AI 吹哨人:揭秘奥特曼的‘AI 帝国’、权力斗争与被掩盖的真相 The Diary Of A CEO 2026-03-26

揭开 AI 帝国的真相

[主持人]: 如今在 AI 产业中发生的很多事情都是极其不人道的。

Original English

[Host]: So much of what's happening today in the AI industry is extremely inhumane.

[凯伦]: 但我这是在充当反面角色。从逻辑上讲,情况可能是这样的:那些利用 AI 加速研究的文明将成为更优越的文明。

Original English

[Karen]: But this is me playing devil's advocate. And logically, it could be the case that the civilization that accelerate their research with AI is going to be the superior civilization.

[主持人]: 不,事实并非如此。这是你做出的预测,对吧?

Original English

[Host]: No, it's not. This is a prediction that you're making, right?

[凯伦]: 我在预测,扎克伯格也在预测。

Original English

[Karen]: Making Zuckerberg's making.

[主持人]: 你知道他们所有人的共同特征是什么吗?他们从这个神话中获得了巨大的利益。你知道,我有所有这些内部文件,显示他们故意在公众中制造那种情绪,以便他们可以榨取、剥削、再榨取、再剥削。那么,我们该怎么办呢?

Original English

[Host]: And do you know what the common feature of all of them is? They profit enormously off of this myth. You know, I have all these internal documents showing that they're purposely trying to create that feeling within the public so that they can extract and exploit and extract and exploit. So, what do we do about it?

[凯伦]: 我们需要打破 AI 帝国

Original English

[Karen]: We need to break up the empires of AI.

[主持人]: 你知道,我关注科技行业已经超过 8 年了,采访了超过 250 人,包括 OpenAI 的前任或现任员工和高管。我可以告诉你,AI 帝国与旧帝国之间有很多相似之处,对吧?就像他们为了训练这些模型,剥夺了艺术家、作家和创作者的知识产权。其次,他们剥削了大量的劳动力,这打破了职业阶梯,因为有人被解雇了,然后他们去训练模型,而这些模型训练的正是他们刚刚被解雇的工作,如果该模型随后发展了该技能,这将导致更多的裁员。当他们谈论将创造一些我们甚至无法想象的新工作时,很多创造出来的工作比以前的工作差得多。还有这些公司造成的环境和公共卫生危机,以及他们如何能够花费数亿美元试图抹杀每一项阻碍他们的立法,并审查对帝国议程不利的研究人员。但我并不是说这些技术没有用。而是说现在的这些技术的生产正在对人们造成很大的伤害。但我们的研究表明,同样的能力可以用不同的方式开发,而不会产生所有这些意外后果。所以让我们谈谈这一切。

Original English

[Host]: You know, I've been covering the tech industry for over 8 years, interviewed over 250 people, including former or current OpenAI employees and executives. And I can tell you that there are many parallels between the empires of AI and the empires of old, right? like Lelay claimed the intellectual property of artists, writers, and creators in the pursuit of training these models. Second, they exploit an extraordinary amount of labor, which breaks the career ladder because someone gets laid off and then they work to train the models on the very job that they were just laid off in, which will then perpetuate more layoffs if that model then develops that skill. And when they talk about that there's going to be some new jobs created that we can't even imagine, a lot of the jobs that are created are way worse than the jobs that were there. And then there's the environmental and public health crisis that these companies have created and how they're able to also spend hundreds of millions to try and kill every possible piece of legislation that gets in their way and will censor researchers that are inconvenient to the empire's agenda. But what I'm saying is not that these technologies don't have utility. It's that the production of these technologies right now is exacting a lot of harm on people. But we have research that shows that the very same capabilities could be developed in a different way that doesn't have all of these unintended consequences. So let's talk about all of that.

从工程师到科技记者

[主持人]: 凯伦,你面前写了这本叫作 《AI 帝国:山姆·奥特曼 OpenAI 的梦想与梦魇》 (Empire of AI: Dreams and Nightmares in Sam Altman's OpenAI) 的书。我想我的第一个问题是,为了写这本书,为了探讨我们今天要谈论的话题,你经历了怎样的研究和旅程?

Original English

[Host]: Karen, how you've written this book in front of me here called Empire of AI: Dreams and Nightmares in Sam Altman's Open AI. I guess my first question is what is the research and the journey you went on in order to write this book we're going to talk about and the subjects within it today

[凯伦]: 我进入新闻业的路线很奇怪。我在 MIT 学习机械工程。毕业后我搬到了旧金山,加入了一家科技初创公司。我成为了硅谷的一份子,基本上接受了关于硅谷是什么的教育。加入一家专注于开发有助于促进对抗气候变化的技术的使命驱动型初创公司几个月后,董事会解雇了 CEO,因为公司不盈利。事后看来,这对我来说是一个非常关键的时刻。因为我在想,如果这个中心最终目标是建立盈利的技术,而世界上许多我认为需要解决的问题,比如气候变化,并不是盈利的问题。那么我们到底在做什么?我们是如何发展到这样一种程度的:创新不一定为公众利益服务,有时甚至为了追求利润而损害公众利益。在那一刻,我产生了一点危机感,我想:我刚刚花了四年时间试图为这份职业做准备,现在我觉得自己不适合这份职业了。我想,我不妨尝试一些完全不同的东西。我一直喜欢写作,这就是为什么两年后我能在 《麻省理工科技评论》 (MIT Technology Review) 获得一个全职负责 AI 报道的职位。这给了我一个探索所有这些问题的空间:谁来决定我们要构建什么技术?金钱和意识形态又是如何推动这些技术的生产的?我们最终如何确保重新构思创新生态系统,使其为全球广大民众服务。这就是我最终踏上写书之旅的过程。当时我没意识到我是在努力写一本书,但从 2018 年我接下那份工作开始,本质上就是我开始研究我在书中记录的故事的时刻。

