新媒体时代的攻防战:Marc Andreessen 与 Ben Horowitz 深度对话 2026 a16z 2026-03-18

新旧媒体的游戏规则演变

主持人: 今天会非常有趣。我们要深入探讨关于新媒体的一切。什么是新媒体?A16Z 的新媒体团队正在做什么,我们的重点是什么,以及我们在 2026 年的发展方向。真的很高兴能促成这次交流。

Ben, 你曾说过一段话,我认为它总结了新媒体的核心原则之一。我想读其中的一小部分,然后请你详细阐述。你说:“旧媒体是防御导向的。在新媒体中,进攻总是优于防守。我们花了很多年担心结果被泄露。旧媒体试图讨好所有受众。旧媒体害怕激怒别人。而新媒体只关心是否有趣。如果存疑,就全面占领(Flood the zone)。”

Original English

Host: Today's going to be a fun one. We're going to dive into all things new media. What is new media? What the new media team is doing here at 816Z, what we're focused on, and where we're going in 2026. Really stoked to be making this happen. Ben, you had this quote which I think summarizes some of the some of the one of the main principles of of new media. I just want to, you know, read a small small part of it and then have you elaborate. Uh, old media is defenseoriented. In in new media, offense is always better than defense. We've spent many years fretting about our results being leaked. Old media tries to please every audience. Old media is terrified of upsetting people. And new media only cares about being interesting. When in doubt, flood the zone.

Ben Horowitz: 是的,这听起来确实像是我说的。

Original English

Ben Horowitz: Yeah. Yep. That sounds like something I said.

主持人: 你能分享一下这个想法背后的原则,以及你是如何得出这个结论的吗?

Original English

Host: Why don't you share some of the tenants behind that idea and h how you came to it?

Ben Horowitz: 好的。其实这很有意思。从职业生涯一直处理旧媒体,到现在转向新媒体,这是一个非常奇特的调整。在公司的历史上,我们最最最最防备的一件事就是业绩泄露

这要追溯到公司早期,《纽约时报》拿到了我们业绩的泄露信息。当时我们还很年轻,大多数基金只有一年的历史。而风险投资公司在第一年通常不会有很高的回报,因为它不像股市那样立竿见影。结果《纽约时报》或者《华尔街日报》误读了结果。他们说,早期的基金还不错,因为有足够的年份积累回报,但第三号基金表现很差。

由于当时旧媒体非常强大,我们很难反击。我们发表了声明、博客文章来解释为什么他们错了,但根本没有效果。在公司内部,这成了一场巨大的危机,我甚至确信 Balaji 因此辞职了,因为他觉得《纽约时报》的那篇文章毁了整个公司。这在那时是一种生存威胁。所以,我们当时变得非常谨慎,不敢让任何可能被误读的信息流出去,因为你永远无法修正它,一旦信息散布出去,你就再也无法挽回。

Original English

Ben Horowitz: Yeah. So actually it's interesting. Um it it's a really weird adjustment going from you know I mean I spent my whole career in old media or dealing with old media and now we're in new media. You know kind in the history of the firm we've been the the one thing that we really really really really defended against was basically leaked results. And uh the reason and it goes back to in the pretty early days of the firm uh the New York Times got a leak of our results and they they were very early. I mean we were like a young firm so most of the funds were like a year old. Um and you know venture capital firms don't have high returns in the first year because like nothing happens in the first year. It's not like a stock market type thing. And so, you know, the they mis or maybe it's the Wall Street Journal, one of the two, but they misinterpreted the results. Um, you know, so they kind of said, well, the early funds were good because those had enough years to get kind of returns in them, but like fund three was terrible and like D and so forth. And there was no um, you know, because old media was still powerful, it was very hard to combat it. you know, we put out statements and this and that and the other and blog posts but explaining like why they were wrong. Um, but it didn't land and it was such a like a inside the firm it was such a big crisis that actually I'm pretty sure Bology quit because he thought we were dead because the New York Times had just like ruined the whole firm with that uh article. Um, so it was like that kind of existential threat. And so, you know, we were very oriented around like, okay, don't let anything out that could be misinterpreted or this or that because you can never correct it. It goes out there and you're never going to kind of come back from it.

全面占领与去中心化渠道

主持人: 请再多谈谈**“全面占领”(Flood the Zone)**的概念,为什么它现在有效,以及为什么它与过去的情况如此不同?

Original English

Host: And and and say more about the the flood the zone concept in terms of of of why it works or or you know why and and why it's so different than uh than you know what would happen in the past.

Ben Horowitz: 是的。在过去,如果一件事没登上《华尔街日报》、《纽约时报》、《经济学人》或 CNN,那它就不算数。当时大概只有八个频道能发声,而且一旦说出来就是永久性的,非常难处理,它会占据谷歌搜索结果的顶端。

但现在,如果我和 Marc 真的遇到了问题,我们可以参加 30 个播客,每一个受众都比我刚才提到的那些出版物大得多。我们甚至不需要讨论那个问题,我们可以聊聊其他更有趣的事情,很快就能把那件事从大家的记忆中抹去。

虽然我不想评价这是否是一个更好的世界,但这个世界的物理定律已经完全改变了。作为营销和媒体组织,如果你想有效运作,你必须拥抱新世界。你不能半心半意,因为旧世界的运作方式在新世界会让你送命,反之亦然。所以你必须做出选择:要么继续在意旧渠道里发生了什么,要么干脆不在乎,转而说些有趣的事情,全面占领。顺便说一句,我们选择的是后者。

这里面有一段历史,但核心思想是:过去有一种所谓的**“企业品牌”概念,像是一个企业商标,企业会把所有的价值都注入其中,无论是通用电气还是 IBM。这种想法让品牌与相关的人脱离了,而相关人员的主要工作就是去擦亮那个品牌。这导致了长达 80 年的“塑料感”**时代,一切都是合成的、乏味的。

我和 Marc 几十年来都有这种体验:很长一段时间里,企业 CEO 的工作就是在公共场合演讲时,确保自己什么实质性的内容都没说。我曾在一个董事会任职,那位 CEO 坚信这一点。他演讲完走下台,因为故意没说任何有新闻价值的内容而感到欣喜若狂——因为这意味着“任务完成”,没出乱子。

Original English

Ben Horowitz: Yeah. Well, so in the past the traditionally it didn't count if it wasn't in the Wall Street Journal or the New York Times or like the Economist or CNN or like there were maybe eight channels that could say something and then whatever they said was permanent in that like once it was out there it was very hard to deal with and it would be top of Google results like the whole thing. Um but now you know look we can go on Mark and I if we really had a problem could go on 30 podcast uh all of which get a much bigger audience than any of the publications I talked about um and just basically and we wouldn't have to talk about that. We could go talk about something else more interesting um and erase that from everybody's memory very quickly. So it's just you you know without commenting on what's a better world like the laws of physics are completely different in this world than the other world and I think to be effective uh as a organization in marketing and media you have to like you you have to embrace the new world because you can't be half and half the because the whole motion of the old world will kill you in the new world and vice versa. versa. And so you have to kind of commit to we're going to really care about what goes down through the old channels or we're not going to give them f um sorry to use language and we're just going to you know say interesting things and flood the zone and uh we're doing the latter by the way. There's a whole uh history to this, but ba but basically like the the the whole idea that there's like a quoteunquote corporate brand like the whole idea that there's like a corporate like trademark and then the whole idea that that you like as a business you basically load everything into that into that into that thing and that that thing you know whether it's General Electric or International Business Machines or whatever that the idea that that thing is somehow abstracted away from the people involved um and then that the people involved you know their main job is to try to kind of buff that thing which kind of you know led to this you know you know One way to look at it is like it led to this like 80-year kind of reign of like everything being synthetic and plastic and boring, right? Where like the you know we we Ben and I have had this experience for many many decades at this point um is just like you know the the the job of a corporate CEO for a very long time was to get up on stage and just say absolutely nothing in any sort of public public event. Um I actually was on a board of the CEO who very firmly believed this. Um and uh he he literally would come off stage having having very deliberately said absolutely nothing and would have been thrilled. Um because like he he had made no news and like mission accomplished, right?

