财富的心理对比
Morgan Housel: 财富并不一定取决于你拥有多少,而在于它与你过去所拥有的东西之间的对比。你更愿意在曾经拥有 200 万美元时拥有 100 万美元的净资产,还是在曾经拥有 200,000 美元时拥有 500,000 美元?从心理学上讲,大多数人会选择后者。奢侈品变成必需品的速度只需要 2 秒钟。
Original English
Morgan Housel: It's not necessarily how much you have. It's just a contrast to what you have before. Would you rather have a net worth of a million dollars when you used to have 2 million or would you rather have a net worth of 500,000 when you used to have 200,000? And psychologically, most people would rather have 500,000. The speed at which a luxury becomes a necessity is 2 seconds.
住房:最大的社会问题
Shane Parrish: 对于那些过着“月光族”生活的人,你有什么建议?
Original English
Shane Parrish: What advice do you have for somebody living paycheck to paycheck?
Morgan Housel: 我总是说两件事。其中之一是,我认为住房负担能力是单一最大的社会问题,因为许多其他看似更大的社会问题其实都是住房问题的下游产物。很多毒品问题、生育危机、政治退化,都是因为如果你觉得自己没有在社区或国家投资,就更容易产生“毁掉这一切”的想法。我在**《金钱心理学》中写过,如果非要用一个词来总结财务上的成功,我认为是生存**。
Original English
Morgan Housel: I always say two things. One is that the second is affordable housing I think is the single biggest social problem because so many other social problems that might seem bigger than that are downstream of housing. A lot of the drug problem, the fertility crisis, the degradation of politics because if you don't feel like you're invested in your community or you're invested in your country, it's much easier to be like burn the place down. And so much I wrote this in psychology money. If you have to sort of like sum up doing well financially in one word, I think it's survival.
嫉妒与抱负的区别
Shane Parrish: 你已经非常成功,书的销量超过了 1000 万册。今天驱动你前进的动力是什么?
Original English
Shane Parrish: You've been incredibly successful and sold over 10 million books. What drives you today?
Morgan Housel: 驱动我的是像你、James Clear、Michael Lewis 这样的人,我一直非常仰慕他们。我认为**嫉妒(Envy)和抱负(Aspiration)**之间是有区别的。你可以被某人的成功深深启发,而不必嫉妒他们。我能点出半打我真正仰慕的人,他们是很好的榜样,但我并不嫉妒他们。当我反思为什么会嫉妒某人时,通常是因为他们取得了一定程度的成功,但我并不喜欢他们取得成功的方式。
我喜欢仰慕那些不仅在专业上表现出色,而且具有高度诚信,并且看起来生活得很开心的人。在金融界,有很多人事业非常成功,但当你深入了解他们时,会发现他们的家庭生活一团糟,或者健康状况很差。我真的想追求他们所取得的成就吗?可能不想。
Original English
Morgan Housel: Well, you've been incredibly successful, too, Shane. I've looked up to you for years as well. But I bring that up because what has driven me are people like you and others James Clear, Michael Lewis, people who I've really looked up to... I think there's a difference between envy and aspiration. You can be really inspired by somebody's success without envying them... I really like looking up to people where it's like, not only do I appreciate what you did professionally and think you did it with a high level of integrity and you look like you're having fun doing it, but at least from my appearance, I like the whole package of the life that you're living.
成功的终极动力:不让重要的人失望
Morgan Housel: 另一个非常重要的动力,我认为这是巴菲特的一句话。他说:“在你的生命中,拥有一些你不想让他们失望的人是非常好的。”没有什么比拥有几个你真正不想让他们失望的人更能激励生活了。我非常不想让我的妻子和孩子失望,也不想让我的父母失望。这是最根本的动力。
Original English
Morgan Housel: The other that I think is really important, I think this was a Buffett line. He said, "It is really good to have people in your life who you don't want to disappoint. Nothing is a bigger motivator in life than having a couple people... that you really don't want to disappoint. I really desperately do not want to disappoint my wife and kids. I really don't want to disappoint my parents."
Shane Parrish: 但如果你回看 30 年前,看到你今天取得的财务成功和地位,你已经远远超出了当时的任何目标。为什么还要继续努力?