Original English

[Karen]: I took a strange route into journalism I studied mechanical engineering at MIT and so when I graduated I moved to San Francisco I joined a tech startup I became part of Silicon Valley and I basically received an education in what Silicon Valley is about because a few months into joining a very missiondriven startup that was focused on building technologies that would help facilitate the fight against climate change. The board fired the CEO because the company was not profitable. And this was in hindsight a very pivotal moment for me because I thought if this hub is ultimately geared towards building profitable technologies and many of the problems in the world that I think need solved are not profitable problems like climate change. Then what are we actually doing here? like what how did we get to a point where innovation is not actually necessarily working in the public benefit and sometimes even undermining the public benefit in pursuit of profit. In that moment, I had a bit of a crisis where I thought, well, I just spent 4 years trying to set myself up for this career that I now don't think I am cut out for. And I thought, well, I might as well just try something totally different. I've always liked writing and that's how after 2 years I landed at a role at MIT technology review covering AI full-time and that gave me a space to then explore all of these questions of who gets to decide what technologies we build how does money and ideology also drive the production of those technologies and how do we ultimately make sure that we actually reimagine the innovation ecosystem to work for a broad base of people all around the world. And so that is kind of how I then set off on this journey of ultimately writing a book. I didn't realize that I was working towards writing a book, but starting in 2018 when I took that job was essentially the moment in which I began researching the story that I I document in it.

[主持人]: 开始从事人工智能工作是一个非常及时的时机。对于那些不知道的人来说,这是在 OpenAI 推出 ChatGPT 震撼世界之前。但在写这本书的过程中,你采访了很多人,去了很多地方。你能让我感受一下你采访了多少人,它带你去了世界的哪些地方吗?

Original English

[Host]: A very timely time to start working in artificial intelligence. For anyone that doesn't know, this is pre OpenAI chat GPT launch moment that shook the world. But in writing this book, you interviewed a lot of people and went to a lot of places. Can you give me a flavor of how many people you've interviewed, where it's taken you around the world, etc.

[凯伦]: 我采访了超过 250 人。超过 300 次采访,其中 90 多人是 OpenAI 的前任或现任员工和高管。所以这本书涵盖了 OpenAI 第一个十年的内幕故事,以及它最终是如何走到今天这一步的。但我不想写一本企业传记。我强烈地感觉到,为了帮助人们理解 AI 行业的影响,我们还必须走出硅谷。这些公司告诉我们,AI 将造福每一个人,这就是他们的使命。但是当你去那些看起来一点也不像硅谷、说话一点也不像硅谷、历史和文化也根本不同的地方时,你就会开始看到这种说辞的崩塌。在那儿,你才开始真正了解这个行业在我们周围展开的真实情况。

Original English

[Karen]: I interviewed over 250 people. So over 300 interviews, over 90 of those people were former or current OpenAI employees and executives. So the book covers the inside story of opening eyes's first decade and how it ultimately got to where it is today. But I didn't want to write a corporate book. I felt very strongly that in order to help people understand the impact of the AI industry, we would also have to travel well beyond Silicon Valley. These companies tell us that AI is going to benefit everyone and that's their mission. But you really start to see that rhetoric break down when you go to the places that look nothing like Silicon Valley, that speak nothing like Silicon Valley, and that have a history and culture that are fundamentally different as well. And that's where you start to really understand the true reality of how this industry is unfolding around us.

AI 定义的混乱与政治工具化

[凯伦]: 我认为我们应该从 AI 作为一个领域开始的时候谈起。那是 1956 年,一群科学家聚集在达特茅斯大学 (Dartmouth University),开始一个新学科,一个旨在追逐野心的科学学科。具体来说,达特茅斯大学的助理教授 约翰·麦卡锡 (John McCarthy) 决定将这门学科命名为人工智能 (Artificial Intelligence)

这不是他尝试的第一个名字。前一年,他曾试图将其命名为“自动机研究”。他的一些同事对这个名字感到担忧的原因是,它将这门学科的理念与重塑人类智能挂钩。当时和现在一样,我们对于什么是人类智能没有科学共识。心理学、生物学、神经学都没有定义。事实上,历史上每一次量化和排列人类智能的尝试,都是由邪恶的动机驱动的。它是由一种证明某些群体在科学上劣于其他群体的欲望驱动的。这个领域没有终点线,当这个行业说他们最终试图重塑像人类一样聪明的 AI 系统时,这个行业也没有终点线。我们甚至如何定义那意味着什么?如果我们不知道如何定义目的地,我们什么时候才能到达那里?

