服从,这很奇怪。我只是,我从未完全理解那个想法。但是生命的意义才是你真正问的。什么是意义?我从生活中获取意义。我在生活中创造意义。当我说我获取它的时候,我是在生活中创造意义。我不去寻找意义。很多人都在寻找意义。它在一块石头下,或者一棵树后吗?“我仍在寻找生命的意义。”你要意识到你有力量去创造意义。去创造意义。我们都有能力这样做。把它加进你正在寻找的那个意义中。但就在此刻,你就可以创造意义。
Original English
Neil: So that question asked by many people will keep religion in business for a long time. Uh for many the purpose in life is to serve God. Okay. And that's a little odd to me because if I created a universe, I would not need people to praise me. That just feels weird. I would just create it and have fun, you know? Let me work on the next universe. Now, personally, I wouldn't feel that need. So, it's odd that an all-powerful, all-knowing entity seeks your submission and obedience. And it's just I've never fully wrapped my head around that idea. But the meaning in life was really what you're asking. What is meaning? I derive meaning from life. I create meaning from life. When I say I derive it, I create meaning in life. I don't look for meaning. Many people look for meaning. Is it under a rock behind a tree? "I'm still in search of the meaning of life." You realize you have the power to create meaning. Create meaning. We all have the power to do so. Add it to the meaning that you're looking for. But right now, you can create meaning.
Neil: 其中一种方式是(这可能不是适合所有人的秘方):我想要在今天学到一点我昨天不知道的东西。我想要在明天学到一点我今天不知道的东西。从而提升我对这个世界客观现实的认知。这是我的第一点。随着我认知的提升,我会产生新的、细致入微的且知情的观点。所以你可以在智慧中成长,知识、智慧和洞察力,如果你不继续学习,这些是不可能获得的。第二点,我想要在今天做一件能减轻他人痛苦的事情。
Original English
Neil: One way is—this might not be the recipe for everyone. I want to learn something today that I didn't know yesterday. I want to learn something tomorrow that I didn't know today. Thus growing my awareness of the objective realities of the world. That's my first. And as I grow my awareness, I have new uh nuanced informed perspectives. So you can grow in wisdom, knowledge, wisdom, and insight that wouldn't otherwise be possible if you didn't keep learning. Second, I want to do something today that lessens the suffering of others.
Speaker A: 为什么?
Original English
Speaker A: Why?
Neil: 因为如果我有能力让这个世界因为我曾活过而变得更好,我看重这一点。
Original English
Neil: Because if I have the power to make the world a better place for me having lived in it, I value that.
Speaker A: 为什么?
Original English
Speaker A: Why?
Neil: 我看重快乐,因为人们显然喜欢快乐,除非你有临床抑郁症。快乐是我一生都看重的东西。它为活着这件事带来了纯粹的乐趣。所以这就是我的想法。而且在我的播客中,幽默是播客的一个重要元素。它交织了科学、流行文化和幽默。人们会回来。他们回到播客,因为他们当时笑了,他们微笑了,他们在学到知识的同时感觉很好,他们想要重温那种感觉。所以,我们想要做那些让我们感觉良好的事情,这不应该让人感到惊讶。再一次,为什么帮助另一个人会让我感觉良好?这并非为了我自己。我是为了那个人。[笑声]好吗?我帮助那个人过马路,不是为了让我自我感觉良好。我帮助那个人过马路,是为了让那个人因为顺利过了马路而感觉良好,
Original English
Neil: I value happiness because people like apparently people like being happy unless you're clinically depressed. Happiness is something that I valued my whole life. It brings joy to being alive at all. So that's how I think about it. Uh and in my podcast, the humor is an important element of the podcast. There's a braid of science, pop culture, and humor. People return. They come back to the podcast because they laughed, they smiled, they felt good at the time they learned the thing that they learned and they want to reproduce that feeling. So we should not be surprised that we want to do things that make us feel good. And again, why does helping another person make me feel good? It's not I don't do it for me. I do it for the person. [laughter] Okay? I don't help the person across the street so that I feel good about myself. I help the person across the street so the person feels good that they made it across the street,
Speaker A: 而这反过来让你感觉很好。
Original English
Speaker A: which in turn makes you feel good.
