丰裕议程的一周年:氛围、立法与结果的落差
Ezra Klein: 距离 Derek Thompson 和我出版 《丰裕》(Abundance) 已经过去一年多了。所以我希望在这一年多的节点上进行一次回顾:发生了什么?什么还没发生?哪些论点改变了我们的想法?哪些政治家似乎真的在实践这个想法?这一切又将走向何方?Derek Thompson 是《大西洋月刊》的特约撰稿人,也是《丰裕》的合著者。Mark Dunkelman 是 Searchlight 研究所和布朗大学的研究员,他在同一时间出版了一本书叫 《为何无事成行》(Why Nothing Works),讨论了非常相似的想法,但视角更具历史感。我希望邀请他们一起来谈谈我们所见到的现状以及对未来的看法。
Original English
Ezra Klein: It has been a little over a year since Derek Thompson and I published Abundance. And so I wanted here at the just over a year mark to have a check-in. What has happened? What hasn't happened? Which of the arguments have changed our minds? Which politicians actually seem to be doing something with the idea? And where does it all go from here? Derek Thompson is a contributing writer at The Atlantic. is of course a co-author of abundance and the author of a great Substack newsletter under his name. Mark Dunkelman is a fellow at the Searchlight Institute and at Brown University and the author of a book that came out around the same time, Why Nothing Works, which is about some very similar ideas but with a much more historical perspective. So, I want to have them on together to sort of talk through what we've seen and what we think is coming. As always, my email esc.com.
Ezra Klein: Mark Dunkelman, Derek Thompson,欢迎来到节目。
Original English
Ezra Klein: Mark Dunkelman, Derek Thompson. Welcome to the show.
Mark Dunkelman: 很高兴来到这里。
Original English
Mark Dunkelman: It's good to be here.
Derek Thompson: 很高兴能来,是的。
Original English
Derek Thompson: Thrilled to be here. Yeah.
Ezra Klein: 我们的书出版都一年多了。祝贺大家。但从宏观上看,你们现在的想法是怎样的?对什么感到乐观?一年后又在担心什么?Derek,从你开始。
Original English
Ezra Klein: So, our books came out a little more than a year ago. Congratulations everybody. But just at the high level, where's your pet at? What are you feeling good about? What are you feeling worried about a year? And Derek, start with you.
Derek Thompson: 思考《丰裕》反响的一种方式是将其影响分为三个不同层面:社会氛围(Vibes)、立法(Legislation)和实际结果(Outcomes)。在“氛围”层面,这超出了我的预期。考虑到 2025 年 3 月 1 日时的情况,“丰裕”概念渗透到政治话语(尤其是民主党话语)的程度极高。你可以看到像 Kathy Hochul、JB Pritzker 这样的州长都在谈论他们的能源或住房危机解决方案必须从供给侧政策开始。这告诉我,这不只是一个被随口提及的词,而是一个被积极讨论的概念。在“立法”层面,我会给它一个 BB+。比如 Gavin Newsom 签署的一项法案就直白地称为《靠近交通的丰裕且可负担住房法案》。全国各地也通过了许多旨在使住房和清洁能源建设更容易的立法。但我觉得我们这个运动最该受到严厉批评的地方在于“实际结果”。加州通过的法律值得赞扬,但如果你去圣路易斯联储的数据网站查找 2021 年到 2026 年间加州的新房开工量,你在统计数据中根本看不到《丰裕》这本书出版的影响。
Original English
Derek Thompson: So maybe one way to think about the reaction to the fallout of abundance is to think about its impact at three different levels. The level of vibes, the level of legislation, and the level of outcomes. At the level of vibes, this is a 0.1 percentile outcome given where I was March 1st of 2025. Um the degree to which the concept of abundance has reached something like full penetration of the political discourse. Certainly the discourse of the Democratic party. You look at the fact that, you know, governors Kathy Hokll, JB Pritsker are talking about how their solutions to the energy crisis or the housing crisis must begin with a supply side policy. That tells me that this is not just a word that's being banded about. It's a concept. Look at problems, solve them on the supply side that is being actively talked about at the level of governors, at the level of Congress, at the level of the Senate. Um, Zoran Mdani has called out the concept of abundance and has paired his policy of rent freezes with a policy of helping developers build in New York City. So that's the level of vibes. I think it it it's clearly entered this level of of mimetic strength that is far beyond my wildest dreams of 13 months ago. At the level of legislation, I'd say it's like a BB+. Um, you know, one bill that Gavin Newsome signed is literally called Abundant and Affordable Homes Near Transit Act. you abundant is right there in the first word. Um there's legislation that's been passed around the country that also has tried um many times explicitly citing abundance to make it easier to build housing and easier to build clean energy. But then I think where the strongest criticism of our movement has to begin is at the level of outcomes. You know, California should be commended for the law that it signed. But if you have the misfortune of going to say Fred the St. Louis data website and looking up housing starts in California between say 2021 and 2026, you do not see the publication of the book Abundance by Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson in those statistics.
Ezra Klein: 更让我担心的是,你看 2015 年到 2026 年,你甚至看不到 YIMBY(拥屋派) 运动的影响。
Original English
Ezra Klein: What's even more worrisome to me, you look at 2015 to 2026, you don't even see the Yimi movement.
Derek Thompson: 没错,这相当令人担忧。我们在书中说过,要根据结果来评判政治运动。光明的一面是,也许可以说现在评判我们的成果还为时过早。但对我们目前运动非常公正的批评是:成果在哪里?特别是在像加州这样对“丰裕”呼声最高的州。
Original English
Derek Thompson: That is exactly right and that's pretty concerning. Um, we said in our book, judge political movements by their outcomes. The bright side is maybe you could say it's too early to count our outcome successes. But the very fair criticism of our movement right now is where are the outcomes especially in states like California where the volume of abundance has been the loudest.
进步主义的历史演变:从建设到否决
Mark Dunkelman: 我想我有一个稍微乐观一点的视角。
Original English
Mark Dunkelman: so I think I have a slightly more optimistic perspective.
Ezra Klein: 比那还乐观?那已经很乐观了。
Original English
Ezra Klein: More optimistic than that. That's pretty optimistic.
