花样年爆雷:曾庆红家族资产转移疑云,金融系统坏账倒查风暴 小翠時政財經 2026-02-07

深圳地产风暴:从万科到花样年,金融与地产的利益勾结面临清算

近期,深圳的房地产市场弥漫着紧张气氛。继万科高管祝九胜和郁亮被调查后,曾庆红的姪女曾宝宝旗下的花样年集团也成为焦点。这标志着高层对金融与地产业多年来利益勾结的愤怒,以及由此产生的金融系统坏账问题。当资金被转移出境,债务却留给国家时,相关人员面临追责。作为野蛮生长的代表,深圳已成为这场清算风暴的重灾区。花样年原执行董事柯卡升的失联,更是将这一系列事件推向了聚光灯下,他曾是体制内金融专家,如今却卷入地产公司的“金融炸弹”。

Original English Hello everyone, welcome back to Xiao Cui's Political and Economic Finance. Today is February 6, 2026, Eastern Time. Recently, the real estate industry in Shenzhen can be described as a state of panic and unease. A while ago, we just talked about two senior executives of Vanke, financial operator Zhu Jiusheng and former chairman Yu Liang, both of whom were arrested by our Emperor, one after another. This actually shows that our Emperor is very angry about the collusion of interests between the financial and real estate industries for so many years. Because they colluded with each other back then, so now so many bad debts have been buried in the financial system. These people have moved money out of China, but left the debt to our Emperor. Since the money cannot be recovered, the people must be arrested to vent anger. So Shenzhen, as the most wildly growing city, has become a major disaster area to be liquidated by our Emperor. After Vanke, it's time for Zeng Baobao's Fantasia Holdings. Zeng Baobao is the niece of Zeng Qinghong. Fantasia Holdings, a real estate company, naturally has a background of red privilege. But our Emperor shows no favor to anyone. Ke Kasheng, the former executive director of Fantasia Holdings, has been missing for several months. This Director Ke is no ordinary person. He came from the system, worked in the central bank, and also worked in the banking regulatory commission. He can be said to be similar to Zhu Jiusheng, someone who can play the financial game thoroughly. So this kind of person is definitely the most hated by our Emperor. His expertise is not used in the right place, only creating financial bombs for our Emperor. So in this video, we will talk about how much wool this Director Ke helped Zeng Baobao's Fantasia Holdings to fleece from our Emperor. How many more landmines are hidden underwater in China's real estate, that we haven't seen yet? First, we need to talk about this suddenly missing Fantasia Holdings executive, Ke Kasheng. This great hero is no ordinary person. He is from a good background, born into the system. He graduated from the Finance major at Central University of Finance and Economics in 1984. After graduation, he joined the Guangdong Provincial Branch of the People's Bank of China. In his 30s, he became the deputy governor of the Guangzhou branch of the People's Bank of China, remarkably young and promising. In 2023, the China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) was separated from the People's Bank of China, and he joined the CBRC, becoming the deputy director of the Guangdong Banking Regulatory Bureau. In 2006, he was transferred from the local level to the headquarters of the CBRC, serving as the director of the Non-Bank Financial Institutions Department. At that time, the trust industry was facing successive risk events, and he was appointed to rescue the situation. It can be said that Ke Kasheng is the compliance founder of China's trust industry. A series of regulatory measures were promoted during his tenure. Industry insiders highly praised him, saying he was very professional. In 2012, Huarong launched its joint-stock reform, and Ke Kasheng was transferred to Huarong, serving as Deputy Party Secretary, Director, and President. This Huarong is the Huarong of the well-known Lai Xiaomin. It is said that during Ke Kasheng's years at Huarong, he had disagreements with Lai Xiaomin. On many project decisions, Ke Kasheng, as president, cast dissenting votes, and was targeted by Lai Xiaomin, who repeatedly installed listening devices in his car. In 2017, Ke Kasheng resigned from Huarong citing illness, and coincidentally escaped a disaster, because Lai Xiaomin was taken down by our Emperor in 2018 and was quickly sentenced to death. From a certain perspective, our Emperor can be considered to have indirectly avenged Ke Kasheng. In May 2019, Ke Kasheng left the financial industry and transferred to the real estate developer Fantasia Holdings Group as an executive director. Fantasia Holdings Group, founded in 1998, has always attracted attention due to the red background of its major shareholder, Zeng Baobao. Perhaps everyone has forgotten, China's real estate crisis did not start with Evergrande. The first mine was detonated by Fantasia Holdings. On October 4, 2021, Fantasia Holdings suddenly defaulted on its offshore debt of 206 million US dollars, directly tearing open the first crack in the US dollar bond crisis for Chinese real estate companies. Then came Evergrande's collapse, and the entire real estate industry turned red. So why did Fantasia Holdings detonate first? We have to go back to 2019 to talk about this. In 2019, founder and major shareholder Zeng Baobao returned to the