通讯频道的拓宽与人的回归

Marc Andreessen: 没错。Eric,关于你的问题,我认为回顾来看,过去是因为通讯频道极其狭窄。你怎么把信息传递给大众市场或你的客户群?你只能把信息编码成尽可能少的比特,因为你的机会只有一次。它受限于电视广播时间,或者报纸的版面。所以你不得不将一切结晶成一种极简的、最不容易冒犯他人的立场。

但这始终是不自然的。作为人类,这感觉不对劲,因为企业就像是某种奇怪的外星生物。我们只是习惯了这种不舒服。事实证明,正如我们的朋友 Mitt Romney 名言所说:“企业也是人。”

当然,他是从不同语境说的。但对我们的目的而言,一切都关乎于。当一家大公司、政府机构、非营利组织、风投机构或创业公司在世界上做出决策并行动时,那是一群人坐在那里做出的决定。如果这些真正做决定的人站出来,代表自己说话,解释他们的想法,这会颠覆所有人的认知。

这就是人们对 Elon Musk 或其他一些运行大型组织、公开且敢于发声的人的反应。人们会说:“他们不能那么说。” 但等一下,第一,他们可以那么说,他们是成年人,有言论自由。第二,让他们告诉我们真实的想法不好吗?这样我们才能理解他们的思考方式、他们是谁、他们如何处理现实以及他们的假设。

技术原因在于,那个狭窄的媒体漏斗已经被彻底炸得粉碎了。很大程度上是因为我们过去 30 年所做的工作。无论你喜欢还是讨厌,那个抽象化、非人化的世界正在消逝。在新世界里,我们将直接听到人的声音。我不是乌托邦主义者,这不会是 100% 的进步,但毫无疑问,这是一次巨大的净收益

Original English

Marc Andreessen: And anyway, so Eric to your question like basically I think the retrospective view on this what happened was basically in the past communication channels were just like super narrow, right? And so and so how could you get a message through to the mass market or to your audience to your customer base? Um you you could only do it by kind of sending in a message that was encoded into as few bits as possible, right? because that was kind of your only shot because it was always limited by, you know, TV broadcast air time or it was limited by newspaper column inches or whatever. And so you just you had to kind of crystallize everything down to this kind of min minimal and sort of least offensive, you know, kind of possible position. But but it's always been unnatural because as human beings like that it does like it it never felt right like you know it always felt like weird because it's like this you know corporation is like this weird other kind of alien thing. you know, it it always felt weird and uncomfortable and we and we just kind of got used to it and it just you know, it turns out as as as our friend Mitt Romney famously said, corporations are people too. Um and right and like poor poor, right? Yeah. He was using it in a different context. uh he he was not he was not calling the change in PR but um but uh you know for our purposes um you know like this is it's all about people like it's all about the decisions that people make like you know when when a big company or a government agency or a nonprofit or a venture firm or a startup is like making decisions and acting in the world that's people like that you know there's there there's there there you know there there are some set of people um who are sitting around making that decision and I and I just think like and and then it's kind of you know it's kind of this almost I don't know like shock therapy or thing where it's just like if the people who are actually making the calls actually like show up and talk on their own behalf and explain themselves and actually say what they think, it like blows everybody's minds, right? It's just it's just, you know, it's the, you know, it's the response people have to, you know, Elon. It's a response people have to, you know, certain other, you know, people who are now, you know, kind of very notable in environment who are running large large things who are very public and vocal. It's just kind of this thing of like and it's just it's almost like this thing where it's like, well, you know, they can't say that. And it's like, well, wait a minute. Number one, they can say that like, you know, they're allowed to they're like an adult in the United States of America. like they're allowed to say, you know, whatever they want. Number one. Number two, like how about they actually tell us what they think? Like how about we hear directly from them so that we can actually understand what they're thinking and who they are, you know, and how they're processing reality and what what their assumptions are. Um and and of course the the technological cause for this is just that, you know, that that narrow media funnel just got like completely blown to smitherines, right? In large part as a consequence of all the work that, you know, that we that you know, all of us have done uh on this call over the last 30 years. And so like it it's just, you know, and you could kind of maybe say, you know, love it or hate it, like the the the the the days of kind of this narrow channel, narrow casting, and then what I would argue is just this like inherently deceptive practice um of abstracting things away from people, I you know, that that world is just clearly fading. Um and and in the new world, we're just going to hear direct from people. And I, you know, and look, I'm not a utopian and it's not going to be like 100% better, but I I think there's no question it's a big net improvement.

长内容是防止误读的最佳防御

Ben Horowitz: 顺便说一句,回顾过去,那些因为在媒体上说错话而陷入麻烦、被解雇或被“网暴”的人,其实大多数都是因为误解

因为渠道太窄,你无法抹去言论,也无法回过头去辩护,因为辩解时的受众规模可能只有原先的千分之一。现在,虽然人们会说一些更激进、非主流的想法,但因为有足够的空间来解释,被误解的情况反而变少了。在过去,像 Howard Dean 那样的事情足以毁掉一个人,但在今天那根本不算什么。

Original English

Ben Horowitz: Yeah. And by the way, you know, the other um thing that's really interesting in retrospect is the things that people got in trouble for, uh, cancelled for, fired for, etc. in the past that they said in the press were all just misinterpretations. So they, you know, was somebody saying something and because it was so narrow and because you could never erase it and because you could never come back and defend it because the audience would be, you know, a thousandth of the size on the defense, you know, people just it was all it wasn't I said what I thought and people thought I was a horrible person. It was I said something, it got misinterpreted and people thought I was a horrible person. So now in this world where like you know people say much more like aggressive things I would just say in terms of you know not being mainstream thinking but have room to explain it um they that that rarely happens anymore. So like I mean everything from like Howard Dean to you know you name it like in today's world that that would be nothing. Um but in that world because there was no chance to say well like this is what happened. Um you know like there there were just thousands of times when people got into incredible trouble for things that they said that were misinterpreted uh that they could not correct.

