丹·平克谈后悔的力量、时机与高效休息的关键 Norges Bank Investment Management 2024-12-06

引言:丹·平克谈后悔、驱动力与时机

大家好,欢迎收听本期播客的短版,我们每周五都会推出短版,而完整版则在每周三上线。

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hi everybody tune in to this short version of the podcast which we do every Friday for the long version tune in on Wednesdays.

大家好,我是挪威主权财富基金的首席执行官尼古拉·坦根。

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hi everyone I'm Nikolai Tangen the CEO of the Norwegian so wealth fund.

今天,我非常高兴地欢迎丹·平克,他撰写了七本《纽约时报》畅销书,他在后悔、工作、创造力、行为等方面都做出了开创性的工作。

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and today I'm thrilled to welcome Dan pink who has written seven New York Times bestsellers he's done groundbreaking work on the power of regret work creativity behaviors and so on.

所以今天,我们主要会谈论后悔、驱动力以及时机。

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and so today we'll talk mainly about regret drive and timing.

丹,欢迎你。

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so welcome Dan.

谢谢,很高兴来到这里。

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thank you thank you great to be here.

后悔的力量:从错误中学习

你的最新著作《后悔的力量》("The Power of Regret")探讨了我们应该从后悔中学习。

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so your latest book "The Power of Regret" explores that we should kind of learn from our regrets.

我的哲学一直都是努力从中学习并继续前进,但你的看法有些不同,对吗?

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Now My Philosophy has always been to kind of try to learn from it and move on but you think a bit differently no.

不,我认为我们实际上非常接近。

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I think that's I think we're we're actually we're actually fairly close.

我真正反对的是这种观念,尤其是在美国,人们会说:“我没有任何后悔,一切的发生都有其原因。”他们认为,过上美好生活的途径是永远保持积极,从不消极,永远向前看,从不回头。

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what I'm really pushing back against is this idea especially here in America where people say I don't have any regrets everything happens for a reason that the path to a life well lived is to be positive all the time never be negative to always look forward never look back.

那是非常糟糕的建议。

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and that is Prof profoundly bad advice.

四种核心后悔:以“基础后悔”为例

你提到有几种类型的后悔,我认为你将它们分为四种,其中一种是基础后悔(Foundation regret),对吗?

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okay you mentioned that there are several types of regrets I think you divide them into four and one is the fation regret right.

就是你没有更努力工作的事实。

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the fact that you didn't work harder.

是的,你很努力,你在耶鲁大学获得了法学学位,所以你一定非常努力。

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yeah so well you worked hard you you did a law degree at Yale so you must have very hard but but the yeah.

为了提供一些背景信息,我做了一项研究,我收集了来自世界各地人们的后悔。

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so so so just to give it just to give some context to this what I did is I I did a I gathered regrets from people all over the world.

我进行了一项在线调查,这是一项定性研究,我们现在有一个包含来自134个国家的约26,000人的后悔数据库。

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I put an online survey a qualitative piece of research and we now have a database of regrets from about 26,000 people in 134 countries.

所以这相当了不起。

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so it's it's pretty remarkable.

在全球范围内,人们似乎有四种核心后悔。

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and around the world it seemed people had the same four core regrets.

其中之一是我称之为基础后悔(Foundation regret: 指人们在生命早期做出的一系列看似微小,但累积起来会导致后期严重后果的决定)。

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one of them was this regret that I call Foundation regret.

这很有趣,因为我认为它包含了一个财务组成部分。

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which is actually it's interesting because I think there's a financial component to it.

这是人们在生命早期做出的微小决定,没有一个单独的决定是灾难性的,但它们会导致后期可怕的后果。

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it's small decisions people make early in life no single one of which is cataclysmic but that leads to terrible consequences later on.

经典的例子就是:“我花得太多,存得太少,现在我破产了。”

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and so the classic one is I spent too much and saved too little and now I'm broke.

倾诉后悔的价值

你说我们应该告诉别人我们的后悔,对吗?

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Now you say you should tell people about your regrets right.

是的。

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yeah.

为什么?

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uh why.

有几个原因。

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a couple of reasons.

