巨头话术转向:从颠覆狂热到分配焦虑
一场巨大的转变正在发生。过去三年里,那些宣扬AI将重塑行业、取代工人并创造无法想象之财富的人,开始改变他们的话术。他们的关注点从技术本身转向了技术对普通人的影响——他们开始表达对不平等和劳动力流失的担忧。例如,全球第四大富豪杰夫·贝索斯(Jeff Bezos)公开提议,应当对美国底层50%的低收入家庭免征联邦所得税;此前曾多年未缴纳联邦所得税的埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)则呼吁,通过联邦政府发放的全民高收入(Universal High Income)来应对AI引发的失业危机。同时,OpenAI 提议设立公共财富基金,而 Anthropic 首席执行官 Dario Amodei 甚至警告称,AI可能会在五年内摧毁半数的初级白领工作。
这种突然的良心发现并非出于偶然。科技领袖们之所以将语境从“准备迎接技术革命”转变为“确保利益共享”,核心驱动力在于掩盖或延缓日益高涨的底层抵触情绪。当资本的运作逻辑遭遇到全社会的结构性阵痛,这些通过避税与资本杠杆积累巨额财富的个体,选择在电视上扮演起对工薪阶层深切关怀的角色。
Original English Source
Something huge is happening right now. Things are shifting across boardrooms and podcast studios and carefully worded social media posts. The people who spent the last 3 years telling the world that AI would change everything, that it would reshape industries, replace workers, and generate unimaginable wealth have started to change what they're saying. Not about the technology, but about the consequences, about you. They're starting to sound concerned about inequality, about displacement, about the people who might not survive the transition they are building. And if you've been paying attention, the obvious question is, why now? What changed? Did they suddenly develop a conscience or did something else happened? Well, something else happened and it wasn't Jiminy Cricket. Jiminy Cricket doesn't exactly have a lobbying budget. My name is Al, I have a PhD in computer science and I analyze AI developments to understand what is actually happening beneath the hype. In this video, I'm going to show you what AI billionaires have started saying and doing in the past few weeks. Then I'm going to show you what's happening on the ground in communities across America that might explain the sudden change of heart. And finally, I want to talk about one proposal that if it ever became reality, might actually address the thing people are really angry about.Let's start with what they're saying. Last month, Jeff Bezos, the founder of Amazon, the fourth richest person on the planet, went on CNBC Squawk Box and said it was absurd to tax someone making $50,000 a year. He proposed that the bottom 50% of American earners, which is roughly 76 million households, should pay zero federal income tax. When people are starting out and they're struggling, stop taxing them. We don't need it, he said. So, this is the same Jeff Bezos who, according to a ProPublica investigation, based on confidential IRS data, by the way, paid zero federal income tax in 2007 and 2011, years in which he was already one of the wealthiest people alive. ProPublica calculated his effective true tax rate between 2014 and 2018 at 0.98%, less than 1%, which means that in the years ProPublica examined, Jeff Bezos was paying a lower tax rate than somebody selling jewelry on Etsy, for example. The richest 25 Americans, ProPublica found, pay an average of 15.8% in tax, which is less than many of the nurses and teachers Bezos is now expressing concern about. His company, Amazon, has cut 30,000 jobs since October, explicitly citing AI efficiency gains while AWS posted its fastest growth in 13 quarters. And he is now on television saying he wants to advocate for the financial well-being of a nurse in Queens making $75,000. The man who paid 0.98% wants you to know he thinks taxes on the working class are absurd. He is technically correct. He is also, in a manner of speaking, an expert on the subject of not paying them.
Around the same time, Elon Musk, who paid zero federal income tax in 2018, posted on X that universal high income via checks issued by the federal government is the best way to deal with unemployment caused by AI, which is a fascinating policy position coming from a man who is currently embedded in the department responsible for cutting federal checks to as few people as possible. OpenAI has proposed a public wealth fund so that the public can benefit from AI-driven economic growth. And Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, has warned that AI could wipe out up to half of entry-level white-collar jobs within 5 years and called it a duty to be honest about what's coming. And then this week, Senator Bernie Sanders announced he will introduce a bill to give the public a 50% ownership stake in the largest AI companies in America. The language has changed. The tone has changed. The people who were once saying get ready are now saying we need to make sure the benefits are shared. The question worth asking is what specifically made them start saying that?
