可汗学院创始人萨尔·汗:从对冲基金到全球教育革命 Norges Bank Investment Management 2024-04-17

从对冲基金到可汗学院的诞生

大家好,欢迎收听“In Good Company”节目,今天我们非常高兴能带来一期特别节目,邀请到可汗学院(Khan Academy: 一个提供免费、世界级教育的非营利组织)富有远见的创始人萨尔·汗(Sal Khan)。

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hi everyone and welcome to in good company and today we are thrilled to have a bonus episode with Salan the Visionary founder of Khan Academy.

我们很多人,包括我自己的孩子,都非常感谢可汗学院在家庭作业和学习上提供的帮助,所以很高兴能邀请到您。您确实彻底改变了教育。

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now we are a lot of people who have to thank KH for all his help with our homework and learning including uh on behalf of my own children so it's a pleasure to have you here you have really revolutionized education.

感谢邀请。萨利,能和一位同样有对冲基金(Hedge Fund: 一种采用多种投资策略来对冲市场风险、以期获得绝对收益的投资基金)背景的人一起做播客,这很有趣,因为您是第一个。

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thanks for having me and and also Sally it's kind of fun to have uh somebody else on the bcast who has a a background in in a hedge fund because uh you're the first one actually oh yeah.

哦,是吗?我们都是对冲基金的“难民”。

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okay we're hedge fund refugees.

当然。您从对冲基金转行创办可汗学院的故事非常动人。您能简单回顾一下,这一切是如何开始的吗?

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absolutely I just think it's such a lovely story the way you went from you know a hedge fund to starting Can Academy would you mind just recapping in a in a few words how you got started on this.

好的,时间回到2004年。我从商学院毕业一年,我的最初背景是技术,但后来我去了商学院,最终在波士顿一家非常小的对冲基金工作。

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yeah you you go back to 2004 I was a year out of business school my original background was in tech but I go to business school I end up at a very small hedge fund in Boston a year out of business school.

我当时在新泽西结婚,我出生在新奥尔良并长大。我的家人来新泽西参加我的婚礼,然后又来波士顿和我待了一段时间。

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I I'm get I Get Married in New Jersey I was born and raised in New Orleans my family comes for my wedding in New Jersey and then comes and spends time with me in Boston.

在一次聊天中,我的12岁表妹娜迪亚(Nadia)——当时和我们住在一起——数学遇到了困难。

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and just comes out of conversation that my 12-year-old cousin Nadia who was staying with us uh was having trouble in math.

我提出在她回到新奥尔良后给她辅导,她同意了,辅导效果很好,长话短说。

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so I offered to tutor her when she went back to New Orleans she agreed and the tutoring worked to a long story short.

那个在七年级还在单位换算上挣扎的娜迪亚,到了那个夏天,就已经在新奥尔良大学上微积分课了。

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and uh that same naadia who was struggling with unit conversion in seventh grade uh by that summer was taking calculus classes at the University of New Orleans.

于是我开始辅导她年幼的弟弟们,免费辅导的消息在我家人中传开了。

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uh so I started tutoring her younger brothers word spreads in my family- free tutoring is going on.

不知不觉中,我每天下班后都在辅导10到15个表亲和家庭朋友。

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before I know it I'm tutoring 10 15 cousins family friends uh after work every day.

显然这只是一个爱好,但我发现了一个普遍的模式:他们之所以挣扎,是因为知识存在空白,他们需要复习和巩固。

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obviously this was just a hobby and I saw a common pattern that they were struggling because they had gaps in their knowledge they needed to review things they need to refresh things.

所以在2005年,我开始为他们编写软件,这仍然是一个家庭爱好,但我称之为“可汗学院”。

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so in 2005 I started writing software for them once again it's a family hobby but I called it KH Academy.

那个软件会给他们提供练习题,并帮助我作为他们的导师来跟踪进度,当时还没有视频。

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and that software would give them practice problems and for me as their tutor to keep track of it it didn't have videos at the time.

然后在2006年,一位朋友建议我制作YouTube视频,以便为我的表亲们扩展我的课程,因为我发现很难与10到15个表亲安排时间,而且我感觉自己一直在重复同样的内容。

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then in 2006 a friend suggested Ed that I make YouTube videos from my cousins to help scale my lessons cuz I actually was having trouble scheduling with 10 15 cousins and I felt like I was repeating the same thing over and over again.

于是我开始制作这些视频,我的表亲们就直言不讳地告诉我,他们更喜欢在YouTube上看我,而不是面对面。

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and so I started making those videos and my cousins famously told me that they like me better on YouTube than in person.

我想他们想表达的是,他们喜欢这种按需学习的版本,如果需要复习几年前的内容,也不会感到羞耻;他们可以在深夜学习时观看视频。

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and what they were saying I think is uh they liked having an ond demand version there was no shame if they had to review something from a few years earlier they could watch it in the middle of the night if that's when they were working on the problems.

他们仍然很感谢我能关心他们等等。

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they still appreciated having me check in on them Etc.

到2008年到2009年,大约有5万到10万人使用这些视频和软件。

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and by 2008 2009 there were about 50 to 100,000 folks using the videos and the software.

我甚至不得不关闭软件的访问权限,因为它超出了我的网络托管能力。

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I actually had to turn off the access to the software because it was overwhelming my web hosting uh.

正是在2008年,我将其设立为一个非营利组织。当时我并没有想过要辞掉对冲基金的工作,我其实很喜欢那份工作。

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and that's when I in 2008 I set it up as a nonprofit at the time I didn't think I was going to quit my hedge fund job I actually liked my hedge fund job uh.

但我将其设立为一个非营利组织,使命是为任何人、任何地方提供免费的世界级教育。

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but I set it up as a nonprofit with a mission free worldclass education for anyone anywhere.

到了2009年,我发现自己很难专注于对冲基金的工作,因为我收到了来自世界各地的信件。

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and then by 2009 I had trouble focusing on my hedge fund job because it was I was getting letters from all over the world.

我只是等着回家制作下一个视频或编写下一个软件模块。

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I was just waiting to get home to work on the next video or to write the next software module.

于是我辞掉了日常工作。我和妻子查看了我们的财务状况,然后说:“好吧,也许我可以这样干一年,靠积蓄生活一段时间。”

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and so that's when I quit my day job my wife and I looked at our finances and we said okay maybe I could do this for a year live off of savings a bit um.

第一年很艰难。每当你尝试开始任何事情时,你可能会抱有一种妄想般的乐观,认为人们会来支持它,但这需要一些时间。

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and that first year was tough whenever you try to start anything it's you you have a maybe delusionally optimistic view of maybe people will come and support it but it took a little while.

但到了2010年秋天,我们获得了第一笔重要的慈善支持。

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but by uh fall of 2010 we got our first significant uh philanthropic support.

主持人问,现在可汗学院帮助了多少人?

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amazing and fast forward to now how many people do you do you help.

萨尔·汗回答说,这取决于你如何计算。我们的注册用户现在是1.6亿或1.7亿。

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oh well you know it depends how you account for it uh I think our registered users is 160 or 170 million registered users now.

如果你按课程观看次数计算,那是在数十亿次;如果你按每年的学习分钟数计算,那也是在数十亿次,我想大概是100亿分钟。

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I think if you counted it by You Know lesson views it's in the billions uh if you count it by learning minutes per year that's also in the on I think it's on the order of 10 10 billion.

主持人又问,在最初进展缓慢的时候,是什么让您保持动力?因为像英伟达(Nvidia)和声田(Spotify)这样的成功公司也曾几次濒临破产。是什么让您坚持下来的?

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but in the beginning um when you when it was um slower what kept you motivating motivated because I think it's interesting you know successful companies such as Nvidia uh you know nearly went under a few times spottify and nearly went under a few times what kept you motivated through all this.

萨尔·汗表示,仅仅是能够与家人保持联系,看到他们在数学上取得进步,或者在科学或其他任何方面获得自信,这对我来说就非常值得。

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just me being able to connect with my family and them being able to accelerate in math or make sure that they have confidence in science or whatever they're doing that was worth it for me very much worth it.

一旦它开始传播开来,我的表亲以外的人也开始使用它,并给我发来感谢信,这些信件就像我早上的“提神剂”。

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and um but once it started to getting out there and people who are not my cous cousin started using it and they started sending me notes that note was like my pickme up of the morning.

现在仍然如此,我们可汗学院仍然收到信件。

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it still is we still get letters at Khan Academy.

虽然我热爱我的工作,但总有好日子和坏日子。每当我读到那些来自世界各地人们的信件时,就会充满动力。

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and the thing that you know every I love my job but there's good days bad days and and but whenever I read those letters from people all over the world saying how you know.