Neil: 好了,我不希望在语义上纠结太多。有些事情我做了会让我自己感觉很好,但我没做,因为那并不能传播善意。嗯。我可以只活在自己的“这感觉很好”中。但是当你把它传播出去时,其他人就能分享你的情感。所以我这么做并不完全是为了我自己。我这么做只是因为我认为我们应该在世界上散播更多的欢乐。这有一个实现它的方法。再重申一次,这与你无关,对吧?比如,我帮了你一个忙,你说,“谢谢。我真的很需要这个。总有一天我会报答你的。”而我会说,“不,传递下去。”把这个忙帮给别人。最好是个陌生人。明白吗?一个永远不会记住你名字的陌生人。为他们做。你知道会发生什么吗?那个善举,而且你告诉他们要传递下去。那份善意将在社会中、在文化中、在文明中蔓延,永远不会封闭回溯。
Original English
Neil: Well, except I don't want to be needlessly semantic. There are things that I could do that make me feel good that I don't do because it doesn't spread the goodness. Mhm. I can live in my own "this feels good." But when you spread it, then other people can share in your emotions. And so I don't do it so much for myself. I just do it because I think we should spread more joy in the world. Here's a way to do that. Again, it's not about you, right? It's I do you a favor and you say, "Thanks. I really needed that. I'll repay that favor one day." And I'll say, "No, pass it forward." Do that favor for someone else. Ideally, a stranger. Okay? A stranger who will never remember your name. Do it for them. And you know what'll happen? That favor and you tell them to pass it forward. That favor will work its way through society, through cultures, through civilization, never being closed back.
传递善意与墓志铭
Neil: 当你说“嘿,我会报答你的恩情”的那一刻,这就把善意封闭了,它不再对文明中的任何人开放。如果你不封闭它,而是把它传递下去。那么这些善意的支流就会在文明中流淌,每个人都会因此变得更好。
Original English
Neil: The moment you say, "Hey, I'll repay you the favor." That closes it off and make and it's no longer available to anybody in civilization. If you don't close it, send it forward. Then there are these tributaries of favors working their way through civilization and everyone is better off for it.
Host: Neil,我们这里有一个传统的收尾环节,上一位嘉宾会给下一位嘉宾留一个问题,虽然他们并不知道问题是留给谁的。
Original English
Host: Neil, we have a closing tradition where the last guest leaves a question for the next not knowing who they're leaving it for.
Neil: 喔,好的。
Original English
Neil: Oh, sure.
Host: 留给你的问题是——“他们知道是我吗?”不,他们不知道是你。好吧。那么,如果我们是留言的作者,你希望我们在你的墓碑上写些什么?
Original English
Host: And the question left for you is, do they know it was me? They didn't know it was you. Okay. Um, what is it that you would like us to write on your gravestone if we were the authors of the message?
Neil: 让我反过来说,我不想要、也不需要任何纪念我一生的东西,因为这并不是作为一个教育者的意义。重点不在于我的人生,而在于我所触及的那些人的人生。这关乎他们的人生,而不是我的。不需要雕像,不需要牌匾,什么都不要。我不需要这些,我也不去追求。曾经有摄影师走过来对我说:“哦,我是个时尚摄影师,我拍过很多名人。你想不想也来拍一张?”不想。重点不在于我。我不需要你在一本书里看我的照片。我希望你做的是,打开一本我写的书,读读我在书里写了什么,你读了它,你会从中学习。你会受到启迪,因为作为一个教育者,重点在于你。重点不在于教育者。所以,所以我不想要什么纪念碑或任何东西,什么都不要。但我知道我希望在我的墓碑上写什么。有一句完整的名言,我先从它开头,但适合写在墓碑上的是这句名言的结尾。这句话出自霍拉斯·曼(Horace Mann),他是19世纪初的一位美国教育家。他曾是一位大学校长,甚至有学校以他的名字命名,霍拉斯·曼学校。作为教育家,在他在一所大学的一次告别演说中,他说:“我恳求你们在心中珍藏我的这些临别赠言。在为人类赢得某些胜利之前,要以死为耻。”这就是我想要写在墓碑上的话。
Original English
Neil: Let me back into that by saying I don't want I don't need anything that memorializes my life because it's not as an educator. It's not about my life. It's about the life of those who I've touched. It's about their life. It's not about my life. No statues, no plaques, nothing. I don't need that. I don't seek it. I've had photographers come up to me say, "Oh, I I I'm a fashion photographer and I photograph all these famous people. Do you want to be a part of that?" No. It's not about me. I don't need you to look at a picture of me in a book. What I want you to do, open up a book that I wrote and read what I wrote in the book and you read that and you will learn from it. You'll be enlightened because as an educator, it's about you. It's not about the educator. So, so I don't want memorials or anything, nothing. But I know what I want on my tombstone. There's the full quote which I will begin with, but it's the end of the quote that fits the tombstone. It's by Horace Mann, the educator, American educator of the early 19th century. He was a university president. schools named after him, Horace Mann school, an educator. For one of his farewell addresses at a university, he said, "I beseech you to treasure up in your hearts these my parting words. Be ashamed to die until you have won some victory for humanity." That's what I want on my tombstone.