Marc Andreessen: 没错。Ben 在 Eric 你入职前给了我一个很好的建议。我一直在努力遵守,虽然这对我来说是一个巨大的个人挑战。这就像尝试不吃掉整盒奥利奥或者不每晚喝掉一整瓶威士忌一样难——这两件事我最近也在尝试戒掉。

Ben 指出,旧世界的逻辑在新世界依然适用:每当我在过去十年里陷入严重的公共麻烦,几乎都是因为我发了某条推文。大家都知道我多么喜欢推特,我也很擅长在 140 或 280 个字符里压缩一些极具争议的内容。但 Ben 说:“Marc,每次别人对你感到愤怒,都是因为你的话被断章取义了。”

所以 Ben 的建议是:把你所有的想法都说出来,但要在播客里说。在长达一个半小时的讨论背景下说,这样你就可以用完整的解释来包围你的核心观点;或者以文章的形式写出来,完整阐述你的论证。

观察发现,当公众人物被“炸得粉碎”时,几乎总是因为说了太短的话。当人们进行长篇大论的解释时,即使观点极具争议,其实也很难被彻底击垮。有趣的是,我小时候,社会对电视的道德恐慌集中在**“短促金句”(Sound bites)上——你只能听到别人 5 秒钟的想法。讽刺的是,现在电视反而成了信息传输的金标准,而互联网被视为邪恶的。但互联网给予了我们进行长内容**表达的机会。一个小时、两个小时的深度讨论,比 30 年前 NBC 晚间新闻里的 30 秒片段要好得多。对于复杂的系统问题,无论是政治还是技术,你必须有长对话。

Original English

Marc Andreessen: Yeah. And and Eric, you know, Ben Ben gave me good advice, you know, actually before you came on board, which I am trying my best to stick to, although I will tell you it is a significant personal challenge. Yeah. um akin with not eating an entire box of Oreos and drink an entire bottle of scotch every night, both of which I'm also trying not to do. Um so because we live in a healthy world now, so um uh less self-destructive world. So um you know, Ben Ben pointed out that like this what Ben just said basically applies into the new world actually just as much as the old world in the sense of like when every time I've gotten myself into like serious trouble like in public over the last decade, it's because I tweeted something. Um, and I mean, you know, everybody on here probably knows how much I love Twitter and like it's great to be able to rip off the 100, you know, and I was really good at like compressing something super controversial in 140 characters and then really letting it rip at 280 characters, but Ben pointed out like, look, every time every time somebody gets mad at you, you know, every just gets like completely ripped at you over over that. Basically, what's happened is it's out of context. Um, and so what Ben said is look, just say everything that you think, but say it on a podcast, right? Say it in the context of an hour and a half discussion so that you can whatever it is, you've surrounded it with the full explanation or say it in the form of an essay where you've like fully articulated your argument and and it's fully in context. Um and and just observationally like and and not just applying to myself, but just more broadly. It's actually interesting if you watch this to this day when public figures get blown to smitherines, it's almost always because of something that's basically too short. um uh when people actually do the full long long form explanation of what they think even if it's on a highly controver you know even if it's imputed to be highly controversial or whatever if it's the full explanation it is actually harder to blow people up and and again you could kind of it's actually really funny you know when I was a kid like you know the moral panic was around television right kind of pre the internet and the moral panic in television always was around the concept of sound bites which is you only ever get to hear like 5 seconds of what anybody's thoughts are right and somehow television is now the gold standard you know for information transmission the internet's evil like somehow it flipped. But anyway, the point being is like the internet gives us the chance to not only express ourselves like in short form, the internet specifically gives us the chance to express ourselves in long form, right? And fully explain things. And that's that's just so different. Like the the the the hour, hour and a half, two hour discussion with somebody who's like deeply into something and is really involved in something like I mean we all experience this as consumers. Like it's just so much better than the than the 30 secondond bit that you know might have been on the NBC Nightly News 30 years ago. And by the way, you know, the long form of almost anything that's interesting, complex, a systems problem, um, which is most everything in politics and in technology, you need the long form. There is no sound bite that gives you any information. Um, and so you have to have uh a long conversation.

Joe Rogan 式的 CEO

主持人: 很有趣。我们过去谈论过,旧时代的媒体培训是为了教你如何“避开麻烦”。但现在如果你是一个 CEO,你得成为某种所谓的**“Joe Rogan 式的 CEO”**。你得是一个足够有趣的人,能去 Joe Rogan 的节目聊上三个小时,比如像 Alex KarpPalmer Luckey 这样的人。

因为在这个时代,你的力量源于你的**“有趣”**。人们想为你工作、买你的产品、投你的公司,都是因为你有趣。如果你既强大又有意思,你必然会伴随争议。你们也帮我适应了这一点:这是大联盟的博弈,总会有人对我们所做的事情感到愤怒,但这在某种程度上是好事,它是我们影响力和趣味性的证明。

Original English

Host: Well, yeah. It's interesting. We've also talked about, you know, media training of the past used to be around sort of, you know, how to stay out of trouble, this kind of thing. And now now you you know if you're a CEO you want to be you know something uh you know Jordy from TVPN has this concept of a Joe Rogan CEO I someone interesting enough to go on Joe Rogan for three hour you know someone like an Alex Karp someone like a Palmer Lucky right and um because and and the flip side of that is that you know if you're interesting you know if you're powerful you're it's because you're interesting uh because that's what that's what people that's what people want to work for that's you know people want to be customers of it's people want to invest in um and if you're powerful and interesting you're going to be controversy ial and and and that's something that you guys have also helped me get more more more accustomed to is like hey you know this is the big leagues you know and there are people like who are going to be mad at what we're doing and and that is that that's in some ways that's a good thing that's it's evidence of of our power and and our interestingness

Ben Horowitz: 是的,我认为这没错。这又是旧世界和新世界的一个交叉点。如果你维护的是一个“企业品牌”,你会尽量不沾染任何尘埃,努力成为一个没人讨厌的东西。但在当今世界,要做好营销,你必须有趣;而只要你有趣且强大,就一定会有很多人不喜欢你。

我认为这个新世界更适合创始人 CEO。因为要成为创始人,你必须有原创的想法,而原创的想法天生就是有趣的。相反,职业经理人 CEO 往往是通过谨慎的政治博弈爬上位置的,这要求你不能有争议,不能让人抓到把柄。我和 Marc 都参加过大型公司的董事会,在挑选职业 CEO 时,大家往往看重的是他“没出过什么错”,而不是他“有什么过人之处”。所以你会得到一些非常平庸、索然无味的角色,他们绝对没法去上 Joe Rogan 的节目。这对我们来说是优势,因为我们几乎只和创始人 CEO 打交道。

Original English

Ben Horowitz: yeah know I think that's right and I think that you know it's hard this is another kind of crossover between the old world and the new world because if you're a corporate brand then you know you try and keep all the dust off the brand and and you know try and be uh something that nobody hates uh I guess for lack of a better word and then you know I think in today's world to be good at marketing you've got to be interesting to be interesting if you're interesting and powerful there are going to be a lot of people who don't like you um and that's look that's a good thing um and I was very happy to see by the way the infrared piece because we can get like a nice piece on like a subsection of the firm, but nobody's ever going to write like a really nice thing about the whole firm. Um, I think that, you know, also it's a this whole new world is much better for founder CEOs because to be a founder, you have to have an original idea and original ideas are interesting by nature. I think that professional CEOs um often get to that position through very careful politicking which uh kind of is the opposite where you want to be uncontroversial like nobody can ding you right as you get to the thing and you know Mark and I have uh been on you know Mark much more than me but been on large boards where in the large boards you know when it comes to picking the professional CEO they're all about what's not wrong with him not what's right with or let's write with her. And so you get these very vanilla characters who definitely could not go on Joe Rogan. And that, you know, is all to our advantage because we basically deal almost entirely with founder CEOs.

媒介即信息:从电视秀到病毒帖

主持人: 我想转向另一个结构性的机制。Marc,谈谈那个 McLuhan 的名言:“如果是电视上的,那就是电视秀。” 不同格式的内容如何产生不同类型的影响?

