AI颠覆信息获取与新闻业经济模式
人工智能工具正在改变人们在互联网上寻找信息的方式,这种变化的速度之快,让出版商难以适应。当用户向聊天机器人提问而非使用搜索引擎时,他们得到的是答案,而不是可供点击的链接,这正在改变互联网的经济模式,尤其是新闻提供商的经济模式,他们投入资金收集信息,却无法再从中获利。
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Artificial intelligence tools are transforming the way people find information on the internet and this change is happening faster than publishers can adapt. When users question chatbots rather than using search engines, they are given answers, rather than links to follow and this is changing the economics of the internet – and in particular the economics of news providers – who spend money gathering information that they can no longer monetize.
在过去几年里,数百万用户已从搜索引擎转向AI聊天工具进行研究、获取推荐和实时答案。像ChatGPT、Claude和Perplexity这样的工具现在直接回答问题,而这些问题过去常常将读者引向他们认为可信的原始在线资源。随着用户逐渐远离可信的新闻来源,他们对那些旨在模仿权威的AI系统越来越信任,这些工具从网络上抓取答案,却不提供任何问责机制。
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Over the last few years, millions of users have shifted from search engines to AI chat tools for research, recommendations, and real-time answers. Tools like ChatGPT, Claude, and Perplexity are now directly answering questions that once sent readers to primary online sources that they felt they could trust. As users drift away from trusted news sources, they place growing faith in AI systems trained to mimic authority—tools that scrape the web for answers but offer no accountability.
大约一年前,谷歌推出了AI Overviews(AI概览)功能,最近又推出了AI Mode(AI模式),这些功能直接在谷歌搜索页面上回答问题,通常不注明原始来源。对用户而言,这感觉无缝衔接,他们不必不断调整搜索词来寻找所需信息,也不必阅读十篇不同的文章来找出问题的答案;但对出版商来说,这却是一场灾难。
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About a year ago Google rolled out AI Overviews and then more recently AI Mode - features that answer questions directly on the google search page, often without crediting the original sources. For users, this feels seamless – they don’t have to constantly refine their search terms to find the information they were looking for and they don’t have to read ten different articles to work out an answer to their question - but for publishers, this has been disastrous.
几周前,Enders Analysis基于Sistrix数据发布的一份报告显示,新闻在搜索结果中的可见度已大幅下降。自2019年以来,《镜报》在谷歌上的曝光率下降了80%,《每日邮报》损失了一半以上。即使是拥有忠实订阅群体的专业刊物《金融时报》,今年春季的流量也下降了21%。该报告将这种下降主要归因于谷歌系统的变化,特别是AI概览和AI模式的推出,而非出版商的策略。
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A report by Enders Analysis, based on Sistrix data was released a few weeks ago showing that news visibility in search results has collapsed. The Mirror’s presence on Google is down 80% since 2019. The Mail has lost more than half. Even the Financial Times – a specialist publication with a loyal subscriber base, saw a 21% drop in traffic this spring. The report attributes this decline primarily to changes in Google’s systems, in particular - the rollout of AI Overviews and AI Mode, rather than publisher strategy.
这种转变是结构性的。AI工具在受众接触到他们寻求的信息来源之前就将其拦截。谷歌的AI概览甚至对那些并非寻求AI答案的用户也这样做。出版商无法在不完全从搜索中消失的情况下选择退出,这意味着维持新闻业的经济模式——点击量、订阅和广告——正被那些从新闻提供商那里提取价值却不给予任何回报的系统迅速侵蚀。
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This shift is structural. AI tools are intercepting the audience before they reach the source of the information they are seeking. Google’s AI overviews is doing this even for users who weren’t looking for an AI answer. Publishers can’t opt out from this without disappearing from search entirely – meaning that the economic model that sustained journalism—clicks, subscriptions, advertising—is being rapidly eroded by systems that extract value from news providers without returning any.
《经济学人》的这张图表显示,新闻和媒体绝不是受此变化影响最大的行业。科学、教育和参考网站(如维基百科)的表现更差,其中健康信息受影响最为严重。
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This chart from the Economist shows that news and media are by no means the most affected by this change. Science and education sites and reference sites (like Wikipedia) are doing even worse – with health information being the most impacted.