有些只是简单的感谢,比如“你帮我通过了这次考试”,但有些则非常感人,他们讲述了自己如何在某个科目上缺乏自信,人们一辈子都认为他们很笨,然后他们转行或加入了某个团体,后来发现了可汗学院。

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some of them are just simple thank yous like hey you helped me pass this exam or that exam but some of them are pretty emotional where they're talking about how they had no self-esteem in some topic they you know people thought they were were dumb their whole life then they went some other career track or they joined this or that and then they found KH Academy.

他们开始按照自己的时间和节奏学习,发现了对这门学科的热爱,然后重返大学,或者现在正在攻读某个领域的博士学位。

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and then they started working at their own time in Pace they discovered a a love for the subject and then they go back to college or now they're getting a PhD in something um.

当你收到来自世界各地陌生人的这类信件时,那真是令人难以置信的鼓舞。

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when you get letters like that from people you don't know all over the world it's incredibly motivating.

所以,最艰难的时期可能就是2009年秋到2010年秋那一年,我辞掉了日常工作,我们动用了积蓄,我的妻子还在医生培训中,我们的第一个孩子也出生了。

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and so that you know the hardest point was probably that year from Fall of 2009 to fall of 2010 where I had quit my day job we're digging into our savings my wife was still in training to be a doctor um our first child had been born.

你可以想象,我放弃了一份收入非常丰厚的好工作。

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you could imagine I had given up a very good job that was paying very well um.

那段时期,也就是三四个月后,压力非常大。每当我想要更新简历,申请另一份金融工作时,我都会看看这些信件,心想:“不,这里面有重要的东西。”

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that was you know three or four months into that it was very stressful and whenever I was tempted to you know re refresh my resume and apply for another Finance job I would look at these letters I was like no this it's something here.

我确实告诉自己,如果未来一年内没有获得任何真正的慈善资助,我不会放弃这个项目,我会回去工作以养活自己和家人,但我会继续把它当作爱好来做。

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and I I did tell myself if if I didn't get any real philanthropic funding in the next year I wouldn't give up the project I would go back to work so I could support myself and my family but I would keep working on it as a hobby um.

也许只是时机不对。所以,我确实想让它变得“不可被扼杀”,因为我内心深处觉得,这里面蕴藏着一些重要的东西。

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and maybe the the timing just wasn't right so I I did want to make it unkillable because I I I I felt in my heart of hearts that there was there was something there.

主持人问,当您在对冲基金赚大钱和创办这个慈善事业、真正帮助世界之间做选择时,您当时在想什么?

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what when through your head when you were thinking okay I'm either going to work in a hedge fund make a lot of money or I'm going to start this philanthropic Venture and you know really help the world what what went through your head.

萨尔·汗回忆说,这很有趣。当我从商学院毕业时,正如我所说,我有点迷茫,不知道自己一生要做什么。

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you know it's interesting when I um came out of B you know as as I mentioned I business school was a little bit of like what am I going to do with my lifetime and while there uh I I had never no I had no experience in finance before that um.

在此之前,我没有任何金融经验。在商学院期间,我上了一门资本市场课程,这门课数学含量很高。

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and once I was there I I took a class in Capital markets which was pretty math heavy uh.

但我被它吸引了,因为它既有数学成分,也有非常历史的、人类心理学的成分。你真的需要了解世界是如何运作的。

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but I was fascinated because it had a math aspect to it but it also had a very historical uh human psychological aspects to it you really have to understand how the world works.

我记得当时问教授:“嘿,我喜欢这门课,我该做什么?”他说:“哦,你应该去对冲基金工作。”

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and I remember asking the professor there hey I love this class what should I do and he's like oh you should work at a hedge fund.

我说:“听起来不错,什么是对冲基金?”他解释说,它像一家投资公司,但它们比共同基金有更大的灵活性,可以做更多有创意的事情。

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and I said well that sounds great what's a hedge fund and you know we explain it's it's like a it's an investment firm but they have more flexibility and they can do more creative things than say a mutual fund um.

所以我被这个职业吸引了,因为它似乎能带来智力上的探索。我当时很天真,开始问一些金融界的朋友:“嘿,对冲基金的薪水高吗?”他们说:“是的。”我又问:“大概多少?”

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and so I I was drawn to that career because of the intellectual Journey that it seemed to have and I was so naive I started asking some friends in finance I said hey do hedge funds pay well and they said yeah I said about how much and um.

当我得知薪资水平后,考虑到我大学时期的债务,以及商学院大约12万美元的债务,我说:“你知道,我不是在富裕家庭长大的。我的家庭,我是在单亲母亲的家庭中长大的,充其量只能算是中下阶层。”

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once I learned that and I had I still had some debt from undergrad and then I had about $120,000 of debt from business school I said you know I did not grow up I I think you know my family I grew up in a single mother household at best I would call us a lower middle class at best.

我想:“好吧,我需要还清这些债务,存些钱,然后最终为买房付首付,也许还要帮助家人等等。”

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I was like okay I need to pay off this debt save some money and you know get a down payment on a house eventually help maybe help support family Etc.

而且这份工作在智力上也很刺激,这就是我选择对冲基金这条路的原因。

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and it was intellectually stimulating so that's what drove me down the hedge fund path.

但当时我的妻子,我的未婚妻,总是为此抱怨我,她说:“像你这样的人,你受过这样的教育,拥有所有这些技能,却只是用它们来做投资。”

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but my my wife at that time my fiance always used to give me a little bit of grief about it she's like you know people like you you're you you have this education you have all of these skills and you're just using it to make in to make investments.

我说:“嗯,你知道,世界需要对冲基金,它有助于价格发现和流动性等等。”

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I was like well you know the head world needs hedge funds it helps price Discovery and liquidity and all this kind.

主持人说,我完全听过同样的话,但很高兴您最终“看到了光明”。

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well I'll tell you I'll tell you s I've heard I've heard exactly the same thing um but I'm I'm I'm I'm really glad you saw the light.

金融危机与教育的“二西格玛问题”

主持人问,您是什么时候意识到这会变得非常重要的?

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now when did you realize that this was really going to be big.

萨尔·汗说,我们都记得,或者很多人都记得2008年和2009年发生了什么,当时发生了金融危机。

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we all remember or many of us remember what was happening in um 2008 and 2009 uh you have the financial crisis.

我当时已经为我的表亲们制作了关于代数、物理和SAT备考的视频。

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and I was already making videos from my cousins on algebra and physics and SAT prep.

然后我发现人们不理解资不抵债和流动性不足的区别,他们不理解什么是信用违约互换(credit default swap)或抵押贷款支持证券(mortgage-backed security)。

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and then I saw that people were not did not understand the difference between um insolvency and illiquidity they did not understand what a credit default swap is or what a mortgage back sec security.

这些在历史上属于高端金融人士才了解的“异国情调”事物,现在却登上了报纸头条或新闻。

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and these things that historically were kind of exotic things that people in High Finance would know we now on the headlines on on in the newspaper or on the news.

于是我开始制作关于美联储如何运作、金融传染病是什么样子、什么是抵押贷款支持证券、信用违约互换等等的视频。

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and so I started making videos on how does a Federal Reserve work what does a financial contagion look like um what's a mortgage back security credit default swap etc etc.

结果,主流媒体开始给我发信,说:“嘿,我们在报道金融危机之前会看你的视频。”

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and um it turns out that the mainstream press I started getting letters from the the mainstream Outlet saying hey we're watching your videos before we're reporting on the financial crisis.

可汗学院第一次获得全国乃至国际关注,与学术科目无关,而是美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)邀请我连续15分钟谈论金融危机,那一天市场下跌了大约4%或5%。

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and then they the first National publicity or International publicity that Khan Academy got had nothing to do with academic subjects it was CNN brought me on to talk about the financial crisis for 15 minutes straight on the day that I think you know the market tanked by like 4% that day or 5% uh.

这对我来说是一个信号。虽然现在人们在YouTube上做视频、获得大量关注甚至以此谋生已经很普遍,但在2008年、2009年,这并不是主流。

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but that was a signal that to me that look though even though what I was you know now it's become mainstream for people to do something on YouTube and to get a lot of attention and even make a living in 2008 2009 that was not a mainstream thing as especially because I wasn't doing dance videos I was doing fairly you know I was explaining credit default swaps um.

尤其是我不是在做舞蹈视频,我是在解释信用违约互换。但当你因此获得那种关注时,我就觉得:“好吧,这里面有重要的东西。”

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but that you know when you get that type of attention for it I was like okay there's something here.

这也有助于为我们在数学、科学以及所有其他科目上所做的工作带来更多关注和口碑。

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and then that helped bring even more attention and Word of Mouth to what was happening on the math and the science and and all the other subjects we were doing.