Original English

Host: I want to uh transition to one more structural mechanic because it's a segue into how we've built our team a little bit and it's um this Mark, it's this McLuhan quote. You know, if it's on TV, it's a TV show. Um, and just talking about how the different formats yield different types of content. Um, do you want to talk about

Marc Andreessen: 好的。Marshall McLuhan 是电视时代伟大的媒体理论家,他的著作至今依然经得起推敲。他那句名言的意思是:媒介即信息

电视是一种特定的技术。在电视上,唯一的真实参数是时长。它是 3 分钟的新闻片段、20 分钟的情景喜剧,还是 40 分钟的正剧?你能做的变化很少,因为它只是线性传播的视频。所以 McLuhan 说,电视在最初的几十年里演化出了我们现在所知的“电视秀”概念,本质上要么是喜剧,要么是正剧。它是一个小故事,在 20 到 40 分钟内展开,必须是自洽的,因为你不知道观众什么时候会看。

电视是一种情感媒介,而非信息密集型媒介。它把某人直接带入你的客厅。所以它更像是一种“道德剧”,必须有英雄和反派,有简单的故事情节和几个反转,最后完美收场。结果就是,电视上的一切都必须被转化成“电视秀”,包括真实世界发生的事件。比如现在的政治新闻,不管是哪一党派,都成了连续剧:这一季的主线是什么,副线是什么。如果你每天看 CNN,你会发现他们像演肥皂剧一样编排这些故事。在电视的世界里,所有的棱角都被磨平了,一切都变得圆滑、专业。

如果 McLuhan 今天还活着,他会说:“如果是互联网上的,那就是病毒帖。” 什么是互联网的原生媒介?什么形式的内容在互联网上最具统治力?显然是病毒帖(Viral post)。病毒推文、病毒抖音、病毒 Substack、病毒视频。

病毒帖有两个特征:第一,它通常能极大地调动人们的情绪(不管是正面还是负面),让人们“炸锅”。第二,它在数据上有极快的上升期。如果一个帖子要火,通常在 12 小时内就会爆发,大家疯狂转发评论;24 小时后开始衰减,36 小时后就会从集体记忆中消失——因为下一个病毒帖已经冒出来了。

我们过去五年、甚至十年的媒体环境,本质上就是由成千上万个病毒帖周期构成的。这种模式会刺激人们的皮质醇,倾向于争议性内容。但另一方面,它是人们投票选出来的,而不是新闻制作人决定的。这导致故事来去匆匆,某个领域的“全球最大危机”可能 24 小时后就无人问津。

这种环境产生了一种过时的危机公关策略的新变种:确保有其他事情变成新的病毒帖,从而转移注意力。只要互联网是首选媒介,我们就将生活在这种 24 到 36 小时的循环中。而传统媒体(报纸和电视)现在只是在追踪互联网上昨天或一周前的病毒帖。传统媒体的节奏根本无法超越互联网,所以他们的余生将只能作为互联网病毒帖的追随者。

Original English

Marc Andreessen: Okay. This is the thing. Okay. So, yeah, Marshall McLuhan was the great media theorist of the of the TV era and actually his his work has actually held up really well and it's it's it's worth reading. Um, but uh he he had he had this this thing Eric just said. He said if it's on TV, it's a television show. Um, in other words, like basically the the the you know, as he said, the medium is the message. Um, basically what he said is like look like TV TV is a specific kind of technology. It's a specific kind of media technology. Um, and basically like all of the questions around TV are like you know is it a is you know it's all basically just like the only real parameter is length. Like is it a three-minute news segment? Is it a 20inut sitcom? Is it a 40-minute drama? Like there's very little kind of variation in like what you can do because it's just a linear you know it's just a straight you know just you know broadcast video you know mass broadcast video. And so he said, you know, basically the medium in its first, you know, 10 or 20 years evolved, you know, basically the concept of what we now know to be a television show, which is basically either a comedy or a drama or or combination of the both. And it's basically a little story and it's a little story that plays over 20 to 40 minutes. And it kind of has to be a self-contained story because you don't know when people are going to watch it. And you know, now they're doing, you know, now they're doing, you know, with streaming they're doing serial stories, but you know, television shows properly generally were, you know, where everything was a one-off. You can watch episodes out of order. And so there's like there the there are the these very like self-contained little basically, you know, plays, little stage plays broadcast on video. And then there they're there these self-contained little stories and then and then they need to kind of appeal to emotion because it's like an emotional medium. U right it's not like an information dense medium. It's a you know it's a it's a it's a medium that literally puts somebody in your living room. Um and so basically it's it's like these little morality plays, right? Where and there's got to be like good guys and bad guys and kind of a very simplistic story and there's like a few, you know, a few mile plot twists and then everything kind of wraps up at the end. And what he says sort of the consequence of that is like everything on television has to be a television show and that includes everything in the real world that gets talked about on television has to be turned into a television show right and and and this is kind of you know the running joke of like following you know I don't know whatever current events or politics on TV right now which is kind of a running joke which is you know on either party which but it's just kind of like oh you know that you know you know oh it's you know it's time for the next season um oh you know this is the new you know main plot that's happening and then this is the new secondary plot that's happening and if you watch CNN every night you know they're just kind of you know they're kind of just playing with these stories, you know, kind of over time the way that a the way that a soap opera might or that a, you know, that a that a that that a drama might or occasionally, you know, how a comedy might. And so, so basically, we we've just like lived in a world where it just seems like everything's a TV show. Um, and it's it's a world where like all the edges are sanded off and everything is kind of very smooth and professional and everything is kind of within this very narrow band of what can be put into these kind of little little morality plays. Okay. So Marshall McLuhan unfortunately is long dead, but I I assert that if he were alive today, he would say if it's if it's on the internet, it's a viral internet post, right? So like what's the native medium of the internet? Like what's the thing that what's the form of media on the internet that like rips and dominates? And it's clearly the viral post, right? It's it's the viral, you know, tweet. It's the viral Tik Tok. It's the viral Instagram, right? It's the it's the it's the viral Facebook post. It's the viral Substack. It's the viral YouTube video. Like it's very clearly the post. specifically it's the viral post like it's it's the one that really rips and so so basically you're right right so my theory is if it's on the internet um everything is a viral post and then you just ask yourself two questions which is like okay what's the characteristic of a viral post and and like nine times out of 10 it's something that like really gets people cranked up right like on whatever topic right it might be on whatever your favorite pop star said yesterday or it might be on whatever you know a politician said or it might be on whatever you know a business leader said or whatever but like it's something that like causes people to like flip out right uh you know you know and Maybe some people flip out positively, some people flip out negatively or something caused people to flip out. And then the other thing with viral posts that's really interesting is you can actually observe this in the data. They have this really rapid rise. Like they tend to if if they're going to take off, they tend to take off within like 12 hours and then they spike like crazy as everybody retweets or reposts and you know emails it around and talks about it and then there's basically this like half-life falloff where like within 24 it's like 12 hours up and then it's like 20 24 hours down and then 36 hours later it's like gone from our collective memory. And the reason is because another one has popped up and has taken off instead. And if you kind of take a step back and kind of chart the media landscape that we've all been living in for the last whatever, you know, for sure 5 years, but you know, you could even say probably 10 years. What we've lived through is just bas lit literally just like thousands of cycles of viral posts. Um, okay. Is, you know, is this good or bad or something in the middle? You could have a big debate about that. Um, it, you know, I would argue it's its own form of emotionality, right? It's it's basically things that spike the cortisol and so that you know it's sort of things that are controversial and so it leans into that but you know the other side is it's things that are interesting right um and then the other part is you know the people get a vote of what goes viral right it's not just up to a news producer what what shows up on TV so there there there's that aspect to it um another aspect to it by the way is that stories come and go much more quickly now right and so there will be some thing that pops and it's like the world's biggest crisis in whatever sector it's talking about and it's just like everybody in the world has an opinion this is where I I was using you a while back the the the name of the current thing like it's the current thing. Everybody has to have an opinion on the current thing. It's the most important thing in the world. And then 24 hours later, it's like it never happened because something else has become the current thing. And then that leads to, you know, the new the new version of the old time honor strategy of getting through media crisis, which is like just like basically make sure something else, you know, becomes the new viral post. U you know, gets get something else elevated into that thing. So that you know, there's there's there's this way to kind of deal with these things. But but anyway, I just think like as long as the internet is the medium of choice, we're going to live in a world in which this is what it you know this is the cycle now. It's like a 24 36-hour cycle. By the way, the traditional media in the form of newspapers and television like at least the way I read them is they're basically covering whatever was the viral post like yesterday or a week ago, right? And so, right, so they're being driven by the internet viral post, which is which, you know, which is why I think that, you know, the internet viral post is is the high order thing. And and I also think like that that's not going to change. Like they the whole long thing I could do on that, but like they literally if you're a television if you're a television producer or if you're a news editor or whatever, like you you can't possibly move your organization fast enough to stay ahead of these cycles. And so what you end up doing is you end up chasing them and and that's basically the role of mainstream media for the rest of our life is just going to be to follow the internet viral post.