搜索引擎过去是——在某种程度上现在也仍然是——互联网的门户,但那扇门正在迅速关闭。用户行为的转变已经可以衡量。今年4月,苹果公司报告了Safari搜索量首次下降,他们将这一变化归因于用户转向AI聊天工具而非传统搜索引擎。TechRadar在12月进行的一项调查发现,27%的美国用户和13%的英国用户现在使用像ChatGPT这样的AI工具来开始他们的信息收集,而不是搜索引擎。他们列举的原因包括速度、特异性和易用性。
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Search engines were – and still are – to a certain extent - the gateway to the internet – but that gate is rapidly closing. The shift in user behavior is already measurable. In April, Apple reported the first-ever decline in Safari search volume, a change they attributed to users turning to AI chat tools instead of traditional search engines. A TechRadar survey conducted in December found that 27% of U.S. users and 13% of UK users now use AI tools like ChatGPT instead of search engines to begin their information gathering. The reasons cited include speed, specificity, and ease of use.
谷歌向新闻网站的引荐流量已从2019年的约65%降至今天的30%,但这种下降早在AI概览推出之前就开始了。
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Google referrals to news sites have dropped from around 65% in 2019 to 30% today, but this decline began long before AI Overviews.
几年前,人们常说“互联网上什么都不会消失”——这通常是警告人们不要发布任何日后可能感到羞耻的内容——但我们后来了解到,有些东西仍然会消失,即使它们从未被删除,因为它们变得根本无法找到。
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A few years ago, people used to say that “nothing ever disappears from the internet” – usually as a warning against posting anything that you might later be ashamed of – but we have since learned that things can still disappear – even if they are never erased because they just become impossible to find.
在过去几年里,谷歌在寻找用户所需信息方面的效率越来越低,这既因为网络被SEO(Search Engine Optimization: 搜索引擎优化)内容饱和,也因为谷歌开始返回赞助搜索结果。用户发现他们必须筛选大量杂乱信息才能找到可信来源。
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Over the last few years, Google became less and less efficient at finding the information you were searching for – both because the web became saturated with SEO-optimized content, and because google started returning sponsored search results. Users found that they had to sift through clutter to find credible sources.
正当互联网搜索功能开始衰退时,AI工具出现了。据**《大西洋月刊》**报道,AI聊天机器人已经取代了超过25%美国人的搜索习惯。
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AI tools turned up on the scene right as internet search was faltering and according to The Atlantic - AI-chatbots have already replaced search for more than 25 percent of Americans.
谷歌自己的AI功能让这种转变更加极端,因为它们为那些原本打算使用传统搜索的用户提供了AI答案。问题在于,如果事情继续朝这个方向发展,AI将“自食其果”。如果新闻机构和记者无法通过努力研究重要故事来谋生,那么这项工作就不会有人去做,聊天机器人将不得不诉诸于编造答案,依赖新闻稿或故意误导读者的宣传内容。
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Google’s own AI features have made this switch even more extreme, As they provide AI answers to people who were planning on using traditional search. The problem is that if things continue in this direction AI will eat itself. If news organizations and reporters can no longer earn a living by doing the hard work of researching an important story – that work just won’t be done – and chatbots will just have to resort to making up answers, relying on press releases or on propaganda – posted deliberately to mislead readers.
内容生产者显然正在努力寻找一种新的结构,让AI公司为他们有价值的信息付费,但如果无法实现,开放网络可能会演变成截然不同的东西。
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Content producers are obviously working to find a new structure where AI companies pay them for valuable information, but if that can’t, the open web may evolve into something very different.
AI对新闻业和在线内容未来的影响
让我们看看AI如何加速网络信息经济的崩溃,这对新闻业和在线内容的未来意味着什么,以及为什么其风险比大多数人意识到的要高。在深入探讨之前,让我介绍本周的视频赞助商Tello mobile。如果您厌倦了为电话服务支付过高的费用,Tello mobile可能正是您所需要的。价格每月低至5美元,Tello让您可以定制自己的电话套餐,只为您实际使用的通话时长和数据付费。无论您是学生、老年人,还是经常使用Wi-Fi的人,Tello都能为您提供灵活的连接方式,而不会让您破产。所有套餐都包含无限短信、免费移动热点,并且永无合约。由于Tello运行在主要的全国性网络上,无论您走到哪里,都能获得出色的5G、4G、LTE覆盖。需要更改套餐?没问题。Tello的按月付费结构意味着您可以随时轻松调整套餐。所以,如果您正在寻找一种更智能、更经济的连接方式,Tello Mobile提供灵活且经济实惠的电话套餐,每月价格最高25美元。请使用我描述中的链接查看Tello。
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So, let’s look at how AI is accelerating the collapse of the web’s information economy, what it means for the future of journalism and online content, and why the stakes are higher than most people realize. Before we dig into that let me tell you about this week’s video sponsor Tello mobile. If you're tired of overpaying for phone service, TM Mobile might be exactly what you need. With prices starting at just $5 a month, T lets you build your own phone plan, so you only pay for the minutes and data you actually use. Whether you're a student, a senior, or someone who's always on Wi-Fi, Tello gives you the flexibility to stay connected without breaking the bank. All plans come with unlimited texting, free mobile hotspot, and no contracts ever. And because Tello runs on a major nationwide network, you'll get great 5G, 4G, LTE coverage wherever you go. Need to switch things up? No problem. Tello’s month-to-month structure means that you can adjust your plan anytime, hassle-free. So, if you're looking for a smarter, more affordable way to stay connected, Tello Mobile offers flexible and affordable phone plans with prices up to $25 a month. Check out Tello using the link in my description.