主持人问,您谈到的这种辅导,这种详细的帮助,被称为“二西格玛问题”(Two-Sigma Problem),但也是“二西格玛机会”。您具体指的是什么?

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but there's something with this tutoring this uh kind of detail help that you talk about as the two Sigma well two Sigma problem but also to Sigma opportunity what what exactly do you mean by that.

萨尔·汗解释说,人们总是凭直觉认为,最好的教育来自于大量的关注,如果有一个一对一的导师,甚至是一支导师队伍。

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yeah well I think people have always intuitively thought that hey the best education is going to come if you have a lot of attention if you have a one-on-one tutor or if you even have an army of tutors.

纵观历史,王子、国王和未来的皇帝所受的教育,他们不是坐在30个学生的教室里,也不是有人只是给他们讲课,然后时不时地考试,如果他们考试不及格,课程就直接进入下一个主题。

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you if we think about throughout history what what princes and and kings and and future Emperors got as their education they did not sit in a class of 30 students and someone did not just lecture to them and every now and then they took a test and if they happen to fail the test the class just moves on to the next subject.

年轻的亚历山大大帝(Alexander the Great),当时他还不是亚历山大大帝,当然他是否“伟大”现在还有争议,但在公元前300多年,他的导师是亚里士多德(Aristotle: 古希腊哲学家、科学家,被誉为“百科全书式的学者”)。

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young Alexander the Great he wasn't Alexander the Great at that time um and I guess it's debatable whether he was great at this point but you know young Alexander back uh what 300 something BC um he his tutor was Aristotle uh.

我猜想,如果亚里士多德知道这个孩子有一天会成为皇帝,如果他在军事策略上遇到困难,他不会只给他一个C然后继续前进。

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and I am guessing that if you know Aristotle said okay this this kid's going to be Emperor one day if if he's struggling with military strategy I'm not just going to give him a c and move on.

他会和他一起努力,确保他理解军事策略。如果他在国家或帝国的会计方面遇到困难,他需要理解这些,以便将来能够治理。

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I'm gonna work with him and make sure he understands military strategy if he's struggling with the accounting for the for the for the nation or for the Empire uh he needs to understand that in order for him to govern uh for his future.

所以年轻的亚历山大从亚里士多德那里获得了个性化的辅导和教学。

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so young Alexander was getting personalized tutoring personalized teaching from Aristotle.

快进到大约300年前,大规模公共教育这个非常乌托邦式的想法,在一些最早工业化的国家开始出现,比如现在的德国、英国、美国和日本。

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you fast forward to about it's called 300 years ago a very utopian idea of Mass public education it started in some of these first countries to industrialize uh you know what is now Germany the UK the United States Japan were the first countries to say hey we should have Mass public education.

他们是第一批提出应该有大规模公共教育的国家,但他们不得不做出妥协。

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but they had to make a compromise.

他们说:“我们负担不起给每个人都配一个亚里士多德。我们将使用工业革命的工具,将学生批量分组,以固定的速度推进课程。”

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they said well we can't afford to give everyone an Aristotle we're going to U use the tools of the Industrial Revolution we're going to batch students together move them at a set Pace.

“我们将制定一些标准,创建一些评估,并进行衡量。我们不需要每个人都掌握量子物理或微积分——当时他们还不知道量子物理。我们不需要每个人都能成为教授,所以我们只会对人们进行分类。”

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we're going to create some standards we're going to create assessments that measure and you know we don't need everyone to be to master quantum physics or calculus they didn't know about quantum physics back then we don't need everyone to be able to become a a professor so we'll just sort people you know we'll just measure the product.

“在某些决策点上,某些人确实掌握了知识,这些人将进入知识经济。还有一些人处于中间水平,他们可以成为工厂的管理者。”

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and at certain decision points certain product is really retaining the knowledge and those are the people who are going to go into the knowledge economy and then certain people are in the middle well you know those could people can kind of be the managers of the factories.

“还有一些人 struggling,他们可以成为工业革命所需的低技能劳动力。”

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and then there's certain people who are struggling and those could be the less skilled uh labor that we need for for the Industrial Revolution.

主持人问,您觉得社会现在仍然是这样运作的吗?

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and is that pretty much and do you and do you feel that's pretty much how Society still works.

萨尔·汗回答说,是的,这就是我们过去300年来一直习以为常的系统,我们理所当然地认为世界就是这样运作的。

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yeah I mean that's that's that's the system that we've taken for granted that we just assume is how the world works for the last 300 years.

但我们今天知道,只有5%或10%的人能够真正参与知识经济是不行的。知识经济正在蓬勃发展,而由于人工智能和机器人技术等原因,其他领域在未来10到20年内可能会大幅萎缩。

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but we know today that it's not okay for only five or 10% of folks to really be able to participate in the knowledge economy that the knowledge economy is booming and that because of AI and Robotics everything else actually might might really shrink in the next let's call it 10 or 20 years uh.

好消息是,我们现在拥有了工具,不必再像工业时代那样做出妥协。

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and the good news is is that we do now have tools that we don't have to make the same compromises that we had in the Industrial Age.

您提到了二西格玛研究(Two-Sigma Study: 教育领域的一个概念,指通过一对一辅导和掌握式学习,学生的学习成绩可以提高两个标准差)。本杰明·布鲁姆(Benjamin Bloom)在1984年写了一篇论文,这可能是关于辅导和掌握式学习(Mastery Learning: 一种教学方法,要求学生在进入下一个学习阶段之前,必须完全掌握当前阶段的学习内容)被引用最多的论文。

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and to you know you allude to the two Sigma study Benjamin Bloom this is back in 1984 he wrote this paper it's it's probably the most cited paper on tutoring and Mastery learning.

掌握式学习就是这个想法:如果你还没有学会,就继续努力。这就是掌握式学习的全部。不要继续前进,或者你可以继续前进,但要回来填补空白。

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and Mastery learning is just this idea if you haven't learned it yet keep working on it that's all Mastery learning is don't don't move on or you can move on but come back and and and fill in that Gap.

他在那篇论文中提出,并有一些数据支持,通过在掌握式学习框架下进行一对一辅导,你可以获得两个标准差的提高。

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and you know he argues in that paper and he has some data to back it up that you could get a two standard deviation Improvement by having one-on-one two ing in a Mastery framework.

从那时起,人们一直在争论是两个标准差还是更少,但总的来说,有大量的证据表明,更多的个性化、一对一的教学对学生有益,它确实有效果。

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now since then people have debated is it two standard deviations is it less but generally speaking there's there's a large evidence pool that more personalization one-on-one is good for is is good for students it has it has an effect.

但他将那篇论文框定为一个问题,因为他说:“这很好,但你如何将其规模化?”

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but he he framed that paper as a problem because he's like well this is nice but how are you going to scale that.

如果想想可汗学院一直在做的事情,甚至在我们谈论生成式人工智能(Generative AI: 一种能够生成文本、图像或其他媒体内容的人工智能)之前,我一直在努力将自己作为一对一导师进行规模化。

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well not what if you think about what KH academ has been doing even before we talk about things like generative AI I was trying to scale myself as a one-on-one tutor.

我做的第一件事是创建了一些个性化练习,然后为自己创建了仪表盘来监控我的学生,我的表亲们,这样我就可以更个性化地辅导他们。

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and the first thing I did is I created some of those personalized exercises then I created dashboards for myself to monitor my my students my cousins so that I could be more personalized with them when I got on the phone.

我开始制作按需视频,这与一对一辅导不同,但它具有某些方面。如果我的表亲们在深夜遇到困难,他们可以获得这种按需帮助。

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I started write making on demand video it's not the same as a one-on-one tutor but it has aspects of it if my cousins were stuck in the middle of the night they could get that on demand help.

我制作这些5到10分钟的短视频,现在有数百甚至数千个视频库,无论你的问题是什么,你都可以点击那个视频。

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and I was making these short 5 10 minute videos so was almost like and there's a library of hundreds and now thousands of them that whatever your question is you can click on that video.

现在有了人工智能,我们甚至可以走得更远。所以这在事后看来一直是我的一些动力,即我们如何规模化一对一导师所做的事情,我当时对娜迪亚所做的事情。

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and now with AI we can potentially go go go even further so that's always been a little bit of the motivation in hindsight that how do we scale what a one-on-one tutor do what I was doing with Nadia.

可汗学院的全球影响与AI赋能教育

主持人问,当我们看到已经取得的一些进展时,为什么高质量的教育没有得到妥善实现?

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when we look at um some of the progress that has happened why why hasn't high quality education worked out properly.

萨尔·汗说,曾经有一个时刻,我们听说了蒙古牧羊人的故事,一个15岁的孩子在麻省理工学院(MIT)入学考试中取得了优异成绩,每个人都觉得全世界的人都能成功。但我们并没有看到那么多蒙古人进入顶尖大学。为什么会这样?