Ben Horowitz: 几年前《每日秀》有个好笑的笑话,他们采访一位报社编辑,说:“你为什么管它叫新闻(News,原意也有‘新’的意思)?你应该管它叫‘旧闻’(Olds)。”

那位编辑当时非常困惑,他指着桌上的一堆报纸说:“这是今天的报纸啊。” 而主持人说:“不,这是昨天的消息。报纸上有 24 小时的编辑和出版流程,而 24 小时后,互联网已经转向下一个话题了。这就像狗追汽车,而且他们现在必须每天都追,这大概就是为什么他们总是那么生气的原因。”

Original English

Ben Horowitz: Yeah. There was a funny joke on the Daily Show years ago where they were talking to newspaper guy and he said, "Why do you call it news? You should call it olds." That's good. Um, he it was he was it at the time the managing editor of the New York Times and he was in his office and the New York Times, you know, was expecting to get this glowing coverage on the Daily Show and whoever it was shows up in the office and says says what Ben just said and the guy and the editor is just like completely confused. Like he clearly has no idea what the Daily Show guy is talking about and and he's like, "Well, like what do you mean?" And he and he's like he points there's like a pilot literally physical newspapers in the guy's desk and he says like, "Look, it's it's all old news." And he's he's like, "No, no, it's today's paper." And he's like, "No, no, it's yesterday's paper. like I already know everything that's in that like you know and so and yeah and and like it's just basically like again what do they have they're very proud of this they have their editorial process they have their publication process like they they have multi-layer you know bureaucratic mechanism for you know all all the news that's fit to print that you know it's at least a 24-hour cycle to figure that out and I mean and you know 24 hours later the internet has already moved on from whatever the last thing was and so it's just it's it's a it's another example of the dog chasing the car except now they have to chase it like every single day which might be why they're so upset all the time. Yeah, they are pissed.

X 平台与精英受众

主持人: 我们特意聘请了真正理解平台的人,不仅是技术上的理解,还有平台的氛围、品味和精神。我们全心投入 X 平台,因为那里是目前最有趣的对话发生的地方,也是人们最投入的地方。

Original English

Host: You know, we've really made sure to hire people who really understand the platform, not just how the platform works technically, but also the the vibe and the taste and the and the spirit of of the platform. And and we've gone all in to start um on on X because that those are just where the most interesting conversations are happening and where where people are the most plugged in.

Ben Horowitz: 科技界的绝大多数人都活跃在 X 上。不管你喜不喜欢,我们的世界就活在 X 上。无论是 AI 研究员AI 影响者还是加密货币影响者,所有人都在那儿。即便我们不喜欢它,我们也无法回避。

Original English

Ben Horowitz: And and the way I think about most of the tech world is on X, you know, like it or not, like our world lives on X. um just because that's also where all the bo both the kind of AI researchers and the AI influencers and the crypto influencer like like everybody in our world lives there uh you know at least in part. So we can't avoid it even if we didn't like it.

Marc Andreessen: 没错。我发过一本叫《真正的信徒》(The True Believer)的书的链接。旧的描述是“精英与大众”,这有点 20 世纪。但在 AI、政治等领域,那些 24 小时都在试图理解这个世界、进行知识合成的人,都在 X 上。虽然他们不是大众市场,不是全人类的多数,但他们是决策和想法形成的领先边缘。

当然,TikTokInstagram 的触及面更广,它们能接触到全球大众受众,肯定也发挥着作用。但如果你处于一个领域的前沿,想要观察观点形成和传播的过程,那几乎完全发生在 X 上。

Original English

Marc Andreessen: But we love it. You were about to say something more. Oh yeah. No, I was just going to say yeah. I know look what Ben said is yeah that like this is I posted a link to a book called the true believer that kind of talk talks about this is you know the old characterization is elites and masses which is a little bit 20th century but yeah like the the like people who are spending 24 hours a day trying to understand you know basically in these domains like AI or you know politics or whatever like they they're on X like and and that's that then that's not the mass market like that's not most of humanity but like that's most of the people who are like basically in the what you might I don't know what you want to call like knowledge synthesis business or whatever where they're trying to like understand and formulate policies on things and so forth. um obvious obviously it's also true that Tik Tok and Instagram you know have just like much more reach like they're you know they're just much bigger um you know they reach the mass kind of global audience um more and so you know they certainly they certainly play a role but if if you're on the leading edge of a field like you know it's it's very rare that the whatever is kind of the lead you know you know kind of the edge of that process of kind of idea formation propagation people you know in positions of of authority kind of figuring out what they think it's that's almost entirely unex

OODA 循环:速度决定胜负

Ben Horowitz: 谈到目标受众,旧媒体世界很难精准打击。但在新媒体世界,通过播客、博客和 X,你可以直接面向极其细分的受众。对我们来说,受众是创始人,而不是全世界。能接触到 90% 的创始人,远比接触到全世界 4% 的人对我们更有价值。

Original English

Ben Horowitz: media IA and new media. So if you come from old media world, there's just reach. Yeah. Right. Like the targets, you know, if you were going for a target audience. Um there was no real easy way to do it. Old I mean, you know, like maybe like if you were sports, you'd be in Sports Illustrator or whatever, but like there wasn't really a way to do it. Um, but now with podcasts and and blogs and X and so forth, you can go to an exact audience. You can really get down to an extremely narrow target in new media world. And you know, for us, that's great because the audience, our audience is founders, not the world. Uh, and so, you know, having a way to talk to 90% of founders as opposed to 4% of the world is just a much better thing for us.

主持人: Marc,我想请你解释两个结构性的东西。一个是 Boyd 循环,以及为什么它让社交媒体在达成共识方面如此强大;另一个是口头文化与书面文化的区别。

Original English

Host: Yeah, the the two two two more structural things Mark I want you to explain and then I want to present some some some slides you give some detail about what we're doing that that rel that relate to what I'm about to say. One is I want you to explain the the Boyd um loop and and why you know that that makes Twitter and and social media so much more powerful in terms of you know forming consensus. Um and then the other is the difference between written and oral culture and and and what's prioritized um in you know as we transition to oral.