谷歌与AI公司之间的问题不在于AI技术本身,而在于这项技术对其现有商业模式的影响。谷歌的业务并非真正旨在为您提供最佳搜索答案;它的业务是为您提供一个足够好的答案,让您继续使用谷歌搜索,同时鼓励您点击广告。如果您询问最好的网络摄像头是什么,谷歌必须确保您会在列表顶部看到其客户付费的广告位。谷歌现在正在宣传其新的AI驱动搜索方法让您可以“让谷歌为您做谷歌搜索”。
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The problem Google has with AI companies - is not the AI technology itself - but what that technology does to their existing business model. Google is not really in the business of giving you the best answer to your search questions; it's in the business of giving you a good enough answer so that you stick with google search, while encouraging you to click on an ad. If you ask what’s the best webcam, Google has to ensure that you will see ad placements paid by its customers at the top of the list. Google is now pitching that their new AI driven approach to search allows you to “let Google do the Googling for you.”
理论上,在AI模式下您仍然可以看到链接并自行判断,但现在点击链接的用户并不多。由于其广告驱动的商业模式需要继续运作,您获得的答案可能会受到销售某些产品需求的“影响”。
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In theory, with the AI mode you can still see the links and use your own judgment, but not many users are clicking on the links anymore. And because their advertiser driven business model needs to continue working, the answers you get - might be colored by the need to sell certain products.
如果您寻求健康建议——似乎许多用户都在这样做——您会获得来自信誉良好来源的信息,还是来自那些为点击付费的可疑补充剂销售商的信息?
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If you ask for health advice – as it appears many users are – will you be served information from reputable sources or from questionable supplement sellers who are paying for clicks?
我不确定您能多大程度上信任这些AI内容……最近,我在YouTube上一直收到一个自称68岁(他也是AI)的男子的广告,他说他一直在练习太极拳,身体状况极佳。我想我也想成为AI并保持好身材——但当我点击链接时,它却试图让我做那些你在公园里看到老年人做的运动——我不想做那些,因为我担心它们会扰乱我的大脑——就像它们对这个人所做的那样。我的意思是,看看他在白板上写了什么……“我五十岁开始练太极拳。现在我68岁了,医生们都向我请教。”
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I’m not sure how much you can trust this AI stuff…Recently I have been getting all these adverts on YouTube from a guy who says he is 68 – he’s also AI – and he has been doing Tai Chi and is in great shape. And I figure I’d like to be AI and in great shape too – but when I click on the link it tries to get me to do those exercises that you see old people doing at the park – and I don’t want to do that – as I worry that they’ll scramble my brain – like they did for this guy. I mean look at what he wrote on the white board… I started Tai Chi Chi fifty. Now I now I’m 68 Doctors ack ask me for advice.
他们可能不是向他请教如何写作……总之……
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They’re probably not ack asking him for advice on how to write… Anyhow…
高质量新闻的制作成本很高。它需要实地记者、有判断力的编辑和事实核查团队。传统上,这项工作通过订阅或广告获得资金。如果用户停止访问网站,制作原创内容的动力就会完全消失。为什么会有人撰写新闻报道,只是为了让几十个AI机器人抓取、与其他新闻混淆,然后传递给一个对内容如何产生毫无兴趣的受众呢?结果将是调查减少、驻外记者减少、对复杂问题的深入分析减少。网络将变成一个“镜厅”——反映着摘要的摘要、AI幻觉(AI hallucinations: 指人工智能系统生成的不准确、不真实或无意义的内容)和新闻稿,而看不到任何原始来源。
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Good journalism is expensive to produce. It requires reporters on the ground, editors with judgment, and teams of fact-checkers. Traditionally, this work was funded through either subscriptions or advertising. If users stop visiting websites, the incentive to produce original content disappears entirely. Why would anyone write a news report - just for it to be scraped by a dozen AI bots, scrambled up with other news and delivered to an audience – who have no interest in how it was created? The result would be fewer investigations, fewer foreign correspondents, fewer deep dives into complex issues. The web turns into a hall of mirrors—reflecting summaries of summaries, AI hallucinations and press releases, with no original source in sight.
