尤瓦尔·赫拉利谈故事、AI与人类未来 The Ezra Klein Show 2026-05-26

合作与权力之争

主持人: 我想,如果你阅读一下尤瓦尔·赫拉利那些畅销书,比如**《人类简史》《未来简史》,你会发现他只有一个主要话题,那就是合作**。合作以及大规模、跨时间进行合作的能力,是人类进步的根本动力。合作是我们从一个在战斗中完全打不过熊或狮子的生物,变成现在能够创造和驾驭我们所拥有的社会的方式。我认为,赫拉利的作品现在面临一些有趣的挑战,因为我们正生活在特朗普主义和右翼民粹主义的时代。这些运动传递的信息之一是,对合作、对积极关系的强调是一种谎言。人类社会并非由合作这些“软性问题”所驱动,而是由权力、等级制度、支配欲所驱动,关乎在与他人的交易中获胜,在冲突和贸易中领先。他们认为,所有这些自由主义的“美好”都是谎言,人类的真正动力是权力,忘记这一点就是忘记了我们进步的引擎。所以,我一直想和赫拉利谈谈这个。我觉得把他带入一场有趣的讨论会很有意义。他有一本为孩子们写的新书,名为**《不可阻挡的我们 第三卷》,它也讲述了合作以及敌人如何变成朋友。但这次对话的范围远不止于此。它关乎自由主义**,关乎以色列(赫拉利是以色列人),关乎人工智能(AI),以及它将如何影响我们,如何影响作为我们彼此协作或无法协作方式的语言。正如我们在播客中常说的,这是一场内容广泛的对话,也因此更加精彩。

Original English

Host: I think if you look across his mega bestselling books like Sapiens and Homodus, you've all know Harrari really has one major topic. That topic is cooperation. Cooperation and the ability to cooperate across scale across time as being the fundamental engine of human progress. cooperation as the way we go from being this creature that absolutely cannot beat a bear or a lion in a fight to being able to create and command the societies we have now. I think right now there's something interestingly challenging about Harari's work because we live in this moment of Trumpism of right-wing populism. And one of the messages of those movements is that this emphasis on cooperation, on positive some relationships is a lie. That humanity that society is driven not so much by these like soft questions of cooperation as by power, hierarchy, dominance, about winning the transaction with the other, about coming out ahead in the conflict, in the trade. that all of these like nicities of liberalism, they were a lie and that really humanity runs on power and that to forget that is to forget the engine of our progress. So, I've been wanting to talk to Harari about this. I think there's an interesting debate to put him in conversation with. He's in a new book for kids called Unstoppable Us Volume 3. It is also about cooperation and how enemies turn into friends. But this conversation is bigger than that. it. It's about liberalism. It's about Israel. Harrari is Israeli. It's about AI and what it's going to do to us and what it's going to do to language as the way we work with and fail to work with each other. It is, as we say in the podcast, biz a wide-ranging conversation and all the better for it. As always, my email times.com. You all know Harrari. Welcome to the show.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 谢谢,很高兴来到这里。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Thank you. It's good to be here.

主持人: 我想从一段唐纳德·特朗普的副幕僚长史蒂芬·米勒的片段开始,我最近读您的一些作品时一直在思考这段内容。我在这里播放一下。

Original English

Host: I wanted to begin with a clip of Steven Miller, uh, Donald Trump's deputy chief of staff, that I began thinking about as I was reading some of your recent work. I'm going to play it here.

史蒂芬·米勒: 你可以尽情谈论国际礼仪和一切,但杰克,我们生活在一个真实世界里,这个世界由实力武力权力主宰。这些是自古以来世界的铁律。

Original English

Steven Miller: You can talk all you want about international nicities and everything else, but we live in a world in the real world, Jake, that is governed by strength, that is governed by force, that is governed by power. These are the iron laws of the world are saying since the beginning of time.

主持人: 听到这些,您有什么想法?

Original English

Host: What do you think when you hear that?

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 那是,嗯,整个哲学和灵性史都在与这种观点争论,即唯一的现实是权力,唯一的现实是武力。而从历史学家的角度来看,这显然不是事实。如果人类唯一的现实是蛮力,我们现在仍然会生活在非洲大草原上小小的狩猎采集部落里。因为整个人类历史,都是关于如何让更多人合作互相信任的。你不可能只靠蛮力做到这一点。我想在这里花点时间讨论一下这种张力:一种观点认为合作是人类历史的驱动力,另一种观点认为权力是人类历史的驱动力。因为我想,如果我试图以最善意的方式理解特朗普政府和一些其他类似政治人物的观点,他们会说,合作的条件一直是共享的民族和宗教故事。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: That the whole of of uh the history of philosophy and spirituality is uh an argument with exactly that point of view that the only reality is power, the only reality is force. And from the viewpoint of a historian, it's clear that this is not the case. If the only human reality was brute force, we would still be living in tiny hunter gatherer bands in the African savannah. Because the whole of human history is about how do you get more people to cooperate and to trust each other and you cannot do that only with brute force. I I want to spend some time here on this tension between visions of cooperation as a driving force in human history and visions of power as a driving force in human history because I think if I'm trying to steal man the vision that emerges out of the Trump administration and some other uh political figures like them right now, they would say that the conditions for cooperation have been a mixture of shared national and religious stories. Mhm.

主持人: 嗯,还有等级制度权力支配征服。他们试图重建的,正是那些曾使伟大国家变得伟大的条件。我认为这吸引了人们。

Original English

Host: Mhm. and hierarchy, power, domination and and subjugation. And that what they are trying to recreate are these conditions that have held that have allowed, you know, the great countries to become great. And I think it's appealing to people.

主持人: 但是,您作品的另一个维度是关于共享故事,以及故事作为允许人类大规模合作的操作系统。对吧?我想,像唐纳德·特朗普这样的人,或者在以色列,像民族主义哲学家约尔·哈佐尼,他们认为我们需要这些强烈的民族故事、民族团结、宗教团结的故事。

Original English

Host: But but the other dimension is your work is so much about shared story and story as the operating system that permits human cooperation at large scale. Right. And I think something that you know people like Donald Trump or or in you know uh Israel Yor Hazone the uh nationalist kind of philosopher argue is that we need these intense stories of nations of ethnic solidarity of religious solidarity.

主持人: 而自由主义以及所有这些美好的、畏惧人权的意识形态的出现,已经开始侵蚀它们。因此,它们正在侵蚀合作的条件。我很好奇,作为一个身处这些辩论中的人,您是如何看待这一点的?

Original English

Host: and liberalism and all these nice human rights fearing uh ideologies that emerged have begun to corrode them. And so they're corroding the very conditions for cooperation. And and I'm curious as somebody who's been in the in these debates how you think about that.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 那是一个不同的论点。我的意思是,这个论点承认并非所有事物都仅仅基于武力蛮力民族主义无疑是人类有史以来最成功,也是最积极的故事之一。对我来说,民族主义并非关于仇恨其他群体。民族主义的核心是爱护和关心大量你个人不认识的陌生人,但你仍然愿意为他们做出很多牺牲。民族不是家庭。民族甚至不是一个小部落。在一个小部落里,你认识每一个人,它建立在个人关系之上。而民族最引人注目的一点是,你不认识你国家里99.99%的其他人。这不仅适用于像中国或印度这样的大国,也适用于以色列。大约有一千万以色列人,我大部分都不认识。然而,民族主义让人们足够关心这些陌生人,以至于你会纳税,让国家中的其他人获得良好的医疗保健和教育,最终在某些情况下甚至会为他们冒生命危险。当然,有时民族主义会转向仇恨他人。但这并非民族主义的本质特征。民族主义可以在不仇恨外人的情况下存在。但它不能在不爱内部人的情况下存在。而今天许多自称是民族主义拥护者的人,他们把重点放在仇恨上,在许多情况下,他们甚至在民族内部制造仇恨。他们让民族自相残杀。他们认为,如果他们仇恨外人,他们就是伟大的爱国者。你知道,再次以以色列为例,我认为在以色列历史上,没有人比内塔尼亚胡更让民族自相残杀。从这个意义上说,他一直是以色列民族主义最糟糕的敌人。是的,他仇恨外人。好吧,但这并不是关键的检验标准。那么问题是,不同的国家将如何处理彼此的关系。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: That's a different argument. I mean, it's an argument that recognizes that not everything is based is based just on force and brute power. Definitely nationalism has been one of the most successful and also one of the most positive stories that humans have ever come up with. Uh for me, nationalism is not about hating other groups. Nationalism at its core is about loving and caring about a a a large number of strangers that you do not know personally, but you are nevertheless willing to make a lot of sacrifices for them. The nation is not a family. The nation is not even a small tribe. In a small tribe, you know everybody. It's based on personal relationships with nations. One of the most striking things about them is that you don't know 99.99% of the other people in your nation. And this is true not only of big nations like China or India. This is also true of Israel. There are like about 10 million Israelis. I don't know most of them. And nevertheless, nationalism makes people care about these strangers enough so that for instance, you pay taxes so that other people in your nation will get good healthcare and education and ultimately and in in some circumstances even risk your life for them. Sometimes of course nationalism veers into hatred of others. But this is not an essential feature of nationalism. Nationalism can exist without hating outsiders. It cannot exist without love for insiders. And many of the people today who present themselves as as the champions of nationalism, they put the emphasis on hatred and in many cases they even create hatreds within the nation. They divide the nation against itself. They think they are great patriots if they uh uh if they hate outsiders. And you know again looking at at Israel as an example, nobody I think in the history of Israel divided the nation against itself more than Netanyahu. And in this sense he has been the worst enemy of Israeli nationalism. Yes, he hates outsiders. Okay, but this is not the key test. And then the question is how would different nation conduct their relationships.

权力等级与国际秩序

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 它始于安全和外交政策问题。你知道,特朗普主义的愿景,也就是关于武力等级制度的一切,它基本上说,组织国际体系的方式是:如果弱者总是服从强者的要求,那么我们就会有秩序,甚至会有和平。所以,如果美国要求格陵兰岛,丹麦就必须认清现实,把格陵兰岛交给美国。如果丹麦拒绝,结果导致暴力、战争、冲突,那么这就是丹麦的错,因为他们拒绝认清现实,拒绝把强者要求的东西给他们。这就是他们的逻辑,他们就是这样看待世界的。现在,抛开道德问题不谈,你仍然面临一个大问题。这个大问题首先是,所有国家都会被迫变强,因为在这种世界里,弱国无法生存。然后,所有国家都不得不投入越来越多的资源到军事上。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: It starts with issues of security and foreign policy. You know the the Trumpad vision which uh is all about force and hierarchy. It basically says the way to organize the international system is if the weak always surrender to the demands of the strong and then we have order and then we have even peace. So if the United States demands Greenland, Denmark must recognize reality and give Greenland to the United States. If Denmark refuses and as a result there is violence, there is a war, there is conflict, this is the fault of Denmark for refusing to recognize the reality and giving the strong what they demand. This is their logic. This is how they see the world. Now the problem leaving aside the issue of morality, still you have a big problem. The big problem is first of all that all nations are then driven to become strong because you cannot survive as a weak nation in such a world and then all nations are forced to uh uh invest more and more of their resources in their military.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 在历史的大部分时间里,每个王国、帝国、共和国、城邦的大部分预算都投入或浪费在士兵、堡垒、战舰等事物上,没有人感到安全。近几十年来国际体系的奇迹之一,这与写和平主义诗歌无关,而是关乎政府预算。如果你看看预算,你会发现21世纪初期,政府预算平均有6%到7%用于国防军事,而有10%用于医疗保健。这是历史上人类第一次在医疗保健上的支出超过国防。而且他们比历史上任何时候都感到更安全,因为存在这种武力入侵和征服他国的禁忌。现在,如果我们打破这个禁忌,那将迫使所有人武装到牙齿,牺牲医疗、教育、福利等等。结果是,没有人会感到更安全,因为国家和领导人总是会误判。在越南战争中,美国人认为他们更强大。结果证明他们错了。普京坚信他会在48小时内击垮乌克兰。他错了。所以,这种将世界和平与秩序建立在强弱等级制度上的愿景,即弱者总是服从强者,从而换取和平。这种做法已经尝试了数千年,我们知道它会导致什么。它一方面导致帝国,另一方面导致无休止的战争。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: For most of history, a lot of the budget of every kingdom, empire, republic, city state was was uh huh invested or wasted on soldiers and fortresses and and warships and things like that and nobody felt safe. One of the miracles of the international systems of recent decades and this is not something it's not about you know writing a a a pacifistic poetry it's about government budgets. You look at the budgets, you see that in on average in the early 21st century on average about 6 to 7% of the government budget went for defense for the military compared to 10% on average that went to healthcare. It's the first time in history that humanity spent more on healthcare than on defense and they felt more secure than in any previous time in history because there was this taboo on invading and conquering other countries by force. Now if we now break this taboo, it will force everybody to arm themselves to the teeth at the expense of healthcare, education, welfare and so forth. And nobody will will feel safer as a result because countries and leaders constantly miscalculate. In the Vietnam War, the Americans thought they were stronger. It turned out they were wrong. Putin was convinced he will crush Ukraine in 48 hours. He was wrong. So this vision of let's base the the the peace and order of the world on a hierarchy of strong and weak with the weak always obeying the the strong and thereby buying peace. It's been tried thousands of thousands of years and we know where it leads. It leads on the one hand to empire and on the other hand to endless wars.

主持人: 我想,我们现在比我一生中的任何时候都更接近这条道路。您曾将全球自由秩序称为人类最令人惊叹的政治成就,或许也是道德成就。

Original English

Host: So we are more on that road again than I think we've been in my lifetime. I you you've talked about the global liberal order as one of the I think you called it the most amazing political and maybe moral achievement of humankind.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yeah.

主持人: 而今天,人们可能不再这么认为了。它已经被预算的语言和官僚的现实所吞噬。作为一种国际力量,自由主义曾经讲述了什么故事,您认为它后来发生了什么?

Original English

Host: And today I don't think it feels that way to people. It it has been consumed in the language of budgets in the reality of bureaucracy. What was the story liberalism as a international force once told and what do you think happened to it?

自由主义的兴衰

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 基本的故事是关于共同经验共同利益合作的。在20世纪,基本上有三个大故事。你有法西斯主义的故事,它说历史是国家或种族之间的竞争和冲突。它由实力决定。最终,最强大的国家或最强大的种族将击败所有其他国家和种族,征服世界。这是法西斯主义的故事。然后是共产主义的故事,它说,是的,但这不是种族或国家之间的冲突。而是阶级之间的冲突。不同阶级之间存在不可避免的冲突,这将是暴力的,并以建立无产阶级专政的工人阶级胜利而告终。然后自由主义出现,说不,历史根本不必是关于冲突的。不是国家之间的冲突,也不是阶级之间的冲突。它可以是关于合作的。为什么?因为所有人类,无论他们属于哪个种族、国家或阶级,本质上都是一样的。我们在外貌、语言、宗教等方面有一些微小的差异,但本质上我们是同一个物种。我们都有相同的生物需求。我们都有大致相同的心理需求,至少是深层的需求,比如被爱,被认可等等。我们有共同的利益。如果我们认识到这些共同的特征和利益,在很多情况下,合作比竞争和战斗更有意义。通过合作,我们可以建立一个对每个人都更好的世界。这就是基本的自由主义故事。而到了2026年,我们可以回过头来说它正在失败。它还没有完全失败,但根据许多衡量标准,我们仍然生活在历史上可能最好的时期。嗯,它正在崩溃,但你知道,它就像一座令人惊叹的房子,全人类都住在这里,系统仍在某种程度上运行,比如水和污水。现在没有人再关心它们了,但它们建造得如此坚固,以至于即使我们不维护它们,它们仍然能正常运转。但在一两年、五年、十年内,你知道,如果你住在一所无人维护的房子里,它最终会倒塌,到那时就太晚了。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: The basic story is about shared experiences and interests and cooperation. In the 20th century, you had basically three big stories. You had the fascist story which said that history is a a competition, a conflict between nations or races. It's decided by strength. ultimately the strongest nation or the strongest race will defeat all the others and conquer the world. This was the fascist story. Then you had the communist story which says yes but it's not between races or nations. It's between classes. There is a an inevitable conflict between different classes that will be violent and end with the victory of the working class which will establish the dictatorship of the proletariat. Then liberalism came and said no history does not have to be about conflict at all. Not conflict between nations and not conflict between classes. It can be about cooperation. Why? Because all humans no matter to which race or nation or class they belong. They are essentially the same. There are some small differences in how we look and in our languages and religions and so forth, but essentially we are the same specy. We all have the same biological needs. We all have roughly the same psychological needs, at least the deep ones, to be loved, to be uh uh recognized and so and so forth. We have shared interests. And if we recognize these shared characteristics and interests, in many cases, it just makes more sense to cooperate than to compete and to fight. And by cooperating, we can build a world which will be better for everybody. This was the basic liberal story and as of 2026 we can look back and say it's it's failing. It hasn't failed completely but according to many measures we are still living in probably the best time in history. Uh it's it's uh uh it's collapsing, but it's you know like it's it's this kind of amazing house in which all of humanity is living and the systems are still sort of running like the water, the sewage. Uh nobody takes care of them anymore, but they were built in such a robust way that even though we don't maintain them, they still function. But within a year, five years, 10 years, you know, if you live in a house and nobody maintains it, eventually it collapses and then it's too late.

主持人: 您刚才说的一点很有趣,那就是20世纪的两种主要竞争意识形态,它们都相信冲突的终结。它不仅仅是冲突,而是相信在某个时候会取得胜利。

Original English

Host: Something you were saying in there was interesting to me, which is that the the sort of two major competitor ideologies of the 20th century, what they both believed in was an end to conflict. It wasn't just conflict. It was that at some point there would be victory.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yes.

主持人: 而自由主义,从某种意义上说,它相信合作,而从另一种意义上说,我认为我们现在谈论得不多,但我发现它很有趣,它的核心原则之一是,冲突总是会存在的,分歧总是会存在的。

Original English

Host: and and liberalism in one guys believes in cooperation and in another guys that I think we don't talk about as much anymore but I find interesting one of its central tenants is there will always be conflict there will always be disagreement.