Host: 在为人类赢得某些胜利之前,要以死为耻。
Original English
Host: Be ashamed to die until you have won some victory for humanity.
Neil: 作为一名教育者,这就是我的目标。由于我曾经存在于这个世界,人类变得更好。这就是我的目标。因为有太多太多的人,因为他们存在于这个世界,人类反而变得更糟了[笑]。好吧,其实也没那么多。但在世界历史上有几个关键人物确实如此。如果我们能尽自己的一份微薄之力来改善世界……
Original English
Neil: And as educator, that's my goal. Humanity is better off for me having been in this world. That's my goal. Because all too many there too many people where humanity is worse off for them having [laughter] been in this world. Well, not too many. There's a few key people in the history of the world for whom that's true. And if we can do our little bit to improve the world,
Host: 你毫无疑问已经做到了。可以说,你已经为数以亿计的人做到了这一点。我想我当时可能在思考,从你所写的那些内容、信息、电影、书籍、纪录片等等之中,你对我的生活究竟产生了怎样的净影响。我想如果把这种净影响浓缩成一个词,那就是关于好奇心。我会说,它就像是拓展了我的思维,去思考什么是惊奇,去产生更多的惊奇。
Original English
Host: you've most certainly done that. You've done it for arguably hundreds of millions of people. Um, I think if I I was probably thinking then of like what is the net impact you've had on my life from on your life on my life from you know all of the content and information and movies and books and documentaries and so on that you've written and I think like the net impact if I crystallized it down to a word was about curiosity and I'd say it's like expanding my mind um to what is to wonder to wonder more
教育的真正意义与好奇心
Neil: 遗憾的是,在大多数学校里并不存在这种情况。
Original English
Neil: unfortunately That does not exist in most schools.
Host: 是的。
Original English
Host: Yeah.
Neil: 课堂里的孩子们,他们迫不及待地盼着下课。他们一直盯着时钟。
Original English
Neil: The kids in their class, they can't wait until the end of the period. They see the clock.
Host: 他们迫不及待地盼着放学。他们迫不及待地盼着星期五。他们迫不及待地盼着放假。他们迫不及待地盼着学业结束。
Original English
Host: They can't wait till the end of the school day. They can't wait till it's Friday. They can't wait till it's vacation. They can't wait till school's over.
Neil: 嗯。[清嗓子] 迫不及待地盼着毕业。
Original English
Neil: Mhm. [clears throat] Can't wait till graduation.
Host: 所有这些情绪都在表达,我不想再继续学习了。这就像是一件苦差事。我不享受它。我不喜欢它。甚至有一首由爱丽丝·库珀(Alice Cooper)演唱的摇滚颂歌就在庆祝这个事实,你知道的,那就是“夏天学校放假了”(schools out for the summer)。我想这张照片以及你刚才说的那句“学校永远放假了”(school's out forever),我讨厌学校,我……
Original English
Host: All of these sentiments are are I don't want to keep learning anymore. It's a chore. I don't enjoy it. I don't like it. Well, there's even a rock anthem celebrating that fact by Alice Cooper says, you know, it schools out for the summer. I think this photo and what you said about your school's out forever. I hated school. I
Neil: 但这就是我的观点。我不怪学生。
Original English
Neil: But it's my point. I don't blame the students.