首先,这是一种解脱。

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number one it's an unburdening of sorts.

有一些证据表明,当我们这样做时,这就像是卸下了肩上的重担。

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uh that there is there's some evidence that when we uh it's sort of a lifting of the weight of your shoulders.

但我认为有一个比单纯解脱更重要的原因,那就是它具有一种意义建构功能。

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but I think there's a more important one with more important reason than simply the unburdening and it's this it's a there's a sensemaking function.

我们有很多证据表明,当人们写下或谈论他们的后悔时,会发生一种转变。

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we have a lot of evidence about this um when people uh write about their regrets or talk about their regrets there's a transformation that occurs.

后悔,像所有负面情绪一样,是模糊的、无形的、虚无缥缈的。

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regret like all negative emotions is Blobby it's amorphous it's vapor.

当我们写下或谈论它们时,我们将这种虚无转化为具体的词语,这些词语不那么具有威胁性,我们可以审视它们,分析它们,质问它们。

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when we write about them or talk about them we convert that vapor into words which are concrete and those are less menacing and we can scrutinize them we can analyze them we can interrogate them.

所以,我认为这样做有一个非常强烈的理由。

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so I think there's a there's a there's a very strong uh argument for doing that.

更重要的是,你之前提到了领导力,我们有时会犯一个预测错误,认为如果我们谈论自己的错误或脆弱之处,人们就会看轻我们。

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what's more you mentioned leadership before we we make a forecasting error sometimes when we say if we talk about our mistakes or our vulnerabilities people will think less of us.

但在许多情况下,并非所有情况,但许多情况下,他们实际上会更看重我们。

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and in many cases not all but in many cases they actually think more of us.

他们欣赏坦诚,欣赏我们的勇气。

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they admire cander they admire our courage.

没有人喜欢完美的人,这也是事实。

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well nobody likes perfect people that's true too.

我的意思是,这是一个更简洁的解释。

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I mean that's a more parsimonious explanation.

反事实思维:金牌与银牌得主的心理差异

书中最后一个有趣的点是,你拍摄了奥运冠军的照片,金牌得主和铜牌得主都非常高兴,而银牌得主却不高兴,这是为什么?

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one um kind of last fun thing from the book I thought was that you uh photograph uh the Olympic uh kind of Champions right the gold medal winners really happy and the bronze people really happy the silver people not happy what's that about.

这很有趣,这是一个非常有趣的研究。

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well it's interesting this is a really interesting piece of so I mean you know you have a background in social psychology.

所以,你了解社会心理学背景,这是社会心理学中一个非常具有启发性的发现,并且已经被多次复制。

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this is one of those very provocative findings in Social psychology that has been replicated multiple times.

这要追溯到反事实思维(Counterfactual thinking: 一种心理过程,指人们想象过去事件可能以不同方式发生的情况)。

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so uh uh it's it's goes back to counterfactual thinking.

我们可以进行两种反事实思维:向下反事实思维和向上反事实思维。

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there are two kinds of counterfactual thinking we can do we can do a downward counterfactual and an upward counterfactual.

向上反事实思维是我们想象事情本可以变得更好的情况。

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all right an upward counterfactual is when we imagine how things could have been better.

向上反事实思维,那是一种后悔,它们让我们感觉更糟,但它们可以帮助我们做得更好。

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upward counterfactuals that's a regret they make us feel worse but they can help us do better.

向下反事实思维是当你想象事情本可以变得更糟的情况。

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downward counterfactuals are when you imagine how things could have been worse.

我在数据库中看到了很多这样的例子,尤其是在浪漫的后悔方面,主要是女性会说:“我后悔嫁给那个白痴,但至少我有这两个很棒的孩子。”

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so I see a lot in the database particularly when it comes to romantic regrets mostly women saying I regret marrying that idiot but at least I have these two great kids.

所以她们可以想象事情本可以变得更糟。

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so I can imagine how things could have turned out worse.

在奥运奖牌的例子中,银牌得主会想:“啊,如果我再快一点,我就可以成为金牌得主了。”我写的是关于一场自行车比赛的例子。

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in the in the Olympic medal example the the silver medalist was like ah if only I write about a bike race if only I pedal a little bit faster I could have been a gold medalist.