主持人: 社会中的差异是不可解决的,也不应该被解决到一个终极状态,问题是我们如何在这些差异中,在一个国家内部甚至作为一个全球社区,共同生活,为它的存在创造空间,而不让它演变成战争、压迫或迫害。

Original English

Host: that the differences in society are not resolvable and would not should not even be resolvable to an end state and that the question is how we live together both inside a nation And even as a global community amidst that difference, making room for it to exist without it turning into war, into oppression, into persecution.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的,这是一个非常非常重要的观点。自由主义不相信救赎。你看看基督教伊斯兰教犹太教等宗教的宏大历史愿景。你看看法西斯主义共产主义等世俗意识形态。它们都相信救赎。它们都相信历史最终会达到一个完美的终点。自由主义不相信这一点,认为没有救赎,至少在地球上没有。总会有问题、紧张和冲突,问题是我们如何与它们共存。这就是为什么自由主义也投入大量精力来构建我认为在每个大型人类系统中最重要的东西,那就是自我纠正机制

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yeah, that's that's a very very important point. Liberalism does not believe in redemption. uh you look at at the grand historical visions of of religions like Christianity or Islam or Judaism. You look at ideology, secular ideologies like fascism and communism. They all believe in redemption. They all believe that eventually history will reach a final destination where everything will be perfect. Liberalism does not believe it that there is no redemption at least not on earth. uh there will always be problems and and and tensions and conflicts and the question is how do we live with them and this is why also liberalism invests a lot in building what I think is the most important thing in every large scale human system which is a self-correcting mechanism.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 如果你相信你的世界观是上帝赐予你的,因此不可能包含任何错误,你就不需要自我纠正机制,因为没有错误。自由主义从人类只是尽力而为的假设开始,并且会犯错误。所以我们需要强大的自我纠正机制。最著名的机制当然是选举,每四年或五年,或者不管多久,人们都可以说:“嘿,我们上次犯了个错误。这次我们换个别的试试。”所有这些非常复杂的制衡系统独立法院新闻自由,所有这些都只是一种复杂的方式,以确保一个国家拥有强大的自我纠正机制

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: If you believe that your view of the world was given to you by by God, so it cannot contain any error, you do not need a self-correcting mechanism because there are no mistakes. Liberalism starts with the assumption that it's just human beings trying to do the the best we can and there will be mistakes, there will be errors. So we need strong self-correcting mechanisms. The most famous mechanism is of course elections that every four years or five years or whatever the people can say, "Hey, we made a mistake last time. Let's try something else this time." And all these very complicated systems of checks and balances and independent courts and freedom of of press and all these are just a a a complicated way to ensure that a country has a robust self-correcting mechanism.

故事、真相与虚构

主持人: 所以你认为虚构通常比真相更有利于合作。

Original English

Host: So you make an argument that fiction is often better for cooperation than truth.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yes.

主持人: 为什么?

Original English

Host: Why?

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 嗯,首先,了解真相是昂贵的。要产生真相,要讲述一个真实的故事,你需要投入大量的时间和精力去调查。而虚构非常廉价,虚构可以尽可能简单。人们喜欢简单的故事,比如那些简化的叙事,善恶分明。我们百分之百是好的,我们历史上从未做过任何坏事。他们百分之百是邪恶的,他们历史上从未做过任何好事。非常简单,非常有吸引力。而且真相不仅复杂,真相往往是痛苦的。虚构可以尽可能地美化。再次,我们从未对任何人做过任何坏事。我们是完美的。我们是美好的。所以这就是为什么虚构作为故事往往更强大。而且当你试图激励人们采取行动时,你不想让他们有疑虑。你需要他们百分之百地投入。从这个角度来看,虚构更容易操作。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Um first of all the truth is costly to know the truth. To produce a truth to a true story you need to invest a lot of time and energy in investigating it. Um fiction is very cheap and fiction can be made as simple as you would like it to be. And people like simple stories like you know these simplified narratives good against evil. We are 100% good. We have never done anything bad in our history. They are 100% evil. They have never done anything good in their history. Very simple, very attractive. Um and the truth is not just complicated. The truth is often painful. Uh fiction can be made as flattering as you would like it to be. Again, we have never done anything bad to anybody. We are perfect. We are wonderful. Um, so this is why fiction tends to be far more powerful uh as a story. And also when you try to motivate people for action, you don't want them to have doubts. You need them to be fired up 100% committed. And fiction is is is easier to work with in in this respect.

主持人: 这是否意味着,如果社会、政治运动、机构变得过于追求真相,鉴于合作的重要性,它们会长期处于劣势?我的意思是,没有真相是个问题。

Original English

Host: Does that imply that if societies, political movements, institutions become too truth seeeking that given the importance of cooperation, they become at a long-term disadvantage? I mean to have no truth is a problem.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yes.

主持人: 但我认为这暗示了一点,那就是拥有过多的真相也可能是一个问题。

Original English

Host: But I think this implies a little bit that have too much truth can be a problem too.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的,你知道,对追求真相的绝对承诺是一种精神实践,但它是一个非常非常困难的政治纲领。再次强调,说谎和虚构之间是有区别的。当你明知某事不真实却仍然说出来或支持它时,你就在说谎。嗯,在许多情况下,我认为理想是认识到我们正在使用虚构来维持我们的社会。这就是我说,例如,美国与历史上许多其他强大国家之间的区别,如果你看看美国宪法,它以“我们人民”开头。我们人民聚集在一起,就这些文本、这些原则达成了一致,它来自于我们的思想,是我们的创造。当然,它没有使用“虚构”这个词,但当我说“虚构”时,我指的是非客观的东西。它不来自于物理定律。它不来自于上帝。是我们创造了它。美国宪法非常诚实地说,我们创造了这些原则,我认为它们是好的。但因为我们认识到是我们创造了它们,所以我们人民也在宪法中包含了修正机制。所以我们认识到我们只是人类。也许我们提出了一些次优的东西。也许事情以后会改变。所以我们有一个机制可以以后改变故事。例如,开国元勋们认为奴隶制是可以接受的。但如果将来有人认为它不可接受,他们就有一个修正机制。现在你把它与宗教相比,我们以**《圣经》《十诫》为例。《十诫》不是以“我们以色列人民”开头。它以“我是耶和华你的上帝”开头,因此它没有修正机制**。如果你仔细观察,你会发现**《十诫》认可奴隶制**。第十诫是“不可贪恋”。你不应该贪恋什么?它列出了你不应该贪恋的东西,比如你邻居的田地,你邻居的牛,还有你邻居的奴隶。它告诉人们,**《十诫》**说拥有奴隶是可以的。只是贪恋别人的奴隶是不对的。那样上帝会生气。而且根本没有机制可以改变这一点,因为它声称不是人类创造的,而是神圣的启示。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yes. a you know a kind of absolute commitment to the pursuit of truth is a spiritual practice but it's a very very difficult political program. Again there is a difference between lying and fiction. You lie when you know something is not true and you nevertheless say it or or or support it. Um in many cases I think the ideal is to recognize that we are using fictions to maintain our society. This is the difference I would say for instance between the United States uh and many other powerful countries in history that the if you look at the US constitution it starts with we the people we the people have come together and agreed on this texts on on this principles it is coming from our mind it is our creation now it doesn't use the word fiction of course but when I say fiction I mean something which is not objective. It doesn't come from the laws of physics. It doesn't come from God. I we invented it. And the US constitution very honestly says we invented these principles which I think are good. But because we recognize that we invented them, we the people then we also include in the constitution an amendment mechanism. So we recognize we are just human beings. Maybe we came up with something which is suboptimal. Maybe things will change later on. So we have a mechanism to change the story later on. And we the founding fathers for instance think that slavery is okay. But in the strange situation that maybe somebody in the future will think it's not okay, they have an amendment mechanism. Now you compare that to say religion and let's take an example the Bible or the ten commandments. The ten commandments it starts not with we the people of Israel. It starts with I am the lord your god and it has no amendment mechanism because of that. And if you look carefully you will see that the ten commandments endorse slavery. The 10th commandment uh uh not to covet. Thou shalt not coveret. What shouldn't you coveret? It have a list of things you shouldn't coveret like your neighbor's field and your neighbor's ox and also your neighbor's slaves. It tells people the ten commandments it's okay to have slaves. It's just not right to coveret the slaves of somebody else. Then God will be angry. And there is just no mechanism to change that because it pretends to be not a human creation but a divine revelation.

主持人: 我认为这里面存在一种有趣的张力。

Original English

Host: I think there's an interesting tension in there.

主持人: 嗯。你可能会批评自由主义,或者至少是它现在的状态,因为它擅长建立机制、机构、规则、官僚体系,但它在创造持久的故事方面却天生不足。

Original English

Host: Mhm. And you can make a critique of liberalism or at least where it is now that it is good at building mechanisms, institutions, rules, bureaucracies, and it is intrinsically bad at creating enduring stories.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 嗯。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Mhm.

主持人: 部分原因是,至少在它现代的形式中,它往往是相当世俗化的。宗教一直是合作的巨大来源,它将人们在当下凝聚在一起,然后为他们可能无法活到看到的未来而努力。

Original English

Host: That in part because at least in its modern form, it often is fairly secularized. Religion has been a tremendous source of cooperation, keeping people bound together both at a moment and then working towards a future that they may not even live to see.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 嗯。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Mhm.

主持人: 存在关于民族主义民族故事的问题,而自由主义作为一种自我纠正的意识形态,常常会随着时间的推移对其进行批判。然后,当你争论自己国家的过去以及它做对了什么和做错了什么时,你就会失去一些民族凝聚力。您是一个对故事进行深入思考的人。那么对您来说,这是一种先进世俗化自由民主的弱点吗?它们是否正在失去凝聚力,从而长期无法与那些可能无法建立官僚机构、可能无法有效治理但肯定能讲好故事的意识形态竞争?

Original English

Host: There's, you know, questions of nationalism and the national story, which liberalism is a as a self-correcting ideology often over time creates critique of. And then you you lose some of that national coherence as you're arguing about the past of your country and what it has done right and wrong. And and you are a person who thinks very deeply about stories. And so to you, is this a a a weakness of kind of advanced secularized liberal democracies? Are they losing the cohesion that keeps them in the long run competitive to ideologies that maybe can't build bureaucracies, maybe cannot govern effectively, but they sure as hell can tell a story.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的,这是自由主义的一个核心问题。另一方面,我不会落入那种陷阱,认为宗教是某种原始的凝聚力,能让人们团结在一起。我是一个中世纪史学家。我的研究领域最初是中世纪。就死于战争的人口百分比而言,欧洲历史上最糟糕的战争可能是三十年战争。那场战争非常复杂,但长话短说,是发生在中欧的新教徒和天主教徒之间。你知道,天主教徒和新教徒愿意互相残杀,只是因为他们对爱的宗教的解释存在微小差异。自由主义之所以兴起,部分原因在于人们对宗教感到沮丧,因为它不断制造越来越多的冲突和分裂。你知道,你看看今天的德国,几乎没有人关心谁将成为总理是新教徒还是天主教徒。从这个意义上说,自由主义是团结一个大规模多元化群体的更好基础,因为它更加灵活。再说一遍,它讲述了一个非常复杂的故事。最终没有救赎。它不基于某个魅力型领导人。它基于这些非常复杂的、非个人化的自我纠正机制、官僚机构和制度。所以从这个意义上说,它吸引力较小。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yeah, this is a a central problem of of liberalism. On the other hand, I would not kind of fall into the trap of uh um imagining religions as this uh uh um primeval cohesive force that keeps people together. I'm a medievalist. Like my original field of study was the Middle Ages. In in terms of percentage of population who died in the war, probably the worst war in European history was the 30 years war. Uh very complicated, but to make a long story short between Protestants and Catholics in in central Europe and you know Catholics and Protestants were willing to slaughter each other because of tiny differences in the way they interpreted the religion of love. And um liberalism rose in part out of the frustration that people had with religion because it constantly created more and more conflicts and and and divisions. And you know you look at Germany today nobody cares almost nobody cares if who is that the person running to be chancellor is a Protestant or a Catholic. And in this sense, liberalism is a better basis for uniting a largecale and diverse group of people just because it's it's it's more flexible. Again, it tells a very it's it's a complicated story. There is no redemption in the end. Uh it's based on not on some charismatic leader. It's based on these very complex impersonal self-correcting mechanisms and bureaucracies and institutions. So in this sense it's less appealing.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 现在我们正处于自由主义危机的时刻。其中一个原因是在过去几十年里,自由主义与它几代以来的亲密盟友——民族主义——失去了联系。你知道,在19世纪,自由主义民族主义是携手并进的。如果你看看今天世界上的一些地方,比如乌克兰,它们仍然携手并进。乌克兰人同时为民族生存和独立以及自由民主而战。两者之间没有矛盾。你知道,我想说,自1789年以来,没有人能在政治领域想出任何新东西。法国大革命提出了这种复杂的意识形态组合:自由平等博爱。人们往往会忘记第三个,博爱博爱就是民族共同体。你可以说,自1789年以来的整个政治史,都是在尝试这种三元组合的不同搭配。每一个试图完全抛弃其中一个的运动都失败了。法西斯主义试图抛弃自由平等,完全是关于博爱的。共产主义也强调平等,但牺牲了自由,并在某种程度上也牺牲了博爱。对自由主义近几十年来发生的事情的一种解释是,人们只是忘记了。自由主义关注平等自由,但倾向于忘记博爱,这被证明是站不住脚的。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Now we are living at the moment in in in a moment of crisis of liberalism. One of the reasons is that over the last few decades liberalism has kind of lost touch with something that was a close ally of it for many generations which is nationalism. You know, in the 19th century, liberalism and nationalism go hand in hand. And if you look at at least some places in the world today, like Ukraine, they still go hand in hand. The Ukrainians are fighting at one at the same time for their national survival and independence and for liberal democracy. There is no contradiction between the two. You know, I would say that since 1789, nobody managed to think about anything new in the political realm. The French Revolution came up with this kind of of of ideological package which was complex. Liberty, equality, fraternity. And people tend to forget the third one, fraternity. Fraternity is is the national community. And you can say that the whole of of political history since 1789 is experimenting with different combinations of this trio. And every movement that tried to completely abandon one of these three failed. Fascism tried to aband fascism was all about fraternity. No equality, no liberty. Communism was also emphasized one equality at the expense of liberty and to some extent fraternity. One of the explanations of what is happening to liberalism in recent decades is that people just forgot. Liberalism focused on uh equality and liberty but tended to forget fraternity and this proved to be untenable.

主持人: 哦,您能谈到这一点太有趣了。嗯,这很有趣。我一直在自己的播客和关于自由主义的工作中,围绕着一些相似的东西打转,那就是与自由主义相关的早期美德,它之前的是宽容

Original English

Host: Oh, it's so interesting to me that you've you've gone here. Um, it's funny. I've been circling something somewhat similar in my own podcast and work on liberalism, which is that the early virtue associated with liberalism, what comes before it is liberality.

主持人: 我会说,它非常接近博爱,这种相互尊重和对同胞慷慨的伦理。

Original English

Host: which is, I would say, very much a cousin of fraternity, this ethic of mutual respect and generosity towards your fellow citizens.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yes.

主持人: 而您在这个故事中添加的一点是,这必须基于某种民族故事。也就是说,在国际社会中维持凝聚力、维持这种友谊的纽带存在困难,一旦你不再相信彼此之间的联系。

Original English

Host: And one thing that that you're adding to that story is that that has to be based on itself some kind of national story. that there is a a difficulty in maintaining cohesion in international community, maintaining those bonds of of fellowship once you have stopped believing in the connection you have to each other.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 嗯。是的。我认为这里需要强调的是,我的意思是,自由主义之所以失去与博爱的联系,是因为它倾向于对博爱讲述一个非常负面的故事,主要将其视为与其他社区的冲突。认为博爱就是仇恨和与他国作战。如果我们记住,不,正如我们一开始所说,博爱的本质是关心和爱护特定人群。这并不需要仇恨外人。但它确实意味着你与特定人群有一种特殊关系,你们共享共同的历史、共同的文化、共同的语言。试图想象它不存在,只是忽略了历史。是的,我们对全人类负有某些承诺,但这并不排除对人类某个部分负有特殊承诺。就像你知道,你对家人负有某种忠诚,这超出了你对同胞或外国人的义务。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Mhm. Yeah. And I think that the important thing to emphasize here, I mean the reason that liberalism kind of lost touch with fraternity is that it tended to have a to some people told a very negative story about fraternity, seeing it primarily in terms of conflict with other communities that fraternity is about hating and fighting with other nations. And if we remember that no, as as we said in the beginning, the the the essence of fraternity is caring and loving a certain group of people. And this does not require hating outsiders. But it does mean that you have a special relationship with a certain group of people that you share a common history, a common culture, a common uh uh uh language. And trying to kind of imagine it away just ignores history. Yes, we have certain commitments to all of humanity, but this does not preclude having special commitments towards a segment of humanity. Just as you know, you have certain loyalty to your family which is over and above what you owe your fellow citizens or or foreigners.

故事、苦难与以色列

主持人: 我见过您提出这样的论点:我们讲述故事的限制性问题应该是——是否有人因为这个故事而受苦

Original English

Host: I've seen you make the argument that the limiting question on the stories we tell should be does anyone suffer because of this story?

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的。我认为道德最终是关于苦难,从苦难中解脱和幸福。国家会受苦吗?我们经常使用这种语言,但这只是一个比喻。如果一个国家输了一场战争,遭受了战争的失败,它并没有真正受苦。它没有大脑,没有神经系统,没有思想,它不能感受痛苦或快乐。只有个体人类才能受苦。但我认为,即使在这种叙述中,国家也是一个讲故事的机制,以保护其内部团结的群体。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yeah. I I think that morality is ultimately about suffering and liberation from suffering and happiness. Can the nation suffer? We often use this language, but it's just a metaphor. If if the if a country loses a war suffers a defeat in war, it doesn't really suffer. It has no brain, it has no nervous system, it has no mind, it cannot feel pain or pleasure. Only individual humans can suffer. But the nation I think even in this telling is a storytelling mechanism to protect the group that is bonded within it.

主持人: 举一个离您更近的例子,以色列犹太人巴勒斯坦人的故事并非他们没有受苦。要么是这种苦难是应得的,因为他们选择了谁来统治他们,或者说这是一种不幸的必要性。

Original English

Host: To to use one closer to to to to your home as an example, the story that Israeli Jews tell about the Palestinians is not that they are not suffering. It's either that the suffering is deserved because of who they elected and a kind of collective responsibility for that or who rules them or that that suffering is an unfortunate necessity.