Marc Andreessen: 好的,这些都是宏大的话题,我尽量简短说明。在军事理论中有一个概念叫机动战(Maneuver warfare),核心就是:速度胜过规模

基于这个理论,有一个框架叫 OODA 循环(观察-判断-决策-行动)。它最初是为战斗机飞行员开发的,后来扩展到军事战略。任何决策过程都遵循这个循环:**观察(Observe)**外部世界,**判断(Orient)**自己在世界中的位置,决策(Decide)该做什么,然后行动(Act)

其发明者 Boyd 认为,如果你能持续比对手更快地运行决策循环,你就能**“进入对手的循环内部”。想象一下,你做一个决定需要 1 小时,而对手需要 2 小时。当你行动时,对手还在他的决策过程半路,由于你改变了现实参数,他不得不重新开始他的观察和判断过程。长此以往,对手会陷入心理崩溃**。他们无法再正常运作,陷入恐慌,永远无法定位,只能完全处于被动响应状态。Boyd 曾被称为“15 秒 Boyd”,因为他声称能在这套方法论下 15 秒内击败任何对手。

这解释了传统媒体身上发生了什么。互联网推动事件的速度如此之快,互联网集体人群决定什么是重要的速度如此之快,导致那些自认为掌控叙事的电视制片人或新闻编辑陷入了心理崩溃。

同样的事情也发生在公司竞争中。这就是 Elon Musk 对他航空航天竞争对手所做的,也是 Anduril 对国防工业所做的,也是我们在风投行业尝试对竞争对手做的。要做到这一点,你必须致力于追求速度,不能有冗长的官僚流程或风险厌恶姿态。

Original English

Marc Andreessen: Yeah. Okay. So these are both long topics and so I'll try to do the the cliffnotes version. Um yeah. So um I'll I'll I'll link to the book on this but in in in in military theory there there's this concept called maneuver warfare which basically just says like speed speed wins like speed speed wins as compared to ma ma mass winning uh speed wins. And so if if you if you believe that then there's basically this frame there's this framework called called the UDA loop O O D A loop uh which originally was developed for fighter pilots and then later for for broader military strategy. Um and the UDA loop that what what UDA stands for it's an acronym um it stands for observe orient decide act. Um and so it's basically the decision-making cycle, right? And so and observe is like view the outside world. Orient is like figure out where you are in respect to the outside world. U decide of course decide what to do. Act uh uh act. And basically what this guy boy who came up with this idea said was like any military oper any fighter pilot any military operation any you know basketball player any um you know company any government um um basically goes through a a decision-making cycle that's like that in order to make decisions we just talked about the New York Times has their own udaloop it's like 24 hours to go through their process um uh right and so um and so um and then basically what he said is like if if speed is the thing that matters then the person who gets through that cycle the fastest is the one who's going to win. But he said there's a second order thing that happens. So one is just like is your udal loop faster than the than the other guys. So so that's one question. But he said the other thing can happen is if if you if you can have a sustainably faster udaloop processing cycle than the next guy um then if you think about what happens like let's say it takes you know you whatever you know an hour to figure something out it takes the other guy two hours to figure something out. Think about what happens is like okay you start out on an even playing field. um you both start your your your your decision-m cycles. Um you operate you you make your decision within an hour. The other guy is still say is inside his own udaloop when you make your decision, right? And so you make your decision, you act within an hour. He's only halfway through his process. He now has to start his process over, right? Cuz because you've changed the landscape, you've changed the parameters of what's going on. So he now has to go back and reobserve and reorient and start over, right? And then and then of course project forward. It's like, okay, then you decide again within an hour and then by the time he gets and again he gets halfway through his process, he gets interrupted. Um, he has to go back. And so what he says is if you if you can be sustainably faster at running your decision loop, you can get inside the other guy's loop in a in a systematic and perpetual way and and basically the result of that is psychological breakdown. Uh, basically you you destroy the psychology of the other side because they just simply they they just can no longer operate or function at all. They just like basically go into complete panic. Nothing seems to make sense. They can never get oriented. They can never make decisions. they can never they become completely defensive, completely responsive. You completely dominate, you know, basically the playing field. Um, and he, you know, he he was a famous fighter pilot. He was a he was a famous fighter pilot called 15-second void because he his claim was and which was true is he could beat any other fighter pilot in dog fight within 15 seconds um using this method. And so it's basically this this premium on speed and quality of execution such that you were actually causing the other side to have a h have a psychological break. Um, by the way, like again, go back to the like I think this is also a big explanation for what's happened to traditional media. The the fact that the internet moves events so much faster and the sort of internet collective crowd decides what's important so much faster causes all the people who were television producers or news editors who thought that they were in charge of the narrative to just basically have a psychological breakdown like how how can you even function when the internet is just basically cycling much faster than you could. And I think this by the way the same is true of companies. You know this is what Elon does, you know, to his competitors like in the defense, you know, in the aerospace industry. this is what Andre is now doing to companies in the defense industry. Um, you know, this quite frankly is what we try to do, you know, to our competitors in the venture industry. Um, so yeah, so that now to do that you have to be willing to commit to being fast, right? Um, and so you you can't you can't have long bureaucratic processes. You can't have, you know, you know, a riskadverse posture. You can't, you know, stress, you know, you you need enough time to make the decision properly. um you know but you you can't you can't run the fully deliberate um you know strategy that a lot of companies used to have in the past where it was days to weeks to months to figure out you know what they were going to say about something um by the way in in politics they adapted to this probably 30 years ago uh with the concept of the war room um and there's a famous documentary in the Clinton campaign and I think in is it 88 uh where called the war room where they they show this and now now they call it rapid response and if you if you if you go to basically any any political operation on the internet right now um you know they'll have an ex account that's literally they call it like rapid response so it's Actually, Department of War has one just as an example. Department of War rapid response and it's literally like they're responding in real time to stuff that's happening because they want to stay inside um you know, everybody else's udaloop.

口头文化与长播客的本质

Marc Andreessen: 至于口头文化与书面文化,人类文化有两种基本的交流模式。口头交流是原始形式,就像人们围在篝火旁讲故事、唱歌、朗诵诗歌;书面交流则是书籍、科学期刊、数学方程、商业计划。

口头交流的特征是情绪优先,因为它是人与人之间的实时互动。书面交流的特征是抽象、逻辑、学术严谨和分析深度。过去在传统媒体中,报纸杂志是书面的(更冷静),电视是口头的(更感性)。但现在这一切都打破了。

互联网既是口头文化也是书面文化。YouTube 视频、TikTok 或 Instagram 卷轴肯定是口头文化:短促、爆发式、感性且注重人际体验。Substack 长文肯定是书面文化。但有些东西很复杂:短推文虽然是文字,但本质上是口头文化,因为它的短小意味着它必须是一次触发情绪的爆发才能病毒式传播。而长播客虽然是说话,但本质上是书面文化,因为如果你要聊三个小时,你必然会进入深度和抽象的讨论,超越瞬间的情感冲动。

互联网让你能玩转这些格式。如果你想体验“末日刷屏”并对世界感到愤怒,去 X 或 TikTok;如果你想学到很多东西,提高智商,去 Substack 或 YouTube 上的长播客。这就像是一场“选择你自己的冒险”。

