华盛顿政治重构:从伊朗谈判、情报人事任命到疫苗困境 New York Times Podcasts 2026-06-03

伊朗冲突与极度低效的谈判机制

关于美国与伊朗目前的冲突,国务卿 Marco Rubio 在国会与民主党参议员的交锋中提供了模糊的协议时间表。目前,双方正在尝试敲定一份初步协议,内容可能包括重新开放霍尔木兹海峡。然而,谈判进展极其缓慢,原因在于这是目前所能想象的效率最低的谈判形式:消息先经由巴基斯坦和卡塔尔传递,再交由信使转交给躲藏的伊朗新最高领袖——他正因恐惧以色列的针对性暗杀行动而避世。此外,协议文本的反复修改也阻碍了进程:特朗普总统试图强化对伊朗核材料的处理措施,而这一行为反过来也促使伊朗采取针锋相对的强硬立场。

Original English Source

On Capitol Hill yesterday, Secretary of State Marco Rubio sparred with Democratic senators over the war in Iran as he offered a murky timeline about when there might be a deal between the two countries.

There is the prospect before us, which could happen today, it could happen tomorrow, it could happen next week.

Rubio said the US and Iran are continuing to try and hammer out an initial agreement that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz, among other things, saying, quote, "We're hopeful."

At the White House, my colleague David Sanger has been digging into what's dragging out the negotiations.

Why is it taking so long to reach even a preliminary agreement with the Iranians?

It's a fascinating question because time and time again in recent weeks, the president or his top officials have said an agreement is just days away. One reason that this is taking so long is that it's the most inefficient form of negotiating you can imagine. Messages are being passed through Pakistan and Cutter. They then go to Iran, get put in the hands of couriers, and get taken to the new supreme leader, who is in hiding, fearing that the Israelis are looking to kill him the way they killed his father, his wife, and the rest of his family. And on top of that, we keep hearing about changes to the text. At the end of last week, we understand that President Trump added some new wording, trying to toughen up what happens to all of Iran's nuclear material. But that only encourages the Iranians to do the same thing, pulling in the other direction.

华盛顿的人事变动与政策调整

在华盛顿的系列动向中,代理司法部长 Todd Blanche 向议员证实,总统原定的18亿美元基金计划在面临两党强烈反对后将不会继续推进。然而,特朗普政府与司法部达成的另一项协议——即赋予其本人及其家族和企业在所有税务审计中的豁免权——将继续有效。此外,民主党人对特朗普提名的代理国家情报总监 Bill Pulte 提出了猛烈批评。Pulte 目前主管联邦住房金融局,在情报、国防或国家安全领域毫无经验。分析指出,特朗普任命其为代理职务,既是为了规避共和党内部可能对其资历不足产生的质疑,也避免了正式的确认听证会。

Original English Source

Now, three new developments in Washington. First,

We are not moving forward with the fund.

Oh, not moving forward ever?

Correct.

Oh, Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche repeatedly told lawmakers yesterday that the president's $1.8 billion fund is not going to happen after a wave of bipartisan backlash. Still, Blanche made clear that the other piece of the deal Trump struck with the Justice Department, granting him, his family, and his businesses immunity from any ongoing tax audits, will stand. Blanche claimed that kind of arrangement wasn't out of the ordinary, but critics have called it a sweetheart deal given that the Trump organization was facing an investigation into its tax filings that could have resulted in a $100 million penalty.

Also,

I thought I'd gotten to the stage where I could no longer be shocked by Donald Trump's choices, but this may be the most outrageous of all.

Democrats are denouncing Trump's new pick for director of national intelligence, Bill Pulte. Pulte, who currently leads the Federal Housing Finance Agency, has no experience in intelligence, defense, or national security. The DNI position is one of the most powerful in the cabinet. It was created after 9/11 and is responsible for coordinating the work of the CIA and a dozen plus other agencies. Tulsi Gabbard currently has the job, but she announced she's stepping down for family reasons. In his time in the administration, Polty has aggressively gone after people Trump perceives as his enemies, accusing them of mortgage fraud, for example, which has pleased Trump. Notably, the president's only putting Polty in as acting director. That will limit how long he can hold the job, but it also avoids a confirmation hearing where even Republicans seemed poised to question Polty's thin qualifications.

人工智能监管的志愿化转向

特朗普总统签署了一项行政令,要求科技公司在发布新 AI 模型前,志愿性地接受政府监督。这一步标志着政府对该技术监管态度的一大逆转,此前其风格倾向于“随心所欲”。随着公众对AI在就业、能源价格及国家安全方面影响的担忧加剧,这一转变显得尤为显著——尤其在 Anthropic 宣布其新模型因能有效发现网络漏洞而不应公开后,舆论进一步激化。尽管如此,科技记者 Shira Frankel 指出,鉴于该行政令仅为“志愿性”且缺乏强制性框架,其真正的监管效果仍有待观察。

Original English Source

And last update from Washington, President Trump signed an executive order yesterday asking tech companies to voluntarily give the government oversight of new AI models before they're released to the public. This step towards regulation is a clear reversal from how Trump came into office with an anything-goes approach towards the technology. It comes as public opinion on AI has been souring with mounting fears over how it can affect jobs, energy prices, and there are major concerns about national security. That was supercharged this spring when Anthropic announced its new AI model was so good at finding cyber vulnerabilities it shouldn't be released to the public. Still, there are questions about whether Trump's order will actually regulate anything, according to Time's tech reporter Shira Frankel.