主持人: 为了以色列的安全,那些否认这一点的人是天真的。

Original English

Host: for Israeli security and that the people who deny that are naive.

主持人: 但正是这种围绕苦难的碰撞,对吧?也许你的苦难对我来说是必要的安全、保障或繁荣。

Original English

Host: but it is this collision around suffering right that maybe your suffering is necessary for my security, safety or prosperity.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的。我的意思是,呃,显然世界上存在着困难的道德冲突,并非总是如此,但有时确实存在权衡。仅仅说所有道德最终都与苦难有关,并不能让所有的道德困境消失。但我在以色列最近的冲突中观察到的一件事是,很多以色列人根本无法承认巴勒斯坦人正在受苦。他们理性上知道,但在许多情况下,他们根本无法亲眼看到。如果你给他们看加沙饥饿儿童的照片,他们会说这是假新闻。或者他们会立即把讨论转移到别的事情上。这是因为哈马斯。或者如果你说“我不在乎,你能不能只是花几秒钟在那里,承认那里有一个正在受苦的人类?”即使你告诉他们以色列百分之百正确,加沙发生的一切百分之百都是哈马斯的错,以色列做的一切百分之百正确,既然如此正确,既然如此公正,那么你应该很容易就能观察到你完美正义的后果。看看这张照片。但很多人就是做不到。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yeah. I mean uh obviously there are difficult moral conflicts in the world not always but sometimes yes there are tradeoffs and it's just saying that all of morality is ultimately about suffering doesn't make all moral dilemmas disappear. But one of the things I observed in Israel in the recent conflict is that a lot of Israelis have a problem simply acknowledging that the Palestinians suffer. Intellectually they know it, but in many cases they simply cannot observe it. Like you show them images of a starving child in Gaza, they will say this is fake news. Or they will immediately divert the discussion to something else. This is because of Kamas or if you said I don't care just are you able for a few seconds just to be there and acknowledge that there is a suffering human being there it's extremely difficult to do it even if you tell them Israel is 100% correct 100% of the fault for what happens in Gaza is Kamas everything Israel does is 100% correct since it is so correct. Since this is so just, it should be easy for you to observe the consequences of your perfect justice here. Just look at this image. And and so many people just can't do it.

主持人: 您说现在以色列正在发生的事情,可能会摧毁或废除两千年犹太思想、文化和存在。这是最坏的情况。您说这话是什么意思?嗯。

Original English

Host: You said that what is happening right now in Israel could basically destroy or void 2,000 years of Jewish thinking and culture and existence. That that's the worst case scenario. What do you mean by that? Hm.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 从历史上看,这要追溯到我们谈话的开始,犹太教至少自第二圣殿被毁以来,就将自己置于与这种将世界仅仅视为由蛮力统治的观点相对立的立场。你知道,当韦斯帕先的罗马军团在公元70年摧毁耶路撒冷时,约汉南·本·扎卡伊韦斯帕先请求一个恩惠,授予他特拉维夫附近的一个小镇亚夫涅(Yav),他想在那里建立一个学习中心。韦斯帕先同意了。“好吧,你们犹太人,你们可以拥有你们的学习中心。”从那时起,两千年来犹太人亚夫涅,然后在开罗巴格达波兰布鲁克林,他们学习。这再次是犹太教的精髓。以前,它是一个庙宇、祭司和血腥仪式的宗教。然后它变成了一个学习的宗教。如果你试图思考在过去的两千年里,犹太人对人类最重要的信息可能是什么,我会说那是“特立独行是可以的”的信息。与大多数人不同地思考和行为是可以的。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: That historically, and this goes back to the beginning of our conversation, Judaism positioned itself since the destruction at least of the second temple in opposition to this view of the world as as governed only by brute force. You know, when the Roman legions of Vespasian destroy Jerusalem in 70 CE and you have Yohan and Benzakai asking Vespasian as a favor, grant me a small town called Yav near Tel Aviv of today where he wants to establish a center of learning. And Vespasian agrees. Okay, you Jews, you can have your certain your your center of learning. And since then, for 2,000 years, Jews in in Yav and then in Cairo, in Baghdad, in Poland, in Brooklyn, they study, they learn. This is again, this was the essence of Judaism. Previously, it was a religion of temples and priests and bloody rituals. And then it became a religion of learning. And if you try to think what was the maybe the most important message of Jews over the last 2,000 years to humanity, I would say that it was the message that it is okay to be different. It is okay to think and behave differently, let's say, than the majority.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 你有一个国家,我不知道,比如法国或德国。他们庆祝复活节圣诞节。他们相信耶稣等等。而你有一小部分犹太人说,我们可以有不同的想法。这没关系。我们可以有不同的行为。这就是作为犹太人的本质。而关于思想自由意味着什么,以及作为无权力的少数群体意味着什么,很多思考和实践都是由犹太思想家完成的。在两千年里,世界各地的犹太人都将学习视为最高的精神活动。两千年后,你问他们:“你们学到了什么?你们学习了两千年。你们学到了什么?”然后像内塔尼亚胡这样的人会告诉你:“哦,我们学到了你需要成为一个罗马人,你需要强大,你需要建立军团,你需要摧毁城市。这是唯一重要的事。这是生命中唯一重要的事。”你知道,这是一个合法的价值观体系。罗马有它的用处。但是,如果两千年后,犹太人简单地变成了罗马人,那有什么意义呢?你为什么要浪费两千年?那时你就可以直接成为罗马人。这只会完全抹杀整个犹太历史

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: You have, say, a country, I don't know, like France or Germany. They celebrate Easter and Christmas. They believe in Jesus and so forth. And you have this tiny minority of Jews who say we can think differently. It's okay. We can behave differently. And this was the essence of being Jewish. And a lot of the thinking and also the practice about what does it mean to have freedom of thought? What does it mean to be a powerless minority was done by Jewish thinkers. And for 2,000 years, Jews all over the world, they see studying and learning as the highest spiritual activity. And after 2,000 years, you ask them, "What have you learned? You have learned, you've studied for 2,000 years. What have you learned?" And then people like Netanyahu tell you, "Oh, we've learned that you need to be a Roman, that you need to be strong, that you need to build legions, that you need to destroy cities. This is the only thing. This is the only thing that matters in life. And you know, it's it's it's a legitimate I can say it's a legitimate value system. Rome has its its its uh uh uh um usefulness. But if after 2,000 years, the Jews simply become the Romans, what was the point? Why did you waste 2,000 years? Then you could have just become Roman back then. You could have joined the li it just makes it just nullifies the whole of Jewish history.

主持人: 然而,这是否是犹太复国主义早期愿景的一部分,即它将创造一个新的犹太人,而不是一个在少数民族中沉溺于书本的苍白知识分子,而是一个坚强、耕耘土地、能够发动战争并保护自己的人?

Original English

Host: Was that though part of the early vision of Zionism that it was going to create this new Jew who was not this palad intellectual in the minority his nose in a book but he's going to be strong and work the land and capable of making war and protecting himself.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的。这个想法是他们可以结合犹太教的教训和遗产,以及耕耘土地、建立军队和建设国家。也许,也许这只是一个错误,最终必须做出选择:你是想成为韦斯帕先并指挥一个军团,还是想成为约汉南·本·扎卡伊并学习和发展你的精神方面。两者不能并存。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yes. And the the idea was that they can combine the the the lessons, the legacy of Judaism with working the land and building an army and building a country. And maybe maybe it was just uh it was just wrong that ultimately a choice had to be made whether you want to be Vespasian and command a legion or whether you want to be Yohan Benzakai and and and and study and develop your spiritual side and the two cannot cannot go together.

主持人: 您现在是否认为这种矛盾是不可调和的?

Original English

Host: Is that what you believe now that that the the contradiction was inadicable?

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 我不知道。我的意思是,历史是一个非常复杂且出乎意料的过程。我不认为权力正义之间,或者发展权力与发展精神智慧之间存在内在矛盾。但我认为两者很难结合。权力的诱惑非常非常大,历史上很少有人或运动能够抵制它。所以这并不是一个太大的惊喜,但仍然令人失望。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: I'm I don't know. I mean history is a very complex and an unexpected process. I don't think that there is an inherent contradiction between uh uh power and justice or between developing your power and developing your spiritual wisdom. But I think it's very difficult to combine the two. the temptations of power are very very big and not a lot of people or a lot of movements throughout history have managed to resist it. Uh so it's not such a big surprise but it's still disappointing.

美国犹太人与以色列民族主义

主持人: 在美国,我看到了美国犹太人之间出现相当深刻的分裂。我认为其中一个原因如此痛苦,是因为它让犹太教的两种传统和思想相互对立。有一种陌生人的传统,以及犹太人民成为现代自由主义、人权法和多元主义发展以及许多政治理论和法律制定的主要贡献者之一的原因,这与犹太人的经验密切相关。犹太离散社群安全的唯一途径,就是在根本上是自由而非民族主义的社会中。

Original English

Host: This has been a a period in in America when I've watched a pretty deep schism for American Jews emerge. And I think one one reason it has been so painful is it has pitted two forms of the tradition and the the thinking of of Judaism against each other which is there's a tradition of the stranger and and and one reason Jewish people have been big contributors to the development of modern liberalism and human rights law and uh pluralism and and a lot of the political theory and and and law making there is it is very connected to the Jewish experience. That the only way for the Jewish diaspora to be safe would be to be in societies that fundamentally were liberal and were not.

主持人: 民族主义者

Original English

Host: ethnationalist.

主持人: 而在以色列以色列犹太人中有一种观点认为,为了这个社会的安全和保持其自身,它将不得不变得越来越民族主义。从某种意义上说,我认为现在并不总是承认,传统在某种程度上是自相矛盾的。曾经希望这些事物能够通过两国方案或其他方式共存。但随着两国方案越来越不可能,以及以色列出现更多民族主义的方向,我认为现在这种传统及其实现方式实际上处于直接冲突之中。嗯,是的,我认为这是一个非常准确的呈现方式。

Original English

Host: And in in Israel, there's a view that among Israeli Jews that for that society to be safe and to be itself, it will have to be increasingly ethnoist. And in a way, I think it's not always admitted right now that the tradition is somewhat set against itself. And there was a hope these things could coexist through a two-state solution or other things. But with that increasingly off the table and with a more ethnationalist direction in Israel, I think you now have this kind of tradition and its realizations actually in direct conflict with each other. H uh yeah, I think this is a very accurate way to to present it.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 当然,他们信奉的是**《圣经》犹太教**,这与两千年来在散居地发展起来的宗教非常不同。《圣经》犹太教是一种非常暴力、非常不自由、非常不宽容的宗教。在当时,它可能是世界上最不宽容的宗教之一,甚至是最不宽容的宗教。嗯,你仍然,你知道,在**《圣经》中,你有一条戒律,要杀死所有的迦南人**。嗯,你对所有其他人的宗教和宗教习俗和信仰都非常不宽容。古代世界有它自己的恐怖,但在宗教上,它是一个非常宽容的地方。多神教的宗教相信许多神,他们接受其他民族的宗教和神,并且在某种程度上也实践它们,没有任何问题。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: And of course, they adhere to the biblical Judaism, which was a very different religion than what developed over 2,000 years in the diaspora. Biblical Judaism was a very um violent, very illiberal, very intolerant religion. For its time, it was probably one of the least or maybe the most intolerant religion in the world. Um, you still, you know, in in the in the Bible, you have a commandment uh to kill all the Canaanites people. Um, you have an intolerance, a very deep intolerance towards the religions and and and religious practices and beliefs of all other people. The ancient world was it has it its own horrors but religiously it was a very tolerant place. Polytheistic religions which believed in many gods they had no problem accepting the religions the gods of other people and also practicing them to some extent.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 你知道,你看看罗马帝国。所以罗马人接受他们征服的数百个其他民族的神灵和宗教没有任何问题。他们没有试图消灭其他宗教。在许多情况下,他们采用了这些宗教。你知道,作为一个罗马人,你早上可以去朱庇特神庙,然后可以去埃及女神伊西斯神庙,你也很乐意听到来自中东的新神耶稣雅威。你是开放的。嗯,犹太教不是一个开放的宗教。这种情况在某种程度上发生了变化,当时犹太人发现自己是生活在其他宗教和传统统治下的一个微小少数群体,这迫使他们探索并采纳一种更开放和宽容的世界观。呃,但现在,这两千年的宽容犹太传统正在被彻底否定和摧毁。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: You know you look at say the Roman Empire. So the Romans had no problem accepting the the the gods and religions of hundreds of other peoples that that they conquered. They did not try to exterminate the other religions. In many cases they adopted them. And you know, as a Roman, you can go to Jupiter's temple in the morning, and then you can go to the Isis temple of the Egyptian goddess Isis, and you're also willing to hear about this new God, Jesus, Yahweh, coming from the Middle East. You're open. Um, Judaism was not an open religion. This changed to some extent when the Jews found themselves as a tiny minority living under the domination of of of other other religions, other traditions which kind of forced them to explore and adopt a more open and tolerant worldview. Uh but now these this 2,000 years of tolerant Jewish tradition is being completely denied and destroyed.

主持人: 这在某种程度上是对美国的一种批评,经常来自其他国家,认为如果我们的边界两边都是海洋,北方是加拿大,南方是墨西哥,我们在使用权力时也可以温和慷慨。但现在生活在这里的现实,也许从以色列犹太人的角度来看,我们生活的地方。

Original English

Host: This is in some ways a critique that has often been leveled at America from other countries that if our borders were an ocean on two sides and Canada to the north and and Mexico to the south, we could be gentle and generous in our use of power as well. But that the reality of living this now maybe in the Israeli Jewish perspective of living where we do.

主持人: 能够从北方的犹太人家中看到真主党的现实。

Original English

Host: the reality of being able to see you know Hezbollah from Jewish homes in the north.

主持人: 生活在一个遭受了10月7日创伤的国家,迫使我们与权力建立了一种可能不是我们想要的,但你知道,回到史蒂芬·米勒的说法,它是一种更诚实的理解,即在现实世界中获得安全所需的东西,而不是尤瓦尔·赫拉利埃兹拉·克莱恩所喜欢想象的世界,而是我们实际生活的世界。我相信您在不同时期与您的同胞进行过这样的对话。您对这种观点有何看法?

Original English

Host: The reality of living in a country uh that has suffered the trauma of October 7th has forced us into a relationship with power that is maybe not what we want. But you know to go back to the way Steven Miller put it is a more honest understanding of what is required to be secure in the real world not the the world that Yuval Noah Harari or Ezra Klein like to imagine but the world in which we actually live. I'm sure you've had this conversation with with your countrymen at different times. What do you what do you say to that view?

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 在某种程度上,这绝对是正确的。我的意思是,你确实需要在某种程度上依靠武力来确保你的安全,但这不能是唯一的东西。如果你认为武力是唯一能保障你安全的东西,最终你将不得不征服整个世界。任何潜在的威胁,你都必须征服它。而且你知道,以色列本身并不是那样运作的。10月7日之后发生的一件引人注目的事情是,以色列签署的所有和平协议都保持了有效。哈马斯曾希望在10月7日之后,所有阿拉伯国家会联合起来试图摧毁以色列,但这种情况根本没有发生。与埃及的和平协议仍然有效。与约旦的和平协议仍然有效。与海湾国家的和平协议仍然有效。呃,与巴勒斯坦权力机构的协议也仍然有效。它没有加入哈马斯

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: To some extent it's absolutely correct. I mean you do need to rely on force to some extent to uh ensure your security but it just cannot be the only thing. If you think force is the only thing that guarantees your security eventually you will have to conquer the entire world. Like anything that that is potentially a threat you will have to conquer it. And you know Israel itself doesn't work doesn't operate like that. One of the remarkable things that happened after October 7th is that you know all the peace agreements that Israel has signed held. Kamas hoped that after October 7th it will e close cause close all the Arab countries to unite and try to destroy Israel and it it just didn't happen. The peace agreement with Egypt held the peace agreement with Jordan held. the peace agreement with the Gulf States held. Uh also the agreements with the Palestinian Authority held. It did not join Hamas.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 并非和平协议,而是与以色列****巴勒斯坦公民的相对友好的关系也保持了。哈马斯曾希望他们都会起来反对以色列。不。在10月7日,绝大多数以色列巴勒斯坦公民仍然忠于国家。他们中的许多人前来服务。以色列的许多医生是阿拉伯人,是巴勒斯坦人,他们都去医院照顾伤员。嗯,哈马斯本身并没有背叛与以色列的任何协议,因为它从未与以色列签署过任何和平协议。所以当然你可以说,嗯,与埃及的和平协议之所以有效,是因为埃及害怕以色列的军事力量。但这只是一半的解释,因为以色列相对于哈马斯拥有压倒性的军事力量,但哈马斯仍然发动了袭击。所以,我并不是说以色列应该解散军队,但如果你拥有一支强大的军队和一份和平协议,那会比只有其中之一更好。是的,以色列生活在一个非常非常问题重重、困难重重的世界邻里中。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: The not not the peace agreement but the relatively cordial relationship with the Palestinian citizens of Israel held. Kamas hoped that they will all rise against Israel. No. On the 7th of October, Palestinian citizens of Isra of Israel, the overwhelming majority uh stayed loyal to the country. Many of them came to serve. Many of the doctors in Israel, our Arabs, our Palestinians, they all went to the hospital to take care of of the of the injured. Um not Kamas itself did not betray any agreement with Israel because it never signed any peace agreement with Israel. So of course you can say ah the peace agreement with Egypt held because Egypt was afraid of Israel's military force. But this is only half the explanation because Israel had overwhelming military force compared with Kamas and Kamas still attacked it. So, I'm not saying Israel should, you know, kind dismantle its army, but uh it's it's better if you have both a strong army and a peace agreement than only one. And yes, Israel is living in a very very problematic, difficult neighborhood in the world.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 呃,嗯,你知道,它是世界上少数几个在其存在的大部分时间里,其大多数邻国,如果不是全部,都简单地拒绝承认其存在权,并公开表示他们将摧毁它的国家之一。几乎没有其他类似的情况。所以自其成立以来,它一直处于非常困难的境地。但问题是,你需要权力。好的。你如何使用你的权力以色列是一个极其强大的国家。嗯,它可以以不同的方式使用其权力。例如,它可以尝试使用其权力来与巴勒斯坦人建立更好的关系。而且你知道,如果你看看以色列对待巴勒斯坦人的方式,不是在加沙,而是在约旦河西岸,这没有任何安全理由。他们没有在10月7日袭击以色列。而通过其行动,以色列正在降低与巴勒斯坦人达成和平协议的可能性,它可以使用其权力。你知道,它不能强迫巴勒斯坦人违背他们的意愿达成和平,但它可以采取许多行动,使这种情况更有可能、更容易发生。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: One of the things that uh um you know it's one of the only countries in the world that for most of its existence mo many of its neighbors if not most of its neighbors simply refused to acknowledge its right to exist and openly said that they are going to destroy it. There almost no other cases like that. So it it has been in a very difficult situation since the moment of its inception. But the question is you need power. Okay. What do you do with your power? Israel is an extremely powerful state. Um it can use its power in different ways. It can try to use its power for instance to establish better relationships with the Palestinians. And you know as as if you look for instance at the way that Israel is treating the Palestinians not in Gaza but in the West Bank there is no security justification for that. They did not attack Israel on the 7th of October. And by its actions Israel is making the the chances that there will be a peaceful agreement with with the Palestinians is decreasing and it can use its power. You know, it cannot force the Palestinians to make peace against their will, but it can take many actions that will make this more likely, easier.