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I mean there was a there was a moment here where we had this Mongolian Shepherd story a 15-year-old aced the MIT entrance exam and and he was just like wow everybody from the whole world can can really make it but we haven't got so many Mongolians uh you know at top universities as we had thought so why has that not happened.

这里有两种说法。在某种程度上,它确实发生了,但数量还不足以改变整个分布。

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so I there's two narratives here actually to some degree it has happened um it's but the numbers aren't so large that you're seeing it move the entire distribution.

一个巨大的变化是,我们几乎每天都会收到这方面的信件。事实上,另一个来自蒙古的故事是,我们有一位年轻的孤儿女孩。

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one of the big changes and we get letters to this effect almost on a daily basis in fact another story from Mongolia we had a a young uh orphan girl.

她给我写了一封信,我不知道她是谁,我以为她是中产阶级,但后来她说,一些志愿者在她在蒙古的孤儿院里设立了电脑实验室。

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you know she she wrote me a letter I didn't know who she was I assume she's middle class but then she says that some volunteers set up computer lab in her orphanage in Mongolia speaking of Mongolia.

她迷上了可汗学院,这不仅让她获得了学位,还让她成为了可汗学院蒙古语内容的主要创作者。

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and she got hooked on KH Academy and then that allowed her not just only to to get her degree but it she's she then became the top creator of content in the Mongolian language for KH Academy there.

还有一位在阿富汗的年轻女性,塔利班不让她上学。

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another young woman in Afghanistan Taliban keeps her from going to school she actually.

她的名字是索拉(Sola),她刚写了一本书。当她不能上学时,一位叔叔向她介绍了可汗学院。

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this her name is um her name is Sola she just wrote a book about it but she when she couldn't go to school an uncle introduces her to Khan Academy.

她很幸运至少有互联网连接,她来自中产家庭,她用它来自学,从大约12岁开始。

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she was lucky enough to at least have an internet connection she's middle class family she uses that to self-educate herself starting at age I think she was about 12 years old.

到了16或17岁,这就是她每天除了做家务外,花两个小时做的事情。她决定要成为一名在美国的量子研究员。

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by 16 or 17 this is all she's doing you know for two hours a day when she's not doing her chores and she decides she wants to become a Quantum uh a Quantum researcher uh in the United States.

所以她对父母撒谎,去了巴基斯坦参加SAT考试,因为在美国无法考。她考得惊人地好。

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and so she she lies to her parents to go to Pakistan to take the SAT because it wasn't administered in in in the US she does shockingly well um she.

她主要是在可汗学院自学成才。那时我才了解到她,我试图找出哪些大学愿意接收一个没有正规教育背景的学生。

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for the most part educated only on Khan Academy and that's when I found out about her I I try to figure out what colleges will take her without any formal education.

《纽约时报》(The New York Times)的尼古拉斯·克里斯托夫(Nicholas Kristoff)写了关于她的报道,然后她获得了签证,亚利桑那州立大学(ASU)录取了她。

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Nicholas Kristoff of the New York Times writes about her and then she was able to get a Visa ASU takes her.

她在物理系表现出色,现在她是塔夫茨大学(Tufts University)的量子计算研究员。

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she rocks the physics department there now she's actually a Quantum Computing researcher at tus University.

这样的故事比比皆是,我们每周或每月都会收到类似的信件。上周我们刚收到一封来自英国年轻人的信。

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so these stories are out there and we get a letter kind of like this on a weekly monthly basis I just we just got one last week of a of a a a young person in the UK.

他年轻时有了孩子,辍学了,最终成为一名建筑工人。他发现了可汗学院,沉迷其中,开始向所有能找到的人谈论物理和化学。

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they had a child at a young age dropped out ended up becoming a construction worker found Khan Academy got hooked on it just started talking to everyone they could find about physics and chemistry.

他的经理说:“如果你不去上大学,我就解雇你,因为你整天谈论物理和化学,把我们都聊烦了。”

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and their manager said hey if you don't go to college I'm gonna fire you because you're just boring all of us talking about physics and chemistry all day.

这个人现在,首先,在大学里遇到了他的终身伴侣,他以全A的成绩毕业,现在正在攻读生物化学博士学位。

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and this person is now um you know first of all met their their their you know life partner in college uh they graduated you know with it sounds like straight A and now they're entering a PhD program in Biochemistry.

所以这些故事是存在的。这是一个方面,对于那些有合理动力的人——我指的不是那些高成就者,因为最后一个例子是系统认为不成功的人——但如果他们有动力,并且这种动力可能在人生的不同阶段被激发出来。

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so so this is out there so that's one story that for for those who are reasonably motivated and I'm not necessarily High achieving because this last example was someone that the system was telling was was not achieving but if they're motivated and that motivation might kick in at different stages of life.

如果他们有动力,并且至少能接触到互联网连接、电脑,并知道可汗学院和其他工具(比如慕课MOOCs),我们正在看到一场小小的革命,这些原本可能被埋没的人现在有了机会。

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but if they're motivated and they at least have access to a internet connection a computer and awareness of Khan Academy and other tools there's mukes and other things we are seeing a little bit of a mini revolution of these people who would have otherwise been lost.

然而,无论好坏,我刚刚描述的这群人只占总人口的一小部分。

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now for better for worse that that group of people that I just described is a a small minority of the broader population.

所以我想有两个任务:一是我们如何让这些人所做的事情变得更容易,这样你就不必拥有他们那样的决心才能成功。

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and so I think there's two tasks one is how do we lower how do we make it even easier and easier to do what these people just did so that you don't have to have quite their determination to to be able to uh pull it off.

然后,我认为另一个因素是,有很多学习者——我认为他们并非天生缺乏动力,但我认为多年来他们身上发生了一些事情,让他们放弃了。

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and then I think the other elent is there there are just a lot of um Learners and I don't think they're inherently demotivated but I think something has happened to them over the years where they have just given up.

所以我认为需要有系统来重新激发他们的兴趣,我认为这主要将通过传统的学校系统来实现。所以这就是我们正在努力的方向。

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and I so I think there needs to be systems to re-engage them and I think that's primarily going to happen through the traditional school system and so that's where we're working to do that.

主持人提到,您做了一个很棒的TED演讲,关于人工智能将如何改变教育。能给我们讲讲吗?

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AI you did a great Ted Talk on how AI is going to change education tell us about it.

萨尔·汗说,我的狗想离开房间,我得开门。抱歉。

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yeah and my dog wants to leave the room let me open the door sorry.

主持人说,没关系,我们会让您的狗留在那里。它是什么品种?

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um should we take it yeah no we'll have your dog we'll have your dog in there what kind is it.

萨尔·汗回答说,它是一只小金毛贵宾犬(Golden Doodle: 金毛寻回犬和贵宾犬的杂交品种),它是我们的看门狗,我想我妻子刚进门,所以它跑过去了。

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it's a little golden doodle but you she's our guard dog and I think my wife just came into the door so she ran over there but the.

嗯,你知道,人工智能一直是我们可汗学院感兴趣的领域,远在最近的生成式人工智能革命之前。

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um you know a AI has always been of interest to us at Khan Academy well before this latest gen ative AI Revolution.

显然,我们曾考虑过人工智能可以用于为学生推荐活动等等。所以我们多年来一直在可汗学院进行这方面的实验。

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obviously AI we've thought about hey could be used to inform recommended activities for students etc etc so that's and and we have experimented with that at KH Academy over the years.

2022年夏天,OpenAI的格雷格·布洛克曼(Greg Brockman)和萨姆·阿尔特曼(Sam Altman)联系我,他们说:“嘿,我们即将完成下一代模型的训练,也就是GPT-4(Generative Pre-trained Transformer 4: 由OpenAI开发的大型多模态语言模型)。我们认为这会引起很多人的兴趣,但也可能有点令人不安,因为它会非常强大。”

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summer of 2022 open AI Greg Brockman Sam mman they reach out to me they say hey we're about to generate we're about to train finish training our our next Generation model which would end up being gp4 we think this is going to be really interesting for a lot of people but it also might be a little bit jarring because it's going to be quite powerful.

“我们希望与人们信任的组织合作推出,展示其具有社会积极意义的用例。”用他们自己的话说,可汗学院是他们想到的第一个组织。

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we want launch with and partner with organizations that people trust that can show socially positive use cases of it and by their own words Khan Academy was was the first organization they thought of.

主持人问,您第一次看到它能做什么的时候,有什么想法?

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and first time you saw it and saw what it could do what did you think.