现实反噬:物理空间的社区抵抗与就业崩盘
亿万富翁们态度的改变,直接对应着真实世界中正在爆发的激烈抵制行动。这种抵制不再局限于口头讨论,而是具体到了物理基础设施层面。加利福尼亚州的蒙特雷帕克(Monterey Park)通过投票成为全美首个永久禁止建设数据中心的城市;印第安纳州谢尔比维尔(Shelbyville)的市长因支持耗费大量农田建设的数字资产项目而遭到强烈抗议,更有地方议员因此遭遇极端暴力威胁。民调显示,高达70%的美国人反对在住处附近建设数据中心,其受欢迎程度甚至低于核电站。
这种抵抗来源于公众直观的剥夺感。数据中心往往被包装成“关键基础设施”,但实际上,这些占据数百英亩土地、消耗等同于小型城市电力、抽取数百万加仑水源用于冷却的庞然大物,在建成后只能提供极少的工作岗位。它们带来的是更高的能源账单和水资源枯竭,而其创造的红利却完全流向了远在硅谷的科技企业。与此同时,仅今年就已经有超14.2万名科技从业者失业。各大城市甚至不得不给无法被关闭的AI监控摄像头套上垃圾袋,企业内也有高达29%的员工承认曾蓄意破坏公司的AI议程。这是一场跨越各种行业与地区的集体排斥反应,科技公司感受到了切实可见的“干草叉(Pitchforks)”般的政治反噬压力。
Original English Source
Here is what's been happening while the billionaires were drafting their op-eds. On Tuesday, voters in Monterey Park, California, became the first city in the United States to permanently ban data centers by ballot initiatives. The measure passed with 86% of the vote, 14% opposed. The ballot text cited the need to protect air quality, drinking water resources, and public health, and prevent impact to electricity and water rates. The proposed facility would have consumed three times more electricity than the rest of the city combined, less than 500 feet from the nearest home. The mayor predicted other cities would follow. City councilor Jose Sanchez said he hoped Monterey Park would become an inspiration to others to stop data centers from encroaching in their backyard. She's probably right. 69 jurisdictions across the United States have already blocked new data center constructions. A Gallup poll from March 2026 found that 70% of Americans oppose data centers near their homes, making them less popular than nuclear power plants, which is generally difficult to achieve considering that nuclear power plants have had a 60-year head start on being unpopular.Residents cite water usage, effects on quality of life, increased cost of living, and a general distrust of AI, particularly its impact on the job market. National estimates project data center electricity use could double or triple by 2028, representing up to 12% of all US electricity consumption. California State Senator Sasha Renee Perez introduced a bill banning backup diesel generators at data centers and preventing them from placing electricity costs on the ratepayers. In Shelbyville, Indiana, the mayor was caught on camera holding an anti-data center sign and telling a table of ladies, "I've seen a lot of these all over town, but I only see them in shitty houses." A woman corrected him, "working class, you see them at working class houses." The mayor replied, "most of them are rentals." Another lady said, "it doesn't matter if they're rentals or not, they're still human beings." The community had gathered over 2,000 signatures on a petition to halt the project, a proposal to turn 429 acres of farmland into an 11-building data center complex. The city council advanced the plan anyway, ignoring the jeers and shouts of an angry public. In Indianapolis, a city-county councilor's home was allegedly shot at after a pro-data center vote. The mayor's apology, when it came, said he regrets that his choice of words may have caused offense. The passive voice in that sentence is doing more work than most of Shelbyville's elected officials, it seems. He clarified he was referring to property maintenance, whose concerns carry weight in a billion-dollar development decision turns out to depend, in Shelbyville at least, on whether you rent or not.
And this is just data centers, right? Over 142,000 tech workers have lost their jobs in 2026 so far, which is a 33% increase over last year. Cities are covering AI surveillance cameras with bin bags because they cannot figure out how to turn them off. DuckDuckGo installed search 30% after Google tried to force AI into search. A January 2026 Mercer poll found that 40% of employees are concerned about job loss due to AI, up from 28% in 2024. 29% of employees admit to sabotaging their company's AI agenda, which given that this is self-reported sabotage, suggests the actual number is likely higher, largely out of fear of becoming obsolete. The backlash is not one story. It is dozens of stories happening simultaneously in every sector, in every community, in every country, and the billionaires, I think, can read.