这实际上意味着这些公司可以随意使用 通用人工智能 (AGI) 这个术语——现在这个术语指的是重塑人类智能的雄心勃勃的目标。他们可以根据自己的方便,随意定义和重新定义它。在 OpenAI 的历史中,它曾多次定义和重新定义它。当 山姆·奥特曼 与国会谈论时,AGI 是一个能够治愈癌症、解决气候变化、治愈贫困的系统。当他与他试图推销产品的消费者谈论时,它是你将拥有的最神奇的数字助理。当他与微软 (Microsoft) 谈论时,你知道,在 OpenAI 和微软达成的交易中,微软向该公司投资了,它被定义为将产生千亿美元收入的系统。而在 OpenAI 自己的网站上,他们将其定义为在大多数经济价值工作中表现优于人类的高度自主系统。这并不是一项技术的连贯愿景。这些是向不同受众说出的截然不同的定义,这些受众需要被动员起来,以抵御监管,或者获得更多消费者的支持,加入该行业的探索,或者获得更多资本、更多资源,以继续这一旅程,并伴随着模糊的定义。

我的意思是,谈到随着时间的推移而产生的不同定义。在 2015 年,山姆·奥特曼在 OpenAI 正式宣布之前写的一篇博客文章中,他明确概述了存在性风险,他说:“超人机器智能的发展可能是人类持续存在面临的最大威胁。我认为还有其他更有可能发生的威胁,例如工程病毒,但 AI 可能是摧毁一切(总体而言)最可能的方式。”当奥特曼面向公众写作或演讲时,他心目中的受众不仅仅是公众,他还有其他想要激励或动员的人。在那个特定的时刻,奥特曼试图说服 埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk) 加入他,共同创立 OpenAI。尤其是马斯克,当时一直在为他认为 AI 可能构成的巨大存在威胁敲响警钟。因此,在那篇博客文章中,如果你把奥特曼使用的语言和马斯克当时使用的语言并排对比,它镜像了马斯克所说的一切。

Original English

[Karen]: I think we should start with when AI started as a field. So this was back in 1956 and there were a group of scientists that gathered at Dartmouth University to start a new discipline, a scientific discipline to try and chase an ambition. And specifically an assistant professor at Dartmouth University, John McCarthy decided to name this discipline artificial intelligence. This was not the first name that he tried. The previous year he tried to name it Automata Studies. And the reason why some of his colleagues were concerned about this name was because it pegged the idea of this discipline to recreating human intelligence. And back then, as is true today, we have no scientific consensus around what human intelligence is. There's no definition from psychology, biology, neurology. And in fact, every attempt in history to quantify and rank human intelligence has been driven by nefarious motives. It's been driven by a desire to prove scientifically that certain groups of people are inferior to other groups of people. There are no goalposts for this field and there are no goalposts for the industry when they say that they are ultimately trying to recreate AI systems that would be as smart as humans. How do we even define what that means? And when are we going to get there if we don't know how to define the destination? And what that effectively means is that these companies can just use the term artificial general intelligence which is now the term to refer to this ambitious um goal to recreate human intelligence. They can use it however they want to and they can define and redefine it based on what is convenient for them. So in OpenAI's history, it has defined and redefined it many times. When Sam Alman is talking with Congress, AGI is a system that's going to cure cancer, solve climate change, cure poverty. When he's talking with consumers that he's trying to sell his products to, it's the most amazing digital assistant that you're ever going to have. When he was talking with Microsoft, you know, in the deal that OpenAI and Microsoft struck where Microsoft invested in the company, it was defined as a system that will generate hundred billion of revenue. And on OpenAI's own website, they define it as highly autonomous systems that outperform humans in most economically valuable work. This is like not a coherent vision of one technology. These are very different definitions that are spoken out loud to the audience that needs to be mobilized to ward off regulation or get more consumer buy in into the the industry's quest or to get more capital more resources for continuing on this journey with ambiguous definitions. I mean, speaking about different definitions through time, in 2015, in a blog post that Sam Waltman wrote before open air was officially announced, he explicitly outlined the existence risk by saying, "Development of superhuman machine intelligence is probably the greatest threat to the continued existence of humanity. There are other threats that I think are more certain to happen, for example, an engineered virus, but AI is probably the most likely way to destroy everything in general." When Alman is writing for the public or speaking for the public, he does not just have the public as the audience in mind, there are other people that he is trying to motivate or mobilize when he says these things. And in that particular moment, Alman was trying to convince Elon Musk to join him on co-founding OpenAI. And Musk in particular was spending all of his time sounding the alarm on what he saw as a huge existential threat that AI could pose. And so in that blog post, if you look at the the language that Alman uses side by side with the language that Musk was using at the time, it mirrors all the things that Musk was saying

奥特曼的操纵与马斯克的出局

[主持人]: 是一模一样的。我是说,10 年前,马斯克就在播客上说、发推特什么的,说人类面临的最大存在性风险是 AI。

Original English

[Host]: identical. I mean, 10 years ago, Musk was going on podcast saying, tweeting, whatever, that the greatest existential risk to humanity was AI.

[凯伦]: 是的。所以你知道,他在括号里写着“还有其他更有可能发生的事情,比如工程病毒”。这是因为在那之前,奥特曼一直只在谈论工程病毒。而现在他需要转向去面对唯一的受众——马斯克。他需要弥合这种矛盾:他现在提升为核心恐惧的东西,必须与马斯克的核心恐惧一致。所以这就是为什么他说“我现在认为这就是,即使以前我说的是那个”。

Original English

[Karen]: Yeah. And so you know like his parenthetical there are other things that we that might actually be more likely to happen like engineered viruses. It's because up until then Alman had been talking just about engineered viruses. And so now that he needs to pivot to speak to an audience of one to Musk. He needs to kind of resolve the contradiction between what he's now elevating as his new central fear to be the same as Musk's new central fear with what he had previously been saying. So that's why he's like I think this is now even though before I said this

[主持人]: 你是在说山姆·奥特曼操纵了马斯克吗?因为马斯克最终确实捐了一大笔钱给 OpenAI,并我相信是和山姆·奥特曼共同创立了它。

Original English

[Host]: and are you saying that Sam Alman manipulated Musk because Elon did end up donating a huge amount of money to um open AAI and co-founding it I believe with Sam Alman.