而铜牌得主则会想:“至少我得了第三名,而不是那个什么都没得到的第四名。”

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the the bronze medalist is like H at least I finished third rather than that Schmo who finished fourth who doesn't have any medals at all.

CEO的驱动力与特质

首席执行官们是否比其他人有更强的驱动力?

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do cosos have stronger drives than others.

我不知道,这可能取决于具体的首席执行官。

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I don't know I mean it probably depends on the probably depends on the CEO.

如果你把我逼到墙角,让我给出一个是或否的答案,我会说不。

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if you pressed me to the wall and said you had and I had offer a yes no answer to that I would say no.

我只是认为,首席执行官之所以能成为首席执行官,并不是因为他们有更强的驱动力,而是因为他们更聪明,更擅长政治。

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um I just think you know CEOs could be CEOs not because they have a stronger drive because they're they're Wier they're better at politics.

他们更高,是男性,更墨守成规。

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um they're they're you know they're they're they're tall uh they're male uh they're more conformist.

所以这可能也是他们成为首席执行官的原因,而不是因为他们拥有某种与众不同的内在驱动力,将他们与那些不是首席执行官的普通大众区分开来。

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so that could be why they're CEOs too rather than rather they have some kind of innate drive that separates them from the great unwashed who aren't CEOs.

那么当你审视首席执行官群体时,你认为这取决于什么?

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so when you look at the the cohort of CEOs what do you what do you think it depends.

我的意思是,这情况各异。

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I mean it's it's it's varied.

我认为通过内部晋升的首席执行官和创始人出身的首席执行官之间有很大的区别。

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I think there's a big difference between a CEO who comes up through the ranks and a CEO who is a Founder first of all.

我认为他们虽然都叫首席执行官,但却是不同的物种。

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I think those are two they both have the same name CEO but I think that they're different species.

优化工作时机:分析性工作的最佳时间

那么,你认为他们应该在早上做什么?

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so what do you so how do you st they so you should do W inam morning okay.

好的,对于我们80%不是夜猫子的人来说,夜猫子是例外,他们自然醒得晚,睡得也晚,我们认为他们懒惰,喜欢夜店。

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so um for the 80% of us who are not night owls now night we have an outlier here the people who are the opposite of you who naturally wake up late and go to sleep late who we think are Laz and the nightclubs exactly.

我们认为这些人是玩世不恭、不认真的人,但他们中的许多人只是拥有不同的昼夜节律类型(Chronotype: 指个体在24小时周期内,生理和行为活动偏向于早晨或夜晚的自然倾向)。

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we think that those people are diletant and not serious they just have a different chrony many of them just have a different chronotype.

让我们以我们80%的人为例,无论是像你还是像我这样的人,你应该这样做:在一天中的早些时候,我们应该进行分析性工作。

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um let's take the 80% of us who are either like you or like me here's what you should do early in the day that's when we should do our analytic work.

分析性工作是需要全神贯注和注意力的工作。

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and analytic work is work that requires heads down Focus and attention.

写作就是一个很好的例子,分析数据,制定策略,这些都需要全神贯注。

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writing is a good example of that analyzing data figuring out a strategy something that requires heads down Focus.

原因在于,在我们大多数人一天中的高峰期,通常是在早上,我们更警觉,更能抵御干扰。

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the reason for that is that is that during this peak period that we have mostly early in the day for most of us we're most we're more Vigilant we're able to batle away distractions.

所以,在一天中的早些时候做你的分析性工作。

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so do your analytic work early in the day.

一天中的中期,也就是下午早些时候或下午中期,通常是一天中最糟糕的时间。

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the middle of the day early afternoon mid-afternoon it's generally a terrible time of day.

我们看到了大量令人难以置信的研究,例如下午医疗保健中的错误,医疗保健数据中洗手不足的情况。

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and we see Inc there's incredible research on like health like errors in healthcare in the afternoon lack of handwashing in the the healthc care data.

你不想在下午做手术。

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you don't want to have an operation in the he.

你绝对不想。

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you absolutely do not.