Host: 是啊。
Original English
Host: Yeah.
Neil: 我怪的是这个让你迫不及待想逃离学校的系统,这意味着他们并没有教授好奇心。因为如果他们教了,那么留在学校就是在满足这种好奇心。如果他们教了,离开学校将会开启你余生作为一个充满好奇心的人继续学习的旅程。那才是学校应该有的样子。但现在的学校不是。
Original English
Neil: I'm blaming the system where you can't wait to get out of school, which means they're not teaching curiosity because if they did, staying in school would be fulfilling that. And if they did, leaving school would birth the rest of your life as a curious person where you continue to learn. That's what school should be about. And it's not.
Host: 而那正是你正在为他人做的事情——拓展好奇心、拓宽视野,让他们能够漫游于狭隘之外。我希望人们会说,“天哪,我想念学校。”我绝对不想念学校。但是[笑] 但是你知道,你知道我想念什么吗?好吧,我不想念学校,但我们必须在“学校(school)”与“教育(education)”或者“学校里的学习(school in learning)”之间划清界限。我们总是把这两者混为一谈,认为它们是一回事。因为什么呢?“学校”的名声变坏了。它变成了一个……学校本应该是一个你去满足好奇心、激发好奇心并得到满足的地方。如果所有的学校都能做到那样,想象一下世界会有多么不同。我们只能想象。想象一下。
Original English
Host: And that's what you're doing for others, expanding the curiosity, the aperture, and allowing them to wander beyond the narrowness of whatever. I want people to say, "Gee, I miss school." I absolutely don't miss school. But [laughter] but do you know do you know what I do miss? Well, I don't miss it, but we have to make a distinction between school and education or school in learning. And we kind of conflate the two and think they're the same. Well, cuz what? School's got a bad name. It's got a bad uh It's a place where you go to have curiosity fulfilled. Stoked and fulfilled. That if all schools were that, imagine how different the world would be. We can only imagine. Imagine
与外星人的第一次接触
Host: 我的面前正放着你的书。顺便说一句,这本书非常精美,标题也很棒。书名叫《带我去见你们的领袖:关于你第一次外星人接触的视角》(Take Me to Your Leader: Perspectives on Your First Alien Encounter)。如果你曾经好奇过为什么会有这么多UFO目击事件,外星人是否可能已经潜伏在我们之中,泰森(Tyson)提供了一个既有事实依据又充满趣味的视角。《带我去见你们的领袖》是一次诱人的探索,探讨了你人生中最令人震撼的经历会是什么。这本书适合那些曾经像我们现在所有人一样疑惑过“我们是孤独的吗?”的人。非常感谢。我会在下方放上这本书的链接。如果有任何人对有关外星人的主题感兴趣,想要去畅想并享受其中的乐趣……
Original English
Host: I am have your book in front of me here. It's, by the way, it's beautiful and the title is great. It's called Take Me to Your Leader: Perspectives on Your First Alien Encounter. If you've ever wondered why there are so many UFO sightings, whether aliens might already be amongst us, Tyson offers an informed perspective that is both factual and fun. Take Me to Your Leader is a tantalizing exploration of what would be the most mind-blowing experience of your life. The book for anyone who has ever wondered, as we all do now, are we alone? Thank you so much. I'm going to link this book below. Um, anybody that's into the subject matter of aliens and wants to wonder and have some fun
Neil: 而且,我能不能举一个书里我最喜欢的例子?在“于我们而言的外星人”这一章里,有“于我们而言的外星人”和“于他们而言的外星人”。这都是完整的章节对吧?比如一些小事,假设你和外星人交了朋友,然后你说,“厄,不好意思。我得水平躺下,并进入半昏迷状态长达地球自转周期的三分之一时间了。”他们会看着你说,“什么?啊,哇哦哇哦,你们你们知道睡眠?睡眠是什么?”我是说,可能会发生这种情况,但你要做好准备。我们觉得理所当然的事情,对外星人来说可能并非显而易见。还有一个例子,如果外星人身上有个什么附肢,对吧?不要上去就一把抓住并摇晃它。你根本不知道那是外星人的什么部位。也许你刚摇完它就不想知道答案了。因为仅仅是握手这种行为,甚至都不是全球通用的。在亚洲,握手就不像在西方那么普遍。所以千万不要用自己的……这里最大的教训之一就是,不要把自己的假设强加到外星人身上。然后关于“于他们而言的外星人”这一章,我说个简短的例子,然后我们就可以结束了。想象一下,外星人降落在了洛杉矶,对吧?而且他们就停在405号州际公路的隔离带上,然后他们就在四处张望。我敢肯定他们会得出结论:地球上的主导生命形式是汽车。