[凯伦]: 埃隆·马斯克确实最终与奥特曼共同创立了它。当然,从马斯克的角度来看,他确实感到被操纵了,因为他觉得奥特曼在以一种能让马斯克信任他作为这项事业合作伙伴的方式来设计他的语言。当然,后来马斯克离开了。通过在马斯克和奥特曼现在的诉讼中公开的一些文件,事情变得很清楚,在某种程度上,马斯克实际上是被排挤出来的。这就是为什么他留下了这种非常强烈的个人恩怨,针对奥特曼,说奥特曼莫名其妙地骗他参与了这一切。

Original English

[Karen]: Elon Musk did end up co-ounding it with Altman. And certainly from Musk's perspective, he does feel manipulated because he feels like Alman was engineering his language in a way that would make Musk trust him as a a partner in this endeavor. And of course then Musk is leaves. Um and through some of the documents that came out during the the lawsuit that Musk and Altman are engaged in now, it has become clear that there was a degree to which Musk was actually muscled out a little bit. And so that's why he's left with this very intense personal vendetta against Altman, saying that somehow Alman tricked him into being part of this.

[主持人]: 你说这里山姆·奥特曼只是在模仿埃隆使用的语言,为了让埃隆参与进 OpenAI。后来看来——再次强调,现在正在进行一场法律诉讼——山姆可能在某种程度上把埃隆排挤出去了。

Original English

[Host]: And what you're saying here is you're saying that Samman was just mirroring the language that Elon was using to get Elon involved in open open AAI. And later it appears and again there's a legal case taking place now that Sam might have muscled Elon out in some capacity.

[凯伦]: 是的。所以我们从诉讼和诉讼中公开的文件中得知,伊尔雅·苏茨克维 (Ilya Sutskever)——当时 OpenAI 的首席科学家,以及 格雷格·布罗克曼 (Greg Brockman)——当时的首席技术官,当他们在决定是否将 OpenAI 维持为非营利组织时(因为它最初是作为非营利组织成立的),他们决定:好吧,我们需要创建一个营利性实体。但问题是,谁应该成为这个营利性实体的 CEO?应该是马斯克还是奥特曼?因为他们是非营利组织的两位联席主席。在电子邮件中,可以清楚地看到伊尔雅和格雷格最初选择了马斯克担任 CEO。

但通过我的报道,我发现奥特曼随后亲自向格雷格·布罗克曼发起了申诉。格雷格是他的朋友,他们在硅谷圈子里认识很多年了。奥特曼说:“你不觉得让马斯克担任这家公司、这个新营利性实体的 CEO 有点危险吗?因为,你知道,他是个名人,他在世界上承受着很大的压力。他可能会受到威胁。他可能会表现得很古怪。他可能是不可预测的。我们真的希望未来可能非常强大的技术落入这个人的手中吗?”这说服了格雷格,格雷格随后又说服了伊尔雅:“你知道,我认为这里说得有道理。我们真的想把这么多权力交给马斯克吗?”这就是马斯克离开的原因,因为随后他们两个改变了立场。他们说:“实际上,我们希望奥特曼担任 CEO。”然后马斯克就说:“如果我不是 CEO,我就退出。”

Original English

[Karen]: Yeah. So we know from the lawsuit and the documents that have come out in the lawsuit that Ilia Sgver who is the chief scientist of OpenAI at the time and Greg Brockman chief technology officer at the time when they were deciding whether or not to maintain OpenAI as a nonprofit because it was originally founded as a nonprofit. They decided okay we need to create a for-profit entity but the question was who should be the CEO of this for-profit entity. Should it be Musk or should it be Alman? because it's they were the two co-chairmen of the nonprofit. And in the emails, it became clear that Ilia and Greg first chose Musk to be the CEO. But through my reporting, I discovered that Altman then appealed personally to Greg Brockman, who was a friend of his that they had known, they had known each other for many years through the Silicon Valley scene, and said, "Don't you think that it would be a little bit dangerous to have Musk be the CEO of this company, this new for-profit entity, because, you know, he's a famous guy. He has a lot of pressures in the world. He could be threatened. He could act erratically. He could be unpredictable. And do we really want a technology that could be super powerful in the future to end up in the hands of this man? And that convinced Greg and Greg then convinced Ilia, you know, I think there's a point here. Do we really want to give this much power to Musk? And that is why Musk then leaves because then they the two switch their allegiances. They say, "Actually, we want Altman to be the CEO." And then Musk is like, "If I'm not CEO, I'm out."

山姆·奥特曼:现代乔布斯还是操纵大师?

[主持人]: 这不禁让人想问,你觉得山姆·奥特曼是个什么样的人?

Original English

[Host]: I guess this begs the question, what do you think of Sam Orman?