company, serving as executive director, and became CEO the following year. At the same time, he recruited Ke Kasheng into the group, specifically responsible for domestic financing. Is the expertise a perfect match? This move is like Yu Liang bringing Zhu Jiusheng into Vanke back then, both are professional operators from the financial system. Ke Kasheng is even stronger than Zhu Jiusheng, because he understands the compliance channels within the system. As long as compliance can be handled, then how much money can be raised is unlimited. So 2020 became the year Fantasia Holdings acquired the most land. Such rapid expansion directly led to Fantasia Holdings' debt rising to 83 billion yuan by the end of June 2021, an increase of 126.6% compared to 2016. Sales even once soared to 49.2 billion yuan, reaching a historical peak. However, in the second half of 2021, domestic credit was suddenly tightened, and our Emperor introduced the famous three red lines. Fantasia Holdings was immediately downgraded by the three major rating agencies, and directly announced its offshore debt default on October 4. But something happened during this period, which I believe might be the event that directly led to Ke Kasheng being arrested by our Emperor today. What exactly happened? The matter dates back to September 28, 2021. On this day, Country Garden Services announced that it would acquire all shares of Linli Le Holdings, the core commercial asset of Fantasia's listed company, Color Life Services, for a total price of 3.3 billion yuan, to be paid in three installments, with the first installment of 2.3 billion yuan. A few days later, Fantasia Holdings defaulted on its overseas debt. Country Garden then urgently issued an announcement stating that in addition to the 2.3 billion yuan down payment, it had also lent Fantasia Holdings 700 million yuan. Now that Fantasia Holdings has defaulted, it has to consider whether to continue paying the remaining 1 billion yuan. And of the 3 billion yuan that Fantasia Holdings received from Country Garden, 150 million US dollars was used to redeem the previously pledged Color Life shares from Deutsche Bank. Another 100 million US dollars was used to repay private bonds. The remaining 195 million US dollars in funds are unaccounted for. After Fantasia Holdings defaulted on its US dollar bonds in October of that year, Ke Kasheng came forward to serve as the head of debt restructuring. Therefore, he might know the whereabouts of these nearly 200 million US dollars. Thus, Fantasia Holdings has been undergoing debt restructuring until today. On May 24, 2024, Ke Kasheng, who turned 60, resigned from Fantasia Holdings, wanting to retire. But it is obvious that even in retirement, he cannot escape the investigation by our Emperor. So he recently went missing. On March 6, 2025, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange suddenly issued a public reprimand to Fantasia Holdings, Color Life Services, and nine other Fantasia Holdings executives, including Zeng Baobao and Ke Kasheng. It stated that Fantasia Holdings delayed the disclosure of the relevant transaction for one month when selling the equity assets of Linli Le back then. This was a violation of regulations. In this transaction, Chairman Pan Jun was the only director involved in the transaction process. However, he did not follow the regulations and fulfill the procedure of informing the board of directors. Some directors, after becoming aware of the relevant transaction, did not issue inquiries in a timely manner, disregarding the company's internal monitoring regulations and harming the interests of other investors. Why did the Hong Kong Stock Exchange suddenly issue a reprimand for a transaction from four years ago? It is obvious that this is because our Emperor is investigating the bad debt issues of real estate companies retrospectively. This investigation found that there was something fishy about Fantasia Holdings' transaction back then. Because various clues indicate that the sale of Linli Le shares by Fantasia Holdings back then was likely intended to transfer assets before the debt default. Therefore, a major event like the sale of assets by a listed company was concealed for a month. This means that they already knew that the company's debt was about to collapse. So they wanted to quickly sell off the high-quality assets that could be sold and transfer the money out of the country. Therefore, they didn't care whether it was a violation or not. From the use of these 3 billion yuan, we can also see that Fantasia Holdings, knowing that the company had a debt of 200 million US dollars that might default, did not use this money to repay the debt. Instead, it repaid 100 million US dollars in private bonds and transferred out 200 million US dollars in funds. This shows that they were determined not to save the company, let it default, and then take away all the money they could, completely emptying it. I even suspect that the 100 million US dollars in private bonds might have been