Original English
Neil: and and if I can give you just a my favorite example from the book on the chapter alien to us, there's alien to us and alien to them. Uh, whole chapters, right? Like little things like let's say you befriend the alien and then you say, "Uh, excuse me. I have to lay down horizontally and go semicomaos for onethird of Earth's rotation." They'll look at you and say, "What? Uh whoa whoa what do you you guys know sleep? What's sleep? I mean it it could be that but be ready. The things we take for granted might not be obvious to an alien. And another one if the alien has some appendage, right? Don't just reach and grab it and shake it. You don't know what part of the alien that is. And maybe you don't want to find out after you just shook it. just just and shaking hands is not even earthwide. In in Asia, shaking hands is not as common as it is in the west. So don't take your own the one of the biggest lessons there is don't take your own assumptions and apply it to the alien. A and the in the alien to them chapter is a fast one and then we can wrap. Uh just imagine they landed in Los Angeles, okay? And they're in the median of the 405, right? and they're just looking around. I'm certain they would conclude that the dominant life form on Earth was the automobile
Host: 因为汽车就在那里做着各种事情,然后他们要是看到一辆汽车运输车开过,他们就会说,那辆车怀孕了。[笑]
Original English
Host: cuz there they are just doing things and then they'd see like a car hauler go by and they say that one's pregnant. [laughter]
Neil: 他们会看到里面有车。如果,如果发生了事故,其他的车,其他汽车会开过来把它拖走并进行修理。这些汽车轮子会开到快餐店,人们不会从车里出来走进去。他们就待在车里,在一条缓慢的队伍中排队买快餐,快餐通过窗口递给他们,然后他们就在车里吃。所以外星人会说,“好吧,这种生命形式就是汽车,而里面那些软绵绵的东西,一定是这种生命形式软绵绵的内部。”这本书试图做的是,重新塑造你对“外星人会怎么看我们”以及“我们会怎么看外星人”的所有假设。在这个过程中,我也努力让它充满乐趣。这就是我想说的,谢谢你提到这本书。
Original English
Neil: They would see cars inside. Uh if if there's an accident, other car other automobiles come up to take it away and repair it. Uh these automobile wheels go up to fast food establishments and people don't get out of their car to go in. They stay in their car, wait in line in a slow line to get fast food, hand it to them through a window, and then they eat it in the car. So the aliens would say, "Okay, the life form is the car and the squishy things inside that must be the squishy middle of this life form." What this book tries to do is reccast all of your assumptions about what an alien would think of us and about what we would think of an alien. And I try to have fun doing it along the way. So that's all I thank you for bringing it up.
Host: 非常感谢你,Neil。YouTube现在有一个疯狂的新算法,他们通过AI以及你所有的观看行为,能准确预测你接下来想看什么视频。算法说,这个视频对你来说绝对是最完美的选择。对此时此刻正在观看的每个人来说,推荐都是不一样的。去看看这个视频吧,我敢打赌你也许会喜欢的。
Original English
Host: Thank you so much, Neil. YouTube have this new crazy algorithm where they know exactly what video you would like to watch next based on AI and all of your viewing behavior. And the algorithm says that this video is the perfect video for you. It's different for everybody looking right now. Check this video out and I bet you you might love it.