Original English
Shane Parrish: But if you look back 30 years ago and you could see what you've accomplished today, the financial success, the status success that you've had, you've blown away any goal that you would have had. Why keep going?
Morgan Housel: 我有一种健康的“分裂人格”:一方面我觉得自己很擅长所做的事,成就斐然;另一方面,我可以迅速切换,觉得自己是个无名小卒,最近的工作做得很烂。这种平衡很健康,因为如果你只有自我(Ego)的一面,你会冲下悬崖;如果你只有谦卑或沮丧的一面,你将一事无成。我非常享受写作,它从未让我觉得是在工作。
Original English
Morgan Housel: I think in a healthy way, I can have a very split personality... on balance, that's a pretty healthy personality because if you only have the ego side, you're going to run yourself off a cliff. And if you only have the humble/depressed side, you're never going to get anywhere... Writing has never felt like work to me.
金钱是预防痛苦的“疫苗”
Morgan Housel: 有钱人通常坏日子更少,但不一定好日子更多。金钱更像是一种疫苗,它可以预防很多痛苦。疫苗很棒,我们不会因为没有患小儿麻痹症而每天早上笑着醒来,我们甚至根本不会想到它。金钱的作用也是如此:它改善了生活方式,但不要指望它能让你每天笑逐颜开。
Original English
Morgan Housel: On average, people who have more money tend to have fewer bad days, but I don't know if they have more better days... I think money can be more like a vaccine where like it can prevent a lot of misery, which is great... It is a lifestyle improvement, but don't think it's going to make you waking up ear to ear, grinning ear to ear.
Shane Parrish: 这有点像氧气,当你拥有它时,你从不思考它;但一旦缺失,它就是你唯一能思考的事情。
Original English
Shane Parrish: It's kind of like oxygen in a way, I guess, right? When you have it, you never think about it, but the minute you're lacking it, it's all you can think about.
Morgan Housel: 没错。人们真正追求的其实是满足感(Contentment),而不是幸福。幸福是转瞬即逝的情绪,就像幽默一样。满足感是:“我很满足,我拥有我需要的一切,以及大部分我想要的东西,我对此感到非常酷。”
Original English
Morgan Housel: But we want to think of it like it's a performance-enhancing drug... Happiness is always a fleeting emotion... What people actually want to get to, what they aspire to whether they know it or not, is contentment, which is not happiness. It's a different emotion.
满足感与进化的矛盾
Shane Parrish: 我记得和 Daniel Kahneman 谈过,他区分了幸福感和满意度(Satisfaction)。满意度更多是基于你能讲述的关于自己生活的故事,它与金钱、地位和晋升有关。
Original English
Shane Parrish: I remember talking to Daniel Kahneman about this and he had a distinction between happiness and satisfaction... And satisfaction was more based on the story that you can tell about your life.
Morgan Housel: 缺乏满足感是进步的种子。我希望生活在一个大多数人每天醒来都觉得“这还不够”的世界里,因为这是所有创新的根源。Elon Musk 和 Jeff Bezos 每天醒来肯定也觉得不够。但在个人生活中,如果你觉得灵魂有个洞,想通过不断往里填钱来填满它,那是很难做到的。从进化的角度来看,进化关心的是物种的生存,而不是个体的幸福。
Original English
Morgan Housel: The lack of contentment is the seed of progress. So it's not a bad thing. But you can see in the individual life where if you feel like there's a hole in your soul... it's actually very difficult to do that. That makes sense sort of evolutionarily because you think about it, evolution cares about survival of the species, not the happiness of the individual.
独立性的光谱
Shane Parrish: 当我 17 岁听到父母在修屋顶还是修车之间艰难抉择时,我决定一定要变得财务独立。你如何看待独立?
Original English
Shane Parrish: I remember when I was 17... overheard a conversation with my parents... they couldn't afford to do both [fix the roof or fix the car]... From that moment on, I was like, I need to become independent.
Morgan Housel: 独立性是一个光谱。即使你银行里只有 100 美元,也比零元或负债拥有更高程度的独立性。每一美元都是你对未来的索取权,由你控制而不是别人。我一直是个储蓄者,我并不认为储蓄是延迟满足,而是购买独立性,这种价值我今天就能享受到。
财务成功的秘诀可以用一个词概括:生存。无论是职业生涯、储蓄还是投资,关键在于你能忍受什么?你能经受住多少未知?