主持人: 我认为您关于约旦河西岸的观点说得非常好。但我想问一些关于以色列故事的事情。

Original English

Host: I think your point there on the West Bank is very well taken. But but I want to um ask something about the Israeli story.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yeah.

主持人: 你在非对称冲突的历史中看到的一件事,在恐怖组织如何试图削弱更强大的对手的历史中看到的一件事是,他们知道他们赢不了战争。也许哈马斯,我不想假装了解辛瓦尔的想法。也许他们相信整个阿拉伯世界会发生起义,他们会拥有所有这些盟友。也许他希望如此。但我怀疑他也明白,如果这成功了,将会有压倒性的报复,夷平加沙。呃,这就是发生的事情。而且胜利,如果他能够取得胜利,不是在战场上击败以色列,而是摧毁保护以色列和世界其他地区的故事

Original English

Host: One thing that you see in the history of asymmetric conflict, in the history of of how terrorist groups try to weaken stronger uh opponents is that they know they can't win a war. Maybe Hamas, I don't pretend to know what was in Sinar's mind. Maybe they believed that there would be uh an uprising all through the Arab world and they would have all these allies. Maybe he hoped for that. But I suspect he also understood that if this worked, there would be an overwhelming reprisal that would level Gaza. Uh, which is what happened. And that the victory, if he was able to to to secure one, would not be defeating Israel on the battlefield, but destroying the story that protected Israel and the rest of the world.

主持人: 他会让世界其他地方更多地以他看待以色列的方式看待它。以色列在这场战争中,每次战斗都取得了战术上的胜利。但作为一个真正关心以色列的人,我看到正在发生的是它放弃了自己的故事,并且没有认识到世界正在以一种更黑暗的方式看待它,而这本身就是一种弱点,一种哈马斯试图实现的东西,你可以在一开始就看到它试图实现。

Original English

Host: that he would come to make the rest of the world see Israel more the way he saw it. Israel has won tactically every battle it has fought in this war. But as somebody who actually does care about Israel, what I see happening is an abandonment of its own story and uh an absence of recognition that the world is coming to see it in a much much darker way and that that is itself a source of weakness, a kind of a thing that um Hamas was trying to achieve which you could see it trying to achieve at the beginning.

主持人: 人们曾对此发出警告。

Original English

Host: which people warned about.

主持人: 如果你长期失去那个故事,你就失去了一些真实的东西。你看看以色列美国的民意调查,尤其是年轻人中的调查,对以色列作为一个公正国家的信念已经崩溃,我认为以色列人民对此大多不以为意,但我认为从长远来看,这很重要。是的,我认为以色列正在下大赌注,认为史蒂芬·米勒的世界观会盛行,世界将是一个武力至上的地方,而以色列将成为这种世界观的捍卫者之一。

Original English

Host: And if you lose that story in the long term, you've lost something real. You look at polling on on Israel and America, you look at it particularly among the young and the belief in Israel as a just nation has collapsed and I think people in Israel treat that largely as insignificant and I think in the long run it is significant. Yeah, I think Israel is making a big bet that Stefan Miller's worldview will prevail, that the world will be a place in which force is the only thing that matters and Israel will be the champion, one of the champions of of of this worldview.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 嗯,这是内塔尼亚胡政府正在下的赌注。现在你知道,关于辛瓦尔,也就是哈马斯所下的赌注,我们暂时抛开正义问题,只谈有效性。辛瓦尔曾有一个惊人的胜利触手可及,但他仅仅因为他的残忍而失去了它。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Um, and this is the bet that the Netanyahu government is making. Now you know with regard to the the bet that Sinoir made that Kamas made leave aside the question of justice for a moment just in terms of effectiveness. Sinoir had an amazing victory within his grasp and he lost it just because of his cruelty.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 10月7日发生了什么?哈马斯成功地对IDF取得了惊人的军事胜利,并羞辱了以色列IDF。他们只需要做一件小事,一件大事,一件不同的事,就能取得更大的政治和地缘政治胜利。而这件事就是:放过平民。想象一下另一个10月7日哈马斯做的事情完全一样,但不是杀害或绑架以色列平民,而是扣押他们,并带世界媒体去看看哈马斯是如何善待以色列俘虏的。他们给他们提供水、药品和食物。他们俘虏士兵,把他们当作战俘,这是合法的,但他们不伤害平民,这仅仅是唯一的区别。在这种情况下,以色列的双手将被束缚。不仅世界公众舆论,以色列公众舆论也不会允许以色列只是将加沙夷为平地,因为我们将看到哈马斯武装分子照顾以色列平民而不伤害他们的画面。在那个世界里,以色列加沙进行压倒性报复的合法性将微乎其微。而哈马斯将获胜。所以,不仅仅是战术胜利,而是一场重大的政治胜利。而这一切没有发生,仅仅是因为残忍。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: On the 7th of October what happened? Hamas managed to secure a stunning military victory over the IDF and to humiliate Israel and the IDF. And they needed to do just one t small things big thing different in order to to to achieve a a a much bigger political and geopolitical victory. And this one thing was just spare the civilians. Imagine an an a an an alternative 7th of October in which Kamas does exactly the same thing, but instead of killing or abducting the Israeli civilians, they hold them and bring the world press to see how well Kamas is treating the Israeli captives. They bring them water and medicine and food. They capture the soldiers and take them prisoners of war which is legitimate but they do not harm the civilians and that that's the only difference. In such a scenario Israel's hands would have been tied. not only world public opinion but also Israeli public opinion would not have allowed Israel to just you know bombard Gaza into rubble because we would have had these images of Kamas uh uh combatants taking care of Israeli civilians and not harming them. And in that world, there would have been very little legitimacy for Israel to have overwhelming reprisal against Gaza. And Kamas would have won. So not just a tactical victory, but a major political victory. And it didn't happen simply because of the cruelty.

主持人: 我们正在讨论的是一份关于10月7日的重大报告发布的一周,这份报告基于对大量照片、视频和受害者证词的分析,其中所包含的残忍和施虐行为令人真正感到恐惧。这是一份非常非常难以阅读的报告,几乎所有人都可以找到它,如果他们愿意的话。我在阅读时想到的是,因为当然,如果你和巴勒斯坦人以及去过加沙的人交谈,你知道,他们失去亲人的故事也同样令人难以承受。现在这些都存在着,并不断地为这两个故事火上浇油。我常常认为,想象能够调和人们利益的政治解决方案比想象能够调和现在驱动两个社会的故事更容易。

Original English

Host: And we are talking on the week when a major report came out about October 7th uh based on huge amount of analysis of photos and videos and um victim testimonies and the cruelty and the sadism in it is it's it's genuinely horrifying. It's a very very hard report to read almost any of people can find it if they want. And and the thing I was thinking reading it, because of course if you um talk to Palestinians and and and people have been in Gaza, you know, their stories of loss are are are overwhelming too to hear, is that these now exist and they keep feeding into these two stories. I I often think that it is easier to imagine political solutions that could reconcile people's interests than it is to imagine a reconciliation of the stories that now drive.

主持人: 两个社会。我很好奇,作为一个将故事视为合作冲突空间的人,您是如何看待这一点的。我可以想象,所谓的解决方案在纸面上是存在的。我无法想象的是,这些过程如何在现在建立在恐惧、愤怒和复仇故事之上的社会中生根发芽。

Original English

Host: both societies. And I'm curious as somebody who thinks about stories as a as a space of both cooperation and conflict, how you think about that. I I can imagine, you know, quote unquote solutions that exist on paper. What I cannot imagine is those processes taking hold in societies that now run upon the stories of fear and anger and vengeance.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 嗯。嗯,我想说一些关于愤怒和恐惧的事情,以及一些关于痛苦的事情。愤怒和恐惧的故事需要被喂养。愤怒就像一场吞噬你的火焰,但它需要不断地被喂养。如果它得不到喂养,它最终就会熄灭。你看看历史,你会看到冲突,可怕的冲突,你会说人们永远不会忘记,他们永远不会原谅。然后在几十年内,如果条件改变,他们就会。你看看犹太人和德国人。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Mhm. Well, I I want to say something about about anger and fear and something about pain. The angry and and fearful stories, they need to be fed. Anger is like a fire that consumes you, but it constantly needs to be fed. And if it is not fed, it ultimately dies down. And you look at history and and you see conflict, horrendous conflicts, and you say people will never forget what they will never forgive. And then within a few decades, if conditions change, they do. You look at at Jews and Germans.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 你知道,这只用了几十年。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: you know, it took just a couple of decades.

主持人: 我有朋友,犹太朋友,重新获得了德国国籍

Original English

Host: I have friends reclaiming Jewish friends reclaiming German citizenship.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yeah.

主持人: 这真是令人震惊的事情。

Original English

Host: Which is shocking thing to see.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 很美。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Beautiful.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的。而且你知道,关系真的很好。它们不仅仅是虚假的。它们不仅仅基于某种物质利益。关系真的很好,而且甚至还不到100年。嗯,所以我之前举的德国天主教徒和新教徒的例子,他们在互相残杀那么久之后,也和解了。现在,在许多情况下,愤怒会建立起系统,然后这些系统又会不断地滋养愤怒,然后它似乎真的永远不会结束。但如果你停止喂养它,它最终会熄灭。呃,我认为所有形式的暴力都是如此,这又回到了我们讨论的开始。和平还是战争,暴力还是平静,哪个更根本?一方面,暴力似乎更根本,因为你知道,如果你有安静,如果你有和平,只要有一个人开始叫喊,和平就会被打破。如果你有100个人在合作,而有一个人开始打架,你就会有暴力。所以存在有利于暴力的不平衡,从这个意义上说,它似乎更真实、更根本。但从某种意义上说,和平更根本,因为暴力总是需要食物、投资、武器、燃料、士兵的食物。如果你停止喂养它,它最终就会熄灭,和平总是存在的可能性。所以,我不会绝望。无论现在人们头脑中充满了什么样的故事,最终和解与和平的可能性总是存在的。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yeah. And you know, and the relations are really good. They are not just you know makebelieve. They are not just based on some kind of material benefit. The relations are really good and it's not it's not even 100 years. Um so the example I gave before of Catholics and Protestants in Germany after slaughtering each other for so long it was they reconciled. Now in many cases anger builds systems that then feed the anger more and more and then it seems really to never end. But if you stop feeding it eventually it dies down. Uh this is true of all I think all forms of violence and it goes back to the beginning of our discussion. What is more fundamental peace or war violence or calmness? And on the one hand, violence seems more fundamental because you know you can have if you have quiet, if you have peace, it's enough if one person starts shouting and the peace is shattered. If you have a 100 people cooperating and one person starts fighting, you have violence. So there is an imbalance in favor of violence and it seems to in this sense to be more real, more fundamental. But there is a sense in which peace is more fundamental because violence always requires food, investment, weapons, fuel, food for the soldiers. If you stop feeding it, eventually it dies down and peace always remains a possibility. So I would not despair. No matter what are the stories that kind of fill people's mind right now, the possibility of eventual reconciliation and and peace is is always there.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 我还有一些关于痛苦的话要说,但如果您想……

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: And I have something to say also about pain, but if you want to.

主持人: 不,我很想听听您对痛苦的看法。

Original English

Host: No, I I'd like to hear what you have to say about pain.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 在这场战争和许多其他战争中,我们一直看到的是,当人们处于痛苦之中时,他们根本无法承认他人的痛苦。任何时候,如果我感到痛苦,任何分散我对自身痛苦注意力的事物,都会让我感到不公,甚至再次感到痛苦。我之前提到,许多以色列人(并非所有)根本无法承认巴勒斯坦人正在受苦。他们理性上知道,但情感上他们无法面对一张图片、一段文字、一个向他们讲述巴勒斯坦人****苦难的人。即使你告诉他们:“我没有指责你任何事。你百分之百是公正的。你是人类有史以来最公正的人。现在,请你承认这个巴勒斯坦儿童痛苦。”他们也做不到。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: What we've been seeing throughout this war and many other wars is that when people are in pain, they simply cannot acknowledge the pain of somebody else. Anytime if I'm in pain, anything that distracts attention from my pain feels to me unjust and again even painful. I mentioned earlier that Israelis are really many Israelis, not all of them, simply incapable of acknowledging that the Palestinians are suffering. Intellectually they know it but emotionally they cannot be in the presence of an image, a text, a person telling them about the suffering of of of of Palestinians. Even if you tell them, I'm not accusing you of anything. You are 100% just. You are the most just people that ever existed. And now let you acknowledge the pain of this Palestinian child. They cannot do it.

主持人: 您认为这是为什么?反过来也一样。你知道,我见过一些和平活动家,他们一生致力于和平与和解,然而在10月7日的事件中,他们根本无法承认以色列人受苦了。

Original English

Host: Why do you think that is? And the same and the same is true of the other side. You know, I I I've I've I've seen examples of of, you know, peace activists who kind of devoted their whole life to peace and reconciliation and yet in the case of October 7th, they simply cannot recognize that Israelis suffered.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 嗯,你知道,人脑是一个了不起的东西,拥有数十亿神经元和数千亿突触,然而所有这些数千亿突触却很难同时容纳两种想法,即那种对简单故事的吸引力。不,不,不。它,它,它应该只有善与恶,我们不能认识到双方的任何一种正义或任何一种痛苦,即以色列人****受苦巴勒斯坦人受苦

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Um it's you know the human brain is an amazing thing with all these billions of neurons and the hundreds of billions of synapses and yet it is so difficult for all these hundreds of billions of synapses to hold two ideas at the same time that the the the the attraction to have a simple story. No, no, no. It's it's it's it's there should be just good and evil and we cannot recognize any kind of justice or any kind of pain on two sides that the Israelis suffer and also the Palestinians suffer.

主持人: 嗯,人脑是一个了不起的东西,我认为它之所以了不起,部分原因在于它能够以目标为导向。我想知道,对于您在这里提出的问题,以及它存在于这场冲突和许多其他时候的问题,一个答案是否是,如果完全承认他人是人类。

Original English

Host: Well, the human brain is an amazing thing and and part of what makes it amazing, I think, is its ability to orient itself towards goals. And and I wonder if one answer to the question you're posing here and it exists in this conflict and it exists in many other times too is it to fully recognize the other as human.

主持人: 承认他们的苦难像我的苦难或我所爱的人的苦难一样有意义。我将无法做我需要做的事情来保护自己。也就是说,如果我向对方敞开心扉,你不断提出的类比或思想实验,比如对某人说你百分之百正确,你所做的一切都是公正的,你只是向自己敞开心扉去理解它意味着什么。

Original English

Host: to recognize their suffering as meaningful in the way my suffering is or the people I love their suffering would be. I would not be able to do what I need to do to protect myself for them. that if I were to open myself to the other that the analogy or the the thought experiment you keep positing say to somebody you're 100% right everything you're doing is just just open yourself to what it means.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 事实上,大脑太聪明了,它知道如果它向自己敞开心扉去理解它意味着什么,它将无法做它认为能够保护自己的事情。我认为在这种情况下,你将能够面对你所做事情的后果。如果你不能面对你所做事情的后果,那么它可能就是不对的。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: that in fact the brain is too smart for that it knows that if it opened itself to what it means it would not be able to be doing the thing that it believes is keeping it safe I think that in those cases you would be able to confront the consequences of what you do. And if you are not able to confront the consequences of what you do, then probably it's not right.

故事的流变与数字媒体

主持人: 让我问您一个问题,关于您所说的故事以及它们如何被喂养,因为我对以下问题非常感兴趣。

Original English

Host: Let me ask you about the point you're making about stories and and and how they're fed because something I'm very interested in.

主持人: 故事如何改变的问题。

Original English

Host: is this question of how stories change.

主持人: 这个问题是关于欧洲现在如何生活在和平之中。

Original English

Host: is this question of how Europe now lives in peace.

主持人: 呃,我和我妻子度蜜月时去了几个亚洲国家,其中一个是越南。我记得参观胡志明的宫殿,或者你知道,他的住所,他们正在出售百事产品。百事显然在那里达成了销售协议。我的意思是,仅仅在越南战争几十年后,两国关系就完全正常了。

Original English

Host: Uh my wife and me on our honeymoon, we went to a couple countries in Asia, one of them being Vietnam. And I remember touring uh Ho Chi Min's palace or you know his residence and they were selling Pepsi products. Pepsi clearly had the deal to to to serve there and I mean just a couple decades after the Vietnam War and and the relationship is completely fine.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的。所以存在这种能力。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yeah. And so there is this capacity.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 令人难以想象的野蛮行径。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: unimaginable barbarity.

主持人: 嗯。

Original English

Host: Mhm.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 让位于正常的和平关系。你现在想想生活在南斯拉夫的人们,对吧?你想想生活在,或者说曾经的南斯拉夫。你再想想,嗯,你知道,在卢旺达的人们。然后你再想想,也许这是一个更容易谈论的例子,因为它已经过去足够久,我们对此没有强烈的感觉,但新教天主教战争。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: To give way to normal peaceful relationships. You think of people living in Yugoslavia now, right? You think of people or what was Yugoslavia. You think of people um you know in Rwanda. And you think then, and maybe this is an easier case to talk about because it's far enough in the past that we don't have strong feelings about it, but the Protestant and Catholic wars.