We don't really know yet how this AI executive order is going to play out. Some of the limitations that we heard people talking about is that it doesn't go far enough. It doesn't force AI companies to hand over with models, and it doesn't create a really strict framework that they would have to abide by. This is all just voluntary.

可预防疾病的回潮与疫苗信任危机

美国各地医生报告称,一些原本已被疫苗成功控制的严重疾病正出现回潮。以轮状病毒和百日咳为例,病例数在近期出现显著增长。这种现象与美国儿童疫苗接种率的下降直接相关,而这在很大程度上源于疫情期间激增的疫苗不信任情绪,并受到卫生部长 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 及总统特朗普的进一步渲染。除了儿童疫苗,医疗工作者还观察到成人层面对常规疫苗(如破伤风针)的抵制也在增加,即使在面对可能致命的受伤情况时,也出现了基于“医药巨头不需要我的钱”等理由的拒绝行为。

Original English Source

Across the US, doctors say they are seeing more cases of serious illnesses that vaccines used to keep at bay. Measles has been the most high-profile of those, but interviews with physicians, along with health data, show that other dangerous diseases are now making a comeback, too. For example, a pediatrician in Alabama said she'd already treated as many patients with rotavirus this year as she had over the past decade. The virus, which causes diarrhea, had largely been swept away by vaccines. Also, cases of whooping cough have quadrupled in recent years. The surge of preventable diseases comes as childhood vaccination rates in the US have fallen. That's in part due to increasing distrust in vaccines that grew during the pandemic, and that health secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and President Trump have amplified. Beyond childhood vaccines, healthcare workers say they're also seeing broader pushback when it comes to shots. Several doctors told the Times that a growing number of adults were refusing tetanus shots for themselves or their kids after injuries like cuts, even though roughly 10% of people who get tetanus die. One ER physician in Minnesota said she'd recently had a patient who refused the tetanus shot after slicing his hand open. He told her, quote, "Big Pharma doesn't need my money."

追忆剪辑传奇:Marcia Lucas的生平与影响

奥斯卡获奖剪辑师 Marcia Lucas 逝世,享年80岁。她曾参与塑造了《星球大战》、《印第安纳琼斯》和《出租车司机》等标志性电影。20世纪60年代,她在好莱坞工作中开始指导当时的电影学院毕业生 George Lucas,两人坠入爱河并结为夫妻,开启了长达数年的创作合作伙伴关系。Marcia 被公认为为电影带来了清晰的节奏和情感重心,让观众产生深度共鸣。例如,她极力推动了《星球大战》中欧比旺·克诺比死亡这一震撼情节。尽管她与 George Lucas 的婚姻最终瓦解,但她对影史的贡献不可磨灭,甚至连楚巴卡这一角色也是由她与丈夫的爱犬(一只阿拉斯加雪橇犬)激发灵感而来。

Original English Source

And finally,

Help me, Obi-Wan Kenobi. You're my only hope.

Marcia Lucas, the Oscar-winning film editor who helped shape iconic movies like Star Wars, Indiana Jones, and Taxi Driver, has died at 80 years old. Back in the 1960s, she was working in Hollywood when she was assigned to train a fresh film school grad named George Lucas. The two fell in love, married, and kicked off a years-long creative partnership where she edited and influenced many of his early blockbusters starting with American Graffiti.

If sweetheart of the prize is you, I'm a ready teddy.

She was credited with bringing clarity, pacing, and according to Mark Hamill, Luke Skywalker himself, she also brought the heart to the films getting the audience emotionally invested. For example, she pushed for the gut-punch Star Wars storyline where Obi-Wan Kenobi dies.

They don't know what they've got there.

Well, I know what I've got here. Come on. Buy a drink.

And she helped craft Indiana Jones' romantic relationship in Raiders of the Lost Ark. Her own relationship with George Lucas eventually crumbled. As part of their divorce, she walked away with roughly $50 million from the fortune that their films had made according to his biographer. Marcia eventually left the frenetic pace of the movie business altogether saying she wanted to quote stop and smell the flowers. But next time you watch Star Wars

Laugh it up, fuzzball.

and you see Chewbacca up on the screen, know that Marcia was behind that, too. The Wookiee was inspired by the Lucas' dog, a big Alaskan Malamute that Marcia used to drive around with with the dog riding shotgun.

Those are the headlines. I'm Tracy Mumford. We'll be back tomorrow.

📌 文中提及的人物和组织

人物: Donald Trump, Marcia Lucas

公司/组织: Anthropic

关键字: foreign-policy political-appointment ai-regulation vaccine-hesitancy film-history