Mark Dunkelman: 我的观点是,你们的书以及相关的重新思考进步主义政策的努力,在某种意义上是一个非凡的变化。从 19 世纪后期进步主义运动开始一直到 20 世纪 50 年代,基本上进步主义对大多数公共政策问题的回答是:让政府负责。政府会取得巨大的进步,集中权力,我们通过田纳西河谷管理局为田纳西河谷带来电力,通过联邦储备系统重塑银行系统。我们有一整套理念,其基础是我们会有强大的中央集权去做大事。
但从 50 年代后期进入 60 年代,一个不同的理念出现了。比如 C. Wright Mills 的《权力精英》,以及学生争取民主社会(SDS)发布的《休伦港宣言》,他们开始在进步主义运动中播种的核心观念是:实际上,集权是坏的。我们需要挑战那些一直做决策的核心精英,进步主义运动变成了对几乎所有形式的向权力说真话。你可以在对民权运动的反应中看到这一点,那是对吉姆·克劳法(Jim Crow)权力的挑战;你在第二波女性主义中看到它;在对城市更新、公路计划、以及《寂静的春天》的反对中看到它。
所有这些都是对旧的进步主义治理方式的打击。它是要下放权力,赋予那些被“推土机”铲平的小人物站起来反对集权的能力。到 1970 年代中期,“向权力说真话”成为了进步主义运动的核心理念。我认为《丰裕》第一次重新开启了关于我们是否需要反思这一核心理念的对话。在旧观念中,人们觉得我们需要在所有情况下加强对政府的监督,而不是让它去“施展”。而现在,我认为我们开始说——包括许多极左翼和中道派人士——我们需要政府发挥职能。在 18 个月前,我们几乎没有以同样的方式进行这种对话。
Original English
Mark Dunkelman: My view is that your book and the associated effort to rethink progressive policy um uh is a sort of a remarkable change in the sense that from the beginning of the progressive movement in the late 1800s through the 1950s, basically the progressive answer to most public policy questions was put the government in charge and it will make enormous strides, centralize power and we will bring power to the Tennessee Valley through the Tennessee Valley Authority. We will uh remake the banking system through the Federal Reserve. We had a whole series of ideas that were grounded in this notion that we were going to have strong centralized power do big things. And then beginning in sort of the late 50s and into the 60s a different idea which had been there at the beginning but had really been uh sequestered by this sort of idea that big government could do big things uh emerges and there are books like Cight Mills's power elite and then the the SDS puts out the portion statement and the core notion that they are beginning to seed inside the progressive movement is actually uh centralized power is bad and we need to uh take on the core elite that have been making all these decisions and uh the progressive movement becomes about speaking truth to power in almost every form and you see that uh in the reaction to uh the civil rights movement that's that speaking truth to the the power of Jim Crow you see it in uh secondwave feminism you see it in the uh the objection to Uh you you see that in the reaction to urban renewal, to the highway program, Silent Spring, ultimately the power broker, which is my book is sort of in conversation with the power broker. But in all of these all all of these are strikes against the old progressive way of governing. It is to push power down to empower little people who have been bulldozed in the proverbial sense and in the literal sense uh to be able to stand up against centralized power and that by the mid1 1970s is the speaking truth to power is the central idea of the progressive movement. I think what abundance has done for the first time really since then is to open up a conversation about whether we need to rethink that core notion of what progressivism is about. In the old notion, the sense was that we needed to in all cases put more oversight on government rather than letting it cook. And now I think we're beginning to say many of us on the far left uh and in more moderate circles like we need government to function uh just sort of generally and I think like that was not a conversation we were having 18 months ago in in nearly the same way.
警惕“丰裕”被窄化为“剪除繁文缛节”
Ezra Klein: 好了,你们两位都在谈论这种宏大的胜利进程。那我要来说说我更担心的事情。Derek,我同意你说的氛围层面的东西,但在民主党内部,“丰裕”议程比我预想的更具派系争议,引发了一场民粹主义者与自由主义者之间的大辩论。我不确定这种辩论是否有建设性。
但我绝对最大的担心不是来自阵营外部的批评,而是阵营内部出现的一种**“小打小闹”的倾向**。我担心“丰裕”最终会变成“效率”的代名词。我们重新包装了一个关于“国家能力”的议程,但我总听到人们说:“我不反对削减繁文缛节”,仿佛“丰裕”仅仅是关于削减繁文缛节,而不是一个关于**充足性(Plenitude)**的真正的激进愿景。
我认为我们这两本书都没有很好地描述未来那种愿景长什么样。想象一下,一个候选人在竞选 2028 年的党内提名或总统。他们如何描述这个丰裕的未来?是承诺仅仅多建 500 万套房子吗?这对普通人有意义吗?你如何让清洁能源丰裕成为人们能真切感受到的概念?
还有另一件事进展得很糟糕:我们在书的后半部分试图建立一种进步主义的技术政治。但看看现在的 AI 对话,以及对 AI 领导者和公司日益增长的、往往是非常合理的愤怒。我觉得这比 2025 年初离我们更远了。
Original English
Ezra Klein: All right. So so both of you are are speaking more in the uh grand march to triumph uh register here. So I'm gonna come in with things I'm more worried about. So, I probably agree with a lot of what you said, Derek, but at the level of vibes, abundance has been more factionally controversial in the Democratic party than I would have expected and has cut into it in ways that I wouldn't expected. Sort of setting off a big populist liberal fight. And I think whether or not that fight is constructive and whether or not the synthesis that come out of it are constructive is unknown as of yet. My absolutely biggest worry though is not the critiques of abundance outside the tent, but a kind of small balness that I see emerging inside the tent. When when I think about failure modes for what this could be and what it could be becoming, it's an abundance ends up as a synonym for efficiency that we've rebranded an agenda for state capacity that it's just I always hear people like I don't disagree with cutting red tape as if like all abundance is is about cutting red tape as opposed to an actual radical vision of planitude. And I think something that neither of our books ended up doing all that well was really describing what that vision of the future would look like. You know, you imagine a candidate, you know, running for the Democratic nomination in 2028 or running for the presidency in 2028. What are the ways that they describe what this abundant future is to look like? Is it you're promising to build just 5 million houses? Does that mean anything to anybody? How do you make clean energy abundance a concept that people can actually feel? How is that something people are excited about? And then this this goes to another thing that I think is going quite poorly actually. The back half of abundance, as you know better than anyone, is about trying to build a progressive politics of technology. And I think the way particularly the AI conversation has gone and the often quite merited um anger that is building at AI leaders and AI companies. I see that as actually farther away than I did at the beginning of 2025.
加州住房之困:当法律撞上经济现实
Ezra Klein: 书的第一章是从住房开始的。加州州长 Gavin Newsom 非常接受“丰裕”的批评。我想播放一段他在 Jimmy Kimmel 节目上的片段。
Jimmy Kimmel (录音): 加州是否监管过度了?感觉有很多初衷良好的法律和规则挡住了人们盖房子、开餐厅。我亲自经历过。我们该怎么办?
Gavin Newsom (录音): 我们需要一种能够建设的自由主义,我们必须承认这一点。我非常认同这个新的名词,我们称之为“丰裕议程”。我们必须更加关注交付时间,而不仅仅是修辞。我们要真正去交付。这就是为什么今年我们进行了加州历史上最重要的住房改革。我们尝试了土地使用改革,所谓的 CEQA(环境质量法案)改革。我们终于在今年以一种有意义的方式完成了它。
Ezra Klein: Derek,你听到这些有什么想法?