萨尔·汗说,我带着非常怀疑的态度参加了那次会议,因为我一直关注GPT-2和GPT-3。我认为它们很酷,非常引人入胜,但它们擅长写一些听起来深思熟虑的东西,当你真正去读时,你会觉得这毫无意义,或者它对信息没有很好的把握,看起来并不智能。

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yeah I went into that meeting very skeptical because I I I had kept track of gpt2 gpt3 I thought they were cool super fascinating but they were like they were good at writing things that sounded thoughtful but when you really tried to read it you're like this is this is meaningless or or it's really not H it doesn't really have a good handle on the information it doesn't seem intelligent.

但当他们第一次——你知道,他们基本上是和我们共享了屏幕,这比ChatGPT出现早了几个月,而ChatGPT推出时是基于GPT-3.5的——这里是GPT-4。

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but when that first when they when they we you know they essentially shared their screen with us and this was months before chat GPT existed and chat GPT when it launched was based on GPT 3.5 here was GPT 4.

他们给我看了一个生物学问题,问我答案是什么。我读了之后说:“好吧,答案是C,渗透。”

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and they showed me a biology question and they said s what's the answer here and I've read it I'm like okay the answer is C osmosis.

他们说:“好的。”然后他们问AI,AI也说是C。我心想:“好吧,也许我只是运气好。”

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and they said okay then they then they asked the AI the AI said c I'm like okay maybe I got lucky.

我说:“让它解释一下为什么。”它解释得非常好,完美的解释。我心想:“好吧,这很有趣。”

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I I said ask it to explain why it explained it very good explanation perfect explanation I'm like okay uh this is interesting.

我说:“解释一下为什么其他选项不对。”它也给出了非常好的解释。这时我起鸡皮疙瘩了。

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I said explain why the other choices aren't right very good explanations then now I'm getting Goosebumps.

然后我说:“让它再写一个类似的问题。”它做到了。我心想:“哦,不。”

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then I said have it write another question like this it did it I'm like uhoh.

然后我说:“让它再写10个类似的问题。”它也做到了。现在我心想:“好吧,这就像我身处一本科幻小说中,我是在做梦吗?”

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and then I said haven't write 10 more questions like this it did it now I'm like okay this is a this is like the world I'm in a science fiction book am I am I dreaming right now.

他们说:“嘿,你想获得访问权限吗?”我说:“是的,请给我。”

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and they said hey would you like access to it I'm like yes please.

所以我们签署了所有的保密协议等等。我和我们的首席学习官、首席技术官在那个周末获得了访问权限。我们兴奋得睡不着觉。

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and so you know we signed all the ndas and everything and so we got myself our chief learning officer or CTO got access to it that weekend we couldn't sleep.

你可以想象,我很难保守秘密,我对待一切都像一本打开的书,但我们三个人感觉像是掌握着地球上最大的秘密,没有人知道。

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and you could imagine it was I have trouble keeping secrets I'm like an open book on like everything and like I felt like the three of us had like the biggest secret on the planet that no one else knew about.

主持人问,现在你们将其整合到名为Khanmigo(可汗米戈: 可汗学院推出的一款由AI驱动的个性化导师和教学助手)的产品中,它是一个AI驱动的导师。它能做些什么?

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but now you integrated in what you called Canam kigo right which is like an AI powered tutor what so what what can this do.

萨尔·汗说,当我们开始实验时,我们意识到,特别是下一代前沿模型,比如GPT-4,它们能够以以前任何模型都无法做到的方式真正扮演角色。

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as as we started experimenting with it we started realizing that especially these NE this next generation of Frontier Model like gp4 they're capable of really taking on um uh personas and roles in ways that no other previous model could.

这不仅仅是假装,它们真的可以做一名优秀的导师、一名优秀的助教、一名优秀的教练或指导顾问所做的事情。

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and it's not just pretend they really could do the things that a strong tutor would do a strong teaching assistant a strong coach or guidance counselor might do.

所以我们立刻看到了潜力,觉得:“嘿,这可以成为每个孩子的导师,实际上也是每个老师的助教,帮助他们制定课程计划或了解学生的学习情况。”

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and so we immediately saw the potential like hey this could be that that that that tutor for every child and actually a teaching assist for every teacher helping them do things like develop lesson plans or understand what's going on with their students.

但我们也意识到存在很多担忧:如何让12岁的孩子使用AI?如果他们进行奇怪的、不恰当的或不安全的对话怎么办?如果他们用它作弊怎么办?我们如何确保数据隐私保护等等?

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but we also realize there's a lot of fears here how do you have a 12-year-old useing Ai and what if they have a weird conversation inappropriate conversation an unsafe conversation what if they use it to cheat what if um how do we make sure there's data privacy safeguards Etc.

所以我们进行了这些讨论,并决定:“看,我们不能回避这个问题。让我们构建它,但要把所有的担忧和风险转化为功能。”

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so we were having these debates and we decided look we can't shy away from this let's build this but let's turn all of those fears and risks into features.

所以我们让它对老师透明,让另一个AI监控,如果发现任何异常,它会关闭对话并主动通知老师。

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so let's make it so it's transparent to teachers let's make it so that another AI is monitoring if it notices anything going funny it'll shut down the conversation and actively notify uh teachers.

我们还有各种其他防护措施,它不会作弊,它更像是一个苏格拉底式导师(Socratic Tutor: 一种通过提问而非直接给出答案来引导学生思考和学习的教学方式),会用引导性问题推动你前进。

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you know we have all sorts of other guard rails on it it won't cheat it's more of a Socratic tutor but it will nudge you forward with with leading questions.

这就是我们在2023年3月与GPT-4一同推出的Khanmigo。

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and so that's what we launched with kigo we launched alongside the gp4 launch back in March of 2023.

我们将其作为一个试点项目推出,在很多方面它仍然是一个试点,但反响比我预期的要积极得多,人们也更快地接受了它。

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and uh you know we we launched it as a pilot and it's still in a lot of ways is a pilot but the response has been more positive and and people are ramping into it much faster than I would have expected.

我可以花一个小时讲述我们希望在未来一年内添加的所有功能,但现在正在发生很多事情。

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I could I could speak for an hour about all the features we're hoping to add in the next in the next year but but it's a lot's happening there.

主持人建议大家听您的TED演讲,关于AI与教育。但就通用教育系统而言,他们应该如何应用AI呢?

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yeah I would recommend everybody to listen to your Tad talk and uh on on AI and education but um what uh but in terms of the general educational system how should they you go about applying AI or not.

萨尔·汗说,他们绝对不能忽视它。这将是未来的一项关键技能,几乎在每个岗位上都是如此。

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well I they definitely can't ignore it uh this is going to be a key skill going forward already in almost every role.

同时,我完全理解教育工作者为什么禁止ChatGPT,因为它不是为教育而设计的,它可能被用来作弊,它没有设置那么多防护措施,甚至不允许18岁以下的用户使用,尽管我相信很多18岁以下的人都说自己18岁并正在使用它。

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at the same time I completely understand where Educators you know why they banned chat GPT because it's not made for Education it it can be used to cheat it is not it did not put as many safeguards it's it's not even allowed for under 18 users although I'm sure a lot of under 18 folks have you know said they're 18 and and and are using it.

所以重要的是要在具有所有正确教育防护措施的环境中使用这些工具,而不是为了使用工具而使用。

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and so the important thing is to use these tools in an environment that is one has all the right guard rails for education and you're not using a tool for the sake of it.

如果我们想节省老师在批改作业、备课等方面的时间,他们就应该使用像Khanmigo这样的工具。

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if we want to save teachers time on grading on lesson planning Etc they should be using tool like like kigo.

所以,这实际上是关于拥抱底层技术,但以一种深思熟虑且专为教育目的而设计的方式使用它。

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so um it's it's it's really about embracing the underlying technology but using it in a way that is thoughtful and purpose-built for Education.

萨尔·汗的教育愿景与AI对不平等的影响

主持人问,如果您现在有10亿美元,您会如何花这笔钱来改善教育?

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if you got $1 billion dollar now how would you spend it to improve education.

萨尔·汗说,如果我有10亿美元,这是一个有趣的问题。我会加速。我会加速发展。

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if I had a billion dollars it's a fun question um I would I would accelerate I would accelerate the you.

现在可汗学院的预算大约是7500万美元,明年可能会达到8000万美元。

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know right now Khan Academy's budget is around 75 it's probably going to be about $80 million next year uh.

每次我提到这个数字,因为我必须通过慈善筹集大部分资金,我都会告诉捐助者:“嘿,这只是美国一所大型高中的预算,而我们正在教育和触及很多人。”

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and every time I say that because I have to raise a lot of that money philanthropically I remind my I I tell donors hey that's just the budget of a large High School in the US and you know we're we're educating a lot of folks and reaching a lot of folks.