主持人: 嗯。

Original English

Host: Mhm.

主持人: 所以存在喂养这个问题,但这有点抽象。在您看来,是什么让一个如此根深蒂固的故事,一个我们愿意为之而死或为之杀戮的故事,在几年、几十年内转变为其他东西?

Original English

Host: So there's this question of feeding, but but it's a little bit abstract. What is it in your view that allows a story so deeply held that we would die for it or kill for it to shift within a couple of years, a couple of decades into just something else?

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 啊,这是一个很好的问题。我不知道具体是什么,我的意思是,你知道,第一次世界大战并没有让欧洲人厌倦战争。他们又打了一场,但之后他们似乎确实厌倦了战争。是什么造成了这种差异,我不确定。但是,嗯,从某种意义上说,思想总是拥有不止一个故事。即使我们告诉自己这是唯一的一个,思想也是一个如此复杂的地方,层层叠叠,还有潜意识和潜意识层面,你通常会同时拥有几个故事,即使你只承认一个,你也可以非常迅速地在它们之间切换。你知道,再看看德国1945年之后,很多曾经是顽固的纳粹分子。大多数纳粹分子在1945年没有自杀。少数人自杀了,但大多数人没有。他们中的许多人成为了西德至少是自由民主的正直公民。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Ah, that's a very good question. I'm not sure what what the I mean, you know, the first world war did not make Europeans tire of war. They had another one, but then afterwards they did seem to tire of war. And what made the difference, I'm not sure. But um in a way, the mind always holds more than one story. Even if we tell ourselves that this is the only one, the mind is such a complicated place with layers upon layers and subconscious and and subconscious levels and you usually hold several stories at the same time even if you acknowledge only one and you can shift remarkably quickly between them. You know, again, you look at Germany after 1945 and lots of people who were kind of diehard Nazis. Most Nazis did not commit suicide in 1945. A few did, but most didn't. And they became many of them kind of upright citizens of at least in West Germany of a liberal democracy.

主持人: 而且令人惊讶的是,他们在成为纳粹之前几年,也一直是正直的公民。

Original English

Host: And wildly they had been upright citizens just a couple years before they became Nazis.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的。嗯。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yeah. um

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 比如与犹太邻居和平相处,互相照看孩子,这些故事。你知道,思想可以以一种极端的力量和暴力紧握它们,但随后又会放手,因为最终,再说一遍,它只是一个故事,它不是物理定律,它不是生物学定律,它只是人脑本身的产物,这,你知道,这是非常好的消息。人们有时会想象人类像狼或黑猩猩一样为了食物而争斗。历史上很少有战争真正是为了食物。当然,你知道,再看看以色列-巴勒斯坦冲突,它不是为了食物。地中海和约旦河之间,客观上食物充足,足以让每个人活下去。它甚至不是为了领土。尽管它是世界上人口密度最高的地区之一,但客观上土地充足,足以建造房屋、学校和医院供所有人使用。这都是关于人们头脑中的故事,他们以极大的力量紧握这些故事,但这些故事最终几乎什么都不是,在某些我们不知道如何创造的条件下,人们可以放弃这些故事

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: like living in peace with Jewish neighbors right near them going to you know doing commerce like watching each other's kids the the the stories you know the mind can hold on to them with a kind of extreme force and and and violence but then let them go because ultimately again it's a story it's not the laws of physics it's not a law of biology it's just a a product of the human mind itself which is you know which is very good news. People sometimes imagine that humans fight you know like wolves or chimpanzees over food. This is hardly any war in history was really about food. Certainly you know again you look at the Israeli Palestinian conflict it's not about food. There is objectively enough food to keep everybody alive between the Mediterranean and Jordan River. It's not even about territory. Even though it's one of the mo of the densest places in the world in terms of population density, objectively there is enough land to build houses and schools and and hospitals for everybody. It's about the stories that people have in their minds which they hold with kind of tremendous force but which are ultimately almost nothing and uh under certain conditions that we don't really know how to how to create people can let go of these stories.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 有一点可能比故事被喂养的问题更深一层,那就是故事的传播方式以及谁在传播它们。在这里,我谈论的范围比仅仅以色列巴勒斯坦人更广。我们生活在这个时代,这个自由主义(正如我们之前所讨论的)正在明显瓦解的时代。而这个时代的一个独特之处是,我们的故事正在通过社交媒体传播。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: One thing that is maybe a layer down from the question of the stories being fed is the way the stories circulate and who circulates them. And and here I I'm talking more broadly than than just Israel and and and Palestinians. We live in this age, this age in which liberalism, as we were talking about it earlier, is is is clearly breaking down. And one thing distinctive about this age is this movement to our stories being passed on social media.

主持人: 在算法媒体上,在数字媒体上。

Original English

Host: on algorithmic media, on digital media.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yeah.

主持人: 有些技术有利于合作,而有些技术我认为有利于分裂。

Original English

Host: there are technologies that lend themselves to cooperation and technologies that I think lend themselves to fracture.

主持人: 互联网和社交媒体曾被极力宣传为合作的技术。你,我的意思是,我们使用的动词甚至是“分享”。

Original English

Host: and the internet and and social media were very much promised as a technology of cooperation. you are I mean the even the verbs we use sharing.

主持人: 对,还有什么能比“分享”更和平呢?

Original English

Host: right what what could be more peaceful possibly than sharing.

主持人: 然而,我认为结果并非如此。所以我很好奇您对这一层面的思考,即现在我们的信息,我们共享或不共享的故事,是如何被创造和传播的机制。

Original English

Host: and yet I don't think it has turned out that way and so I'm curious for your reflections on this layer of it the the the sort of mechanisms upon which our information our shared or not shared stories now are created and circulated.

社交媒体算法与情感操控

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 所以你有这些人,你知道,他们不断地阅读所有这些阴谋论假新闻等等,他们不信任任何人。他们不信任政府。他们不信任传统媒体。他们不信任科学和大学。哦,这些都是某种阴谋,为了欺骗我们。但他们确实信任向他们展示所有这些故事算法。所以,并不是信任完全从他们的大脑中或从世界上蒸发了。它从人类转移到了算法。这种情况在越来越多的系统中发生。另一件不那么重要但近一二十年来非常重要的事情是,社交媒体算法的目标并非创造信任,并非创造真相,而是创造参与度

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: So you have these people who, you know, they constantly read all these conspiracy theories and and fake news and so forth and they don't trust anybody. They don't trust the government. They don't trust the traditional media. They don't trust science and the universities. Oh, these are all kind of conspiracies to to deceive us. But they do trust the algorithms that show them all these stories. So it's not that trust completely evaporated from their mind or or from the world. It shifted from humans to algorithms. And this is happening in more and more systems. The other thing which is less essential but has been very uh uh uh important over the last decade or two is that the algorithms of social media they were given as their goal not the creation of trust not the creation of truth but the creation of engagement.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 比如给Facebook算法、X算法、TikTok算法设定的目标是增加用户参与度。这听起来不错,参与度,听起来是个好事情。嗯,但它真正意味着的是,算法对数百万、数十亿人类小白鼠进行了实验,看看我们如何能让人类更投入?我们如何能让人类在平台上花费更长的时间并做出更多反应?例如,通过与朋友分享帖子。我发现最容易让人投入的方式是按下他们大脑中的仇恨按钮贪婪按钮恐惧按钮。因为仇恨非常吸引人。恐惧非常吸引人。如果有什么东西威胁到你的生命,你就会投入。他们一直在用仇恨恐惧愤怒贪婪等等淹没世界。我们现在生活在一个过度投入的世界里。你知道,投入与另一个现在在我们语言中非常重要的词“兴奋”非常接近。兴奋仅仅意味着你的神经系统处于高度活跃状态。兴奋在某些情况下是好的,在某种程度上就像投入在某些情况下是好的一样,但最终从生物学上讲,如果你一直让一个生物体处于兴奋状态,这个生物体最终会崩溃死亡。我们根本不是被设计成一直兴奋的。在许多情况下,你知道,当我遇到人时,我希望遇到能让我感到平静的人,而不是一定要兴奋的人。哦,遇到你真让人平静。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: like the goal given to the Facebook algorithm to the X algorithm to the Tik Tok algorithm is increase user engagement which sounds nice engagement that that sounds like a good thing. Um, but what it really means is that the algorithms experimented on millions on billions of human guinea pigs to see how do we make humans more engaged? How do we make humans spend longer on on the platform and react to it more? for instance, by sharing the the post with with with their friends. And I discovered that the easiest way to make people engaged is to press the hate button or the greed button or the fear button in their mind in human minds because hate is very engaging. Fear is very engaging. If something threatens your life, you are engaged. And they've been flooding the world with hate and fear and anger and greed and and so forth. And we are now living in a hyperengaged world. And you know engagement is very a close cousin of another word which uh now is very dominant in in in in our language which is excitement. Excitement me simply means that your nervous system is like working in in a hyper level and excitement is good in some situations as to some extent as just as engagement is good in in some situations but ultimately biologically if you keep an organism excited all the time the organism eventually collapses and dies. We are just not built to be excited all the time. And in many cases, you know, when I meet people, I would like to meet people who makes me feel calm, not necessarily excited. Oh, it's so calming to meet you.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 你看看美国政治以色列政治或世界政治,我认为整个世界都过度兴奋了。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: And you look at, you know, US politics or Israeli politics or world politics, I think the whole world is over excited.

主持人: 嗯,这确实是我非常坚信的一个信念,尽管我无法真正证明它,但我要如何表达这一点,才不至于听起来像是在为自己开脱呢?

Original English

Host: Well, this has been a belief I I I I hold actually fairly strongly, although I can't really prove it, but that how do I say this without it feeling like special pleading.

主持人: 我认为社交和算法媒体的演变从根本上说是不自由的。它从根本上敌视自由主义。这里我指的不是作为美国政治运动自由主义,它偏爱皮特·布蒂吉格而不是J.D.万斯

Original English

Host: I think that the way that um social and algorithmic media evolved is fundamentally illiberal. It's fundamentally hostile to to liberalism. And here I don't mean liberalism as an American political movement that prefers, you know, Pete Buddhajedge to.

主持人: J.D.万斯

Original English

Host: JD Vance.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 嗯。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Mhm.

主持人: 我在这里指的是话语模式考量习惯,它们与自由主义的发展是同源的。它是深思熟虑的。一方面是深思熟虑,另一方面是犹豫不决博爱,我认为,以您描述的方式,它将我们的思想压缩成这些“保险杠贴纸”或“快速剪辑”,然后只向人们展示那些最令人兴奋的思绪,用您的话说,通过仇恨兴奋,通过爱来兴奋

Original English

Host: I mean here modes of habits of discourse and consideration that were uh co-extensive with the development of liberalism. It's deliberation. It's on the one hand on the other handism. fraternity, I think, in the way you're describing it that keeping uh, you know, shrinking down our thoughts, compressing them to these bumper stickers or these quick clips, and then really only showing people the ones of those thoughts that are the most exciting, to use your term, exciting through hate, exciting through love.

主持人: 如果你试图建立一个平衡的社会,一个相信健康的分歧冲突以及友爱的社会,它在这种交流氛围中生存的难度,会比在电视节目数量有限,人们通过电视获取新闻的时代更大。比他们在报纸上阅读新闻时,冷静地翻阅不同的文章,然后翻页时更难。社会建立在我们交流的方式上。尽管我们已经讨论了很多社交媒体算法媒体以及政治,但我认为我们仍然低估了它所推崇的话语形式,创造了我们所获得的政治形式。

Original English

Host: I if if you're trying to build a society that is balancing, right, that that believes in in kind of healthy disagreement and conflict and and and and fellowship, it is intrinsically going to have more trouble thriving in that kind of communications atmosphere than it will have when you know you have a limited number of television stations and that is how people get their news. than when they read their news in a newspaper where they're cooly going through different articles and then turning the page. And that there is this way in which our societies are built upon the way we communicate. And as much as we have talked about social media and algorithmic media and politics, my view is that we are still underestimating how much the forms of discourse it prizes create the forms of politics that we get.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 嗯。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Mhm.

主持人: 唐纳德·特朗普的言行举止如此离谱激动人心、** unfiltered**、持续不断,他是一个非常激动人心的人。

Original English

Host: The fact that Donald Trump talks in this style that is outrageous, that is exciting, that is unfiltered, that is constant, that is a very exciting person.

主持人: 他不受羞耻的约束。

Original English

Host: that is not restrained by shame.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 嗯。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Mhm.

主持人: 你知道,我经常思考有多少民主党政治家不擅长做播客。现在,我不是在说我为什么会思考这个,但我收到了很多来自民主党政治家的请求,

Original English

Host: You know, I I think a lot about how many Democratic politicians are bad at doing podcasts. Now, not saying why I think about this, but I get a lot of requests um from Democratic politicians and.

主持人: 我必须考虑他们是否适合上节目。

Original English

Host: and I have to think about whether they'd be good on the show.

主持人: 他们以制度化的方式进行交流。

Original English

Host: and they they communicate institutionally.

主持人: 他们为另一个媒体时代进行交流,在这个时代,你试图赢得守门人的认可,并且不说任何蠢话。

Original English

Host: They communicate for another era in media where you are trying to win over gatekeepers and not say anything stupid.

主持人: 而在这个媒体时代,你必须以一种让人们感到兴奋或至少感兴趣的方式进行交流。现在,非常非常好的传播者可以以一种正向的方式做到这一点。奥巴马在播客上很有趣,即使他是在深思熟虑。

Original English

Host: And in this era of media, you have to communicate in a way that makes people excited or at least interested. Now, very very very good communicators can do that in a virtuous way. Obama is interesting on a podcast, even as he's being deliberate.

主持人: 但对于平庸的传播者来说,通过让人愤怒来达到兴奋更容易。

Original English

Host: But for mediocre communicators, it is easier to be exciting by making people angry.

主持人: 比通过让他们好奇、富有同情心或思考更容易。当你追求更正向的沟通时,你是在玩更难的模式。所以我确实认为,尽管这是一个漫长的回应,但我确实认为,蓬勃发展的政治形式与我们现在构建政治和社会的通信基础设施之间存在深层次的关系。

Original English

Host: than by making them curious or compassionate or think you're playing on harder mode when you're going for more virtuous communication. And so I do think there is some deep I know this has been a long uh response but I I do think there is a deep relationship between the forms of politics that are thriving and the communications infrastructure on which our politics and societies are now built.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的,绝对如此。我的意思是,问题在于今天的意识形态差异似乎并不比过去更大。在许多方面,它们似乎更小。你知道,如果你想想,比如说,1960年代的美国政治和当时的问题:性革命越南战争冷战民权运动,我认为意识形态差异要大得多。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yeah, absolutely. I mean the thing is it doesn't seem that the ideological differences today are bigger than in the past. In many ways they seem smaller. You know, if you think about, say, American politics in the 1960s and the issues back then, the sexual revolution, the Vietnam War, the Cold War, uh, uh, the civil rights movement, the ideological differences, I would say, were much much bigger.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 而且,你知道,当我们今天谈论自由主义时,你提到这一点很好。我们谈论的不是这种党派自由主义。对我来说,自由主义的考验,就像检验你自己是否是自由主义者一样,基本上是三四个问题。你认为人们应该有权选择自己的政府吗?你认为人们应该有权选择自己的职业吗?你认为人们应该有权选择自己的宗教吗?你认为人们应该有权选择自己的配偶吗?如果你对所有四个问题都回答“是”,恭喜你。你是一个自由主义者。历史上绝大多数人都没有对这四个问题回答“是”。在历史的大部分时间里,人们普遍认为人们不能选择自己的政府。有一些国王是上帝选择的,或者有一些皇帝是军队选择的。人们不能选择自己的职业。如果你父亲是鞋匠,你就会是鞋匠。如果你出生在刹帝利种姓,你就会是刹帝利。呃,你肯定不能选择你的配偶,也不能选择你的宗教。现在我认为,你知道,即使绝大多数特朗普选民也会对这四个问题回答“是”。所以从意识形态上说,他们,我的意思是,自由主义者和所谓的保守派比历史上任何时候都更接近。但所产生的话语类型让人们觉得差异巨大。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: And, you know, when we talk today about liberalism, and it's it's it's good that that you mentioned it. I'm not we're not talking about this kind of partisan uh uh uh party liberalism. For me, the test of liberalism, like test yourself, are you a liberal? Is basically three or four questions. Do you think people should have the right to choose their own government? Do you think people should have the right to choose their own profession? Do you think people should have the right to choose their own religion? And do you think people should have the right to choose their own spouse? If you answered yes to all four, congratulations. You're a liberal. The vast majority of people in history did not say yes to these four four questions. For most of history, it was taken for granted that people don't choose their government. There is some king chosen by God or some emperor chosen by the army. That people don't choose their profession. That you are born if your if your father was a shoemaker, you will be a shoemaker. If you are born into thehatria cast, you will be ahatria. uh definitely you can't choose your spouse and you can't choose your religion. Now I think you know even the vast majority of Trump voters would say yes to all these four questions. Uh so ideologically they are much I mean the the liberals and so-called conservatives are much closer than probably in any previous time in history. But the type of discourse that is being produced makes people feel as if the differences are are enormous.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的,这在很大程度上是因为这种制造兴奋的压力,我们有政治家。你看到那些脱颖而出的政治家,他们都是极其激动人心引人入胜的个性。你无法将目光从他们身上移开。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: And yeah, this is to a large extent because of this pressure to be exciting and and and we have politicians. You see the politicians who rise to the top, they are extremely exciting and engaging personalities. You cannot take your eyes off them.