Original English
Ezra Klein: So with all that on the table, uh our book begins with housing. I think housing is the place where you see the most legislative action, where you see the most um governors and and and politicians talking about it. A lot of the examples in the book are from California, where I'm from, where I was when we wrote much of the book. The governor of California, Gavin Newsome, has very much embraced the abundance critique. And so I want to play this clip of Gavin Newsome on Jimmy Kimmel. >> Is California overregulated? Because it feels like there are a lot of well-meaning laws, rules, etc. that get in the way of building your house, of opening a restaurant. Uh, you know, I've experienced this myself. What What do we do about that? >> No, we I mean, we need a liberalism that builds and we have to own that. And I'm very much part of this sort of new nomenclature. We call this abundance agenda and we've got to reconcile that. We've got to be more focused on time to delivery, not just rhetoric, not just what we're for. We got to actually deliver and manifest it. That's why this year we did the most significant housing reforms in our state's history. We did something that hadn't been done in decades. We've tried to address land use reforms, what we call secret reforms. We weren't able to get it done. We finally were able to get it done this year in a meaningful way. But this is a meaningful topic for Democrats to recognize. We have to deliver on big and bold things. Trump breaks things. Democrats need to build things. But we have to actually deliver on that promise. Speaking of Trump's reform, >> Derek, what do you think when you hear that?
Derek Thompson: 我不想每个问题都给同样的答案,但我听到州长用几乎是引用我们书的措辞在描述立法胜利。但看看结果:加州在法案签署后的半年、甚至法案辩论开始后的九个月里,新房开工量仍然没有实际增加。这未必是立法的错。你可以从两个角度看:一是在过去 50 年里加州累积了一堆让盖房变难的问题,而这是“排堵”的重要一步,这是乐观的看法。
另一种看法是,立法不是盖房子的唯一要素。我们处在高利率环境中,而川普正在对合法和非法移民发起挑战,而加州 40% 的建筑工人是外国出生的。所以建筑劳动力稀缺且昂贵。我关心结果。如果加州、伊利诺伊州、纽约州把“丰裕”作为立法的灵感或哲学,但两三年后我们仍然看不到丰裕的果实,那我担心这就是我所说的“立法氛围”与“实际结果”之间的鸿沟。
Original English
Derek Thompson: I I definitely don't want to give the same answer to every question, but I hear the governor of California describing a legislative victory in terms that literally quote our book, a liberalism that builds abundance. He's being asked questions by a late night host that are basically like LLM summaries of our book. But then you look at the outcomes and California still hasn't actually increased housing starts in the what is it now six months to since that bill was signed nine months after the debate over that bill really began. That's not the fault of that legislation necessarily. You could think of it a couple ways. You could think one that there's a set of problems that have accumulated in California over the last 50 years that have made it harder to build housing. And this is one important step to ungunk that process. That's maybe that's an optimistic way to frame it. Another way to frame it is that, you know, legislation is not the only ingredient when it comes to housing construction. We're in an environment with an elevated interest rate where Trump is waging war against legal and undocumented immigration, which is complicating the fact that I think 40% of construction workers in California are foreign born. So, the labor supply of construction work in California is scarce and therefore very expensive, also raising the cost of housing. And you look around the country and there just aren't a lot of housing construction uh triumphs at all for a variety of macroeconomic reasons. I care about outcomes. We care about outcomes. And if California, Illinois, New York, if they're going to pass laws that hold up abundance as the inspiration or motivation or philosophy of those laws, and then 3 months, 6 months, 2 years later, we still don't have the fruits of abundance, whether it's building more housing, building more clean energy. I I I am worried that that speaks to a gap between what I call the legislation vibes and the outcomes.
住房建设的三要素:法律、金融与成本
Ezra Klein: 这一年来我变得更加敏感的一个思考方式是,住房项目能否建成取决于三件事:第一,法律上,你能在那个该死的地方建房吗?能拿到许可和协议吗?我们过去主要关注这一点。第二,金融上,你能为建设融资吗?第三,建筑成本是多少?包括材料和劳动力。
我对这本书的一个反思是:我们没怎么谈论融资。正如你提到的,融资环境因为利率飙升而变得糟糕。其次,在加州这样的地方,建筑成本是一个非常敏感的话题,因为没有人希望工资下降。川普的驱逐计划让劳动力变得更贵。虽然我们在区划改革和环境评估豁免方面取得了很多胜利,但金融端变得更难了。我确实和市长们谈过,他们说:“我有所有这些想推进的项目,我们也让它们在法律上可行了,但账算不回来(projects are not penciling out),我们没有答案。”
Original English
Ezra Klein: Well, here is I think also another way of thinking about this that I've become more sensitized to in the year after publishing the book that I'd like to hear your thoughts on. So whether a housing project gets built can depend on a series of things, but I think you can often break it into into three things when there is demand for it. So one is just legally, can you get the damn thing built? Can you get the permits? Can you get the agreements? Can you, you know, get through if it's a big enough project, the city council or the planning board or whatever? And we focus a lot on that. I would say when I look around that there's been at least the intellectual victory where there is a something getting closer to a broad consensus that you should be able to build legally that should be possible in places where we need housing. >> But then there's a question of can you finance the build >> and then there's a question of how much does the build cost? What is the cost of construction in terms of materials in terms of labor in terms of how much you're paying labor in terms of what kind of thing you need to build? And I think a good critique of the book that I've heard um is one, we don't talk very much about financing. And one thing that's been hard is that even as a lot of yes in my backyard bills are passing, as you sort of mentioned quickly, the financing environment has gotten much worse because interest rates went way up after the um inflationary period. And the second is that cost of construction in a place like California is a very fraught topic because nobody wants to see um wages go down. Um there's a big deportation agenda uh happening under Donald Trump, which as you mentioned is making labor more expensive. But even as there's been a lot of victories on zoning and exempting things from, you know, environmental reviews, the financing side has gotten much worse. I've definitely talked to mayors and others who say, "Look, I've got all these projects I want to see go forward, and we've made it possible for them to go forward, but the financing the the projects are not penciling out, and we don't have an answer to it."