但我可能会每年再投入3000万到4000万美元,进一步加速我们正在进行的许多内容、软件和产品开发。

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but I I would probably take another 30 to 40 million a year and further accelerate a lot of the content and software and and product development we're doing.

我们的目标一直是在AI出现之前就覆盖所有核心学术科目和年级。我们已经很接近了,但我会继续推进,从学前班到大学核心课程。

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our goal has always been even before AI to cover all of the core academic subjects and grades we're close already but I would go and that's from prek through the core of college.

所以我会用一部分资金加速进入更多的学科领域。我们已经有了数学,而且相当全面,我会进一步深入大学科学课程。我们已经非常全面了,我会进一步深入到大二、大三的大学课程。

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so I would use some of that to accelerate into even more uh subject areas we we already have math we already have pretty comprehensive I would go even further into college science we're quite comprehensive I'd go even further into sophomore junior level College.

我们正在开始提供相当强大的人文英语语言艺术课程,我也会尝试加速这方面的发展。

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we're starting to have a pretty robust humanities and um English language arts offering I would try to accelerate that.

然后,在AI方面,我会利用这些资源来进一步加速。

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and then on the AI front um yeah I would I would use a lot of those resources to just accelerate it that much more.

但有了这类资源,我还可能会创建国家或国际的认证系统(Credentialing Systems),通过这些系统,你可以通过自己的学习或支持来掌握很多知识,并且可以证明你确实掌握了。

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but you know with that type of resources I would also probably create National or International systems around credentialing uh where you know the tools exist now where you can learn a lot on your own or with support and those tools and then you can even prove that you know it.

但传统的系统尚未完全认可这一点。

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but the the the Legacy systems don't fully recognize it yet yet.

所以我告诉人们,如果我是一个国家的教育部长,我做的第一件事就是创建一套能力导向评估(Competency-Based Assessments: 一种衡量学生是否掌握特定技能和知识的评估方式,而非基于学时或课程完成情况)。

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and so you know I've told people if I was Secretary of Education or minister of education for any country the first thing I would do is create a competency based set of Assessments that if anyone did it these count as good or better than any University any High School any graduate program.

如果任何人通过了这些评估,它们的效力将等同于或优于任何大学、高中或研究生课程。

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and then you allow the world to create resources organizations like Khan Academy to create resources to prepare people for those.

然后,你允许世界各地创建资源,像可汗学院这样的组织可以创建资源来帮助人们准备这些评估。

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some people could use the KH like if you think about this young Afghani girl some people like her could use the the KH Academy resources alone to prepare and then take these assessments and then they have a degree that's better than any degree.

有些人,比如那位年轻的阿富汗女孩,可以单独使用可汗学院的资源进行准备,然后参加这些评估,这样他们就能获得一个比任何学位都更好的学位。

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but if a lot of students would need more supports well then that's where the traditional school system could use Khan Academy plus all of the inhuman the the the main not inhuman the in-person supports uh to to actually support these students more.

但如果很多学生需要更多支持,那么传统的学校系统就可以利用可汗学院加上所有面对面的支持,来更好地支持这些学生。

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so that's where I would put a lot of resources I still don't think that would get us fully to a billion dollars but you know then you know maybe I I I would create a new type of University U that is much lower cost and much more Hands-On and you know gives exposure to more kids.

所以我会把大量资源投入到那里。我仍然不认为这会完全花掉10亿美元,但你知道,也许我会创建一种新型大学,成本更低,更注重实践,并让更多的孩子接触到这些。

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the credentials element you talked about is anybody working on creating such a thing.

主持人问,您谈到的认证要素,现在有人在做这样的事情吗?

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you know there there's there's been I would say small scale badging initiatives type of things but I don't think anyone has yet tackled it from a like we want to we don't want to make this like just a you got you know you took a moo course and you got a badge and now you go from being a general computer scientist to a data scientist that exists already um.

萨尔·汗说,有一些小规模的徽章认证之类的项目,但我认为还没有人从“我们不想让这仅仅是你上了一门慕课课程就获得一个徽章,然后从普通计算机科学家变成数据科学家”的角度来解决这个问题。

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and that's great that that exists that that pathway but we don't have a pathway right now that says hey this is just as good as Harvard um if you do this you know right now in the US there's all of these debates about you know you have limited seats at these top universities um.

那种途径已经存在,而且很好。但我们现在还没有一条途径能说:“嘿,这和哈佛大学一样好。”

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and so it's these debates between equity and Merit you know do you just take the top 2,000 kids at Harvard every year or do you make sure it represents the population etc etc.

在美国,现在有很多关于公平和精英的争论,比如每年是只招收哈佛最优秀的2000名学生,还是确保学生代表人口的多样性等等。

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but then there's questions about is it Merit b or is it quot so people are getting they're they're politically charged.

但随后又出现了关于是基于能力还是配额的问题,这些都带有政治色彩。

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and you know I've told many University presidents I was like look this is a false tension the real issue why you're while you're having to do this game is because you cost too much and you don't have enough capacity.

我告诉过许多大学校长:“看,这是一种虚假的紧张关系。你们之所以要玩这种游戏,真正的问题在于你们的成本太高,而且容量不足。”

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if if you could bring the cost down so it's almost free like the actual cost is almost free it doesn't have to have massive government subsidy and um you make it so that any student who's capable of doing the work can do the work then anyone who does wants to do it at any age can do it um.

如果你们能把成本降下来,使其几乎免费——就像实际成本几乎免费,不需要大量的政府补贴——并且让任何有能力完成学业的学生都能完成学业,那么任何想学习的人,无论年龄大小,都能做到。

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and and I think you know if if if I had my DRS over the next 10 years that will exist and I am pitching that to folks every now and then.

我想,如果我能掌控未来十年,那将会实现,我也会时不时地向人们推销这个想法。

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do you think AI will increase or decrease inequality in the world.

主持人问,您认为人工智能会增加还是减少世界上的不平等?

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I'm not sure I think there's two trends that are going to happen.

萨尔·汗说,我不确定。我认为会有两种趋势发生。

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I think from a um developing your potential point of view I do think AI is going to improve um equality.

从发展个人潜力的角度来看,我确实认为人工智能会改善平等。

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and even though right now like in Silicon Valley in my friend Circle everyone I know is super AI Savvy including their kids including their seven-year-olds they already know how to prompt and they already know how to use these tools they're already creating videos on on you know these generative AI apps and you know they're using them for their school projects and so in the short term these kids and these families have a huge Advantage.

尽管现在,比如在硅谷,我的朋友圈里,我认识的每个人都非常精通人工智能,包括他们的孩子,包括七岁的孩子,他们已经知道如何提问,如何使用这些工具,他们已经在这些生成式AI应用上制作视频,并将其用于学校项目。所以在短期内,这些孩子和家庭拥有巨大的优势。

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but what's happening I would say in the medium to long term is that these these families have always had a huge Advantage.

但我想说,在中长期来看,这些家庭一直都拥有巨大的优势。

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if their kids are struggling they hire tutors for their kids and paid $50 an hour $100 an hour.

如果他们的孩子遇到困难,他们会为孩子请家教,每小时支付50到100美元。

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if they're when their kids apply to college they hire coaches for their kids.

当他们的孩子申请大学时,他们会为孩子聘请辅导员。

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these families themselves are highly educated and often times have more flexibility for travel and to tutor their kids themselves they know how the system works.

这些家庭本身受过高等教育,通常有更多的时间旅行和亲自辅导孩子,他们知道这个系统是如何运作的。

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I mean these are all things you know I know how the system works and so my kids are going to have that that that that Advantage.

我的意思是,这些都是,你知道,我知道这个系统是如何运作的,所以我的孩子也会有这种优势。

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now if you're bringing an AI in the AI overnight is not going to completely level that playing field.

现在,如果你引入人工智能,人工智能不会在一夜之间完全拉平这种竞争环境。

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but it's going to allow let's call it the high school version of me that did not have those advantages to be able to to to tap in to more opportunity to be able to learn things faster to be able to um have some you know.

但它将允许,比如说,高中时期的我,一个没有这些优势的人,能够获得更多的机会,更快地学习,能够拥有一些,你知道。

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my my guidance counselor in high school was great but he had no experience he there were 300 students for every guidance counselor so I had like you know half an hour with him once a month or something and he had no experience with um you know I wanted to apply to MIT he no one in my school had ever gotten into MIT so he had no context there.

我高中时的升学顾问很棒,但他没有经验,每300名学生才有一个升学顾问,所以我大概每月只能和他聊半小时,而且他没有关于我申请麻省理工学院的经验,我们学校没有人考上过麻省理工,所以他没有任何背景信息。

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now we have an activity on kigo where you can talk to the AI and and we've had some of the top college coaches in the in the country help work with that AI to make sure that it's giving the best advice it's really almost IND you know indistinguishable from what a top college adviser would now give.