[凯伦]: 我认为他是一个非常有争议的人物。你做了一个很有趣的停顿。那是那种人们试图挑选词汇时的停顿。这就是这些采访如此有趣的地方,人们对奥特曼的看法极其两极分化。没有人对他有中间地带的看法。要么他们认为他是这一代最伟大的技术领导者,类似于现代版的史蒂夫·乔布斯 (Steve Jobs);要么他们认为他极具操纵性,是个施虐者和骗子。我之所以意识到这一点,是因为我采访了这么多人,这真的取决于那个人的未来愿景是什么,以及他们的目标是什么。

如果你赞同奥特曼的未来愿景,你会认为他是你身边最伟大的资产,因为这个人极具说服力。他非常擅长讲故事。他非常擅长调动资本、招聘人才、获取所有你需要的输入,然后让那个未来发生。但如果你不同意他的未来愿景,你就会开始觉得自己在被他操纵,去支持他的愿景,即使你从根本上并不同意。这就是 Anthropic 的 CEO 达里奥·阿莫代 (Dario Amodei) 的故事,他最初是 OpenAI 的高管。对于那些不知道的人来说,达里奥现在运营着 Anthropic,它是 Claude 的制造者。很多人可能对 Claude 更熟悉。它是 OpenAI 最大的竞争对手之一。

阿莫代当时还是 OpenAI 的执行高管,他以为奥特曼和他步调一致。然后随着时间的推移,他开始觉得奥特曼实际上和他完全背道而驰。他觉得奥特曼利用了阿莫代的智力、能力和技能来构建某些东西,并带来一个他实际上根本不同意的未来愿景。这就是为什么人们最后会感到恶心。你知道,我报道科技行业已经超过八年了,报道过很多公司。除了 OpenAI 之外,我还报道过 Meta谷歌微软。奥特曼是我见过的唯一一个两极分化程度如此之高的人物,人们无法决定他到底是最好的还是最坏的。

Original English

[Karen]: I think he's a very controversial figure. You did an interesting pause. It's a pause where someone tries to select their words. Well, this is this is this is what's so interesting about those interviews is people are extremely polarized on Alman there. No one has in between feelings about him. Either they think he's the greatest tech leader of this generation akin to the Steve Jobs of the modern era or they think that he's really manipulative and an abuser and a liar. And what I realized because I interviewed so many people is it really comes down to what that person's vision of the future is and what their goals are. So if you align with Altman's vision of the future, you're going to think he's the greatest asset ever to have on your side because this man is really persuasive. He's incredible at telling stories. He's incredible at mobilizing capital, at recruiting talent, at getting all the inputs that you need to then make that future happen. But if you don't agree with his vision of the future, then you begin to feel like you're being manipulated by him to support his vision even if you fundamentally don't agree with it. And this is the story especially of Daria Amade, CEO of Enthropic, who was originally an executive at OpenAI. So for people that don't know, Dario now runs anthropic which is the maker of Claude. A lot of people probably are more familiar with Claude. Yeah. And it's one of the biggest competitors to OpenAI. And Amade at the time when he was an ex executive at OpenAI, he thought that Alman was on the same page with him and then over time began to feel that Altman was actually on exactly the opposite page of him and felt that Altman had used Amade's intelligence, capabilities, skills to build things and bring about a vision of the future that he actually fundamentally didn't agree with. And so that's why people end up with this bad taste in their mouths. And so, you know, I've been covering the tech industry for over eight years and covered many companies. I've covered Meta, Google, Microsoft in addition to Open AI. and OpenAI and Altman is it's the only figure that I've seen this degree of polarization with where people cannot decide whether he's the greatest or the worst.

奥特曼下台的真实内幕

[主持人]: 那么山姆·奥特曼被 OpenAI 执行团队踢出局了。你发现那为什么会发生吗?

Original English

[Host]: So Sam Alman gets kicked off the OpenAI executive team. Did you find out why that happened?

[凯伦]: 是的。这里有一幕接一幕的叙述。我记不清具体的消息来源数量了,所以我不想引用错误,但大约有六七个人直接参与了或曾与直接参与决策过程的人交谈过。

所以,伊尔雅·苏茨克维看到了这些关于奥特曼行为严重关切的问题,这些行为导致了糟糕的研究结果和公司的错误决策。然后他去找了一位董事会成员,海伦·托纳 (Helen Toner)。伊尔雅只是因为太害怕了,他对此担忧已久,他觉得如果告诉别人,一旦被奥特曼发现,对他来说可能也会非常糟糕。所以他要求与托纳会面,在第一次会面中,他几乎什么都没说。他只是在小心试探,试图弄清楚:这是否是一个我可以信任并透露更多信息的人?

海伦·托纳是 OpenAI 当还是非营利组织时的独立董事。当时董事会分为两派:一派是在公司拥有财务利益的人,另一派是完全独立的人。这种结构旨在平衡决策,使其符合公众利益,而不是为了 OpenAI 随后创建的营利实体的利益。

伊尔雅作为一个非独立董事,去接触托纳这个独立董事,试图看看她是否也看到或听到了关于奥特曼对公司影响的同样事情。这随后引发了一系列对话,首先是在伊尔雅和海伦之间,然后是在 米拉·穆拉蒂 (Mira Murati) 和一些董事会成员之间。米拉·穆拉蒂当时是 OpenAI 的首席技术官。这两位高级领导层基本上通过这些谈话和他们收集的文件(如电子邮件、Slack 消息等),向三位独立董事传达:我们非常担心奥特曼的领导,他给公司制造了太多的不稳定性,他就是问题的根源。他们试图告诉这些独立董事,除非奥特曼被撤职,否则问题无法解决,因为他挑拨团队之间的关系,创造了一个人们无法再相互信任的环境,他们在竞争而不是合作这项理应非常非常重要的技术。