Derek Thompson: 我为此开发了一个框架。要理解美国的住房问题,你需要理解三个故事:一个是关于规则的 50 年故事,一个是关于商业周期的 20 年故事,还有一个是关于疫情后怪异周期的 5 年故事。我们书的第一章很好地解释了 50 年的故事,即 1960 和 70 年代积累的区划、许可和环境法规如何减缓了建设。
但还有 20 年的故事:大衰退之后,美国的建筑业遭受了毁灭性打击,导致 2010 年代成为有记录以来人均建房最少的十年。这不是规则问题,而是宏观经济和劳动力流失的问题。接着 2020 年代发生了一连串混乱:疫情、通胀、建筑劳动力短缺。所以我同意,要真正理解州长和市长面临的问题,你必须理解这一层层嵌套的危机。我们的书确实遗漏了融资这个极其重要的环节。如果你想多建房,你必须痴迷于如何为建设融资,尤其是在高利率时期如何让开发商拿到贷款。
Original English
Derek Thompson: Yeah. The framework that I've developed for this, which I think is a critique of that first chapter of that housing chapter, is that to really understand housing in America, you need to understand a 50-year story, which is mostly about rules, a 20year story, which is about business cycles, and a 5-year story, which is about the incredibly weird business cycle that has followed the pandemic. Chapter one of our book, The Housing Chapter, does, I think, a very good job explaining the 50-year story of how a set of zoning and permitting and environmental legislation and rules that accumulated around the 1960s and 1970s has slowed housing construction across the country, but in particular in blue cities and blue states where there is very, very hot demand. I think it did a good job of explaining that 50-year accumulation of rules. But there's also the 20-year story, which is that after the Great Recession, the construction industry in this country was decimated. And that led to the 2010s being the decade with the fewest houses built per capita of any decade on record. That's not just a rules story. That's a story about macroeconomics. It's a story about the fact that after the Great Recession, there just wasn't demand or available labor or companies sufficient to build the kind of housing that we would need in the 2020s. And then what happened in the 2020s was just like one piece of mayhem after another. You had the pandemic. You had inflation. You have now I think a scarcity of construction labor which makes it more expensive to build in many places. And so I do think that to really understand the problems that states, the governors and mayors face when it comes to housing, you you do have to understand that there is this kind of like Russia nesting doll of problems. 50 years of rules, 20 years of macroeconomic crisis, and then five years of macroeconomic and financing crisis. And and that's really put us where we are. And so I I agree. I think and like you, I'm I'm I'm picking up the criticisms that I heard about financing, about the fact that if you want to build this level of housing, you need to be obsessed with the question of how do we actually finance that construction? how especially do we make loans to developers at a time of high interest rates possible for them to keep up with the level of housing construction that you want? Those are really really strong critiques. I think they click into the story that we were telling the 50-year story. Um but I do think that that it is fair to argue that our book missed that very important ingredient.
权力的博弈:邻里否决与州政府的拉锯战
Ezra Klein: Mark,这里还有一个关于权力的问题。在加州,州政府通过了很多大法案,但城市却在使用各种创新的手段让它们失效。这成了洛杉矶与州政府之间的一大冲突。这很难解决:谁该有权说“好”,谁该有权说“不”?即使在左翼内部,也有很多截然相反的直觉。你怎么看?
Original English
Ezra Klein: Mark, there's also a question of power here that I know you've been very focused on. So I I'm going to keep California in the front of my mind here just because I know it very well. But very recently we've seen huge clashes between Governor Nuome and cities across California because they are all these big bills are passing at the state level and then the cities are using all kinds of often fairly innovative uh approaches to just making them not work to dragging their feet. Right? This is a big conflict between Los Angeles and the state at the moment, but not only Los Angeles. And this is hard. The question of who should have the right to say yes and who should have the right to say no. And I think even within conversations among, you know, people on the left, they're very there's like a lot of contrasting intuitions here for good reasons. How do you think about this?
Mark Dunkelman: 在丰裕议程中,住房是一个异类。不像交通线或输电线路,住房建设的挑战在于赋予那些拥有土地的人在其上建房的权力。在这种情况下,州政府想要更多住房,土地所有者也想盖房,但**邻里(Neighborhood)**不想。就像花生酱和果冻把机器给糊住了。
加州议员 Buffy Wicks 和 Scott Wiener 所做的主要是试图将权力下放给房主,这让作为进步主义者的我们感到很爽,因为我们喜欢“向权力说真话”,讨厌上层的压迫力量告诉我们不能做好的事情。赋权给那些住在交通站点附近、拥有未充分利用土地的人,这感觉很好。但当你进入实际政治,你会发现即便法案通过了,如果基层没有足够的共识,实施起来也会极其困难。
Original English
Mark Dunkelman: Well, h housing to my mind is sort of an outlier within the abundance agenda because uh unlike in linear infrastructure, transit lines, train lines, uh electrical transmission lines, um the challenge here is to empower someone who owns a plot of land to build housing or more housing on it. And I say that because in this circumstance, in the world of housing, the challenge is that the state wants more housing and they're up here and the person that has purchased a plot of land wants to build housing, but the neighborhood doesn't. Right? So, you've got it's sort of a sandwich and it's the it's the peanut butter and jelly that's that that's gumming up the works. Uh to I think mix metaphors. Um uh and in this case, in the case of housing, like what Buffy Wixs and Scott Weiner have largely tried to do is to push power down to the homeowner, which feels good to us as progressives who want to speak truth to power, right? We we we don't like it when some oppressive force sitting above us uh tells us we can't do the thing that is good. Um, and so empowering someone who lives near a transit stop, who who has a a a an underutilized piece of land in a city that they can build a bunch of housing on it feels good to us. And that's largely what's passed. It's pushing power down to the land owners that they can do more. And then you you reach into these challenges of financing and whatnot. I have to say in the scheme of things I you guys are journalists and I have spent a long time in politics. The idea that a year later you'd have a bunch of more housing built because of a book is seems a little far-fetched to me. I agree with that. But but but you know uh I I like the standard you're holding yourself.
Ezra Klein: 我补充一点。之所以要担心,是因为这不是加州第一次通过住房法案。过去十年通过了几十个法案,很多当时都被描述为具有“变革性”,但实际上并没有起作用。作为报道立法的人,我发现一种倾向:一旦法案通过,大家就假设任务完成了。如果你没有足够的实地共识,城市、邻里和规划委员会会使用无数种工具来阻挠项目。
Original English
Ezra Klein: Well, let me I I will add one thing on that because I think the way to think about why you should worry about this is that it's not like the last year was the first time California or any of these states passed a bunch of new housing bills. They were they were bigger and they were cleaner. >> But there has been a decade of housing bills being passed in California. Dozens and dozens of bills including many that were framed to me as transformative >> that just weren't. And so to what you're saying and as somebody who's worked in politics, you've seen this and as somebody who's covered legislation, I've seen it. I think there is a tendency to assume when a bill has passed, it's done. Right? if you've been fighting for the bill and you know you're you know finally we got the duplex bill or whatever it is well it's passed great great news everybody we're going to get our duplexes and often it doesn't work that way a lot of things don't work in practice the way you think they would and that implies to me particularly on housing um that when you don't have enough consensus on the ground for something it can be very very very hard to implement it because cities and neighborhoods and planning commissions and so on use a lot of different uh tools to you know block their projects in other ways.