money lent to the company by Zeng Baobao herself, just like Xu Jiayin's approach back then. So in this asset sale transaction, they might have moved out 300 million US dollars. No wonder Ke Kasheng is now being arrested by our Emperor. He has committed a major taboo of our Emperor again, hasn't he? Moving money out of China, leaving the debt to the Emperor. Moreover, this Great Hero Ke not only helped Fantasia Holdings with financing. According to reports from Caixin, Ke Kasheng is also involved in the financing issues of several Chaoshan real estate developers. This is using his past financial industry experience to engage in the business of fund intermediation. Not only helping his own real estate company with financing, but also helping other real estate companies with financing. This is a crime of aggravated offense, isn't it? But Zeng Baobao, as Fantasia Holdings' largest shareholder and CEO at the time, should also be liquidated by our Emperor, shouldn't she? I wonder if her red bloodline can help her escape this time? It is said that she declared her willingness to contribute 6 million US dollars to help the company overcome the difficulties. But she took 300 million and only returned 6 million. This deal doesn't seem like something our Emperor would be satisfied with. Currently, Fantasia Holdings' situation is that as of the end of June 2025, the company has only 1.249 billion yuan in cash, but has accumulated interest-bearing debt of 44 billion yuan, all of which has defaulted. Contract sales in the first half of 2025 amounted to only 459 million yuan. It is almost impossible for the company to repay its debts by selling houses. It can only undergo debt restructuring or direct bankruptcy liquidation. Zeng Baobao's contribution of 6 million US dollars is intended to make creditors agree to debt restructuring. But this company is beyond saving. How much of Fantasia Holdings' 44 billion yuan debt has been washed abroad by executives? I believe it is definitely more than the 300 million US dollars we just saw. Now, the method our Emperor uses to liquidate real estate bad debts is anti-corruption: arrest people first, then find the money, and finally discuss how to handle the company. Actually, this approach makes some sense. Because the biggest problem in real estate currently is that it has created too many bad debts for the financial system. So, whether to save real estate companies at this time is no longer important. The most important thing is how much money can be recovered. Only by recovering as much of the washed-out money as possible can the financial system be prevented from being implicated and collapsing. Speaking of Shenzhen, the methods are truly wild. We just talked a couple of days ago that Shenzhen's financial innovation is full of fraudsters. And real estate problems are also the most numerous in Shenzhen. The collusion between Shenzhen's financial industry and real estate industry is quite complex. This point can be seen from how Zhu Jiusheng manipulated Vanke's off-balance sheet debt and how Fantasia Holdings invited Ke Kasheng specifically for financing. I also saw in the last couple of days that the Shenzhen branch of China Merchants Bank has three more non-performing loans involving Chaoshan real estate developers. The borrowing enterprises are even newly established small companies with registered capital less than 10 million yuan. Their financial statements are all fake, even their tax data is fake. But the Shenzhen branch of China Merchants Bank managed to issue over 1.1 billion yuan in loans. There is simply no compliance whatsoever. Oh, this China Merchants Bank is a bank that the Tomorrow Group, associated with Xiao Jianhua, whom we mentioned in the last episode, once invested in. The Chaoshan real estate developers involved here seem to also have a connection with today's protagonist, Ke Kasheng. Watching our programs has almost turned into a financial detective drama series. Logically, the real estate industry has been in crisis for over 4 years, but recently, it seems we are only beginning to see our Emperor frequently arresting people. I have a bad premonition. I believe that in the past two years, our Emperor might have been too optimistic about the Chinese economy, thinking that the real estate mines could last for two years, and that economic growth would solve all debt problems. But recently, he has truly realized what deflation is. The domestic economy is severely declining, and the financial system is struggling to withstand these debt risks. So what to do? Our Emperor can only accelerate the liquidation, arrest the people who can be arrested first, and recover the money that can be recovered. This is the last resort. So our channel's serial drama alas, it seems there will be plenty of episodes. Who knows who will be arrested tomorrow? Okay, that's all for today's program. If you like my program, please remember to like, comment, and share. This will be very helpful to me. Thank you for watching. See you next time.