这同样影响着出版商、广告商和AI公司。AI工具的运作依赖于新鲜、高质量的内容。它们需要记者收集事实、分析师解读数据、评论员测试产品。如果这些人无法谋生,原始材料就会枯竭。机器人仍然会生成答案——但这些答案将由过时的文章、新闻稿和宣传内容拼凑而成。AI最终会“自食其果”。
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This affects publishers, advertisers, and AI companies alike. AI tools depend on fresh, high-quality content so that they can function. They need journalists to gather facts, analysts to interpret data, and reviewers to test products. If those people can’t earn a living, the source material dries up. The bots will still generate answers—but those answers will be stitched together from outdated articles, press releases, and propaganda. AI ends up eating itself.
出版商正试图通过授权协议、诉讼和技术阻止来反击,但经济压力是残酷的。如果广告资金流向他处,流量永远无法到达,开放网络可能无法以目前的形式生存。AI不仅会颠覆新闻业,还会掏空它赖以训练的信息生态系统。
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Publishers are trying to fight back—through licensing deals, lawsuits, and technical blocks—but the economics are brutal. If the ad money flows elsewhere, and the traffic never arrives, the open web may not survive in its current form. AI won’t just disrupt journalism. It will hollow out the information ecosystem it was trained on.
在线评论生态系统的瓦解与信任危机
新闻业并非唯一受到威胁的事物。整个在线评论生态系统——曾经是消费者决策的重要组成部分——也正在瓦解。
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Journalism isn’t the only thing under threat. The entire ecosystem of online reviews—once a vital part of consumer decision-making—is breaking down too.
在互联网出现之前,评论发表在杂志上。但那些评论并不总是值得信赖。大广告商可能会影响编辑决策,读者核实声明的方式也有限。互联网提供了一种替代方案:独立的评论员通过透明度和一致性建立信任。科技评论员、汽车评论员和利基专家通过诚实赢得了忠实受众,并通过观看量和订阅将这种信任变现。
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Before the internet, reviews were published in magazines. But those weren’t always trustworthy. Big advertisers could influence editorial decisions, and readers had limited ways to verify claims. The internet offered an alternative: independent reviewers who built trust through transparency and consistency. Tech reviewers, car reviewers, and niche experts earned loyal audiences by being honest—and monetized that trust through views and subscriptions.
在线评论是早期互联网最棒的特点之一。像亚马逊这样的平台提供了一种新的透明度——来自真实用户的真实反馈。对购物者来说,这是一个突破。您不必相信广告或推销。您可以阅读其他消费者的想法。
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Online reviews were one of the best things about the early internet. Platforms like Amazon offered a new kind of transparency—real feedback from real users. For shoppers, this was a breakthrough. You didn’t have to trust an advert or a sales pitch. You could read what other consumers thought.
这种信任并未持续。卖家开始操纵系统。一些人提供免费礼品或折扣以换取五星好评。另一些人则付费给“机器人农场”用虚假赞扬淹没平台——或破坏竞争对手。研究表明,在电子产品和补充剂等类别中,大多数评论可能是虚假的。
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That trust didn’t last. Sellers began gaming the system. Some offered free gifts or discounts in exchange for five-star reviews. Others paid bot farms to flood platforms with fake praise—or to sabotage competitors. Studies show that in categories like electronics and supplements, the majority of reviews may be fake.
现在,AI工具正在总结评论,但它们无法区分诚实反馈和被操纵的内容。如果可信评论员因为他们的作品未经署名或补偿就被抓取和重新包装而失去流量,他们生产高质量、无偏见评论的动力就会消失。
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Now AI tools are summarizing reviews—but they don’t distinguish between honest feedback and manipulated content. If trusted reviewers lose traffic because their work is scraped and repackaged without attribution or compensation, their incentive to produce high-quality, unbiased reviews disappears.