Mark Dunkelman: 核心问题是:谁该决定何时何地建造什么样的住房? 在进步主义的历史中,我们一度认为应该权力集中在一个人手中,那是罗伯特·摩西(Robert Moses)时代,那是 Levittowns 建立的模式。后来我们决定不喜欢那个模式,因为它对被推土机铲平的社区充满歧视和虐待,且不关心环境。于是过去 50 年我们创建了一系列法律来增加新的制衡。现在我们正试图拨回那些“否决点”。虽然还没达到“突然多出 500 万套住房”的即时满足,但进步主义者内部的讨论确实发生了根本性的转变。
Original English
Mark Dunkelman: I mean the the core question you're asking here and I think we're all asking is who should decide what housing is built when and where? How how should that decision-m process work? And so when I wrote Why Nothing Works, the sort of the big aha moment I realized was that for a lot of progressivism's history, our view was centralize that power in the hands of one person who will decide what is built. And that's how Levittowns were built. It's that that's how Robert Moses built housing all over New York City. That's how uh you know s sort of the the establishment built housing for a long time. And then we switched horses, right? We decided we didn't like that model because in many cases it was abusive to people who lived in communities that were bulldozed or uh they were discriminatory or they were not sensitive to what was what was happening in the environment. So, uh we created over the course of 50 years a whole series of laws that put new checks um on on those who would build housing. And uh we're now beginning to try to dial back the number of veto points in the process. And you're right, it's been 10 years uh of of small bore changes and now I think more substantial changes. Um but I do think that you're going to see, you know, I'm from Rhode Island. we've got a bunch of more housing starts than we had and that like I understand that it's not the immediate satisfaction of suddenly uh we have five million more units across the country but it is like it's a different discussion among progressives and that feels to me like a a sea change.
美学与环境:德州为什么能盖这么多房?
Derek Thompson: 我在书中写过 60 和 70 年代的愤怒,那时美国正变得越来越丑。“Ticky-tacky”这个词就是出自描写旧金山南边住宅的歌。人们准确地看到森林和河流被破坏,对政府建设失去了信心。所以美学在人们是否愿意建设中实际上是一个被严重低估的中心因素。
Original English
Derek Thompson: So so something that I wrote about in our housing chapter was the anger in the 60s and the 70s that America was just getting uglier. The term ticky tacky comes from, you know, the song about the uh housing in Daily City, like in, you know, not too far south from San Francisco. You had the accurate view that a lot of forests and rivers were being despoiled and the growth machine, government construction, all of it that the public lost a kind of faith in it because instead of this building making their surroundings more livable and more beautiful, it just became these soulless gray, you know, mixeduse um anonymous uh you know, construction. And and so actually one thing that has been very very badly underplayed here is the centrality of aesthetics in whether or not people want to build.
Ezra Klein: 我完全不买账这个解释。如果说 50、60 年代的美国人转向反对“增长机器”是因为厌恶丑陋,我觉得这没什么说服力。我会用的词是环境退化。那时候的环境运动是因为人们死于污染的空气和水,这不是美学问题,是健康问题。如果你想理解为什么德州容易盖房而加州难,而你只有美学解释,那你就是在说德州的持续建设是因为休斯顿太美了。休斯顿一点都不美!德州容易盖房是因为那里有一套法律体系和缺乏区划监管,让向上和向外建设变得更容易。
Original English
Ezra Klein: I don't know that I buy this idea at all. Um at least I think it's incredibly underpowered as an explanation. So the claim on the table seems to be that Americans 1950s and 1960s turned against the growth machine as you described it primarily out of an aversion to the ugliness of the world. Ugliness is not the word that I would use. Right. The word that I would use is um uh environmental degradation. I mean the environmentalist movement of the 1960s and 1970s was about the fact that people were dying from the air and dying from the water. That's not a question of aesthetics. That's a question of health. If you want to understand why it's easy to build in Texas but difficult to build in California and all you have is a beauty explanation, well then you're essentially saying that continued building in Texas is made possible because Houston is so damn beautiful. Houston is not so damn beautiful. The reason that it's easy to build in Houston, I think, has very little to do with like the aesthetic perfection of downtown Houston, and much more to do with the fact that there's a system of customs and laws and a lack of zoning regulation that simply makes it easier to build up and to build out. Same goes for Dallas. Same goes for Austin. Same goes for San Antonio. I want us to build beautifully. I want to build things that people love. in part because I want the growth machine of the 21st century to have democratic approval such such that we build houses, people love them, they want us to build more houses, I think that's a fly flywheel we should hope for. But if you really want to understand why pedaluma stopped building in the 1970s, why you can't build in San Francisco, why it's so much harder to build in blue cities and blue states than in Texas. I don't think the beauty argument or the beauty paradigm gets you very far.
Derek Thompson: 你说得对。我也想把美学放在政治的中心,但它确实解释不了奥斯汀为什么在建房而洛杉矶不建。谈到奥斯汀,过去一两年的故事很有代表性:奥斯汀在 2010 年代和 2020 年代初建造了海量的房子,平均租金在过去 18 到 24 个月里一直在下降。
但更令人印象深刻的是达拉斯。2019 年到 2020 年代初,达拉斯增加的人口相当于一整个波士顿。如果达拉斯像洛杉矶或旧金山那样限制建设,那里的平均房价现在恐怕要用比特币来计算了。但由于达拉斯盖了这么多房子,它现在是全国建房最多的大都会区,房价在过去三年半里实际上是下降的。这就是供需关系的胜利。
Original English
Derek Thompson: I think that is probably right. I I in some ways want to put beauty closer to the center of politics or at least say it is more important than we give it credit for in politics. And also I don't think it explains why Austin builds homes and you know Los Angeles doesn't. But I actually want to hold then on Austin for a second because one fight that still felt fairly live when we were writing the book is does building housing lower rents? Right? There was an argument that because demand is always so high, you can build homes, but it doesn't do anything. It just allows more kind of wealthy people to move into them and you know, maybe it's even like building freeways where it increases so much demand that you know, you don't get any uh faster travel time. You've done some reporting on Austin. That's been a kind of hell of a story over the past year or two. What have we seen there? >> What we've seen essentially is that Austin built an enormous number of homes in the 2010s and early 2020s and average rents have gone down down down over the last 18 to 24 months. Austin is like the canonical story here. But the story that I find more impressive in a way is Dallas, Texas. Dallas, Texas between 2019 and the early 2020s added a population equivalent to the size of urban Boston. Hundreds of thousands of people moved into the Dallas metro. And if Dallas were like Los Angeles and San Francisco, the average price of a home in Dallas, Texas right now would be around $3 billion. But that's not what happened. No, I'm just joking. It's like it would be so absurdly high you wouldn't you have to calculate it in like Bitcoin. But what happened instead is that housing prices in Dallas have actually declined over the last three and a half years. Dallas built so much that construction increased per capita throughout this period. Dallas builds more housing today than any other metro in the country. That is a triumph of allowing the housing market to work. And that's because housing is not a special kind of good. It's a good that like so many other goods is responsive to supply and demand. Given a steady level of demand, if you restrict supply, prices go up. If you add supply, prices stabilize. And if you add enough supply, prices can actually go down. It's why you have in so many places where people want to live, price is going through the roof because we've simply made it too hard to build. It is really, really important to me that whatever explanation that people have for this phenomenon, some people say it's about billionaires or corporate interests. I say look to Texas. Texas has billionaires. Texas has corporate interests, but Texas also has an entirely different set of rules and customs and permitting regulation that simply makes it easier for supply to respond to demand. And as a result, we have outcomes in Texas that are better than the rent freeze that Mani has promised New York and other uh left-wing politicians have promised their own cities and states. We have something better than a rent freeze. we have rents going down because we've made it easier to build.