柯卡升的金融履历与花样年危机根源

首先,我们来深入了解这位突然失联的花样年高管柯卡升。他并非普通背景,而是根正苗红的体制内出身。1984年毕业于中央财经大学金融专业后,他进入人民银行广东分行工作,并在三十多岁时晋升为人民银行广州分行副行长,展现出非凡的才华。2003年,随着银监会从央行分立,他转入银监会,担任广东银监局副局长。2006年,他被调任银监会总部,担任非银行金融机构部主任。在此期间,面对信托业的风险事件,他临危受命,被誉为中国信托业的合规奠基人,推动了多项关键监管办法的出台。业内普遍评价他专业能力极强。

2012年,在华融资产启动股份制改造之际,柯卡升被调任华融担任党委副书记、董事、总裁。这家华融正是后来因赖小民案而广为人知的公司。据传,柯卡升在华融期间与赖小民关系不睦,多次在项目决策上投下反对票,并因此遭到赖小民的针对,甚至在其车内安装窃听器。2017年,柯卡升以患病为由从华融辞职,巧妙地避开了随后的政治风暴,因为赖小民于2018年落马并被判处死刑。从某种意义上说,这也可以看作是国家对柯卡升的间接“报仇”。

2019年5月,柯卡升告别金融监管体系,转投房企花样年集团,担任执行董事。花样年集团成立于1998年,因其大股东曾宝宝的“红色背景”一直备受关注。值得注意的是,中国房地产行业的首次大规模违约并非始于恒大,而是花样年。2021年10月4日,花样年突然发生2.06亿美元的境外债违约,这标志着中国房企美元债危机的开端,随后恒大等房企也相继爆雷。

Original English First, we need to talk about this suddenly missing Fantasia Holdings executive, Ke Kasheng. This great hero is no ordinary person. He is from a good background, born into the system. He graduated from the Finance major at Central University of Finance and Economics in 1984. After graduation, he joined the Guangdong Provincial Branch of the People's Bank of China. In his 30s, he became the deputy governor of the Guangzhou branch of the People's Bank of China, remarkably young and promising. In 2023, the China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) was separated from the People's Bank of China, and he joined the CBRC, becoming the deputy director of the Guangdong Banking Regulatory Bureau. In 2006, he was transferred from the local level to the headquarters of the CBRC, serving as the director of the Non-Bank Financial Institutions Department. At that time, the trust industry was facing successive risk events, and he was appointed to rescue the situation. It can be said that Ke Kasheng is the compliance founder of China's trust industry. A series of regulatory measures were promoted during his tenure. Industry insiders highly praised him, saying he was very professional. In 2012, Huarong launched its joint-stock reform, and Ke Kasheng was transferred to Huarong, serving as Deputy Party Secretary, Director, and President. This Huarong is the Huarong of the well-known Lai Xiaomin. It is said that during Ke Kasheng's years at Huarong, he had disagreements with Lai Xiaomin. On many project decisions, Ke Kasheng, as president, cast dissenting votes, and was targeted by Lai Xiaomin, who repeatedly installed listening devices in his car. In 2017, Ke Kasheng resigned from Huarong citing illness, and coincidentally escaped a disaster, because Lai Xiaomin was taken down by our Emperor in 2018 and was quickly sentenced to death. From a certain perspective, our Emperor can be considered to have indirectly avenged Ke Kasheng. In May 2019, Ke Kasheng left the financial industry and transferred to the real estate developer Fantasia Holdings Group as an executive director. Fantasia Holdings Group, founded in 1998, has always attracted attention due to the red background of its major shareholder, Zeng Baobao. Perhaps everyone has forgotten, China's real estate crisis did not start with Evergrande. The first mine was detonated by Fantasia Holdings. On October 4, 2021, Fantasia Holdings suddenly defaulted on its offshore debt of 206 million US dollars, directly tearing open the first crack in the US dollar bond crisis for Chinese real estate companies. Then came Evergrande's collapse, and the entire real estate industry turned red.