现在我们在Khanmigo上有一个活动,你可以和AI交谈,我们请了一些全国顶尖的大学顾问帮助训练这个AI,确保它能给出最好的建议,它几乎与顶尖大学顾问现在提供的建议难以区分。

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so that starts to level the playing field and over time it's get in educated Market ineducation yeah and in uh markets which are pretty well off what about then Africa.

所以这开始拉平竞争环境,随着时间的推移,它会在教育市场中变得更加普及,是的,在那些富裕的市场中。那么非洲呢?

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well well what it happens is is that and it's not just AI it's even if you think about tools like Khan Academy before AI with videos and exercises it takes the problem of education and say you know before the inequality is like okay if you're in this rural Village in India or Africa to have the same education as Sal's kids in Mountain View California all right you're going to have to find a a faculty and is there any is there anyone even the village who can teach algebra or calculus or physics you're going to have to find a facility you're going to have to maybe be flexible around these kids might have other family responsibilities like it it's it was an expensive proposition and the world has been trying to do it for hundreds of years and frankly hasn't been able to pull it off.

萨尔·汗说,情况是这样的,这不仅仅是人工智能。即使你考虑像可汗学院这样的工具,在人工智能出现之前,通过视频和练习,它解决了教育问题,并指出,以前的不平等是这样的:如果你在印度或非洲的某个农村,要获得和加利福尼亚州山景城萨尔的孩子一样的教育,你需要找到教师,村里甚至有没有人能教代数、微积分或物理?你需要找到一个设施,你可能还需要灵活应对这些孩子可能有的其他家庭责任。这是一个昂贵的提议,世界已经尝试了几百年,坦率地说,一直未能成功。

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with tools like KH Academy and especially as you start introducing the AI the problem becomes much more of hey can we get people devices and internet access at least to start I'm not saying that that's equivalent to a full school but at least it raises the floor pretty dramatically.

有了像可汗学院这样的工具,特别是当你开始引入人工智能时,问题就变成了:我们能否至少让人们获得设备和互联网接入?我不是说这等同于一所完整的学校,但它至少能显著提高教育的最低水平。

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and then if you want to create a school the problem is no longer you need to find someone who's a master of physics you just you just have to create a nice safe environment have access to resources the adults in the room just have to motivate keep the kids motivated and on task but then they could use some of these tools for some of the content expertise it's great if those adults have it but they don't have to have it.

然后,如果你想创办一所学校,问题不再是你需要找到一位物理大师,你只需要创造一个良好安全的学习环境,提供资源,房间里的成年人只需要激励孩子们保持学习动力和专注,然后他们就可以利用这些工具来获取一些内容专业知识。如果这些成年人拥有这些知识固然很好,但他们不必非得拥有。

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so I think it starts to level the playing field there once again not going to completely level it but it's going to be more level than it than it is today.

所以我认为这开始拉平了竞争环境,再次强调,不会完全拉平,但会比今天更加公平。

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the place where I'm most worried about AI unleveling the plane field and we've we've to some degree seen this trend over the last 30 40 years with with technology generally is for those who know how to use these tools it massively improves productivity but what it does is it concentrates that productivity in a smaller and smaller group of people.

我最担心人工智能会加剧不平等的地方,以及我们在过去三四十年里普遍在技术领域看到的这种趋势,是对于那些知道如何使用这些工具的人来说,它极大地提高了生产力,但它也使得这种生产力集中在越来越小的一部分人手中。

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what used to take you know it used 50 years ago if I told you I have a even if you adjust for inflation if if you have the equivalent of a billion dollar company today people would assume that company must have 100,000 employees.

以前,比如说50年前,如果我告诉你我有一家价值10亿美元的公司(即使调整通货膨胀),人们会认为这家公司一定有10万名员工。

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when WhatsApp sold to meta for $18 billion doar it had 18 employees and this is before AI they weren't even using you know coding co-pilots to write that code.

当WhatsApp以180亿美元的价格卖给Meta时,它只有18名员工,这还是在人工智能出现之前,他们甚至没有使用编码助手来编写代码。

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but 18 employees were able to create an18 billion doll company I think over the next 10 15 years you're going to see five 10 person companies using AI create billions of dollars in value.

但18名员工能够创造一家180亿美元的公司。我认为在未来10到15年,你将看到五到十人的公司利用人工智能创造数十亿美元的价值。

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now that could be overall good for society it's going to create tools that increase productivity or entertainment or whatever but that a lot of that wealth's going to acrw to a very small concentrated people.

这可能对社会整体有益,它将创造提高生产力或娱乐等方面的工具,但大部分财富将集中在非常小的一部分人手中。

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and if it used to take 100,000 people to do it and now you're able to do it with 10 people well what happens to the other what what happens to the other 99,99 people um in terms of in terms of work um.

如果以前需要10万人才能完成的工作,现在10个人就能完成,那么其他99990人会怎样呢?就工作而言。

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now there are some good utopian scenarios where it frees up resources for for more human- centered work for nursing Health Care education teaching but then there's dystopian scenarios where these people get marginalized destabilizes countries maybe you have to do Mass redistribution and even Mass dist redistribution whatever people's views are on that I don't think it's good for the people who get it because they lose their sense of purpose they're like well I don't know what I'm what I'm contributing.

现在有一些美好的乌托邦场景,它解放了资源,用于更多以人为中心的工作,比如护理、医疗保健、教育教学。但也有一些反乌托邦场景,这些人被边缘化,国家不稳定,可能需要进行大规模的财富再分配。即使是大规模的财富再分配,无论人们对此有何看法,我认为这对获得财富的人来说也不是好事,因为他们失去了目标感,他们会觉得“我不知道我正在贡献什么”。

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so I think this is something we have to tackle and honestly the best way to tackle it is is to let as many of those people as possible learn how to use these Technologies and learn how to how to leverage them.

所以我认为这是我们必须解决的问题,坦白说,最好的解决办法是让尽可能多的人学习如何使用这些技术,并学习如何利用它们。

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absolutely talking about smaller smallish companies we achieve um amazing things I know about this company called K Academy they got roughly 200 people and they educating M educating millions of people unbelievable.

主持人说,谈到小公司,我们取得了惊人的成就。我知道可汗学院这家公司,他们大约有200名员工,却教育了数百万人,这令人难以置信。

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now how do you how do you run the organization what are your leadership principles.

主持人问,您是如何管理这个组织的?您的领导原则是什么?

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um you know I I've I've I've never written them down but if I were to say um you know what what I implicitly like to happen is you know try to be as close to to to the users as possible.

萨尔·汗说,嗯,我从未把它们写下来,但如果非要说的话,我内心希望发生的是,尽可能贴近用户。

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uh this is something I still do I still make video videos I still uh you know one reason why I started a school the one school my kids go to is so that I can under I can be close to Learners and and teachers and understand what their and teachers and understand what their lives are like uh.

这仍然是我在做的事情,我仍然制作视频,我仍然——你知道,我创办一所学校,我孩子上的那所学校,就是为了让我能够贴近学习者和老师,了解他们的生活是怎样的。

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a flat organization as much as possible uh right now you know there's you know one we have direct lines of communication between me and any member of the organization but you know there's there's only two levels of management at most but even then it's fairly porous so we try to do that we try to keep pushing ourselves to avoid bureaucracy.

尽可能扁平化的组织。现在,我和组织中任何成员之间都有直接的沟通渠道,但最多只有两个管理层级,即使如此,它也相当灵活。所以我们努力做到这一点,我们不断推动自己避免官僚主义。

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you do need some processes as you grow and you scale to have Drive alignment and make sure things are happening as they should but we're always questioning it we're trying to have first principles thinking around like do we need that meeting does it need to be run in that way um.

随着成长和规模扩大,你确实需要一些流程来推动协调一致,确保事情按部就班地进行,但我们总是在质疑它,我们试图围绕第一性原理思考,比如我们真的需要那个会议吗?它需要那样运行吗?

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are there ways that we could do this different so that we we can get more scale and leverage and you know one of the things I found a lot of times people think about the size of an organization and it is true the main cost in organizations these days is salaries but the one of the reasons to keep an organization is small small as possible isn't necessarily like cost savings it's actually communication and being able to be nimble.

有没有其他方式可以做到这一点,以便我们能够获得更大的规模和影响力?你知道,我发现很多时候人们会考虑组织的规模,确实,现在组织的主要成本是工资,但保持组织尽可能小的原因不一定是为了节省成本,实际上是为了沟通和保持敏捷。

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if Khan Academy last year was a 20,000 person organization I don't think there was any way that I would have been able to make this move into AI that we did even with 250 people it it wasn't easy it's still you know we're not a we're not a speedboat we're kind of a yeah I don't know like a catamaran maybe like you know but we're not a cruise ship either and that cruise ship was very hard to change turn around when you realize that there's an iceberg if you don't if you if you don't turn around um.