“时间就是金钱”:速度作为一种进步主义价值
Ezra Klein: 纽约州众议员 Zohran Mamdani 正在尝试一种合成:将价格管制与供应增加结合起来。我想听听他在三月份的一段发言。
Zohran Mamdani (录音): 我们推出了“社区建设者快速通道”。这意味着我们要建立一个预先筛选的开发商名单,从而将新项目的预开发时间从 18 个月缩短到 10 个月。这意味着我们将在这个城市建造可负担住房的时间缩短了多达两年半。在一个时间就是金钱的城市,我把这话送给你们。
Ezra Klein: 我喜欢这段视频的原因是,它反映了民主党决策中的一个重大转变:承认速度至关重要。过去我们总觉得拖延是好的,因为政策很复杂,我们需要很多程序来反映信息和反对意见。现在,一个民主社会主义者在大喊“时间就是金钱”,这说明人们意识到速度本身就是进步的。延误对民主具有腐蚀性,因为你无法在生活中感受到政府的存在。
Original English
Ezra Klein: So, you mentioned Mani and the rent freeze and uh of course there's another side to his agenda which is to increase supply, right? Mandani is attempting a synthesis I think you're seeing much more often now on the Democratic side which is price controls paired with supply increases. You'll sometimes even hear these argued as uh one creating the support for the other, right? Price controls creating political momentum for supply increases. I want to play a a clip of Mam Donnie here speaking in March. >> And we're all here together today for an announcement where we launched the neighborhood builders fasttrack. What does that mean? Because I know it doesn't explain itself. What this means is that we are creating a pre-qualified roster of developers and in doing so we are going to cut down on pre-development time for new projects from 18 months to 10 months. Now, when you couple that with the referendums that were passed just late last year, that means that we are cutting down on the time it takes to build affordable housing in this city by up to 2 and 1/2 years. >> And I say that to you in a city where we know that time is money. >> Yes, sir. Here here's what I like about that clip and that I think reflects something bigger happening in across democratic policym which is a recognition that speed matters and in a way that was I think not admitted a lot of policym actually took the view that delay was good that delay was good because policy is complicated its effects are complicated and what we need is a lot of process and time to surface information, surface objections, surface concerns. You can really see this in the way environmental reviews are conducted. You can see this in the way that, you know, housing is built. And I don't think we often said like delay is good, but in practice, we believed delay was good. I mean, there you have a democratic socialist out there saying as a applause line, time is money. And I think the sense that uh like speed is progressive. It's more affordable, but also it allows you to deliver at the time frame of elections and show government making a difference in people's life. That is a principle that I am seeing people take more seriously. I'm not saying that's just our fault or anything of that nature, but I think it's actually really important. And recognizing that delay is corrosive to democracy because you can't feel government in your life is a really, really, really important shift for democratic side policym to make.
Mark Dunkelman: 在自由主义者看来,投入(Input)曾被视为一种无代价的美德。让人们在市议会上站起来反对在附近盖房,这被视为比选举本身更民主。Nick Bagley 称之为**“程序崇拜”(Procedure Fetish)**。我的观点是,我们并不是单纯为了程序而要程序,我们几十年来的幻想是:如果你让所有人尽早进入房间参与规划,你就能创造出一个没有权衡(Trade-offs)的结果。但事实是,我们正面临真实的权衡。
Original English
Mark Dunkelman: Mark, you've written about this explicitly. Among liberals, input was considered a costless virtue. It was considered costless to have long periods of input, to prize input, to say that the ultimate expression of democracy is people standing up and telling their city council, don't build this thing anywhere close to me. That was seen as more democratic in some places than the actual vote for the mayor who promised for h who promised to deliver housing to that city. and they're and actually like found that like the people who showed up on Tuesday night at the city council meeting were the veto point that prevented him from allowing housing. >> People also use the term procedure fetish as if progressives just sort of like procedure for procedure sake. >> Nick Bagley's term. >> That's Nick Bagley's term. And um my general view here is that we're not looking for procedure just because we like it. We're not looking for delay because we like delay. We have a fantasy and we've had it now for several decades that if you get everybody in the room early enough in a planning process, you can create a product or an outcome that has no tradeoffs. And the truth is that we're facing and one of the major barriers to abundance is we're facing real trade-offs here.
丰裕与公司权力:谁才是真正的“敌人”?
Ezra Klein: 现在我们要谈谈公司权力。伊丽莎白·沃伦(Elizabeth Warren)最近的一段演讲代表了最强有力的批评。
Elizabeth Warren (录音): 丰裕运动中的许多人几乎没有指出公司在制造这些效率低下方面的责任,也没有指出亿万富翁的影响力。相反,“丰裕”成了一群政策宅男和那些与公司结盟的民主党富豪的口号。看起来公司巨头们又找到了一种方法,来阻止民主党去应对一个被操纵的系统。
Ezra Klein: 沃伦提到像 Reed Hoffman 这样的科技亿万富翁在到处分发我们的书。我想问你们:丰裕与公司权力、财富集中之间的关系是什么?