花样年扩张与“三条红线”下的违约真相

花样年为何成为首个引爆危机的房企?这需要追溯到2019年。当年,创始人兼大股东曾宝宝重返公司并出任执行董事,次年成为CEO。同时,她引入了柯卡升,专门负责境內融资。这一操作,如同当年郁亮引入祝九胜进入万科一样,都是从金融系统引进的专业操盘手。柯卡升的优势在于他深谙体制内的合规之道,一旦合规问题得以解决,融资便变得相对容易。正因如此,2020年成为花样年拿地最多的一年,其扩张速度惊人,导致截至2021年6月底,公司债务飙升至830亿元,较2016年增长126.6%。同期销售额也一度达到历史峰值492亿元。

然而,2021年下半年,国内信贷环境骤然收紧,“三条红线”政策的出台给房地产行业带来了巨大压力。花样年随即被三大评级机构下调评级,并于10月4日宣布境外债违约。在此之前,发生的一件事被认为是导致柯卡升如今被调查的关键。

Original English So why did Fantasia Holdings detonate first? We have to go back to 2019 to talk about this. In 2019, founder and major shareholder Zeng Baobao returned to the company, serving as executive director, and became CEO the following year. At the same time, he recruited Ke Kasheng into the group, specifically responsible for domestic financing. Is the expertise a perfect match? This move is like Yu Liang bringing Zhu Jiusheng into Vanke back then, both are professional operators from the financial system. Ke Kasheng is even stronger than Zhu Jiusheng, because he understands the compliance channels within the system. As long as compliance can be handled, then how much money can be raised is unlimited. So 2020 became the year Fantasia Holdings acquired the most land. Such rapid expansion directly led to Fantasia Holdings' debt rising to 83 billion yuan by the end of June 2021, an increase of 126.6% compared to 2016. Sales even once soared to 49.2 billion yuan, reaching a historical peak. However, in the second half of 2021, domestic credit was suddenly tightened, and our Emperor introduced the famous three red lines. Fantasia Holdings was immediately downgraded by the three major rating agencies, and directly announced its offshore debt default on October 4. But something happened during this period, which I believe might be the event that directly led to Ke Kasheng being arrested by our Emperor today.

碧桂园交易疑云:30亿资金流向与近2亿不明去向

事件的关键节点发生在2021年9月28日,碧桂园服务宣布以33亿元的总价收购花样年旗下上市公司彩生活的部分核心商业资产——邻里乐控股。该交易计划分三期支付,首期支付23亿元。然而,仅几天后,花样年便爆发了境外债务违约。紧接着,碧桂园发布公告,除已支付的23亿元首付款外,还向花样年提供了7亿元贷款,并表示将考虑是否继续支付剩余的10亿元款项。

令人费解的是,花样年从碧桂园获得的这30亿元资金,其中1.5亿美元被用于向德意志银行赎回此前质押的彩生活股份,另有1亿美元用于偿还私募债券。然而,剩余的1.95亿美元资金却下落不明。在当年10月花样年美元债违约后,柯卡升出面担任了债务重组组长,这使得他对这近2亿美元的去向可能知情。