如果可汗学院去年是一个2万人的组织,我不认为我们能够像现在这样进军人工智能领域,即使有250人,这也不容易。我们仍然不是一艘快艇,我们更像是一艘双体船吧,但我们也不是一艘游轮。当意识到有冰山时,游轮很难掉头。

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so so I think in in you know going forward that's going to be even more important than than you know it's not about saving money and obviously we are limited by resources because we're we we raise primarily through philanthropy but it's more about being able to stay Nimble.

所以,我认为在未来,这会比以往任何时候都更重要。这不仅仅是为了省钱,显然我们受到资源的限制,因为我们主要通过慈善募捐,但更重要的是能够保持敏捷。

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if you personally were to do another degree what would you do.

主持人问,如果您个人要再攻读一个学位,您会选择什么?

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oh if I were to do another degree that's a good question um part of me you know when I went into college I I thought I wanted to be a theoretical physicist CU I just wanted to understand the nature of reality um.

萨尔·汗说,哦,如果我再攻读一个学位,这是个好问题。我有一部分,你知道,当我上大学时,我以为我想成为一名理论物理学家,因为我只是想了解现实的本质。

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now I've kind of reached the conclusion I should just meditate my way there but theoretical physics is still is is still um an area that I you know my my oldest son is kind of almost caught up with me in terms of uh his math and science and I said okay when you catch up with me we're going to start studying quantum physics together so that so that so that I can I can you know uh uh I I want to understand the frontiers of of of of reality of of how we how we understand reality.

现在我有点得出结论,我应该通过冥想达到那里,但理论物理仍然是我感兴趣的领域。我的大儿子在数学和科学方面几乎赶上了我,我说:“好吧,等你赶上我,我们就要一起学习量子物理了。”这样我就可以,你知道,我想了解现实的边界,了解我们如何理解现实。

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do you think it's better to have one PhD or to mil degrees.

主持人问,您认为拥有一个博士学位更好,还是拥有多个硕士学位更好?

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it depends what you're trying to do in the world you should be doing it because it's you you have a clear idea of of why of why you're doing it.

萨尔·汗说,这取决于你想在世界上做什么。你应该做这件事,因为你对为什么要做它有一个清晰的想法。

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now you know I saying that I was the guy who just said I went to business school not knowing what to do I used that as a reason to figure out and I think there are some degree programs like mbas that are are good for just kind of figuring out what you want to do but I knew I wanted to do something in Industry uh at least I thought I did.

现在你知道,我说这话的时候,我就是那个说自己去商学院时不知道要做什么的人。我把它当作一个弄清楚自己方向的理由,我认为有些学位课程,比如工商管理硕士(MBA),很适合用来弄清楚你想做什么。但我知道我想在工业界做些事情,至少我当时是这么认为的。

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it's funny the only class I HB Harvard doesn't fail you anyone in the business school but they tell you internally that you would have failed if the only class that I was very cynical about that I kind of got the equivalent of a failing grade was called uh social entrepreneurship and and it was and and it was because I was such a cynic in that class.

有趣的是,我在哈佛商学院唯一一门我非常愤世嫉俗,并且相当于得了不及格的课程,叫做“社会创业”。那是因为我在那门课上非常愤世嫉俗。

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I you know a lot of the cases we studied were you know someone's organizing a bicycle ride to cure some disease and I remember speaking up in class and saying well that's not going to cure the disease it's just a bicycle ride like how is that going to cure the disease and most of the money is going to fund all of the the pageantry around the ride so you could and I later realized the professor organized that that charity so it was not good.

你知道,我们研究的很多案例都是关于有人组织自行车骑行来治疗某种疾病,我记得在课堂上发言说:“那不会治愈疾病,那只是一次自行车骑行,它怎么能治愈疾病呢?而且大部分钱都会用于资助骑行周围的所有盛大场面。”我后来才意识到那位教授组织了那个慈善活动,所以那不太好。

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but the um and I now come around I now see the importance of those types of things because they they they bring awareness to to an effort but it is there is an irony year that I I go to business school fail social entrepreneurship and that's what I do now.

但是,我现在已经转变了看法,我看到了这类事情的重要性,因为它们能为一项努力带来关注。但讽刺的是,我上了商学院,社会创业这门课不及格,而这正是我现在所做的事情。

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what do you what do you read these days.

主持人问,您最近在读什么书?

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oh I you know I I I for the most part flip-flop between um hard science fiction and Victorian era Classics and uh you know all those V I just read um Great Expectations the first time I read it was in sth grade I hated it when it was forced on me in seventh grade they should not make seventh graders read that especially seventh grade boys read that unless they really want to they shouldn't Force anyone to do it um.

萨尔·汗说,哦,你知道,我大部分时间都在硬科幻小说和维多利亚时代经典之间切换。我刚读了《远大前程》(Great Expectations)。我第一次读它是在七年级,当时是被迫读的,我非常讨厌。他们不应该让七年级学生读那本书,尤其是七年级男生,除非他们真的想读,否则不应该强迫任何人读。

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because you don't appreciate it I read it just now I'm like this is the most amazing book there's like so much wisdom and wit it's hilarious and it's modern in so many ways.

因为你不会欣赏它。我最近读了它,心想:“这是最棒的书,充满了智慧和机智,非常搞笑,而且在很多方面都很现代。”

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so I you know I I flip-flop between revisiting the great Classics that I was forced to read in school and now I have I can read it properly so I love doing that and then I you know and I read a lot of hard science fiction uh you know I've always been fans of like azimoff and Arthur C Clark and and now I'm just making sure I'm reading all of their books you know I've read their their most notable books but now I'm reading all of them.

所以,你知道,我会在重读那些我上学时被迫阅读的伟大经典之间切换,现在我能够正确地阅读它们,所以我喜欢这样做。然后,你知道,我还读了很多硬科幻小说,我一直是阿西莫夫(Isaac Asimov)和阿瑟·C·克拉克(Arthur C. Clarke)的粉丝,现在我正在确保阅读他们所有的书。你知道,我读过他们最著名的书,但现在我正在读他们所有的作品。

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how do you encourage um adults and grown-ups to continue to learn for the rest of their lives what's the key to it is it innate or is it something that can be encouraged.

主持人问,您如何鼓励成年人终身学习?关键是什么?是天生的还是可以培养的?

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you know we get letters we I mean tens of letters a day we get from folks saying I thought I was bad at math I just started doing 30 40 minutes a week just to keep my brain fresh and I realized I love it and a lot of them are like angry because they're now 30 or 40 years old and they're like I wish someone exposed me exposed this to me this way when I was 12 um.

萨尔·汗说,你知道,我们每天都会收到几十封信,人们说:“我以为我数学很差,我只是每周花30到40分钟来保持大脑活跃,然后我发现我爱上了它。”他们中的很多人都很生气,因为他们现在已经30或40岁了,他们说:“我希望在我12岁的时候有人能以这种方式向我展示这些。”

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so I would just say just start learning and it doesn't have to be through Khan Academy obviously Khan Academy is there but just reading exploring you know a lot of these AI tools are fascinating to have conversations with a kigo you can have a Socratic dialogue you can get into debates I personally really enjoy it when I when I have time to to dig into a debate that I'm you know I'm dying to have uh but I can't find someone to have with me.

所以我只想说,开始学习吧,不一定非要通过可汗学院,当然可汗学院就在那里。但只是阅读、探索,你知道,很多这些人工智能工具都非常引人入胜,可以与Khanmigo进行对话,你可以进行苏格拉底式对话,你可以参与辩论。我个人非常喜欢,当我有时间深入研究一个我渴望进行的辩论,但又找不到人与我辩论时。

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well it's been um it's been amazing to have a dialogue with you s and um I have to say I can't think of anybody who's done more for for learning in the whole world so uh a big thank you and on behalf of of everybody really and um you're for sure passed that class in social entrepreneurship so big congratulations a real life class it's been tremendous Master learning based maybe a big thank you uh keep it up and uh look forward to staying in touch great thanks for having me.

主持人总结说,萨尔,能与您对话真是太棒了。我不得不说,我想不出还有谁为全世界的学习做出了更多贡献。所以,非常感谢您,也代表所有人感谢您。您肯定已经通过了那门社会创业课程,所以恭喜您,这是一堂真实的课程,非常棒,也许是基于掌握式学习的。非常感谢,请继续努力,期待保持联系。萨尔·汗回应道,太棒了,谢谢邀请。

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