Original English
Morgan Housel: Independence is always a spectrum... literally every dollar that you save is a little claim check on your future that you control that somebody else doesn't... I've always viewed it as purchasing independence for which I get value out of right now today... If you have to sum up doing well financially in one word, I think it's survival.
复利的心理学
Shane Parrish: 卓越就是承受痛苦的能力。而且复利的所有好处都出现在最后,而不是开始。
Original English
Shane Parrish: Excellence is the capacity to take pain... and then the other thing about compounding I think people misunderstand is that all the advantages come at the end.
Morgan Housel: 没错,沃伦·巴菲特 99% 的净资产是在他 65 岁生日之后积累的。但在心理上,你会从对比中获得快乐。我在 10 多岁时银行里有 1000 美元时,感觉自己最富有,因为那与我之前只有 20 美元形成了巨大对比。如果你每天都吃米其林三星,你就不会觉得它有多棒,因为没有对比。
Original English
Morgan Housel: 99% of Warren Buffett's net worth was accumulated after his 65th birthday. That's just how compounding works... psychologically it's just the gap... you get pleasure out of contrast.
投资的“入场费”
Morgan Housel: 资本主义要求你忍受无止境的不确定性和波动。这并不是对你的惩罚,而是入场费。一旦你把它看作入场费而不是罚款,它就会变得稍微容易接受一些。
很多人说“当别人恐惧时我贪婪”,但真正做到很难。当市场下跌 50% 时,通常是因为世界上发生了某些威胁到你和家人福祉的事情。在这种背景下,保持长期投资是非常困难的。
Original English
Morgan Housel: What you have to do in capitalism is put up with a neverending chain of uncertainty and volatility... it's the cost of admission for doing it. And I think once you view it as the cost of admission and not a punishment... it makes it a little bit more easier to contextualize.
极其简单的投资策略
Shane Parrish: 告诉我你具体是怎么投资的?
Original English
Shane Parrish: Walk me through step by step. How exactly do you invest your money?
Morgan Housel: 非常简单:我通过定期定额(Dollar Cost Averaging)投资指数基金,并打算持有 50 年。我的全部净资产包括:一套房子、现金、Vanguard 指数基金(主要是 VTI)以及我担任董事的 Markel 公司的股票。
我不认为投资需要变得复杂。这就像健康:如果你饮食均衡、睡眠充足、每周锻炼几次,你就能获得 90% 到 95% 的效果。我追求的是耐力,越简单,我就越容易坚持下去。
Original English
Morgan Housel: I dollar cost average into index funds. I hope to own them for 50 years and that's it. My entire net worth is a house, cash, Vanguard index funds, and shares of Markel... I just don't think it's necessary at all [to be complicated]... The simpler it is, the easier it is. I think the higher the odds that I'll just I can just stay with it.
育儿、传承与“被宠坏”的定义
Morgan Housel: 每一代人的进步在上一代人看来都是“被宠坏”了。1900 年的人如果看到今天的普通中产阶级,会觉得我们被宠坏到了极点。但我认为这是进步。
对于孩子,我想利用我的钱来保护他们的下限,我不希望他们生活崩溃;但我不想成为他们的燃料,我不会直接给他们开支票。我希望他们学会自力更生。
Original English
Morgan Housel: The progress of a generation appears spoiled to one even if it's true progress that we have... I want to use the money that I have to protect within limitations, my children's downsides... but I don't want to be a fuel. I don't just want to give them money.
成功的定义:不让重要的人失望
Shane Parrish: 最后,对你来说什么是成功?
Original English
Shane Parrish: We always end with what is success for you.
Morgan Housel: 两件事。第一,在生命中拥有一些你不想让他们失望的人。如果我让我的孩子、妻子或父母失望了,无论取得多少财务成就,我都不会觉得生活很美好。第二,对那些值得你效忠的人保持忠诚。忠诚于值得的人是非常有回报的,这不仅是对别人,对自己也是一种巨大的心理奖赏。
Original English
Morgan Housel: I think about two things. It's... very important to have people in your life that you don't want to disappoint... And I think I also think related to that, loyalty to people who deserve your loyalty is a very rewarding thing.