Original English What exactly happened? The matter dates back to September 28, 2021. On this day, Country Garden Services announced that it would acquire all shares of Linli Le Holdings, the core commercial asset of Fantasia's listed company, Color Life Services, for a total price of 3.3 billion yuan, to be paid in three installments, with the first installment of 2.3 billion yuan. A few days later, Fantasia Holdings defaulted on its overseas debt. Country Garden then urgently issued an announcement stating that in addition to the 2.3 billion yuan down payment, it had also lent Fantasia Holdings 700 million yuan. Now that Fantasia Holdings has defaulted, it has to consider whether to continue paying the remaining 1 billion yuan. And of the 3 billion yuan that Fantasia Holdings received from Country Garden, 150 million US dollars was used to redeem the previously pledged Color Life shares from Deutsche Bank. Another 100 million US dollars was used to repay private bonds. The remaining 195 million US dollars in funds are unaccounted for. After Fantasia Holdings defaulted on its US dollar bonds in October of that year, Ke Kasheng came forward to serve as the head of debt restructuring. Therefore, he might know the whereabouts of these nearly 200 million US dollars.

港交所谴责与资产转移的铁证

花样年一路进行债务重组,直到2024年5月24日,年满60岁的柯卡升从花样年辞职,试图退休。然而,退休并未能让他逃脱国家的追查,他近期便失联了。2025年3月6日,港交所突然对花样年、彩生活及其包括曾宝宝、柯卡升在内的9名高管发出公开谴责,指出花样年出售邻里乐股权资产后,延迟一个月才披露相关交易,构成违规操作。董事会主席潘军是唯一参与交易的董事,但他未按规定告知董事会。部分董事在知情后也未及时质询,无视公司内部监控,损害了投资者利益。

港交所为何在四年后突然就一笔交易发出谴责?这明显是国家在“倒查”房企坏账问题时,发现了花样年这笔交易中的猫腻。种种迹象表明,当年出售邻里乐股份很可能是为了在债务爆雷前转移资产。上市公司出售重大资产却敢隐瞒一个月,意味着他们深知公司债务即将难以为继,急于变卖优质资产并将资金转移出境,全然不顾违规与否。从这30亿元资金的使用情况来看,花样年明知可能面临2亿美元的债务违约,却未优先偿还这笔债务,反而偿还了1亿美元私募债,并转移了2亿美元资金,显示其掏空公司的决心。甚至有理由怀疑,那1亿美元私募债款项可能就是曾宝宝自己借给公司的钱,如同当年许家印的做法。因此,通过这笔资产出售交易,他们可能就转移了高达3亿美元的资金,这无疑触碰了国家的底线,也难怪柯卡升会被抓捕。

Original English Thus, Fantasia Holdings has been undergoing debt restructuring until today. On May 24, 2024, Ke Kasheng, who turned 60, resigned from Fantasia Holdings, wanting to retire. But it is obvious that even in retirement, he cannot escape the investigation by our Emperor. So he recently went missing. On March 6, 2025, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange suddenly issued a public reprimand to Fantasia Holdings, Color Life Services, and nine other Fantasia Holdings executives, including Zeng Baobao and Ke Kasheng. It stated that Fantasia Holdings delayed the disclosure of the relevant transaction for one month when selling the equity assets of Linli Le back then. This was a violation of regulations. In this transaction, Chairman Pan Jun was the only director involved in the transaction process. However, he did not follow the regulations and fulfill the procedure of informing the board of directors. Some directors, after becoming aware of the relevant transaction, did not issue inquiries in a timely manner, disregarding the company's internal monitoring regulations and harming the interests of other investors. Why did the Hong Kong Stock Exchange suddenly issue a reprimand for a transaction from four years ago? It is obvious that this is because our Emperor is investigating the bad debt issues of real estate companies retrospectively. This investigation found that there was something fishy about Fantasia Holdings' transaction back then. Because various clues indicate that the sale of Linli Le shares by Fantasia Holdings back then was likely intended to transfer assets before the debt default. Therefore, a major event like the sale of assets by a listed company was concealed for a month. This means that they already knew that the company's debt was about to collapse. So they wanted to quickly sell off the high-quality assets that could be sold and transfer the money out of the country. Therefore, they didn't care whether it was a violation or not. From the use of these 3 billion yuan, we can also see that Fantasia Holdings, knowing that the company had a debt of 200 million US dollars that might default, did not use this money to repay the debt. Instead, it repaid 100 million US dollars in private bonds and transferred out 200 million US dollars in funds. This shows that they were determined not to save the company, let it default, and then take away all the money they could, completely emptying it. I even suspect that the 100 million US dollars in private bonds might have been money lent to the company by Zeng Baobao herself, just like Xu Jiayin's approach back then. So in this asset sale transaction, they might have moved out 300 million US dollars. No wonder Ke Kasheng is now being arrested by our Emperor. He has committed a major taboo of our Emperor again, hasn't he? Moving money out of China, leaving the debt to the Emperor.