Original English

[Karen]: Yeah, there's a scene by scene recounting. I can't remember the exact number of sources, so I don't want to misquote myself, but it was around six or seven people that were directly involved or had spoken to people directly involved in the decision-making process. So, Ilia Satskever is seeing these serious concerns about the way that Altman's behavior is leading to bad research outcomes and poor decision-m at the company. He then approaches a board member, Helen Toner. Ilia, for anyone that doesn't know, is the the co-founder we mentioned earlier. The co-founder of OpenAI we mentioned earlier. Yes. And he kind of does a bit of a sounding board thing to Helen just because Ilia is freaking out. He's like he's been like sitting on this these these concerns for a while and he's like if I tell this to someone, this could also be really bad for me if Alman finds out. And so he asks for a meeting with Toner and in that first meeting he's like re like he barely says a thing. He's just like dancing around trying to figure out hey is this someone that I can maybe trust to divulge more information. And Toner's role and responsibilities at OpenAI were she was a board member. Just a board member. Yeah. And and specifically an independent board member. So opening eye when it was a nonprofit the board was split between people who had a stake financial stake in the company and then people who were fully independent and this was meant to be a structure that would balance the decision-m to be in the benefit of the public interest rather than to be in the benefit of the for-profit entity that opening I then created and Ilia as a non-independent board member was approaching toner as an independent board member her to try and see whether or not she was potentially seeing or hearing the same things that he was about the effect that Alman was having on the company. This then sets off a series of conversations first between Ilia and Helen and then between Amir Moratti and some of the board members. Samir Moratti was at that point the chief technology officer of OpenAI where these two senior leaders essentially through these conversations and through documentation that they're pulling together like email, Slack messages and so forth, they convey to the independent board members, three independent board members, we are very concerned about Altman's leadership like he is creating too much instability at the company and it is like he is the root of the problem. It's not they they they were trying to say to these independent board members like the problem will not be fixed unless Alman is removed because of the way that he's pitting teams against each other and creating this environment where people are unable to trust each other anymore and they're competing rather than collaborating on what's supposed to be this really really important technology.

[主持人]: 当你说“不稳定性”时,那是一个相当模糊的术语。那可能意味着很多事情。比如不稳定性可能意味着逼着人们更努力地工作。你所说的“不稳定性”具体指什么?

Original English

[Host]: When you say instability, that's a that's quite a vague term. That could mean lots of things. Like instability could mean pushing people hard to work harder, right? What do you mean by instability in spec as specific terms as you can possibly say them?

[凯伦]: 当 ChatGPT 问世时,OpenAI 完全没有准备好。他们并不认为自己是在发布一个爆款产品。他们认为自己是在发布一个研究预览版,这将帮助他们启动数据飞轮,从用户那里收集大量数据,然后为他们心目中的爆款产品提供信息,那个产品是使用 GPT-4 的聊天机器人,而 ChatGPT 当时使用的是 GPT-3.5。

正因为如此,服务器经常崩溃,因为他们必须比历史上任何一家公司都更快地扩展其基础设施。当时出现了所有的停机故障。他们还试图比历史上任何一家公司都更快地招聘,以试图拥有更多的人员。然后他们有时会雇佣一些人,后来又觉得:“实际上,我们犯了一个错误。我们不该雇佣你。”所以他们左右开弓地解雇人。人们直接从 Slack 上消失,他们的同事就是这样得知他们已经不在公司了。

所以,就像许多快速成长的公司一样,这是一个非常混乱的环境。而且因为速度特别快,所以环境特别混乱。除此之外,米拉·穆拉蒂和伊尔雅·苏茨克维觉得奥特曼在让情况变得更糟。他并没有有效地改善混乱的局面,实际上他在播种更多的混乱,让这些团队更加分裂。

这里很重要的一点是要理解,高管们和独立董事们都在这种想法下运作:他们正在构建 AGI,而 AGI 对人类来说要么是灾难性的,要么是乌托邦式的。所以,在他们看来,这既像其他公司,又不像其他公司。你不能拥有这种程度的混乱,作为创造一项在他们构想中可能决定世界成败的技术的压力锅。

这就是独立董事们也开始反思的地方。他们在彼此之间进行对话,他们想:“嗯,根据我们听到的关于奥特曼行为的反馈,如果这是一家 Instacart,那值得解雇他吗?”他们的结论是:“也许不至于,但这不只是 Instacart。”

这就是为什么他们想:“好吧,糟糕。也许这实际上达到了我们应该考虑更换他的标准,因为我们最终正在构建一种我们认为可能产生变革性影响的技术,无论是正面还是负面方向。”这就是所发生的事情。就像这两位高管,然后独立董事们也从他们在公司内部的联系人、在行业内的其他人那里听到了其他反馈。

有一次,亚当·安杰洛 (Adam D'Angelo)——独立董事之一,也是 Quora 的 CEO,他在旧金山参加一个派对,他开始听到一些传言,说 OpenAI 的初创基金 (OpenAI Startup Fund) 的结构有些奇怪。这是公司创建的用于投资其他初创公司的基金。他意识到他们从未真正从奥特曼那里看到过关于初创基金如何建立的文件。最终他们拿到了文件,结果发现 OpenAI 初创基金并不是 OpenAI 的初创基金,那是奥特曼的初创基金。这是独立董事们也经历过的几件事之一,他们觉得奥特曼描绘的做法与实际做法之间不断出现不一致。