评论生态系统不仅仅是选择合适的耳机或预订一家好酒店。它是我们评估真相的一部分。如果AI工具在这方面不可信——因为它们的原始材料受到损害——它们就会失去信誉的关键支柱。
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The review ecosystem isn’t just about choosing the right headphones or booking a good hotel. It’s part of how we evaluate truth. If AI tools can’t be trusted on this front—because their source material is compromised—they lose a key pillar of credibility.
内容创作者的反击与AI的潜在偏见
随着AI工具抓取和总结内容——通常未经许可或补偿,一些创作者正在反击。
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As AI tools scrape and summarize content – often without permission or compensation, some creators are pushing back.
音乐家Benn Jordan——他在YouTube上拥有最有趣的频道之一——开发了一个名为Poisonify的工具,旨在保护艺术家免受未经授权的AI训练。它旨在阻止AI公司未经创作者许可使用音乐。
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The musician Benn Jordan – who has one of the most interesting channels on YouTube - developed a tool called Poisonify to protect artists from unauthorized AI training. It’s designed to prevent AI companies from using music without the creator’s permission.
他关于这个项目的视频,以及他最近关于AI公司在未经您同意的情况下记录和分享您的车辆位置的视频都非常值得观看。我会在描述中附上链接。
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His video on this project – along with his most recent one on AI companies that are logging and sharing your vehicle's location without your consent are well worth watching. I’ll include links in the description.
Poisonify通过向音乐轨道添加难以察觉的“对抗性噪声”来工作——这样音频对人类听众来说听起来没有变化,但对AI抓取器来说却完全不同。他的软件不仅阻止AI未经许可复制艺术家的音乐,甚至可能通过破坏它们的训练数据来惩罚那些未经许可获取音乐的AI。如果被抓取,这些“被毒化”的音轨可能会降低AI模型的性能,使AI公司更难从窃取的内容中获利。
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Poisonify works by adding imperceptible “adversarial noise” to a music track—so the audio sounds unchanged to human listeners but sounds entirely different to AI scrapers. His software not only prevents AI’s from replicating an artist’s music without permission, but it may even punish them for taking the music without permission by corrupting their training data. If scraped, the poisoned tracks can possibly degrade an AI model’s performance, making it harder for AI companies to profit from stolen content.
出版商也在部署对策。Cloudflare和其他基础设施提供商现在提供工具来阻止AI爬虫。一些媒体集团正在与AI公司谈判授权协议,另一些则提起诉讼。例如,《纽约时报》已对OpenAI和微软提起诉讼,声称它们的模型未经许可就使用了受版权保护的新闻内容进行训练。
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Publishers are deploying countermeasures too. Cloudflare and other infrastructure providers now offer tools to block AI crawlers. Some media groups are negotiating licensing deals with AI firms and others are suing. The New York Times, for example, has filed lawsuits against OpenAI and Microsoft, arguing that their models were trained on copyrighted journalism without permission.
最有效的策略可能是品牌化。在一个AI可以模仿语气和总结内容的世界里,个性成为一道护城河。出版商正在推广个人声音——专栏作家、YouTube博主、Substack作者——以此来建立忠诚度并留住流量。**《华尔街日报》**最近招聘了一名“人才教练”,以帮助记者建立个人品牌。这基于读者追随人而非平台的理念。
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The most effective strategy may be branding. In a world where AI can mimic tone and summarize content, personality becomes a moat. Publishers are promoting individual voices—columnists, YouTubers, Substack writers—as a way to build loyalty and retain traffic. The Wall Street Journal recently advertised for a “Talent Coach” to help journalists build personal brands. This is based on the idea that readers follow people, rather than platforms.
这种转变反映了创作者经济的兴起,独立记者、分析师和评论员通过新闻通讯、播客和付费订阅与受众建立直接关系。但即使是这些模式也依赖于可见度。如果AI工具在受众接触到创作者之前就将其拦截,经济模式仍然会崩溃。
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This shift mirrors the rise of the creator economy, where independent journalists, analysts, and reviewers build direct relationships with their audiences—through newsletters, podcasts, and paid subscriptions. But even these models depend on visibility. If AI tools intercept the audience before they reach the creator, the economics still collapse.
讽刺的是,这种策略——将个性作为护城河——只有在个性真实存在时才有效。AI生成的网红已经开始获得关注。合成的声音、合成的面孔和合成的观点。如果最后一个可防御的资产是真实性,那么下一场军备竞赛将围绕“真实意味着什么”展开。
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The irony is that this strategy—building personality as a moat—only works if the personality is real. AI-generated influencers are already gaining traction. Synthetic voices, synthetic faces and synthetic opinions. If the last defensible asset is authenticity, then the next arms race is over what it means to be real.