柯卡升的“资金中介”角色与曾宝宝的困境

柯卡升的涉案情节并未止步于花样年。根据财新网的报道,他还牵涉到几位潮汕地产商的融资问题,利用其过往的金融从业经历,充当了资金中介的角色。这种行为,不仅为自家公司融资,还为其他地产公司提供融资服务,无疑加重了其罪责。

然而,作为花样年当时的第一大股东兼CEO,曾宝宝按理说也应面临清算。她的“红色血脉”是否能助她逃过一劫,仍是未知数。据称,她表态愿意出资600万美元帮助公司渡过难关。但考虑到公司在此次交易中可能转移了3亿美元,仅拿出600万美元来弥补,这种“买卖”恐怕难以让国家满意。

目前,花样年面临严峻的财务困境。截至2025年6月底,公司账面现金仅剩12.49亿元,但累计计息负债高达440亿元,且已全部违约。2025年上半年合同销售额仅为4.59亿元,依靠卖房还债已基本不可能。公司只能寻求债务重组或直接破产清算。曾宝宝提出的600万美元,其目的显然是为了争取债权人同意债务重组。但无论如何,花样年已是回天乏术。这440亿元的巨额债务中,有多少被高管们转移至境外,相信远不止此前披露的3亿美元。

Original English Moreover, this Great Hero Ke not only helped Fantasia Holdings with financing. According to reports from Caixin, Ke Kasheng is also involved in the financing issues of several Chaoshan real estate developers. This is using his past financial industry experience to engage in the business of fund intermediation. Not only helping his own real estate company with financing, but also helping other real estate companies with financing. This is a crime of aggravated offense, isn't it? But Zeng Baobao, as Fantasia Holdings' largest shareholder and CEO at the time, should also be liquidated by our Emperor, shouldn't she? I wonder if her red bloodline can help her escape this time? It is said that she declared her willingness to contribute 6 million US dollars to help the company overcome the difficulties. But she took 300 million and only returned 6 million. This deal doesn't seem like something our Emperor would be satisfied with. Currently, Fantasia Holdings' situation is that as of the end of June 2025, the company has only 1.249 billion yuan in cash, but has accumulated interest-bearing debt of 44 billion yuan, all of which has defaulted. Contract sales in the first half of 2025 amounted to only 459 million yuan. It is almost impossible for the company to repay its debts by selling houses. It can only undergo debt restructuring or direct bankruptcy liquidation. Zeng Baobao's contribution of 6 million US dollars is intended to make creditors agree to debt restructuring. But this company is beyond saving. How much of Fantasia Holdings' 44 billion yuan debt has been washed abroad by executives? I believe it is definitely more than the 300 million US dollars we just saw.