我的家人中,没有人被允许在下午进行医疗程序。

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nobody in my family is permitted I mean if you get hit by a bus and there's no other choice yeah but a discretionary there is nobody in my family who is permitted to have a medical procedure in the afternoon.

我不是在开玩笑。

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I'm not I'm not joking around.

高效休息的秘诀

丹,高效休息的关键是什么?

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Dad what's the key to good breaks.

休息的概念性关键,这很重要,是把休息看作你工作的一部分,而不是偏离工作。

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the the conceptual key to breaks and this is important um is um thinking of breaks as part of your work rather than a deviation from your work.

第一,有总比没有好,所以即使是短暂的休息也比完全不休息好。

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number one something is better than nothing so even a short break is better than no break at all.

第二,社交比独处好,所以与他人一起休息比独自休息更能恢复精力。

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second uh social is better than solo so that breaks with other people are more restorative than breaks on your own.

即使对于内向者也是如此,我们知道这并不奇怪。

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even with uh even for introverts we know not a surprise.

移动比静止好,所以在这里坐着发呆的休息,不如出去散步。

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moving is better than stationary so a break my having a break here sitting staring at the space not as good as just going out and for a walk.

非常有趣的是,我认为在世界各地,户外比室内好。

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very interesting for um I I think around the world is outside is better than inside.

对我来说,这是科学中被低估的见解之一。

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and this to me is one of those insights in science that is underappreciated.

在户外的优势,身在户外的优势,我指的不是在国家公园。

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the advantage of being outside the advantage of being and I don't mean in National Park.

我的意思是,你和我在华盛顿特区交谈,在华盛顿特区外面散步,看看树木。

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I mean you and I are talking here in Washington DC taking a walk outside in Washington DC and seeing the trees.

最后,休息的重要性在于完全脱离工作。

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um and then finally uh the The Importance of breakes Being fully detached.

这意味着在办公桌前休息并盯着屏幕是件好事吗?

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does it mean that taking a break into your desk and looking at at the screen is a good thing.

这可能不是一件好事,因为它违反了户外、运动和社交的原则。

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it's probably not a good thing because it violates the outside and the Mo motion uh and the social side of it.

所以,那可能是一种糟糕的、次优的休息方式。

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so uh it's probably that's probably a bad that's that's a suboptimal kind of break.

是的,最佳的休息方式是在下午,出去散步15到20分钟,与你喜欢的人一起,不带手机,谈论工作以外的事情。

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yeah the optimal kind of break is in the afternoon go out for a walk 15 20 minutes with someone you like leaving your phone behind talking about something other than work.

那是一种很好的休息。

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that's a good break.

小憩的科学与价值

小憩。

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naps naps.

这是科学改变我立场的一个案例,我的政治立场。

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I've I this is this is one of those cases where the science changed my position my political position.

我过去在政治上反对小憩,因为我认为那是懒惰的标志。

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I was politically opposed to naps because I thought they were a sign of laziness.

如果我小憩,我总是感觉很糟糕,我很少小憩。

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uh and I always felt terrible if I ever to I didn't take naps very often.

如果我小憩,我总是感觉很糟糕,醒来时非常昏沉,有点羞愧。

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if I took a nap I always felt terrible I would wake up really groggy sort of ashamed of myself.

研究表明,我遇到的问题是,每次我休息时,我的老板都会进来,认为我很糟糕。

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um what what it shows is that problem I had was that every time I took a break my boss came in and thought I was so bad.

但现在,我之所以想谈论它,是为了让每个人都明白,我这样做是有原因的,一个很好的原因。

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but now this and the reason why I want to talk about it now is so that everybody understands that I'm taking that I'm taking it up for a reason a good reason.

这是一个标志,如果你走进尼古拉的办公室,他正在休息,那只是另一个标志,表明他是一个表现极其出色的人。

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it's a sign it's a you're if you walk into nikolai's office and he's taking a break it's just another marker that he's an extremely high perform.

你应该这样解读。

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that's how you should interpret that.

谢谢。

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thank you.

📌 文中提及的人物和组织

关键字: break performance regret thinking timing