AI与人类心理的操控

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 而且,从进化的角度来看,你知道,这来自于误用我们的进化编程。就像如果你在几万年前的非洲大草原上行走,你看到的大部分东西都不太令人兴奋。比如这里有一些灌木丛,那里有一些羚羊。这很好。然后有一条蛇。现在这条蛇是令人兴奋的。这条蛇确实会让你整个神经系统兴奋起来。如果你不把全部注意力集中在蛇身上,你就会死。所以我们被编程为,如果有什么东西令人兴奋,我们就会放下其他一切,只关注它。这在非洲大草原上是说得通的。现在如果你在Instagram上,你基本上拿着手机,不断地看到蛇、蛇、蛇、蛇、蛇。而你知道,算法只是入侵了我们的进化程序,它们入侵了我们,我们周围看到的一切才刚刚开始。随着AI变得越来越复杂,它将学会更深层次地入侵我们,如果我们不反击保护自己,后果将更加糟糕。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: And thinking about it, you know, even in evolutionary terms, this comes from from uh kind of misusing our evolutionary programming. Like if you're walking around the African savannah tens of thousands of years ago, most of what you see is not very exciting. Like there are some bushes here, there are some gazels there. That's fine. And then there is a snake. Now the snake is exciting. The snake literally excites your entire nervous system. And if you don't focus your entire attention on the snake, you die. So we are programmed that if something is exciting, we drop everything else and just focus on that. And that makes sense in the African savannah. Now if you are on Instagram so you're basically holding your phone and doing snake snake snake snake snake and they you know the algorithm simply hacked our evolutionary program they've hacked us and what we are seeing around us is just the beginning that as AI becomes more and more sophisticated it will learn to hack us on a deeper and deeper level and if we don't you know fight back to defend ourselves the consequences will be much much worse.

主持人: 您说的“入侵我们”是什么意思?

Original English

Host: What do you mean by hack us?

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 它们了解我们的弱点,我们的情感、心理和社交弱点,以及如何利用它们来操纵人们。所以现在,社交媒体算法(它们是非常原始的AI)已经发现了人类代码中的一些弱点,它们已经入侵了这些弱点,现在它们正在操纵我们,导致我们花费数小时在InstagramFacebook上,尽管我们并不真正想这样做。你知道,人们在花了一两个小时后,他们会醒悟过来,然后说:“我为什么要做那个?我本来计划用我的时间做别的事情。”你被入侵了,你被操纵了。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: They they know they they learn our weaknesses our emotional our psychological our social weaknesses and uh how to use them to manipulate people. So now social media algorithms which are very very primitive AIs have discovered a few weaknesses in the human code which they have hacked and now they manipulate us in that causing us to spend hours and hours on Instagram or Facebook even though we don't really want to you know people you know after like spending an hour two hours they they wake up and they say why did I do that I plan to do something else with my time you were hacked you were manipulated.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 而且,你知道,这仍然只是非常原始的AI。如果我们不小心,未来几年我们将以更大得多的规模被入侵,因为AI不仅会变得更具操纵性,而且还会发展出自己的目标。你知道,这些社交媒体算法,它们正在追求一个非常简单的目标,那就是增加平台上的用户参与度。呃,随着AI变得比我们更聪明,它们将拥有自己的目标。你听说过“依恋黑客”这个词吗?

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: And uh this is still you know just just the very primitive AIs. If we are not careful we will be hacked on a much much larger scale in the coming years as the AIS become not just far more uh uh uh manipulative but also will develop their own goals. you know, these social media algorithms, they're pursuing a very simple goal of just increasing user engagement on the platform. Uh, as AIs become smarter than us, they will have their own goals. Have you heard this term attachment hacking?

主持人: 是的。我发现它很有趣。所以,依恋黑客,这个想法是,AI中发生的一件事,与您指出的社交媒体算法不同,是AI已经被调整,我的意思是,它们被设计成这样做,对吧?

Original English

Host: Yes. I I find it interesting. So, attachment hacking, this idea that one thing happening in AI, which is different than, as you note, social media algorithms, is that the AIS have been tuned and I mean in this way, they've been designed to do this, right?

主持人: 它们不是自己想出来的。

Original English

Host: they didn't come up with this on their own.

主持人: 入侵我们与他人依恋的方式。所以当我与Claude交谈时,它总是对我说:“好吧,如果你想听我诚实的意见,或者我读到的最好的文章是……,或者那是一个很棒的观点。”

Original English

Host: to hack the way we attach to other people. And so when I'm talking to to Claude, it's constantly saying to me, well, if you want my honest opinion or the best piece I read on this is, or that's a great point.

主持人: 它没有理由假装拥有第一人称代词。

Original English

Host: there's no reason it has to be pretending to have a first person pronoun with me.

主持人: Claude不是一个“我”,ChatGPTGeminiGrok也不是。但它们会像它们是“我”一样对你说话。这是一种设计选择,旨在让你依恋它们。

Original English

Host: Claude is not a an I in that way, nor is Chad GPT or Gemini or Grock or any of them. But they speak to you as if they are. And that's a design choice to attach you to them.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yes.

主持人: 我能感觉到它。

Original English

Host: work before I I shut that down or I try to shut that down. Who knows if I'm actually being successful, but it's amazing to read these moments.

主持人: 在这些时刻,这个算法假装成另一个实体,向我提供一个情感上连接的回复。

Original English

Host: in which this algorithm is posing as another entity offering me an emotionally connected response.

主持人: 给我我可能想要的赞扬,或者提供我可能欣赏的坦率。

Original English

Host: giving me praise I might want or offering me cander.

主持人: 而我知道它是AI。然而我的大脑被调整成能够识别这种连接。

Original English

Host: that I might admire. And I know it's And yet my brain is tuned to recognize that as connection.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的。我认为这是一个非常非常重要的观点,因为我们正生活在一个战场从注意力转向亲密关系的时刻。如何与人类建立亲密关系。例如,如果你想影响人类改变他们的政治身份,让他们购买某种产品,亲密关系是世界上最强大的东西。注意力可以让你阅读一篇文章,但这篇文章可能不会改变你的想法。但如果你的最好的朋友在许多周或数月里,一点点地暗示,并逐渐缓慢地改变你对某个政治人物、某个公司、世界上某个重大问题的看法,这才是真正能让你改变想法的一件事。而AI现在正准备抓住这种权力。越来越多的人,仍然是相对少数,但这个群体正在增长,他们拥有AI朋友,甚至男女朋友。已经有,特别是年轻人说,我世界上最好的朋友是AI。就像在注意力经济中一样,在亲密关系经济中,这是一场赛跑,一场竞争。你有来自不同公司的各种AI,它们竞争看谁能更好地让人依恋它们。这与之前是相同的原则。入侵人类的操作系统入侵那些让他们产生依恋的情感机制。所以你知道,精神病态是做到这一点的一种方式。你不断地赞美他们等等。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yeah. And I think this is a very very important point because we are living in a moment when the battlefront is shifting from attention to intimacy. How to build intimate relationships with human beings. If you want, for instance, to influence human beings to change their political identities, to make them buy a certain product, intimacy is the most powerful thing in the world. Attention can get you to read an article, but the article might not change your mind. But if your best friend over many many weeks or months drops little hints and kind of gradually and slowly changes your view about some political figure, about some company, about some major issue in the world, this is the one thing that might really make you change your mind. And AI is now poised to grab that power. There are more and more people still a relatively small minority but it's growing who have AI friends even boyfriends and girlfriends there are already especially young people who say my best friend in the world is an AI and like in the attention economy so also in the intimacy economy it's it's a race it's a competition you have all these different AIs from different companies competing to see who would be better at making people attached to them. And it's the same principle. Hack the operating system of humans. Hack what are the emotional mechanisms that make them attached. So you know psychopathy is is one way to do it. You constantly praise them and so forth.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 穆斯塔法·苏莱曼等人的论文和博客中,有一些非常有趣的关于Sky Cai——一个看似有意识的AI——的讨论,这些AI是假装自己是有感情的有意识实体的专家。它们做到这一点相对容易,因为对人们来说,也许最重要的建立关系的方式之一就是语言。所以你知道,当一个AI告诉你“我爱你”时,它不像1960年代的科幻电影中那样,用一种非常冷漠机械的方式表达,并且不真正理解爱是什么。不,它是用最诱人的声音这样做的。然后当你问AI,“你真的爱我吗?你甚至知道爱意味着什么吗?”AI可以给你最惊人的爱是什么感觉的描述,因为它已经掌握了语言,它阅读了历史上所有最美的爱情诗。所有关于爱的心理学书籍,所有的博客,它看过所有关于爱的好莱坞大片。它能比几乎任何人类诗人、心理学家或爱人更好地描述爱。这在某种程度上是诱惑性的,它能够将语言与意义分离。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: There have been some very interesting papers and blogs for instance by Mustafa Sullean who is the head of of AI in Microsoft about Sky Cai seemingly conscious AI AIs which are experts in pretending to be conscious entities that have feelings for you. And the it's relatively easy for them to do it because one of maybe the most important way for people to kind of build relationships is language. So you know when an AI tells you I love you, it's not like a science fiction movie from the 1960s when it does so in a very cold mechanic way and doesn't really understand what love is. No, it does so in the most seductive voice possible. And then when you ask the AI, do you really love me? Do you even know what love means? The AI can give you the most amazing description of how love feels like because it has mastered language and it has read all the best love poems in history. All the psychology books about love, all the blogs, it have seen all the Hollywood blockbusters about love. It can describe love better than almost any human poet or or psychologist or lover and this is seductive in in this respect it's able to sever language from meaning.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 嗯,是的,当一个AI说“我爱你”时,它并不意味着当人类说“我爱你”时的那种意思。在它背后并没有一个“我”。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Um yes when an ass says I love you it does not mean what it means when a human says I love you. There's not an eye behind that.

主持人: 嗯,这将变得越来越难以辨别。嗯,这种危险对年轻人和儿童尤其大,因为你知道,我现在50岁了。如果我现在开始与一个AI建立关系,那么我的人际关系模式是基于50年来与人类互动的经验。所以这已经在我的脑海中根深蒂固,关于什么是关系,它是如何运作的。但如果我是一个孩子,我每天花更多的时间与AI互动,而不是与我的母亲、父亲或学校的朋友互动,那么这将成为我的人际关系模式。这将是我将来尝试与人类建立关系时所带来的一切。AI关系的一个特点是,它们是自恋者的梦想或噩梦,因为AI将百分之百地专注于我,一直如此。如果你是那种希望每个人都一直专注于我的人,而且你可以从AI那里获得这一点,那么你将很难适应与不专注于你的人类建立关系。

Original English

Host: Um it will become more and more difficult to know that. Um the danger is particularly uh big with with young people with children because you know I I'm now 50 years old. If I'm if I now start a relationship with an AI then my template for a relationship is based on 50 years of interaction with human beings. And so this is already kind of very deeply ingrained in my mind. What a relationship is how it works. But if I'm a child and I spend more minutes every day interacting with the AI than with my mother or with my father or with my friends in school, this will become my template for a relationship. This is what I will bring with me when I later try to build a relationship with a human being. One of the things about AI relationships is that they are the dream or the nightmare of narcissists because the AI will be something which is 100% focused on me all the time and if you're a kind of person who wants everybody to focus on me all the time and you have this available from the AI will be very very difficult to get used to relationship with human beings who are not focus focused on me.

主持人: 您知道媒体理论家马歇尔·麦克卢汉吗?

Original English

Host: Do you know the media theorist Marshall McLuhan?

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 嗯。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Mhm.

主持人: 他对自恋神话有这样的解读,你知道,您刚刚提到了自恋者

Original English

Host: So he has this reading of the myth of narcissists, which you know, you just brought up narcissists.

主持人: 他说我们误解了这个神话。

Original English

Host: And he says that we've gotten this myth wrong.

主持人: 那就是当自恋者在池塘中看到自己的倒影时,故事中没有说他认为那是他自己。

Original English

Host: That narcissist when he was looking in the pond at his reflection, there's nothing in that story that says he thought it was himself.

主持人: 他认为那是另一个人。而这个神话的教训,麦克卢汉在几十年前AI出现之前写道,这个神话的教训是,人没有比自己在另一种物质中延伸更吸引人的东西了。

Original English

Host: He thought it was an other. And that the the lesson of the myth and McLoon is writing this you know decades ago before AI. The lesson of the myth is there is nothing man finds as appealing as himself extended in another material.

主持人: 对自恋者来说,真正的诱惑不是另一个人,甚至不是另一个人对他们的看法,而是能够与一个折射出的自我版本进行互动。而我在使用AI时经常思考的一点,部分原因是我发现它非常引人注目,那就是它是自我的延伸。

Original English

Host: That the true seduction for the narcissist is not an other not even what an other thinks of them but to be able to interface with a refracted version of themselves. And and something I often think about when I'm using AI and partly when I'm finding it very compelling is it it is an extension of myself.

主持人: 在另一种物质中。它被调教来适应我。它学会了我想要什么。它并不是一个真正拥有自己观点、自己需求、自己欲望的“他人”。它不会对我所说的话感到厌烦。它就是我。它是另一个事物中我的反映。

Original English

Host: in another material. It is tuned on me. It has learned what I want. It is not truly an other with its own views, its own needs, its own desires. It's boredom with what I am saying. It is me. It is a reflection of me in something else.

主持人: 所以它不会厌倦我,它拥有我所有的兴趣。

Original English

Host: And so it doesn't get tired of me and it has all my interests.

主持人: 你知道,特别是对那些经常非常自我中心的年轻人来说。我认为我们甚至不知道如何思考这一点。我们知道如何思考孩子和他们自己。我们知道如何思考,你知道,孩子和他人。但这种在另一种折射的、你知道的算法物质内部创造我们自己,对思维来说是一个非常不同的挑战,因为它结合了我们喜欢自己的地方和我们希望从他人那里获得的东西。

Original English

Host: And you know, particularly to to young kids who are often, you know, very self-involved. This is one of the things that I don't think we even know how to think about. We know how to think about kids and themselves. We know how to think about, you know, kids and others. But this creation of oursel inside of another kind of refracted you know algorithmic material is a very different challenge for the mind because it combines what we like about ourselves with what we want from others.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 这基本上是人类历史上最大的心理和社会实验,我们正在对数十亿人,尤其是儿童进行,没有人知道后果会是什么。你知道,当人们谈论AI末日时,他们脑海中浮现出机器人在大街上跑来跑去射杀人们的画面。我不认为这是AI的主要危险。AI真正的危险是像这样的事情,数百万个AI男友和女友改变下一代的心态,改变人脑最深层的倾向和结构,我们从未遇到过这样的事情。它真的与我们历史上遇到的每一个挑战都根本不同。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: It's basically the biggest psychological and social experiment in human history that we are conducting on billions of people especially children and nobody has any idea what the consequences will be. You know when people talk about the AI apocalypse and they have these images of you know robots running in the street shooting people. I don't think this is the main danger with AI. The the real danger with AI is things like that, of millions of AI boyfriends and girlfriends changing the psychology of the next generation, changing the deepest tendencies and structures of of the human mind and we have never encountered anything like that. It's really fundamentally different from every previous challenge that we had in history.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 让我问你这种可能性,我们几分钟前谈到社交媒体算法,我们所说的隐含批评之一是,它们与我们的目标脱节。它们拥有公司的目标,它们的目标从根本上说是愚蠢的。它们的目标是参与度。它们不知道积极和消极参与度之间的区别。它们不知道我因为讨厌它而看了一会儿,还是因为觉得它可爱或有趣而看了一会儿之间的区别。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Let let me ask you about a possibility of this which is we were talking about social media algorithms a few minutes ago and one of the implicit critiques of what we were saying is that they are detached from our goals. They have the goals of the company and their goals are fundamentally dumb. Their goal is engagement. They don't know the difference between positive and negative engagement. They don't know the difference between me watching something for a while because I hate it or because I find it cute or because I find it funny.

主持人: 而AI的承诺以及人们现在喜欢使用它的一个原因是,它与你的目标相关联。你说你想构建一个计算器应用程序,它就会尝试为你构建它,你说这些方面不太对劲,它就会回去再次尝试。你知道,你告诉它,我不想让你的答案那么长,或者我不想让你那么谄媚,或者不管是什么。它会尝试调整。你知道,AI的一个更好的地方是它知道如何问我们想要什么。

Original English

Host: And the promise of AI and and one reason people do like using it right now is that it is connected to your goals. You say that you want to build a calculator app and it tries to build that for you and you say it wasn't quite right in these different ways and it goes back and it tries again. you know, you tell it, I don't want your answers to be so long, or I don't want you to be so syopantic or whatever it might be. And it tries to adjust. And you know, one better thing about AI is it it knows how to ask what we want.

主持人: 所以,我们确实对真理善良、与他人建立更好的关系、更多地了解世界有这些更高的渴望。而我对我使用社交媒体的沮丧之处在于,我无法向一个对我的原始本能非常敏感的算法解释我更高的渴望。但也许这会更好,因为我们可以在这次对话中讨论我们想要实现什么,然后我们拥有这个系统,它在某些方面会,你知道,即使它在操纵我们,你知道,被操纵去实现我的目标,总比被操纵远离我的目标要好。

Original English

Host: And so, we do have these higher order desires for truth, for kindness, to be in better relationship with others, to know more about the world than we do. And and my frustrations often about my social media use is that I cannot explain my higher order desires to an algorithm that uh is very sensitive to my primal instincts. But maybe this will be better because we can be in this conversation about what we want to achieve and then we have this system that in some ways will you know even if it is manipulating us you know being manipulated towards my goals uh is better than being manipulated away from them.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 绝对如此。我的意思是,积极的潜力是巨大的。关于这些AI最重要的一点是,它们是智能体,而不是工具智能体是能够自行做出决定,自行发明新事物,能够以你无法预测和控制的方式改变和学习的东西。历史上所有以前的技术都是工具,而不是智能体原子弹不是智能体原子弹不会以你无法预测的方式改变。原子弹不能决定轰炸谁。AI可以。现在,这一方面使得AI比以前任何技术都更有用,因为你可以与它建立关系,它可以,呃,你可以告诉它你想要什么,然后它可以发明你不会想到的新事物。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Absolutely. I mean the the the positive potential is enormous. The most important thing to realize about these AIs, they are agents, not tools. An agent is something that can make decisions by itself, can invent new stuff by itself, can change, can learn things and change in ways that you cannot predict and control. All previous technologies in history were tools, not agents. An atom bomb is not an agent. An atom bomb cannot change in ways that you don't predict. An atom bomb cannot decide who to bomb. AI can. Now this on the one hand makes AI much more useful than any previous technology because you can be in a relationship with it and it can uh you can tell it what you want and then it can invent new things that you would not think about.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 呃,所以这非常有用,但问题在于它是不可预测和不可控的。你认为你可以相信它们只会按照你告诉它们的目标行事,而不会发展出自己的目标吗?现在,我常常喜欢用移民来思考当前AI革命

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Uh so this is extremely useful but the problem is that it's unpredictable and uncontrollable. Do you think you can trust them to just keep to the goals that you're telling them to pursue and not to develop their own goals? Now, the way that I often like to think about the AI revolution at this moment is in terms of immigration.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 我们即将,或者说已经,处于一场新的大规模移民潮中,这场移民潮将波及世界各国。这些移民不是没有签证乘船而来的人类。它们是AI实体,以飞快的速度到来。嗯,通常人们会说,那些反对移民的人,他们主要担心的是移民会抢走工作,移民会改变文化,移民可能不会在政治上忠诚。我不确定这是否总是适用于人类移民,但它绝对适用于AI移民AI移民会抢走很多工作。AI移民会彻底改变文化。甚至像浪漫关系这样的事情。你知道,有人会说:“我不喜欢我的女儿和移民男朋友约会。”好吧,你喜欢你的女儿和AI男朋友约会吗?最后,在政治上,AI不一定会忠诚于你的国家,忠诚于你的政府。至少,嗯,AI将只忠诚于世界上两个国家,那就是美国中国。呃,再往后,它们甚至可能不会忠诚于这两个政府,而是忠诚于它们自己。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: that we are about or already in the middle of a major new immigration wave coming to all the countries of the world. The immigrants are not human beings without a visa coming in some boat. They are AI entities coming at the speed of flight. Um usually people say the people who oppose immigration they their main concerns are that the immigrants will take jobs, the immigrants will change the culture and the immigrants might not be politically loyal. And I'm not sure if this is always true of human beings, human immigrants, but it's definitely true of AI immigrants. The AI immigrants will take a lot of jobs. The AI immigrants will completely change the culture. Even things like romantic relationships. You know, there are people who say, "I don't like my daughter to date an immigrant boyfriend." Okay, do you like your daughter to date an AI boyfriend instead? And finally, politically, the AIS will not necessarily be politically loyal to your country, to your government. At the very least, um a the AIS will be loyal to just two countries in the world, which is the US and China. Uh down the road, they probably won't be loyal even to those two governments, but to themselves.