Data centers are sometimes presented as critical infrastructure, and some of them genuinely are, but they are not job creators in any meaningful sense. A facility covering hundreds of acres, consuming enough electricity to power a small city, drawing millions of gallons of water for cooling, once built, it employs a skeleton crew. The construction phase creates temporary work, yes. The operational phase creates a server room with a locked door, however. The promise is jobs, but the reality is a humming building that employs fewer people than the farm it replaced. The communities bearing the costs, like higher energy bills, strained grids, noise, water consumption, are not the communities reaping the benefits. The benefits accrue to the companies whose AI models run on the servers inside those buildings. The same companies whose CEOs, by the way, are now expressing concerns about inequality on television. The compassion, it turns out, scales with the backlash. I covered a very similar dynamic in my video on tech CEOs suffering from AI psychosis, how the people making the biggest decisions about AI are the furthest from its consequences. The pattern repeats. The pattern always repeats. California Governor Gavin Newsom captured the political temperature in a single sentence last week. The pitchforks are here, he said. They are not just coming, which is the kind of sentence a governor says when the polling data has become impossible to reinterpret. He warned that resentment towards billionaires and AI-driven automation would dominate the 2026 and 2028 elections, and the billionaires can see them. Axios reported that America's wealthiest figures are developing their own prescriptions for AI-fueled inequality, anxious to diffuse a populist revolt aimed at their ballooning fortunes. There are now 86 AI billionaires on Forbes annual ranking worth a collective $2.9 trillion. 86 people, $2.9 trillion, and a growing suspicion among the other 330 million that the arrangement may not be working for everyone. The AI boom, as Axios framed it, has unleashed a technology that could wipe out millions of jobs while minting the world's first trillionaires. Senator Elizabeth Warren has called for overhauling the tax code, including new taxes on wealth and data centers to ensure Americans share in the economic gains of AI. Anti-billionaire politics has become, in Axios's words, an organizing principle for the Democratic Party.
事后补偿 vs 系统控制:资本权力的防守与博弈
面对这股怒潮,各大公司纷纷提出了他们的“解药”。但这些解药中存在一个根本性缺陷:没有任何一个提议包含放缓AI研发或部署节奏。谷歌、亚马逊、Meta等巨头在2026年的AI基础设施总预算高达7000亿美元。他们的核心策略是事后补偿(Ex-post Redistribution)——让我们先把机器造出来并推向市场,引发破坏之后,再通过纳税补贴或慈善基金分点钱给受到冲击的人群。
与此形成对比的是伯尼·桑德斯(Bernie Sanders)议员提出的方案:给予公众全美最大AI企业50%的所有权。这一方案触及了问题的核心——如果AI的训练材料是全人类共同创造的书籍、音乐、代码和对话,那么公众就天然应该分享由此带来的庞大利益。然而,社区底层民众追求的不仅是分享财富,他们更要求拥有对系统实施进程的把控权(Structural Participation)。要求数据中心不在家门口落成、要求在动土前被倾听和咨询,这代表了公众对于技术部署决策权的渴望。对于享受着现有系统红利的AI大亨们而言,出让股份或交出权力不仅违背了他们的商业利益,更触犯了他们固有的权力结构。因此,他们的让步大概率只会停留在播客访谈和空头支票上。除非这股自下而上的怒潮能真正转化为联邦层面的强力政治立法,否则所有试图重建信任的姿态,都不过是在为继续扩张赢得时间。
Original English Source
So, the billionaires are offering solutions. Bezos wants to cut taxes on low-earners, Musk wants universal income, OpenAI wants a wealth fund, and Sanders wants 50% public ownership. But, here is what none of them are offering: a slowdown. Not one of these proposals involves deploying AI more carefully, more gradually, or with greater democratic input. Every proposal here is a mechanism for redistributing the proceeds of AI deployment ex-post, not a mechanism for changing how it gets deployed. The offer in every case is let us finish building the thing, and then we'll talk about who it's actually for. The technology keeps moving, the layoffs keep coming, the data centers keep getting built. Google, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft are expected to spend a combined $700 billion on AI infrastructure in 2026, up 77% from last year. Meta's annual AI infrastructure budget now runs four to five times its entire human compensation bill. The foot is firmly on the accelerator here. The solutions on the table are all variations of let the disruption happen, then write checks to the people it disrupts, which if you really think about it is the opposite of what the communities in Monterey Park and Shelby Village are asking for.Those communities are not asking for a share of the wealth, they're asking for the data center not to be built next to their house. They are asking for input on decisions that affect their lives. They're asking to be consulted before the ground is broken, not compensated after the damage is done. And that distinction between redistribution and participation is one the billionaire proposals consistently fail to address. Let me be clear about what I think is happening here. The technology has not fundamentally changed. The deployment strategy has not changed. The business models have not changed. What has changed is the political cost of ignoring the backlash. The narrative shift from AI will change everything and that's exciting to we need to make sure the benefits are shared tracks precisely with the moment when data centers started being banned, surveillance cameras started being covered with bin bags, 142,000 workers lost their jobs in 5 months, and DuckDuckGo install search 30% in a single week. The concern is real in the sense that these people can read a poll. It is less obviously real in the sense that any of them have actually slowed down, which brings me to the Sanders proposal because I think it deserves serious engagement rather than reflexive dismissal.