Original English

Marc Andreessen: Um yeah. Okay. So, there's that. And then yeah, the the the oral versus written thing is it's it would probably take an hour to kind of go through the whole thing, but yeah, the long and short of it is there there's basically in sort of human culture, there's kind of two ways to communicate. There's two fundamental modes. There's oral communication, there's written communication. You know, oral communication, you know, is the original form. And you could think about it literally as like people around a campfire telling stories, singing songs, you know, reciting poetry. Um, you can think about written communication would be, you know, kind of famously the book, um, or the scientific journal article, right? Or the math equation, um, or the business plan, right? Um, you know, you know, a written artifact. Um, and that basically the characteristic of orality or oral communication is it's it's sort of inherently emotion first. Um, right? Because it's it's, you know, literally, you know, live interactions with another person. Um uh the characteristic of written communication is sort of abstraction, you know, and you know, hopefully logic, the scientific method, you know, intellectual rigor, analytical rigor. Um it it used to be the case that you could kind of really divide these, you know, in traditional mass media, it used to be the case. You could say that like newspapers and magazines were written and so they would be like more calmer and more dispassionate. You could say, you know, television was oral, right? right? It was literally people talking and so it was going to be much more emotional and hottheheaded, you know, basically like you know that that that's all broken down because of everything we've talked about. Um but the modern version of that is like the internet like okay is the internet an oral culture or a written culture and it turns out the answer is the internet's both because the internet is everything right? It's it it supports every kind of media. Um, and so a YouTube video, I will say for sure, a short form Tik Tok or Instagram reel for sure is oral culture. Like it's it's something short and bursty and emotional and interpersonal in its experience. Um, a long form Substack post is for sure written culture. Uh, but then things get more complicated because a short tweet, even though it's written, is actually an oral culture thing, right? Because the fact that it's short means that it has to be like this again sort of this burst of of of sort of say triggering emotionality uh in order to go viral. So, so actually tweets I would say are oral culture even though they look written. And then long form podcasts are actually written culture even though they look oral, right? Because if you're going to talk about something for 3 hours, like that's necessarily something where you're kind of getting into abstractions and depth, you know, beyond just kind of a flash moment of emotion. Um, and so the internet lets you kind of play with these formats and and and the kind of impact that you want to have um in a way that, you know, in in the past was kind of determined by exactly fix which fixed media you were in. And look, we we all live this like if you want to have the internet experience of like doom scrolling and getting really pissed off at the world like you go to Tik Tok at X and you can do that. If you want to like learn a lot of stuff, you can go on Substack and long form YouTube podcast and you can live in that world and like you can like you know raise your IQ point today. Like you know it's absolutely amazing. And so there is a choose your own adventure aspect to it. Um and um and then of course you know we you know firms like ours need you know need to think hard about how we communicate because of of the differences.

A16Z 的媒体版图与产品

主持人: 这个衔接非常好,因为它强调了每个平台的差异。很多公司只是想出一个点子,然后跨平台发布,但这忽略了平台本身的设计初衷。在我们的团队中,每一个平台(Substack、播客、Instagram、X、YouTube 等)都有专门的专家负责。我们在 Instagram 上的月增长率达到了 35%,负责的 Hero 只有 18 岁,他伴随着 Instagram 长大,了如指掌。

我们真正想做的是为我们的投资组合公司提供**“超能力”**。帮助他们传播信息、接触客户和人才。像 Anduril 这样的公司,其品牌共鸣远超其实际体量,其他品牌都渴望拥有这种触及力。我们通过建立自己的频道和媒体帝国来实现这一点。

我们推出了几个产品:

  1. 启动即服务(Launch as a Service):提供从社交媒体文案、信息设计到视频制作的全套服务。我们聘请了 18 岁的 Richard,他高中毕业后没去上大学(直接进入“媒体界的 NBA”),他制作的视频品味极佳,为我们的公司带来了数千万次的播放量。
  2. 创始人直达模式(Founder Go Direct):帮助 CEO 建立自己的声量。比如 Applied IntuitionQasar,他以前从不发推,我们推了他一把,他的第一条推文就获得了 4000 个点赞。
  3. 新媒体奖学金(New Media Fellowship):我们收到了 2000 份申请,选出了 65 人。这些年轻人既有网络原住民的敏感度和品味,又有在专业公司工作的能力。

我们在普及“新媒体”这个词,现在看到很多职位说明书都开始招募“新媒体主管”。就像我们普及了“美国动力论”(American Dynamism)一样,我们在新媒体领域也展现了思想领导力。

Original English

Host: I love that as a segue because it just emphasizes how different every platform is and it's not you know a lot of people or companies will just you know have one idea and then crossost it you know across every platform but it it doesn't fully appreciate um you know what that platform is built for and what that platform rewards and so for every platform that we have we have a you know Substack podcast Instagram you know uh X YouTube etc we have a expert running it who is obsessed best with with that with that medium. Um, you know, on Instagram, we're up 35%, you know, month over month right now. We have this guy, Hero, who's uh who's 18 years old and has been, you know, grew up on on Instagram and and knows it like the the back of his hand. Um, and and and that really matters. That makes a difference. And so with with that as a segue, I want to do a uh share just a few slides that just show um a little bit about what we've uh what we've done so far. So what we're, you know, really trying to do is uh is is king make our companies, right? Is is is give them such a a superpower in terms of getting their message out, in terms of reaching their customers, in terms of reaching their um their talent. Um you know, the superpower that companies like Anderl have to, you know, punch way above their their weight class and and and other brands, you know, wish that they they had that level of of of resonance, that level of reach. we're we're, you know, trying to give them those superpowers and and we do that by by building our own channels, our own, you know, media empire um ac across platforms. Uh we do that by making sure that we know everybody else who's got um those uh is my screen paused for some reason? Oh, screen share. Uh but everybody else who who's who's got those powers of distribution and and having great relationships with them. Um and then also by just uh you know making sure that we have the expertise um to be able to deploy to to to our companies as well. You know Lulu put this uh put this well you know that people don't really invest enough in in in people running these these platforms and um you know we've really uh recruit spent a lot of time recruiting the the right expert talent to to do it. So I'm I'm I'm stoked because now that we've had them build our platforms we're going to deploy them to to work on behalf of our companies. Um and so we're we're you know Casser from from applied intuition you know he's he's always been I was an angel in Hasser was also known for a while and he's always been complaining of like hey you know why are we not valued more or why do we not have more resonance why do people you know why is everyone talking about other companies not not our company given how good we are and I I'm said Casser you know you've never tweeted in your life how do you expect to have tremendous mind share and he he finally you know thanks to a lot of pushing that that we did bit the bullet and his First tweet got like 4,000 likes and you know the first product we have I'll get to in a second was this launch as a service. Um the second one is going to be this this founder go direct motion. You know we're working with casser we're working with Garrett from flock safety. You know that that's a heroic company that should be at the stature of a and as well and and really help them build that machine. So speaking of the launch as a service offering, this was you know inspired early on. I was asking you know some of the GPS hey what would where could we make the biggest difference? Like what new product should should we have and you know Syra said if we could guarantee a viral announcement you know I I think that'd be a superpower for us. So so we built out this this launch as a service um you know everything soup to nuts from from you know all the all the social media copy the messaging the um you know the the the roll out. We we created these custom videos. You know, we we hired Richard, another 18-year-old who uh you know, we convinced him to go straight from high school with the NBA, i.e. not go to college, at least not right now. And um he uh he had previously done the Clulu video uh and um and the browserbased video. And he's just got this, you know, phenomenal um taste for for what really does well. And so we we built this video team. Richard, Ben, you know, Henry, you know, has really led this led this product. and and you can see the the views here. It's it's it's just done phenomenally well. Um you know, millions and millions of views for for our companies. We've now scaled up this offering to be to to offer it to to all all of our companies. And um that that's our first product. After working with companies, companies were saying, "Hey, you know, how do I hire people like that?" And thus, the new media fellowship was born to to help us hire them, but also help help our companies hire them. And so uh because you know there's this sweet spot where you need to be online enough to really know the the the have a taste and and h have a sensibility and understand these new platforms but um you also need to be functioning enough and professional enough to work at one of these companies and and there not many people can can can do both. And so we've really um you know tried to create this this uh this program to be able to identify these people and then just give them a little bit more sort of technical knowhow. And so our first fellowship uh we had, you know, 2,000 applications. We picked 65 people. We think we think they're incredible. Uh we two hires from usa came from that so far. Um and we think this is going to be a franchise um to come. and and and then the other part of it I'll just leave is um you know I think we we're really popularizing this term new media seeing a number of people with you know new media JDs they they want a head of new media you they're they're looking for that and I think we're uh sort of in in the way that we've popularized American dynamism other people have American dynamism practices um we're starting to see that with with with newbie and so it's cool to to see our thought leadership there um and uh you know more to more more to come. So, so yeah, those are the things I I'll leave you with in our our presentation. The um you know, our our channels are are up um tremendously and we're continuing to to invest in them. We um we've got this portfolio offering launch as a service. We're we're you know, now launching our go direct motion of really helping our our CEOs and companies do that. It has to come from the CEO. So, every engagement we do, the CEO is is tremendously engaged. Um, and then we're really building out this this new media category creation, this new media talent base for for us because we're continuing to hire. Um, but then also our our our companies.