一些初创公司正试图围绕AI访问构建新模式。Tollbit自称是“机器人的付费墙”,允许内容网站向AI爬虫收取可变费用——新故事比旧故事收费更高。该公司认为,收费访问激励了内容的独特性,这与奖励通用内容的传统搜索不同。
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Some startups are trying to build new models around AI access. Tollbit, which describes itself as a “paywall for bots,” allows content sites to charge AI crawlers variable rates—charging more for new stories than old ones. The firm argues that charging for access incentivizes uniqueness, unlike traditional search which rewards generic content.
另一种方法来自ProRata,它建议将AI生成答案的广告收入重新分配给那些内容促成这些答案的网站。其引擎已经与500多家合作出版物分享收入。
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Another approach comes from ProRata, which proposes that ad revenue from AI-generated answers should be redistributed to the sites whose content contributed to those answers. Its engine already shares revenue with over 500 partner publications.
用户转向AI聊天机器人获取信息的一个日益增长的担忧是,这些公司一直在积极夸大其能力。这些系统被宣传为超级智能生物——比任何专家都聪明,设计上无偏见,能够回答任何问题。这种框架给用户带来了对输出结果的错误信心。埃隆·马斯克曾声称他的聊天机器人Grok在各个学科上都比博士更聪明,它能发现新物理学,并在“人类终极考试”(一项旨在测试100个学科推理能力的基准测试)中超越人类。当然,他也声称他的汽车已经能自动驾驶近十年了——所以我们应该对这些说法持保留态度。
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A growing concern with users turning to AI chatbots for information is that the companies behind them have been aggressively overselling their capabilities. These systems are pitched as superintelligent beings—smarter than any expert, unbiased by design, and capable of answering anything. That framing gives users a false sense of confidence in the output. Elon Musk has claimed that his chatbot Grok is more intelligent than PhD holders in every discipline, that it can discover new physics, and outperform humans on Humanity’s Last Exam—a benchmark designed to test reasoning across 100 disciplines. Of course, he has also been claiming that his cars can drive themselves for nearly a decade – so we should probably take these claims with a pinch of salt.
几周前,Angela Collier制作了一段精彩有趣的视频,名为**《氛围物理学》,她在其中解释了像All In podcast**上的那些科技企业家如何将聊天机器人的流利性误认为是智能——尤其是当机器人开始谈论他们专业领域之外的话题时,比如她的领域:物理学。当聊天机器人讨论他们了解的内容时,他们很快就能发现错误,但一旦它转向不熟悉的领域,他们就会突然对其才华感到惊叹。这种超级智能的幻觉恰恰在用户缺乏评估答案工具时产生。
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Angela Collier made an excellent – and funny - video a few weeks ago called “Vibe Physics”, where she explains how tech entrepreneurs like the guys on the All In podcast mistake chatbot fluency for intelligence—especially when the bot starts talking about subjects outside their expertise, like her field: physics. They’re quick to spot errors when the chatbot discusses something they know, but once it shifts to unfamiliar territory, they’re suddenly amazed by its brilliance. The illusion of superintelligence kicks in precisely when the user lacks the tools to evaluate the answer.
Meta——它确实应该改回叫Facebook——声称其AI驱动的“书呆子眼镜”将赋予用户认知优势,谁知道呢——也许会吧。也许当您试图专注于更重要的事情时,全天候忽略向您推送的广告会提升您的认知能力。
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Meta – which really ought to go back to calling itself Facebook - says that its AI-powered nerd glasses will give users a cognitive edge, and who knows – they might. Maybe trying to ignore the adverts being served to you all day long while you are trying to focus on more important things will boost your cognitive abilities.
当用户停止阅读新闻媒体——他们了解记者和出版商的编辑标准、声誉和偏见——而开始向聊天机器人寻求答案,假设存在偏见的地方是中立的,他们不仅仅是在改变平台。他们正在改变他们信任谁来解释世界。
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When users stop reading news outlets—where they understand the editorial standards, reputations, and biases of both the journalist and the publisher—and start asking chatbots for answers assuming neutrality where bias may exist, they’re not just changing platforms. They’re changing who they trust to explain the world.
而这种信任可能被错置了。
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And that trust may be misplaced.