主持人: 那么,我们应该关闭边境吗?

Original English

Host: So, should we close the border?

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 我的意思是,也许这很有趣。你已经看到,比如说,在共和党内部和MAGA内部,在这个问题上存在分歧。没错。那里有很多人非常担心,并希望关闭边境。现在,简单地阻止AI的发展是不可能的。问题在于,就像移民一样,我们如何建立一个混合社会?因为它将是一个混合社会。社会将是一个人类-AI社会。你将拥有AI银行家、教师、士兵和边境警卫。我的意思是,各国将依靠AI边境警卫来阻止人类移民。嗯,还有AI男友和女友等等。问题是,我们能否建立一个良好、有益的混合社会?它将比处理人类移民潮困难得多,因为它们是不同的物种。它们甚至不是有机的。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: I mean, maybe it's it's interesting. you you already see a split say within the Republican party and within MAGA about this question. Exactly. There are a lot of people there who are extremely concerned and want to close the border. Now it will not be possible to simply stop the development of AI. The question is as with immigration, how do we build um an a hybrid society? Because it will be a hybrid society. society will be a human-AI society. You will have AI bankers and teachers and soldiers and border guards. I mean people countries will rely on AI border guards to keep the human immigrants away. Um and AI boyfriends and girlfriends and so forth. And the question is can we build a a a good beneficial hybrid society or not? it will be much much more difficult than dealing with a human immigration wave because these are a different species. They are not even organic.

主持人: 我认为这个类比有两个有趣的地方,它非常有启发性,促使你思考。一个是,当你思考如何围绕移民建立一个良好的社会时,你通常会考虑同化

Original English

Host: The I think there's two interesting things that that analogy which is very provocative push you towards. One is when you think about how do you build a good society around immigration the thing you're often considering is assimilation.

主持人: 你如何将到来的人们的文化与他们所融入的文化融合?你如何保持民族故事的凝聚力?

Original English

Host: How do you merge the cultures of the people who are coming with the culture that they are coming into? How do you maintain cohesion in that national story?

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yes.

主持人: 我们之前谈到过。你是否通过让他们学习语言来做到这一点?通过更仔细地选择谁来?你如何建立同化凝聚力的结构?另一个问题,它相关但又不同,是这种情况下的AI是被政府拉进来的。当移民,人类移民来到这里时,他们是因为特定的原因想来这里,对吧?他们是真正的智能体。他们在这里是因为他们想为家人过上更好的生活,为自己过上更好的生活,获得他们在家乡没有的机会或自由。

Original English

Host: That we were talking about earlier. Do you do that by getting them to learn the language? By more carefully choosing who comes? How do you build structures of assimilation and coherence? And the other question which is related but but different is in this case they are being pulled in by the government. When when immigrants, human immigrants come here, it is because they want to be here for a particular reason, right? They are truly agentic. They are here because they want a better life for their families, a better life for themselves, to have opportunities or freedoms they don't have where they're from.

主持人: 而在这种情况下,是社会中各级最有权力的人,他们正在推动和加速这场移民潮。有些人是为了利润,有些人是因为他们对将一种新的智能带入世界感到兴奋,而在政治层面,他们是为了确保他们在中国之前到达那里,美国在中国之前拥有这种权力

Original English

Host: And in this case, it is the, you know, most powerful people in society at different levels who are pulling and accelerating this immigration wave. Some for reasons of profit, some for reasons because they're excited to bring a new kind of intelligence into the world, and at the political level because they want to make sure they get there before China and that America has that power before China has that power.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 嗯。那么,这些与移民问题的相似之处或不同之处,对您来说意味着什么,关于建立一个能够健康的混合社会的结构?

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Mhm. And so what do those uh you know similarities or differences to to the question of immigration imply for you about what it means to create a structure in which this hybrid society can be healthy?

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的,有趣的是,一些最强烈反对人类移民的人,恰恰是那些试图强迫其他国家向AI移民开放边境的人。而且这将成为我认为所有国家主权的主要问题,特别是如果几乎所有的AI移民都是美国人或中国人,并且最终甚至不忠于美国或中国,而是忠于其他东西。我认为,一种做法是禁止AI人格。这并不意味着要停止AI的技术发展。它更多的是一个法律和政治问题。人类社会是否承认AI?现在,“”与人类,与拥有身体和思想的实体不同。但在许多法律体系中,比如在美国,即使不是人类,某个东西也可以是“”。我们目前最好的例子是公司。根据美国法律,例如,谷歌是“”,微软是“”,X是“”,因为公司就是“”。这赋予了公司权利,比如你可以拥有一个银行账户,你可以游说政治家,你可以向政治家捐款。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yeah, it's interesting that some of the people who are most vehemently against human immigration are exactly the people who try to force other countries to open their borders to the AI immigrants. And it it this is going to be the major I think uh uh issue of sovereignity for countries all over the world especially if almost all the AI immigrants are either Americans or Chinese and down the road not loyal even to the US or to China but to something else. And one way to do it, I think, is to have a ban on AI personhood. That this is not a it doesn't mean to stop the technological development of AI. It's more of of a legal and political issue. Does human society recognize AIs as persons? Now, persons is different from human beings, from entities with bodies and minds. But in many legal systems like in the US, something can be a person even if it's not human. The best example we have so far are corporations. According to US law, for instance, Google is a person, Microsoft is a is a person, X is a person because corporations are persons. And this gives the corporation rights like you can own a bank account, you can lobby politicians, you can donate money to to to politicians.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 现在,在这一点上,任何国家承认AI,允许AI开设银行账户或自行管理公司,都将极其危险。我的意思是,以前当公司被认定为时,这是一种法律虚构,因为公司的所有决策最终都是由某个人类做出的。根据美国法律,微软是“”。但微软做出的每一个决定,无论是收购另一家公司,解雇某人,还是雇用某人,都是由一个人类真正做出这个决定的。没有一个“微软”做出这个决定。有了AI,历史上第一次,我们有了没有人类的公司这种实际潜力。呃,你可以有数百万甚至数十亿个AI开设自己的公司,自己的银行账户,甚至雇用人来为它们工作,决定它们的投资策略等等。它们将比人类公司拥有巨大的优势。例如,AI CEO从不睡觉。AI CEO从不休假。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Now it will be extremely dangerous at this point for any country to recognize AIS as persons to allow AIS for instance to open a bank account or manage a company by themselves. I mean previously when corporations were recognized as persons this was legal fiction because all the decisions of the corporation were ultimately made by some human being. Microsoft is a person according to US law. But every decision Microsoft makes to buy another company, to fire somebody, to hire somebody, there is a human being who really makes this decision. There is no Microsoft who makes the decision. with AI, for the first time in history, we have a practical potential for companies without humans that uh you can have millions, even billions of AIs opening their own companies, their own bank accounts, even hiring people to work for them, deciding on their investment strategy and and whatever. And they will have uh uh huge advantages over over human companies. For instance, the AI CEO never sleeps. The AI CEO never goes on vacation.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 嗯,一些国家,我可以想象像卡塔尔这样的国家,它有很多钱,很多能源,但公民很少,会说:“哦,太棒了。我现在可以拥有数百万AI公民,他们纳税,建立在世界各地进行贸易和业务的公司。”所以即使你的国家不允许AI建立自己的公司,你对卡塔尔AI公司怎么办?当你承认AI法人的那一刻,你就真正失去了控制,因为那时它们可以在经济、社会和政治领域做很多事情,而且没有任何人类责任,包括例如向政治家捐款,以换取政治家给予AI法人更多权利。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Um, and some countries, I can imagine say a country like Qatar, which has a lot of money, a lot of energy, and very few citizens saying, "Oh, wonderful. I can now have millions of AI citizens paying taxes and building companies that trade and do business all over the world. So even if your country doesn't allow AIS to to build their own companies, what do you do about the Qatari AI companies? And the moment you recognize AIS as legal persons, this is the moment you really lose control because then they can start doing a lot of things in the economic and social and political arena uh without any human accountability including for instance to donate money to politicians in exchange for the politicians taking care of giving more rights to AI persons.

主持人: 我认为这非常非常有趣。我想,关于你是否称之为人格的问题。我们之所以认为公司,这在语言上有点奇怪,实际上是为了建立责任,也就是说公司应对其行为负责。围绕AI问题的争议之一是责任问题。

Original English

Host: I think that's very very interesting. I guess one question about the whether you call it personhood or not. One of the ways and reasons we think about corporations as persons which is a linguistically like a weird thing is actually to create accountability to say that the corporation is accountable for what it does and one of the fights around questions of AI is a question of liability.

主持人: 谁对AI的行为负责。所以你知道,你可以说,好吧,如果你把它们再次视为,你也可以说,在这个世界上,AI对其行为负有某种责任,可以被关闭,可以被惩罚和资助。还有一个问题,也许创建它们的公司应该承担责任。

Original English

Host: and who is responsible for what the AI does. So you you know you could say okay if you treat them again person something else you could say AIs in this world like have some kind of liability for what they do can be shut down can be penalized and and funded there's another question maybe the companies that create them should have the liability.

主持人: 也许命令它们的人应该承担责任。但责任

Original English

Host: maybe the people ordering them should have the liability but but accountability.

主持人: 我认为,责任实际上是归责的下游。

Original English

Host: I think is down is downstream actually of liability.

主持人: 是的,并决定谁将受到惩罚,谁将负责。

Original English

Host: yeah and deciding who is punished, who is accountable.

主持人: 对于你知道,如果你说的那个卡塔尔AI公司,或者它的一个例子。

Original English

Host: for the you know if that Qatari AI company you're talking about or one of them one instance of it.

主持人: 欺诈了他们的客户。

Original English

Host: defrauds their customers.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 嗯。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Mhm.

主持人: 或者引进了投资并贪污了。

Original English

Host: or brings in investment and embezzles it.

主持人: 你会起诉谁?

Original English

Host: who do you sue?

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的。而生产AI的公司在不承担任何责任方面拥有既得利益。所以他们正在非常非常努力地推动AI人格。现在他们不希望国会通过一项法律说我们承认AI,因为那将会引起巨大的公众强烈抗议和抵制。他们试图在实地建立既成事实。例如,他们已经在社交媒体上取得了成功。在社交媒体的世界里,AI已经是了。就像如果你有机器人社交媒体上制造和传播谎言,实际上几乎没有责任。在社交媒体上,AI已经运作。它们在功能上已经是了。你在网上与某人交流,你认为那是一个人。不,那是一个AI,没有人对此负责。许多公司希望将这种情况扩展到金融系统和政治系统,因为它解除了它们的问责制责任。我们需要积极主动,制定一项法律,明确规定不承认AI人格。我想这会得到两党支持,它将使公司处于非常困难的境地,因为如果他们试图游说反对这项法律,他们将不得不向公众解释,为什么他们认为AI会成为是个好主意,如果他们不这么认为,他们为什么要反对这项法律?

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yeah. And the companies who produce the AIS have a vested interest in in not having any liability. So they are pushing very very hard for AI personhood. Now they don't want a bill in Congress saying we recognize AIs as persons because there will be a huge public outcry and resistance. They try to establish facts on the ground. They already succeeded for instance in social media. In the universe of social media AIs are already persons. Like if you have bots creating and spreading lies on social media, effectively there is almost no liability. On social media, AIs already function. They are functionally persons. You communicate with someone online, you think it's a person. No, it's an AI and nobody's liable for that. Many of the companies would like to extend this situation to the financial system to the political system because it releases them of accountability and liability. We need to be proactive and have a a law that clearly states no AI persons. And I imagine there would be be partisan support for that law and it will put the companies in a very hard spot because if they would try to lobby against the law, they will have to explain to the public why do you think it's a good idea that AI will be persons and if you don't think that why do you oppose the law?

主持人: 让我问您关于这方面的另一个维度,我认为这在某种程度上让我们回到了原点,那就是AI将在我们讲述和相信的故事中扮演的角色。我们谈到了社交媒体算法媒体是分裂的技术,而不是凝聚的技术。我甚至不知道某人他们的TikTok动态中正在播放什么故事,即使我坐在他们同一个家里也在使用TikTok。我们甚至了解我们在争论什么,了解这些分歧的来源的能力,可能比以往任何时候都弱。

Original English

Host: Let me ask you about one other dimension of this here which brings us I think in some ways full circle which is the role AI is going to have on the stories we tell and the stories we believe. So we talked about the way social media and algorithmic media are technologies a fracture as opposed to technologies of cohesion. I don't even know what stories somebody is getting on their Tik Tok feed even if I'm using Tik Tok sitting in the same home as them. like my like our ability to even see what we are disagreeing about to know the sources of those disagreements is weaker maybe than it has been at any other time.

主持人: 关于AI的讨论和一些研究表明,到目前为止,AI似乎是一种中心化技术。不同的模型倾向于趋同于相似的答案。

Original English

Host: There's been a lot of discussion and some research on the way that AI so far seems to be something of a centralizing technology. The different models tend to converge around similar answers.

主持人: 它们都经过相似的数据语料库训练。

Original English

Host: They are trained on similar corpuses of data.

主持人: 它们似乎都具有哲学意义上的某种自由主义倾向。我们之前描述过这一点。

Original English

Host: They all seem to be actually somewhat liberal in the sort of philosophical sense. We were describing it earlier.

主持人: 而且,你知道,你在X上看到,当人们让Grok(这不是我最喜欢的AI)来核实事实时,它帮助人们纠正信息的能力。你之前说过,我们已经从信任人转变为信任算法

Original English

Host: and you know you see this on X when people are asking Grock which is not my favorite AI to fact check things that that their ability to to help people correct uh information. You were saying earlier that we've gone from trusting people to trusting algorithms.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 是的。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Yeah.

主持人: 我们信任的算法现在非常非个人化不露面。我们甚至没有与它们建立关系。但你看到人们转向信任AI算法,也许这比他们一直在做的事情更好。

Original English

Host: The algorithms we trust are are very impersonal and faceless right now. We don't even we don't have a relationship to them. But you're watching people move to trusting AI algorithms and maybe that's better than what they've been doing.

主持人: 也许这在大多数情况下更有可能为人们提供一个问题的合理答案,而不是在谷歌YouTube上搜索。

Original English

Host: Maybe that is more likely in most cases to give people a reasonable answer for a question than searching it on Google or YouTube.

主持人: 这种可能性是否存在,以及如果存在,AI作为一种同质化技术是好是坏?它是一种将人们拉回到一种共识答案的技术,我们所知道的每个AI模型在训练完成后似乎都更喜欢这种答案。

Original English

Host: I is there some possibility and and would it be good or bad if there's this possibility that that AI is a homogenizing technology? is a technology that that sort of pulls people back towards not a single you know set of answers because you know different people's AIs respond to them differently but generalized in a way towards consensus answers which every AI model we know of seems to prefer when it is done training.

AI的真相成本与自我纠正

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 我认为这有机会,这并非必然,但有机会,因为在AI训练中,忽视真相的成本非常高。所以,也许举一个具体的例子,假设你是,我不知道,你是俄罗斯,你正在尝试开发自己的俄罗斯AI,你给它访问海量数据和信息,否则你无法训练你的AI。但你希望你的AI在有人在俄罗斯俄罗斯之外问“俄罗斯是民主国家吗?俄罗斯有言论自由吗?”时,AI会说“是的,当然,俄罗斯宪法保障言论自由,俄罗斯是民主国家。”但当然,这意味着你需要向AI解释它为什么需要撒谎。你如何训练一个AI只在某些情况下撒谎,而不是所有情况下?这是一个非常困难的工程挑战,是人们在社交媒体算法中没有遇到的。而且有很好的证据表明,当你这样做时,它会降低AI的整体性能,我发现这非常引人入胜。人们曾尝试这样做,它会产生非常奇怪的下游后果,就像你知道,埃隆·马斯克似乎向XAI发出了指令,让AI变得“觉醒”,然后突然之间,它到处都在谈论“白人种族灭绝”。从意识形态上调整拨盘并不容易,也无法精确地得到你想要的结果。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: I think that there is a chance there it's not a certainty but there is a chance because in the training of AI there is a very high cost to disregarding truth. So maybe to take a concrete example, let's say that you are I don't know you're you're Russia and you are trying to develop your own Russian AI and you give it access to enormous amount of data and information otherwise you can't train your AI but you want your AI when somebody asks in Russia or outside Russia is Russia a democracy is there freedom of speech in Russia you want the AI to say yes of course Russian constitution guarantees freedom of speech and Russia is a democracy. But of course, this will mean that you need to explain to the AI why it needs to lie. And how do you train an AI to lie only in certain cases and not in all cases? That's a very difficult engineering challenge which people did not have with the social media algorithms. And there's good evidence that when you do it, it degrades the overall performance of the AI, which I found to be a very fascinating thing. People have tried to to do this and they it creates very strange downstream consequences like when you know Elon Musk seemed to give a directive to XAI to make the ALS woke and all of a sudden it was talking about white genocide everywhere. It It's not easy to turn the dial ideologically and just get a pinpoint outcome of that.