结语:抛弃旧世界的直觉

Ben Horowitz: 最后我想说,如果你曾在旧媒体体制下工作过,你真的需要反思你所有的直觉,因为在这个世界里,你几乎所有的本能直觉都是错的

这有点像 AI:在旧的软件世界里,你不能靠砸钱解决问题;但在 AI 世界里,你可以。你甚至意识不到自己的思维被旧规则影响了多少。媒体领域也是如此,如果你在这个新世界,就必须放下过去的一切。

我最喜欢的喜剧演员和播客主总是告诉他们的嘉宾:“永远不要看评论。” 虽然人们总忍不住想看,但那些批评者往往是充满怨气的。在过去,只有专业作家或导演才有评论家;现在全世界都是评论家。互联网文化在 2000 年代变得尖锐,这种“毒舌”文化部分起源于在线游戏的语音大厅(比如《使命召唤》),12 岁的男孩们在匿名状态下为了激怒对手可以吐出最恶毒的话。这种文化后来通过论坛蔓延到了 YouTube 评论区和社交媒体。

当你面对评论区的攻击时,记住:那通常是住在父母地下室里的人,或者是只有四个粉丝的账号,甚至是机器人。所以,不要让评论影响你的发言。

Original English

Ben Horowitz: Yeah. So, Ben, any closing thoughts? Um I I would just say that uh you know particular if you spent time in uh the prior media regime um you know of old media you know you really have to rethink every instinct that you have because it's it's one of the weirdest things where all your instincts are wrong. I mean, we're actually experiencing a little bit of this in AI, too, which you know, Martine wrote a great post on, which is like in the old world of software, the one thing you knew is you couldn't throw money at a problem, and now you can throw money at a problem. And so, like you don't even realize how much of your thinking is affected by that old rule. Um, and you know, I would say this is that in spades where like every single instinct you have is incorrect if you're in this world and you just have to let it all go. And this is why, you know, this is people lament, oh, like the right-wing built this big podcast network and blah blah. That's not what happened. What happened is Trump just understood new media for whatever. I don't know why he did cuz he's so old and he's been in old media the whole time, but like he just rolled right into it. And you know, not at a technological level, but as a media uh as a medium. And I think that uh you know, we've got to do that. We have to understand it. Uh and and we have to kind of play by the new rules. Uh all my favorite comedians, podcasters, etc. always tell their guests, "Don't read the comments." Uh what do you guys think? Do the manic Reddit posters drive you nuts? I have not dived into our podcast comment section, but I have seen a 16Z rage on Reddit. Not surprising. Uh, for what it's worth, every technical conference I've been at while A16Z has always had an A16Z fanboy raving about our podcast. Um, yeah. So, Eric, read the contents or read the comments. Don't read the comments. Uh, don't read the comments if they're going to affect what you say. Um, it's it's kind of like the Yelp pro. people who care enough to post either either absolutely love it or absolutely hate it. And we we've definitely got at this point I I I it doesn't affect me. So I I read the comments, but uh you know I um I well you know and Mark Ben have helped me not uh not get too concerned about some of the some of the commentary on Twitter by you know certain anonymous uh Twitter posters who who uh you know raging in their basements etc. But uh yeah in short don't read the comments. Yeah. So I'll just I'll I'll just maybe close on on on two things. Um so one is um uh there's a long history of this and so uh if you read any sort of biography or autobiography of any sort of professional author, you know, um uh you know, who writes writes books for a living that like 100% of the time at some point they will tell you, "Oh, the one thing I never do is read read the read the critics, right? I never read the reviews." Um and then and then they'll say, "Well, actually, no, that's not true. I always read the reviews." Um cuz I know I shouldn't, right? Like I know I shouldn't. I know I shouldn't because like critics like by definition are like, you know, basically bitter, you know, bitter people. Um uh you know, who aren't who aren't writing novels or whatever. And so of course they're going to be mad. Um um and and I know I shouldn't read it. I know it's very bad for me. I know it's going to really screw me up. Um and and then I I try and then it's like a magnetic pull. I I always end up reading them, you know, because it's like 3 in the morning and I can't resist. And then I always end up getting mad. Um and so there there you know there is this push and and it used to be right only professional authors or professional filmmakers or whatever had critics right reviews and now basically right the entire the entire world is a critic and so I I think we all we all we all we we all kind of have that it's it's a little bit of a it's a little bit of a push and a pull um and so um uh that is a that is a little bit a little bit difficult um you know I will say I I think maybe a thing to kind of bear in mind um I I couldn't resist I posted a link to it another book on this topic with that has a great title called Kill all normies Um, and it's this a book actually from like a decade ago that talked about like this kind of very angry internet culture. You know, they kind of developed after the 2000s. Um, and um, because by the way, the internet was not always like this. Like in the in the very very early days, the internet was so hard to get on to that the only people who were on the internet were like basically super basically like smart super successful people. Yeah. News groups were really good then. Yeah. Yeah. Like pre-193 news groups were like utopia. Um and then uh and then uh and then sort of post 1993 things started going sideways and then things start the the modern kind of costic internet culture really developed in the in the 2000s and 2010s. Um but but basically it like it actually turns out there's like a a genealogy to it. And it actually turns out like a lot of it is literally literally it's um it's like Call of Duty lobbies um uh for online gaming. So, it's like literally like online gaming lobbies. Um cuz like when the Xbox and the PlayStation, you know, kind of rolled out uh voice uh you know, voice interaction for the first time, you know, they're like, "Oh, it'd be great for players to be able to talk to each other." And it turns out you just get like, you know, 12-year-old boys in these lobbies just like torching the [ __ ] you know, out of everybody and and and literally trying to get under their opponent's skin and and then being willing to, you know, anonymously say absolutely anything to do it. Um right. And so that led to, you know, you know, very very coarse, very vulgar, very offensive, you know, kind of thing. And then that, you know, kind of flipped, you know, that kind of culture kind of expanded into early internet forums like something awful. And then it started metastasizing into things like um, you know, like YouTube comments. Um, uh, and then, you know, and then obviously social media kind of blew that open. And so, um, there is this um, uh, you know, there there is this kind of, you know, I don't know, like rage undercurrent to everything. Um, and I guess it just say, you know, you just got you do kind of literally have to think about it. These are people literally in their in their in their parents' basement. And by the way, you know, the other thing is generally when we get attacked on the comments or or stuff like that, it's somebody with like four followers or like a bot or something like that. So yeah, that's by the way that that includes when it's a little interesting to read in them, I would say. Yeah. And that includes when it's Hey, Montre. Yeah. Yes. Yes.

📌 文中提及的人物和组织

关键字: new-media ooda-loop content-strategy personal-brand media-theory