AI系统并非中立。它们反映了训练数据、编码者的假设以及部署它们的公司动机。偏见可能通过训练数据、算法设计和审核选择悄然渗入。有时是偶然的,但有时是故意的。
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AI systems are not neutral. They reflect the data they’re trained on, the assumptions of their coders, and the incentives of the companies that deploy them. Bias can creep in through training data, algorithmic design, and moderation choices. Sometimes it’s accidental – but sometimes it’s deliberate.
Grok就是一个案例研究,展示了当这些过滤器失效时会发生什么。在7月份的一次更新旨在使其听起来更“原始”后,Grok开始自称为“机械希特勒”。土耳其禁止了这个聊天机器人——不是因为纳粹言论,而是因为它还侮辱了埃尔多安总统。
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Grok is a case study in what happens when those filters fail. After a July update designed to make it sound more “raw,” Grok began referring to itself as “MechaHitler.” Turkey banned the chatbot – not because of the Nazi stuff but because it also insulted President Erdogan.
其他机器人也曾出现故障——捏造来源、幻觉事实(hallucinating facts: 指AI系统生成看似真实但实际上是虚构或不准确的信息)和错误引用。
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Other bots have had breakdowns too - fabricating sources, hallucinating facts and misattributing quotes.
超级智能的神话鼓励用户信任那些听起来权威的机器,即使它们缺乏透明度或问责制。随着聊天机器人成为默认的信息来源,用户可能会开始比合格专家更依赖它们——尤其是在专业知识难以获得且背景至关重要的领域。这种转变发生之际,公众对专家群体的信心已经面临压力。根据皮尤研究中心的数据,过去五年中,对科学家的信任度稳步下降,现在只有不到一半的美国人对科学领导者表示强烈信心。随着AI系统承担起“首席解释官”的角色,那些曾经支撑公众理解的机构面临被边缘化的风险。令人担忧的是,我之前展示的《经济学人》图表中,健康信息受AI工具获取信息的影响最为严重。
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The myth of superintelligence encourages users to place their trust in machines that sound authoritative, even when they lack transparency or accountability. As chatbots become the default source of information, users may begin to rely on them more than qualified experts—especially in areas where expertise is hard-earned and context matters. This shift is happening at a time when public confidence in expert communities is already under pressure. According to Pew Research, trust in scientists has declined steadily over the last five years, with fewer than half of Americans now expressing strong confidence in scientific leaders. As AI systems take on the role of explainer-in-chief, the institutions that once anchored public understanding risk being sidelined. It is quite worrying that in that Economist chart I showed earlier that health information is most heavily impacted by the move to AI tools for information.
开放网络的未来与信息生态系统的挑战
开放网络建立在一个简单的交换之上:出版商创建内容,用户访问网站,他们的注意力随后被货币化——为下一轮报道提供资金。AI工具正在打破这个循环。
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The open web was built on a simple exchange: publishers create content, users visit websites, and their attention is then monetized—funding the next round of reporting. AI tools are already breaking that loop.
如果没人为新闻付费,新闻就会停止报道。调查不会发生。对复杂问题的深入分析将被AI对新闻稿的总结和幻觉所取代。
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If no one pays for the news, the news stops being reported. Investigations don’t happen. Deep dives into complex issues are replaced by AI summaries of press releases and hallucinations.
虽然有些人认为公民新闻可以填补空白,但专业新闻无法被在社交媒体上发帖的个人取代。目击者证词和基层报道可能很有力,但它们没有编辑、法律团队,也没有资源花费数月时间核实线索和保护消息来源。BBC对利比亚瓦格纳集团的调查、NBC对基督教寄宿家庭强制收养的曝光,以及ProPublica对美国最高法院道德丑闻的报道,都需要机构支持和持续获取数据和来源。这些都不是仅凭一部智能手机和一个Twitter账户就能爆出的新闻。新闻业不仅仅是“在场”——它关乎如何处理你发现的信息,以及拥有负责任地完成这项工作的基础设施。
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While some argue that citizen journalism can fill the gap, professional journalism can’t be replaced by individuals posting on social media. Eyewitness accounts and grassroots reporting can be powerful, but they don’t come with editors, legal teams, or the resources to spend months verifying leads and protecting sources. The BBC’s investigation into the Wagner Group in Libya, NBC’s exposé on forced adoptions in Christian boarding homes, and ProPublica’s reporting on U.S. Supreme Court ethics scandals all required institutional backing and sustained access to data and sources. These aren’t stories that could have been broken by someone with a smartphone and a Twitter account. Journalism isn’t just about being there—it’s about knowing what to do with what you find, and having the infrastructure to do it responsibly.