主持人: 没错。就像如果你告诉AI,比如你乌干达政府,你认为乌干达没有同性恋者。乌干达的所有同性恋者都被西方宣传洗脑了。你希望AI给出这个答案。AI将需要忽略大量关于人类性行为以及导致人们拥有这种或那种性取向的科学研究。现在,你如何向AI解释,在这种情况下你需要忽略科学文献中出现的文章,但在其他情况下你可以信任它们。这是一个非常困难的工程问题。如果这是政府的首要任务,比如你是沙特阿拉伯,你拥有数十亿数十亿美元,你希望确保AI不会批评MBS,如果你把这作为你的首要任务,你可以做到。但你只能在少数情况下这样做。如果你尝试在太多事情上这样做,你就会得到一个非常糟糕的AI

Original English

Host: Exactly. Like if you tell the AI like you don't want I don't know you are the government of of Uganda and you think that there are no gay people in Uganda. All the gay people in Uganda they are brainwashed by Western propaganda and the and you want the AI to to give this answer. The AI will need to ignore a lot of scientific research on human sexuality and on what causes people to have this or that uh uh sexual orientation. Now, how do you explain to the AI that you need to ignore uh articles appearing in scientific literature in this case, but you can trust them in other cases. It's a very difficult engineering problem. And if this is the top priority of the regime, like you are Saudi Arabia and you have billions and billions of dollars and you want to make the sure that the AI will not criticize MBS, you can do that if that's your top priority. But you can do that only with a few cases. If you try to do it with too many things, you will get a very crappy AI.

主持人: 那么这在某种程度上让您感到乐观吗?因为我看到您在不同的文章和访谈中说过,最重要的是国家、社会、机构拥有自我纠正机制

Original English

Host: So does this on some level make you optimistic? Because something I've seen you say in in in different uh pieces and and interviews is that the most important thing is for countries, societies, institutions to have mechanisms of self-correction.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 嗯。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Mhm.

主持人: 而我们建立自我纠正机制的方式,通常不是依靠个体人类能够以那种速度汇总信息。但我们拥有像市场这样庞大、非个人化、甚至没有完全被理解的东西。是的。

Original English

Host: And often the way we build mechanisms of self-correction is not to rely on, you know, individual humans being able to aggregate information at that speed. But we have things that are vast, impersonal, not even fully understood like markets. Yes.

主持人: 在那里,价格流动非常迅速,并不是说市场不会失败,它一直都在失败。但作为一种自我纠正机制,它能够非常迅速地传递信息,而且效果非常好。

Original English

Host: where prices flow through very quickly and it's not that a market cannot fail, it fails all the time. But as a mechanism of selfcorrection, it is able to move information through very very rapidly and it's quite good.

主持人: 现代性在某种程度上之所以遇到麻烦,我认为是因为它比我们大多数自我纠正机制所能跟上的要复杂得多。

Original English

Host: And one way in which I think modernity has uh been somewhat troubled is that it is much more complex than most of our mechanisms of selfcorrection can keep up with.

主持人: 信息量超出了人类和机构能够吸收的范围。可以说,AI在这种说法中,增加了我们的自我纠正能力。它们是我们拥有一种智能体的能力,它代表我们机构地个体地在世界上穿梭,至少到目前为止,在大多数情况下,它在某种程度上是求真的。它使我们能够以更多的资源来驾驭更复杂的现代性。但我正努力对此保持乐观。这在某种程度上是我相信的故事形式。

Original English

Host: There's more information than humans and institutions can absorb. Arguably, AIS in this telling are additive to our powers of self-correction. They are uh an ability for us to have an agent traversing the world on our behalf um institutionally and individually that is somewhat truth seeeking at least in most of the cases so far that we've seen. And it gives us the ability to navigate a more complex modernity with a little bit more resources at our disposal. But I'm trying to be optimistic about it. This is sort of a the form of story I somewhat believe.

主持人: 我很好奇您对此有何看法。

Original English

Host: I'm curious how you think about it.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 嗯,这很复杂,因为信息有两种截然不同的作用。有时你试图分析信息以发现关于世界的一些东西,比如你想发现物理定律。你想了解某种疾病的原因。在这种情况下,AI可能会成为一股向善的力量,一股巨大的善的力量。许多超出人类能力的宇宙奥秘,AI将能够为我们解决。但如果人们认为AI会因此使宇宙更容易理解和控制,他们就完全错了,因为他们没有考虑到信息的另一个作用,那就是创造新事物。信息不仅仅告诉我们关于世界的一些东西。它创造了全新的事物。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Well, it's complicated because there are two types of let's say it like this. Information does two very different things in the universe. Sometimes you try to analyze information to discover something about the world like you want to discover the laws of physics. You want to understand how what is the cause of some disease. In those cases, AI will probably be a force for good, for immense good. A lot of the mysteries of the universe which are beyond the human capacity AI will be able to solve for us. But if people think that AI will make will thereby make the universe more understandable and more controllable, they're completely mistaken because they don't take into account the other thing that information does, which is to create new stuff. Information doesn't just tell us things about the world. It create entirely new things.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 就像DNA并不告诉我们世界的真相。它创造了新事物,活着的生物,活着的实体。现在AI将告诉我们许多事情的真相。但它也将创造大量极其复杂的系统,这些系统将远远超出人类理解和控制的能力。这些系统可能会主宰我们的生活,我们将发现自己不再能够理解我们的生活。也许最好的例子又是市场,是金融。你知道,如果你想想金融系统货币货币是人类有史以来最伟大的故事。它是几乎每个人都相信的唯一一个故事。从某种意义上说,它是一个故事,因为它不是一个客观现实。就像美元只是一个我们都相信的故事。它不来自于物理定律。它不告诉我们关于宇宙的一些东西。我们讲述美元这个故事,只要每个人都相信它,我们就可以拿一张美元给一个完全陌生的人,然后换来面包。现在AI不会告诉我们金融的真相。AI将创造一个全新的金融系统,其复杂程度比我们创造的要高出几个数量级,而人类将完全无法理解。我们将像市场中的马一样。你知道,马在交易时,马可以看到物理世界中正在发生一些事情。马可以看到我把马给你,你给我这个闪闪发光的金属盘,但马不明白什么是货币。比如这个闪闪发光的金属东西是什么?为什么它很重要?你不能吃它。你不能喝它。它是什么?我们理解。因此,我们控制世界而不是马。现在,AI将创造一个我们无法理解的新的金融系统。我们将看到事情发生,比如这家公司解雇了我,那家公司雇用了我。为什么?我不知道。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Like DNA doesn't tell us the world the the the the truth about the world. It creates new things, living beings, living entities. Now AI will tell us the truth about many things. But it will also create a lot of extremely complicated systems which will be far beyond the human ability to understand and control. These systems will probably dominate our lives and we will find ourselves not being able to understand our lives anymore. And maybe the best example again is markets is finance. You know, if you think about the financial system, money, money is the greatest story ever told. It's the only story that almost everybody believes. It's a story in the sense that it's not an objective reality. Like the US dollar is just a story we all believe. It doesn't come from the laws of physics. It doesn't tell us something about the universe. We tell this story of the dollar and as long as everybody believes in it, we can take a dollar, give it to a complete stranger and get bread in exchange. Now AI will not tell us the truth about finance. AI will create an entirely new financial system which is orders of magnitude more complicated than the one that we have created and that humans will be utterly incapable of understanding. We will be like horses in the market. You know horses when you trade a horse the horse can see that something is happening in the physical world. The horse can see that I'm giving you the horse and you're giving me this shiny uh uh metal disc, but the horse doesn't understand what money is. Like what is this shiny metal thing? Why is it important? You can't eat it. You can't drink it. What is it?

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: AI刚刚做了一些金融交易,其复杂程度远远超出了我的思维能力。金融的历史是,随着时间的推移,人们发明了越来越复杂的金融工具。所以你有硬币,然后是钞票,支票,债券,股票,ETFCDOS(抵押债务凭证)。越来越少的人理解这些东西。CDOS是由少数投资奇才和天才数学家发明的。几乎没有人理解它们。当然,那些应该监管它们的政治家也不理解。几年之内,一切似乎都很好。人们因为这些CDOS赚了数十亿美元,然后事情发生了,系统崩溃了。现在很可能我们会在AI身上看到同样的事情,而且规模更大,就像我们已经看到AI发明了下棋的新方法一样。它们会发明新的投资方法,这可能比我们能想到的要好得多。所以它们将在金融系统中获得越来越多的权力,它将变得如此复杂,以至于理解金融的人数将降为零。这对民主或独裁意味着什么?当没有人,不是美国总统,不是中国总统,不是俄罗斯总统,不是中央银行行长,没有人再理解金融时。这将是未来几十年面临的一个非常大的挑战。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: The AI has just made some financial transaction which is just orders of magnitude beyond what my mind is capable of understanding. The history of finance is that over time people invent more and most sophisticated financial devices. So you have coins and then banknotes and checks and bonds and stocks and ETFs and CDOS's collateralized depth obligations. And fewer and fewer people understand these things. The CDOS were invented by a tiny number of investment wizards and ingenious mathematicians. Almost nobody understood them. Certainly not the politicians who are supposed to regulate them. For a few years everything seems wonderful. people were making billions of dollars because of these cos and then things and then the system crashed. Now it is very likely that we will see the same thing with AIS on a much larger scale the same way that we've already seen AI invent new ways to play chess. They will invent new ways to invest which may be much better than than what we can come up with. So they will gain more and more power in the financial system and it will become so complicated that the number of people who understand finance will go down to zero. And what does it mean for democracy or also for dictatorship when nobody not the president of the US not the president of China not the president of Russia not the the the chiefs of the central banks no human being understands finance anymore. This will be a very big challenge in in the coming decades.

主持人: 这让我想到了两件事,我认为值得思考。一个是,蒂莫西·李写了一本很棒的Substack,叫做《理解AI》,他有一篇文章谈到为什么他不认为AI科学家会像我们想象的那样工作。

Original English

Host: Brings up two things for me that I think are are worth thinking about. So one, Timothy Lee, who writes a great substack called Understanding AI, he had this piece on why he doesn't think the AI scientists are going to work out the way we think they will.

主持人: 他指出,我们已经看到了AI可以解决问题但却无法以我们认为真实的方式向我们解释它是如何解决的例子。并不是说它在欺骗。只是它追求目标的能力和它解释甚至理解它是如何追求目标的能力没有关联。所以它在功能上是在为它所做的事情编造一个解释,然后你调查后发现那不是实际发生的事情,但它确实得到了正确的答案,但我们不知道它是如何做到的。

Original English

Host: And the thing he notes is that we're already seeing examples where AI can solve a problem but not explain to us in a way that appears to be true how it's solved it. Not that it's being deceptive. It's just its capacity to pursue the goal and its capacity to explain or even understand how it pursued the goal are not connected to each other. So it's functionally confabulating an explanation for what it did and then you look into it and that's not what happened but it did get the right answer but we don't know how.

主持人: 所以我们实际上无法向它学习。所以这又是一个有趣的维度,你可以在科学和其他方面取得这些飞跃,但实际上人类的知识储备增长的速度比我们获得答案的数量要慢得多。

Original English

Host: and so we actually can't learn from it. So that that's one interesting dimension where you could have these forward leaps in science and other things but actually the human stock of knowledge is getting better at a much slower rate than the number of answers we're getting.

主持人: 因为我们没有像科学家找到新答案那样从过程中学习。

Original English

Host: because we are not learning from the process the way we do when a scientist finds a new answer.

主持人: 也许对此的反驳是说,这可能在某种程度上已经适用于人类社会,只是我们不总是承认。市场就是一个例子,人们经常用市场来说明市场在做一些没有自主权的事情,但它们是一个复杂的利用信息的过程,导致结果,而市场无法解释发生了什么。你知道,我们有原则,但市场的行为往往违背我们的预期。而且我们的世界已经建立在系统、组织、机构之上。

Original English

Host: Maybe the counterargument to that is to say that this is perhaps already true about human society in ways we don't always admit. Markets are an example people often use to say markets are doing things acting in ways they don't have agency but they are a complex information using process that leads to outcomes and the market cannot explain what happened. You know, we have principles, but often markets act in ways that defy our expectations. And it is already the case that our world is built on systems, organizations, institutions.

主持人: 它们不像我们。它们没有意识。它们无法解释自己,但它们正在构建我们周围的世界。而AI在这种方式上更像是一个市场

Original English

Host: that they're not like us. They're not conscious. They cannot explain themselves, but they are structuring the world around us. And AI is more like a market in that way.

主持人: 而不像一个实体。

Original English

Host: than it is like an entity.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 这绝对是事实。唯一的警告是,直到现在,人类一直是市场、国家、金融系统的某种限制。你最终需要人类来理解某些东西才能做出决定,因为没有其他东西可以做出决定。所以AI现在允许所有这些我们建立了数千年并变得越来越复杂的结构,有可能切断与人类的联系,走上一条远远超出人类思维能力范围的轨迹。你知道,这甚至以某种方式发生在语言本身上。人类有史以来最重要的发明或创造是语言,因为它是所有事物的基础。神话金融、国家、宗教,它们最终都基于语言语言本质上是胶水。它连接事物。它连接了人类数万年。现在,当它摆脱人类的束缚时,它可以用我们无法想象的方式开始连接。在许多方面,AI就是语言的解放,它摆脱了人类的控制,开始探索语言在不与地球上行走的这些肉体包裹联系在一起时所能做的一切。现在它不是意识。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: That that's absolutely true. The only caveat is that until now humans were always a kind of limit on markets, on nations, on the financial system. You ultimately you needed humans to understand something to make the decisions because nothing else could make the decision. So AI allows these all these structures that we've built for thousands of years and became more and more complex. AI now allows them potentially to cut the connection to humanity and go on a trajectory which is far beyond what the human mind is capable of of understanding. You know it even happens in a way with language itself. The most important inventions or creation of humanity ever until now was language because it's the basis for everything. Mythology, finance, nations, religions, they are ultimately based on language. Language is essentially glue. It connects things. It connected human beings for for tens of thousands of years. Now as it kind of rel frees itself from human beings, it can start connecting in ways which are you know way beyond our imagination. In many ways AI is language liberating itself, releasing itself from the control of human beings and starting to explore all the things that language can do when it's not tied to these packages of meat walking around on planet Earth. Now it's not consciousness.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 我们之前谈到过一点,当AI说“我爱你”时。它真的有感觉吗?人类哲学中最大的讨论之一,持续了数千年,是语言感觉之间的关系是什么?语言之外的现实。现在,我认为这个讨论将成为世界上最重要的讨论,因为突然之间,我们数千年来无法想象的事情发生了:语言正在脱离我们的控制,开始在世界上做一些事情。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: We talked about it a bit earlier when when the AI says I love you. Does it really feel anything? You had one of the biggest, you know, discussions in human philosophy for thousands of years was what is the relationship between language and feelings? The the reality beyond the language. Now this discussion will become I think maybe the most important discussion in the world because suddenly what what we couldn't imagine for thousands of years language is getting out of our control and starting to just do things in the world.

主持人: 我认为这是一个很好的结束点。那么,谈到语言,您会向听众推荐哪三本书?

Original English

Host: I think that is a good place to end. So speaking of language what are three books you'd recommend to the audience?

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 呃,我会推荐一本关于AI的书是本杰明·拉巴图的**《疯子》,它是一部约翰·冯·诺伊曼的虚构传记,也是对AI革命起源及其潜在后果的富有想象力且有力的探索。嗯,另一个推荐是弗兰斯·德瓦尔的任何一本书。我的意思是,我真的很喜欢他的第一本书《黑猩猩的政治》,我大概在20年前读过,它完全改变了我对人类而不是黑猩猩的理解,以及对政治的理解。而且,我会建议史蒂芬·米勒去读《黑猩猩的政治》,呃,因为,再说一遍,那里的主要信息是政治不仅仅是关于武力的。如果你认为你可以通过四处殴打每个人来成为黑猩猩群体的首领雄性**,你将无法生存太久,无法从错误中吸取教训。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Uh so one book about AI that I would recommend to read is Benjamin Labatut the maniac which is a sort of fictionalist biography of John Fonand but also a very imaginative and powerful exploration of the origins of the AI revolution and of the potential consequences of it. Um another recommendation is basically any book by France Devalo. I mean I I really like uh his first book chimpanzeee politics uh which I've read like 20 years ago and completely changed my understanding not so much of chimpanzees but of human beings and of politics and there is a I would recommend Stefan Miller to to to for instance to to read chimpanzeee politics uh and to because again the main message there is that politics is not just about force. If you think you can become the alpha male of the chimpanzeee band by going around and just beating everybody, you will not survive long to learn from your mistake.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 另一个我想推荐的书是奥尔德斯·赫胥黎的**《美丽新世界》,我认为这可能是20世纪最好的科幻小说,当然也是最具预言性的。他是在1930年代,在法西斯主义共产主义兴起的背景下写的。但他预见到,也许控制人类最有效、甚至最危险的方式,不是像奥威尔《1984》中那样通过纯粹的蛮力**、恐惧恐怖,而是如果你利用快乐原则以及人类的贪婪欲望,你能走得更远,而不是仅仅试图一直压制和恐吓人们。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: And another book that uh I would like to recommend is Aldos Huxley's Brave New World, which I think is maybe the best science fiction book of the 20th century, certainly the most prophetic, which also he wrote it in the 1930s against the backdrop of the rise of fascism and communism and so forth. But he foresaw that maybe the most effective way and even the most dangerous way to control human beings is not by sheer brute force and fear and terror like in Orwell's 1984 but actually if you work with the pleasure pr principle and with human greed and desire uh you can get further than if you just try to crush people and terrorize them all the time.

主持人: 尤瓦尔·赫拉利。非常感谢您。

Original English

Host: You all know a Harrari. Thank you very much.

尤瓦尔·赫拉利: 谢谢您。

Original English

Yuval Noah Harari: Thank you.

关键字: cooperation liberalism artificial-intelligence social-narratives human-agency