于是,他们进行了一系列非常激烈的讨论,几乎每天都在见面谈论:我们真的应该考虑移除奥特曼吗?最后他们的结论是:是的,我们应该。而且如果我们要做,就需要快点做。因为他们非常担心,一旦奥特曼发现,他的说服能力会让他们不可能完成这件事。所以他们最终在没有告诉任何人的情况下解雇了奥特曼。他们没有与任何利益相关者沟通以达成共识。微软在他们执行行动前一刻才接到电话,说:“我们要解雇奥特曼。”

微软当时是 OpenAI 的主要投资者。几乎是当时唯一的投资者。这就是整件事随后崩坏的原因,因为每一个受此决定影响的人现在都非常愤怒,因为他们没有被卷入决策。这就是后来导致那场把奥特曼请回来的运动的原因。几天后,奥特曼被重新任命为 CEO。

Original English

[Karen]: When chat GBT came out in the world, OpenAI was wholly unprepared. They didn't think that they were launching a gangbusters product. Yeah. They thought they were releasing a research preview that would help them get the data flywheel going, collect a bunch of data from users that would then inform what they thought would be the gang busters product, which was a chatbot using GPT4 and chat GBT was using GPT 3.5. And because of that, there were servers crashing all the time because they they weren't they had to scale their their infrastructure, you know, faster than any company in history. And there were um there were all of these outages. They were trying to also hire faster than any company in history to try and have more personnel there. And they were then sometimes hiring people that they were like, "Actually, we made a mistake. We shouldn't have hired you." So they were firing people left and right. and people were just disappearing off of Slack and that's how their colleagues would learn that they were no longer at the company. And so it was yes like many fast growing companies a very chaotic environment and a particularly chaotic environment because it was extra fast like they had to accelerate more than any other startup. And on top of that mirror Morati and Ilasgiver felt that Alman was making it worse like he was not actually effectively ameliorating the circumstances of the chaos. He was actually sewing more chaos, getting these teams to be more divided. And this is where it's important to understand that the executives and the independent board members, they're all operating under this idea that they're building AGI and that AGI could either be devastating or utopic to humanity. And so it's not yes it's like any other company and no it's not like any other company. You cannot have like in their view you cannot have this degree of chaos as the pressure cooker for creating a technology that they in their conception could make or break the world. And so that is basically what the independent board members also begin to reflect on. They have these conversations amongst themselves where they're like, "Well, based on what we're hearing about Altman's behavior, like if this was an Instacart, would that warrant firing him?" And they concluded, "Maybe not, but this is not Instacart." And that's why they were like, "Well, crap. Maybe this is actually this does rise to the to the bar where we should consider replacing him because we are ultimately building a technology that we think could have transformative impacts either in the positive or negative direction. And so that is what happens. It's like these two executives and then the independent board members also they were hearing other feedback as well from their connections within the company with other people in the industry. At one point, Adam D'Angelo, who is one of the independent board members and the CEO of Kora, uh, which is, you know, start a tech startup in the valley, he is at a party in San Francisco, and he starts to hear some of these rumors that there's something weird about the way that OpenAI has structured its OpenAI startup fund, which was this fund that they the company had created to start investing in other startups. And he realizes they'd never really seen documentation about how the startup fund had been set up from Alman. And finally they get the documents and it turns out that OpenAI startup fund is not OpenAI's startup fund. It's Altman's startup fund. And this was something like one of several experiences that the independent board members were also having where they're like there's something not right about the fact that there continuously are inconsistencies inconsistencies between the way that Altman is portraying what is being done versus what is actually being done. And so when these two executives approach the board or the independent board members, then they're like, "Okay, this lines up with also the experiences that we've been having." And at that point, they then have this series of very intense discussions where they're meeting almost every day talking about should we actually really consider removing Altman? And in the end they conclude, yes, we should. And if we're going to do it, we need to do it quickly. Because they were very concerned that the moment that Alman found out, his persuasive abilities would make it impossible to do. And so they end up firing Altman without telling anyone. You know, they don't talk to any stakeholders to get them on the same page. Microsoft gets a call right before they execute the action saying, "We're going to fire Altman."

AI 帝国的本质:剥削与垄断

[主持人]: 为什么你要称这些公司为 AI 帝国?你所说的“帝国议程”是什么意思?

Original English

[Host]: Why do you call these companies empires of AI? What do you mean by an imperial agenda? What does that term mean?

[凯伦]: “帝国”是我发现的唯一能完全概括这些公司所作所为的所有维度、运营规模以及驱动它们行为动机的隐喻。

你可以在我所说的 AI 帝国和旧帝国之间看到许多平行之处。首先,他们在追求训练这些模型的过程中,声称拥有不属于自己的资源。那是属于个人的数据,是艺术家、作家和创作者的知识产权。他们强占土地,以建造用于训练下一代模型的超级计算机设施。其次,他们剥削了异常大量的劳动力。他们在全球范围内签约了数十万名工人,包括在美国,以最终制造这些技术。他们还设计他们的工具来实现劳动力自动化,这样当技术部署时,也会影响劳动权利,因为它侵蚀了劳动权利。这实际上是他们的一种政治选择。第三,他们垄断了知识生产。他们向公众投射这样一种观念:他们是唯一真正理解该技术工作原理的人。所以如果公众不喜欢它,那是因为他们实际上对这项技术了解不够。他们对公众这么做,对政策制定者也这么做。他们还收买了大部分致力于理解 AI 的局限性和能力的科学家。