Original English
Ezra Klein: I want to offer up the critique so it is represented in the strongest way I can which is that yes of course there can be a synthesis of populism and abundance and you can see it in somebody like you know maybe a mom Donnie but that in fact in practice abundance has two huge problems from the populist perspective. One is that a lot of rich people and billionaires really like it and are funding things with abundance in the name and that they are going to use abundance as a mask or a vehicle to push the Democratic party, you know, back in their direction. Um, and the other which is like the big critique that gets made of certainly our book, I don't know if it is as true in the critique that gets made of yours is that abundance just isn't focused on the right enemies. that what politics should be about is a confrontation with corporate power and what abundance is at least perceived as trying to make politics about is a more positive sum. We can all build, we can all get along. It's a sort of more liberal uh approach to things. That I think is like the strongest version I can give. But you can hear um Elizabeth Warren make a version of this argument in a a speech he gave not too long ago. So yes, we need more government efficiency, a lot more. But many in the abundance movement are doing little to call out corporate culpability and billionaire influence in creating and defending those very inefficiencies. Instead, abundance has become a rallying cry, not just for a few policy nerds worried about zoning, but for wealthy donors and other corporate aligned Democrats who are putting big time muscle behind making Democrats more favorable to big businesses. It looks like the corporate tycoons have found one more way to stop the Democratic party from tackling a rigged system with too much energy. >> She goes on to kind of note that Reed Hoffman, who's a, you know, tech billionaire and and influential tech figure, has been sending the book around to to people he knows. I want to ask this of of both of you. What do you understand to be the relationship between abundance and corporations and abundance and concentrations of wealth and income and power?
Mark Dunkelman: 我认为在某些领域公司权力确实是个问题,比如演唱会票务。但如果你看看我的书和我关注的清洁能源输电线路问题,障碍通常不是公司权力。比如在缅因州建一条输电线要花 10 年,不是因为某个公司巨头挡路,而是因为人们在争论:为了连接加拿大的清洁水电,是否值得牺牲缅因州北部的一片森林拉一根电线?人们利用政府提供的杠杆手段,使得我们无法快速用清洁能源替代化石燃料。这不关公司权力的事,而是政府能否做出迅速决策。
Original English
Mark Dunkelman: Mark, look, I think there are certain cases where concentrated corporate power is a problem. Uh we're we're coming off a week where there were a bunch of victories for the anti- monopouist movement, uh Live Nation and Ticket Master. Like I'm not sure that any of the three of us would voice any objection to taking a a strong stance on abuses of corporate power in that realm. >> As someone who goes to a lot of uh music shows, I really really hate ticket fees. I really don't like them. So, so, so there you go. I But my concern about that critique is that if you look at the stories, at least in my book and several of the stories in your book, like the problem in many cases is not created by corporate power. Like, you know, the the last chapter of my book is about an effort to build a clean energy transmission line through the state of Maine, which is really just a like a a string through a bunch of forests in Maine. It's proposed in 2016 and it's constructed in 2026. Like not because there was some corporate behemoth that was uh standing in the way or trying to drive up its own. Like the the the fight there was about whether it was worth it to imperil some portion of a pristine forest in northern Maine with a wire. And the way that people used the levers available within the government uh made it so that we could not replace something like 700,000 cars worth of carbon into the atmosphere through old fossil fuel generation with clean hydro power coming from Canada. Like that's not a problem about corporate power. That's a problem with can government make an expeditious decision.
Derek Thompson: 我想声明:关注公司权力的人有一些非常好的主意。比如消费者金融保护局(CFPB),某种程度上它就是一个非常“丰裕”的机构,它整合了分散的监管权,用来帮助消费者对抗公司。这就是我们说的“国家能力”。但如果你把所有焦点都放在惩罚那些成功建房的建筑商身上,那就是拿错了透镜。我不是民粹主义者,我是自由主义者。我关心的不是特定的“公司权力”,而是权力本身如何表现。它可以表现为垄断公司,也可以表现为邻里协会。当一群邻居通过游说市议会来阻止新公寓建设,那不是权力吗?
Original English
Derek Thompson: Durk, I want to say something really clearly. I think the people who focus on corporate power being the most significant problem in America have some very good ideas. I also think frankly that we just heard from Elizabeth Warren, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau in a way is like kind of a very abundancy agency. I mean it consolidated what used to be >> she says earlier in that speech that the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau which she helped found and and and ideulate is like an abundance before abundance. >> Oh great then maybe maybe I'm just totally ripping off her point here because I I read it months ago but I think she's right. I mean it consolidated what used to be entirely disperse regulatory authority in the government in order to bring it to bear to help consumers against corporate power. That strikes me as exactly what we were talking about when it comes to state capacity and your line which you repeated so much on our book tour about deregulating government, getting government out of its own way, getting government to work faster and better for the public. CFPB seems like an absolute unaloyed triumph in that respect. At the same time, I think people who fixate on corporate power, while they have some very good ideas, have some not very good ideas. I mean, last year, not going to open up this can of worms all the way, but I was engaged in a very protracted debate against anti- monopoly folks about the degree to which Dallas was a housing oligopoly. I don't think it is. I don't think we should be fixated on punishing builders who are successfully adding housing that seems like taking this one lens and applying it where it shouldn't be applied. And that tells me that if the lens of corporate power leads to both some very good ideas and some not very good ideas, then it might not be the single best lens through which to see improving America. I am not a populist. I am a liberal. I am concerned not about corporate power specifically but about power but about how power can manifest in strange places. It can manifest absolutely at the level of corporations and monopoly. It can manifest also at the level of the neighborhood. As Mark was just explaining, when a group of neighbors stop a new apartment from going up by lobbying the city council and mayor to not build housing where it is where it should be added, what is that if not the application of power?
AI、能源与激进的未来愿景
Ezra Klein: 你经常能从运行 AI 公司的人那里听到“丰裕”这个词。比如 Elon Musk、Sam Altman。但人们听到的是即将到来的职位稀缺。你在书中对 AI 的描述是什么?
Original English
Ezra Klein: So that's Elon Musk, Sam Alman, and Deisabis. And one, I think a lot of people are very skeptical that these AI companies are going to bring anything that would feel to a normal person like abundance. What they're instead hearing about is a scarcity of jobs that is coming down the pike. We thought of having AI in the book. We mostly cut it out because it felt like it was moving too fast. It has gotten a lot further now. How do you think about the ways in which AI could create abundance or also for other for people create scarcity?
Derek Thompson: 提到 AI,我特别认同我们在书中开头写的那个科幻小片段。其中提到了两点:第一,AI 的利润(因为它建立在人类成就之上)应该被征税并重新分配给公众。第二,工作周缩短了。这种生产力的提高不应该表现为失业增加,而应该表现为稳定的劳动力工作时间更少、收入更高。如果我要打造一个关于丰裕与 AI 的信息,我会说:这是一个数万亿美元的产业,我们要恢复对这些公司征税的能力,并将收入重新分配,同时确保劳动政策能引导出一个四天工作制的世界,而不是把 20% 的劳动力踢向失业。
Original English
Derek Thompson: So, if I were crafting a sort of abundance AI message, what I would say is this is rapidly looking like it's going to become a trillion multi-trillion dollar industry. We have to restore the ability to tax corporations that could be among the most profitable in the history of capitalism. That's part one. We want to tax these companies and redistribute their income to the people. But also, I think we need to think about what kind of labor market policies we can begin to build to ensure that there isn't a displacement of workers so that if this technology makes people more productive, it results in something that looks much more like a 4-day work week than the equivalent 20% of the economy just being shunted onto unemployment.