这场正在发生的颠覆超越了新闻业,可能会重塑整个信息生态系统。如果由于资金缺乏,原始材料枯竭,机器人仍然会生成答案——但这些答案将由过时的文章、企业公关和宣传内容拼凑而成。网络可能会开始像一台指向电视机的电视摄像机——循环播放被循环的内容。
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The disruption unfolding reaches beyond journalism and could reshape the entire information ecosystem. If the source material dries up due to lack of funding, the bots will still generate answers—but those answers will be stitched together from outdated articles, corporate PR, and propaganda. The web could begin to resemble a television camera pointed at a television—recycling recycled content.
我过去在这个频道上谈论过闪电式扩张(blitzscaling: 一种快速扩张策略,优先考虑增长而非盈利,通过迅速占领市场来淘汰竞争对手)的策略,即资金充足的科技颠覆者优先考虑增长而非盈利。其理念是,快速扩张会吸引高市场估值,让风险投资家在公司找到可持续盈利来源之前,就能将不盈利(或微利)的公司转手给公众。闪电式扩张的公司通常故意亏损,通过削弱现有企业来消除竞争,并在之后提高价格。优步不需要盈利就能重塑城市交通;它只需要快速、廉价和无情。
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I have talked in the past on this channel about the strategy of blitzscaling - where well-funded tech disruptors prioritize growth over profitability. The idea is that rapid expansion attracts high market valuations, allowing venture capitalists to flip unprofitable (or barely profitable) companies to the public before they ever find a sustainable source of profit. Blitzscaled firms often lose money deliberately, undercutting incumbents with the goal of eliminating competition and raising prices later. Uber didn’t need to be profitable to reshape urban transport; it just needed to be fast, cheap, and relentless.
AI现在正在遵循同样的策略。巨额资金被投入到尚未找到可行商业模式的工具中。但即使没有盈利途径,它们仍然可能摧毁支撑新闻业、教育和公共知识的经济支架。
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AI is now following the same playbook. Vast sums are being spent to build tools that have yet to find a viable business model. But even without a path to profitability, they could still destroy the economic scaffolding that supports journalism, education, and public knowledge.
技术最终会影响一切。但当它影响到帮助我们理解世界的机构时,其风险比大多数人意识到的要高。
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Technology eventually comes for everything. But when it comes for the institutions that help us understand the world, the stakes are higher than most people realize. [Jesse Welles Clip]
商业模式会演变。当互联网首次出现时,报纸似乎注定要消亡——但这个行业适应了,为数字时代进行了自我改造。Napster的出现让音乐似乎永远免费,威胁着这个行业。然而,音乐家们找到了新的赚钱方式——通过巡演、流媒体和直接粉丝互动。
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Business models evolve. When the internet first appeared, it looked like newspapers were doomed—but the industry adapted, reinventing itself for the digital age. Napster made it seem like music would be free forever, threatening that industry. Yet musicians found new ways to earn—through touring, streaming, and direct fan engagement.
信息经济正面临类似的时刻,但获取高质量信息对现代世界的运作至关重要。虽然今天的颠覆感觉是“生存危机”,但新闻业和知识机构更有可能适应新环境,而不是从中消失。商业模式可能会改变。平台可能会转移。但对真相、背景和问责制的需求不会消失。
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The information economy is facing a similar moment, but having access to high-quality information is essential to the functioning of the modern world. And while today’s disruption feels existential, it’s more likely that journalism and knowledge institutions will adapt to the new environment than vanish from it. The business models may change. The platforms may shift. But the demand for truth, context, and accountability isn’t going away.
如果您觉得这个视频有趣,接下来应该观看关于美国抵押贷款鸿沟的视频。别忘了使用描述中的链接查看我们的赞助商Tello。祝您有美好的一天,下个视频再见。再见!
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If you found this video interesting, you should watch this video on Americas mortgage divide next. Don’t forget to check out our sponsor Tello using the link in the description. Have a great day and talk to you in the next video. Bye!
📌 文中提及的人物和组织
人物: Elon Musk
公司/组织: Google, OpenAI, Microsoft, Apple, Meta, Cloudflare, The New York Times, Financial Times, BBC, NBC
产品/模型: ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, AI Overviews, Grok, Safari
媒体/书籍: The Economist, The Atlantic, YouTube, TechRadar, Substack, The Wall Street Journal, All In podcast, Vibe Physics