他们正在以一种方式误导公众。如果世界上大多数气候科学家都是由化石燃料公司资助的,你认为我们能得到气候危机的准确图景吗?不能。同样地,AI 行业雇佣并资助了世界上大多数 AI 研究人员。因此,他们通过向其优先事项输送资金,以软性的方式设定 AI 研究的议程,从而只产生某些类型的 AI 研究。当研究人员发现他们不喜欢的东西时,他们也会审查研究人员。

Original English

[Karen]: Empire is the only metaphor that I've ever found to fully encapsulate all of the dimensions of what these companies do and the scale that they operate and what motivates them to do what they do. And there are many parallels that you see between what I call the empires of AI and the empires of old. They lay claim to resources that are not their own in the pursuit of training these models. That's the data of individuals, the intellectual property of artists, writers, and creators. Their land grabbing in order to build these supercomputer facilities for training the next generation models. Second, they exploit an extraordinary amount of labor. They contract hundreds of thousands of workers all around the world including in the US to ultimately make these technologies. We can talk about that more. And they also design their tools to be labor automating so that when the technologies are deployed, it also affects labor rights because it erodess away labor rights. And this is a political choice that they have. Third, they monopolize knowledge production. And so they project this idea that they're the only ones that really understand how the technology works. And so if the public doesn't like it, it's because they don't actually know enough about this technology. They do this to the public. They do this to policy makers. And they've also captured the majority of the scientists that are working on understanding the limitations and capabilities of AI. They are. Yeah. So if most of the climate scientists in the world were bankrolled by fossil fuel companies, do you think we would get an accurate picture of the climate crisis? No. And in the same way they employ and bankroll the AI industry employs and bankrolls most of the AI researchers in the world. So they set the agenda on AI research in soft ways simply by funneling money to their priorities so that only certain types of AI research are produced. But they also will censor researchers when they do not like what the researcher has found.

AI 自行车与 AI 火箭

[主持人]: 面对这种情况,我们该怎么办?

Original English

[Host]: What do we do about it?

[凯伦]: 我经常使用的一个类比是:AI 就像“交通”这个词。交通可以指代从自行车到火箭的所有东西。我们对交通有细致入微的对话,我们总是说我们需要将交通转向更可持续的选择。我们需要转向公共交通、电动汽车。我们从不说每个人都应该得到一枚火箭来满足他们所有的交通需求,对吧?如果你用火箭从达拉斯飞到奥斯汀,那根本没有意义。这只是为了从 A 点移动到 B 点而过度消耗资源。

这就是我们应该如何看待 AI 的方式。我们一直谈论的所有模型,我喜欢把它们看作“AI 火箭”。它们使用了异常大量的资源,它们为某些人提供了某些戏剧性的好处,但由于开发这项技术的代价,它们也让广大民众付出了异常惨重的代价。

为什么我们不造更多的“AI 自行车”呢?比如 DeepMind 的 AlphaFold,这是一个根据氨基酸序列预测蛋白质如何折叠的系统。它对于加速药物发现、理解人类疾病至关重要,并获得了 2024 年诺贝尔化学奖。它之所以是“AI 自行车”,是因为你使用的是小型、精心策划的数据集。你只需要拥有氨基酸序列和蛋白质折叠的数据。这意味着你开发该系统所需的计算资源显著减少,这意味着能源消耗显著减少,这意味着排放减少,等等。而且你为人们提供了巨大的利益。

Original English

[Karen]: Okay. So, one of the analogies that I always use is AI is like the word transportation. Transportation can literally refer to everything from a bicycle to a rocket. And we have nuanced conversations about transportation where we always say we need to transition our transportation towards more uh sustainable options. We need a transition towards you know public transport, electric vehicles. And we don't we don't ever say everyone should get a rocket to do every to serve all of their transportation needs, right? Like we're in Austin. If you use a rocket to fly from Dallas to Austin, like that would just make not no sense. It's just a disproportionate use of resources to get the benefit of getting from point A to point B. This how we should think about AI. So all of the models that we've been talking about, I like to think of them as the rockets of AI. They use an extraordinary amount of resources and they provide benefit some dramatic benefit to some people but they're also exacting an extraordinary cost on a large swath of people because of the like the costs of developing this technology. Why don't we build more bicycles of AI? This is things like deep minds alpha fold which is a system that predicts how proteins will fold based on amino acid sequences. It's really important for accelerating drug discovery for understanding human disease and it won the Nobel Prize in chemistry in 2024. And the reason why it's a bicycle of AI is because you're using small curated data sets. you're just you just have data that has amino acid sequences and protein folding. So that means you need significantly less computational resources to develop the system, which means significantly less energy, which means less emissions, so on and so forth. And you're providing enormous benefit to people.

[主持人]: 凯伦,非常感谢你。你的书 《AI 帝国》 我会链接在下面。我强烈建议大家阅读。它是《纽约时报》畅销书,这非常有道理。谢谢你。

Original English

[Host]: Karen, thank you. Empire of AI: Dreams and Nightmares in Sam Alman's Open AI by Karen How. I'll link it below for anyone that wants to read this book. I highly recommend you do. It's a New York Times bestseller for good reason. Karen, thank you.

[凯伦]: 非常感谢你,史蒂文。

Original English

[Karen]: Thank you so much, Stephen.

关键字: industry-monopoly labor-exploitation environmental-impact knowledge-governance ethical-ai