Ezra Klein: 我还想谈谈 GLP-1(减肥药)。这是过去几十年最受欢迎的药物,为什么联邦政府在推动这类药物研究、降低成本、甚至进行类似“曲速行动”式的分发上表现得如此缺席?
Original English
Ezra Klein: Um, I I'm I'm curious for you to talk a bit about about that level because I think it's very hard for a positive politics to grow out of a deep enmity and suspicion and yet I understand why the suspicion is there right now. >> Right now the federal government just sort of seems MIA on this in a way that I'm not sure I entirely understand. So if I were in government looking at this revolution, I would frankly be interested in something like an operation warp speed for GLP1s.
Derek Thompson: 确实如此。这种药物可能对神经退行性疾病、炎症、心血管疾病都有影响。如果我是政府,我会非常有兴趣搞一个 GLP-1 的“曲速行动”。
Original English
Derek Thompson: I mean, here you have an emerging technology that looks like it might have implications for neurodeenerative disease, for inflammation, for cardiovascular disease. These are diseases that are are among the highest mortality burden in the country, in the developed world. Why aren't we devoting even more public resources to studying this drug faster and finding new ways of bringing down the cost in the next few years for all Americans?
重塑政府:从维护机构到追求结果
Ezra Klein: 我想听听 Pete Buttigieg 最近的一段话。
Pete Buttigieg (录音): 如果我们认为我们的工作只是在夺回权力后,把一切恢复到 2023 年的样子,那将是一个可怕的错误。他们正在大肆破坏。现在我们有机会在不同的条件下重新把事情组合起来。
Ezra Klein: 这是我喜欢的“粉丝服务”,但我认为民主党人不知道应该在什么原则上建立这些新东西。Mark,你会告诉 Pete Buttigieg 什么?
Original English
Ezra Klein: And I want to play a clip from Pete Buddha Judge just the other day. >> And my word of warning to my own political party is that we would make a terrible mistake if we thought that our job was to just take power somehow and then put everything back the way it was. That's not what we're here to do. >> So that Buddha Judge clip is like it's like fan service for me, right? That's that's what I want to hear somebody saying. But I want to say he goes on to say what those different terms should be. And I think this is a really big unsettled question for Democrats, which is they know, you heard it also in the the Newsome clip uh earlier. They know that after Doge, after all this destruction, and after also the recognition that things can work differently, they have to work differently that they cannot just build back. They can't even just build back better. They have to build something different. But I don't think they know on what principles that different things should be built.
Mark Dunkelman: 我们需要一个公平且迅捷的过程,即使人们没有得到想要的结果,他们也能接受并明白那是出于公共利益。我们需要一个“每个人都有发言权,但没有人有否决权”的系统。这不只是“剪除繁文缛节”,而是要代谢掉政府内部的利益冲突。
Original English
Mark Dunkelman: We need to have in our mind a process that we believe is fair and that when people don't get the outcome that they want, they will abide it and understand that that was determined to be in the public interest. >> I'm not sure that we are articulating how we're going to make these trade-offs in a way that makes sense and is both fair to those who need to have a voice, but doesn't allow for interminable debate.
Ezra Klein: 最后一句话我想留给 Bernie Sanders。
Bernie Sanders (录音): 如果论点是我们有一个恐怖的官僚机构,绝对正确。我在佛蒙特州建两个医疗诊所,甚至在佛蒙特这种州,要把钱花出去都难得令人难以置信。你无法相信盖一个该死的医疗中心要经过多少层官僚程序。但那不是意识形态,那是常识,是好的政府。意识形态是你是否敢于挑战亿万富翁阶层,是否与工人阶级站在一起。
Ezra Klein: 桑德斯提到的那个诊所在 2010 年就拿到钱了,现在 2026 年了,其中一个还没盖好!如果出现桑德斯所说的这种“恐怖的官僚机构”,最该愤怒的应该是左翼。如果你代表的政治力量相信政府能做大事,那对抗官僚机构就必须是极高优先级的议题。因为如果你做不到,你的意识形态就无法起作用。
Original English
Ezra Klein: I wanted as we kind of come to an end here to play a clip from Bernie Sanders. >> If the argument is that we have a horrendous bureaucracy, absolutely correct. It is terrible. Uh I brought in over the years a lot of money into the state of Vermont. It is incredible. Even in a state like Vermont, which is maybe better than most states, how hard it is to even get the bloody money out because she has so many Oh my god. We got 38 meetings. We got to talk about this. Got unbelievable. I worked for years to bring two health clinics into the state of Vermont that we needed. I wanted two more to renovate one and build another one in this. You cannot believe you cannot believe the level of bureaucracy to build a bloody health center. It's still not built. >> I covered Sanders getting that money for community health clinics. That was in the affordable care act which passed in 2010. It is 2026. He is saying one of the two is still not built. And it I think one of the things I am saying around all this is that nobody should be angrier than the left if we have what Sanders calls a horrendous bureaucracy.
推荐书单
Mark Dunkelman:
- Lizabeth Cohen - 《Making a New Deal》:我读过的最伟大的纯历史书。
- Yoni Appelbaum - 《Stuck》:关于地理流动性如何阻碍社会流动的精彩著作。
- Marc Reisner - 《Cadillac Desert》:追踪西部水坝建设的故事,与《权力掮客》相呼应。
Derek Thompson:
- C.S. Lewis - 《Mere Christianity》:前 30 页对道德概念的分析非常有趣。
- Donna Tartt - 《The Secret History》:极其精彩的小说。
- Cormac McCarthy - 《Blood Meridian》(有声书):非常有冲击力的听觉体验,像是一个 20 世纪的但丁在解释地狱般的经历。
Original English
Mark Dunkelman: So uh the first book I always recommend to anyone is Liz Cohen's Making a New Deal. The second book which I hope people will pick up is uh yoni apple bomb stuck. And then the third uh you know to the degree my book is in conversation with uh Robert Keros the power broker. >> There's a book by uh Mark Reeseman called Cadillac Desert which essentially traces the same arc um uh with a guy named Floyd Dominy running the Bureau of Reclamation and building dams all across the West. Derek Thompson: Uh my three books number one weird choice maybe for reformed Jew but Mere Christianity by CS Lewis. There was a period when I was in my 20s when I just moved to New York. I read like a bunch of books that I adored. Um, The Emperor's Children by Cla Massud, The Interestings by Me Witzer, and The Secret History by Donna Tart. And I just reread The Secret History by Donna Tart, and it is so good. The last book that I'm going to recommend is specifically an audio book. Um, the audio book of Blood Meridian by Cormick McCarthy is like the trippiest possible.