深圳金融地产“野路子”与反腐清算新策略

当前,国家清算房地产坏账的主要手段是反腐:先抓人,再追钱,最后处理公司。这种策略有其合理性,因为房地产行业已给金融系统制造了大量坏账。此时,保不保房企已非重点,关键在于能追回多少资金。只有尽可能多地追回被转移的资金,才能避免金融系统因这些坏账而崩溃。

深圳作为中国经济的“试验田”,其金融与地产领域的“野路子”尤为突出。此前已有报道指出深圳金融创新滋生诈骗,如今地产行业的乱象也在此地最为集中。深圳金融业与地产业之间复杂的利益勾结,从万科高管操盘表外债,到花样年引入柯卡升专司融资,可见一斑。近期,华夏银行深圳分行曝出涉及潮汕地产商的三笔不良贷款,借款企业多为刚成立的小公司,财务报表和纳税数据造假,却能获得超过11亿元的贷款,显示出其监管的缺失。这家华夏银行,曾是肖建华“明天系”的入股对象,而此次牵涉的潮汕地产商,似乎也与柯卡升有关联。

Original English Now, the method our Emperor uses to liquidate real estate bad debts is anti-corruption: arrest people first, then find the money, and finally discuss how to handle the company. Actually, this approach makes some sense. Because the biggest problem in real estate currently is that it has created too many bad debts for the financial system. So, whether to save real estate companies at this time is no longer important. The most important thing is how much money can be recovered. Only by recovering as much of the washed-out money as possible can the financial system be prevented from being implicated and collapsing. Speaking of Shenzhen, the methods are truly wild. We just talked a couple of days ago that Shenzhen's financial innovation is full of fraudsters. And real estate problems are also the most numerous in Shenzhen. The collusion between Shenzhen's financial industry and real estate industry is quite complex. This point can be seen from how Zhu Jiusheng manipulated Vanke's off-balance sheet debt and how Fantasia Holdings invited Ke Kasheng specifically for financing. I also saw in the last couple of days that the Shenzhen branch of China Merchants Bank has three more non-performing loans involving Chaoshan real estate developers. The borrowing enterprises are even newly established small companies with registered capital less than 10 million yuan. Their financial statements are all fake, even their tax data is fake. But the Shenzhen branch of China Merchants Bank managed to issue over 1.1 billion yuan in loans. There is simply no compliance whatsoever. Oh, this China Merchants Bank is a bank that the Tomorrow Group, associated with Xiao Jianhua, whom we mentioned in the last episode, once invested in. The Chaoshan real estate developers involved here seem to also have a connection with today's protagonist, Ke Kasheng.

经济衰退下的加速清算:金融系统风险的最后防线

尽管房地产行业已暴雷四年有余,但国家近期才开始频繁采取抓捕行动。这或许源于前两年对中国经济过于乐观,认为房地产业的风险能在经济增长中化解。然而,随着通缩现实的显现和国内经济的严重衰退,金融系统已难以承受持续的债务风险。在此背景下,国家只能加快清算步伐,优先抓捕相关责任人,并尽力追回流失的资金,这已成为稳定金融系统的最后手段。因此,这场关于金融与地产乱象的“连续剧”恐怕还有很长的篇幅,谁也不知道明天又将有谁被卷入其中。

Original English Watching our programs has almost turned into a financial detective drama series. Logically, the real estate industry has been in crisis for over 4 years, but recently, it seems we are only beginning to see our Emperor frequently arresting people. I have a bad premonition. I believe that in the past two years, our Emperor might have been too optimistic about the Chinese economy, thinking that the real estate mines could last for two years, and that economic growth would solve all debt problems. But recently, he has truly realized what deflation is. The domestic economy is severely declining, and the financial system is struggling to withstand these debt risks. So what to do? Our Emperor can only accelerate the liquidation, arrest the people who can be arrested first, and recover the money that can be recovered. This is the last resort. So our channel's serial drama alas, it seems there will be plenty of episodes. Who knows who will be arrested tomorrow? Okay, that's all for today's program. If you like my program, please remember to like, comment, and share. This will be very helpful to me. Thank you for watching. See you next time.
📌 文中提及的人物和组织

人物: 柯卡升, 曾宝宝

公司/组织: 花样年, 彩生活, 华融

关键字: real-estate-crisis financial-corruption asset-stripping debt-restructuring regulatory-crackdown