The bill would give the public a 50% ownership stake in the largest AI companies in America held through a sovereign wealth fund. Sanders' argument is very straightforward. AI was trained on humanity's collective knowledge, our books, songs, artwork, journalism, computer code, scientific research, videos, conversations, images, and ideas spanning generations. Sam Altman himself has acknowledged that AI models were trained on the collective experience, knowledge, and learning of humanity. If the raw material belongs to everyone, the argument goes, the wealth generated from it should benefit everyone as well. Arguably the whole planet, but here we are. Sanders compared his proposal to two existing models. Norway's Government Pension Fund Global, built on oil wealth, is now worth $2.3 trillion and funds the country's public welfare system. The Alaska Permanent Fund has paid $1,000 to $2,000 to every Alaskan citizens annually since 1980. One funds public services, the other writes checks directly to citizens. Sanders wants both, and he is not the only one thinking along these lines. South Korea recently saw a proposal for a citizen's dividend funded by semiconductor tax windfalls from Samsung and SK Hynix. The irony, and it is a significant one here, is that the AI companies themselves have been flirting with this idea, too. OpenAI proposed a public wealth fund. Altman has written about universal basic income funded by AI. Even Musk endorsed the concept.
The billionaires and the socialist senator are at a very high level of abstraction, saying the exact same thing. The wealth generated by AI needs to flow to the public. They just disagree about the mechanism, which is either encouraging or deeply suspicious, depending on your general outlook. The billionaires prefer voluntary redistribution, wealth funds, charitable commitments, tax proposals that may or may not become law. Sanders prefers ownership, a structural change that would give the public a seat at the table, not just a share of the proceeds. Here are my honest thoughts on this. I would not be personally opposed to something like it. A significant portion of the public anger around AI is not really about the technology. It is about who benefits from the technology. If people felt they had a genuine stake in AI success, if the wealth generated by these systems flowed even partially back to the public whose data and knowledge built them, the conversation would be very different. A lot of the fear, the hostility, the reflexive rejection of AI as a concept, not all of it, but a meaningful share, of course, stems from the perception that this is something being done to people for the benefit of a very small number of very wealthy individuals. Change the ownership structure and you change that perception. Whether you also change the reality is a separate question and a super important one, of course, but the political will required for something like this is extraordinary. And I say that not as a commentary on any specific political figure, but just as an observation about incentive structures.
The people who would need to vote for this legislation operate within the same system that benefits from the status quo. Campaign contributions, lobbying, the revolving door between government and industry, these are structural forces, not individual moral failures. AI is currently making a very small number of people a very large amount of it. Asking those people to voluntarily share 50% of their ownership is essentially asking them to act against the incentive structure they operate within. History offers very few examples of people voluntarily halving their own wealth. It offers quite a few examples of people saying that they will and then just not doing it. It's not that it's impossible, but it would require a level of political pressure that has not yet materialized at the federal level, even if at the social level in places like Monterey Park and Shelbyville, it very clearly has. And there is a version of the story where the backlash works, where the political pressure forces genuine structural change, not up as in podcast appearances designed to take the temperature down a little bit, but I mean actual redistribution of ownership, actual regulatory frameworks, actual accountability for deployment decisions that affect millions of people. Norway did it with oil, Alaska did it with oil. There is no fundamental reason it cannot be done with AI, except that the people who would need to allow it are the same people who benefit most from it not happening.
And of course, there is another version of the story where the billionaires successfully absorb the backlash, where the proposals stay proposals, the wealth funds stay theoretical, the tax cuts for low earners become a talking point rather than a policy, and the underlying structure remains exactly as it is, where the fire behind them dies down just enough for business to continue as usual. Which version plays out in reality depends entirely on whether the political energy currently banning data centers and covering cameras with bin bags translates into something that reaches the federal level. The local resistance is very real. The question is only whether it scales further. What I do know for sure is this, the same people who told the world to prepare for a revolution are now trying to negotiate the terms of surrender, and the terms they're offering so far are remarkably generous to themselves. That alone tells you something important. They are not scared of AI. They're scared of what happens when the people affected by AI start organizing. And given what's been happening in Monterey Park, Shelbyville, Dayton, Evanston, and the DuckDuckGo download charts, they probably should be. The technology is very powerful. It has genuine applications. It can do extraordinary things, but a significant portion of the resistance it faces has nothing to do with the technology itself. It has to do with trust and trust is not rebuilt by going on television to propose tax cuts while your company fires 30,000 people. Trust is rebuilt by demonstrating not promising demonstrating that the benefits of this technology extend beyond the people who own it. Until that happens the pitchforks are not going anywhere probably and the billionaires for the first time in this cycle appear to know it. But AI billionaires moderating their messaging is only half the story. What happens when the companies they run start making changes to products that billions of people use every single day without asking whether those people even want the change. Well, Google just found out. That's the video that I would watch next. Thanks so much for watching this one. Subscribe and I'll see you all in the next one.